FALIA Invitational Seminar in Japan “Risk Management Course” Overview of Life Ins. Industry in Japan November 9th, 2016 Genjiro Saito Chief, International Affairs The Life Insurance Association of Japan Contents I Basic Information of Japan II Japan’s Position in the World Life Insurance Market III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan IV Brief History of Japanese Life Insurance Industry V Addressing the issues VI The Life Insurance Association of Japan 2 I Basic Information of Japan I Basic Information of Japan 1. General Information Name Japan Area 377,914㎢ (rank 60th) Population 127 million (rank 10th) Capital Tokyo Language Japanese Main Religion Shinto/Buddhism Government Prime Minister: Shinzo Abe (Liberal Democratic Party) Trade Import: crude oil, petroleum products, LNG (liquefied natural gas), clothes, coal, non-ferrous metal, semiconductor electric component Export: automobile, auto component, steel, semiconductor electric component, boats and ships, plastic, engines and turbines 4 I Basic Information of Japan 2. Economic Trends (1) Changes in Nominal GDP (2) Stock Price (The Nikkei Stock Average) (yen trillion) Source: IMF - World Economic Outlook Databases, Cabinet Office 600 (yen) Source: Nihon Keizai Shimbun 45000 40000 500 17,391.4 yen (as of 26th October, 2016) 35000 400 30000 25000 300 20000 200 15000 Nominal GDP (2015): 498.9 trillion yen Growth Rate (2015): 2.46% GDP per capita (2015): 3.93 million yen 100 10000 5000 0 (3) Interest Rate (JGB 10-year yield) 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 0 (4) Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate (%) Source: Ministry of Finance 8 (yen) Source: Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting 160.00 7 1 dollar = 104.18 yen (as of 26th October, 2016) 150.00 6 140.00 5 130.00 4 120.00 3 110.00 2 100.00 1 90.00 80.00 -0.064% (as of 25th October 2016) 70.00 2015 2014 2012 2011 2009 2008 2006 2005 2003 2002 2000 1999 1997 1996 1994 60.00 1993 2016 2014 2012 2010 2008 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 -2 1991 -1 1990 0 5 I Basic Information of Japan 3. Aging Population in the World Total fertility rate (births per woman) (Year 2014) 4.0 Papua New Guinea 3.5 Aging Population and Declining Birthrate Philippines 3.0 Mongolia 2.5 2.0 Indonesia India Uzbekistan Bangladesh Myanmar Sri Lanka USA New Zealand Australia France Vietnam Malaysia China Russia UK 1.5 Thailand Singapore 1.0 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% South Korea Taiwan 15.00% Japan Germany 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% Proportion of population aged 65 and over (% of total population) (Year 2015) Source: World Bank, National Institute of Population and Social Security Research 6 7 I Basic Information of Japan 4. Overview of Social Security System Insurance Products <Social Security> Public Pension provided by Japanese Life insurance Companies Complement Old Age Benefit Fixed Annuity Variable Annuity Survivor Benefit Whole Life Insurance Term Insurance Endowment Insurance Public Health Insurance Medical Insurance Cancer Insurance Public Long-term care Insurance Long-term care Insurance 8 I Basic Information of Japan (a) Public Pension Survivor Benefit Old Age Benefit If a survivor has a child Widow’s Age Employees’ Pension Insurance 65 Survivors’ Employees’ Pension 60 + Survivors’ Basic Pension OR Widow’s Pension Basic Pension (Self-employed) (Employee) Cost Premium self-employed ・・・ ¥16,260/M • employee ・・・ 18.182% of salary Public Pension can use fund (¥135 trillion) to ensure paying benefit sustainably. Benefit Starting age • 65 years old National Government Subsidies • ( Employee ) Some older people can receive it from 60 years old. Amount self-employed ・・・ ¥780,100/Y • employee ・・・ income-related amount/Y Cost Paid as Public Pension (Old Age Benefit) Benefit Survivors’ Employees’ Pension • Eligibility ・・・ Employee • Amount ・・・ 3/4 of Old Age Benefit(Pension) Widow’s Pension Eligibility ・・・ Self-employed Age of widow in age 60-65 • Amount ・・・ 3/4 of Old Age Benefit(Pension) • Survivors’ • Basic Pension Eligibility ・・・ Employee and Self-employed • Survivors have children Amount ・・・ ¥780,100/Y • is adjusted not only for price fluctuation but also for a decrease in population. + ¥224,500/Y per child Amount Eligibility to receive pension benefit • premium payment for 25 years(to be10 years after Oct 2017) ( Self-employed ) Lump-sum payment ・ Eligibility ・・・ Not falling under abovementioned categories ・ Amount ・・・ ¥120,000~320,000 proportional to