PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL Downtown and Riverfront Redevelopment Strategy Clarksville, Tennessee WESTBROOK PARTNERS May, 2013 FOR INTERNAL PURPOSES ONLY 1 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Table of Contents Section Title Page Numbers Table of Contents 2 Introduction 3-4 A Economic Overview 5-10 B Demographic Trends 11-16 C Retail Market Analysis 17-27 D Housing Market Analysis 28-35 E Benchmark Cities 36-45 F Catalyst Projects 46-57 G Clarksville Downtown /Riverfront Retail Inventory 58-60 H Retail Recruitment Strategy Tenant Prospects 61-64 I Implementation Approach and Recommendations 65-72 J Branding and Graphic Identity Submitted Separately 2 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Executive Summary The Two Rivers Company (TRC) has sponsored a Market Analysis and Redevelopment Strategy for the Downtown and Riverfront areas of Clarksville, with the objectives to understand the following: • What is the market potential for retail, residential and office uses downtown and along the Riverfront area of the City? • How can redevelopment of the Riverview Inn, Public Square and the traditional downtown incorporate a possible hotel expansion and addition of some type of meetings facility? • How much retail is there in downtown Clarksville and along Riverside Drive/Second Street in the study area, and how is the existing square footage allocated among major retail categories? • What downtown redevelopment strategies make sense for Clarksville, given the proximity of the APSU campus, Fort Campbell, Liberty Park, Gateway Medical Center and the large concentration of commercial and residential development along I-24 and Wilma Rudolph Boulevard? • What comparable characteristics and ‘lessons learned’ can be taken from relevant/example “Benchmark Cities” selected by TRC (Knoxville; Chattanooga, Greenville SC, Columbus GA and Little Rock AR)? What parts of their successes are applicable to Clarksville? • How can catalyst sites such as the existing downtown Transit Center, the Roxy Theater site and adjacent parcels and the Riverview Inn and environs stimulate further downtown development, and what concepts could make sense on those and other sites? Where should future redevelopment be considered? • What types of retail make sense for retention, recruitment and expansion in downtown Clarksville, and what local and regional retail examples represent the market-appropriate quality, pricing and service levels for downtown Clarksville? • Based on the previous findings, what recommendations should be considered by Two Rivers Company, the City and County and other partners to further sustain redevelopment downtown? The study was conducted to reflect the proximity, connections and existing fabric of the Riverfront area along Riverside Drive and Second Street as well as the traditional downtown Clarksville area centered along Franklin Street, Public Square and adjacent blocks. This Executive Summary incorporates the research, analysis and findings of that study, completed by TEG Economics of Washington DC, working with the Walker Collective LLC project coordinator on behalf of the Two Rivers Company. This Executive Summary presents brief summary descriptions extracted from the more detailed report, which follows, and focuses on six major topics: (1.) The Market Analysis and key findings; (2.) Analysis of Benchmark Cities; (3.) Catalyst Site Redevelopment Concepts in Downtown Clarksville; (4.) Downtown/Clarksville Riverfront Retail Inventory; (5.) Retail Recruitment Strategy and Examples; (6.) Recommendations. Each is summarized in the text which follows: The Market and Downtown/Clarksville Riverfront Redevelopment Downtown Clarksville has experienced patterns similar to hundreds of other small cities across the United States – competition from suburban retail and commercial development, economic pressures on small, locally owned businesses brought about by changing demographics and shifting consumer demand and changing patterns in housing, and financial pressures on government to provide services to expanded geographies. In addition to these conditions, Clarksville has also had to rebuild from natural disasters, primarily represented by flooding and the devastating F-4 Tornado in 1999. Yet through these sometimes adverse conditions, downtown Clarksville has endured, and is (in TEG Economics’ view) well positioned to capitalize on several i MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Executive Summary advantages that have sustained downtown and can continue to foster future growth in retail, residential, lodging and office development as TRC moves forward with its programs. The primary economic drivers for near-term growth are Austin Peay State University, the proximity of Fort Campbell to Clarksville, general economic growth fostered by Clarksville’s diverse economic base (including manufacturing, health care and financial services), and the city’s location along I-24. While some may consider the 1-24 corridor and its links to downtown to be a negative, TEG considers this area to be both an economic boost to Montgomery County and to the City of Clarksville, as the commercial and residential activity there constitute another indicator of sustained growth in the Clarksville Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). While the physical layout is more auto –oriented than the downtown area, suburban Clarksville has fostered job creation, a major retail presence in shopping malls and smaller centers and development of lodging for visitors. Of course there is some competition with downtown, but the regional economic growth in Clarksville’s suburban areas can be said to benefit all Clarksville residents. The economic forces represented by Fort Campbell also provide stability, a constantly changing resident population (most of which live off base) and constitute a military-related population of almost 39,000 jobs (including both active military and civilians) and approximately $2.8 Billion in annual payroll and expenditures that repeatedly ripple through Clarksville and the regional economy. Fort Campbell’s constantly changing staffing results in general inmigration to Clarksville, with military transfers coming from other US and foreign stations to Fort Campbell. Hopkinton and Christian County Kentucky also account for a large percentage of relocations into Clarksville. Immediately adjacent to the downtown area is Austin Peay State University, (APSU) the fastest-growing university in the Tennessee state system. APSU is both an economic driver for the region as well as a source of continued consumer demand and growth over the past ten years and is expected to remain a principal downtown driver into the future. The greater majority of APSU’s 10,900 students live off campus, and have provided the basis for development of new market-rate student-oriented multi-family housing, both downtown and throughout the community. The APSU faculty and staff are also consumers of downtown goods and services, dining and entertainment/cultural venues, such as the Roxy Theater and the Customs House Museum. These markets, supplemented by selected new residential development and upper floor conversions oriented toward professionals who desire downtown living opportunities, can be considered an indication of market segments that will support continued growth in downtown housing options. According to the US Census, downtown Clarksville had a residential unit count of approximately 1,366 dwelling units in 2011, with the projected number of units increasing to over 1,530 units by 2016. This difference of almost 170 additional housing units downtown will result in increased consumer demand for retail, food & beverage and consumer services, add to the property tax base, and (if properly planned and located) provide infill and continuity to better link APSU to downtown and the Riverfront commercial and recreational corridor. In TEG’s view, continued growth of the APSU student body can be a steady source of new housing demand, an increased number of downtown consumers (proximity of APSU was cited by Bink’s as their primary reason for locating in downtown Clarksville) and an opportunity to broaden offerings in food & beverage, retail, special events and downtown entertainment/cultural venues. The proximity of APSU to downtown will only strengthen as more infill development takes place, and its sustained growth within the Tennessee University System is a great benefit for the downtown market. TEG conservatively estimates that annual absorption of residential units downtown will support 26-33 new/renovated dwelling units per year, for a total of between 130 and 165 new units by 2016. Because residents contribute the greatest share of spending potential to downtown retail in communities such as Clarksville, the projected addition of about 170 new downtown dwelling units is a critically positive factor. In larger cities, downtown also includes major concentrations of office space; ii MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Executive Summary Downtown Clarksville is both the Montgomery County seat as well as the location of City Hall and many local governmental offices. These public offices also generate demand for other private sector professionals, especially attorneys and financial institutions, both of which constitute much of the office base in the downtown area. This concentration of office-based professionals provides demand for lunch time expenditures and for a portion of evening shopping, entertainment and dining, but is a smaller share of overall demand than residents and students. These consumer submarkets account for downtown Clarksville’s greater share of total captured food and beverage expenditures, which are disproportionate to downtowns share of total residents; downtown can be considered a dining destination within the region, in part because it is the only pedestrian-oriented ‘urban’ experience for consumers and it concentrates both major national food service chains (primarily located along Riverside Drive and Second Street) and a number of leading local and regional operators for those who want a more unique dining experience than provided by chain-affiliated operations. The retail offerings in Downtown Clarksville can compete with the larger concentrations of retail along Wilma Rudolph Boulevard/Highway 79, as well as retail corridors on Fort Campbell/Route 41A and newer, emerging retail clusters along MLK and Tiny Town/I-24. Downtown’s historic buildings and authentic character, affordable retail rents and steady base of properties represent an opportunity to continue and build on momentum toward more businesses and new investment fostered by focused downtown management and retail recruitment/retention strategies lead by TRC and the City of Clarksville. While the rate of growth is relatively modest, downtown IS growing, and is positioned to take its share of continuing regional growth. The strategy will be to build on current strengths, infill underutilized properties and extend pedestrian streetscape continuity and offer a multi-year effort through TRC at business recruitment and retention. Unlike many cities, downtown Clarksville does have opportunities for growth, and is positioned to take advantage of specific submarkets such as APSU Students, a portion of military, professionals and retiree resident markets who favor downtown lifestyles and pedestrian-friendly environments. The prospects for continued redevelopment and renewal in downtown Clarksville are strong, particularly as the inter-related market drivers (new downtown housing, selected infill development on catalyst locations and other sites, building on cultural and hotel/ meetings facilities opportunities and ongoing retail recruitment efforts lead by TRC and its public and private partners. Benchmark Cities The five ‘Benchmark Cities’ selected for review by TRC early in the study process offer relevant lessons learned for the Clarksville Downtown and Riverfront Analysis. There are both similarities (colleges and universities adjacent to/near the downtown areas, proximity to military installations, presence of downtown management staffs and comprehensive revitalization/downtown management programs), there were also differences from which Clarksville can determine the most appropriate approaches to renewal and reinvestment. Among the key ‘lessons learned from analysis of the Benchmark Cities: (a) Little Rock’s downtown housing development over the past ten years has enlivened downtown at night and on weekends, and has provided an alternative housing option for urban dwellers while supporting dining, entertainment and new types of retail; (b) Downtown Chattanooga’s philanthropic community has helped create a sustainable revenue stream for the downtown organization through property ownership and operations; © Knoxville has blended its University population with new downtown residents as a basis to recruit new retail, lodging and publicly supported cultural venues to attract new restaurants and businesses; (d) Greenville has utilized University programming and new lodging/meeting facilities and public space improvements to strengthen downtown’s economic base; and (e) Columbus has focused public recreational funding, new student housing downtown and cultural venues to diversify consumer markets and build downtown nightlife activity. No two cities are exactly alike, but TEG believes that Clarksville iii MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Executive Summary can successfully adapt these lessons as examples for downtown development within its unique market, geographic and urban characteristics. Catalyst Sites There are numerous opportunities for adaptive use of historic structures, new construction and more integrated parking throughout downtown Clarksville and along the Riverfront. TEG worked with TRC representatives to select key potential Catalyst Sites in downtown Clarksville, recommending both redevelopment concepts that would create greater market scale and synergy between uses, as well as to better integrate vacant/underutilized or complementary expansion uses to strengthen existing properties. In TEG’s view, each of the selected Catalyst Sites can, when market supportable, contribute substantially to long-term, market-sustainable redevelopment in downtown Clarksville. Each of the proposed Catalyst Site concepts will most likely require participation by both the public and private sectors to be realized. Public participation may require funding of needed but not easily financeable components such as structured parking, selective use of incentive policies and/or funding, or re-zoning and expedited review to encourage private investment. Current rent levels for residential and retail spaces will make conventional financing more challenging, but the long-term benefits of redevelopment on these sites will pay back public investment in multiple ways – enhanced tax base, incremental sales taxes generated, higher expenditures by local residents as the retail mix is further enhanced, and stronger connections between APSU, downtown and the Riverfront. In some cases (the Transit Center site and redevelopment/expansion of the Roxy Regional Theater), specific land enhancements may be necessary to foster infill and new construction; alternative plans to those proposed by TEG should also be reviewed as both sites are likely to be in the future. For the Riverview Inn, there is both physical and market potential to expand the existing structure to add more rooms, particularly if an executive conference center can be added and would include facilities that can serve APSU needs over time. Consideration of re-use of City-owned parcels around Public Square can also generate new property tax revenues, introduction of more activating uses at ground levels and a better linkage from Franklin Street to Public Square, and on toward the Riverview Inn and the river corridor below the bluff. Over time (and as market support and financing) are available, each of the individual catalyst projects will better weave the urban fabric downtown into a more cohesive ‘whole’. Retail Inventory The TRC study area incorporated both the traditional downtown area as well as Clarksville’s Riverfront corridor, and totals almost 1 million square feet of occupied retail/commercial space, according to TEG’s retail inventory. Approximately 148,000 square feet of occupied retail space is in the traditional downtown area, with about another 154,000 square feet of retail along College and University. The greater concentration (over 600,000 square feet) of retail is located along the River and Second Street, almost all of it configured in more automobile-oriented configurations. This is a substantial amount of downtown retail space for Clarksville, and in TEG’s view, the greatest benefit will result from recruitment/retention efforts focused on the pedestrian areas and future linkages between downtown, APSU, Public Square and connections down to the Riverfront. At the time of the inventory, the study area also had vacant ground level retail space of approximately 85,000 square feet. Vacant space should be further investigated by TRC Board and staff to determine owner capacity and interest in re-investment, priority for future incentives and adaptation for redevelopment, contemporary store sizing and other re-use potentials. iv MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Executive Summary Recruitment Strategy and Implementation Recommendations Downtown Clarksville has many opportunities for future retail retention and recruitment. TEG considers the arrival of Bink’s Outfitters in downtown Clarksville as a strong example of a regional specialty retailer serving both student and resident populations. The report identified a number of Nashvillearea specialty retailers as other examples of the quality and pricing levels appropriate for downtown Clarksville. In the inventory, TEG noted that most of Clarksville’s better local businesses are already located downtown, with the greater concentration of national/chain-affiliated retail operators located near 1-24 and along Wilma Rudolph. In our view, it is good for Clarksville (and other regional) consumers to have these options, but downtown needs more critical mass of dining/entertainment and specialized retailers to regain a larger share of area expenditures. Recruiting additional food and beverage uses to supplement the existing downtown F & B operators will also be part of the strategy, complementing the strong draw they have established and bringing more choices and more frequent dining opportunities for evening meals, entertainment and building traffic for events and shopping. The decision to hire professional staff for TRC is a major step forward, as it represents the City’s commitment to downtown Clarksville, as well as providing a comprehensive, coordinated means of addressing opportunities, focusing investment and representing downtown as a mixed-use shopping area for APSU, for Fort Campbell, for Clarksville and the region. To achieve both near term results and longer-term sustainable progress, the following is recommended: • Focus initial efforts primarily on Franklin Street and Public Square as priority areas, while also incorporating opportunities along the Riverfront Corridor and Second Street. In seeking retail tenants, keep in mind the most readily available underserved markets – APSU students, downtown workers, and area residents, especially those who seek a pedestrian-oriented ‘urban’ environment. Use the database of vacant and underutilized sites as targets for new tenants, new investors and selective application of financial and policy incentives. • In planning for redevelopment, use the rolling grade changes on selected sites to incorporate structured parking at lower costs per parking stall. Over time, strengthen connectivity between APSU, downtown and the Riverfront by selective infill of vacant and underutilized parking lots and selected publicly-owned sites; this will require both a long-term vision, public-private partnerships to leverage private investment, and reconsideration of allowed land uses and densities, both downtown and along the Cumberland Riverfront. • As warranted by owner priorities, land use planning and market opportunities, consider redevelopment of the auto-related businesses along College Avenue to better link APSU to downtown Clarksville and the riverfront. When appropriate, initiate discussions on redevelopment of one of more of the First Baptist Church surface parking lots, potentially as Church-affiliated senior housing or other compatible residential/commercial uses, accommodating Church parking in structures. • Revise and increase funding for the Community Revitalization Investment Fund (CRIF), and ‘revolve’ loans both to close selected ‘financing gaps’ and to leverage private investment benefits over and over; use Tax Increment Financing (TIF) funds for specific public improvements and civic projects. • Continue to build on the success of current downtown venues and events – the Farmer’s Market, the Arts Walks, and establish partner programming with APSU , business assistance and financing for small and locally-owned businesses. • Seek long-term sustainable funding for the TRC staff management costs; funds could be generated by creation of a downtown Business Improvement District (BID), transfer/donation/purchase of downtown real estate, or creation of management contracts for downtown-oriented services. v MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Introduction The client for this study is the Two Rivers Company (TRC), a new non-profit organization that focuses on revitalization of the Downtown and Riverfront of Clarksville TN. The organization includes public and private sector representatives who share a commitment to downtown renewal and redevelopment as well as continuing the successful improvements made along the Cumberland and Red Rivers, particularly the recent development of new green spaces and (beyond the boundaries of our study area) Clarksville’s new Liberty Park, which includes a range of new recreational and open-space facilities serving the greater Clarksville area, Montgomery County and beyond. The Two Rivers Company selected The Eisen Group of Washington DC to complete a market analysis and redevelopment strategy for the Downtown and Waterfront areas of Clarksville, with the analysis to include the following: Overview of economic indicators in the city and surrounding area Summary of demographic trends affecting retail, housing, office and other commercial uses Documentation of a series of ‘Benchmark Cities’ chosen by TRC, not to assume that the benchmark cities can necessarily be duplicated in Clarksville, but rather as examples and/or ‘aspirational’ models for programs and approaches to downtown and waterfront development that could be adapted for Clarksville, as possible. The benchmark cities chosen for analysis include Knoxville and Chattanooga TN, Greenville SC, Columbus GA and Little Rock AR Retail Market Trends, both downtown and in the greater Clarksville area Housing Market Trends, both downtown and in the greater Clarksville area Proposed site development concept plans for three Catalyst Sites (1) Expansion of the Riverview Inn and addition of an Executive Conference Center; (2) the Existing Transit Center site and its potential for redevelopment as a retail/residential mixed use project, and (3) the vacant lots adjacent to the Roxy Regional Theater building; in addition to these three sites, TEG also considered redevelopment opportunities at the Top Spot block on the west side of Public Square and Clarksville’s current City Hall (4) An inventory of all the existing retail uses within the study area (downtown and along North and South Riverside Drive) A list of representative store categories and operators reflecting the types of businesses for recruitment that would reinforce the downtown Clarksville retail mix Suggestions for branding and identity for Downtown Clarksville (which have been submitted separately) Two Rivers Company has already taken several steps toward stronger coordination and implementation of a downtown and waterfront management program. A prospective downtown manager has been selected, pending confirmation of operating funding and the existing (but recently inactive) downtown revolving fund is positioned to be re-charged. The Economic Development Council, major property owners, the City of Clarksville and Montgomery County all have demonstrated interests in their potential roles in continued downtown revitalization for Clarksville and in working in cooperation with Two Rivers Company to meet the opportunities that the downtown and waterfront areas represent. It is also useful to consider the larger economic context that is affecting Clarksville, Tennessee and the entire United States. The past five years 1 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Introduction have seen the worst national economic downturn since the Great Depression in the 1930’s, with instability in financial markets, higher unemployment levels, a cautious consumer market affecting retail expenditures, increasing Federal debt levels and reduced spending by local and state governments. Within this economic context, Clarksville has attracted retail and dining customers and selected new businesses downtown and along the waterfront, has added new residential units on upper floors of historic buildings and new infill construction projects, and continues to draw consumers to the Downtown Market, to festivals and events and for outdoor recreation. The economic drivers represented by government, the military and by growth at Austin Peay State University all have helped sustain the economic viability of downtown Clarksville and the region, despite the challenges of the national and regional economies. As economic conditions continue to improve over the next five years, downtown Clarksville is well positioned to capture a significant share of future investment and redevelopment activity At the local level Clarksville has seen a mix of economic outcomes, with new businesses opening, downsizing by local industries, established retail businesses close downtown and elsewhere, and continues growth by APSU resulting in new downtown student residents and new markets for downtown services and amenities. As the national and regional economies slowly rebound, TEG recommends that Clarksville can attract and focus new investment downtown by capitalizing on its current strengths – growing student and selective resident markets that want to be downtown, creation of additional destination uses such as a small conference center and expansion of the Riverview Hotel (to take advantage of the beautiful views of the Cumberland River and to support downtown businesses) and (as market supportable) the continued addition of new and rehabilitated housing units to bring more consumers downtown. The City, County and local organizations have created a series of successful downtown-oriented events that bring both local and regional visitors to Clarksville and to the downtown area. The Arts Walks, Farmers Market, riverfront activities and other events have created a base from which sustained retail expenditures can be generated. It will be important for TRC to continue to document attendance levels and to track business benefits of downtown traffic-builders to demonstrate the volume of people coming to downtown. There is currently a gap between what current property values and rehabilitation costs will require in rental income and sales prices downtown as compared to other parts of the city in which development costs are lower. TEG believes that this gap will narrow as the economy improves and by making strategic decisions about catalyst projects that can stimulate investments directed toward downtown-oriented markets. Hiring of a downtown management staff for Clarksville is a major step toward focused advocacy, managed cooperation and the benefit of someone whose sole purpose is to build on downtown Clarksville’s many strengths and realize the TRC’s broader vision for a successful downtown and riverfront. One of the most important lessons learned about downtown revitalization over the past twenty years is that it occurs best on an incremental basis, as well as on a strategy that addresses perceptions, documentation and real benefits of coordinated investment. TEG believes that a sustained, selected approach to downtown and riverfront redevelopment will succeed if expectations are realistic and an incremental approach toward managing change is implemented. 