DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 Incidence, Etiology, and Comparative Frequency of Sudden Cardiac Death in NCAA Athletes: A Decade in Review Running title: Harmon et al.; Sudden Cardiac Death in NCAA Athletes: 10-Years Kimberly G. Harmon, MD1; Irfan M. Asif, MD2; Joseph J. Maleszewski, MD3; David S. Owens, MD, MS1; Jordan M. Prutkin, MD, MHS1; Jack C. Salern Salerno, rno, rn o, M MD D1; Monica L. Zigman, MPH1; Rachel Ellenbogen, MS4; Ashwin Rao, MD1; Michael M chael J. Ackerman, MD, PhD Mi hD3; Jonathan A. Drezne Drezner, nerr, MD1 ne 1 University Un y of of Washington, W shin Wa inggtonn, Seattle, Se e WA; WA; 2Un University Unive erssity y of of South Soouth Carolina Carolinna Gr Ca Greenville, reeenvillle,, Gr Greenville, reeenvilllee, SC; 3Ma Mayo yo Clinic, Cli lini nic, ni c, Rochester, Roc oche hest he ster st er,, MN; er MN; 4Br Brown Brow ownn Un ow University, Univ iver iv ersi er sity si ty,, Pr ty Prov Providence, ovid ov iden id ence en ce,, RI ce SC; Address for Correspondence: Kimberly G. Harmon, MD University of Washington 3800 Montlake Blvd. Seattle, WA 98195 Tel: 206-598-3294 Fax: 206-598-6144 E-mail: [email protected] Journal Subject Codes: Etiology:[8] Epidemiology, Cardiovascular (CV) surgery:[41] Pediatric and congenital heart disease, including cardiovascular surgery, Treatment:[121] Primary prevention, Treatment:[122] Secondary prevention 1 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 Abstract Background—The incidence and etiology of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in athletes is debated with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) often reported as the most common etiology. Methods and Results—A database of all NCAA deaths (2003 – 2013) was developed. Additional information and autopsy reports were obtained when possible. Cause of death was adjudicated by an expert panel. There were 4,242,519 athlete-years (AY) and 514 total student athlete deaths. Accidents were the most common cause of death (257, 50%, 1:16,508 AY) followed by medical causes (147, 29%, 1:28,861 AY). The most common medical cause of death was SCD (79, 15%, 1:53,703 AY). Males were at higher riskk than females 1:37,790 1:37,7790 AY AY vs. vs 1:121,593 AY (IRR 3.2, 95% CI, 1.9-5.5, p < .00001), and blackk athletes were at higher risk than white athletes 1:21,491 whit te at athl hlet hl etes et es 1:2 21, 1 491 AY vs. 1:68,354 AY (IRR RR 33.2, .2, 95% CI, 1.9-5.2, 2, p < .00001). The incidence nciidence of SCD CD inn Division Divi Divi visi sion si on 1 male mal alee basketball b sket ba etba et tball a athletes ath th hletees was wa 1:5,200 1::5, 5 2000 AY. AY The Th he most most common com ommo om monn mo findings autopsy were autopsy sudden (AN-SUD) and fi ind ndin ings in g at au aut toppsy we eree aut top opsy sy negative neg e attiv ve su udden n uunexplained nexp xplain xp in ned ddeath eaath h (AN AN-S SUD UD) in n 116 6 (2 ((25%) 5%) an nd definitive identified more deaths higher defi de fini fi niti ni tive ti vee evidence evide viide denc ncee for nc for HC HCM M was waas seen seen in in 5 (8%). (8%) (8 %). Media %) Medi Me diaa reports di repo re port po rtss id rt iden enti en tifi ti fied fi ed m oree de or deat aths at hs iin n hi high gher gh er divisions (87%, 61%, and 44%) while percentages from the internal database did not vary (87%, 83%, and 89%). Insurance claims identified only 11% of SCDs. Conclusions—The rate of SCD in NCAA athletes is high, with males, black athletes and basketball players at substantially higher risk. The most common finding at autopsy is AN-SUD. Media reports are more likely to capture high profile deaths, while insurance claims are not a reliable method for case identification. Key words: sudden cardiac death, epidemiology, pathology, sudden cardiac arrest, athlete 2 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 Introduction Sudden cardiac death (SCD) in an athlete is a tragic event with far-reaching impact. Those directly impacted by SCD struggle to understand why more effective screening techniques were not utilized as part of preparticipation exams required of nearly all US athletes. The rationale for the current screening model is that although SCD is shocking and often highly publicized, it is relatively rare and therefore not cost-effective to invest additional resources toward prevention.1 However, the incidence of SCD in athletes in the US is vigorously debated with much of the variation attributable to study methodology, specifically the accuracy of case identification and ascertainment of the population studied (denominator).2 Estimates of the rate of SCD in athletes range from 1:3,000 athlete-years (A (AY) Y) iin n National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) Division I male basketball athletes3 to 1:91 17, 7,00 0000 AY re 00 eported in Minnesota high school epo ol athletes; ath t letes;4 a differencee of o over 300-fold. 1:917,000 reported Traditional Traaditional ad estimates estiima mattess of SCD SCD incidence incid ncid ideenc ence in US US athletes athllettes are are re usually usuuallly l around aro roun undd 1:200,000 un 1:20 2000,00 20 0000 AY5, 6 00 al although lth thou ough ou g studies stu udi d es specifically sppeciificcallyy examining ex xam min inin ng college c llleg co ge at athletes thlletes es sho show ow hi hhigher gherr ra gh rates atees ooff S SCD CD w with ith a relatively ela lati tive ti vely ely cconsistent onsi on sist si sten st entt es en esti estimate tima ti mate ma te ooff 1: 1:43 1:43,000 43,000 000 – 11:67,000 :677,00 :6 0000 AY 00 AY.3, 7,, 8 T These hese he se SCD SCD rates rat ates es in in college coll co lleg ll egee eg athletes represent a pooled risk of both high and low risk groups, with higher rates identified in male, black, and basketball athletes.3 The most common cause of SCD in athletes is also questioned. Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is identified as the leading cause of death by the US National Registry of Sudden Death in Athletes (USNRSDA).8-11 However, studies in athletes in other countries,12-16 the US military,17, 18 and in US college athletes19 have found autopsy-negative sudden unexplained death (AN-SUD) to be the most frequent finding associated with SCD. A precise understanding of the etiology of SCD is important to devise effective screening strategies. 