the payment period 9 I Basic Information of Japan (b) Public Health Insurance (c) Public Long-term Care Insurance Age Elderly Medical Care System Age 65 Public long-term care insurance 75 Retirement age Society-managed Health Insurance ( Employee ) Insured person who needs care due to age-related diseases Others (Self-employed) Cost 40 National Health Insurance Cost National and Local Government Subsidies National and Local Government Subsidies Premium • Society-managed Health Insurance fixed % of salary • National Health Insurance/Elderly Medical Care System premium determined by local government Premium • Insured persons who are 40-65 years old premium fixed depending on Public Health Insurance • Insured persons who are 65- years old premium determined by local government Benefit Benefit in Kind • 70% of Medical Service Cost 70% may increase to 80%or 90% when insured person is under 6 years old or over 70 years old. Out of pocket expense is limited depending on age and income of insured person. Medical Service doesn’t include some highly-advanced medical technology. Benefit in Cash • Child birth allowance Benefit Benefit in Kind 90% of Long-term Care Service Cost • Insured persons who are 40-65 years old can receive benefit only when they need long-term care due to age-related diseases. • Out of pocket expense is limited depending on age and income of insured person. Long-term Care Service Cost is fixed depending on care-needs of insured person. II Japan’s Position in the World Life Insurance Market 11 II Japan’s Position in the World Life Insurance Market Japan’s Position in the World Life Insurance Market <Life Insurance Premium Volume by country in 2015> Ranking Country Share in World Market <New Premium Written by company in 2014> Ran king Company name Ran king Company name 19.90% 1 UnitedHealth Group Inc. 11 People’s Ins (Group) Co of China Ltd. 13.57% 2 AXA S.A. 12 Prudential plc United Kingdom 8.47% 3 Allianz SE 13 Japan Post Insurance Co., Ltd. 4 PR China 8.32% 4 Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. 14 Ping An Ins (Group) Co of China Ltd. 5 France 5.93% 5 Anthem, Inc. 15 Zurich Insurance Group Ltd. 6 Italy 4.93% 6 China Life Insurance (Group) Co. 16 National Mut Ins Fed Agricultural Coop. 7 South Korea 3.88% 7 State Farm Group 17 Humana Inc. 8 Germany 3.82% 8 Kaiser Foundation Group of Health Plans 18 Dai-ichi Life Insurance Company, Limited 9 Taiwan 3.14% 9 Munich Reinsurance Company 19 Nippon Life Insurance Company 10 India 2.24% 10 Aetna Inc. 20 Berkshire Hathaway Inc. 1 United States 2 Japan 3 III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan (1) Changes in Life Insurance Ownership Rate per Households (including Annuity) (%) 100 92.3 91.3 91.6 90.5 89.4 88.5 89.6 88 90 93.7 95 93 91.8 89.6 87.5 86 85.8 80 71 70 60 50 40 1965 1968 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 13 Source: Japan Institute of Life Insurance: Consumer Survey Note: The data includes the total of private life insurance (including Japan Post Insurance), postal insurance and JA cooperative III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan (2) Number of Life Insurance Policies Owned by Household (Number) 6 4.8 5 4.1 4.1 4 3 3 4.3 5 4.9 4.6 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.8 2 1 0 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 14 Source: Japan Institute of Life Insurance: Consumer Survey III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan (3) Average Amount of Coverage per Household (yen million) 50 46.3545.66 41.78 41.41 45 40 36.97 35 32.08 30 24.18 25 19.77 20 13.6 15 10 5 32.69 29.12 27.63 24.23 9.56 4.33 0 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 Source: Japan Institute of Life Insurance: Consumer Survey 15 III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan (4) Annual Premium Payment per Household Proportion of annual premium to total annual income 12.0% 9.4% 10.0% 8.4% 8.0% 6.9% 8.9% 9.6% 638 10.1% 676 574 7.4% 478 6.0% 400 331 4.0% 10.0% 9.2% 9.2% 800 700 8.8% 600 8.0% 610 531 (thousand yen) 7.4% 526 455 500 400 418 385 252 300 200 2.0% 100 Annual premium 0.0% 0 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 Source: Japan Institute of Life Insurance: Consumer Survey, Cabinet Office of Japan 16 III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan (5) Purpose of Life Insurance Ownership 0.0% Medical or surgery expense 1 Survivor 2 Funeral expense 3 Educational and marriage expenses of children 4 Accident 5 Post-retirement life 6 Saving 7 Long-term care expense 8 