A ir Pollution and Health SU M M AR Y (Figures in parenthesis refer to the numbered paragraphs in the text of the Report) 1. Air Pollution and Health (I. I to I. 9) For 700 years, at least, British people have protested in one way or another about the pollution of air through the burning of soft coal. As long ago as 1273 a Law was passed to prevent this. In the seventeenth century the great English physician, Thomas Sydenham, was convinced that the ‘sulphur and fumes of sea coals . . . give occasion for a cough’. In 1854 Sir John Simon reported to the Court of the City of London his valid reasons for believing ‘that many persons of irritable lungs find un questionable inconvenience from these mechanical impurities of the atmosphere’. In 1956 the Clean Air Act was passed as a direct conse quence of the dense and polluted fog of early December 1952, which, it is estimated, caused 1,597 more deaths in the Administrative County of London than would have been expected (Figure 1, Table 1). The Act of 1956 has led to a reduction of air pollution, especially in London. 2. Some Facts about Pollution (2. 1 to 2. 18) The two major pollutants are smoke and sulphur dioxide. It is easy to measure their concentrations. They are taken as indices of pollution and not necessarily as the agents that cause ill-health. In Great Britain air pollution is due mainly to the burning of carbonaceous fuels. The burn ing of soft coal in domestic open fires produces minute droplets of tar and black smoke. Some smoke also comes from badly designed or badly operated heating plants and diesel engines. Large quantities of sulphur dioxide are emitted in the combustion of some solid and liquid fuels, and in humid conditions may react with other pollutants to form sulphuric acid and sulphates. Sulphur is present in most coals and crude oil but is virtually absent from petrol. Small amounts are found in diesel fuel. Little smoke comes from anthracite burned in open grates, as in parts of South Wales, or from coke and other manufactured fuels; but the sulphur content of these fuels is similar to that of coal. Particles in the air come from industrial processes, wear of roads and tyres, from animals and plants, from ash escaping from chimneys, as well as from coal smoke. Measurements of smoke and sulphur dioxide have been made in some areas for many years, and since 1961 a network of sampling stations has been set up on a systematic basis throughout the United Kingdom. Pollution from petrol and diesel engines results from incomplete com bustion, additives or impurities in the fuel, and ‘fixation’ of atmospheric nitrogen. Incomplete combustion in a badly maintained or misused diesel engine results in the emission of black smoke. Much of the lead from organic compounds added to petrol as anti-knock agents is emitted in the exhaust as inorganic lead. The concentrations of lead in the air, for example, of Fleet Street, London are very small (see also para 7. 1, p. 58). In combustion, some of the atmospheric nitrogen may be burned to yield oxides of nitrogen, and in the particular climatic conditions of I of the heart and from pneumonia also increased, mostly in older people. But deaths were also higher than expected in patients under the age of 45 years. Each of several periods of fog during the winter of 1958-59 was also associated with an immediate increase of mortality, mainly from bronchitis and pneumonia. Peaks of Pollution and Cold Weather (4. 5 to 4. 8). A fall in temperature usually coincides with dense fog, and many observations have shown that in these circumstances the cold weather increases mortality, especially in the elderly and the very young. Pollution of the air from domestic fires will obviously be greater during cold weather than at other times. When the two are combined the mortality from bronchitis is higher than that due to either polluted fog or cold separately. During the period 1947-54, in London and East Anglia the temperatures were similar, but in East Anglia the amounts of pollution were less, and the increase in the aver age number of deaths during periods of intense cold and frequent fogs was greater in London. Investigations have shown an increase of absence from work with increase of air pollution. For example, analysis of medical certificates in Salford disclosed a doubling of rates for sickness absence from bronchitis when concentrations of smoke in the air exceeded 1,000 yug/m3. Records of admissions to London hospitals in 1955-56 show that the demand for beds for patients with acute diseases of the chest rose during peaks of air pollution and cold weather. Long-term Trends (4. 9 to 4. 10). Until the late 1930s death rates from bronchitis in middle-aged men and women were falling. Since 1940 the death rate from bronchitis in men has taken an upward turn, and the decline in the death rate in women has been less marked (Figure 6). It is believed that these recent changes are due to increased cigarette smoking, which became more popular, among men especially, during the First World War and thereafter (Figure 7). The increasing mortality from bronchitis in men in recent years is more closely linked to increased cigarette smoking than to any greater exposure to urban air pollution from the consumption of coal, petroleum, or derv. Some International Differences (4. 11 to 4. 