MONTHLY FOCUS NO 5 - 2011 Fast Fashion: Out-of-the-Box Thinking in the Apparel Industry By LEE Joon-Hwan Co-authored by AHN Shin-Hyun, HA Song, HONG Sun-Young May 2011 Abstract Fast fashion companies like Inditex (Zara), H&M, and Fast Retailing (Uniqlo) that came into their own after the 2000s are now some of the strongest players in the global fashion industry. Their niche, “fast fashion,” refers to their ability to capture the latest fashion trends and bring them to the public as quickly as fast food. Global fast fashion businesses over the past five years have been characterized by high revenue growth (15%) that far exceeds industry averages, and profit margins (10%) that surpass those of global IT firms. Their success has done much to counter the conventional wisdom that apparel is a declining industry with little potential for profits. Fast fashion owes its global success to “out-of-the-box” thinking that departs from convention by carefully studying changes in the environment, particularly today’s shortened fashion product cycles, as well as the rise of emerging markets (particularly in Asia) and the fragmentation of the industry’s value chain. These departures from convention include: c A shift from “planned production” to quick response production that responds to changes in the market ad hoc, instead of anticipating demand and preparing products for the season in advance. dA shift from “local business” to “global business,” with globalized HR and operations, and a focus on attaining dominance in emerging markets. eA shift from following trends to leading trends, by continuously providing leadership and innovation in new products instead of imitating famous designers. fA shift from media centric marketing to spatial marketing, by using retail space to directly reach customers and build brand identity, instead of relying on traditional advertising. Fast fashion has proven that industries that have long faced low profits and low growth can monitor changes in the environment and reinvent their ways of doing business to seize new opportunities. Lessons learned from fast fashion include: cBusinesses have to pursue “quick management” to respond to the environment. By strengthening consumer monitoring, they can build a base for product planning, production, supplies, distribution, and marketing. dBusinesses must secure global competitiveness by reinvention and process innovation from a perspective that departs from existing convention. e A flexible and creative culture is needed to create constant change. 2 I. The Fast Rise of “Fast Fashion” Recently, Forbes released its 2011 list of the World’s Billionaires. One surprise was that the richest men in Spain, Sweden, and Japan were all chairmen of “fast fashion” companies, including Inditex of Spain (Zara), H&M of Sweden (Hennes & Mauritz) and Fast Retailing Co. of Japan (Uniqlo). From the 2000s onwards, fast fashion retailers like Zara, H&M, and Uniqlo have emerged as the new heavyweights in the fashion industry. “Fast fashion” refers to clothing lines that produce, package, and distribute the most up to date fashion trends, as quickly as fast food. Unlike conventional clothing companies where designers plan their new lines every season, fast fashion retailers design, manufacture, and release new products ad hoc, whenever new trends appear. Fast fashion retail made its first landing in Europe, the homes of Zara and H&M, before sweeping through the US and Asia. Fast fashion has been experiencing rapid growth not only in mature markets like Spain, the UK and Japan, where the apparel industry has been hit by recession and increasingly saturated markets, but also in emerging economies like Korea and China. Sales growth in this new segment of the industry far exceeds the average for apparel as a whole, with market share for fast fashion providers continuing to increase. Table 1. Market Share and Growth of Fast Fashion by Country Classification Spain UK Japan Korea 20 16 11 2 Fast Fashion 16.1 13.5 14.7 77.4 Industry Average 4.5 3.5 -3 4.7 Market Share (in 2010) Sales Growth Rate (For the most recent 5 years) Note: 1) Data for Korea is from 2008-2010 (after the arrival of Inditex in the country). 2) Companies subject to market analysis in each country: Spain (Inditex, Mango and H&M); the UK (Topshop, NewLook, George, Inditex and H&M); Japan (Inditex, H&M, Fast Retailing and Shimamura); and Korea (Fast Retailing, Inditex and H&M). Source: by Samsung Economic Research Institute, from interviews with fashion businesses. Thomson Research; NATIXIS; Duetsche Bank; Korea Fashion Association; and Euromonitor. 