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 58.5% 56.3% 53.1% 60.5% 13.0% 12.5% 7.9% 10.9% 7.7% 7.7% 8.9% 19.4% 2015 2003 6.1% 7.1% 2.9% 4.4% <Multiple choice question> Source: Japan Institute of Life Insurance: consumer survey 17 III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan (6) Share of Distribution Channel 2007 2010 2013 2016 56.7 51.7 49.7 47.1 House visit 38.8 33.0 31.4 28.3 Workplace 17.9 18.7 18.3 18.8 5.7 5.2 5.8 5.6 Internet 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 TV, Newspaper, Magazine 4.7 4.2 4.3 3.6 11.2 16.9 15.8 15.6 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.8 Bank 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.6 Securities Firm 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 3.8 6.1 9.4 9.9 At the Counter - - 3.4 4.3 Sales Representative - - 6.1 5.6 Via Workplace or Labor Unions 6.3 7.4 6.6 7.8 Others 9.9 6.5 7.1 7.4 Tied Sales Agents Direct Sale Office of Insurer Bank/Securities Firm Sales Agency 18 Source: FY 2016 Survey on Life Protection, Japan Institute of Life Insurance III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan (7) Life Insurance Companies in Japan Total : 41 (as of October, 2016) Premium Income of Japanese Life Insurers in FY2015 0 Domestic: 25 1000 2000 3000 4000 Branch offices: 3 5409.598 Dai-ichi 4548.771 Meiji Yasuda 3357.042 3041.426 Prudential 2335.612 MS&AD 1760.582 T&D 1569.949 Aflac *Foreign stake of 50% or more Metlife Sony (Note) -Nippon: Nippon + Mitsui; -Dai-ichi: Dai-ichi + Dai-ichi Frontier + Neo First; -Sumitomo: Sumitomo + Medicare; -Prudential: Gibraltar + Prudential + PGF; -MS&AD: Mitsui Sumitomo Aioi + Primary; -T&D: Taiyo + Daido + T&D; -Sony: Sony + Aegon Sony; -Fukoku: Fukoku + Fukokushinrai; -AXA: AXA Life + AXA Direct 1476.78 1457.221 1097.79 Tokio Marine 802.851 Fukoku 788.407 Manulife Axa 7000 6628.922 Sumitomo Foreign* : 16 6000 Nippon Japan Post Non-Life subsidiaries: 4 5000 676.169 587.221 (yen billion) 19 Source: The Life Insurance Association of Japan III History of Life Insurance Industry in Japan (8) Number of Life Insurance Sales-Person (Thousand) tied sales agents sales representatives at agencies (including Banks) 1,200 1,000 912 800 693 714 722 747 989 949 971 1,0051,015 992 999 1,011 777 600 445 442 428 421 400 400 395 390 354 342 330 163 181 200 313 298 296 284 268 264 259 249 246 248 251 241 237 234 229 228 230 232 204 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 0 20 Source: The Life Insurance Association of Japan III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan (9) Number of Individual Insurance Contracts New policies Policies in Force (Number; million) 20 200 18 180 16 14 1.60 1.43 1.47 1.57 1.52 1.57 160 18.99 120 10 100 8 12.78 20.43 140 12 6 (Number; million) 13.40 14.89 14.41 15.05 15.86 4 40 2 20 20.76 19.76 80 60 20.48 20.50 121.91 127.21 2010 2011 136.02 143.88 151.73 160.12 0 0 2010 2011 2012 Individual Life Insurance 2013 2014 Individual Annuities 2015 2012 Individual Life Insurance 2013 2014 2015 Individual Annuities Source: The Life Insurance Association of Japan 21 III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan (10) Individual Insurance Share by Type New Policies (FY2015) Variable Annuity, 1.34 Variable Annuity, 1.31 Juvenile, 4.85 Policies in Force (FY2015) Fixed Annuity, 7.44 Others, 6.27 Cancer, 12.93 Medical, 20.86 Whole Life, 24.88 Term Life, 12.48 Endowment, 8.98 Others, 4.57 Fixed Annuity, 10.14 Juvenile, 3.95 Whole Life, 29.27 Cancer, 12.79 Medical, 18.64 Term Life, 11.48 Endowment, 7.82 Source: The Life Insurance Association of Japan 22 III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan (11) Premium Income (yen billion) Individual Life Insurance Individual Annuities 40000 36,289 37,140 34,454 35000 3,836 4,276 3,926 30000 3,813 25000 1,116 1,114 4,679 Group Life Insurance 3,874 3,684 1,109 4,374 Group Annuities 37,222 34,738 2,227 2,740 4,176 3,852 1,119 1,113 5,154 Others 37,748 1,724 4,563 1,125 4,730 4,312 4,802 20000 15000 10000 20,448 22,734 24,099 22,721 24,546 25,607 2014 2015 5000 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: The Life Insurance Association of Japan 23 III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan (12) Insurance Payment Claims Paid (yen billion) Annuities Paid Benefits Surrender Benefits Paid Other 40,000 35,000 30,000 33,681 32,049 2,155 5,799 25,000 3,976 20,000 2,876 17,244 3,947 8,000 8,772 31,686 2,445 3,225 5,680 5,867 3,805 3,937 4,054 3,360 4,500 15,000 10,000 2,918 31,209 3,135 16,143 34,953 32,454 3,913 4,066 5,197 7,460 4,097 4,860 