2 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT A. Economic Overview The City of Clarksville, TN is the seat of Montgomery County and serves as the economic center of a four-county Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) that straddles the Tennessee and Kentucky state line. Key economic trends anticipated to affect future growth, as well as the relevance to the Central Business District and Riverfront areas, are summarized below : Interstate 24 is the “commercial spine” of the regional economy Most industrial and commercial activity in Clarksville is clustered around exits along I-24, as manufacturers, large retailers, and healthcare providers value access to the highway Nashville is less than a 1-hr drive to Clarksville on I-24, providing an easy connection to the second largest city in Tennessee The CBD and Riverfront areas are a 15-20 minute drive from I-24 – absent highly visible signage pointing to the downtown area, attracting high volumes of vehicle traffic is more challenging relative to commercial areas such as those along Wilma Rudolph Boulevard that benefit from an interstate exit Fort Campbell, home to the US Army’s 101st Airborne Division, is an unmistakable cornerstone of Clarksville’s economic sustainability Installation post statistics from January 2010 indicate that there are 202,890 people tied to Fort Campbell, including: 30,656 active military; 8,040 civilian employees; 51,740 family members; and 112,454 retirees, retiree family members, and active reserves Approximately 177,300 people, comprising 87 percent of the Fort Campbell population, live off post – creating significant demand for housing in Clarksville and other nearby communities Almost $2.8 billion in payroll and retirement benefits were disbursed to the Fort Campbell population in FY 2009, representing a significant source of consumer power that could be captured by businesses throughout the Clarksville area Military personnel, family members, and retirees represent a largely untapped market for downtown merchants – this group is best served with a combination of events and commercial offerings that cannot be found on post However, Clarksville is also evolving and diversifying beyond a military-based economy According to the Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development, there are approximately 85,700 non-military jobs in the Clarksville MSA (as of March 2012), of which 64,600 jobs (75 percent) are in the private sector Dominant industries include: Educational and Health Services (11,300 jobs); Retail Trade (11,000); Local Government (10,500); Manufacturing (10,000); Leisure & Hospitality (10,000); and Professional and Business Services (8,100) The healthcare sector has also grown around the Gateway Medical Center and along Ted Crozier Senior Boulevard, reflecting a nationwide expansion in a sector that will be critical in serving the aging baby boomer and retiree population 3 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Economic Overview The average wage across all non-military sectors in the Clarksville MSA is $36,486 (as of Q4 2011) Wholesale and Manufacturing represent the two highest paid sectors with average wages of $59,748 and $54,860, respectively, which suggests that higher paid jobs are located closer to I-24 and outside downtown (whereas in most cities, downtowns have a large concentration of high earners in finance and professional positions) One benefit of relatively low wages and its impact on business costs can attract firms seeking relocation opportunities Like much of the country that is still recovering from the Great Recession, unemployment remains high in Clarksville The annualized 2012 unemployment rate in the Clarksville MSA was 8.6 percent , or approximately 50 basis points (or 0.5%) higher than the annualized national unemployment rate of 8.1 percent Clarksville’s high rate of unemployment is attributable in part to the rate of job creation following the economic downturn, but also a portion of the labor force related to the military that has relocated in search of employment opportunities but may only be available for shortterm/non-permanent employment. Recent job growth data suggests that the regional economy is slowly gaining momentum coming out of the Great Recession, adding approximately 2,100 jobs between March 2011 and March 2012; more recent data may reflect a changed employment trend Downtown Clarksville benefits from a unique set of economic drivers not found elsewhere in more suburban commercial centers The main campus of Austin Peay State University (APSU) is a primary anchor located just north of the CBID, with a student population of over 10,870 and 1,284 total employees – both groups representing primary markets for downtown housing and commerce APSU is primarily funded by the State of Tennessee, but its anticipated future expansion (primarily in the way of satellite campuses) will also be supported in part by a $6.4 million grant from Hemlock Semiconductor Corporation Many municipal services are also clustered in and around downtown, including Clarksville City Hall and the Montgomery County Courthouse, that attract residents and support businesses that serve local government function, especially Law firms and Attorneys offices While Clarksville (downtown and elsewhere) has a more limited office sector, the headquarters of Farmer & Merchants Bank (F&M) is located in a 50,000 square foot building at the western end of historic Franklin Street, creating a major presence for one of Tennessee’s largest regional banks in the downtown core Located at the confluence of the Cumberland and Red Rivers, downtown is a destination for outdoor recreational activities and hosts major events such as the Rivers & Spires festival – this attribute will be further enhanced by the completion of the McGregor Park Riverwalk that includes a boat launch, an amphitheater, an interpretive history museum, events pavilion, and a mile-long hiking trail, as well as Liberty Park’s new marina, performance pavilion, meeting space, extensive parking and other amenities. Downtown Clarksville is one of several commercial districts in the city, but is the cultural center of Clarksville, with the historic Customs House Museum, the Roxy Regional Theater and multiple performance/event venues affiliated with and located on ASPU’s campus 4 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Map of Clarksville Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) 5 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Non-Military Employment Trends – Clarksville MSA 2011 to 2012 (1-Yr) 2011 2012 3,100 3,200 2011 to 2012 (1-Yr) # Jobs % Change 100 3.2% 2007 to 2012 (5-Yr) # Jobs % Change (100) -3.0% Industry Nat. Resources, Mining, & Construction 2007 3,300 Industrial Sectors Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Transportation Warehousing & Utilities 18,400 13,900 2,000 2,500 14,000 9,600 2,300 2,100 14,500 10,000 2,300 2,200 500 400 100 3.6% 4.2% 0.0% 4.8% (3,900) (3,900) 300 (300) -21.2% -28.1% 15.0% -12.0% Office-Using Sectors Information Finance Professional and Business Services 12,000 1,100 2,600 8,300 11,700 900 2,700 8,100 11,800 900 2,800 8,100 100 100 - 0.9% 0.0% 3.7% 0.0% (200) (200) 200 (200) -1.7% -18.2% 7.7% -2.4% Educational and Health Services 9,400 10,900 11,300 400 3.7% 1,900 20.2% Consumer-Oriented Sectors Retail Trade Leisure and Hospitality Other Services 23,700 11,600 9,100 3,000 23,200 11,000 9,400 2,800 23,800 11,000 10,000 2,800 600 600 - 2.6% 0.0% 6.4% 0.0% 100 (600) 900 (200) 0.4% -5.2% 9.9% -6.7% Public Sector (Non-Military) Federal Government State Government Local Government 18,400 5,600 3,500 9,300 20,700 6,800 3,900 10,000 21,100 7,000 3,600 10,500 400 200 (300) 500 1.9% 2.9% -7.7% 5.0% 2,700 1,400 100 1,200 14.7% 25.0% 2.9% 12.9% Total 85,200 83,600 85,700 2,100 2.5% 500 0.6% Distribution of Non-Military Jobs (2012) 4% 24% 17% 14% 28% 13% Nat. Resources, Mining, & Construction Industrial Sectors Office -Using Sectors Educational and Health Services Consumer-Oriented Sectors Public Sector (Non-Military) Note: All data are unseasonally unadjusted for the month of March Source: Tennessee Department of Labor & Workforce Development; TEG Economics 6 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Average Annual Wage by Sector – Clarksville MSA (Q4 2011) Source: Tennessee Department of Labor & Workforce Development; TEG Economics 7 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Unemployment Trends – Clarksville MSA (Q2 2006 – Q1 2012) Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics; TEG Economics 8 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT B. Demographic Trends In order to better understand near-term and long-term development opportunities in Downtown Clarksville, TEG analyzed the demographic patterns found in the neighborhoods comprising the general downtown area (defined as Census Tracts 10.01 and 10.08) and benchmarked those data to the city as a whole, the broader metropolitan area, and the State of Tennessee. The following insights are used to inform the real estate market analyses presented later in this report: As of 2011, there are 4,238 people living in the downtown area, but only 2,840 people live in traditional household settings (including APSU students living off campus) – the balance of the population are mostly students living in on- campus housing and other specialized groups APSU students represent a significant segment of Clarksville’s current downtown population base, as an estimated 40 percent of the downtown population are students enrolled at ASPU The significant student body presence represents a very captive consumer audience for retail goods and services, as well as multifamily housing The City of Clarksville population is projected to grow at a faster rate than both the surrounding region and the State of Tennessee, however, much of this residential growth is expected to occur outside the downtown area Clarksville experienced significant population growth between 2000 and 2011, having grown its resident base by over 30 percent According to population projections from ESRI Business Analyst, the city is expected to add another 13,492 people by 2016, of which about 355 (2.6 percent) are expected to live in the downtown area Absent proactive development of new market rate housing, much of the projected population growth in Downtown Clarksville will likely be attributable to increased enrollment at APSU The downtown population is both younger and more diverse than elsewhere in Clarksville and the surrounding region The dominant student presence in the downtown area results in a median age of 23.5, which in combination with a large number of active military personnel makes Clarksville a relatively young place, as the city as a whole has a median age of 28.7 Downtown has no racial or ethnic majority, whereas the white population comprises nearly two-thirds of the city and over 73 percent of the broader metropolitan area There are an estimated 1,366 households in the downtown area, of which approximately 60 percent are single-person or roommate households Similar to most cities across the country, there are few families with children living in and around downtown , with this segment representing only 18 percent of total households Downtown’s average household size of 2.08 is mostly attributable to APSU students sharing apartments and homes off-campus 9 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Demographic Trends Citywide household income distribution suggests that Clarksville is a solidly middle class community In 2001, the city reported a median annual household income of $43,730; an average household income of $54,430; and a per capita income of $20,760 – all of these measures are on par with statewide income measures Downtown is significantly less affluent due to its large concentration of students, with both median and average household income levels roughly half the citywide measures However, downtown’s per capita income of $18,555 is close to the citywide per capita income due to its smaller households and fewer nonworking children High-income households (defined as those earning more than $100,000 per year) represent less than 10 percent of the city’s total households, of which only a handful live in the downtown area; while they may reside elsewhere, many high income professionals work/spend downtown Due to the transient nature of much of its population, especially military personnel and students, the Clarksville housing stock has a relatively large concentration of rental units (44 percent of all units) The estimated median home value in the City of Clarksville is approximately $133,400, which is very affordable to a household earning the city’s median household income Home values in the downtown area are significantly lower than elsewhere in the city, with an estimate median value of only $81,160; this is attributable to a combination of older housing stock and smaller home sizes, as well as distance from day-to-day amenities such as grocery stores and schools According to the 2010 US Census, approximately 33 percent of all housing units in downtown Clarksville were classified as vacant, which on its surface is very high by industry standards, but is likely skewed by units that are rented to students who may not live in a home year-round as well as deployed military. When the US Census is taken, homes in which residents are not available at the time of the survey are listed as vacant, which likely accounts for the high percentage in downtown Clarksville Migration patterns to Clarksville and surrounding Montgomery County are another clear indicator of the role Fort Campbell plays in attracting new residents and introducing them to the community County-to-county migration data from the IRS Statistics of Income show that over the last five years an average of 7,640 households relocated to Montgomery County on an annual basis The primary source location for households relocating to Clarksville is from Christian County, KY, which also has direct ties to military operations at Fort Campbell. In this case, a major source of migration is from within the region Most in-migrating households (77 percent) move to Montgomery County from somewhere outside the State of Tennessee, with military communities representing the top five out-of-state source markets, including: Foreign/Overseas locations; Cumberland County, NC (Fort Bragg); Honolulu County, HI (Pearl Harbor); Bell County, TX (Fort Hood); and Bexar County, TX (Fort Sam Houston) 10 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Map of “Downtown” Clarksville Census Tracts For the purpose of analyzing downtown Census Tract 1008 Clarksville demographic trends, TEG selected two Census Tracts that capture the core downtown residential market, including ASPU and its surrounding neighborhoods. TEG excluded Census Tracts to the south and east of the study area because these geographies extend well beyond the downtown market, and as a result would have skewed the demographic analysis. Census Tract 1001 11 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Population Characteristics Downtown City of Clarksville Clarksville MSA State of Tennessee Population 2000 3,438 102,731 232,000 5,689,283 2011 (estimate) 4,283 135,093 277,645 6,401,643 2016 (projected) 4,638 148,585 298,481 6,682,764 CAGR * - '00 to '11 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 1.1% CAGR *- '11 to '16 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% In Households 66.3% 97.8% 96.7% 97.6% In Group Quarters 26.8% 1.5% 2.4% 1.1% Institutionalized 6.9% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% White 48.1% 65.6% 73.2% 77.6% Black 45.7% 23.0% 18.2% 16.6% Asian 1.0% 2.3% 1.6% 1.4% Other 5.2% 9.0% 6.9% 4.4% Non-Hispanic 95.6% 90.5% 93.0% 95.2% Hispanic 4.4% 9.5% 7.0% 4.8% Under 20 30.7% 31.6% 30.4% 26.2% 20 to 24 27.3% 10.5% 9.3% 6.7% 25 to 34 14.1% 18.8% 16.3% 13.0% 35 to 54 17.6% 24.2% 24.9% 27.9% 55 to 64 5.6% 7.6% 9.3% 12.5% Over 65 4.7% 7.3% 9.7% 13.6% Median Age 23.5 28.7 30.9 38.0 Where the Population Lives Race & Ethnicity Age of Population Source: ESRI Business Analyst; TEG Economics * Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 12 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Household, Income, and Housing Characteristics Downtown City of Clarksville Clarksville MSA State of Tennessee Households 2000 2011 (estimate) 2016 (projected) 1,163 1,366 1,534 36,750 50,255 55,652 83,332 102,487 110,793 2,232,905 2,515,721 2,628,427 CAGR * - '00 to '11 CAGR * - '11 to '16 1.5% 2.3% 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.6% 1.1% 0.9% Household Composition Single Person Households Roommate Households Families without Children Families with Children 41.6% 18.0% 21.6% 18.8% 23.7% 6.5% 37.8% 31.9% 23.6% 5.3% 36.0% 35.1% 26.9% 5.7% 28.4% 38.9% Average Household Size 2.08 2.63 2.62 2.48 Household Income < $35k $35k < $50k $50k < $75k $75k < $100k $100k < $150k $150k+ 73.4% 13.2% 7.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.9% 37.2% 19.2% 22.2% 11.6% 7.1% 2.7% 40.9% 18.4% 20.8% 10.5% 6.6% 2.8% 42.4% 15.5% 18.3% 10.6% 8.1% 5.0% $21,108 $28,657 $18,555 $43,731 $54,434 $20,764 $41,047 $52,165 $20,053 $41,080 $56,804 $22,931 18.0% 82.0% 56.2% 43.8% 60.8% 39.2% 67.8% 32.2% $81,167 $133,338 $124,002 $118,849 33.6% 14.7% 15.0% 11.2% Median Household Income Average Household Income Per Capita Income Housing Characteristics Owner Occupied Renter Occupied Median Home Value % Vacant (Total Housing Units) Source: ESRI Business Analyst; TEG Economics * Compound Annual Growth Rate 13 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Household Migration to Montgomery County, TN HISTORIC MIGRATION PATTERNS Out-Migration Overseas 6% Net Migration 10,000 4,000 7,500 3,000 5,000 2,000 2,500 1,000 - - (2,500) (1,000) (5,000) (2,000) (7,500) (3,000) (10,000) Elsewhere in TN 9% National 71% (4,000) '05-06 '06-07 '07-08 '08-09 TOP 5 SOURCE MARKETS (FROM CLARKSVILLE MSA & TN) '09-10 IN-MIGRATING HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS (2009-2010) Avg Adjusted Gross Income Avg Household Size $40,000 2.50 $35,000 2.40 $30,000 2.30 $25,000 2.20 $20,000 2.10 $15,000 2.00 Within MSA Elsewhere in TN National Abroad Within MSA 14% Net Migration Total In/Out Migration In-Migration ORIGIN OF IN-MIGRATING HHs (2004-2010) County (Overall Rank) Avg Annual HHs Christian County, KY (1) 993 Davidson County, TN (3) 237 Stewart County, TN (5) 103 Cheatham County, TN (6) 86 Knox County, TN (7) 76 TOP 5 SOURCE MARKETS (OTHER) County (Overall Rank) Avg Annual HHs Foreign/Oversease ZIP Codes (2) 406 Cumberland County, NC (4) 179 Honolulu County, HI (8) 72 Bell County, TX (9) 69 Bexar County, TX (11) 61 Source: IRS Statistics of Income (SOI); TEG Economics 14 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT C. Retail Market Analysis The Clarksville retail market is best characterized by its auto-dependent shopping centers along the major corridors extending from Interstate 24. One notable exception is Franklin Street in the historic downtown area, where the ground floors of mixed-use buildings are home to a mix of independent retail, small professional services companies, cafes and restaurants. Significant population growth over the past decade suggests that the increasing resident population will create greater future demand for additional goods and services. New operators (especially national chains) are most likely to locate in commercial areas that provide the best access to its customer base, which suggests locations with high traffic counts or walkable locations proximate to high density residential neighborhoods and/or a significant daytime population. Additional trends affecting the Clarksville retail market include the following: Sales tax data for Montgomery County suggest that during the five years between 2006 and 2011, countywide retail sales increased at a compound annual rate of 2.1 percent, or roughly the same pace as population growth over the same time period Citywide resident-based retail demand is estimated at approximately $612.2 million on an annual basis, of which only 1.5 percent is attributable to residents living in the two Census Tracts comprising the downtown area (by way of comparison the downtown area represents 3.1 percent of the city’s population) Downtown captures more than its fair share of citywide retail sales, with businesses located in the two are Census Tracts generating an estimated annual sales volume of $45.9 million (or 6.9 percent of citywide sales) Downtown capture rates of citywide sales are highest for the following store types: Home Furnishing Stores (20 percent of citywide sales); Restaurants and Bars (14.5 percent); Miscellaneous Retail – e.g., florists, office supplies, used goods – (11.9 percent); Building Materials, Garden Equipment and Supply Stores (10.3 percent); and Jewelry Stores (9.8 percent) Meanwhile, downtown has a relatively low capture rate of citywide sales that occur in Food and Beverage Stores (1.4 percent); General Merchandise Stores (1.9 percent); and Furniture Stores (2.8 percent) A citywide retail gap analysis reveals that non-automotive businesses in Clarksville generate more sales than resident-based spending potential, suggesting that shoppers are coming into the city from more suburban and rural communities to meet their retail needs Food and Beverage Stores and Electronics /Appliance Stores and the only types of businesses that