Enlarged Committee for Route Charges Comité élargi pour les redevances de route CER-105-2015-3552 ITEM 2 10.12.15 INFORMATION PAPER FINAL DATA FOR THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE COST-BASES AND UNIT RATES - Submitted by the Agency - CRCO Overview – Final figures – November 2015 States' and users' representatives will find attached the CRCO Overview on en route charges, service units and unit rates. The overview covers the period 2011-2019. CRCO Overview – Final figures November 2015 The CRCO overview on en-route charges, service units and unit rates covers the period 2011-2019. Forecast data are the final figures that Member States are presenting at the 105th Session of the enlarged Committee on 25-26 November 2015, in accordance with the EUROCONTROL Principles. 1. Traffic overview Traffic is expressed in terms of total service units (chargeable plus exempted). Data are actual until 2014. Forecast data are based on the Reporting Tables of States submitted in November 2015: Table 1a and Chart 1 present, for the 37 States constituting CRCO11, the current States’ forecast (November 2015) and the STATFOR’s long term forecasts dated September 2015: − − For States having adopted the determined cost method, the November 2015 forecasts correspond to the determined service units as reported for RP2; For the States having adopted the full cost recovery method the forecast service units are those used for the calculation of the preliminary unit rates for 2016-2019; CRCO11 - Total service units (in millions) 12A 13A 14A 15F 16F 17F 18F 19F Forecast November 2015 - States Data 121.59 124.16 131.38 132.87 137.52 140.36 144.89 148.68 -1.3% 2.1% 5.8% 1.1% 3.5% 2.1% 3.2% 2.6% 121.59 124.16 131.38 136.87 142.03 146.28 150.79 155.11 -1.3% 2.1% 6.4% 4.2% 3.8% 3.0% 3.1% 2.9% 0% 0% 0% 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 4.1% 4.3% STATFOR September 2015 Forecast % SUF September/States Forecast November 2015 Table 1a: Total Service Units –2011 States Table 1b presents the same figures but separately for the determined and the full cost recovery States. For 2015-2019, the STATFOR’s forecasts are on average above the determined States’ forecasts by 4.2% and by 1.4% for the full costs recovery States’ forecasts. CRCO11 - Total service units (in millions) 12A 13A 14A 15F 16F 17F 18F 19F Forecast November 2015 - Determined States Data 106.72 108.52 113.28 116.16 118.56 120.67 122.93 125.33 STATFOR September 2015 Forecast -(Determined Costs States) 106.72 108.52 113.29 118.68 122.73 125.96 129.41 132.70 % SUF September/ Determined Costs States Forecast November 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 3.5% 4.4% 5.3% 5.9% Forecast November 2015 - Full Costs Recovery 14.87 15.65 18.09 16.71 18.95 19.69 21.96 23.36 STATFOR September 2015 Forecast - Full Costs Rec. States 14.87 15.65 18.09 18.19 19.30 20.32 21.38 22.41 % SUF September/Full Costs States Forecast November 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 1.8% 3.2% -2.6% -4.1% Table 1b: Total Service Units –2011 States Chart 1: Total Service Units –2011 States-Comparison States Forecast-STATFOR September Forecast 2 2. Average unit rates charged to users– 2011-2019 The average unit rates as shown in Chart 2 are calculated by dividing the “total charges” by “total service units”. Data until 2014 are actual (Source: Annual reports on the operation of the route charges system). The 2015 figures correspond to the service unit forecasts reported in November 2014 and