ABSTRACT The purpose of this thesis is to observe urbanization and its effects on the environment and water. The examination consists of three parts. The first part embodies the introduction to the urbanization and its affects, the second part compares the urbanization by different factors in Latin America, SE Asia and West Africa, and the third part consists of three case studies of different cities: Bangkok, Mexico City and Lagos. By this structure different levels of urbanization can be observed and the complicated net of different factors becomes easier to understand. Urbanization is a big issue in the world scale today, and it is occurring everywhere in different cultures, economies, and sizes of the cities. Overpopulation in the cities has caused many problems considering enormous need of water, food and infrastructure, and tremendous pollution amounts to the air, soil and water. The problems are more evident in developing countries, which have made the situation even more difficult due to absence of finance and proper policies. As a conclusion of the thesis it can be said that the problems are similar in different cities as they are in different study regions. When the population is calculated in millions and the population density is over 3,000 persons per km2 the environment’s limit is often surpassed and the problems start to occur. Thus the countries' economical and political status have some influence to the final result. Especially in the city of Lagos the situation is bad due to political uncertainty, and economical problems. When compairing different regions it is evident that the future of SE Asia is more positive than West Africa's. Urbanization level is similar in both regions but other factors are remarkably better organized in SE Asia. Also when compairing SE Asia to Latin America the positive trend is clear; many factors are almost as good, even the urbanization is half of the Latin America’s. Keywords: Urbanization, Water supply, demand and quality, City, Population growth, Migration, Poverty, Overpopulation, Housing, Environment, Infrastructure TIIVISTELMÄ Tämän diplomityön tarkoituksena on tutkia kaupungistumista ja sen vaikutuksia ympäristöön ja vesistöihin. Työ koostuu kolmesta osasta: Ensimmäisen osa johdattaa lukijan kaupungistumiseen ja sen vaikutuksiin, toinen osa tutkii kaupungistumista vertailemalla erilaisia alueita: Latinalaista Amerikkaa, Kaakkois-Aasiaa ja Länsi-Afrikkaa ja kolmas osa sisältää kolme kaupunkitutkimusta: Bangkokista, Mexico Citystä ja Lagosista. Tämä rakenne auttaa tutkimaan kaupungistumista eri tasoilta ja helpottaa sen monimutkaisen rakenteen ymmärtämistä. Kaupungistuminen on nykyään suuri ja maailmanlaajuinen ongelma, kulttuuriin, kieleen, alueeseen tai sen taloudelliseen tilaan katsomatta. Ylikansoitus on aiheuttanut ongelmia monissa kaupungeissa. Suuret väestömäärät ovat luoneet valtavan tarpeen, ravinnolle, vedelle ja infrastruktuurille sekä tämän myötä luoneet paineita vesivaroille sekä ympäristölle. Kehitysmaiden huono taloudellinen sekä poliittinen tilanne tekee ongelmat vielä vaikeammiksi. Tutkimuksesta voidaan todeta, että ongelmat suurissa kaupungeissa ovat samanlaisia maantieteellisistä alueista riippumatta. Ympäristön sietokyky on ylitetty ja ongelmat alkaneet, kun väestö lasketaan miljoonissa ja väestöntiheys on suuri. Tosin kaupunkien taloudellinen tilanne ja järjestäytyminen vaikuttavat osaltaan ongelmien vaikeusasteeseen. Vertailtaessa eri alueita voidaan huomata, että Kaakkois-Aasian tulevaisuus vaikuttaa positiivisemmalta kuin Länsi Afrikan. Kaupungistumisaste näillä alueilla on samanlainen, mutta monet muut tekijät kuten koulutus ovat merkittävästi paremmin Kaakkois-Aasiassa. Myös vertailtaessa Kaakkois-Aasiaa Latinalaiseen Amerikkaan positiivinen trendi on selvästi näkyvissä; monet tekijät ovat lähes yhtä hyviä, vaikka kaupungistumisaste on lähes puolet alhaisempi. Hakusanat: : Kaupungistuminen, Vesivarat, niiden tarve ja laatu, Kaupunki, Väestön kasvu, Siirtolaisuus, Köyhyys, Ylikansoitus, Asuminen, Ympäristö, Infrastruktuuri ABBREVIATIONS ASEAN Association of South-East Asian Nations BMA Bangkok Metropolitan Administration BMR Bangkok Metropolitan Region, the entire territory, encompassing Bangkok and five near provinces: Samut Prakarn, Nonthaburi, Pathumthani, Samut Sakhon, Makhon Pathon, called also as “Mega-urban Region” BOD Biochemical Oxygen Demand DO Dissolved Oxygen EIA Environment Impact Assessment EU European Union GDP Gross domestic Product, the total value of goods and services produced in the country GNP Gross National Product, the sum of value added by all resident producers plus any product taxes not included in the valuation of output plus net receipts of primary income from abroad. Klong natural drainage channels, which are dug in the early times to open new paddy fields and attract settlements MCMA Mexico City Metropolitan Area MWA Metropolitan Water Works Authority, Bangkok NGO Non-Governmental Organization OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development SE Asia South–East Asia USA United States of America WHO World Health Organization LIST OF FIGURES, MAPS, PICTURES AND APPENDICES Figure 1. 1. Figure 1. 2. Figure 2. 1. Figure 4. 1. Figure 4. 2. Figure 4. 3. Figure 4. 4. Figure 4. 5. Figure 4. 6. Figure 4. 7. Figure 4. 8. Figure 4. 9. Figure 4. 10. Figure 4. 11. Figure 4. 12. Figure 4. 13. Figure 4. 14. Figure 4. 15. Figure 4. 16. Figure 4. 17. Figure 4. 18. Figure 4. 19. Figure 4. 20. Figure 4. 21. Figure 4. 22. Figure 4. 23. Figure 4. 24. Figure 4. 25. Figure 4. 26. Figure 4. 27. Figure 4. 28. Figure 4. 29. Figure 4. 30. Figure 4. 31. Figure 4. 32. Figure 5. 1. Figure 6. 1. Figure 7. 1. Figure 7. 2. Estimated population in less developed regions. 13 Estimated population in developed regions. 13 City consumes. 22 Grouping of countries to the study 46 The indexes and their explanations. 47 Urban and rural population in Latin America. 48 Urban and rural population in South-East Asia. 50 Urban and rural population in West Africa. 52 Urbanization trend in study regions. 53 Freshwater resources in study regions. 54 Annual freshwater withdrawals in study regions. 54 Fertility rate is lowest in South-East Asia. 55 Life expectancy is low in West Africa. 56 The amount of young population is highest in West Africa. 56 The amount of middle age population is lowest in West Africa. 57 The amount of elderly people is highest in Latin America. 57 In Latin America people tend to live in large cities. 58 Urbanization rate is similar nowadays in West Africa and SE Asia. 58 Aids have an effect on the people’s life expectancy. 59 Wastewater treatment is most common in Latin America. 59 Freshwater withdrawals for different sectors in study regions. 60 Water pollution from different sectors. 61 Purchasing power parity is highest in Latin America. 61 The average household income is higher in SE Asia than West Africa. 62 Commercial energy use is highest in a few SE Asian countries. 62 School enrolment is similar in SE Asia as in Latin America. 63 Travel time to work is shortest in Latin America. 64 Prenatal care is poorest in West Africa. 64 Electricity is best served in SE Asia. 65 Telephone services are very poorly offered in West Africa. 66 Agriculture is the main employer in West Africa. 66 Industry sector is biggest in Latin America. 67 Service is the main employer in Latin America. 67 Unemployment is higher in Latin America than SE Asia. 68 Summary of the indexes. 70 Population in Bangkok. 72 Population in Mexico City. 82 Population in Lagos. 90 Table of different factors in the cities. 98 Map 1. 1. Map 1. 2. Map 1. 3. Map 1. 4. Map 1. 5. Location of Latin America. Latin America. Location of South-East Asia South- East Asia. Location of West Africa. 15 16 16 17 17 Map 1. 6. Map 4. 1. Map 4. 2. Map 4. 3. West Africa. Urban population in Latin America. Urban population in South- East Asia. Urban population in West Africa. 18 49 51 52 Picture 2. 1. Picture 3. 1. Picture 3. 2. Picture 3. 3. Picture 3. 4. Picture 5. 1. Picture 5. 2. Picture 6. 1. Picture 7. 1. Picture 7. 2. Picture 7. 3. Mexico City, the rapidly growing mega-city. Small micro-cars in Jakarta. Slum settlements near railway in the city of Bangkok. Slum settlements and proper houses side by side in Bangkok. Informal restaurant near Phaya Thai skytrain station in Bangkok. View of Bangkok. The Bangkok traffic in daytime, when the congestion is lowest. View of Mexico City. View of Lagos from Surulele. Tinubu square in Lagos. Traffic in Lagos. 20 31 43 44 45 71 79 81 89 93 96 Table 3. 1. Few examples about the need of water in production. 35 APPENDIX 1 APPENDIX 2 APPENDIX 3 APPENDIX 4 APPENDIX 5 APPENDIX 6 APPENDIX 7 APPENDIX 8 APPENDIX 9 APPENDIX 10 APPENDIX 11 APPENDIX 12 APPENDIX 13 APPENDIX 14 APPENDIX 15 APPENDIX 16 APPENDIX 17 APPENDIX 18 APPENDIX 19 APPENDIX 20 APPENDIX 21 APPENDIX 22 GROUPING OF THE COUNTRIES CHOSEN INDECES FERTILITY RATE LIFE EXPECTANCY YOUNG POPULATION MIDDLE AGE POPULATION ELDERLY PEOPLE WATER POLLUTION FROM DIFFERENT SECTORS PPP COMMERCIAL ENERGY USE SCHOOL ENROLMENT FEMALE EMPLOYEES IN AGRICULTURE MALE EMPLOYEES IN AGRICULTURE EMPLOYEES IN AGRICULTURE FEMALE EMPLOYEES IN INDUSTRY MALE EMPLOYEES IN INDUSTRY EMPLOYEES IN INDUSTRY FEMALE EMPLOYEES IN SERVICE MALE EMPLOYEES IN SERVICE EMPLOYEES IN SERVICE UNEMPLOYMENT BY AGE AND GENDER UNEMPLOYMENT AND URBANIZATION 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 FOREWORD This thesis is a part of the Academy of Finland research called Global Changes and Water Resources. The research along this topic started in 1997 by Dr. Olli Varis in the Water Resources Laboratory at the Helsinki University of Technology (HUT). The purpose of the research is to study population growth, urbanization, food production, poverty and their interconnections including the whole network between all these factors. The research is funded by the Academy of Finland, Finnish Ministry for Agriculture and Forestry, Maa-ja Vesitekniikan Tuki r.y and HUT. The main part of this thesis was done here in Helsinki University of Technology between 1.8.200122.1.2002. Before this one month field study tour to Mexico was made to get information of the region and urbanization by interviewing Patricia Avila in Morelia and travelling through the country. During the autumn two weeks were spent in Bangkok and at Asian Institute of Technology. This stay included interviews of Dr. Edsel Sajor in the School of Environment, Resources and Development and Sari Laaksonen in the UNEP of Bangkok and data collection in the different local libraries. This thesis was funded by Maa- ja Vesitekniikan tuki ry and Heikki ja Hilma Honkasen Säätiö. I would like to thank my supervisor Professor Pertti Vakkilainen and my instructor Dr. Olli Varis for giving me valuable advice and support always when needed. Other important persons considering my thesis are Dr. Edsel Sajor, Dr.Patricia Avila, Eva-Marita Rinne and Sari Laaksonen whom I like to give my special thanks for giving me an opportunity to share their knowledge and the best available information about urbanization and the selected regions. 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1. Background 1.1.1. Need of water Water is an essential biological need for humans. Without an adequate input of potable water, the human body cannot survive or grow. Water is needed for persona hygiene, sanitation, cooking, cleaning, and laundry. It is essential for agriculture, fisheries, industrial production, river navigation, maintenance of ecological assets and biodiversity, promotion of tourism, and many other social demands. If all the earth’s waters were fresh waters, there would be no problem to secure water for human and nature needs for long time. This is not the case in the real world, where 97 per cent of the water is in the oceans. Of the remaining 3 per cent, about 77 per cent is stored in ice caps and glaciers, 22.4 per cent is in groundwater and soil moisture, 0.35 per cent is in lakes and marshes, 0.04 per cent in the atmosphere, and barely 0.01 per cent in the streams. Even rivers provides 80 per cent of peoples freshwater needs, they carry only 0.000003 per cent of all the water on earth (Elhance 1999). The amount of water on the earth has remained the same over last millennium, despite all the transformations and recycling it has gone through. The total amount of water is estimated to be about 1.4 billion cubic kilometers. Even though water is renewable resource it is still finite. Today the pressure on environment has got too high and the quality of the water has decreased. The degraded quality of freshwater is a huge problem in many part of the world, especially in developing countries (Elhance 1999). In the Third World, as many as, 1.2 billion people are suffering physically from shortages of potable water and 1.8 billion people lack adequate water for sanitation. About 80 per cent of all illnesses and 30 per cent of all unnatural deaths in the developing countries are due to waterborne diseases and consumption of highly polluted water. The average annual freshwater requirement of human being is a mere 1,000 cubic meters. This amount is so called water barrier (Elhance 1999). 1.1.2. Growing urbanization The urban population of developing countries has grown from 300 million in 1950 to more than 1.7 billion today, and it is projected to more than double in the next twenty-five years, reaching nearly four billion. The key issue when considering present urbanization is the extraordinary speed of urban growth. Urban population is increasing three times faster than rural population, because of rural-urban migration as well as rapidly rising birth rate of urban populations in many parts of the world (Girardet 1996, Massay et al.1999). Estimated Population in Less Developed Regions Estimated population (millions) 2500 Low 2000 1500 Medium 1000 500 High 0 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 Time (years) Figure 1.1. Estimated population in less developed regions. The population growth is mainly occurring in the developing countries. In these regions the population growth is high and rapid. Most of the population growth is happening in the urban area, which increases urbanization, although rural-urban migration is also high in these regions. The growth trend in the future varies between different fertility and mortality rates. Also HIV has a really big impact on the population growth in the future, especially in the developing countries. Estimated Population in Developed Regions Estmated population (millions) 1400 1200 Low 1000 800 Medium 600 400 High 200 0 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 Time(years) Figure 1.2. Estimated population in developed regions. In the developed regions the main population growth has already occurred and the future population trend is declining. Nevertheless some population growth can also be seen in these regions due to the migration and fertility rate, even though the fertility rate in the urban areas is much lower than in the rural areas. HIV have also an effect on the population growth even the influence is not so remarkably than in the developing countries. Due to this rapid population growth and urbanization, the demand for food, freshwater, infrastructure and facilities have grown over the environment’s limit. Especially the rapid speed of urbanization has surprised the infrastructures in many cities, which has led to environmental and water problems. The consumption and the way of living in the cities are different than in the rural area, which deepens the gap between food and water demand and supplies. 1.2. Purpose of the study The aim of this study is to find the key-relations between urbanization and water. The growing population and urbanization have a continuing influence on the quantity and quality of the world water supplies. These interconnections are really complicated and this is why many different aspects and sectors have been included to this study. The interconnection between urbanization and water is not straight it is more like net, where the subjects are part of the entire system. The equal of the ecosystem and the human life is so complicated that it cannot be described without taking also social, cultural and health aspects into account. The purpose of this study is not to find solution to these interconnections and problems but give an introduction to this diverse problem. Urbanization is a reason of many factors, population growth, poverty, level of living, environment and human preferences. The relationship between these matters is important when considering urbanization and its problems. 1.3. Description of study areas The regions, taken to this study, are Latin America, South-East Asia and West Africa. These regions are interesting because they all have environmental and water problems, a low level of income, and growing population and urbanization. The urbanization is already very high in Latin America. The main idea is to compare this region to South-East Asia and West Africa, which both have relatively similar urbanization levels at the moment. The urbanization is increasing in these regions to the same direction than in Latin America. Still there are differences in other matters like education, environment, health, etc. With these differences some future prospects can be made; do the region follow the path of Latin America or does it create its own, more positive route. 1.3.1. Differences between developed and developing countries Developed countries are stable, education and economic growth are relatively high, birth rate is low, and food production exceeds the consumption. In these countries GNP per person is much higher than in developing countries. For example GNP per person tends to be around 15,000 to 30,000 US$ in developed countries, whereas in the developing countries GNP per person is only 2,000 US$ or below. Due to these matters, the possibilities for development in the Third World are much lower than in already developed regions. The developing countries are clustered in Central and South America, Africa, and most of the Asia. Many of these countries have been former European colonies. They often have debts to international banks and taking care of these commitments reduces their possibilities for development. Income for the countries is often earned by the export of cash crops and other raw materials. Nowadays income from tourism and international corporations is becoming also important (ENCARTA 2001). 1.3.2. Latin America Latin America is situated between North America and The Caphorn between Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. The Latin America consist of Middle America; Mexico, Central America; Guatemala, El Salvador, Belize, Nigaragua, Honduras, Costa Rica and Panama and South America; Colombia, Venezuela, Ecuador, Peru, Chile, Bolivia, Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay and Brazil. Islands of the Caribbean Sea, Guyanan, Surinam and Guyane are not included to this study because they belong to The Caribbean. Latin America covers an area of 19,500,000 km2 and it is home for 471 million people (Collier et al.1985). Location of Latin America Map 1.1. Location of Latin America. Latin America is a mosaic of different countries, economies, languages as well as cultures. There is a great diversity of climate varying from tropical to cool temperature. Also the physical environment in the area varies a lot, mountains, volcanic areas, plains together with tropic forests are common. The main language in the region is Spanish because of the colonial history. Also English, French and Portuguese are spoken (Collier et al.1985). $ $ Mexico $ $ $ $$ $ $$ $ Honduras Guatemala $ $ $ $$ $$Nigaragua El Salvador $ $ $ Costa Rica$ Panama $ Venezuela $$ Colombia $ $$ $$ $ $ $ $ $$ $ $ $ Belize $ $ Ecuador Brazil Peru $ $ Bolivia $ Latin America Paraguay $ Chile $ Uruguay $$ Argentina Map 1. 2. Latin America. 1.3.3. South East Asia South-East Asia is situated in the southeastern part of Asia between China and Australia. It consist of the countries in the peninsula; Myanmar, Lao PDR, Cambodia, Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore and thousands of islands in South China sea; Philippines, Brunei and Indonesia. Brunei is not taken into this study because it is not a typical South- East Asian country. Not all but many graphics Singapore has taken to the study to show its peculiarity compared to other regions. SouthEast Asia covers an area of about 4,300,000 km2 and the total population in the area is 508 million (Library of Nations 1987, WB 1999). Location of South-East Asia Map 1. 3. Location of South-East Asia. Temperatures are high and rather constant all over the area, seasonal changes are small. The vegetation is mainly rain forest and mangrove forest. There is a remarkable diversity between and inside the countries in the South- East Asia in terms of cultural issues. People in the countries consist of several ethnic groups, speak several languages and follow several religions. Though sharing the same Southeast Asian cultural origin, all the countries have their own characteristics and languages. French and English are also spoken in some areas (Library of Nations 1987). $ $ $ $ Myanmar Lao$PDR North Pacific Ocean $ $ ThailandViet Nam $ $ Cambodia Philippines $ $ $ Malaysia $ $ Sumatra Borneo Indonesia $ South-East Asia $ Sulawesi Irian Jaya Java $ Map 1. 4. South-East Asia. 1.3.4. West Africa West Africa consist of 16 countries; Mauritania, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Benin, Togo, Ghana, Burkina Faso, Cote d’Ivoire, Liberia, Sierra Leone, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Chad, the Gambia, and Senegal. West Africa covers an area of 7,300,000 km2 and the total population in the region is 238 million (Else 1999, WB 1999). Location of West Africa Map 1. 5. Location of West Africa. Region can be divided to three geographical areas, northern desert, southern forest and semi-forest between these regions. Because of this difference the vegetation and climate changes together with the regions. Furthermore the coast of Atlantic Ocean is very tropical compared to inner land savanna and semi-desert areas. The number of ethnic groups in West Africa is enormous. Because of the colonial background, English, French, Portuguese and Arabic are spoken in the area. Also different tribes have their own languages so the diversity is wide (Else 1999). Mali Mauritania Niger Senegal Chad Gambia Burkina Guinea Guinea Faso BeninNigeria Bissau Cote Togo Sierra Liberiad'Ivoire Ghana Leone Map 1. 6. West Africa. 1.4. Methodology of the study The main part of the thesis has been done by surveying literature and international databases. Case studies were done by interviews of people who are conversant with these matters. Also material and personal experience from trips to locations are included to the study. Two trips were made to collect data and material to this thesis: two weeks in Thailand and one month in Mexico. Pictures from the trips are enclosed to the study to make it more representative and illustrative. The thesis is composed of three parts. First part gives basic information on urbanization, its effects on nature and water, and some information of the chosen study regions. Second part compares chosen study regions by different matters. The idea of this part is to foresee the future of the regions by these factors. With these facts some basic estimations of the regions future and urbanization trend can be made. Third part consists of three case studies of the cities, which are chosen from the study regions. These cases give a closer view to the same subject. With this structure different viewpoints and levels of urbanization can be noticed. The data for the different comparisons of regions are mostly collected from various databases. Countries are grouped to ease the comparison. Grouping is regularly based on the economic situation of the countries. 2. URBANIZATION 2.1 Defining urbanization Urbanization is the process by which large numbers of people become permanently concentrated in relatively small areas, forming cities. Internal rural to urban migration means that people move from rural areas to urban areas. In this process the number of people living in cities increases compared with the number of people living in rural areas. Natural increase of urbanization can occur if the natural population growth in the cities is higher than in the rural areas. This scenario, however, rarely occurs. A country is considered to urbanized when over 50 per cent of its population live in the urban areas (Long 1998). An urban area is spatial concentration of people who are working in non-agricultural activities. The essential characteristic here is that urban means non-agricultural. Urban can also be defined as a fairly complex concept. Criteria used to define urban can include population size, space, density, and economic organization. Usually, however, urban is simply defined by some base line size, like 20 000 people. Anyway this definition varies between regions and cities (Long 1998). 