The use of “security” jargon in sustainable development discourse: evidence from UN Commission on Sustainable Development Itay Fischhendler & David Katz International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics ISSN 1567-9764 Volume 13 Number 3 Int Environ Agreements (2013) 13:321-342 DOI 10.1007/s10784-012-9192-z 1 23 Your article is protected by copyright and all rights are held exclusively by Springer Science +Business Media Dordrecht. This e-offprint is for personal use only and shall not be selfarchived in electronic repositories. If you wish to self-archive your article, please use the accepted manuscript version for posting on your own website. You may further deposit the accepted manuscript version in any repository, provided it is only made publicly available 12 months after official publication or later and provided acknowledgement is given to the original source of publication and a link is inserted to the published article on Springer's website. The link must be accompanied by the following text: "The final publication is available at link.springer.com”. 1 23 Author's personal copy Int Environ Agreements (2013) 13:321–342 DOI 10.1007/s10784-012-9192-z ORIGINAL PAPER The use of ‘‘security’’ jargon in sustainable development discourse: evidence from UN Commission on Sustainable Development Itay Fischhendler • David Katz Accepted: 15 September 2012 / Published online: 29 September 2012 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2012 Abstract The premise of discourse theory in environmental policy is that realities are shaped by language. One discourse that is gaining popularity is the concept of environmental security, a discourse that presupposes environmental threats as urgent. The attempt to cast environmental issues as security issues has resulted in the common use of security jargon, idioms, and metaphors in policymakers’ and politicians’ statements. Various analyses attempt to identify why natural resources are discussed in terms and language of security. However, far fewer studies have attempted to identify differences in the manner in which different types of resources are incorporated into such a discourse by different actors and what variables contribute to this process. This study examines the construction of the security references, security arguments, and language in the statements of the Commission on Sustainable Development dealing with energy and water. We found that international organizations and Non-governmental Organizations were somewhat more likely than state actors to use security references to discuss sustainability issues. The issues securitized are not the traditional high political ones such as regime stability and conflicts, but rather issues more associated with human security, such as access to renewable energy, affordable food, and clean water. The fact that in many statements examined the use of security references was not associated with any existential threat and hence did not comply with the conditions of the Copenhagen School raises some doubts as to whether security language in these statements implies a true securitization move. We also examined whether the use of the term ‘‘security’’ by states was correlated with greater resource scarcity or vulnerability. In the case of water-related sessions, the evidence was mixed, depending on the choice of dependent variable. The results from energy security regressions, however, were inconsistent with the hypothesis that greater scarcity or vulnerability induces more use of security language. I. Fischhendler Department of Geography, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel e-mail: [email protected] D. Katz (&) Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Haifa, Haifa, Israel e-mail: [email protected] 123 Author's personal copy 322 Keywords Water I. Fischhendler, D. Katz Climate CSD Energy Food Human security Securitization UN Abbreviations CSD Commission for Sustainable Development GDP Gross Domestic Product NGOs Non-Governmental Organizations UN United Nations UNDP United Nations Development Programme 1 Introduction A premise of discourse theory in environmental policy is that contrasting knowledge and realities are shaped by language (Dryzek 1997; Harré et al. 1999; Hajer and Versteeg 2005). For example, the works of Alatout (2006, 2007) on Israeli water policy and of Mehta (2001) on Indian water policy demonstrate how state actors utilized a discourse portraying scarcity as natural and inevitable for purposes of promoting state identity and for justifying support for dams, respectively. Similarly, a study by Rogers-Hayden et al. (2011) demonstrates how the ‘‘energy security’’ discourse was constructed in order to support new nuclear power in the United Kingdom. The effect of language has prompted some to argue for the use of sensational and alarming metaphors regarding environmental issues such as climate change (Doyle 2007; Ungar 2007), in order to garner media attention and avoid skeptical counterclaims (Williams 2000). Use of such a language by many environmentalists is often based on the assumption that they will succeed to influence only if they establish widespread connections between environmental issues such as climate change and prominent policy issues such as poverty, housing, health, and national and international security (e.g., Hale 2010). The discourse of environmental security, which presupposes environmental threats as urgent and interrelated to human systems (Graeger 1996; Baldwin 1997), is gaining in popularity. The term itself has gained much recognition as a contentious but widespread catchphrase (Graeger 1996; Allenby 2000; Trombetta 2008), with a host of other securitized language considered part of the environmental security canon. A commonly used term in this discourse is ‘‘environmental conflict,’’ a catchphrase that has gained prominence through its association of ecological safekeeping with peace and social justice (Conca 1994). Another example is the use of the ‘‘oil weapons’’ metaphor to demonstrate how oil embargos operate as a threat to both national and economic security (Mulligan 2010). The attempt to cast environmental problems as security issues has resulted in the common use of security jargon, idioms, and metaphors in policymakers’ and politicians’ statements and reports dealing with environmental policy (Levy 1995). Various analyses identify why natural resources like energy (Mulligan 2010; Rogers-Hayden et al. 2011), water (Grey and Sadoff 2007; Cook and Bakker 2012), and climate (Barnett 2001; Detraz 2011) are discussed in terms and language of security. They find that the policy goal is often to ensure reliable supply of these resources, which is considered important for the stability of the economy and the political system. There are, however, far fewer studies that have attempted to identify how such a discourse is constructed and by whom, and which variables contribute to this process. Hence, the aim of this study is to identify who is likely to discuss sustainable development 123 Author's personal copy Evidence from UN Commission on Sustainable Development 323 discourse using security language; and which political, physical, and economic variables may contribute to the use of security terminology in discussing such issues. An understanding of such uses of terminology will hopefully help clarify the differing meanings attributed to the jargon and the various motivations for using it. This, in turn, may help prevent confusion that may result from the increasing use of security language