3 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 This study examines the incidence and etiology of forensically confirmed SCD in NCAA athletes over ten years and is a continuation of five years of previously published data.3 Methods The NCAA tracks participation data as well as the sex and ethnicity of more than 450,000 student-athletes annually. Deaths in NCAA athletes were identified during the school years (July 1 to June 30) from 2003-2004 to 2012-2013 through: 1) the NCAA Resolutions List, 2) the Parent Heart Watch database, and 3) NCAA insurance claims. The NCAA Resolutions List is compiled annually to honor NCAA student-athletes who have died of any cause. It is created by monitoring of national media and by institu institutions tuti tu tion ti onss on voluntarily providing names to the NCAA after email solicitations in November of every school year. year r. Th Ther There eree ar er aaree no no causes of death associated with wiith the the h NCAA Resolutions Resolution onss list. Parent Heart on Watch Wat Wa tch (PHW) is a national natio iona ona nall nonprofit nonnpro no npro rofi fitt organization fi orggani niza ni zaationn dedicated dedi diica cate teed to t tthe he pprevention reeve v ntio on an andd aw awar awareness aren ar en nes esss ooff sudden cardiac maintains udd dden e cardi diaac aarrest di rrrest (S (SCA)) in n tthe hee yyoung. ouung ng. PH PHW W ma ainttaiins in an oongoing ngooing n database datab basse from om systematic syystemaatiic search ear arch ch of of media medi me diaa reports. di repo re port po rtss. The rt The database dat atab abas ab asee was as waas queried queeri qu ried ed for for SCA/SCD SCA CA/S /SCD /S CD among amo mong ng athletes ath thle lete le tess 17 tto te o 24 yea years ears ea rs of age, and each case reviewed to determine if the athlete was a member of an NCAA team. All NCAA athletes are covered by the NCAA Catastrophic Injury Insurance Plan which provides a death benefit of $25,000 for athletes who die during a competition, practice or conditioning activity organized or supervised by the institution. Claims related to SCA/SCD during the study period were retrieved. The data sources were combined into a single data set. Missing information regarding deaths was acquired through Internet searches and media reports, or emails and telephone calls to sports information directors, head or team athletic trainers, next-of-kin, coroners, medical 4 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 examiners and physicians involved in the case. SCD was defined as a sudden unexpected death due to cardiac cause, or a sudden death in a structurally normal heart with no other explanation for death and a history consistent with cardiac-related death that occurred within 1 hour of symptom onset or an unwitnessed death occurring within 24 hours of the person having been alive. Unwitnessed deaths were not included as cardiac unless additional information such as autopsy, negative toxicology screen or other information was available that could verify the death was cardiac in nature. Deaths were categorized broadly as accident, homicide, suicide, drug/alcohol overdose, or medical. If a drug overdose appeared to be intentional it was included as a suicide; if it was category. The unknown or accidental the death was included in the drug/alcohol overdose categ gor oryy. y. T he medical causes were further broken down into cardiac, cancer, heat stroke, sickle cell trait, sportrelated elate tedd he te head ad iinjury, njuury ury, meningitis, and other. If the cause cauuse of death could nnot ca ot be reasonably determined, was recorded Activity death listed “exertional”, de ermined, it dete i w a rec as ecorrde ec dedd as ““unknown.” unkn un know kn own.”” Activi A c ity y att ti time me ooff de deat athh wa at was list ted aass “e “exe xeertio ona nal” l”,, l” “rest “r rest “, “sleep”, “slee eeep” p , or “unknown”. “unnknow wn” n”.. Demographic Deemo m graaphi aphi hic dataa in in NCAA NC A athletes ath t lettess were th werre obtained obt btai a nedd from from m the NCAA Participation Rates Report NC AA SSports port rts t Sp SSponsorship ponsorshi hip andd Pa hi P art rtic ticip ipat atio tion Ra R ate tes Re R eport rtt20 aand nd tthe he NC NCAA AA SStudent-Athlete tude tu dent ntt-Ath Ath thle lete te Ethnicity Report.21 Definitions for pathological determination of cause of death were agreed upon using previously accepted definitions.22-26 (Table 1). When more than one pathologic abnormality was present, the pathology most likely related to the athlete’s death was considered primary. Autopsy reports were reviewed independently by a panel of experts consisting of 4 sports medicine physicians, a cardiovascular pathologist, a cardiomyopathy specialist, an adult and pediatric electrophysiologist, and a channelopathy/genetic specialist all with expertise in SCD in athletes. Differences of opinion were adjudicated through panel discussion. This study was approved by 5 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 the Division of Human Subjects, University of Washington. Data Analysis Data were analyzed for overall death rate and etiology, as well as death rate according to sex, ethnicity, sport, and NCAA division. Incidence rates and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were reported as incidence of death/AY. Incidence rates were also calculated for risk over 4 years representing the risk of an athlete death over a typical 4-year athletic career by multiplying the number of annual cases by 4 and using the same denominator. The relative risk of SCD and specific disease etiology was estimated with an incidence rate ratio (IRR). A priori analysis of the relative risk between white athletes vs. black athletes, male athletes vs. female athletes, risk between divisions, males vs. female basketball athletes and basketball athletes com compared ompa om pare