REPUBLIC OF KENYA Programming Framework to End Drought Emergencies in the Horn of Africa ENDING DROUGHT EMERGENCIES IN KENYA Country Programme Paper August 2012 TABLE OF CONTENTS Acronyms .................................................................................................................................. iv Preface........................................................................................................................................ v Acknowledgements ................................................................................................................... vi Executive Summary ................................................................................................................. 1 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Context ............................................................................................................................... 2 1.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................2 1.2 Principal features of the ASALs..................................................................................2 1.3 Impact and extent of recurrent droughts .....................................................................5 Rationale and Objective of the Country Programme ................................................... 8 2.1 Rationale......................................................................................................................8 2.2 Objective of the country programme ..........................................................................9 Opportunities and Challenges ....................................................................................... 10 3.1 Opportunities for Ending Drought Emergencies .......................................................10 3.3 Challenges to Ending Drought Emergencies ............................................................11 Foundations of the Country Programme Paper .......................................................... 12 4.1 Policies, strategies and legal frameworks .................................................................12 4.2 Past and current programmes and projects ................................................................13 4.3 Summary of lessons learned ......................................................................................15 Strategic Response Areas and Proposed Interventions............................................... 16 5.1 Peace and human security .........................................................................................17 5.2 Humanitarian preparedness .......................................................................................18 5.3 Climate-proofed infrastructure development ............................................................19 5.4 Building human capital .............................................................................................21 5.5 Sustainable livelihoods adaptive to climate change ..................................................23 5.6 Multi-sectoral and multi-stakeholder coordination ...................................................26 ii | P a g e 6. Implementation and Institutional Arrangements ........................................................ 28 6.1 Overall responsibility ................................................................................................28 6.2 The National Drought Management Authority (NDMA) .........................................29 7. Reporting, Monitoring and Evaluation ........................................................................ 31 8. Financing Framework .................................................................................................... 31 iii | P a g e Acronyms ASALs Arid and Semi-Arid Lands ASCU Agricultural Sector Coordination Unit ASDS Agricultural Sector Development Strategy AU African Union CAADP Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme CEWARN Conflict Early Warning and Response Mechanism COMESA Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa CPP Country Programme Paper DSG District Steering Group EAC East African Community EDE Ending Drought Emergencies GDP Gross Domestic Product GOK Government of Kenya HDI Human Development Index ICT Information Communication Technology IGAD Intergovernmental Authority on Development KFSM Kenya Food Security Meeting KFSSG Kenya Food Security Steering Group NACONEK National Commission on Nomadic Education in Kenya NDDCF National Drought and Disaster Contingency Fund NDMA National Drought Management Authority NGO Non-Governmental Organisation PDNA Post-Disaster Needs Assessment SALW Small Arms and Light Weapons SRA Strategic Response Area iv | P a g e Preface Today, more than ever before, droughts are predictable phenomena. Technological advances have made weather forecasting an increasingly exact science. Over the past two decades the Government of Kenya and its development partners have built a drought management system that generates credible early warning information, drawn from a range of environmental, economic and welfare-based indicators. However, the recurrence of drought emergencies in Kenya tells us that we are not yet reacting to this information in the right way and at the right time. With drought vulnerability increasing, and with climate change now a reality, the challenge of effective response is becoming ever more urgent. This paper signals two important changes in the Government’s approach to drought management. The first of these is the recognition that successive drought emergencies are an indicator of chronic vulnerability. They will only be ended through investment in the foundations necessary for sustainable development. These foundations, echoing Kenya Vision 2030, include peace and security, climate-proofed infrastructure, and human capacities in education, health and nutrition. In all these areas the arid lands lag behind other parts of Kenya. Pastoralism will fully thrive, like any other production system, once these basic life-support mechanisms are put in place. The second direction of change is in our institutional and financing frameworks. The Government has established a National Drought Management Authority. This is a specialised, permanent institution to ensure coordinated, high-quality interventions at all stages of the drought cycle. It will be supported by a contingency financing facility which will enable timely response to the earliest signs of drought and in so doing prevent the downward spiral into crisis which has sadly become all too familiar. The Authority will lead the Government’s efforts in achieving the goals set out in this strategy. Similar shifts are now required at regional and global levels. International attention and funding must be driven by imperatives other than images of the suffering and distress of our children. Drought-prone countries need new and additional finance to strengthen communities’ adaptation to climate change and to protect those who have polluted least. And Africa needs partners who understand the latent potential of its drylands – who see promise and opportunity, where others see only problems. Hon. Mohamed Elmi MP, EGH, MBE Minister, Ministry of State for Development of Northern Kenya and Other Arid Lands v|Page Acknowledgements I wish to acknowledge the efforts of the technical experts who helped compile this document. Although I cannot possibly mention all of them, I will mention a few. The work of my colleagues and members of the Inter-Ministerial Coordination Committee, listed below, is particularly acknowledged: Dr. Mohamed Isahakia, Office of the Prime Minister Mr. Mutea Irengo, Office of the President Mr. Kenneth M. Lusaka, Ministry of Livestock Development Dr. Romano Kiome, Ministry of Agriculture Prof. Micheni Japhet Ntiba, Ministry of Fisheries Development Eng. David N. Stower, Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation Mr. Seno Nyakenyanya, Ministry of Cooperative Development and Marketing Eng. Carey Orege, Ministry of Regional Development Authorities Ms Dorothy N. Angote, Ministry of Lands Mr. M.A.M. Wa-Mwachai, Ministry of Forestry and Wildlife Dr. Edward Sambili, Ministry of Planning and Vision 2030 Mr. Ali Mohamed, Ministry of Environment and Mineral Resources Mr. Joseph Kinyua, Ministry of Finance Mr. Andrew Mondoh, Ministry of Special Programames Eng. Michael Kamau, Ministry of Roads Prof. George Godia, Ministry of Education Ms. Mary Ngari, Ministry of Medical Services Mr. Patrick Nyoike, Ministry of Energy Special thanks go to the FAO Country Director, Mr. Dan Rugabira, for his generous and unceasing support in the process of finalising the EDE CPP. Special mention also goes to the EU and the Technical Consortium (ILRI) for their commitment and contributions. The coordination and compilation role of the ASAL Secretariat and resource persons under the leadership of Prof. Kassim O. Farah is also highly acknowledged. Lawrence N. Lenayapa, CBS Permanent Secretary Ministry of State for Development of Northern Kenya And Other Arid Lands vi | P a g e Executive Summary This paper presents the Kenya Country Programming Framework for ending recurrent drought emergencies in Kenya. It combines the efforts of the communities concerned, the Government of Kenya, civil society, the private sector, states in the Horn of Africa, and development partners. The framework begins from the premise that because droughts have a slow-onset nature and are predictable, better management of their impact on communities is possible and will eliminate their worst effects. The focus is on creating a more conducive environment for building drought resilience. Stronger foundations and institutions for development in drought-prone areas will increase the efficiency and impact of all activities across all sectors, whether led by government, the private sector, or communities themselves. Although Kenya has suffered from periodic droughts throughout its recorded history, their magnitude and severity has increased in the recent past as a result of global climate change. This is particularly true of the arid and semi-arid lands (ASALs) which make up more than 80 per cent of Kenya’s land mass. The economic and social consequences of drought affect the entire country. Severe droughts and floods are estimated to cause an annualised reduction in GDP of 2.4 per cent. Early and appropriate response to emerging drought would therefore not only save lives but also enhance Kenya’s overall economic and social development, besides improving livelihoods in some of the poorest regions of the country. The Programming Framework has six Strategic Response Areas (SRA): SRA1: Peace and human security SRA 2: Humanitarian preparedness SRA 3: Climate-proofed infrastructure development SRA 4: Building human capital SRA 5: Sustainable livelihoods adaptive to climate change SRA 6: Multi-sector and multi-stakeholder coordination Implementation of the programme will require effective coordination of all stakeholders. The government has created the National Drought Management Authority (NDMA) to provide leadership and coordination of drought management in the country. A monitoring, evaluation and reporting system will be developed in line with the National Integrated Monitoring and Evaluation System (NIMES). Finally, a five-year indicative budget for the EDE has been developed which will now be reviewed and the detail fine-tuned in consultation with the relevant sectors. 