Size Dependent Resource Use of a Hybrid Wolf (C. lycaon C. lupus) Population in Northeast Ontario A thesis submitted to the Committee on Graduate Studies in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in the faculty of Arts and Science TRENT UNIVERSITY Peterborough, Ontario, Canada © Copyright by Josh Holloway, 2009 Environmental and Life Sciences Graduate Program November, 2009 i Abstract Morphology, genetics, and behavior have important implications for animal population management and conservation. We assessed morphology as a driving factor on the predatory behavior of wolf packs from Ontario. We first related the genetic ancestry of several packs to their body weight. We then analyzed the influence of morphology on behavior by comparing body weight to metrics of predation and habitat use. Genetic ancestry was not related to body weight but revealed that our study population was part of a gray wolf eastern wolf (Canis lupus lycaon) hybrid population. Predation and habitat use were related to body size, but increased body size only marginally increased predatory abilities. Although body size may limit moose predation by small wolves, gene flow and group foraging may work to maintain relatively small eastern wolf-like phenotypes in a large prey system. We conclude that efforts to conserve a desired wolf phenotype should consider aspects of prey populations. Keywords: hybridization, eastern wolf, gray wolf, morphology, predation, microsatellite, resource utilization ii Acknowledgments First and foremost I must recognize my family for the love and support they have provided me over the many years I have pursed my chosen profession. For better or worse, they have been unwavering in providing me the most stable and reliable feature of my life. Without them I would not be me. Any field project of this magnitude could not be accomplished without the dedication of field technicians willing to endure the rigors of strenuous work in remote locations. Numerous people participated in various aspects of the field work for which I greatly appreciate. The following people went above and beyond reasonable expectations: Oliver Barker, Kristine Terwissen, Dan Andres, and Kevin Downing. I want to thank Lynn Landriault for providing friendship and advice from day one and for always being trustworthy enough to hold the fort in my absence. I thank Lyle Walton for his friendship and dedication to the project. While I played with the wolves, Lyle was working hard to replace everything I broke and to keep me well equipped. Several pilots provided many safe hours of telemetry flights. Because they did their job well, I am here to tell about it. Mike Coin of OMNR worked particularly hard to get us in the air when many government bureaucrats thought otherwise. I am not a geneticist, nor do I pretend to be one. Because of many helpful discussions with Linda Rutledge and Tyler Wheeldon this did not matter. Tyler also analyzed my genetic data and contributed far more than he received. I also thank Jen Dart for taking on the frustrating task of cataloging and conducting the laboratory portion of the genetic analysis. iii I have made many friends during this experience that were always willing to talk about wolves in the office or over a beer. For this I must thank Karen Loveless, Erin Reese, Chris Sharp, Tina Fridgen, and Eric Howe. Stacey Lowe spent endless hours discussing wildlife, statistics, and life in general. Her persistence was admirable and friendship invaluable. Collin Garroway and Kevin Middel provided helpful programming assistance. I would like to thank my advisors Brent Patterson and Dennis Murray for providing me the opportunity to do this work and for their support. I especially thank my committee member Bruce Pond for his careful scrutiny of my work, for finding problems we all missed and for his willingness to help solve them. Perhaps the best and most unexpected outcome of this experience has been the introduction of 2 people into my life. I could not have asked for anyone more devoted to wolves, Horwood, and to enjoying life as I found in them. Lindsay contributed greatly to the field work through the worst of conditions and proved to be a good friend. For that I thank her. Ashley did that and more. Although it was rarely easy, she was there to the end and was a more positive and meaningful part of my experience and my life than she will ever know. Thank you. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT............................................................................................................................ II LIST OF FIGURES ...........................................................................................................VIII CHAPTER 1: GENERAL INTRODUCTION..................................................................... 1 Overview ..................................................................................................................................................... 1 Adaptations to Predation in Canis.................................................................................................... 1 Canidae in Northeastern North America ....................................................................................... 4 Objective of Thesis .................................................................................................................................. 6 CHAPTER 2: THE GENETIC BASIS OF BODY SIZE IN HYBRID WOLVES (CANIS SP.) IN NORTHEASTERN ONTARIO ................................................................. 9 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................... 9 Study Area................................................................................................................................................ 10 Methods ..................................................................................................................................................... 11 Capture and Data ......................................................................................................... 11 Data Analysis................................................................................................................ 12 Results ........................................................................................................................................................ 14 Discussion ................................................................................................................................................. 15 CHAPTER 3: BODY SIZE AND ITS EFFECT ON RESOURCE USE IN A HYBRID WOLF POPULATION........................................................................................ 20 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 20 Study Area................................................................................................................................................ 23 Methods ..................................................................................................................................................... 24 Capture and Radiotelemetry ........................................................................................ 24 Morphology and Kill Rates .......................................................................................... 24 Landscape Attributes.................................................................................................... 25 Resource Utilization Models........................................................................................ 27 Morphological, Predation, and Habitat Use Correlates............................................. 29 Results ........................................................................................................................................................ 31 v Predation ...................................................................................................................... 31 Habitat Use................................................................................................................... 32 Discussion ................................................................................................................................................. 32 Foraging Behavior....................................................................................................... 33 Management Implications ........................................................................................... 35 CHAPTER 4: GENERAL DISCUSSION .......................................................................... 48 Overview ................................................................................................................................................... 48 General Conclusions ............................................................................................................................ 50 LITERATURE CITED ........................................................................................................ 52 APPENDIX A. ....................................................................................................................... 62 APPENDIX B ........................................................................................................................ 63 APPENDIX C ........................................................................................................................ 66 APPENDIX D ........................................................................................................................ 69 vi LIST OF TABLES Table 3.1. Definitions of land cover and landscape attributes used to describe habitat use and a predictive beaver hunting layer for 11 wolf packs in northeastern Ontario. Veg describes vegetative land cover, metrics describe landscape metrics, and prey describes landscape attributes related to the abundance and hunting of prey……………………..37 Table 3.2. Contrast weight matrix for the contrast weighted edge density layer of land cover types in northwestern Ontario. Weights reflect a quantity of edge (m/ha) that is sensitive to the interface of mature and young stands of cover that provide high juxtaposition of cover and food beneficial for moose………………………………...…38 Table 3.3. Akaike weights (ωi) for resource utilization covariates in each pack. Shown is the average weight across all packs and whether it is within 10% of the top ranked weight…………………………………………………………………………………….39 Table 3.4. Beta-coefficient estimates for resource utilization covariates in each pack….40 Table 3.5. Spearman’s rank correlation results for average pack body size (average body weight/pack) versus resource utilization coefficients for 10 wolf pack wintersa within the boreal forest of northeast Ontario………………………………………………………..41 Table 3.6. The proportion of cover types and average measures of landscape metrics measured in each of 10 wolf territories defined by the 100% contour of the fixed kernel density estimator. Values given with +/- 1 standard error……………………………….42 vii LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2.1. Distribution of Canid genetic samples used in STRUCTURE analysis from Ontario, Canada………………………………………………………………………….17 Figure 2.2. Plot of individual proportional memberships of Canis in Ontario, Canada to populations inferred by STRUCTURE under F-model (K=3)…………………………..18 Figure 2.3. Distribution of Canid genetic samples used in STRUCTURE analysis from Ontario, Canada. Factorial correspondence analysis of microsatellite loci for Canis sample groups from northwest Ontario (NWON), northeast Ontario (NEON), the present study area (TIM), Algonquin Provincial Park (APP), and the Frontenac Axis (FRAX)...19 Figure 3.1. The relationship between the squared ratio of consumption of killed moose biomass to the metabolic requirements relative to the average pack body size of 11 wolf packs in northeastern Ontario. Consumption was estimated from food sources found during winter GPS cluster searches and metabolic requirements were estimated from the mass dependent metabolic rate of adult wolves in each pack……………………………44 Figure 3.2. Relative weights (kg), chest girth (cm), shoulder height (cm), and ground clearance (cm) of putatively pure Algonquin-type eastern wolves (ALG; male n = 43; female n = 45) and gray wolf eastern wolf hybrids from northeastern Ontario (NE ON; male n = 17, female n = 26). Data presented as mean +/- 1 SE………………………..45 Figure 3.3 Coefficients of variation for male and female wolf weights from several North American populations.