pa redd to oother re ther th sports ports was performed based on previous work suggesting a higher rate of SCD in those groups. For cause caus ca usee of death us deaath comparison significant results resultts were were presented. A capture-recapture cap ptu ture-recapture analysis was number deaths that have missed, allow w ass performedd to eestimate sttim imat atee th at thee nu numb mberr ooff de mb deat ths tha haat ma mayy ha hav ve bbeen eeen mi miss sed,, al all low fo low forr comparison the capture rate and estimate All co omp mparisonn ooff th he cap ptuure ra ate bbetween etwe w en we n ddivisions iviisio is ons an nd es est tim matte ppotential oten enti en t all iintra-divisional ntrra-ddivisi sioonal si on bbias. ias. A ll were sided significance pp-values -va valu alues es wer eree tw er ttwo woo si side dedd an de andd si sign gnif gn ific if ican ic ance an ce set set at at p<0.05. p<00.05 p< 05. Analysis 05 Anal An alys al ysis sis was as done don onee in STATA STA TATA TA 11.1 11.11 software (StataCorp, Texas, USA). Results There were 4,242,519 million AY and 514 total student athlete deaths. Accidents accounted for 257 deaths (50%, 1:16,507 AY) followed by medical causes (147, 1:28,861 AY, 29%), homicide (42, 8%, 1:101,012 AY), and suicide (41, 8%, 1:103,476). The most common type of accidents were automobile (158, 62%, 1:26,851 AY), drowning (23, 9%, 1:184,457 AY), fall (18, 7%, 1:235,696 AY), and motorcycle (17, 7%, 1:249,560). The risk of death in an automobile accident 6 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 for a male basketball player was 1:13,122 AY. (Table 2). The most common medical cause of death was cardiac (79, 15%, 1:53,703 AY). Sickle cell trait was associated with 10 deaths (2%, 1:424,252 AY), sport-related head injury 4 deaths (1%, 1:1,060,629 AY), and heat illness 3 deaths (0.6%, 1:1,414,173 AY). (Figure 1). Male athletes comprised 81% (64) of SCDs. 57% (45) of SCDs occurred in white athletes, 38% (30) in black athletes, and 15% (12) in other races. The majority of SCD occurred in basketball (21, 27%), football (18, 23%), and men’s soccer (9, 11%). Incidence of SCD The overall incidence of SCD in NCAA athletes was 1:53,703 AY. Males were at higher risk than females (1:38,390 AY vs.1:121,593 AY; IRR 3.2, 95% CI, 1.8-6.0, p < 0.00001), black athletes at higher risk than white athletes (1:21,491,147 AY vs. 1:68,354 AY; IRR CI, R 33.2, .22, 95 95% %C I, 1.9-5.2, p < 0.00001), and black male athletes at higher risk than white male athletes (1:15,829 AY vs. vs. 1:45,514 1:4 :45, 5,51 5, 5 4 AY; A ; IRR 2.9, 95% CI, 1.6-5.2,, p =0.0001). AY = .0001). There were =0 re 38 38 deaths reported in Division athletes Divvision 1 ath hleetess wi with th a rrate atee of SCD at SCD off 1:43,775 1 43 1: 43,7755 AY, AY, compared com mpare redd to 22 22 deaths deatths in in Division Divi Di visi sionn II si II with with a ra 1:42,292 AY and Division with rate AY. (Table 3). rate te of 1:42 42,2922 A 42 Y an nd 199 iin n Di ivi v siionn IIII w ith a rat te ooff 11:86,744 te :86 86,7744 86 44 A Y. (Ta Taabl ble 3) ). Basketball Bask Ba sket sk etba et ball ba ll athletes ath thle lete le tess (male te (mal (m alee and al and female) fema fe male ma le)) had le had the the highest high hi ghes gh estt risk es risk of of SCD SCD with wiith a rrate atee of 11:15,462 at :155,46 :1 4622 46 AY. Male basketball athletes were at significantly higher risk than female basketball athletes (1:8,978 AY vs. 1:77,061 AY; IRR 8.6, 95% CI, 2.1-76, p= 0.0003). There were 10 SCDs over 10 years in Division I male basketball athletes for a rate of 1:5,200 AY. (Table 4). Other sports at higher risk included men’s soccer (1:23,689 AY), men’s football (1:35,951 AY), and men’s/women’s cross country (1:44,973 AY). (Table 5) The incidence of SCD over an athletes’ NCAA career (considered to be 4 years) was 1:13,426 (A4Y). The risk of SCD over 4 years in a men’s basketball athlete was 1:2,245 A4Y, and in a Division I male basketball player 1:1,300 A4Y. The career risk of SCD in a male soccer player was 1:5,922 A4Y. (Table 4, 5). 7 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 Activity at time of death could be characterized in 72 of the 79 SCDs. 56% occurred with exertion, 22% at rest, 14% during sleep, and activity in 9% was unknown. SCDs were more likely to be reported in the PHW (media) database if they occurred with exertion compared to rest or sleep (82% vs. 61%, p=0.02). The NCAA Resolutions List identified 86% of deaths, the PHW database 70%, and insurance claims 11%. Media reports identified more deaths in Division I athletes than in Division II or III (87%, 61%, 44%, p=0.003) while percentages in the NCAA Resolutions List did not vary (87%, 83%, 89%, p=0.84). The total number of SCD cases in the aggregate dataset was 79. 23 deaths were identified only by the NCAA Resolutions List, 11 only by the PHW database, and 45 were in both. Capture-recapture analysis estimated the number of deaths at 83.1 (95% CI, 79.9 - 85.5) 85.5 85 .5)) resulting .5 resu re sult su lting lt in n a SCD incidence of 1:51,046 AY. 38 SCDs were identified in Division I with 5 cases identified den nti tifi fied fi ed ssolely olel ol e y by the NCAA Resolutions List,, 5 only only by the PHW database, daata taba b se, and 28 were listed in datasets. The capture-recapture number Division 38.9 n bboth oth datasets s. T hee ca capt ptur pt ureur e--re reca caapt ptur u e eestimate ur stiima mate t for orr num umbe um berr of be o ddeaths eath ea thss in D th iv vis isio ionn I wa io wass 38 8.99 (95% 36.5 SCDs Division were identified 95% CI, 36. 6.55 - 39 6. 39.9).. 222 2 SC CDs occurred occ ccuurrredd in cc nD ivisio on II aathletes; th hlettes; tes 8 w e e iden er ntiifi f ed oonly nly in n the NCAA Resolutions List, PHW NC AA R esol es olut ol utio tio ions ns L istt, 3 oonly is nly in tthe nl he P HW ddatabase ataaba at base se and and 11 11 in both bot othh databases. data da taba ta base ba sess. The se The capturecap aptu ture rere recapture estimated number of deaths in Division II was 24.2 (95% CI, 22.7 - 25.3). In Division III there were 19 deaths identified while the capture-recapture analysis estimated 21.3 cases (95% CI, 19.4 - 24.0). 