THE FREE-RIDER PROBLEM AND THE MODERN-DAY CHURCH: AN ANALYSIS FROM A PRIVATELY-PROVIDED PUBLIC GOOD PERSPECTIVE NATHANAEL J GLUBISH* I. INTRODUCTION Churches as Public Goods The free-rider problem, as described by economists, permeates the realm of public goods and even plagues the church. The church has many parallels and similarities to public goods. As with most public goods, churches are not by any means pure public goods, as they do not perfectly satisfy the necessary characteristics of being non-rival and non-excludable in consumption. However, James Buchanan argues about these requirements in “The Demand and Supply of Public Goods” by stating “no good or service fits the extreme … definition in any genuinely descriptive sense. In real-world fiscal systems, those goods and services that are financed publicly always exhibit less than such pure publicness” (Buchanan 1968: 49). Rather, it is because the church exhibits traits that satisfy these elements to a reasonable extent that we justify an analysis from a purely public good perspective. For example, once a church building is constructed, the staff is on payroll and the programs are in place, the marginal cost to the church for another person's consumption of its services is nearly zero. However, once the church building is filled to capacity and the staff members have no room in their schedules to accommodate additional service, the element of congestion becomes a factor in the nonrival nature of the church. On the other hand, while exclusion of additional “consumers” is very possible (i.e. the church could simply close its doors and limit services to specific members only) it is, in practice, unlikely. The very nature of a church is to reach out to anyone who is in need of the services it provides; to exemplify the teachings of the Christian bible. In other words, it would be contradictory to the church's purpose to exclude anyone's attendance or involvement.1 To assess the free-rider problem in the church, a case study of Elim Tabernacle, one of 58 Pentecostal Assemblies of Canada * Nathanael Glubish is a undergraduate student in Finance and Business Economics at the University of Saskatchewan, Canada. 1. The following analysis proceeds from the standpoint of the Western Christian tradition. A biblical example of the attitude that Jesus set for the Christian church is found in John 4: 7-26, where He speaks with a Samaritan woman. His demonstration of kindness to her was rather uncharacteristic of the local Jewish culture; traditionally Samaritans had been discriminated against by the Jews. 2 SASKATCHEWAN ECONOMICS JOURNAL FIGURE 1: ELIM TABERNACLE AVERAGE SUNDAY MORNING ATTENDANCE 1200 1080 1003 1000 872 800 740 Attendance 702 650 609 600 576 547 556 1993 1994 480 400 200 0 1992 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Year Source: Elim Tabernacle Annual Meeting 5 November 2002. (PAOC), is conducted. Senior administrator Wes Carlisle stated at Elim's latest annual meeting (November 5, 2002) that Elim has nearly tripled in size over the last decade. According to Figure 1, average Sunday morning attendance rose from 480 in 1992 to 1030 in 2002. However, while Sunday morning's attendance on November 3, 2002 was at a year high of over 1300, Elim is 7.3% under-budget in revenues this quarter (See Table 1). So what is the problem? With three times the congregation size it should be a much lighter burden per person to fund the church operations but this is not so. In fact, while attendance has increased by nearly 2.5 times over the past ten years, real revenues (after inflation) have only doubled.2 In light of TABLE 1: ELIM TABERNACLE - GENERAL TITHES - JULY THROUGH OCTOBER 2002 Budget July August September October Total $63,700 77,900 98,900 82,900 $ 323,400 Actual $58,803 71,700 105,608 63,605 $ 299,716 Surplus (Deficit) ($4897) (6200) 6708 (19,295) $ Source: Elim Tabernacle Annual Meeting, 12 November 2002 - THE FREE-RIDER PROBLEM AND THE CHURCH 3 these statistics, an analysis from a pure public good perspective will provide valuable insight into how individual preferences and market incentives affect the action of church members and adherents and help the church leadership to better understand the collection patterns. II. DEFINING THE FREE-RIDER PROBLEM Free-Riders Explained The Samuelson condition for efficient provision of a pure public good is to provide the quantity of a good where the sum of all individuals' marginal rates of substitution for the good is equal to the cost of the good.3 So if a group of individuals is collectively