3 Fast fashion companies also enjoy notably high operating profit margins beyond those of even high tech firms like Hewlett-Packard (8.9%), Apple (21.7%), IBM (20.2%) and Canon (11.1%). In Europe, H&M and Zara have profits far beyond the 7% average for Europe over the past five years (2006–2010) at 23.3% and 16.2% respectively. In the US, fast fashion retailers like Gap and the Limited, still maintained relatively high operating profits of 10% even as their sales declined significantly during the US “Great Recession.” Figure 1. Results from the Top 10 Global Fast Fashion Companies (2006–2010) (Unit: $1 million, %) Ranking Company (Brand) 1 Hennes & Maurits (H&M) 2 Inditex (Zara) 3 GAP (GAP, Banana Republic) 4 Fast Retailing (Uniqlo) 5 Country Operation profit to Sales Increase Rate Operating Profit to Sales (5-year avg.) sales (5-year avg.) (5-year avg.) Sales Sweden 15,426 11.5 23.3 Spain 15,401 17.1 16.2 -2.1 10.5 US 14,664 Japan 9,704 26.2 15.0 Limited Brands (Victoria’s Secret) US 9,613 -2.5 10.2 6 Next(Next) UK -0.3 15.2 7 Polo Ralph Lauren (Polo) US 7.4 14.2 8 Shimamura (Shimamura ) Japan 11.1 8.4 9 Esprit(Esprit) Hong Kong 9.6 18.9 10 Abercrombie & Fitch (Abercrombie & Fitch) 1.1 13.1 US 5,489 4,979 4,681 4,332 3,469 Such striking performance from fast fashion companies has made short work of the stereotype that the apparel industry, and in particular the affordable apparel industry, is a sunset industry with low prospects and low profitability. Such stereotypes persist to the present day. In March of this year, American market research firm IBIS listed apparel manufacturing as one of America’s “10 Dying Industries,” along with textile mills, wired communications carriers, newspaper publishing, photofinishing, and DVD rentals. If this is true, what have fast fashion companies done to make themselves so successful? The success of the fast fashion industry in spite of a decline in apparel manufacturing provides important implications not merely for apparel makers, but companies in many other industries in overcoming stagnant growth and low profits. 4 II. Factors in the Success of Fast Fashion Changing Environment of the Fashion Industry: Accelerated Fashion Cycles, Emerging Markets, and Diversification of the Value Chain As it entered the 2000s, the fashion industry underwent dramatic changes in both the consumers and regions it serves, and the companies that are its mainstays. Developments in media over the past decade have greatly accelerated the speed in which fashion trends spread among consumers, while drastically shortening the life span of any particular trend. News on fashion can now spread through the Internet and social media nearly instantaneously anywhere in the world. As the life cycle of fashion grows increasingly truncated, consumers have learned more and more towards ephemeral chic, and cheap, quasi-disposable clothes, rather than expensive and longlasting garments designed to weather the test of time. Global fashion has also seen its center of market gravity shift increasingly toward emerging market economies. Emerging markets have seen remarkable increases in spending on clothing as urbanization has created a growing middle class with high purchasing power. Cities in emerging countries will account for two thirds of world GDP growth between 2005 to 2015.1 In these countries, middle-class urbanites familiar with Western-style consumption patterns and modes of thinking have begun to devise a unique fashion sense of their own. In 34 of China’s largest cities, per capita spending on apparel has increased by an annual average of 45% over the last four years.2 Within fashion enterprises themselves, supply chain management has emerged as the key to attaining competitiveness. Supply chain management (SCM) in particular has evolved on increasingly fierce global competition, reshaping the fashion industry’s global value chain. Fashion businesses have reengineered their worldwide supply chains by turning to experts in SCM like Hong Kong’s Li & Fung. Out-of-the-Box Thinking in Fashion Global fast fashion companies have succeeded by jumping on the latest changes in the fashion environment, and ignoring previous conventions. This kind of out-of-the-box 1. BCG (2010). Winning in Emerging-Market Cities - A Guide to the World's Largest Growth Opportunity. 