……………………………………………………...……………46 viii Chapter 1: General Introduction Overview Although some species are habitat specialists and have restricted geographic ranges, others occur in a variety of habitats and are found across a broad geographic range. When distributions are broad, animals may experience different environmental conditions and selective regimes in different habitats. These experiences manifest themselves through behavioral and morphological adaptations which may become significant factors in determining patterns of resource use (Turingan et al. 1995). Unfortunately, most studies ignore such factors when examining the availability and distribution of resources to describe patterns of selection. While this approach is sufficient to make generalized predictions about a population (Manly et al. 2002) it may fail to capture features of fine-scale selection that are important to managing isolated and hybridized populations. Because wildlife managers often wish to predict an organism’s response to changing environmental conditions, examining how intra-specific adaptations relate to local conditions will provide more precise predictions. Adaptations to Predation in Canis Morphological adaptations to predation have evolved largely in response to the environmental features used to find, pursue and capture prey (Husseman et al. 2002, Hopcraft et al. 2005), and the biomechanical requirements associated with killing and handling prey (Andersson and Werdelin 2003, VanValkenburgh 2007). Of these adaptations, body size has emerged as a particularly important trait that has been selected for with relative consistency across divergent taxa. Fossil records show that the general trend for animal body size is to increase with time (Cope’s rule; Alroy 1998), and in North American Canids this general pattern seems to have occurred several times during 1 the past 50 million years (Finarelli 2007, VanValkenburgh et al. 2004). Morphological characteristics associated with body size can constrain a predator’s ability to pursue, attack, and subdue large prey (Gittleman 1985). Moreover, intense competition among carnivores may lead to body size selection as larger individuals tend to dominate and kill smaller competitors (Palomeres and Caro 1999). It is not surprising, then, that the tendency for larger body size is particularly advantageous for carnivores as it can lead to the acquisition of more profitable prey and greater diet diversification (Gittleman 1985, Radloff and Du Toit 2004). The influence of body size on predator ability to prey on large animals has been documented through comparisons across taxa (Carbone et al. 1999, Cohen et al. 1993, Gittleman 1985, Owen-Smith and Mills 2008, Radloff and Du Toit 2004, Vezina 1985) and between genders (Erlinge 1979, Sand et al. 2006, Brecko et al. 2008). The extent to which intra-specific predatory ability varies with body size was only recently demonstrated using a gray wolf population in Yellowstone National Park (MacNulty et al. 2009). Larger wolves were more successful at preying on elk (Cervus elaphus) (MacNulty et al. 2009). This lends evidence to suggest that size selection can be strong in Canis populations and is supported by observations of size co-variation in North American Canis populations and their primary prey species (Kolenosky and Standfield 1975, Schmitz and Kolenosky 1985, Thurber and Peterson 1991, Nowak 1995). Although ecological theory predicts selection for large-bodied predators where large prey predominate (Van Valkenburgh et al. 2004, Van Valkenburgh 2007), this simple relationship may be confounded by cooperative and learned hunting behaviors of social carnivores like wolves (Mech 1970). Specifically, the abilities of large experienced pack 2 members may subsidize smaller, less capable pack members (Stander 1992). Cooperative hunting in carnivores is attributed, in part, to the increased use of large prey that may otherwise be unavailable to an individual (Mech 1970, Packer and Ruttan 1988). Wolves may overcome constraints of small body size and forage more efficiently by hunting in packs, which enable the capture of larger, more profitable prey (Mech 1970, Bekoff et al. 1984). Likewise, the size of a pack may increase with increasing prey size (Murie 1944, Mech 1970) up to a theoretical optimum, where food intake/wolf is maximized and hunting costs are minimized (Nudds 1978). Although reasonable, such a presumed linear relationship is not always observed. For example, for wolves preying primarily on large ungulates (moose [Alces alces], caribou [Rangifer tarandus] and bison [Bison bison]), pack sizes are known to be highly variable and not dissimilar from those using smaller prey (Mech and Peterson 2003). Other factors such as prey abundance, human exploitation, pack relatedness (Mech and Peterson 2003), and individual hunting abilities (MacNulty et al. 2009) may account for the wide variation in prey size and hunting success. The relation between pack size and hunting efficiency is complicated by observations of single wolves killing large prey (Thurber and Peterson 1993) and because pack members do not always contribute equally to the act of killing (Mech and Boitani 2003). Furthermore, cooperative hunting leading to increased foraging efficiency does not hold true for wolves given that food intake per wolf decreases significantly beyond pack sizes of 1 or 2 individuals (Mech and Boitani 2003, Thurber and Peterson 1993). Social behavior in wolves can then be construed as being beneficial for territory and den defense and communal pup rearing (Mech 1970, Packer et al. 1990), and thus is not a necessity 3 for killing large prey (Mech and Boitani 2003). Although social hunting may not always be necessary for the persistence of wolves as it pertains to hunting success, it is likely an important attribute that benefits small or inept pack members (Packer and Ruttan 1988, Stander 1992). Canidae in Northeastern North America The taxonomic classification of Canis species in northeastern North America has had a tumultuous history because of uncertainty regarding ancestral origin (Wilson et al. 2000, Nowak 2003, Kyle et al. 2006), morphological distinction (Kolenosky and Standfield 1975, Nowak 1995), hybridization (Roy et al. 1994, Wheeldon 2009, Wilson et al. 2009) and the mechanisms by which these factors interact with landscape features (Geffen et al. 2004, Kyle et al. 2006) and prey populations (Forbes and Theberge 1995, Kolenosky and Standfield 1975). It is not surprising, then, that a broad area across central Ontario has become recognized for its extensive hybridization due to the convergence of several Canis types, prey species, and eco-regions. As researchers move toward a consensus regarding genetic origin of some groups of wolves (Wilson et al. 2000, 2009) many of the ecological factors that led to and/or perpetuated this diversity remain unknown. Studying these factors provides valuable knowledge for predicting the impact of changing ecological landscapes and its relevance to Canis conservation. Contemporary evaluation of Canis species in northeastern North America has revealed that several genetically distinct “races” have converged to form a hybrid zone represented by a continuum of genetic groups and morphological characteristics (Sears et al. 2003, Nowak 1995, Wheeldon 2009, Wilson et al. 2000, 2009). The putatively pure populations for which this wolf hybrid zone is derived are represented by gray wolves 4 (Canis lupus), eastern wolves (C. lycaon), and eastern coyotes (C. lycaon latrans) (Wheeldon 2009). Historical adaptations to environmental and prey conditions, as well as reproductive isolation, led to the initial divergence of each species from one another (Nowak 2003). The eastern wolf and western coyote (C. latrans) are North American-evolved species that diverged from a common ancestor 150,000-300,000 year ago (Wilson et al. 2000). The size differentiation between the 2 species likely represents adaptation of the eastern wolf to preying on deer (Odocoileus sp.) in forested habitats and the coyote to smaller prey in arid regions (Wilson et al 2000). Changing landscape conditions and human persecution following European colonization of northeastern North America lead to the range redistribution of eastern wolves and coyotes, resulting in hybridization between the 2 species (Kyle et al. 2006). Where extensive hybridization has occurred, a hybrid swarm seems to have emerged which has resulted in the eastern coyote which constitutes a hybrid of eastern wolves and coyotes (Wilson et al. 2009). These animals seem to be phenotypicically intermediate to their parental populations (Kolenosky and Standfield 1975). Although many sub-specific forms of the gray wolf have been identified in North America, it is generally accepted that their progenitors evolved in Eurasia and migrated to North America during periods of glaciation (Lehman et al. 1991, Nowak 1995, Wilson et al. 2000). Larger than North American evolved Canis species, gray wolves often prey on larger ungulate species than eastern wolves and coyotes (see Mech and Peterson 2003). Although hybridization occurs with eastern wolves where their ranges overlap, direct hybridization between gray wolves and coyotes generally does not occur (Pilgrim et al. 5 1998, Wheeldon 2009, Wilson et al. 2009). Because eastern wolves readily hybridize with both gray wolves and coyotes, they act as a vector for gene flow between the two “parental” species (Wheeldon 2009, Wilson et al. 2009). Where this has occurred, a hybrid zone has been formed and has given rise to a diversity of phenotypic and genotypic forms of Canis that may be differentially adapted to exploiting local resources (Kolenosky and Standfield 1975, Sears et al. 2003, Wilson et al. 2000). Consequently, the diversification of morphological forms of wolves currently observed in northeastern North America may be attributed to adaptations to extrinsic factors and hybridization between specific and sub-specific forms of Canis species (Nowak 2003). Objective of Thesis The eastern wolf was given federal designation as a species of special concern under the Species at Risk Act in Canada in 2001 (COSEWIC 2006). Similar provincial designation was granted under the Species at Risk in Ontario Act in 2004 (OMNR 2005). While it is formally recognized that hybridization occurs and may be a threat to eastern wolves (OMNR 2005), the ecological mechanisms that facilitate hybridization are poorly understood. Given the apparent interrelatedness of genetics, morphology, and prey use, understanding aspects of prey and habitat features as they relate to eastern wolves is necessary to predict the impacts of changing ecological landscapes and for setting conservation guidelines. The limited prey availability and presence of Canis hybrids in northeastern Ontario provides a unique opportunity to examine these relationships, and to predict the genetic adaptations to local environmental conditions that may be important to continued persistence of the eastern wolf genome. Accordingly, the goals of this thesis are to provide information about the genetic and morphological nature of hybrid wolves 6 in the boreal forest of northeastern Ontario, and to determine how these features interact with the environment to help guide conservation strategies. In addition, we seek to shed light on poorly-understood aspects of the basic ecology of Canis hybridization. Initial field observations of wolves in our study area suggested wide variation in both morphology and foraging success among packs. The reported genotypes throughout Ontario suggested that these variations could be a result of mixed ancestry due to hybridization between C. lupus and C. lycaon (Kyle et al. 2006). Because of the limited prey diversity in our study area, we expected a bi-modal foraging strategy such that wolves would select habitat to maximize hunting success on either moose or beaver (Castor canadensis) (Forbes and Theberge 1996). We therefore hypothesized that i) levels of C. lupus genetic representation in a pack of C. lycaon individuals will be related to overall body size of its members, ii) body size will limit a pack’s ability to kill moose, whereby larger bodied packs will forage on moose at greater rates than small bodied packs, and iii) habitat use by wolf packs will reflect their foraging patterns; more specifically we expect packs will use habitats that increase moose vulnerability in proportion to the amount of moose in their diet. The hypothesis that genetic ancestry is related to morphology and resource use in wolves may be applicable to other hybridizing species and could serve as a guide for conservation strategies that aim to predict range distribution and geographic expansion or loss of unique genotypes. Furthermore, informed predictions regarding the consequences that resource manipulations may have on hybrid populations can serve to help management plans that aim to prevent or promote hybridization. Overall, this study 7 should improve our understanding of the ecological factors underlying Canis ecology in northeastern North America. 