10 SCDs were identified only by the NCAA Resolutions List, 3 only by the PHW database, and 6 were identified by both lists. Etiology of SCD 69 autopsies were initially obtained because of a history suggesting SCD or an unknown history. 11 cases were classified as non-cardiac including drowning (3), overdose (3), heat illness, SCT, pneumonia, gun shot, and a fall. Of the 514 deaths, information to assign a cause could not be 8 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 ascertained in 6 (1%), and these were labeled as “unknown”. SCD was identified by autopsy in 58 (73%) cases. All 58 cases had toxicology screens which were negative for substances which contributed to death. 21 additional cases were classified as SCD based on information in the death certificate (2), a media or legal report of the autopsy (4), a strong family or personal history of a cardiac disorder and history consistent with SCD (i.e. Long QT Syndrome or Wolff-Parkinson-White) (3), cases where the coroner, medical examiner or medical team confirmed a cardiac cause of death (8), cases where the next-of-kin provided a verbal report of the autopsy diagnosis (1), or a history consistent with commotio cordis (1). 3 additional cases were considered cardiac based on a history of exertional collapse with no other explanation. (Table 6) A specific cardiac etiology was assigned in 64 cases (81%) for which there was either autopsy other determined. auto ops psyy (57) (57) or ot othe h r (7) information with which h tthe h cause could be de he ete terrmined. (Figure 2A, 2B). and 2B). The mostt common 2B) com mmo monn finding find fi ndin nd ingg in athletes in ath thleetes with with SCD SC CD was wa a structurally s ru st ruct ctur ct ural ur ally al ly ((gross gros osss an os nd histologically) hi ist s ol olog o icallly ly)) normal noormall heart nor heart (AN-SUD) (AN AN-S SUD UD) in i 16 16 (25%), ( 5% (2 %), followed fol olllow wed byy coronary wed corronnarry artery arte tery anomalies te anomalies no (CAA) 11%), myocarditis 10%), coronary disease CAA AA)) (7 (7, 11 11%) %), my %) m yoc ocar oc ardi ar diti di tiss (6 ti (6, 10 10%) %), an %) andd co coro rona ro nary na ry aartery rter rt ery di er dise seas se asee (CAD) as (CAD (C AD)) (6, AD (6 10%). 10%) 10 %). There %) Ther Th eree were er weeree 5 cases (8%) each of HCM, idiopathic LVH/possible cardiomyopathy, and cardiomyopathy NOS. A single case in an athlete with sickle cell trait, a history of “cardiac problems”, and significant LVH could not be defined as either idiopathic LVH or exertional death due to SCT and therefore was defined as “SCT/idiopathic LVH”. Basketball athletes were more likely to die of cardiomyopathy or possible cardiomyopathy (HCM, dilated cardiomyopathy, cardiomyopathy NOS, idiopathic left ventricular hypertrophy/possible cardiomyopathy) than other male athletes (IRR 14.82; 95% CI, 5.08 - 44.16; p <0.0001). Black athletes were more likely to die from a cardiomyopathy than 9 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 white athletes (IRR 4.77; 95% CI, 2.06 - 11.01; p=0.002). Male basketball players were also more likely to die of CAA compared to other male athletes (IRR 17.57; 95% CI, 5.93 - 52.02; p=0.0008) and black athletes more likely than white athletes (IRR 9.54; 95% CI, 2.39 - 38.10; p=0.01). Discussion The rate of SCD in NCAA athletes is high, with males, black athletes, and male basketball players at the highest risk. HCM has long been reported to be the most common finding after SCD, however, in this study the most common finding at autopsy was AN-SUD similar to findings in the military17, 18 and other countries.13-16, 27 Media reports are more likely lik kel elyy to capture cap aptu ture tu re high profile deaths in Division I or II athletes compared to Division III and using insurance claims ms tto o id iden identify entify en fy S SCD CD in athletes missed almost stt 90% 90% 0 of cases. The methods met etho et h ds used for identification den ntification of of SCD SC CD cases caase sess significantly sign si gnif gn ific if iccan a tl t y affects afffe f cts incidence. in ncideenc nce. e strength study was three different data A st tre reng n th of thi tthis his stu udy w as tthe hee uuse se ooff thre ee di iff ffeeren nt da dat ta ssources ou urccess too cr createe a comprehensive comp co mpre mp rehe re hens he nsiv ns ivee da data database taba ta base ba se ooff de deat death athh fr at from om aany ny ccause ny ause au se iin n order orde or derr to identify de ide dent ntif nt ify SCD if SCD and and compare comp co mpar mp aree the ar the relative frequency of causes of death in NCAA athletes. Automobile accidents were the leading cause of death (1:26,851 AY), although these were only twice as frequent as SCD (1:53,507 AY). It has been previously reported that automobile-associated accidents are 150 – 2500 times more frequent than SCD in NCAA athletes, however this is comparing the absolute number of automobile deaths in the entire US population to the absolute number of cardiovascular deaths in NCAA athletes.1, 28 Male basketball athletes were actually more likely to die from SCD (1:8,978 AY) than from an automobile accident (1:13,122 AY). A prior study in college athletes has shown suicide and drug over-dose (combined) to 10 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 represent a larger proportion of total athlete deaths than cardiovascular causes, however, in that study, deaths due to automobile accidents, homicide, cancer or systemic disease were not included in the denominator and the total number of deaths (denominator) was 182 compared to 514 in this study.8 The actual rate of suicide per athlete year in that study was 1:130,721 AY, and drug-overdose 1:192,970 AY which is similar to this study where the suicide rate was 1:103,476 AY and drug over-dose rate of 1:414,173 AY. In our study intentional overdoses were included in the “suicide” category and if it was clearly unintentional or unknown the cases was included in “drug-overdose” which may account