report a sales gap – i.e., Clarksville residents may be spending for goods and services at Fort Campbell and/or buying comparable merchandise lines not located in the Clarksville area Clarksville has five distinct present and evolving retail subdistricts, all of which compete for the same pool of citywide and regional customers The Downtown/Riverfront District is unique in that it is the only retail subdistrict that offers a walkable, mixed-use environment 15 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Monthly Retail Sales Tax Collection – Montgomery County $5.50 $5.25 $5.00 Monthly Sales ($ millions) $4.75 $4.50 $4.25 $4.00 $3.75 $3.50 $3.25 Monthly Sales Aug-11 Jun-11 Apr-11 Feb-11 Dec-10 Oct-10 Aug-10 Jun-10 Apr-10 Feb-10 Dec-09 Oct-09 Aug-09 Jun-09 Apr-09 Feb-09 Dec-08 Oct-08 Aug-08 Jun-08 Apr-08 Feb-08 Dec-07 Oct-07 Aug-07 Jun-07 Apr-07 Feb-07 Dec-06 Oct-06 Aug-06 $3.00 Trailing 12-Month Average Source: Montgomery County Trustee’s Office; TEG Economics 16 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Estimated 2011 Retail Demand – City of Clarksville & Downtown City of Clarksville Downtown/Riverfront Area Ttl Spending Potential Per Capita Spending % of Total Spending Ttl Spending Potential Per Capita Spending % of Total Spending $67,642,769 $501 11.0% $1,053,334 $246 11.4% Men's $12,141,835 $90 2.0% $191,095 $45 2.1% Women's $20,460,120 $151 3.3% $323,404 $76 3.5% Children's $12,563,366 $93 2.1% $182,775 $43 2.0% Footwear $8,410,736 $62 1.4% $133,088 $31 1.4% Watches & Jewelry $7,549,011 $56 1.2% $113,204 $26 1.2% Apparel Products and Services $6,517,701 $48 1.1% $109,767 $26 1.2% $9,137,555 $68 1.5% $146,787 $34 1.6% Business Category Apparel and Services Computer Entertainment & Recreation $95,448,707 $707 15.6% $1,400,314 $327 15.2% Fees and Admissions $24,207,307 $179 4.0% $319,733 $75 3.5% TV/Video/Audio $49,655,970 $368 8.1% $766,222 $179 8.3% Toys and Games $5,962,595 $44 1.0% $88,442 $21 1.0% Sports/Recreation/Exercise Equipment $5,711,786 $42 0.9% $81,365 $19 0.9% Photo Equipment and Supplies $4,165,157 $31 0.7% $60,639 $14 0.7% Reading $5,745,892 $43 0.9% $83,913 $20 0.9% $348,286,004 $2,578 56.9% $5,353,756 $1,250 58.1% Food at Home $176,603,230 $1,307 28.8% $2,680,868 $626 29.1% Food Away from Home $130,661,219 $967 21.3% $1,998,121 $467 21.7% Alcoholic Beverages $23,545,198 $174 3.8% $403,697 $94 4.4% Nonalcoholic Beverages at Home $17,476,357 $129 2.9% $271,070 $63 2.9% Household Furnishings and Equipment $49,200,219 $364 8.0% $681,570 $159 7.4% Furnishings (Furniture & Textiles) $31,835,668 $236 5.2% $442,011 $103 4.8% Appliances & Other Equipment $17,364,551 $129 2.8% $239,559 $56 2.6% Household Operations $42,513,012 $315 6.9% $579,836 $135 6.3% Lawn and Garden $14,991,177 $111 2.4% $180,755 $42 2.0% Housekeeping Supplies $27,521,835 $204 4.5% $399,081 $93 4.3% $612,228,266 $4,532 100.0% $9,215,597 $2,152 100.0% Food TOTAL CONSUMER DEMAND Source: ESRI Business Analyst; TEG Economics 17 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Estimated 2011 Retail Sales – City of Clarksville & Downtown Downtown/ Riverfront City of Clarksville Downtown/Riverfront % of Citywide Sales Business Category Furniture & Home Furnishings Stores Furniture Stores Home Furnishings Stores $ $ $ 19,088,976 15,797,642 3,291,334 $ $ $ 1,101,844 443,835 658,009 5.77% 2.81% 19.99% Electronics & Appliance Stores $ 13,604,952 $ 1,133,340 8.33% Bldg Materials, Garden Equip. & Supply Stores $ 56,367,143 $ 5,712,580 10.13% Food & Beverage Stores Grocery Stores Specialty Food Stores Beer, Wine & Liquor Stores $ $ $ $ 75,880,905 69,442,153 738,386 5,700,366 $ $ $ $ 1,021,479 579,657 441,822 1.35% 0.83% 0.00% 7.75% Health & Personal Care Stores $ 30,069,332 $ 2,418,345 8.04% Clothing & Clothing Accessories Stores Clothing Stores Shoe Stores Jewelry, Luggage & Leather Goods Stores $ $ $ $ 27,396,259 22,071,063 3,053,068 2,272,128 $ $ $ $ 1,549,671 1,326,119 223,552 5.66% 6.01% 0.00% 9.84% Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book & Music Stores Sporting Goods/Hobby/Musical Instr Stores Book, Periodical & Music Stores $ $ $ 9,363,447 6,090,472 3,272,975 $ $ $ 561,103 452,022 109,081 5.99% 7.42% 3.33% General Merchandise Stores Department Stores Excluding Leased Depts. Other General Merchandise Stores $ $ $ 235,674,315 139,135,797 96,538,518 $ $ $ 4,530,151 205,484 4,324,667 1.92% 0.15% 4.48% Miscellaneous Store Retailers Florists Office Supplies, Stationery & Gift Stores Used Merchandise Stores Other Miscellaneous Store Retailers $ $ $ $ $ 13,879,259 1,417,598 4,011,551 1,878,075 6,572,035 $ $ $ $ $ 1,656,840 258,928 880,754 199,990 317,168 11.94% 18.27% 21.96% 10.65% 4.83% Food Services & Drinking Places $ 180,922,348 $ 26,233,117 14.50% TOTAL RETAIL SALES $ 662,246,936 $ 45,918,470 6.93% Source: ESRI Business Analyst; TEG Economics 18 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Retail Sales Gap/(Surplus) in City of Clarksville Source: ESRI Business Analyst; TEG Economics 19 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Existing & Emerging Clarksville Retail Districts 5 3 2 1 4 20 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Existing & Emerging Clarksville Retail Districts 1 Central Business District/Riverfront County seat of Montgomery County and historic downtown district, with some destination restaurants (e.g., Blackhorse Pub) and selected specialty stores concentrated on Franklin Street. Retail businesses located in the historic CBD are almost exclusively independent operators. Notable recent lease signings in the CBD include two independently owned sporting goods stores – The Runners Hub and Bink’s Outfitters, both of which are located on Franklin Street. A limited amount of student-oriented retail, including casual dining and bars, is located near APSU at the intersection of University Avenue and College Street. Downtown also overlooks the Cumberland River and a commercial strip along Riverside Drive that leads to the recently completed Liberty Park, a $28 Million capital improvement project including a new Clarksville marina, The Great Lawn outdoor performance venue and events space at the Wilma Rudolph Pavilion. Much of the retail on Riverside Drive is focused on fast food, discount stores, building suppliers, and other miscellaneous retail. The district’s largest shopping center is the 238,750-square foot Two Rivers Center, located at the intersection of North Riverside Drive and Route 41a. Originally built in 1968, this auto-oriented shopping center is currently 45 percent vacant. In its current figuration, Two Rivers Center is at a disadvantage relative to its competitive shopping centers in the other retail districts due to limited tenancy, relatively poor visibility from Riverside Drive and a lack of critical mass of nearby comparison shopping. Notable Shopping Centers/Streets: Asking Retail Rents: Commercial space on historic Franklin Street Historic Franklin Street; Two Rivers Center (238,750 SF) $8.00 - $14.00 psf in the CBD $10.00 - $15.00 psf along Riverside Drive Convenience retail on University Avenue Strip Center on Riverside Drive 21 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Existing & Emerging Clarksville Retail Districts 2 Wilma Rudolph Boulevard A five-mile long retail corridor that connects Interstate 24 with downtown Clarksville containing approximately 2.6 million square feet of retail in a variety of store configurations, including strip malls, stand alone big box retailers, and an enclosed mall. There is a significant presence of national chain retail on Wilma Rudolph, including Walmart, Sam’s Club, Target, Dick’s Sporting Goods, JC Penney, Kohl’s, Lowes Home Improvement, and other anchors. The corridor is also home to Governor’s Square Mall, a 775,000-square foot mall offering Clarksville’s only major concentration of fashion-oriented retail and comparison shopping. In addition to its retail offerings, Governor’s Square Mall has a range of entertainment and dining options, including a 10-screen Carmike cinema (one of only two movie theaters in Clarksville.) The large concentration of retail in this corridor is attributable to its easy access from I-24 via, where average daily traffic counts reached almost 48,000 vehicle per day in 2010. Interstate accessibility also makes the Wilma Rudolph corridor attractive to the hospitality sector, as indicated by the 20 lodging properties clustered around exit 4. Notable Shopping Centers: Asking Retail Rents: Governor’s Square Signage on Wilma Rudolph Governor’s Square Mall (775,000 SF); Hampton Plaza (206,000 SF) $10.00 - $18.00 psf for in-line space in anchored centers $20.00 - $25.00 psf for pad restaurant sites fronting Wilma Rudolph Hampton Plaza anchor tenant Well-landscaped bank 22 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Existing & Emerging Clarksville Retail Districts 3 Fort Campbell Boulevard Connecting Fort Campbell to Clarksville, Fort Campbell Boulevard is a traditional commercial corridor with 1.4 million square feet of big box stores, food and beverage offerings (primarily fast food), grocery anchored shopping centers, and other commercial development. Many of the corridor’s shopping centers and stand alone buildings are dated and in need of renovation and modernization, as more than half of the total retail space was built before 1980. The most notable national chain tenant is Walmart, located near the intersection of 101st Airborne and Fort Campbell boulevard. The overall business mix and retail offerings are primarily comprised of local and regional operators, with many establishments closer to Fort Campbell’s Main Gates oriented toward military personnel. Notable Shopping Centers: Asking Retail Rents: Modern strip/convenience center Walmart-anchored shopping center at 101st Airborne intersection (193,500 SF) $12.00 - $18.00 psf New fast food restaurant Bank 23 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Existing & Emerging Clarksville Retail Districts 4 Madison Street Corridor The eastern gateway to Clarksville from I-24, Madison Street is an evolving retail corridor with an existing Lowe’s Home Improvement store, chain and local fast food, and one of the Clarksville area’s three Walmart Superstores. Nearby average daily traffic counts average 20,000 to 24,000 vehicles per day by the exit off I-24. The corridor contains slightly more than 1 million square feet of retail and commercial space, with more than half of the total space concentrated in shopping centers near the intersection of Madison and Route 76. The Madison Street Corridor has benefitted from local public investment, including tax incentives for the redevelopment of the old Gateway Medical Center site with a 54,800 square foot Publix grocery store, and the relocation of several Montgomery County administrative offices to a 175,000 square foot former shopping center on Pageant Lane. The Publix project is the first large scale development in the Madison Street Overlay Zone that aims to create a more walkable commercial environment through land use and design guidelines, marking a stark contrast from Clarksville’s more auto-dependent corridors such as Wilma Rudolph and Fort Campbell Boulevard. In TEG’s view (and despite the design guidelines), the site development is more similar to traditional strip development planning than a walkable pedestrian-oriented environment. Publix has been well received in the Clarksville market, but the site layout is still conventional suburban planning with stores arrayed around a large surface parking lot facing the main road. Notable Shopping Centers: Asking Retail Rents: Neighborhood shopping center Walmart-anchored shopping center at Route 76 intersection (207,120 SF) $10.00 - $19.50 psf (high end of range found at new Publix-anchored center) Publix grocery store Neighborhood strip center 24 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Existing & Emerging Clarksville Retail Districts 5 Trenton Road/Tiny Town Road The smallest of the Clarksville retail districts, the Trenton Road/Tiny Town Road corridor has been growing rapidly over the past five years as greenfield sites have been developed with new housing and most recently commercial uses. Most current commercial development is near the intersection of Tiny Town Road and Trenton, but other commercial parcels are under construction or approved for future development further west, such as the Publix-anchored Shoppes at Peachers Mill. The intersection of Tiny Town Road and Trenton Road is also the location of a 16screen Great Escape Movie Theater, the second of only two theaters in Clarksville. Future retail development will be supported by the surrounding area’s strong demographics, including the highest average household income levels in the City of Clarksville. Notable Shopping Centers: Asking Retail Rents: Shoppes at Peachers Mill Shoppes at Peachers Mill (61,660 SF – under construction) $14.00 - $24.00 psf (high end of range found at Shoppes at Peachers Mill) Great Escape 16 Movie Theater New multi-tenant strip center 25 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT D. Housing Market Analysis Clarksville has two distinct resident segments driving its housing market – the first is a large, young transient population associated with Fort Campbell and APSU, and the second is comprised of young families and retirees settling down in an affordable city that offers a high quality of life. While the former resident segment generates demand for rental housing in proximity to consumer amenities and school or work, the latter segment is more likely to be a homeowner or high-end renter seeking stable neighborhoods with a more suburban character and long-term value potential. Downtown Clarksville has historically catered to the younger, more transient population, especially students attending APSU. In recent years, two new studentoriented apartment complexes opened near the APSU campus, University Landing (2006) and The Grove at Clarksville (2011). A limited number of new units have also been added to the downtown market that cater to the non-student population (the upper floor conversion to luxury apartments above the new Binks Outfitters on Franklin Street are a prime example of how upper floor spaces can be adapted for the niche downtown residential market), adding a handful of young professionals and empty nesters seeking a more urban living experience. As retail goods and services and other consumer oriented amenities typically follow population and income density, a long term downtown housing strategy should focus on the continuing diversification of the resident base to complement the existing student population. Market trends to consider in adopting this strategy are described below: Mirroring national housing market trends, residential permitting data for the City of Clarksville show that the construction of new homes peaked sometime between 2006 and 2007, with the market now starting to show some signs of recovery Of the 16,000 permitted housing units between 2002 and 2011, 76 percent were single family homes Over the same 10-year period the City of Clarksville added roughly 13,500 households, which suggests that the city issued buildings permits for 1.18 units per new household – a rate that is sufficient to accommodate new growth and replace obsolete housing stock As Clarksville experienced a population boom over the past decade, developers responded with the construction of new multifamily projects to accommodate recent arrivals to the area Many of the new multifamily projects built between 2000 and 2012 catered to a more upscale renter Almost all of the multifamily projects built in the last ten years have been very suburban in character, with clusters of three to four-story surface-parked buildings clustered around common amenities, such as swimming pools and community rooms The two new multifamily projects located in the downtown area , The Grove at Clarksville and University Landing, primarily cater to APSU students The two student apartment projects added a much needed modern supply of multifamily rental housing to downtown Clarksville (the only other mid-sized apartment complex in the area is The Bluffs Over Cumberland located on Riverside Drive, which was built in 1975) Student-oriented apartments operate with a different business model than traditional multifamily projects – instead of signing a lease for an entire unit, residents will rent an individual room that has its own secure entrance within a shared common area Apartments are often available as either furnished or unfurnished, which in combination with the renting of individual rooms, allows owners to charge higher monthly rents than observed at comparable units in traditional market rate projects 26 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Housing Market Analysis Most new high-end multifamily projects have been built outside downtown in existing and rapidly developing commercial centers, including Wilma Rudolph Boulevard, 101st Airborne Parkway, Peachers Mill Road, and around the new Gateway Medical Center Floor plans in these projects tend to be larger than those found in older buildings, with larger living and dining areas, inclusion of master suite bathrooms, and more internal storage space By offering a more sophisticated level of interior finishes and expansive amenity packages, these new multifamily projects have changed the market’s perception of multifamily housing and made renting a viable long term alternative to buying – a behavior that has been reinforced by the national housing crisis and Great Recession Independence Place, a 228-unit apartment complex opened in 2009 near Fort Campbell at State Line Road, is a branded multifamily complex that caters to the military and related contractors Similar to student-oriented apartments, some units come furnished and can be individually leased by the bedroom Offers 1-bedroom, 2-bedroom, and 4-bedroom floor plans Condominium units – which include attached single family units, stacked flats, and some townhouse style units – comprise a small fraction of the overall ownership market in Clarksville, as most homebuyers still seek single family detached homes As of June 2012, there were 67 units defined as condominiums units available for sale throughout Clarksville, representing less than 4 percent of the available inventory Most of the stacked flat condominium inventory (2+ stories, 4 or more units, shared entry) is found almost exclusively in the Fort Campbell area Elsewhere in the city, especially in neighborhoods east of downtown along the Madison Street corridor, housing product defined as condominiums are actually attached single family homes with garages that share one party wall Numerous multi-unit condo buildings in the Fort Campbell area have been purchased have been purchased by single investors with the assumed intent of renting the units as apartments Prevalent product types and size of units sold suggests that the Clarksville condominium market is driven by price sensitive buyers who would otherwise purchase a single family home Condominiums sold in Clarksville almost exclusively have two or three bedrooms – there were only two 1-bedroom units that sold between 2010 and 2012 (out of 101 total condominium sales) Only one project located in the CBD, 2nd Street Lofts, has tested the “urban” condominium concept; however, when the 25-unit project delivered in 2009 the units did not sell as expected and are currently being marketed as rentals 27 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Housing Market Analysis The condo market citywide has been softening over the last several years, with recently sold units trading for below asking price 75 condominium units were sold throughout Clarksville between 2010 and 2011, or approximately 37 to 38 units per year Assuming the average pace of absorption over the past two years, there is over 21 months of inventory available on the market (less than 6 months of inventory is the standard indicator of insufficient supply) The average price of condominiums sold from January through June of 2012 was approximately $118,100, or $73 per square foot, although condominiums that live more like single family homes command prices closer to the $90 to $110 per square foot range The condo market citywide has been softening over the last several years, with recently sold units trading for below asking price Based on projected household growth in the Clarksville area, resident preferences for housing in a more urban location, and historic absorption patters, TEG estimates that downtown Clarksville can support 75 to 100 new housing units over the next five years Demand projections include rental and for-sale housing units that cater to the full resident spectrum, including students, young professionals, empty nesters/retirees, seniors, and low income households Current market conditions suggest that rental housing is more marketable than for-sale product in the downtown area Almost all of the demand for downtown housing will come from households relocating to Clarksville from beyond the region, most likely from cities that have more established urban residential neighborhoods Near term market-driven housing opportunities in the downtown area are likely to be focused on the renovation of vacant or underutilized second floor spaces in existing buildings that lend themselves to residential conversion, such as the recently completed units located above the Bink’s sporting goods store on Franklin Street Achievable average market rate rents in the $1.15 to $1.25 range can only support surface-parked, three to four-story wood-frame construction typologies Public subsidy will likely be required in order to make a higher density multifamily project (i.e., four-story+ elevator building with structured parking) financially feasible. The total amount of subsidy required will be determined by project construction costs and the owner/developer’s land basis. Senior housing, offering social function space and access to health care, is a niche housing opportunity with strong potential for the downtown market, especially given the opportunity to partner with one of the religious institutions with a presence downtown. Some of these projects offer tiered levels of care for residents ranging from independent living through assisted living. From a street activation standpoint, the independent living seniors provide greater market support for nearby retail than residents who require assistance. 28 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Permitted Housing Units – City of Clarksville Source: US Census Bureau Building Permits Survey; TEG Economics 29 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Map of Competitive Multifamily Projects (Built after 2000) 9 7 3 6 5 8 2 1 4 30 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Rent Ranges at Competitive Multifamily Projects Type/Name Student Apartments University Landing 1 Year Open 2006 1 Bedroom $839 158 units 2 Grove at Clarksville 2011 -- $839 364 units 4 Cumberland Ridge 2005 252 units 5 Autumn Winds 2007 264 units 6 Parc at Clarksville 2007 168 units 7 Renaissance at Peachers Mill 2011 216 units 8 The Fountains at Meadow Wood 2011 Military Apartment(located at Fort Campbell Gate) 9 Independence Place 2009 228 units -- $1,138 $1,647 -- N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2001 $1,138 3 Bedroom N/A N/A Traditional Market Rate 3 Bristol Park at Governors Square 2 Bedroom $1,647 $1,100 850 SF $1.29 psf ---- $1,100 850 SF $1.29 psf $1,560 1,200 SF $1.30 psf ---- $1,560 1,200 SF $1.30 psf $1,285 1,132 SF $1.14 psf $1,100 1,414 SF $.78 psf $1,375 1,202 SF $1.14 psf $1,090 1,110 SF $.98 psf $1,265 1,300 SF $.97 psf ---------------- $1,315 1,132 SF $1.16 psf $1,100 1,414 SF $.78 psf $1,375 1,202 SF $1.14 psf $1,090 1,110 SF $.98 psf $1,344 1,400 SF $.96 psf $855 567 SF $1.51 psf $720 671 SF $1.07 psf $920 673 SF $1.37 psf $840 729 SF $1.15 psf $890 750 SF $1.12 psf $849 687 SF $1.24 psf ------------------- $940 815 SF $1.15 psf $895 978 SF $.92 psf $920 673 SF $1.37 psf $840 729 SF $1.15 psf $899 800 SF $1.09 psf $1,199 898 SF $1.34 psf $1,060 990 SF $1.07 psf $995 1,198 SF $.83 psf $1,110 1,047 SF $1.06 psf $960 985 SF $.97 psf $1,010 1,000 SF $1.01 psf $989 967 SF $1.02 psf ------------------- $1,090 990 SF $1.10 psf $995 1,198 SF $.83 psf $1,110 1,047 SF $1.06 psf $960 987 SF $.97 psf $1,080 1,100 SF $.98 psf $1,019 1,056 SF $.96 psf $995 697 SF $1.43 psf ---- $995 697 SF $1.43 psf $1,360 931 SF $1.46 psf ---- $1,360 931 SF $1.46 psf N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Source: Individual properties; TEG Economics 31 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Housing Demand Analysis - Methodology The purpose of the demand analysis is to quantify potential annual absorption of multifamily housing in downtown Clarksville. The analysis assumes that new units will be competitively priced relative to market comparables, including any initial concessions, as necessary, to accelerate lease-up/sales. Households Relocating from Outside Clarksville MSA Total Annual Target Households Total Pool of Households Total pool of households derived from new households relocating to the Clarksville area, plus annual turnover of existing residents within Montgomery County. All household data are quantified at the county level. = Estimated Annual Demand (e.g. Unit Absorption) • Housing Tenure • Location Preference • Product Type Preference • Income Qualification Turnover of Local Households 1 Submarket Capture Rate 2 Household Characteristic Filters Total pool of households filtered by select criteria to determine total annual target households. Household characteristics are based on segmentation data from ESRI Business Analyst’s PRIZM database. 