to the average adjusted unit rates for 2015, assuming that exchange rates will remain at the September 2015 levels until the end of December 2015. Data for 2016-2019 are the preliminary figures presented at the 105th Session of the enlarged Committee. Chart 2: Average national charge per service unit The average unit rate charged to users was stable at € 57.6 in 2011-2012 before decreasing by 0.3% in 2013 and in 2014. In 2015 the average unit rate charged to users increases by 3.7% and reaches € 59.4. Beyond 2015, the average unit rate charged to users should decrease in 2016 down to € 56.7 with a slight increase in 2017 and with further decrease in 2018 and in 2019 down to € 56.1. National charges (billed plus exempted), total service units and unit rate figures as reported in November 2015 are detailed in Table 2 (for all States and separately for States applying the determined cost method and States applying the full cost recovery method). Summary November 2015 National charges (M€) - Billed and exempted States applying the determined cost method States applying the full cost recovery method Total SU (in million) States applying the determined cost method States applying the full cost recovery method Average unit rate (in €) States applying the determined cost method States applying the full cost recovery method 11A 12A 13A 14A 15F 16F 17F 18F 19F 7,102 6,998 7,128 7,561 7,931 7,847 8,047 8,235 6.8% -1.5% 1.8% 6.1% 4.9% -1.1% 2.6% 2.3% 8,386 1.8% 6,599 6,501 6,577 6,893 7,365 7,302 7,363 7,427 7,476 6.5% -1.5% 1.2% 4.8% 6.9% -0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 503 497 551 668 566 546 684 808 910 10.5% -1.1% 10.8% 21.2% -15.3% -3.6% 25.4% 18.1% 12.6% 123 122 124 132 134 138 141 146 150 5.5% -1.3% 2.1% 6.4% 1.1% 3.6% 2.1% 3.2% 2.6% 108 107 109 113 116 119 121 123 125 5.2% -1.6% 1.7% 4.4% 2.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15 15 16 19 17 20 21 23 24 7.7% 0.4% 5.2% 20.4% -7.5% 13.6% 3.8% 11.1% 6.2% 57.6 57.6 57.4 57.2 59.4 56.7 57.0 56.5 56.1 1.2% -0.1% -0.3% -0.3% 3.7% -4.5% 0.5% -0.9% -0.8% 60.9 60.9 60.6 60.8 63.4 61.6 61.0 60.4 59.7 1.2% 0.1% -0.5% 0.4% 4.2% -2.9% -0.9% -1.0% -1.3% 34.0 33.5 35.2 35.5 32.5 27.6 33.3 35.4 37.5 2.6% -1.5% 5.3% 0.7% -8.4% -15.1% 20.9% 6.3% 6.0% Table 2: National Charges-Billed and Exempted – All States –November 2015 3 For States applying the determined cost method, the average unit rate is decreasing every year from the peak of € 63.4 in 2015 to € 59.7 in 2019. For States applying the full cost recovery method, the average unit rate of charge increased between 2012 and 2014. It is decreasing by 8.4% in 2015 and by 15.1% in 2016. (For Turkey the CRCO converted the national unit rates for 2017-2019 into euro by applying the September exchange rate as for all other states. However in the reporting tables, Turkey has estimated different exchange rates for the same period). 3. Variations in unit rates, service units and costs per State between 2015 and 2016 Table 3 shows the variations in exchange rates between September 2014 (exchange rates used to establish the 2015 basic rates approved in November 2014) and September 2015 (exchange rates used to establish the 2016 basic rates – final figures): - The currencies in three charging zones appreciated by more than 1%. Everything else being equal, higher amounts in euro should be billed in 2015 as compared to the November 2014 forecasts (basic rates for 2015). - The currencies in eight charging zones depreciated by more than 1%. Everything