1|Page 1. Context 1.1 Introduction The 2010/2011 drought in the Horn of Africa was the worst in 60 years. It caused a severe humanitarian and food crisis affecting more than 10 million people. The combined economic impact of the drought and related shocks was estimated at approximately 0.7–1.0 per cent of GDP.1 While the damage was significant in the whole of Kenya, the impact on food security and livelihoods in the arid and semi-arid lands (ASALs) was greatest. According to the interagency Kenya Food Security Steering Group (KFSSG), an estimated 4.5 million people were affected: 3.8 million people in the ASALs and 700,000 in non-ASAL areas. During that period Kenya also hosted approximately 530,000 refugees, mostly from Somalia, further straining local resources. According to the Kenya Post Disaster Needs Assessment (PDNA) report (2012), the damages and losses from the 2008–2011 drought are estimated at KShs. 968.6 billion (US$12.1 billion). This figure includes the destruction of physical and durable assets and the loss of income flows across all sectors of the economy. Appropriate management of drought is therefore critical to national development. 1.2 Principal features of the ASALs The ASALs cover more than 80 per cent of Kenya’s land mass (see map), of which 70 per cent is arid and 19 per cent semi-arid, and host slightly more than one-third of the total population (Table 1). Aridity is the defining feature of the ASALs. Annual rainfall in arid areas ranges between 150 mm and 550 mm, while in semi-arid areas it is between 550 mm and 850 mm. Temperatures in arid areas are high throughout the year, with high rates of evapo-transpiration. Owing to these climatic conditions, most of the ASAL landmass is suitable for extensive and intensive livestock agricultural systems. More than 70 per cent of the country’s livestock and 75 per cent of its wildlife are found in the ASALs. The region’s low and erratic rainfall, frequent 1 World Bank (2011): ‘The Drought and Food Crisis in the Horn of Africa: Impacts and Proposed Policy Responses for Kenya’ 2|Page droughts and extreme vulnerability to climate change present severe economic and social consequences for the whole country. Table 1: ASAL Population Data, 2009 Census Arid counties Garissa Mandera Semi-arid counties 623,060 Kitui 1,025,756 Makueni 1,012,709 884,527 Wajir 661,941 Meru Marsabit 291,166 Tharaka-Nithi 365,330 Isiolo Turkana Samburu 143,294 Embu 855,399 Nyeri 223,947 West Pokot 516,212 693,558 512,690 Baringo 555,561 Narok 850,920 Tana River 240,075 Kajiado 687,312 Laikipia Kilifi Kwale 399,227 1,109,735 649,931 Lamu Taita Taveta Total % national population 4,620,199 12% 1,356,301 101,539 284,657 9,424,648 24% Most arid counties in the north are remote and constrained by rudimentary transport, energy and communications infrastructure. The population is sparse and scattered across large areas of relatively small settlements inhabited by pastoral communities. For pastoralists, mobility is a strategic and sophisticated response to conditions of non-equilibrium. The social system is mostly communal, governed by customary (informal) institutions. Past development strategies have concentrated on developing Kenya’s high-rainfall areas. As a result, many ASAL areas have the poorest service provision in the country (Table 2), the highest incidence of poverty and the lowest human development – in some places only half the national average. The Human Development Index (HDI) for five arid districts in 2009 ranged between 0.21 and 0.37, compared with the national HDI of 0.50.2 Counties most affected by drought register an average poverty rate of 73 per cent. In most arid counties human capital is poorly developed. Literacy levels are low. Few institutions of higher learning provide training in subjects that are relevant to the ASALs. There is no university in the north, and vocational and technical institutions are poorly 2 GoK/UNDP (2009) Kenya National Human Development Report 3|Page equipped to provide science-based courses. Relevant research centres are few and dispersed; as result, there have been fewer scientific breakthroughs in the livestock sector than in the crop sector. Health services are also thin and scattered resulting in low vaccination rates among children, poor antenatal care, and high prevalence of disease outbreaks. Table 2: Social service provision in North Eastern Province3 Service Provided Primary net enrolment Primary girls’ completion Secondary net enrolment Electricity at home Access to safe drinking water Women using antenatal care Vaccinated children (12-23 months) NEP (%) 36.3 25 2.2 3.2 9.9 31.7 54.3 National average (%) 78.7 75 12.5 16.0 56.3 89.9 92.6 Arid areas are also the most poorly equipped with information communication technologies (ICTs). The fact that some groups are difficult to reach also means that information about them is less reliable. An important cross-cutting strategy within the social pillar of Vision 2030 calls for investment in gender-disaggregated systems of data collection and analysis in order to enhance understanding of people’s welfare and inform gender-balanced interventions. Agriculture is the mainstay of the Kenyan economy, directly contributing about 24 per cent of annual GDP and 65 per cent of total exports, and providing more than 60 per cent of informal employment in rural areas. Livestock contributes more than 50 per cent of agricultural GDP and 13 per cent to national GDP. The livestock sector in Kenya employs about 50 per cent of the agricultural workforce and about 90 per cent of the ASAL workforce. Approximately 70 per cent of livestock are found in the ASALs. Over the past few decades, the ASALs have witnessed several transformations that have affected pastoralists’ livelihoods. People are migrating from over-populated informal urban settlements into semi-arid areas where they practise farming in areas that are not well-suited for agriculture. Large areas of grazing land have been converted to settlements and removed from communal use to conservation. Rangelands have also been targeted by large government schemes such as the Turkwell Electricity Project and the Olkaria Geothermal Project, thereby reducing accessible pasture and leading to overgrazing and deterioration of rangelands. This in turn hampers herd growth, reducing stock numbers below economic thresholds and driving many pastoralists out of their traditional occupation and exposing them to human-wildlife conflict. 3 HPG (2010): ‘Pastoralism demographics, settlement and service provision in the Horn and East Africa: transformation and opportunities’ 4|Page 1.3 Impact and extent of recurrent droughts In recent years, and especially since 1981, cyclical droughts have become more severe and frequent and are progressively eroding livelihoods in pastoral, agro-pastoral and agricultural zones. Figure 1 shows the average number of people receiving food aid between 2000 and 2010. The number of people receiving food aid as a proportion of the total affected by drought increased from 60 per cent in 2006 to 91 per cent and 88 per cent in 2009 and 2010 respectively. Figure 1: Average number of people on food aid The livestock subsector sustained significant losses from the 2008-11 drought (Figure 2).4 However, the negative impact of drought is felt most acutely by pastoralists who have lost their livestock. Figure 2: Sector damages and losses caused by the 2008–11 drought 4 Republic of Kenya (2012) ‘Post Disaster Needs Assessment: 2008-11 Drought’ 5|Page The second most drought-affected sector in the 2008-11 period was agriculture; the production of food and industrial crops reduced by Kshs. 121.1 billion. Finally, the financial cost of humanitarian aid is substantial (Table 3). Table 3: Financial cost of emergency response in Kenya5 Major drought events Humanitarian aid from GoK & development partners (US$m) Number of people affected (in millions) 1998-2000 287.5 2.36 2003-2004 219.1 2.23 2006 197.0 2.97 2009 2011 423.0 427.4 3.79 3.75 Insecurity of tenure to land and other productive resources is a major factor increasing the vulnerability of pastoralists and other rangeland users to drought. This has exacerbated access-related conflicts, particularly for key resources such as riverine dry-season grazing areas. The consequences of drought on pastoralists’ livelihoods have always been devastating (Box 1). As drought progresses, livestock owners are forced to sell their animals before they die, which leads to low sale prices. Lack of food at the household level is caused by low milk production and depressed purchasing power (as food prices rise). Increased competition for scarce grazing and water resources may lead to inter-communal conflict and insecurity and a consequent reduction in access to markets and other services. Poor infrastructure makes it difficult to transport relief assistance or food supplies to deficit areas. Wealth divisions increase as the poor are less able to hold on to the assets necessary to maintain (and rebuild) their livelihoods after the crisis has ended, and as social support mechanisms come under pressure. These poorer herders require support either to return to pastoralism or find alternative livelihoods. Successive droughts have led to many families falling out of the pastoral economy. Other social impacts are being caused by environmental and socio-economic changes in drylands. For example, gender roles are shifting. Women, culturally viewed in the past as vulnerable and in need of protection, are now playing key roles in ensuring the survival of their families. With the depletion of livestock, and with some men migrating either in search of pasture or employment, women are acting as heads of households with all the accompanying responsibilities and associated impact on the social fabric of pastoral societies. Increased awareness and opportunities for education, combined with high levels of unemployment and limited income generation opportunities, are leading young people to challenge traditional authority and decision-making systems that previously resided with 5 UNOCHA financial tracking service and KFSSG 6|Page elderly men. This is leading to a breakdown in the respect and control exercised by customary institutions, thus making it increasingly difficult to resolve inter- and intra-community conflicts. The commercialisation of cattle raiding, and the increase in small arms, has further complicated peace building processes. Feelings of marginalisation among many in ASAL communities undermine the sense of national unity that the country urgently needs. Box 1: The effects of drought on a pastoral economy 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. Loss of livestock: Kenya lost livestock worth US$ 77 million in 1999-2001 Reduction in pastoralists’ purchasing power / deteriorating terms of trade Deterioration in nutritional status