ADVISORY COMMISSION ON INTERGOVERNMENTAL RELATIONS March 1986 Private Citizens James S. Dwight, Jr., Arlington, VA Daniel J. Elazar, Philadelphia, PA Robert B. Hawkins, Jr., CHAIRMAN, Sacramento, CA Members of the United States Senate David Durenberger, Minnesota William V. Roth, Delaware James R. Sasser, Tennessee Members of the U.S. House of Representatives Sander M. Levin, Michigan Robert S. Walker, Pennsylvania Theodore S. Weiss, New York Officers of the Executive Branch, Federal Government William E. Brock, 111, Secretary, U.S. Department of Labor Mitchell E. Daniels, Jr., Assistant to the President for Political and Governmental Affairs Edwin Meese, 111, Attorney General, U.S. Department of Justice Governors John Carlin, Kansas Ted Schwinden, Montana John H. Sununu, VICE CHAIRMAN, New Hampshire Richard L. Thornburgh, Pennsylvania Mayors Ferd Harrison, Scotland Neck, North Carolina William H. Hudnut, 111, Indianapolis, Indiana Robert Martinez, Tampa, Florida Joseph P. Riley, Jr., Charleston, S.C. State Legislators John T. Bragg, Deputy Speaker, Tennessee House of Representatives Ross 0. Doyen, Kansas State Senate David E. Nething, Majority Leader, North Dakota State Senate Elected County Officials Gilbert Barrett, Chairman of the Board, Dougherty County, Georgia Philip B. Elfstrom, County Commissioner, Kane County, Illinois Sandra R. Smoley, Supervisor, Sacramento County, California A COMMISSION REPORT Devolving Federal Program Responsibilities And Revenue Sources To State And Local Governments This report was approved with a recommendation by the Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations on December 4 , 1985. Advisory Commission On Intergovernmental Relations Washington, DC 20575 March 1986 PREFACE Americans have always c h e r i s h e d t h e r i g h t of s e l f - r u l e , and a fundamental premise of t h e American experiment i n l i m i t e d self-government i s t h a t t h e democratic p r o c e s s works b e s t i n t h o s e governments t h a t a r e c l o s e s t t o t h e people. Our C o n s t i t u t i o n r e f l e c t s t h e s e v a l u e s by e s t a b l i s h i n g a l i m i t e d n a t i o n a l government and l e a v i n g t o s t a t e s and t h e i r l o c a l governments broad a u t h o r i t y f o r l o c a l s e l f - r u l e . I n p a s t r e s e a r c h , t h e Advisory Commission on IntergovernmenZal Relat i o n s (ACIR) has found t h a t i n c r e a s e d p o l i t i c a l c e n t r a l i z a t i o n and excess i v e n a t i o n a l involvement i n s t a t e and l o c a l a f f a i r s - - a c t i n g through a v a r i e t y of i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l d e v i c e s - - t h r e a t e n t h e i n t e g r i t y of l o c a l self-government. Based upon t h e s e f i n d i n g s , t h e Commission has examined a number of ways t o a c h i e v e g r e a t e r d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n , i n c l u d i n g block g r a n t s and revenue s h a r i n g . This r e p o r t c o n t i n u e s A C I R ' s e x p l o r a t i o n of a l t e r n a t i v e methods t o r e v e r s e t h e t r e n d toward e x c e s s i v e p o l i t i c a l cent r a l i z a t i o n through i t s examination of turnbacks: t h e simultaneous r e p e a l of s e l e c t e d f e d e r a l grant-in-aid programs and relinquishment of c e r t a i n federal t a x sources. A t i t s September 1985, meeting, t h e Commission a u t h o r i z e d t h e t u r n back r e s e a r c h t h a t i s p u b l i s h e d i n t h i s volume and a l s o d i r e c t e d t h a t r e g i o n a l p u b l i c r o u n d t a b l e s be h e l d t o i n f o r m t h e r e s e a r c h . The t h r e e r o u n d t a b l e s , h e l d i n Chicago, P h i l a d e l p h i a , and Salem, OR, h e a r d a wide range of l o c a l , s t a t e and f e d e r a l o f f i c i a l s , a s w e l l a s p r i v a t e c i t i z e n s . P a r t i c i p a n t s d i s c u s s e d such m a t t e r s a s t h e f i s c a l c a p a c i t y of s t a t e and l o c a l governments t o accommodate d e v o l u t i o n of r e s p o n s i b i l i t y and a u t h o r i t y ; t h e t r a n s i t i o n t o d e v o l u t i o n ; and q u e s t i o n s of p o l i t i c a l f e a s i b i l i t y . T h i s r e p o r t , which i n c o r p o r a t e s t h e l e s s o n s l e a r n e d from t h e h e a r i n g s , was adopted by ACIR a t i t s December 1985, meeting. A C I R voted t o recommend revenue and r e s p o n s i b i l i t y turnbacks a s one means of d e c e n t r a l i z i n g t h e f e d e r a l system. I t h e l d t h a t t h e i l l u s t r a t i v e turnback packages developed i n t h i s r e p o r t warranted f u r t h e r development i n c o n s u l t a t i o n w i t h o t h e r i n t e r e s t e d members of t h e i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l community. ( F u t u r e papers w i l l p r e s e n t t h e a d d i t i o n a l packages.) A C I R d i d n o t , however, recommend s p e c i f i c l e g i s l a t i o n ; nor d i d i t recommend t h e d e v o l u t i o n of p a r t i c u l a r f e d e r a l programs o r revenue s o u r c e s . The ACIR recommendation a l s o f o c u s s e d on t h e changed, d e c e n t r a l i z e d environment t h a t t u r n b a c k s would b r i n g about and on c u s h i o n i n g t h e change t o t h e new environment. An adequate p e r i o d of t r a n s i t i o n ( i n c l u d i n g a s s u r e d pass-through g r a n t s t o l o c a l governments) may become n e c e s s a r y , a s would changes i n s t a t e - l o c a l r e l a t i o n s such a s adjustments i n f i s c a l a s s i s t a n c e and broadened a u t h o r i t y f o r l o c a l taxing. A C I R ' s endorsement of turnbacks i s p a r t of i t s l o n g s t a n d i n g s t u d y -iii- of a range of mechanisms f o r d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n , s u c h a s b l o c k g r a n t s , Eorinula-based g e n e r a l r e v e n u e s h a r i n g , o r i g i n - b a s e d t a x s h a r i n g , and t h e "swapping" of r e s p o n s i b i l f t i e s among t h e v a r i o u s l e v e l s of government. The p r e s e n t r e p o r t ' s d e t a i l e d s t u d y of p r i n c i p l e s and methods h e l p s t o a s s e s s t h e r o l e t u r n b a c k s may p l a y i n e n h a n c i n g t h e workings of t h e f e d e r a l system. Robert B. Hawkins, Jr. Chairman ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This report was written by Mark David Menchik and Max B. Sawicky, under the supervision of Lawrence A. Hunter, research director of the Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations. Roger A. Hanson supplied helpful suggestions. Earlier stages of the research were conducted by Robert J. Kleine, Mark David Menchik, and Holley Ulbrich. Jim Estep, Cathy Gust, and Bud Vestal helped the authors develop the computational procedures that were used. Anita J. McPhaul, along with Mary A. Dominguez and Lori A. O'Bier, provided valuable secretarial and clerical assistance. Staff research on revenue and responsibility turnbacks was guided by an ACIR committee headed by State Senator David A. Nething and Mayor Joseph P. Riley, Jr. County Chairman Gilbert Barrett, State Senator Ross 0. Doyen, and Governor Ted Schwinden served on the committee. The report benefited from three regional roundtables on the subject of turnbacks. The Commission and staff are grateful to the private citizens and public officials who participated at the roundtables. A list of the participants appears in Appendix A. Report preparation was greatly aided by a "critics' session," which discussed an earlier draft. Enid Beaumont, Kathy Collins, Bill Colman, Alexander Dimitrief, Gerald H. Miller, Richard R. Mudge, Kathy Peroff, John E. Petersen, Alvin Sokolow, Michael Springer, and Gerald L. Thorpe all participated. An early stage of this research, conducted as part of the study mandated by PL 98-185, received the partial financial support of the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Office of State and Local Finance, which is headed by Robert Rafuse. Full responsibility for the content and accuracy of this report rests, of course, with the Commission and its staff. John Shannon Executive Director CONTENTS ........................... Chapter 1 . .SUMMARY AND POLICY RECOMMENDATION INTRODUCTION POLICY RECOMMENDATION.. DISSENTS F I W I N G S. . . . . . o . . . * . . * ~ o e o . . m . . . o . m ~ . . ~ e ~ . e * m ........................................................ ............................................. ............................................................ .. o ~ * o ~ . * e . o e * e ~ ~ * * e e ............................................ .WHY TURNBACKS? Chapter 2 . I N T R O D U C T I O N ~ o o. ~. . o. . . . . w . . . . . . . . . * e o e . e o o e o e o e e . e . e e m CONTEMPORARY P E R S P E C T I V E S ON THE NEED FOR INCREASED P O L I T I C A L DECENTRALIZATION. F e d e r a l i s m i n N e e d of R e f o r m C o n t r a r y Views F A C I L I T A T I N G D E F I C I T REDUCTION CONCLUSION ......... ................................................ ................................... ................................................. ...................................... .......................................................... ........................................ .................................................. ................................................. ..................................... .D E S I G N I N G THE TURNBACK PACKAGES ............................. Chapter 4 . INTRODUCTION.. ...................................................... PROGRAM TURNBACKS AND AN ECONOMIC THEORY O F F I S C A L DECENTRALIZATION . TURNING OVER REVENUE SOURCES: A PRAGMATIC APPROACH ................. MAKING REVENUE DEVOLUTION PERMANENT ................................. THE TAX RELINQUISHMENT APPROACH TO TURNING OVER REVENUES ............ REVENUE SOURCES TO ACCOMPANY PROGRAM TURNBACKS ...................... Federal E x c i s e T a x on M o t o r F u e l s .............................. T o b a c c o T a x .................................................... A l c o h o l i c B e v e r a g e T a x e s ....................................... T e l e p h o n e E x c i s e T a x ........................................... P e r s o n a l I n c o m e T a x ............................................ TRANSITIONAL ARRANGEMENTS. P ASS-THROUGH MECHANISMS. AND THE POST-DEVOLUTION ENVIRONMENT ...................................... Chapter 5 . .THE I L L U S T R A T I V E TURNBACK PACKAGES .......................... INTRODUCTION ........................................................ PROGRAMS THAT ARE TURNBACK CANDIDATES ............................... DESIGNING THE TURNBACK PACKAGES ..................................... TURNBACK P O L I C Y AND F I S C A L EQUALIZATION ............................. HOW TO READ THE TABLES .............................................. THE $10 B I L L I O N PACKAGE ............................................. $17 B I L L I O N PACKAGE. ............................................ .TURNBACKS I N CONTEXT Chapter 3 . INTRODUCTION...... THE NEED FOR THEORY H I S T O R I C A L MODELS O F FEDERALISM THE THE $18 B I L L I O N PACKAGE THE $ 2 1 B I L L I O N PACKAGE THE $ 2 2 B I L L I O N PACKAGE ............................................. ............................................. ............................................. ....................... Appendix B . .ALTERNATIVE MECHANISMS FOR FISCAL AND PROGRAMMATIC DEVOLUTION .............................................. REFERENCES ............................................................... Appendix A . .PARTICIPANTS I N REGIONAL ROUNDTABLES FIGURES. GRAPHS. AND TABLES F i g u r e 2.1 . .E v a l u a t i o n of t h e I n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l System: Criteria f o r D e t e r m i n i n g Whether Reform i s Required F i g u r e 3.1 .................. . .H i s t o r i c a l Nodels of F e d e r a l i s m ............................ Graph 2.1 . .F e d e r a l Graph 3.1 . .F e d e r a l T a b l e 4.1 . .The Aid i n R e l a t i o n t o S t a t e and L o c a l E x p e n d i t u r e s f r o m Own-Source Revenues i n C o n s t a n t 1972 D o l l a r s . Aid t o S t a t e and L o c a l Governments i n C o n s t a n t 1972 D o l l a r s . 1970-84 T e s t of V i t a l N a t i o n a l I n t e r e s t : Necessary and S u f f i c i e n t C o n d i t i o n s f o r A c t i v i t y by t h e N a t i o n a l Government T a b l e 5.1 . .Summary of T a b l e 5.2 . .C a n d i d a t e T a b l e 5.3 T a b l e 5.4 T a b l e 5.5 T a b l e 5.6 T a b l e 5.7 ................................... .............................................. F i v e I l l u s t r a t i v e Turnback Packages ............. Programs f o r Turnback. i n Order of ACIR F u n c t i o n a l Area and CFDA Number ......................... . .$10 B i l l i o n I l l u s t r a t i v e Turnback Package .................. . .$17 B i l l i o n I l l u s t r a t i v e Turnhack Package .................. . .$18 B i l l i o n I l l u s t r a t i v e Turnhack Package .................. . .$21 B i l l i o n I l l u s t r a t i v e Turnback Package .................. . .$22 B i l l i o n I l l u s t r a t i v e Turnback Package .................. 69 Chapter 1 SUMMARY AND POLICY RECOMMENDATION INTRODUCTION A r e c u r r e n t theme i n American p o l i t i c a l h i s t o r y h a s been t h e g r e a t em- p h a s i s placed on p o l i t i c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n a s an e n d u r i n g value. The Con- s t i t u t i o n a l d e s i g n r e f l e c t s t h i s value by i t s e f f o r t t o c r e a t e a l i m i t e d nat i o n a l government t h a t i s compatible w i t h s o v e r e i g n and v i b r a n t s t a t e s . generalization continues to command widespread a l o n g t h e p o l i t i c a l spectrum: One a c c e p t a n c e from a l l p o i n t s "The government c l o s e s t t o t h e people governs best. " I n r e c e n t y e a r s a consensus has developed, among c i t i z e n s and p u b l i c o f f i c i a l s a l i k e , t h a t t h e American system of government h a s grown t o o c e n t r a l i z e d , t o o complicated, and t e n d s t o l a c k a c c o u n t a b i l i t y a t c r i t i c a l p o i n t s . One a r e a of s p e c i a l concern has been t h e e l a b o r a t e system of f e d e r a l g r a n t s i n - a i d t h a t h a s developed over t h e l a s t 30 y e a r s . I n p r e v i o u s s t u d i e s and p o s i t i o n p a p e r s , t h e Advisory Commission on InIntergovernmental R e l a t i o n s (ACIR) has a f f i r m e d t h e importance of s i m p l i f y i n g an " e x c e s s i v e l y intergovernmentalized" federal The Commission urged that the current array system (e. g. of , ACIR, grant-in-aid programs be and what is o b j e c t i v e s were to s o r t e d o u t a c c o r d i n g t o what i s a p p r o p r i a t e l y a f e d e r a l t a s k , more f i t t i n g l y a state or local responsibility. The 1981~). e l e v a t e t o t h e n a t i o n a l government t h o s e programs and a c t i v i t i e s t h a t h o l d s i g n i f i c a n c e f o r t h e n a t i o n a s a whole and t o c l e a r t h e f e d e r a l domestic agenda of programs t h a t were more a p p r o p r i a t e l y handled by s t a t e - l o c a l governments o r by t h e p r i v a t e s e c t o r . C r i t e r i a c i t e d f o r program d e v o l u t i o n o r e l i m i n a t i o n were meager f i n a n c i a l a s s i s t a n c e i n r e l a t i o n t o s t a t e e f f o r t s i n t h e same a r e a , ineffectiveness, or disproportionately large administrative costs. A v a r i e t y of s t r a t e g i e s f o r a c h i e v i n g t h e s e g o a l s was i d e n t i f i e d i n a s t a f f working paper i s s u e d i n December i n c l u d e d block g r a n t s , origin-based tax formula-based sharing, 1981 (ACIR, s p e c i a l and g e n e r a l revenue/responsibility -1- 1981e). The s t r a t e g i e s revenue s h a r i n g , turnbacks, and program "swaps" designed t o "sort completely t o t h e n a t i o n a l o u t " f u n c t i o n a l r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s by moving some government w h i l e devolving o t h e r s t o s t a t e and l o c a l governments. The 1981 s t a f f working paper was b a s i c a l l y a t e c h n i c a l p i e c e t h a t examined v a r i o u s ways t o implement d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n and s o r t i n g out s t r a t e g i e s . T h i s t e c h n i c a l work was based l a r g e l y upon t h e body of p a s t A C I R r e s e a r c h t h a t had examined t h e f a i l u r e s 1980b; A C I R , 1981c; A C I R , of the current i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l system (ACIR, 1981d) I n t h i s r e s e a r c h , A C I R a l s o examined, in c o n s i d e r a b l e d e t a i l , a number of d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n s t r a t e g i e s , i n c l u d i n g block g r a n t s , s p e c i a l and g e n e r a l revenue s h a r i n g , summary of recommendations t a x s h a r i n g , and "swaps." r e s u l t i n g from e a r l i e r a s p e c t s of A t h i s work i s c o n t a i n e d i n a 1978 r e p o r t (ACIR, 1978). Other t h a n t h e t e c h n i c a l work done i n t h e 1981 S t a f f Working Paper, t h e Commission h a s never examined turnbacks of revenue s o u r c e s and program respons i b i l i t i e s i n depth. The c u r r e n t r e s e a r c h e f f o r t on t u r n b a c k s i s an a t t e m p t t o f i l l t h i s gap. The c u r r e n t s t u d y develops a d e t a i l e d d i s c u s s i o n s o r t i n g out programs and r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s . of the c r i t e r i a for I n t h i s endeavor i t b e n e f i t s from t h e A C I R ' s own p r e v i o u s work on t h e p o l i t i c a l dimensions of f e d e r a l i s m and a l a r g e body of l i t e r a t u r e on t h e economics of f i s c a l f e d e r a l i s m . The c u r r e n t t h e o r e t i c a l framework f o r e v a l u a t i n g assignments of program r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s t o l e v e l s of government encompasses both economic and p o l i t i c a l c o n s i d e r a This framework i s a c o n t i n u a t i o n of t h e e f f o r t s made by t h e Kestnbaum tions. Commission, t h e J o i n t F e d e r a l - S t a t e Action Committee, and t h e A C I R i t s e l f , t o develop a n a n a l y t i c a l approach t o program assignment i s s u e s . The framework i s a p p l i e d t o t h e e x i s t i n g gamut of f e d e r a l a i d programs --more t h a n 400 i n a l l - - i n o r d e r t o produce for illustrative purposes a " c a n d i d a t e l i s t " of 177 programs t h a t could be r e t u r n e d t o s t a t e and l o c a l control. Because A C I R i s c u r r e n t l y s t u d y i n g means-tested programs ( s e e A C I R l 9 8 5 a ) , and because t h e s e programs r a i s e p o l i c y i s s u e s d i f f e r e n t from t h o s e c o n s i d e r e d h e r e , no means-tested programs a r e considered f o r turnback i n t h i s report. A p p l i c a t i o n of t h i s framework by d i f f e r e n t a n a l y s t s would c e r t a i n l y produce l o n g e r o r s h o r t e r l i s t s , and no b r i e f i s made h e r e t h a t t h e l i s t p r e s e n t e d i s t h e l a s t word on t h e s u b j e c t . I t i s , however, t h e product of a s e r i o u s e f f o r t t o apply g e n e r a l c r i t e r i a t o f e d e r a l programs a s a group, -2- something t h a t c l e a r l y has needed doing f o r a long time. The only u s e f u l c r i t i c a l r e p l y t o t h e proposed l i s t would be a b e t t e r l i s t . Having e s t a b l i s h e d t h e c a n d i d a t e s sents alternative packages of programs f o r devolution, and t h e study then pre- revenue s o u r c e s f o r turnback. Each package i s b u i l t around t h r e e components: a p r e s p e c i f i e d group of revenue s o u r c e s t o be r e l i n q u i s h e d by t h e f e d e r a l government, a n accompanying s e t of f e d e r a l a i d programs chosen from t h e c a n d i d a t e l i s t , and a predetermined gap between t h e t o t a l s of program turnbacks and revenue turnhacks--in a net reduction i n the federal d e f i c i t . o t h e r words Given t h e s e components, t h e v a r i a b l e i n t h e procedure becomes t h e s e t of programs chosen. S e l e c t i o n of programs i s done by computer a c c o r d i n g t o s p e c i f i e d c r i t e r i a f o r reducing t h e g a i n s and l o s s e s of s t a t e s . A r i c h l e v e l of f l e x i b i l i t y i s p o s s i b l e i n d e f i n i n g t h e s e g a i n s and losses--known a s " f i s c a l mismatchw-- and a d j u s t i n g t h e p a t t e r n i n which they a r e s p r e a d o v e r s t a t e s . It i s p o s s i - b l e , f o r i n s t a n c e , t o p l a c e a b s o l u t e l i m i t s on t h e l e v e l of p e r c a p i t a g a i n s and/or l o s s e s s u s t a i n e d by any p a r t i c u l a r s t a t e o r s e t of match t h e p a t t e r n of g a i n s and l o s s e s t o s t a t e s i.e., ' states, and t o a b i l i t i e s t o s u s t a i n them-- t o t h e i r f i s c a l capacity. F i v e i l l u s t r a t i v e packages a r e o f f e r e d r e f l e c t i n g d i f f e r e n t magnitudes of turnback programs a s a whole, d i f f e r e n t l e v e l s of d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n , and d i f f e r e n t t y p e s of c o n s t r a i n t s . For example, t h e amount of program r e s p o n s i - b i l i t i e s t u r n e d o v e r t o s t a t e s ranges from $10 t o $ 2 2 b i l l i o n . A s i n any endeavor, t h e more c o n s t r a i n t s p l a c e d on t h e outcome, t h e fewer s o l u t i o n s a r e possible. Such c o n s t r a i n t s e x a c t " c o s t s " t o o t h e r g o a l s of t h e procedure, making c o n s i d e r a t i o n of t r a d e o f f s n e c e s s a r y . do n o t i n c r e a s e p r o p o r t i o n a l l y The l e v e l s of mismatch, however, a s package s i z e grows. The l a r g e r packages p r o v i d e more scope f o r t a i l o r i n g t h e mix of programs t o t h e e x c i s e t a x e s t u r n e d o v e r , reducing mismatch. It should be emphasized t h a t , because t h e c u r r e n t s t u d y i s a s t a r t i n g p o i n t f o r f u r t h e r work, i t s s u b j e c t i s a s much t h e method a s t h e r e s u l t s . D e t a i l e d and s p e c i f i c a n a l y s i s of both t h e p r i n c i p l e s and s p e c i f i c s of turnback d e s i g n a l l o w s t h i s p o l i c y a l t e r n a t i v e t o be debated i n t h e p o l i t i c a l forum. The i l l u s t r a t i v e packages o f f e r e d a r e l e g i t i m a t e p r o p o s a l s f o r c o n s i d e r a t i o n by p o l i c y makers, but t h e method a f f o r d s t h e p o s s i b i l i t y of developing new p r o p o s a l s should t h e s p e c i f i c packages t h e p o l i t i c a l arena. o f f e r e d h e r e prove u n s a t i s f a c t o r y i n Furthermore, t h e turnback method need n o t he c o n s i d e r e d -3- in isolation from other decentralization strategies cited at the outset. POLICY RECOMMENDATION The Use of Turnbacks to Achieve Increased Political Decentralization in The American Federal Svstem PREAMBLE. A recurrent theme in American political history has been the great emphasis placed on decentralization as an enduring value. The Constitutional design reflects this value by its effort to create a limited national government that is compatible with sovereign and vibrant states. And, one generalization continues to command widespread acceptance from all points along the political spectrum: "the government closest to the people governs best. " The Commission finds that turnbacks (simultaneous repeal of federal aid programs and relinquishment of tax bases) are a promising approach to achieving increased political decentralization in the American federal system. The Commission finds further that any turnback package should be based upon the following principles: o Turnback legislation should provide for an adequate transition period to allow state and local governments to adjust to the new environment of increased political decentralization. o Turnback legislation should provide for an adequate pass-through of state funds to local governments during the transition period to minimize fiscal dislocation and uncertainty as local governments adjust to the new environment of political decentralization. o Turnback legislation should provide a mechanism during the transition period to facilitate any state legislative or constitutional changes necessarv to adiust the ~olitical and fiscal relations hi^ between -, states and their local governments, such as adjustments in local financial aid and changes in laws affecting local taxing authority. Finally, the Commission finds that the attached turnback packages warrant further development; the Commission recommends that Congress, the President, and state and local officials use the attached ACIR report as a departure point for serious consideration of the turnback concept; and the Commission directs the ACIR staff to continue to develo~additional alternative packages at the request of interested parties. DISSENTS Mayor Joseph P. Riley, Jr., Governor Ted Schwinden, and Mayor William Hudnut A 1980 ACIR report stated "the federal government's influence has become more pervasive, more intrusive, more unmanageable, more inefficient, more costly, and above all, more unaccountable." While perhaps overstated, that was a more o r l e s s a c c u r a t e c r i t i c i s m a t t h e time, and t h e r e s u b s e q u e n t l y