else being equal, lower amounts in euro should be billed in 2015 as compared to the November 2014 forecasts (basic rates for 2015). Charging Zones Switzerland United Kingdom Czech Republic 2014-09 1.20749 2015-09 1.09162 0.790795 0.732573 27.5681 27.0743 % 10.6% 7.9% 1.8% Croatia 7.6216 7.5864 0.5% Albania 139.546 139.014 0.4% Hungary 312.876 312.836 0.0% Bulgaria 1.95575 1.95520 0.0% Moldova 18.3250 21.9768 -16.6% Turkey 2.85256 3.38865 -15.8% Georgia 2.23995 2.65212 -15.5% Norway 8.18050 9.30386 -12.1% Armenia 525.881 538.070 -2.3% Sweden 9.18850 9.39358 -2.2% Bosnia-Herz. 1.92252 1.94805 -1.3% Belgrade 118.572 120.033 -1.2% Poland 4.18785 4.21676 -0.7% Romania 4.40694 4.41907 -0.3% FYROM 61.1855 61.3136 -0.2% Denmark 7.44340 7.45944 -0.2% Table 3: Exchange rates of September 2015 and September 2014 Table 4 on the next page details the variations in States’ unit rates expressed in national currencies between 2015 and 2016. For this purpose, the 2015 unit rates have been converted into euro at the September 2015 exchange rates, the same exchange rate as applied for reporting the 2016 unit rates. The amounts in euro in Table 4 allow for a consolidation across the 38 charging zones. The 2015 inflation rates are the data reported by the States for the 103rd Session with the exception of Slovak Republic and Armenia. Indeed these two States have revised their 2015 Unit Rates during 2015 and have presented revised reporting tables (Czech Republic has also revised his 2015 Unit Rate without change in the inflation rate). The average inflation in the EUROCONTROL area is a weighted average of inflation rates (average weighted by route charge amounts in euro). In Table 4 forecast charges are expressed in million euro and total service units in millions. Unit rates are expressed in euro. 4 The 2015 figures correspond to the service unit forecasts reported in November 2014 (for three states to the figures reported in the revised reporting tables) and to the average adjusted unit rates for 2015, assuming that exchange rates will remain at the September 2015 levels until the end of December 2015. Comparison 2015 and 2016 based on € rates at September 2015 exchange rates 2015 FIN (XR September 2015) TSU * Rates TSU Rates 2016 FIN (XR September 2015) TSU * Rates TSU Rates Variations 2016/2015 Costs TSU Rates Inflation rate 2015 2016 Austria 197.5 2.7 73.34 204.5 2.8 73.63 3.5% 3.1% 0.4% 1.7% 1.7% Belgium-Lux. 167.6 2.4 70.68 164.2 2.5 65.41 -2.0% 5.9% -7.5% 1.1% 1.2% Bulgaria 81.1 2.6 30.89 60.2 2.7 22.59 -25.8% Croatia 81.6 1.8 46.26 84.4 1.8 47.33 3.5% Cyprus Czech Republic (*) 1.5% -26.9% 0.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 1.0% 2.3% 51.5 1.4 36.91 47.9 1.4 33.57 -7.0% 2.2% -9.0% 1.6% 1.7% 111.5 2.5 43.76 113.0 2.6 42.87 1.4% 3.5% -2.0% 1.9% 2.0% Denmark 98.1 1.6 63.15 96.9 1.6 61.67 -1.2% 1.2% -2.3% 1.8% 2.2% Finland 44.6 0.8 56.23 45.7 0.8 56.23 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 1.5% 1.7% France 1,294.1 18.5 70.00 1,295.2 19.2 67.54 0.1% 3.7% -3.5% 1.2% 0.8% Germany 1,133.0 12.6 90.15 1,078.4 13.1 82.59 -4.8% 3.9% -8.4% 1.4% 1.6% Greece 162.4 4.2 38.38 155.5 4.3 36.02 -4.2% 2.0% -6.1% 0.3% 1.1% Hungary 87.9 2.5 35.79 82.2 2.4 34.75 -6.6% -3.8% -2.9% 1.8% 3.0% Ireland 118.4 4.0 29.60 120.2 4.0 29.67 1.5% 1.2% 0.2% 1.1% 1.2% Italy 710.3 9.0 78.80 710.0 8.9 80.08 0.0% -1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 1.1% Latvia 22.1 0.8 27.58 22.5 0.8 27.31 1.7% 2.7% -1.0% 2.5% 2.3% Lithuania 23.0 0.5 46.82 22.8 0.5 44.90 -0.6% 3.6% -4.1% 1.7% 2.2% Malta Netherlands 13.6 0.6 22.33 16.0 0.6 25.79 17.8% 2.0% 15.5% 1.7% 1.8% 186.8 2.8 66.57 189.3 2.8 67.00 1.