8 Chapter 2: The Genetic Basis of Body Size in Hybrid Wolves (Canis sp.) in Northeastern Ontario Introduction Contemporary evaluation of Canis species in northeastern North America has revealed that several genetically distinct “races” have converged to form a hybrid zone represented by a continuum of genetic groups and morphological characteristics (Kyle et al. 2006). The putatively pure populations from which this wolf hybrid zone is derived are represented by gray wolves (Canis lupus), eastern wolves (C. lycaon), and coyotes (C. latrans) (Wheeldon 2009). Because the eastern wolf readily hybridizes with both gray wolves and coyotes, it acts as a conduit for gene flow between the two latter species (Wheeldon 2009, Wilson et al. 2009). Historical adaptations to environmental and prey conditions, as well as reproductive isolation, led to the initial divergence of each species from one another (Nowak 2003). Consequently, the diversification of morphological forms of wolves currently observed in northeastern North America may be attributed to adaptations to extrinsic factors and hybridization between specific and sub-specific forms of Canis species (Nowak 2003). The size differentiation between gray and eastern wolves likely represents adaptation of the eastern wolf to preying on deer (Odocoileus sp.) and gray wolves on larger prey (e.g. moose; Nowak 1995, Wilson et al 2000). Morphological characteristics associated with body size can constrain a predator’s ability to pursue, attack, and subdue large prey (Gittleman 1985, MacNulty et al. 2009). It is surprising, then, that across their presumed current core range eastern wolves can prey extensively upon moose, although their kill rates are lower than in areas occupied by gray wolves (Voigt et al. 1976, 9 Messier and Crete 1985, Forbes and Theberge 1995). Ecological theory predicts selection for large-bodied predators where large prey predominate (Van Valkenburgh 2007, Van Valkenburgh et al. 2004). However, the effects of size selection may be masked by gene flow from populations of small-bodied eastern wolves. Where this occurs, we would predict greater morphological diversity in the Canis population than would be predicted by prey size alone. Herein we evaluate the biological impacts of hybridization by quantifying the relationship between morphological and genetic variation in a Canis population in northeastern North America. We sought to test the hypothesis that wolf body size will be a function of the average proportional C. lupus and C. lycaon genetic contribution to pack genomes. Specifically, we predicted that i) body size varies considerably among wolves in the hybrid zone. Furthermore we speculated that ii) overall body size is positively correlated with the proportional C. lupus genomic contribution to each wolf. Study Area We examined the genetic basis of morphological variation in a wolf population in an area of ~10,000 km2, centered around Horwood Lake (N48° 06’, W82° 19’, 295m altitude) near Timmins, Ontario. The area was predominantly industrial forest with an extensive network of secondary and tertiary roads throughout. Forest cover was dominated by white spruce (Picea glauca), trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides), white birch (Betula papyrifera) and jack pine (Pinus banksiana) in well-drained upland sites, and balsam fir (Abies balsamea), black spruce (Picea mariana), and eastern white cedar (Thuja occidentalis) in lowland sites. Topography ranged from flat to rolling hills, and lakes, rivers, and wetlands were abundant throughout. 10 Moose were the primary ungulate prey of wolves and occurred throughout the study area, although moose densities were relatively low (~0.13 moose/km2, Bisset and McLaren 1999). Beaver were common throughout the study area whereas white-tailed deer were rare (P. Davis, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources, personal communication). Methods Capture and Data We captured and radiocollared 58 wolves using steel foot-hold traps (No. 7 ezgrip, Livestock Protection Co., Alpine, TX., U.S.A.) between July and November 2005 and 2006, and aerial net gunning from rotary-winged aircraft (Bighorn Helicopters, Calgary, AB) during January 2006. Trapped wolves were chemically immobilized with an intramuscular injection of Telazol® (Fort Dodge Laboratories, Inc., Fort Dodge, IA)Xylazine mixture whereas net-gunned wolves were physically restrained without chemical immobilization. We equipped wolves with VHF or downloadable and/or Argosequipped GPS collars (4400M; Lotek Engineering, Newmarket, ON, Canada). Morphological measurements (body weight, shoulder height, chest girth, and ground clearance; Appendix A), and blood and hair samples for genetic analysis were collected from each animal. Number of wolves per pack was determined from visual sightings during telemetry flights, aerial track surveys, and from track counts during frequent backtracking in winter. Estimates were supplemented by analysis of genetic samples collected at the time of capture and during frequent snow tracking within known pack territories, to 11 identify unique individuals and to determine genetic ancestry of individuals in each pack (see below). We opportunistically collected scat, urine, and blood spots encountered along roads and travel routes, along with bed hair and estrous blood spots found at resting and kill sites discovered during winter tracking. Samples were collected and stored following standard methodology (Scandura 2005, McKelvey et al. 2006). Samples were triaged prior to lab analysis to exclude those that may have been contaminated, contained DNA from >1 wolf, or when pack membership was uncertain. Data Analysis DNA was extracted using a DNeasy Blood and Tissue Kit (Qiagen Inc., Mississauga, ON). Amplification of eight microsatellite loci was attempted for each sample (Wilson et al. 2000) and microsatellite alleles were scored in Genemarker (v1.7, SoftGenetics LLC, State College, PA) and unique genotypes were obtained for 96 samples at 6 to 8 loci. Approximately 39% of the samples (n = 37) were from low template DNA sources (i.e. scat or hair) and low-amplifying homozygous allele scores were confirmed where possible to reduce potential scoring errors arising from allelic dropout. Genotyping error was assumed to be low overall since most samples were from high template DNA sources (i.e. blood and tissue) and suspect allele scores were checked by repeat amplification. Additional samples (Wheeldon 2009, n = 251) genotyped at the same eight loci were included in the genetic analyses to place our results into proper context: we included C. lupus-lycaon hybrids from northwestern Ontario (n = 81) and northeastern Ontario (n = 64; Appendix I); primarily C. lycaon from Algonquin Provincial Park (n = 54) (L. 12 Rutledge, unpublished data); eastern coyotes (C. latrans lycaon) from the Frontenac Axis ( n = 52; Figure 2.1). The microsatellite genotype data from all 347 canids was analyzed using the program STRUCTURE (v2.2, Pritchard et al. 2000), using previously described methods (Wheeldon 2009). Based on quantitative criteria (LnP[D] from Pritchard et al. 2000; delta K from Evanno et al. 2005) the number of populations K was determined to be three. In addition, a non-model based Factorial Correspondence Analysis (FCA) was used on microsatellite data using GENETIX (v4.05, Belkhir et al. 2004). Two factorial components FC-1 and FC-2, which account for 7.32% and 3.68% of the total inertia respectively, were plotted to visualize relative clustering of the study region animals relative to those from the surrounding sampling locations. We assumed body weight to be a valid representation of body size (MacNaulty et al. 2009). We therefore used body weight measurements from 44 adult wolves captured during the study to index body size (MacNaulty et al. 2009; Appendix B). Our primary objective was to identify genetic differences among wolves and examine how these relate to overall body size. Accordingly, we used linear least squares regressions on dependent variables represented by the body weight for each wolf versus the proportional C. lupus admixture assignment from the STRUCTURE analysis of each wolf and on the Factorial Correspondence scores corresponding to C. Lupus admixture (FC-1) from the FCA analysis of microsatellite data (Zar 1996). 13 Results Six mtDNA haplotypes were observed in the study region: 4 were C. lycaon in origin (n = 31) and 2 were C. lupus (n = 64). Haplotypes C22 (n = 46) and C23 (n = 18) are of C. lupus origin and haplotypes C1 (n = 10) and C13 (n = 4) are of C. lycaon origin (Wilson et al. 2000; Wheeldon and White 2009). Haplotypes C9 (n = 7) and C14 (n = 10) are of C. latrans origin, although they occur throughout the range of lycaon/latrans hybridization and may be derived from C. lycaon in the study region. Based on pack size estimates obtained throughout the observation period and the number of unique genetically-identified wolves in each pack, we believe that 100% of wolves in 9 packs and 86% of wolves in 2 packs were sampled genetically. These combined methods yielded a median early winter pack size of 5 wolves (range 2-8) for the 11 GPS-monitored packs. The analysis of microsatellite genotypes in STRUCTURE revealed three genetic clusters corresponding to eastern coyotes or C. lupus-lycaon hybrids (Figure 2.2). Most wolves in the study area were genetically similar and had high ancestry assignment to the group of C. lupus-lycaon hybrids from northern Ontario, with the exception of one animal with high ancestry assignment to the eastern coyote group and two animals with high ancestry assignment to the eastern wolf cluster (Figure 2.2). The results of the FCA (Figure 2.3) were congruent with findings from STRUCTURE, revealing three groups (Figure 2.2). On average, we measured 1.8 (range 1-4) wolves/pack (n = 43) and recorded body weights for 51% of the wolves in each pack (Appendix B). Twenty-seven (63%) wolves that we weighed occupied packs with winter size estimates. We were unable to relate 14 body size to the genetic assignment of C. lupus because all but 3 animals were highly assigned to the C. lupus-lycaon hybrid group (see above, Figure 2.2). Specifically, we found no relationship between body size and the proportional assignment of each pack to the C. lupus-lycaon group (R2 = 0.02, p = 0.44) or the FC-1 scores (R2 = 0.02, p = 0.17). Discussion Our results indicate that body size variation among wolves in our study could not be explained by our genetic characterization of the population. The apparent size difference between C. lupus and C. lycaon led us to predict a positive relationship between body size and proportional C. lupus admixture. However, we found our study area to be occupied predominantly by C. lycaon-lupus hybrids