2.2 The history and emergence of cities 2.2.1 Urbanization has changed Great Britain and some European countries were the first countries, which become urbanized. They urbanized relatively slowly, which allowed governments time to plan and provide facilities for the needs of increasing urban populations. So, a city itself is not a new phenomenon. Only the present explosive and rapid growth is a new unique feature. In the year 1800, over 97 percent of the world's population were rural. Hundred years after this, still only 5.5 percent of the world population lived in cities, but already 2000 slightly over half of the world's population lived in cities (Long 1998). In the 19th and early 20th centuries, urban growth was occurring mainly in the developed nations. The reason for this was the spread of industrialization and the associated rapid increase in the use of fossil fuels. These days the urbanization is much faster than those days and it is most rapid in the Third World countries. Today the largest and fastest growing cities are in developing countries, because of the new urban-industrial development (Envio Facts 2001, Girardet 1996). 2.2.2 City as a Capital In many countries the Capital is the country's most important city. It is typically a center of population, commerce, government and culture. Capitals are often cultural places with the national treasures like, museum, symphony, opera, and ballet. Many capitals contain masterpieces of architecture, parks and monuments. The headquarters of the nation's most powerful businesses are commonly based in the capital (ENCARTA 2001). Most of the capitals have grown to the important trade routes, along the shores of rivers or harbors, or in regions of special agricultural or industrial significance. Anyway some capitals are designed and constructed by bureaucrats, planners and architects. This sort of development permits the planners to determine not only the location of the city but also such fundamental aspects as traffic patterns, the distribution of functional districts, the character of municipal and residential architecture, and the disposition of public space. Although this is more normal in developed countries but have sometimes occurred in developing countries too. Thus, nowadays the population growth in most of the cities of developing countries is so fast that the organization and planning is almost impossible (ENCARTA 2001). Because capitals are often the primate cities of their countries, they draw in residents from rural areas or smaller towns at a significant rate. People move to the capitals in search of economic advantages, educational opportunities, cultural richness, and diversity of experiences that large cities provide. As a consequence of this population shift, many capitals have grown rapidly and spread into the surrounding countryside. The three study regions contain also many mega-cities; Bangkok, Jakarta, Lagos, Mexico City, Buenos Aires, Rio de Janeiro (ENCARTA 2001). Picture 2. 1. Mexico City, the rapidly growing mega-city. “ The city is a place where a lot of problems are concentrated; but the city also has the resources to overcome these problems and be the place of development.” Prof. Valentino Castellini, Italy, 1998 2.2.3 Positive about cities There are also many positive factors in the cities. It would be short-sighted to see only the negative points in this situation. Large cities are usually dynamic, growing centers for modern production and industry, financial services, internal commerce and foreign trade, education and government. That is why cities are more efficient than smaller places in production, economic growth and contributing to higher incomes. Many people’s economy and life expectancy in the city have increased, economy has came more stable and stronger and families have got smaller (Brookfield and Byron 1993, Bilsborrow 1998). The differences between living conditions in cities and rural areas are big-terms of education and health, safe drinking water, sanitation, electricity, food, recreational and entertainment, jobs, information and knowledge. These differences can most clearly be seen among the middle and lowincome people. Worldwide the scale and depth of poverty in rural areas are higher. In general, higher the level of urbanization, lower the level of absolutely poverty (HABITAT 1996, Bilsborrow 1998). 2.2.4 The size of the city There is not actually any optimum size of the city, but environment is putting some borders to it. Current “mega-city-size” is not sustainable. Urban populations are too concentrated in few large cities. For example in Cote d’Ivoire, Cameroon, Argentina, Peru, Uruguay, Venezuela cities are very intent, whereas in Niger, Nigeria, Colombia and Brazil are decentralized. Even though, large cities are becoming our primary habitat (Massay et al. 1999). The cities are growing in the size and complexity. In 1960 only 100 cities had more than one million habitants. Now there are almost 400 of those cities and over next decades there may be as many as 650. Even the growth occurs in all kinds of cities mainly the focus tends to be in megacities. Still the problem is global and concerns every scale of cities. For example, secondary cities such as Surabaya in Indonesia and Guadalajara in Mexico, have become metropolises of two or three million in the last decade and continue to grow rapidly in the future (Massay et al.1999, Girardet 1996). There are no direct and simple relations between size and power when considering cities. For example, Sao Paulo is not more powerful than New York even it is bigger. Some cities can be very large and yet not so powerful on the world stage normally this is the way in developing countries (Massay et al.1999, Gugler 1997). “The world’s cities must become sustainable, productive, safe, healthy, humane, and affordable.” Boutros-Boutros Ghali, former Secretary-General of the United Nations, 1996 2.2.5 City as a parasite The are different opinions about the cities and their image. Some think that they are the centers of culture whereas others else feel that they are the cancers of earth. The latter people have described city as a parasite. Because it is dependent on another host, hinterlands, from which is it nourished. This is true the land of which cities are built cannot support the high density of population in the area. Cities are always dependent on essential supplies of food, timber, firewood and water from their hinterlands (UNEP 1999, Girardet 1996). Cities are built on two percent of the land's surface. Their population uses over three-quarters of the world's resources and discharge similar amounts of wastes. Urban wastes have local impacts but are also a problem of global dimension. The impacts of the cities are usually felt both locally and globally. For example, air pollution; city populations, as the major users of energy, cause both regional and worldwide pollution, with dramatic impacts on health of the people, air quality and biosphere (UNEP 1999, Girardet 1996). Input City Output Food & water Sewage Fuels & energy gases Exhaust Processed goods Timber, pulp & paper Household & factory wastes Building materials Wanton disposal Figure 2. 1. City consumes. 2.3 The measurements of urbanization 2.3.1 Population growth Population growth is one of the main reasons to the urbanization. In rural areas natural increase is not high because fertility rate is often lower compared with rural regions. Fertility rates are largely dependent on economic considerations. As economic wellbeing increases, the fertility level decreases. Security about the future and alternatives to family life in the cities are the main reasons for this decrease (Long 1998). Education level has similar effect as economic wellbeing to the fertility rates. For example in Taiwan and South Korea, rising education level has resulted in smaller families, and population growth has fallen by half. However, women’s knowledge of how to manage their own fertility has the biggest effects on birth rates. Nowadays only 25 per cent of the women do have access to family planning materials and the power to control the amount of their children. Another key factor that influences birth rates is a woman's confidence that the children she bears will survive and be healthy. If the health care is proper and infant mortality rate low, like in developed countries, the fertility rate is often also low (ENCARTA 2001). 2.3.2 Rural-urban migration Migration is a form of geographical or spatial motion between one geographical unit and another. Internal migration consists of rural-rural, rural-urban, urban-urban and urban-rural migration. Migration is continuos and repeated process rather than a single event. Because of these facts, it is difficult to measure and study. The time of migration also varies; it can be periodic, seasonal, or long-term migration (Bilsborrow 1998b). Migration is the main reason for rapid growth of mega-cities. Migration has been going on over centuries and it is normal phenomenon. When considering urbanization rural-urban and urban-rural and rural-rural migrations are very important. Urban-urban migration means that people move from one city to another. This is quite common, for example, in Nigeria (Bilsborrow 1998b, Sajor 2001). Many migrants are environmental refugees from badly depleted rural areas. In developing countries industrial growth in urban areas offers employment and trading opportunities for rural people which are faced with declining living standards. Nowadays the urbanization is increasingly occurring also without any significant opportunities for new migrants and it is fastest in Africa (Bilsborrow 1998b). Sometimes people do not have to move to the city even if they are working in it. Transportation is the biggest question of this movement. With accessible transportation many are able to live as far as 40-50 kilometers away from the city. People can move regularly between urban and rural areas, in accordance with the demand of the job and of family responsibilities, without a need to make a permanent change of residence. Advances in transportation, by easing rural access to external markets, can relax the housing problem in the cities (Brookfield and Byron 1993). 2.3.2.1 Push and pull factors People may move to the city because they are pushed by poverty from rural communities or they may be pulled by the attractions of city lives. Combination of these push and pull factors can also be on reason for moving to cities. In many parts of the world rural population growth and shortage of arable land are the major problems. Even though the land holdings have been quite big they are to be divided with several children and eventually, their children. These circumstances make migration the only opportunity to farming people. Things are made worse by environmental deterioration (Gugler 1997, Girardet 1996). 2.3.2.1.1 Push factors The normal push factors to rural people are the circumstances that make their earning of living impossible, land deterioration, lack of adequate land, unequal land distribution, droughts, storms, floods, and clean water shortages. These serious disadvantages make farming, the livelihood of rural people, hard and sometimes hopeless. Lack of modern resources, firewood shortages, religious conflicts, local economic declines, are also major reasons for moving to the urban areas (Gugler 1997, Girardet 1996). 2.3.2.1.2 Pull factors High industrial wages in urban areas are one of the biggest attractions for rural people. People will continue to migrate to cities as long as they expect urban wages to exceed their current rural wages. Employment opportunities, higher incomes, joining other rural refugees, freedom from oppressive lifestyle, access to better health care and education, are the “bright lights” for rural people. One of the main reasons for people to move to the urban areas is that the situation in the rural areas is very difficult. With the income level they have it is not possible to survive. In this case even the low salaries in the rural areas are more attractive than non-existing salaries in the rural areas (Gugler 1997, Girardet 1996, Sajor 2001). 2.3.2.2 Migration and gender Increased industrialization, education and urbanization may provide more opportunities for women to advance economically and socially. More women will be able to join wage-earning labor force. Education and industrial activities are viewed as the only two ways for women to advance in economically underdeveloped countries. These activities are normally associated with lower fertility rates (Gugler 1997, Girardet 1996). Men are more active in migration. Many men migrate alone, without family, to the cities to work in factories, companies or the informal sector. Normally this kind of migration is seasonal or periodical. Due to this women become head of the families, which puts a lot of pressure on them. Their responsibility is to take care of the house, children and money. Even the men will send some money to their families women have to earn some "household money" too. It is common to women to have their own shops or businesses on top of their household duties. This is very normal especially in Lagos ( Rinne 2001 ). 2.3.2.3 Modernization theory The modernization theory means that industrial employment attracts people from rural to urban areas. In the urban areas people work in modern sector in the occupations that facilitate national economic expansion. This means that the old agricultural economic is changing to a new nonagricultural economy. This is the trend, which will create a new modern society (Gugler 1997). This theory states that inequality in welfare between country and city increases rural to urban migration and thereby expands urbanization. The city’s “ bright lights” are the main pull factors to the people. The divergence ultimately reduces economic growth and efficiency in the developing world (Gugler 1997). 2.3.3 Defining city The definition of what constitutes a city, changes from time to time and place to place. The United Nations has recommended that places with more than 20,000 inhabitants living close together are urban. Still the nations compile their statistics on the basis of many different standards. The United States, for instance uses “urban place” to mean any locality where more than 2,500 people live (Envio Facts 2001). In many cities the city borders are invisible and it is hard to say where the city ends and where it starts. This confuses the calculation of urban habitants. Because of this many studies give different data and comparison of the cities becomes unreliable. City description differs between cities and countries, which makes it hard to know the real size of the cities. Also the cities are growing all the time, which makes the data quite quickly old. Sometimes even nearby towns are connected to the city due to the population growth, like for example, in Mexico City. 2.4 Factors that encourage urbanization 2.4.1 Population growth There are three components of urban population growth: natural growth of urban population, ruralurban migration and the reclassification of areas previously defined as rural. Natural increase provides a base for urban population growth rates, and rural-urban migration and reclassification supplement this growth. Anyhow the natural increase of the population in the city often declines sharply together with the urbanization process, that has happened for example, in Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia. (Stutz and Souza 1998) 2.4.2 Population growth in the future World population reached 6.1 billion in mid-2000 and is currently growing by 77 million people per year. By 2025, world population is expected to be between 7.9 billion and 10.9 billion, with the medium variant 9.3 billion. The different prospects changes with the calculation way and HIV. Even the fertility is high in many countries the impact of HIV/AIDS epidemic is huge. Morbidity, mortality and population losses are increasing ( PDDESA 2001). The population in today's developed countries is not expected to grow in next 50 years because fertility levels are remaining below replacement level. On the contrary, the population in developing countries is projected to rise from 4.9 million in 2000 to 8.2 billion in 2050. The rapid growth is expected among the group of 48 least developed countries. Their population is expected nearly to triple in the next 50 years. International immigration is projected to remain high in 21st century. The more developed areas are expected to continue being net receivers of international migrants. This has an high impact to the population growth in developed areas and cities ( PDDESA 2001). 2.4.3 Poverty Poverty is hard to define. Poverty means that human needs are not met. Poverty is every day life in every country, even in developed areas. In every country can be identified individuals who have so small income that they cannot afford even the very basic goods. These physical needs are adequate diet, housing, work, water supply, sanitation and health care. For humans a few mental demands are also important, like basic civil and political rights and feeling of safety (HABITAT, 1996). Poverty can be measured by income level. This is not always the best way to define poor people because some level of personal income cannot substitute problems with health, crime, physical violence or life expectancy. Still using this kind of income level is normal in every country. People whose income is under this minimum level are considered poor. At least 20 per cent of the world’s population live in absolutely poverty. More than 90 percent of these live in the developing countries. These numbers are only rough averages because it is in reality difficult to estimate the amount of people who suffer from absolute poverty (HABITAT, 1996). 2.4.3.1 Rural poverty At the moment in many countries the trend is that the poverty of rural population is growing. In rural areas poverty is associated with different circumstances like drought, seasonal changes in food prices and lack of adequate land. Poverty also fluctuates more in rural areas and causes seasonal migration to the urban areas. When the situation is bad in the rural area migration is evident. By improving rural economy, migration flows can be better controlled. The economic situation of the family depends on their family cycle as well. Many families with small children or elderly people to take care of are poorer than others. Accidents might also change the whole economic of the family because social security is not often provided in rural areas. In the developing countries accidents occur more often due to bad roads, vehicles, misused laws and orders (HABITAT, 1996). 2.4.3.2 Urban poverty It is not equitable to compare poverty by poverty lines, such as the used income of US$ a day, between urban and rural areas, because costs in the urban areas are usually higher than in rural. The costs of fuel, food and shelter are much higher in big cities and central regions. Also people in rural areas have wider surviving ways; they can grow their food on the wastelands and collect their firewood from the forests, which is impossible in the crowded urban areas. Environment is also much more polluted in the urban areas which decreases the health of the urban poor. Due to these poor people in urban areas are even poorer than they seem to be and the total income level is much lower than in the rural areas. Studies show that more than half of the urban population is below the poverty line in several Asian and Latin American countries (HABITAT, 1996). The urban environment has some positive sides too; in urban areas it is easier to find a job, health care, education and other facilities which might help poor people to stand up from the poverty hole. This is not simple but might be possible. In the cities production and sales jobs are quite easy to get with adequate language abilities and other skills. Anyhow, informal sector is very important source of income for many poor people (HABITAT, 1996). 2.4.4 Standard of living The differences in standard of living are major issues when considering factors that encourage urbanization. Higher living standards and higher salaries in the city attract people to move to the cities. As long as the income gap between rural and urban areas is big, people tend to move to the cities. Economic factors and employment are the main reasons for migration. Sometimes the employment in rural areas is non-existing. In these cases moving to the city, even for very low salaries, is more profitable than staying in the countryside (Sajor 2001, Brookfield and Byron 1993). Political and social factors are also better in the urban areas and they are one reason for migration. In the city health care and social relations are much easier to organize which makes the inhabitants feeling more secure. In the city people may more easily have they voices heard by joining different political groups and by this poor people can require better living standards and services. 2.4.5 Environmental pressure The biggest environmental pressure for rural people is the lack of profitable land. The land inherited from the parents is divided to the children and their children. At last the land per farmer becomes so small that it is unprofitable to farm. On the other hand erosion and land deterioration makes farming even more difficult. Even when poor farmers have enough land space they can’t always afford and compete for non-sufficient water resources or fertilizers. Water is sometimes very polluted and regulations forbid the use of that kind of water because of food contamination. This gives no opportunity to the poor farmers. They can either continue farming with contaminated water and get caught with the contamination of crops or try to find some other livelihood. This is the problem in lower basins of many rivers in developing countries (Sajor 2001). Water shortage increases social inequity. Poor farmers cannot sink boreholes to the necessary depths to extract water. Wealthier farmers can benefit by moving inland to buy up more land or water. The only way to survive for these poor farmers is to move to cities to find some nonagricultural livelihood (UNEP 1999). 2.5 Models to control urbanization 2.5.1 Socialist model In the past there have been many successful ways of controlling urbanization. Socialism in old China and Russia was one of these. The method was to control urbanization by the place where people had born. People who were born in the countryside were not allowed to move permanently to the urban areas. This means that people have to live at place similar they have been born. They belong to the rural areas if they were born in there and vice versa. Although, rural people can move to other rural areas and urban people could move to the similar rural areas. This method was very effective when controlling urbanization. Thus it doesn’t give alternatives to the inhabitants (Sajor 2001). 2.5.2 South-African model Other successful method was used in South Africa. The main idea of this method was not to control the migration of single people but decrease migration with families. Normally, if the migration is permanent, people bring the whole family to the city. This increases the city population with much more people than only single migration. The method prohibited migrant people to bring their families with them. This decrease the rate of permanent migration because normally people do not want to be in the city alone and the family cannot survive without help on the rural areas. Thus, this method puts lot of pressure to the women in the countryside because they have to take care of the whole family when their men are working in the city, even for some part of the year (Sajor 2001). 2.5.3 Example of successful countries Hong Kong and Singapore are success stories. The question arises how these countries have achieved and maintained their well-being. This question can be examined by looking at migration, which is the main problem in the rapid urbanization in many countries. These countries are city states where uncontrolled migration is impossible. Hinterlands are non-existing so the countries do not have any countryside to support. The city is easy to control and the only urbanization is occurring by natural increase and international migration. The international migration is much easy to avoid than internal migration. Because the natural increase in these developed areas is already low, the city and infrastructure planning in the region is easy to keep in touch with the slowly growing demand (Sajor 2001). There is some irony in city management. The situation is not similar in other countries than in the city states. If the city is properly management and the facilities are offered, people from rural areas want to move there. Migration again creates new problems, migrant people need more facilities and city is unable to keep up with the speed of migration. Thousands of people move to the mega-cities daily. This is why improvements have to start from rural areas. This can be done by increase of land production, education, and land reform (Sajor 2001). 3. URBANIZATION AND ENVIRONMENT 3.1 The effect of urbanization on nature 3.1.1 Complexity of environmental problems Probably most of the major environmental problems of the next century will result from the continuation and sharpening of existing problems that currently do not receive enough political attention. The problems are not necessarily noticed in many countries or then nothing is done even the situation has been detected. The most emerging issues are climate changes, freshwater scarcity, deforestation, fresh water pollution and population growth. These problems are very complex and their interactions are hard to define. It is very important to examine problems trough the social-economic-cultural system. Even the interconnections between environmental problems are now better known, we still lack exact information on how the issues are linked, on what degree they interact and what are the most effective measures. One problem is to integrate land- and water use planning to provide food and water security (UNEP 1999). 