ensued a r e e v a l u a t i o n of t h e r o l e of t h e n a t i o n a l government i n t h e f e d e r a l s y s tem. Y e t , i f t h e p r o l i f e r a t i o n of c a t e g o r i c a l g r a n t s - i n - a i d d u r i n g t h e 1960s and 1970s r e s u l t e d i n e x c e s s i v e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n of government, t h e n t h e s i n of e x c e s s i v e d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n i s l i k e w i s e committed i n t h i s Commission recommend a t i o n . A s t h e pendulum may have swung t o o f a r t o t h e l e f t when t h e n a t i o n a l government sought t o remedy every p e r c e i v e d problem, t h e " t u r n b a c k " of programs and f i n a n c i a l r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s t o s t a t e s and l o c a l i t i e s would swing t h e It would r e s u l t i n a d e r e l i c t i o n of r e s p o n s i pendulum t o o f a r t o t h e r i g h t . b i l i t i e s by Washington, p a r t i c u l a r l y toward t h e n a t i o n ' s c i t i e s . T h i s recommendation i s not s o much a n e f f o r t t o decongest t h e f e d e r a l system a s i t i s a p h i l o s o p h i c a l d e s i r e by some t o have our n a t i o n a l governIt i s a ment wash i t s hands of any concern f o r l o c a l needs and problems. philosophy t h a t p u b l i c t r a n s p o r t a t i o n , t h e hungry, t h e homeless, bad h o u s i n g , economic underdevelopment, p o v e r t y , e t a l . , a r e not n a t i o n a l c o n c e r n s , but l o c a l i z e d inconveniences t o be borne s o l e l y by t h e s t a t e s and c i t i e s . It i s a philosophy t h a t would i n j e c t a f a t a l dose of a n t i h i s t a m i n e i n t o a system of government where t h e r e i s s c a n t e v i d e n c e t h a t c o n g e s t i o n even e x i s t s . Urban Development Action Grants a r e not p e r v a s i v e ; they a r e t a r g e t e d t o our most d i s t r e s s e d c e n t e r c i t i e s . P o l l u t i o n c o n t r o l g r a n t s a r e not i n t r u s i v e ; they h e l p p r e s e r v e our n a t i o n a l environment. Community Development Block Grants a r e n o t unmanageable; t h e program r e p l a c e d s c o r e s of c a t e g o r i c a l programs and h a s s p i r i t e d t h e r e v i t a l i z a t i o n of hundreds of c i t i e s and commun i t i e s a c r o s s our country. General Revenue S h a r i n g i s n o t i n e f f i c i e n t ; i t has complete r e s p e c t f o r l o c a l autonomy and i s a l l o c a t e d a t t h e l e v e l of government c l o s e s t t o t h e people. And t h e s e programs--along w i t h s c o r e s of others--are c o s t l y and unaccountable only t o t h e e x t e n t t h a t Congress imposes e x c e s s i v e r e s t r i c t i o n s . What i s needed i s n o t t u r n b a c k s , but more f l e x i b i l i t y i n e x i s t i n g programs. The r a t i o n a l e f o r t h i s A C I R recommendation r e l i e s on u n s u b s t a n t i a t e d gene r a l i z a t i o n s which few s t a t e and l o c a l e l e c t e d o f f i c i a l s and c i v i l s e r v a n t s would endorse: o I t s c r i t i c i s m of t h e grants-in-aid system f o r n o t e q u a l i z i n g t h e d i s p a r i t i e s i n w e a l t h of t h e v a r i o u s j u r i s d i c t i o n s i s i l l o g i c a l s i n c e most of t h e programs a r e not designed f o r t h a t purpose. The I n t e r s t a t e Highway program, f o r example, was e n a c t e d t o c o n s t r u c t a nat i o n a l highway network, not t o a l l o c a t e funds e q u a l l y t o a l l s t a t e s . S i m i l a r l y , t h e purpose of Superfund i s t o e l i m i n a t e hazardous waste s i t e s , n o t e q u a l i z e e x p e n d i t u r e s among t h e s t a t e s o r r e g i o n s . o The i m p l i c a t i o n t h a t f e d e r a l g r a n t - i n - a i d programs c o n t i n u e t o grow i s erroneous. There was a d e f i n i t e peaking i n 1978 of d o l l a r s a l l o c a t e d t o s t a t e and l o c a l governments. Between 1980 and 1985, t o t a l f e d e r a l e x p e n d i t u r e s i n c r e a s e d by 2 3 . 3 % , w i t h d e f e n s e i n c r e a s i n g by 33.9% and i n t e r e s t on t h e d e b t i n c r e a s i n g 86%. During t h i s same p e r i o d , f e d e r a l g r a n t s t o s t a t e and l o c a l governments d e c r e a s e d by 8.3%. Local governments have s h a r e of f e d e r a l budget c u t s . a l r e a d y t a k e n more than t h e i r fair o The l i n k i n g of turnbacks w i t h d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n c a r r i e s s c a n t cogency because our c o u n t r y ' s b a s i c d e f i c i t problem i s caused by a f a i l u r e of p o l i t i c a l w i l l t o d e a l a t t h e f e d e r a l l e v e l w i t h i t s r o o t causes-i.e. , c o n t i n u i n g e s c a l a t i n g e n t i t l e m e n t programs t h a t a r e i n e x o r a b l y h i t c h e d t o COLAS, and a l a c k of f i s c a l d i s c i p l i n e i n d e f e n s e spending. This h a s p r e c i o u s l i t t l e t o do w i t h i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l r e l a t i o n s and turnbacks. o The recommendation f a i l s t o r e c o g n i z e t h e c o n s t r a i n t s w i t h i n t h e Cong r e s s i o n a l p r o c e s s which s e v e r e l y l i m i t t h e u s e of t u r n b a c k s : t h e o v e r l a p p i n g j u r i s d i c t i o n of committees; t h e competing i n t e r e s t groups and t h e i r r e l u c t a n c e t o s e e t h e i r programs changed o r g i v e n t o a n o t h e r l e v e l of government ; and t h e r e l u c t a n c e of e l e c t e d o f f i c i a l s , having e n a c t e d t a x e s and been c r i t i c i z e d f o r i t , t o hand t h e revenue over t o another j u r i s d i c t i o n . o I n terms of t u r n i n g back revenues t o l o c a l i t i e s , many l o c a l governmental u n i t s do n o t have t h e authority--and p o s s i b l y n o t t h e c a p a c i t y --to p i c k up t h e funding of t u r n e d back programs, even though such programs a r e needed. There a r e s t a t e c o n s t i t u t i o n a l and s t a t u t o r y b a r r i e r s t o any l e g i t i m a t e p a s s through of t h i s t a x i n g a u t h o r i t y . o Many F i n a l l y , t h e c l a i m t h a t turnbacks a r e e f f i c i e n t i s s p e c i o u s . f e d e r a l programs can be run f a r more e f f e c t i v e l y , a t f a r l e s s c o s t , by smaller n a t i o n a l s t a f f s t h a n by 50 s t a t e s t a f f s o r s e v e r a l hundred local staffs. I n comparison w i t h almost a l l o t h e r world democracies, t h e United S t a t e s i s a l r e a d y a genuinely d e c e n t r a l i z e d system of government. We should be proud, not a p o l o g e t i c , f o r t h e l a s t g e n e r a t i o n ' s e f f o r t s t o a d d r e s s i s s u e s n a t i o n a l i n s c o p e , but through s t a t e and l o c a l e n t i t i e s c l o s e s t t o t h e people. T h i s e f f o r t has made our country g r e a t e r . A s we approach t h e 200th a n n i v e r s a r y of t h e C o n s t i t u t i o n , we a l l need t o be reminded t h a t t h i s country i s no l o n g e r a c o n f e d e r a t i o n . Ye a r e a l l c i t i zens of t h e same c o u n t r y , and have e v e r y reason t o e x p e c t t h a t t h e n a t i o n a l government, a s w e l l a s s t a t e and l o c a l governments, w i l l a c c e p t t h e r e s p o n s i b i l i t y t o a d d r e s s our n e e d s , wherever we may r e s i d e . The e r r o r of t h i s mass i v e turnback recommendation i s t h a t i t f o r g e t s t h a t we a r e one n a t i o n and should cherish t h a t h e r i t a g e . Because of our e x p e r i e n c e s i n t h e 50s, 60s and 70s, f u t u r e Administrat i o n s and Congress w i l l be l e s s l i k e l y t o develop a heavy-handed c a t e g o r i c a l approach, and w i l l be more l i k e l y t o i n v o l v e t h e s t a t e s and l o c a l i t i e s t o every extent possible. Washington w i l l be f a r more a l e r t t o t h e e x c e s s e s of a n a t i o n a l r e s p o n s e , but not o b l i v i o u s t o n a t i o n a l need. For t h i s r e a s o n , we b e l i e v e t h a t i n y e a r s t o come t h i s A C I R r e p o r t w i l l be considered a benchmark--the benchmark of when t h e pendulum had swung t o o f a r t o the right. S e n a t o r David Durenberger I have l o n g encouraged p r i n c i p l e d and r a t i o n a l i n q u i r i e s t o determine t h e a p p r o p r i a t e d i v i s i o n of program a d m i n i s t r a t i o n and f i n a n c i a l r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s among n a t i o n a l , s t a t e , and l o c a l governments. Like a l l who p a r t i c i p a t ed i n t h e 1982 d e b a t e s on swaps and t u r n b a c k s , 1 am w e l l aware of t h e d i f f i c u l t y of e n a c t i n g and implementing any major changes i n t h e i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l system of a i d . The N e w F e d e r a l i s m i n i t i a t i v e s , a s w e l l a s t h e o t h e r a t t e m p t s a t major reform, have demonstrated t h e complex i n t e r r e l a t i o n s h i p s of programs, v a l u e s , and g o a l s t h a t make up our c u r r e n t system of i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l programs. These i n t e r r e l a t i o n s h i p s complicate t h e t a s k bef o r e us. For example, i f w e only look a t winners and l o s e r s of a turnback package and i g n o r e t h e i m p l i c a t i o n s f o r t h e e x i s t i n g p a t t e r n of f i s c a l c a p a c i t i e s , we may end up i n c r e a s i n g r a t h e r t h a n minimizing t h e f i s c a l d i s p a r i t i e s among s t a t e s and l o c a l governments. S i m i l a r l y , i f we c o n s i d e r non-means t e s t e d and means t e s t e d programs s e p a r a t e l y , we w i l l overlook t h e sometimes complementary, sometimes conf l i c t i n g r e l a t i o n s h i p s t h a t e x i s t among g r a n t programs--relationships t h a t c a n p l a y a n i n t e g r a l p a r t i n t h e outcome of programs. While I s u p p o r t A C I R ' s e f f o r t s t o c o n s i d e r p r o g r a m and revenues t h a t might be a p p r o p r i a t e l y t u r n e d back t o t h e s t a t e s , t h i s r e s e a r c h s h o u l d n o t be undertaken i n i s o l a t i o n from t h e ongoing s t u d y of w e l f a r e reform. For i s s u e s of t h i s magnitude, I b e l i e v e i t i s t h e r e s p o n s i b i l i t y of t h e Commission t o c o n s i d e r t h e i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l system a s a whole. Only t h e n can we be s u r e t h a t t h e changes w e a r e proposing a r e c o n s i s t e n t with t h e p r i n c i p l e s we a l l a g r e e on: f a i r n e s s t o t h e s t a t e s and l o c a l i t i e s , e f f i c i e n c y , and f i s c a l r e s p o n s i b i l i t y . The commission s h o u l d not make recommendations on t u r n b a c k s u n l e s s i t is c o n s i d e r i n g w e l f a r e programs a t t h e same time. I am a l s o concerned t h a t t h e turnback packages proposed i n t h e r e p o r t t e n d t o h e i g h t e n , r a t h e r t h a n l e s s e n , f i s c a l d i s p a r i t i e s between t h e s t a t e s . The f i v e s t a t e s w i t h t h e h i g h e s t f i s c a l c a p a c i t y under RTS ( e x c l u d i n g t h e extreme c a s e of A l a s k a ) r e c e i v e b e n e f i t s under t h e t h r e e turnback packages t h a t average 2.5 t o 14 times h i g h e r t h a n t h e f i v e s t a t e s w i t h t h e lowest f i s c a l c a p a c i t y . Thus, t h e s e turnback p r o p o s a l s would s e r i o u s l y e x a c e r b a t e f i s c a l i n e q u i t i e s i n our f e d e r a l system, r a t h e r t h a n reduce them. Given t h e Commiss i o n ' s landmark work i n measuring f i s c a l c a p a c i t y and a s s e s s i n g t h e r o l e of t h e n a t i o n a l government i n m i t i g a t i n g f i s c a l d i s p a r i t i e s , I t h i n k i t would be improvident f o r u s t o move h a s t i l y on a recommendation t h a t c o u l d have such f a r - r e a c h i n g consequences f o r our f e d e r a l system. F i n a l l y , I would l i k e t o remind t h e Commission of o u r e x i s t i n g p o l i c y s u p p o r t i n g block g r a n t s . Because many of t h e turnback packages i n c l u d e block g r a n t s , Commission s u p p o r t of t h e s e p r o p o s a l s would o v e r t u r n e x i s t i n g p o l i c y which i s based on y e a r s of Commission r e s e a r c h and, t h e r e f o r e , should not be considered l i g h t l y . Given t h e s e r e s e r v a t i o n s , 1 cannot s u p p o r t t h i s f a r - r e a c h i n g recommendat i o n f a v o r i n g t u r n b a c k s i n t h e absence of c o n s i d e r i n g i t s b r o a d e r i m p l i c a t i o n s f o r our system of f e d e r a l i s m and t h e p r i n c i p l e s on which i t is founded. R e p r e s e n t a t i v e Ted Weiss a l s o d i s s e n t e d from t h e recommendation, but d i d n o t j o i n i n a formal d i s s e n t . FINDINGS The p o l i c y recommendation adopted by t h e Commission i s based upon t h e following findings: is overloaded with more t h a n 400 o The c u r r e n t f e d e r a l domestic budget i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l a i d programs imposing l a r g e a d m i n i s t r a t i v e expense and e v i d e n c i n g l i t t l e a b i l i t y t o implement n a t i o n a l p o l i c y g o a l s . t h e most l e n i e n t impossible t o criteria for justify o Although t h e long-run many establishing existing p a t t e r n of By even " n a t i o n a l purpose, " i t i s intergovernmental aid programs. s t a t e and l o c a l spending may not be a l t e r e d s u b s t a n t i a l l y by many f e d e r a l a i d programs ( i t s e l f b r i n g i n g i n t o q u e s t i o n t h e purpose and value of t h e i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l a i d ) , t h e cumulative effect of financial reliance on t h e n a t i o n a l government and t h e many c o n d i t i o n s and requirements a t t a c h e d t o t h e f e d e r a l a i d i s t o e r o d e t h e a u t h o r i t y of s t a t e and l o c a l o f f i c i a l s . return authority and responsibility to Turnbacks a r e a means t o state and local officials. o F e d e r a l a i d programs g r e a t l y reduce t h e f l e x i b i l i t y of s t a t e and l o c a l o f f i c i a l s i n program d e s i g n and implementation. The long-run effect is t o r e t a r d i n n o v a t i o n and d i v e r s i t y a t t h e s t a t e and l o c a l l e v e l s . Turnbacks a r e a means t o f o s t e r p o l i c y e x p e r i m e n t a t i o n and t o accommodate p u b l i c s e r v i c e s t o l o c a l p r e f e r e n c e s and needs. o Turnbacks can be a n e f f e c t i v e means t o undo some of t h e d i s e q u a l i z i n g e f f e c t s of t h e c u r r e n t g r a n t -in-aid system. o Turnbacks p r o v i d e a means t o permanently augment t h e t a x bases of s t a t e and l o c a l governments, which would improve t h e c e r t a i n t y and p r e d i c t a b i l i t y of s t a t e and l o c a l revenues. o The e x c i s e t a x e s c o n s i d e r e d f o r r e l i n q u i s h m e n t i n t h i s s t u d y a r e not a s r e s p o n s i v e t o economic growth and p r i c e i n f l a t i o n a s o t h e r f e d e r a l t a x e s l a r g e l y because t h e former a r e not basis. c u r r e n t l y l e v i e d on a n ad valorem S t a t e s may choose t o i n c r e a s e t h e r e s p o n s i v e n e s s of c o l l e c t i o n s from t h e s e e x c i s e t a x e s by making them ad valorem, as some have a l r e a d y done. o Turnbacks, i f d e s i r e d , provide a way t o reduce t h e f e d e r a l d e f i c i t i n a manner t h a t minimizes t h e f i s c a l e f f e c t s on s t a t e and l o c a l governments. Chapter 2 WHY TURNBACKS? INTRODUCTION Whether measured i n d o l l a r s o r a s numbers of programs, f e d e r a l g r a n t s - i n a i d t o s t a t e s and l o c a l i t i e s have s k y r o c k e t e d i n t h e l a s t 30 y e a r s . ACIR's r e p o r t s , a l o n g w i t h o t h e r s t u d i e s i n i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l r e l a t i o n s , have r e p e a t e d l y p o i n t e d o u t t h a t t h i s change i n t h e r o l e of t h e f e d e r a l government h a s a c t e d t o unbalance t h e f e d e r a l system, i n c r e a s i n g t h e f i s c a l and p o l i t i c a l power of t h e n a t i o n a l government r e l a t i v e t o i t s s t a t e and l o c a l p a r t n e r s ; b r i n g i n g about a n i n t r i c a t e accumulation of program c o n s t r a i n t s and r e q u i r e ments; sometimes impeding o f f i c i a l s ' r e s p o n s i v e n e s s and a c c o u n t a b i l i t y t o t h e c i t i z e n r y ; and o f t e n d i s t o r t i n g t h e p u b l i c c h o i c e s made by t h e s e v e r a l p o l i t i e s involved i n i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l programs (ACIR, A C I R and i t s p r e d e c e s s o r terms a s "overload, " 1980a-e; ACIR, 1981a-d). ( t h e Kestnbaum Commission), u s i n g s u c h s h o r t h a n d " c o n g e s t i o n , " and " i n t r u s i v e r e q u i r e m e n t s , " have l o n g urged changes i n t h e system of f e d e r a l g r a n t s , i n o r d e r t o a c h i e v e s i m p l i f i c a t i o n and d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n (ACIR, 1978; 1 9 8 1 ~ ) . More r e c e n t l y , t h e p r e s s u r e of huge f e d e r a l budget d e f i c i t s has occasioned cutbacks i n g r a n t funding t h a t have l e d t o a k i n d of de f a c t o d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n wherein s t a t e and l o c a l governments a r e now Einancing program r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s f o r m e r l y funded by Washington. T h i s r e p o r t c o n s i d e r s a s y s t e m a t i c mechanism f o r d e v o l u t i o n by examining turnbacks of revenues and r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s . t h e f e d e r a l government's t i e s and by T h i s would be accomplished by withdrawing from a number of program r e s p o n s i b i l i - simultaneously relinquishing s e l e c t e d f e d e r a l revenue b a s e s . Turnbacks, however, a r e only one mechanism f o r a c h i e v i n g f i s c a l and programmatic d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n . Appendix 3 approaches t o decent r a l i z a t i o n , contains a discussion of alternative comparing and c o n t r a s t i n g t h e s t r e n g t h s and weaknesses of each. This r e p o r t contemplates t h e r e t u r n oE t h r e e k i n d s nE r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s t o t h e s t a t e am1 l o c a l l e v e l s : o t h e r e s p o n s i h i l i t y of d e c i d i n g whether and i n what amounts t o provide -9 - c e r t a i n goods and s e r v i c e s t h a t c u r r e n t l y a r e f e d e r a l l y s u p p o r t e d ; o t h e r e s p o n s i b i l i t y of d e c i d i n g how t o p r o v i d e them; and o t h e r e s p o n s i b i l i t y f o r r a i s i n g t h e revenue t o f i n a n c e any i n c r e a s e i n s t a t e and l o c a l government a c t i v i t y n e c e s s i t a t e d by t h e s e s t a t e and l o c a l decisions. I n o r d e r t o f a c i l i t a t e t h e r e t u r n of t h e s e r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s and t o provide s t a t e s and l o c a l i t i e s a c c e s s t o t h e revenue s o u r c e s n e c e s s a r y t o assume them, t h e r e p o r t s u g g e s t s a l t e r n a t i v e ways f o r t h e n a t i o n a l government simultaneo u s l y t o disengage i t s e l f from, o r reduce i t s l e v e l of a c t i v i t y i n a v a r i e t y of d i f f e r e n t spending and t a x i n g a r e a s . These a l t e r n a t i v e c o u r s e s of a c t i o n a r e r e f e r r e d t o a s "turnback" o p t i o n s . CONTEMPORARY PERSPECTIVES ON THE NEED FOR INCREASED DECENTRALIZATION Federalism i n Need of Reform Underlying t h e d e c i s i o n t o pursue turnback o p t i o n s a r e two p r o p o s i t i o n s related t o federalism: o The n a t i o n a l government over time has a c q u i r e d a n a r r a y of f u n c t i o n a l and f i n a n c i a l r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s t h a t a r e more a p p r o p r i a t e l y assumed by c i t i z e n s a t t h e s t a t e and l o c a l l e v e l s through o t h e r i n s t i t u t i o n s - e i t h e r by d e l e g a t i n g t h e s e r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s t o t h e i r s t a t e and l o c a l p u b l i c s e c t o r s o r by l e a v i n g them t o be assumed by s o c i e t y ' s p r i v a t e s e c t o r o r by v o l u n t e e r s ; o Regarding t h e set of r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s t o be devolved: c i t i z e n s ' choic e s on whether t h e y a r e b e t t e r assumed i n t h e p u b l i c s e c t o r , a s opposed t o t h e p r i v a t e s e c t o r o r by v o l u n t e e r s , can b e t t e r be a r t i c u l a t ed through t h e s t a t e and l o c a l p o l i t i c a l p r o c e s s t h a n i n Washington. These p r o p o s i t i o n s d e r i v e from a view t h a t t h e c u r r e n t f e d e r a l system e x h i b i t s s e v e r a l u n d e s i r a b l e a t t r i b u t e s . I n p a s t work, A C I R h a s c h a r a c t e r i z e d t h e present federal system a s "congested" 1 9 8 1 ~ ) . Such a system, i n t h e view of and "overloaded" t h e Commission, (e.g., contributes ACIK, t o an unmanageable n a t i o n a l p o l i t i c a l agenda, promotes undue f e d e r a l i n t e r f e r e n c e i n t h e o p e r a t i o n of s t a t e and l o c a l governments, weakens p o l i t i c a l and f i s c a l a c c o u n t a b i l i t y a t a l l l e v e l s of government, and f r e q u e n t l y produces incongrue n c e a t t h e s t a t e and l o c a l l e v e l s between c i t i z e n p r e f e r e n c e s and t h e goods and s e r v i c e s provided by t h e i r governments. This perspective implies t h a t a major r e o r d e r i n g of governmental r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s i s i n o r d e r . -10- Although t h e Commission has long embraced t h i s view, i t h a s never a r t i c u l a t e d i n c o n c i s e form t h e c r i t e r i a it a p p l i e d t o come t o t h i s conclusion. It i s p o s s i b l e , however, t o s y n t h e s i z e p a s t A C I R work t o s p e c i f y t h e i m p l i c i t c r i t e r i a t h e Commission has looked t o o v e r t h e y e a r s t o e v a l u a t e t h e t n t e r g o v Such a s y n t h e s i s i s provided below i n F i g u r e 2.1 i n t h e ernmental system. form of a t e s t t o determine whether t h e i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l system s t a n d s i n need of reform. Contrary Views Not everyone a g r e e s with t h e Commission t h a t t h e i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l s y s tem i s i n need of i n c r e a s e d p o l i t i c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n . of t h e c u r r e n t system would hold t h a t , f o r a l l of A contrary appraisal its flaws, the current system i s working about a s w e l l a s could be hoped, given t h e c o m p l e x i t i e s of T h i s view would most l i k e l y s t a n d by t h e maxim " i f i t American f e d e r a l i s m . a i n ' t broke, d o n ' t f i x i t . " Some o b s e r v e r s , l e s s sanguine b u t s t i l l p o s i t i v e , view t h e c u r r e n t f e d e r a l system a s b a s i c a l l y sound, r e q u i r i n g only increment a 1 , program-by-program adjustments t o improve upon economic e f f i c i e n c y , ad- m i n i s t r a t i v e e f f e c t i v e n e s s , and polf t i c a l a c c o u n t a b i l i t y (e.g. , Nathan, 1981). Turnbacks and o t h e r s i m i l a r comprehensive reforms a r e s e e n a s sweeping s o l u tions t o a set of problems that a r e amenable t o incremental adjustment. S t i l l a n o t h e r p e r s p e c t i v e a s s e r t s t h a t t h e system needs reform but f o r e n t i r e l y d i f f e r e n t reasons. Proponents of t h i s view would a s s e r t t h a t t h e r e a l problem w i t h t h e c u r r e n t i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l system i s t o o l i t t l e , n o t t o o much, f e d e r a l c o n t r o l (Anton, 1985). The system f a i l s t o a c h i e v e t h e n a t i o n a l purposes f o r which i t gas c o n s t r u c t e d , because much of t h e p r e s e n t g r a n t - i n a i d money is i n e f f e c t used by s t a t e s and l o c a l i t i e s t o s h i f t t h e i r own f i n a n c i a l burdens t o a l a r g e r n a t i o n a l t a x base. O f more concern t h a n a n i n - congruence l o c a l l y between c i t i z e n s ' p r e f e r e n c e s and s e r v i c e s provided i s a l a c k of congruence between t h e n a t i o n a l o b j e c t i v e s of g r a n t programs and t h e e f f e c t s of f e d e r a l f u n d i n g on s t a t e and l o c a l f i s c a l b e h a v i o r , which some s t u d i e s have found t o be s l i g h t (Gramlich, 1985; U.S. 1985). This group of Department of T r e a s u r y , c r i t i c s a r g u e s t h a t t h e a d m i n i s t r a t i v e d i f f i c u l t y of i n d i r e c t f i n a n c i n g and t h e d e f i c i e n c i e s i n g r a n t d e s i g n combine t o produce a grant-in-aid system t h a t , t a k e n a s a whole, has e f f e c t s s i m i l a r t o a g i a n t g e n e r a l f i s c a l a s s i s t a n c e