that had poor assignment to groups representing putatively pure C. lupus or C. lycaon populations. Although the apparent size difference between C. lupus and C. lycaon suggests hybridization may contribute to the size variations we observed, our results do not support this contention. Although we acknowledge the limitations of using only 8 microsatellite loci to detect genetic co-variation with quantitative traits, a sub-sample of wolves analyzed at 12 loci (n = 65) had similar ancestral assignment to those measured at 8 loci (J. Holloway, unpublished data) and 8 markers have been found sufficient to identify hybridization at coarse resolutions (Boeklen and Howard 1997). Of greater significance is that our genetic assignment was based on markers assumed to be selectively neutral (Jarne and Lagoda 1996), and these tend to be poor indicators of selection (McKay and Latta 2002). Despite no detectible correlation between morphology and the genetic markers we assessed, we speculate that the hybrid nature of the genetic composition reflects a greater diversity of morphological traits than would occur in pure C. lupus or C. lycaon 15 populations. Introgression from parental populations may introduce new alleles that can increase genetic and phenotypic diversity in a hybrid swarm faster than would be expected by mutation (Arnold 1992), such that individuals in a hybrid swarm become introgressed to various degrees and may not reflect the morphology of their parental populations (Allendorf et al. 2001). Given the hybrid nature of our population, genetic divergence between parental populations due to local adaptation or genetic drift is the most parsimonious explanation for the morphological variation we observed. Although we predicted selection for large body size in our system (Van Valkenburgh 2007, Van Valkenburgh et al. 2004), we did not test metrics of fitness to demonstrate body size has affects fitness. Constrained foraging behaviors should presumably lead to poor body condition and/or risky foraging behaviors that translate into poor fitness. If body size is an indication of fitness in our system, then this should correspond to low survival and/or fecundity rates. A closer examination of these aspects may reveal the degree to which prey populations actually influence genetic variation and the practicality of managing prey populations to promote a desired phenotype. 16 Figure 2.1. Distribution of Canid genetic samples used in STRUCTURE analysis from Ontario, Canada. 17 Frontenac Axis Algonquin Park Northeast Ontario (Present Study) Northeast Ontario Northwest Ontario Figure 2.2. Plot of individual proportional memberships of Canis in Ontario, Canada to populations inferred by STRUCTURE under F-model (K=3). 18 1.5 NWON (red) NEON (blue) 1 This Study (black) FC2 (3.44%) 0.5 ALG (green) FRAX (yellow) 0 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 -0.5 -1 -1.5 FC1 (7.26%) Figure 2.3. Factorial correspondence analysis of microsatellite loci for Canis sample groups from northwest Ontario (NWON), northeast Ontario (NEON), this study, Algonquin Provincial Park (ALG), and the Frontenac Axis (FRAX). 19 Chapter 3: Body Size and its Effect on Resource Use in a Hybrid Wolf Population Introduction Morphological characteristics associated with body size can constrain a predator’s ability to pursue, attack, and subdue large prey (Gittleman 1985, MacNulty et al. 2009). Moreover, intense competition among carnivores may lead to selection for large-body size as larger individuals tend to dominate and kill smaller competitors (Palomeres and Caro 1999). It is not surprising then that large body size is particularly advantageous for carnivores as it can lead to the acquisition of more profitable prey and greater diet diversification (Gittleman 1985, Radloff and Du Toit 2004). If such an advantage increases fitness, then it may contribute to the general trend for animal body size to increase with time (Cope’s rule; Alroy 1998). Because this trend seems to have occurred several times in North American Canids during the past 50 million years (VanValkenburgh et al. 2004, Finarelli 2007), prey body size may be a significant selective force, increasing body size in carnivores (Gittleman 1985, VanValkenburgh et al. 2004). Although ecological theory predicts selection for large bodied predators where large prey predominate (Van Valkenburgh et al. 2004, Van Valkenburgh 2007), this relationship may be confounded by cooperative and learned hunting behaviors of social carnivores like wolves (Canis sp.; Mech 1970). Specifically, the abilities of large or experienced pack members may facilitate food acquisition by smaller, less capable pack members (Stander 1992). However, this advantage may be limited under 2 conditions: i) if prey diversity is limited and the predator:prey body size ratio is large small, such as in wolf-moose systems common to the northern boreal forests of North America, or ii) if 20 variation in body size is high and unequal among packs, with some being comprised primarily of relatively small individuals. In such cases, packs composed of the smallest wolves may be the most food-stressed, or at least exhibit lower foraging rates, particularly as the availability of young and disadvantaged prey decreases (Vucetich and Peterson 2004). Packs with larger-bodied members may maintain a more consistent food intake rate regardless of fluctuations in prey abundance because they are presumably more capable of subduing prime-aged and healthy members of the prey population (MacNulty et al. 2009). Accordingly, behavioral differences related to body size of pack members should be apparent, particularly in areas where pack sizes tend to be small. Eastern wolves are small and morphologically distinct from their western and northern counterparts (Nowak 2003); this trait likely reflects species adaptation to preying upon white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus), their primary prey (Schmitz and Kolenosky 1985). Surprisingly, across their current core range eastern wolves can prey extensively upon moose, although their kill rates are lower than in areas occupied by grey wolves (Voigt et al. 1976, Messier and Crete 1985, Forbes and Theberge 1995). Recent studies suggest that introgression of genetic material from gray wolves into the eastern wolf population has occurred (Wilson et al. 2000, Grewal et al. 2004), leading to the logical inference that eastern wolf body size may have increased subsequent to this hybridization, thereby leading to increased ability to prey upon moose (MacNulty et al. 2009, Radloff and Du Toit 2004). Not surprisingly then, where deer give way to moose at the northern extent of their distribution in northeastern North America, a hybrid zone seems to exist between eastern and gray wolves (Kolenosky and Standfield 1975, Wilson et al. 2000, Wheeldon 2009). The distribution of wolf genotypes in the eastern Great 21 Lakes region and field observations support this idea; with some animals being more representative of relatively small bodied eastern wolves, and some resembling the larger bodied gray wolves. This size variation affords a unique opportunity to examine the influence of body size on ecological aspects of predatory behavior. Apart from predatorprey size correlations made across taxa (Carbone et al. 1999, Cohen et al. 1993, Gittleman 1985, Owen-Smith and Mills 2008, Radloff and Du Toit 2004, Vezina 1985) and between genders (Erlinge 1979, Sand et al. 2006, Brecko et al. 2008), the extent to which variation in individual body size influences predatory behavior has received little attention. Here we use morphometric analysis and bioenergetic and habitat models, in conjunction with data on prey selection to evaluate the hypothesis that large body size facilitates the use of i) large prey and ii) encourages use of habitats that facilitate acquisition of large prey. Foraging rates have been attributed to metabolic demands (Williams et al. 2004), but may also be attributed to size-related variation in predation efficiency. To determine the relative importance of each factor, we compared the relationship of prey intake of individual wolf packs with their estimated caloric demands and average body size. We then evaluated the habitat packs used to hunt with respect to body size and examined the results in the context of landscape features known to facilitate moose predation. We predicted that predation rates on moose would be greater for large-bodied wolf packs. Furthermore, we predicted large-bodied packs would use habitat features that optimized moose predation in greater proportion than small-bodied packs which presumably foraged more on alternative prey. We tested these predictions using wolf packs in an area containing a hybrid swarm of gray wolf eastern wolf 22 hybrids, where prey availability was more limited than in other areas in core wolf range (Bisset and McLaren 1999, Mech and Peterson 2003), the primary prey size was large, and average body size varied greatly among packs. Thus, the challenges to small-bodied animals could be substantial. Study Area Our study area was ~10,000 km2, centered on Horwood Lake (N48° 06’, W82° 19’, 295m altitude) near Timmins, Ontario. The study area boundary was defined by the distribution of 15 wolf pack territories that were monitored via telemetry. The area was predominantly industrial forest with an extensive network of secondary and tertiary roads throughout. Forest cover was dominated by white spruce (Picea glauca), trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides), white birch (Betula papyrifera) and jack pine (Pinus banksiana) in well-drained upland sites, and balsam fir (Abies balsamea), black spruce (Picea mariana), and eastern white cedar (Thuja occidentalis) in lowland sites. Topography ranged from flat to rolling hills, and lakes, rivers, and wetlands were abundant throughout. Moose were the primary ungulate prey of wolves and occurred throughout the study area, although their densities were relatively low (~0.13 moose/km2, Bisset and McLaren 1999). Beaver were common throughout the study area whereas white-tailed deer were rare (P. Davis, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources, personal communication). 23 Methods Capture and Radiotelemetry Wolves were captured and radiocollared as described in Chapter 2. GPS collars were programmed to record wolf locations every 1.5 hrs from November 1 - April 15 each year, and every 6 hours during the remainder of the year. Throughout the study we sought to maintain on air one GPS and at least 2 VHF collars in each of 10-12 packs. Because wolves tend to travel in packs especially during winter (Mech 1970), and given the typically small pack sizes in our study area (median = 5, range 2-8; Chapter 2), we assumed location data from individuals were representative of broad-scale movement patterns in the pack. During September 2005-June 2007, we retrieved via fixed-wing aircraft, wolf GPS locations from some collars, whereas those from Argos-equipped collars were downloaded automatically every 48 hrs. Overall, GPS collars collected 19,208 locations from 11 wolves (or pack-units) (range = 510-2766, SE = 60) over an average of 130 monitoring days (range 50-165, SE = 4). We did not consider habitatinduced GPS bias and error because they were minimal in similar habitat (A. Maxie and M. Obbard, unpublished data) and because of our coarse assessment of habitat types. Pack sizes were estimated from previously described methods (Chapter 2). Morphology and Kill Rates Wolf body weight was used as an index of body size (see Chapter 2) and related to kill rates and patterns of resource use. Winter location clusters for GPS-collared wolves were searched to determine prey killing and scavenging patterns. Potential kill sites were identified as sites where wolves spent ≥7.5 consecutive hours within a 200m radius. Webb et al. (2008) identified 90-100% of all large prey using similar criteria. In 24 addition, we qualitatively assessed movement patterns between wolf locations to identify additional clusters that wolves frequently visited but failed to meet our kill site criteria (n = 61). Clusters were visited between 0.5-8 months after occurrence and evidence of predation were identified and any prey remains were recovered. Moose remains often were evident ≥ 2 years after the time of predation, but wolves often consumed entire beaver carcasses in one sitting so evidence of beaver predation was scant regardless of the elapsed time between the predation event and our site visit (J. Holloway personal observation). Foraging rates were calculated for each pack as the number of moose kills/day/wolf and as a consumption rate calculated as killed biomass/day/wolf (Hayes et al. 2000, Hebblewhite et al. 2003), where the number of monitoring days was 165 (November 1 - April 15) or until monitoring ceased (i.e. wolf mortality or collar malfunction). Biomass was calculated from published average prey mass for moose (bulls = 483kg, cows = 440kg, and yearlings, calves and unknown = 250kg; Quinn and Aho 1989), black bear (Ursus americanus; sub-adults/adults = 65 kg; M. Obbard unpublished data), and deer (yearlings/adults = 88kg; Kolenosky 1972). When the skull could not be located, yearling and calf moose remains were often indistinguishable but assumed to be yearlings/calves. We assumed consumption rates of 0.75 for killed moose and 0.90 for killed deer and bears (Messier and Crete 1985, Hebblewhite et al. 2003). Landscape Attributes We selected for our investigation landscape features known to influence moose habitat selection and predator-prey dynamics (Thompson and Vukelich 1981, Peek 1998, Kunkel and Pletscher 2000, Dussault et al. 2005, 2006, Hebblewhite et al. 2005, Bergman 25 et al. 2006). These landscape features included forest cover type by age (mixed-hardwood 10 years old, mixed-hardwood 11-49 years old, mixed-hardwood ≥ 50 years old, conifer < 30 years old, conifer > 30 years old, water), distance to roads and water, moose density, contrast-weighted edge density, and a beaver hunting habitat probability layer (see Table 3.1 for definitions of each landscape feature). The beaver hunting probability layer was generated from a resource selection probability function (RSPF; Manly et al. 2002) constructed using landscape features measured at known beaver hunting/killing sites identified from GPS-clusters (see Appendix C for complete details). The size and distribution of these features were measured in ArcGIS 9.2 (ESRI, Redlands, CA, USA) at a 30m resolution. We used Ontario Forest Resource Inventory maps (FRI; OMNR 2005) to classify forest cover types in the study area. Land cover was updated based on forest harvesting and silvicultural activities to reflect accurate stand ages (~100% accuracy), and cover type classification was validated at >74% accuracy (Chen and Vasiliauskas, unpublished data). Relative moose density was estimated following McKenney et al. (1998) using aerial moose survey data from 2000 to 2005 (R. Rempel, unpublished data). Distance to roads and water were calculated from the FRI and Natural Resources and Values Information System (OMNR 2002). Contrast weights for the contrast weighted edge density layer (Table 3.1) were assigned hierarchically (Table 3.2), giving highest weights to edge types determined most valuable to moose (Dussault et al. 2005). The layer was then calculated in FragStats using a moving analysis window of 400m because moose rarely venture more than 200m from cover in this region (OMNR 1988; see McGarigal and Marks 1995 for calculation formula). All layers were measured at a 30m2 resolution. 26 Landscape attributes were screened for collinearity using tolerance scores (Menard 2002) which led to the exclusion of distance to water and water from the final wolf habitat models due to correlation with the beaver hunting probability layer. Categorical habitat variables were entered into models using dummy variable codes. Resource Utilization Models We used resource utilization functions to relate landscape attributes to the utilization distribution (UD) of each pack (Marzluff et al. 2004). Utilization distributions were estimated with the fixed kernel density estimator implemented in Home Range Tools (Rodgers et al. 2007). We used the plug-in approach for bandwidth selection (Wand and Jones 1995), and calculated kernels to the 100% isopleth to reduce subjectivity in defining resource availability (Marzluff et al. 2004). We built UD grids from GPS locations collected between November 1 and December 31, in 2005 and 2006 (7,637 locations, range = 221-936, SE = 60; average monitoring days = 58, range = 36-61, SE = 2) and a fix acquisition rate of 78% (range 3796%). One collar (T17, Kamiskotia pack) had low fix acquisition success because of battery failure, but fix success was not considered habitat-biased. All packs were consistently monitored during this time, and the short time period under consideration reduced potential bias associated with shifting habitat preferences over time. Telemetry locations associated with large food sources (ungulate kills, landfills, and trapper bait sites) were filtered from the data set so that locations associated with food handling time would not be reflected in the UDs. Filtered GPS locations were defined as any 2 chronologically consecutive points within a 1 km buffer of a known food source, beginning when the pack first visited the food source. We censored an average of 32% of 27 the original dataset for each pack (range 8-46%, SE = 3%). The remaining sample size was sufficient to meet minimum requirements for kernel density estimation (mean = 468 locations/pack, range 176-635; Seaman et al. 1999). We intersected individual UD grids with the landscape attribute layers within ArcGIS and then used the gam function from the mgcv package in program R to conduct the resource utilization analysis (Wood 2006). The height of the UD at each location (grid cell) is the response variable regressed against the corresponding resource attributes for each 30m 30m pixel in a pack’s home range (Marzluff et al. 2004). The gam function accounts for the spatial auto-correlation induced by kernel smoothing by using spatial location (x and y coordinates) as a predictor variable and a non-parametric smoothing function to describe the effect of location (Preisler et al. 1997, Wood 2006). The un-standardized regression coefficients are necessary to predict population level resource utilization across species distribution (Marzluff et al. 2004). Because scales of measurement may differ among resources, coefficients must be standardized to allow comparisons of the relative influence of resources on space use. Accordingly, we used the standardized RUF coefficients following Marzluff et al. (2004) to compare relative importance of habitat attributes among packs. Because our objective was to compare habitat use among packs, we used a constrained model selection approach to select a constant set of independent covariates to compare across models. We first built a candidate set of hypothesized models (Appendix D) for each pack and ranked each model using AIC weights (Burnham and Anderson 2002). After first rescaling AIC values we averaged AIC weights for each covariate and 28 ranked each in order of importance. From this ranked set we chose covariates within 0.10 of the highest ranked weight to use in our RUF models (Burnham and Anderson 2002). Morphological, Predation, and Habitat Use Correlates We predicted that foraging rates would vary with pack morphology because body size should positively correlate with killing and consumption rates. All variables met assumptions of normality (all Shapiro-Wilk tests p > 0.15; Zar 1996) and parametric and non-parametric tests provided qualitatively similar results (J. Holloway unpublished data). Nonetheless, visual inspections of distributions and the small sample size made assumptions of normality suspect. We therefore chose to use non-parametric statistical tests. Specifically, we used Kendall’s partial rank correlation coefficient (Txy*z; Siegel and Castellan 1988) to examine the relative influence of average pack body size and pack size on moose killing and biomass consumption rates. Although we hypothesized that predation rates should be a function of pack body size, pack size is also known to influence predation rates. Kendall’s partial rank correlation tested the relationship between the dependent variable (average pack body size) with one independent variable (body size or pack size) while controlling for the effect of another covariate (Siegel and Castellan 1988). Because foraging rates are also associated with metabolic demands (Williams et al. 2004), we estimated the average daily food requirements (kg of biomass) for each wolf/pack based on the average body mass of measured animals in each pack (appendix I). The basal metabolic rate (BMR) for a fasting and resting animal is a function of body mass W and measured in kJ/day by the equation: BMR = 91.8W 0.813 * 4.18 29 (McNabb1988). The required kg of biomass/day is given by: (BMR * 5) / 7700 which assumes 5 times the BMR for active wolves (Peterson and Ciucci 2003) and the average energy content of prey to be 7700 kJ/kg (Glowacinski and Profus 1997). To discern whether foraging rates were a function of size-related predation abilities or of caloric requirements, we compared the relationship between consumption rates and estimated average daily food requirements to the average pack body size. Because we hypothesized small-bodied wolves would be inefficient moose predators, the ratio of consumed moose biomass to average daily food requirements was expected to approach 1 as the average pack body size increased. Accordingly, we entered the consumed moose biomass:average daily food requirement ratio as the independent variable in a least squares regression against pack body size. We conducted analyses at the pack level (i.e. average pack body size) rather than individually because i) predation on large animals such as moose is often done cooperatively by adult pack members (Mech 1970), ii) wolf capture was generally biased towards mature adults, but iii) the largest bodied pack member was not always captured. Attributes in the RUF were selected based on their assumed importance to moose habitat selection and wolf predation behavior. Consequently, coefficients can be viewed as independent measures of habitat use as it relates to wolf foraging behavior. To examine the influence of body size on habitat use, we used Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient (rs) (Zar 1999) to compare the standardized RUF coefficient estimates to the average pack body size. Although we hypothesized body size influences habitat use within territories, habitat availability may also influence habitat selection. Therefore, we 30 explored the influence of resources on habitat use by comparing availability of landscape attributes in each pack’s territory to the standardized RUF coefficient of each attribute also using Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient (Zar 1996). For both tests we applied to the Bonferroni adjustment for multiple correlations. Results Predation We field-searched 628 GPS location clusters and identified remains of 68 moose, 3 black bears (Ursus americanus), and 1 deer that were either killed (81%) or scavenged (19%) by wolves. We noted frequent use of landfills and trapper baits by some packs, although we could not measure biomass consumption at these sites (J. Holloway, unpublished data). We estimated that wolf packs killed 0.002-0.015 moose/wolf/day (mean = 0.008) and consumed 0.3-5.1 kg of killed biomass/wolf/day (mean = 2.5 kg). Moose consumption (Txz*y = 0.53, p = 0.03) and killing rates (Txz*y = 0.45, p = 0.06) increased with body size while controlling for pack size. Pack size while controlling for body size was not related to consumption (Txz*y = -0.06, p = 0.81) or killing rates (Txz*y = 0.20, p = 0.42). We explored the influence of mass dependent energy requirements on foraging rates by examining the relationship between pack body size with the consumed moose biomass and the estimated biomass requirements for each pack to. The ratio of consumed moose biomass:required biomass, was only marginally significant with pack body size (average body weight/pack; p = 0.010, Figure 3.1), indicating that moose predation is only marginally important to meeting the caloric requirements as pack body size increases. 