14). Some of the national differ ences recorded may be the result of different methods of certifying death. British doctors, for example, usually put on the death certificate ‘chronic bronchitis’, while American and Norwegian physicians use such terms as ‘emphysema’ or ‘bronchiectasis’. Such differences limit the value of international comparisons. The differences in morbidity rates for bron chitis in the rural populations of Denmark and Britain, with less bronchitis in the former, may be explicable by the Danish preference for pipes and cigars and the British preference for cigarettes. Surveys of men doing the same job in different countries but similar in age and smoking habits showed that men working in London had worse bronchitis and poorer function of the lung than men in either Bergen in Norway or in Baltimore, Washington and Westchester (New York) in the USA. Britain has the unenviable record of the highest death rate in the world from chronic disease of the lung in middle-aged men. Differences between Town and Country (4. 75 to 4. 19). All investigations in Britain have demonstrated a close correlation between presumptive 3 Los Angeles they react with hydrocarbons from exhausts to form a ‘photochemical smog’ that irritates the eyes. Such a combination of circumstances is very rare in Britain. Concentrations of nitrogen dioxide above levels considered safe in industrial practice have not been recorded, e.g. in street air in London (see para 7. 4, p. 59). Petrol engines give out large quantities of carbon monoxide, almost absent from diesel exhaust. If a petrol engine is left running in a closed garage the carbon monoxide may reach a concentration that is fatal because it replaces the oxygen from the haemoglobin in the blood. Even in heavy traffic the level of carboxyhaemoglobin (carbon monoxide bound to haemoglobin) found in the blood of those exposed to its fumes rarely reaches that commonly found in cigarette smokers. But there is need for investigation of the possible effects of carbon monoxide from car exhausts on, for example, perception (see para 7. 2, p. 58). 3. Experiments on Effects of Pollution (3. 1 to 3. 10) Most of the experimental work on the effects on the lung of inhaled particles and gases has been done to identify potential hazards in industry. It is difficult to apply to man the observations made on experimental animals. It is, however, possible to test the effects of individual com ponents of fog, alone or in combination. Particles in the air greater than 10 microns in diameter are trapped in the nose and upper air passages; smaller particles penetrate farther into the lung. High concentrations of inert particles can cause increased resistance to the flow of air in the airways of the lung. There has been no convincing report of any response in human volunteers to experimental inhalation of less than one part per million (ppm) of sulphur dioxide, and concentrations of this exceeding 1 ppm are rarely found in urban air. Animal experiments show that the effect of sulphur dioxide is enhanced in an aerosol in which it is soluble or which contains salts accelerating its oxidation to sulphuric acid. It is possible that particles of smoke and sulphuric acid in some special form increase the irritant effect of sulphur dioxide. 4. Air Pollution and Bronchitis (4. 1 to 4. 30) Chronic bronchitis is one of the major causes of disablement and death in Great Britain, particularly among middle-aged and elderly men. In 1967 it caused the death of 5,253 men and 1,134 women between the ages of 45 and 64. Some 30 million working days are lost to industry each year because of bronchitis, and the total cost of this amounts to some £65 million a year. It is therefore important to discover the causes of the disease and ways of preventing it. It seems that the simple recurrent cough and expectoration of early chronic bronchitis is brought on by cigarette smoking. Infection of the bronchial tubes follows, and the patient gradually gets short of breath. The airways of the lung become narrowed, and oxygen supply to the blood is reduced. Lack of oxygen in time leads to constriction of the smaller blood-vessels of the lung, which places an extra strain on the heart; and this is added to the difficulty of breathing caused by the irritation of the lungs by polluted air. The great fog of London in December 1952 demonstrated how deadly these effects can be (Figures 1 and 3). In the Administrative County of London deaths from bronchitis were nine times the number expected at that time of the year. Figure 3 in the Report shows that deaths from diseases 2 levels of pollutants in the air and mortality from bronchitis in middle life. Town air is more polluted than country air. Among postmen, rates for disablement, premature death, and for absence from work because of bronchitis were high in those working in the most polluted areas. The highest rates of disability among postmen and bus crews were among those working in the centre and north-east of London, where the con centration of air pollution was higher than in other parts. A survey in 1961 showed that bronchitis was twice as frequent in large towns as in rural areas. In general it is commoner in the North of England than in the South. The differences in mortality from bronchitis in town and country were brought out in an investigation comparing the experience of Belfast with that of the surrounding countryside; it illustrated the major im portance of smoking habit and social class, as well as of air pollution, in deaths from this disease. Effects of Cigarette Smoking and Air Pollution and Cold (4. 20 to 4. 