3 Market Specific Capture Rates Estimated annual demand within the target submarket based on a range of capture rates derived from historic US Census data and household growth forecasts from ESRI Business Analyst. Target submarket is defined as Downtown/Riverfront District. 32 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Housing Demand Analysis – Captured Demand Calculations Total Households Existing Montgomery County/Clarksville Households In-Migrating Households from Elsewhere Nationwide & Abroad 50,255 7,664 % Moving & Remain in Area 9.8% 4,923 100% 7,664 % with Qualifying Demographic & Lifestyle Characteristics 0.5% 26 5.9% 458 Downtown/Riverfront Multifamily Capture Rate (based on neighborhood & housing product preference) 25.0 – 30.0% 4.5 – 5.5% Captured Households in Downtown/Riverfront Area 6–8 20 – 25 Estimated Annual Demand for Downtown Housing 26 - 33 units/year (130 - 165 units over 5 years) Source: ESRI Business Analyst; IRS Statistics of Income; US Census Bureau; TEG Economics 33 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT E. Benchmark Cities Analysis As part of the Two Rivers Corporation Downtown /Riverfront Redevelopment Strategy, TEG researched ‘benchmark’ cities in Tennessee and elsewhere in Tennessee and the Southeast. Several criteria were considered in determining how the benchmark locations would be qualified: similar population sizes for the cities and their respective Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA’s); median household and per-capita income levels; the presence of one or more colleges and universities located in proximity or in the downtown areas; presence of a major military and/or institutional government facility that is a significant contributor to the local/regional economy; number of businesses in the area (manufacturing, retail, office, etc.); completion of a major riverfront improvement program; and location of one or more event/theater facilities located in/near the downtown area. In several examples, larger cities may also be considered ‘aspirational’ , in that they have completed programs, projects or implemented redevelopment/ management programs that could be applied in the downtown /riverfront areas of Clarksville, but which have larger market populations from which to draw sales, support and participation. Several also have had experiences or methodologies that can be considered as potential models for Clarksville’s continuing planning and redevelopment efforts, over time; these are described later in this section. The benchmark cities selected for the analysis by the TRC clients were: Knoxville, Tennessee Chattanooga, Tennessee Greenville, South Carolina Columbus, Georgia Little Rock, Arkansas General comments: While the city population of Clarksville compares favorably with the five selected cities, four of the five benchmark locations have much larger MSA’s surrounding them, therefore greatly increasing the market potentials, the scale of the business base, and other factors. To the extent that greater area populations exist in every case (except for Columbus GA), the importance of the military/governmental facility is inversely proportional – larger, more diversified economies will be less dependent on the government installations as major contributors to the local economic base. The tables on the following pages illustrate the comparative similarities and differences between Clarksville and the five benchmark cities. 34 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Benchmark Cities – Knoxville, TN City& State Clarksville TN Knoxville TN 135,093 277,645 179,492 704,510 Population is 1/3 larger No. Comparison Element 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 City Population MSA Population Median HH Income (2010) Per Capita Income (2010) Number of businesses w/in city (2007) County Seat of: Nearby Military Base/Govt Facilities Base/Federal Facility Population Distance from Downtown to Base/Facil. Downtown College/University DT Student Population (total) Name of Downtown Mgt. Entity Mgt Entity Structure DT Mgt Group Number of staff Annual DT Org. Budget Downtown Residents or DU's Cultural Facility/Theaters Other Attractions Downtown Downtown Hotel(s) at Convention Ctr. 20 Conference Center Square Feet 21 DT Convention Center/Arena Convention Center/Arena SF or # Seats Corporate Headquarters in city Downtown Daytime Employees River through CBD Riverfront Improvements 22 23 24 25 26 Riverfront Improvements Budget 28 Downtown Events per Year 29 Estimated Annual Area Tourism 27 $ $ 43,741 20,764 $ $ MSA is 2.4 X larger 31,005 21,433 7,055 19,873 Montgomery Knox Fort Campbell KY Oak Ridge Laboratories 14,338 29,330 Approx. 15 miles Approximately 15 miles Austin Peay State Univ University of Tennessee 10,723 26,300 Two Rivers Company Downtown Knoxville CBID CBID/501(c)(3) 501 (c)(4) CBID N/A 1 Ex Dir + CofC contracted svcs $97,520 $ 360,000 Est. 500 res.; 8,400 w/stu. 1,200 DU's; 2,000 residents Roxy Theater: 215 seats Bijou Theater: 700 seats; Tenn Theater: 1,545 seats DT Mkt; Customs House Mus.: 35,000 SF; Riverwalk; ArtWalk Riverview Inn: 154 rooms Volunteer Landing Riverwalk; Women’s Basketball Hall of Fame; Sunsphere/World’ s Fair Site Hilton and Holiday Inn Select; total of 603 rooms N/A Marriott : 378 rooms, 30,000 SF Conference Center No 9,000 Seat APSU Arena F&M Bank TBD Cumberland Riverwalk Park; Liberty Park Liberty Park: $28 M (4 phases) 250+ TBD Knoxville Conv Center: 500,000 SF Knoxville DT Expo Ctr: 85,000 SF UT Conf Ctr: 250,000 SF Univ of Tenn Arena: 24,678 seats TVA, Pilot Corp., IdleAire Technologies, JFG Coffee 21,538 Tennessee Riverwalk, UT Boathouse Clarksville’s Med HH Income is 1.44 times that of Knoxville Stronger local business base: 20,000 businesses v. 7,000; Corporate HQ’s Oak Ridge Labs 2X size of Ft. Campbell, higher avg. wages UT Student Population 2.5X APSU; major impact DT Almost 4X more hotel rooms Convention Center , Expo Center and Conference Center, all located in Downtown Knoxville Corporate and government users drive active Knoxville downtown office market Long-term cohesive planning efforts to connect DT, Riverfront, University area South Waterfront Vision Plan, 2006; budget TBD Hundreds of event nights N/A Source: Comparable Communities Downtown Organizations;, US 2010 Census; City-Data; The Eisen Group TEG 35 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Benchmark Cities – Chattanooga, TN City& State Clarksville TN Chattanooga TN 135,093 277,645 169,609 533,581 City Population is more than 25% larger No. Comparison Element 1 City Population 2 MSA Population 3 Median HH Income (2010) 4 Per Capita Income (2010) 5 Number of businesses w/in city (2007) 6 County Seat of: 7 Nearby Military Base/Govt Facilities 8 Base/Federal Facility Population 9 Distance from Downtown to Base/Facil. 10 Downtown College/University 11 DT Student Population (total) 12 Name of Downtown Mgt. Entity 13 Mgt Entity Structure 14 DT Mgt Group Number of staff 15 Annual DT Org. Budget 16 Downtown Residents or DU's Cultural Facility/Theaters $ $ 43,741 20,764 7,055 Montgomery Fort Campbell KY 14,338 Approx. 15 miles Austin Peay State Univ 10,723 Two Rivers Company 501 (c)(4) CBID N/A $97,520 Est. 500 res.; 8,400 w/stu. Roxy Theater: 215 seats 17 Other Attractions Downtown 18 19 Downtown Hotel(s) at Convention Ctr. 20 Conference Center Square Feet 21 DT Convention Center/Arena 22 Convention Center/Arena SF or # Seats Downtown Market; Customs House Museum: 35,000 SF; Riverwalk ArtWalk Riverview Inn: 154 rooms N/A No 9,000 seat APSU Arena F&M Bank 23 Corporate Headquarters in city 24 Downtown Daytime Employees 25 River through CBD 26 Riverfront Improvements 27 Riverfront Improvements Budget 28 Downtown Events per Year 29 Estimated Annual Area Tourism TBD Cumberland Riverwalk; Liberty Park Liberty Park: $28 M (4 phases) 250+ TBD $ $ MSA is almost 2 X larger than Clarksville 36,064 23,001 17,465 Hamilton Arnold AFB/Arnold Engr & Dev Complex (AEDC) 3,000 Approx. 65 miles University of Tennessee Chattanooga 10,000 RiverCity Company 501(c)(3) 6 + interns $ 3,200,000 26,000, incl adjac. neighborhoods Majestic Theater Complex; Tennessee Aquarium; Creative Discovery Children's Museum; IMAX Theater; Hunter Museum; AT&T Baseball Field 12 Screen Majestic; 189,000 SF Aquarium; 42,000 SF Creative Discovery Museum; 63,000 SF IMAX Theater (400 seats); 6,362 seat minor league AT&T Field; 185,000 SF Hunter Museum of Amer. Art Marriott Conv Ctr: 362 rooms; Total of 1,992 Downtown Hotel Rooms Chattanoogan Hotel: 199 rooms, 25,000 SF Conference Center Chattanooga Conv. Ctr : 185,000 SF Memorial Auditorium: total 4,878 seats in two theaters UTC McKenzie Arena: 12,000 seats Chattanooga Bakery (Moon Pies); Gordon Biersch Brewery Co.; Krystal; Coker Tire; McKee Foods (Little Debbie); Olan Mills 50,000 Tennessee Riverfront 21 st Century Plan $120 Million Estimated at 200 per year Estimated 1 Million per year Clarksville’s Median HH Income is over 20% higher than Chattanooga’s 17,500 businesses v. 7,000; multiple Corp HQ’s; limited connection to AAFB/AEDC UTC Student population equal to APSU Tourism, business, conventions support almost 2,000 DT hotel rooms; destination Downtown convention center; conf center in Marriott Hotel Aquarium, Expansion, Discovery Science Museum, etc. create vacation destination, 1M visitors/tourists per year Multiple Corp HQ, downtown office market = 50,000 daily employees Major private charitable foundations (Coca Cola bottling) helped fund TN Aquarium, other DT attractions; strong civic momentum Strong downtown resident market activates DT nights, weekends Source: Comparable Communities Downtown Organizations;, US 2010 Census; City-Data; The Eisen Group TEG 36 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Benchmark Cities – Greenville, SC City& State Clarksville TN Greenville SC 135,093 277,645 59,892 645,404 City Population less than half Clarksville’s (SC laws make it difficult to annex) No. Comparison Element 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 City Population MSA Population Median HH Income (2010) Per Capita Income (2010) Number of businesses w/in city (2007) County Seat of: Nearby Military Base/Govt Facilities Base/Federal Facility Population Distance from Downtown to Base/Facil. Downtown College/University DT Student Population (total) Name of Downtown Mgt. Entity Mgt Entity Structure DT Mgt Group Number of staff Annual DT Org. Budget Downtown Residents or DU's Cultural Facility/Theaters 17 18 Other Attractions Downtown 19 Downtown Hotel(s) at Convention Ctr. 20 Conference Center Square Feet 21 DT Convention Center/Arena Convention Center/Arena SF or # Seats 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Corporate Headquarters in city Downtown Daytime Employees River through CBD Riverfront Improvements Riverfront Improvements Budget Downtown Events per Year Estimated Annual Area Tourism $ $ 43,731 20,764 $ $ 7,055 Montgomery Fort Campbell KY 14,338 Approx. 15 miles Austin Peay State Univ 10,723 Two Rivers Company 501(c)(4) CBID N/A 38,026 26,735 9,371 Greenville Donaldson AFB (closed) Not Applicable (closed) N/A Clemson Downtown; Furman and Bob Jones in area 6,725 City of Greenville Economic Dvt. City of Greenville 1 FTE staff, plus 35% time from 2 City ED staff TIFF contrib's $100K for Offc Mktg, $10M for $97,520 maintenance and bond payments Est. 500 res.; 8,400 w/stu. 1,700 Downtown DU's; Estimated 3,000 res. Peace Center for the Performing Arts; Greenville Roxy Theater: 215 seats County Art Museum; Heritage Green Museum and Gallery; Uptown History Museum DT Mkt; Customs House Mus.: Peace Center: 2,100 seats; Bi-Lo Arena: 15,000 35,000 SF; Riverwalk ; ArtWalk seats; Centre Stage: 285 seats (10,000 SF) Theater Riverview Inn: 154 rooms Total of 850 Downtown Hotel Rooms Hyatt Regency: 328 Rooms plus 34,000 SF N/A Conference Center Convention Center: 280,000 SF (not located downtown) No 9,000 seat APSU Arena Bi-Lo Arena (DT): 15,000 seats Fluor Nuclear; Hubbell Lighting; TD Bank; Certus F&M Bank Bank; Windstream; Michelin NA, BMW NA (C'nty) TBD 25,500 Cumberland Reedy Riverwalk Park; Liberty Park Falls Park: 20 acre DT garden Liberty Park: $28 M (4 phases) $13 Million in 2000, decades of Garden Club vol's 250+ Over 300 DT event days per year Estimated 1.5 Million per year TBD MSA is about 2.3 X larger than Clarksville Greenville has a 13% lower Median HH income than Clarksville, but a per capita income that is almost 30% higher. Greenville has about 1/3 more total businesses; multiple Corp HQ’s ; total fewer students About 850 downtown hotel rooms plus a hotel/conference center and 280,000 SF suburban convention center Strong initiative to attract housing downtown has produced 1,700 du’s, about 3,000 residents, activity for events, dining, shopping nights and weekends Multiple Corp HQ in diverse fields; auto-products focus generated partnership with Clemson University for research ctr. Downtown office market = 25,000 daily employees Minor League baseball field downtown Major capital investment in Reedy River enhancements over 25 years Clemson University (45 miles away in Clemson) has CU-ICAR and Real Estate/MBA facilities in Greenville Source: Comparable Communities Downtown Organizations;, US 2010 Census; City-Data; The Eisen Group TEG 37 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Benchmark Cities – Columbus, GA City& State Clarksville TN Columbus GA 135,093 277,645 190,945 297,634 City Population is about 40 % larger, but the MSA only 7% larger than Clarksville’s No. Comparison Element 15 City Population MSA Population Median HH Income (2010) Per Capita Income (2010) Number of businesses w/in city (2007) County Seat of: Nearby Military Base/Govt Facilities Base/Federal Facility Population Distance from Downtown to Base/Facil. Downtown College/University DT Student Population (total) Name of Downtown Mgt. Entity Mgt Entity Structure DT Mgt Group Number of staff Annual DT Org. Budget 16 Downtown Residents or DU's 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Cultural Facility/Theaters $ $ 43,741 20,764 7,055 Montgomery Fort Campbell KY 14,338 Approx. 15 miles Austin Peay State Univ 10,723 Two Rivers Company 501(c)(4) CBID N/A $97,520 Est. 500 res.; 8,400 w/stu. Roxy Theater: 215 seats 17 18 19 20 Other Attractions Downtown Downtown Hotel(s) at Convention Ctr. Conference Center Square Feet 25 DT Convention Center/Arena Convention Center/Arena SF or # Seats Corporate Headquarters in city Downtown Daytime Employees River through CBD 26 Riverfront Improvements 27 Riverfront Improvements Budget Downtown Events per Year Estimated Annual Area Tourism 21 22 23 24 28 29 DT Mkt; Customs House Mus: 35,000 SF; Riverwalk; ArtWalk Riverview Inn: 154 rooms N/A No 9,000 seat APSU Arena F& M Bank TBD Cumberland Riverwalk Park; Liberty Park Liberty Park: $28 M (4 phases) 250+ TBD $ $ 38,590 21,838 15,425 Muscogee Fort Benning 41,462 Approximately 15 miles Columbus State University 8,200 Uptown Columbus BID 501(c)(3); manages BID Totals 13: 2 at Uptown, 11 at BID $ 850,000 226 non-student DT DU's; + 196 CSU student units; total of 2,000 res w/adjoining historic district Springer Opera House, the Georgia State Theater: 700 seats, 75,000 SF; RiverCenter for the Performing Arts: 2000 seat main theater, 430 seat Legacy Hall, 150 seat Black Box Total of 3,280 seats 15 mi Chattahoochee River Walk/Bike Trail & Park, Coca Cola Space Center (at Columbus State Univ) 117 room Marriott Downtown, no conference Conf Facilities in Conv Ctr Columbus Conv and Trade Ctr: 200,000 SF (incl 22,000 SF Conf Ctr); Columbus Civic Center Civic Center: 10,000 seats AFLAC Insurance, TSYS, Carmike Cinemas, Synovus Columbus has a 12% lower Median HH income than Clarksville, and a 5% higher average per capita income level. Over 2X as many total local businesses; multiple Corp HQ’s ; about 24% fewer students downtown Downtown convention center includes a 22,000 SF conference center, plus Marriott Downtown Hotel; 10,000 seat DT Civic Ctr Strong initiative to attract housing downtown has produced 1,700 du’s, about 3,000 residents, activity for events, dining, shopping nights and weekends Multiple Corp HQ, significant local ownership and resulting corporate/ foundation contributions, subsidies Major DT Cultural/events centers draw traffic in evenings/on weekends; office less focused; HQ offices in outer locations $43M Whitewater Rafting course is next step in Chattahoochee River through Army Corps of Engineers-funded improvements Chattahoochee 15 mile Chattahoochee River Walk Park $43 M, Corps of Engr's 2.3 mile urban whitewater rafting course Estimated at 1 Million per year Source: Comparable Communities Downtown Organizations;, US 2010 Census; City-Data; The Eisen Group TEG 38 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Benchmark Cities – Little Rock, AR City& State Clarksville TN Little Rock AR 135,093 277,645 193,980 708,545 City Population is about 1.4X larger, MSA is over 2.5 X larger than Clarksville; state capital, largest city in the State No. Comparison Element 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 City Population MSA Population Median HH Income (2010) Per Capita Income (2010) Number of businesses w/in city (2007) County Seat of: Nearby Military Base/Govt Facilities Base/Federal Facility Population Distance from Downtown to Base/Facil. Downtown College/University DT Student Population (total) Name of Downtown Mgt. Entity Mgt Entity Structure DT Mgt Group Number of staff Annual DT Org. Budget Downtown Residents or DU's Cultural Facility/Theaters Other Attractions Downtown 18 19 Downtown Hotel(s) at Convention Ctr. 20 Conference Center Square Feet 21 DT Convention Center/Arena Convention Center/Arena SF or # Seats 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Corporate Headquarters in city Downtown Daytime Employees River through CBD Riverfront Improvements Riverfront Improvements Budget Downtown Events per Year Estimated Annual Area Tourism $ $ 43,741 20,764 7,055 Montgomery Fort Campbell KY 14,338 Approx. 15 miles Austin Peay State Univ 10,723 Two Rivers Company 501 (c)(4) CBID N/A $97,520 Est. 500 res.; 8,400 w/stud. Roxy Theater: 215 seats $ $ 45,515 29,520 19,586 Pulaski Little Rock Air Force Base 15,804 Approximately 17 miles Univ of Arkansas at LR; UA Medical Services (UAMS) 14,285 Downtown Little Rock Partnership 501(c)(3); manages BID 7, including Partnership and BID $ 581,000 12,500 residents Clinton Presidential Center; Arkansas Repertory Theater (Main Stage 354 seats; 100 seat Black Box ) DT Market; Customs House Mus: Historic Arkansas Museum: 51,000 SF; Museum of 35,000 SF; Riverwalk; ArtWalk Discovery (Children's Museum) : 25,000 SF; Riverview Inn: 154 rooms N/A No 9,000 seat APSU Arena F&M Bank TBD Cumberland Liberty Park Liberty Park: $28 M (4 phases) 250+ TBD 1,700 DT hotel rooms 287 Room Doubletree, at Robinson Center, 40,000 SF Flex Meeting Space Statehouse Conv Ctr: 220,000 SF, at 418 room Peabody Hotel; Robinson Ctr: 2,609 sets; Verizon Arena: 18.000 Dillard's Department Stores; Acxiom; Windstream Communications; Stephens Inc.; Heifer Foundation 42,000 Arkansas Planned 24 mi Ark. River Trail (11 mi completed) N/A Little Rock’s Median HH income is 15% higher than Clarksville; per capita income level is over 40% higher in Little Rock Almost 3X as many total local businesses; national and regional corporate HQ’s 42,000 daytime workers downtown About 33% more students downtown Approx 1,000 downtown du’s; 12,500 residents include DT neighborhoods keep DT active nights, weekends 1,700 hotel rooms DT; 220,000 SF DT Convention Center at 418 room Peabody State government , corporate HQ, offices keep downtown active at lunch weekdays River Market District (with streetcar) is LR’s major downtown loft/nightlife area Museum of Discovery, Arkansas Repertory Theater, Robinson Center draw regional residents to downtown area Source: Comparable Communities Downtown Organizations;, US 2010 Census; City-Data; The Eisen Group TEG 39 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Findings from Benchmark Cities Each of the selected cities in the preceding list of benchmark locations can offer useful lessons, organizational models or precedents for redevelopment that could be undertaken in Clarksville. An overview analysis of the five examples also suggests comprehensive redevelopment actions and tactics that Clarksville can duplicate, though local conditions may require modifications to the approaches used in other cities. The overview findings are listed in the bullets below, and city-specific lessons-learned are described in the second block of bullets. Overview Findings: All five cities have an entity whose sole responsibility is to focus on downtown development and redevelopment of downtown/riverfront assets. Some are structured as Business Improvement Districts (BID’s), special taxing districts in which additional property taxes are assessed (after approval by property owners) and returned to fund a downtown organization [often structured as a 501(c)(3) non-profit organization ], or are operated through City government as an economic development activity. The Downtown Organizations have full-time staffs, and can provide a range of services including contracts for parking management, operating “Clean and Safe” programs, events management, infrastructure maintenance, and focused economic development efforts that will recruit retailers, and office tenants, will encourage development of downtown housing, retain local business and coordinate with public and private downtown advocates, property owners, employers and government. In all of the other cities, the downtown revitalization effort has been in place for a number of years; experience has shown that, to reverse decline and disinvestment, it will take multiple years of coordinated efforts –downtown and waterfront renewal often take decades, require a commitment by local government to make downtowns priorities for both policy and public financing. The same will be true in Clarksville. Diversified, sustained market support is present in all five of the example cities. Four of the five are dominant office/commercial centers for their regions, and have 25,000 to 42,000 daily office workers in the downtown areas every workday. This provides both activation and daytime market support for retail, food and beverage and consumer services located in the business districts. Columbus, GA has fewer office workers downtown, but has concentrations of workers in nearby commercial office centers for corporate headquarters for AFLAC and other locally based companies. In terms of market size, all of the other cities have larger populations in the surrounding Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA’s); only Greenville SC has a smaller city population, in part because annexation is so difficult for SC municipalities – the area population served by downtown Greenville is much larger, but is not located within the city’s boundaries. This difference in area population means that it may take longer for Clarksville to realize some of the recommended strategies and proven approaches from the example cities because the local economies in the benchmark cities are all larger. The influence of local colleges and universities varies in each of the examples (the main campus of the University of Tennessee in Knoxville is a major influence on the downtown entertainment and dining market), but in all of the cities, the student population helps to diversify the market base, and provides a consistent source of economic viability for many businesses, particularly food and beverage. 40 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Findings from Benchmark Cities Each of the example cities has more hotel rooms than Clarksville, and each includes (at minimum) an executive conference center of 25,000 to 30,000 SF. Often publicly subsidized, these hotel/conference centers serve both local and regional markets, and provide an additional source of market support for downtown businesses and hotels; all of the examples have more downtown hotel rooms than Clarksville, as well. Budgets for downtown management organizations in the example cities vary widely, in part because of the sources of income and relative densities in the taxing districts. The highest (atypically higher than national averages) is in Chattanooga, at $3.2M per year, but largely driven by ownership and leasing of properties near the Tennessee Aquarium. Other annual downtown budgets range from $360, 000 to $581,000 to $850,000, as benchmarks for future funding of a downtown/riverfront management organization for Clarksville. The economic importance of local military bases (or other public institutions) also varies by example city, decreasing in importance in proportion to the scale and diversity of the local economic base and the number of local businesses in the marketplace. Among the five example cities, only Columbus GA appears to have an economically proportional relationship with Fort Benning that parallels Clarksville’s economic relationship with Fort Campbell. All of the example cities are County seats; Little Rock is the state capitol and AR’s largest city . 