31 Habitat Use One wolf pack (Oswald 06) spent ≥ 32% of its time at scavenging sites and followed direct routes along roads to revisit them ~ every 7-10 days. This pack only killed 1 moose and concentrated most of its beaver hunting activities in close proximity to scavenging sites. We censored this pack from subsequent analyses. For the remaining 10 packs, all 9 covariates were retained in the top ranking RUF models (Table 3.3, Appendix D). We therefore used the global model to derive RUF coefficients (Table 3.4) to compare habitat use among packs (Appendix D). Overall, larger pack body size was positively associated with high density of high contrast edge (rs = 0.75, p = 0.01; Table 3.5). Examination of resource availability in each pack’s home range (Table 3.6) revealed that availability of high contrast edge (the average density [m/ha] of contrast-weighted edge/home range) had a negative association with the use of high density high contrast edge (rs = -0.76, p = 0.01), indicating opposing directions of utilization between scales. In other words, the observed trend suggests that as pack body size increases, use of high contrast edge within the home range also increases but the amount of high contrast edge within each home range decreases. Discussion By examining the ecological effect of body size, we not only were able to show that wolf packs exhibiting eastern wolf phenotypes exhibit lower moose predation rates, but also that prey body size might constrain the extent and direction of hybridization among Canis species. The positive effect of body size on foraging rates was partially consistent with our predictions. Moose consumption increased with body size, but only marginally greater than would be predicted by metabolism alone. Although ecological 32 theory suggests large-bodied wolves should be more effective predators (e.g. Gittleman 1985, MacNaulty et al. 2009), our data suggests wolves are consuming moose at a rate consistent with metabolic needs regardless of size. However our results also extend the morphological relationship of the wolf-prey system to patterns of habitat use. Large wolves made greater use of high contrast edge which may increase moose vulnerability within their territories. The same wolves, however, appeared to tradeoff access to vulnerable moose by occupying territories with low human access. Although habitat use by small wolves did not relate to landscape features specifically linked to their foraging behavior the gradient of habitat use across body size generally reflects increasing use of moose resources. Foraging Behavior Per capita consumption rates of predators are dictated by energy demands and quality of prey. It is seems reasonable to assume then that wolves kill moose at a rate sufficient to meet metabolic and reproductive requirements. Our results were consistent with this notion and suggest predatory abilities across our study population are only marginally correlated with body size. Wolves readily use small prey (Peterson and Ciucci 2003), and all packs preyed on beaver despite our finding no relationship between body size and time spent in high quality beaver hunting habitat. Because beaver are an important alternative prey (Shelton and Peterson 1983) and were widely distributed throughout our study area, wolves may frequently hunt beaver regardless of body size or territory location. Nonetheless, energetic costs of predation are not offset by the caloric value of small prey for predators weighing ≥ 21kg (Carbone et al. 1999). Consequently, most extant carnivores weighing above this threshold forage on prey as large as or larger 33 than themselves (Carbone et al. 1999). Overall, the inability to meet energy requirements from moose predation may lead to alternative foraging strategies, such as scavenging at anthropogenic sites and in neighboring territories, which are inherently risky and may have negative fitness effects (Messier 1985, Forbes and Theberge 1995). Messier (1987) suggested that where moose are the primary large prey, wolves become nutritionally stressed below densities of 0.2 moose/km2. Moose densities in our study area were low relative to other areas where wolf predation has been studied (0.13 moose/km2; Bisset and McLaren 1999, Eberhardt et al. 2003). Consequently, the relationship we observed between body size and predation may also reflect growth suppression from nutritional stress. However, we are cautious in this interpretation as we found greater sex-specific size differences than Messier (1987; Table 3.7) and putatively pure eastern wolves are known to readily use moose at higher moose densities (Loveless 2009). We therefore suggest that genetic ancestry likely made a significant contribution to the size variations we observed (Sutter et al. 2007). Habitat Use Our comparison of habitat use among packs resulted in 2 striking patterns: coarse scale avoidance of features associated with humans and fine scale use of features associated with moose vulnerability. Overall, RUF analysis indicates that within their territories, large wolves use areas with high contrast edge but occupied territories with low densities of high contrast edge. We interpret this opposing direction of use between scales as wolves choosing territories with minimal human access which typically occur in younger cuts where edge-contrast is highest. Hunting efficiency is then maximized within their territory by using areas where edge contrast is high and moose are more abundant 34 and/or vulnerable (Bergman et al. 2006, Kunkel and Pletscher 2000). Rettie and Messier (2000) suggested this pattern of use is characteristic of animals selecting habitats at coarse scales to avoid factors that most limit individual fitness, with less important limiting factors influencing selection at finer scales. Human-caused wolf mortality was significant in our study area, particularly in winter (J. Holloway, unpublished data). Although mortality risk is presumed to increase with road density (Mech et al. 1988, Mladenoff et al. 1995), we found no correlation between the average distance from roads in each home range and habitat use within the home range. Extensive road networks existed throughout all of the pack territories we examined but many were largely overgrown and inaccessible to humans. Human access is probably greatest where edge contrast is high due to the construction and maintenance of roads associated with recent logging activities and the source of most of the edge within our study area. Therefore, high contrast edge likely reflects human access and increased mortality risk in our data set and was a feature wolves avoided at coarse scales. Management Implications Eastern wolves are listed as a species of special concern in Canada (COSEWIC 2006) and Ontario (OMNR 2005) and pose unique challenges to conservationists. Their ability to hybridize with gray wolves and coyotes (Wheeldon 2009, Wilson et al. 2009) makes distribution and density estimations problematic and even complicates the clear definition of just what (and where) an eastern wolf is (e.g. Allendorf et al. 2001). Given their small body size, the size, vulnerability, and density of prey may be significant factors in determining geographic limits of eastern wolf phenotypes. 35 Although morphological variation was not clearly linked to the neutral markers we assessed (see Chapter 2), the size differentiation between the putatively pure Algonquin eastern wolf and our study animals is clear (Figure 3.2, Patterson et al. unpublished data). We found variable foraging behavior was closely associated with body size, suggesting the distribution of smaller wolf phenotypes may be influenced by the availability of small (i.e. deer; Forbes and Theberge 1995, Wilson et al. 2000) and/or vulnerable large prey (Vucetich and Peterson 2002). Nonetheless, “small” wolves were present in our study population and persist north of continuous deer range. This may reflect subsidization through cooperative hunting in packs with some large members and/or high rates of immigration from small bodied populations. Conversely, smallbodied wolves may be marginally capable of meeting caloric requirements through moose predation as any size related constraint on predatory abilities may be small. Regardless, the range of weight variation observed in our study is within ranges observed in other North American wolf populations (Table 3.7, Figure 3.3). Even if the size variation we observed results from hybridization, wolves in general may be sufficiently adapted to meeting caloric requirements across a wide range of body sizes. Despite apparent mechanisms that allow small-bodied phenotypes to persist where moose predominate, they may be at a competitive disadvantage to larger-bodied individuals (MacNaulty et al. 2009). Whether habitat and prey populations can be manipulated to propagate a desired phenotype remains to be tested. Mild winters or forestry manipulations that create favorable conditions for deer may promote smaller eastern wolf phenotypes, but the degree to which larger phenotypes may be excluded by increased human-related mortality resulting from increased road densities/access remains 36 unknown. Likewise, management actions that increase moose densities may promote larger gray wolf phenotypes, but likely not exclusively where human-related mortality is high. 37 Table 3.1. Definitions of land cover and landscape attributes used to describe habitat use and a predictive beaver hunting layer for 11 wolf packs in northeastern Ontario. Veg describes vegetative land cover, metrics describe landscape metrics, and prey describes landscape attributes related to the abundance and hunting of prey. Term Description A) Veg Mixed-hardwood 10 yrs old Hardwood dominated stands and mixed hardwood/softwood stands between 0-20 years old. Mixed-hardwood 11-49 yrs old Hardwood dominated stands and mixed hardwood/softwood stands between 21-50 years old. Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50 yrs old Hardwood dominated stands and mixed hardwood/softwood stands >50 years old. Conifer 30 yrs old Upland and lowland conifer stands ≤30 old. Conifer > 30 yrs old Upland and lowland conifer stands >30 years old. Water Water (streams, rivers, ponds, lakes). B) Metrics Distance to water Distance to Road Contrast weighted edge density C) Prey Beaver hunting Moose Density Distance from nearest water source (streams, rivers, ponds, lakes). Distance to the nearest road. The sum of each edge (interface between cover types) segment, multiplied by a contrast weight, and divided by the landscape area (400m2 window). Values are scaled to m/ha. Resource selection probability function predicting habitats where wolves hunt beavers. The layer is estimated with logistic regression comparing a sample of beaver hunting and killing locations throughout the study area to 1000 random locations, and then relating them to land cover and landscape attributes. See Appendix C for full description. Relative moose density derived from a spatially explicit model (McKenney et al. 1998). 