willing to pay for the good, then the good should be provided. The problem arises when enough individuals are involved that one can reasonably assume the good will be provided at a desirable level regardless of their personal contribution. In this case, individuals have an incentive to misrepresent their preferences for the good and to contribute less than they would normally be willing to pay. By observing the resulting shortfall of funds, one can intuitively agree with what Rosen states: the free-rider problem leads to a less than efficient quantity provided of a public good (Rosen 2001: 60). James Buchanan (1965) describes this inefficiency and gives us some intriguing insight into the motivations for individual choices and particular market outcomes relating to the effects of the free rider problem. Accordingly, for churches such as Elim Tabernacle whose revenues come primarily from the donations of their adherents, the free-rider problem is an ever-present hindrance to providing a socially optimal level of services. Elim Tabernacle's Background and Structure Elim was founded in 1917, and is entering its 86th year of ministry in Saskatoon. Elim is the largest affiliate of the Pentecostal Assemblies of Canada (PAOC) in Saskatchewan and it continues to grow; since its inception, Elim has relocated twice, and attendance has nearly tripled in the past ten years alone. In 1992, the average attendance on a Sunday morning was 480. The most recent data available from church administrator Wes Carlisle shows that the average attendance for the year ending in June of 2002 was 1030. Even more 2. Revenue figures were taken from Elim Tabernacle's 1993 and 2002 Annual Reports, and adjusted for inflation using the average inflation rate for SK found in Table A.1 in the Appendix. 3. Σ mrsi = c 4 SASKATCHEWAN ECONOMICS JOURNAL recently, on November 3, 2002 Elim had over 1300 people in attendance. Elim's Senior Pastor, Marvin Wojda, has been a minister for 22 years, ten of which have been with Elim. He notes that November and December are very strong months for attendance, typically increasing the annual average. Accordingly, 2002's average attendance is expected to be higher than the 1030 recorded up to June. So as Elim experiences a period of sustained growth, senior leadership plans for the future and hopes to anticipate the future needs of the community. Elim currently employs six full-time and two part-time pastors who oversee the various areas of ministry in the church. In addition, Elim has full-time positions for the administrator and the bookkeeper, two part-time receptionists, as well as one full-time and two part-time caretakers. Elim hosts a myriad of programs for all ages, including a youth church on Fridays for young people in grades seven to twelve, kids' church on Sundays for children up to grade six, and a young adult/ young married program on Mondays. These are all in addition to the regular services for the congregation every Sunday. Because the building cannot comfortably seat the average Sunday morning attendance that is now regularly over 1000, Elim schedules three identical services in the morning and one in the evening to ease the logistical strain caused by large crowds. Nevertheless, the building is fully employed nearly every weeknight with meetings, choir and music practices, and other events. Some programs cannot function efficiently because the facilities are too limited to support the necessary equipment or staging. For example, every Thursday night a few volunteers spend several hours setting up the sound equipment, staging, and seating arrangement necessary for the Friday night youth church in the gymnasium because it is used throughout the week for other functions and the equipment cannot be left in place. Consequently, several volunteers must also pack up the equipment every Friday night following the service. Other events that Elim hosts each year include weddings, funerals, and special events. In addition to the programs it hosts in the building, Elim contributes to the PAOC Saskatchewan District Office, and supports missionaries in Ethiopia, China, Thailand, Estonia, Romania and Columbia.4 4. See Elim Tabernacle's 2002 Annual Report for more details. 5. Interest income accounts for most of the other income. 6. Under the assumptions of identical preferences the tithing is interpreted as the constant (optimal) income share devoted to church services, although higher donations in absolute terms does not necessarily translate into a proportional rise in the volume of services consumed. 