3.1.2 Overpopulation The major cause of most environmental problems is the rapidly growing human population. About 90 million babies are born each year. At this rate, by the year 2050, global population will reach 10 billion. The current world population is on average very young and has many years of reproductive life ahead. Because of this the population will grow even the fertility rate seems to decrease. The population growth takes mostly place in developing countries. These countries are in charge of 90 per cent of current population growth. It has been estimated that by the year 2025 even 84 per cent of the world’s people will live in developing regions (ENCARTA 2001). 3.1.3 Growing demand for food and facilities Due to the growing population, demands for water, food, housing, heat, energy, clothing, and consume goods are increasing alarmingly. Rapid population growth not only lessens available calorie supply from food per person but also risks the present food production with pollution. Increasing demand forces farmers to exhaust the soil or to use marginal land. The only way to product food to all this population is to create more effective agricultural production. Irrigation is the most important way, because in the future the arable land is not increasing, probably decreasing, due to erosion and land deterioration (ENCARTA 2001, Brookfield and Byron 1993). At this moment world’s population is 6 billion people. The urbanization is about 50 per cent which means that half of the population is living in the urban areas and the other half in the rural areas. This means that the other half of the population, in rural areas, has to produce the food to the population in urban areas. Most of the population growth takes place in urban areas, which means more pressure to the rural people to produce food for the growing amount of urban people (Varis 1998, Vakkilainen and Varis 1999). Growing urbanization means more consumption and need of different products. The production of these needs water and creates more pollutants. In developing countries where the urbanization is occurring most rapidly the technology is not high enough to take responsibility of water treatment and clean production. Many Western companies produce their products in developing countries because of more flexible environmental law and cheaper production costs. This puts extra pressure on the environment of the developing countries (Varis 1998, Vakkilainen and Varis 1999). 3.1.3.1 Problems to food production Plants need water, solar energy and nutrients to grow. Humans can only change few things to help plants to product more, the amount of water and fertilizer. In the areas where these are needed there is also often uncertainty of water supply and lacking of capital for fertilizers. Water and food availability is closely linked together because of the enormous need of green water. For example, each ton of grain needs 1000 tons of water for successful growth (Allan 1997, Varis 1997b). The quality of water is often threatened in poor areas due to domestic and industrial wastes. Agriculture as well produces numerous side effects to water resources, including erosion, leaching of nutrients, accumulation and wash off of pesticides and heavy metals, increased salinity due to evaporation losses and spearing of various diseases such as schistosomiasis and malaria (Vakkilainen and Varis 1999, Varis 1997b). Until now the increasing of the fertilizers have helped to produce bigger yields. The population growth is nowadays so fast that increasing use of fertilizers is not enough. The next step in producing more food will be different crops and irrigation methods, like drip irrigation and water saver plants (Vakkilainen and Varis 1999, Varis 1997b). 3.1.4 Pollutants to air, soil and water Even the industrialized countries, with higher standards of living and greater numbers of cars, produce far more air pollution and greenhouse gases than developing countries, they can reduce environmental hazards by using technology such as smokestack scrubbers, emission systems, and wastewater treatment plants. Developing countries do not have this new technology or capacity to do so. The consumption is far lower but the expensive energy-efficient or clean-up technologies are economically impractical for these countries. For these reasons environmental problems occur more often in developed countries (ENCARTA 2001). 3.1.4.1 Air pollutants In many cities the air is already so polluted that it has been causing illnesses and premature deaths among elderly people and children. Studies show that disease rate rises when the air pollution level increases. Air pollutants are also harmful for water and environment, for example, by causing acid precipitation and acidity of waters. Most of the ambient air-pollution in urban areas comes from the fossil fuels industry, motor vehicles, heating and electricity generation. In some cities the main air polluter is the domestic heating. Many people heat their houses with firewood and cheap coal. This kind of heating method will decrease in the future. Although, new heating methods can be even worse polluters. Instead of carbon dioxide the emissions can include various toxic and carcinogenic chemicals, heavy metals, trace organic chemicals and fibers, photochemical pollutants, lead and carbon monoxide, which are much more harmful to human health (HABITAT 1996). 3.1.4.1.1 Traffic Almost all cities have changed to motorized road vehicles, which has increased the use of fossil fuels and increased greenhouse-gas emissions. This explosive growth in the number of road vehicles is a big problem in many cities. Many city centers have major difficulties trying to cope with the chaotic automobile traffic. The traffic jams are extremely bad in many cities and transport traffic in the city area at least during the rush-hours is really slow. The pollution is high due to constant traffic and causes respiratory diseases to city habitants (HABITAT 1996). Failed or non-existing urban planning is the main reason for these traffic problems. Rapid population growth has surprised the capabilities of many cities. Many urban plans have failed in practice because they have been over-ambitious considering the capabilities. The reasons for this kind of failure include the lack of proper legal and administrative framework, inadequate technical skills and financial resources (HABITAT 1996). Picture 3. 1. Small micro-cars in Jakarta. 3.1.4.2 Water pollutants The lack of sanitation and sewage treatment is the biggest factor regarding water pollution. Local water bodies are used as a dumping ground for untreated water from urban areas or industries. Chemical discharge is also a widespread problem. For example, in Bangkok, 90 per cent of industrial wastes, including hazardous chemicals, are discharged without treatment. On a positive note, many countries have introduced legislation to combat the problem (UNEP 1999). Many rivers in developing countries are more like open sewers than rivers. Most of the centers in these regions do not have drains or even service to collect the garbage. Fisheries are often damaged and destroyed by liquid effluents from city-based industries. Thousands of people may lose their livelihood, because of a large city situated close to the world’s productive fishing regions. The cities that are close to the coast often dump untreated sewage to the sea. Most of the coastal cities have serious problems with dirty, contaminated beaches and water which is a serious health risk to the bathers and for the whole city (HABITAT 1996). 3.1.4.3 Solid wastes Solid waste management means proper collection, transfer, recycling and disposal of solid wastes. In many cities the solid waste disposal is inefficient or non-existing. Even more problematic than household wastes are the industrial, hospital and institutional wastes, which often contains hazardous and toxic chemicals, not to mention viruses and bacteria. These chemicals need special care when changing, storing, transposing and disposing them. Still they are allowed to go directly the water bodies from where they can contaminate the whole water cycle. The disposal of the solid wastes is often similar than with the liquid ones. They end up to the illegal dump on streets, open spaces, wastelands, drains or rivers. Sometimes they are collected to the land sites but the protection of water bodies and groundwater is not active (HABITAT 1996, Ogu 2000). If solid wastes are left in the open spaces, wasteland and streets serious environmental problems will follow. With the rainwater much of this waste ends up swept into water bodies. This can lead to the pollution of ground- and surface waters because of leaching. Solid wastes are sometimes used for landfill but decomposed solid waste can similarly pollute groundwater through seepage, particularly in humid tropics. This can have enormous health impacts in developing countries where the use of well water as drinking water is common. The garbage combustion creates yet another environmental problem. People want to get rid of the wastes and they burn them in their backyards. The gases produced by burning can cause different respiratory diseases. Uncollected waste spoils also the aesthetic outlook of the city (Kasarda and Parnell 1993, HABITAT 1996, Ogu 2000). The volume of per capita of waste is increasing with the income level due to higher consumption. This is a big problem in rapidly growing cities where it is really hard to keep up with the waste production. In the big cities the daily amount of waste can be enormous and hard to handle. In the lower-income countries the amount of waste is not so big but the problems have more to do with the collection system. The agencies that are responsibility for the collection and disposal of solid wastes are often understaffed and underfunded. Also the lack of equipment, like collection trucks, makes the service unefficient. Because many cities also have poor sanitation, wastes contain a lot of faecal matter. The risk from the uncollected waste is obvious for small children playing in the streets and for waste pickers (Kasarda and Parnell1993, HABITAT 1996). Many city authorities face enormous challenges managing solid waste mountains. The collection and disposal of the solid waste needs effective co-operation with vendors and collectors. In developing countries it is normal that less than one-half of the solid wastes are collected. In some poor countries, for example in West Africa, only 10 per cent of the solid wastes are collected. Even the city provides waste service it is often spatially concentrated, leaving some parts of the city unserved (Ogu 2000). 3.1.4.4 Noise In the urban environment there are many sources of noise. The most serious sources are aircrafts, industrial operations, highway traffic and construction activities. Current noise levels harm hundreds of millions people and create serious health treats to tens of millions. Sleep disturbance, loss of hearing, stress, poorer work performance and increased anxiety are effects from noise. The noise levels that the inhabitants have to suffer, varies between cities and also between different areas in the city. Especially in every mega-city people are under constant stress from noise, which has harmful effects on their health and level of living (HABITAT 1996). 3.2 Water Resources and urbanization 3.2.1 Water resources The water resources on the earth are locally insufficient because water is not geographically equally divided and seasonal changes are extensive. Some parts of the world’s water resources are inaccessible and cannot be used. In places where the lack of water is most severe the needed water rains so intensively and such a short period during the rainy season to the ground that it will flood and cannot be stored. Heavy rain also fastens the erosion. Engineers are trying to do their best to level the uneven distribution by controlling even greater portion of nature’s water cycle. Dams, water reservoirs and pipelines are also one way to store water for food production, industrial output, and urbanization (Postel 1992). Already 20 per cent of the world's population fall short of access to safe drinking water. This situation is set to worsen dramatically. If current trend holds, per capita water supplies worldwide will drop by more than a third by 2025. This means that 67 per cent of people will live in a waterstressed condition. The problem is most acute in Africa and West Asia. In Africa, 14 countries already experience water stress or water shortage. Another 11 countries will join that list in the next 25 years (Somlyódy et al. 2001, Postel 1992). 3.2.2 Access to water Even if there would be enough water for world population in the earth, it is not always sure that people can reach those supplies. The most important to the habitants are access to water, the price, quality and quantity of water. Even the people have an access to the piped water supplies it does not obviously mean that the water is pure, not contaminated and regular. Also the quantity of water available to the household and the price that has to be paid, can be even more important to a families’ health than the quality of the water (HABITAT 1996). If the area has a piped water service the service is not often regular. In many areas tap water is working only every other day or twice a week. If the area has piped water it means that water is piped to a housing unit or public standpipe is as close as 200 meters. In many areas, for example, in West Africa water has to be carried from wells and pipes from backyard or further. Women or children are normally responsible of fetching the water. Carrying water for long distances needs a lot of physical effort and takes time. For example, if the water consumption of family water is 40 liters, which means 4 full buckets of water, the total weight of the carried daily water is 40 kilograms (Kasarda and Parnell 1993, Harday et.al. 2001). If people do not have an access to the water supply ( public standpipes, yard taps, protected dug wells or bore holes/hand pumps), they usually rely on one of two sources; water from the wells, streams or other sources which are often very contaminated; or water purchased from the vendors where quality is not either guaranteed. Often the price that these vendors are asking from the water is 4 to 100 times the amount that is paid by richer households for publicly provided piped water. Normally people buy water from vendors only for cooking and drinking, for other purposes they use water from poorer quality supplies. It is quite normal that a poor family has to use 5 to 10 per cent of their total income on the water (HABITAT 1996, Harday et. al. 2001). 3.2.3 Water quantity 3.2.3.1 Water quantity needed for humans Adequate quantities of water are required for healthy living: for drinking, cooking and washing. The WHO recommends that the minimum daily amount per person is 27 liters per day. Because of the population growth and urbanization the gap between per capita water supply and demand is getting bigger. Population growth also has an effect on demand of food and sewage disposal facilities. This means bigger demand of irrigation water and bigger water resources. These days in many countries the water demand is between 20 to 40 per cent of the total runoff, even the sustainable amount would be 5 per cent. The demand nowadays in many countries is so massive that it needs investments and a large part of GNP has to be used for the water management (Vakkilainen and Varis 1999, Kasarda and Parnell 1993). People in developed countries use much more water than in developing regions. Likewise people with tap water facilities consume more water than people who have to carry or fetch the needed water. WHO has estimated that residents who depend on communal taps within 200 meters of their homes use 20 to 40 liters per capita per day. Households with a single tap on their yard consume 40 to 60 liters and in the high-income areas the consumption is around 200 liters per capita per day. It is evident that people who fetch their water or buy it from the vendors, consume too small amount of water in many regions (Harday et.al. 2001). 3.2.3.2 Industrial need of water Household and even municipal water needs are only a small part of the water supply problem. Globally the industrial water use is at least twice the domestic use. In addition to this use are vast quantities of water, which is used by power stations as cooling waters. Also from the domestic use half of the water is normally used for livestock (Clarke 1991). Many developing countries are still in the beginning stages of industrialization. These countries are likely to face severe water problems when they are trying to industrialize and modernize their economies. It is very likely that growing water scarcities will actually lead to substantial deterioration and perhaps, the demise of many existing and nebulous industries in some countries. The amount of needed water for production is sometimes really high. Because of heavy water demand from urban and industrial activities in Kuala Lumpur, water is stored in two dams upstream in the Kelang River. The stored water is rarely released which has resulted to the extremely low flows downstream of the dams. These too low flows are unable to dilute and flush the liquid and solid wastes generated by urban centers and Kelang River has been converted into an open sewer (Kasarda and Parnell 1993, Davis 1993, Elhance 1999 ). Quantity of product Quantity of water consumed 1 liter of petroleum 1 can of vegetables 1 kg of paper 1 ton of woolen cloth 1 ton of dry cement 1 ton of kapron fiber 10 liters of water 40 liters of water 100 liters of water 600 liters of water 4,500 liters of water 5,600 cubic meters of water Table 3. 1. Few examples about the need of water in production. 3.2.4 Water quality Even our planet has a great physical, chemical, and biological systems to clean waters we humans are even more effective in dirtying it. Fast growth in population, more effective agriculture and industrial development are the main reasons for the growing amount of pollutants in the waters. Wastewater from the human settlements contains organic material and nutrients, industrial wastewater contains heavy metals and complexes, insoluble chemical compounds, which are harmful to people, animals and plants. Fertilizers and pesticides are used in the agriculture and they are harmful for the surface and groundwater, traffic loads air, soil and water and irrigation burdens water with salt. In the developing countries these agglomerations are even worse than in developed countries because they do not have proper sanitation and the technique are often too old and noneffective (Bowman 1994). The reduction of pollution, guarding of water resources and the quality of them does not have the priority in the developing countries that it should have. Even the effects of polluters seems to be local, the problems grow more often global, because of atmospheric transfer and water drifting. The bad water quality is limiting people’s level of living. About 35 per cent of the deaths in the world are caused by water-borne diseases and diseases that transmitted by vectors which live in the water environment. The quality of water is also important to agriculture, industry, and tourism. Polluted water is not good for agriculture either. When plants and crops are irrigated with polluted water, the pollutants may contaminate to the plants and be carried to human bodies by eating. This contamination can also happen in fishes and other animals. Polluted water may involve diseases or even deaths to farmers who are working in contaminated water (Bowman 1994). Water quality is not easy to measure. It is generally described through a set of variables relating to the physiochemical, and biological properties of water. The health effects are not the only reason to control water quality, the quality of goods and aesthetic beauty of water in the landscape are also important matters ( Bowman 1994 ). 3.2.4.1 Salinity Salinity of water is mainly caused by poor irrigation practice. Water logging followed by evaporation will deposit salt in the soil. A constant flow of irrigation water will strip salt from the soil and deposit it when the water evaporates. Soil salinity can not be fixed after it has occurred. Some of the plant species are salt-tolerant but none of them are important agricultural crops. Salinity is a very big problem for agriculture and food production now and in the future. Humans cannot either stand salt water. Drinking salt water causes vomiting, and when used continuously hypertension and madness (Barke 1884). 3.2.4.2 Acidity Coal burning in power stations, factories, and for household usage has increased the quantities of sulphur dioxide in the atmosphere. Nitrogen oxides have also been emitted in the air from engines of different machines and vehicles. These substances are moving with the wind and their influence can be global. When these substances react with water, rain and snow the results are harmful; acidity in water and soil (Bowman 1994). Acidity of the water has an impact on which substances will dissolve into the water from the surrounding rocks and pipes. The health risks for humans are not only caused by the acidity but by the metals, which acid dissolves from the rocks. The most harmful metals are heavy metals and aluminum. Those accumulate easily to plants, fishes and animals. High concentrations of these metals can be injurious to humans. Industrial wastewater is a main source of these harmful metals and in developing countries the treatment of this kind of waste is often careless (Bowman 1994). 3.2.4.3 Organic and inorganic substances In many cities wastewater treatment is not used at all. Rivers and water bodies are used like sewers. The high level of organisms in fresh water is related to human and animal excreta, rotten plants and other particles. These organic compounds use oxygen to break up. High amounts of organic substances lead to lack of oxygen in water, which is extremely harmful for plants and fishes living in the water. Chlorinated micro-organisms which are widely used in the industry cause, when leaked into the water, health problems to humans. These health risks cause cancer and birth abnormalities. Inorganic substances are in high amounts injurious to the human health. These substances are, for example, iodine, fluoride, iron, nitrates and selenium. Some substances, which are mutagens and carcinogens, are harmful at any level. Most of these fatal substances are released from agrochemicals used for pest and plant disease control and industrial chemicals (Bowman 1994). 3.2.4.4 Microbiological and biological organism Fresh water contains naturally many organisms that have an effect on human health. These include species of viruses, bacteria, protozoa and algae. Some species, like parasitic worms, live only some stages of their lifecycle in fresh water. Not all of these organisms affect human health but they may still be hosts to a disease organism. The organisms end up into water from human and animal excreta by rain, floods or wastewater (Bowman 1994). 3.2.4.5 Water related diseases Water can affect on human health on many levels; disease-causing agents (pathogens) or pollutants in water, insufficient amounts of fresh water per person, and physical hazards, like flooding. About 90 per cent of the child deaths in developing countries are due to polluted water. In the near future in the study regions half of the population will suffer from one or more of the main diseases associated with inadequate provision of water and sanitation (Harday et. al. 2001). The water related diseases are caused by disease organisms (bacteria, virus, protozoa) as a result of ingestion, insects that transfer pathogens to humans, and ingestion of chemical pollutants or biologically produced toxins. Bacteria and viruses cause diarrhea. This disease is very common, causing probably 5,000 million infections and 10 million deaths per year. Even the disease is considered common it is very dangerous disease in developing world when combined with malnutrition. On the other hand Cholera is not that hazardous but has gained a lot of attention in Africa and Asia. For comparison 50,000 people have died to Cholera yearly (Bowman 1994, Hillary 1984). Bilharzia is a parasitic disease transmitted by snails. Over 200 million people are infected and one million die to this disease yearly. Malaria is transmitted by insects, mosquitoes. It is estimated to affect over 800 million people and cause 6 million deaths per year. The lack of water supplies affects on the amount of water used for washing of clothes and food utensils. The various skin and eye infections, such as scabies and trachoma, are normal in these kind of areas. For example in Bamako which is Mali’s capital 4 per cent of pupils suffer from scabies (Bowman 1994, Harday et. al. 2001). 