for some of the difference between drug overdose rates. One of the benefits of looking at all-cause mortality in this population is the ability to make direct comparisons of risk. This study presents incidence rates per athlete-year, however, it has been suggested that ookkin ingg at the the 4 year year time frame of an average college col olle lege athlete’s career is a more accurate way to le looking consider risk. For con For example exa xamp mple mp le the the risk risk of of SCD S D in SC i an entering en nteriing D ivission I m iv alee ba asket etba tba ball ll pplayer layeer ov la ove er consider Division male basketball over he span sp of an average avveragee 4 year yeaar career ca er is 1 in 1,300 1,3300 AY while whilee the he rate rat atee of o SCD SCD for for that thaat same sam me time tim me the fram fr amee in m am alee so al socc ccer cc er pplayers laye la yers ers 1 iin n 55,922 ,92 922 92 2 AY aand nd iin n ma male le ffootball ootb oo tbal tb alll pl al play ayer erss 1 in 88,988 er ,988 988 A Y. ((Table Tabl Ta blee bl frame male soccer players AY. 4, 5). Not all athletes will participate 4-years, some competing a shorter time and some longer, which is a limitation when considering incidence rates in this manner. A preparticipation physical evaluation (PPE) is currently required of all NCAA athletes prior to participating in sport29. The current AHA recommendation for cardiovascular screening consists of a 14-element personal and family history and cardiovascular physical exam.1 The European Society of Cardiology,30 International Olympic Committee,31 Fédération Internationale de Football Association, and all US professional leagues recommend a more advanced screen including a 12-lead resting electrocardiogram (ECG). No method of screening for cardiovascular 11 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 disease will identify all cases, however, all of the athletes who died in this study had a PPE. The relative infrequency of SCD compared to other causes of death has been maintained by the American Heart Association (AHA) in support of traditional screening strategies.1, 8 However, SCD was the second leading cause of death after accidents and the leading medical cause of death. SCD was much more common than other causes of death, such as sickle cell trait (SCT), heat illness and brain injury, which have received considerable attention. SCT accounts for only 2% of student athlete deaths (1:471,391 AY) about 9 times less than SCD. Yet, during the preparticipation exam, all NCAA athletes are required to provide confirmation of SCT status, and either undergo SCT testing or sign a release declining testing.29 Heat illness accounts for less than han 1% of deaths in college athletes over the last ten years (1:1,060,630). Pre-sea Pre-season aso sonn conditioning rules mandating limits on practice and gradual acclimation, heat education awareness awar arren enes esss efforts es effo ef f rtts by b the NCAA, and the availab availability bil ilit ityy of trained medicall sstaff it t ff in the college ta setting where may occur the death ettting at most practices praacti pr tiicess wh wher eree he er heat att iillness llne ll ness m ay occ cccur may may have have ave decreased deecr crea easeed th ea he ra rate te ooff de deat athh du at duee too heat brain hea eat illness. illnes esss. Similarly, Sim imilarrly im y, sports-related spoorts ts-rellat ts a ed d ttraumatic r um ra umaatic br rainn injury, inju inju ury y, currently cu urrren ntlyy the the focus fo ocu c s of intense intten nse scrutiny, All young cru ruti tiny ti ny, accounts acco ac coun co unts nts for for only onl nly 4 deaths deat de aths at hs (1%, (1% 1%, 1:1,060,630) 1:11,06 1: 0600,63 06 630) 63 0) in in th thee pa past st ddecade. ecad ec adee. A ad ll ddeaths eath ea thss in you th oung ng athletes are tragic and opportunities to prevent these deaths should be considered in terms of the frequency in the population and the ability to potentially change outcome. In this study the most common finding at death was AN-SUD (16, 25%) while definitive HCM was found in only 5 athletes (8%). This differs from other reports relying on the USNRSDA for case identification.8-11 A recent report on college athletes using both the NCAA Resolutions List and the information on NCAA athletes from the USNRSDA during a similar time period (2002 – 2011) examined 47 autopsies with sufficient information for cause of death determination; 21 reported to have HCM.8 The reason for this discrepancy between studies is 12 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 unclear but may be due to different criterion for pathological diagnosis or ascertainment bias of cases. In our study the cause of death was determined by an expert panel including a cardiac pathologist, whereas autopsy reports were reviewed by only one researcher from the USNRSDA and there was no description of the pathological criterion used for categorization. A heart weight > 500 grams has been used in the past as a criteria for HCM, however, because many athletes are larger than average, it has become standard practice to use nomograms which are scaled to body weight to determine cutoffs for enlarged hearts.22, 25, 32, 33 The thickness of the ventricular septum (VS) is another measure used to make the diagnosis in living patients with HCM. However, VS measurements after death with the heart muscle contracted in rigor mortis do not directly correlate with echocardiographic measurements which are me meas asur as ured ur ed iin n measured diastole in the living and cannot be used at autopsy to define HCM. We used a ventricular septal o vventricular entr en tric tr icul ic ular ul ar fre ee--wall ratio of > 1.3 as one of th he ppossible ossible criteria for ca cate t gorization as HCM. to free-wall the categorization The mean meean heart heaart weight wei eigh ghtt in gh in the the USNRSDA USN NRSDA study sttudyy was was reported repo portted po d to to be be 563 63 + /- 770 0 gr gram ms an and +/grams mean me an n ventric iccul u arr sseptal eptaal (VS) ( S)) thickness (V thhick hi kne nesss 22 22 +/+/ 4 mm m. In n oour urr stu tudy tu dyy, th her e ew ere re 557 7 au uto opsiiess ventricular mm. study, there were autopsies deem de emed em ed aadequate dequ de quat atee to ddetermine at eter et ermi er mine mi ne ddiagnosis iagn ia gnos gn osis os is aand nd 221 1 hhearts eart ea rtss ov rt oover ver er 5500 00 ggrams. rams ra ms. Th ms Thee di diag agno ag nosi no siss of H si CM iin n deemed diagnosis HCM our study was given even if a heart was under the weight cutoff but had other features consistent with HCM (i.e. histology demonstrating cardiomyocyte disarray). 