24). Cigarette smokers are three times more likely to suffer from chronic bron chitis than are non-smokers (Figure 9). It is not possible to measure exactly the relative importance of exposure to cigarette smoking and to polluted air, but the difference between the rates for non-smokers and smokers is greatest in the most polluted districts. A survey by the Royal College of General Practitioners in 1961 demonstrated that cigarette smoking was associated with chronic cough and expectoration in young men— the smoker’s cough. After the age of 55 years more serious symp toms such as repeated chest illness and breathlessness were commoner in those living in the more heavily polluted areas. A significant correlation has been shown between the death rates from pneumonia and the levels of particulate air pollution in 30 county boroughs in England and Wales. During very cold weather in London the death rate from pneumonia doubled when the duration of fog increased from 10 hours to more than 20 hours in the week preceding death. As has already been mentioned, this pattern was not repeated in East Anglia, where the temperature was similar but air pollution much less. Which Pollutant? (4. 25 to 4. 30). Whereas there is no doubt of the illeffects of air pollution, the relative importance of such pollutants as smoke and sulphur dioxide, used as convenient indices of pollution, has not been established. It is necessary also to consider the possible effects of sulphuric acid and of oxides of nitrogen. The significance of different pollutants may be further elucidated when more is known of the effects of the Clean Air Acts in changing the nature of pollution of the atmosphere. 5. Chest Diseases in Young People (5. I to 5. II) In the fog disaster of 1952 the death rate among children rose sharply, especially in the first year of life. The death rates from bronchitis and pneumonia in children are higher in England and Wales than elsewhere in North-western Europe and are double the rates in Scandinavian countries (Table 4). A complication of infection of the upper respiratory passages is chronic infection of the middle ear. At examination for National Service chronic otitis media has been found more often in youths from towns than in those from the country. Perforated eardrums and discharging ears were found to be commoner in Sheffield children 4 than in Welsh children of the same social class. In Sheffield itself persist ent cough and scarred or perforated eardrums were commoner in districts where air pollution was high than in those where it was low, an effect more directly related to pollution than to such social circumstances as overcrowding in the home. One national survey of schoolchildren showed a steady rise in the frequency of bronchitis in step with increasing levels of air pollution. Another survey demonstrated a steady rise of persistent cough, particularly among children of less skilled workers, from the lowest rates in the rural areas to maximum rates in the most heavily polluted areas (see Figure II). 6. Air Pollution and Lung Cancer (6. I to 6. 21) The evidence that cigarette smoking is the most important factor in causing lung cancer does not preclude examination of other possible influences. The death rate from lung cancer is highest in the major conurbations and decreases with the size of town to the lowest rates in rural districts. There is a general tendency for death rates from cancer of the lung to be high in countries where the air is much polluted by smoke from coal; but the disease is common in some countries (e.g. Finland) where little coal is used. Some of the earlier statistical work linking lung cancer with air pollution is open to criticism. Lung cancer is a particular hazard in certain occupations such as nickel and chromate refining, in iron foundries and iron mines, and in asbestos works; but men in these occupations form only a small part of the male urban population and work only in certain areas. The general excess of mortality from lung cancer in urban districts cannot therefore be accounted for by workers in these industries. There is no consistent excess of deaths from lung cancer in men especially exposed to polluted air in streets, as policemen, bus conductors, or lorry drivers’ mates. Though the Registrar General has reported an increased mortality in motor mechanics and drivers of motor vehicles, there is no increased mortality among mechanics working in garages and thus exposed to fumes from diesel or petrol engines. Smoking and the Urban Factor (6. 9 to 6. 14). Cigarette smoking is the most important of the causes of cancer of the lung. Various studies have indicated, however, that when allowance is made for the effect of cigar ette smoking there remains a degree of association between death rates from lung cancer and the burning of solid fuels. In Northern Ireland an inquiry showed that for people with similar smoking habits the risk of dying from lung cancer rose consistently from rural areas through urban districts to reach a maximum in central Belfast. The prospective inquiry into the smoking habits and places of residence of British doctors has demonstrated that the death rate among cigarette smokers from lung cancer is higher in conurbations than in rural areas. Similar differences between rural and urban death rates from cancer of the lung exist in Norway, where there is little pollution of the air, even in towns. These observations point to the influence in the incidence of lung cancer of an ‘urban factor’ that is not necessarily related to air pollution. Comparisons of the experience in Britain and the U SA show that mortality from lung cancer increases with size of population in both countries, but that in places of similar size the mortality is twice as great in this country (see Table 6). This contrast is as marked in rural areas as in urban areas, and 5 implies that in the causation of lung cancer there is a distinct ‘British factor’ as well as an ‘urban factor’. Evidencefrom Migration (6. 