2. From Samsung Economic Research Institute on the basis of CEIC data. 5 thinking can be seen in the following four innovation solutions. Figure 2. Four Examples of Out-of-the-Box Thinking in Fast Fashion Shortened fashion cycles X Planned Production Response Production • Strengthened market monitoring • Building of a quick response production system Y Local Business Global Business • Globalization of the market • Globalization of HR/Operations Z Trend Follower Trend Leader • Development of new products /materials • Rapid commodification • Active cooperation with outside firms [ Media-centric Marketing Space-centric • Branding of stores • Systemization of store operations Marketing Rising Emerging Market Economies Segmentation of the value chain ① From "Planned Production” to “Quick Response Production” Global fast fashion companies have established a “quick response” production system that can immediately adapt to the latest trends and flexibly adjust inventory to meet consumer demand. The conventional method of apparel production relies on “planned production” that typically develops product designs and inventories for the entire season in advance. This method is optimized for the customary biannual Spring/Summer and Fall/Winter fashion shows. Planned production has the advantages of achieving economies of scale by producing large quantities of clothes in advance. If pre-season expectations go awry, however, apparel providers are vulnerable to low sales and piling inventories of unsold products. US fashion retailer Gap experienced precisely this problem in 2000 when its planned production faltered on mistaken forecasts of demand. As customers dwindled due to the then economic recession, the company altered its product strategy to pursue the youth market by producing large quantities of trendy items like miniskirts, low-rise jeans, and leather pants in bold primary colors. These 6 new products, however, failed to attract the teenagers that the company was depending on to revitalize its brand, while driving away its mainstay grownup customers. As a result, Gap saw its same-store sales decline for 29 straight months. Gap founder Donald Fisher once recalled this disaster by saying “it took us 30 years to get to 1 billion dollars in profits and two years to get to nothing.”3 In contrast, fast fashion companies produce a large variety of new designs in small quantities and confirm customer response before producing more. At the same time, fast fashion companies continue to track the consumer zeitgeist at fashion shows, as well as on the streets and in stores. Inditex manufactures only 15% of its products before the season, with the remaining 85% produced only as needed in line with customer demand. To support its quick response fashion system, Inditex built a rapid response production network that can complete the entire process of design, manufacturing, and delivery of apparel to stores in only two weeks. Inditex also leverages global production networks that can use the optimum supplier for each product and region. H&M in turn relies on 750 suppliers in 30 countries, and has been able to reduce the average product lead time from conception to delivery by 15-20% on average per year.4 Figure 3. Product Precommitments: Zara vs. Traditional Industry 1ST QUARTER VISIT TO EXHIBITIONS DESIGN INTRODUCTION TO COLLECTION 3RD QUARTER MANUFACTURING ZARA INTERNAL MANUFACTURING DISTRIBUTION AND SALES 35% 55% EXTERNAL MANUFACTURING 40-50% 15% 5TH QUARTER 85% SALES MARKDOWNS 65% DESIGN AND RAW MATERIAL SOURCING 4TH QUARTER SALES MARKDOWNS TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY 2ND QUARTER ② From “Local Business” to “Global Business” Fast fashion companies have moved beyond the familiarity of their home markets and traditional conceptions of the fashion industry as a “local business” by vigorously pursuing new markets worldwide. This rapid overseas expansion has enabled them to 3. Julia Boorstin. (April 13, 2006.). Fashion Victim-Can a numbers guy from Disney correct Gap's style missteps? Fortune.; The Gap (2010). Annual Report. 4. To minimize potential risks, H&M has selected its suppliers on the basis of past performance. H&M (2009). Annual Report. 7 hedge the regional risks that occur when a business is highly concentrated in a particular region, while allowing them to secure new growth engines on a global scale. Fast Retailing, Inditex and H&M, have increased the number of their overseas stores by an annual average of 47.3%, 19.6% and 11.6% respectively, a rate that has even outpaced growth in revenues. Much of this expansion has focused on emerging markets. By exploiting the increasing trend toward consolidation of consumer preferences worldwide, fast fashion retailers can now distribute the same up to date clothes in both developed and emerging markets simultaneously. Honeys of Japan, for example, achieved rapid growth in China by catering to fashion conscious Chinese women and releasing in China and Japan simultaneously, or in some cases, even releasing in China first. Fast fashion has also pushed for a conspicuous retail presence in the trendiest commercial areas of major cities. These heavily trafficked areas, including Xintiandi in Shanghai and Myeong-dong in Seoul, can rapidly raise brand