program, a l b e i t a system t h a t l a c k s designed t a r g e t i n g c r i t e r i a and t h a t consciously c o s t s v a s t l y more t o a d m i n i s t e r t h a n does t h e e x i s t i n g General Revenue S h a r i n g program. -1 1- F i g u r e 2.1 EVALUATION OF THE INTERGOVERNMENTAL SYSTEM: CRITERIA FOR DETERMINING WHETHER REFORM I S R E Q U I R E D Reform i s c a l l e d f o r i f t h e e x i s t i n g i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l system t h e following general condition: Condition of Reform: meets Taken t o g e t h e r , t h e a c t i v i t i e s of t h e n a t i o n a l government combine t o encumber t h e f e d e r a l s y s tem unduly, o r i f they combine t o o v e r l o a d t h e n a t i o n a l p o l i t i c a l process. (The C o n d i t i o n of Reform i s s a t i s f i e d i f any one of t h e f o l l o w i n g c r i t e r i a i s met.) C r i t e r i o n A: Taken t o g e t h e r , t h e a c t i v i t i e s of t h e n a t i o n a l government s i g n i f i c a n t l y weaken s t a t e o r l o c a l governments' p o l i t i c a l and f i s c a l a c c o u n t a b i l i t y t o t h e i r c i t i z e n s by d r i v i n g a wedge between t a x i n g and spending choices. C r i t e r i o n B: O v e r a l l , t h e n a t i o n a l government 's a c t i v i t i e s work broadly and u n j u s t i f i a b l y t o t h w a r t t h e w i l l of l o c a l m a j o r i t i e s . C r i t e r i o n C: Taken t o g e t h e r , t h e n a t i o n a l government 's a c t iv i t i e s burden s u b n a t i o n a l governments w i t h i n t r u s i v e requirements and onerous demands o r procedures; i . e . , t h e a u t h o r i t y of s t a t e s o r l o c a l i t i e s i s s o c i r c u m s c r i b e d a s t o hamper e f f e c t i v e governance and r e s p o n s i v e n e s s t o t h e i r c i t i z e n s . C r i t e r i o n D: Taken t o g e t h e r , t h e i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l a c t i v i t i e s of t h e n a t i o n a l government weaken t h e a b i l i t y of s t a t e and l o c a l governments t o a c h i e v e f i s c a l discipline within t h e i r p o l i t i c a l processes. C r i t e r i o n E: An i n t r i c a t e accumulation of a c t i v i t i e s by t h e n a t i o n a l government, c o n s i d e r e d a s a whole, i m pedes improvement of f e d e r a l l y funded programs o r t h r e a t e n s t h e o v e r a l l e f f i c i e n c y of t h e i n tergovernmental system. C r i t e r i o n F: O v e r a l l , t h e n a t i o n a l government's intergovernmental a c t i v i t i e s e s t a b l i s h such e x t e n s i v e e n t i tlement p r i v i l e g e s o r p r o h i b i t i o n s t h a t they s t i m u l a t e s u b n a t i o n a l governments, p r i v a t e i n s t i t u t i o n s o r c i t i z e n s c o n t i n u a l l y t o s e e k comparable entitlements or r e l i e f i n reaction. The c r i t i c s d i v i d e on t h e s o l u t i o n t o t h e problems t h e y i d e n t i f y . At one end of t h e s p e c t r u m , some would c o n t e n d t h a t t h e a d m i n i s t r a t i v e and g r a n t d e s i g n problems w i t h t h e c u r r e n t s y s t e m c a n be c o r r e c t e d , and t h e y u r g e i n cremental o r wholesale grant r e f o r m r a t h e r t h a n d e v o l u t i o n (Anton, 1985). Those who occupy t h e o p p o s i t e end of t h e s p e c t r u m w o u l d s e e t h e a d m i n i s t r a t i v e and g r a n t d e s i g n problems a s endemic t o t h e p o l i t i c a l p r o c e s s , a n d t h e y would a r g u e f o r d e v o l u t i o n and revenue t u r n o v e r s a s a "second b e s t " s o l u t i o n t o Between t h e two extremes i s a group who would increased federal control. a r g u e t h a t t h e e x i s t i n g s y s t e m i s s o g r o s s l y i n e f f i c i e n t t h a t major d e v o l u t i o n and revenue t u r n o v e r s may be a c h i e v e d w i t h s u f f i c i e n t r e s o u r c e s " l e f t o v e r " t o p e r m i t t h e n a t i o n a l government t o r e d e s i g n a v e r y few i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l programs t o achieve what Congress considers the most important national objectives. To a d d r e s s t h e s e d i f f e r i n g p e r s p e c t i v e s would r e q u i r e n o t h i n g s h o r t of a d e t a i l e d e x a m i n a t i o n of t h e c u r r e n t s t a t e of American f e d e r a l i s m , which i s c l e a r l y beyond t h e s c o p e of t h i s report. about t h i s debate i s p e r t i n e n t here. Rut one i n t e r e s t i n g o b s e r v a t i o n A s u b s t a n t i a l number of c r i t i c s of t h e c u r r e n t i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l s y s t e m may f i n d t u r n b a c k s a common s o l u t i o n t o t h e problems t h e y p e r c e i v e , differently. e v e n though they characterize t h e problems quite Given t h i s f a c t and t h e r e a l i t y t h a t a s i g n i f i c a n t number of policymakers b e l i e v e t h e s y s t e m i s i n need of f a i r l y e x t e n s i v e reform, an e x a m i n a t i o n of how such a r e f o r m might be d e s i g n e d and implemented is warranted. FACILITATING DEFICIT REDUCTION There i s another important rationale f o r examining t u r n b a c k s a t t h i s time. The f i s c a l r e a l i t y of c u r r e n t i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l r e l a t i o n s i s t h a t t h e f e d e r a l grant-in-aid t h e mid-70s, s y s t e m h a s been under c o n s t a n t b u d g e t a r y p r e s s u r e s i n c e and, g i v e n t h e impetus b e h i n d t h e r e c e n t law e n f o r c i n g d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n (PL 99-177) t h e r e is every reason t o expect t h a t f e d e r a l g r a n t s w i l l c o n t i n u e t o be s u b j e c t t o i n c r e a s e d p r e s s u r e s i n t h e f u t u r e . Graph 2.1 c o n t a i n s two s e t s of b a r s , showing two s o u r c e s of s t a t e - l o c a l s p e n d i n g : owns o u r c e revenues and i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l a i d . S i n c e 1978 t h e combined h e i g h t of t h e two s e t s of b a r s h a s been s u b s t a n t i a l l y c o n s t a n t , i n d i c a t i n g t h a t i n r e a l t e r m s , o v e r a l l s p e n d i n g of s t a t e s and l o c a l i t i e s has s t a y e d unchanged. Rut t h e r e l a t i v e i m p o r t a n c e oE s o u r c e s of s p e n d i n g h a s a l t e r e d d r a m a t i c a l l y . Owns o u r c e revenues have i n c r e a s e d a t t h e same time t h a t i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l a s s i s -13- tance has declined. I n 1978 i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l g r a n t s were e q u a l t o 36.7% of own-source s p e n d i n g , d e c r e a s i n g t o 26.9% i n 1984. To d i m i n i s h d e f i c i t s t h a t some p r o j e c t i n t h e $200 b i l l i o n r a n g e , i t i s certain that Congress w i l l c o n t i n u e t o s e e k s p e n d i n g r e d u c t i o n s f r o m t h a t p o r t i o n of t h e d o m e s t i c budget t h a t f i n a n c e s g r a n t s - i n - a i d governments. t h e mandate t o s t a t e and l o c a l The Commission b e l i e v e s t h a t t u r n b a c k s o f f e r a way t o h e l p meet for deficit reduction i n an e f f i c i e n t and e q u i t a b l e manner. CONCLUSION Turnbacks t h e n may s e r v e a d u a l p u r p o s e : ( 1 ) t o improve t h e o v e r a l l o p e r a t i o n of t h e f e d e r a l s y s t e m by a c h i e v i n g s i g n i f i c a n t p o l i t i c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n , and ( 2 ) t o a l l e v i a t e some of t h e F i s c a l p r e s s u r e on t h e n a t i o n a l budget i n a way d e s i g n e d t o impose mlnimal f i s c a l burdens on s t a t e and l o c a l governments. Chapter 3 TURNBACKS I N CONTEXT INTRODUCTION Before examining how turnback o p t i o n s might be d e s i g n e d , i t i s u s e f u l t o s e t t h e c o n t e x t i n which t h e s e p r o p o s a l s a r i s e . cerns i t s e l f A t i t s c o r e , f e d e r a l i s m con- w i t h t h e c o n s t i t u t i o n a l d e s i g n of m u l t i l e v e l government--what James Madison c a l l e d a "compound r e p u b l i c " ( s e e Ostrom, 1971). The c e n t r a l concern of f e d e r a l i s m i s how t h e p e o p l e w i l l d e l e g a t e power and a u t h o r i t y I n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l r e l a t i o n s i s t h e pro- among s e p a r a t e l e v e l s of government. c e s s by which v a r i o u s l e v e l s of government i n t e r a c t i n t h e e x e r c i s e of t h e i r delegated authority. THE NEED FOR THEORY U n f o r t u n a t e l y , a t r u l y coherent t h e o r y of f e d e r a l i s m cannot be s a i d t o exist. A t h e o r y e n t a i l s a s e t of i n t e r r e l a t e d p r o p o s i t i o n s t h a t , t a k e n t o - g e t h e r , have t h e power p o l i c y makers--to t o d e s c r i b e , t o e x p l a i n and--most predict. importantly f o r Given t h e s e t h r e e c a p a b i l i t i e s , a t h e o r y p r o v i d e s t h e a b i l i t y t o e v a l u a t e a l t e r n a t i v e means t o a c h i e v e a s p e c i f i e d end. these standards, extant theories of federalism are severely By deficient. I d e a l l y , t h e o r i e s of f e d e r a l i s m would i n f o r m t h e s t u d y of i n t e r g o v e r n mental r e l a t i o n s . c o s t s of They would i n c r e a s e our u n d e r s t a n d i n g of t h e b e n e f i t s and t h e i n e v i t a b l e c o n f l i c t t h a t emerges when independent governments and p u b l i c o f f i c i a l s compete--because t h e y compete, w i t h i n t h e same p o l i t y f o r v o t e s and r e s o u r c e s . a s w e l l a s cooperate-- Such a t h e o r y would, for example, p r e d i c t when t h e c o n f l i c t of c o m p e t i t i o n among governments i s economically e f f i c i e n t , e q u i t a b l e , and p r o t e c t i v e of i n d i v i d u a l l i b e r t i e s , and when such c o m p e t i t i o n i s l i k e l y t o be c o u n t e r p r o d u c t i v e . Should t h e n a t u r a l c o m p e t i t i o n of f e d e r a l i s m l e a d t o u n d e s i r a b l e r e s u l t s , a t h e o r y would s u g g e s t how i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l c o o p e r a t i o n and c o o r d i n a t i o n might p r o v i d e a remedy. A t t h e same time, a w e l l developed t h e o r y would h e l p u s u n d e r s t a n d t h e d u a l t e n dency f o r i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l c o o p e r a t i o n and c o o r d i n a t i o n t o d e g e n e r a t e i n t o c o l l u s i o n among governments a t t h e c i t i z e n s ' expense and a l s o i n t o unintended c o n c e n t r a t i o n s of power i n t h e hands of t h e s t r o n g e r of t h e f e d e r a l p a r t n e r s . -1 7- It would e x p l a i n how i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l c o l l u s i o n can prove d e s t r u c t i v e individual liberty, of economic e f f i c i e n c y , and e q u i t y , and how c o n c e n t r a t i o n s of power i n t h e hands of one p a r t n e r can prove d e s t r u c t i v e t o a b a l a n c i n g of p o l i t i c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n and c e n t r a l i z a t i o n , which i s t h e e s s e n c e of f e d e r alism. F i n a l l y , a t h e o r y would inform u s on how b e s t t o d e s i g n i n s t i t u t i o n s i n a f e d e r a l system t o r e a p t h e b e n e f i t s of i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l c o o p e r a t i o n and c o o r d i n a t i o n without f a l l i n g prey t o t h e dangers of i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l c o l l u s i o n and e x c e s s i v e concent r a t i o n s of power (Brennan and Buchanan, 1980, 19 82). The l a c k of t h e o r y t h e r e f o r e i s of concern f o r more t h a n academic r e a sons. Lacking a t h e o r y t h a t p r o v i d e s t h e a b i l i t y t o e x p l a i n and p r e d i c t , i t i s d i f f i c u l t t o f o r m u l a t e and e v a l u a t e p o l i c y on o t h e r t h a n a n ad hoc b a s i s . The world, however, does n o t s t a n d s t i l l w h i l e t h e o r i s t s s e e k e x p l a n a t i o n s . For many, both i n t u i t i o n and p r a c t i c a l e x p e r i e n c e a t governance i n d i c a t e a need f o r f e d e r a l i s m reform. O t h e r s , who a r e n o t s o convinced t h a t reform p e r s e i s r e q u i r e d a g r e e t h a t c e r t a i n changes may be t h e b e s t way f o r a l l p a r t i e s i n t h e f e d e r a l p a r t n e r s h i p t o cope with t h e c o n t i n u i n g budget p r e s s u r e on grants-in-aid t o s t a t e and l o c a l governments. In short, the p o l i t i c a l process may now be p o i s e d for a significant change i n d i r e c t i o n w i t h regard t o f e d e r a l spending f o r g r a n t s t o s t a t e and l o c a l governments, but w i t h l e s s t h a n adequate t h e o r e t i c a l guidance t o d i r e c t it. Without a more comprehensive t h e o r y of federalism, i t is necessary t o t u r n f o r guidance t o t h e next b e s t t h i n g s - - t h e o r i e s of f i s c a l and a d m i n i s t r a - t i v e d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n and v a r i o u s h i s t o r i c a l "models" of federalism--to vide a benchmark a g a i n s t which t o compare t h e c u r r e n t s i t u a t i o n . pro- Historical models a r e t a k e n up i n t h e f o l l o w i n g s e c t i o n t o p l a c e t u r n b a c k s i n perspective. An economic t h e o r y of f i s c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n i s d i s c u s s e d a s t h e p r i - mary b a s i s f o r d e s i g n i n g turnback o p t i o n s i n t h e f o l l o w i n g c h a p t e r . HISTORICAL MODELS OF FEDERALISM One r e c e n t t a b u l a t i o n has compiled o v e r 300 "models" of f e d e r a l i s m , i t s e l f a n i n d i c a t i o n of For purposes of t h e t h e o r e t i c a l d i s a r r a y i n t h e a r e a ( S t e w a r t , 1984). providing an h i s t o r i c a l perspective, t h i s report collapses t h e s u b t l e t y and r i c h n e s s of a l l t h e s e models i n t o t h r e e b a s i c models, one of which has s e v e r a l v a r i a n t s . t h e scient-lfi c sense. These h i s t o r i c a l c o n s t r u c t i o n s a r e not models i n They a r e , rather, heuristic--general t h e American f e d e r a l system a t d i f f e r e n t p o i n t s i n time. t h e t h r e e models of f e d e r a l i s m . -18- descriptions of F i g u r e 3.1 p r e s e n t s Figure 3.1 HISTORICAL MODELS OF FEDERALISM Confederation Federalism A r t i c l e s of Confederation (1777-89) U.S. Constitution ( 1789-Present ) Dual F e d e r a l i s m (1789-Civil War) I s o l a t e d instances of n a t i o n a l government i n volvement i n s t a t e aff a l r s Source: ACTR s t a f f . I Highly l i m i t e d nat i o n a l government involvement i n state affairs; v i r t u a l l y no i n volvement i n l o c a l af f i a r s ( C i v i 1 WarNew D e a l ) Cooperative F e d e r a l i s m ( C i v i l War-Present) Centralized Federalism Fairly extensive n a t i o n a l government involvement i n state affairs; v i r t u a l l y no i n volvement i n l o cal affairs (New Deal-?lid 60s) S t a t e and l o c a l governments a c t as adminis t r a t i v e a g e n t s of the national government (Presently i n certain areas, e.g., s t a t e p r i s o n s , mental health facil t t i e s c l e a n a i r , OSHA) Extensive n a t i o n a l government involvement i n both s t a t e and l o c a l a f f a i r s (Mid 60s-Present) S i n c e t h e fundamental c o n c e r n of f e d e r a l i s m i s t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n of aut h o r i t y among l e v e l s of government, a u s e f u l way t o a n a l y z e t h e h i s t o r i c a l models is t o examine t h e most i m p o r t a n t ways t h e n a t i o n a l government e x t e n d s i t s own a u t h o r i t y and how t h a t e x t e n s i o n i n t u r n a E f e c t s t h e e x e r c i s e of s t a t e and l o c a l a u t h o r i t y . The broad c h a r a c t e r i z a t i o n s of f e d e r a l i s m found i n F i g u r e 3.1 can be a n a l y z e d i n terms of f e d e r a l involvement and i n t e r v e n t i o n i n s t a t e and l o c a l a f f a i r s a l o n g e a c h of t h e f o l l o w i n g t h r e e dimensions: 1. The D e f i n i t i o n and D e l i m i t a t i o n of Each Level of Government's Scope of A u t h o r i t y . Over time. d e f i n i n g and d e l i m i t i n g t h e scoDe of aut h o r i t y of a l l t h r e e l e v e l s of government h a s become i n c r e a s i n g l y t h e p r e r o g a t i v e of t h e n a t i o n a l government. I n g e n e r a l , Congress and t h e c o u r t s have determined t h e s c o p e of a u t h o r i t y of t h e n a t i o n a l government t o be n e a r l y u n l i n i t e d , w i t h t h e n o t a b l e e x c e p t i o n of t h o s e s p e c i f i c r e s t r i c t i o n s found i n t h e C o n s t i t u t i o n (e.g. t h e B i l l of R i g h t s ) . I n a landmark d e c i s i o n ( G a r c i a v. San Antonio Metropoli t a n T r a n s p o r t a t i o n A u t h o r i t y , e t a l . , 105 S.Ct. 1005, 1985) t h e Court h a s now removed i t s e l f from t a k i n g any r o l e a s a r b i t e r i n t h e i n e v i t a b l e c o n f l i c t s o v e r t h e a p p r o p r i a t e d i s t r i b u t i o n of a u t h o r i t y among government a 1 l e v e l s , l e a v i n g t h i s f u n c t i o n t o Congress. The e f f e c t of such a r e a d i n g of t h e C o n s t i t u t i o n i s t o r e d u c e f e d e r a l i s m t o a p o l i t i c a l arrangement t o be hammered o u t i n t h e C o n g r e s s i o n a l Over t i m e , t h e f e d e r a l government h a s p r o c e s s ( s e e A C I R , 1985b). a l s o i n c r e a s i n g l y narrowed t h e s c o p e of a u t h o r i t y of s t a t e and l o c a l governments. Numerous a c t i o n s by Washington h a v e a l t e r e d t h e b a l a n c e of n a t i o n a l , s t a t e , and l o c a l a u t h o r i t y . Among t h e most o b v i o u s a r e i n t e r p r e t a t i o n s of t h e n e c e s s a r y and p r o p e r c l a u s e and of t h e 1 4 t h Amendment ; s t a t u t o r y e n a c t m e n t s and j u d i c i a l i n t e r p r e t a t i o n s t h a t preempt s t a t e and l o c a l a u t h o r i t y ; and s t a t u t o r y p r o v i s i o n s t h a t s e t u n i f o r m n a t i o n a l s t a n d a r d s f o r a wide range of p u b l i c o r p r i v a t e a c t i v i t y t h a t p r e c l u d e a c o n s c i o u s d e c i s i o n by s t a t e and l o c a l governments t o s e t more o r l e s s s t r i n g e n t o r even no s t a n d a r d s . 2. The E x e r c i s e of F e d e r a l A u t h o r i t y t h r o u g h L e g i s l a t i o n and S t a t u t o r y I n t e r p r e t a t i o n i n a Manner That Has a D i r e c t l y P r o s c r i p t i v e o r Pres c r i p t i v e E f f e c t on S t a t e s and T h e i r Local Governments. Over t i m e Congress, t h e c o u r t s , and a d m i n i s t r a t i v e a g e n c i e s have s t e a d i l y i n c r e a s e d t h e u s e of o u t r i g h t d i r e c t i v e s t o e x t e n d f e d e r a l a u t h o r i t y i n t o more and more s t a t e and l o c a l a f f a i r s . I n t h e p a s t , ACIR has r e f e r r e d t o t h e s e a s "mandates," a l t h o u g h t h e u s e of j u d i c i a l and a d m i n i s t r a t i v e d i r e c t i v e s goes w e l l beyond t h e s t a t u t o r y mandates I l l u s t r a t i v e of t h e s e o t h e r t e c h n i q u e s on which A C I R h a s f o c u s e d . a r e j u d i c i a l s t a n d a r d s f o r s t a t e - o p e r a t e d i n s t i t u t i o n s (e.g., p r i s o n s ) and a d m i n i s t r a t i v e r u l e s t h a t implement a s t a t u t e o r c o u r t d e c i s i o n by h i g h l y p r e s c r i p t i v e o r p r o s c r i p t i v e r e g u l a t i o n s ( t h e i n t r i c a t e a d m i n i s t r a t i o n of w e l f a r e programs, f o r example). 3. The Use of t h e Spending Power by Congress I n d i r e c t l y t o Get S t a t e s and L o c a l Governments To Do What t h e F e d e r a l Government D e s i r e s . Unt i l t h e mid-1970s, i t was s a f e t o conclude t h a t Congress had c o n t i n - - - u a l l y i n c r e a s e d i t s i n d i r e c t c o n t r o l of s t a t e and l o c a l governments ' a c t i v i t i e s by u s e of grants-in-aid--both a s a c a r r o t t o purchase t h e i r c o o p e r a t i o n and a s a s t i c k when t h r e a t s of withdrawal of t h e of t h e a i d could persuade compliance with f e d e r a l wishes. Since the mid-70s t h e l e v e l of f e d e r a l a i d h a s t a p e r e d o f f (hence t h e a b i l i t y t o purchase s t a t e and l o c a l governments' compliance may have dec r e a s e d ) a l t h o u g h t h e r e i s no evidence t h a t t h e u s e of withdrawal t h r e a t s has diminished. I n f a c t , a p p l i c a t i o n of t h i s approach i n c o e r c i n g s t a t e s t o adopt a 21 year-old d r i n k i n g age and t o e n f o r c e a uniform n a t i o n a l speed l i m i t s u g g e s t t h a t t h i s t e c h n i q u e i s as popul a r a s e v e r among f e d e r a l o f f i c i a l s from a l l p o i n t s a l o n g t h e p o l i t i c a l spectrum. I n terms of t h e t h r e e dimensions s p e c i f i e d above, a t t e m p t i n g t o l o c a t e t h e p o s i t i o n of t h e c u r r e n t f e d e r a l system p r e c i s e l y i n F i g u r e 3.1 i s a r i s k y undertaking. Most, however, would a g r e e t h a t on a l l t h r e e dimensions t h e cur- r e n t s y s tem r e s i d e s somewhere between c o o p e r a t i v e f e d e r a l i s m ( c h a r a c t e r i z e d by p e r v a s i v e n a t i o n a l involvement) and c e n t r a l i z e d f e d e r a l i s m . For purposes What i s important of t h i s r e p o r t , a p r e c i s e l o c a t i o n need not be pinpointed. i s t o recognize t h a t wherever t h e system may e x a c t l y be a l o n g t h e f i r s t two dimensions (scope of a u t h o r i t y and d i r e c t f e d e r a l i n t e r v e n t i o n ) , i t seems t o be c o n t i n u i n g t o move i n t h e d i r e c t i o n of c e n t r a l i z e d f e d e r a l i s m . Although i t a l s o i s not easy t o s p e c i f y where t h e system c u r r e n t l y i s with r e s p e c t t o t h e t h i r d dimension ( i n d i r e c t i n t e r v e n t i o n v i a g r a n t s ) , i t i s apparent t h a t t h e d i r e c t i o n of movement has a t l e a s t s t a b i l i z e d f o r t h e p r e s e n t . (Graph 3.1 p o r t r a y s t h e p a s t 14-year t r e n d i n f e d e r a l a i d t o s t a t e and l o c a l governments i n c o n s t a n t 1972 d o l l a r s . The lower b a r , l i m i t e d t o a i d t o i n d i v i d u a l s , shows a s t e a d i e r p a t h t h a n t h e upper l i n e , which adds a i d t o governments. 