15). The death rates from cancer of the lung among British-born people living in the less polluted countries of New Zealand, South Africa, the United States, and Canada lie between the lower rates of those born in these countries and the higher rate for Britain itself (Table 7). In South Africa the British immigrant, with apparently identical smoking habits and living in the same places as his South African-born contemporary, still has a higher rate of mortality from cancer of the lung. There is an enduring effect of British conditions or habits, and this might be due to exposure to high levels of air pollution in early life. Experimental Evidence (6. 16). Experiments on animals have limited relevance to humans, if only because it is not possible in the laboratory closely to simulate the conditions of urban air pollution. The cancerproducing substance benzo(a)pyrene is present in small amounts in town air. Comparatively large amounts introduced directly into the lungs have resulted in lung tumours in rats. The inhalation of sulphur dioxide and benzo(a)pyrene together caused tumours to appear in the lungs of rats; but neither did so when inhaled separately. The inhalation of air pollutants at ‘realistic concentrations’ has not caused tumours in animals. Experiments have demonstrated that a cancer-producing substance might be more effective when inhaled with an irritant such as cigarette smoke. 7. Other Effects of Air Pollution (7. 1 to 7. 8) The increasing density of motor vehicle traffic has aroused anxiety about the possible effects of motor exhausts on health. (See also pp. 1 and 2 of Summary and paras 2. 5 to 2. 10 of Report.) The concentration of carbon monoxide in the blood of persons in streets with heavy traffic is often exceeded in cigarette smokers not exposed to motor exhausts. But exposure to carbon monoxide in street air may affect the senses and further research should be carried out on the effects of small concentrations. No reports of the amount of lead in the blood in Britons exposed to traffic fumes are available. In places like Los Angeles levels of lead in the blood have been found to be, in general, below the level at which lead intoxi cation arises. Climatic conditions in Britain do not favour the Los Angeles type of smog. The highest concentration of nitrogen dioxide in London is well below that considered safe in industrial conditions. 8. Prevention of Air Pollution (8. 1 to 8. 13) The burning of fuel for heat and power is the prime cause of pollution of air of British towns. Controls must be applied to the three main sources of pollution: domestic premises, industry, transport. Domestic (8. 2 to 8. 5). Most of the pollution likely to affect health comes from the burning of coal fires in homes. Heating and cooking with electricity or gas would eliminate this hazard. Little contamination comes from oil for domestic heating; it has a low sulphur content. As solid fuels will continue to be used for many years smokeless fuels such as anthracite or coke are to be preferred; but they contain the same amount of sulphur 6 as raw coal. The heavier grades of oil for large central heating installa tions contain more sulphur than coal does. Their chimneys do not always ensure effective dispersion. District systems in which a large central boiler house supplies hot water to all the houses of a neighbourhood are em ployed in many European cities; local air pollution is greatly reduced in this way. Industrial and other Sources (8. 6 to 8. i i ). The large, efficient furnaces installed in industry and in power stations burn coal so completely that no smoke should be emitted. Goal and oil from which much of the sulphur has been removed are too expensive for general use in industry. Raising the height of chimney stacks to 8oo feet makes dispersion effective. Sulphurous products can be removed from gases in the chimney stack. The gas-washing plants at Battersea and Bankside power stations in London remove some 95 per cent of the sulphur dioxide, but decrease in buoyancy of the plume may cause pollution of the neighbourhood. In the street fumes from a diesel engine can be a hazard by obscuring visibility. Carbon monoxide in vehicle exhausts is a potential hazard in congested traffic and in enclosed spaces. Legislative Control (8. 12 to 8. 13). The Glean Air Act of 1956 seeks to limit the pollution of the air by smoke. The establishment of smokeless zones in towns and cities is the responsibility of local authorities. The Glean Air Act of 1968 has widened the scope of some of the original provisions in relation to industry. When an area is declared to be a ‘smoke control area’ grants of up to 70 per cent of the cost of changing domestic heating systems may be made to occupiers of houses built before 1956, when the Glean Air Act was passed. 9. The Effects of the Clean Air Acts (g. 1 to 9. 8) The emission of smoke from industrial premises has been much reduced throughout Britain. The control of domestic sources has been less uni form. By establishing smoke control areas London and a number of other large cities have substantially reduced pollution of the air by smoke. There are still too many ‘black areas’— areas, that is, where smoke control is urgently needed— in the mining towns of the North (see Table 8). Improvements in health were shown in the relatively much fewer deaths in the episode of fog in 1962 in London than in the similar fog in 1952. There has been a remarkable absence of peaks of pollution in London for several years. The age-standardised death rate from bron chitis in London, which a few years ago was above the national level for men and women, is now about the same. Similar but less dramatic changes are taking place in mortality from lung cancer. These changes could have been due to alterations in smoking habits in the past.10 10. Recommendations (10. 