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% Norway 105.0 2.3 45.88 97.1 2.4 41.00 -7.5% Poland 148.9 4.4 34.12 156.8 4.5 34.50 5.3% Portugal Lisboa 114.9 3.1 37.13 123.9 3.1 39.90 7.8% 0.3% 7.5% 1.2% 1.5% 44.0 4.3 10.32 46.8 4.3 10.80 6.4% 1.7% 4.7% 1.2% 1.5% Portugal S.M. Romania Slovak Republic (*) 3.5% -10.6% 1.6% 1.7% 4.2% 2.4% 2.5% 1.1% 149.5 4.0 37.25 151.5 4.1 36.80 1.4% 2.6% -1.2% 3.1% 3.0% 59.3 1.1 54.99 59.2 1.1 52.54 -0.2% 4.5% -4.5% 0.0% 1.4% Slovenia 32.9 0.5 68.36 32.7 0.5 65.38 -0.8% 3.8% -4.4% 1.6% 2.1% Spain Can. 89.3 1.5 58.36 89.2 1.5 58.36 -0.2% -0.2% 0.0% 0.8% 0.9% Spain Con. 636.6 8.9 71.69 640.6 8.9 71.69 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.8% 0.9% Sweden 211.2 3.3 64.84 203.7 3.3 61.68 -3.5% 1.4% -4.9% 1.6% 2.4% 154.6 1.4 109.00 153.1 1.5 104.15 -1.0% 3.6% -4.4% 0.5% 0.0% 1,022.5 10.2 99.81 1,038.3 10.4 99.50 1.5% 1.9% -0.3% 1.9% 1.9% Switzerland United Kingdom Albania (Full Costs) 22.3 0.5 45.66 23.6 0.5 45.17 5.9% 7.0% -1.1% 3.5% 2.9% 4.8 0.1 38.12 5.3 0.1 38.95 10.4% 8.0% 2.2% 4.2% 4.0% Serbia/Montenegro/KFOR (Full Costs) 73.8 1.8 41.77 76.3 2.0 37.79 3.3% 14.2% -9.5% 6.0% 4.2% Bosnia-Herz. (Full Costs) 32.4 0.9 37.83 38.5 0.9 41.97 18.7% 7.0% 10.9% 1.5% 1.1% Armenia (Full Costs)(*) FYROM (Full Costs) 13.7 0.2 55.22 14.8 0.3 52.36 7.4% 13.3% -5.2% 2.3% 1.8% Georgia (Full Costs) 15.2 0.7 21.16 19.0 0.8 22.66 25.6% 17.3% 7.1% 3.6% 5.6% -19.5% -40.8% 35.9% 3.6% 11.9% -7.7% 6.1% Moldova (Full Costs) (**) Turkey (Full Costs) 2015 Charging Zones 5.4 0.1 41.44 4.3 0.1 56.32 343.1 13.1 26.26 363.8 15.0 24.25 6.0% 14.8% 6.6% 7,864 133.5 58.90 7,847 138.4 56.72 -0.2% 3.6% -3.7% 1.6% 1.7% Determined Costs 7,354 116.1 63.33 7,302 118.6 61.59 -0.7% 2.1% -2.8% 1.3% 1.4% Full Cost Recovery 511 17.4 29.35 546 19.8 27.56 6.8% 13.8% -6.1% 5.5% 5.6% (*) For Czech Republic the unit rate shown is the revised unit rate. (*) For Slovak Republic, the unit rate shown is the revised unit rate. (*) For Armenia, the unit rate shown is the revised unit rate on 1 September 2015. The applicable unit rate was 39.48 euro (inc.adm unit rate). (**) For Moldova, the 2016 Unit Rate is frozen at the level of 2015 Unit Rate = 41.44 euro Differences in totals are due to rounding Table 4: Comparison between 2015 and 2016 forecast charges, total service units and unit rates The forecast national charges (billed plus exempted) and the unit rates, both expressed in national currencies, show contrasted variations between 2016 and 2015 across the 38 charging zones. Croatia is counted as one of the States applying the determined costs method. The forecast of national charges is stable at the same level of 2015 and forecasted traffic is increasing by 3.6% in 2016, resulting in a unit rate decrease of 3.7% in nominal terms, with an inflation estimated at 1.7%: - For States applying the determined cost method (30 charging zones representing 93% of the charges and 86% of the traffic in 2016), the average unit rate is decreasing by 2.8% in nominal terms with an inflation estimated at 1.4%. - For States applying the full cost method (8 charging zones representing 7% of the charges and 14% of the traffic in 2016), the average unit rate is decreasing by 6.1% in nominal terms with an inflation estimated at 5.6%. 