1982 a t l e a s t , the r e l a t i v e l y constant . a r e a between t h e two--grants Some would go f a r t h e r and contend t h a t t o governments--has i n terms of Since been federal financial a i d , t h e movement toward c e n t r a l i z e d f e d e r a l i s m has i n f a c t r e v e r s e d i t s e l f and i s now running back toward c o o p e r a t i v e f e d e r a l i s m . q u e n t l y c h a r a c t e r i z e d a s "de f a c t o new f e d e r a l i s m . " r e c e n t a i d cutbacks a r e misleading: This t r e n d i s f r e - Others would a r g u e t h a t t h e r a p i d i n c r e a s e s of t h e 1970s repre- s e n t e d a d e v i a t i o n from a long-term t r e n d t o which t h e system i s now r e t u r n ing. Moreover, many s t a t e and l o c a l o f f i c i a l s p o i n t out t h a t t h e c o e r c i v e t h r e a t of fund withdrawal i s a s e f f e c t i v e a s e v e r , even with reduced l e v e l s of f e d e r a l a i d . An e l a b o r a t i o n of t h i s debate i s beyond t h e scope of t h e c u r r e n t r e p o r t . -2 1- What can be s a i d w i t h some c e r t a i n t y i s t h a t t h e adoption of significant turnback packages would begin a r e a l r e v e r s a l of f e d e r a l involvement through t h e grant-in-aid mechanism ( i f t h a t r e v e r s a l has not a l r e a d y o c c u r r e d ) o r a c c e l e r a t e any new t r e n d i n grants-in-aid f u n d i n g t h a t might a l r e a d y e x i s t . While not r i g o r o u s , t h i s c h a p t e r ' s d i s c u s s i o n may be h e l p f u l i n o r i e n t i n g p o l i c y makers a s they begin t o d e l i b e r a t e on t h e i s s u e of turnbacks. The d i s c u s s i o n i s designed t o p l a c e t h e s i g n i f i c a n c e of turnbacks i n p e r s p e c t i v e . C l e a r l y , i n terms of t h e t h r e e dimensions of f e d e r a l involvement and i n t e r v e n t i o n examined h e r e , turnbacks r e p r e s e n t only a f i r s t s t e p toward more fundamental p o l i t i c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n . And t h i s f a c t c o n s t i t u t e s turnbacks' g r e a t e s t v i r t u e o r t h e i r most obvious shortcoming, depending on one's view of t h e need f o r a r e d u c t i o n i n f e d e r a l involvement i n s t a t e and l o c a l a f f a i r s and t h e d e s i r a b i l i t y of s i g n i f i c a n t i n c r e a s e s i n p o l i t i c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n . Chapter 4 DESIGNING THE TURNBACK PACKAGES INTRODUCTION T h i s c h a p t e r i s based upon t h e i m p o r t a n t a s s u m p t i o n s d i s c u s s e d above: t h a t increased is decentralization desirable w o r t h w h i l e approach t o a c h i e v e t h i s g o a l . and that turnbacks a offer Turnbacks a r e viewed a s a means t o h e l p r e v e r s e t h e t r e n d toward c e n t r a l i z e d f e d e r a l i s m n o t e d i n t h e p r e c e d i n g chapter. PROGRAM TURNBACKS AND ECONOMIC THEORY AN OF FISCAL DECENTRALIZATION I n c h o o s i n g t h e f e d e r a l programs t h a t might l e g i t i m a t e l y be c o n s i d e r e d c a n d i d a t e s f o r d e v o l u t i o n t o s t a t e and l o c a l governments, ACIR developed and applied a stringent v i t a l national interest test. This t e s t derives, in l a r g e p a r t , from a w e l l developed t h e o r y of f i s c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n t h a t i s f r e q u e n t l y and m i s l e a d i n g l y f e d e r a l i s m " (e. g. , referred O a t e s , 19 72). to as an The t h e o r y 's f o r m u l a t e d and p r o v i d e u s e f u l - - i f "economic t h e o r y proposit ions limited--guidance of Fiscal are precisely i n making d e t e r m i n a t i o n s r e g a r d i n g t h e a p p r o p r i a t e l e v e l of government t o p r o v i d e p a r t i c u l a r goods and services efficiently. I t s g r e a t e s t limitation--and t h e o r y of f i s c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n , system--is why i t r e p r e s e n t s o n l y a n o t of a u t h o r i t y a l l o c a t i o n i n a f e d e r a l t h a t t h e t h e o r y does n o t d i s t i n g u i s h between t r u e f e d e r a l s y s t e m s (where s o v e r e i g n t y resides i n more t h a n one u n i t a r y systems of government. government) and d e c e n t r a l i z e d I t h a s l i t t l e t o s a y r e g a r d i n g how t h e d i s t r i - b u t i o n of t h e power t o t a x i n a f e d e r a l s y s t e m a f f e c t s t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n of p o l i t i c a l power. Moreover, it has been pointed out that many p o l i t i c a l phenomena ( s u c h a s l o b b y i n g by i n t e r e s t g r o u p s and l e g i s l a t i v e l o g r o l l i n g ) t e n d t o u n d e r c u t t h e t h e o r y 's p r e s c r i p t i o n s f o r a c h i e v i n g e f f i c i e n c y (e. g. Rrennan and Buchanan, 1980, 1982). , The t h e o r y i s s i l e n t on t h e q u e s t i o n of i n d i v i d u a l r i g h t s and l i b e r t i e s . Although r e s t r i c t e d i n i t s a p p l i c a b i l i t y , a n economic t h e o r y of d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n does o f f e r g u i d a n c e i n two g e n e r a l ways. p r o v i d e s a framework for c h o o s i n g (on t h e -25- basis of fiscal F i r s t , the theory allocative efficiency c r i t e r i a ) which l e v e l s of government s h o u l d p r o v i d e what p a r t i c u l a r goods and services--the assignment of f u n c t i o n s problem--under s t a t e d conditions. 'hen e x i s t i n g f e d e r a l programs and a c t i v i t i e s a r e a n a l y z e d w i t h i n t h i s framework, one of t h r e e p o s s i b i l i t t e s a r i s e s : The p r o g r a m / a c t i v i t y i s d e t e r m i n e d t o he more a p p r o p r i a t e l y c a r r i e d on s o l e l y a t t h e n a t i o n a l l e v e l ; state/local level; or it is determined t h a t the national s t a t e l l o c a l governments s h o u l d s h a r e i n p r o v i s i o n of solely a t the government and t h e good o r s e r v i c e . Second, once a c h o i c e on f u n c t i o n a l assignment i s made, t h e t h e o r e t i c a l framework s u g g e s t s , where a p p r o p r i a t e , how programs of s h a r e d r e s p o n s i b i l i t y s h o u l d be s t r u c t u r e d t o a c h i e v e e f f i c i e n c y ; i . e . , open-ended matching g r a n t s , h i g h l y s p e c i f i c c a t e g o r i c a l g r a n t s , g e n e r a l purpose f i s c a l a s s i s t a n c e , and s o forth. This r e p o r t does n o t , however, concern i t s e l f programs deemed t o be a s h a r e d r e s p o n s i b i l i t y . with the design of O t h e r p r e v i o u s and ongoing work by A C I R on a l l o c a t i o n f o r m u l a s a d d r e s s many of t h e s e d e s i g n y r 2 b l e n s as does a c u r r e n t p r o j e c t on w e l f a r e r e f o r m (ACIR, 1964; X C I K , 1985a). The cur- r e n t r e p o r t concent r a t e s e x c l u s i v e l y on app Lying a n economic t h e o r y of f i s c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n t o s e l e c t t h o s e e x i s t i n g f e d e r a l programs t h a t might l e g i t i m a t e l y be returned in their entirety to state and local governments. The p o l i c y a p p l i c a t i o n of any s o c i a l s c i e n c e t h e o r y i s i n h e r e n t l y subj e c t t o debate. Even two economists i n p e r f e c t agreement on t h e b a s i c t h e o r y may f i n d t h e m s e l v e s i n s u b s t a n t i a l d i s a g r e e m e n t on t h e i r t h e o r y ' s a p p l i c a t i o n . The a p p l i c a t i o n t o t u r n b a c k s i s no d i f f e r e n t . Some w i l l Eind t h e l i s t of pro- grams s e l e c t e d h e r e f o r d e v o l u t i o n t o be t o o i n c l u s i v e . Some w i l l f i n d i t t o o r e s t r i c t i v e , while s t i l l o t h e r s w i l l argue t h a t t h e theory suggests t h a t some of t h e programs on t h e l i s t are now p o o r l y d e s i g n e d and t h a t t h e y s h o u l d be r e d e s i g n e d p r o p e r l y as s h a r e d r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s , n o t devolved. The u s e of a t h e o r y , even a w e l l developed t h e o r y , does n o t g u a r a n t e e t o t a l agreement on which l e v e l s of government s h o u l d have r e s p o n s t b i l i t y f o r which programs. d o e s , however, It e s t a b l i s h a common framework i n which t o conduct t h e d e b a t e o v e r which programs s h o u l d be The v i t a l n a t i o n a l r e a s s i g n e d t o s t a t e and l o c a l i n t e r e s t test, a s developed by A C I Q , governments. consists of t h r e e g e n e r a l c o n d i t i o n s a g a i n s t which f e d e r a l g r a n t programs were - t e s t e d . I n o r d e r f o r programs t o be c o n s i d e r e d a p p r o p r i a t e l y t h e s o l e o r p a r t i a l p r o v i n c e of t h e f e d e r a l government, t h e governmental a c t i v i t i e s performed had t o meet a l l three conditions. If not, t h e program w a s p l a c e d on t h e l i s t of c a n d i - d a t e s t o be r e t u r n e d t o s t a t e s and l o c a l i t i e s . -26- An o u t l i n e of t h e v i t a l n a t i o n a l i n t e r e s t t e s t appears i n F i g u r e 4.1. A PRAGMATIC APPROACH TURNING OVER REVENUE SOITRCES: The d i s t r i b u t i o n of revenue s o u r c e s i n a f e d e r a l s y s t e m c o n s t i t u t e s a t o p i c i n i t s e l f a l t h o u g h i t i s a t o p i c i n a d e q u a t e l y a d d r e s s e d by an economic t h e o r y of d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n ( b u t s e e McLure, 1983). r e p o r t t o improve t a x policy--although turnback approach. Rather, It i s not covered i n t h i s t h i s may be a s i d e - b e n e f i t revenue s o u r c e s a r e considered of the f o r devolution based on t h e assumption t h a t c u r r e n t l y , i n p r o v i d i n g t h e a r r a y of goods and s e r v i c e s t o be t u r n e d back, t h e n a t i o n a l government t a x e s a t a l e v e l g r e a t e r t h a n i t would, ceteris p a r i b u s , i f such goods and s e r v i c e s were n o t provided by t h e n a t i o n a l government. Hence, i t i s reasoned, when program r e s p o n s i b i l - i t i e s a r e devolved t o s t a t e and l o c a l governments, s o t o o s h o u l d a revenue s o u r c e used by t h e n a t i o n a l government t o f i n a n c e t h o s e r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s be devolved i n a manner that a v o i d s unduly A p p l i c a t i o n of t h e t h e o r y of increasing overall tax burdens. f i s c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n r e f e r r e d t o above does not n e c e s s a r i l y r e q u i r e t h e r e t u r n of revenue s o u r c e s t o s t a t e and l o c a l governments. To a c h i e v e the type of decentralization it concerns itself w i t h , i t may be a p p r o p r i a t e t o f i n a n c e l o c a l l y d e l i v e r e d s e r v i c e s c e n t r a l l y through block g r a n t s , revenue s h a r i n g , or o t h e r means. grams could simply be r e p e a l e d without concomitant A l t e r n a t i v e l y , pro- revenue returns. The premise of t u r n b a c k s , a s developed h e r e , however, s t a t e s t h a t what i s being sought i s t r u e p o l i t i c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n , n o t merely f i s c a l and a d m i n i s t r a tive decentralization. Therefore, the only w i t h t h i s g o a l i s t o t u r n over t o s t a t e - l o c a l i t y t o tax, along with the responsibility long-term solution consistent governments t h e enhanced a b i l t o make e x p e n d i t u r e d e c i s i o n s . Such t r u e d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n r e q u i r e s devolving c u r r e n t f e d e r a l revenue s o u r c e s a s a component of a comprehensive turnback package. MAKING REVENUE DEVOLUTION PERMANENT I n t h e o r y , t h e turnback approach o f f e r s a way t o i n c r e a s e p o l i t i c a l dec e n t r a l i z a t i o n by a simultaneous s h i f t i n g of t a x bases and r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s from t h e n a t i o n a l t o t h e s t a t e and l o c a l l e v e l s . U n f o r t u n a t e l y , such a s h i f t may be viewed a s temporary by v o t e r s and by s t a t e and l o c a l o f f i c i a l s . l e g i t i m a t e concern a r i s e s t h a t , without some g u a r a n t e e of permanency, i n i t i a l s h i f t may r e s u l t i n an u n d e s i r a b l e outcome i n t h e f u t u r e . -2 7- A the Figure I THE TEST OF VITAL NATIONAL INTEREST: NECESSARY AND SUFFICIENT ( S a t i s f a c t i o n of each of t h e f o l l o w i n g c o n d i t i o n s i s r e q u i r e d t o j u s t i f y n a t i o n a l government a c t i v i t y . A c o n d i t i o n i s s a t i s f i e d only i f t h e a p p r o p r i a t e c r i t e r i a a r e met under e a c h . ) Condition 1 (Constitutionality) I II The a c t i v i t y i s , under c u r r e n t i n t e r p r e t a t i o n s of t h e C o n s t i t u t i o n , w i t h i n t h e c o n s t i t u t i o n a l a u t h o r i t y of t h e n a t i o n a l government. (Condition 1 i s s a t i s f i e d i f t h e f o l l o w i n g c r i t e r i o n i s met.) C r i t e r i o n 1.1: Condition 2 (~arrantability) There e x i s t s no p r o v i s i o n i n t h e U.S. C o n s t i t u t i o n t h a t s p e c i f i c a l l y p r o h i b i t s t h e n a t i o n a l government from u n d e r t a k i n g t h e a c t i v i t y . The a c t i v i t y i s w a r r a n t e d by t h e p r e s e n c e of a probl e m of n a t i o n a l s c o p e , o r s i g n i f i c a n t l y l a r g e regiona l scope, t h a t r e q u i r e s f o r i t s s o l u t i o n some measure of n a t i o n a l c o n t r o l o v e r , s t i m u l a t i o n o f , o r coordin a t i o n among subnat i o n a l governments, p r i v a t e i n s t i tutions, or citizens. (Condition 2 i s s a t i s f i e d i f a t l e a s t one of t h e f o l l o w i n g c r i t e r i a i s met.) C r i t e r i o n 2.1: I n t h e absence of a c t i v i t y by t h e n a t i o n a l government, a c t i v i t i e s of s u b n a t i o n a l governments, p r i v a t e i n s t i t u t i o n s o r c i t i z e n s would produce s i g n i f i c a n t i n t e r s t a t e e x t e r n a l i t i e s ( i . e. , s p i l l o v e r e f f e c t s ). C r i t e r i o n 2.2: Absent a c t i v i t y by t h e n a t i o n a l government, c e r t a i n goods and s e r v i c e s a t n a t i o n a l s c a l e would be subs t a n t i a l l y underproduced because of t h e i r " p u b l i c good" p r o p e r t i e s o r because such goods and s e r v i c e s s e r v i c e s a r e subject t o declining marginal costs. C r i t e r i o n 2.3: Absent a c t i v i t y by t h e n a t i o n a l government, t h e a c t i v i t i e s of s u b n a t i o n a l governments, p r i v a t e i n s t i t u t i o n s o r c i t i z e n s would weaken t h e o p e r a t i o n s of nat i o n a l markets. C r i t e r i o n 2.4: Absent a c t i v i t y by t h e n a t i o n a l government, subnat i o n a l governments would v i o l a t e t h e c o n s t i t u t i o n a l r i g h t s of i n d i v i d u a l s . C r i t e r i o n 2.5: Absent a c t i v i t y by t h e n a t i o n a l government, t h e r e would be s i g n i f i c a n t h o r i z o n t a l i n e q u i t i e s among r e s i d e n t s of d i f f e r e n t s t a t e s ; i . e . , i n s t a t e s w i t h r e l a t i v e l y low f i s c a l c a p a c i t y , t a x p a y e r s would have t o bear i n o r d i n a t e l y high t a x burdens t o f i n a n c e s t a t e l o c a l s e r v i c e s deemed e s s e n t i a l . CONDITIONS FOR ACT L V I T Y BY THE NATIONAL GOVERNMENT Condition 3 (Economic and Programmatic Efficiency) The b e n e f i t s ( b o t h economic and noneconomic) d e r i v e d from a c t i v i t y by t h e n a t i o n a l government exceed t h e a c t i v i t y ' s costs--not o n l y t h e b u d g e t a r y c o s t t o government h u t a l s o a l l o t h e r c o s t s l i k e l y t o r e s u l t t o s o c i e t y a s a whole. F u r t h e r , i t can be e s t a b l i s h e d t h a t a c t i o n by t h e n a t i o n a l government d e s i g n e d t o c o r r e c t t h e problem w i l l r e p r e s e n t , i n f a c t , t h e most eEf i c i e n t a v a i l a b l e s o l u t i o n , i n c l u d i n g no governmental a c t i o n . ( C o n d i t i o n 3 i s s a t i s f i e d o n l y i f each of t h e f o l l o w i n g c r i t e r i a i s met.) is a t C r i t e r i o n 3.1: No workable a l t e r n a t i v e l e a s t as efficient. Criterion 3.2: The o v e r a l l n a t i o n a l b e n e f i t s w a r r a n t e d by C o n d i t i o n 2 must exceed t h e o v e r a l l n a t i o n a l c o s t s oE c a r r y i n g out the activity. C r i t e r i o n 3.3: O t h e r t h a n s p e c i f i c a l l y w a r r a n t e d by C o n d i t i o n 2 , t h e a c t i v i t y of t h e n a t i o n a l government does n o t a r t i f i c i a l l y induce i n c r e a s e d t a x i n g and s p e n d i n g by subnat i o n a l . governments, p r i v a t e i n s t i t u t i o n s o r c i t i z e n s . A polity's capacity t o achieve f i s c a l d i s c i p l i n e is n o t weakened. Criterion 3.4: Without good r e a s o n , t h e a c t i v i t y of t h e n a t i o n a l government does n o t make u n c e r t a L n t h e f i n a n c i a l s i t u a t i o n s o r o t h e r c i r c u m s t a n c e s of s u b n a t i o n a l governments, p r i v a t e i n s t i t u t i o n s o r c i t i z e n s . Criterion 3.5: An a c t i v i t y of t h e n a t i o n a l government does n o t burden s u b n a t i o n a l governments w i t h i n t r u s i v e r e q u i r e ments and onerous demands o r p r o c e d u r e s . The a u t h o r i t y of s t a t e s and l o c a l i t i e s i s not s o c i r c u m s c r i b e d a s t o hamper e f f e c t i v e governance and r e s p o n s i v e n e s s t o their citizens. C r i t e r i o n 3.6: The a c t i v i t y by t h e n a t i o n a l government does n o t s i g n i f i c a n t l y weaken any government's p o l i t i c a l and f i s c a l a c c o u n t a b i l i t y t o i t s c i t i z e n s hy d r i v i n g a wedge between t a x i n g and s p e n d i n g c h o i c e s . C r i t e r i o n 3.7: An a c t i v i t y of t h e n a t i o n a l government t o national activity does n o t work b r o a d l y and u n j u s t i f i a b l y t o t h w a r t t h e w i l l of l o c a l majorities. -29- I n l i g h t of a c o n t i n u i n g d e f i c i t problem a t t h e n a t i o n a l l e v e l , v o t e r s and s t a t e and l o c a l o f f i c i a l s may f e a r t h a t r e l i n q u i s h m e n t of p a r t o r a l l of s e l e c t e d f e d e r a l t a x b a s e s may a c t u a l l y l e a d Washington t o move i n t o a new t a x base i n t h e f u t u r e ; e.g., a v a l u e added t a x (VAT) o r a n a t i o n a l s a l e s t a x . F o r t h i s r e a s o n , i t may be n e c e s s a r y t o p r o v i d e v o t e r s and s t a t e and l o c a l o f f i c i a l s w i t h a g u a r a n t e e a g a i n s t f u t u r e f e d e r a l encroachment on t r a d i t i o n a l s t a t e and l o c a l t a x b a s e s o r f e d e r a l r e a s s u m p t i o n of r e l i n q u i s h e d t a x b a s e s . R a t h e r t h a n s t a t u t o r i l y r e s t r i c t i n g t h e f e d e r a l government's a b i l i t y t o levy a g a i n s t s p e c i f i c t a x b a s e s , a more e f f e c t i v e g u a r a n t e e might be a n i r o n c l a d l i m i t on o v e r a l l t a x c o l l e c t i o n s . F o r example, a C o n s t i t u t i o n a l amendment c o u l d limit t h e p r o p o r t i o n of GNP t h a t t h e n a t i o n a l government may t a k e i n taxes. Such a p r o v i s i o n was adopted by t h e U.S. S e n a t e i n 1982. THE TAX RELINQUISHMENT APPROACH TO TURNING OVER REVENUES The approach s e l e c t e d h e r e f o r d e v o l v i n g revenue s o u r c e s i s f o r t h e f e d e r a l government t o r e l i n q u i s h a l l o r p a r t oE a t a x b a s e i t c u r r e n t l y u s e s . T h i s approach d i f f e r s from t h a t t a k e n i n p a s t A C I R work where a c t u a l new f e d e r a l g r a n t programs were c r e a t e d and dubbed "revenue t u r n b a c k s " (1981e). Othe r t h a n on a t e m p o r a r y , t r a n s i t i o n b a s i s , a v o i d e d i n t h e c u r r e n t work. c r e a t i o n of new g r a n t programs was For one t h i n g , o n l y t h o s e programs deemed t o be s o l e l y t h e r e s p o n s i b i l i t y of s t a t e and l o c a l governments were c o n s i d e r e d e l i g i b l e f o r r e t u r n i n t h e f i r s t p l a c e . That b e i n g t h e c a s e , i t i s c o n t r a d i c t o r y t o t u r n around and c r e a t e a new f e d e r a l g r a n t program, a l b e i t a broad b l o c k g r a n t o r g e n e r a l p u r p o s e f i s c a l a s s i s t a n c e g r a n t , a s a way of f i n a n c i n g t h e returned responsibilities. D e s i g n i n g new f e d e r a l g r a n t s c e r t a i n l y would be l e g i t i m a t e a s a means of a c h i e v i n g i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l g r a n t r e f o r m f o r t h o s e a c t i v i t i e s deemed t o be a p p r o p r i a t e l y s h a r e d a c t i v i t i e s and t h u s a p p r o p r i a t e f o r f i n a n c i n g t h r o u g h grants-in-aid. It i s assumed, however, t h a t t h e programs c o n s i d e r e d h e r e a r e p r o p e r c a n d i d a t e s f o r t o t a l d e v o l u t i o n t o t h e s t a t e and l o c a l l e v e l . p r o p r i a t e way, then, t o ensure t h a t The ap- s t a t e and l o c a l governments have t h e a b i l i t y t o f i n a n c e t h e s e new r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s i s t o f r e e up t a x b a s e s , n o t r e t u r n t h e revenue i t s e l f i n t h e form of a new f e d e r a l g r a n t . Horeover, t h e way t o g u a r a n t e e t h a t t r u e a u t h o r i t y and r e s p o n s i b i l i t y , n o t mere a d m i n i s t r a t i v e f l e x i b i l i t y , a r e r e t u r n e d i s t o t u r n o v e r t a x b a s e s unencumbered by t h e p o l i t i c a l s h i e l d of f e d e r a l t a x c r e d i t s . -30- Intergovernmental g r a n t reform i s hoth l a u d a b l e and needed. programs deemed t o be a p p r o p r i a t e l y s h a r e d r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s , much work g r a n t and formula reform remains t o be done. qualitatively different For t h o s e Such work, however, on i s of a n a t u r e and s e e k s d i f f e r e n t g o a l s From t h i s r e p o r t . REVENUE SOURCES TO ACCOMPANY PROGRAM TURNBACKS Chief among t h e p o s s i b l e revenue sources that s t a t e s (and i n some c a s e s d i r e c t l y t o l o c a l i t i e s ) could be are the devolved t o federal excise t a x e s on motor f u e l s , t h e c i g a r e t t e e x c i s e t a x , t h e e x c i s e t a x on a l c o h o l i c beverages, t h e t e l e p h o n e e x c i s e t a x , income t a x . and a p o r t i o n of t h e f e d e r a l p e r s o n a l Each has advantages and disadvantages. t a g e s can be m i t i g a t e d , however. l e v i e d i n rem ( i . e . , For example, valorem g a s o l i n e and excise taxes a r e frequently p e r g a l l o n o r p e r pack of valorem, a s a p e r c e n t a g e of t h e s a l e s p r i c e . other excise taxes, Sometimes t h e disadvan- c i g a r e t t e s ) r a t h e r than ad Many s t a t e s have moved t o ad making collections responsive t o changes i n p r i c e l e v e l s . A responsive revenue system i s d e s i r a b l e t o hard- p r e s s e d budget t r y i n g t o keep up w i t h services. officers, Automatic t a x increases, however, demands are less f o r more p u b l i c a t t r a c t i v e t o hard- pressed taxpayers. F e d e r a l E x c i s e Tax on Motor Fuels Washington c o l l e c t e d an e s t i m a t e d $13.3 b i l l i o n i n FY 1985 p r i m a r i l y from t h e f e d e r a l t a x on motor f u e l s hut a l s o from o t h e r highway-related excises. The i l l u s t r a t i v e turnback packages of t h e next c h a p t e r each t u r n back a s h a r e of t h i s t o t a l , which i s expressed a s r e l i n q u i s h i n g a s t a t e d amount from t h e $.09/gallon t a x on g a s o l i n e . TJnique among t h e t a x e s considered h e r e f o r d e v o l u t i o n , f u e l s is a benefit-based a t a x on motor t a x used t o f i n a n c e f e d e r a l programs. Those u s e r s who tend t o d e r i v e t h e most b e n e f i t from highway spending ( o r who cause t h e most wear on t h e r o a d s ) a l s o pay t h e most t o d e f r a y such c o s t s . r e l a t e d t a x f o r an a c t i v i t y l i k e highway use not A benefit- only seems f a i r t o many p e o p l e , i t a l s o h e l p s impose f i s c a l d i s c i p l i n e , d i s c o u r a g i n g t h e c o n s t r u c t i o n of expensive b u t r a r e l y used roads. S e v e r a l f e a t u r e s of f e d e r a l (and many s t a t e s ' ) motor f u e l t a x a t i o n highl i g h t the relationship t o benefits received. Refunds or credits f o r off- highway fuel. u s e a r e common, a s a r e a d d i t i o n a l charges f o r t r u c k s , e i t h e r ex- -31- c i s e taxes or r e g i s t r a t i o n fees. on w e i g h t , r e l a t e t o trucks ' These a d d i t i o n a l c h a r g e s , f r e q u e n t l y based causing more road wear p e r m i l e t h a n a u t o s . A circumstance t h a t may make i t p o l i t i c a l l y f e a s i b l e t o i n c r e a s e combined motor f u e l t a x e s even above c u r r e n t l e v e l s i s d e c l i n i n g petroleum p r i c - es. (i.e., Nationwide, g a s o l i n e averaged $1.22 per gallon i n i n c l u d i n g a l l t a x e s ) , i n c r e a s i n g t o $1.35 i n 1981. have d e c l i n e d , t o $1.20 p e r g a l l o n f o r 1984. 