7. Tithes and undesignated offerings were $1,002,926 and other offerings were $48,827 (2002 THE FREE-RIDER PROBLEM AND THE CHURCH 5 Elim's Current Financial and Demographic Structure Elim receives the majority of its funding from collections or tithes from its congregation.5 While a measure of the disparity between individual donations would be a useful indicator of the magnitude of the free-rider problem, records of individual donations are generally not, and indeed should not be, made public. However, one can alternatively consider the discrepancy between aggregate contributions and revenues based on the expected average tithing.6 The tithe principle dates back to biblical account of Abraham. Gen 14:20 records that Abraham gave a tenth of all he owned to a priest of God. Later, in Lev 27:30-33 the author writes that “every tenth animal” belongs to God. These passages set the beginning framework for what Christians today call tithing. According to Wojda, it is generally interpreted that Christians are to give ten percent of their incomes back to God (i.e. to their local/home church). For accounting purposes, Elim's fiscal year end is June 30. The 2002 annual report shows that tithes received during the year totaled $1,051,753.7 This is an increase of 20% over 2001 tithe receipts, and is just over double the $408,824 received in 1992 after accounting for inflation.8 However, the average donation per person is only $934 for the year9 which, although it is very close to the provincial average charitable donation, seems significantly lower than a tithe according to what the donors' incomes should be. Intuitively, we can begin to see in monetary terms that there is a problem here. We will analyze this in more detail in How Big is the Problem? Elim's general expenditures for 2002 total $993,090. More than half the total ($505,357) was spent on employee salaries and benefits. This figure should increase for 2003 as two full-time pastors and a part-time pastor were recently hired. Administration and operation expenses totaled just under $250,000 while repair and maintenance to the facilities cost $118,359. The balance of $119,812 funded the various programs run throughout the year, including the youth and kids departments. In addition to general expenditures, Elim also spent $73,000 to purchase a strip of land on 8th Street adjacent to its existing property, as well as $110,000 to replace its existing furnaces and air conditioners and $75,000 to upgrade its carpets, chairs, sound and Annual report). 8. Average inflation in SK for the past 10 years has been 2.5% (Table A.1). $408,824 received in 1992 equals: $408,824 x 1.02510 = $523,329 in 2002 dollars, or just under half of the tithe receipts for 2002. 9. The tithe base represents the number of people who call Elim their church home - in other words, it is Elim's core members and adherents who could be expected to tithe. A derivation of this figure will follow shortly. 6 SASKATCHEWAN ECONOMICS JOURNAL lighting equipment and computers. All of these expenditures were necessary to continue operations as usual, but will decrease the cost of planned future expansions. It is worthwhile to note that the government effectively subsidizes the church to an extent, as Elim is a registered non-profit corporation. As a result, Elim issues tax receipts to donors for income tax purposes. As of this writing, the Canadian Customs and Revenue Agency (CCRA) allows 16% of the first $200 and 29% of any additional contributions (to a maximum of 75% of the individual's gross income) for non-refundable federal income tax credits.10 The provincial rates are 11.25% and 15.5% respectively. Following these tax credit guidelines, the approximate effective subsidy for Elim in 2002 totals almost $430,00011 for Federal and Provincial combined using the appropriate marginal tax rates. This subsidy works like a conditional matching grant because the more the congregation gives to the church, the higher the tax credit issued by the government. However, for my analysis I will ignore the effects of this subsidy, as it is not direct revenue to the church, but rather a refund or tax credit to the donor. Based on the tithe revenues of $1,051,735, one might venture to say that the income base of those who attend and support Elim is just over $10 million. However, we will see upon further analysis that a more plausible estimate exceeds triple that amount. With that figure in mind, it becomes clear that not everyone is tithing, the resulting lack of funds restricting the programs and services that Elim can offer. And considering that the average attendance is growing and will soon triple 1992 levels, Elim's leadership recognizes a serious need to expand its facilities.12 Elim is home to 326 active members and 55 inactive members.13 Inactive members consist mostly of shut-ins, snowbirds and those who have moved but not yet found a new church home.14 Members are eligible to vote on any major decisions for the church, including election of the Board of Deacons. The Board members are all volunteers who work with the Senior Pastor (Wojda) to handle day-to-day decisions as well as handling the budgeting with Administrator Wes Carlisle. 