to discuss policy matters not traditionally considered security related. This study examines the use of the term ‘‘security’’ within the United Nations Commission on Sustainable Development (CSD), a multilateral forum that includes both state and non-state actors. The CSD represents a prominent forum in which both types of actors meet to promote approaches to sustainable development. The following section reviews the use of security language in the environment discourse with particular emphasis on attaching the term ‘‘security’’ to natural resources. It then presents a case study consisting of a content analysis of official statements made in the CSD. The analysis categorized statements submitted in sessions on energy and climate and on water and sanitation based on whether or not parties made use of the term security. It then evaluated statistically which parties most mentioned the term ‘‘security,’’, and what types of security were most mentioned. Results are followed by a discussion of possible explanations for use of security terminology and possible implications for policy and resource management. The final section provides conclusions and offers potential directions for further research. 2 Literature review 2.1 Security language in the environment discourse The theory of securitization entails an issue transformed into a matter of security through the use of ‘‘speech-acts.’’ Under this constructed process, the actor expressing the statement and the audience affected by the statement legitimize a certain issue as an existential security threat (Buzan et al. 1998). This process reflects constructivist and poststructuralist assertions that ‘‘threats are socially-constructed’’ through a ‘‘reflexive and contextualized process that generates meanings and practices’’ (Trombetta 2008, p. 600). This process is apparent when looking at some of the discourse commonly associated with climate change. Use of terms such as ‘‘urgent’’ and ‘‘catastrophic’’ has caused some to question whether such discourse is alarmist (Risbey 2008). Similarly, use of the term ‘‘tipping point,’’ a metaphor that induces feelings and images of forthcoming, irreversible danger, alters the perception of the climate from one that gradually changes to one that is approaching a dangerous threshold (Russill and Nyssa 2009; Risbey 2008). A common linguistic device for securitizing the environment is ‘‘framing,’’ which often utilizes metaphors within a particular social and cultural framework (Shmueli 2008). An example of framing climate change as an alarming threat can be seen through former vice president Al Gore’s statement at the White House Conference on Climate Action, April 21, 1994. ‘‘All of us here this morning are Paul Reveres of the environmental movement. We too are working as a team. Our enemy is more subtle than a British fleet. Climate change is the most serious problem that our civilization faces, and it has caused enormous damage before in human history’’ (ECSP 1995, p. 52). By framing the complexities of a threatening change in climate into an easily imaginable enemy of the past, and by grouping his audience into a ‘‘team’’ of patriotic ‘‘Paul Reveres’’, Gore is able to make use of American folklore to help his audience interpret climate change as a subtle, yet well-known enemy threatening American well-being. Gore thereby creates a 123 Author's personal copy 324 I. Fischhendler, D. Katz security plot consisting of an existential threat, a potential point of no return, and a possible solution if this ‘‘team’’ acts now. 2.2 The manifold uses of the term ‘‘security’’ Often, both the framing and the metaphors are convened by attaching the term ‘‘security’’ to many resources that society considers to be important and its access to them potentially under threat. Water is one such resource. The term ‘‘water security’’ has been attached to water management due to the growing body of evidence predicting the emergence of a global water crisis and its effect on different facets of our livelihood and economy (Tarlock and Wouters 2009). It is often unclear, however, what is meant by the term. Cook and Baker (2012), for example, documented the increasing use of the term ‘‘water security’’ and its different meanings across disciplines including empirical, modeling, conceptual, and laboratory-based studies. ‘‘Food security’’ is used to refer to hunger that may serve as a factor that fuels conflicts (Blakeney 2009). However, as opposed to older definitions that described food security in terms of ensuring reliable food supplies and took the nation-state as the unit of interest, today the discourse has changed to include questions of personal access and entitlement (Maxwell 1996). For instance, a commonly cited definition of food security taken from a World Bank policy study states that ‘‘food security is access by all people at all times to enough food for an active, healthy life’’ (World Bank 1986). Perhaps the most obvious example of attaching ‘‘security’’ to a resource is in the ‘‘energy security’’ jargon. While in some cases, the energy discourse refers to energy resources as a cause for or instrument of war, the term ‘‘energy security’’ is an umbrella term that is often used to describe many concerns such as a potential threat to standards of living, economic growth, or political power and stability that may materialize from lack of access to energy-generating resources (Hughes 2009). As with water and food security, ‘‘energy security’’ has been defined in numerous ways (Kruyt et al. 2009). Lately, observers have also placed the protection of ecosystems and provision of ecosystem services in the context of security. Such views are premised on the belief that disruption of such services would not only impact our quality of life, but, in the long term, undermine our capacity to exist (Pirages 2005). The connection between energy, food, and water security and global climate change resulted in the term ‘‘climate security.’’ The underlying assumption behind this term is that climate change has the potential to disrupt many basic functions of ecological and social systems and thereby threaten our life support systems (Khagram and Ali 2006; Risbey 2008). As an overarching or meta-issue, ‘‘climate security’’ has been used to describe a wide range of issues that could potentially be affected by climate change, including, but certainly not limited to, traditional security issues. Table 1 describes some of the resources securitized, the insecurities at stake, and the policy instruments often suggested to ensure resource security. 