5 4. Calculation of 2016 Unit Rates - Adjustments and revenues 4.1. Overview Table 5 shows the carry-overs and bonuses or penalties as well as the revenues taken into account for the calculation of the 2016 unit rates. Part of the adjustments relate to 2014, which is the third actual year of Reporting Period 1 for the States applying the determined costs method. National currency amounts have been converted into euro at the September 2015 exchange rates. Charging Zone National For./Det. Costs 2016 Carryovers Bonus or penalty Other revenues 2016 Grand Total 2016 1 2 3 4 Service National Unit Units 2016 Rates D 6 Austria 192,111 12,362 0 204,473 2,777 73B63 BelgB-LuxemNourg 172,792 -7,944 676 164,172 2,D10 6DB41 Bulgaria 88,383 -28,042 108 60,233 2,667 22BD9 Froatia 90,626 1,603 7,834 84,39D 1,783 47B33 D3,D98 -D,736 0 47,862 1,426 33BD7 114,0D2 -996 0 113,0D6 2,637 42B87 Fyprus FzecO RepuNlic Genmark 97,12D -23D 0 96,890 1,D71 61B67 Finland 4D,D96 1,102 1,039 4D,6D9 812 D6B23 France 1,296,D77 10,D79 12,000 1,29D,1D6 19,177 67BD4 Germany 1,039,D89 38,822 0 1,078,410 13,0D7 82BD9 Greece Hungary 1D1,227 4,326 0 1DD,DD3 4,318 36B02 93,068 -7,840 3,062 82,166 2,364 34B7D Ireland 121,387 -1,2D1 0 120,136 4,0D0 29B67 Italy 693,DD7 16,44D 0 710,002 8,866 80B08 Latvia 23,118 -D94 22 22,D02 824 27B31 LitOuania 23,342 -346 160 22,836 D09 44B90 Malta 19,082 -3,06D 0 16,017 621 2DB79 184,104 D,D46 327 189,322 2,826 67B00 NorRay 110,993 -13,917 0 97,077 2,368 41B00 Poland 163,010 -4,893 1,361 1D6,7D6 4,D44 34BD0 Portugal LisNoa 117,113 7,14D 37D 123,884 3,10D 39B90 44,D36 2,33D D4 46,817 4,337 10B80 36B80 NetOerlands Portugal Santa Maria Romania 1D9,4D7 -7,70D 249 1D1,D03 4,117 Slovakia 61,912 -2,7D0 0 D9,162 1,126 D2BD4 Slovenia 33,169 -D04 32,66D D00 6DB38 Spain FanB 98,7D1 0 9,D77 89,174 1,D28 D8B36 Spain FonB 622,073 28,229 9,680 640,622 8,936 71B69 SReden 210,172 -D,91D D40 203,716 3,303 61B68 SRitzerland 143,111 9,988 0 1D3,099 1,470 104B1D United Kingdom 937,9D4 100,423 123 1,038,2D4 10,43D 99BD0 23,D26 -29 0 23,497 D20 4DB17 AlNania * Armenia * SerNia/Montenegro/KFOR * D,041 214 0 D,2DD 13D 38B9D 78,290 -1,398 712 76,181 2,016 37B79 Bosnia Herzegovina * 38,469 31 0 38,D01 917 41B97 FYROM * 14,713 41 0 14,7D4 282 D2B36 4,177 1D9 0 4,336 77 D6B32 Turkey * Moldova * 407,1D3 -47,124 0 360,030 14,846 24B2D Georgia 18,933 37 0 18,971 837 22B66 7,201,D82 147,171 47,186 7,301,D68 118,D62 61BD9 100B0% 2B0% 0B7% 101B4% D90,304 -48,068 712 D41,D24 19,630 27BD6 100B0% 8B1% 0B1% 91B7% 7,791,886 100B0% 99,103 1B3% 47,898 0B6% 7,843,091 100B7% 138,193 D6B72 Getermined Fosts Full Fosts * All cOarging zones * Full Fost MetOod : reduced forecast costs (excluding exemptions ) - cOargeaNle service units Any differences are due to roundings 6 Table 5 – Overview of the 2016 unit rate calculation In 2016, carryovers and bonuses/penalties represent 2.0% of the determined costs for the States applying the determined costs method and 8.1% of the forecast costs for the States applying the full cost recovery method. Revenues and other amounts deducted to calculate the applied unit rates represent on average 0.6% (0.1% accounting for one non-EU States only). 4.2. Detail of adjustments and carry-overs Table 6 details the carry-overs and bonuses/penalties as shown in Column 2 of Table 5. For States applying the determined cost method, references are the row numbers in Reporting Table 2. For States applying the full cost recovery method, carry-overs (adjustment mechanism) are reported in Column 5. Charging Zone Austria 1.4 Inflation adjus. 