3.2.4.6 Sanitation and waste water treatment In the developing countries waste management, wastewater treatment and drinking water facilities are often underdeveloped. A big part of the population in these areas lives without access to safe drinking water and proper sanitation. Most of the urban centers in Africa and Asia have no sewers at all. This is not the problem in small cities only many cities with a million or more habitants have no sewers either. Even the adequate water supply has been taken care of, sanitation and wastewater treatment are unfortunately often delayed. Sanitation and wastewater treatment are the most important actions for the environment and consequently for the humans. These actions provide hygiene for users, avoid human contact with the excreta, reduce diseases and increase well being of the people (HABITAT 1996, Varis 1997b, Harday et.al. 2001). Sanitation and water supply have a strong effect on living conditions. The World Health Organization (WHO) estimated that, even 70 to 80 per cent of the developing countries’ hospital beds are occupied by patients with waterborne diseases. Normally efficient water supply is positively linked with higher per capita income and therefore to urban areas. Although, the services in the city can be even worse than in rural areas, especially in slums and poor settlements (HABITAT 1996). 3.2.4.6.1 Urban sanitation Developing countries’ major sources of pollution are untreated or partially treated domestic sewage, industrial waste effluent, and domestic and industrial garbage. In urban centers, where the size and density of the settlements are high, sanitation problems are very big. In many cities wastewater are discharged to the rivers, coastal water and water bodies often without any treatment at all. Even the city has central sewage system water can be only partially treated or just conveyed. The polluted water can travel long distances underground when conditions allow. For example laterite soils, commonly found in tropical climate, can allow the piping of water over significant distances. The safe distance between latrine and water source depends therefore on the soil conditions (Davis 1993, Kasarda and Parnell 1993). Wells and springs are open to contamination from pin latrines, septic tanks, and other waste disposal sites. Septic tanks and other sewage systems if not properly constructed, located, and maintained, can easily pollute the ground and surface water. Insufficiently treated or untreated industrial and municipal wastes discharged into water bodies pollute water supplies and pose risks to human health. Water supply facilities have advanced faster than wastewater management. In developing countries 75 per cent of urban dwellers had water supply facilities, and only 66 per cent had sanitation services (Davis 1993, Kasarda and Parnell1993). Many cities in Asia have no sewers at all. These are not only the smaller cities, many major cities with a million or more inhabitants have no sewers. If the city has sewers they often serve a small proportion of the population, typically those who are located in the richer residential, governmental and commercial areas. Most of the city inhabitants also lack connection to septic tanks. For example, Jakarta, and some smaller Indonesian cities have virtually no sewage disposal system (Davis 1993, Kasarda and Parnell1993). 3.2.5 Water reliability and sustainability In most African and Asian cities recurrent supplies of piped water seem to be the norm, because of scarcity of needed equipment, material, and skilled personnel. Power outages are also normal. This irregular electricity supply causes pumps to shut down and reduces water pressure, which creates problems by damaging the water pumps and water treatment plants. In many cities in developing countries piping systems are reasonably old, and non-effective. The loss of water by leaking is enormous. Leakage of water may make up as much as 40 to 60 per cent of the total water supply in developing cities. The personnel are inadequately trained and monitoring is non-existing (Kasarda and Parnell 1993). When considering the sustainability of water infrastructure, all the pieces of the puzzle have to be taken into account: water supply, quality, quantity, sanitation and irrigation. These pieces have to be balanced with all the other different sectors, political, economical, and financial realities, social issues, human resources, institutionalization and operations management, such as pricing, water and food availability and the importance of education. The connections between water supplies, their use and sanitation has to be remembered. Unfortunately this is not often custom in municipal water policies. The all too narrow development schemes have created more problems that they have created good. For example, boring of deeper wells has led to overexploitation of groundwater resources and enhanced desertification (Varis 1997b). Land use planning in and around cities and suburbs is important when protecting the local water supplies. Unplanned development can end up paving over rainwater’s main point of entry in a key drinking water source. Especially in the areas dependent on local groundwater, protection of these critical aquifer recharge areas is essential to ensure that water sources get replenished. Improvements in water supply of community have also a positive effect on community’s social, economic and health conditions. The social improvements are reducing the effort and time required to collect water. This is mainly female work. By this improvement the workload of women can be lightened. The amount of available water will also rise and have an effect on personal hygiene and health (Davis 1993). 3.2.5.1 Vicious circles Vicious circles means that for instance population growth is closely linked to poor child health, low income, fertility, gender, poverty, education issues, etc. These vicious circles, holistic and integrated face of water has to be taken account. Water management is very much political, social and economical wholeness. For example, development of infrastructure in a city may raise ruralurban migration, which surpass the development. This reaction can be prevented only with some balancing actions in rural areas (Varis 1999, 2001). Similar reaction is happening in the case where water is considered as an economic good. This perspective forgets the needs of poor people and nature. Even water is sometimes perceived as an economic good, its priceless value has to be taken account. In many developing countries water is treated as an economic good, which is due to the inefficiency or weakness of the government to provide basic services. If water is been thought as an economic good, the side-effects have to be contemplated in scales and dimension which are far beyond financial rationality (Allan 1997, Varis 1999). 3.2.6 Groundwater The overuse of groundwater resources is common in all the developing countries. The countries that suffer from the bad quality of surface water rely often groundwater sources. Overusing of these supplies causes land subsidence, which is a serious problem in some cities like Mexico City and Bangkok. Especially in soil, which is clay, is really hard to maintain the water level back to where it has been, because soil dries and it is not possible to fill the waterholes for the size they have been. The growing urbanization and associated industrialization may result over-pumping of groundwater. This leads to the lower water tables and land subsidence. Groundwater levels decrease, the pumping of water from lower levels is more costly. Groundwater is in many countries used for irrigation. In coastal areas, saltwater intrusion into the aquifers can occur. This process decreases access to water supply by lowering supply and increasing contamination (Kasarda and Parnell1993, Hillary 1984, Starke 2000). The pollution of groundwater resources is one of the biggest problems in many regions. Groundwater has often proven to be a clean and reliable source of water, but now it is threatened due to a careless disposal of organic and chemical wastes. The groundwater resources are also often taken for granted and not being protected (Somlyódy et al. 2001). 3.2.7 Coastal waters In many cities, located near coast wastewater are conveyed to the sea. Therefore this many coast areas suffer from pollution. The situation is the same in all the study areas: Latin America, West Africa and South- East Asia. In addition to the wastewater from the cities and industries many areas are under oil boring, or taking of gravel. Many regions also suffer from remains of the feed and medicaments used in aquaculture. The heavy traffic in the cities has an effect on the carbon dioxin amount of the sea, which has increased near the mega-cities. Some nuclear power plants discharge radionuclides especially strontium and kesium, that can convey to the coasts (Hillary 1984). 3.2.8 Flooding Construction activities increase impermeable or near-impermeable surfaces, which results in a reduction of infiltration into groundwater. Storm runoff increases and accelerates, and peak flows grow. Surface runoff from impervious areas may be hundreds of times greater than runoff from some natural areas. Coupled with the effects of soil erosion and sedimentation in rivers and canals resulting from urban construction, flooding in the low-lying areas is more frequent (Kasarda and Parnell 1993). 3.3 City people 3.3.1 The city environment The problems that are facing cities, towns, and their people are inadequate financial resources, increased poverty and a widening gap between rich and poor, unsustainable use of land, uncoordinated development and insecure land tenure, lack of green spaces and inadequate water supply and sanitation. These main problems have related to many other smaller problems like, lack of jobs, spreading homelessness and expanding squatter settlements, growing insecurity and rising crime, inadequate and deteriorating building stock, services and infrastructure, lack of health and educational services, rising traffic congestion and more pollution (UN 1996). The primary problem in the Third World is that the cities continue to grow even the city services are being narrowed. According to GEO-2000, "inadequate provision of water, sanitation, drainage and garbage removal" means many people's lives and health are under continuous threat. The problems on the rural areas have driven people into the cities is also a part of the problem (UNEP 1999, Gugler 1997). 3.3.1.1 Health problems Environmental problems in most of the urban centers are evident. Environment-related diseases or accidents remain among the major causes of illness, injury, and premature death. This is common in the poorer centers of urban areas. Most of these diseases are caused by pathogens in water, food, soil, or air. Burns, scalds, and accidental fires are common in overcrowded shelters, especially where five or more persons live in a small room (Gugler 1997). The cities have two general categories of human environmental risk: those that directly affect health, such as pollution, and those that may not be less damaging, but operate indirectly by worsen the ecosystem that human life depends on. The link between environment and health is evident. Poor environment, housing and living conditions are the main reasons to the diseases and poor health. Improvements in sanitation, sewage treatment and quality of food, will prevent diseases like cholera. The lack of these basic facilities is still general in developing countries. Because of this, diseases like tuberculosis and diarrhea continuous to be common in the developing world (Kasarda and Parnell 1993). 3.3.2 Crime Violent crime is more visible in the cities than in rural areas and it affects people’s everyday life, their movements and the use of public transportation. Crime in the city can create a sense of insecurity to its habitants. This unsafe feeling in city streets will separate the living areas of the higher-income and lower income groups, which will reduce people’s solidarity and form areas with dissimilar incomes, costs and security level (HABITAT 1996). At least once every five years, more than a half of the world’s population living in the cities with 100,000 or more inhabitants are victims of a crime of some kind. Only in Asia this proportion is under 50 percent. Even the overall rate of crimes fell in Asia organized violent crime and drug trafficking have increased considerably. In the whole world urban violence is estimated to grow 3 to 5 percent every year, but this differs between regions and nations. Violent crime rates have been growing in the most cities and more slowly also in the rural areas (HABITAT 1996). Urban violence is a result of many factors and it could be considered as a public health problem. Inadequate income, poor and overcrowded housing and living conditions create fertile ground for the development of violence. Also the lack of children’s social support in school and home by their hard working, usually poor parents are not provided. Immigration is also one reason to the crimes. Immigrants’ original culture identity will be confound, finding an employment and housing is hard and racism will be expressed (HABITAT 1996). 3.3.3 Housing and Homelessness In the study regions between 33 to 67 per cent of the population live in housing units that are in poor condition. These houses are often made of temporary materials, which do not provide proper protection against temperature changes, winds or rain. The houses are often small and overcrowded and also lack facilities like; piped water supplies, the removal of excreta and solid wastes, drainage and roads. Many migrants move from countryside to live with their relatives, which increase the occupation of rooms. Still this kind of co-operation is the only way for many migrants to start their new life in the city (Harday et.al. 2001, Sajor 2001). The slum areas are common in the mega-cities in the developing countries. For poor people and migrants these areas are the major place to live. Usually these slums are situated either in the surroundings of the city where the land is cheap, deteriorated, polluted or then near factories or other work places. The facilities are non-existing in these areas. The location of the slum area is often hazardous for the health of the habitants. Governments do not want to increase the facilities, on the area trying to prevent people living there. These land properties are often owned by the governments. The living areas can be badly polluted, suffer from floods, and locate near polluting and hazardous facilities. These are the places where nobody wants to live. This gives an opportunity to poor people to have an accommodation. The location is important, near the working places, because poor people have no money to pay for the transportation. Also the lack of proper infrastructure policies gives opportunities for poor housing (Sajor 2001). Picture 3. 2. Slum settlements near railway in the city of Bangkok. It is hard to say how many homeless people there are in the world because so many kind of homelessness exists. Some people live outside (in shop doorways, parks, under bridges), in public buildings (in railways, buses or metro stations) or in night shelters. There are also people whose accommodations are unsafe, temporary and often poor. It is said that there are one billion homeless people in the world, which is 16 percent of the whole world population (HABITAT 1996). Because of homelessness many urban dwellers lack adequate protection from rain, flooding, cold, and heat. Their health and even their lives are threatened by contaminated water and inadequate sanitation. Shelter also takes the major part of the budget for most urban dwellers and informal settlements are often the only way for them to get roof on their heads. Anything is good building material for these people; cardboard, plastic sheeting, plywood, corrugated iron. In every bigger city there are areas for these kinds of settlements, like Villa el Salvador in Lima, or Klong Toey in Bangkok (Girardet 1996, Gugler 1997). Picture 3. 3. Slum settlements and proper houses side by side in Bangkok. 3.3.4 Mis- and unemployment Besides normal employment so called “ misemployment “ is normal in the cities. It means that a person might be full-time employed, but the task performed promotes little to social welfare. The example for this kind of job could be begging. There is also wide range of legal activities, which can said to be employment to these people. Working in these kind of jobs means working in informal sector, like selling food on the streets (Gugler 1997). Informal sector is very big in the cities of developing countries. Many migrants work within the informal sector -driving motorbike taxis, selling low-cost meals, driving tuc-tucs (open taxis) or collecting garbage. The informal sector is important to low income country the keep the economy running. For example, cookers of low-cost meals are the only way the poor factory workers can have their lunch or dinner. These cookers sell the food with so low price that almost all the city habitants can buy the food from these vendors. Even this low price from food gives cookers better level of living in the city than in rural areas. The amount of people who are working with the informal sector is growing because the population, especially the poor population, in the cities is growing (Sajor 2001). Picture 3. 4. Informal restaurant near Phaya Thai skytrain station in Bangkok. 3.3.5 Poverty Poverty is common in developing countries, even in the countries, that are middle-income countries. For example in Thailand, which is middle-income country, about 16 per cent of people are qualified as poor. This means that their income level is below 900 baht in month (23 euros). With this amount even in Thailand it is impossible to have proper housing, food, pure water or social security. These people often live in the streets or parks, beg for food and do some temporary work in informal sector (Sajor 2001, STT 2001). The percentage of poor people is growing in many countries. Due to such a low income the main goal for the people is to get their daily meal, water and accommodation. For these people the environmental problems are not in the front line. Because of this the solving of environmental problems in developing countries is not easy. The main questions that have to take into account are poverty and welfare of people. Before the basic level of life will be in a bearable state, improvements in environmental conditions are impossible, at least the proper co-operation is not possible (Sajor 2001). 4. URBANIZATION IN STUDY REGIONS 4.1. Introduction to the paragraph The goal of this paragraph is to compare study regions, and find similarities and disparities between them. This is done by comparing 21 selected indexes and from those some future prospects and trends of the regions can be derived. This comparison is made easier by grouping. Countries in the regions are grouped by their economical status. The groups are shown in the figure below. On the next tables the differences between the study regions is shown. These graphics are based on the average. For more detailed information there are tables in the Appendices (pages 107-128), that present the different subgroups within the study regions. Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Group 4 Group 5 Latin America Argentina Mexico Brazil Costa Rica Uruguay Chile Panama Colombia Venezuela Belize El Salvador Guatemala Paraguay Peru Bolivia Ecuador Honduras Nicaragua SE Asia Thailand Malaysia West Africa Guinea Ghana Cote d'Ivoire Philippines Indonesia Mauritania Gambia, The Cameroon Togo Senegal Central African Republic Cambodia Lao PDR Vietnam Myanmar Singapore Benin Burkina Faso Nigeria Chad Mali Niger Guinea-Bissau Sierra Leone Figure 4. 1. Grouping of countries to the study The indexes are chosen so that they present the regions in different ways. It is important that different aspects are included in the study. With this wide perspective not only the economical status of the regions can be compared but also the social and environmental matters, which are important to human well being. The target period of the indexes is 25 years, but this differs between the indexes. Anyhow the longest available data is taken to the study. The data varies a lot between different sources and due to this the data is not always reliable. The variability of the data can especially be seen in the case of West Africa, where corruption is high and structure of society is not well formed. Due to this the main idea of this study is to show some basic lines and trends, not to focus only on the numbers. Even the simplifications are sometimes rough basic future estimations are easily made. The table below shows the selected indexes, their definitions, taken time periods and sources of the data. Index Fertility rate Life expectancy Age structure Population in largest cities Urbanization rate HIV Waste water treatment sectors Water pollution from different sectors PPP Period Definition 1980-97 The number of children that will be born to a woman 1975-99 The number of years a newborn infant will live 1975-99 The percentage of population from total 0-14,15-64 and above 65 years 1980-99 The percentage of urban population who live in the largest cities 1975-15 The growing rate of urbanization 1995-15 The impact of HIV to life expectancy 1998 The percentage of waste water treated Source Regions WB 1999 SEA, LA, WA WB 1999 SEA, LA, WA WB 1999 SEA, LA, WA WB 2001b SEA, LA, WA WB 1999 Asia, LA, Africa UN 2001 SEA, LA, WA WB 2001b SEA, LA, WA WB 2001a SEA, LA, WA which is used for different sectors 1980-88 The percentage of total water pollution WB 1999 SEA, LA, WA from different sectors 1975-99 Purchasing power parity WB 1999 SEA, LA, WA ( current international $) WB 2001b SEA, LA, WA Household income 1998 Average household income ( $ ) Commercial energy use 1980-97 Equivalent to kilograms of oil WB 1999 SEA, LA, WA School enrolment 1980-97 The percentage of population who have WB 1999 SEA, LA, WA been enrolment to the secondary educat. WB 2001b SEA, LA, WA Travel time to work 1998 The average time from home to work WB 2001b SEA, LA, WA Pregnant women re1998 The percentage of pregnant women who ceiving prenatal care are receiving prenatal care WB 2001b SEA, LA, WA Electricity 1998 The percentage of population who have electricity facilities WB 2001b SEA, LA, WA Telephone 1998 The percentage of population who have telephone facilities Employees in agriculture 1980-98 The percentage of population WB 1999 SEA, LA, WA working in agriculture sector Employees in industry 1980-98 The percentage of population WB 1999 SEA, LA, WA working in industry sector Employees in service 1980-98 The percentage of population WB 1999 SEA, LA, WA working in service sector Unemployment 1980-97 The percentage of population WB 1999 SEA, LA who are unemployment ( SEA = South-East Asia, LA = Latin America, WE = West Africa, WB = World Bank, UN = United Nations) Figure 4. 2. The indexes and their explanations. 4.2.Selected study regions 4.2.1. Latin America 4.2.1.1.Population growth and urbanization The population of Latin America was 482 million in 1995 and it is estimated to be around 600 million by 2015. The urbanization in the region is very high, much higher than in other study regions. It was 74 per cent in the year 1995 and it will grow up to 82 per cent in the next 20 years. Even the percentage of urban population is so high, the urbanization speed in the future will be half of what is has been during the past 40 years. After this future decrease the urbanization rate will be only 0.5 per cent by 2015. In last thirty years the rural population increased only slightly and nearly all population growth in the region occurred in the urban areas. As in other developing regions, there is considerable variation in the levels of urbanization between countries. In Argentina, Chile, Uruguay and Venezuela 80 per cent of the population live in urban areas, in some other Latin America’s countries far less. Urban and rural population in Latin America (millions) 600 Population 700 300 Total population 500 400 Urban population 200 Rural population 100 0 1975 1995 Time (years) 2015 Figure 4. 3. Urban and rural population in Latin America. In Latin America it is common that urban population is concentrated in the large cities. For example, Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Peru and Uruguay are countries where over 25 per cent of the urban population lived in the capital city in year 1995. Circa 20 per cent of the Latin America’s urban population resided in the cities bigger than 5 million and 52 per cent lived in the half a million cities in year 1995 (HABITAT 1996, Bilsborrow 1998a). Latin America by Urban population ( % total ) 87 74 62 53 39 to to to to to 91 87 74 62 53 (3) (3) (4) (4) (4) Map 4. 1. Urban population in Latin America. 