41 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Findings from Benchmark Cities Site-specific Examples and Applicable Strategies Knoxville: Knoxville’s downtown management organization has one full-time employee and contracted services for additional activities such as retail recruitment for downtown businesses. While retail occupancies have been slower, the restoration of the Tennessee and Bijou Theaters have brought back evening entertainment as a draw, also supporting dining and bar operators and an active events programming schedule (Farmer’s Markets, craft markets, music festivals) helps to sustain visitor and residents traffic downtown. This may be a model for establishing an initially modest downtown management program in Clarksville. Knoxville has also funded restoration/expansion of two historic theaters downtown as an incentive to build nighttime and weekend traffic, and to provide a range of cultural attractions in familiar (if renovated) settings. Governor (then Knoxville Mayor) Bill Haslam initiated the $2.1M restoration of the 700 seat Bijou Theater, which received a $571K federal grant as part of its funding. The 1,600 seat Tennessee Theater restoration/expansion added 30% more stage and back of house space, and cost $23.5M. Downtown Knoxville’s Gay Street was largely vacant fifteen years ago, but stores like Bliss, Bliss Home and Mast General Store have helped to attract other retailers to the street and the Market Square. Knoxville also has a convention center and the University of Tennessee’s Conference Center located downtown. Regal Cinemas also constructed a 2,000 seat, 8 screen cinema downtown. Chattanooga: Chattanooga has had an ongoing downtown renewal effort since the initial development of the Tennessee Aquarium project in 1984 when a long-term riverfront/ downtown revitalization plan was adopted focused on the world’s largest freshwater aquarium. Expanded twice since its opening, the TN Aquarium continues to draw visitors from a three hour driving radius, and has reconnected visitors to Chattanooga’s riverfront. The lesson for Clarksville is that vision plans are long term, require review and updating, and will succeed best if structured as public/private/charitable partnerships. While Clarksville should not build an aquarium, carrying out a consistent, broader vision over time (and anchored by the improvements at Liberty Park) should keep attention focused on downtown and the Cumberland riverfront. The non-profit downtown BID (The River City Company) owns downtown property, and revenues from those public and private buildings support the 6-person downtown management staff. Chattanooga also differs from the other examples in that its annual revenues are earned through ownership, management and operations of rental properties near the Discovery Museum and the expanded Tennessee Aquarium, including the recently constructed 12 screen Carmike Majestic complex; River City Company was the developer and receives income from the Majestic as its tenant. Other downtown programs are supported by City budget allocations, Business Improvement District taxing revenues, corporate gifts and local private philanthropic foundations. Family foundations created by local families who made fortunes in Coca Cola bottling (Coca Cola Enterprises) have provided major support for planning and urban design and for local development projects. Greenville: Unlike the other example cities, Greenville’s downtown revitalization program is housed in the City’s economic development and planning department and incorporates a full time downtown management employee as well as one-third of the time of two other City Economic Development Department senior staff; downtown development is considered a legitimate and equivalent economic development priority in many South Carolina cities, and downtown programs are funded by City funds combined with TIF’s rather than through Business Improvement Districts (BIDs). Greenville has also had a sustained partnership with Clemson and other area Universities; Clemson’s MBA and Real Estate Graduate programs are moving to Downtown Greenville as a result of local economic development strategies and an ongoing office and educational recruitment effort focused on the downtown area. While Greenville’s convention center is located elsewhere in the city, the 328 room downtown Hyatt and 34,000 SF Hyatt Conference Center could be an example for expansion of the Riverview Inn. 49 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Findings from Benchmark Cities Columbus: Columbus’ downtown is similar in scale to Clarksville’s but has more direct access to the Chattahoochee Riverfront. The corporate community and local family-based foundations resulting from locally based companies like AFLAC have provided major financial support to cultural, conference and meeting facilities in the downtown area. Columbus State University has located its fine arts and music departments (Including student dormitories) in downtown Columbus. Columbus is also the corporate headquarters of Carmike Cinemas, which operates the Majestic 12 screen in other Benchmark location downtown Chattanooga TN. Columbus is developing several recreational activities linked to its urban waterfront. Fort Benning is connected to downtown Columbus via a fifteen mile hike and bike trail and the city is constructing a 2.3 mile urban whitewater kayaking course on the Chattahoochee, funded by a $43 M river restoration grant, and is marketing the city as a destination for competitions. Little Rock: Little Rock’s example for Clarksville is primarily one of downtown housing and redevelopment/infill in the River Market District, which includes restaurants, a children’s museum, new/rehabilitated residential buildings and the Arkansas Repertory Theater. Over the past twelve years, downtown Little Rock has had over 1,000 residential units created and claims over 12,500 residents downtown and in adjacent historic neighborhoods, resulting in a built-in market for dining, services and entertainment/culture. Like Clarksville, much of the area’s residential growth has been in outer suburbs, but downtown has attracted residential development for a growing niche market of empty nesters and young professionals. Retail in other parts of the downtown area is spotty and there are still many surface parking lots on the periphery of downtown Little Rock, but the River Market District continues to grow and sustain new businesses; the district is also separated in elevation from the Arkansas Riverfront. As the largest city in Arkansas and the state capitol, Little Rock’s economic drivers are based on government and higher education; Little Rock Air Force Base is less a market influence on the downtown area than is Fort Campbell. 43 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT F. Catalyst Projects in Downtown Clarksville Part of the Clarksville Downtown and Riverfront Analysis included an assessment of selected sites in the Downtown and Riverfront area to test market and site development opportunities that would catalyze redevelopment by adding new/complementary uses, would make better use of a site’s potentials over time, or would bring new investors and uses into downtown Clarksville and/or along the riverfront. Of the group of potential catalyst sites proposed by TEG, Two Rivers Company selected three sites for planning and development analysis: The Riverview Inn site (for expansion of the Hotel by 100 rooms and potential addition of an executive conference center of about 30,000 SF, plus the additional hotel rooms and other facilities. TEG suggests that consideration of a different type of facility would require a full feasibility study. The existing Transit Center (at Franklin and based on the assumption that the existing Transit Center will be funded and relocated and the site will be made available for redevelopment by the City) The Roxy Theater and the vacant lots on Franklin Street and behind the existing theater building. As past plans for expansion of the theater have not been funded, TEG’s redevelopment plan considers a somewhat different approach to the theater, its facilities and potential incorporation into a mixed-use project on the vacant sites on Franklin. The concept of identifying and considering how to best implement catalyst projects in the Clarksville study area involved several issues that helped to frame how TEG approached the selected sites. The first issue was whether the flood plain characteristics should preclude realistic consideration of sites along North and South Riverside Drive. Characteristics that complicate catalyst redevelopment there include (a) eligibility/availability of building insurance for projects located in or adjacent to a flood plain, (b) the overarching “automobile strip” character of Riverside Drive, (c) the degree of intervention and the costs required to modify that character over time, (d) what roles local governments might play in that transition and the political viability of that among other local priorities, and (e) concerns about how to best serve the existing businesses that are located along the river today on both sides of Riverside Drive. While the original list of possible catalyst sites included three locations along Riverside Drive (most of which already have redevelopment plans in process under the River District Plan), the catalyst site locations chosen by the clients only included sites in Downtown Clarksville, above the bluff along North and South Riverside Drive. The selection focused TEG’s analysis on the three selected sites. Each of the three sites has its own characteristics that will affect the timing and complexity of future implementation as catalytic projects, as well. These are described below as context for the implementation aspects of the suggested development programs and the suggested conceptual redevelopment programs for each site. Site Conditions Considered The Downtown Clarksville area and the Cumberland Riverfront present distinct redevelopment opportunities and challenges. Downtown does not have a substantial office population compared to other cities analyzed, nor is there a concentration of hotel rooms in the CBD (over 20 budget hotels are located along I-24). The Cumberland Riverfront has received significant investment in creating Liberty Park, the McGregor Park Riverwalk, and other enhancements, but the low elevation has seen frequent flooding that will affect both redevelopment potentials as well as potential eligibility to receive financing for projects located in designated flood plains. Development Conditions Considered The current market-based sales and rental pricing in downtown Clarksville will not likely support conventional financing of major new mixed-use construction, structured parking or other requirements without major funding subsidy by the City of Clarksville. It was assumed that the catalyst projects would either (a) not be implemented until they are market supportable or have policy and/or financial incentives provided by the City of Clarksville, by Montgomery County , and/or the State of Tennessee (or a combination of the three) to “cover the economic gap. Clarksville’s rolling terrain affects conditions for pedestrian walkability, but can be used to reduce lower level parking costs per stall if properly sited to enter on multiple levels, affecting overall development costs. 44 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Catalyst Projects in Downtown Clarksville: Riverview Inn The plans shown on the following pages reflect the conceptual land uses and site plan concepts for each of the three selected sites. While TEG’s scope of services required that three sites be chosen, analyzed and planned at the ground level, TEG has also included a fourth potential catalyst site, as (depending upon the political will associated with the suggested redevelopment concept) it may be able to be implemented more quickly than one or two of the selected sites. Site: Riverview Inn : The Riverview Inn is downtown Clarksville’s key hotel property, and includes 154 rooms and suites, a restaurant and bar, meeting rooms, an indoor swimming pool and other guest amenities. The hotel sits on a visually prominent bluff between Main and College Streets, and has a surface parking lot and former bank drive-through location on the block where the hotel tower is located. The ownership of the hotel agreed to allow the hotel as a potential catalyst site, in part, to encourage a broader vision for the hotel and the surrounding properties controlled by the owners. The hotel attracts many sports teams and visitors attending events associated with APSU throughout the year. The distance from I-24 to the Riverview is considered a challenge for the highway-oriented market, but the proximity to APSU, City and C0unty Government, and its location all offer potential marketing advantages that the outer lodging cluster cannot offer. The conceptual redevelopment plan (shown on the following page) illustrates two additional elements for the Riverview Inn: addition of approximately 100 new rooms (positioned to capture river views) and crossing Spring Street toward the south (into the Cumberland River bluff). The new rooms wing is intended to match the existing height (six floors of rooms) and to add just over 100 net new hotel rooms (including a net loss of 1 existing guest room per floor. A conceptual room layout for floors 2-6 is shown on the plan and would provide 18 new rooms per floor, and adding exterior balconies onto the River wing, and possibly (as structurally possible) onto the river façade of the existing building. While the standards for size and operations of conference centers were used in planning a conceptual illustration (showing a ground level plan in the larger format or a two-story plan using the smaller footprint defined by the dotted line), it should be noted that developing a full understanding of the specific market demand, programming and financial issues involved in implementing this concept will require further analysis by a specialist with experience in Conference Center feasibility and operations. TEG’s interviews suggested that there is some mis-understanding about the differences between Conference Centers (typically 25,000 to 40,000 SF, and serving small, executive training and meetings) from Convention Centers (large, flat floor exhibition and large groups with column free exhibit halls, exhibition support spaces and facilities and loading docks for dozens of semi-tractor trailers). This recommendation for downtown is for the former, NOT the latter, which would serve other markets. Site Conditions Considered – Riverview Inn The Riverview Inn site is part of a long slope down from Public Square toward the Cumberland River, dropping over 50 feet between Main and College Streets. The Hotel sits at the southwestern portion of a city block bounded by College, Main, North First Street and Spring Street. The rear of the site has overlook views across the Cumberland to farmland and open space which are not maximized by the hotel’s current architecture (for example, there are no balconies to capitalize on the views). Development Conditions Considered The hotel market in Clarksville is largely clustered near I-24 and Wilma Rudolph, with over 20 budget priced properties there. The Riverview’s 154 rooms may be too few to capitalize on a specialized downtown/ APSU market and the potential to add a conference center to the site. The Riverview Inn is Clarksville’s signature hotel , but has not fully realized its potential as a downtown anchor The hotel is undergoing a methodical upgrade, but can also consider other options for additional room capacity, redevelopment and coordination with APSU and others for meetings and conferences, and exploring the potential to incorporate a 25-30, 000 SF conference center at the site. Using the grade, both two level and onelevel conference centers were tested on the plan. To justify the economics of a conference center, at least 100 rooms should be added. 45 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Catalyst Projects in Downtown Clarksville: Riverview Inn Site Conditions Considered: Riverview Inn • The Riverview Inn site has an elevation drop of approximately 40 feet from the Main and First intersection down to Spring and College. • Siting of the proposed conference center can be planned to incorporate a two story building built down into the slope (the smaller, 100 foot deep floorplate shown at the left) or could be built on one level, with services and parking below (including the larger , 200 foot deep floorplate shown within the full dotted plan) Development Conditions Considered In order to accommodate the market for the 25,000-30,000 SF Conference Center, the Riverview Inn would need to add about 100 more rooms. While the land east of the existing building could be used for a new rooms wing, the suggested plan would add more rooms spanning across Spring Street and connecting to the existing hotel near the elevator core. This would take advantage of the River views and provide the opportunity to add balconies to new and/or all rooms. The expansion plan for the rooms wing would add a net increase of 102 new rooms to the Riverview Inn; if connected as shown, there would be a loss of two existing rooms per floor but adding 18 additional rooms per floor in the new wing. Specific architecture and engineering concerns will require specific feasibility studies; this plan offers a conceptual vision of how the Riverview Inn might be expanded. 46 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Riverview Inn Alternative from University of Tennessee Plan Site Conditions Considered: Riverview Inn Alternative • The University of Tennessee conducted an urban design plan for Clarksville in 2012, and one component of the plan was an alternative diagram for expansion of the Riverview Inn. This plan creates a large parking structure and center extending over Main Street adjacent to City Hall. Development Conditions Considered The UT Urban Design Plan arrays the hotel expansion within the current site configuration, and would extend above the Conference Center location. The expansion is assumed to include approximately the same number of additional rooms as the TEG alternative. Specific architecture and engineering concerns will require specific feasibility studies and exploration of required column spacing and other structural considerations; this plan offers an alternative conceptual vision of how the Riverview Inn might be expanded. 47 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Catalyst Projects: Transit Center The second component to be considered for addition to the hotel and site is a 30,000 Executive Conference Center toward the northwestern part of the site. The block diagrams attached to the existing hotel represent the footprint of an executive conference center that can be configured on either one level (at 30,000 square feet, shown as the larger rectangle) or a two level facility that would ‘stack’ one level above the other (at 15,000 square feet per level, shown as the smaller rectangle). Surface parking would be maintained, and may require expansion across College Street to the block below the hotel site, especially for event days at the Conference Center. Site: Transit Center -- The Clarksville Transit Center site includes the greater part of a city block bounded by Legion, Franklin and North Second. The remainder of the block is occupied by a historic structure containing professional office space. The Transit Center site was selected as a catalyst redevelopment site for several reasons. First, the existing facility is considered inadequate for the required operations and has had building repair issues. Second, its Franklin Street frontage is all occupied by a small, below-grade parking structure containing approximately 50 spaces, but interrupting the continuity of activating ground floor spaces along this side of Franklin Street. Third, the site is publically owned, and could be replaced by a commercial property that would generate real estate, sales and other taxes, if redeveloped. The Transit Authority is currently reviewing alternative sites that meet its needs for relocation, and is committed to moving the existing Transit Center from the current site. While a new site for relocation of the Transit Center has not been identified, the intent of the conceptual redevelopment plan is to test what types of mixed-uses could fit on the site, and how they might be configured. The conceptual redevelopment plan (please see on the second following page) suggests that the ground floor could be programmed as retail spaces on Franklin and North Second, at leasable store depths (60 feet) and sizes (connected by a rear service corridor to a shared loading dock on the Legion Street side of the site). The elevation drop of approximately 6 feet across the site would be accommodated with slab breaks across the Franklin and Legion Street facades, that make it possible to convert the plan to allow for a flat platform above ground level in order to construct stick-built residential (as shown) or office space on upper floors above a slab/ceiling above street level store spaces. To provide light, air and windows, small courtyards open to the sky (shown as white spaces adjacent to ‘internal’ units) are included as terraces for the second level units, and open above for potential third level units. The concept includes controlled access below grade parking (entered at the upper part of the site) for office tenants/residents (depending on the final upper floor uses), a lobby on the Legion Street side (for either residential or upper level business uses), and a consistently activated street edge with about 12,400 SF of new retail. The upper floors could be stick-built on slab for ease of connection and internal accessibility, and could either be developed as specialized apartments for retired empty nesters (potentially associated with a local church) or as professional office space (with up to 22,950 gross SF per floor), potentially for law firms desiring space near the Montgomery County Courthouse. Elevator and egress stair connections can be made between upper floors and the ground level, but specific locations and numbers of ground floor slab breaks would require further research and engineering studies. If an alternative approach is taken for the City-owned historic properties on the south side of Public Square, this space could also accommodate consolidated city offices rather than residential use on the second and third floors, or could be mixed-tenant offices, depending on overall space needs and/or market conditions. 