3.3 and 4.3 Traffic 3.4 and 3.5 Traffic risk 1 2 3 3.6 and 3.7 4.4 Cost 3.8 and 4.6 Bonus or exempt carryovers penalty from risk 4 5 6 Total Total adj./Natio nal Costs 7 8 556 4,938 4,710 2,159 0 0 12,362 6% BelgB-IuxemNourg -2,683 1,918 346 -3,985 0 -3,540 -7,944 -5% Bulgaria -32% -7,811 -1,447 -18,784 0 0 0 -28,042 Croatia 0 0 0 0 0 1,603 1,603 2% Cyprus -2,773 -1,319 -1,644 0 0 0 -5,736 -11% -1% Czech RepuNlic Denmark Finland France Germany -2,053B04 502 1,561 200 0 -1,207 -996 -1,693 1,210 1,782 -1,294 -239 0 -235 0% -598 1,578 0 122 0 0 1,102 2% -969 4,883 6,664 0 0 0 10,579 1% -10,326 22,170 43,611 0 0 -16,632 38,822 4% Greece -4,689 2,622 6,394 0 0 0 4,326 3% Hungary -2,031 -1,323 -4,586 100 0 0 -7,840 -8% Ireland -1,679 403 26 0 0 0 -1,251 -1% Italy -2,705 9,403 0 -3,941 0 13,688 16,445 2% -586 -8 0 0 0 0 -594 -3% Iatvia Iithuania -165 -61 -336 216 0 0 -346 -1% Malta -351 -583 -2,128 -3 0 0 -3,065 -16% Netherlands Norway Poland 305 707 0 5,783 0 -1,250 5,546 3% -759 472 -14,088 458 0 0 -13,917 -13% -3% -5,426 531 3,490 3,136 0 -6,624 -4,893 Portugal IisNoa 494 -7 0 6,658 0 0 7,145 6% Portugal Santa Maria 193 277 672 1,192 0 0 2,335 5% Romania -4,861 -536 -2,308 0 0 0 -7,705 -5% Slovakia -1,525 -190 -240 -365 0 -430 -2,750 -4% -2% Slovenia -841 116 221 0 0 0 -504 Spain CanB -264 0 0 -736 0 1,000 0 0% Spain ConB -1,704 6,532 0 -9,750 0 33,152 28,229 5% -3% -16,109 1,297 1,594 0 0 7,303 -5,915 Switzerland Sweden -5,053 3,868 6,253 0 0 4,921 9,988 7% United Kingdom 34,499 18,339 46,068 -6,399 7,914 0 100,423 11% AlNania * 0 0 0 0 0 -29 -29 0% Armenia * 0 0 0 0 0 214 214 4% -2% SerNia/Montenegro/KFOR * 0 0 0 0 0 -1,398 -1,398 Bosnia Herzegovina * 0 0 0 0 0 31 31 0% FYROM * 0 0 0 0 0 41 41 0% Moldova * 0 0 0 0 0 159 159 4% Turkey * 0 0 0 0 0 -47,124 -47,124 -12% Georgia* 0 0 0 0 0 37 37 0% -41,609 76,291 79,279 -6,448 7,675 31,983 147,171 28% 52% 54% 4% 5% 22% 100% Determined Costs Full Costs * All charging zones 0 0 0 0 0 -48,068 -48,068 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 100% -41,609 42% 76,291 77% 79,279 80% -6,448 -7% 7,675 8% -16,085 16% 99,103 100% 2B0% -8B1% 1B3% Table 6 – Detail of carry-overs and bonuses or penalties 7 For States applying the determined costs method: − The adjustments for inflation represent 28% of the total carryovers and bonuses/penalties taken into account for calculating the 2016 unit rates. 24 charging zones have a negative adjustment (actual inflation lower than forecasts) and 5 zones a positive one; − The carryovers pertaining to the traffic amounts carried over to year n represent 52% of the total carryovers and bonuses/penalties taken into account for calculating the 2016 unit rates. − All items charged to users, other than the determined costs, give rise to carry over due to traffic. The amounts carried over in respect of these items (see column 3) represent 54% of the total carryovers and bonuses/penalties taken into account for calculating the 2016 unit rates; − Costs exempt from costs sharing (provisional amounts) represent overall about 4% of the total carryovers and bonuses/penalties taken into account for calculating the 2016 unit rates; − Bonuses and penalties represent overall about 5% of the total bonuses/penalties taken into account for calculating the 2016 unit rates; − Over/under recoveries incurred up to the year of entry into force of the determined cost method represent the remainder of the total (22%). carryovers and 8 5. Evolution of consolidated national costs 2011-2019 Table 7 consolidates the national costs