1980 a t t h e pump Thereafter, prices Although p r e d i c t i n g petroleum p r i c e s i s p r o b l e m a t i c , O i l S t a t i s t i c s B u l l e t i n i n d i c a t e s a continued d e c l i n e , f o r a 1985 average of $1.05. Tobacco Tax I n 1984, t h e f e d e r a l government c o l l e c t e d $4.7 b i l l i o n i n tobacco t a x e s . The major advantage of t h i s t a x from t h e p e r s p e c t i v e of t h a t p o l i t i c a l l y i t is r e l a t i v e l y easy t o increase. s t a t e officials is S t a t e budget o f f i c e r s , however, a r e l i k e l y t o be d i s a p p o i n t e d i n t h e l i m i t e d p o t e n t i a l f o r a u t o m a t i c growth of c i g a r e t t e and o t h e r tobacco t a x a t i o n . From t h e t a x p a y e r s ' perspec- t i v e t h i s may be a d e s i r a b l e a t t r i b u t e , though. Our c a l c u l a t i o n s assume t h e permanent r a t e of $.08 p e r package of c i g a r e t t e s . A l c o h o l i c Beverage Taxes Like t h e tobacco t a x , t h i s revenue s o u r c e does n o t have much a u t o m a t i c growth p o t e n t i a l . C o l l e c t i o n s f o r 1984 were $5.3 b i l l i o n a t t h e t h e n - e x i s t i n g rate. Telephone E x c i s e Tax This revenue s o u r c e has been c o n s i d e r e d a l o g i c a l c a n d i d a t e f o r t u r n o v e r t o state-local governments s i n c e t h e 1950s when t h e J o i n t F e d e r a l - S t a t e t i o n Committee recommended i t s d e v o l u t i o n . Ac- The telephone e x c i s e t a x a l s o h a s a c o n s i d e r a b l e p o t e n t i a l f o r a u t o m a t i c growth, which should make i t a t t r a c t i v e i n t h e eyes of s t a t e o f f i c i a l s , i f n o t c i t i z e n s . The major disadvantage of t h i s revenue s o u r c e i s t h a t i t amounts t o no more t h a n $2 b i l l i o n annuall y , l i m i t i n g i t s u s e f u l n e s s a s a replacement f o r f e d e r a l g r a n t s . P e r s o n a l Income Tax I n s e e k i n g t o a c h i e v e g r e a t e r p o l i t i c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n , t h i s i s prohab l y t h e b e s t t a x t o devolve i n p a r t t o s t a t e and l o c a l governments. By i n - t e n t i o n a l l y r e d u c i n g t h e f e d e r a l income t a x burden on t a x p a y e r s and coupling -32- t h a t r e d u c t i o n w i t h t h e d e c r e a s e d f e d e r a l e x p e n d i t u r e s t h a t r e s u l t Erom p r o gram t u r n b a c k s , the federal government automatically strengthens a l l s t a t e and l o c a l t a x b a s e s . With i n d i v i d u a l s r i c h e r by t h e amount of the federal income t a x r e d u c t i o n , s t a t e s and l o c a l governments would be a b l e t o p i c k up t h i s i n c r e a s e d w e a l t h throug?l e i t h e r a s t a t e o r l o c a l income t a x , s a l e s t a x e s , p r o p e r t y t a x e s , e x c i s e t a x e s , o r u s e r c h a r g e s and f e e s . T h e r e would be no n e c e s s i t y t o i n c r e a s e t h e a g g r e g a t e t a x burden on t a x p a y e r s i n t h e s t a t e s ; b u t u n l e s s s p e c i f i c a l l y d e s i g n e d t o a v o i d i t , t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n of the tax burden w i t h i n s t a t e s would l i k e l y change depending upon t h e t a x e s s t a t e and l o c a l governrwnts employed t o p i c k up t h e r e t u r n e d income t a x base. The l a r g e f e d e r a l income t a x c u t s s i n c e 1981 have p r o v i d e d s t a t e s a r e v enue r e t l l r n of t h i s s o r t . The s i g n i f i c a n t t 3 x i n c r e a s e s a t t h e s t a t e and l o - cal. l e v e l s i n c e t h a t t i m e h a v e t h e r e f o r e not i n c r e a s e d c i t i z e n s burden as much a s tiley would have i n t h e a 5 s e n c e of tions. ' overall tax such f e d e r a l t a x redilc- The p r e c i s e e x t e n t t o which t h i s f a c t made s t a t e and l o c a l t a x p a y e r s more r e c e p t i v e t o t a x i n c r e a s e s o v e r t h i s p e r i o d d e s e r v e s e m p i r i c a l i n v e s t i g a t ion. T J n f o r t u n a t e l y , r e v e n u e r e t u r n by c u t t i n g E e d e r a l income t a x a t i o n i s pol i t i c a l l y t h e most d i f f i c u l t t o a c h i e v e . It would r e q u i r e a c a r e f u l e d u c a t i o n e f f o r t t o make c i t i z e n s aware t h a t t h e p u r p o s e of t h e f e d e r a l income t a x c u t was not t o p r o v i d e t a x r e l i e f t o t a x p a y e r s , but r a t h e r t o t r a n s f e r p a r t t h e f e d e r a l g o v e r n m e n t ' s income t a x b a s e t o s t a t e and l o c a l governments. of Re- c a u s e t h e r e c e n t f e d e r a l i.ncome t a x c u t s were b i l l e d a s r e a l t a x r e l i e f , n o t t a x s h i f t s from one l e v e l of government t o a n o t h e r , s t a t e and l o c a l t a x i n c r e a s e s t h a t came i n t h e i r x a k e may n o t h a v e been a s r e a d i l y a c c e p t e d a s i f t h e s t a t e d i n t e n t i o n had been t o s h i f t p a r t of t h e income t a x b a s e t o t h e s t a t e level. I n c o n t e m p l a t i n g a p a r t i a l t.1rnover of t h e income t a x b a s e , i t would be e s p e c i a l l y i m p o r t a n t t o p r o v i d e v o t e r s ~ i t ha n i r o n c l a d g ~ a r a n t e ~( ?s u c h a s a C o n s t i t u t i o n a l amendment) t h a t a f t e r t h e i n i t i a l t a x s h i f t , t h e n a t i o n a l government would n o t r e c l a i m t h e t a x by f u t u r e income t a x i n c r e a s e s o r by a d d i n g a n e n t i r e l y new l e v y , such a s a VAT. I n a d d i t i o n , s t a t e and l o c a l governments would be o b l i g e d t o p r o v i d e c i t i z e n s advance n o t i c e of how e x a c t l y t h e y i n t e n d e d t o move i n t o t h e " t a x room" p r o v i d e d by t h e f e d e r a l income t a x c u t . Based upon t h e r e a c t i o n s of p a r t i c i p a n t s of t h e 4 C I R r e g i o n a l r o u n d t a b l e s on t h e t u r n o v e r of revenues and r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s , t h e Commission judged -33- t h a t d e v o l u t i o n of a p o r t i o n of t h e p e r s o n a l income t a x was n o t p o l i t i c a l l y f e a s i b l e a t t h i s time. T h e r e f o r e , t h e remainder of t h i s r e p o r t c o n s i d e r s t h e e x c i s e t a x e s a s p o t e n t i a l revenue s o u r c z s t o be t u r n e d o v e r t o t h e s t a t e s . TRANSITIONAL ARRANGEMENTS, PASS-THKOUGH YXCHAVISMS, AN0 'IXE POST-DEVOLUTION ENVIKONMEN'I Having d i s c u s s e d t h e b a s i s f o r c h o o s i n g revenues and p r j g r a m s ( o r t u r n t u r n o v e r can now he back, two key p r a c t i c a l q u e s t i o n s i n t h i s considered. These a r e (1) mechanisms t o c u s h i o n t h e p r o c e s s of d e v o l u t i o n ( t h e problem of (2) t r a n s i t i o n ) and the pass-through of funds from s t a t e s to localities. To be s u c c e s s f u l , d e v o l u t i o n must be d e s i g n e d t o minimize d i s r u p t i o n the operation of s t a t e and Local p e r i o d and o v e r t h e l o n g run. dislocation a t governments, Of the l o c a l level. particular Two key therefore, a r e the transition period and both iq during the t r a n s i t i o n concern i s t h e p o t e n t i a l f o r components of any tllrrlback p l a n , arrangements f o r the state-local p a s s - t h r o u g h of f u n d s from devolved revenue s o u r c e s . T r a n s i t i o n mechanism should not he thought of merely a s a means g a i n i n g p o l i t i c a l a c c e p t a n c e of a d e v o l u t i o n p r o p o s a l . anism s h o u l d e n s u r e t h a t of The t r a n s i t i o n mech- change i s o r d z r l y and p r e d i c t a b l e ; i n v o l v e d s h o u l d be a b l e t o a d j u s t t o t h e environment of a l l the a c t a r s increased p o l i r i c s l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n d u r i n g t h e t r a n s i t i o n pe r i o l , The e x c i s e tart b a s e s c o n s i d e r e d i n t h i s r e p o r t t o accompany t?le programs r e t u r n e d a r e seldom amenable t o d i r e c t l o c a l assumption. Following t h e re- p e a l of f e d e r a l g r a n t s t h a t d i r e c t l y b e n e f i t l o c a l s3vertlmerlts , l o c a l o f f i- c i a l s w i l l r e q u i r e some r e a s s u r a n c e a b o u t f i s c a l s u p p o r t d a r i n g t h e t r a n s i t i o n period. L o c a l o f f i c i a l s n u s t a l s o be convinced t h a t a t t h e end o f t h e t r a n s i t i o n p h a s e t h e new Eis c a l a r r a n g e m e n t s w i l l p r o v i d e them w i t h a d e q u a t e r e s o u r c e s t o meet t h e demands of t h e i r c i t i z e n s . The i n c r e a s e d d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n brought about by t u r n h a c k s w i l l a l m s t c e r t a i n l y r e q u i r e s t a t e and l o c a l governments t o r e a d j u s t t h e i r p o l i t i c a l and f i s c a l interrelationships. t o be i n c r e a s e d , S t a t e f i n a n c i a l a i d t o l o c a l governments may have r e t a r g e t r e d , o r both. t h o r i t y may a l s o h a v e t o be r e a d j u s t e d . State-set l i m i t s on l o c a l t a x i n g all- Chapter 5 THE ILLUSTRATIVE TURNBACK PACKAGES INTRODUCT L O N This chapter presents five t u r n b a c k pacltages , c o v e r i n g exploratory a wide range of a l t e r n a t i v e a p p r o a c h e s t o (lev3l i l t i o n t h r o u g h t u r n i n g o v e r r e v e n u e s a114 r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s to the r ~ ? s p o n s i b i l i t i e s t:lrned back--the b i l l i o n per yesr. states. The c ~ i r r e n t Funding of " s i z e " of t h e p a c k a g e s - - v a r i e s program from $10-$22 One of t h e paclcages i s not d e s i g n e d f o r d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n . For t h e o t h e r s , t h e d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n range i s from $1.5-$3.3 T a b l e 5.1 summarizes t h e packages.11 A b i l l i o n a year. Each package t : i r n s back $9.6 b i l - l i o n i n a l c o h o l , t e l e p h o n e , and t o b a c c o e x c i s e s , based on end-user e s t i m a t e s f o r each state, not the current collections from m a n u f a c t l l r e r s . The f o u r l a r g e s t paclcages a d d i t i o n a l l y r e l i n q u i s h a s h a r e of t h e f e d e r a l t a x on motor E l e l s and o t h e r h i g h w a y - r e l a t e d e x c i s e s . T a b l e 5.1 SIJMMARY !IF 'THE FIVE ILLUSTRA'CTVE TURNRACK PACKAGES Cllrrent Fundi. ilg of Progr,4ms Percent T~~rne-l Tax ofPast Back Turnback Funds ----( i n t h o u s a n d s ) -Replaced 4nnua 1 Def i c i t Reduction (in t h o u s a n--ds) Per Capita Loss For Deficit Reduction - Largest Per Capita Loss Net of Deficit Reduc-- t i o n 1 1 Largest Pe r Capita Gain Net of Deficit Reduct i o n 21 11 E x c l u d i n g A l a s k a , w i t ' ? t h e l a r g e s t p e r c a p i t a l o s s i n e a c h package. 2 -1 E x c l u d i n g Wyoming, w i t h t h e l a r g e s t p e r c a p i t a g a i n i n e a c h package. Solirce: .4CIR c a l c u l a t i o n s based primarily on fiscal data for FY 84. T a b l e 5.1 i n d i c a t e s " f i s c a l m i s m a t c h w - - d i f f e r e n t s t a t e s and losses--by ' r e l a t i v e gains summarizing one of t h e y a r d s t i c k s u s e d i n t h e s t a t e - b y - s t a t e d e s c r i p t i o n s of each package. The summary t a b l e shows t h e maximum p e r c a p i t a g a i n , n e t of d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n , and t h e s t a t e w i t h t h e maximum g a i n . Table 5.1 a l s o - loss, shows t h e maximum p e r c a p i t a l o s s and t h e s t a t e w i t h t h i s a g a i n n e t of d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n . Gains and l o s s e s do n o t n e c e s s a r i l y i n c r e a s e w i t h package s i z e , a f i n d i n g i n c o n t r a s t t o t h a t observed i n t h e 1981 A C I R work (ACIR, 1981e). The method used t o assemble t h e packages was d e s i g n e d t o minimize mismatch and t h e l a r g e r packages p r o v i d e d more s c o p e f o r t h i s . The h y p o t h e t i c a l even p e r c a p i t a amount of d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n t h a t was used i n t h e f i s c a l mismatch c a l c u l a t i o n assumes that whatever t h e s t a t e of residence, e a c h c i t i z e n must make t h e same c o n t r i b u t i o n toward t h e t o t a l by which t h e package trims t h e f e d e r a l budget d e f i c i t . A l l tables depict s t a t e s ' f i s c a l s i t u a t i o n a f t e r a p e r i o d of t r a n s i t i o n i s complete t h a t , v e r y l i k e l y , would c u s h i o n t h e n e t l o s s e s and d e l a y t h e g a i n s . 2-1 PROGRAMS THAT ARE TURNBACK CANDIDATES Table 5.2 l i s t s t h e 177 c u r r e n t f e d e r a l programs of g r a n t s i n a i d t h a t were c o n s i d e r e d f o r t u r n b a c k . 3 1 p r e s e n t purposes heavy Counts r e l i a n c e was of placed g r a n t programs d i f f e r , on t h e d e f i n i t i o n e n t r i e s i n t h e C a t a l o g of F e d e r a l Domestic A s s i s t a n c e (CFDA). of t h e y p r o v i d e means-tested distinct (Some of t h e programs c o n s i d e r e d f o r turnbaclc a r e p o r t i o n s of CFDA c a t e g o r i e s . ) r o u g h l y 524 g r a n t - i n - a i d but f o r Out of programs, 86 were removed from c o n s i d e r a t i o n because benefits. (The l a t t e r programs a r e b e i n g s t u d i e d i n A C I R r e s e a r c h on t h e w e l f a r e s y s t e m . ) Of t h e r e m a i n d e r , 261 g r a n t programs were removed under t h e judgment t h a t t h e y were i n a p p r o p r i a t e f o r d e v o l u t i o n . * The r e s u l t i n g 177 g r a n t programs were thought t o be i n g e n e r a l a c c o r d w i t h t h e p r i n c i p l e s and i s s u e s of d e v o l u t i o n a r y f e d e r a l i s m d i s c u s s e d i n Chapter 4 i n t h e t e s t of v i t a l national interest. Reasonable d i s a g r e e m e n t about t h e c o n t e n t s of t h e l i s t of c a n d i d a t e t u r n b a c k programs i s p o s s i b l e . The p r i n c i p l e s v o i c e d e a r l i e r can be d i f f i c u l t t o a p p l y . n o t unambiguously n a t i o n a l o r l o c a l . Many government programs a r e I f a g r a n t program i s c u r r e n t l y working *Some programs l i k e highways a r e c l o s e l y l i n k e d t o f e d e r a l r e v e n u e bases--in t h i s c a s e t h e f e d e r a l g a s o l i n e t a x . I f t h e f e d e r a l unemployment i n s u r a n c e t a x were c o n s i d e r e d f o r t u r n b a c k , t h e n i t might be a p p r o p r i a t e t o c o n s i d e r t h e d e v o l u t i o n of programs l i n k e d t o t h a t t a x , such a s g r a n t s f o r a d m i n i s t e r i n g o f f i c e s of s t a t e employment s e r v i c e s . T a b l e 5.2 CANDIDATE PROGRAMS FOR TURNRACK, I N ORDER O F 4 C I R FUNC'CLONAL AREA AND C F D A NUHRER CFDA N u m b e r N a m e of G r a n t P r o g r a m F'i 84 Dh Li-gat i o n s (i n tliousands of d o l l a r s ) Arts a n d H u m a n i t i e s 4 5 . 1 0 4 P r o m o t i o n o f t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - M e d i a Humani t i e s P r o j e c t s 45.116 P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humanities--Summer S e m i n a r s f o r C o l l e g e T e a c h e r s 45.122 P r o m o t i o n o f t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - F e l l o w s h i p s a t C e n t e r s f o r Advanced S t u d y 45.124 P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humanities--Research R e s o u r c e s 45.125 P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humanities--Museums a n d H i s t o r i c a l O r g a n i z a t i o n s 45.127 Promotion of t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - I n s t r u c t i o n i n Elementary and Secondary S c h o o l s 45.128 P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humanities--Humani t i e s S t u d i e s Program 45.129 Promotion of t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - S t a t e Programs 4 5 . 1 3 0 P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humani t i e s - - C h a l l e n g e G r a n t s P r o g r a m 45.132 Promotion of, t h e Humanities--Research M a t e r i a l s P u b l i c a t i o n s 45.133 P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humanities--Human1 t i e s , S c i e n c e a n d Technology 4 5 . 1 3 4 P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humani t i e s - - R e s e a r c h C o n f e r e n c e s 45.135 Promotion o f t h e Humanities--Youth Projects 45.137 Promotion o f t h e Humanities--Humanities P r o j e c t s i n L i b r a r i e s 45.140 Promotion of t h e Humanities--Basic Research 4 5 . 1 4 5 P r o m o t i o n o f t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - R e s e a r c h M a t e r i a l s T o o l s a n d R e f e r e n c e Works 45.146 P r o m o t i o n o f t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - R e s e a r c h M a t e r i a l s Ed1 t i o n s 45,147 Promotion of t h e Humanities--Research M a t e r i a l s T r a n s l a t i o n s 45.148 Promotion of t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - 1 n t e r c u l t u r a l Research 45.150 C e n t r a l D i s c i p l i n e s i n U n d e r g r a d u a t e E d u c a t i o n 4 5 . 1 5 1 Summer S e m i n a r s f o r S e c o n d a r y S c h o o l T e a c h e r s 4 5 . 3 0 1 I n s t i t u t e o f Museum S e r v i c e s Community D e v e l o p m e n t 1 4 . 2 1 8 Community D e v e l o p m e n t B l o c k G r a n t 14.221 Urban Development A c t i o n G r a n t s 1 4 . 2 2 8 Community D e v e l o p m e n t B l o c k G r a n t Criminal J u s t i c e 16.540 16.541 16.542 16.560 16.601 16.602 16.603 -- Entitlement Grants -- S t a t e s * Program J u v e n i l e J u s t i c e Block Grant J u v e n i l e J u s t i c e and Delinquency Prevention S p e c i a l Emphasis National I n s t i t u t e f o r J u v e n i l e J u s t i c e and Delinquency Prevention J u s t i c e Research (Development P r o j e c t G r a n t s ) C o r r e c t i o n s T r a i n i n g a n d S t a f f Development Corrections--Research and E v a l u a t i o n and Policy Formulation Corrections--Technical Assistance -- Economic Development 11.300 Economic Development G r a n t s a n d L o a n s f o r P u b l i c Works a n d D e v e l o p m e n t A s s i s t a n c e 11.303 Economic Development Technical Assistance P u b l i c Works I m p a c t P r o j e c t s 11.304 Economic Development 11.305 Economic Development S t a t e a n d L o c a l Economic Development 2 3 . 0 0 3 A p p a l a c h i a n D e v e l o p m e n t Highway S y s t e m 23.004 A p p a l a c h i a n H e a l t h Programs 23.008 A p p a l a c h i a n Local Access Roads 23.009 A p p a l a c h i a n Local Development D i s t r i c t A s s i s t a n c e ---- -- 130,440 8,436 33,982 26,137 91,514 4,099 7,486 4,000 P c u m m LO 0 0 m C 0.0) u 0 PI-, W d S O c,(AL u L P O a coal0 0 ) U d d x o m m L a d I a m 0 C L C P a m u U E O L O W c w L I m a I @ U P 0 m r l u # . - 4 d C C E m > m m 0 ) m L L O L E L M a l - 2 0 ) X M O W c o o L L U 4 L a X 0 ) L Pa U X m E d d 0) d L a w 0) Highways and P u b l i c T r a n s p o r t a t i o n 2 0 . 2 0 5 I n t e r s t a t e Highway C o n s t r u c t i o n 2 0 . 2 0 5 I n t e r s t a t e Highway 4R 2 0 . 2 0 5 U r b a n Highway S y s t e m a n d M e t r o p o l i t a n P l a n n i n g 20.205 S e c o n d a r y Highways 20.205 I n t e r s t a t e T r a n s f e r Grants--Highway s 2 0 . 2 0 5 O t h e r Highway T r u s t Fund P r o g r a m s 2 0 . 2 0 5 P r i m a r y Highways 2 0 . 5 0 0 UMTA C a p i t a l I m p r o v e m e n t G r a n t s Section 3 2 0 . 5 0 7 UMTA C a p i t a l a n d O p e r a t i n g A s s i s t a n c e F o r m u l a G r a n t s Section 5 2 0 . 5 0 9 P u b l i c T r a n s p o r t a t i o n f o r N o n u r b a n i z e d A r e a s -- S e c t i o n 1 8 -- -- Libraries 84.034 8 4 .O35 84.039 84.091 84.154 Public Library Services I n t e r l i b r a r y Cooperation Library Research and Demonstration Strengthening Research Library Resources Public Library Services Library Construction ( T i t l e 11) -- Medical Assistance 13.116 P r o j e c t G r a n t s a n d C o o p e r a t i v e Agreements f o r T u b e r c u l o s i s C o n t r o l Programs 13.217 Family P l a n n i n g P r o j e c t s 1 3 . 2 2 4 Community H e a l t h C e n t e r s 13.226 H e a l t h S e r v i c e Research and Development Grants 13.242 Mental H e a l t h Research G r a n t s 13.244 Mental H e a l t h C l i n i c a l o r S e r v i c e R e l a t e d T r a i n i n g G r a n t s 13.260 Family P l a n n i n g S e r v i c e s 13.263 O c c u p a t i o n a l S a f e t y and H e a l t h Training Grants 13.268 Childhood Immunization G r a n t s 13.273 Alcohol Research Programs 13.293 S t a t e H e a l t h P l a n n i n g a n d Development Agencies 13.294 H e a l t h P l a n n i n g a n d H e a l t h Systems Agencies 13.298 Nurse T r a i n i n g and T r a i n e e s h i p s 13.361 N u r s i n g R e s e a r c h P r o j e c t G r a n t s 13.379 Grants f o r Graduate T r a i n i n g i n Family Medicine 13.381 H e a l t h P r o f e s s i o n s Financial Distressed Grants 13.766 H e a l t h F i n a n c i n g R e s e a r c h , D e m o n s t r a t i o n and E x p e r i m e n t s 13.776 P r o f e s s i o n a l S t a n d a r d s Review O r g a n i z a t i o n s Medicare 13.776 P r o f e s s i o n a l S t a n d a r d s Review O r g a n i z a t i o n s Medicaid 13.777 S t a t e H e a l t h C a r e P r o v i d e r s S u r v e y C e r t i f i c a t i o n Medicare 13.777 S t a t e H e a l t h Care P r o v i d e r s Survey C e r t i f i c a t i o n Medicaid 13.822 H e a l t h C a r e e r s Opportuni t y Program 13.864 P o p u l a t i o n Research 13.865 Research f o r Mothers and C h i l d r e n 13.886 G r a n t s f o r P h y s i c i a n A s s i s t a n t T r a i n i n g Program 13.891 Alcohol R e s e a r c h C e n t e r G r a n t s 1 3 . 9 6 5 B l a c k Lung C l i n i c s 1 3 . 9 7 4 F a m i l y P l a n n i n g -- S e r v i c e s D e l i v e r y I m p r o v e m e n t R e s e a r c h G r a n t s 13.977 P r e v e n t i v e Health Service--Venereal Disease Control G r a n t s 13.978 Venereal D i s e a s e R e s e a r c h , Demonstration, I n f o r m a t i o n and E d u c a t i o n 13.991 P r e v e n t i v e H e a l t h S e r v i c e s Block G r a n t s 13.992 A l c o h o l , Drug Abuse, and M e n t a l H e a l t h B l o c k G r a n t -- -- -- --- -- -- Miscellaneous 11.550 P u b l i c Telecommunications F a c i l i t i e s T a b l e 5.2 ( c o n t . ) CANDIDATE PROGRAMS F O R TURNBACK, I N ORDER O F A C I R FUNCTIONAL AREA AND CFDA NUMBER N a m e of G r a n t P r o g r a m CFDA N u m b e r Natural Resources 10.025 10.156 10.500 10.500 10.652 10.664 10.901 10.904 10.904 11.405 11.419 11.420 11.421 11.427 15.600 15.605 15.61 1 15.go4 15.916 15.919 C o n s e r v a t i o n and Development P l a n t and Animal D i s e a s e a n d P e s t C o n t r o l F e d e r a l - S t a t e M a r k e t i n g Improvement Program Cooperative Extension Service 1 8 6 2 Land G r a n t U n i v e r s i t i e s Tuskegee I n s t i t u t e F o r e s t r y Research Cooperative Forestry Assistance Resource C o n s e r v a t i o n and Development Watershed P r o t e c t i o n and Flood Prevention--Operations, Plannlng and Emergency A s s i s t a n c e Watershed P r o t e c t i o n and Flood Prevention--Small Watershed Operations Anadromous a n d G r e a t L a k e s F i s h e r i e s C o n s e r v a t i o n C o a s t a l Zone Management Program A d m i n i s t r a t i o n C o a s t a l Zone Management E s t u a r i n e S a n c t u a r i e s C o a s t a l Energy Impact Program (Formula G r a n t s ) G r a n t s and C o o p e r a t i v e Agreements Program Anadromous F i s h C o n s e r v a t i o n F i s h R e s t o r a t i o n ( D i n g e l l - J o h n s o n Program) W i l d l i f e R e s t o r a t i o n ( P i ttman-Robertson Program) Historic Preservation Grants Land a n d W a t e r C o n s e r v a t i o n Fund G r a n t s Urban Park and R e c r e a t i o n Recovery Program -- Occupational S a f e t y and Health 15.250 Underground Coal Mining 1 5 . 2 5 0 S m a l l Mine O p e r a t o r s A s s i s t a n c e 1 5 . 2 5 2 Abandoned Mine Land R e c l a m a t i o n P r o g r a m 17.500 Occupational S a f e t y and Health Statistical Grants 17.500 O c c u p a t i o n a l S a f e t y and H e a l t h State Operational Grants -- -- Other T r a n s p o r t a t i o n 20.106 A i r p o r t Improvement Program 20.308 Local R a i l S e r v i c e A s s i s t a n c e Vocational Education Basic Grants t o States 84.048 Vocational Education 84.049 Vocational Education C o n s u m e r a n d Homemaking E d u c a t i o n 84.050 V o c a t i o n a l E d u c a t i o n Program Improvement and S u p p o r t i v e S e r v i c e 84.052 V o c a t i o n a l E d u c a t i o n S p e c i a l Programs f o r t h e Disadvantaged S t a t e Advisory Councils 84.053 Vocational Education 8 4 .O77 B i l i n g u a l V o c a t i o n a l T r a i n i n g 8 4 .O83 Women's E d u c a t i o n a l E q u i t y 84.099 B i l i n g u a l Vocational I n s t r u c t o r T r a i n i n g 84.121 V o c a t i o n a l E d u c a t i o n S t a t e Planning and Evaluation 84.126 R e h a b i l i t a t i o n S e r v i c e s Basic Support 84.128 R e h a b i l i t a t i o n S e r v i c e s Special Projects ------- -- -- FY 84 Obligations ( i n thousands of d o l l a r s ) 84.129 R e h a b i l i t a t i o n T r a i n i n g 84.132 Centers f o r Independent Living Volunteer Services 72.002 72.005 72.010 72.01 1 72.012 72.013 R e t i r e d S e n i o r V o l u n t e e r Program S e r v i c e - L e a r n i n g Programs Mini-Grant Program S t a t e O f f i c e of V o l u n t a r y C i t i z e n P a r t i c i p a t i o n V o l u n t e e r D e m o n s t r a t i o n Program T e c h n i c a l A s s i s t a n c e Program Water P o l l u t i o n C o n t r o l 10.418 Water and Waste D i s p o s a l Systems G r a n t s f o r R u r a l Communities 10.418 Water and Waste Loans 6 6 . 4 1 8 W a t e r Q u a l i t y Management G r a n t s t o S t a t e s 6 6 . 4 1 8 C o n s t r u c t i o n G r a n t s f o r W a s t e w a t e r T r e a t m e n t Works 6 6 . 4 1 9 Water P o l l u t i o n C o n t r o l S t a t e and I n t e r s t a t e (106 G r a n t ) 66.432 S a f e Drinking Water P u b l i c Water Systems S u p e r v i s i o n 6 6 . 