1 to 10. 13) (a) For Patients (10. 1 to 10. 3). In acute episodes of polluted fog patients with chronic bronchitis or chronic heart disease, especially the elderly, should remain indoors. Windows should be closed to keep the foul air out. Rooms should be warm. A bottle of dilute ammonia opened in a room may help to neutralise acid mists. Undue exertion should be avoided. Anyone compelled to go outside should wear a face-mask or a 7 scarf over the nose and the mouth. Advice to patients with chronic bronchitis to change place of residence should be tempered with caution. Patients vary in their susceptibility to pollutants. The air in residential areas of small provincial towns may be more polluted than the air in large cities. Information about polluted areas may be obtained from the Warren Spring Laboratory, Stevenage, Herts. (b) For Central and Local Government (10. 4). The universal and effective implementation of the Glean Air Acts is the most urgent task confronting central and local government in the control of air pollution. All new housing developments should at the outset be designated as smoke control areas. (c) For Health Authorities (10. 5 to 10. 7). The Hospital Inpatient Inquiry should provide data on diseases connected with air pollution. The Department of Health and Social Security should regularly survey dis abling illness among the insured population in this respect. Medical Officers of Health should conduct surveys of children through the school medical service to assess the extent and nature of respiratory disorders among them. There is need for centralised information on changes of air pollution in different parts of the country and of related changes in health and disease. (d) For Research (10. 8 to 10. 11). The Medical Research Council should ensure the regular assessment of available data on air pollution in re lation to health. The Council might extend laboratory studies into the risks of new forms of pollution, as from asbestos. Research into the reduction of sulphur in fuels and into methods of removal of sulphur dioxide from stack gases should be intensified. Further research is needed into the combined effects on health of air pollution and tobacco smoke and of exhausts from motor vehicles. (e) International Co-operation (10. 12). Standardisation of methods of measuring air pollution and of diagnostic terms and conventions should facilitate international comparisons, and an exchange of ideas and information should be carried out through the World Health Organisation. 8 Air Pollution and Health Stoke-on-Trent 1910 Stoke-on-Trent 1969 Photographs showing the effect of the Glean Air Acts. In the pottery industry of Stoke-on-Trent coal was replaced by oil, gas and electricity. (Permission to reproduce these photographs has kindly been given by the Director of the British Ceramic Research Association and the Director of the National Society for Clean Air.) Air Pollution and Health SUMMARY AND REPORT ON AIR POLLUTION AND ITS EFFECT ON HEALTH BY THE COMMITTEE OF THE ROYAL COLLEGE OF PHYSICIANS OF LONDON ON SMOKING AND ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION LONDON PITMAN MEDICAL AND SCIENTIFIC PUBLISHING CO. LTD. First Published 1970 PITM AN M E D IC A L AND S CIE N T IF IC COMPANY LTD 31 Fitzroy Square, London, W 1 PUBLISHING Associated Companies SIR ISAAC P I T M A N AND SONS L T D Pitman House, Parker Street, Kingsway, London, WC2 P.O. Box 6038, Portal Street, Nairobi, Kenya S IR I S A A C P I T M A N ( A US T . ) P T Y . L T D Pitman House, Bouverie Street, Carlton, Victoria 3053, Australia P I T M A N P U B L I S H I N G C O R P O R A T I O N S . A. L T D P.O. Box 9898, Johannesburg, S. Africa PITMAN PUBLISHING CORPOR ATIO N 20 East 46th Street, New York, N Y 10017 SIR ISAAC P ITM A N (CANADA) LTD Pitman House, 381-383 Church Street, Toronto, 3 TH E COPP CLA R K PUBLISHING COMPA NY 517 Wellington Street, Toronto, 2B © 1970 The Royal College of Physicians of London This book is protected under the Berne Convention, It may not be reproduced by any means, in whole or in part, without permission. Application with regard to reproduction should be addressed to the Publishers. Paperback Edition : ISBN o 272 76023 4 Library Edition: ISBN o 272 76024 2 Printed in Great Britain by Staples Printers Limited, at their Rochester, Kent, establishment 21 0005 11 21 0006 11 Contents Summary I Air Pollution and Health 2 3 Sources, Types, and Trends of Air Pollution 7 9 15 Experimental Work on the Effects of Inhaled Pollution 23 Preface 4 Air Pollution, Chronic Bronchitis, and Allied Diseases 5 6 7 Respiratory Disorders in Young People 27 43 Air Pollution and Lung Cancer 48 Other Effects of Air Pollution 58 8 Prevention of Air Pollution 61 9 The Effects of the Clean Air Acts 65 Observations and Recommendations 69 References 73 10 Plates Frontispiece: The effect of the Clean Air Acts in Stoke-on-Trent Plate 1 : Electron micrograph of a smoke aggregate f.p. 16 Preface Several serious illnesses, in particular lung cancer, are associated with smoking or with environment. In April 1959 the Royal College of Physicians of London set up a Committee t o : ‘Report on the question of smoking and atmospheric pollution in relation to carcinoma of the lung and other illnesses.5 The Committee decided that although the effects of air pollution and smoking might be interrelated the preventive measures required were so different that the two hazards should be considered separately. A report