Disruption in the flow of livestock to market Disruption to animal reproductive cycles Undermining of animal health systems as herders become less able to pay for services and some organisations distribute free or subsidised drugs Increased sedentarisation causing localised environmental degradation Increased risk of conflict Increased workload for women Extended migration, including cross-border Increase in school drop-outs and reduction in academic performance Rise in levels of poverty and food insecurity There is growing demand for meat and livestock products both within the region and beyond, which in theory expands the marketing opportunities for livestock producers. However, these opportunities are not being realised because of the poor road network and marketing infrastructure and the lack of financial institutions. There is accelerated ecological deterioration in the ASALs. This is evident in the loss of vegetation cover, land degradation through soil erosion, fragmentation, destruction of wildlife habitats, and degradation of water catchments. The poor resort to destructive strategies such as felling indigenous trees for charcoal, river-bed sand harvesting and the cultivation of marginal lands. These have negative social consequences, such as increasing the distance women have to walk in search of fuel wood and water, leaving little time for productive engagements. While some pastoralists have resorted to fishing, they have limited skills and lack appropriate equipment. However, the climatic and cultural diversity of the ASALs offers significant economic and livelihood opportunities, most of which are under-exploited. The ASALs are a landscape rich in biodiversity, both fauna and flora. There are untapped underground water resources as well as stretches of land that could be used for food and animal feed production. The ASALs are potentially rich in oil, gold and other non-renewable resources. If properly managed, and supported by reliable infrastructure and social services, these could provide sustainable and prosperous livelihoods for ASAL communities and spur significant economic growth for the nation as a whole. 7|Page 2. Rationale and Objective of the Country Programme 2.1 Rationale The programme to End Drought Emergencies was a consensual response of all the countries affected by the drought of 2011. In response to the ensuing humanitarian crisis, the Heads of State and Government of the Horn and East Africa came together on 8–9 September 2011 in Nairobi. There was also high-level representation from the United Nations, development partners and international agencies. The Heads of State directed IGAD to lead and coordinate member states in implementing the Ending Drought Emergencies initiative. Box 2: Factors contributing to drought emergencies Environmental Weather variability, drought frequency and intensity, climate change Land degradation, over-exploitation of natural resources (including woodlands), destruction of water towers Lack of alternative sources of energy Humanitarian assistance Over-reliance on relief assistance, particularly food aid Reactive, crisis management approach Late response Lack of drought contingency funds Failure to link relief operations adequately to recovery and development Socio-economic Under-investment in critical sectors (livestock, infrastructure, health, education) that weakens adaptive capacity Macro-economic instability (for example, maize prices in 2011 in areas of key concern were 70–130% higher than the five-year average) Conflict Lack of livelihood options outside the pastoral system Production Lack of security over natural resources; poor land use policy Limitations on mobility Lack of / high cost of agricultural inputs, storage structures Poor extension services and adoption of agricultural technology Regional Disjointed approaches to pastoralism across the region Lack of harmonised cross-border policies Lack of transboundary disease control policies This programme will benefit from the lessons learned from past national and regional development projects and from managing previous droughts. These lessons suggest that a more comprehensive, strategic and coordinated response is required. In the past, the Kenyan government and international community attempted to address the recurring problem of drought primarily through humanitarian interventions. More resources and attention were devoted to emergency response than to preventive, risk-reducing measures. However, this 8|Page failed to reduce the number of people affected or address the underlying factors that contribute to drought emergencies (Box 2). Relief efforts may save lives but risk undermining people’s survival strategies. Evidence also suggests that preventive measures are more costeffective than late response.6 A concerted effort is now needed at both national and regional levels to invest in the opportunities presented by the ASALs in a way that avoids or mitigates future shocks. To achieve this vision there must be a paradigm shift that strengthens the resilience of the ASALs’ various forms of capital. Increased occurrence of droughts should be expected, given increasing variability caused by climate change. But given their slow-onset nature, droughts can be predicted and managed and should never evolve into emergencies. This Country Programme Paper (CPP) therefore aims to enhance resilience to drought in the ASALs within the framework and timeline of Kenya Vision 2030. Its main thrust will be to create a more conducive environment for building resilience to drought by investing in the essential foundations for development, such as infrastructure, human capital, and security, while at the same time strengthening the link between relief, recovery and development through long-term planning. It presents a unique opportunity to tackle the issue in an inclusive, coordinated and holistic way. 2.2 Objective of the country programme The objective of the country programme, which will be implemented through two successive Medium Term Plans (MTP), is to transform the management of drought, substantially reduce its impact and eventually end drought emergencies in Kenya. This will be achieved by focusing on the following strategic issues: 1. Investing in the foundations for development as articulated in Kenya Vision 2030 (i.e. infrastructure, security and human capital). 2. Developing an effective institutional framework to sustainably manage drought and its consequences. 3. Enhancing the adaptive capacities of communities to the effects of climate variation and climate change through the application of relevant ecosystem approaches. 4. Comprehensive monitoring and evaluation towards the achievement of these objectives. 6 Fitzgibbon, C. (2012) ‘Economics of Resilience Study: Kenya Country Report’ 9|Page 3. Opportunities and Challenges 3.1 Opportunities for Ending Drought Emergencies Strong traditional institutions and customary mechanisms of conflict resolution, knowledge sharing, and social support (such as loaning of animals). These are complemented by openness to new ideas (such as new technologies) and synergy between formal and traditional institutions. The pastoral coping strategy for risk and uncertainty involves opportunistic mobility and herd diversification and maximisation. Diversification of income sources. Key areas of investment include natural resource management and environmental protection, herd growth, livestock-based enterprises, alternative livelihoods, and institutional capacity building. The public sector has a critical role in creating a favourable enabling environment. Scaling up successful innovations requires careful planning. Care should be taken to ensure the inclusion of the most vulnerable segments of communities, such as the non-literate, and those who depend on unsustainable or destructive activities, such as charcoal burning, which offer short-term and low-impact solutions while undermining ecosystem resilience. Investing in human capital development to make the most of social and economic opportunities. Investing in youth, women and community education will build a solid foundation for sustainable growth, while also helping the government fulfil its national and international obligations and commitments.7 Developing infrastructure, including roads, markets, health facilities, irrigation/waterharvesting structures, ICT and energy. Infrastructure must be properly planned, for example in accommodating likely climate impacts and ensuring sustainable natural resource use. Creating marketing opportunities for livestock and other dryland products within Kenya and beyond, supported by a market value chain analysis and within an overall regional economic integration strategy. Increased engagement of pastoralists and smallholder farmers in national, regional and international markets is possible through strengthening institutions such as marketing cooperatives and producer associations and harmonising trade policies. Enhancing options for food security by advancing sustainable irrigation to increase production, adopting drought-tolerant crops and animal breeds, reducing post-harvest losses and food waste, and promoting indigenous high-value edible, herbal or medicinal plants. 7 For example, the UN Convention on the Rights of the Child (1989), the African Charter on the Rights and Welfare of the Child (1999) and the Millennium Declaration (2000), all of which oblige their signatories to realize the right of every child to education. Kenya has now made education a constitutional right. 10 | P a g e A drought contingency fund linked to the National Drought Management Authority will ensure that funds are available for early drought response. New sources of income may become available through the global climate change framework. 3.3 Challenges to Ending Drought Emergencies High poverty levels hamper community participation in development and reduce the extent to which drought-prone communities are cushioned against shocks. Insecurity is a major challenge that deters investment and development. Both the formal justice system and customary institutions are proving unable to deal with conflict. Inadequate social and physical infrastructure, in large, remote and sparsely populated areas with many mobile groups. Poor management of rangelands and water resources. Weak controls over the spread of settlements and water points have created localised degradation and conflict. The subdivision of rangelands and the influx of non-pastoral land management systems have led to range degradation and the loss of dry-season grazing areas. Inadequate coordination. There are many agencies with diverse policies and mandates and uncoordinated activities, leading to delays and ineffective response. Lack of mainstreaming of drought preparedness and risk-reduction in planning and budgeting. Unemployment, particularly of youth aged 18-35. Urban centres are growing but not creating sufficient jobs to serve those graduating from colleges. School leavers lack skills and the necessary qualifications to compete in the limited labour market. Labour laws are problematic in traditional systems of production where there is over-reliance on household labour. Weak research and knowledge base. The ASAL research network is weak; very few government centres target ASAL-specific research problems. Decades of neglect have left a gap in knowledge and a dearth of trained and qualified researchers capable of solving the problems of dryland livelihoods, particularly under the effects of climate change. 