2.3 Motivations and implications of use of security language in sustainable development According to Buzan et al. (1998), securitization is about breaking the rules of the normal political decision-making, placing issues ‘‘beyond normal politics,’’ or ‘‘beyond public debate’’ (Schmitt 1985; Williams 2003, p. 5). As such, promoting security aspects of an issue or framing an issue in terms of security is a way to establish priority for issues 123 Author's personal copy Evidence from UN Commission on Sustainable Development 325 Table 1 Types of natural resources securitized in policy debates Resources securitized What is threatened Non-military instruments to reduce threat Climate Ecosystems Food production Property Political stability Quality of life/standard of living Water resources Demand management Energy efficiency Renewable energy sources Technology transfer Various adaptation measures Ecosystems Biodiversity Ecosystem services Open spaces Conservation areas Legal instruments Resource efficiency improvements Energy Employment Quality of life/standard of living Demand management Development of new energy sources Energy efficiency Integration of grids Renewable energy sources Technology transfer Trade liberalization Food Food production Employment Political stability Quality of life/standard of living Crop innovations Technology development Subsidies Trade liberalization/restriction Water Ecosystems Food production Human right Political stability Quality of life/standard of living Demand management Development of new water (e.g., desalination) Improved efficiency Integrated water resource management Technology transfer Virtual water (e.g., Balzacq 2005; Wæver 1995; Bethurem 2002). Given this effect of security rationales, many actors, both states and NGOs, have used security jargon in an attempt to portray as high politics issues normally thought of as low politics. They may do this out of genuine belief that environmental or development issues are a threat to national security or simply in order to better market the issues to decision makers. Such a potential marketing agenda in discussions of sustainable development issues has led some to argue that securitizing the environment is just a rhetorical device aimed at drumming up greater support for measures to protect the environment (e.g., Levy 1995) or, as Deudeny (1990) called it, ‘‘rhetorical attention-getting.’’ These types of uses of securitization of sustainable development issues can be a doubleedged sword. While the intent of some may be to elevate the profile of environmental issues, the ultimate effect may be that we drain the term security of any meaning (Deudeny 1990; Stern and Öjendal 2010; Ciută 2010). Widening the scope of security may undercut the ability to conduct traditional missions that counter explicitly military threats, and may distract from more proximate causes of violent conflict (Katz 2011). In addition, using the jargon of security to generate attention may also adversely affect the environment, as it can obscure precise calculation of environmental threats and discourage critical thinking about which environmental problems are serious and which are trivial (Brock 1997; Katz 2011). Finally, securitization of sustainable development discourse may reduce policymakers’ ability to prioritize among competing issues. If everything is a matter of security, then how does one choose in cases demanding trade-offs? This can lead to a freezing of policy debates (Balzacq 2005), which, in turn, can lead to less collaboration and cooperation, and 123 Author's personal copy 326 I. Fischhendler, D. Katz finally to a halt in the discourse on the securitized topics (Buzan et al. 1998; Wæver 1995). Such outcomes are particularly associated with security issues which, in contrast to economic ones, are inherently more conflictual and their equilibria less stable (Lipson 1984). The next section presents a case study that analyzes which actors most make use of security terminology in environmental discourse, and attempts to identify which variables might encourage these actors to do so. 3 Methodology 3.1 Choice of case study: the Commission on Sustainable Development In order to assess which actors most utilize the jargon of securitization in the context of the environment, this study undertook an analysis of statements made at sessions of the United Nations Commission on Sustainable Development. The CSD was established in 1992, following the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED), also known as ‘‘the Earth Summit,’’ in which leaders of states introduced and promulgated the Rio Declaration on Environment and Development and Agenda 21, intended as blueprints for achievement of sustainable development. The central role of the CSD is to review the progress of the implementation of this sustainable development mandate, to set policy guidance, and to promote dialogue and build partnerships between the different actors. Each year, the CSD serves as an open forum in which states, international organizations, and NGOs address issues considered crucial to promoting sustainable development. Declarations within the framework of the CSD were chosen for this case study because the CSD serves as the primary regularly meeting international forum explicitly designated for promoting sustainable development. Furthermore, the structure of the organization, in which formal statements are presented by state and non-state member parties, provides us with an unambiguous unit of analysis: submitted declarations. 3.2 Choice of indicators Because water and energy are among the most prominent examples put forth of resources with security implications, we evaluated all publicly available statements submitted during the twelfth through the fifteenth annual sessions (CSD-12, CSD-13, CSD-14, and CSD-15), which took place between 2004 and 2007. These sessions focused either on water and sanitation (CSD-12 and CSD-13), or on energy and climate (CSD-14 and CSD-15). The screen used to filter the statements was a very simple and broad one: all statements containing the word ‘‘security’’ (or the Spanish or French equivalents). Use of the term ‘‘security’’ as an indicator of discourse framing is a crude measure, but is easily identified and measured. There is precedence for use of this indicator, for instance, Cook and Baker (2012), as well as Detraz and Betsill (2009), who used the term ‘‘security’’ as an indicator of discourse in UN Security Council debates. Along the same lines, Chester (2010) also identifies the multiple aspects of the term ‘‘energy security’’ as it appears in the energy literature. We categorized the references to security according to what resource was ostensibly under threat (e.g., food, water, energy, etc.). In addition, given the range of definitions of and views on security, and recent approaches that emphasize human security (e.g., Axworthy 2001; King and Murray 2001; Paris 2001; MacLean et al. 2006; Tadjbakhsh and 123 Author's personal copy Evidence from UN Commission on Sustainable Development 327 Chenoy 2007; Chandler 2008), we indicated whether the focus of the security reference was state-centered or individual-/human-centered.1 In order to begin addressing the question of who is most using security jargon in the sustainable development dialogue, we first compared state and non-state actors. Non-state actors included both international organizations such as United Nations agencies, as well as NGOs representing a variety of stakeholders, including farmers, indigenous peoples, and other social and economic causes. 