4.2.1.2.Water Water resources vary between the countries in Latin America due to climate and geography. The region consists of different kind of areas with different environmental problems. Still some problems are common. Even the area has enough water supplies the quality of them is not often adequate because lack of sanitation and water treatment. The economy between countries also varies which gives some countries a better opportunity to waste water treatment and water quality control. Even the control of water resources in some countries is proper the total control in the region is more than inadequate. Extremely high urbanization puts a pressure on water resources and their quality. Also the seasons in the region have a high effect on water resources. In some areas during the dry season the cities lack freshwater. For example, Santiago de Chile uses almost the entire flow of the Rio Mapocho during the dry season. This amount of water is only used for irrigation of 16,000 hectares of vegetable and salad crops. Many of the water shortages are due to inadequate pricing of water. Under pricing of water perpetuates the illusion that it is plentiful and nothing is sacrificed by wasteful practices. Setting prices closer to the real cost of supplying water is a key component of both urban and industrial conservation (Postel 1992). The reservoirs, canals, pumping stations, pipes, sewers, and treatment plants that constitute the modern water and wastewater system require large sums of money to build and maintain. The lack of money is evident in the region. Under such constrains, many cities in the Latin America and in other developing regions cannot meet the water demand of their residents, and large numbers of low-income residents get no service at all. Also water is lost because of leaking problems. More than half of the urban water supply simply disappears in Lima and Mexico City (Postel 1992). In 1990 in Latin America 87 per cent of the population was served with water supply in urban areas and 62 per cent in rural areas. This means that in the whole region 89.20 million people were without access to water supplies. Sanitation was arranged to 79 percent in urban areas and 37 per cent in rural areas. 146.10 million people did not have sanitation. Both services in the study regions are relatively much lower in rural than urban areas (Pernia and Alabastro1997). 4.2.2. South East Asia 4.2.2.1.Population growth and urbanization The populations in South-East Asia and Latin America are almost of same size. The total population of South-East Asia was roughly 480 million in year 1995 and it is estimated to almost double in the next twenty years, to 650 million. The urbanization level in South-East Asia is similar to the level of West Africa but remarkably lower than in Latin America. The percentage of urban population was 34 per cent in 1995 and is estimated to be 49 per cent by the year 2015. Urban and rural population in SE Asia 700 Population (millions) 600 Total population 500 400 Urban population 300 200 Rural population 100 0 1975 1995 Time (years) 2015 Figure.4.4. Urban and rural population in South-East Asia. About 16 percent of the population resided in the cities bigger than 5 million and 58 per cent in lived in the half-a-million cities in year 1995. We can draw conclusions that people in South- East Asia tend to live in the cities but these cities are much smaller than in Latin America. In the region the most common city size is half million habitants. (Bilsborrow 1998) Urban population ( % total) 100 57 27 21 16 to to to to to 100 100 57 27 21 (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) Map 4. 2. Urban population in South- East Asia. 4.2.2.2.Water The lack of water resources in South- East Asia is not so evident than in Latin America but the quality of the water is a problem. When considering water quality issues in the region the pathogen agents, eutrophication, organic matters, heavy metals and sediment load are the main issues. Also salinity, nitrate, pesticides and acidification have to be taken account. Because of strong seasonal variety in rainfall flooding is a big. Urban congestion, water resources, deforestation, marine and coastal deterioration, sea-level rise and acid rain are also problems that has to be noticed. In the region rivers typically contain 4 times the world average of suspended solids and 20 times the level in high-income countries. Bacteria and human wastes amounts in the water are also high, 10 times the guidelines of the OECD. The faecal coliform level is 50 times higher than the recommendation of WHO (UNEP 1997, Harday et.al.2001). The lack of finance is also evident in South- East Asia and therefore the water supply networks are in bad shape and the whole water resource management in the region is not properly maintained. In Asia 77 per cent of the urban people have access to water supplies in urban areas and 67 per cent in rural areas. Urban sanitation is covered for 65 per cent of the population in rural area and 54 percent in rural areas. 4.2.3. West Africa 4.2.3.1.Population growth and urbanization The population in West Africa is the lowest of the study regions, it is estimated to be 364 million by 2015. This is one and half times more than the population in the region in 1995. This rapid growth is caused by high fertility rate. The amount of urban population is growing faster than the rural one. In year 1995 the percentage of urban population was 36 and it is estimated to grow to 52 by year 2015. Even the urban population growth is so high, the urbanization rate will decrease 25 per cent in the period of 1975 to 2015 (Bilsborrow 1998). Urban and rural population in West Africa 700 Population (millions) 600 T otal population 500 400 Urban population 300 200 Rural population 100 0 1975 1995 Time (years) 2015 Figure 4. 5. Urban and rural population in West Africa. Only about 8 per cent of urban population resided in the cities bigger than 5 million and 58 per cent lived in the half a million cities in year 1995. It is evident that population in West Africa more often live in the small cities. This rate is similar to that in South- East Asia. The number of residents living in the mega-cities of West Africa is lowest from study regions (Bilsborrow 1998). Urban population ( % of total ) 46 to 56 42 to 46 33 to 42 29 to 33 18 to 29 (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) Map 4. 3. Urban population in West Africa. 4.2.3.2.Water In Africa 87 per cent of urban and 42 per cent of rural population have access to water supplies. Sanitation reaches 78 per cent in urban areas and only 26 per cent in rural areas. However in Latin America the cap between urban and rural facilities is wide. In West Africa this cap is wider than in the other regions. The actual percentages of services in West Africa are probably lower than what is given in this study. The percentages are for whole Africa and the situation, for example, in SouthAfrica is better than in West Africa (Pernia and Alabastro 1997). 4.2.4. Summary of the study regions The population is highest in SE Asia, 484 million, but the population of Latin America is very close to it 482 million. Both populations will grow rapidly in near future to 645 and 600 million. The growth rate is somewhat higher in SE Asia. The population in West Africa is the lowest of the study regions, 210 million, but it has been estimated to grow to 364 million by 2015. Nowadays and in the near future the urbanization is highest in Latin America. Anyhow West Africa and SE Asia are getting closer by year 2015. The rapid increasing in urbanization can be seen especially in West Africa. At the present the urbanization in West Africa is 36 per cent but already in 2015 the estimated percentage will be 52 per cent. The situation is fairly similar in SE Asia, present urbanization is 34 per cent and the estimated percentage by year 2015, is 49 per cent. Urban population ( % total) Urbanization trend in study regions 90 80 70 60 50 West Africa SE Asia 40 30 20 10 0 Latin America 1975 1995 Time (years) 2015 Figure 4. 6. Urbanization trend in the study regions. The freshwater resources are highest in Latin America and lowest in West Africa. From these supplies the annual withdrawals are highest in West Africa, 11 per cent, and lowest in Latin America, about two per cent. From these numbers, it can be seen that the water pressure is highest in West Africa. The best, sustainable withdrawals would be at maximum five per cent. The rate in West Africa is six per cent higher than this guideline. Freshwater resources in study regions 35 30 25 cu ma Latin America 20 SE Asia 15 West Africa 10 5 0 Freshwater resources per capita Figure 4. 7. Freshwater resources in the study regions. % total renewable resources Annual freshwater withdrawals in study regions 12 10 8 Latin America 6 Se Asia 4 West Africa 2 0 Annual freshwater withdrawals Figure 4. 8. Annual freshwater withdrawals in the study regions. The situation is best in West Africa and Latin America when considering water supply services and sanitation. The services are little lower in SE Asia. The services in rural areas of SE Asia are better than in West Africa’s and Latin America’s rural areas. The gap between rural and urban services in West Africa and Latin America is really high. Thus, these percentages are not completely reliable, due to corruption and local customs in every country. The customs of investigations in developing countries are not similar to the ones in developed regions. That is why the data is sometimes unreliable or modified. 4.3.Comparison of the study regions 4.3.1. Population 4.3.1.1.Fertility rate The common trend is the following; when a country is highly urbanized, the rate of fertility is low. This kind of trend can be seen, especially in SE Asia. There the fertility rate is lowest of the study regions even the urbanization is similar than in West Africa. This trend is not clear in all the regions for example, in Latin America both the fertility rate and urbanization are high. In West Africa the trend is also similar than in Latin America. There the average fertility rate is highest of the study regions even the urbanization level is the same than in SE Asia. Fertility rate and urbanization Urban population (% total) 100 90 SE Asia 80 70 60 Latin America 50 40 30 West Africa 20 10 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 Fertility rate ( children per wo man Figure 4. 9. Fertility rate is lowest in South-East Asia. (See also appendix 3.) 4.3.1.2.Life expectancy The life expectancy shows very clearly how different SE Asia and West Africa are. The urbanization levels in these regions are relatively similar but the life expectancy is really different. The average life expectancy in SE Asia is 62 years, when in West Africa it is only 45 years. In Latin America the life expectancy is 68 years, which is only few years more than in SE Asia, even the urbanization level is twice as high. The future prospects look most positive for SE Asia because the life expectancy has grown more than the urbanization. Although, in Latin America urbanization has grown more rapidly than the life expectancy, the trend is positive in all the regions. Urban population ( %total ) Life expectancy and urbanization 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Latin America SE Asia West Africa 30 40 50 60 70 Life expectancy ( years ) 80 Figure 4. 10. Life expectancy is low in West Africa. (See also appendix 4.) 4.3.1.3.Age structure The typical trend is the following; the higher the urbanization the lower the per cent of young people and higher the amount of older people. This trend can be best seen in Singapore, where the trend is like in the developed countries. Also in the rest of SE Asia the percentage of young people is low and quite similar to in Latin America. The low fertility rate in SE Asia has had a remarkable impact on the amount of young people in the region, which is good regarding the population growth. Even the urbanization rate is similar in West Africa and in SE Asia the age trends are different. The population is younger in West Africa, because the region is unable to control the fertility rate and extend the life expectancy. Urban population ( % total ) Population 0-14 years and urbanization 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Latin America SE Asia West Africa 15 25 35 45 Population ages 0-14 (% total ) Figure 4. 11. The amount of young population is highest in West Africa. (See also appendix 5.) The similar trend can be seen also in the figure below. The percentage of middle age population is lowest in West Africa and similar in Latin America and SE Asia. The trend in West Africa is not increasing, but the trend in SE Asia and Latin America shows that in the future there will be more people with ages 15-64 years even the urbanization is not growing as rapidly as in West Africa. Urban population ( % total ) Population 15-64 years and urbanization 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Latin America West Afrca SE Asia 45 50 55 60 65 70 Population ages 15-64 years ( %total ) Figure 4. 12. The amount of middle age population is lowest in West Africa. ( See also appendix 6.) The percentage of elderly people is growing both in the SE Asia and Latin America, although the growth is most rapid in Latin America. In West Africa the percentage of older people has stayed still or even decreased, even the urbanization has increased. Population above 65 years and urbanization Urban population ( % total ) 100 90 Latin America 80 70 60 SE Asia 50 40 30 West Africa 20 10 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Population above 65 years ( % total ) Figure 4. 13. The amount of elderly people is highest in Latin America. ( See also appendix 7.) 4.3.1.4.Population in the largest cities In Latin America the amount of population in the largest cities increases with the urbanization growth. This means that the population tends to live in the big cities. The situation is different in SE Asia and West Africa. There the people rather live in smaller cities than in mega-cities. Population in largest cities and urbanization Urban population (%total) 100 90 80 70 Latin America 60 SE Asia 50 West Africa 40 30 20 20 30 40 50 60 Population in largest cities (% urban population) Figure 4. 14. In Latin America people tend to live in large cities. 4.3.1.5.Urbanization In the past, between 1975 to 1995, the urbanization rate was highest in West Africa. Nowadays the rate in West Africa has decreased and the urbanization trend is alike in SE Asia. Even the urbanization is highest in Latin America the urbanization rate is lowest of the study regions, only one third of the rate in other regions. The future urbanization will occur in SE Asia and West Africa. Urbanization rate in study regions Urbanization rate (%) 3 West Africa 2.5 2 1.5 SE Asia 1 0.5 Latin America 0 1975-1995 1995-2015 Time (years) Figure 4. 15. Urbanization rate is similar nowadays in West Africa and SE Asia. 4.3.1.6.HIV HIV has a big effect on regions’ population growth and life expectancy. The effect is biggest in Africa where the age difference can be almost nine years. The situation is almost as bad in Asia. In Latin America the affect of HIV to life expectancy is not so notable. Anyway the situation is getting worse in all the regions and more people will get HIV/AIDS contagion. During 2001 it is estimated that in Latin America 180 000, South & South- East Asia 800 000 and Sub Saharan Africa 4.4 million adults and children will be newly infected to HIV. Due to this the decreasing influence to the population growth especially in Africa is evident (Unicef 2001). 1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015 Asia without AIDS 62.8 64.9 68.9 Asia with AIDS 56.9 57.5 60.4 Difference 5.9 7.4 8.5 Latin America without AIDS 66.9 68.2 70.7 Latin America with AIDS 66.1 67.2 69.5 Difference 0.8 1 1.2 Africa without AIDS 54.8 57.1 61.2 Africa with AIDS 48.3 48.2 52.4 Difference 6.5 8.9 8.8 Figure 4. 16. Aids have an effect on the people’s life expectancy. (PDDESA 2001) 4.3.2. Water 4.3.2.1.Wastewater treatment Wastewater treatment is not common in any of the study regions, but the percentage of treated water is biggest in Latin America, where about 24 per cent of the wastewater are treated. The situation is very bad in West Africa and South- East Asia where the percentage of wastewater treatment is only 14 per cent. This means that the main part of the waste waters from households and industries are going straight to the water bodies. W astewater treated and urbanization Urban population (% total) 100 90 80 70 Latin A merica 60 SE A sia W estA frica 50 40 30 10 15 20 W astewatertreated (% ) 25 Figure 4. 17. Wastewater treatment is most common in Latin America. 4.3.2.2.Water use for different sectors Agriculture is the main consumer of water in all the regions and irrigation is the principal reason for this high consumption. The percentage used for agriculture is highest in South- East Asia, where almost 90 per cent of the water withdrawals are used for this sector. In Latin America and West Africa the consumption of water for agriculture is at similar level but not as high than in SE Asia. Domestic use is the second biggest consumer sector and it is especially high in West Africa, where it is one fourth of the total use. This sector is not so big in every region, for example, in SE Asia the water withdrawals for domestic use is only seven per cent. The water use for industry sector is biggest in Latin America where it is around ten per cent, which tells about the high production. Industry sector is lowest in SE Asia, only four per cent. Freshwater withdrawals for different sectors 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Domestic Industry Agriculture Latin America SE Asia West Africa Figure 4. 18. Freshwater withdrawals for different sectors in study regions. 4.3.2.3.Water pollution from different sectors In all the regions food industry is the main water polluter, thus, the effect has decreased in Latin America and SE Asia in last twenty years. Especially in SE Asia the decreasing has been considerable. Textile industry is the second biggest polluter but it has also decreased from the past. The trend is different with pulp and paper, which have increased, except in West Africa. Even food industry is the main polluter in the all regions it is highest in West Africa and lowest in SE Asia. The effects of pulp and paper are biggest in SE Asia and lowest in West Africa. The textile industry is the biggest polluter in Latin America compared to other regions. Water pollution from different sectors 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Others Paper and pulp Textile industry Food industry 1980 1998 Latin America 1980 1998 Se Asia 1980 1998 West Africa Figure 4. 19. Water pollution from different sectors. (See also appendix 8.) 4.3.3. Economy 4.3.3.1.Purchasing power parity, PPP Normally the PPP (purchasing power parity adjusted gross domestic product) in a country follows urbanization, which means that higher the urbanization, higher the PPP. (Especially in Singapore this trend has occurred clearly). In Latin America the PPP is almost twice as high than in SE Asia and three times higher than in West Africa. The last named trend has occurred in other regions than in West Africa, where the urbanization has grown but the PPP has not shown any sign of increase. In South-East Asia the trend has been more positive and due to this it can be projected to move towards the Latin America’s trend in the future. Especially this increasing trend can be seen in Thailand and Malaysia. PPP and urbanization Urban population (%total ) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 Latin America SE ASia 30 20 West Africa 10 0 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 PPP ( current international $) Figure 4. 20. Purchasing power parity is highest in Latin America. ( See also appendix 9.) 4.3.3.2.Average household income The biggest average household income in the study regions is in Latin America, where the amount is about 6100 $ in year. This is remarkably higher than in other regions. The income in South- East Asia is half of this and only one fifth in West Africa. Even the situation is not so good in SE Asia than in Latin America it is better than in West Africa, where the amount of average household income is less than half of the SE Asia’s. Average household income and urbanization Urban population (%total) 100 90 80 Latin America 70 SE Asia 60 West Africa 50 40 30 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Average household income $ 7000 Figure 4. 21. The average household income is higher in SE Asia than West Africa. 4.3.3.3.Commercial energy use The commercial energy use is highest in Latin America thus the usage in South-East Asia is not far. Particularly in Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore the use is even higher than in many Latin American countries. The growing trend is similar in SE Asia than in Latin America. In West Africa the commercial energy use is much lower than in other regions and it has stayed almost stagnant from many years even the urbanization has grown. Urban population ( %total ) Commercial energy use and urbanization 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Latin America West Africa Se Asia 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 Kg of oil equivalent ( per capita ) Figure 4. 22. Commercial energy use is highest in a few SE Asian countries. ( See also appendix 10.) 4.3.4. Level of living 4.3.4.1.School enrolment (secondary) The school enrolment in SE Asia is already on the same level than in Latin America even the urbanization is lower. This is one really important factor when projecting SE Asia’s future. School enrolment will be one of the main factors in the development of SE Asia. In West Africa the school enrolment is still very low and the growing trend is almost non-existing. The growing trend in SE Asia is similar to that in Latin America. Urban population ( % total ) School enrolment (secondary) and urbanization 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Latin America SE Asia West Africa 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 School enrolment (%) Figure 4. 23. School enrolment is similar in SE Asia as in Latin America. ( See also appendix 11.) 4.3.4.2.Travel time to work In Latin America the travel time to work is shortest of the study regions, average 27 minutes. Anyway this is the average and in many cities the situation is different, for example, in Montevideo and Buenos Aires the travel time is 45 minutes due to enormous traffic and city population. The situations are different in many SE Asian and West African cities, where the travel times are easily more than 40 minutes. In these regions the situation is worst in Bangkok, Lagos, Bangui and Yangon, where the travelling to work takes over 60 minutes. This is mainly due to lack of finance, roads, space, vehicles, gasoline and bridges. Travel time to work and urbanization Urban population (%total) 100 90 80 Latin America 70 SE Asia 60 West Africa 50 40 30 25 30 35 40 Travel time to work (minutes) 45 Figure 4. 24. Travel time to work is shortest in Latin America. 4.3.4.3.Pregnant women receiving prenatal care In Latin America about 80 per cent of the women population enjoys prenatal care, which is relatively lot. Also in SE Asia the percentage is high, only few percents lower than in Latin America. In those regions the service is quite well organized and this is also one reason for lower fertility rates. The situation in West Africa is different. There only 62 per cent of the female population are under prenatal care system. On the other hand, this percentage is high, when considering West African household income and other similar factors. Pregnant women receiving prenatal care and urbanization Urban population (% total) 100 90 80 Latin America 70 SE Asia 60 West Africa 50 40 30 60 65 70 75 80 Pregnant women receiving prenatal care ( % total) Figure 4. 25. Prenatal care is poorest in West Africa. 4.3.4.4.Electricity The percentage of households supplied by electricity is highest in SE Asia, where the percentage is high, even 92 per cent. In Latin America the electricity facilities are on a quite similar level, only few per cents lower. In West Africa the percentage is again much lower, less than half of the population has electricity service. Electricity and urbanization Urban population (%total) 100 90 80 70 Latin America 60 SE Asia 50 West Africa 40 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Electricity (%) Figure 4. 26. Electricity is best served in SE Asia. 4.3.4.5.Telephone Telephone services are at similar level in SE Asia and Latin America, where about 60 per cent of the population are served with telephone connections. However in both regions there are countries where telephone is served with notably lower percent. The percentage in West Africa is remarkably lower, only less than ten per cent of the people in the whole region enjoy telephone services. Telephone and urbanization U rban population (% total) 100 90 80 70 Latin Am erica 60 SE Asia W estAfrica 50 40 30 0 20 40 Telephone (% ) 60 80 Figure 4. 27. Telephone services are very poorly offered in West Africa. 4.3.5. Employees in different sectors 4.3.5.1.Employees in agriculture The amount of employees in agriculture is high in West Africa and SE Asia. The percentage is highest in West Africa where three fourths of the population are working in the agricultural sector. In SE Asia almost half of the population works with this sector and in Latin America the amount is even lower, only 15 per cent. In West Africa one different factor is that female works with the agriculture more often than males. This is not the case in other regions. The agriculture as an employment is the most important for West African people and least important for Latin America. Urban population ( % total ) Employees in agriculture and urbanization 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Latin America SE Asia West Africa 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Employee in agriculture ( % of economic.active) 90 Figure 4. 