15,296 14,308 12,971 12,125 2012 2013 2014 2015 5,000 0 2010 2011 Source: The Life Insurance Association of Japan 24 III Overview of Life Insurance Business in Japan (13) Profit (yen billion) Basic Profit Ordinary Profit 4500 3500 3,308 3,063 2,893 2,670 2500 2,236 2,463 2,261 2,153 1,464.8 631.6 2,503 2,422 2,193 1,701.7 1500 2,690 2,556 2,144 1,602.4 1,802.9 1,754.6 3,016.8 2,870 2,638.3 2,355.1 2,034 2,019 1,731 1,480.3 1,419 1,332.3 525.7 500 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 -500 (1,001.0) -1500 Basic profit represents the profitability of the life insurance business. *excluding Japan Post Insurance *Basic Profit = Ordinary Profit - Capital Gain/Loss - Nonrecurring income/loss Source: The Life Insurance Association of Japan 25 IV Brief History of Life Insurance Industry in Japan IV Brief History of Life Insurance Industry in Japan Total Premium Income and GDP (billion yen) Proportion of total premium income to GDP 40,000 7.14% 35,000 6.08% 30,000 5.62% 6.00% 5.00% 3.34% 15,000 2.39% 1.06% 2.61% 27,321 1.53% 15,480 5,000 0 6.13% 4.69% 20,000 92 255 1,800 3,981 1955 1960 1970 1975 8.00% 7.00% 5.28% 25,000 10,000 7.56% 30,762 34,454 26,941 37,748 4.00% 3.00% 28,333 2.00% Premium Income 1.00% 8,226 0.00% 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Average Number of Members of Ordinary Households 5.50 4.50 3.50 3.28 4.68 2.76 2.49 2.50 1.50 1955 1960 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2014 27 IV Brief History of Life Insurance Industry in Japan Total Assets and Portfolio Yields 400,000 Changes in Total Assets 367,168 350,000 320,691 300,000 250,000 200,000 187,492 191,731 1995 2000 209,879 131,619 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 5,855 12,893 26,258 1970 1975 1980 53,871 1985 1990 Total Assets: 367 Trillion Yen (%) 2005 2010 2015 Portfolio Yields by Type of Assets (As of the end of.FY2015) Tangible Fixed Assets, 1.70 Others, 8.52 Cash/Deposits 2.38 Financial Loans, 8.71 Policy Loans, 0.82 JGB, 44.15 Foreign Securities, 21.42 Stocks, 5.40 FY Bonds Genera l Domestic Foreign Financial Real Account Stocks Securities Loans Estate Assets 2011 1.91 1.56 2.91 1.94 2.27 1.92 2012 2.00 0.61 5.25 2.18 2.35 2.36 2013 1.95 5.14 4.60 2.15 2.43 2.40 2014 1.88 5.31 5.50 2.28 2.50 2.58 2015 1.75 5.17 2.24 1.70 2.62 1.92 Corporate Bonds, 6.91 Source: The Life Insurance Association of Japan 28 IV Brief History of Life Insurance Industry in Japan Changes in Product Portfolio (the number of new policies) Endowment Term Whole Life Medical Annuties Others 100% 11.38 90% 80% 20.99 1.62 1.23 16.89 1.28 18.64 0.42 1.57 9.80 12.37 0.77 4.30 1.78 0.10 5.13 21.87 35.47 8.61 3.86 1.49 5.51 60% 87.00 77.78 81.81 79.36 13.50 6.98 10.05 21.16 33.30 35.43 27.75 23.02 30% 12.67 47.00 10% 17.73 17.68 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 9.29 14.52 12.51 9.83 0% 1955 33.78 24.88 24.55 36.64 1950 8.75 31.53 22.45 73.79 20% 11.12 23.00 12.24 83.35 7.97 14.71 10.53 50% 8.95 13.58 12.32 17.69 11.78 14.36 7.70 70% 40% 18.91 13.25 1995 2000 12.63 4.58 2005 2010 12.48 8.98 2015 29 Source: The Life Insurance Association of Japan IV Brief History of Life Insurance Industry in Japan Changes in Asset Management Portfolio Cash/Deposits & Call Loans Government Bonds Corporate Bonds Stocks Policy Loans Financial Loans Tangible Fixed Assets Others Foreign Securities 100% 10.00 90% 80% 8.81 6.28 5.46 17.50 35.46 21.20 54.06 14.26 55.48 60.39 11.43 13.07 40% 2.55 28.79 17.21 20% 10% 1.70 8.71 23.55 50% 30% 2.09 12.61 70% 60% 4.26 5.92 0.77 22.69 19.56 1.46 0% 1950 1960 1970 5.42 5.19 1980 5.06 21.42 5.40 7.88 6.91 45.00 44.15 2010 2015 15.37 9.29 21.97 3.99 4.36 1990 20.49 2000 30 Source: The Life Insurance Association of Japan V Addressing the issues V Addressing the issues 1. Financial crisis in the 1990s Changes in economic situation Impacts on the life insurance industry Stock Price 45000 -37.7 -200 -107.5 -135.5 -196.0 -286.7 -276.8 -292.5 -400 -600 -1,000 -550.0 -739.8 -806.8 -897.5 -949.3 -800 -952.3 (Note) Total of major 4 companies (Nippon, Dai-ichi, Meiji Yasuda, Sumitomo) *Loss due to portfolio yield rate fallimg below the expected interest rate Interest rate (10yr JGB) (%) 8 40000 7 35000 6 30000 5 4 25000 3 20000 2 15000 1 10000 0 -1 5000 Source: Bank of Japan, Financial Service Agency 32 2016 2014 2012 2010 2008 2006 2004 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2002 -2 0 2000 (Y) 0 1998 200 1996 The amount of both new business and business in force declined affected by the economic downturn Lower investment yields caused large negative spread Financial condition deteriorated due to falling stock prices The ratio of stocks in insurers’ portfolios was 22% in 1990 400 1994 505.2 375. 