on the effects of smoking, Smoking and Health, was published in 1962. The College Committee on Smoking and Atmospheric Pollution now presents its report on Air Pollution and Health. A follow up report on smoking is in preparation. The composition of the Committee is as follows : Sir Charles Dodds (President and Chairman till 1966) Sir Max Rosenheim (President and Chairman from 1966) Sir Aubrey Lewis Dr J. N. Morris Dr J. G. Scadding Dr J. C. Gilson Dr H. A. Clegg (Co-opted 1969) Dr P. J. Lawther Dr F. Avery Jones Dr D. D. Reid Dr N. C. Oswald Dr L. H. Capel Dr C. M. Fletcher Sir Kenneth Robson (Registrar) Mr G. M. G. Tibbs (Secretary of the College) The Committee wishes to acknowledge the valuable assis tance given by M r R. E. Waller of the Air Pollution Unit, Medical Research Council. ‘A young gentleman who had inked himself by accident, addressed me from the pavement, and said, “ I am from Kenge and Carboy’s miss, of Lincoln’s Inn.” “ If you please, sir,” said I. He was very obliging; and as he handed me into a fly, after superintending the removal of my boxes, I asked him whether there was a great fire anywhere? For the streets were so full of dense brown smoke that scarcely anything was to be seen. “ O dear no, miss,” he said. “ This is a London particular.” I had never heard of such a thing. “ A fog, miss,” said the young gentleman. “ O indeed,” said I.' Bleak House by Charles Dickens 1 A ir Pollution and Health I. I From Friday 5th December to the morning of Tuesday 9th December 1952, London was enclosed in still, cold air. The result was a dense fog in which air pollution reached an unusually high level. There was an immediate increase in the number of people dying in Greater London, and the mortality remained higher than was normal for the season (Figure 1). It was estimated that the fog was responsible for the deaths of from 3,500 to 4,000 people either during the fog or soon afterwards.68 In the week ending 13th December deaths in the Administrative County of London alone, at 2,484, were about three times the number that might have been expected at that time of the year. Table 1 shows that the largest relative TABLE I. M O R T A L IT Y INCREASE IN TH E LO N D O N SM O G OF 1952 Cause Bronchitis Coronary disease Myocardial degeneration Pneumonia Vascular lesions of CNS Respiratory tuberculosis Cancer of lung Other respiratory diseases Other causes All causes Seasonal norm 75 N o . o f deaths in the week after smog 37 98 704 281 244 168 128 17 36 8 410 887 69 52 761 2,484 122 84 77 Relative increase 9 .4 2-3 2.9 4 .5 1.3 4 .5 1.9 6 .5 1.9 2*8 increases were in deaths from bronchitis, pneumonia, and tuberculosis and other diseases of the lungs, with bronchitis heading the list. There was also an increased number of deaths from heart disease. Most of these deaths were in old people 10 Air Pollution and Health FIGURE I DEATH AND POLLUTION LEVELS IN THE FOG OF DECEMBER 1 952 The fog lasted from 5th December to 9th December. The graphs show the increased number of deaths during this period and also the rise in the amounts of sulphur dioxide (S0 2) and smoke in the air. The figures for death were provided by the Registrar General’s Office. The pollution levels were measured at twelve different stations in London. and the pollution probably hastened their end, but it should be noted that during December 1952 the number of persons under the age of 45 dying from bronchitis and pneumonia was also three times higher than was expected. The winter of 1952 provided a dramatic example of the deadly effect of air pollution, and was the starting point of a number of inquiries into the subject. 1.2 As long ago as 1273 a law was passed to prevent or at least control pollution of the atmosphere by the burning of soft Air Pollution and Health 11 coal, and complaints against such pollution were frequent in the thirteenth and fourteenth centuries. A landmark in the history of this subject was the pamphlet entitled Fumifugium addressed by John Evelyn to Charles II, in 1661.33 He described the ‘Evil' as 'epidemicall: indangering as well the Health of Your Subjects, as it sullies the Glory of this Your Imperial Seat'. Evelyn suggested that factories using coal should be moved farther down the Thames valley and that a green belt of trees and flowers be put round the heart of the city. ‘But I hear it now objected by some,' Evelyn wrote, ‘that in publishing this Invective against the smoake of London, I hazard the engaging of a whole Faculty against me, and par ticularly, that the College of Physicians esteem it rather a Preservation against Infections, than otherwise any cause of the sad effects which I have enumerated.' The famous seven teenth-century physician, Thomas Sydenham, however, had no doubt about the ill effects of London mists containing, 'the fumes that arise from the several trades managed here, but especially sulphur and fumes of sea coals with which the air is polluted, and these, being sucked into our lungs and insinu ating into the blood itself, give occasion for a cough' .121 1.3 Yet three hundred years later there is still uncertainty about the precise effects on health of fouling of the atmosphere. This lack of understanding is chiefly due to the complexity of the problem. The public health movement of the last century concentrated on drainage, on a clean water-supply, on sewerage, on housing, and on the control of epidemics of such diseases as cholera and smallpox and typhoid. The theoretical justification of sanitary measures at that time was the main tenance of pure air, based on a false theory of the spread of infection. ‘The ultimate end of sewerage, drainage, and a supply