16 cases of some type of cardiomyopathy or possible cardiomyopathy were diagnosed in this study with a mean heart weight of 513 +/-96 grams and post-mortem IVS thickness of 17 +/- 5.7mm. Some of these cases may have represented HCM and did not fulfill formal criteria for categorization or have enough information to categorize as HCM. Although different criteria may have been used to determine cause of death between studies, the differences in mean heart weight and IVS thickness suggest that there were additional cases of HCM not included in our cohort. Given the USNRSDA is 13 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 based out of the Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Center at the Minneapolis Heart Institute Foundation, there is the possibility of ascertainment bias with respect to the cases collected. This also suggests that there are missed cases in our cohort and the incidence of SCD and SCD due to HCM is higher than reported. Two deaths were attributed to WPW which is often considered benign. WPW can be associated with SCD in the presence of atrial fibrillation with a short refractory period bypass tract. The risk of sudden death associated with asymptomatic WPW in most population based studies is 0.1% per year in adults.34 There is evidence to suggest a higher risk of sudden death in asymptomatic children and younger adults with WPW.35-37 In this cohort one athlete with WPW had previous SCA, had been resuscitated and had an ablation. Nine months later he he was was fo foun found undd un deceased in his bed presumably secondary to repeat arrhythmia. He was not a known drinker or drugg user use serr and and had haad a negative toxicology screen. The The other case had a known knnown clinical history of WPW and also ddied Other may WP ieed in hhis is ssleep. leeep ep. Ot Othe herr ccases he asees ooff WP WPW ma m y have have been bee eenn present p esen pr nt but but undiagnosed undi un diiag a no nose sedd in se the AN-SUD group. he A N-SUD D gro oup. up Athlete groups higher Athl At hlet hl etee gr et grou oups ps aatt hi high gher gh er rrisk iskk ooff SC is SCD D ar aree ma male le aathletes thle th lete le tess aand te nd bblack lack la ck aathletes, thle th lete le tess, aass well te weell aass basketball, football, and men’s soccer athletes. Male basketball players have the highest incidence of SCD at 1:8,978 AY, and the risk in Division I male basketball athletes was 1:5,200 AY, more than 10 times the risk of the overall athlete population. Data from the USNRSDA detailed death in 23 basketball athletes due to cardiovascular causes while this study identified only 21. It is unclear why basketball players are at higher risk for SCD, however, this is consistent with earlier findings in college and high school athletes.3, 38, 39 Basketball athletes were nearly 15 times more likely to die from cardiomyopathy, suggesting many of these athletes could be identified by a preparticipation ECG.40-44 There was no notable difference in SCD rates 14 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 between black and white Division I basketball players suggesting there may be something intrinsic about the demands of basketball beyond the ethnic/racial make-up of the sport that predisposes to SCD. Basketball also may select out a certain body habitus, and in fact, 2 of the 3 cases of Marfan Syndrome were in basketball players. However, Marfan Syndrome accounts for only a small fraction of deaths overall. This finding requires more study. Many studies rely on media reports for identification of SCD cases. In this study, the media database detected 70% of the total cases. In a Denmark study only 20% of athlete deaths identified by death certificates were found by an extensive media search15 and in later Denmark study using the same methods, only 5% of sports-related sudden death were identified through media search.45 Interestingly, there was a substantially higher proportion r of casess id iden identified enti en tifi ti fied fi ed bby y the he media database in Division I athletes compared to Division II and Division III while the prop proportion por orti tion ti on iidentified d ntif de ifie if i d in the Resolutions List didd no ie nott vary between divis division, sio ion, suggesting that hhigher high i her profile ddeaths eathss ar aaree mo more re llikely ikel ik elyy to bbee re el reported eporteed in th thee me medi media. d a. di 4-6 Insurance sometimes way identify SCD. Insu ura rancee cclaims laims ms aree som omettim om imes ess uused sedd aass a w ay too id den entiify yS CD.4-6 CD Most M ostt cata os catastrophic tasstroph ta st ph phic nju jury ry plans pla lans ns only onl nly cover cove co ver er deaths deat de aths at hs during durin urrin ingg school scho sc hool ho ol sponsored spo ponnso sore redd pr re prac acti ac tice ti cess or ggames. ce ames am es. On es Only ly 111% 1% ooff th thee injury practices deaths in this study were detected using catastrophic insurance claims, consistent with a study in Minnesota High school athletes where catastrophic insurance claims identified only 14% of deaths reported in the media.46 Prevention measures are typically aimed at preventing injury or death at any time; therefore, developing prevention programs with data from a limited scope poses inherent flaws. Limitations Although 3 different data sources were used, it is likely cases were missed. Data from the USNRSDA suggests that cases of HCM and basketball athletes were not identified in this cohort 15 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 