246.3 600 1992 (Y billion) 1990 The Japanese economy maintained favorable growth until 1989 mainly due to the expanding domestic consumption. However, stock prices and land prices plunged after peaking in 1989. Maintain low interest rate policy for a long time for monetary relaxation 1988 1986 Negative spread* V Addressing the issues Bankruptcy cases of life insurers Nissan Life Toho Life Daihyaku Life Taisho Life Chiyoda Life Kyoei Life Tokyo Life Yamato Life Procedure Administrative Administrative Administrative Administrative Judicial Judicial Judicial Judicial Excess liabilities (a)-(b) Approx. 302.9 Approx .650 Approx. 317.7 Approx. 36.5 Approx. 595 Approx. 689.5 Approx. 73.1 Approx. 64.3 (April 1997) (June 1999) (May 2000) (August 2000) (October 13, 2000) (October 23, 2000) (March 31, 2001) (October 17, 2008) Asset (a) (billion yen) 1,822.7 2,190 1,300 154.5 2,233 3,725 690 194.9 Liability(b) (billion yen) 2,125.6 2,840 1,617.6 191 2,828 4,414.5 763.2 259.2 Aoba Life (Prudential Life) GE Edison Life (Gibraltar Life) Manulife Life Azami Life (PGF Life) AIG Star Life (Gibraltar Life) Gibraltar Life T&D Financial Life Prudential Financial Japan Life Relief Insurance Company (PGF Life) Aid amount by LIPPCJ (billion yen) 200 366.3 145 26.7 0 0 0 27.8 Changes in Policy Reduction of policy reserve Post-reduction expected interest rate Date of Resolution No reduction 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% No reduction 10% (additional reduction for high-interest policy) 2.75% 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 1.75% 2.6% 1.0% October 1, 1997 March 1, 2000 Transfer of contract Transfer of contract April 2, 2001 March 31, 2001 April 3, 2001 Transfer of contract Transfer of contract April 20, 2001 Conversion to a stock company October 19, 2001 Conversion to a stock company (Restart business) June 1, 2009 Restart business (Restart business) Restart business 33 V Addressing the issues Efforts of Industry Absorbed impacts of the Financial Crisis a) Accumulating Internal Reserves Internal Reserves (Total of major 4 companies) *Internal Reserves: Total Capital + Capital Reserves + Price Fluctuation Reserves + Accumulated Fund for Price Fluctuation + Risk Reserves + Contingency Reserves Yen Trillion 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Internal reserves was accumulated from ¥ 3 trillion to ¥ 7 trillion. (Note) Revision in Distribution Regulation: In accordance with the partial amendments to Ordinance for Enforcement of Insurance Business Act in 2002, the bottom limit of the distribution rate of surplus to policy dividends was brought down from 80% to 20% in order to secure adequate internal reserves in 2002. Source: disclosure of each company b) Stock Holding Total assets and stock holding 1990 Total assets Stocks 2001 Trends in Amount and Ratio of Bonds and Stocks ¥ trillion (trillion yen) 2015 131.6 184.4 367.1 28.9(21.9%) 24.7 (13.4%) 19.8 (5.4%) Cutting down (Excluding JP Insurance) Source: The Life Insurance Association of Japan 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Bonds Stocks Ratio of Bonds to total Assets Ration of Stocks to total Assets (%) 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% 34 V Addressing the issues c) Duration of Bonds Breakdown of JGB by time of maturity 2000 JGB Issuance by duration (Availability of super long-term bonds) 2015 Below 10yr to maturity 88.3% 28.9% Over 10yr to maturity 11.7% 71.1% Based upon disclosure of each company d) Standard interest rate of new sales product 2016-: 0.25% (expected) 6 1,000,000 1y - 10y 0 (¥ 100million) more than 10y e) Reduction of operating expense ratio to total premium income 5 (%) 2001-2012: 1.5% 4 3 1 1y or less 10y 1985-1993: 5.5% 7 2 1,500,000 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 8 auction for enhancedliquidity 500,000 (%) 9 2,000,000 2013-: 1.0% 16.00 14.00 1996-1998: 2.75% 12.00 0 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 Standard Interest Rate 18.00 10.00 Portfolio Yield of General Account Assets f) Accumulation of additional policy reserves Source: FSA, LIAJ In order to ensure further financial soundness and dissolve negative spread, some insurers started to accumulate additional policy reserves g) Changes in sales products Shifted from saving type products (such as whole life insurance & endowment ) to protection type products (such as medical insurance). 