48 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Catalyst Projects: Transit Center The concept plans for the Transit Center site offer a way to both activate the street level, use the below-grade parking (with modifications) and add density above a ground floor series of retail spaces. Uses on upper levels will likely require some subsidy, depending on the achieved rental or sale prices and the number and types of spaces/dwelling units that could be developed. The Transit Center site plans on the following pages illustrate the street level retail and upper floor lobby/loading/entry to parking locations, and the additional plans illustrate potential residential unit layouts for one or more floors above the slab over the street level. Specific locations of required slab breaks, structural and egress considerations and other factors would require analysis beyond the conceptual nature of the suggested plans. While the Transit Center represents an important downtown site and a critical link to the area transportation system, the site has a number of characteristics that may complicate redevelopment in the near term. The decision to relocate is based on a number of issues – the need for greater capacity, structural issues at the current site, and other factors. But as of the timing of submission of this report, no relocation site has been identified, nor is funding in place to pay for the relocation. Site acquisition, site planning , development of another facility, determination of a process to determine the redevelopment concept for the Franklin/Legion Street site, potential project scale according to market support for retail/office/residential/institutional uses at the time of implementation, available public support, and other unknown elements all suggest that the relocation could be years away. The vision of a more urban, street-activating mix of uses is both valid and appropriate, but the complexities and undetermined elements involved in implementation all are indications that the Transit Center will be a longer-term project. Transit Center as viewed from Franklin Street Transit Center as viewed from Strawberry Alley 49 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Catalyst Projects in Downtown Clarksville: Transit Center L-1 Site Conditions Considered Relocation of the existing Transit Center sometime in the future would allow for demolition and redevelopment of the site as a mixed use building with retail on the ground floor and potential use of two upper floors as either residential or office development (as market supportable). The site ‘s elevation appears to drop by well over eight feet from east to west, and should take this into account for provision of below grade parking and slab breaks along the downward slope of the street level sidewalks for ground floor retail uses. Development Conditions Considered The conceptual plan illustrates a potential retail ground floor plan that could accommodate 7-8 retail store spaces; spaces are connected by a service corridor to a loading/service dock on the Legion Street side. Retail on Franklin Street would activate this side of the block, opposite the County office Building to the south. Parking could be provided on the lower level, accessible from a ramp shown at the eastern edge of the Franklin Street frontage. Specific parking diagrams have not been shown, but the existing parking under the Transit Center includes about 50 spaces. The economics of a new mixed-use project at the existing Transit Center site will require some form of subsidy to make the project viable. Project timing is unknown. 50 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Catalyst Projects in Downtown Clarksville: Transit Center L-2 Site Conditions Considered • Variations in grade elevations should be accommodated on the ground floor. Construction of the upper levels may suggest a slab above the ground floor and stick-built construction on upper levels to reduce costs. • Because the Transit Center is a highly visible site downtown, TEG suggests that careful design controls be incorporated to maintain the scale, character and design of older structures surrounding the site into composition of the new mixed-use project. Development Conditions Considered While this plan illustrates 15 dwelling units per floor (for a p0ssible 30 to 45 total units depending on market and density conditions), the upper floor(s) could also be used as office space, with a lower total construction cost. If developed as offices, the gross floor area per floor would total approximately 23,000 square feet per level. Part of the downtown redevelopment strategy is to increase the number and variety of housing types offered in the Downtown Core. These units , configured at about 900 to 1250 SF per unit were assumed to be for an empty nester market, but could be redesigned to include smaller, studentoriented housing units. Outdoor courtyards are provided for ‘internal’ dwelling units. Location of the elevator cores, egress stairs and other vertical connections will require specific engineering and design analysis beyond the conceptual level of the suggested redevelopment plans. 51 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Catalyst Projects in Downtown Clarksville: Roxy Theater Site: Roxy Theater and adjacent Franklin Street vacant lots – The Roxy Regional Theater is a landmark cultural component in Clarksville and occupies a historic theater building at the intersection of Franklin and South First Streets, arguably one of the critical ‘connector corners’ between the more active blocks of Franklin Street and the area around Public Square, City Hall and the headquarters of F&M Bank. The Roxy Regional Theater is currently housed in the former Roxy Cinema, a 215 seat theater with limited supporting spaces and adjacent surface parking lots. Next to the Roxy Theater building is a sub grade parking lot (about 15-20 feet below the Franklin Street sidewalk) that connects to another parking area behind the theater building. In 2006, an ambitious plan to demolish the existing Roxy and construct a 36,000 SF education and arts center (including a new 500 seat theater) was announced, but funding has not become available to complete this vision. For purposes of the downtown redevelopment strategy, TEG suggests that it is timely to both stress the importance of retaining the Roxy Regional Theater as a critical cultural destination in the downtown area, as well as to reconsider how its proposed program (developed as the result of discussions with area artists, dancers, and other performers in 2006) might be adjusted in scale and cost to better fit into the downtown fabric. The concept resulting from the 2006 discussions called for a 36,000 SF Center for the Arts and Education including a 500 seat theater, scene shop, loading area, dressing rooms and other theater-related uses. The concept also included a café, art galleries, a dance studio and artists studios, and was estimated to cost $15M; funding for the facility has not been secured during the past six years, which suggests that an0ther approach may be useful to consider as part of the current downtown redevelopment strategy. This 2012 proposed catalyst site plan includes a new 500 seat proscenium stage theater and fly house to be constructed behind the restored façade of the existing Roxy; this plan differs from the 2006 proposal in that part of the Roxy site is reserved for commercial development (as both an ‘enclosure of the street level void and as a potential source of operating revenue for the Roxy Regional Theater), as well as the retention/preservation/restoration of the main façade and marquee as part of the redevelopment (the earlier proposal did not preserve the façade and marquee). The configuration and size of the existing theater is not appropriate for a larger seating capacity, and has been reconfigured into a conceptual floorplate of approximately 13,500 square feet of space (including a raked floor, stage house and supporting spaces). The scene shop, dressing rooms and other supporting uses can be placed below the stage house, using the 20 foot drop in elevation from Franklin Street to the alley behind the Roxy. A noted difference between this concept and the earlier design concepts presented for the Roxy Theater is that the façade and marquee are retained as part of an iconic corner. While the preceding concept design was clearly a more functional facility for the Roxy Regional Theater, the architecture did not have the same iconic qualities as does the old 1940’s exterior/marquee. TEG believes that the Roxy façade and marquee are an important part of the downtown identity and fabric in Clarksville, and should be retained in the new Roxy project, but with an entirely new theater facility behind it. The proposed redevelopment program eliminates the in-theater café, the proposed dance studio and artists studio spaces in order to allow for development of commercial space at the Franklin Street level, (ideally for another 5,500 SF restaurant) to strengthen and reinforce the food service draw that already exists on the block, as well as adding potential upper floor office space totaling about 11,000 SF on two upper levels. (about 5,500 gross SF per floor); alternatively the upper level spaces could be developed as residential units. Depending on how ownership of the land, cost sharing for capital improvements and management of the property is structured, part of rents from the restaurant space and potential upper floor office spaces could provide revenues to be applied toward the Roxy’s ongoing operating costs, with initial capital investment for the project to be covered by a combination of fund raising and bond debt. It will also be necessary to strengthen/improve the pedestrian connections between the Roxy redevelopment and the existing Cumberland Plaza Parking Garage, and potentially to new downtown parking structures built on surface lots south of the Roxy across the alley. 59 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Catalyst Projects in Downtown Clarksville: Roxy Theater Site Conditions Considered The Roxy Theater site slopes down from the Franklin Street elevation to the alley behind by at least 20 feet. The vacant lot east of the existing theater is excavated at the Franklin Street sidewalk edge for surface parking, but the grade difference could be incorporated into redevelopment plans for service/support uses or parking below a structure above facing Franklin Street. Because the façade and marquee are an important brand and identity for a downtown Clarksville landmark, it is proposed that both the front/corner and marquee of the existing façade be retained in the newly constructed theater/center. Development Conditions Considered The Roxy Theater site is a challenging redevelopment opportunity, as the economics of funding both capital investment as well as ongoing operating costs for a cultural destination could be significant, and non-profit institutions function differently than commercial enterprises. The proposed development program for the site includes a 500 seat theater with a full proscenium stage and flyhouse above it. Provisions for a scene shop, black box theater, and separate gallery spaces could be accommodated on the site in spaces below and/or above a commercial user at the street level. A restaurant/bar associated with the Roxy (and potentially connected internally) would reinforce streetscape retail continuity along Franklin Street, and provide rent to help cover Roxy operating costs. Upper floors could include office space (or housing); see plan for street access. 53 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Catalyst Projects in Downtown Clarksville: Roxy Theater Why Save the Roxy Façade and Marquee? Note: The Roxy Theater and its adjoining lots were selected by Two Rivers Company f0r analysis as a downtown Catalyst Site, but TEG notes that the ‘Top Spot’ on the west side of Public Square has also been suggested as the potential site for a performing arts facility. Gem Theater, Kansas City MO The 2006 proposed redevelopment of the Roxy Theater site did not retain or preserve the historic Franklin Street Façade and Marquee . While this will add an incremental cost for redevelopment of the theater to be more functional and appropriate for today’s needs, TEG strongly encourages retention and restoration of the Façade and Marquee. Restoration of historic theaters across the country has demonstrated that the memories and urban character of commercial centers are enhanced by preserving the facades of deteriorated theaters. Often, donors are motivated by the desire to retain the original appearance of the exterior, because the buildings recall the atmosphere of active downtown areas The Roxy’s theater spaces are not adequate for the production needs of modern presentations – the building needs more seats, more back-of-house /support spaces and the ability to provide for deliveries and truck access to the stage. Examples such as the Gem Theater in Kansas City (shown at left) illustrate that it is possible to create state-of-the art theater spaces behind historic facades, providing for contemporary production requirements but housed within the remarkable architecture of the past. The modernist lines of the building façade and marquee are an eloquent reminder of Clarksville’s downtown area in better times; we believe retaining the façade and marquee can anchor the renewal of the Roxy in the future, as well. New ‘Black Box’ interior, Gem Theater 54 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Catalyst Projects in Downtown Clarksville: Public Square Bonus Catalyst Redevelopment Site: There is also a fourth catalyst redevelopment site which was not selected by Two Rivers Company as a prototype, but is included in this report in case one of the three designated sites proves to be too complex to pursue: Redevelopment of Public Square: A group of City-owned historic buildings, interim buildings and vacant lots on the west side of Public Square (sometimes called the ‘Top Spot’), currently occupied by the old City Hall, the Parks Department/City arborist, and commercial structures (the block running from Franklin to Main on the South side of Public Square) could be considered an alternative Catalyst Site if redeveloped. The majority of these buildings/locations appears to be City-owned (and occupied), but in need of major renovation and maintenance. TEG notes that these buildings could be eligible for Federal historic rehabilitation tax credits, but not under City/public ownership – to qualify for eligible rehabilitation credits, the buildings must be privately held and in commercial (revenue-generating ) use. In order to qualify, the uses currently located in these older, historic buildings would need to be relocated (ideally into other City-owned or controlled office space), so that the buildings could be sold to private owners, renovated for new uses (such as restaurants and retail spaces on the ground floor and office or residential uses on upper floors) and placed back into ‘commercial service’. Adapting these historic structures for commercial uses that would take advantage of the river views from the back, and put back onto Clarksville’s property tax rolls. In the interest of sensible preservation and protection of the distinctive architecture, the City of Clarksville may want to (a) require preservation covenants on the exteriors and significant interior spaces, as appropriate, and (b) participate in the design development stages of the renovation design to protect the architectural character of Public Square. Design controls should also be applied to infill structures on the block’s vacant parcels or parcels with seriously deteriorated structures to reinforce the appropriate scale, materials and streetscape character. Of course, transfer of these properties to private investors will have both financial and political implications for the City, and may not be possible in the near term, but TEG’s strategy suggests that re-purposing these historic properties as commercial venues would (a) protect the historic edge of Public Square at no cost to the City, (b) activate this side of the Square with dining and retail uses, anchoring an extension of Franklin Street’s retail into this part of downtown, (c) both preserve the historic buildings (potentially through use of federal historic tax credits and the design standards they require) , (d) provide infill opportunities for appropriate new structures to be located along the bluff, and (e) provide a potentially stronger pedestrian link from the Riverview Inn to Franklin Street’s restaurants and retail attractions. One of Clarksville’s downtown development issues is a lack of connectivity between destination uses (APSU and downtown, downtown and the Riverwalk, dining/retail and lodging). Redevelopment of the western block along Public Square can strengthen linkages between multiple activity centers in and around downtown Clarksville. If leveraging of publicly owned property becomes an opportunity to be considered by City government, it is recommended that the redevelopment of Public Square should be high on the project priority list. TEG also notes that the Top Spot location was included in the University of Tennessee’s urban design plan, and has been considered a possible site for a performing arts facility. Ideally, the group of historic structures should be preserved and adapted for these or other new uses with suitable infill designs created to complete the ensemble (and possibly incorporate new systems, connections/elevators, etc.) and retain the existing structures. If the current building layouts and/or structural conditions are not compatible with potential alternative uses, TEG urges that the facades of the buildings should be retained and integrated with new structures behind them in order to preserve these valuable architectural remnants of Clarksville’s downtown legacy and the historical continuity of Public Square. 62 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT G. Clarksville Retail Inventory Summary TEG completed a comprehensive inventory of the downtown Clarksville study area based on maps provided by the City of Clarksville. The inventory study area is quite large, encompassing Austin Peay State University and environs, the University Avenue and College Street corridors, all of the riverfront from the junction of the Cumberland River with the Red River toward the south, almost to Liberty Park; in addition to these two commercial “strips”, the Downtown Core includes the Courthouse, City Hall and Public Square and the more pedestrian oriented traditional retail streets, focusing primarily on Franklin Street , Strawberry Alley and selected adjacent blocks. TEG conducted a block by block inventory of street level spaces, identifying whether space was occupied or vacant and which categories of retail (in its broadest definition) the occupant represented. The inventory was conducted in the spring of 2012, and occupancy levels and/or locations may have changed since the field work due to businesses opening or closing, or former vacancies having been filled. Based on information developed in the retail inventory, the greater downtown Clarksville study area includes over 900,000 square feet of retail space (not including law offices or other professional services that would depend on walk-in customer traffic; for example, an insurance office or bank would benefit from a visible, walkable location, and would be counted as a “retail’ use under financial services, but a law office would not be counted). While not likely producing the same sales as the Wilma Rudolph Corridor’s cluster of over 2M SF of retail, this is still a significant amount of space. Retail is not concentrated in one area, however, and the character of retail zones downtown is disjointed and scattered. The pedestrian-oriented character and continuity of Clarksville’s downtown core retail is not universally consistent, other than along Franklin Street, Strawberry Alley and certain blocks of University Avenue, and the greater concentration of retail (over 2/3 of all downtown retail) is located along Riverside Drive, which is less dense and is more characteristic of a commercial auto strip corridor than a traditional downtown area. The Riverfront corridor includes most of the study area retail space, including Cumberland Square mall and the large format stores at the southern end of the subdistrict. From a behavioral standpoint, there are three primary subareas: the Downtown Core, which includes destination stores and restaurants and a concentration of banks and financial institutions, the College Street/University Avenue corridors (concentrating student-oriented food and beverage and auto dealerships), and the Riverside Drive blocks below the bluff from the Downtown Core (with large format stores, pad-site restaurants and fast food operators, and home products). The documented square footages of retail space (by subdistrict) are: -- Downtown Core -- + 148,000 square feet of occupied ground floor retail space -- University/College Street-- + 154,00 square feet of occupied ground floor retail space -- Riverside Drive/Second Street Corridors -- + 611,000 square feet of occupied ground floor retail space Typical of many older downtown areas with strong suburban retail concentrations, downtown Clarksville has a limited number of specialty retail businesses (although several are destination specialty stores, and the opening of the Bink’s Outfitters on Franklin was a strong new addition, adding to the offerings at Clarksville Sporting Goods on Riverside). Bink’s recognition of APSU students as an underserved submarket offers a strategic clue how Clarksville’s downtown core can add more businesses and expand the mix of goods in a walkable environment. At the time of the inventory, the vacancy rate for ground floor spaces in the three subdistricts totaled approximately 115,000 square feet, or about 12.6% of all ground floor retail space in the study area. The Downtown Core has by far the greatest concentration of vacant space, with almost ¾ of all vacancies (approximately 85,000 in all subzones), although some large vacancies could be considered as better used as professional office space, rather than as retail. The most compelling total is that two-thirds of downtown retail is located in car-oriented strip environments, and the traditional downtown only includes about 1/6 of all existing space. 56 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Clarksville Retail Inventory Summary If the downtown area is to grow as a regional destination and become marketable to manufacturers and other businesses which might consider Clarksville as a possible location, the Downtown Core will need more ‘built-in’ customers (primarily new downtown residents and some additional office workers) as well as enough critical mass of retail uses, located in contiguous blocks, to create a more cohesive, walkable retail environment. Despite the concentration of legal firms in the downtown area, and the presence of the Montgomery County Courthouse and City Hall, Clarksville is not a major office center; its greater economic strength is manufacturing. This suggests that adding more downtown housing (as it becomes market supportable) and capitalizing on the growth of APSU’s student population will be more appropriate strategies than focusing on recruiting office users downtown. The second part of the niche strategy is to better concentrate destination/one-of-a-kind retail uses downtown to draw a portion of regional sales, initially focusing on adding more food and beverage to the current mix. There is a significant amount of space available in the downtown core, and increasing the number of operators, especially if located in a manner that will improve connectivity between existing nodes (APSU/Downtown/ Riverview Inn/Riverfront) will increase the share that downtown can capture from regional sales. TEG used eight categories of retail to identify and differentiate retail business types: 1. Specialty Retail – apparel, accessories, shoes, jewelry, children’s, gifts, sporting goods and equipment 2. Food & Beverage – table service and carry out food service, coffee shops, bars and taverns, fine dining, diners, bakeries, etc. 3. Financial Services -- banks, Stock Brokers, Savings Institutions, Loan and Finance companies, Insurance 4. Consumer Services -- hair salons, nail salons, dry cleaners, convenience stores, grocery stores, gyms and spas, liquor stores, flowers, laundromats, beauty supply, tattoo parlors, diaper services, tobacco stores, realtors 5. Auto/Automotive Services -- car dealerships, auto parts, auto repair garages, brake shops, gas stations, car washing 6. Home Products -- furniture, mattresses, lumber and hardware, gardening supplies, decorative gifts, antiques, window coverings, floors and floor coverings, paint stores 7. Other Retail -- entertainment, pool parlors, clubs, office supplies, comic books and games, second hand/thrift shops 8. Large Format -- stores of about 20,000 to 25,000 square feet or more: discount stores, furniture and home products, department stores, building supply stores, warehouse stores, etc. TEG then collected field data to estimate square footage of ground floor retail spaces in the three subdistricts to estimate the total space occupied by each retail category, as well as to develop total square footages (by category, by subdistrict, and in total) for the study area. Square foot estimates were also verified against City of Clarksville property tax assessment totals; where there were discrepancies, the property tax assessment square footages were used throughout the inventory totals. In the case of the large sites used as Auto Dealerships along College Street near University Avenue (as well as auto and boat sales locations located on Riverside Drive), only the building spaces were calculated; parking lots and vehicle storage areas were not included. For the Two Rivers Mall, square footages for specific tenants were developed from property tax records, as well, and aggregated as ‘retail’. 