of water adequate to the cleansing of sewers, drains and streets,' wrote Dr Southwood Smith in 1846, ‘is to main tain the air, wherever human beings take up their abode, in a fit state for respiration.'35 Dr William Farr believed that pol lution of the air was responsible for the excess of disorders of the lung in English cities.14 Sir John Simon, in his City of London Reports, referred specifically to ‘the flagrant nuisance of smoke'. ‘I ought likewise to tell you, that there are valid 12 Air Pollution and Health reasons for supposing that we do not with impunity inhale day by day so much air which leaves a palpable sediment; that many persons of irritable lungs find unquestionable incon venience from these mechanical impurities of the atmosphere.' And Simon said that, 'at no distant period' smoke from domestic chimneys would be controlled, and they would 'cease to convey to the atmosphere their present immense freight of fuel that has not been burnt, and of heat that has not been utilized'. This report was made in 1854 to the Court of the City of London.109 Since then many other pollutants have been poured into the atmosphere. 1. 4 Almost exactly a hundred years later, in 1956, the Clean Air Act was passed.69 This was a direct consequence of the 1952 fog in London. The Beaver Report, which formed the basis of Government action, had stressed the risk to health from a heavily polluted atmosphere.6 How serious this might be had already been shown in 1930, when sixty people died after a period of intense pollution of the air in a small Belgian village in the Meuse Valley.36 A similar episode had occurred in Donora, near Pittsburgh, in 1948,105 and this, with the emergence of a lachrymatory haze of a different type of pollution in Los Angeles,40 stimulated the publication in the U SA of a number of papers on the effects of air pollution on health.126 127 In the hundred years following John Simon’s brief reference to the dangers of a smoke-laden atmosphere there were few reports on the subject in British medical literature; but some progress had been made in measuring and charting the nature and amount of contaminants of urban air in Britain. 1. 5 Anyone who has experienced the dense yellow fog that used to be known as the 'London particular' is unlikely to be surprised by the suggestion that it is bad for the lungs. But a doctor faced with a patient from an area where air pollution has long been at a high level may find it difficult to determine the extent to which the patient’s health has been affected by it. A man with chronic bronchitis may be a heavy smoker, a worker in heavy industry, live in a crowded home, or have had repeated attacks of pneumonia. Any additional effects on health of exposure to polluted air in his surroundings are thus Air Pollution and Health 13 difficult to assess. The relative influences of cigarette smoking and air pollution have therefore been studied by comparing, among large groups of people differing in their exposure to them, the frequency of the diseases these factors may cause. The initial approach should be through these epidemiological comparisons, and the results obtained should be the basis for public health policy and action. T o say this is not to under estimate the need for and value of laboratory research, or the contribution made by clinical observation. Some Problems of Measurement and Interpretation 1. 6 The difficulties inherent in the epidemiological approach to disease stand out prominently in any attempts to measure the effect of air pollution on disease. Current exposure to cigarette smoke can be estimated with reasonable accuracy— so many cigarettes a day. But measurement of exposure of indi viduals to air pollution cannot be other than crude. The concentration of pollutants varies according to the nature and amount of the fuel used, and to meteorological conditions and topography of the places where people live. Exposure may be brief and intense, or be continued for long periods to low concentrations of the allegedly harmful constituents of the air breathed. 1. 7 There is, too, no disease that is clearly due to air pollu tion alone. The effect of pollutants has thus to be gauged by the frequency of lung diseases such as bronchitis and emphy sema among people exposed to them. But these diseases are not precisely defined, and diagnostic standards may differ from time to time or between town and country. To lessen some of these difficulties of measurement and interpretation surveys of representative samples of people living in areas differing in levels of air pollution have been carried out with uniform methods of investigation and standardised techniques of measuring lung function. At the same time the individual’s smoking habits, living conditions, and exposure to industrial dusts as well as to prevailing levels of local air pollution have usually been recorded. 1. 8 Modern methods of analysis allow us to disentangle the presumed effects of these factors and to determine the influence 14 Air Pollution and Health of pollution on lung and other diseases. In general, evidence of cause and effect comes from the repeated observation in similar circumstances of a clear association between the frequency of disease and the concentration of pollutants to which people are exposed at different times and places. Such findings must be assessed in the light of the results of experi ments on men and animals, as well as of clinical and patho logical experience. i . 9 Much work on air pollution and health has been done both in this country and abroad. Some coherent patterns have emerged. Sufficient evidence has accumulated to justify some conclusions about the risk to health of general air pollution in Britain. 