11 | P a g e 4. Foundations of the Country Programme Paper 4.1 Policies, strategies and legal frameworks To build a firm foundation for the Country Programme Paper (CPP), information was obtained from the following documents that reflect the government’s position on drought management and ASAL development. Kenya Vision 2030: This is the overarching national development plan that aims to move all Kenyans towards the future as one nation, in a way that respects and harnesses the diversity of peoples’ values, traditions, and aspirations for the benefit of all. It re-affirms the government’s commitment to addressing the particular priorities of Kenyans living in the ASALs. Vision 2030 Development Strategy for Northern Kenya and other Arid Lands: This deepens Kenya Vision 2030 by showing not only how national goals will be pursued in the specific context of the ASALs, but how the development of the region will enhance national prosperity. Draft Sessional Paper on the National Policy for the Sustainable Development of Northern Kenya and Other Arid Lands: This emphasises three distinct policy challenges that are particular to the region: first, how to close the developmental gap between Northern Kenya and the rest of the country, which is a product of its historical experience, and in so doing strengthen national cohesion; second, how to protect and promote the mobility and institutional arrangements that are so essential to productive pastoralism; and third, how to ensure food security across the ASALs where unpredictability is certain to increase as the impact of climate change deepens. Draft Disaster Management Policy: This emphasises preparedness in disaster risk reduction by the government, communities and other stakeholders. It aims to establish and strengthen disaster management institutions and mainstream disaster risk reduction in the development process. Agricultural Sector Development Strategy, 2010-20: The ASDS is the national policy document for the agricultural sector and outlines the measures that will be taken to propel the sector into the future. National Climate Change Response Strategy: This affirms the Government’s commitment to enhance the resilience of communities to drought and other climate-induced disasters and strengthen Kenya’s capacity for adapting to climate change. Food and Nutrition Security Policy: This provides an overarching framework for the multiple dimensions of food security and nutrition. It recognises the need for multistakeholder involvement in both the public and private sectors, and that hunger eradication is 12 | P a g e a shared responsibility of all Kenyans. The policy is framed in the context of basic human rights, child rights and women’s rights, including the universal ‘Right to Food’. Draft National Social Protection Policy: This provides a framework for social protection interventions which can also contribute to drought resilience. Policy Framework for Nomadic Education in Kenya (2010): This recognises that Kenya’s nomadic communities, the majority of whom are pastoralists, face multiple barriers to education, and that unless these barriers are removed, Kenya will not achieve the Millennium Development Goals for education nor the Education for All goals. The government will establish a National Commission for Nomadic Education in Kenya (NACONEK) to provide services appropriate to the realities of nomadic areas. Ending Conflict Among Communities in Northern Kenya and other Arid Lands, 20102012: This strategy was developed jointly by the Ministry of State for Provincial Administration and Internal Security and the Ministry of State for Development of Northern Kenya and other Arid Lands, in collaboration with political leaders from the region. It argues that successful reduction of inter-communal conflict will only be achieved if there is coordinated action by four types of stakeholder: the Kenyan state, political leaders, communities, and neighbouring countries. It argues for measures to incentivise peace building and conflict management at all levels, and to work with clusters of conflict that cross administrative boundaries. Other documents on which the country paper is based include: the National Environment Action Plan (NEAP, 1994); the Strategy for Dryland Forestry Development, the Environmental Management and Coordination Act (1999), the East African Community Trans-boundary Ecosystem Management Bill (2010), and IGAD’s Horn of Africa National Adaptation Plan of Action (NAPA). Finally, a pan-African Policy Framework to secure and protect the lives, livelihoods and rights of pastoral peoples and to reinforce the contribution of pastoral livestock to national, regional and continent-wide economies has also been developed and is relevant to this programme. 4.2 Past and current programmes and projects There is a rich history of development in the ASALs since independence in 1963. The first phase (1963-1980) focused on landscape management by promoting commercial livestock production and the registration of pastoral group ranches, primarily in Kajiado, Narok, Samburu and Laikipia. In the more arid districts in the north and east, a block-grazing model was promoted (1968-1982). The first 10-year ASAL development programme was formulated in 1979 and implemented until 1988. In 1989, the government created the Ministry of Reclamation and Development of Arid and Semi-arid Areas and Wastelands (MRDASW) to coordinate the policy formulation of all ASAL development. During the life of this Ministry, the Environmental Action Plan (EAP) was developed. Its main objective was to enhance the ability of ASAL communities to 13 | P a g e manage their resources in a sustainable manner. The significance of the EAP to Ending Drought Emergencies is its emphasis on the need for policies, legislation and institutions to address economic development and the environmental problems of the ASALs, with emphasis on improved pastoralism, dryland farming, wildlife integration, drought management, reclamation of wastelands, community participation and overuse of wood forest resources. The following programmes and projects are some of those implemented in the ASALs. Kenya Livestock Development Programme (KLDP), 1968–1982: The World Bank-funded KLDP was a large, complex, multi-donor project which cost approximately US$81.2 million. Its planning was primarily top–down, complicated by the lack of consideration for the ecological functions of rangelands under non-equilibrium systems. Although KLDP was considered one of the most promising rangeland management programmes, planners’ lack of knowledge of conditions on the ground, and the absence of a holistic community-based approach, led to its failure. Emergency Drought Recovery Project, 1991–1996: A key lesson from this World Bankfunded project was that short-term emergency interventions are insufficient for reducing the vulnerabilities of ASAL communities and building their resilience to shocks. Its key achievement was the formation of water users associations and livestock drug users associations, both of which enhanced community participation in drought management. Arid Lands Resources Management Project (ALRMP), 1996–2010: The main thrust of ALRMP was to institutionalise drought management and carry out integrated ASAL development. A key lesson was that building community structures and institutions, such as pastoralist associations and community-based organisations, greatly increases local capacity to manage droughts and respond to emergencies in a timely and effective manner prior to the arrival of external assistance. The project emphasised the importance of community-level contingency planning and early warning systems. It also facilitated the introduction of mobile schools into the mainstream education system. ASAL-based Livestock and Rural Livestock Support Programme (ALLPRO), 2004– 2010: ALLPRO was implemented by the Ministry of Livestock Development and funded by the African Development Bank. It focused on improving livestock productivity, marketing and support for drought management and food security in 22 districts. Kenya Drylands Livestock Development Programme, 2010–2013, is funded by USAID and implemented by the Citizen’s Network for Foreign Affairs (CNFA). It aims to increase income and food security for pastoralists in Garissa, Mandera, Wajir and Tana River by investing in the livestock value chain to enhance trade in livestock and livestock products. Kenya Rural Development Programme (KRDP) is an ongoing project that aims to increase the capacity of ASAL communities to respond effectively to drought and other vulnerabilities. It focuses on securing long-term food security by improving agricultural 14 | P a g e productivity nationwide, and improving livelihoods and drought response in the ASALs. It builds on lessons from the previous Drought Management Initiative (DMI). The Hunger Safety Net Programme is an ongoing project funded by DFID and AusAID that uses biometric technologies to disburse cash transfers using electronic point-of-sale devices managed by a network of traders. The project is demonstrating that increasing the penetration of new technologies into remote areas is both beneficial and achievable. One key lesson learnt from the project is the use of ICTs to minimise the effect of distance on social service delivery. Education for Nomads: The Ministry of State for Development of Northern Kenya and other Arid Lands supported a process of participatory research during 2009-2010 which resulted in the development of a people-centred distance learning strategy for nomadic communities. The Ministry has also facilitated the establishment of the independent Northern Kenya Education Trust (NoKET), which is supporting the education of students from pastoralist families, particularly girls, at secondary, tertiary and university levels, and which has now absorbed the previous UNICEF-supported secondary scholarship scheme for girls from North Eastern Province. Capacity Kenya is an IntraHealth project supported by USAID which is helping to improve capacity in Human Resources for Health (HRH). Although a national initiative, Capacity Kenya recognises the distinct HRH challenges facing the arid lands, and is implementing a series of affirmative action measures in the training and development of health service personnel. Other projects in the health sector are also reorienting themselves to respond to the difficulties experienced by remote and nomadic communities in accessing quality health care, such as APHIAplus Northern Arid Lands, which was implemented between 2010 and 2012. 