35 Started sales of adjustable interest funding life insurance V Addressing the issues 2. Aging Population (1) Population Demographics Aged 19 or under (ten thousands) 12,000 8,000 6,000 8,411 309 107 4,150 9,008 9,430 376 164 338 139 4,646 9,921 434 189 0 516 224 Aged 75 or over Population aging rate (aged 65~ to the total population) Projected 11,194 284 602 11,706 366 699 12,557 12,693 12,777 12,806 12,660 12,410 12,105 12,361 12,066 471 776 597 892 717 1,109 900 1,301 1,160 1,407 1,407 1,517 1,646 1,749 26.8 1,879 29.1 1,733 2,179 30.3 1,479 23 5,109 5,650 4,000 2,000 10,467 Aged 65-74 Actual Total Population (Underlined number) 14,000 10,000 Aged 20-64 6,295 7,056 6,786 9.1 7,353 10.3 7,590 12.1 7,861 7,873 17.4 14.6 11,662 2,278 (%) 37.7 11,212 36.1 33.4 10,728 10,221 2,245 31.6 1,407 1,495 20.2 7,752 7,497 7,089 6,783 6,559 6,278 5,910 2,223 1,645 5,393 2,257 1,600 39.4 38.8 9,708 39.9 45 40 9,193 2,385 2,401 1,383 1,225 35 8,674 30 2,336 25 1,128 20 15 4,978 4,643 4,368 4,105 5.3 5.7 6.3 7.1 7.9 4.9 3,846 3,883 3,781 3,648 3,432 3,517 3,578 3,501 3,249 2,857 2,596 2,409 2,287 2,176 2,015 1,849 1,698 1,562 1,467 1,386 1,297 1,199 1,104 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 10 5 Source : For the figures until 2010, “Population Census”, The Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications For the figures from 2015, The result of the medium variant projection under “Population Projection for Japan (as of January 2012)”, National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (Note) The total population from 1950 to 2010 includes the population of uncertain age. (2) Population Pyramid 2040 2010 1980 Aged 65 → M F M F M F Aged 15 → 36 Source : For the figure of 1980, “Population Census”, The Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications For the figure of 2010 and 2040, The result of the medium variant projection under “Population Projection for Japan (as of January 2012)”, National Institute of Population and Social Security Research 0 V Addressing the issues (3) Fertility rate and Number of births 4 3.5 3.65 3.5 5000000 3.6 4500000 4000000 3 Number of births 3000000 2500000 2000000 1500000 1000000 1,071,300 1,190,550 500000 1,003,539 1,062,530 1,187,060 0 2014 2012 2010 2008 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 Fertility rate 1992 1221590 1431580 1980 1976 1974 1972 1901440 1970 1966 1962 1960 1958 1956 1954 1952 1950 1.42 1.26 1576890 1823700 1730690 0 1.91 1934240 1606040 1964 0.5 1968 2337510 1.94 1.96 2.13 1.5 2.23 1978 2 1 3500000 2.2 2.5 Completetd Fertility rate *Completed Fertility rate: Average number of births for a couple married for 15 to 20 years, which is considered as ultimate number of births for a married couple (4) Number of children for married couple (Duration of marriage: 15 to 20 years) 100% 90% 80% 4 or more 70% 3 60% 2 1 0 30.2% 23.8% 50% 40% 57.0% 55.4% 57.8% 56.4% 53.6% 53.2% 22.4% 19.4% 17.8% 56.2% 54.1% 11.7% 15.9% 18.6% 2005 2010 2015 56.0% 30% 20% 10% 11.0% 8.9% 0% 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 37 Source: Cabinet Office, National Institute of Population and Social Security Research V Addressing the issues (5) Average Life Expectancy 95 Male Female 90 86.39 87.65 88.68 89.55 90.29 90.93 83.55 84.19 2050 2060 84.6 85 81.9 78.76 80 79.64 74.66 75 80.93 81.95 82.82 77.72 75.92 70.19 73.35 Estimated 70 69.31 65 65.32 60 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 38 Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare; Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications V Addressing the issues (6) Medical Expenses (a) Hospitalization Rate by Age Group (%) (Days) (b) Average Days of Hospitalization by Age Group 90 12 80 10 70 60 8 50 6 40 30 4 20 2 10 0 0 (Age) (Age) Source: “Patient Survey (2011)”, Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare (c) Lifetime Medical Expenses (Estimates in Fiscal 2009) (ten thousand yen) 350 300 Under 70 50% Lifetime Medical Expenses Y23.00 million 250 256 204 200 150 100 286 70 or over 50% 266 200 165 104 57 50 41 34 36 46 54 59 67 82 103 131 107 40 9 0 (Age) 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95-99 10039 Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare V Addressing the issues (7) Long-Term Care Expenses (a) Period of Unhealthy Condition = Average Life Expectancy at Birth – Healthy Life Expectancy (Years) Male Female Average period of a Average period of a life WITH physical life WITHOUT limitations physical limitations Year 2010 70.4 Average life expectancy 9.2 Average