3.3 Hypotheses and statistical tests The first hypothesis we tested was the thesis that resource scarcity contributes to increased use of security jargon. Taking only the statements of state actors, we performed regressions to test whether how often a state referenced security correlated with various national indicators of water stress or access to energy supplies. Three different measures of use of security references were used as dependent variables in separate regressions, as detailed in Eqs. (1–3) provided in the ‘‘Appendix’’ below. Separate regressions were run for waterfocused sessions (CSD12 and CSD13) and for energy- and climate-focused sessions (CSD14 and CSD15). In terms of explanatory variables, we used both aggregate and disaggregated indicators of water poverty and energy security. Aggregate or composite indices of water and energy security attempt to offer integrated, holistic, and concise measures; however, the components of such composites and their relative weighting in determining the aggregate value are often controversial (Kruyt et al. 2009; Cho et al. 2010). Therefore, in addition to the composite indices, we also ran separate regressions using the same dependent variables, but using a range of explanatory variables. These included indicators specifically related to energy or water security (e.g., net energy imports or internal renewable water resources as a percentage of overall water resources), as well as indicators intended to capture potential exposure or vulnerability to scarcity (e.g., whether the country was an island (as island countries, especially small island countries are potentially more exposed to sea-level rise), and the contribution of agriculture to the national economy and the percent of population directly dependent on agriculture [as the agricultural sector tends to be the primary consumer of water in most countries (FAO 2011)]. In addition, for both sets of regressions, we included control variables such as GDP per capita, as an indicator of economic capacity to deal with resource scarcity, and a general measure of political stability and absence of violence. A full list and description of the variables used are provided in the ‘‘Appendix’’. The second hypothesis tested was whether non-state actors use security jargon more than state actors do. Non-state actors, be they intergovernmental organizations or NGOs, often have a particular mandate to promote a given development issue and thus are likely to have priorities that differ from state governments. This is true even for UN agencies, notwithstanding the fact that the UN is a body made up of member states. For this reason, 1 While there are debates as to the distinction (and even the veracity and utility of such a distinction between state and human security (Chandler 2008)), in this study state-centered references were defined as those directly referencing either the state or state agencies as the primary object of analysis and/or beneficiary or party at risk. Human-centered references were those that primarily referenced individual or community welfare as its central concern, without reference to the integrity of state mechanisms or territory. Thus, for example, references to regional balance of power or critical national infrastructure were considered state-centered, while those advocating for increases in access to clean water or electrification of villages were considered human-centered. For more on this distinction in environmental discourse analysis, see Detraz and Betsill (2009). 123 Author's personal copy 328 I. Fischhendler, D. Katz we group both intergovernmental bodies and NGOs together as non-state actors. Non-state actors would have a greater incentive to use the language of securitization than state actors if they believe that security is viewed as a high-level issue in policy circles, whereas their development or environmental issues typically are not. To test the hypothesis that non-state actors referenced security proportionately more often than their state counterparts, we conducted simple chi-square tests. In addition, we identified what type of issue (e.g., energy, water, food, climate) was the focus of the use of the term security and whether the focus was state security or human security. We then evaluated whether state and non-state actors focus on different ‘‘types’’ of security. Given the pioneering role of international organizations in using the term human security (e.g., UNDP 1994), and the stated policy agendas of both intergovernmental organizations and NGOs, we also evaluate whether state and non-state actors differ in terms of emphasis on state security versus human security. 4 Results The water and energy CSD sessions were evaluated separately; however, there were several similarities between the two samples. In terms of number of statements submitted, states outnumbered non-state actors by slightly over a 2:1 ratio in both cases (Table 2). Furthermore, the percentage of statements that referenced the word security was roughly 19 % in both cases, with states accounting for 59 % of all statements in the case of the water sessions and 57 % in the case of energy (Fig. 1a, b). Summary statistics for regressions testing the correlation between use of security terminology and various measures of water and energy scarcity are reported in Table 5 in the ‘‘Appendix’’. Values for independent variables are given for observations used in the logistic regressions. As a first cut, we ran single-variate logistic regressions using the composite indices for water poverty (Lawrence et al. 2002) and energy security (World Energy Council 2009) as independent variables. Results of the regressions are presented in Table 6 in the ‘‘Appendix’’. Results from the water session statements indicate that the correlation between likelihood of referring to security and water scarcity was actually negative (a lower score in the water poverty index indicates greater scarcity). That is, countries facing fewer constraints on water resources were actually more likely to make Table 2 Descriptive statistics CSD12 & CSD13 Water CSD14 & CSD15 Energy Number of observations % of total Number of observations % of total Parties submitting official statements to CSD sessions 150 100.0 159 100.0 States submitting statements 102 68.0 108 67.9 48 32.0 51 32.1 Statements 366 100.0 696 100.0 Statements submitted by states 233 63.7 430 61.8 Statements submitted by non-state actors 133 36.3 266 38.2 70 19.1 130 18.5 Non-state actors submitting statements Statements referencing security 123 Author's personal copy Evidence from UN Commission on Sustainable Development 329 Fig. 1 Proportion of statements submitted to CSD by all parties that contain security references. a Water session statements (CSD12 & CSD13). b Energy session statements (CSD14 & CSD15) use of security terminology. Results from the energy and climate sessions tell a similar story. States with a higher energy security score are more likely to have issued a statement referencing security. The composite energy security index was more concentrated on factors addressing supply-related issues, such as diversity of supplies and import ratios, than was the water poverty index, which included additional issues such as water quality and human development measures, and thus was perhaps a more well-rounded or multifaceted composite. For the water sessions, not only were those facing less scarcity more likely to reference security, they did so proportionately more often (see Table 7 in the ‘‘Appendix’’). In the case of the energy security index, there was no statistically significant difference in the frequency of security references. For regressions using disaggregated explanatory variables, results portrayed a somewhat different picture. In this case, several variables related to water scarcity were statistically correlated with increased use of the term security, including a higher ratio of withdrawals to resources, a greater dependence on other countries for water supplies, and a higher proportion of population dependent on agriculture (Table 7 in the ‘‘Appendix’’). These results seem to contradict those finding a negative relationship when using a composite water scarcity index. Higher per capita GDP was positively correlated with increased use of the term security, despite the fact that increased relative wealth would seem to indicate increased capacity to address scarcity issues. The signs on the fuel-related explanatory variables in the energy security regression remained