57 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Clarksville Retail Inventory Summary The table below summarizes the amount of square footage in the Clarksville study area in several ways: by retail category, by subdistrict, by percentage of total square feet across all occupied space, (which totals 912,637 square feet). Estimated vacant space totals 115,270 square feet, or about 12.6% of total retail space. The Downtown Core has about half of the total square feet of Food & Beverage along the Riverside Drive corridor, and the large format stores (Sticks ‘N Stuff, Big Lots, etc.) plus Two Rivers Mall push the retail totals there to quadruple the downtown Core and College Street/University totals. The Downtown Core has over one-third of all specialty retail and almost half of financial services businesses. Clarksville’s greater downtown area have disproportionate amounts of automobile-related businesses, primarily because of the major auto dealerships (which could be redeveloped based on owner priorities and timetables and long-range expansion needs for APSU). The other concentration of auto-related repair services, auto parts stores etc. are clustered along Riverside Drive and University Avenue. These uses generally reflect high vehicle counts and affordable property values. Entertainment venues include bars with performers, the archery range and pool parlor. Banks and financial institutions occupy key intersections and blocks, and attorney’s offices (likely paying higher rents than current downtown retail sales can support) create retail discontinuity along Franklin Street’s key blocks, and the City of Clarksville owns and occupies several other blocks/building clusters that could be converted to commercial use over time (such as the Transit Center and the historic structures on the west side of Public Square. TEG suggests that public ownership and potential relocation of public uses through office consolidation should be used to leverage conversion of street level space to retail, both to increase high visibility locations and to improve the tax base. Comparison by Category Downtown Core Category Specialty Retail Food & Beverage Financial Services Consumer Services Auto/Automotive Svcs Home Products Other (incl. entertainment) Large Format Subtotal 21,522 40,518 64,209 4,952 3,360 13,107 147,668 % of Total Category in Study Area 35.9% 28.4% 48.3% 15.3% 4.4% 100% 16% % of Total Occup. SF 2.4% 4.4% 7.0% 0.5% 0.4% 1.4% 0 Riverside Corridor/ Second/ Other 34,827 79,280 64,149 27,480 66,267 73,803 265,475 611,281 % of Total Category in % of Total Study Area Occup. SF 58.1% 55.7% 48.3% 84.7% 35.0% 95.6% 3.8% 8.7% 7.0% 3.0% 7.3% 8.1% 100% 67% 100% University % of Total Ave/College Category 3,575 22,638 4,575 122,900 153,688 Subtotal all Occupied Retail Space Vacant Summary of Vacancies by Subarea 84,937 30,333 % of Total Occup. SF 6.0% 15.9% 3.4% 0.4% 2.5% 0.5% 65.0% 13.5% Total Occup. SF Total %'s by Category by Category 912,637 59,924 142,436 132,933 32,432 189,167 77,163 13,107 265,475 100% 912,637 115,270 12.6% 17% 6.6% 15.6% 14.6% 3.6% 20.7% 8.5% 1.4% 29.1% 100.0% 0 Total Vacant Space 58 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT H. Clarksville Retail Recruitment Strategy for Downtown The concentration of vacant ground floor spaces downt0wn is both a problem for street activation as well as a strategic opportunity. A significant portion of the occupied storefronts are on secondary blocks and/or are located in older/historic buildings which could qualify for federal historic tax credits if properly renovated. If properly designed and certified, many of these building projects could qualify for the Federal Historic Rehabilitation Tax Credits. TEG suggests that the cluster of national retail tenants on Wilma Rudolph Boulevard (either in the Governor’s Square Mall or other strip centers along the corridor) have reinforced a pattern there for comparison shopping in branded retail chains. The location criteria for national chain stores (typically focusing on demographics, average daily traffic counts on adjacent roads and presence of established competitors) are not as pertinent to downtown areas, which typically don’t have the traffic counts, have specialized shopper bases and are not designed for high volume, highway-oriented traffic levels. Successful downtown retail programs create retail mixes that are (a) most appropriate for their available markets, (b) not duplicating suburban chain store retail, and (c) create a distinctive store mix based on local and regional retailers in a walkable environment -- a differentiated shopping experience. Based on the market analysis for Clarksville, the primary submarkets for downtown stores and other retail businesses will be a blend of APSU students, faculty and staff, downtown employees (noting the number of attorneys and other professionals who work downtown), and a share of the regional residential market (particularly those who want specialized service, unique products and prefer non-mall shopping). The current demographics of downtown Clarksville indicate that the student population is the most important proximate submarket for the near term, so the list of prospective retail recruitment targets shown on the following page are primarily directed at student and young adult consumers – moderate price levels, casual fashion and accessories and locally/regionally owned. While there may also be attractive stores in Memphis, Louisville or St. Louis, the Nashville stores will understand the Clarksville market best because they already know the customer base in Middle Tennessee and have established businesses to draw their expenditures. For restaurants, casual dining and bars, the list focuses on established food and beverage operations located in the greater Nashville market, with an emphasis on younger audiences in trendy, student and young professionals neighborhoods – 12 South, West End Avenue, Hillsboro, Belmont Boulevard and Midtown near Vanderbilt and Belmont University. The price levels are more moderate, the cuisine is generally casual and ethnic, and most of the restaurants include bars whose profits cross subsidize the less profitable food service component. Restaurants and dining establishments benefit from being part of a cluster of uses, and food service often serves as the ‘lead use’ in revitalized commercial centers and downtown areas, with retail uses following as pedestrian traffic increases. The Black Horse Tavern and other downtown Clarksville operations would benefit from addition of more casual dining opportunities because a greater assortment would add more choices and reinforce downtown as a ‘dining district’; the most successful dining districts typically have at least 7-8 restaurants within view of pedestrians, clustered along downtown blocks so that customers can make choices between operations based on waiting time, customer profiles and street activity levels. Reinforcing the existing mix of food and beverage operations will activate downtown Clarksville in the evenings and on weekends, and would add amenities that would help to market the proposed Conference Center next to the Riverview Inn. Retail stores on the prospects list area also located in the same Nashville neighborhoods, and include apparel, shoes, jewelry and accessories oriented (and priced) for APSU students, their families and local residents. TEG expects that most chain-affiliated stores and restaurants considering Clarksville will be more inclined to locate near the new Cinema complex on Tiny Town Road, but local and regional restaurants and stores (especially those with at least two locations) will appreciate the character of downtown Clarksville and will have had experience in and understand how to operate in a college-district commercial environment. A list of prospective recruitment target food and beverage and specialty retailers is shown on the table on the second following page. In addition to the Nashville-area prospects, there are also local stores that, in our view, should be recruited to a downtown location. Local prospects include Briggs Clothiers on Madison Street, a branch of Rafferty’s from Wilma Rudolph and products from Frugal Hands (currently online only). 59 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Clarksville Retail Recruitment Strategy for Downtown The resulting strategy for downtown is based on several critical market analysis findings, voids in the existing mix of stores and businesses and the realities of differences in achieved rents and supportable square footage. Demand for additional sales (and therefore additional retail, food service and entertainment offerings downtown) will need to be induced, and are not currently market supportable in the conventional sense (unmet market demand). That does not mean, however that downtown Clarksville cannot compete and recruit selective product and retail business categories, and compete for expenditures in the region. The most prudent strategy to support, retain and recruit new retail is to provide a better mix of stores that will keep a larger share of available sales, increase the critical mass of offerings (additional food and beverage restaurants, bars, and entertainment venues) and strengthen the quality of the consumer experience while offering a differentiated product. The power of a national chain store cluster such as Wilma Rudolph corridor and Governor’s Square is beyond what downtown Clarksville can expect to offer, but at the same time, downtown’s walkable environment is appealing to a share of customers some of the time and to most customers once in a while, especially if the stores offer something different from national chains. The competitive advantage of downtown Clarksville should initially build on the proximate student market, on providing unique merchandise and affordable price points that can complete for a larger share of what is being spent elsewhere in the area. For existing buildings that do not pursue Federal Historic Preservation Tax Credits, many could qualify for the Federal 10% Rehabilitation Tax Credits, which are have fewer restrictions and simpler criteria While the primary focus of the potential recruitment prospects list is on retailers and restaurants from the Nashville area that cater to younger consumers, students and specialty shoppers who seek out non-chain store goods, there are also local Clarksville retailers that, in our view, should be targeted for recruitment to a downtown location. Local prospects include Briggs Clothiers on Madison Street, a branch of Rafferty’s from Wilma Rudolph and products from Frugal Hands (currently online only). These stores (and their products) have survived, retained their customer bases and established a track record that would strengthen downtown Clarksville and improve the overall mix. In a competitive market like Clarksville, the relationship between consumer spending patterns and geographic proximity can best be summed up by the following rules of thumb regarding the most desirable mix of land uses and their interdependency on each other to increase market share: Assuming typical spending patterns and sustainable retail sales productivity (which Downtown Clarksville is still building up to), new downtown residents will be the most lucrative spending category. On a fare share basis, and assuming an improving mix of stores, each new downtown resident will support between 4 and 7 square feet of retail in all non-automotive categories. The higher range would suggest more, and more affluent residents, while Clarksville’s current downtown demographics suggest that the lower range is more likely. That means that it will take about 200 new downtown residents to support one 800 foot retail business (as a single market segment; logically, others will also participate). For conference attendees, visitors and tourists, the ratio is about .5 to 1.5 square feet per person, so the same 800 square foot retail business would need between 550 and 1,600 downtown visitors to be ‘supportable’ (again, as a single market segment; sales sources will be diverse). Downtown office workers spend more than visitors per capita, but less than residents; each new office worker will support between 2 and 5 square feet. Because the Clarksville downtown office market is small and not a major economic growth driver, it would take another 300 to 400 workers to support the same 800 foot store. Of course, downtowns serve all of these markets, and businesses should not be solely dependent on only one submarket. The important result is that a resident-based redevelopment strategy will provide more and more sustainable market support, supplemented by the other two ‘spender’ categories 60 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Clarksville Retail Recruitment Prospects Retail Recruitment Prospects for Downtown Clarksville Category 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Food & Beverage Business Name Bread & Company Sweet CeCe's Sportsman's Grill McDougal's Chicken Bongo Java The Dog of Nashville Chuy's Vinea Wines & Spirits Zumi Suchi Calypso Café Mafiaozo's Italian Belcourt Taps & Tapas Sam's Sports Grill Noshville Delicatessen Nucci's Italian Ice & Gelato 12 South Taproom & Grill Portland Brew Edley's Bar-B-Que Las Paletas San Antonio Taco Company Bacon & Caviar Kalamatas Subway Specialty/Products/Concept Baked goods, salads Frozen Yogurt Varied American menu Beer, wings - college atmosphere Neighborhood Coffee Shop Hot Dogs Tex Mex Wine & Spirits Japanese Jamaican Dining Italian Restaurant Tapas Sports bar NY Deli, breakfast, sandwiches Italian Gelato, Panini's, salads Varied American menu Coffee House Barbeque Gourmet Popsicles Tex Mex Gourmet Catering & BBQ Mediterranean dining Sandwiches Location City West End , Cool Springs, Belle Meade, Green Hills Nashville 21st Ave. - Hillsboro V. Nashville, TN, SE 21st Ave. - Hillsboro V. Nashville, 5 locations Belcourt Ave. - Hillsboro V. Nashville Belmont Avenue Nashville Belcourt Ave. - Hillsboro V. Nashville Broadway Nashville (SE and TX) 12 South Nashville Belcourt Ave. - Hillsboro V. Nashville Midtown/Vandy Nashville 12 South Nashville Belcourt Ave. - Hillsboro V. Nashville 21st Ave. - Hillsboro V. Nashville, M'boro, etc. Vandy, various Nashville, Cool Springs Meriden/Cool Springs Franklin 12 South Nashville 12 South Nashville - misc. locations 12 South Nashville 12 South Nashville 21st Ave. - Vandy area Nashville - 2 locations 8th Ave. & Farmer's Market Nashville - 2 locations Portland Ave. - Belmont Nashville - 2 locations National Franchise Numerous locations Source: The Eisen Group/TEG Economics 61 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Clarksville Retail Recruitment Prospects Retail Recruitment Prospects for Downtown Clarksville 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 Category Business Name Specialty/Products/Concept Location City Apparel & Accessories Apparel & Accessories Apparel & Accessories Apparel & Accessories Apparel & Accessories Apparel & Accessories Apparel & Accessories Apparel & Accessories Apparel & Accessories Apparel & Accessories Apparel & Accessories Apparel & Accessories Apparel & Accessories Shoes and Boots Art Supplies Yoga Apparel Home Products Woodhouse Day Spa Ivey Local Honey Feedback Clothing Serendipity Emporium Nashville Clothing Company Moda Boutique Bella Boutique Muse Boutique Image Optical Arzelle's Bridal Pangaea Fire Finch Boutique Bullets & Mullets French's Shoes & Boots Plaza Art Supplies & Framing Athleta Southeastern Salvage and Day Spa Women's Apparel and accessories M/W casual Apparel, Jewelry Student/Casual Apparel Women's Casual, jewelry Men's, Women's casual clothing, shoes Women's Casual, jewelry Women's Casual, jewelry Women's Casual, jewelry Sunglasses, Optical Bridal Boutique Women's Casual, jewelry, gifts Women's clothing, shoes, accessories Fashion Boutique, jewelry Shoes and Boots Art Supplies Gap's New Yoga brand Close-out furniture, Home Décor, Spa, beauty treatments Midtown/Vanderbilt Belmont Avenue Belmont Avenue 12 South 12 South 12 South West End Avenue West End Avenue Midtown/Vanderbilt West End Avenue Hillsboro/West End Downtown, The Gulch The Gulch 2nd Avenue Downtown SoBro area near downtown National chain Southeastern Regional Meridien/Cool Springs Nashville, Franklin Nashville Nashville Nashville Nashville Nashville Nashville Nashville Nashville Nashville Nashville Nashville Nashville Nashville, + 6 TN towns Nashville + OH, VA, MD National Nashville, Columbia, Chattanooga Franklin Source: The Eisen Group/TEG Economics TEG notes that most of the regional and national chain-affiliated retailers are located outside the traditional core of downtown Clarksville (though there are a number of national chains along the waterfront area), most of the best locally owned retail businesses are already located downtown. TEG suggests that the optimal retail mix for downtown Clarksville should focus on strong local and regional specialty retailers, food and beverage operators and selected consumer service businesses that will activate pedestrian activity and attract repeat customer visitation downtown. More affordable space, a pedestrian-friendly environment and a coordinated approach to business recruitment should all be part of TRC’s ongoing downtown management and recruitment strategy. As local business start-ups are created in Clarksville and other businesses look to relocate and/or expand, the TRC Director should track prospects and seek to attract them downtown. 62 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT I. Implementation Recommendations Implementation Recommendations -Implementing a Downtown/Riverfront revitalization for Clarksville will require a number of decisions, policy steps, commitments, financial incentives and partnerships between local government and key property owners and institutions if the process is to succeed. The keys to successful implementation will depend on changes in current market forces which with the exception of the growth potential associated with APSU students will both need to be induced, and incentivized, as current economics do not support new construction. As a matter of both policy and practice, redevelopment in downtown Clarksville should prioritize utilization of vacant space/rehabilitation of existing space first, with new construction as an alternative. Downtown as the Priority District -- Franklin Street and Public Square comprise the symbolic heart of downtown, and should be the priority for recruitment of new retailers; although Riverside Drive presents a far greater concentration of retail today, the traditional downtown offers a more sustainable and differentiated shopper experience than does the auto-oriented riverfront area. The connections between the traditional downtown and the Cumberland Riverfront should incorporate the links between outdoor recreation (boating, walking, biking, etc.) along the river and into Liberty Park’s facilities with the advantages provided by living in a walkable environment. While current connectivity along the river is very good, the connections up the hill to downtown Clarksville should be strengthened, both visually and physically. This may be considered in the Master Planning processes in which the University of Tennessee students analyze Clarksville now and in the future, through a limited design competition for a ‘civic’ connection that will make a more literal connection across the 90-100 foot difference in elevation between McGregor Park River Walk and Public Square. This grade separation and the differences in both physical layout/consumer behaviors (which are by nature more auto oriented along Riverside than along Franklin Street) will be a challenge for Two Rives Company to overcome. The logic of joining interests along the Cumberland with those of the traditional downtown is clear, but in TEG’s view, it will be difficult to treat both areas equally in level of effort for TRC staff – they are simply different types of commercial districts that are adjacent, but separated by a significant grade. This difference has been highlighted by the recent discussions about the optimal location for the Downtown Market. Determining how to best combine/differentiate and market the two areas is a unique concern for a downtown organization, in our experience, and should be incorporated into the downtown management program over time. Planning and Redevelopment Opportunities -- Over the longer term, potential future relocation of one or both of the auto dealerships on College Street would open large tracts of urban land for higher density redevelopment, and should be incorporated into long-term downtown redevelopment planning by the City and Two Rivers Company. It is also possible that one or both dealerships may choose to remain downtown – both provide significant sales tax revenues and property taxes, but as land uses, they do not encourage better connectivity between the APSU campus and the traditional downtown area. That is the reason that either/both should be included in long-range downtown planning, but should not be considered as imminent. Similarly, the extensive properties owned by the First Baptist Church are long-range future redevelopment opportunities. TEG suggests that the Church’s use of many of these blocks as surface parking on Sundays and Wednesday evenings is not the best-and-highest use, and that parking could be considered in other formats (such as a garage) to make land available for redevelopment. In particular, it is suggested that one or more lots be considered for church affiliated retirement housing (both for independent living and continuing care options) to serve the large FBC congregation. Richland Place in the Hillsboro West neighborhood of Nashville is a possible model, but designed for a more urban environment. While the greater immediate opportunity for 63 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Downtown Strategy and Implementation Recommendations downtown housing will be student oriented, attracting a group of Baptist empty-nesters and retirees who are already strongly participating in First Baptists Church activities could be an additional benefit to both downtown Clarksville and to the Church’s congregation. Similar to the auto dealership blocks, this is a longer term potential and will require ongoing discussions with FBC about its priorities for the current parking lot blocks. In TEG’s view, Two Rivers Company is both the most logical and the most appropriate entity to assume responsibilities for coordinating redevelopment of Downtown Clarksville and the Cumberland Riverfront. The Clarksville community has already created successful civic projects along the river with the McGregor River Walk and the new recreation and entertainment facilities at Liberty Park. The water-oriented recreational project in Columbus GA is one level of intensity of water-based recreation, but the new marina facilities at Liberty Park can provide both visual interest and outdoor opportunities for further enhancement of the Cumberland Riverfront over time. Longer term redevelopment of Riverside Drive as an urban boulevard, with improved pedestrian enhancements, new landscaping and lighting and modifications of the extensive curb-cut strip development will require both new design standards as well as new development guidelines (and possible re-zoning ) as part of a series of actions involving numerous property owners, TNDOT and the City of Clarksville. The resulting enhanced visual character and development opportunities would reinforce the significant improvements already made to the riverfront. Another longer-term consideration would be determining new land uses for the City-owned ‘Elevated Slab‘ site at the junction of the Red and Cumberland Rivers (depending on whether future use should be commercial or public/recreational). The Two Rivers Mall is reportedly almost half vacant, and (while in-part located in the designated Flood Plain) may also present an opportunity for longer term redevelopment. As a retailing model, its current condition suggests that the amount of ‘downtown’ land it contains may benefit from a more ‘urban’ vision of its potential such as the mixed-use redevelopment forms included in the River District Plan. The current format is now considered outmoded in the retailing industry, and the existing vacancy rate indicates the response of the marketplace to its need for redevelopment. Other sites along Riverside Drive are already in the process of redevelopment planning, as envisioned by the River District Plan’s objectives and priorities. Downtown as Priority District -- Accepting the regional value of the Cumberland Riverfront as a given, TEG recommends that initial predevelopment priorities should be focused on the traditional downtown area on and around Franklin Street, Public Square and across the uptown street network. Both from the standpoint of improving the existing business mix and protecting public investment in infrastructure, downtown should be viewed as the highest priority as a matter of public policy and use of public incentives. Today there are numerous surface parking lots, vacant properties and underutilized sites that are either in public or institutional ownership. City-owned assets that could be leveraged include the City parking lot north of City Hall, the Transit Center site and the property on which the Roxy and the adjacent parking lots occupy, as well as the old City Hall and other City-occupied structures on the west side of Public Square. Downtown development most often occurs incrementally, but the City’s future decisions about how to leverage public benefit from publicly owned land and to restore downtown properties to the tax rolls should be weighed and debated, in a discussion coordinated between many stakeholders and property owners downtown. This will function best if the Two Rivers Company is an independent voice and advocate for downtown Clarksville, but supported by both the City and Montgomery County, financially and through coordinated development policies. The downtown management models in most of the Benchmark Cities described earlier demonstrate the benefits of this type of public/private partnership if projects are jointly funded, planned, developed and implemented, and incorporating public policy and funding incentives to encourage private investment and cover ‘financial gaps’ in project costs. Current market conditions, real estate economics and the growing competitive context in Clarksville should be considered in allocating public resources. The value of the existing infrastructure downtown and along the River is not being fully optimized by continued outward growth toward Interstate 24 and suburban planning patterns; a more balanced approach will make downtown a higher priority for redevelopment. Experience in other cities has shown that successful outcomes are best achieved through cooperative efforts guided by a consistent vision and with implementation shared between the public and private sectors, but downtown needs to be a stated priority to succeed. 