38 Table 3.2. Contrast weight matrix for the contrast weighted edge density layer of land cover types in northwestern Ontario. Weights reflect a quantity of edge (m/ha) that is sensitive to the interface of mature and young stands of cover that provide high juxtaposition of cover and food beneficial for moose. MixedMixedhardwood < Mixed-hardwood hardwood ≥ 50 Conifer < 30 Conifer > 30 10 yrs old 11-49 yrs old yrs old yrs old yrs old Water Mixed0 hardwood < 10 yrs old Mixed0.25 0 hardwood 1149 yrs old Mixed0.5 0.25 0 hardwood ≥ 50 yrs old Conifer < 30 0.5 0.1 0.75 0 yrs old Conifer > 30 yrs old 1 0.25 0.1 0.1 0 Water 0 0.1 0.25 0.01 0.25 0 39 Table 3.3. Akaike weights (ωi) for resource utilization covariates in each pack. Shown is the average weight across all packs and whether it is within 10% of the top ranked weight. Oswald 05 Coppell IVP Kenogaming Kamiskotia Delahey Biggs Wakami Mattagami Mariana Average ωi ≥ωi-10% Beaver hunting 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.2 0.18 0.25 0.25 0.21 0.19 0.25 0.23 Y Moose density 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.2 0.18 0.25 0.25 0.21 0.19 0.25 0.23 Y Distance to road 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.14 0.15 0.25 0.25 0.19 0.16 0.25 0.21 Y Mixedhardwood <10 yrs old 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.2 0.17 0.25 0.25 0.14 0.15 0.25 0.22 Y Mixedhardwood 11-49 yrs old 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.2 0.17 0.25 0.25 0.14 0.15 0.25 0.22 Y Mixedhardwood ≥ 50 yrs old 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.2 0.17 0.25 0.25 0.14 0.15 0.25 0.22 Y Conifer Conifer < > 30 yrs 30 yrs old old 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.2 0.2 0.17 0.17 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.25 0.25 0.22 0.22 Y Y Contrast weighted edge density 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.14 0.15 0.25 0.25 0.19 0.16 0.25 0.21 Y 40 Table 3.4. Beta-coefficient estimates for resource utilization covariates in each pack. Pack Biggs Lk Coppell Lk Delahey IVP Kamiskotia Kenogaming Mariana Mattagami Oswald 05 Wakami Beaver Moose hunting density 0.16 0.08 -6.73 1.55 2.05 0.54 0.37 0.60 -2.97 -0.01 -0.08 -0.11 -0.20 -0.45 -0.02 -0.84 1.05 4.58 1.15 -0.53 Distance to road -0.22 0.61 -2.04 -0.05 0.31 0.30 3.91 1.35 -13.20 -0.46 Mixedhardwood 10 yrs old -0.10 6.78 2.62 0.31 1.03 -4.23 4.78 -0.12 -1.68 -0.91 Mixedhardwood 11-49 yrs old 1.07 2.54 -3.42 -1.74 0.25 -8.80 -5.20 0.63 -0.09 -1.12 Mixedhardwood ≥ 50 yrs old 0.16 5.71 0.00 -0.30 0.08 0.06 0.51 0.71 -0.69 -1.14 Conifer < 30 yrs old 0.16 17.43 0.10 -0.08 -0.28 -0.25 -0.58 1.40 2.93 0.76 Conifer > 30 yrs old 0.10 12.28 0.20 -0.45 0.02 -0.06 -0.15 0.45 -1.86 0.96 Contrast weighted edge density -0.80 0.16 -0.83 -0.28 0.18 -0.10 -0.72 -0.66 -5.18 -0.07 41 Table 3.5. Spearman’s rank correlation results for average pack body size (average body weight/pack) versus resource utilization coefficients for 10 wolf pack wintersa within the boreal forest of northeast Ontario. Attribute rs p -0.18 0.63 Mixed-hardwood 10yrs old Mixed-hardwood 11-49yrs old Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50yrs old -0.20 0.58 -0.29 0.42 Conifer 30 yrs old -0.24 0.51 Confer > 30yrs old 0.30 0.39 Distance to roads Contrast weighted edge density Moose density -0.05 0.89 0.75 0.01 -0.21 0.56 Beaver hunting -0.06 0.87 a Oswald 06 was censored from the analysis. See text for details. 42 Table 3.6. The proportion of cover types and average measures of landscape metrics measured in each of 10 wolf territories defined by the 100% contour of the fixed kernel density estimator. Values given with +/- 1 standard error. Conifer > 30 yrs old Minimum Maximum Mean 1 SE 0.13 0.07 0.51 0.29 0.29 0.16 0.04 0.02 Confer 30yrs old Mixed-hardwood 10yrs old 0.02 0.22 0.10 0.02 Mixed-hardwood 11-49yrs old <0.001 0.24 0.06 0.02 Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50yrs old 0.14 0.59 0.36 0.04 -8.0 -5.1 -6.9 0.3 Beaver huntinga Distance to roads (m) 379.5 978.1 719.7 62.9 Contrast weighted edge density (m/ha) 16.1 23.0 19.2 0.6 b Moose density 3.3 5.7 4.5 0.3 a The average value of the predictive beaver hunting RSF described in Appendix I, measured at each 30 X 30m pixel. b Relative moose density measured at each 30 X 30m pixel 43 Table 3.7. The primary available prey, average weights, and standard deviations (SD) from several North American wolf populations. Source Location Male (SD) n Female (SD) n Primary Available Prey Messier 1987 Quebec 27.4 (5.4) 65* 24.2 (5.2) Moose, Deer Patterson et al. unpubl. Algonquin 29.3 (4.2) 43 24.4 (3.5) 44 Moose, Deer Gogen et al. 2004 NC Minnesota 32.7 (4.4) 9 30.8 (3.4) 13 Moose, Deer Forschner 2000 NW Ontario 36.5 (10.3) 11 26.9 (4.8) 11 Moose, Deer Mech 2006 Minnesota 36.8 (3) 30 28.1 (2.3) 25 Deer Fritts and Mech 1981 NW Minnesota 37.1 (4.9) 8 30 (2.9) 13 Moose, Deer This Study NE Ontario (This Study) 37.8 (5.4) 16 27.6 (3.5) 28 Moose Walton, unpubl. NWT 42.3 (5.4) 26 35.6(3.7) 29 Caribou Peterson et al. 1984** Kenai Peninsula, Alaska 43.9 (18.3) 21 34.2 (15.5) 33 Moose, Caribou Ballard et al. 1997b SC Alaska 44.6 (5.2) 50 39.7 (5.3) 28 Moose Ballard et al. 1997a NW Alaska 46.8 (5) 31 42.2 (5.6) 24 Caribou Stuart 2007 Wisconsin 38 (9.4) 146 27.7 (8.9) 146 Deer * Combined male and female ** Standard deviation may be inflated because of significant seasonal weight differences and the inclusion of older pups in sample. 44 Ratio of Consumed Biomass:Estimated Required Biomass 1.2 1 y = 0.04x - 0.66 2 R = 0.28 p = 0.10 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 24.00 29.00 34.00 39.00 Body Size (Average Weight/Pack) Figure 3.1. The relationship between the squared ratio of consumption of killed moose biomass to the metabolic requirements relative to the average pack body size of 11 wolf packs in northeastern Ontario. Consumption was estimated from food sources found during winter GPS cluster searches and metabolic requirements were estimated from the mass dependent metabolic rate of adult wolves in each pack. 45 Figure 3.2. Relative weights (kg), chest girth (cm), shoulder height (cm), and ground clearance (cm) of putatively pure Algonquin-type eastern wolves (ALG; male n = 43; female n = 45) and gray wolf eastern wolf hybrids from northeastern Ontario (NE ON; male n = 16, female n = 28). Data presented as mean +/- 1SE. 46 Figure 3.3 Coefficents of variation for male and female wolf weights from several North American populations (Ballard et al. 1997a, Ballard et al. 1997b, Forschner 2000, Fritts and Mech 1981, Gogen et al. 2004, Mech 2006, Messier 1987, Patterson et al. unpublished data., Peterson et al. 1984, Walton, unpublished data, Stuart, 2007). 47 Chapter 4: General Discussion Overview We studied a Canis population in northeastern Ontario to examine the genetic basis of body size, to explore the influence of body size on moose predation rates, and to relate this to the habitat use of individual packs. In Chapter two we used microsatellite loci to genetically characterize wolf packs with high morphological variability. We found no relationship between the genetic markers we used and morphological variation among packs. The lack of genetic concordance with body size is likely due to the neutral markers we used which tend to be poor indicators of selection. However, we found our population was predominately composed of C. lupus-lycaon hybrids. We further concluded that hybridization was a possible cause of the morphological variation we observed despite our inability to quantify a genetic relationship. In Chapter three, we used morphometric analysis with bioenergetic and habitat models, in conjunction with data on prey selection, to explore the influence of body size on foraging behavior and resource use. We found a strong relationship between foraging rates and body size that was marginally related to metabolic demands. Next, we developed resource use models for each pack to explore the relationship between body size and the use of landscape features associated with moose predation. We found largebodied packs made greater use of resources that increase moose vulnerability at fine scales but had lower use of features associated with human access at coarse scales. We concluded that body size significantly influences the foraging behavior of wolf packs in our study area as they forage on large bodied prey while minimizing human-related mortality. We suggest the smaller eastern wolf phenotype could be limited by the 48 distribution of small and vulnerable prey and management to promote a desired phenotype should consider prey populations and human-related mortality. Our results imply that adaptation to prey size might be a significant factor in the divergence of C. lycaon and C. lupus. Initially, the influence of body size on foraging ecology was not surprising as it corresponded to a priori predictions of predator:prey size and metabolic relationships (Gittleman 1985). We expected, however, that selection for large size would have resulted in greater homogeny of body sizes in our population. The most parsimonious reason for the apparent lack of size selection in our population is that wolves are not overly constrained in their predatory abilities across the size variations we observed. However, wolves are also highly mobile and capable of dispersing long distances (Mech 1987). Immigration from surrounding, and morphologically diverse, populations likely occurs and may outpace any selective effects for large body size detectable at the population level. We are cautious, however, in putting undue emphasis on this interpretation. Any selective advantage afforded by large body size should have a positive affect on fitness. Despite any competitive disadvantage small body size might confer in our study, we could not relate this to direct measures of fitness. Future research should consider this relationship empirically before firm conclusions are drawn about the evolutionary affects of body size in this hybrid population. Furthermore, we acknowledge the low inter-pack size variation we observed in our study and suggest the predator-prey size relationship we sought to test may be more pronounced over larger gradients of body size than we observed. Likewise, an analysis at an individual level within a pack might be more appropriate if exceptionally large individuals in a pack account for higher predation success. The interpretation of our results relies on the notion that morphological 49 constraints occur within our population. However, there is a general paucity of examples that demonstrate size-related predation constraints on an individual basis (but see MacNulty et al. 2009), and suggests predatory abilities vary over larger gradients of body size than typically occur within a taxa or population. If predators have a wide range of available prey sizes, the prey:predator size ratio is small, and/or prey densities are high, then size constraints on the predator may be relaxed as many options exist to meet caloric requirements. Under these conditions, we believe selection for large body size could be a significant feature to the evolution of Canis phenotypes. General Conclusions As issues of taxonomic and molecular classification are slowly being resolved for Canis species in northeastern North America (Kyle et al. 2006), it is becoming increasingly clear that the intermixing of specific and sub-specific genotypes throughout this region is a conservation concern (e.g. Leonard and Wayne 2008). Though it can be argued that hybridization is a natural process of adaptation and wolves should be allowed to adapt to current landscapes (Kyle et al. 2006), current guidelines under the Endangered Species Act in the United States (http://www.fws.gov/le/pdffiles/ESA.doc) and the Committee on the Status of Endangered Wildlife in Canada (COSWIC 2006) do not support such policies (e.g. Murray and Waits 2007). Overall, managers must consider that the entire gene pool for eastern wolves is contained in a continuous metapopulation of interbreeding conspecifics (gray wolves, eastern wolves, and coyotes). If a desired genotype/phenotype is to be maintained, the mechanisms that control genomic responses to environmental conditions must ultimately be understood. 50 This research contributes to our understanding of Canis hybridization by suggesting eastern wolf-like phenotypes (i.e. small body size) may forage less efficiently where moose are the predominant prey species. Although low prey densities in our study area were ideal for testing our hypothesis, they limit the inferences we can make regarding the potential efficiency of eastern wolves as predators of moose at higher moose densities. Accordingly, we recommend replication of our study across a cline of prey densities and diversity. Furthermore, we have shown that behavioral adaptations to landscape attributes are reflective of phenotypic variations, and we suggest that selective pressures in this Canis hybrid zone go beyond characteristics of prey populations. Management for a desired wolf phenotype should consider aspects of prey populations and landscape characteristics that facilitate wolf predation. Specifically, management to promote moose-only prey systems and limit human access would likely favor gray wolf-like phenotypes. It is unclear however, if eastern wolf-like phenotypes would persist exclusive of gray wolf-types in deer dominated systems. 