4.3 Summary of lessons learned Successful projects have the following qualities: Priority given to active community involvement and participation: in many previous interventions participatory planning was not a feature of project design. Recognition of the potential of the ASALs, particularly in the livestock and renewable energy sectors, and in the region’s strategic position as the gateway to markets in the Horn of Africa and beyond. Complementary investment in the foundations for development, and particularly in the region’s economic and social infrastructure (roads, renewable energy, water, education, and health), to increase private sector and civic engagement and reduce basic inequalities. This investment underpins the productivity of pastoralism and other production systems. Integration of alternative models of service delivery that take account of mobility, low population density, and pastoralism’s distinct institutional arrangements. 15 | P a g e 5. Adoption of appropriate technical solutions to the challenges of ensuring food and nutrition security in dryland environments in the context of climate change. Strategic Response Areas and Proposed Interventions The Nairobi Summit in September 2011 called for an end to drought emergencies in the Horn of Africa. In response, the Government of Kenya made a commitment to provide the political leadership required. This commitment was based on the understanding that although drought itself cannot be avoided, drought emergencies can be mitigated through long-term sustainable development of the ASALs. This is clearly underscored by the Kenya Vision 2030 Development Strategy for Northern Kenya and Other Arid Lands which envisages a comprehensive approach to the development of the region as an integral part of Kenya Vision 2030. The Kenya Country Programme Paper is based on the following considerations: 1. The traditionally resilient livelihoods practised by ASAL communities are being undermined by multiple challenges, leaving people increasingly vulnerable to risk. 2. Local communities should be empowered and integrally involved in the planning and development of ASAL areas. 3. ASAL communities are not homogeneous and have different needs and entitlements. 4. The strategies to ending drought emergencies should consider environmental threats (such as climate change and water scarcity) as well as geopolitical changes, and must take into consideration the diversity of ASAL ecosystems. 5. Sustainable development of the diverse resources and communities of the ASALs is complex, and requires effective coordination of many actors. 6. The basic human rights and dignity of ASAL communities must be observed when investing in the development of the region’s renewable and non-renewable resources. All elements of the CPP are designed and will be implemented in ways that take full account of the likely impacts of climate change. The strategy focuses less on individual projects and more on ensuring that the overall environment is more conducive to building drought resilience. With stronger foundations and institutions for development in place, the efficiency and impact of all interventions in the ASALs, whether led by government, the private sector, or communities themselves, will be increased. The interventions proposed under each Strategic Response Area (SRA) are described below. These are indicative, and will be reviewed and refined in collaboration with each sector as the first Medium Term Plan is developed. 16 | P a g e 5.1 Peace and human security Situation analysis Insecurity and violence can be high in the ASALs, particularly in times of drought. In general, insecurity is not directed at outsiders; it tends to be clan-based, complex, and episodic. Insecurity has international dynamics and ramifications given the volatility of some neighbouring countries and pastoralists’ need for mobility. This applies most particularly to Kenya’s extensive international borders in Northern, Upper Eastern, North Eastern and Rift Valley, where border control measures are weak. Conflicts can arise from increased competition over shared resources. For instance, the need to re-stock after losses from livestock raids, encounters with armed raiders during migration, or the sharing of grazing and water resources with wildlife are all flash points for the conflagration of conflicts. The slow pace of advance negotiations with neighbouring communities, and the lack of security for mobile pastoralists while accessing grazing and water resources, render both pastoralists and host communities vulnerable to attacks and confrontation with law-enforcement agencies. Various cross-border peace mechanisms have been tried, but they tend to be sporadic and under-resourced and take place in the absence of a comprehensive policy that facilitates interaction and coordination between states. Customary institutions still play a major role in resolving and transforming conflicts, especially during their early stages. However, as new types of conflicts arise and new actors get involved, the effectiveness of customary institutions is being challenged and in some cases eroded. Peace and human security are pre-requisites for investment, development and the facilitation of pastoral livelihoods, including mobility for trade and access to resources. The government has declared peace building, human security and national cohesion as major goals for sustainable development in Kenya. The National Steering Committee on Peace Building and Conflict Management has taken a proactive role by establishing peace committees at provincial, district, divisional and community levels and by its efforts to contain the influx of small arms and light weapons into the country. Successful interventions to address the underlying causes of conflict and strengthen peaceful coexistence between communities include the development and enforcement of community social agreements, CEWARN’s ICT for Peace Project, conflict early warning desks linked to CEWARN, women-led interventions including women’s peace forums, peace caravans, and the establishment of peace dividends. A full understanding of the root causes of conflicts is necessary if effective and sustainable solutions are to be found. 17 | P a g e Possible interventions Develop a coherent strategy for peace and conflict transformation and prevention. This will be integrated across all major sectors and include all actors in order to strengthen and institutionalise the peace infrastructure at all levels. Encourage and strengthen community-led peace and human security institutions, processes and actions in order to pre-empt, prevent and resolve conflicts at the local level where early response and effective resolution are more likely. Conflicts over natural resources and livelihood assets including livestock will be given particular attention. Additional resources, such as rapid response kits, will be made available to district security and peace committees. Government, private sector and NGO partnerships will be explored. Interventions will build on existing mechanisms, but integrate innovative approaches to tackle new challenges. Improve the deployment and capacity of law enforcement agencies and the police force (police posts, training, provision of better equipment, communication / radios / power supply) to enhance security in the ASALs. Particular attention will be given to curbing the cross-border influx and use of small arms and light weapons. Develop effective systems to monitor conflicts and ensure early response. Drought contingency plans will include conflict mitigation measures. 5.2 Humanitarian preparedness Situation analysis Despite recent approaches to early warning and contingency planning systems, humanitarian assistance in Kenya continues to take a reactive crisis management approach rather than an anticipatory and preventive risk management approach. It is characterised by late response leading to over-reliance on emergency food aid, which can disrupt socio-economic activities and does not build resilience. Failure to respond appropriately to drought early warning information and the lack of a national drought contingency fund contribute immensely to emergencies. Other factors which exacerbate crises include lack of roads to reach affected communities, disease outbreaks, and inadequate staff at community and institutional levels to deliver essential services. Under-investment in critical sectors such as livestock, infrastructure, agriculture, health and education weakens adaptive capacity to climate variability and climate change. Low levels of community involvement in public decision making and cultural barriers to participation in development also increase vulnerability. Food insecurity is aggravated by the loss of production, the high cost of food and fuel, limited access to a strategic food reserve, and constrained livelihood options for those who have dropped out of pastoralism. An additional concern is the failure to link humanitarian assistance with recovery and long-term development. At the same time, climate change is exacerbating all these threats and increasing vulnerability. 18 | P a g e Humanitarian assistance has an important role to play in the short term but contributes little to long-term social and economic growth. The fact that droughts are manageable and are known to be recurring phenomena has not always been translated and incorporated into strategic response plans. Kenya is well positioned to undertake a strategic approach to drought management. The country has relevant strategic, policy and legal instruments in place as well as a track record of developing and piloting technical instruments and programmes. An example is the proposed National Drought and Disaster Contingency Fund (NDDCF). It is envisaged that in the long term, and with investment in the other elements of the CPP, the need for emergency humanitarian assistance will decline. Possible interventions Consolidate and coordinate scattered drought management initiatives that currently operate independently of each other under one institution (the National Drought Management Authority). Strengthen and support early warning systems to ensure timely response by building on traditional and community-based interventions, risk management initiatives and a reliable flow of finance from the National Drought and Disaster Contingency Fund. Ensure an effective and coordinated transport system to facilitate access to humanitarian assistance. Support the National Cereals and Produce Board (NCPB) to ensure that the strategic food reserve maintains adequate physical stocks and cash equivalent. Prioritise and pursue drought risk reduction strategies that use non-food interventions to support dryland economies early in the drought cycle. Develop effective cross-border distribution channels and mechanisms for the efficient delivery of humanitarian assistance. Strengthen meteorological monitoring and reporting capabilities in the ASALs to ensure that weather and climate information is shared in a timely manner. Strengthen public–private partnerships in humanitarian assistance. 