4 3 8 C o n s t r u c t i o n Management A s s i s t a n c e -- S o u r c e : ACIR c a l c u l a t i o n s . -- w e l l , t h e r e i s a n a t u r a l r e l u c t a n c e t o devolve i t , even though i t s i n a p p r o p r i a t e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n may c a u s e f u t u r e problems. I n a d d i t i o n t o d i s a g r e e m e n t s a b o u t s p e c i f i c programs, some would p r e f e r t h e l i s t t o be s h o r t e r , r e s t r i c t i n g t h e p o s s i b l e scope of d e v o l u t i o n , w h i l e o t h e r s would expand t h e r o l l of turnback candidates. D e s p i t e t h e very r e a l d i f f i c u l t i e s i n s e l e c t i n g grant programs f o r p o s s i b l e d e v o l u t i o n , however, t h i s l i s t s h o u l d s e r v e a s a worka b l e s t a r t i n g p o i n t f o r c o n s t r u c t i n g t u r n b a c k packages. DESIGNING THE TURNBACK PACKAGES A C I R ' s 1981 p a p e r (ACIR, 1981e) i d e n t i f i e d f i s c a l mismatch a s a s e r i o u s c o n c e r n i n t h e d e s i g n of t u r n b a c k packages. The packages examined i n t h a t p a p e r , a s i n o t h e r s , t r i e d d i f f e r e n t ways of f i t t i n g c u r r e n t program s p e n d i n g t o c u r r e n t t a x r e c e i p t s i n o r d e r t o t r i m t h e l a r g e l o s s e s and g a i n s t h a t some s t a t e s o t h e r w i s e would e x p e r i e n c e . Rut, even g i v e n t h e packages ' revenue s o u r c e s , e x p e r i m e n t i n g w i t h a l t e r n a t i v e combinations of g r a n t programs i s a daunting task. With 177 c a n d i d a t e programs t h e number of p o s s i b l e combina- t i o n s is t h e f i g u r e "two" f o l l o w e d by 53 o t h e r d i g i t s . A n a l y s i s i n t h e e a r l y s t a g e s of t h i s r e s e a r c h used a computerized o p t i m i z a t i o n p r o c e d u r e t o s u g g e s t a l t e r n a t i v e packages t h a t minimized a measure of f i s c a l mismatch. Unlike A C I R ' s ( c a u s e d by t h e uneven s t a t e - b y - s t a t e 1981 work, t h e amount of f i s c a l mismatch a l l o c a t i o n of r e v e n u e s and r e s p o n s i b i l i - t i e s ) d i d n o t n e c e s s a r i l y i n c r e a s e w i t h t h e s i z e of t h e package. T h i s i s be- c a u s e l a r g e r packages p r o v i d e more s c o p e f o r t a i l o r i n g t h e p a t t e r n of program r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s t o t h a t of revenues. Although t h e r e s u l t s were f a r b e t t e r t h a n comparison packages assembled by hand ( a s was done i n 1 9 8 1 ) , t h e r e was s t i l l a problem. S t r i c t adherence t o mismatch m i n i m i z a t i o n i n e f f e c t s e t t h e f i s c a l s t a t u s quo i n c o n c r e t e . C u r r e n t f e d e r a l g r a n t f u n d s a r e n o t always distributed e f f i c i e n t l y or equitably. And, a s i d e from t h e motor f u e l s t a x , t h e p e r c a p i t a d i s t r i b u t i o n of e x c i s e c o l l e c t i o n s i s n o t o n l y v e r y uneven, b u t i s unconnected w i t h c u r r e n t program f u n d i n g . Utah and Wyoming a r e neigh- b o r s , b u t t h e former c o n t r i b u t e s $16 p e r c a p i t a i n f e d e r a l a l c o h o l and t o b a c co e x c i s e s w h i l e t h e l a t t e r c o n t r i b u t e s $185. More i m p o r t a n t , t h e c u r r e n t d i s t r i b u t i o n of f e d e r a l a i d g i v e s t o o much f i n a n c i a l a s s i s t a n c e t o r e l a t i v e l y w e l l off t i v e l y poor s t a t e s . s t a t e s and t o o l i t t l e t o r e l a - I f one compares t h e s t a t e s ' p e r c a p i t a g r a n t s f o r a l l of t h e 177 c a n d i d a t e programs w i t h a measure of t h e f i s c a l c a p a c i t y of e a c h , t h e -4 2- r e l a t i o n s h i p i s uneven, b u t one i n which g r a n t r e c e i p t t e n d s t o i n c r e a s e w i t h F o r example, t h e c o r r e l a t i o n c o e f f i c i e n t i s +0.25 when p e r f i s c a l capacity. c a p i t a p e r s o n a l income i s t h e f i s c a l c a p a c i t y i n d i c a t o r . 4-1 C o n s e q u e n t l y , one o b j e c t i v e chosen when d e s i g n i n g t h e i l l u s t r a t i v e t u r n back packages was t o change t h i s g e n e r a l l y c o u n t e r - e q u a l i z i n g d i s t r i b u t i o n of f e d e r a l g r a n t s t o one t h a t would be e q u a l i z i n g ; i . e . , n e t g a i n s i n s t a t e s w i t h low f i s c a l c a p a c i t y . ever. t h a t would t e n d t o h a v e A trade-off i s i n v o l v e d , how- The more a t u r n b a c k package changes t h e e x i s t i n g d i s t r i b u t i o n t o i m - prove i t by a f i s c a l d i s p a r i t i e s c r i t e r i o n , t h e g r e a t e r t h e f i s c a l mismatch i s l i k e l y t o be r e l a t i v e t o t h e s t a t u s quo. ages d i d , by and l a r g e , Despite t h i s trade-off a c h i e v e a d e g r e e of t h e pack- f i s c a l equalization. For i n - s t a n c e , p e r c a p i t a g a i n s and l o s s e s i n t h e $22 b i l l i o n package show a negat i v e c o r r e l a t i o n of -0.31 w i t h p e r c a p i t a p e r s o n a l income, s o t h a t t h e s t a t e s w i t h weak t a x bases are significantly more l i k e l y than o t h e r s t o have a gain. 51 TURNBACK POLICY AND FISCAL EQUALIZATION S i n c e t h e packages do n o t e f f e c t p u r e f i s c a l e q u a l i z a t i o n , a comparison of s t a t e s ' g a i n s o r l o s s e s r e v e a l s i m p o r t a n t d i s c r e p a n c i e s between t h i s p a t - t e r n and i n d i v i d u a l s t a t e s ' a b i l i t i e s t o a b s o r b such l o s s e s through i n c r e a s - i n g c o l l e c t i o n s of own-source revenues. By t h e same t o k e n , some s t a t e s t h a t may be presumed t o be w e l l o f f i n a r e l a t i v e s e n s e a l s o b e n e f i t d i s p r o p o r t i o n a t e l y u n d e r t h e t u r n b a c k procedure. Thus two f u n d a m e n t a l n o t i o n s of e q u i ty a r e violated: t i c a l equity, " " h o r i z o n t a l e q u i t y , " o r e q u a l t r e a t m e n t of e q u a l s , and "veror appropriately unequal treatment of states i n different circumstances. Whether mismatch i s f o r m a l l y minimized o r n o t , simply comparing Eunding l e v e l s b e f o r e and a f t e r t u r n b a c k o v z r l o o k s a n i m p o r t a n t Eact: Mississippi is f a r less a b l e t o a b s o r b a l o s s of $10 p e r c a p i t a t h a n i.s C o n n e c t i c u t . e s p e c i a l l y hurt i n s t a t e s with limited f i s c a l capacity. Tdosses And g a i n s i n s t a t e s w i t h ample t a x b a s e s seem g a l l i n g . The s e l e c t i o n of g r a n t programs f o r turqbacic packages was s e e n a s an o p portunity to correct, a t least t o a limited extent, the current bias i n the a l l o c a t i o n of i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l a i d ; a t t h e very l e a s t t o a v o i d p r o d u c i n g new counter-equalizing t e n d e n c i e s through t u r n b a c k s . A s d i s c u s s e d i n a forthcom- i n g t e c h n i c a l p a p e r , t h e o p t i m i z a t i o n p r o c e d u r e was r e d e s i g n e d t o be s e n s i - -4 3- tive t o states ' relative f i s c a l capacities. I n defining the "equalization- o r i e n t e d " mismatch measure used h e r e , a l o s s i n a s t a t e w i t h low f i s c a l cap a c i t y g e n e r a t e d a h i g h e r degree of e f f e c t i v e mismatch t h a n a l o s s i n a s t a t e with high f i s c a l capacity. S i m i l a r l y , g a i n s produced h i g h e r mismatch f i g u r e s - when t h e y occurred i n s t a t e s w i t h s t r o n g t a x bases. 61 A l t e r n a t i v e measures of f i s c a l c a p a c i t y were u s e d , l e a d i n g t o s i m i l a r r e s u l t s . A t t h e same time t h e o p t i m i z a t i o n procedure was redesigned t o a l l o w f o r a n e q u a l i z i n g tendency, i t was enhanced i n a n o t h e r r e s p e c t . A maximum l o s s l e v e l was sometimes s p e c i f f e d , t o p r o t e c t s t a t e s from heavy p e r c a p i t a l o s s e s , and t h e maximum a l l o w a b l e g a i n could be r e s t r i c t e d , t o p r e v e n t i n o r d i n a t e w i n d f a l l s by some s t a t e s . The enhanced procedure t h u s combined f o u r g o a l s : ( 1) minimizing "pure" mismatch; ( 2 ) c o r r e c t i n g , t o some d e g r e e , the counter-equalization of the c u r r e n t g r a n t system; ( 3 ) p r o t e c t i n g a l l s t a t e s a g a i n s t heavy l o s s e s ; and ( 4 ) a v o i d i n g a l a r g e w i n d f a l l g a i n f o r any s t a t e . These f o u r g o a l s m i l i t a t e d a g a i n s t each o t h e r and were sometimes c o n t r a d i c t o r y . I n o t h e r words, g i v e n t h e f i s c a l d i s t r i b u t i o n s of s p e c i f i e d revenue s o u r c e s and c a n d i d a t e programs, no turnback package t h a t s a t i s f i e d a l l on occasion t h e r e was proven t o be f o u r g o a l s a s t h e y were s p e c i f i e d . I n t h e e x p e r i m e n t a t i o n conducted s o f a r , a v o i d i n g w i n d f a l l s r a r e l y improved o t h e r a s p e c t s of t h e a l l o c a t i o n of g a i n s and l o s s e s , probably because t h i s g o a l weakened achievement of o t h e r s . s e q u e n t l y , none of t h e packages shown used t h i s p r o v i s i o n , Con- though f u t u r e packages might. P r o t e c t i n g s t a t e s a g a i n s t heavy l o s s e s was g e n e r a l l y p o s s i - ble--except Alaska for in the l a r g e r packages--though it detracted from e q u a l i z a t i o n and p r o t e c t i n g populous s t a t e s from l o s s e s was o f t e n d i f f i c u l t . Seemingly, minimizing mismatch and e q u a l i z a t i o n d i d n o t s h a r p l y c o n f l i c t w i t h each o t h e r . More e x p e r i e n c e w i t h t h e d e s i g n procedure should s u g g e s t j u s t how w e l l the oft-conflicting g o a l s of turnback packages can be balanced a g a i n s t each o t h e r . A t t h e same t i m e , e f f o r t s a r e c u r r e n t l y underway t o develop a d d i t i o n a l ways t o measure t h e degree t o which a turnback package i s e q u a l k i n g . For t h e p r e s e n t , however, t h e s t a t e - s p e c i f i c l i s t i n g s of g a i n s and l o s s e s can be compared t o any chosen measure of f i s c a l c a p a c i t y . HOW TO READ THE TABLES Tables 5.3 t o 5.7 d e s c r i b e t h e f i v e a l t e r n a t i v e turnback packages. -44- The f i r s t page of these tables presents the state-by-state e a c h package a f t e r t r a n s i t i o n i s completed. E i s c a l f e a t u r e s of Continued pages of t h e t a b l e s l i s t t h e g r a n t programs t h a t a r e t u r n e d hack i n each package. In T a b l e s 5.3 t o 5.7: Column A . The f i r s t column shows t h e program responsibilities t u r n e d back t o e a c h s t a t e i n t h o u s a n d s of 1984 d o l l a r s . F o r t h e $10 h i l l i o n package f o r example ( T a b l e 5.3), Alabama would r e c e i v e programs t o t a l l i n g j u s t o v e r $132 m i l l i o n . Column R . The n e x t column s h o v ~ s t h e t a x r e s o u r c e s tarnecl hack t o e a c h s t a t e , assuming t h a t t h e p o s t - t r a n s i t i o n l e v y is a t t h e c d r r e n t n a t i o n a l r a t e . Again r e f e r r i n g t o T a b l e 5.3, Alabama r e c e i v e s t a x b a s e s t o t a l l i n g $128 m i l l i o n . Column C . The s t a t e and l o c a l balance--Column C - - i s program t u r n backs minus t a x t i ~ r n b a c k s . Alabama l o s e s $4 m i l l i o n i n t h e $10 b i l l i o n package. Because t h e o t h e r packages i n c l u d e s i g n i f i c a n t deF L c i t reduct i o n , s t a t e e n t r i e s a r e u s u a l l y n e g a t i v e , which i n d i c a t e s a l o s s . The f o l l o w i n g two columns d i v i d e up t h e t o t a l s t a t e - l o c a l b a l a n c e i n t o : ( 1 ) t h a t a c c o u n t e d f o r by t h e s t a t e ' s e v e n s h a r e of d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n and ( 2 ) p u r e f i s c a l mismatch, i . e . , t h e i m p e r f e c t matching of r e s o u r c e s and program f u n d i n g i n e a c h s t a t e . "Even d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n " means t h a t e a c h s t a t e a r e a Column D. c o r l t r i h u t e s t h e same per c a p i t a amount. Alabama's s h a r e i s $ 3 m i l l i o n f o r t h e $10 b i l l i o n package, c o r r e s p o n d i n g t o $.84 p e r c a p i t a . Column E. The s t a t e - l o c a l b a l a n c e a f t e r d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n is one i n d i c a t o r of f i s c a l mismatch. F o r t h e $10 b i l l i o n p a c k a g e , a r e l a t i v e l y s l i g h t mismatch c a u s e s Alabama t o l o s e $804,000 more t h a n a n even d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n would r e q u i r e . I n t h e same t a b l e A r i z o n a g a i n s from t u r n back, s o i t s e n t r y i s a p o s i t i v e number, namely $31 m i l l i o n . One s t a t e ' s l o s s caused by p u r e f i s c a l mismatch i s a n o t h e r s t a t e ' s g a i n , s o t h i s column always t o t a l s z e r o . Colunn F . Another i n d i c a t o r of t h e consequences of a turnbaclc packa g e i s t h e p e r c e n t a g e of program f u n d i n g r e p l a c e d : t a x t u r n h a c k s d i v i d e d by program t u r n b a c k s . Nationwide, t h e $10 b i l l i o n package r e p l a c e s 98% of program f u n d i n g but Alabama ( w i t h a s l i g h t l o s s a f t e r d e f i c i t reduci t s p a s t r e c e i p t of f u n d s . t i o n ) g e t s somewhat less--97%--of Column G. A l l t h i n g s c o n s i d e r e d , Alabama's l o s s of $4 m i l l i o n i s e q u i v a l e n t t o a l o s s of 8/100s of 1%of s t a t e - l o c a l own s o u r c e r e v e n u e s , f o r a f i g u r e of -0.08% i n t h e n e x t column. That column r e f l e c t s t h e t o t a l g a i n o r l o s s , t h a t i s , t h e combined e f f e c t of d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n and f i s c a l mismatch. The l a s t column i s a s t a t e ' s p e r c a p i t a g a i n o r l o s s Column H. aEter d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n and i s t h e b e s t i n d i c a t o r of t h e p a c k a g e ' s f i s c a l mismatch. For t h e $10 b i l l i o n package t h e g a i n of t a x b a s e s and program a u t h o r i t y would " c o s t " Alabamans $.20 p e r c a p i t a . Because t h e -45- Table 5.3 $10 BILLION ILLUSTRATIVE TURNBACK PACKAGE Relinquishment of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Telephone E x c i s e Taxes: Turnback of 59 N o n t r a n s p o r t a t i o n Programs, P o s t T r a n s i t i o n , 19 84 Data STATE ALABAMA ALASKA ARIZONA ARKANSAS CALIFORNIA COLORADO CONNECTlCUT DELAWARE FLORIDA GEORGIA HAWA II IDAHO ILLINOIS I N 0 1 ANA IOWA KANSAS KENTUCKV LOUISIANA MA INE MARVLANO MASSACHUSE T T S MICHIGAN MINNESOTA M l S S l S S I P PI M I SSOUR I MONTANA NEBRASKA NEVADA NEW H A M P S H I R E NEW J E R S E Y NEW M E X I C O NEW VORK NORTH C A R O L I N A NORTH OAKOTA OHIO OKLAHOMA OREGON PENNSVLVANIA RHODE I S L A N D SOUTH C A R O L I N A SOUTH OAKOTA TENNESSEE TEXAS UTAH VERMONT VIRGINIA WASH1 NGTON WEST V I R G I N I A WISCONSIN WYOMING ----- - . --- ---- UNITED STATES PROGRAM TURNBACK (SKI TAX TURNBACK (SKI TOTAL S L L S L L LOSS S L L BALANCE D U E T O E V E N AFTER OEF. BALANCE OEF.RED(SK) (SKI RED. ( S K I (L O F PROG. CHANGE A S (L FUNDS REPLACED P.C. B A L . OWN S W R C E AFTER OEF. REVENUE REOUCTION(S) FY 84 0 b l i g a t ions CFDA NUMBER NAME OF GRANT PROGRAM Arts a n d H u m a n i t i e s Promotion of t h e Humanities--Media Humanities P r o j e c t s P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humani t i e s - - S u m m e r S e m i n a r s f o r C o l l e g e T e a c h e r s Promotion o f t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - F e l l o w s h i p s a t C e n t e r s f o r Advanced S t u d y Promotion o f t h e Humanities--Museums a n d H i s t o r i c a l O r g a n i z a t i o n s Promotion of t h e Humanities--Instruction i n Elementary and Secondary Schools Promotion o f t h e Humanities--Humanities S t u d i e s Program Promotion of t h e Humanities--Challenge G r a n t s Program Promotion of t h e Humanities--Research M a t e r i a l s P u b l i c a t i o n s P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humani t i e s - - H u m a n i t i e s , S c i e n c e a n d T e c h n o l o g y P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humani t i e s - - R e s e a r c h C o n f e r e n c e s Promotion of t h e Humanities--Youth P r o j e c t s Promotion of t h e Humanities--Basic Research P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humani t i e s - - R e s e a r c h U a t e r i a l s E d i t i o n s Promotion of t h e Humanities--Research M a t e r i a l s T r a n s l a t i o n s Promotion of t h e Humanities--Intercultural Research Central Disciplines i n Undergraduate Education Summer S e m i n a r s f o r S e c o n d a r y S c h o o l T e a c h e r s Community D e v e l o p m e n t 1 1 4 . 2 1 8 Community D e v e l o p m e n t B l o c k G r a n t .b ? -- Entitlement Grants Criminal J u s t i c e 16.541 16.542 16.560 16.602 -- J u v e n i l e J u s t i c e and Delinquency Prevention S p e c i a l Emphasis National I n s t i t u t e f o r J u v e n i l e J u s t i c e and Delinquency Prevention J u s t i c e Research (Development P r o j e c t Grants) Corrections--Research and Evaluation and Policy Formulation Elementary and S e c o n d a r y E d u c a t i o n 84.003 84.008 84.009 84.010 84.013 84.026 8 4 . 1 58 Bilingual Education Alcohol and Drug Abuse E d u c a t i o n Program Program f o r E d u c a t i o n of H a n d i c a p p e d C h i l d r e n i n S t a t e - S u p p o r t e d S c h o o l s Educationally Deprived Children Local Education Agencies Educationally Deprived Children i n I n s t i t u t i o n s Serving Neglected o r Delinquent Children Handicapped Media S e r v i c e s and C a p t i o n e d F i l m s Secondary Education and T r a n s i t i o n a l S e r v i c e s -- Libraries 8 4 .O39 L i b r a r y R e s e a r c h a n d D e m o n s t r a t i o n 84.091 S t r e n g t h e n i n g Research L i b r a r y Resources 84.154 P u b l i c L i b r a r y S e r v i c e s Library Construction ( T i t l e 11) -- Medical A s s i s t a n c e 13.116 P r o j e c t G r a n t s and C o o p e r a t i v e Agreements f o r T u b e r c u l o s i s C o n t r o l Programs 13.242 Mental H e a l t h R e s e a r c h G r a n t s 13.260 Family Planning S e r v i c e s ( i n thousands of d o l l a r s ) T a b l e 5.3 ( c o n t . ) $10 BILLION ILLUSTRATIVE TURNBACK PACKAGE CFDA NUMBER NAME OF GRANT PROGRAM Alcohol Research Programs Health Planning and Health Systems Agencies Nursing Research P r o j e c t G r a n t s H e a l t h F i n a n c i n g R e s e a r c h , D e m o n s t r a t i o n and Experiments Health C a r e e r s O p p o r t u n i t y Program Population Research Research f o r Mothers and C h i l d r e n Alcohol Research C e n t e r G r a n t s S e r v i c e s D e l i v e r y Improvement R e s e a r c h G r a n t s Family P l a n n i n g -- N a t u r a l Resources C o n s e r v a t i o n and Development P l a n t and Animal D i s e a s e a n d P e s t C o n t r o l Anadromous a n d G r e a t L a k e s F i s h e r i e s C o n s e r v a t i o n C o a s t a l Zone Management Program A d m i n i s t r a t i o n C o a s t a l Zone Management E s t u a r i n e S a n c t u a r i e s C o a s t a l Energy Impact Program (Formul a G r a n t s ) G r a n t s and C o o p e r a t i v e Agreements Program Anadromous F i s h C o n s e r v a t i o n Urban P a r k a n d R e c r e a t i o n R e c o v e r y P r o g r a m Vocational Education 84.077 8 4 .O83 84.099 84.129 Bilingual Vocational Training Women's E d u c a t i o n a l E q u i t y Bilingual Vocational Instructor Training Rehabilitation Training Volunteer S e r v i c e s 72.01 2 Volunteer D e m o n s t r a t i o n Program 7 2 . 0 13 T e c h n i c a l A s s i s t a n c e Program Water P o l l u t i o n C o n t r o l 6 6 . 4 1 8 C o n s t r u c t i o n G r a n t s f o r W a s t e w a t e r T r e a t m e n t Works Source: A C I R c a l c u l a t i o n s . FY 84 Obligations ( i n thousands of d o l l a r s ) g a i n s and l o s s e s a s s o c i a t e d w i t h p u r e mismatch b a l a n c e e a c h o t h e r o u t , t h e n a t i o n w i d e p e r c a p i t a f i g u r e is always z e r o . THE $10 B I L L I O N PACKAGE T h i s package returns $9.8 billion s t a t e s and l o c a l i t i e s ( T a b l e 5.3). i n program r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s t o the 4 t t h e same t i m e , s t a t s - l o c a l governments would g a i n $9.6 b i l l i o n from a l l o f t h e f e d e r a l a l c o h o l , t o b a c c o , and t e l e phone e x c i s e t a x e s . Replacing 98% of program r e v e n u e s on a v e r a g e , this package i n c l u d e s o n l y a r e l a t i v e l y s l i g h t amount of d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n , $196 m i l l i o n annually. A s shown i n t h e c o n t i n u a t i o n of T a b l e 5.3, i n - a i d programs t h a t t h e 59 g r a n t - a r e devolved e x c l u d e t h e major t r a n s p o r t a t i o n g r a n t s . T h i s package d i s p l a y s a tendency t o e q u a l i z a t i o n . A r k a n s a s , Maine, M i s s i s s i p p i , South C a r o l i n a , and Tennessee--poor r e g i s t e r a g a i n i n t h e l a s t column. s t a t e s by any standard--each Rut C o n n e c t i c u t a l s o h a s a n e t b e n e E i t from t h e t u r n b a c k of revenues and r e s p o n s i h i l i t ies. THE $17 BILLION PACKAGE The $17 b i l l i o n package ( T a b l e 5 . 4 ) , l i k e i t s $18 b i l l i o n c o u s i n , t u r n s p a r t of t h e f e d e r a l highway e x c i s e s o v e r t o t h e s t a t e s , a l o n g w i t h t h e e x c i s e s on a l c o h o l , telephones, and tobacco. The s t a t e s r e c e i v e responsibility f o r t h e n o n - I n t e r s t a t e highway programs. 71 The package h a s f a r l e s s of a n e q u a l k i n g tendency t h a n i t s $10 b i l l i o n p r e d e c e s s o r , judged by t h e p e r c a p i t a l o s s e s ( n e t of d e f i c i t M i s s i s s i p p i , T e n n e s s e e , and West V i r g i n i a . r e d u c t i o n ) of Further experimentation with t h e d e s i g n of t h i s package m i g h t , however, make i t more e q u a l i z i n g . THE $18 BILLION PACKAGE Although t h e r e v e n u e s a r e t h e same a s i n t h e $17 b i l l i o n package, t h e program r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s a r e somewhat greater, totalling $2.9 b i l l i o n i n d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n a n n u a l l y ( T a b l e 5.5). c u r r e n t funding f o r the turned back programs $18 b i l l i o n , Nationwide, is replaced. for 84% of The s h a r e i n d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n i s $12.63 p e r person. THE $21 B I L L I O N PACKAGE The $21 b i l l i o n package r e d u c e s t h e d e f i c i t by $2.5 which i s $10.66 p e r c a p i t a n a t i o n w i d e ( T a b l e 5.6). -49- b i l l i o n annually, Although t h i s package i s Table 5.4 $17 BILLION ILLUSTRATIVE TURNBACK PACKAGE Relinquishment of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Telephone E x c i s e Taxes and 3.9 Cents of t h e G a s o l i n e Tax: Turnback of 84 Programs, I n c l u d i n g N o n - I n t e r s t a t e Roads, P o s t T r a n s i t i o n , 1984 Data STATE ALABAIU ALASKA ARIZONA ARKANSAS CALIFORNIA COLORADO CONNECTICUT DELAWARE FLORIDA GEORGIA HAWAI I IDAHO ILLINOIS INDIANA IOU KANSAS KENTUCKY LOUISIANA MAINE MARYLAND MASSACHUSETTS MICHIGAN MINNESOTA UISSISSIPPI UISSOURI nomm NEBRASKA NEVADA NEW HAUPSHIRE NEW JERSEY NEW UEXICO NEW YORU NORTH CAROLINA NORTH DAKOTA OHIO OKLAHOMA OREGON PENNSYLVANIA M O D E ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTH DAKOTA TENNESSEE TEXAS UTAH VERMONT VIRGINIA WASHINGTON WEST V I R G I N I A WISCONSIN WOnING (A) PROGRAM TURNBACK (SK) ( B) TAX TURNBACK ( $K) (CZ (Dl ( E) TOTAL S h L S 6 L L O S S S L L BALANCE BALANCE DUE TO EVEN AFTER DEF. ($K) DEF.W($K) a e ~ .