period of a Average period of a life WITH physical life WITHOUT limitations physical limitations 79.6 73.6 Average life expectancy 12.8 86.4 Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare (b) Certification Rate of Needed Long-Term Care in 2011 By Age Group Population (ten thousand) Number of People Certified (%) Certification Rate 900 100 786 800 90 718 700 80 74.5 614 70 600 60 500 449 49.1 50 400 40 300 200 30 263 28.4 145 13.6 100 (Age) 65-69 20 108 10 43 23 0 84 6 2.9 128 129 0 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90- 40 Source: “Survey of Long-Term Care Benefit Expenditures”, Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare; Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications V Addressing the issues (8) Employment and Asset Holdings of the Elderly (a) Labour Force Participation Rate of the Elderly Proportion of elderly employees to population by age group 60-64(Male) (%) 65-69(Male) 60-64(Female) 65-69(Female) 100 90 80 70 64.7 65.4 65.9 67.1 45.0 45.7 72.5 71.4 70.6 70.8 71.3 46.9 47.8 46.9 46.8 46.3 46.9 48.8 50.5 42.5 44.2 44.2 44.5 46.0 47.6 41.0 42.9 25.5 26.3 26.9 27.1 27.8 29.3 30.5 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 72.2 60 50 44.4 43.8 40 30 20 37.5 38.4 39.0 39.0 74.3 70.8 23.3 23.8 23.7 24.6 25.6 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 10 0 Source: “Labour Force Survey”, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications • Note that about 40% of unemployed elderly men are willing to work. 41 V Addressing the issues (b) Assets of the Elderly Amounts of Savings and Yearly income per Household by Age Group of Household Head (million yen) 30 The Elderly Savings(million yen) 25 24.82 24.14 Yearly income(million yen) 20 17.82 15 10.45 10 4.89 5 6.89 6.17 7.41 30~39 40~49 8.13 5.7 4.54 2.51 0 (Age) ~29 50~59 60~69 70~ Source: “Family Income and Expenditure Survey (2013)”, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications 42 V Addressing the issues (9) Proposal of establishment of the Longevity Pension Relationship between the Longevity Pension and existing system Formation of assets for wealthier life or revenue between retirement and pensionable age Business Income, Employment Income etc Terminable annuity + Longevity Pension Other asset formation products + Ensuring lifelong fixed income in combination with public pension Promoting spread through political support such as subsidies Public Pension (retirement) Related topics for discussion Extension of mandatory retirement age (pensionable age) (death) -Raising of the medical and long-term care copayment -Raising the benefit age of public pension 43 VI The Life Insurance Association of Japan VI The Life Insurance Association of Japan <Overview of LIAJ> Name The Life Insurance Association of Japan (LIAJ) Foundation The LIAJ was incorporated on 7 December 1908 Member Company 41 Companies (as of October 2016) The LIAJ consists of all life insurance companies which are licensed under the Insurance Business Law. (Enrollment is not obligated by the law.) Board Member Representatives of life insurance companies and the association’s full-time executives Number of offices 53 offices The main office in Tokyo and 52 branch offices in all the prefectures. Purpose To promote the sound development of the life insurance industry in Japan, to maintain its liability, and thereby to contribute to improving quality of national life. Main Activities ・Representing the opinions of life insurance industry ・Conducting research and taking statistics ・Development of voluntary guidelines ・Education ・Public relations ・Social contribution ・Consultation and Alternative Dispute Resolution ・Operating Life Insurance Network Center 45 46 VI The Life Insurance Association of Japan <History> Year Item 1898 The Forum of Japanese Life Insurers was founded. 1905 The Forum of Japanese Life Insurers was reorganized into the Association of Japanese Life Insurers. 1908 The Association of Japanese Life Insurers was authorized as an incorporated association. 1942 The Life Insurance Control Association was founded. The Association of Japanese Life Insurers was renamed the Life Insurance Network, and most of its operations were transferred to the Life Insurance Control Association. 1945 The Life Insurance Council of Japan was founded to take over the operations of the Control Association after it was dissolved. The Life Insurance Network was renamed the Life Insurance Association of Japan (LIAJ). All the operations of the Life Insurance Network were transferred to the LIAJ. 2008 The LIAJ marked the 100th anniversary since its foundation. 