28. Agriculture is the main employer in West Africa. ( See also appendices 12-14.) 4.3.5.2.Employees in industry Industry is also a big employer in the study regions. In Latin America, which is economically more developed, more people are working with the industry than in other regions. Anyhow the situation in SE Asia is not much different and the percentage of employees in this sector is just few per cents lower. The difference is big when comparing West Africa and Latin America. The per cent of people in industry sector in Latin America is four times the percentage than in West Africa. In every region male are more common workers in the industry, still the difference is not so significant, except in Latin America. Urban poputation (%total) Employees in industry and urbanization 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Latin America SE Asia West Africa 5 15 25 35 45 Employee in industry ( % of economic. active Figure 4. 29. Industry sector is biggest in Latin America. ( See also appendices 15-17.) 4.3.5.3.Employees in service Service is the most important sector in Latin America, where the percentage of people working in this sector is average 65 per cent, which is very high. In Latin America females are more likely to work in the service sector. This similar trend is also occurring in other regions. In SE Asia service is also an important employer, one third of the employees are working in this sector. In West Africa service is not that important, the percentage of employees in service in SE Asia is twice as high than in West Africa. Urban population (%total) Employees in service and urbanization 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Latin America SE Asia West Africa 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 Employee in service (% of Figure 4. 30. Service is the main employer in Latin America. ( See also appendices 18-20.) 4.3.5.4.Unemployment The unemployment rate in SE Asia is lower than in Latin America. Unemployment seems to be decreasing in SE Asia with urbanization. In Latin America the trend is not so positive the decreasing trend seems to be reverse. The unemployment among the young population is lowest in the SE Asia. It is twice as high in Latin America, although it has started to decline. Unemployment is highest among the young females in both of the regions. The data of unemployment in West Africa was not available. Urban population (%total) Unemployment and urbanization 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 SE Asia Latin America 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Unemployment (% total) Figure 4. 31. Unemployment is higher in Latin America than SE Asia. ( See also appendices 21-22.) 4.3.6. Summary When comparing study regions by different factors, it can be seen that South-East Asia is different from the other regions in a positive way. The urbanization in South-East Asia is similar to West Africa’s and remarkably lower than in Latin America. With these facts it may be assumed that the signs will be most positive in more developed Latin America and similar in South- East Asia and West Africa. Anyway the case is not like that because South- East Asia shows many factors that are in the same level than in Latin America and better than in West Africa. Fertility rate is lowest in South- East Asia compared to other study regions. In SE Asia the trend, which is normally seen in developed countries, is occurring already- the higher the urbanization, the lower the fertility rate. This will have a strong effect on SE Asia’s population growth in the future. Life expectancy is also high in South- East Asia although little less than the average in Latin America. Life expectancy is increasing in every study region, thus, not so rapidly in West Africa, where the life expectancy is lowest of the regions. This means that the quality of life and food and proper healthcare are increasing in all the areas. The age structure is also different in West Africa. In South- East Asia and Latin America the amount of middle-aged and elderly people is increasing, like in the developed areas. The trend is different in West Africa where young population seems to be increasing and the percentage of older people is even decreasing. Because of this the population growth is evident in West Africa. Even the fertility rate will decrease the percentage of fertile people is higher than in other study regions. Even the urbanization is highest in Latin America the situation may be different in the future. The urbanization rate in Latin America has been decreasing and nowadays it is lower than in West Africa and Latin America. The urbanization rate has been highest in the past in West Africa but it has decreased to the same level than in South- East Asia. From this it can be estimated that the urbanization trend in these both regions will be similar. Because the speed of urbanization has decreased from the past in both regions the urbanization won’t be so high in the future than it is in Latin America. School enrolment in South-East Asia and Latin America is almost in the same level, even the urbanization level is different. In West Africa the level of school enrolment is very poor and the growing trend is almost non-existing. In South- East Asia the growing trend of the school enrollment is really rapid compared to urbanization growth. This is really positive for SE Asia and with this fact fair estimations of the region can be made about the positive future, urbanization and its affects. The average household income, PPP and commercial energy use are lowest in West Africa and highest in Latin America, and these factors are not so low in South- East Asia either. In South- East Asia all these factors are in growing trend which is positive. In West Africa increasing is not occurring and the factors seem to stay stagnant even the urbanization is growing rapidly. The main facilities like telephone and electricity is served worst in West Africa. In South- East Asia these facilities are properly served and the rates are highest from the study regions. Agriculture is the main employer in West Africa and South-East Asia. In these regions the percentages of people working in the service and industry sectors are lower but still remarkably, especially in South-East Asia. In Latin America the service and industry sectors are more common than agriculture. This shows clearly the stages of developing. In the developed regions agriculture is the minor employer and the service is the major. Development means in other worlds changing from agricultural society to service society. This has happened already in Latin America and will happen soon in South- East Asia. West Africa is still far away from this change. As a summary of all these factors it can be projected that the future in South-East Asia will be different from that in Latin America or West Africa. Almost all the factors are more positive in SE Asia when taking account regions urbanization and economic factors. Even the urbanization level is similar than in West Africa, the other factors are far above. South-East Asia is almost in the same level than the Latin America with many factors, which is positive. Due to these factors South-East Asia will be in better position to control urbanization and environmental problems. This will change the future trend, and SE Asia will not reach the Latin American levels. The situation of West Africa is not so rosy; they have to fight first with the basic problems before they can struggle with the environmental factors. Due to this urbanization will grow uncontrolled and urban and rural planning will be non-existing, which will make the environmental problems worse in the future. In the figure below some of the indexes are collected to help comparing the factors between the regions. In this table the regions’ most positive index is marked with plus (+), next positive with zero (0), and the worst with minus (-). The total presents the basic trend of each region. From the results of the table it can be said that the situation is best in Latin America, but as said in the beginning the situation in SE Asia is not so bad either. Unfortunately the direction of West Africa is the worst and positive trend cannot be seen. Fertility rate Life expectancy Age structure Pop.in largest cities Urbanization rate HIV Wastewater treatment PPP Av.household income Commer.energy use School enrolment Travel time Prenatal care Electricity Telephone Unemployment Total Latin America SE Asia West Africa 0 + + + + + + + + + + + 0 + + + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 0 0 - Figure 4. 32. Summary of the indexes. 5. CASE STUDY OF BANGKOK 5.1 Geography and Climate Bangkok, which is mega-city of South-East Asia, has been the capital of Thailand already 221 years. Thailand is a democratic monarchy in the hearth of South East Asia and it shares borders with Burma, Laos, Cambodia and Malaysia. Bangkok is located to the fertile Central Plains of Thailand, which is very rich rice growing region. BMR is extremely flat, extensively irrigated, and very rich agriculturally. The city is situated on the banks of Chao Phraya River, which is highly navigable river and gives a good access to the open seas. The center of Bangkok is about 50 river kilometers north of the Gulf of Thailand (MWWA 1969, Cummings 1999). Bangkok lies in the humid tropics and lasts hot throughout the year. There are three main seasons in the region: the cool season (November to February), the hot season (April to May), and the rainy season (June to October). These seasons are depending on the monsoon rains in any given year and they have a strong effect on habitant’s lives. The average annual rainfall in Bangkok region is 1,482 millimeters (Thailand in a Nutshell 2001, Thadanithi 1998). Picture 5. 1. View of Bangkok. 5.2 Economy Thailand was affected with the South East Asian’s recent economic crisis. However, the economy process is recovering today and now the economic in the whole country has an annual growth of six per cent. One of the reasons for this economy boom is manufacturing export goods rather than relying simply on agricultural production. There are also many other important factors as fiscal policy, direct foreign and domestic investments, well educated labor force and the growth of tourism. Thailand’s major products are jewels, gems, garments, computers and integrated circuits. Country’s major trading partners are the ASEAN, USA and EU (TDRI 1990, Thailand in a Nutshell 2001). During the last decade, half of the total national economic growth in Thailand was due to activities in Bangkok and its vicinity. Bangkok is the center for industrialization and the country’s foreign trade. The city is the center of Thailand’s distribution network and the largest consumer market. Export industries are also located in Bangkok due to the port facilities. Unlike other cities in the developing countries, commercialization is a major factor for the growth of Bangkok rather than industrialization (Brookfield and Byron 1993, Thadanithi 1998). 5.3 Population The population of Bangkok has increased slowly in the past until year 1975. After this, in last 25 years, the city has changed a lot due to the international effect. The population of the city was only 1,5 million before Bangkok became a destination for American servicemen during Vietnam War. The U.S dollars attracted rural poor and development began. The city grew more than 8.5 million in 25 years. This is nearly 15 percent of the country’s population and 40 times the size of any other city in Thailand. Today 69 per cent of urban population in the country is located in Bangkok (Cummings 1999). Population in Bangkok 7000000 Population 6000000 5000000 4000000 Population 3000000 2000000 1000000 0 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 Time (years) Figure 5. 1. Population in Bangkok. The population of Bangkok City is nowadays about 10 million but it is projected to increase to 12.6 million by year 2010. In extended BMR the population was 12 million in year 1990, and it is estimated to be even 17 million by year 2010. This shows that the Bangkok suburban is growing faster than the city center. The population density in the city is 3,700 persons per km2, which is highest rate in Asia (TDRI 1990). 5.3.1 Urbanization In the past Thailand had among the lowest levels of urbanization in Asia but nowadays Thailand is about to enter a period of rapid urbanization. It is estimated that between 1990 to 2010 the net increase in rural population in Thailand will be 0.3 million, while urban population will increase by 15 million. Because of this fact it is possible that Thailand will reach the urbanization level of 60 to 70 per cent by 2025, even the urbanization is at present around 27 per cent (TDRI 1990, Awang et al.1994, Pernia and Alabastro 1997). 5.3.2 Migration Over-population in Bangkok is mostly caused by uncontrolled migration from rural areas. Due to strong urban pull and rural push people continue to move in Bangkok. In Bangkok migrants have more work opportunities and better facilities than in rural areas. Migrants work normally with production, sales and service. In Thailand males are more likely to migrate to Bangkok than women. The migration is mostly concentrated in educated people or young adults, between 15-29 years (Thailand in a Nutshell 2001, Bilsborrow 1998c). About one third of all internal migration to Bangkok is temporary and these flows are dominated by males. Migration can also change with seasons, economic trends and the amount of work opportunities. For example, when economy collapsed in 1997 many people moved back to the countryside and sold their cars, which on the other hand helped Bangkok’s traffic and population problems. Anyway the economy bounced back in 1999, and the again the migration started to increase the population of Bangkok as well as the problems (Thailand in a Nutshell 2001, Bilsborrow 1998c). 5.3.2.1 Push and pull factors The main push factors for people to move to Bangkok are deforestation, loss of biological diversity, soil erosion, flooding, constructions, waters shortages and other natural resource related problems. Most of the reasons are somehow connected with the environment or economy. For example the northeastern region in Thailand is losing population because of poverty, few economic opportunities, and declining in potential earning from agriculture (Suphapodok and Chueyprasit 1994, Awang et al.1994). Bangkok is a big commercial center and attracts people. It seems very fancy and full of economical opportunities for poor people. Already the name of the city Khrung thep, “The City of Angels” reflects the positiveness and safety of the city. At least some part of this image is true because the possibility for poor people to have better level of living is higher in Bangkok than in rural areas (Sajor 2001). 5.3.2.2 Policies to reduce migration to Bangkok For the last two decades, the policy of Thai government has tried to reduce the migration flows to Bangkok. Migration is seen as the main factor deteriorating the environmental and social situations associated with the rapid population growth. Until the early 1990s the main policy was to develop growth centers in each of the main regions of Thailand to invite people move to them instead of Bangkok. In 1992, policies were also adopted to hold back seasonal migration to Bangkok by work and training schemes during the dry season in areas of high seasonal out-migration (Bilsborrow 1998c). 5.4 Water resources 5.4.1 Water supply Domestic and industrial water supplies in the BMR are provided by combination of groundwater and surface waters. In the outlying areas of Bangkok water supply systems are mainly groundwaterbased while the systems supplying central Bangkok area are undergoing a transition from the groundwater based system to fully integrated, surface water based system of the future. This is very important to the city because the use of groundwater is already over the supply. The water supply has become fragile in the city, because groundwater aquifers in and around Bangkok are gradually depleted and surface waters (rivers) have become unsuitable, due to industrial and domestic wastes. At least 100.000 persons are estimated to obtain water straight from canals and waterways that are grossly polluted by human waste and industrial effluent (TDRI 1990). MWA is responsible for pipe water supplies in Bangkok and surrounding towns. Despite considerable expansion of the distribution system in last years, the MWA is still able to supply only 43 per cent of the area and 66 per cent of the population under responsibility. Public, or piped water, is lacking particularly in the urban fringe of Bangkok. Growing sources of demand for pipe water in BMR include domestic, commercial and industrial establishments (TDRI 1990). 5.4.2 Demand of water During the 1980s the water demand for MWA in Bangkok was 282 million cubic meters per year. The demand grew at the rate of 8 per cent annum, to 2.1 billion cubic meters per year by 2000. Biggest part of this used water is discharged for BMR industries and households. The whole country’s water demand is 53 billion cubic meters per year, but even 90 per cent of this amount are needed for irrigation. The demand is estimated to grow to 70 billion cubic meters per year in the next 10 years mainly due to expanding irrigation and tourism (TDRI 1990, Pattanee 2001). 5.4.3 Waste water treatment and sanitation The problem is striking in Bangkok where the development of sanitary and water supply facilities cannot match the rapid industrialization and population growth. In the Chao Phraya River, which is the main surface water source in BMR, the water quality has been increasingly deteriorated since more population has settled along it and used the river as a sink to discharge domestic and industrial wastes. The main pollutant sources to Chao Phraya River are factories, households and restaurants (Dai 1997, Klemmensen et al.2000). The existing household water treatment capacity in Bangkok serves only about 2 per cent of the people. Normally the wastewater from most households is deposited to septic tanks, cesspools, and then discharged storm water drains. The domestic effluent accounts 75 per cent of the pollutants discharged into the Chao Praya River (BOD load), while factories account only 25 per cent. Among the non-industrial sources household effluents account for over 54 per cent of the pollution, restaurants markets, hospitals, hotels, dormitories are responsible for 46 per cent (Klemmensen et al.2000, Kasarda and Parnell 1993). Most of the factories in Bangkok use old and heavily resource-demanding machinery. In Thailand there are 76.000 companies, which are registered as polluting factories. Still only 10 per cent of these factories have wastewater treatment and the biggest part of them are concentrated in the Bangkok region. Although large factories are required to install water treatment facilities, this does not apply for many medium and small sized plants which normally discharge their effluents straight to rivers and water bodies (Klemmensen et al.2000, Kasarda and Parnell 1993). 5.4.3.1 The quality of water The water standards are dependent on the needed purpose: natural beauty, coral conservation, tourism, domestic or industrial use. The inner Gulf of Thailand, nearest to Bangkok region, is declared as an industrial zone and the water standards for it do not have standard for chromium, zinc, nickel or copper. The standardization makes production and pollution much easier for the companies and similarly deteriorates the quality of the seawater (Klemmensen et al.2000). The quality of water in Bangkok central area Klongs is less than satisfactory. The water is black with pollution and unable to support marine life. The canals are suffering from oxygen deficiency and they often give off offensive odors. The result of water quality monitoring in Chao Phraya River showed (during the dry season) that at least the lower part of the river is in crisis. DO was lower than the recommended standard for household purposes. Also BOD did not meet the standards and either faecal choliform bacteria, mercury, heavy metals, or chemical fertilizers (Ross and Pongsomlee 1992, Dai 1997). 5.4.4 Flooding The location of Bangkok is bad for flooding. The city is located to deltaic plain of the Chao Phraya River, which suffers flooding during the monsoon season. The main reason for this is that the ground levels in the city rank only 0.5 to 1.7 meters above mean sea level. Other reason is that natural drainage system and irrigation canals have been filled as a part of the malaria eradication program and to make way for roads. Due to this and poorly maintained storm sewers, the remaining canals cannot cope with the runoff on an ever increasing impervious surface area. Dikes, pumps and water gates are already under construction in eastern Bangkok to provide protection for the people in flooded areas (Awang et al.1994, Thadanithi 1998, Klemmensen et al.2000). 5.4.5 Subsidence Unlimited exploitation of aquifers can lead to land subsidence. In 1982, groundwater extraction from deep aquifers in Bangkok equaled 1.4 million cubic meters per day, far exceeding the estimated safe limit of 600 thousand cubic meters, through natural recharge. As a result of this, piezometric levels in the wells have been declining rapidly and the ground level has subsided by more than 0.5 meters. Some parts of the city subsidence have been 10 centimeters per year. Overuse of groundwater supply is worst in central and eastern Bangkok (Kasarda and Parnell 1993, Awang et al.1994). In Bangkok the total groundwater use is 2 million cubic meters per year, where from industry uses 1.5 million cubic meters. Furthermore industry may use as much as 1.6 million cubic meters in unreported underground pumping. Industries heavy reliance on groundwater is due to lack of access to piped water, unreliability or insufficiency of the piped water supplies and the lower cost of groundwater. The private cost of groundwater pumping is 2 baht per cubic meters while average rate of pipe water is 6 baht per cubic meter (Sajor 2001, TDRI 1990). Subsidence is not the only problem when considering groundwater pumping, salt-water intrusion has become one of the major problems of groundwater. The rapid lowering of the water table by excessive extraction of groundwater has caused the shallow aquifers in Bangkok to become contaminated by salt water from the nearby ocean (UNEP 1997). 5.4.6 Water resources management In the past, Thailand did not pay much attention on water resources management. Water had been plentiful supply and one could have easily obtained almost any amount of water from the rivers, lakes, canals and rainfalls. Most of water programs were then dedicated to water resources development. Such a trend continued even when the population had rapidly increased over the past few decades and economic activities had significantly expanded. Today the quality of water in Bangkok is mainly controlled by environmental laws and end-of-pipe-solutions. The controlling is inadequate and the financing is too low. For example, Thailand spends less than 0.24 per cent of the GNP on environmental protection, compared to 1.2 per cent by OECD countries ( Pattanee 2001, Klemmensen et al.2000, TDRI 1990). Environment and water problems are also controlled by EIA. The government demands EIA for constructions, industries and projects, which are though to be hazardous for environment. Because of corruption and social relations the per cent of EIAs which are done is not so high. Corruption is very high in Bangkok and South East Asia. For Example in Philippines 10 per cent of country’s GDP is going to corruption (Laaksonen 2001). 5.5 Environment Environmental deterioration in Bangkok is caused by: • High development without adequate provision of mass transit and inadequate road network has led to traffic congestion. • High water demand without adequate municipal water supply and inappropriate price structure has led to excessive groundwater pumping and consequent land subsidence. • • High development and population growth without adequate drainage and sewerage have led to flooding and water pollution. Industrial development without adequate pollution control, investment and enforcement has led to increased air, water and solid waste pollution (TDRI 1990). 5.5.1 Solid waste Total daily production of solid wastes in BMR is about 5.400 tons. Even domestic sources are the main producers of solid wastes industrial plants produce big part of the total amount, 40.000-60.000 tons of hazardous wastes yearly. Almost 84 per cent of the population in Bangkok have service of solid waste disposal. This means either door-to-door or block collection. If there is no disposal system available, uncollected thrash is generally thrown into vacant plots while some are directly dumped to canals and rivers (TDRI 1990). Bangkok relies principally on open dumping or open burning for solid waste disposed. Only 40 percent of solid wastes are decomposed. The small budget of BMA limits the improvement of the inefficient decomposing plants. The toxic wastes require special treatment before being released into the environment. Unfortunately the existing regulation relating to toxic waste disposal is not enforced effectively (TDRI 1990, DESIPAPD 1995, Ross and Poungsomlee1992). 