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Pack Biggs LK Biggs LK Black Creek Black Creek Black Creek Black Creek Coppell Lk Coppell Lk Coppell Lk 08 Deep LK Deep LK Delahey Delahey Fortune Lk Fortune Lk Fortune Lk IVP IVP IVP IVP IVP 06 IVP 07 Kamiskotia Kamiskotia Kenogaming Kenogaming Kenogaming 06 Kenogaming 07 Kenogaming 07 Mariana Mattagami Mattagami Mattagami Sex F M F F F M M M Weight (kg) 30 31.5 27.5 29 30 46 35 30 Chest Girth (cm) 69 71 64.5 66 65.5 77 69 65.5 Shoulder Height (cm) 73 76 66 71 74.5 78 75.5 77 Ground Clearance (cm) 39 42 40.5 22.5 43.5 45 42 48 T49 T52 T53 T10 T27 T43 T13 T19 T14 T15 T26 T09 T50 T51 T12 T17 T16 T11 F F M F M F F F F F F M M F F M F M 31 22.5 36.5 30 34.5 32 25 31 34 27 26 39 43 28 25 48 31 45 69.8 61 72.5 70 68 71 61 71 76 82 61 75 72 64 62 86 76 83.5 62 67 80 71 77 83 69 72 60 66 72 76 68 63 72.5 76 75 82.5 37 34.5 43.5 38 43.5 46 44 40 30 32 44.5 40.5 38.5 36.5 38 42 37 44 T38 F 25 68 74 43 T46 M 35 74.5 80.5 41 T58 T35 T23 T24 T25 M F F F F 35 29 27 26 25 70 70 63 65 63 64 75 74 75 73 36 47 43 45.5 43 Wolf ID T31 T28 T21 T22 T47 T48 T06 T08 63 Pack Mattagami North Pack Oates Oswald 05 Oswald 05 Oswald 05 Oswald 06 Oswald 06 Star LK Star LK Wakami Wolf ID T30 T34 T03 T02 T05 T04 T05 T36 Sex M F F F F M F M T20 F T55 F T29 M Average Female (SD) Average Male (SD) Weight (kg) 40 20 29 20.2 23 32 29 36 Chest Girth (cm) 79.5 58.5 66 60.5 59.5 66.5 60 73 Shoulder Height (cm) 85.5 69.5 74 65 66 74.5 66.5 72 Ground Clearance (cm) 50 41.5 39 34 38 42.5 38 40 29.5 30 38 27.5 (3.5) 37.8 (5.4) 67 66 76 66.5 (5.7) 73.7 (5.8) 71 69 82.5 38.5 40.5 45.5 70.5 (5) 39.1 (5.4) 76.6 (5.4) 42.8 (3.4) 64 Table B2. Average weight and standard deviation for 11 wolf packs in northeast Ontario, Canada. Biggs LK Coppell Lk Delahey IVP Kamiskotia Kenogaming Mariana Mattagami Oswald 05 Oswald 06 Wakami Average Weight (kg) 30.8 32.5 32.3 31.5 36.5 38 29 30.5 25.1 29.5 38 SD 1.1 3.5 3.2 6.1 16.3 9.9 0 7 6.2 4.9 0 65 Appendix C Resource Selection Function for the Predictive Beaver Hunting Layer Because we wanted to examine how wolves use the landscape for different foraging behaviors, we used a resource selection function (RSF) to identify resources used by wolves while hunting for beaver. The RSF was estimated using logistic regression to compare 90 locations where wolves hunted (68) or killed (22) beaver during winter months (November 1 to April 15, 2005 to 2008) to 1000 random locations drawn from within the combined territories of 11 packs defined by their 100% utilization distributions. Beaver hunting/killing sites were identified by clusters of GPS locations where wolves spent ≥7.5 accumulative hrs within a 100m radius in areas with obvious signs of beaver presence. Sites were searched during snow-free periods to locate evidence of a kill (e.g. bone and hair fragments) or to determine if the site was used for beaver hunting. Sites were classified as beaver hunting when GPS clusters were centered in close proximity (<20m) to fresh beaver activity (e.g. fresh cut trees) in a likely ambush position (e.g. along beaver trails). The location where the majority of prey remains were found for kill locations, or the center of the GPS cluster for hunting locations, was recorded with a handheld GPS at each site. We used the forest cover types from the FRI (table 3.1) to describe resource attributes at the 90 used and 1000 random locations. Only a sampling of potential beaver hunting sites was searched, and was likely biased by their accessibility from roads, therefore, the distance to road variable was excluded from the analysis. We constructed an a priori set of candidate models and included a null model to evaluate the hypothesis that wolves select beaver hunting habitat based on cover type and proximity to water. The 66 top model was selected using AICc weights, ωi, (Burnham and Anderson 1998), and evaluated with Spearman’s rank correlation with k-folds partitions (Boyce et al. 2002). The top model (m4) was Y = 0.11 + (0.07* XMix-hardwood 10 yrs old) + (0.04 * X Mixedharrdwood11-49yrs old) + (0.04 * XConifer 30yrs old) + (0.06 * XWater + (-0.0002 *X Distance from water) and had good fit (all likelihood ratio-test χ2 P-values < 0.05, Nagerleke’s R2 = 0.42) and strong support from the Spearman rank correlation with k-fold cross-validation (rs = 0.82 ± 0.05 SE; k-partitions = 5). In general, wolves chose to hunt beaver in or near water in areas with young and middle aged (0-50 yrs) hardwood and mixed-hardwood stands and young conifer (≤30 yrs) stands (Table C1). 67 Table C1. A priori candidate models to predict habitats in the study area that wolf packs use to hunt beaver. For each model we give the model name, description, number of parameters (K), logliklihood (LL), Nagerleke's R2 (R2), the change in AICc (Δi) relative to the lowest scoring model, and the Akaike weight (ωi). Model Model Description K LL R2 Δi ωi Mixed hardwood 10yrs old + Mixed hardwood 10-30yrs old + Conifer 30yrs a m4 old + Water + Distance to water 5 -181.9 0.42 0 0.60 Mixed hardwood 10yrs old + Mixed hardwood 10-30yrs old + Mixed hardwood > 30yrs old + Conifer > 30yrs old + Conifer 30yrs old + Distance to m2 water 6 -181.8 0.43 2 0.22 Mixed hardwood 10yrs old + Mixed hardwood 10-30yrs old + Mixed hardwood > 30yrs old + Conifer > 30yrs old + Conifer 30yrs old + Water + m1 Distance to water 7 -181.8 0.43 3 0.13 Mixed hardwood 10yrs old + Mixed hardwood 10-30yrs old + Water + m10 Distance to water 4 -185.5 0.41 6 0.03 Mixed hardwood 10yrs old + Water + m9 Distance to water 3 -187.2 0.41 7 0.02 Mixed hardwood 10yrs old + Mixed hardwood 10-30yrs old + Conifer 30yrs m3 old + Distance from water 4 -187 0.41 9 <0.01 a -Top model selected based on AICc wieghts. See table 3.1 in for definitions of model parameters. 68 Appendix D Pack name, model description (model), model AIC values, model AIC rescaling factor (Model AIC/1000000), change in model AIC (ΔModel AIC), covariate name, and average covariate AIC weight (Covariate ωi) for a priori candidate models describing habitat use of 10 wolf packs in northeastern Ontario. Pack Oswald 06 Modela Veg Prey Metrics Prey+Veg Prey+Metrics Veg+Metrics Prey+Veg+Metrics AIC/ AIC 100000 ΔAIC 25624530 256 291 25491030 255 290 25664650 257 291 25459563 255 289 25383580 254 289 25538460 255 290 -3478639 -35 0 Model ωi 6.36E-64 1.24E-63 5.20E-64 1.45E-63 2.12E-63 9.78E-64 1.00E+00 Coppell Veg Prey Metrics Prey+Veg Prey+Metrics Veg+Metrics Prey+Veg+Metrics 25624530 25491030 25664650 25459564 25383580 25538460 -10057510 3.29E-78 6.42E-78 2.69E-78 7.51E-78 1.10E-77 5.06E-78 1.00E+00 256 255 257 255 254 255 -101 357 355 357 355 354 356 0 Covariateb Beaver hunting Confer > 30yrs old Conifer £ 30 yrs old Contrast weighted edge density Distance to roads Moose density Mixed-hardwood < 10yrs old Mixed-hardwood 11-49yrs old Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50yrs old Beaver hunting Confer > 30yrs old Conifer £ 30 yrs old Contrast weighted edge density Distance to roads Moose density Mixed-hardwood < 10yrs old Mixed-hardwood 11-49yrs old Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50yrs old Covariate ωi 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 69 Pack IVP Modela Veg Prey Metrics Prey+Veg Prey+Metrics Veg+Metrics Prey+Veg+Metrics AIC 25624560 25491030 25664650 25538460 25383580 25538460 -20495710 AIC/ 100000 256.25 254.91 256.65 255.38 253.84 255.38 -205 ΔAIC 461.2 459.9 461.6 460.3 458.8 460.3 0 Coppell Veg Prey Metrics Prey+Veg Prey+Metrics Veg+Metrics Prey+Veg+Metrics 25624530 25491030 25664650 25459564 25383580 25538460 -10057510 256 255 257 255 254 255 -101 357 355 357 355 354 356 0 Model ωi Covariateb 7.10E-101 Beaver hunting 1.38E-100 Confer > 30yrs old 5.81E-101 Conifer £ 30 yrs old 1.09E-100 Contrast weighted edge density 2.37E-100 Distance to roads 1.09E-100 Moose density 1.00E+00 Mixed-hardwood £ 10yrs old Mixed-hardwood 11-49yrs old Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50yrs old 3.29E-78 Beaver hunting 6.42E-78 Confer > 30yrs old 2.69E-78 Conifer £ 30 yrs old 7.51E-78 Contrast weighted edge density 1.10E-77 Distance to roads 5.06E-78 Moose density 1.00E+00 Mixed-hardwood < 10yrs old Mixed-hardwood 11-49yrs old Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50yrs old Covariate ωi 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 70 Pack Modela Kamiskotia Veg Prey Metrics Prey+Veg Prey+Metrics Veg+Metrics Prey+Veg+Metrics Delahey Veg Prey Metrics Prey+Veg Prey+Metrics Veg+Metrics Prey+Veg+Metrics AIC/ AIC 100000 ΔAIC Model ωi Covariateb -8337858 -83 2 1.00E-01 Beaver hunting -8362813 -84 2 1.14E-01 Confer > 30yrs old -8126820 -81 4 3.49E-02 Conifer < 30 yrs old -8464957 -85 1 1.89E-01 Contrast weighted edge density -8438228 -84 1 1.66E-01 Distance to roads -8408397 -84 1 1.43E-01 Moose density -8522735 -85 0 2.53E-01 Mixed-hardwood < 10yrs old Mixed-hardwood 11-49yrs old Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50yrs old 25624530 256 2 1.67E-76 Beaver hunting 25491030 255 1 3.25E-76 Confer > 30yrs old 25664650 257 3 1.36E-76 Conifer < 30 yrs old 25459563 255 1 3.81E-76 Contrast weighted edge density 25383580 254 0 5.56E-76 Distance to roads 25538460 255 2 2.57E-76 Moose density -9272441 -93 -347 1.00E+00 Mixed-hardwood < 10yrs old Mixed-hardwood 11-49yrs old Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50yrs old Covariate ωi 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.15 0.15 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 71 Pack Biggs Modela Veg Prey Metrics Prey+Veg Prey+Metrics Veg+Metrics Prey+Veg+Metrics AIC/ AIC 100000 ΔAIC 25624530 256 364 25491030 255 363 25664650 257 365 25459563 255 363 25383580 254 362 25538460 255 363 -10808860 -108 0 Model ωi 7.69E-80 1.50E-79 6.29E-80 1.75E-79 2.57E-79 1.18E-79 1.00E+00 Wakami Veg Prey Metrics Prey+Veg Prey+Metrics Veg+Metrics Prey+Veg+Metrics -9428393 -9657376 -9495814 -9695797 -9853191 -9647525 -9882976 3.29E-02 1.03E-01 4.61E-02 1.25E-01 2.75E-01 9.83E-02 3.19E-01 -94 -97 -95 -97 -99 -96 -99 5 2 4 2 0 2 0 Covariateb Beaver hunting Confer > 30yrs old Conifer < 30 yrs old Contrast weighted edge density Distance to roads Moose density Mixed-hardwood < 10yrs old Mixed-hardwood 11-49yrs old Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50yrs old Beaver hunting Confer > 30yrs old Conifer < 30 yrs old Contrast weighted edge density Distance to roads Moose density Mixed-hardwood < 10yrs old Mixed-hardwood 11-49yrs old Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50yrs old Covariate ωi 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.21 0.14 0.14 0.18 0.18 0.21 0.14 0.14 0.14 72 AIC/ AIC 100000 ΔAIC Model ωi Covariateb 25602370 256 3 7.06E-02 Beaver hunting 25491030 255 2 1.23E-01 Confer > 30yrs old 25664650 257 3 5.17E-02 Conifer < 30 yrs old 25434570 254 1 1.63E-01 Contrast weighted edge density 25383580 254 1 2.11E-01 Distance to roads 25514410 255 2 1.10E-01 Moose density 25333150 253 0 2.71E-01 Mixed-hardwood £ 10yrs old Mixed-hardwood 11-49yrs old Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50yrs old Veg 25624530 256 379 6.44E-83 Beaver hunting Mariana Prey 25491030 255 377 1.26E-82 Confer > 30yrs old Metrics 25664650 257 379 5.27E-83 Conifer < 30 yrs old Prey+Veg 2549563 26 148 8.24E-33 Contrast weighted edge density Prey+Metrics 25383580 254 376 2.15E-82 Distance to roads Veg+Metrics 25538460 255 378 9.91E-83 Moose density Prey+Veg+Metrics -12225810 -122 0 1.00E+00 Mixed-hardwood < 10yrs old Mixed-hardwood 11-49yrs old Mixed-hardwood ≥ 50yrs old a Description of model covariates is given in Table 3.1. Pack Modela Mattagami Veg Prey Metrics Prey+Veg Prey+Metrics Veg+Metrics Prey+Veg+Metrics Covariate ωi 0.19 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.19 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 73
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