Baltimore in the Future Tense
References
Tom Riley
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(Voice mail): 443 869-3987
Skype: Tom.Riley1945
“Baltimore in the Future Tense”
File: BFTRefermmdddyy.docx
November 22, 2016
Working Document
One author
Introduction
This document is a full listing of the references used to develop all the works in the Baltimore in
the Future Tense series as well as other Big Moon Dig studies. These references are sorted by
category and the most important ones are annotated.
_____________________________________________Project Links:
The following are Internet links to pages written specifically for this project:
1. Original Effort: The Big Moon Dig (Internet) http://bigmoondig.com/BigMoonDig.html
2. Local effort: Baltimore in the Future Tense (Internet)
http://bigmoondig.com/Essays/BaltFuture.html
3. Prototype Short Story: “The Fid” (Internet)
http://bigmoondig.com/Stories/BFTStoryFid.pdf
4. IBM Watson Challenge http://bigmoondig.com/Essays/BuyInEarth.html
5. All Stories: http://bigmoondig.com/Stories/BMDStories.html
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6. AI Video: Tom Riley, “The Supreme Court Skunks the Turning Test” (Internet, YouTube)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=elZ10nNbhFk&feature=youtu.be
7. Buy-In Essay: The Big Moon Dig \ Tom Riley, “Brain Apps” \ Buy-in (Internet)
http://bigmoondig.com/Essays/BrainApp.pdf
_____________Books:
1. James Gleick Chaos, Making a New Science (Viking 1987) – Modeling the future depends
on understanding Chaos Theory to understand how far you can push prediction.
2. Susan Blackmore, The Meme Machine (Oxford Press 1999) – What we are doing here is
designing new memes for the 21st Century.
3. Donella Meadows, Jorgen Randers, Dennis Meadows, Limits to Growth, The 30-Year
Update (Chelsea Green, 2004) – This is now 40 years of work modeling human
population and its effect on the environment.
4. Lester R. Brown, Plan B 4.0, Mobilizing to Save Civilization (Norton, 2009) – We can
make plans to deal with climate change.
5. Kent E. Portney, Sustainability (MIT Press, 2015) – The MIT essential knowledge series.
6. Frank Landis, Hot Earth Dreams, What if severe climate change happens, and humans
survive? (CreateSpace. 2015)
7. Tim Flannery, Atmosphere of Hope, Searching for Solutions to the Climate Crisis (Atlantic
Monthly, 2015) – A review of the latest information on climate change for the last five
years, and a discussion of what can now be done.
8. Bill McKibben, Eaarth, Making a Life on Tough New Planet (Griffin,2010)
9. Richard Dobbs, James Manyika, Jonathan Woetzel, No Ordinary Disruption, The Four
Global Forces Bearing All the Trends (PubilcAffairs, 2015) – The problems of the 21st
century will need to be addressed by business.
10. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, The Predictioneer’s Game, Using the Logic of Brazen
SelfInterest to See the Shape of the Future (Random House 2009)
11. Ruth DeFries, The Big Ratchet, How Humanity Thrives in the face of Natural Crisis (Basic
Books 2014)
12. Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner, Superforecasting, The Art and Science of Prediction
(Crown 2015) – A scientific look at what prediction can and cannot do.
13. Fred Pearce, The Coming Population Crash, and our Planet’s Surprising Future (Beacon
Press 2010)
14. Steven Pinker, The Better Angles of our Nature: Why Violence has Declined (Penguin,
2012) – Violence in society has actually declined.
15. Stephen Jay Gould, Wonderful Life, The Burgess Shale and the Nature of History (Norton
1989)
16. Richard Dawkins, The Ancestor’s Tale, A Pilgrimage to the Dawn of Evolution (Houghton
Mifflin 2004) – Where we came from, brilliantly presented.
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17. Edward O. Wilson, The Social Conquest of the Earth (Liveright, 2012) – Why social
animals, like humans, are so successful on Earth.
18. Andreas Wagner, Arrival of the Fittest: Solving Evolution’s Greatest Puzzle (Current,
2014) – This solutions is a key to understanding that positive action is possible in the 21st
Century.
19. Nick Lane, Life Ascending, The Then Great Inventions of Evolution (Norton, 2009)
20. Yuval Noah Harari, Sapiens, A Brief History of Humankind (Harper Collins, 2015)
21. Paul G. Falkowski, Life’s Engines, How Microbes Made Earth Habitable (Princeton, 2015)
22. Edward O. Wilson, “Half-Earth, Our Planet’s Fight for Life” (Liverigth 2016) – lets put
aside ½ half of our planet to be wild. I just might save us all.
23. Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi, Flow: The Psychology of Optimal Experience (Harper 2008) –
The first studied, and one of the most important, of the Brain Apps.
24. Nassim Nicholas Teleb, Antifragile, Things that Gain from Disorder (Random House
2012)
25. J Donald Sull, Kathleen M. Eisenhardt, Simple Rules, How to Thrive in a Complex World
(Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2015)
26. Andrew S. Wilson, “The Big Pivot, Radically Practical Strategies for a Hotter, Scarcer, and
More Open World” (Harvard Business 2014) – Societies move along one path for a while
and then make a bit pivot and move off on another.
27. Ray Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near, When Humans Transcend Biology (Penguin, 2005)
28. James Howard Kunstler, Too Much Magic, Wishful Thinking, Technology, and The Fate of
the Nation (Grove Press, 2012) – It is ill advanced to depend on high technology to save
our collective bacon in the 21st Century.