2014 The LIAJ made a transition from an incorporated association to a general incorporated association. 47 VI The Life Insurance Association of Japan Organization Chart: General Meeting Auditors Board of Directors Committees Association Secretariat General Affairs Dept. Local Committees Public Relations Dept. Administration & Education Dept. Planning Dept. Research Dept. Joint System Office Life Insurance Consultation Office International Dept. Local Offices (53 Districts) Life Insurance Consultation Center Arbitration Advisory Committee Arbitration Council VI The Life Insurance Association of Japan <Organization of Association> There are seven committees under the Board of Directors because the wide range of technical issues including solicitation and conclusion of insurance contract, maintenance and insurance payment, asset management and accounting are required to be discussed. Each committee is looking into its technical issues. The committees consist of representative from all member companies since the committees deal with the issues related to the entire industry. Current Issue Committee Agency Management & Educational Committee Working Committee on Planning Working Committee on Agency Management Working Committee on Legal Affairs Working Committee on Education Working Committee on General Affairs Working Committee on PR Accounting Committee Working Committee on Accounting Actuarial Working Committee Operation Management Committee Financial Management Committee Working Committee on Financial Management Group Pension and Insurance Committee Working Committee on Group Pension Insurance Information Systems Committee Working Committee on Information Systems Working Committee on Group Insurance Working Committee on insurance for supporter of M&PHD Working Committee on Underwriting Working Committee on Contract Maintenance Working Committee on Insurance Payout Working Committee on Medical Affairs 48 VI The Life Insurance Association of Japan <Life Insurance Consultation Center> The LIAJ was designated by the FSA as a designated dispute resolution body based on the Insurance Business Act, and therefore handles complaints and resolves disputes related to life insurance business and foreign life insurance business. In order to conduct those activities, the Life Insurance Consultation Center was established within the LIAJ. The Center and its offices provide consultation and receive inquiries or complaints from policyholders or consumers. *Financial ADR system: Alternative conflict resolution procedures in financial sectors. The competent authority shall appoint the dispute resolution organization based on the law (came into force in October 2010) Appropriate Handling of Inquiries and Complaints In the Life Insurance Consultation Center, expert consultants deal with inquiries and complaints from a neutral position. When the Center receives a request to resolve a complaint, it strives to reach an early settlement such as by making requests for a settlement and by mediating settlements with the life insurers involved. <Number of inquiries and complaints> (FY) 25,000 20,000 6,898 8,908 15,000 10,148 7,616 7,076 10,000 5,000 14,256 11,110 9,989 10,100 2007 2008 6,623 8,156 7,844 2009 2010 6,458 5,697 9,593 5,463 5,186 4,724 7,437 6,083 6,067 6,064 2012 2013 2014 2015 0 2005 2006 General Inquiries 2011 Compaints 49 50 VI The Life Insurance Association of Japan <Operation of Arbitration Council> When a customer files a complaint with the Center, the Center arranges the negotiation between the life insurer involved and the customer to reach a settlement. In principle, if they cannot reach a settlement within one month, the Center convenes the Arbitration Council to resolve the dispute. The Arbitration Council consists of 15 members (6 lawyers, 6 consumer advisors and 3 staffs of the Life Insurance Consultation Center) and strives to achieve an appropriate resolution of the dispute. Filing of Complaint Receive complaint Dispute unresolved Arrange negotiation Settlement reached Settlement reached Fact-finding through documents, hearings, etc. Judging of appropriateness Deliberation Preparation/ presentation of settlement proposal Arbitration unsuccessful Arbitration Council Arbitration completed by ruling Refusal <Number of Filings for Procedures of the Arbitration Council> FY 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Number 122 172 260 208 202 194 312
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