64 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Downtown Implementation Funding Recommendations In Clarksville, implementation of the Downtown and Riverfront Redevelopment Strategy will best be achieved if managed according to local priorities and market conditions, by cooperative efforts led by a consistent vision, and by prioritizing investment of public resources to attract and support private investment. A list of recommended implementation steps, financing approaches and actions are included in this section; they are not arranged in a particular order of priority, although the implementation recommendations arrayed on the table on the following page are considered over three periods of time: short-term (1-18 months), mid-term (19-35 months) and long-term (three years and beyond). Some actions are more appropriate later in the process, after some initial successes have been achieved, or when currently unknown factors have become resolved (such as relocation issues for the Transit Center). As sh0wn on the implementation chart, the most important priority for the near term will be to confirm adequate funding and complete the hiring process of the Clarksville Downtown Manager sustained through a commitment of City funds. The commitment of funding for a minimum of three years is a critical decision, but examples in which Downtown Management program staff are responsible for both funding their jobs and doing their jobs are rarely successful, and TRC should consider several funding options for an annual budget of approximately $120,000 in the near term (including salaries and benefits) , growing over time to a budget goal of about $150,000 per year. Suggested future funding/management/operating options for Downtown Clarksville include the following: Expanded Direct Public Funding – Two Rivers Company is currently allocated an annual allotment of approximately $75,000 per year by the City of Clarksville. This commitment is an important one, as it is the core source of stable funding for encouragement of private investment downtown and along the riverfront; as the basis for Clarksville’s ongoing management initiatives to coordinate activities between the City, property owners and downtown merchants; and can focus a broad range of initiatives to remove blight, increase density and connect the riverfront and downtown to APSU by redeveloping underutilized blocks between them. TEG strongly encourages the City to continue this annual allocation, and to encourage supplementary additional funding from other public and private sources. Establishment of a Business Improvement District (BID) – BID’s are funded by a designated area agreeing to ‘self tax’ an amount for a pre-determined period of time (often for renewal periods every five years), with the increment of additional property tax returned to that district as the budget for management services. In some cities, this budget is used to pay for management staff who organize downtown promotions and events, who market downtown as an investment area, and who can recruit retailers, encourage office retention and development, and showcase the options and benefits of downtown housing . While often used to fund downtown management programs and organizations, TEG is concerned that the existing density of office space in downtown Clarksville will not generate enough property tax increment to adequately fund staffing and programs. The retail sector alone may contribute, but the 900,000 + square feet of retail space in the downtown Clarksville study area would have to carry most of the tax increase burden, since a large portion of downtown offices are governmental/institutional and not subject to property taxes. Tennessee’s CBID enabling legislation (which was used to form Two Rivers Company) would allow for use of the BID structure for the staffing costs, but would require a referendum by property owners to approve the ‘ self-tax’, and would be authorized for a specified amount of time before being subject to a vote of renewal to continue the assessment. Consider Tax Increment Finance (TIF)for Catalyst Projects, Other Initiatives – Tennessee cities and towns have successfully used Tax Increment Financing (TIF) to leverage private investment. Changes in Public Chapter 605 in 2012 corrected inconsistencies in Tennessee’s TIF laws to broaden the use of TIF’s for economic development. The Act provides that use of TIF increments for privately owned land (other than for a parking lot, facility or garage) requires 65 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Downtown Implementation Funding Recommendations state pre-approvals and a uniform type of central annual reporting to the State’s Comptroller. Use of TIF requires coordination between local governmental jurisdictions and local school systems, as the allocation of property tax revenues collected are changed if future increments are dedicated to public infrastructure or other incentives to encourage significant investment. Tennessee views TIF as a major tool to encourage private investment and Economic development, and the 2012 Act established more uniform standards for reporting, calculation of future incremental revenues and how the increments can be used. Both the City of Clarksville and Montgomery County are positioned to expand use of TIF programs to encourage new projects and new investment. TEG strongly encourages TRC and its partners and stakeholders to review the potential sources of funds resulting from TIF projects and to lead the efforts to secure TIF funding to leverage project investments in the downtown area. A possible TIF district boundary that coincides with with the existing CBID district boundaries is a logical and appropriate area to consider. Property Tax Abatement – Property tax abatement is another tool that can be used by local government to encourage private investment, and should be considered as a complementary tool to be combined with other financial and policy incentives in Clarksville. Because the decision to abate (reduce or delay) property taxes in exchange for private investment means a reduction in public revenues, its use as a funding tool should be carefully coordinated with stakeholders and others affected by the abatement. In TEG’s experience, property tax abatement is best used in combination with other financing mechanisms to encourage property owners to invest in their projects, as the property tax component is not always sufficient to incentivize larger projects. Abatement should be considered one of several funding incentives in a more comprehensive approach, should leverage more than the net loss of property tax revenues and should have a clear time limitation for use, so that property tax levels can grow back to pre-abatement levels over time. TEG notes that abatement programs work counter to TIF incentives, as frozen or abated property tax rates would prevent collection of a future increment. Contract with the City of Clarksville for Downtown Development Services -- Some City governments have funded their Downtown Management programs by contracting with the management staff to operate city facilities such as parking garages, allocating a portion of parking revenues through the contract. Since parking garages are already operated by the City of Clarksville, it may be possible to explore this approach as a sustainable revenue stream that could be dedicated to funding a management position. The issue with this approach in some cities has been political, as the City-controlled parking revenues (and the management contracts supported by them) can be subject to election politics. In one case in Portland OR, the downtown BID was almost fully funded (at over $5M per year) by Parking Garage Management fees from the City’s downtown garages, but when the former BID director and Portland’s mayor had a political conflict, the City-authorized contract was not renewed, and the BID went out of business. This suggests that a possible contract for services could become a source of revenues for a future BID, it would be best to establish and maintain a mix of revenue sources so that the BID does not become totally dependent upon a public contract to continue operations. Create a Small Business Program to Assist Retailers – The presence of APSU’s educational faculty and facilities downtown and the desire to bring in new businesses could be combined into a series of approaches at small business development. APSU students have helped to expand the programs of the Arts Walk in downtown Clarksville, and they comprise an important part of the potential consumer market. TEG suggests that, as the Downtown Manager/TRC Executive Director becomes established, opportunities for small business development such as a pop-up seasonal business program for start-ups that want a temporary location (perhaps in a vacant storefront), as a festival retailer (for the farmer’s market or other events), or possibly a small business incubator that could provide technical assistance, coordinated services from local economic development departments and APSU, help with business planning and financing (coordinated with local banks) or other assistance. 66 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Clarksville Recommended Implementation Schedule Downtown/Waterfront Redevelopment Strategy: Implementation Recommendations Month 1 Short Term (1-18 months) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Adopt, update study recommendations & UT Urban Design Study as TRC Programs Refine process for management decisions by TRC with City, County Confirm annual budget at $120,000 total to stabilize TRC Director/program funding Coordinate with Catalyst Project site owners to determine timing, next steps Re-activate CRIF and locate administration/management within TRC Meet periodically with local banks to increase CRIF Loan Fund level to $1M goal Continue to monitor, update inventory data to market potential redev. locations Supplement/expand downtown merchants' marketing and events programs TRC to formalize terms, conditions, requirements for retail relocation incentives Prepare retail recruitment marketing materials for available spaces/incentives Schedule and initiate quarterly retail recruitment visits to out-of-town markets Meet with APSU to discuss/coordinate future downtown 'partnership projects' Meet with auto dealership owners about long-term redevelopment potentials Meet with downtown church representatives to explore redevelopment options Establish coordination with Transit Authority on Transit Center relocation Organize downtown housing tour to showcase projects like above Bink's Use minium building upgrades (feature lighting, painting) to show art in vacancies Involve TRC in redevelopment feasibility plan for Roxy Regional Theater Coordinate annual EDC visits with one or more Benchmark/Example Cities Incorporate signs and storefronts into TRC Design Guidelines Re-Write Periodically review zoning in study area to encourage multi-family infill projects 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 (Subject to change, modification or expansion as determined necessary by TRC) 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 & beyond Year 1 Year 2 Year 3/beyond → → → → → → → → → → → → → → → → → → → → Mid-Term (18-36 months) 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 Implement one or more loans from fully funded CRIF Update catalyst site list, adding others as appropriate for analysis/incentives Continue coordination with Transit Authority on relocation of Transit Center Work with Riverview Inn and APSU to implement conf center, hotel expansion Continue DT retail recruitment efforts Schedule and complete another Benchmark City visit Determine potentials for Senior Baptist housing on First Baptist parking site(s) Revisit Riverside Drive conversion to an 'urban boulevard' Re-energize Roxy Theater redevelopment campaign as a catalyst site Initiate long-term planning for auto dealership redevelopment w/owners, APSU Re-visit Clarksville 2030 Master Plan for longer range goals and projects Develop and implement new marketing campaign for downtown Clarksville Work to develop and implement enhanced visitor strategy for DT Clarksville → → → → → → → → → → → → → Long-Term ( 36 + months) 35 36 37 38 39 40 Continue DT retail recruitment efforts Implement redevelopment of Transit Center (when funded) Implement redevelopment of Roxy Regional Theater (when funded) Continue study visits to Benchmark Cities Encourage long-term infill development of DT housing, selected retail sites Continue Downtown-focused events: ArtWalk, Music Series, Rivers & Spires, etc. → → → → → → Source: The Eisen Group/TEG Economics 67 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Downtown Strategy and Implementation Recommendations The Two Rivers Company is currently working with the City of Clarksville to determine the best way to provide stable funding for the Downtown Manager’s position. The initial approach may be for the Downtown Manager to work through City Government as a full-time employee, receiving a salary and benefits through City funding. This approach has been taken by many cities in Tennessee and other locations as the basis for establishing a downtown management program, and can provide ease of coordination between City Departments that share responsibilities for downtown infrastructure, maintenance, planning/development/redevelopment, code enforcement and economic development. This is a major step for downtown Clarksville, and the City can make this possible in committing funding for the start up years. Over the longer term, however, direct City employment is not the only proven mechanism to fund a downtown management program. As the TRC Downtown Clarksville program becomes established and evolves over time, it may also be useful to consider future opportunities to broaden the potential sources of funding to cover operating costs for downtown management, to create incentive funding to encourage (or accelerate the pace of ) new downtown projects, and to leverage private investments. The City’s willingness to consider committing funds for downtown management programs is to be applauded; the potential future approaches to build on this base are provided as context for future structures for downtown programs that would not be totally dependent on City of Clarksville funds. Other alternatives include: 68 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Downtown Strategy and Implementation Recommendations Revise the Existing Downtown Development Revolving Fund – Clarksville has already established a downtown development revolving fund knows as the CRIF (Community Reinvestment Investment Fund) and has a current balance of approximately $65,000 available for local loans to stimulate investment. Although the fund was created in 1998-1999, TEG understands that the administrative board created for CRIF has not met in some time, and the fund is generally inactive currently. The opportunity created by establishment of such as fund can be significantly effective, if adequately funded, marketed to potential investors and administered to maximize leverage for approved projects. This approach has been taken by Providence RI as a means to sustain funding for both downtown management and leveraging private investment in historic downtown properties. The state-wide Rhode Island Foundation (legally structured as a state-wide “community foundation”) agreed to pool funds from its multiple component foundations to create the $6.5M commercial revolving fund (the DownCity Fund) to encourage private investment in the urban core. The fund is intended to be used for loans (and on a selective basis for grants) that will attract and leverage private funding for building renovation, retail and office development, lodging or other commercial and mixed uses. It should be noted that the scale of the Providence fund is in the $millions of dollars. While Providence is considerably larger than Clarksville, the current level of CRIF funding is inadequate to leverage the amount of downtown/riverfront investment needed to accelerate renovation and redevelopment/infill projects downtown in a meaningful way. TEG recommends that a more appropriate CRIF amount would be a million dollars; this level of potential incentive-based loans (and selective grants) is large enough to potentially stimulate major capital investments in privatesector downtown projects. The Providence Fund is also used as a vehicle to pay for administrative time for revolving fund staff, and if adequately funded, could provide a similar source of revenue for operations and the continuous funding of a TRC Executive Director. The enabling legislation that created CRIF should be restructured, more funding added and marketed as a stronger incentive for redevelopment. The two relevant components of this model are that a part of the fund is allocated to management costs for the Revolving Fund (a structure that could be used for Clarksville if foundation support is available) and that charitable funds are put ‘at risk’ (though the project risk is tightly managed and minimal) with the expectation that the spread between conventional financing costs and the normal expected return on charitable investments can be passed along through lower costs of capital and initial investment. The management entity receives administrative fees for review of projects, provides assistance in structuring the use of Revolving Fund loans and grants as part of larger financing packages, and monitors project designs to assure compliance with (and to allow inclusion of combinations with federal historic tax credits, low income housing credits or other public incentives. Effectively the DownCity fund represents a commitment of investment funds owned by foundations to be leveraged as gap financing and incentive funding to lower overall project development costs; the review criteria are carefully managed and, but doing so, make the projects eligible for different types of subsidy, tax credits or other benefits. The fund can also tap into Community Reinvestment Loans from local banks as a hedge against perceived ‘redlining’ of redevelopment areas. Downtown Development Director and staff as City Employees -- Under this approach the Downtown Development Director would be hired as an employee of the City of Clarksville, and located within the Economic Development program. This could be positioned within the office of the Mayor, as an expansion of the Industrial Development Board’s economic development programs, or through creation of a cross-department effort. As noted in the case study of Greenville SC, the downtown manager is a full-time City employee, but her work also involves a dedicated portion of time from the Director of Economic Development (who functions as an assistant City Manager) as well as from other economic development staff. TRC’s role in downtown and riverfront redevelopment is both a proper and a needed investment by the City, but maintaining a degree of both objectivity and separation from outward political forces will also be a critical component. The ability to take a longer view beyond election cycles and public budgeting is equally 69 MARKET ANALYSIS FOR CLARKSVILLE DOWNTOWN & RIVERFRONT DISTRICT Downtown Strategy and Implementation Recommendations important. While the economic downturn of 2008 through 2012 has hit the retail segment of real estate particularly hard, and downtown properties in Clarksville may not see the momentum that suburban retail growth has witnessed in the community, TEG suggests that it would be a mistake not to fully stabilize funding for and hiring an Executive Director for Two Rivers Company. The most successful downtown areas have consistently benefitted from a focused downtown management entity to serve as advocate, promoter, design and development coordinator and central contact for potential investors and property owner interests. While some may consider it late in the process to initiate this process for Downtown Clarksville, it should be remembered that doing nothing is more likely to return little or nothing, and making the commitment to a management program (with selected incentives) is far more likely to yield positive results. Retail development is complicated in downtown settings, and takes time to turn around. While the pace of redevelopment of retail, housing and office may not be as rapid as some would hope, TEG’s market and redevelopment planning analysis has identified niche opportunities that can enhance the tax base, draw carefully targeted investment and create new vitality downtown that can help to overcome longer trends. Without an Executive Director, there will be no main focus for downtown’s redevelopment efforts; it is critical that this role be filled and carried out over a number of years. Public and private funding for Two Rivers Company Executive Director– Two Rivers Company currently receives financial support from the City of Clarksville (approximately $75,000 per year). This is a substantial commitment by the public sector to foster downtown development, but in TEG’s experience, may need a larger budget for a full-time staff to flourish. TRC’s initiative to hire a full time Downtown Manager/Executive Director is both highly appropriate and necessary – downtown development is a more-than-full-time job that involves managing expectations and responsibilities, coordination between multiple public and private partners. While the Two Rivers Company is a relatively new organization merging several different interest advocates (Riverfront Development, Downtown Development, Downtown Merchants and Businesses), it may also be possible as the program evolves that TRC could seek private, corporate or other charitable funding to supplement the City’s commitment as experience in other cities indicates that it typically takes at least three years for a new Executive Director and organization to be able to generate significant, measurable results. The changing circumstances that have made downtown Clarksville only one of the commercial/retail centers in the area did not occur over a one or two year period; they have happened (paralleling national patterns) over the past twenty-five years, and reflect suburbanization in general and the specific aspects of commercial development on arterials connecting to Interstate Highway corridors. In TEG’s view, it is both appropriate and necessary to focus on redevelopment of downtown areas to protect the existing downtown tax base (which has helped subsidize that same suburbanization/outward growth) , as well as to sustain the value of the major investments in downtown infrastructure. The choices about which of these approaches might evolve as alternatives to full-City funding will require careful consideration by TRC and its partners. The most important element is the establishment of a Downtown Manager’s/Executive Director’s position; over time, possibly through a mixture of public and private funding, TRC and its partners and stakeholders may be able to determine an alternative direction for the development, coordination and implementation of public and private partnerships in downtown Clarksville. To provide adequate time to become established, to gain credibility in participating in structuring these partnerships, and to manage expectations and relationships between merchants, property owners, consumers and local government, a minimum of three years operating budget should be committed, while building other means of sustained funding to support the staff costs over the longer run. 70
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