5.3 Climate-proofed infrastructure development Situation analysis The lack of adequate infrastructure in the ASALs undermines investment and reinforces the perceived separation of the region from the rest of the country. The transport infrastructure is thin, disjointed and in some places non-existent. Impassable or non-existent roads increase 19 | P a g e the cost of goods and services. Livestock markets are under-developed (Box 3) and poorly integrated locally and regionally. The ICT infrastructure is rudimentary, while that for water, hygiene and sanitation is poor. Renewable energy resources are substantial but hardly exploited. Demand for electricity in Kenya is projected to grow at 7% per annum over the next 10 years; the natural endowment of renewable energy in the ASALs offers an excellent opportunity to help meet this demand and build a greener economy. Box 3: Markets in the ASALs Market infrastructure in northern Kenya is poor. In many locations there are no clear market days. Because of poor road conditions it takes approximately 48 hours by lorry to transport animals on the 730km road from Moyale to Nairobi at a cost of around US$723 for one lorry load of 18 cattle. The lack of an integrated policy and institutional framework between the Ministry of Livestock Development and County Councils has constrained the development of livestock marketing. Source: Sara Pavanello (2010): ‘Livestock Marketing in Kenya-Ethiopia Border Areas: A Baseline Study’, London: ODI A more robust infrastructure in the arid lands will improve the food supply chain (packaging, transportation and storage), strengthen market access (retail and wholesale outlets, market information) and improve terms of trade. It will stimulate investment and economic growth and improve operational efficiency for both the public and private sectors. It will help reduce poverty and lower the cost of doing business. In parts of Ethiopia, public investment in roads and extension services increased consumption growth by up to 16% and reduced poverty by nearly 7%. Better infrastructure will stabilise the ASALs and enhance its integration with the rest of the country. Expanding infrastructure in dryland areas risks exposing pastoral societies and environments to a rapid process of change that can bring new challenges, such as the breakdown of customary support systems and environmental degradation. To avert such risks, communities will require assistance in adapting to, managing and controlling infrastructure changes through capacity building, empowerment and the provision of a central role in relevant decision-making processes, as well as clear rights over the proceeds from resources. Environmental and social impact assessments will be conducted on all infrastructure projects, which should also be part of participatory land-use planning systems. Possible interventions Construct priority roads. Those requiring finance include Modogashe/Mandera (600 km), Kitale/Lodwar (300 km), Bura/Garsen (100 km), and Rumuruti/Maralal (200 km). Develop and equip physical markets and growth poles to promote value addition and enhance regional trade. 20 | P a g e Map all established settlements in arid lands without permanent water and identify and implement sustainable technical solutions for each. This is a one-off intervention that will substantially reduce the need for water trucking during drought periods, improve health status, and expand the options for urban and peri-urban livelihoods. Construct strategic multipurpose dams where it is socially and environmentally appropriate to do so. Develop mechanisms that ensure the timely maintenance of existing water sources (poor management being a major cause of drought stress). This involves establishing appropriate management structures, including water resource users associations. Develop and expand ICT capabilities and infrastructure including the provision of information through the local press, community radio, and mobile phones/SMS. This may include information on markets/prices, development/extension messages, weather/climate trends and related rangeland/vegetation quality trends. Reactivate and develop livestock disease control mechanisms and livestock marketing infrastructure (water points, feeding points, disease surveillance and control centres) along stock routes and grazing areas and develop watering and feeding points in parks and reserves. Develop and harness energy sources, including solar, wind, biogas, coal and oil, and where possible connect these to the national grid. 5.4 Building human capital Situation analysis There are major inequalities in human wellbeing between the arid lands and the rest of Kenya that are obstacles to development. These are caused by the near-absence of quality education and training institutions, leading to the region’s chronic dependence on skills from the rest of the country. Most employment is informal and confined to the pastoral sector that can only absorb a finite number of people. Limited urban employment and inadequate enforcement of labour laws and standards aggravate the human capital problem in the ASALs. The region is also constrained by high fertility and mortality, as well as reverse migration from highpotential areas. There is acute understaffing in all sectors, including education, because most qualified personnel avoid being posted to ASAL areas, which are considered remote and with poor infrastructure and social amenities. Girls are particularly disadvantaged due to cultural biases and practices. Free Primary Education is hampered by inadequate teaching staff and dilapidated learning facilities. The performance of most ASAL districts in national examinations has been very poor. There are few and scattered health facilities staffed by inadequate numbers of qualified personnel and with intermittent drug supplies. The average distance to a health facility in 21 | P a g e Northern Kenya is 52 km, 10 times further than the national average of 5 km. There is also a lack of effective health referral systems. At the time of an assessment by the APHIA II programme in North Eastern Province in late 2007, 49 of the province’s 153 health facilities (32%) were closed due to lack of personnel. Ex-pastoralists are vulnerable to health and nutrition risks as they move from a relatively mutually-supportive social system to a more individualised one. Evidence shows that child nutrition and morbidity worsen in the transition to sedentarisation. There are also examples of household wealth differentiation and exacerbated childhood malnutrition.8 Women too are at greater risk as they have less security, assets and power to ensure positive health outcomes. Measures to reduce these inequalities must recognise the distinct needs of service delivery in arid lands. Possible interventions Increase participation rates in all sectors of education and training in the region as a longterm measure to address human capital challenges and support livelihood diversification. The specific challenges faced by nomadic communities will be addressed by the new National Commission on Nomadic Education in Kenya (NACONEK), and will involve activities such as developing demand-driven teaching materials for each level of education (primary, secondary and tertiary) and promoting the adoption of alternative service delivery channels, including the use of technology. Increase access to education at all levels by constructing new schools, improving and expanding existing school infrastructure, supporting adult education, and improving the quality of education. Guarantee an annual allocation to the Northern Kenya Education Trust. Other measures to increase access to education include the provision of bursaries, government scholarships, and conditional cash transfers, the construction of middle-level colleges, and the recruitment of qualified school-leavers into middle-level technical and teacher training institutions. Increase access to health facilities by building new and improving existing health facilities as well as providing adequate qualified personnel. Share experiences and approaches in building human capital across the region for synergy and efficiency. 8 Fratkin, E., Nathan, M. and Roth, E. (2011) ‘Seeking Alternative Livelihoods in Northern Kenya: Costs and Benefits in Health and Nutrition’. Paper presented at the conference on the ‘Future of Pastoralism’, March 2011, Addis Ababa 22 | P a g e 5.5 Sustainable livelihoods adaptive to climate change Situation analysis In spite of extensive natural wealth and biodiversity, ASAL populations are often poor and marginalised with limited access to and control of productive resources, especially by women and young people. There has been a general decline in both the quantity and quality of water for productive and domestic use. During drought, reduced water tables are common leading to low yielding boreholes and longer waiting times at the few water points available. Other changes include the drying of surface water sources, high siltation and long trekking distances. However, and contrary to the generalized misconception of water scarcity in the ASALs, the most critical considerations in water development are equitable water resource management and linking water use with community livelihoods. Rangelands are being subjected to increasing pressure from competing forms of land use. The change from customary communal land tenure to private tenure is threatening pastoralism, which remains the most viable source of livelihood for a majority of the ASAL population. Disjointed regional approaches to sustainable pastoralism, such as poor harmonisation of natural resource management, cross-border trade and trans-boundary disease control, have impeded investment in sustainable production systems. This has been aggravated by macroeconomic instability and challenges such as inflation and trade constraints. Formal veterinary services are nearly non-existent in many areas. Herd mobility and their concentration in dry-season grazing areas expose livestock to disease. Poor vaccination and disease surveillance services are another risk factor. Failure to control livestock diseases has been one of the main obstacles preventing pastoralists from exploiting regional and international markets. Community-based animal health initiatives are sporadic and lack sustainability. An outstanding policy challenge is the need to integrate community-based animal health workers within the formal animal health delivery system in marginal areas. ASAL woodland and bushland provide primary products for livestock grazing, fuel wood, and a habitat for diverse wild animals and plants. During drought there is overexploitation of these resources, leading to overgrazing and the destruction of water towers, and overexploitation of woodlands for fuel wood due to the lack of alternative sources of energy. Fishing is practised in Lake Turkana and parts of eastern, central and coastal regions. Fish landings in Lake Turkana and the Indian Ocean have decreased over the past decade. However, fishponds are becoming very popular and will boost fish production in the ASALs. Many research results have been generated in the past, but these are poorly disseminated to decision-makers. 