29. Nicholas Carr, The Glass Cage, Automation and Us (Norton, 2014)
30. Kentoro Toyama, Geek Heresy, Rescuing Social Change from the Cult of Technology
(Public Affairs, 2015) – Social interaction is more important than high technology in
solving the problems of the 21st Century.
31. Pedro Domingos, The Master Algorithm, How the Quest for the Ultimate Learning
Machine will Remake our World (Basic Books 2015) – The many approaches to an AI
learning to be more human. Chapter 10 describes the future of machine learning in
exciting detail.
32. Nick Bostrom Superintelligence, Paths, Dangers, Strategies (Oxford 2014)
33. Cesar Hidalgo, Why Information Grows, The Evolution of Order, from Atoms to
Economies (Basic Books ,2015)
34. Otto Scharmer and Katrin Kaufer, Leading from the Emerging Future, From Ego-System
to Eco-System Economies (BK, 2013) –Applying Theory U to transforming business,
society, and self.
35. Richard Watson, Future Files, A Brief History of the Next 50 Years (Nicholas Brealey,
2010) – An excellent detailed look at the trends that will continue into the near future.
36. Richard Watson, “What’s Next, Stay Ahead of the Future“, Society & culture.pdf (Adobe
file) – A follow up to the book above providing about 150 blog entries on specific topics.
37. Peter Thiel, Zero to One, Notes on Startups, or, How to Build the Future (Virgin, 2014) –
How to move an entrepreneurial business from nowhere to existence.
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38. Aziz Ansari, Modern Romance (Penguin, 2015) – All about electronic dating.
39. Christian Rudder, Dataclysm, Who We Are, when we think no one’s looking (Crown
2014) – What can be learned from the data accumulated from a major dating site.
40. Sean Carrol, The Big Picture, or the Origins of Life, Meaning, and the Universe Itself
(Dutton, 2016)
41. Kevin Kelly, The Inevitable, Understanding the 12 Technological Forces that will Shape
our Future (Viking, 2016)
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Internet Links:
1. Eureka effect (Internet, Wikipedia) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eureka_effect
2. Julia C. Keller, “Aha! Study finds eureka moments light up Brain” (Internet, Science &
theology News, June 2004) http://www.wellnessinstitute.org/images/Aha_eureka_moments_light_up_brain.pdf
3. Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi: Flow, The secret to happiness,
http://www.ted.com/talks/mihaly_csikszentmihalyi_on_flow.html
4. Flow (psychology) (Internet, Wikipedia)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flow_%28psychology%29
5. Michaela C. Schippers, W. A. Scheepers, Jordan B. Perterson, “A scalable goal-setting
intervention closes both the gender and ethnic minority achievement gap” (Internet,
Palgrave) http://www.palgrave-journals.com/articles/palcomms201514#discussion
6. Peter Diamands, “What the Next Generation Needs to Thrive in Exponential Times”
(Internet, SingularyityHub, 2015) http://singularityhub.com/2015/07/21/what-the-nextgenerationneeds-to-thrive-in-exponential-times/
7. Yuval Noah Harari, “What explains the rise of humans?” (TED, Internet, July 2015)
http://www.ted.com/talks/yuval_noah_harari_what_explains_the_rise_of_humans
8. “Eliza, the Rogerian Therapist”, (internet)
http://psych.fullerton.edu/mbirnbaum/psych101/Eliza.htm
9. J. C. R. Licklider, “Man-Computer Symbiosis” (IRE Transactions on Human Factors in
Electronics, March 1960, Internet)
http://groups.csail.mit.edu/medg/people/psz/Licklider.html
10. Adam Elkus, “When Should a Robot Say No to Its Human Owner?” (Slate, January 7, 2016 )
http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2016/01/when_should_a_robot_s
ay_no_to_its_human_owner.html?utm_source=The+Science+and+Entertainment+Exchang
e&utm_campaign=694d354afbThe_Collider_1_13_2016&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_8a6927d448694d354afb198159093
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11. Libby Flack, “Six Tips on the Future of Education from singularity youth” (Internet)
http://singularityhub.com/2015/11/17/6-tips-on-the-future-of-education-fromsingularityyouth/
12. Jason DeCaires Taylor, “An Underwater Art Museum Teeming with life” (Internet, TED)
https://www.ted.com/talks/jason_decaires_taylor_an_underwater_art_museum_teeming_
with_life?language=en
13. “Hans Rosling, Global Health Expert, Data Visionary” (Internet, TED)
https://www.ted.com/speakers/hans_rosling -- Great statistics on world improvement.
14. “21st Century in Fiction” (Internet, Wikipedia)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/21st_century_in_fiction
15. Jonathan Gregory, “Projections of Sea Level Rise” (Internet, IPCC Fifth Assessment Report)
https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/unfccc/cop19/3_gregory13sbsta.pdf
16. “Sea Level Rise “ (Internet, JPL InfoGraphics)
http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/infographics/infographic.view.php?id=11298
17. “Earth’s Carbon Cycle is off Balance” (Internet, JPL InfoGraphics)
http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/infographics/infographic.view.php?id=11309
18. Jennifer Ludden, Should We Be Having Kids In The Age Of Climate Change? (NPR, August 18,
2016) http://www.npr.org/2016/08/18/479349760/should-we-be-having-kids-in-the-ageof-climatechange?utm_source=npr_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_content=20160821&utm_
campaign=bestofnpr&utm_term=nprnews
19. Solutions to the World’s Biggest Problems Are Within Our Reach
http://singularityhub.com/2016/08/17/solutions-to-the-worlds-biggest-problems-arewithin-our-reach/
20.
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