5.5.2 Lack of infrastructure City planning in Bangkok is very poor, which has resulted to a city where factories and buildings were constructed without prior plans for utilities and services. Infrastructure in BMR is an severe threat to continuing economic expansion. Roads, telecommunications, water and sewerage supply and transportation are already responsible for considerable economy losses in the form of congestion and pollution costs. When industrialization and urbanization grows in the future the adequate infrastructure will be more and more important. There are three major routes to Bangkok, towards east, north and west. Urbanization is highest near these routes. Between these routes the infrastructure is very poor, although the entire region suffers from inadequate infrastructure (PDA 2001, TDRI 1990). 5.5.2.1 Housing In Bangkok there are over 2 million households and from these about 235.000 households are situated in slum and squatter settlements. The total slum population in the city is more than 1.3 million and the growth rate is 2.4 per cent annum. Due to high growth rate the amount of slum population will be even higher in the future. The people living in the slum areas cover a big part of the city’s population, even 11 per cent (Ross and Poungsomlee 1992). Slum areas are homes for poor people, migrants and refugees from environmentally bad areas. For example floods and highway constructions have forced many people to move to Bangkok. Many slum areas are based in the government’s land and are illegal. This makes habitants future unsafe and gives unsure feeling for them (Laaksonen 2001). 5.5.2.1.1 Organization of slum area in Bangkok Samakee Phattana Community, Rom Klan, Bangkok (Laaksonen 2001). People who are living in Rom Klan are mostly migrants from the poorest North- Eastern region of Thailand. Their housings are non-permanent because the land is owned by government. Still there have been 498 housing units in the area for 1500 people, already for 9 to 10 years. Facilities Electricity to the area is bought from neighborhood village, which buys it from the government and sells it by higher price. Gas is bought and used for cooking. Solid waste collection is organized and it costs 20 baht per month (about 0,5US$). Hired people collect solid wastes and take them outside from the area, where municipality is disposing it. Many of the people in the area have nonpermanent job and unemployment is high, even they have moved to the city for better job opportunities. Water Water supply is either bought from vendors or groundwater is pumped from the community’s own wells. Flooding is big problem in the area due to a swampy ground and pond to where the wastewater is discharged. Wastewater is conveyed straight to the near pond without any treatment. People also use the water from the pond for irrigation, playing and fishing, which gives a big health risk especially for children. Anyway the wastewater treatment is planned to be true in near future. Organization of community This community is very organized partly because habitants are from the same origin and they have feeling of togetherness and cooperation. The community has its own leadership-habitants have chosen 30 committee members, which determinates about water supply, solid waste collection, and electricity matters. The community has also made plans for the future about wastewater treatment, drainage, solid waste and tap water. Also small health center is planned with volunteers and twice a week doctor visits. The education will be organized by training courses and clubs, for example sewing club. This community has become so arranged since community has known the problems, and outside NGO has given the ideas, not funds to tackle with the problems. This kind of co-operation is good as it forces people to work for their rights. Anyway all cooperation is essential, for example birth certifications are provided by the near hospital. The major part in this organization is still the effort of its own habitants. They have elected the committee for 4 years period to organize the problems occurred in the community. Many problems are solved with co-operation among the habitants. For example safety in the region is based on mutual co-operation. 5.5.2.2 Traffic Bangkok has seen the rise of the traffic problems, especially during peak hours. Traffic congestion in the city is a problem due to uncontrolled automobile growth, low fuel prices, lack of effective mass transit system, inadequate road networks and private car oriented traffic system. The number of vehicles has reached to over 2 million cars and 900.000 motor cycles. Traffic speed in the inner zone of Bangkok during the peak hours is only 8-5 km/hour. The economic losses in Bangkok due to traffic jams are high, 275 million $ (Suphapodok and Chueyprasit 1994, Awang et al.1994). About 80 per cent of the air pollution from the traffic is coming from the public transportation, mostly busses. The use of public transportation is enormous more than 5 million trips are made by public transport daily. Most of the busses are in very bad condition and pollution is visible. Private cars are mostly new and in good shape because they are very expensive and only rich people can afford them. Long-Tail boats, which work as ferries in the Klongs, are also in bad shape and their engines are highly polluting (Laaksonen 2001, UN 1995). Picture 5. 2.The Bangkok traffic in daytime, when the congestion is lowest. 5.5.2.2.1 Air pollution Levels of carbon monoxide and oxidants in the Bangkok air are twice the amount recommended by WHO. Also Nitrogen dioxide levels are too high. Both of these particles are harmful for human health, they affect visibility, irrigate lung tissue causing long-term disorders and cancer. Air pollution is highest in the early mornings, when the traffic conditions are heavy and the air is calm. Noise levels in the city are also all above the internationally accepted level of 70 dBa (Ross and Poungsomlee1992). 1. 6. CASE STUDY OF MEXICO CITY 6.1.Geography and climate Mexico City is located in the south central part of Mexico. The country is situated between North America and Central America and it shares borders with USA, Guatemala and Belize. Mexico City, the capital of Mexico, lies in the Valley of Mexico, a basin at an altitude averaging 2,240m. The Valley is ringed by a series of mountain ranges and it is an old lake. At the colonial time, when the Spanish came they decided to enlarge the city and convey water away from the lake. Mexico City is the center of the Federal District, which was created around the capital city in 1824 (Avila 2001, Mexico City 2001c, Mexico City 2001d). Mexico City is located in a tropical climatic zone but because of the high altitude, there is only narrow range of temperatures. The average temperature in the city is relatively low, 16° C. The city has three main seasons: mild (October to March), dry and hot (April to late May) and rainy season (June to September). The annual rainfall in the city is 850 mm and during the rainy season 80 per cent of this rainfall occurs (Climate information 2001, Mexico City 2001c). Picture 6. 1. View of Mexico City. 6.2. Economy Mexico City dominates the whole country’s economy. The Federal District of Mexico City produces a significant portion of the total GDP of the country, for example, 12 percent in the year 1998. Mexico City is the center of manufacturing, and contains about 45 percent of the nation's industrial production. Manufactures include textiles, chemicals and pharmaceuticals, electrical and electronic items, steel, and transportation equipment. In addition, foodstuffs and light consumer goods are produced. The city is also important in Mexico's banking and finance industries (Mexico City 2001b). 6.3.Population Since 1950 the population growth in Mexico City has been rapid. The city grew 4.2 percent a year, which was due to migration from the provinces and a high birth rate in the city. During 1980 to 1990 the annual growth rate decreased in the city to only 0.9 percent which hit the brakes for the rapid population growth. This was mainly due to government’s population control policy (Mexico City 2001e). Population Population in Mexico City 18000000 16000000 14000000 12000000 10000000 8000000 6000000 4000000 2000000 0 1940 Population 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 Time (years) Figure 6. 1. Population in Mexico City. The population of Mexico City proper was 9.8 million in 1995 and the population in the whole metropolitan area reached 16.9 million at that time. The population density in the city is more than 6,600 persons per km2. In the past, the city center was by far the most densely settled part of the city. However, since the 1940s the outlying areas have absorbed most of the population increase (Mexico City 2001e). 6.3.1. Urbanization Land in Mexico City is being urbanized in a rapid rate and nowadays Mexico City contains 20 per cent of the population in Mexico. The urban population in the city is still increasing due to migration and natural increase. During 1950 to1970 the big part of the city’s population growth was caused by rural migration. The reason for this migration was industrialization and need for employees in the city. Since 1980 the population growth has been increasing both by migration and natural increase (Avila 2001, DESIPAPD 1995). 6.3.2. Migration About 70 per cent of the Mexico City’s family heads are originally from rural areas. They have moved to Mexico City metropolitan area from places with less than 5,000 inhabitants. The rest of the population is born in the Federal District, either as sons or daughters of rural migrants, or they are inhabitants of the small towns, which are now part of the southern residential area of the city. About 70 percent of the migrants moved with they families and the rest, 30 per cent, were single (Avila 2001). 6.3.2.1. Push and pull factors The primary push factors for people in Mexico are lack of arable land, land deterioration and diminution of the land area per farmer. Also the lack of education and unqualification for nonagricultural works decrease the employment opportunities in the rural areas and force people to move to the cities and work in factories or informal sector (Avila 2001, Mexico City 2001b). Pull factors are high in Mexico. Many people come to Mexico City in the search of better live, better services and health care. Usually these people end up working in factories or in informal sector because they are often unskilled workers. Many migrants follow the pull of their relatives who already live in the shanty towns. The first-aid housing is commonly arranged with their relatives and sometimes they already have work for their relative migrants (Avila 2001, Mexico City 2001b). 6.4.Water resources 6.4.1. Water supply The population in Mexico City is now about 18 million so the consumed amount of water in the city is enormous. Mexico City’s catchment area is not big enough to supply the demand and the city has to supplement the ground water supplies by bringing water from more distant river systems and pump it to the Valley of Mexico. Only 70 per cent of the water supply is taken from Mexico City area groundwater and springs. The rest, 30 per cent, of the used water is pumped from the other catchment areas. Because of the hills, that surround the city, water has to be pumped to the city. This needs a lot of energy and causes leaking problems (Avila 2001, HABITAT 1996). Mexico City relies currently on groundwater sources for more than 80 per cent of its supplies. The pumping of groundwater exceeds the natural recharge by 50 to 80 per cent. This overuse has led to falling groundwater levels, compaction of aquifer, subsidence of the land, and damage to surface structures. Having outstripped the limits of local groundwater, the city now meets 17 percent of its demand by bringing water from the Cutzamala river system, 127 kilometers away and lifting it 1.200 meters in elevation (Postel 1992). 6.4.1.1.Water leaking About 30 per cent of the water supply in Mexico City is lost in the pumping and conveyance of waters. This is the same percentage that is pumped from the other river basins. By repairing the old pipes and conveyance methods, significant amounts of water and energy could be saved and the use of other river basin’s resources would be smaller or even non-existing (Avila 2001). 6.4.2. Demand of water Water consumption in Mexico City is 364 liters per capita per day, which is 1.4 times higher than the water consumption in the whole country. This means that the total annual consumption of the city is 2,4 billion m3. About 94 percent of residents in MCMA is served by either a piped water connection or a standpipe. In the Federal District the service level, is even higher, 97 per cent. The residents without service must obtain their water from tank trucks, which are supplied either by government or private vendors. The water demand is biggest for domestic use in Mexico City and it takes 67 per cent of the whole water usage. Industries consume 17 percent and commercial and urban services 16 per cent of the total (WSTB 1995, Harday et.al.2001). 6.4.3. Waste water treatment and sanitation About 82 per cent of the residents in the MCMA are connected to the sewer system and six per cent use septic tanks. In MCRA over nine per cent of the population are not served by any kind of drainage system and 3 million people in the peripheral areas lack sewer system. Currently, 90 percent of the municipal wastewater from MCMA remains untreated and is diverted out of the Basin of Mexico through the general drainage system. Industries generate annually an estimated 3 million metric tons of hazardous wastes, of which more than 95 percent are discharged directly into the municipal sewage system. Corruption is very high and the decontamination limitations are low. Even a company has a certification of clean action, the certifications can be bought illegally and the clean discharge is not actually clean (DESIPAPD 1995, Avila 2001). The collected wastewater is mainly pumped and discharged to other river basins and river beds. The water management is Mexico City has caused many of conflicts between near regions and the city. Mexico City as a richer city uses all the available water and gives back wastewater with harmful substances (Avila 2001). 6.4.3.1.Water quality The State of Mexico has reported that 23 per cent of its 242 water supply wells do not meet the standards for coliform bacteria, and 11 per cent do not meet the standard for inorganic constituents. An increase in concentration of hydrogen sulfide has also been reported from 21 wells. The main source of surface water in Mexico City, Cutzamala River, has a too high amount of faecal coliform. Although, surface water sources undergo chemical coagulation, filtration, and chlorination, the quality of served water is not often proper. Ground water is normally treated only by chlorination (WSTB 1995). Many irrigation areas outside the Mexico City apply raw sewage channeled from the city to their fields. One district in the southwestern state of Hidalgo receives about 3.5 million m3 of raw sewage every day. Although farmers are prohibited from using this water to irrigate crops that are consumed raw, the prohibition is apparently not always respected or enforced. Some vegetables have found to be highly contaminated with fecal coliforms, posing a direct threat to human health (Postel 1992). 6.4.4. Flooding The city is also especially vulnerable to flooding. Because of the valley location city lacks natural outlets for surface water and water gets easily locked to the city streets. Although many expensive drainage channels have been built, flooding remains a problem during heavy rainfall (UN 1995). 6.4.5. Subsidence Nowadays the use of groundwater in the city is 40 per cent of the total water use, although, this percentage will probably decrease in the future due to overuse of resources. Because of the city’s location on the old lake, groundwater level in Mexico City has been very high. The city has used a lot of groundwater resources and now the groundwater supplies are starting to run low. Due to the unsustainable pumping, the groundwater level in the city has started to decrease, and it is sinking by 1 meter each year (Avila 2001). Mexico City is an extreme case. During the past 70 years the city has sunk 10.7 meters into the filled lake, on which it was built. In the central area subsidence have also been as much as 8-10 meters. Since the soil is mostly clay, the subsidence is even more rapid than with other soil-type. Land subsidence causes structural damage to buildings, roads, railways, and underground pipelines (Postel 1992, Kasarda and Parnell 1993). 6.4.6. Water resources management Mexico City has tried to save water and solve water problems in many ways. The goal of the activities in the city has been cutting of the used water amount per person by pricing, education, retrofitting and efficiency standards. For example, one effort was to replace 350.000 toilets with 6liter models. This saved enough water to meet the needs of 250.000 residents (Postel 1992). 6.5.Environment 6.5.1. Solid wastes More than 10,000 tons of solid waste is generated daily in Mexico City. Over one quarter of these solid wastes is dumped illegally or remains in the streets. Due to this pollutants are accumulation to the back streets and back yards causing health risk for many people, groundwater pollution and unaesthetic look. The health problem is obvious for the people who live in the near dumping places or even in them. Many poor people live in the dumping sites finding accommodation and things to sell from there. (DESIPAP 1995). 6.5.2. Housing Lack of adequate housing has long been a problem in Mexico City, although the situation is better than in other study regions. The average occupation of room in the city is 1.1 persons. About 75 percent of private homes in the Federal District have 3 or more rooms. Housing in the Federal District ranks higher than other parts of the country in terms of qualitative services, such as water and sewage (Mexico City 2001a). 6.5.2.1.Slums Housing standards in Federal District are currently quite high by international standards but on the edge of urbanized area problems start. Housing is substandard, roads are unpaved, electricity hookups are illegal, water supply, sanitation and waste collection are not sufficient. The general economic setting of Mexico City’s slums is extreme poverty (Gugler 1997). Because the price of the land in the central city area is so high, only the high and middle class people can afford to buy land for houses and proper settlements. Poor people have no other choice than to rent a house from slum area or even build their own poor house in the outer city. In the outer city the land is cheaper but it is not often that poor people have an opportunity to buy land even from there. Because of uncertainty and lack of money poor people live in very poor houses and they don’t even want to build formal house before they have secure feeling. The houses are commonly made of cardboard, sheet metal or from other available waste materials (Avila 2001). A typical dwelling consist of a small single room, containing one or two beds shared by the members of the family. The facilities are only gas or petroleum stove and sometimes television. There are few public water taps in the area, which are shared. Public sanitation and drainage are served to some of the people, but more than 80 per cent of the population use the bottom of gully for a latrine. The lack of electricity is normal and roads are usually unpaved (DESIPAPD 1995). 6.5.2.1.1. Slum areas in outer Mexico City (Avila 2001) Need of land Many poor people cannot afford houses, so they have to content themselves with bad settlements. Still they want to get rid of the insecurity and buy cheap land. Because buyable land is not often available at low price, people have to join with different political groups to be able to buy land. These groups sell land to their supporters with small service in return. Poor people have to support the leader and the political group to get the license to buy the land. With the political group poor people also have some voice to demand rights, housing and services. Some people may lose their money to the swindler but the risk has to be taken. Organization with leader During 1960 to 1980 it was typical to have group of poor people with this kind of political leader. The leader was in favor of the government when taking care of the poor people. He also enjoyed the power and support from people. He bought the land from poor farmers, sold the land to the other poor and got also some extra money from government. Even the price that poor people paid was higher than it should be (one third of the prices in the city area) it was the only choice for them. Some of these bad settlements had water service and poor sanitation, but they were often controlled by the leader. People lived under pressure of cheating but this served an opportunity to them. Sexual abuse was not uncommon either. Organization nowadays Nowadays, since 1990, the groups of poor people have started to impugn against these leaders and form groups with themselves. With the group they more easily can have their voice heard. They do not need the leader anymore to get attention from the government. Still even nowadays government doesn’t want to see the poor people and their needs. This is why social and urban movements are getting broader in Mexico City. Environmental problems This government’s undervaluation of poor people and their problems are very harmful also for the environment. The bad settlements do not have any water service; the potable water is bought with very high prices from the dwellers and the wastewater is discharged through the open canals to the rivers. Because the bought water is so expensive the used amount is usually too low compared to the recommendations. This results easily to malnutrition and diseases. The open, polluted channels are also a serious health problem. 6.5.3. Traffic Mexico City, like so many metropolitan areas worldwide, faces problems with traffic and air pollution. Traffic problems are big, despite of large metro and buss services. Even the excellent subway system is extended, it is inadequate to growing demand of daily commuters. Metro is fully used and crowded most hours of the day. In addition, the freeway system has not kept pace with the increased use of automobiles (Mexico City 2001b). 6.5.3.1.Air pollution Comparing to other developing countries mega-cities Mexico City is generally clean. Except the air pollution, which is one of the most serious problems in Mexico City. Metropolitan Mexico City is regarded as one of the cities with the worst air pollution problem on the earth. It is six times higher than the acceptable limit by World Health Authority standards and it reaches harmful levels more than half of the days each year (DESIPAPD 1995, Mexico City 2001a). Traffic problems and industry are the main reasons for air pollution. Automobile pollution accounts 67 per cent of all air pollution in the city. It has reduced visibility for more than 12 km in 30 years. Part of this pollution is also due to the location of the city. City is surrounded by mountains so the smog often remains trapped in the valley basin. Almost 90 per cent of the respiratory infection and illnesses in the city originate from air pollution (Mexico City 2001a, Girardet 1996). 7. CASE STUDY OF LAGOS 7.1.Geography and climate Lagos is the biggest and most important city in the Federation of Nigeria. The country, which is located in the coast of West Africa, consists of 30 states. Nigeria shares borders with Benin, Cameroon and Niger. Lagos is the main city of Lagos State, which is situated in the southwestern coast of Nigeria. The Metropolitan area of Lagos takes up to 37 per cent of the land area of Lagos State and houses about 90 per cents of its population (Unicef 1995, Aina 1990a). The area of Lagos constitutes of two major regions: the Island, which is the original city and the Mainland, which is made up by rapidly growing settlements. The climate in Lagos is tropical, hot and wet. The environment is characteristic as coastal with wetlands, sandy barrier islands, beaches, low-lying tidal flats and estuaries. The average temperature in Lagos is 27 °C and the annual average rainfall 1532 mm (Aina 1994, Peil 1991). Picture 7.1. View of Lagos from Surulele. (http://www.motherlandnigeria.com/webcards.html#pick_up) 7.2.Economy Lagos was until 1991 the capital of Nigeria. Nowadays Abuja is country’s administrative and political capital but Lagos is still Nigeria’s industrial, commercial and financial center. Lagos is estimated to count for over 60 per cent of nation’s industrial and commercial establishment, 90 per cent of foreign trade and controlling about 80 per cent of the total value of the imports of the country. It benefits Nigeria’s oil, natural gas, coal, fuel wood and water. Also about 70 per cent of the national industrial investment are in the Metropolitan Lagos (Aina 1994, UN 1995, McNulty 1988). 7.3.Population 7.3.1. Urbanization The population in Lagos started to grow since 1970 due to migration from rural areas and high fertility rate. Even the fertility rate is lower in Lagos than in the countryside, in the future the city population tends to grow more than the population in rural areas. Also migration to the city does not seem to decrease, rather increase. The population growth in the last ten years was highest than ever and the growth in the future is estimated to be even higher Population in Lagos 24000000 Population 20000000 16000000 Population in Lagos 12000000 8000000 4000000 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 Time (years) 2000 2010 Figure 7. 