23 | P a g e Possible interventions Natural resource management and environmental protection Support improved rangeland management through grazing management, dry season reserves, and the re-seeding of degraded land, drawing on indigenous knowledge and practices. Support environmental protection and management including sensitisation on the benefits of environmental protection, stronger enforcement of relevant laws, and actions to promote conservation, such as reforestation or sustainable energy use. Establish mechanisms to control the spread of invasive species such as Prosopis juliflora and Sanseveria spp. Investigations should also be done to understand how these species can benefit households as livestock feed, fuel wood or construction material. Enact the Climate Change Bill and ensure full implementation of the National Climate Change Response Strategy. This will include adaptation and mitigation measures to enhance the resilience of communities to the adverse effects of climate change. Develop regional ecosystem management approaches. Water resource management and irrigation Develop surface water through appropriate community-owned water-harvesting structures, such as pans and dams, and harness groundwater based on social and environmental sustainability criteria. Manage field water resources through water storage and spreading techniques, such as road runoffs, roof catchments and sand dams. Scale up successful water-harvesting models. Exploit irrigation potential, especially in semi-arid areas along the main rivers where it is technically feasible and socially appropriate to do so. These programmes should be identified through land-use planning processes that allow all interested parties to influence decisions. Access to permanent water and dry-season grazing should be considered in order to support pastoral systems that may be affected by the establishment of such schemes. Small household units will be targeted as past experience has shown that large irrigation schemes have generally not been successful. Sprinkler and drip irrigation systems minimise total losses. Agriculture Support the establishment of dry season fodder and forage through practices such as irrigated local fodder production systems, strategic fodder reserves, seed bulking for 24 | P a g e pasture, forage and fodder, and water-efficient fodder crops and by discouraging the expansion of high water-consuming food crops under rain-fed irrigation. Promote research on drought-tolerant crops and pastures suitable for the ASALs. Promote seed bulking for sustained agricultural production. Improve the management of crop diseases. Develop cold storage facilities for irrigated agricultural products. Livestock value chain and market development Develop livestock value chains through product development and farmer training. Ensure cross-border mobility of livestock and people while addressing disease control, sanitary and phytosanitary issues, livestock quality and traceability. Integrate the activities of animal health workers within formal animal health delivery systems in marginal areas. Provide financial services to small business in urban, peri-urban and rural settings, particularly for women and young people. Support the establishment of pastoralist-owned quarantine facilities vertically linked to markets through well-structured and cost-effective value chains. Develop highly competitive ‘green livestock’ systems for regional and international markets owned by pastoralists themselves. Develop policies and strategies to facilitate and foster competitive cross-border trade in livestock and livestock products. Preserve livestock as a source of livelihood and means of reducing poverty among pastoral communities by improving disease prevention and control and improving herd management. Sustainable development and management of dryland forestry resources Sensitise communities and law enforcers on the laws and regulations for sustainable forestry through effective forestry extension services. Promote community forestry in commercial schemes. Promote appropriate technologies for the sustainable management of dryland forests. Commercialise non-wood forest products, such as gums, resins, essential oils, honey, insects and carvings. 25 | P a g e Effective use of fish resources Support the sustainable exploitation of fish resources by developing and training commercial fishers’ organisations and cooperatives. Train fishers and traders on modern fish preservation. Support private investors and fishers’ community organisations to establish fishprocessing plants. Support auxiliary businesses such as ice-making, boat-building, packaging, transportation and value addition. Promote the construction of fish ponds.. Sustaining livelihoods Establish social protection mechanisms such as index-based insurance, cash transfers, food for assets and food vouchers. Initiate and support programmes for youth empowerment. Improve the capacity of financial institutions to provide appropriate services in ASALs. Establish cooperatives, producer associations and other self-help groups that empower communities as full contributors to the economic growth of ASAL regions. Research and knowledge management Support participatory action and adaptive research methods targeting new innovations and adaptations. Support mechanisms that disseminate knowledge and scale up proven innovations. Ensure regional collaboration in research and knowledge dissemination. 5.6 Multi-sectoral and multi-stakeholder coordination Situation analysis Drought management is a cross-cutting issue that requires collaborative action by various public and private sector agencies at national, county and community levels. At present there is considerable duplication, lack of synergy, confusion and poor accountability between the various actors involved. Existing drought management coordination structures include the Kenya Food Security Meeting (KFSM) and the Kenya Food Security Steering Group (KFSSG) at national level, and the District Steering Group (DSG) at the sub-national level. The National Drought 26 | P a g e Management Authority (NDMA) provides a sustainable and specialised institutional base for the drought management system. It is responsible for the supervision and coordination of all drought management activities and the coordination of all stakeholders implementing drought management programmes in Kenya. It is also charged with leadership and coordination of the EDE country programme. More broadly, the Constitution of Kenya 2010 is explicit in its elevation of equity and nondiscrimination to the status of national values and principles of governance. If the constitutional requirement for equitable development is to be met, including special provisions for marginalised groups and areas, then an appropriate and effective institution is needed to monitor progress towards that goal and ensure that the necessary actions are taken. The ASAL Secretariat will fill this critical gap in the institutional landscape for ASAL development. It will be a permanent and specialised institution with a mandate to champion and coordinate development in the ASALs in order to ensure that their distinct challenges and opportunities are appropriately and equitably addressed in national policy, programming and resource allocation, and in support of ongoing reform processes. The scope of its work will embrace all sectors relevant to the region’s development. Previous development initiatives in the ASALs have suffered from short timeframes and lack of sustainability, which a permanent Secretariat and its associated institutional structures will be well-placed to address. Given the on-going process of devolution to the counties, and the expected post-election reorganisation of government, it may not be possible to suggest the full features of the coordination framework for the EDE programme at this stage. Possible interventions Support multi-sectoral and multi-agency coordination efforts at all levels. Fully operationalise and strengthen the National Drought Management Authority and its structures to the grassroots. Institutionalise the ASAL Secretariat within appropriate government structures with the necessary authority to undertake effective cross agency co-ordination. Establish the National Drought and Disaster Contingency Fund. Support regional disaster risk reduction initiatives under IGAD, EAC and COMESA. Strengthen county and sub-county structures to carry out their coordination functions. 27 | P a g e 6. Implementation and Institutional Arrangements 6.1 Overall responsibility The goal of Ending Drought Emergencies will be achieved through careful understanding of the roles, policies, responsibilities and institutional mandates of the stakeholders involved in disaster risk reduction and resilience-building at national and regional levels. The Kenya EDE strategy is part of the regional Horn of Africa initiative spearheaded by IGAD. The entry point for the IGAD platform will be the IGAD Focal Point at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, who laterally connects with the ASAL Inter-Ministerial Coordination Committee (ASAL-ICC) and the Ministry of State for Development of Northern Kenya and Other Arid Lands. The ASAL ICC will be governed by the ASAL Cabinet Sub-Committee which is responsible for providing policy and strategic support. These institutions are part of the broader institutional framework for ASAL development (Figure 4). Previous ASAL initiatives had little impact because they lacked a mechanism to ensure that the commitments made by sectors and stakeholders were followed through. Figure 1: Institutional Framework for ASAL development The overarching authority for coordinating and implementing the Ending Drought Emergencies (EDE) will be the National Drought Management Authority. Kenya is fortunate in having an active and diverse group of actors working on drought management, including UN agencies, international, national and local NGOs, and research institutes. The institutional arrangements for this programme will harness the efforts and goodwill of these various actors in a more concerted and coordinated manner. The NDMA will foster collaboration with state and non-state institutions at the national and regional levels and coordinate harmonised and timely response to drought. Appropriate coordination mechanisms will be established at county level, in consultation with the future county governments. 28 | P a g e Kenya will also engage with its international partners to promote the changes required at the global level: for example, a re-balancing of climate finance in favour of adaptation, and the more rapid flow of adaptation finance towards both resilience (specifically in the foundations for development) and the underwriting or replenishment of national contingency funds. 