and the reported incidences may be higher. In addition, accurate determination of cause of death in this study relied heavily on the information provided by autopsy reports. The expertise of the examiner conducting the autopsy, the quality of autopsies and the information provided varied considerably. The pathologic search for all potential causes of SCD in a young athlete requires specific expertise and dedicated protocols, which are not usual parts of the curriculum in forensic medicine in most countries. We attempted to mitigate this effect by having an expert panel review all available information to reach a consensus diagnosis and prevent bias. In addition, we do not know the absolute number of athletes which participated as some athletes may have participated in more than one sport. At the college level this is not typical and likely incidental. We also do not have the ability to directly compare these estimated SCD rates in aathletes thle th lete le tees to comparable rates in non-athletes, where reporting and detection is likely less vigilant, and methodologies differ. meth th hod odol olog ol ogie og ies di ie diff ffer. ff Conclusions C on nclusions 10-years The estimated rate of SCD in NCAA athletes has remained similar over the last 10-ye y ars and is approximately 1:50,000.3 High risk groups include males, black athletes, and basketball athletes. The most common finding in this cohort at autopsy after SCD was AN-SUD, and there were fewer cases of definitive HCM than previously described. Media reports are more likely to capture high profile deaths and lower divisions may be underrepresented in this study. Moving toward a standardized autopsy with involvement of a cardiovascular pathologist and utilization of molecular diagnostic tests will improve accuracy. Although institutional resources vary and may not be widely available to institute large scale advanced cardiovascular screening in all athletes, strong consideration should be given for additional cardiac testing beyond the traditional history and physical in higher risk groups, in particular, male basketball players. 16 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 Acknowledgments: The authors would like to acknowledge the assistance of Parent Heart Watch and the National Collegiate Athletic Association in data collection. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the NIH. Funding Sources: Dr. Owens was supported by the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences of the NIH under Award Number KL2TR000421. Conflict of Interest Disclosures: No authors have any conflicts of interest other than Jordan M. Prutkin has grants from Boston Scientific and St. Jude Medical, and Michael J. Ackerman is a consultant for Boston Scientific, Gilead Sciences, Medtronic, St. Jude Medical and receives royalties from Transgenomic. References: 1. Maron BJ, Friedman RA, Kligfield P, Levine BD, Viskin S, Chaitman BR, Okin PM, Saul JP, Salberg L, Van Hare GF, Soliman EZ, Chen J, Matherne GP, Bolling SF, Mitten MJ, Caplan A, Bala ady GJ, GJ, Thompson Thomp mpson PD. 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Harmon KG, Drezner J. Measuring sudden cardiac arrest and death incidence in minnesota high school athletes: A comparison of methodology and implications for prevention strategies. Br J Sports Med. 2014;48:605. 21 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 Table 1. Guidelines for Pathological Diagnosis. Dilated Cardiomyopathy x Heart weight > = 50% expected mean based on gender, age, and body size for weight (using the Mayo nomograms) without myocyte disarray o LV wall < 10 mm o Left ventricular chamber diameter > 3.0 cm (note: agonal dilatation should be excluded by examining for cell separation and other post-mortem artifact histologically) If absolute chamber diameter not measured, then comments about gross chamber dilation (without agonal dilatation from autolysis) o Histologically, myocyte hypertrophy with variable interstitial fibrosis (usually pericellular-type) Autopsy Negative-Sudden Unexplained Death x Normal heart pathologica all llyy pathologically x No obvious explanation ffor or ddeath eaath h x Presumed arrhythmia Myocarditis Related x Active lymphocytic myocarditis Inflamma mato ma tory infiltrates of the to o Inflammatory myocardiium with associated myocyte my myocardium in ury inju ry/n /n nec ecro rosis injury/necrosis Borrdeerline Bo nee myocarditis myocaard ditiss x Borderline Infflammaato ory inf filtratees ooff the th he o Inflammatory infiltrates myoc my ocar oc a dium m without wit i ho hout aassociated ssoociaatedd ss myocardium myoocyt my oc te iinjury/necrosis. njjury/nec ju ecro ec rosi ro sis. myocyte Heal He aled al ed m yoca yo card ca rdit rd itis it is x Healed myocarditis C A te Ab litie Coronary Artery Abnormalities x Coronary artery anomalies x Myocardial bridging x Tunneled coronary arteries x Coronary artery dissections SCD due to Coronary Artery Disease x Atherosclerotic coronary arteries > 70% lumen occlusion x More likely than not that this was primary cause of death Commotio Cordis x SCD after blunt trauma to the chest x No other cardiac pathology Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy x Heart weight > = 50% of expected mean based on gender, age, and body size for weight (using the Mayo nomograms) plus at least one of the following: o Histologic myocyte disarray, o Septal mitral valve contact lesion (implying systolic anterior motion of the anterior mitral valve leaflet), o Asymmetric LV hypertrophy, particularly ventricular septal – left ventricular free wall ratio 1.3 x Significant (>75% of the area of a section) myocyte disarray in a basal or mid-ventricular section but not meeting weight criteria. Arrythmogenic Cardiomyopathy x Gross fibrofatty replacement of either ventricular free wall (excluding anterior RV in older individuals x The fatty change should appear “infiltrative” with a perpendicular pattern with respect to the epicardial surface x Variable degrees of fibrosis, vacuolization, and/or lymphocytic myocarditis diopa path pa thic th ic LVH/ LVH VH// Po ossib