awareness and sales despite their high rents. In Myeong-dong, the retail heart of Korea’s capital, there are now three Zara stores, and two H&M and Uniqlo stores, as well as a Forever 21 and Mango, all within 200 meters of each other. These global fast fashion retailers have attracted Korean consumers in droves. Table 2. Overseas Stores for Fast Fashion Companies (Unit: Number of Stores) Classification Europe US Asia, Middle East, Africa Total H&M 1,743 247 43 2,062 Inditex 1,204 188 216 3,216 16 1 899 916 Fast Retailing Note: Uniqlo for Fast Retailng, and Zara for Inditex. Source: Deutsche Bank (July 7, 2010). Retailing Fast Retailing. ③ From “Trend Followers” to “Trend Leaders” Fast fashion companies, moreover, have now established themselves as “trend leaders,” in marked contrast to the previous convention where affordable ready to wear garments were designed simply as lower rent versions of haute couture. Fast fashion has met the needs of mass consumers who covet unique designs that reinterpret or preempt those of the most famous designers. Conventional affordably priced brands have traditionally 8 imitated prestigious brands, or relied on classic styles and steady sellers. In contrast, fast fashion brands have been able to nimbly commodify the styles of couture catwalks while simultaneously reflecting shifting customer preferences through accelerated release schedules. Prada, for example, introduced ostrich skin as an exotic new material in its fall/winter 1999 fashion collection, and released an ostrich leather handbag the next year for US$2,800. During the same season, fast fashion brand Bebe released an ostrich handbag for only US$78, while Victoria’s Secret sold an imitation ostrich-leather skirt for only US$50.5 Fast fashion companies have also built brand value through development of joint brands in collaboration with outstanding designers and celebrities. Such collaborations have typically been for a limited time period, to maintain a low-cost business structure while still creating trend-setting designs. H&M for example, began collaborative efforts with Karl Lagerfeld, the head designer of Chanel, and has since released a new lineup of special products by star designers and celebrities every September. This helped to push H&M’s brand value up to US$16.1 billion, putting it at 21st among Interbrand’s 100 “Best Global Brands” for 2010. Fast fashion companies have also stimulated consumer sentiment by developing innovative clothing materials, or recasting specialized clothing as trendy daily wear. Fast Retailing (Uniqlo) became a global business by popularizing fleece garments as daily wear, and lowering prices through use of mass produced fleece fabric. Fleece, traditionally used for upmarket winter clothes due to its light weight, fine texture, warmth, and ease of handling, proved highly popular with consumers everywhere. Fast fashion companies also ignited consumer interest with the creation of entirely new fashion categories. Inspired by yogis wearing regular training suits, Lululemon created its fashionable “second-skin” yoga clothing for women, resulting in skyrocketing sales growth. Lululemon’s revenue grew from 18 million dollars in 2004 to US$700 million in 2010, with an operating profit margin of 25.4 %. ④ From 'Media-centric Marketing' to 'Space-centric Marketing' In contrast to conventional fashion businesses, which have long relied on flashy advertising through major media sources, fast fashion companies have actively deployed “spatial marketing” that utilizes retail stores themselves as customer contact 5. M. J. & Fiske, N. (2003). “Trading up.” Penguin Group. 9 points. Fast fashion’s typically larger and more spacious stores increase the length of customer stays in store, and allow consumers to enhance brand familiarity by providing an enjoyable shopping environment. Fast fashion has transformed stores from a sales space to a cultural space where one can encounter diverse experiences. In the dimly lit stores of Abercrombie & Fitch, for example, salespeople dance to loud in-store music, providing an upbeat, club-like atmosphere. When Fast Retailing launched Uniqlo in New York in 2006, the company opened “pop-up stores” shaped like cargo containers that provided a strong image of Uniqlo as a brand freshly imported from Japan. More surprising still is that affordable fast fashion brands can actually use their shortened product life cycles and even occasional shortages to create “scarcity value” for their products. Unlike ordinary clothing retailers, that stock their new products throughout the season, fast fashion brands restock as frequently as once a week. Such rapid product turnover spurs consumers to purchase desirable items at full price immediately