10. See the Canadian Tax Guide for more information. 11. Using the tithe base of 1126 as a starting point for how many people were issued tax receipts during 2002, the average donation per "tither" was $934. 12. The seriousness of the problem would depend on the degree to which members rely upon the church to provide, in addition to regular weekly services, other philanthropic activities. 13. See 2002 Annual Report for further demographic statistics. 14. Shut-ins are people who cannot leave their home because of illness or physical condition. Snowbirds are people who live in a more tropical climate for part of the year (usually during THE FREE-RIDER PROBLEM AND THE CHURCH 7 Those who have not formalized their membership with Elim represent the remainder of the congregation. On any given Sunday, only half the congregation attends the morning services, says Wojda. He adds that approximately 2500 people are listed in the church records as current attendees (only a small portion of the congregation are actually members). Wojda estimates that about 800 of the non-member adults are regular attendees who call Elim their home church. Elim's congregation represents a vast diversity of ages, occupations and family structures. Wojda estimates that approximately 60% of regular attendees are married couples, and the remaining 40% is split evenly between single men and women. Because the University of Saskatchewan is located in Saskatoon, Elim has a large proportion of single young adults and young married couples in its congregation. Wojda also mentions that approximately twenty doctors attend his church, or nearly 1% of the adult congregation, which is higher than the provincial average of doctors per capita.15 Wojda adds that Elim is home to a significant amount of educators and professors. He believes that the congregation is a good representation of provincial norms, and that perhaps the average income would be slightly higher among those attending Elim compared to the provincial average. Relevant National Statistics16 Inflation in Canada has averaged 2.01% in the past 10 years; in Saskatchewan that figure is 2.50%. The average earnings in 1999 for Canadian men and women were $35,169 and $22,535 respectively (see Table 2). After accounting for inflation, the 2002 dollar estimates are $37,333 and $23,921. The average income for families in Saskatoon in 1995 was $53,196 (see Table 3), which in 2002 dollars would be $63,233 and $31,617 per worker (assuming two income earners per family). In 2000, 25.53% of Canadians who filed tax returns donated $5.4 billion to charities. In Saskatchewan, 27.31% of those who filed tax returns donated $176 million. This amounts to an average donation per person of $985.91 in Canada, while the average for Saskatchewan donors was $931.61 (Table 4). the winter season). 15. There are 1530 doctors in Saskatchewan, or about 0.15% of the population of almost 1 million people (Mandryk). 16. All these statistics are from the Statistics Canada Website www.statcan.ca. I use the average inflation figures in Table A.1 of the Appendix to bring all figures to 2002 dollars. For figures stated as Canadian averages, I use the Canadian average inflation rate, while for Saskatchewan figures I used the Saskatchewan average. 8 SASKATCHEWAN ECONOMICS JOURNAL Table 2: Average Annual Earnings by Sex Year All Earners Women Men 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 $21,449 $21,244 $21,380 $22,384 $22,535 $32,988 $32,901 $33,700 $34,769 $35,169 Source: Statistics Canada Website 10 November 2002. TABLE 3: FAMILY INCOME IN SELECTED CANADIAN CITIES City Average Household Income (1995 dollars) S askatoon 53,196 Calgary 63,586 Edmonton 56,090 Vancouver 60,438 Toronto 64,044 Ottawa 64,243 Quebec 52,570 Winnipeg 53,759 Regina 56,849 Source: Statistics Canada Website 10 November 2002. 