($K) (F) (GI (H) X O F PROG. CHANGE AS % P.C. BAL. FUNDS OWN SOURCE AFTER DEF. WMCO REVENUE REDUCTION($) FY 8 4 CFDA NUMBER NAME OF GRANT PROGRAM A r t s and H u m a n i t i e s 45.104 45.116 45.122 45.127 45.128 45.130 45.132 45.133 45.140 45.145 45.146 45.147 45.150 45.151 Promotion of the Humanities--Media Humanities Projects P r o m o t i o n of t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - S u m m e r S e m i n a r s f o r C o l l e g e T e a c h e r s P r o m o t i o n of t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - P e l l o w s h i p s at C e n t e r s f o r A d v a n c e d S t u d y P r o m o t i o n of t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - I n s t r u c t i o n in E l e m e n t a r y a n d S e c o n d a r y S c h o o l s P r o m o t i o n of t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - H u m a n i t i e s S t u d i e s P r o g r a m P r o m o t i o n of t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - C h a l l e n g e G r a n t s P r o g r a m Promotion of the Humanities--Research Materials Publications P r o m o t i o n of t h e Humanities--Humanities. S c i e n c e a n d T e c h n o l o g y P r o m o t i o n of t h e H u m a n i t ies--Basic R e s e a r c h Promotion of the Humanities--Research Materials Tools and Reference Works Promotion of the Humanities--Research Materials Edicions P r o m o t i o n of t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - R e s e a r c h M a t e r i a l s T r a n s l a t i o n s C e n t r a l D i s c i p l i n e s in U n d e r g r a d u a t e E d u c a t i o n Summer Seminars for Secondary School Teachers Community Development 14.218 C o m m u n i t y D e v e l o p m e n t B l o c k G r a n t -- Entitlement Grants C r i m i n a l J u s t ice I Cn c I 16.541 J u v e n i l e J u s t i c e a n d D e l i n q u e n c y P r e v e n t i o n -- S p e c i a l E m p h a e i s 16.542 N a t i o n a l I n s t i t u t e f o r J u v e n i l e J u s t i c e a n d D e l i n q u e n c y P r e v e n t i o n 16.560 J u s t i c e R e s e a r c h ( D e v e l o p m e n t P r o j e c t G r a n t s ) Economic Development 11.303 11.304 23.003 23.004 2 3 .OO8 23.009 E c o n o m i c D e v e l o p m e n t -- T e c h n i c a l A s s is t a n c e E c o n o m i c D e v e l o p m e n t -- P u b l i c W o r k s I m p a c t P r o j e c t s Appalachian Development Highway System Appalachian Health Programs Appalachian Local Access Roads Appalachian Local Development District Assistance E l e m e n t a r y and S e c o n d a r y E d u c a t i o n 13.600 13.631 84.002 84.008 84.013 84.023 84.027 84.027 A d m i n i s t r a t i o n f o r C h i l d r e n , Y o u t h and F a m i l i e s -- H e a d S t a r t A d m i n i s t r a t i o n o n D e v e l o p m e n t D i s a b i l i t i e s -- S p e c i a l P r o j e c t s Adult Education State Administered Program Alcohol and D r u g A b u s e E d u c a t i o n P r o g r a m E d u c a t i o n a l l y D e p r i v e d C h i l d r e n in I n s t i t u t i o n s S e r v i n g N e g l e c t e d o r D e l i n q u e n t C h i l d r e n H a n d i c a p p e d -- R e s e a r c h a n d D e m o n s t r a t i o n H a n d i c a p p e d -- S t a t e G r a n t P r o g r a m H a n d i c a p p e d -- P r e s c h o o l I n c e n t i v e G r a n t s -- E m p l o y m e n t and T r a i n i n g 17.235 S e n i o r C o m m u n i t y S e r v i c e E m p l o y m e n t -- N a t i o n a l P r o g r a m 17.246 D i s l o c a t e d W o r k e r A s s i s t a n c e 17.250 Job T r a i n i n g P a r t n e r s h i p G r a n t s t o S t a t e s isad advantaged W o r k e r s ) 17.250 S u m m e r Y o u t h E m p l o y m e n t P r o g r a m ( J T P A ) 17.646 W o r k I n c e n t i v e P r o g r a m Obligations ( i n thousands of d o l l a r s ) . Table 5.4 ( c o n t ) $17 BILLION ILLUSTRATIVE TURNBACK PACKAGE CFDA NUMBER NAME OF GRANT PROGRAM Higher Education 84.069 State Student Incentive Grants Highvays and P u b l i c T r a n s p o r t a t i o n 20.205 20.205 20.205 20.205 Urban Highvay S y s t e m and M e t r o p o l i t a n P l a n n i n g Secondary Highways O t h e r H i g b v a y T r u s t Fund P r o g r a m s Primary Highvays Libraries 84.039 L i b r a r y R e s e a r c h and D e m o n s t r a t i o n 84.091 S t r e n g t h e n i n g R e s e a r c h L i b r a r y R e s o u r c e s 84.154 P u b l i c L i b r a r y S e r v i c e a L i b r a r y Construction ( T i t l e 11) -- 1 Medical Assistance I 13.217 13.226 13.242 13.260 13.263 13.273 13.298 13.361 13.379 13.381 13.766 13.776 13.864 13.865 13.886 13.891 13.965 13.974 13.977 13.978 13.991 13.992 Family Planning P r o j e c t s H e a l t h S e r v i c e R e s e a r c h a n d D e v e l o p m e n t -- G r a n t s Mental Health Research Grants Family Planning S e r v i c e s O c c u p a t i o n a l S a f e t y and H e a l t h Training Grants Alcohol Research Programs Nurse T r a i n i n g and T r a i n e e s h i p s Nursing Research P r o j e c t Granta Grants f o r Graduate Training i n Family Medicine H e a l t h Professions Financial Distressed Grants H e a l t h F i n a n c i n g R e s e a r c h , D e m o n s t r a t i o n and Experiments Professional Standards Reviev Organizations Medicare Population Research Research f o r Mothers and C h i l d r e n Grants f o r Physician A s s i s t a n t T r a i n i n g Program Alcohol Research Center Granta B l a c k Lung C l i n i c s Family Planning S e r v i c e s D e l i v e r y Improvement R e s e a r c h G r a n t s Preventive Health Service--Venereal Disease Control Grants Venereal D i s e a s e R e s e a r c h . D e m o n s t r a t i o n , I n f o r m a t i o n and E d u c a t i o n Preventive Health S e r v i c e s Block Grants A l c o h o l , Drug Abuse, and M e n t a l H e a l t h Block G r a n t -- -- -- -- N a t u r a l Resources C o n s e r v a t i o n and Development 10.025 P l a n t and A n i m a l D i s e a s e and P e s t C o n t r o l 10.156 F e d e r a l - S t a t e M a r k e t i n g Improvement Program FY 84 Obligations ( i n thousands of d o l l a r s ) 11.405 Anadromous and G r e a t L a k e s F i s h e r i e s C o n s e r v a t i o n 11.421 C o a s t a l Energy Impact Program ( F o r m u l a G r a n t s ) 15.919 Urban P a r k and R e c r e a t i o n R e c o v e r y P r o g r a m Occupational S a f e t y and H e a l t h 17.500 O c c u p a t i o n a l S a f e t y and H e a l t h -- S t a t i s t i c a l Grants Vocational Education -- Basic Grants t o S t a t e s Vocational Education V o c a t i o n a l E d u c a t i o n -- C o n s u m e r a n d Homemaking E d u c a t i o n Vocational Education Program Improvement and S u p p o r t i v e S e r v i c e S p e c i a l Programs f o r t h e Disadvantaged Vocational Education Women's E d u c a t i o n a l E q u i t y S t a t e Planning and E v a l u a t i o n Vocational Education Basic Support Rehabilitation Services Special Projects Rehabilitation Services Rehabilitation Training ---- -- -- Volunteer Services 72.005 72.013 Service-Learning Programs Technical A s s i s t a n c e Program Source: ACIR calculations. Table 5.5 $18 BILLION ILLUSTRATIVE TURNBACK PACKAGE Relinquishment of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Telephone E x c i s e Taxes and 3.6 Cents of t h e Gasoline Tax: Turnback of 67 Programs, I n c l u d i n g N o n - I n t e r s t a t e Roads, P o s t T r a n s i t i o n , 1984 Data (A) STATE (B ) PROGRAM TURNBACK (SK ) TAX TURNBACK 18.135.081 15.188.296 ($lo (C > (Dl (El (F TOTAL S 6 L S 6 L LOSS S 6 L BALANCE BALANCE D U E T O E V E N A F T E R OEF. OEF.REO(SK) RED. ( S K I (SKI > (GI (H X OF PROG. CHANGE A S U P.C. BAL. FUNDS OWN SOURCE AFTER DEF. R E P L A C E D REVENUE REDUCTION($) ALABAMA ALASKA ARIZONA ARKANSAS CALIFORNIA COLORADO CONNECTICUT DELAWARE FLORIDA GEORGIA HAWA 1 I IOAHO ILLINOIS INDIANA IOWA KANSAS KENTUCKV LOUISIANA MAINE MARVLANO MASSACHUSETTS MICHIGAN MINNESOTA MISSISSIPPI MISSOURI MONTANA NEBRASKA NEVADA NEW H A M P S H I R E NEW JERSEY NEW M E X I C O NEW VORK NORTH C A R O L I N A NORTH OAKOTA OHIO OKLAHOMA OREGON PENNSVLVANIA RHOOE I S L A N D SOUTH C A R O L I N A SOUTH OAKOTA TENNESSEE TEXAS UTAH VERMONT VIRGINIA WASHINGTON WEST V I R G I N I A WISCONSIN WYOMING U N I T E D STATES -2.946.785 2.946.785 0 83.75 -0.75 0.00 CFDA NUMBER NAME OF GRANT PROGRAM Arts a n d H u m a n i t i e s 4 5 . I 04 45.122 45.127 45.130 45 .I 32 45.134 45.145 45.146 45.147 45.150 Promotion of t h e Humanities--Media Humanities P r o j e c t s Promotion o f t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - F e l l o w s h i p s a t C e n t e r s f o r Advanced S t u d y P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humani t i e s - - 1 n s t r u c t i o d i n E l e m e n t a r y a n d S e c o n d a r y S c h o o l s P r o m o t i o n o f t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - C h a l l e n g e G r a n t s Program P r o m o t i o n of t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - R e s e a r c h M a t e r i a l s P u b l i c a t i o n s Promotion of t h e Humanities--Research Conferences P r o m o t i o n o f t h e H u m a n i t i e s - - R e s e a r c h M a t e r i a l s T o o l s a n d R e f e r e n c e Works P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humani t i e s - - R e s e a r c h M a t e r i a l s E d i t i o n s P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humani t i e s - - R e s e a r c h M a t e r i a l s T r a n s l a t i o n s Central Disciplines i n Undergraduate Education Community D e v e l o p m e n t 1 4 . 2 1 8 Community D e v e l o p m e n t B l o c k G r a n t -- Entitlement Grants Criminal J u s t i c e I n ; 16.542 N a t i o n a l I n s t i t u t e f o r J u v e n i l e J u s t i c e a n d D e l i n q u e n c y P r e v e n t i o n 16.601 C o r r e c t i o n s T r a i n i n g a n d S t a f f Development 16.603 C o r r e c t i o n s - - T e c h n i c a l A s s i s t a n c e Economic Development 11.300 Economic Development -- G r a n t s a n d L o a n s f o r P u b l i c Works a n d Development A s s i s t a n c e Elementary and Secondary E d u c a t i o n 13.600 13.631 84.003 84.008 84.023 84.027 84.027 -- A d m i n i s t r a t i o n f o r C h i l d r e n , Youth and F a m i l i e s Head S t a r t Special Projects A d m i n i s t r a t i o n on Development D i s a b i l i t i e s Bilingual Education A l c o h o l and Drug Abuse E d u c a t i o n Program Research and Demonstration Handicapped Handicapped S t a t e G r a n t Program Handicapped Preschool Incentive Grants -- ---- Employment a n d T r a i n i n g 17.235 17.246 17.250 17.250 17.646 -- N a t i o n a l Program S e n i o r Community S e r v i c e Employment D i s l o c a t e d Worker A s s i s t a n c e Job T r a i n i n g P a r t n e r s h i p G r a n t s t o S t a t e s (Disadvantaged Workers) Summer Y o u t h E m p l o y m e n t P r o g r a m ( J T P A ) Work I n c e n t i v e P r o g r a m Higher Education 8 4 . 0 4 7 Upward B o u n d 84.069 S t a t e S t u d e n t I n c e n t i v e G r a n t s FY 54 Obligations (in t h o u s a n d s of d o l l a r s ) 84.052 84.077 8 4 .O83 84.121 84.126 84 . I 2 9 -- Vocational Education S p e c i a l Programs f o r t h e Disadvantaged Bilingual Vocational Training Women's E d u c a t i o n a l E q u l t y Vocational Education S t a t e Planning and Evaluation Basic Support Rehabilitation Services Rehabilitation Training -- -- Volunteer Services 72.002 R e t i r e d S e n i o r V o l u n t e e r Program 72.005 S e r v i c e - L e a r n i n g Programs 72.012 V o l u n t e e r D e m o n s t r a t i o n Program Water P o l l u t i o n C o n t r o l 10.418 Water and Waste D i s p o s a l S y s t e m s G r a n t s f o r R u r a l Communities 10.418 Water and Waste Loans 6 6 . 4 1 8 C o n s t r u c t i o n G r a n t s f o r W a s t e w a t e r T r e a t m e n t Works Source: ACIR calculations. Table 5 . 6 $21 BILLION ILLUSTRATIVE TURNBACK PACKAGE Relinquishment of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Telephone Excise Taxes and 6 . 1 Cents of the Gasoline Tax: Turnback of 63 Programs, Including Selected Block Grants, Non-Interstate Roads, and M A , Post Transition, 1984 Data (A 1 PROGRAM TURNBACK (SKI ALABAMA ALASKA ARIZONA ARKANSAS CALIFORNIA COLORADO CONNECTICUT DELAWARE FLORIDA CEORGl A HAWA l I IOAHO ILLINOIS INDIANA IOWA KANSAS KENTUCKY LOUISIANA MAINE MARYLAND MASSACHUSETTS MICHIGAN MINNESOTA MISSISSIPPI MISSOURI MONTANA NEBRASKA NEVADA NEW H A M P S H I R E NEW J E R S E Y NEW M E X I C O NEW VORK NORTH CAROLINA NORTH DAKOTA OHIO OKLAHOMA OREGON PENNSVLVANIA RHODE I S L A N D SOUTH C A R O L I N A SOUTH DAKOTA TENNESSEE TEXAS UTAH VERMONT VIRGINIA WP\P [ NGTON WEST V I R G I N I A W I SCONSlN WVOMI NG --------------UNITED STATES (B 1 TAX TURNBACK (SKI (C 1 (Dl (E1 TOTAL S L L S L L LOSS S L L BALANCE DUE TO EVEN AFTER DEF. BALANCE RED. ( S K I DEF.RED(SK) (SK) (F 1 X O F PROG. (G) m1 CHANGE A S X P.C. BAL. FUNDS OWN SOURCE AFTER DEF. REPLACED REVENUE REDUCTION($) CFDA NUMBER NAME OF GRANT PROGRAM Arts a n d H u m a n i t i e s 45.127 45.1 28 45.130 45.133 45.150 45.151 P r o m o t i o n of t h e Humani t i e s - - I n s t r u c t i o n . i n E l e m e n t a r y a n d S e c o n d a r y S c h o o l s P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humani t i e s - - H u m a n i t i e s S t u d i e s P r o g r a m P r o m o t i o n o f t h e Humani t i e s - - C h a l l e n g e G r a n t s P r o g r a m Promotion of t h e Humanities--Humanities, Science and Technology Central Disciplines i n Undergraduate Education Summer S e m i n a r s f o r S e c o n d a r y S c h o o l T e a c h e r s Community D e v e l o p m e n t 1 4 . 2 1 8 Community D e v e l o p m e n t B l o c k G r a n t 14.221 Urban Development A c t i o n G r a n t s 1 4 . 2 2 8 Community D e v e l o p m e n t B l o c k G r a n t -- Entitlement Grants -- States' Program Criminal J u s t i c e I rn rD I 16.541 16.542 16.560 16.601 16.603 -- J u v e n i l e J u s t i c e and Delinquency P r e v e n t i o n S p e c i a l Emphasis National I n s t i t u t e f o r J u v e n i l e J u s t i c e and Delinquency Prevention J u s t i c e Research (Development P r o j e c t G r a n t s ) C o r r e c t i o n s T r a i n i n g and S t a f f Development Corrections--Technical Assistance Economic Development 11.304 23.003 23.008 23.009 -- Economic Development P u b l i c Works I m p a c t P r o j e c t s A p p a l a c h i a n D e v e l o p m e n t Highway S y s t e m Appalachian Local Access Roads Appalachian Local Development D i s t r i c t A s s i s t a n c e Elementary and Secondary E d u c a t i o n 13.631 84.013 84.023 84.024 84.026 84.027 -- A d m i n i s t r a t i o n on Development D i s a b i l i t i e s Special Projects Educationally Deprived Children i n I n s t i t u t i o n s Serving Neglected o r Delinquent Children Handicapped Research and Demonstration Handicapped E a r l y Childhood A s s i s t a n c e Handicapped Media S e r v i c e s and C a p t i o n e d F i l m s Handicapped Preschool Incentive Grants -- -- Employment a n d T r a i n i n g 17.235 17.246 17.250 17.646 -- S e n i o r Community S e r v i c e E m p l o y m e n t D i s l o c a t e d Worker A s s i s t a n c e Summer Y o u t h E m p l o y m e n t P r o g r a m ( J T P A ) Work I n c e n t i v e P r o g r a m N a t i o n a l Program FY 84 Obligations ( i n thousands of d o l l a r s ) . T a b l e 5.6 ( c o n t ) $21 BILLION ILLUSTRATIVE TURNBACK PACKAGE CFDA NUMBER NAME OF GRANT PROGRAM Highways a n d P u b l i c T r a n s p o r t a t i o n 20.205 20.205 20.205 20.205 20.500 20.507 20.509 U r b a n Highway S y s t e m a n d M e t r o p o l i t a n P l a n n i n g Secondary Highways O t h e r Highway T r u s t F u n d P r o g r a m s Primary Highways UMTA C a p i t a l I m p r o v e m e n t G r a n t s Section 3 Section 5 UMTA C a p i t a l a n d O p e r a t i n g A s s i s t a n c e F o r m u l a G r a n t s Public T r a n s p o r t a t i o n f o r Nonurbanized Areas S e c t i o n 18 -- -- -- Medical A s s i s t a n c e 13.224 13.242 13.260 13.263 13.294 13.298 13.361 13.379 13.766 13.864 13.865 13.886 13.891 13.965 13.978 Community H e a l t h C e n t e r s Mental H e a l t h R e s e a r c h G r a n t s Family P l a n n i n g S e r v i c e s Occupational S a f e t y and Health Training Grants Health Planning and Health Systems Agencies Nurse T r a i n i n g and T r a i n e e s h i p s Nursing Research P r o j e c t Grants Grants f o r Graduate T r a i n i n g i n Family Medicine Health F i n a n c i n g Research, Demonstration and Experiments Population Research Research f o r Mothers and C h i l d r e n G r a n t s f o r P h y s i c i a n A s s i s t a n t T r a i n i n g Program Alcohol Research C e n t e r G r a n t s B l a c k Lung C l i n i c s Venereal D i s e a s e R e s e a r c h , D e m o n s t r a t i o n , I n f o r m a t i o n and E d u c a t i o n -- Miscellaneous 11.550 P u b l i c Telecommunications F a c i l i t i e s N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s C o n s e r v a t i o n and Development 10.156 F e d e r a l - S t a t e M a r k e t i n g Improvement Program 10.652 F o r e s t r y Research 15.919 Urban Park a n d R e c r e a t i o n Recovery Program O c c u p a t i o n a l S a f e t y and H e a l t h 15.250 15.250 15.252 17.500 Underground Coal M i n i n g S m a l l Mine O p e r a t o r s A s s i s t a n c e Abandoned Mine L a n d R e c l a m a t i o n P r o g r a m Occupational S a f e t y and H e a l t h S t a t i s t i c a l Grants -- FY 84 Obligations ( i n thousands of dollars) L d c c m o 0 r l u o m U L c a 4 2 0 E - f i u o - m o - w Table 5.7 $22 BILLION ILLUSTRATIVE TURNBACK PACKAGE Relinquishment of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Telephone E x c i s e Taxes and 5.8 Cents of t h e Gasoline Tax: Turnback of 73 Programs, I n c l u d i n g N o n - I n t e r s t a t e Roads and UMTA, P o s t T r a n s i t i o n , 1984 Data STATE ALABAMA ALASKA ARIZONA ARKANSAS CALIFORNIA COLORADO CONNECTICUT DELAWARE FLORIDA GEORGIA HAWAII IDAHO ILLINOIS INDIANA IOWA KANSAS KENTUCKY LOUISIANA MAINE MARY LAND MASSACHUSETTS MICHIGAN MINNESOTA MISSISSIPPI MISSOURI MONTANA NEBRASKA NEVADA NEW HAMPSHIRE NEW JERSEY NEW MEXICO NEW YORK NORTH CAROLINA NORTH DAKOTA OHIO OKLAHOMA OREGON PENNSYLVANIA RHODE ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTH DAKOTA TENNESSEE TEXAS UTAH VERMONT VIRGINIA WASHINGTON WEST V I R G I N I A WISCONSIN WYOMING (A) PROGRAM TURNBACK (SKI ( B) TAX TU[UYBACK (SKI (C) (D) ( E) TOTALSLL ShLLOSSShLBALANCE BALANCE DUE TO EVEN AFTER DEF. ( $K) D E F .RED( $K) RED. ( $K) (F) ( G) (HI XOFPROG.CHANGEAS% P.C. BAL. FUNDS OWN SOURCE AFTER DEF. REPLACED REVENUE REDUCTION( $) NAME OF GRANT PROGRAM CFDA NUMBER Arts and Humanities 45.132 Promotion of the Humanities--Research Materials Publications 45.133 Promotion of the Humanities--Humanities. Science and Technology Community Development 14.218 Community Development Block Grant 14.221 Urban Development Action Grants 14.228 Community Development Block Grant -- Entitlement Grants -- States' Program Criminal Just ice 16.541 16.542 16.601 16.602 16.603 -- Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention Special Emphasis National Institute for Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention Corrections Training and Staff Development Corrections--Research and Evaluation and Policy Formulation Correct ions--Technical Assistance Economic Development 11.300 11.303 11.304 11.305 23.004 23.008 23.009 Economic Development -- Grants and Loans for Public Works and Development Assistance Economic Development -- Technical Assistance Public Works Impact Projects Economic Development Economic Development -- State and Local Economic Development Appalachian Health Programs Appalachian Local Access Roads Appalachian Local Development District Assistance -- Economic Opportunity 59.032 Office of Women's Business Ownership Elementary and Secondary Education 13.631 84.024 84.026 84.027 84.027 Administrat ion on Development Disabilities -- Special Projects Handicapped Early Childhood Assistance Handicapped Media Services and Captioned Films Handicapped -- State Grant Program Handicapped -- Preschool Incentive Grants Employment and Training 13.646 Work Incentive Program - - Child Care and Other Social Services 17.246 Dislocated Worker Assistance 17.250 Summer Youth Employment Program (JTPA) FY 84 Obligations ( In thousands of dollars) . Table 5 . 7 (cont ) $22 BILLION ILLUSTRATIVE TURNBACK PACKAGE NAME OF GRANT PROGRAM CFDA NUMBER H i g h w a y s and P u b l i c T r a n s p o r t a t i o n 20.205 U r b a n H i g h w a y S y s t e m a n d M e t r o p o l i t a n P l a n n i n g 20.205 S e c o n d a r y H i g h w a y s 20.205 O t h e r H i g h w a y T r u s t F u n d P r o g r a m s 20.205 P r i m a r y H i g h w a y s 20.500 U M T A C a p i t a l I m p r o v e m e n t G r a n t s Section 3 Section 5 20.507 U M T A C a p i t a l a n d O p e r a t i n g Assistance F o r m u l a G r s n t s 20.509 P u b l i c T r a n s p o r t a t i o n f o r N o n u r b a n i z e d A r e a s Section 1 8 -- -- -- L i b r a r ies 84.039 84.154 I L i b r a r y R e s e a r c h and D e m o n s t r a t i o n Public Library Services L i b r a r y C o n s t r u c t i o n ( T i t l e 11) -- Medical Assistance 13.217 13.263 13.361 13.381 13.766 13.965 13.978 Family Planning Projects Occupational Safety and H e a l t h Training Grants Nursing Research Project Grants Health Professions Financial Distressed Grants Health Financing Research, Demonstration and Experiments B l a c k Lung C l i n i c s Venereal D i s e a s e Research. Demonstration, Information and Education -- -- Miscellaneous 11.550 Public Telecommunications Facilities Natural Resources Conservation and Development 10.156 10.500 10.500 10.652 10.664 10.901 10.904 11.405 11.419 11.420 15.600 15.611 15.919 Federal-State Marketing Improvement Program Cooperative Extension Service 1862 Land Grant Universities Tuskegee Institute Forestry Research Cooperative Forestry Assistance Resource Conservation and Development W a t e r s h e d P r o t e c t i o n and F l o o d P r e v e n t i o n - - S m a l l W a t e r s h e d O p e r a t i o n s A n a d r o m o u s and G r e a t L a k e s F i s h e r i e s C o n s e r v a t i o n Coastal Zone Management Program Administration Coastal Zone Management Estuarine Sanctuaries Anadromous Fish Conservation Wildlife Restoration (Pittman-Robertson Program) U r b a n P a r k and R e c r e a t i o n R e c o v e r y P r o g r a m -- FY 84 Obligations ( i n thousands of d o l l a r s ) 4 m u o u B eIC rnww B E m o o w a > 4 UE 4 up. m e o w 4 o * a LLIUp.rn u u u u p m o m 4 4 U U U U C o o o o w C W C D d OOmoCVm ..... *UV\VIN oooo-t uu.ru* a o O a a C O l a r g e r t h a n i t s p r e d e c e s s o r , t h e r e i s somewhat l e s s d e f i c i t c a u s e i t r e p l a c e s 88% ( r a t h e r t h a n 8 4 % ) of c u r r e n t funding. reduct ion, be- Revenues come from t h e a l c o h o l , t o b a c c o , and t e l e p h o n e e x c i s e s , a s w e l l a s a s h a r e of t h e f e d e r a l gas tax. programs p l u s The those gas t a x funding corresponds t o n o n - I n t e r s t a t e of t h e Urban Hass T r a n s i t Administration (UMTA). road In a d d i t i o n , t h i s package i s d e s i g n e d t o t e s t f o r i n c l u d i n g c e r t a i n l a r g e blockg r a n t and o t h e r programs. The package h a s a n e q u a l i z i n g t e n d e n c y , w i t h South C a r o l i n a g a i n i n g $19 per c a p i t a , a f t e r d e f i c i t reduction. i t s s h a r e of deficit West V i r g i n i a s u f f e r s a l o s s (i.ncluding r e d u c t i o n ) , however, t h a t i s e q u i v a l e n t t o 3% of its own-source revenues. THE $ 2 2 B I L L I O N PACKAGE The $ 2 2 b i l l i o n package, t h e l a r g e s t i n terms a l s o a t t a i n s t h e most d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n , of program d e v o l u t i o n , $3.5 b i l l i o n a n n u a l l y ( T a b l e 5.7). F u r t h e r work w i l l t a k e a l a r g e package l i k e t h i s and a d j u s t i t s p e r c e n t a g e d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n t o be comparable t o t h a t e f f e c t e d by t h e mandatory reduct i o n s under t h e Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Amendment. I n t h i s way a c r o s s - t h e - b o a r d cutbaclcs can be compared t o t h o s e t h a t take the s t a t e s ' f i s c a l capacities i n t o account. FOOTNOTES C u r r e n t program s p e n d i n g i s d e f i n e d a s FY 84 a c t u a l o b l i g a t i o n s , c o l l e c t ed by F i s c a l P l a n n i n g S e r v i c e s . T o t a l r e v e n u e s , a l s o f o r FY 8 4 , a r e t h o s e l i s t e d i n t h e FY 86 Budget of t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s Government, e x c e p t i n t h e c a s e of h i g h w a y - r e l a t e d e x c i s e s . Because t h e r e was a r a t e i n c r e a s e on State-by-state allocad i e s a l f u e i du;ing FY 8 4 , FY 85 f i g u r e s a r e used. t i o n of highway e x c i s e s u s e s FY 83 f i g u r e s from t h e F e d e r a l Highway Admini s t r a t i o n , t h e most r e c e n t a v a i l a b l e when r e s e a r c h began. A l l o c a t i o n of a l c o h o l i c b e v e r a g e e x c i s e s u s e s FY 84 d a t a from t h e D i s t i l l e d S p i r i t s Council. A l l o c a t i o n of t e l e p h o n e e x c i s e t a x e s u s e s 1983 d a t a from t h e American Telephone and T e l e g r a p h Company and t h e F e d e r a l Communications Commission. A l l o c a t i o n of t o b a c c o e x c i s e s u s e s 1983 d a t a from t h e American Tobacco I n s t i t u t e . The l a s t two columns of T a b l e 5.1 omit A l a s k a and Wyoming. F o r e a c h packa g e shown ( a s w e l l a s f o r t h e a l t e r n a t i v e packages c o n s i d e r e d ) , Alaska had t h e h i g h e s t p e r c a p i t a l o s s , a f i g u r e t h a t was o f t e n s e v e r a l times h i g h e r t h a n t h e s t a t e w i t h t h e second h i g h e s t l o s s . Alaska r e c e i v e s a n u n u s u a l l y h i g h l e v e l of f e d e r a l g r a n t s p e r c a p i t a . Wyoming, on t h e o t h e r hand, always r e c e i v e d t h e l a r g e s t p e r c a p i t a g a t n b e c a u s e oE i t s r e l a t i v e l y modest c u r r e n t r e c e i p t of f e d e r a l f u n d s , combined w i t h h i g h p e r c a p i t a p r o c e e d s from a l c o h o l and t o b a c c o e x c i s e s . Both Alaska and Wyo- 3/ 4/ - 5/ - -61 71 - ming, however, f i g u r e d i n package d e s i g n and a p p e a r i n t h e s t a t e - b y - s t a t e d e t a i l f o r e a c h package. FY 84 o b l i g a t i o n s i n t h i s t a b l e i n c l u d e Washington, DC. E l s e w h e r e , howe v e r , t h i s j u r i s d i c t i o n was e x c l u d e d . P l u s 1 i n d i c a t e s p e r f e c t p o s i t i v e a s s o c i a t i o n ; 0 no a s s o c i a t i o n ; -1 p e r f e c t n e g a t i v e a s s o c i a t i o n . The t s t a t i s t i c i s 1.78 s o t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p between f i s c a l c a p a c i t y and g r a n t r e c e i p t i s s t a t i s t i c a l l y s i g n i f i c a n t a t a twot a i l e d s i g n i f i c a n c e l e v e l of 0.10. A s t a t i s t i c of -2.23 shows t h a t t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p between r e l a t i v e l y low f i s c a l c a p a c i t y a n d a l o s s ( r a t h e r t h a n a g a i n ) t o be s t a t i s t i c a l l y s i g n i f i c a n t a t a t w o - t a i l e d s i g n i f i c a n c e l e v e l of 0.05. I n f a c t , e f f e c t i v e mismatch was computed a s t h e sum of f o u r components: ( 1 ) l o s s e s - - r e l a t i v e t o c u r r e n t funding--in s t a t e s w i t h f i s c a l c a p a c i t y below t h e n a t i o n a l a v e r a g e ; ( 2 ) l o s s e s i n s t a t e s w i t h above-average f i s c a l c a p a c i t y ; ( 3 ) g a i n s i n s t a t e s w i t h above-average c a p a c i t i e s ; and ( 4 ) g a i n s i n s t a t e s w i t h below-average c a p a c i t i e s . Both t h e s i z e of t h e g a i n o r l o s s and t h e l e v e l of f i s c a l c a p a c i t y ( r e l a t i v e t o t h e n a t i o n a l a v e r a g e ) i n f l u e n c e d e a c h component. P e r c a p i t a g a i n s and l o s s e s were g r o s s ; i . e . , n o t n e t of t h e even d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n amount. Although p a r a m e t e r v a l u e s v a r i e d from package t o package, i n e a c h c a s e t h e y were d e s i g n e d e s p e c i a l l y t o a v o i d t h e f i r s t c a t e g o r y of mismatch, l o s s e s i n s t a t e s l e a s t l i k e l y t o be a b l e t o a b s o r b them. T h i s and a l l o t h e r packages w i t h t r a n s p o r t a t i o n programs i n c l u d e 60% of t h e "Other highway t r u s t f u n d programs" l i n e i n