6.2 The National Drought Management Authority (NDMA) The NDMA was established as a State Corporation in November 2011. It is the government’s principal instrument for implementing ASAL policies on drought management. The formation of the NDMA provides the statutory underpinning for activities related to the supervision and coordination of all matters relating to drought management. The NDMA will be the main institution charged with leadership and coordination of the EDE strategy. Implementation of specific projects within the EDE strategy will rest with the relevant sectors and with the NDMA. These will be elaborated in a Medium Term Plan. The ALRMP formed coordination structures for drought management and food security at both national and sub-national levels (Figure 5): the Kenya Food Security Meeting (KFSM), the Kenya Food Security Steering Group (KFSSG), and the District Steering Group (DSG), with corresponding sector working groups. Membership of these technical steering groups is limited to organisations that are committed to working collaboratively and that possess technical and administrative capabilities in food security and drought management issues. Figure 2: Kenya Food Security Institutional Structure 29 | P a g e These structures will continue to provide a forum to integrate the major goals, policies, plans, and actions in food security and drought management into a cohesive whole. DSGs provide the vital linkage between the national and the community structures. Community groups will be responsible for mobilising resources and preparing disaster risk reduction plans, and must be involved in implementing drought management projects. Various sector-based coordination structures are represented in the food security structures. For example, the Agricultural Sector Coordination Unit (ASCU) is the main coordinating body of the agriculture sector actors. Among its functions is implementation of the Comprehensive African Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) Compact in Kenya, and resource mobilisation for the medium-term investment plan of the Agricultural Sector Development Strategy 2010-20. ASCU will continue to fast-track EDE priorities within the agriculture sector through its five thematic working groups, which focus on legal, regulatory and institutional reforms; research and extension advisory services; agribusiness and financial services; food security and nutrition policy and programmes; and environmentally sustainable land and natural resource management. IGAD is also developing a Greater Horn of Africa regional CAADP Compact to support the Horn of Africa Ending Drought Emergencies initiative. A possible coordination structure for the Ending Drought Emergencies programme in Kenya is shown in Figure 7. Figure 3: Proposed EDE Coordination Structure THE PROPOSED COMPLETE IMPLEMENTATIONAL STRUCTURE FOR THE EDE PROGRAMME OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT ASAL Cabinet Sub- Committee AC/IGAD/EAC, etc ASAL Inter-ministerial Coordination Ministry of Foreign Affairs (IGAD Focal Point) ASAL Inter-ministerial Technical Committee (ASALITC) Committee (ASAL-ICC) Ministry of State for Development of Northern Kenya and Other Arid Lands ASAL Secretariat NATIONAL DROUGHT MANAGEMENT AUTHORITY (NDMA) ASAL Stakeholders Meeting (MDA, DPs CSO, PrS, etc,) Kenya Food Security Meeting (KFSM) (MDAs, DPs, Donors, CSOs, PrS, etc) County/District Steering Groups (DSGs) Community Groups e.g. CMDRR or Water User Associations (WUAs) Agriculture Sector Coordination Unit (ASCU) Sector Working Groups (KFSSG/SWGs) County Sector Working Groups Specialized committees Group 30 | P a g e 7. Reporting, Monitoring and Evaluation The Ending Drought Emergencies strategy will require a carefully planned reporting, monitoring and evaluation system. This will be based on the action plan to implement this strategy, and will ensure the learning and sharing of credible data, information and knowledge. The reporting, monitoring and evaluation system will be developed in close consultation with relevant sectors and other stakeholders. 8. Financing Framework Financing for EDE should support interventions that prevent the recurrence of crises and strengthen the capacity of ASAL communities to cope with and adapt to shocks. This will reduce the need for large-scale emergency response. All those supporting this programme should be assured of probity in the use of funds, which must be directed to priority areas of greatest need in an accountable and transparent manner. Further, a coordinated, institutionalised approach will reduce transaction costs and enhance cost-effectiveness. Sources of finance for this CPP include regional development funds secured through IGAD, the Government of Kenya (through the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework), the private sector, development partners, county-level funds and communities. The National Drought and Disaster Contingency Fund (NDDCF) will make finance available for rapid non-food response earlier in the drought cycle. It will allow contributions from both GoK and its development partners. The Fund will have two accounts: one for drought (to ensure prompt action at the earliest signs of drought) and one for disasters (to ensure rapid response to sudden-onset emergencies). An independent Board of Trustees appointed by the Minister for Finance will manage the fund. The Drought Contingency Account will finance activities in drought contingency plans triggered by the early warning system managed by the NDMA. The Fund will be replenished by the government, development partners and other agencies. A five-year indicative budget has been developed based on the six Strategic Response Areas described above. Table 5 contains the summary budget and Table 6 the detailed budget. The sources for the budget figures are the documents available at the time of writing this report. These indicative figures need verifying and adjusting once the specific activities to be implemented have been agreed and costed, in consultation with each sector. Financial commitments will be integrated within the Medium Term Plan. In principle the government aims to meet between 30% and 40% of the total budget. 31 | P a g e Table 4: Indicative Summary Budget for a 5-year period (Kshs. million) Strategic response area 1. Peace and human security 2. Humanitarian preparedness 3. Infrastructure development 4. Human capital 5. Sustainable livelihoods 6. Coordination 7. Drought contingency finance Budget 11,439 2,192 107,062 16,560 59,072 7,021 23,375 Commitments 4,600 2,192 15,300 4,700 27,400 3,100 10,000 Funding gap 6,839 0 91,762 11,860 31,672 3,921 13,375 TOTAL 226,721 67,300 159,429 Table 5: Summary 5-Year Indicative Budget (Kshs. million) Elements of Strategic Response Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 189 189 170 170 153 871 626 701 701 701 701 3,430 1,245 1,121 1,121 1,121 1,121 5,729 283 283 281 281 281 1,409 2,343 2,294 2,273 2,273 2,256 11,439 270 243 243 243 243 1,242 90 90 90 90 90 450 100 100 100 100 100 500 460 433 433 433 433 2,192 3. Climate-proofed infrastructure development Priority road construction 15,500 15,500 15,500 15,500 15,500 77,500 300 270 243 219 1,332 1. Peace and human security Development and institutionalisation of a coherent strategy for peace and conflict resolution and prevention Establishment and strengthening of community-led institutions Improvement of deployment capacity of law-enforcement agencies Effective systems of monitoring conflicts and trends within and across borders for timely response, including curbing influx of SALW and aliens/immigrants Sub-Total 2. Humanitarian preparedness Creation and maintenance of early warning systems Strengthening meteorological monitoring and reporting capabilities in ASALs Livestock restocking and enterprise development fund Sub-Total Expansion of road network (feeder roads) 300 Year 5 TOTAL 32 | P a g e Elements of Strategic Response Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Permanent water solutions in wellestablished settlements, based on mapping in first year Water, sanitation and hygiene in ASALs 227 375 375 375 375 1,727 60 60 60 60 60 300 Construction of strategic multipurpose dams Energy connection to the national grid; harnessing solar, wind and biogas energy Development and expansion of ICT infrastructure National livestock market information system 5,085 4,729 3,734 312 288 14,148 2,600 2,600 2,340 2,106 1,895 11,541 120 96 96 96 96 504 2 2 2 2 2 10 23,894 23,662 22,377 18,694 18,435 107,062 877 877 877 877 877 4,385 135 135 135 135 135 675 1,475 1,475 1,475 1,475 1,475 7,375 Increase access to secondary, tertiary and university education in pastoral areas through an annual allocation to the Northern Kenya Education Trust 495 495 495 495 495 2,475 Collaborative research and extension education for ASAL development Sub-Total 330 330 330 330 330 1,650 3,312 3,312 3,312 3,312 3,312 16,560 1,500 1,500 1,500 8,500 270 243 219 1,365 20 20 20 100 1,500 1,500 1,500 7,500 4,224 4,224 4,224 22,370 425 425 425 2,125 Sub-Total 4. Building Human Capital Increase access to health facilities with trained personnel Operationalise the National Commission on Nomadic Education (NACONEK) Increase participation rates in all sectors of education and training in arid lands 5. Sustainable Livelihoods in a Context of Climate Change Sustainable irrigation projects along the 2,500 1,500 main rivers Water harvesting infrastructure for 333 300 pasture, fodder and crops Water and feeding points in parks and 20 20 reserves Rehabilitation and sustainable 1,500 1,500 management of existing water sources Livestock production, marketing 5,474 4,224 infrastructure, value chain development and disease control in pastoralist areas Pastoralist and agro-pastoralist marketing cooperatives 425 425 Year 5 TOTAL 33 | P a g e Elements of Strategic Response Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Rangeland management activities 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 6,000 Environmental protection activities 60 60 60 60 60 300 Implement the National Climate Change Response Strategy and Plan 20 20 20 20 20 100 Youth empowerment programmes 80 80 80 80 80 400 Financial services and small business support GoK contribution to HSNP Phase 2, increasing by 10% each year from year 2, and equivalent to 30% of total budget Upscale dryland forestry Support traditional coping mechanisms 16 16 16 16 16 80 312 624 1,248 2,496 4,680 120 80 108 80 108 80 108 80 108 80 552 400 560 560 560 560 560 2,800 120 120 120 120 120 600 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 600 600 12,748 10,765 11,047 11,644 12,868 59,072 118 118 118 590 586 586 586 2,931 500 500 500 2,500 Upscale alternative livelihoods (honey, gums and resins, wood carvings, ecotourism) Maintenance of one strategic food reserve for ASALs Enhance the fisheries industry Upscale fodder/forage production and storage seed building and dissemination Sub-Total 6. Multi-Sector and Multi -Stakeholder Coordination. Multi-sector and multi-agency 118 118 coordination Establish and operationalise the NDMA 587 586 and its structures to the grassroots level Institutionalise the ASAL Secretariat 500 500 within appropriate GoK structure Regional disaster risk reduction initiatives under IGAD, EAC and COMESA (e.g. regional trade, disease control, CEWARN Protocol, etc) Sub-Total 7. Drought Contingency Finance Allocation to the Drought Contingency Account in the National Drought and Disaster Contingency Fund TOTAL Year 5 TOTAL 200 200 200 200 200 1,000 1,405 1,404 1,404 1,404 1,404 7,021 4,675 4,675 4,675 4,675 4,675 23,375 48,837 46,545 45,521 42,435 43,383 226,721 34 | P a g e
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