9 THE FREE-RIDER PROBLEM AND THE CHURCH TABLE 4: CHARITABLE DONATIONS BY CANADIAN PROVINCE IN 2002 Taxfilers Canada Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island Nova Scotia New Brunswick Quebec Ontario Manitoba S askatchewan Alberta British Columbia Yukon Northwest Territories Nunavut Donors Number Number Percentage of taxfilers 21,611,830 5,516,420 25.53% 383,130 98,370 658,460 545,100 5,406,500 8,083,210 803,810 81,140 26,550 159,400 127,930 1,223,120 2,275,620 232,610 21.18% 26.99% 24.21% 23.47% 22.62% 28.15% 28.94% 694,870 189,770 27.31% 2,129,160 2,751,930 19,500 24,420 13,370 532,790 658,260 3,670 3,950 1,620 25.02% 23.92% 18.82% 16.18% 12.12% TABLE 4 CONTINUED Donation Provincial Amount Median (thousands $) $ Canada $ 5,438,672 $190 56,092 20,312 124,561 112,365 556,820 2,727,379 237,107 290 300 250 260 100 230 240 S askatchewan 176,790 270 Alberta British Columbia Yukon Northwest Territories Nunavut 632,341 787,187 3,012 3,179 1,527 230 230 180 160 340 Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island Nova Scotia New Brunswick Quebec Ontario Manitoba Average $ Donors' Gross Income Median $ $ 985.91 691.30 765.05 781.44 878.33 455.25 1,198.52 1,019.33 931.60 1,186.85 1,195.86 820.71 804.81 942.59 Source: Statistics Canada Website 10 November 2002. $ 39,300 30,600 31,700 35,400 33,400 37,800 42,100 34,400 33,600 40,600 39,400 50,200 63,200 57,600 10 SASKATCHEWAN ECONOMICS JOURNAL So How Big IS the Problem? It was pointed out above that the actual income base of the congregation was over $30 million. In this section I plan to explain the assumptions I made in my calculations of this estimate. My motivation for calculating these figures is to find out what Elim's revenues from tithes should be if the estimated tithe base actually tithed 10% of their incomes. The balance between what the revenues should be and what the actually are equals the monetary free rider cost to Elim.17 For this analysis we need to establish a base congregation that can be expected to tithe. For our purposes an appropriate congregational tithe base is 1126 people, comprising the 326 active members and Wojda's estimate of 800 committed regular attendees who have not formalized their membership. These 1126 people can be broken down by the 60-40 ratio mentioned earlier, into 338 couples and 225 single men and 225 single women. The total income of the tithe base, then, is simply the sum of the product of these numbers and their corresponding average income described in the previous section. According to these assumptions, the income of Elim's tithe base is $35,154,609, which should provide tithe revenues to Elim of $3.5 million. Given that actual tithes measured just under $1.1 million, the TABLE 5: FREE RIDER COST TO ELIM TABERNACLE IN 2002 Tithe Base Number 60% Couples 20% Single Men 20% Single Women 675.6 225.2 225.2 Total 1126 Corresponding Average Annual Earnings $63,233.33 $37,332.60 $23,921.36 Wage Base $21,360,217.98 $8,407,302.01 $5,387,089.50 Total Wage Base: $35,154,609.49 Expected Tithes at 10% of Wage Base: Actual Tithes: Free Rider Cost: $3,515,460.95 $1,051,753.00 $2,463,707.95 Note: annual earnings are adjusted for inflation, and the wage base for couples was calculated for 337.8 couples. 17. There are a few adjustments that I will address later on. 18. See Table 5 for the calculations. Essentially I broke down the tithe base of 1126 people to 60% couples and 40% singles (equal men and women). From there I used the family income average from Table 3 to calculate the income base for couples, and the single income earner THE FREE-RIDER PROBLEM AND THE CHURCH 11 free rider cost to Elim is approximately $2.5 million a year!18 Looking a Little Deeper A number of factors could result in adjustments to this estimate either up or down. One factor that could change our results is that some of Elim's members give to more than one church or ministry. These people may very well be tithing 10% to Christian organizations overall, while our model assumes that this 10% is solely donated to the individual's local church. Our numbers are also contingent upon our assumption that the average incomes for Saskatoon families and Saskatchewan singles are representative of the incomes of Elim's core congregation. As already mentioned, Elim has an inordinately high number of physicians, educators, and professors. Even with the large University crowd,19 the average incomes at Elim likely exceed the national and provincial averages, which would lead to a higher income base, expected tithe, and free rider cost. Another possible explanation for some of the difference between the expected and