T a b l e 5.2, which i s p r e d o m i n a n t l y t h e b r i d g e replacement and r e h a b i l i t a t i o n program. The 60% f i g u r e d e r i v e s from u n p u b l i s h e d C o n g r e s s i o n a l Budget O f f i c e d a t a i n d i c a t i n g t h a t about 60% of f e d e r a l b r i d g e f u n d i n g , n a t i o n w i d e , goes f o r b r i d g e s on n o n - I n t e r s t a t e r o a d s . Appendix A PARTICIPANTS I N REGIONAL ROUNDTABLES Three r o u n d t a b l e meetings on revenue and r e s p o n s i b i l i t y t u r n b a c k s were sponsored by ACIR d u r i n g t h e f a l l of 1985, i n Salem (OR), P h i l a d e l p h i a , and Chicago. P a r t i c i p a n t s i n t h e s e meetings were very h e l p f u l i n developing t h e i d e a s c o n t a i n e d i n t h i s r e p o r t , f o r which t h e Commission i s g r a t e f u l . Their names and o r g a n i z a t i o n s a r e l i s t e d below. Salem (OR) Roundtable, October 2 , 1985 Mary Van Den Bos ch, Mayor of D a l l a s , OR P a t Engen, s t a f f member, League of Oregon C i t i e s Melburn H a l l , Mayor of Newberg, OR, P r e s i d e n t - e l e c t of t h e League of Oregon C i t i e s J e r r y J u s t i c e , D i r e c t o r of P u b l i c A f f a i r s , Clackamas County, OR J e r r y M a r t i n , s t a f f m e m b e r , Oregon School Boards A s s o c i a t i o n J e r r y O r i c k , E x e c u t i v e D i r e c t o r , O r g a n i z a t i o n of Oregon Counties J u d i t h Tegger, S p e c i a l A s s i s t a n t t o t h e Attorney-General f o r Labor R e l a t i o n s , S t a t e of Oregon Ken T o l l e n a a r , D i r e c t o r , Bureau of Governmental Research and S e r v i c e , U n i v e r s i t y of Oregon Dick Townsend, A c t i n g Executive D i r e c t o r , League of Oregon C i t i e s P h i l a d e l p h i a Roundtable, October 16, 1985 Ed Baker, U n i v e r s i t y of Pennsylvania Law School Michael B i r d , s t a f f d i r e c t o r , Government O p e r a t i o n s and R e g u l a t i o n Committee, N a t i o n a l Conference of S t a t e L e g i s l a t u r e s Bob Connor, New J e r s e y C i v i l S e r v i c e Commission C h r i s D a n i l o , New J e r s e y C i v i l S e r v i c e Commission Curt Kiser, S t a t e S e n a t o r , C l e a r w a t e r , FL A u s t i n Lee, E x e c u t i v e D i r e c t o r , B i p a r t i s a n Management Commit tee, Pennsylvania House of R e p r e s e n t a t i v e s J i m N e l l i g a n , Deputy S e c r e t a r y of Revenue, S t a t e of P e n n s y l v a n i a Rose Marie Swanger, County Commissioner, Lebanon County, PA J e f f r e y T e i t z , S t a t e R e p r e s e n t a t i v e i n Rhode I s l a n d , Chairman of House J u d i c i a r y Committee Bob Thompson, Chairman of County Commissioners, C h e s t e r County, PA William D. V a l e n t e , Villanova U n i v e r s i t y Law School Dave Wynne , Pennsylvania Economy League Chicago Roundtable, November 4 , 19 85 John Amberger, S o u t h e a s t Michigan C o u n c i l of Governments Roland W. B u r r i s , C o m p t r o l l e r , S t a t e of I l l i n o i s Henry N. B u t l e r , U n i v e r s i t y of Chicago Law School J e f f r e y E s s e r , Government F i n a n c e O f f i c e r s A s s o c i a t i o n J i m F r e c h , Washington O f f i c e , I l l i n o i s G e n e r a l Assembly Douglas W. Kmiec, U n i v e r s i t y of N o t r e Dame Law School P a u l McCarron, Chairman, Minnesota Governor's Advisory C o u n c i l on S t a t e Local Relations E a r l Mackey , E x e c u t i v e D i r e c t o r , N a t i o n a l Conference of S t a t e Legislatures John M a r t i n , S p e a k e r , Maine House of R e p r e s e n t a t i v e s "rank M i l l e r , C h a i r , m n of t h e Board, Kane County, IL Lloyd Omdahl, Bureau of Governmental A f f a i r s , U n i v e r s i t y of North Dakota Vincent Ostrom, Department of P o l i t i c a l S c i e n c e , I n d i a n a U n i v e r s i t y S c h r a e d e r , D i r e c t o r of Labor R e l a t i o n s , S t a t e of M i s s o u r i I v a n L. Thomas S o l b e r g , Bureau of L o c a l Government S e r v i c e s , Wisconsin Department of Revenue Y4ary E l e a n o r W a l l , E l m h u r s t , IL Appendix B ALTERNATIVE MECHANISMS FOR FISCAL AND PROGRAMATIC DEVOLUTION The chief alternatives revenue s h a r i n g ; origin-based t o turnbacks are block grants; formula-based s h a r i n g of t a x e s c o l l e c t e d by Washington; and "swaps" of program r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s among t h e l e v e l s of government. BLOCK GRANTS A s an a l t e r n a t i v e t o c a t e g o r i c a l o r p r o j e c t g r a n t s , with t h e i r i n t r i c a t e requirements, b l o c k g r a n t s o f f e r f i n a n c i a l a s s i s t a n c e t o s t a t e - l o c a l governments w i t h f a r fewer s t r i n g s a t t a c h e d . notably the Rut t h e r e a r e some s t r i n g s a t t a c h e d , cross-cut t i n g requirements grant recipients (ACIR, p r o c e s s , block-grant 1984). And, that subject Congress has on i t a t o t h e annual appropriation funding has not been a s l a r g e , been t h e c a s e i n p r i o r y e a r s . mandated o r a s r e l i a b l e , a s had C e r t a i n major block grants, such a s t'lose f o r community development, a l r e a d y have been s h a r p l y c u t ; most a r e a t r i s k of f u r t h e r cutback. Block g r a n t s a r e a compromise, combining f e d e r a l f u n d i n g w i t h l e s s fed- A s a compromise, they have weaknesses a s w e l l a s s t r e n g t h s , a s shown by r e c e n t f u n d i n g c u t s . The e r a l c o n t r o l than e x i s t s w i t h most g r a n t programs. n a t i o n a l p o l i t i c a l consensus t h a t e s t a b l i s h e s a block g r a n t f o r a p a r t i c u l a r purpose may not succeed i n m a i n t a i n i n g i t s funding o r i t s o r i g i n a l goals. I n contrast t o categorical grants supporting, say, c u l t u r a l f a c i l i t i e s or fisheries, d i f f u s e group. the ultimate beneficiaries any block grant constitute a They may s e e l i t t l e reason t o lobby f o r a program t h a t might n o t b e n e f i t them. c u t t i n g time. of Consequently, block g r a n t s may n o t f a r e w e l l a t budget- By t h e same token, b e n e f i c i a r y groups c o n t i n u a l l y p r e s s t o " r e - c a t e g o r i z e " block g r a n t s (undermining t h e f l e x i b i l i t y they were designed t o g i v e s t a t e and l o c a l o f f i c i a l s ) i n hopes of d i r e c t i n g program funding toward t h e p a r t i c u l a r a c t i v i t i e s of i n t e r e s t t o them. -71- FORMULA-BASED REVENUE SHARING AND ORIGIN-BASED TAX SHARING Tax d o l l a r s c o l l e c t e d by Washington may be d i s t r i b u t e d by formula ( a s i n General Revenue S h a r i n g g r a n t s ) o r by p o i n t of o r i g i n . Formula-based d i s t r i - b u t i o n i s i d e a l f o r t a r g e t i n g funds on j u r i s d i c t i o n s w i t h weak t a x bases. If t h e y had t o r e l y wholly on t h e i r own revenue s o u r c e s ( t h a t i s , were deprived of a l l i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l g r a n t s ) some s t a t e s o r t h e i r communities would have t o t a x a t r a t e s s u b s t a n t i a l l y h i g h e r t h a n average t o p r o v i d e even minimal public services. S t a t e and l o c a l p u b l i c o f f i c i a l s l i k e revenue and tax-shar- i n g g r a n t s p a r t i c u l a r l y because t h e money can be used a s g e n e r a l purpose f i s c a l a s s i s t a n c e , i d e a l l y r e l i e v i n g p r e s s u r e s t o r a i s e t a x e s . A s w i t h block g r a n t s , however, t h e unearmarked c h a r a c t e r of spending from s h a r e d t a x d o l l a r s de- p r i v e s t h e s e g r a n t s of a v i d s u p p o r t e r s among s e r v i c e r e c i p i e n t s . Origin-based t a x s h a r i n g might g a i n f a v o r among t h o s e j u r i s d i c t i o n s t h a t pay more i n t a x e s t o Washington than they g e t back. This approach c o n t r a d i c t s t h e t a r g e t i n g of a s s i s t a n c e t o p l a c e s w i t h low f i s c a l c a p a c i t y . Taxing c i t i - zens i n o r d e r t o send t h e c o l l e c t i o n s t o Washington and t h e n back t o t h e i r own communities may seem u n n e c e s s a r i l y c i r c u i t o u s , but n a t i o n a l l y uniform t a x r a t e s avoid i n t e r j u r i s d i c t i o n a l c o m p e t i t i o n f o r low t a x e s . t h e i n a b i l i t y of A t t h e same t i m e , s t a t e and l o c a l governments t o s e t t h e r a t e s of Congres- s i o n a l l y s h a r e d t a x e s , means t h a t they cannot choose between lower t a x e s and h i g h e r l e v e l s of p u b l i c s e r v i c e s . SWAPPING PROGRAMS AMONG LEVELS OF GOVERNMENT Governments a t d i f f e r e n t l e v e l s may swap program r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s amongst themselves i n o r d e r t o "sort out" authority for given types of programs, g r e a t l y s i m p l i f y i n g a d m i n i s t r a t i o n and enhancing a c c o u n t a b i l i t y and responsiveness. Such a s o r t i n g out of government f u n c t i o n s was c e n t r a l t o t h e Reagan A d m i n i s t r a t i o n ' s u n s u c c e s s f u l New F e d e r a l i s m p r o p o s a l of 1982. p r o p o s a l foundered the when the administration attempted t o give That states funding r e s p o n s i b i l i t y f o r c e r t a i n e x i s t i n g w e l f a r e programs, programs t h a t , unaided, some s t a t e s probably cannot fund a t c u r r e n t l e v e l s . ASSESSING ALTERNATIVE MECHANISMS FOR DEVOLUTION Five c r i t e r i a a r e mechanisms. In the c e n t r a l t o any a n a l y s i s of long r u n , a full appraisal a l t e r n a t i v e devolution depends on t h e uncertain i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l p o l i t i c a l environment of t h e f u t u r e but each c r i t e r i o n i s important enough f o r d i s c u s s i o n . The c r i t e r i a a r e : - 72- 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) t h e e x t e n t of d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n achieved (which i s r e l a t e d t o f i s c a l and p o l i t i c a l a c c o u n t a b i l i t y ) ; t h e s i m p l i c i t y of any r e s u l t i n g p l a n ( i n t u r n encouraging e a s e and q u a l i t y of implementation) ; c e r t a i n t y of funding; f u t u r e revenue adequacy, g i v e n hard-pressed budgets a t a l l l e v e l s of government; and e f f e c t s on f i s c a l d i s c i p l i n e , g i v e n s i m i l a r p r e s s u r e s t o a v o i d t a x increases. Extent of D e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n Governmental decentralization--which is d i f f i c u l t t o d e f i n e and measure-- n e v e r t h e l e s s may u s e f u l l y be subdivided . i n t o a d m i n i s t r a t i v e , f i s c a l , and programmatic d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n . Loosening up t h e f e d e r a l r e g u l a t i o n s used t o a d m i n i s t e r a c a t e g o r i c a l program a c h i e v e s some degree of a d m i n i s t r a t i v e dec e n t r a l i z a t i o n because t h e s t a t e - l o c a l o f f i c i a l s who run t h e intergovernmenta l program w i l l have a f r e e r hand t o change i t s o p e r a t i o n s . administrative f l e x i b i l i t y does not achieve programmatic But adding some decentralization because i t does n o t make fundamental changes i n t h e program's g o a l s o r even i n how i t a t t e m p t s t o achieve t h o s e g o a l s . These a r e m a t t e r s of l e g i s l a t i v e d e s i g n o r r e d e s i g n , which i s i n Congress 's b a i l i w i c k . And because a d m i n i s t r a - t i v e f l e x i b i l i t y has n o t h i n g t o do w i t h program f i n a n c e i t does not i n f l u e n c e f i s c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n , which i s i n c r e a s e d when t h e s u b n a t i o n a l government t h a t a d m i n i s t e r s t h e program a l s o funds i t . The g r e a t e s t extent decentralization--occurs of governmental when s t a t e - l o c a l decentralization--full political c i t i z e n s and o f f i c i a l s have simul- taneous c o n t r o l of governmental a c t i v i t i e s and t h e i r f i n a n c i n g . By c o n t r a s t , o n l y a d m i n i s t r a t i v e d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n may be p o s s i b l e i n a s t r i c t u n i t a r y system of government. But i n a f e d e r a l system, where s u b n a t i o n a l governments and c i t i z e n s have broad powers, t r u e d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n demands much more. F u l l p o l i t i c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n i s achieved only under swaps and t u r n b a c k s , f o r only w i t h these devolutionary mechanisms do administrative, programmatic powers s h i f t t o s t a t e - l o c a l governments. fiscal, and A l l other alternatives c e r t a i n l y provide more f i s c a l f l e x i b i l i t y t h a n does t h e e x i s t i n g grant-in-aid system, which i s h e a v i l y dependent on c a t e g o r i c a l a s s i s t a n c e , but t h e o t h e r a l t e r n a t i v e s do not o f f e r f u l l f i s c a l d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n . D e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n provides both t h e circumstances and t h e r e s p o n s i b i l i t y f o r s t a t e and l o c a l governments t o be accountable t o t h e i r c i t i z e n s . Mal- f u n c t i o n i n g programs cannot be blamed on Congress o r on b u r e a u c r a t s i n f a r - -73- away Washington. Similarly, does d e c e n t r a l i z a t i o n . the pressures for responsiveness increase as Taxing and spending choices n o t consonant with t h e v o t i n g community w i l l be punished a t t h e b a l l o t box. Again, swaps and t u r n - backs g e n e r a l l y s c o r e h i g h e r on t h i s measure than do a l t e r n a t i v e s . Simplicity C e r t a i n l y , any of t h e d e v o l u t i o n a r y mechanisms would s i g n i f i c a n t l y s i m p l i f y the current i n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l system, when they a r e i n place. Rut a l o n g w i t h s i m p l i c i t y , c e r t a i n t y of t r a n s i t i o n i s a l s o i m p o r t a n t , and t h e r e t h e mechanisms d i f f e r . The n a t i o n has e x p e r i e n c e w i t h block g r a n t s and rev- enue s h a r i n g . Not s o w i t h swaps and t u r n b a c k s , which--depending on t h e i r de- sign--may conceivably l e a d t o r a t h e r d i f f e r e n t p o s t - t r a n s i t i o n f i s c a l circum- stances. S t a t e and l o c a l officials who a r e r e l u c t a n t t o embark on major changes, however, could be r e a s s u r e d by a w e 1 1 designed p r o c e s s of t r a n s i t i o n . F u t u r e Revenue Adequacy Long-term revenue adequacy i s a s d i f f i c u l t t o f o r e c a s t a s i t is import a n t t o hard-pressed budget o f f i c e r s . tergovernmental revenues comparison. considered But t h a t assumes t h e F r e q u e n t l y t h e c u r r e n t funding of i n f o r d e v o l u t i o n i s used a s a b a s i s f o r c o n t i n u a t i o n of t h e f e d e r a l s t a t u s quo, which i s h i g h l y u n l i k e l y given t h e f o r c e s behind t h e passage of t h e GrammRudman-Hollings Amendment, which mandates a balanced budget by 1991. An a d d i t i o n a l b a s e l i n e f o r comparison i s t h u s t h e a u t o m a t i c f u n d i n g c u t s t h a t would o c c u r were t h e amendment's p r o v i s i o n s t o be put i n t o e f f e c t . t h e b a s e l i n e used, Whatever any d e v o l u t i o n a r y mechanism can be designed t o m a i n t a i n t h e funding t h a t would o c c u r a b s e n t d e v o l u t i o n , t o c u t funding ( f o r d e f i c i t r e d u c t i o n ) o r even t o i n c r e a s e funding. Another a s p e c t of long-term revenue adequacy i s whether f u t u r e f u n d i n g w i l l i n c r e a s e t o keep up w i t h c i t i z e n demands f o r i n c r e a s e d government spending. From t h i s p e r s p e c t i v e t h e i d e a l revenue s o u r c e i s one t h a t i s h i g h l y " e l a s t i c , " t h a t i s , i n c r e a s e s a u t o m a t i c a l l y ( a d j u s t i n g f o r i n £l a t i o n ) w i t h o u t t h e need f o r r a t e h i k e s . E l a s t i c t a x e s grow w i t h i n c r e a s e d p o p u l a t i o n , eco- nomtc a c t i v i t y , and p r i c e l e v e l s . The f e d e r a l t a x on p e r s o n a l incomes h a s l o n g been c o n s i d e r e d t h e most e l a s t i c t a x , but i t s y i e l d s have been s t i f f e n e d by i n d e x a t i o n . Block g r a n t s , revenue s h a r i n g and t a x s h a r i n g t h a t a r e l i n k e d t o t h e f e d e r a l income t a x a r e guaranteed a u t o m a t i c growth only i f they can -74- win o u t over o t h e r c o m p e t i t o r s f o r income t a x revenues. A f t e r swaps, t h e devolved programs w i l l , state-local taxation. of c o u r s e , be f i n a n c e d from Because of t h e g r e a t e r r e l i a n c e on s a l e s and income taxation, the state-local revenue base i s f a r more e l a s t i c t h a n i t once was, b u t s t i l l less s o t h a n f e d e r a l l e v i e s . I n t h e l a s t f i v e y e a r s (when f e d e r a l c o l l e c t i o n s have d e c r e a s e d ) many s t a t e t a x p a y e r s have a c c e p t e d t a x h i k e s . E l a s t i c i t y i s n o t t h e only component i n revenue adequacy; p r e s s u r e f o r t a x c u t s and w i l l i n g n e s s t o a c c e p t t a x i n c r e a s e s a r e important a l s o . The e x c i s e t a x s o u r c e s c o n s i d e r e d f o r turnback i n Chapter 4 a r e less e l a s t i c t h a n most taxes. T h e i r e l a s t i c i t y may be i n c r e a s e d , however, l e v y i n g them a s a p e r c e n t a g e of p e r pack of s a l e s r a t h e r t h a n a f i x e d number of c i g a r e t t e s or g a l l o n of gasoline. Parenthetically, by cents t h o s e two e x c i s e s f r e q u e n t l y have been i n c r e a s e d by s t a t e s . Fiscal Discipline The g o a l of f i s c a l d i s c i p l i n e i s i t s e l f m u l t i f a c e t e d and g e n e r a l l y m i l i t a t e s a g a i n s t t h a t of revenue adequacy; only one a s p e c t of t h e former w i l l be c o n s i d e r e d a t t h i s t i m e . F i s c a l d i s c i p l i n e i s weakened by p o l i c i e s t h a t u n j u s t i f i a b l y and a r t i f i c i a l l y Matching g r a n t s (though reducing the s t a t e - l o c a l g r a n t , f o r example, stimulate of t e n d e s i r a b l e state-local t a x i n g and spending. from o t h e r v i e w p o i n t s ) " t a x p r i c e s " of p u b l i c s e r v i c e s . when Washington u s e s three of do s o by In a categorical i t s d o l l a r s t o match a s i n g l e s t a t e d o l l a r , t h e s t a t e s must pay o n l y $.25 of each a d d i t i o n a l d o l l a r devoted t o t h a t service. T h i s may w e l l increase the s t a t e ' s t a x i n g and spending f o r t h e s e r v i c e . None of t h e d e v o l u t i o n a r y mechanisms c o n s i d e r e d have a matching compon e n t , removing a n i n c e n t i v e t o a d d i t i o n a l t a x i n g and spending. Although each mechanism funds a c e r t a i n l e v e l of spending, s t a t e - l o c a l governments must pay a d o l l a r f o r each a d d i t i o n a l d o l l a r s p e n t . REFERENCES Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental R e l a t i o n s (ACIR) (1964), The Role of E q u a l i z a t i o n i n F e d e r a l G r a n t s , A-19. U.S. Government P r i n t i n g Off i c e . Washington, DC . A C I R (1978), Summary and Concluding O b s e r v a t i o n s , The Intergovernmental Grant System: An Assessment and Proposed P o l i c i e s , A-62. U.S. Government P r i n t i n g Of f i c e . Washington, DC. A C I R (1980a), F e d e r a l Involvement i n L i b r a r i e s , A-84. i n g O f f i c e . Washington, DC. U.S. A C I R (1980b), A Crisis of Confidence and Competence, A-77. P r i n t i n g O f f i c e . Washington, DC. Government P r i n t - U.S. Government A C I R (1980c), P u b l i c A s s i s t a n c e : The Growth of a F e d e r a l F u n c t i o n , A-73. Government P r i n t i n g O f f i c e . Washington, DC. A C I R (1980d), The F e d e r a l Role i n Local F i r e P r o t e c t i o n , A-85. ment P r i n t i n g O f f i c e . Washington, DC. A C I R (1980e), Hearings on t h e F e d e r a l Role, A-87. O f f i c e . Washington, DC. U.S. TJ.S. U.S. Govern- Government P r i n t i n g A C I R (1981a), P r o t e c t i n g t h e Environment: P o l i t i c s , P o l l u t i o n , and F e d e r a l U. S. Government P r i n t i n g Off i c e . Washington, DC. P o l i c y , A-83. A C I R (1981b), The E v o l u t i o n of a Problematic P a r t n e r s h i p : The Feds and Higher Ed, A-82. U. S. Government P r i n t i n g O f f i c e . Washington, DC. - A C I R (1981c), An Agenda f o r American Federalism: R e s t o r i n g Confidence and Competence, A-86. U.S. Government P r i n t i n g O f f i c e . Washington, DC. A C I R (1981d), The Condition of Contemporary Federalism: C o n f l i c t i n g Theories U. S. Government P r i n t i n g Off i c e . Washand C o l l a p s i n g C o n s t r a i n t s , A-78. i n g t o n , DC. A C I R (1981e), "Changing The F e d e r a l Aid System: An A n a l y s i s of A l t e r n a t i v e R e s o u r c e / R e s p o n s i b i l i t y Turnbacks and Program T r a d e - o f f s , " a S t a f f Worki n g Paper. Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental R e l a t i o n s . Washingt o n , DC. A C I R ( 1984), Regulatory Federalism, A-95. Washington, DC. A C I K ( l985), 1J.S. Government P r i n t i n g O f f i c e . "Designing a ?-lore Ef E i c i e n t and E f f e c t i v e Means-Tested Welfare System, "a S t a f f Working Paper. Advisory Commission on I n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l R e l a t i o n s . Washington, DC. A C I R (1986), R e f l e c t i o n s on G a r c i a and Its I m p l i c a t i o n s f o r F e d e r a l i s m , 147. U.S. Government P r i n t i n g O f f i c e . Washington, DC. M- Anton, Thomas J. ( l 9 8 5 ) , "Decay and R e c o n s t r u c t i o n i n t h e Study of American I n t e r g o v e r n m e n t a l R e l a t i o n s , " 6-1 P u b l i u s 65. Brennan, Geoffrey and James Buchanan (1980), The Power t o Tax: A n a l y t i c Cambridge U n i v e r s i t y P r e s s . Foundations of a F i s c a l C o n s t i t u t i o n . Cambridge. Brennan, Geoffrey and James Buchanan (1982), "Normative Tax Theory f o r a F e d e r a l P o l i t y : Some P u b l i c Choice P r e l i m i n a r i e s , " A paper p r e s e n t e d a t t h e I n t e r n a t i o n a l Seminar on T a x a t i o n i n F e d e r a l Systems. Canberra, Australia. Gramlich, Edward M. (19 8 5 ) , "Reforming U.S. F e d e r a l F i s c a l Arrangements, " i n American Domestic P r i o r i t i e s : An Economic A p p r a i s a l . (eds. ) John M. Quigley and D a n i e l L. Rubinfeld. U n i v e r s i t y of C a l i f o r n i a P r e s s . Berkeley. McLure, C h a r l e s E. Jr. (ed. ). ( l 9 8 3 ) , Tax Assignment i n F e d e r a l C o u n t r i e s . C e n t r e f o r Research on F e d e r a l F i n a n c i a l R e l a t i o n s . Canberra, A u s t r a l i a . Nathan, Richard P. ( l 9 8 l ) , " 'Reforming' t h e F e d e r a l Grant-in-Aid S t a t e s and L o c a l i t i e s , " 34-3 N a t i o n a l Tax J o u r n a l 321. System f o r Oates , Wallace E. New York. (19 72), F i s c a l Federalism. Harcourt , Brace. Ostrom, Vincent (1971), The P o l i t i c a l Theory of A Compound Republic. Choice S o c i e t y . Blacksburg, VA. S t e w a r t , William H. (l984), America. Lanham, MD. U.S. Concepts of Federalism. University Department of T r e a s u r y (1985), Federal-State-Local U. S. Department of Treasury. Washington, DC. Public Press of F i s c a l Relations. ACIR Publications Related To This Report An Agenda for American Federalism: June 1981, 188 pp., $5.00. Restoring Confidence and Competence, A-86, Staff Working Paper 1: "Changing the Federal Aid System: An Analysis of Alternative ~esource/~esponsibilityTurnbacks and Program Trade-offs," March 1982, 150 pp., $2.00. Significant Features of Fiscal Federalism, 1985-86 Edition, M-146, 1985, 264 pp., $10.00. February A Catalog of Federal Grant-in-Aid Programs to State and Local Governments: Grants Funded FY 1984, M-139, December 1984, 48 pp., $3.00. Other Recent ACIR Publications The Condition of American Federalism: Hearings Held in ACIR's 25th Anniversary Year, M-144, March 1986, 40 pp., $5.00. Emerging Issues in American Federalism: Papers Prepared for ACIR's versary, M-143, September 1985, 86 pp., $5.00. 25th Anni- 1983 Tax Capacity of the States, M-148, March 1986, $10.00. Reflections on Garcia and Its Implications for Federalism, M-147, 1986, 56 pp., $3.00. The States and Distressed Communities, A-101, November 1985, February 290 pp., $5.00. Intergovernmental Service Arrangements for Delivering Local Public Services: Update 1983, A-103, October 1985, 138 pp., $5.00. 1985 Changing Public Attitudes on Government and Taxes, S-14, October 1985, 40 pp., $3.00. Bankruptcies, Defaults, and Other Local Governments Financial Emergencies, A-99, March 1985, 64 pp., $3.00. The Question of State Government Capability, A-98, $10.oo. January 1985, 424 pp., Strengthening the Federal Revenue System: Im~lications for State and Taxing and Borrowing, A-97, October 1984, 145 pp., $5.00. 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