inconsistent with the theory that greater scarcity induces more use of security jargon, however, none of the variables were statistically significant at the 10 % level or below, and so little can be concluded one way or the other on this matter. The only variable that was statistically significant using disaggregated measures of energy security was average annual population growth. However, the sign on the coefficient was negative, indicating that states with greater rates of population growth (and thus, presumably greater future energy needs) are actually less likely to reference security than states with more modest growth. Islands were more likely to reference security, but the result was not statistically significant. This may be due to the small number of island countries in the sample. Despite the literature indicating a relationship between traditional notions of national security and environmental security, neither in the water or in energy regression was the index of political stability and absence of violence (a more traditional security measure) 123 Author's personal copy 330 I. Fischhendler, D. Katz Fig. 2 Share of references to human- and state-centered security in statements submitted to CSD sessions. a Water session statements (CSD12 & CSD13). b Energy session statements (CSD14 & CSD15) statistically significant at any meaningful level. Regressions run without this variable produced nearly identical results to those provided herein. Regarding the hypothesis that proportionately non-state actors were more likely to reference security in their statements than were state actors, evidence was weakly supporting. Both jointly and when looking at the water and energy sessions separately, nonstate actors were proportionately more likely both to reference security2 and to issue statements referencing security3; they also used the term ‘‘security’’ more often4 than their state counterparts. For instance, overall for both water and energy sessions, 36 % of state actors made use of the term security compared with 43 % of non-state actors.5 The higher percentage for non-state actors support the hypothesis; however, chi-square tests found the difference to be statistically significant at the 5 % level or lower only for the differences in total number of references to security. Moreover, the finding was driven by the water sessions. In the case of the energy sessions, none of the differences were statistically significant. In terms of the focus of CSD security references, we saw differences both between state and non-state actors and between the water and the energy and climate sessions. For water session statements, nearly half of references to security (48 %) focused on human security, as opposed to only 22 % that focused on national security (Fig. 2a). Non-state actors focused more on human security proportionately than did state actors. For energy and climate session statements, of those referring to security, nearly 60 % of references did not specify whether the focus of their use of the term was human security or national security (Fig. 2b). This result was similar whether the statement was made by a state or a non-state actor. In both cases, state-centered references outnumbered those that were human-security-centered. Non-state actors, however, referred to human security proportionately much 2 As measured by a binary variable indicating whether or not the party used the term ‘‘security’’ at least once. 3 As measured by the number of statements issued that used the term ‘‘security’’ at least once, normalized by number of statements issued. 4 As measured by the total number of references to the term ‘‘security,’’ normalized by percentage of statements issued. 5 The respective percentages for water sessions were 42 and 49 %, respectively, while for the energy sessions they were 29 and 38 %. 123 Author's personal copy Evidence from UN Commission on Sustainable Development 331 more than did states, which referenced general human security issues in only 5 % of their security references. In the water sessions, the most common type issue associated with a security reference was threats to food security, accounting for 23 % of all references (Fig. 3a). The second most common use of the term security was in the context of threats to property rights and land tenure. Threats to water supply, including both water quantity and quality, accounted for only 14 % of the security references. Threats relating to economic development, project finance, and affordability of resources accounted for another 14 %. References relating to environmental issues such as protection of ecosystems and ecosystem services accounted for only 12 % of the total. Roughly 13 % of references spoke of security in general terms, without indicating a specific aspect that is under threat. In the case of energy, however, over a third (38 %) of the security references were general and did not offer a context or definition of the term or what is under threat (Fig. 3b). A third (34 %) referred to secure routes of supply. This represented over half of all references that specified what they meant by using of the term security. Concern for food security was also an important topic in energy and climate discussions, representing nearly a fifth (19 %) of all references. These included discussions of the impacts of climate change on food supplies, for instance, and the role of bio-fuels in providing renewable energy sources. 5 Discussion The use of references to the term ‘‘security’’ in one international forum as an indication for ‘‘securitization’’ language is an admittedly blunt indicator and should be viewed as simply a first cut at a complex issue. Still, despite this obvious limitation, several interesting observations can be made given the results of this case study. Firstly, the use of the term security in this case study did not, by and large, refer to traditional security issues, such as risk of violent conflicts or political instability. References in CSD statements to the potential for violent conflict were extremely rare, and the limited cases tended not to be by countries that are particularly susceptible to scarcity-induced violence. Potential for water wars, for instance, much discussed in academic and policy circles, was barely mentioned in CSD statements. For instance, one of the only specific references to traditional security issues was made by Germany in regard to scarce water resources, a problem from which Germany itself does not directly suffer. The statement was a general one asserting that Fig. 3 Subject of ‘‘security’’ references in statements submitted to CSD. a Water session statements (CSD12 & CSD13). b Energy session statements (CSD14 & CSD15) 123 Author's personal copy 332 I. Fischhendler, D. Katz Table 3 Insecurities expressed, idioms and language used, and recommended strategies Resource at stake Insecurities expressed Idioms and language used Recommended strategies Climate Hunger, disease, flooding, migration, biodiversity loss Vulnerability, urgent, catastrophic forecasts, disasters, devastation, destruction, misery Mitigation and adaption finance, emergency disaster response development Energy Economic destabilization, poverty, lack of development Concerns, undermining, terrorism Trade liberalization, financial support, military assurances of open trade zones, development of renewable sources, technology transfer Food Development, health, hunger, poverty Urgent, utmost priorities Technological support, financial support Land Poverty, rights Water War, disease, economic