instead of waiting for markdowns or end-of-season sales, as their window of opportunity to purchase is narrow. Customers also are motivated to make repeat visits because new products are available almost every time they come. In London, Inditex’s customers visit stores an average of 17 times per year, compared with only four annual visits to competitors.6 Thanks to the high traffic in its stores, Inditex has been able to maintain a high profit structure with improvements in its inventory turnover ratio and share of full-price sales. Table 3. Comparison of Fast Fashion and Ordinary Apparel Companies by Performance Classification Product Shelf Life Cycle (by week) Inventory Turnover Ratio (times per year) Percentage of Full-Price Sales Operating Profit Rate Average for Fast Fashion Companies US Apparel Industry Average Korean Apparel Industry Average 4 16 16 8.4 4.6 4.1 80% 50% 50% 19.5% 9% 8% Note: 1) The fast fashion companies included in this data analysis are Inditex, H&M and Espirit 2) The inventory turnover ratio is defined as the cost of goods sold divided by average inventory and used as an index to tell the number of times inventory is sold in a time period such as a year (as of 2010 for the fast fashion companies; 2009 for the US; and 2008 for Korea). Source: Samsung Economic Research Institute on the basis of interviews with fashion businesses, each company’s Annual Reports, and Thomson Research. 6. Ferdows, K, Lewis, M. A. & Machuca, J. (November 2004.). Rapid-Fire Fulfillment. Harvard Business Review. 10 III. Implications Thus far this paper has discussed a number of factors that have made fast fashion companies a success. What, then, can other companies and industries learn from these companies? First, companies seeking to enjoy the success of fast fashion companies need to learn from their “rapid management” systems that can exploit changes in the environment almost instantaneously. As new business models emerge along with shorter and shorter product cycles, approaching obsolescence of existing business models and products is becoming an almost daily problem. This affects far more than the fashion industry. In the IT industry, a common perception is that “a week-long delay in the development of a new product results in a 1% drop in the price of that product (1 week=1 point).” Constantly emerging new goods and services, moreover, have gotten customers increasingly enthusiastic about the latest and the new. In this regard, companies need to overhaul their value chain, from consumer monitoring and product planning, through production and distribution, to logistics and marketing, while also cutting down on product leadtimes by sharing information and resources. Samsung Electronics, for example, was able to sell 360,000 units at Walmart alone by securing the right inventories at the right time from neighboring countries, including Mexico during “Black Friday”7 2008, when US demand for LCD TVs surged. Second, domestic demand-oriented business models, technology, and processes need to be revamped to suit global conditions. Businesses perceived as declining or limited to the domestic economy can reinvent themselves as global businesses through innovative approaches. In the furniture sector, long considered a “local” industry due to its heavy, hard to ship products, Ikea of Sweden built a globally dominant business around flatpacked, easily shipped, ready-to-assemble furniture. The company reinvented itself as a multinational furniture provider by outsourcing production to 1,074 suppliers around the world, keeping only planning, design, logistics, and marketing in Sweden. Japanese curry restaurant Coco Ichibanya grew into the largest of its kind (1,200 stores) by standardizing and modularizing portions for rice, curry types, and level of spiciness, as well as the specific mix of toppings. A flexible and creative organizational culture is thus the starting point to enabling the 7. “Black Friday” is the day after Thanksgiving in the US, is the beginning of the Christmas shopping season, and is the busiest shopping day of the year. 11 kind of out-of-the-box thinking needed to drastically revamp business models and shake up the competition. Flexibility and creativity should be encouraged to exploit the changing environment and to leverage innovation models from other industries. To this end, a company’s entire organization must resist complacency and continue to brainstorm to come up with innovative solutions. How is your own industry changing now, and how are you rethinking your own business? When rethinking your business strategies, much can be learned from the nimble maneuverings of fast fashion companies. 12
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