ssi le Cardiomyopathy Idiopathic Possible He weig ighht > = 50% of the expected mean ig x Heart weight b sed on gender, ba gen e de derr, age, age gee, and and body bo y ssize izee fo iz forr we w i htt ig based weight May yo nnomograms) omo ogrrams)) (using the Mayo H art weig He ght h < = 50% % ooff the expe ex xp cted dm eann x Heart weight expected mean base ba s d onn sex, se sex, ag age, e, andd body bod o y si ize z ffor or w eigh ght h based size weight (usi (u sing si ng Mayo Mayo nomo ogr grams), ) but wi with th:: th (using nomograms), with: Feat Fe atur at ures ur es suggestive sug ugge gest ge stiv st ivee (but iv (but not not diagnostic) dia iagn gnos gn osti os tic) ti c) ooff o Features CM iincluding: l di ll > 16 mm, CM, LV wall interstitial fibrosis (non-replacement type), significant histologic myocyte hypertrophy. o No specific features of CM Cardiomyopathy NOS x Heart weight does not meet weight criteria x There are histologic changes such as hypertrophy or fibrosis x No/ minimal myocyte disarray not meeting criteria for HCM x Does not meet criteria for DCM x No pathologic features suggestive of HCM 22 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 Table 2. Breakdown of accidental death type. Accident Type automobile drowning fall motorcycle pedestrian bus head injury plane accidental overdose skateboarding fire bike boating horse snow now mobile electrocution choking jet et ski skki ogg ggiing logging otheer other total otaal Number of Cases Percent of Accidents Incidence per Athlete-Year* 158 61.72% 1 in 26,851 23 8.98% 1 in 184,457 18 7.03% 1 in 235,696 17 6.64% 1 in 249,560 6 2.34% 1 in 707,086 5 1.95% 1 in 848,503 4 1.56% 1 in 1,060,629 4 1.56% 1 in 1,060,629 3 1.17% 1 in 1,414,173 3 1.17% 1 in 1,414,173 2 0.78% 1 in 2,121,256 2 0.78% 1 in 2,121,256 2 0.78% 1 in 2,121,256 2 0.78% 1 in 2,121,256 2,1 ,121 ,1 2 ,2256 21 2 0.78% 1 in 2,121,256 2,1 , 21 21,2 ,2256 1 0.39% 1 in 4,2 4,242,519 242,519 1 0.39% 1 in 4,242,519 1 0.39% 1 in 4,242,519 1 0.39% 1 in 4,242,519 1 0.39 39% 39% 1 in 4,242,519 4,2 ,242 42,5 42 ,5199 ,5 0.39% 256 100.00% 100.00 00% 00 % * Total Tota To tall number ta numb ber of NCAA NC athlete-years athhlete-ye year ye arss is 4,242,519 ar 4,24 42,5 ,5199 ,5 23 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 Table 3. Incidence of sudden cardiac death in NCAA athletes. Athlete-Years 4,242,519 2,418,563 1.823,899 SCD 79 64 15 Incidence per Athlete-Year 1 in 53,703 1 in 37,790 1 in 121,593 Division Division 1 Division 2 Division 3 1,663,441 930,434 1,648,128 38 22 19 1 in 43,775 1 in 42,292 1 in 86,744 1.98 2.05 1.00 1.1 - 3.6 1.1 - 4.0 Reference Race 3,075,942 644,715 168,763 353,042 45 30 3 1 1 in 68,354 1 in 21,491 1 in 56,254 1 in 353,042 1.00 3.18 1.22 0.19 Reference 1.9 - 5.2 0.2 - 3.8 0.005 - 1.1 Characteristic Overall Sex Male Female White Black Hispanic Other 24 IRR 3.22 1.00 95% CI 1.9 – 5.5 Reference p-value >0.0001* 0.0131* 0.0231* >0.0001* 0.6974 0.049 0.0491* DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 Table 4. Incidence of sudden cardiac death in male basketball athletes Group Division I male basketball Division II male basketball Division on III male basketball asketball ll male Overall ball basketball Black SCD SCD Incidence Incidence Black in Blacks in Blacks Athlete- per Athlete- over 4 year Years Year career White SCD White AthleteYears SCD Incidence in Incidence in Whites per Whites over 4 year AthleteYear career Total SCD Total AthleteYears Total SCD Incidence Incidence per Athlete- over 4 year career Year 7 30,660 1 in 4,380 1 in 1,095 3 15,689 1 in 5,230 1 in 1,307 10 51,995 1 in 5,200 1 in 1,300 3 24,723 1 in 8,241 1 in 2,060 1 18,016 1 in 18,016 1 in 4,504 4 47,530 1 in 15,843 1 in 3,961 4 19,623 1 in 4,906 1 in 1,227 1 46,368 1 in 46,368 1 in 11,592 5 71,332 71,3332 1 in in 14,266 14,2 14 ,266 ,2 66 1 in 3,567 14 74,866 1 in 5,348 1 in 1,337 5 79,972 1 in 15,994 1 in 3,999 19 170,590 90 1 in in 8,978 8,97 9788 1 in 2,245 25 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 Table 5. Incidence of sudden cardiac death in sports . Sport Men’s basketball Men’s soccer Men’s Football Men’s Swimming Men’s Cross-country Men’s Lacrosse Women’s Cross-country Women’s Volleyball Men’s Baseball NCAA Athletes Women’s Swimming Women’s basketball Men’s track Athlete Deaths 19 9 18 2 3 2 3 3 6 79 2 2 2 Athlete-Years 170,590 213,205 647,125 85,568 128,570 91,699 141,268 147,653 300,137 4,242,519 115,221 154,121 241,041 Incidence per Athlete-Year 1 in 8,978 1 in 23,689 1 in 35,951 1 in 42,784 1 in 42,857 1 in 45,850 1 in 47,089 1 in 49,217 1 in 50,023 1 in 53,703 1 in 57,611 1 in 77,061 1 in 120,521 Incidence over 4year career 1 in 2,245 1 in 5,922 1 in 8,988 1 in 10,696 1 in 10,714 1 in 11,463 1 in 11,772 1 in 12,304 1 in 12,505 1 in 13,426 1 in 14,402 1 in 119,265, 9,26 9, 265, 26 5, 1 in in 30 30,1 30,130 130 *Sports Sports with one death: men’s crew, women’s golf, women’s softball, women’s tennis, men’s tennis, women’s track, rack, wrestling, women’s lacrosse Other Oth her ssports port po rtss ha rt hhad d no iidentified dentified SCDs Table T ab ble 6. Sou Source urc r e off information infforrmati tion ti on for ddetermination etterrminnattion off ca cause aus use of dea death. ath h. Source Sour So urce ur ce ooff Information Info In form fo rmat rm atio at ion io n Number Numb Nu mber mb er ooff Su Sudd Sudden dden dd en C Cardiac ardi ar diac di ac D Deaths eath ea thss th Autopsy confirmed A fi d 58 Coroner/medical examiner/ medical team 8 Medical/legal report of autopsy 4 Personal/Family history and history consistent with SCD 3 Exertional collapse without other explanation 3 Discussion with next of kin 1 Death certificate 2 Total 79 26 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015431 Figure Legends: Figure 1. Causes of Death in NCAA Athletes 2003 – 2013. Figure 2. A. Etiologies of sudden cardiac death in athletes. B. Etiology and activity at time of death*. *One person figure equals one death; female figures follow male figures unless no male deaths were present. 27 Figure 1 Figure 2A Figure 2B
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