hardship, poverty Looming crisis, grim prospects Financial support for infrastructure, trade support Property rights, institutional reform ‘‘[p]ressure on freshwater reserves will increase—through population growth, increasing urbanization, rising industrial production and more consumption. It is becoming a threat to peace and security.’’6 Rather, use of the term security was, by and large, relegated to broader definitions of security—those dealing with economic welfare and development. For example, Fiji, a country with one of the world’s highest rates of renewable water resources per capita, referenced water security, but in the context of petitioning for reduced trade barriers that currently restrict its exporting of water and virtual water.7 That being said, the terminology used to describe these security issues was a mix of dire warnings and exhortations and run of the mill mundane policy jargon, calling for noncontroversial measures such as increased efficiency, sharing of information, or transfer of technology to developing nations. Thus, for instance, Indonesia called for promotion of global energy security based on increased energy efficiency and use of renewable resources to be achieved by means of ‘‘increased capacity building, technology transfer and financing’’8, while Antigua and Barbuda commented that best practices would be insufficient to achieve water security in small island countries and suggested that richer countries contribute toward ‘‘the establishment of a Disaster Relief Fund to assist small UN member states.’’9 The solutions offered to avoid potentially ‘‘catastrophic’’ consequences, however, had little traditional security characteristics and tended to be civilian instruments common in development discourse. 6 Statement submitted by Germany, April 28, 2004, to the CSD12. One of the only other references to violent conflict over scarce resources was another very general statement made by a representative of International Federation of Agricultural Producers, who also gave a general warning claiming that [w]ater security in some parts could lead to conflicts and water wars’’ Statement submitted on behalf of the Farmers Group on 3 May 2006 to CSD14. 7 Statement submitted by Fiji to the United Nations April 30, 2004, to the CSD12. 8 Statement submitted by Indonesia on May 1, 2007, to CSD15. 9 Statement submitted by Antigua and Barbuda on April 20, 2005, to CSD13. 123 Author's personal copy Evidence from UN Commission on Sustainable Development 333 Much of the security rhetoric in our case study is consistent with the alarming rhetoric in the climate discourse (Risbey 2008). The security framework was often used in order to communicate a sense of urgency by making statements with language like ‘‘catastrophic,’’ ‘‘disasters,’’ ‘‘devastation,’’ ‘‘destruction,’’ and ‘‘misery.’’ For instance, a representative of the World Meteorological Organization commented that ‘‘Soil health is crucial to food security and poverty alleviation, but erosion, deforestation and acidification are causing catastrophic soil damage.’’10 The effectiveness of such language in promoting action toward solutions, however, is debatable (Malnes 2008).11 A list of the types of insecurities expressed, with examples of idioms and language used to describe them, and recommended strategies for achieving each are offered in Table 3. As hypothesized, non-state actors made proportionately greater use of security jargon, as is in line with the literature that suggests that both international organizations and NGOs may have greater incentives than states to utilize security jargon to capture the attention of policymakers and the media in order to advance their causes. Human security was much more likely to be the focus of use of security references in the water sessions than in the energy ones. This difference can perhaps be attributed to the difference between the nature of the resources. For instance, in many places water is considered a local resource, and hence, its exploitation is largely done at the local or community level (Lansing 1991), while in the case of energy, there is often a need for national or regional efforts to exploit resources. Furthermore, it may be related to the perception of water as a human right, whereas energy resources are rarely portrayed in this way. Not surprisingly, non-governmental actors were more likely to focus on human rather than national security (Fig. 2). The large percentage of references to security that we were unable to classify as either human or state-centered security, however, is further evidence of the claims by many that such a distinction is often unclear (see, for example, Chandler 2008). Reliability of supply was the most prominent rationale for security language in the energy sessions, while in the water sessions it was food production and property rights. A possible explanation for this may relate to nature of the resources: Energy sources are traded internationally and hence can be disrupted or facilitated by a range of international actors. Water, in contrast, as mentioned, is still largely considered a local or community resource. Thus, the risk is not so much external disruption to supply, but to food production and property rights, the conditions for which are often more locally determined. In the case of water, there is mixed evidence regarding the hypothesis that scarcity will lead to increased references to security, depending on the independent variables examined. Little evidence was found to support such a claim in the case of energy regardless of the variables used. The discrepancy between regression results using composite versus individual measures of scarcity as dependent variables, in the case of water sessions, highlights the capriciousness of using any individual measure and the risks of drawing conclusions based on such. This is in line with much of the current literature that is critical of specific water security measures (e.g., Cook and Bakker 2012; Lautze and Manthrithilake 2012). The different elements or variables that go into making such composite indices may have different and even opposing impacts on the tendencies to use security jargon, and each merits evaluation, but not in isolation, but rather within a broad context that paints a fuller picture. The positive correlation between per capita GDP and likelihood to reference security, for both the water and energy sessions (although statistically significant only for the water sessions), is perhaps surprising, given that higher wealth generally indicates higher 10 Statement submitted by the World Meteorological Organization on May 11, 2006, to CSD14. 11 Evaluation of the effectiveness of such types of statements is beyond the scope of this study. 123 Author's personal copy 334 I. Fischhendler, D. Katz adaptive capacity. However, richer countries often used security terms to highlight problems of other countries, rather than their own. For instance, several OECD countries mentioned the need for poverty eradication in the context of food security (see, for example, Norway’s warning of the potential for global warming to ‘‘wipe out efforts to fight poverty and improve health and food security’’ in Africa12). Thus, countries securitized issues even when they were not directly at risk. We can only speculate at the motivations for doing so. Genuine concern for ‘‘universal’’ issues is a possible and straightforward explanation, but other possible explanations include a concern over destabilization of areas in which natural resources are found or concern over immigration or other spillover effects that may stem from resource scarcity-induced instability. For instance, Austria warned of the potential for global warming to bring about the ‘‘increase of natural disasters, rising of the sea level, vanishing of glaciers, severe security impacts through mass migrations.’’ Testing the veracity of such possible explanations, however, is beyond the scope of this work. 5.1 Does reference to ‘‘security’’ imply securitization? When an issue is turned into a matter of security, the issue is said to be ‘‘securitized,’’ a term most often associated with the Copenhagen School of international relations. Securitization is a social process ‘‘constituted by the intersubjective establishment of an existential threat with a saliency sufficient to have substantial political effects’’ (Buzan et al. 1998, p. 25; Wæver 1995). Securitization in other words presents something as an existential threat—even if no immediate, objective threat exists—thereby legitimizing taking emergency actions. Securitization therefore breaks the rules of normal decision-making processes (Pirages 2005) since it ‘‘entails a specific logic or rationality, independent of the context or the intentions of the speakers’’ (Trombetta 2008, p. 588). In order for securitization to successfully occur, ‘‘facilitating conditions’’ must be met. These are the conditions that the Copenhagen School calls ‘‘the internal, linguistic-grammatical’’ and ‘‘the external, contextual and social’’. The former relates to the grammatical structure of security, whereby a security plot within the language of a particular sector (such as the environment) is constructed, including an ‘‘existential threat’’ and ‘‘point of no return’’; the latter pertains to the required authoritative position of the actor initiating the securitizing process and the audience showing signs of accepting this ‘‘position of authority’’ and viewing the alleged threat as real (Buzan et al. 1998). For many statements examined, in all sessions, the use of security references was not associated with any existential threat and hence did not comply with the linguistic-grammatical conditions of the Copenhagen School. This raises some doubt as to whether security language in these statements actually implies securitization. Moreover, the finding in our study of use of civilian objectives and often commonplace means to address security concerns stands in contrast to many of the policy tools of securitization imposed in traditional security cases, which use exceptional means to attain their objectives. For example, in the fight against terrorism tools such as visa procedures, intelligence polices, border security checkpoints, and passenger name data records have been utilized in an attempt to deliver security (Balzacq 2008). This raises further doubt as to whether the security references identified require using exceptional, urgent measures as required (by the Copenhagen School) in order to be considered as genuine securitization,13 or they simply signal traditional policy dressed in security terms. 12 Statement of Norway submitted February 28, 2007, to CSD 15. 13 The Copenhagen School identifies ‘‘a discourse that takes the form of presenting something as an existential threat to a referent object’’ as a securitizing move, which becomes completely ‘‘securitized only if and when the audience accepts it as such’’ (Buzan et al. 1998). 123 Author's personal copy Evidence from UN Commission on Sustainable Development 335 The findings of this case study seem to support the argument that security language is often used as a rhetorical device aimed at drumming up greater support for achieving national goals, as was suggested by Deudeny (1990) and Levy (1995), rather than an example of genuine securitization, as defined by the Copenhagen School conditions. Given the nature of CSD discourse, in which each participant reads a statement with no discussion that follows, we are, however, unable to fully examine whether the security language used complies with the other external, contextual, and social facilitating conditions of the Copenhagen School. The broad nature of the use of the term ‘‘security’’ does seem to support the contention of Haas (2002, p. 1) that environmental security terminology is ‘‘selectively invoked by policy makers… in order to justify preexisting state goals.’’ This observation, however, does not seem to be limited to policymakers and state goals, but rather can be applied more generally to those seeking to influence policy and their organization’s goals. 6 Conclusions The use of the term ‘‘security’’ in policy discourse is increasingly broad. It has it been expanded beyond military and hostile threats to include broader threats to quality of life and other values, and beyond focusing exclusively on the nation-state, to include broader measures of human welfare. Motivation to use security jargon to describe sustainable development issues may stem from a desire to raise the profile of such issues in policy debates; however, doing so risks diluting the jargon to the point where policymakers cannot utilize it to prioritize among competing interests. Such use of security jargon could have a profound effect on willingness to cooperate, to sacrifice, and even to negotiate and debate (Buzan et al. 1998; Wæver 1995). This is of particular concern in the context of environmental change, which depends on transnational and even global collaboration (e.g., Kates et al. 2005; Keohane and Victor 2010). As such, it is important to be able to predict what resources are to be discussed in security language, by whom and what variables contribute to this process. For this reason, we examined the construction of the security references, arguments, and language in a high-level international forum dedicated to sustainable development. The CSD served as a good forum in which to evaluate the various levels of securitization of sustainable development jargon between actors and between types of environmental and resource issues. The issues discussed in security language are not the traditional high political ones such as regime stability and potential for violent conflicts that are essential for state territorial integrity, but rather issues generally considered to be ‘‘low politics,’’ such as reliable supply of fuel, food provision, and access to clean water. In the case of energy, securing reliable supplies is often associated with ensuring economic growth, while in the case of water, food security is often associated with alleviating poverty and supporting rural livelihoods. In neither case did it appear that genuine fear of political instability and violence contributed to the use of securitization language, as might be predicted by the environmental security literature that emphasizes resource scarcity as triggers for conflicts. These results can contribute to the limited attention devoted to examining how security discourse is constructed in the environmental and sustainable development realm (Grove 2010). This study also contributes to the scant work analyzing the activities of CSD, an important venue for international discourse and agenda building relating to sustainable development policy. 123 Author's personal copy 336 I. Fischhendler, D. Katz This study clearly has limitations, the most obvious of which is the narrow scope taken by examining only statements that use the actual word ‘‘security.’’ Yet, this highly restrictive approach allowed us to establish clear and objective boundaries necessary to obtain samples for statistical analysis. The results presented, however, leave several questions open: Is the use of security jargon by state representatives a reaction to the CSD challenging state sovereignty? Did uncertainty in states’ behavior and in physical conditions intensify the use of this security jargon? Finally, as actors increasingly harness the security horse to pull the environmental wagon, does the power of this security jargon inspire people to take action or, alternatively, does it lead to gridlocking the negotiations in the CSD and similar venues? The answer to these questions, and to questions regarding the impact and/or effectiveness of using security jargon to highlight particular development issues, is left for future research. Acknowledgments The authors would like to convey their appreciation to the EU Seventh Framework Programme that funded the Climate Change, Hydro-conflicts and Human Security (CLICO) project that made this project possible. We would like also to thank Daniel Natan for research assistance and for exposing us to some of the securitization literature discussed in this article. Appendix Regression equations Securityi ¼ a þ Xi b þ e ð1Þ Securitynumberi ¼ a þ Xi b þ e ð2Þ Securityavgi ¼ a þ Xi b þ e ð3Þ where Security = a binary variable, measuring whether or not the state referenced security in its statement Securitynumber = a limited ordered categorical dependent variable, the categories of which represent the number of security references per state. The four categories used were 0, 1, 2–3, 4, or more. Securitavg = the average number of security references per statement per state. X = A vector of various indicators frequently used by researchers to evaluate water and energy security. They include both resource specific variables (e.g., resource reserves) and variables that are meant to evaluate other possible measures of adaptive capacity (e.g., per capita income). The specific indicators used differed between models. A full list of the variables used is provided in Table 4 below. a and b = parameters to be measured e = error term The subscript i refers to the state used as the unit of observation Logistic regressions were performed with Eq. (1). Ordered logistic regressions were performed with Eq. (2). And Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regressions were performed with Eq. (3). The independent explanatory variables used for the water and energy regressions are given in Table 4 in the Appendix. 123 Energy variables Water variables Table 4 Variables Annual renewable water resources per capita Internal renewable water resources per capita Water withdrawn as share of total IRWR Share of IRWR originating in other countries Population in the agricultural sector Agricultural value added as share of overall Gross Domestic Product Gross Domestic Product per capita Annual population growth World Governance Indicators (WGI) index of political stability and absence of violence published by the World Bank (2010). Values represent 2003 data. Higher values indicate increased stability and lack of violence. ARWR IRWR Withdrawals Waterdependence Agrpop Agrgdp GDPcap Popgrowth Politicalstability Resource endowment and use variables Fossil fuel energy use as share of total energy use Net energy imports as share of total energy use Fuel exports as share of total merchandise exports Fuelexports Fossil fuel reserves per capita Fossilreservescap Energyimports Fossil fuel energy use per capita Energyusecap Resource endowment and use variables Fossilusepercent Aggregate measure of energy security published by the World Energy Council (2009), in which higher values represent increasing security. Among the index components were measures of diversity of supply, energy investment, reserve capacity. WECSEC Composite Socio-economic and political variables Aggregate water poverty index developed by Sullivan (2002) and Lawrence et al. (2002), in which 0 is most ‘‘water poor’’ and 100 is most water rich. Among the index components were measures of water supply endowments, access, water quality, and sanitation Variable description WPI Variable name Composite Variable type % % % kg of oil equivalent kg of oil equivalent Composite index with values ranging from 3.8 to 8.4 Index ranging from -2.5 to 2.5 % 2000 US$ % % % % m3/cap/year m3/cap/year Composite index with theoretical values ranging from 0 to 100 Units of measurement Author's personal copy Evidence from UN Commission on Sustainable Development 337 123 123 Politicalstability World Governance Indicators (WGI) index of political stability and absence of violence published by the World Bank (2010). Values represent 2005 data. Higher values indicate increased stability and lack of violence. 2000 US $ Average annual population growth Gross Domestic Product per capita Popgrowth GDPcap % Index ranging from -2.5 to 2.5 Metric tons of CO2 equivalent Fuel exports as share of total merchandise imports Greenhouse gas (carbon) emissions per capita CO2cap Units of measurement Fuelimports Variable description Variable name % Unless otherwise indicated, all water variable values were obtained from UN Food and Agricultural Organization’s Aquastat online database, accessed March 1, 2011. Values represented the average values for the years 2000–2005 Socio-economic political and geographic variables Variable type Table 4 continued Author's personal copy 338 I. Fischhendler, D. Katz Author's personal copy Evidence from UN Commission on Sustainable Development 339 Table 5 Summary statistics CSD12 & CSD13 Water database CSD14 & CSD15 Energy & climate database Variable No. of observations Mean SD Min Max WPI 90 58.6 10.1 35 78 569,528.6 ARWR 87 24,939.7 71,719.4 94.2 IRWR 87 19,895.8 65,532.2 23.7 569,528.6 Withdrawals 87 100.5 450.3 0 3,794.4 Waterdependence 87 21.8 28.8 0 97 Agrpop 87 0.12 0.11 0.007 0.441 Agrgdp 87 11.6 11.5 0.67 51.6 GDPcap 87 7,429.6 10,270.7 104 38,807.8 3.56 Popgrowth 87 1.41 0.98 -0.98 Politicalstability 87 -0.04 1.01 -2.14 1.68 WECSEC 63 6.1 1.12 3.8 8.4 Energyusecap 76 2,949.2 3,011.3 247.4 18,515.1 Fossilreservescap 76 0.0006 0.003 0 0.028 Fossilusepercent 76 71.80 24.7 10.1 100 Energyimports 76 -22.6 150.3 695.1 100 Fuelexports 76 20.2 28.3 0 98.1 Fuelimports 76 13.3 7.55 0.23 35.7 CO2cap 76 6.82 7.772 0.13 52.715 GDPcap 76 10,753.7 12,116.2 290.4 40,617.8 Popgrowth 76 1.24 1.45 -0.62 10.52 Politicalstability 76 0.033 0.93 -2.46 1.62 Island 76 0.13 0.34 0 1 Table 6 Single-variate logistic regressions Independent variable Dependent variable Security Water Poverty Index N = 90 Energy Security Index N = 63 WPI Constant 0.066** -4.814*** Security-number 0.075*** n.a. Securityavg 0.007** -0.258 Pseudo R2 or R2 0.064 0.060 0.051 WECSEC 0.452* 0.215 -0.063 Constant -3.148** Pseudo R2 or R2 0.043 n.a. 0.652 0.011 0.013 * p\0.10, ** p\0.05, *** p\0.01 123 Author's personal copy 340 I. Fischhendler, D. Katz Table 7 Multi-variate logistic regressions Water Energy & climate Dependent variable: security N = 87 Dependent variable: security N = 76 Independent variable Coefficient Independent variable Coefficient ARWR -3.34E-06 Energyusecap -0.0003 IRWR 1.65E-06 Fossilreservescap 62.151 Withdrawals 0.005* Fossilusepercent -0.0174 Waterdependence 0.029*** Agrpop 10.693*** Agrgdp -0.055 Energyimports Fuelexports 0.001 -0.01 Fuelimports 0.0317 CO2cap 0.151 GDPcap 0.0001*** GDPcap Popgrowth 0.100 Popgrowth -0.726** Politicalstability 0.175 Politicalstability -0.056 Island Constant Pseudo R2 -3.471 0.29 0.00007 0.826 Constant 0.39 Pseudo R2 0.121 References Alatout, S. (2006). 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