1. Population in Lagos. Lagos is the biggest city in West Africa. It was the first city in the continent to become one of the world’s ten largest cities. At the moment the population is about 14 million but the city is projected to be one of the world’s five biggest cities already by 2005. Population in the city is expected to grow at the annual rate of 4 per cent for the next 20 years, reaching 24 million people by 2015. Then it is expected to rank third among the world’s cities. The population density was 20 000 persons per km2 already in 1988, but it has increased a lot from this in the past 13 years (Bilsborrow 1998, Peil 1991). 7.3.2. Migration The total population growth rate is much higher in Lagos than the national average. Between 1953 and 1980 the annual growth rate was 9.4 per cent which from, net migration rate was 5.4 per cent. Also at the moment migration takes the biggest part of the population growth in the city and it is estimated to even increase from the past (Bilsborrow 1998b, McNulty 1988). Because Lagos is smallest state in Nigeria, the government has tried to change the capital to central Nigeria, Abuja. This is one way to control the enormous migration and urbanization in Lagos. Although, the population in Lagos is growing all the time and the pull factors of the city are high, even higher than Abuja’s (UN 1995). 7.3.2.1.Push and pull factors Lagos is a unique national center for trade and commerce in Nigeria so the pull factors of the city are evident. The main motivation for migration to Lagos is economic. Income levels are higher in Metropolitan Lagos than in other regions of Nigeria. Many people come to Lagos in search for a job and most of these migrants tend to work within the informal sector (Kuvaja 2001, McNulty 1988). The main push factors to Lagos are poverty, too small arable land areas per persons, big family sizes and worse soil quality. Due to these factors many rural people do not have other choice than to move to the city and try their luck. Fortunately the nepotism is so strong that immigrants are often welcomed to live in the houses of their relatives and often the first job is household work in their relatives' houses. ( Rinne 2001) 7.4.Water resources 7.4.1. Water supply Water supply to Lagos comes from surface and groundwater sources. Water losses caused by leaking and illegal use are considerable and due to this the water supply of the city is inadequate. It is estimated that only about 85 per cent of households in Lagos have access to safe water. In Lagos 12 percent of population use piped water, 33 per cent public taps, 35 per cent hand pumps, 11 percent ponds, 2 per cent wells, and 3 percent other sources. The distance to water source in Lagos is for 11 per cent of the population more than one kilometer and for 89 per cent less than one kilometer. In Lagos male, female and children participate in fetching of the water (Unicef 1995, Aina 1994, Uduku 1994). 7.4.2. Demand of water The demand of water in Lagos is much bigger than the supply. Many people use too small amount of water because they either do not have access to water or they have to carry it from far away. In the city only 216.000 cubic meters of treated water is available. The reliability and quality of water supply is often not adequate and sometimes inhabitants have to survive without water for couple of days. In this case residents have only two opportunities, buy water from vendors with very high price or steel it from neighbors well. Often the quality of water bought by vendors is insufficient and people get illnesses, like diarrhea from it. The price of the bought water from vendors in Lagos is normally 4 to 10 times higher than the water got from piped water supplies (Harday et.al.2001, Rinne 2001). 7.4.3. Wastewater treatment and sanitation Wastewater treatment in Lagos is almost non-existing; only few per cents of it is treated. Also the sewage systems of the city are poor, the only conventional sewerage system is in the metropolitan area of Lagos, Victoria Island, which is the first commercial area in the city. Due to an inadequate sewerage, much of the excreta and sullage is disposed of by the drainage of rainwater through open ditches. During the dry season, when the flushing action of rainfall is not existing, drainage channels become blocked with solids, creating stagnant pond of contaminated water. Some people even use this water for household purposes (UN 1995). About 94 percent of the population in Lagos have access to sanitary toilets, 56 per cent of population use sewage toilets, 33 percent of pit latrines and 4 septic tanks. The rest of the population uses pail, bush, river/stream or other kind of unconventional toilets. Likewise most of these sanitary toilets are water closets only by name. It is quite normal than water doesn’t run in these toilets or water is wastewater from other households (FOS 1997, Aina 1994, Unicef 1995). 7.4.3.1.Water quality Sources of pollution of the Lagos estuary includes breweries, food processing industries, chemical industries, solid wastes from houses, sawmills and domestic sewage. The estuary is a sink for disposal of liquid, solid and gaseous wastes for the entire city. Sawdust from the sawmills is very harmful because it causes silting, eutrophication, and harm the lives of fishes by clogging their gills. Contamination of groundwater in Lagos is sometimes evident due to flooding which carries sewage to the wells. Likewise seepage from industrial storage systems is normal. Contamination of pipe water sources in Lagos is also common. This is either result of inadequate functioning of treatment plants or lack of treatment. Contamination can also occur due to water tankers, through pipe or storage systems (Aina 1994). In piped water Escherishia coli, Salmonella, Streptococcus and Bacillus are normal contaminants. This indicates to faecal pollution of human and animal origin. This impurity leads to diarrhea, guinea worm, cholera and typhoid. Malaria, respiratory illnesses and measles are also normal diseases in the area. In general Lagosian people do not boil the water they drink, they either buy pure water from vendors or clear the water with aluminum. The visible clarity is more important to Lagosian than microbiological clearance. Filters are not often used (Rinne 2001, Aina 1994). 7.4.4. Flooding Flooding is a big problem in Lagos, even during the mild rainfalls streets are flooded and many times water rises to house levels. Intensity of rainfall in short period, in rainy season, leads to extremely high runoffs and floods. Lagos is partly extremely flat which makes the situation even worse and prevents the water discharge to the sea. Due to poor soil infiltration only a small proportion of rainwater seeps into the ground (Aina 1994). Due to bad infrastructure planning, buildings often block natural watercourses and canals are too narrow to convey rainwater away from the area. Roads are often unpaved and the hard rain makes them muddy and bumpy. Inhabitants of the city wish to have expanded canals, paved roads and better drainage to prevent flooding of homes and other problems during the rains (Nwangwu 1998, Rinne 2001). 7.5.Environment Lagos has often been referred to as the dirtiest, most disorganized, and the most unsafe mega-city in the world. Lagos is seen as an intolerable place, which offers minimum resources for a healthy, safe, and productive life. The problems in the city are similar to all the other mega-cities; traffic jams make transportation inefficient, waste management is malfunctioning leaving tons of waste on the streets, water resources are overused or polluted and inadequate housing, as well as slums, are becoming reality for an increasing number of inhabitants. It has been estimated that the infrastructure of Lagos is able to fulfill the needs of 300.000 people, although the population nowadays is 14 million. Due to this it is clear that the infrastructure is not sufficient. (Kuvaja 2001). Picture 7. 2. Tinubu square in Lagos. (http://www.motherlandnigeria.com/webcards.html#pick_up) 7.5.1. Solid wastes About 66 per cent of the solid wastes in Lagos area are disposed. Waste is either disposed through private or community efforts or left at various illegal dumps. The disposal is hardly ever done properly; garbage is being dumped in valleys or swamps or untreated industrial waste is dumped to public drains or surface water bodies. The solid waste problem is huge in Lagos with mountains of garbage and hardly bearable stench. The estimated amount of generated solid wastes is almost million tons per year (Aina 1994, Ogu 2000). 7.5.2. Housing The lack of housing facilities in Lagos is enormous. Even the middle-income people have to live in very crowded accommodations. It is normal that the size of the family is five or more persons and they all live together in the small room, average on 4.30 m2. Most of the houses are in poor conditions and the facilities in them are shared. The poor condition often includes lack of basic services, serious flooding and bad house conditions. Most of the people live in the compounds, face-to-face-facilities. Even in the better houses water often has to be carried from the backyard. Sewage systems are non-existing, only in some high-income areas sewage is served (Aina 1990). 7.5.2.1. Shomulu local government area in Lagos Shomulu is one of the most densely populated areas in the central Lagos consisting of more than one million inhabitants. The area represents common neighborhood in Lagos, about 45 per cent of Lagosians live in this kind of accommodations. Majority of the houses are low- and middle income houses, and services such as health care, schools, roads, water systems, electricity, and communal waste management are somehow provided. However these services are not reliable and people have to often rely on self-help. Already in 1970’s the majority of Lagosian families lived in one-room dwellings. At that time the average family size was almost five persons. Due to population growth in the city the occupation of the rooms is estimated to be nowadays even higher (LHO 1996). Slum or not? Commonly the low-income houses are referred to as slums. In Lagos the situation is other. The common type of housing (face-me-face-you) cannot be considered shelf-help, spontaneous, or illegal. The houses are well constructed, and the city plans their communal services, either both are not properly done. The lack of housing in the city is high and different social groups have to live in this kind of accommodations even they would have more money. The rent is paid regularly and houses are registered and legal. Even the way of living in Lagosian “slums” is not similar to other study regions slums, they face many of the same problems; lack of adequate sanitation and water supply, malfunctioning waste management system, bad roads and limited access to municipal electricity sources (Nwangwu 1998). Problems in Shomulu Shomulu is placed to the unplanned area and the land use is uncontrolled. There is no planned trees or green places but all the places are full of shops, houses or garbage. The area is often flooded and it is overcrowded and dirty. There is no sewer system or drainage. Roads are unpaved and bad and waste disposal is uncontrolled. Buildings are in bad condition, built with poor building materials and there is no air space between them (Aina 1994). Water distribution Most of the compound has one tap, which is located to the backyard of the compound. All the members use tap water to household purposes, drinking, cooking and washing. This tap water is also used for flushing the toilet and bathing. The water is carried in containers to the toilet and bathroom. Because the tap water is not working continuously many compounds have their own well from where the water is fetched when the tap is out of order. In some compounds the tap water is not drinkable and they have to fetch water from taps in the other compounds. Responsibility of fetching the water falls often on women (Kuvaja 2001). Sanitation Each compound member is responsible for sanitation maintenance. Cleaning is considered to be task of women, but each inhabitant is required to clean toilets and bathrooms after use. The use of facilities is organized by timetable, where the priviledge is for those who work outside the compound (Kuvaja 2001). Waste management The compound members carry the wastes to the waste containers, which are kept in the backyard. Then household members or “barrow-men” empty the household containers into the communal containers. After this it is government responsibility to empty these containers. Many times communal containers are not taken care off and people have to transport the wastes straight to the dumping sites. Often “barrow-men” are paid to collect the wastes (Kuvaja 2001). Kitchen Tab Toilet Toilet Bathroom Bathroom Fence Waste bins Room (1) Room (3) Rented rooms for young men from villages. Do not use compound facilities. Store Room (4) Room (5) Room (4) Store Room (3) Room (1) Shop Next compound Kitchen Shop Street The common structure of Lagosian face-me-face-you compound. 7.5.3. Traffic The traffic congestion is a fact of everyday life also in Lagos, where it takes almost three hours to travel a mere 10 to 20 kilometers. The motor vehicle fleet is very old and most of the cars are in bad shape. Even public transportation is quite comprehensive it is very overcrowded. Buses and taxes are both in poor condition and they pollute a lot. Traffic congestion is common in Lagos and because of high crime rate, robberies may occur during the peak period. The quality of air is bad due to traffic and industries like in any other mega-city (UN 1995, Rinne 2001). Picture 7. 3. Traffic in Lagos. (http://www.motherlandnigeria.com/webcards.html#pick_up) 7.5.4. Crime Crime is common in Lagos, especially robberies. Due to violence in the area, robberies often end up to a murder. Police cannot do anything for the mushrooming criminality, so people have taken law in to their own hands and they do punish the criminals straight away. This has leaded to murders because robbers do not have anything to lose even they kill people or not. Robberies are normal in traffic and even inside houses (Rinne 2001). 7.6.Summary of the case studies All the case study cities Bangkok, Mexico City and Lagos are the main centers for industrialization, business and foreign trade in their countries. The cities have massive populations and they are so called mega-cities. Mexico City has the biggest population of 18 million. Even the populations of Bangkok and Lagos are high they are four million lower than the population of Mexico City. The population density is extremely high in Lagos, 20 000 persons per km2 and due to this housing conditions in the city are very poor. The population density in Lagos is many times the density in other cities. In Bangkok the population density is lowest 3,700 persons per km2 and in Mexico City more than 6,600 persons per km2. Over-population in the cities is mostly caused by uncontrolled migration from rural regions. Due to strong urban pull and rural push people continue to move to the cities. Push factors are deforestation, loss of biological diversity, soil erosion, flooding, constructions, diminution of arable land per farmer, water shortages and other natural resource related problems. The main pull factor is the attraction of the mega-cities. As big commercial centers they attract people in the search of better live, better services and health care. They seem very exquisite and full of opportunities for poor people. The cities are all located in the tropical zone but their average annual rainfall varies from highest 1532 mm in Lagos to lowest 850 mm in Mexico City. In all the cities domestic and industrial water supplies are provided by combination of groundwater and surface water. The water consumption in Mexico City is highest of the study cities, 2.4 billion m3. Due to this high demand and location of the city, water supply of Mexico City is not adequate and water has to be pumped from other areas. In Bangkok the demand of water is 2.1 billion cubic meters and it is also highly dependent of groundwater. In Lagos the water demand is only 79 million m3. The piped water service is relatively well organized in the case study cities. The service is highest in Mexico City, where about 94 per cent of the residents in metropolitan area enjoy piped water. In Bangkok the service is lowest, about 66 per cent of the population has piped water connection or standpipes. In Lagos 85 per cent of households have access to safe water. Even though the percentages are relatively high there are differences in reliability of the service, quality of water and type of the service. Wastewater treatment is very poor in all the cities, at highest 10 per cent of the effluents are treated. This has resulted to the decreased quality of the surface and groundwater. The situation is worst in Lagos were only a few per cent of the city’s wastewater is treated. Solid waste disposal is organized better in these cities. In Bangkok the service is highest, 84 per cent of the wastes are collected. In Mexico City the percentage is 75 and in Lagos only 66 per cent. Still in all the cities some solid waste is left on the streets, which has caused health problems and unpleasant odor, especially in Lagos garbage piles in the backyards are a common sight. Flooding is a big problem in all the cities, especially in Lagos the situation is really bad and water rises often to the streets and house levels. Flooding is nuisance during the monsoon seasons in all the cities. Other big problem is the land subsidence. Due to excessive extraction of groundwater, water levels in the wells have been declining rapidly and the ground level has subsided. This has happened both in Bangkok and Mexico City. In Bangkok subsidence has been more than 0.5 meters. Mexico City is an extreme case where the city has sunk 10.7 meters during the past 70 years due to the enormous water demand. City planning is poor in all the cities, especially in Lagos and Bangkok. In Bangkok the average occupation of the room is around 6 persons and in Lagos more than 5 persons. The lack of housing facilities in Lagos is severe due to high population density in the area. The poor and even the middle-income people have to live in very crowded accommodations. The situation in Mexico City is not so bad than in other case study cities. The average occupation per room is 1.1 persons. Traffic congestion is every day life in the case study cities. The problem is due to poor infrastructure, uncontrolled automobile growth, lack of effective mass transit system, inadequate road networks and private car oriented traffic system. Due to massive traffic, air pollution and noise bother the lives of the inhabitants. Especially in Lagos situation is terrible and it is said to be the dirtiest city in the world. Bangkok Mexico City Lagos Population (million) 14 18 14 Pop. Density persons/Km2 3700 6600 20,000 Average annual rainfall (mm) 1482 850 1532 Annual water use (m3) 2.1 billion 2.4 billion 79 million Piped water service (%) 66 94 85 Waste water treatment (%) 10 10 2 Solid waste disposal (%) 84 75 66 Persons per room 6 1.1 >5 Figure 7. 2. Table of different factors in the cities. Although the cities are different they are all facing similar problems. In all the cities the population growth has surprised the infrastructure. The housing facilities, water supply, road space, transport, solid waste disposal and piped water service are unable to keep up with the high speed of growing urbanization. The problems are sharpest in Lagos because of the high population, population density, lack of finance and poor infrastructure. Due to these matters the air and water pollution and environmental deterioration in the city are enormous. Especially the very low wastewater treatment in Lagos has a great impact on the water quality and human health. The main problems in Bangkok and Mexico City are also related to water supply, housing and environmental deterioration. The water demand is very high in the cities, especially in Mexico City. This has led to groundwater over-use and land subsidence. The land subsidence has a strong effect on houses and other infrastructures. The quality of water has also decreased due to low wastewater treatment. Flooding is also big problem in the cities again due to failed infrastructure planning. 8. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS The effects of urbanization on the environment and water resources are evident. When the number of inhabitants in a certain area gets too big the environments own power of regeneration decreases and the problems will occur. Wastes will accumulate to air, soil and water. The level of living decreases due to pollution, traffic, noise, inadequate housing and lack of own space. The consumption of the hinterland’s goods will increase above the production and food has to be transported from far away. Also water resources are under a great pressure because of urbanization. Overpopulation in the cities consumes enormous quantities of water and produces tremendous amounts of wastewater. The water supplies are used at their maximum capacity and sustainable use is underestimated. This have led to declined water resources and deteriorated their quality. In many cities wastewater treatment is non-existing and this has caused enormous water problems. Due to shortage of finance many poor people have to use contaminated water straight from rivers and wells. In many cities this has led to widespread health problems and has caused more economical losses than the proper sewer system and wastewater treatment would have. Even the effects of urbanization are unavoidable to the cities’ water resources they would be relatively lower with proper care. The big cities, mega-cities are becoming our primary places of living even they are unsustainable in many ways. These cities are highly overpopulated, which has caused various problems. The problems are deepening even in the developed countries were financing is better and infrastructure well planned. Even with good technology, environmental policy, financing and food production fighting with the problems is hopeless, if the population growth is ever increasing. At the moment the fastest urbanization is occurring in developing countries, which makes the struggling even harder. The lack of finance, education, knowledge and action does not make the situation any easier. The problems in the big cities are similar even they are situated in different regions, cultures, languages and economies. When the city population is calculated in millions and the population density is over 3,000 persons per km2, problems are obvious. These comparable issues are also seen in the case study cities considering tremendous demand of food, water resources, road space, and housing units. Due to low infrastructure, lack of finance, and proper policy, these dilemmas are sharpening. Already now the land subsidence, flooding, traffic jams, pollution, and decrease of water quality are at unbearable level in many cities including case study cities, and this have put sticks to the tires of development. The situation is worst in Lagos where political uncertainty, economical troubles, and mushrooming corruption are everyday life. This similar trend can be seen when comparing the selected study regions, Latin America, SE Asia and West Africa. The future of West Africa doesn’t seem so bright when compared to SE Asia’s and it is most evident that West Africa will follow the Latin America’s urbanization route rather than SE Asia. The situation is better in SE Asia, due to education, economy, environmental policy, and health care. This area is more organized and the policies of the countries are more effective. The age and employment structure in the area is already more similar to the developed than the developing regions. This is one reason that may affect positively on the region’s population growth and urbanization in the future. Anyway the situation is best nowadays in Latin America, expect urbanization. The urbanization rate in the region is extremely high and many matters are best organized. Although SE Asia is quite near in many services, even the urbanization is almost half of the one in Latin America. With these matters it may be estimated that South-East Asia won't even reach similar urbanization level in the future and can hold back the population growth with education and better economy. In West Africa the situation is very bad and it can be estimated that the future of the region will be even worse than Latin America’s. The region is unable to control the population, health care, production, migration, and environmental protection. In all the study regions corruption is high but it is extremely high in West Africa. One reason for this not so bright future can be the structure of the society and the customs. The problems of urbanization can be solved with rural and urban improvements, environmental and migration policy, and education programs. 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