actual tithe figures is that some individuals may just not be able to afford to tithe. In today's society of easy consumer credit, often at extremely high interest rates, it is difficult not to overextend oneself into debt.20 If a family is living beyond their means, then perhaps the 10% tithe they are not contributing is not because they choose not to, but because they simply cannot afford to make the donation. Cases like this would decrease the calculated free rider cost. Nevertheless, even after adjusting the initial $2.5 million figure for these alternative deficiencies (or extras in the case of higher average incomes), the difference between expected and actual tithes is still expected to be large. III. RESOLVING THE PROBLEM What Now? Elim can reasonably conclude that the free rider problem has a monetary cost that results in a negative effect on its tithe revenues, in turn causing a less than socially optimal level of service to be provided. By targeting specific causes of disparities between expected and actual tithe revenues, Elim can increase commitment and involvement of its members and adherents, and improve revenues and increase services. For example, to reduce the problem of people not being able to afford to tithe, Elim can offer free expert financial planning.21 averages from Table 2 to calculate the income base for singles. The sum of the income bases equals the tithe base, of which 10% equals the expected tithe of $3.5 million. 19. University students are typically in a lower income bracket while they study. 20. E.g. TD Green Visa charges an 18.99% Annual Percentage Rate. 21. The PAOC has done this in the past; Elim could implement such a program. 12 SASKATCHEWAN ECONOMICS JOURNAL With proper budgeting and investment plans, most people will be better off financially and in the long-term be better positioned to tithe. Regardless of net worth and income level, there will always be people who do not tithe. If one person dislikes the style of music on Sunday mornings, he may stop tithing. If another person cannot find a program she enjoys, she may not feel a need to contribute funds. One solution is to work carefully to understand the individual needs and desires of the congregation and to try to be representative of everyone's tastes. Elim should choose music for the young and the old, offer meals and events for those who wish to fellowship, and provide training and mentoring for those who want to learn. If everyone is plugged in somewhere, they will feel pride and ownership of Elim. Such realization of pride and ownership forms the basis of collectively supporting one's church. APPENDIX TABLE A.1: CONSUMER PRICE INDEX ON ALL GOODS 1992 (Base Yea r) C anada 100 2002 120.1 Av erage in flation 2.01% N ewfo u n d lan d & Lab rad o r 100 118.1 1.81% Prin ce Ed w ard Is lan d 100 119.2 1.92% N o v a Sco tia 100 121.2 2.12% N ew Bru n s wick 100 120.1 2.01% Q u eb ec 100 116.3 1.63% O n t ario 100 121.2 2.12% M an it o b a S a sk atch ewan 100 100 123.9 125.0 2.39% 2.50% A lbert a 100 125.9 2.59% British Columb ia 100 118.8 1.88% Source: Statistics Canada Website, November 2002. THE FREE-RIDER PROBLEM AND THE CHURCH 13 REFERENCES Browning and Zupan. (2002). Macroeconomics Theory and Applications. 7th Edition. New York: John Wiley and Sons. Buchanan, James. (1968). The Demand and Supply of Public Goods. Chicago: Rand McNally Co.. Parkin and Bade. (2000). Microeconomics Canada in the Global Environment. 4th Edition. Toronto: Addison Wesley Longman. Rosen, Dahlby, Smith, and Boothe. (2003). Public Finance in Canada. 2nd Edition. Toronto: McGraw-Hill Ryerson. Samuelson, Paul. (1962). Problems of the American Economy. London: Athlone Press. Articles Mandryk, Murray. (2003). “Doctors face uphill PR battle.” Saskatoon: Star Phoenix B12. May 9. Data and Other Sources Carlisle, Wes. ‘Annual Meeting.’ Elim Tabernacle, 5 November 2002. Elim Tabernacle, 2002, Annual Report, Saskatoon. Elim Tabernacle, 1993, Annual Report, Saskatoon. Statistics Canada. ‘Average Earnings by Sex and Work Pattern.’ 25 October 2001/10 November 2002. <http://www.statcan.ca/english/Pgdb/ labor01a.htm>. Statistics Canada. ‘Charitable Donors.’ 8 November 2002/10 November 2002 <http://www.statcan.ca/english/Pgdb/famil90.htm>. Statistics Canada. ‘Selected Income Statistics for Individuals, Families and Households.’ 5 November 2002. 10 November 2000 <http://www.stat can.ca/english/Pgdb/famil61a.htm>. Wojda, Marvin. Interview with Nate Glubish. Elim Tabernacle, 12 November, 2002.
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