Crustal Area Sources completeness intervals
version 4 ‐ 25 May 2012
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
O
P
Q
R
S
T
U
X
Y
Iceland
Offshore Portugal
Iberia
Betic region
France ‐ Belgium
British Isles
Northern Europe
Central Europe
Alps
Northern Italy
Central Italy
Southern Italy
Sicily
East Adriatic ‐ Ionian
Northern Balkans
Southern Balkans
Aegean
Marmara Region
Mediterranean background
Western Turkey
Atlantic
Eastern Turkey
Cyprus
≥4.1 ≥4.3 ≥4.4 ≥4.5 ≥4.6
1950
1950 1950 1950 1950 1910
1950 1950
1920 1920 1920 1920
1900 1900 1900 1900
1900 1900 1900 1900 1500
1890 1890 1890 1890 1800
1900 1900 1900 1900
1960
1980
1900
1975
1970
1960
1900
1975
1970
1960
1900
1975
1970
1960
1960
1980 1980
1990 1990
1900
1975
1970
1900
1960
1980
1990
1960
1990
≥4.7
1950
1910
1950
1920
1900
1500
1800
1900
1960
1980
1950
1820
≥4.8
1950
1910
1950
1920
1900
1500
1800
1900
1960
1980
1950
1820
1900
1975
1970
1900
1960
1980
1970
1960
1990
1960
1900
1975
1970
1900
1960
1980
1970
1960
1990
≥4.9
1950
1910
1950
1920
1750
1500
1800
1780
1800
1830
1830
1820
1900
1960
1900
1900
1970
1900
1900
1960
1970
1960
1960
≥5.1
1950
1910
1800
1500
1550
1500
1800
1780
1800
1530
1725
1820
1700
1960
1850
1900
1900
1900
1900
1960
1970
1960
1960
≥5.3
1950
1910
1800
1500
1550
1500
1800
1780
1800
1530
1725
1820
1700
1900
1850
1900
1900
1900
1900
1920
1970
1925
1960
≥5.6
1930
1910
1800
1350
1450
1500
1700
1500
1500
1300
1500
1650
1500
1900
1850
1900
1900
1700
1800
1850
1930
1900
1925
≥5.8
1930
1910
1800
1350
1450
1500
1700
1500
1500
1300
1500
1650
1500
1900
1850
1850
1900
1700
1800
1850
1930
1900
1925
≥5.9
1930
1910
1800
1350
1450
1500
1700
1500
1500
1300
1500
1650
1500
1900
1850
1850
1650
1700
1800
1850
1930
1900
1925
≥6.1
1700
1910
1500
1350
1450
1500
1700
1500
1300
1300
1500
1650
1150
1900
1850
1850
1650
1700
1800
1800
1930
1850
1700
≥6.3
1700
1910
1500
1350
1450
1500
1700
1500
1300
1300
1500
1650
1150
1800
1850
1750
1650
1700
1800
1800
1930
1850
1700
Proposed completeness starting years for the different Mw classes in the superzones, corresponig to the red line in the following figures.
≥6.5
1700
1910
1500
1350
1450
1500
1700
1500
1300
1300
1500
1650
1150
1800
1700
1750
1650
1700
1800
1800
1930
1850
1700
≥6.6
1700
1700
1300
1200
1450
1500
1700
1500
1300
1200
1200
1450
1150
1600
1650
1650
1450
1200
1800
1800
1930
1850
1700
Completeness superzone A - Iceland
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
3.3
1000
expert judgment
operative
3.7
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone B - Offshore Portugal
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
historical
4.1
expert judgment
3.8
3.3
1000
operative
3.7
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone C - Iberia
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
historical
expert judgment
3.7
operative
3.3
1000
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone D - Betic region
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
historical
expert judgment
3.7
operative
3.3
1000
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone E - France -Belgium
7.8
7.7
historical
expert judgment
7.3
7.3
operative
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
3.3
1000
3.7
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone F - British Isles
7.8
7.7
historical
expert judgment
7.3
7.3
operative
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
3.3
1000
3.7
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone G - Northern Europe
7.8
7.7
historical
expert judgment
7.3
7.3
operative
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
3.3
1000
3.7
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone N - Central Europe
7.8
7.7
historical
expert judgment
7.3
7.3
operative
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
3.3
1000
3.7
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone I - Alps
7.8
7.7
historical
expert judgment
7.3
7.3
operative
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
3.3
1000
3.7
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone J - Northern Italy
7.8
7.7
historical
expert judgment
7.3
7.3
operative
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
3.3
1000
3.7
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone K - Central Italy
7.8
7.7
historical
expert judgment
7.3
7.3
operative
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
3.3
1000
3.7
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone L - Southern Italy
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
historical
3.7
expert judgment
operative
3.3
1000
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone M - Sicily
7.8
7.7
historical
expert judgment
7.3
7.3
operative
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
3.3
1000
3.7
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone N - Eastern Adriatic-Ionian
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
historical
3.8
expert judgment
3.7
opeartive
3.3
1000
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone O - Northern Balkans
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
historical
3.7
expert judgment
operartive
3.3
1000
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone P - Southern Balkans
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
historical
expert judgment
3.7
operative
3.3
1000
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone Q - Aegean
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
historical
3.7
expert judgment
operative
3.3
1000
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone R - Marmara region
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
historical
expert judgment
3.7
operative
3.3
1000
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone S - Mediterranean background
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
3.7
expert judgment
operative
3.3
1000
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone T - Western Turkey
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
historical
3.7
expert judgment
operative
3.3
1000
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone U - Atlantic
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
3.3
1000
3.7
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Completeness superzone X - Eastern Turkey
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
Mw
5.8
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
historical
3.7
expert judgment
operative
3.3
1000
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Comepleteness superzone Y - Cyprus
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.3
6.1
5.8
Mw
5.7
5.3
5.3
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.8
historical
3.7
expert judgment
operative
3.3
1000
3.3
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Time
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000