presented by Member States at the 105th Session of the enlarged Committee: - National costs comprise costs in respect of Air Navigation Service Providers, Meteorological Service Providers as well as States (including EUROCONTROL) costs ; - Costs are gross costs for the year, prior to deductions in respect of exempted flights or other income and without amounts carried over; - All costs have been converted into euro based on the September 2015 exchange rates. Yearly variations at national level are therefore the same as the national costs expressed in national currency. Organisation Charging Zones --All Charging Zones Cost details Year 2011A 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015F 2016F 2017F 2016 2018F 2019F Reported national costs - Converted at the September 2015 exchange rate - Detail by nature (in '000 euro) Staff Other operating costs (Inc. ECTL) Depreciation Cost of capital 4,055 1,719 871 403 4,214 1,747 883 430 4,169 1,760 912 4,458 1,905 1,048 4,414 1,841 982 4,485 1,910 1,009 4,580 1,964 1,046 4,679 2,020 1,059 4,768 2,060 1,058 410 443 447 444 456 459 464 Exceptional items Total costs -31 7,017 2 7,276 35 7,285 -22 7,832 15 7,700 -23 7,826 -27 8,019 -26 8,191 -28 8,323 % n/n-1 2.2% 3.7% 0.1% 7.5% -1.7% 1.6% 2.5% 2.1% Staff % n/n-1 Other op. % n/n-1 3.4% 3.9% -1.1% 6.9% -1.0% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 1.6% 1.9% -0.5% 1.7% 0.7% 8.3% -3.4% 3.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.0% Total Reported national costs - Converted at the September 2015 exchange rate - Detail by services (in '000 euro) Air Traffic Management Communication 4,943 479 289 5,275 535 306 5,311 525 307 5,385 5,503 5,592 5,662 543 318 560 332 571 348 583 360 358 418 377 389 405 425 439 49 50 55 56 58 59 60 162 164 182 177 184 194 204 216 348 353 352 377 363 373 76 74 82 94 86 87 377 89 382 90 386 91 537 7,017 2.2% 3.3% 569 7,276 3.7% 4.1% 569 7,285 0.1% 595 7,832 7.5% 499 7,700 -1.7% 491 7,826 1.6% 500 8,019 2.5% 519 8,191 2.1% 525 8,323 1.6% -0.1% 6.7% 0.7% 1.4% 2.2% 1.6% 1.3% 4.5% 1.4% 0.2% 11.8% -4.0% 3.4% 3.8% 3.6% 2.9% 4,753 475 4,946 477 278 355 283 363 40 48 Aeronautical Information 156 Meteorological services Navigation Surveillance Search and rescue Supervision costs Other State costs (Inc.ECTL) Total costs Total ATM CNS % n/n-1 % n/n-1 % n/n-1 Total Service Units Costs/Service Unit In Nominal terms 123 56.95 122 124 132 134 138 141 146 150 -1.3% 2.1% 6.4% 1.1% 3.6% 2.1% 3.2% 2.6% 59.84 5.1% 58.68 -1.9% 59.28 1.0% 57.64 -2.8% 56.56 -1.9% 56.79 0.4% 56.19 -1.0% 55.64 -1.0% Table 7-Consolidated National Costs Table 7 covers the years 2011-2019 (actual 2011-2014 and forecasts as from 2015). 9 6. November 2015 reporting exercise Almost all States met the reporting deadline. New Reporting Tables templates with automatic checks for determined costs States have been used and all the States have successfully transferred the data via Common Portal. The States and the Users Associations have received the published reporting tables at the same time. 7. Annex - 1 and Annex - 2 Annex 1 shows the determined costs, forecast total service units, forecast chargeable costs and unit rates of each State for the 2012-2019 period. All the costs data and the unit rates have been converted by the September 2015 exchange rates to see the variations during the period. The charts show these variations for these items. The maps at Annex 2 present the unit rates, and service units. 10
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