2 Sources, Types, and Trends o f A ir Pollution 2. i Pollution of urban air in Great Britain— and this report is mainly restricted to British experience— is almost entirely due to the combustion of carbonaceous fuels. For centuries raw coal was the main source of heat and other forms of energy in home and factory. In 1956, the year in which the Clean Air Act was passed, the consumption of coal rose to its highest level of 214 million tons. It has since steadily declined.74 Further, a large proportion of the total supply is now burnt in installations, such as power stations, where smoke emission is carefully controlled and any other pollutants are dispersed at a high level. Electricity, gas, and oil play an increasing part in meeting the national need for energy, fuel oil being more and more used in central heating plants and in industry. The discovery of reservoirs of natural gas and the introduction of nuclear energy will have a growing influence on ways and means of providing heat and energy in the home and in industry. Particulate Matter 2. 2 Most of the particles in the air of British towns come from the combustion of fuel. Destructive distillation and in complete combustion of soft coal on domestic open fires produce minute tarry droplets and black smoke, which may remain suspended for long periods. Some smoke comes from badly designed or wrongly operated heating plants and diesel engines. In larger installations fuels can be burnt smokelessly, but the draught may carry particles of ash or of solid fuels up the chimney. These can be arrested mechanically or electri cally, and most of those that escape into the atmosphere are large enough to fall out near the source; but small ash particles Air Pollution and Health i6 are commonly seen in samples collected from town air. The large quantities of sulphur dioxide produced by the burning of the sulphur compounds occurring in many solid and liquid fuels also contribute indirectly to the suspended matter in urban air, since in humid conditions some reacts with other pollutants to form sulphuric acid and sulphates. Industrial processes, building and demolition, wear of road tyres and other materials, plants and animals, and the burning of vehicle fuel containing additives, all disperse particles into the air. In general, most of the particles in urban air have diameters less than one micron, and it is necessary to use an electron micro scope to examine their size and shape.132 Many are complex structures, and Plate i illustrates the appearance of a single ‘smoke aggregate' from London air at high magnification. In this sample the individual particles consist of carbon or complex hydrocarbons each with a diameter of about 0.05 of a micron. Examples of the size and distribution of particles in London air are given in Table 2. TABLE 2 . NUM B ER AND SIZE OF PAR TICLES IN LO N D O N AIR Sam pling site City, normal pollution City, moderate pollution City, high pollution Street sample, light traffic Tunnel sample, heavy traffic m l= millilitre. N o. o f particles/m l 7,800 27,100 154.500 27,300 120,400 ug = a millionth of a gram. Estim ated concentration M a ss median diameter (u g /m3) (um) 100 370 1,970 280 1,260 07 0.8 0.9 0.5 07 um = a millionth of a metre. Sulphurous and other Pollutants 2. 3 Even with apparently complete combustion most fuels still pollute the air, particularly with sulphur dioxide. Sulphur is present in most coals as pyrites and as organic sulphur com pounds. The latter also exist in crude oil, and they are concen trated in the heavier fractions on refining. Practically all the sulphur in oil, and between 80 and 90 per cent of that in coal and coke, go up the chimney as sulphur dioxide, one of the most important gaseous contaminants in urban air. Some Electron micrograph of a smoke aggregate x 220,000. (Permission to reproduce this photograph has kindly been given by the Air Pollution Unit, M edical Research Council .) Sources, Types, and Trends of Air Pollution 17 of it— up to 5 per cent— may be further oxidised to sulphuric acid. Sulphur compounds are virtually absent from petrol, but small amounts are found in diesel fuel. Motor vehicles con tribute very little sulphur dioxide to the air, even in busy streets, in comparison with that from the combustion of coal or heavy oil. 2. 4 Minute amounts of polycyclic hydrocarbons are present in the tarry component of pollution, and some of these (notably benzo(a)pyrene) have carcinogenic (cancer-producing) proper ties. Open coal fires are the main source of these compounds, with small contributions from motor vehicle exhausts. 2. 5 Some other pollutants of interest in relation to health are emitted by motor vehicles. There are two types of engine in common use: spark ignition (petrol), and compression ignition (diesel). In each case the end-points of combustion are, ideally, carbon dioxide and water, but undesirable pollution may be caused b y: (1) incomplete combustion; (2) additives or impurities in the fuel; and (3) ‘fixation’ of atmospheric nitrogen. (See also paras 7. 1 to 7. 4) 2. 6 Air is mainly a mixture of oxygen and nitrogen. In combustion some of the atmospheric nitrogen may also be burned to yield oxides of nitrogen. The commonest is nitric oxide (NO), further oxidised to nitrogen dioxide (NO2) in the air as well as to some extent in the combustion chamber. Nitrogen dioxide in high concentrations is a suffocating poisonous gas, but in air polluted by motor vehicles it occurs in concentrations well below those looked on as safe in industrial practice. 2. 7 In some conditions (when cold, idling, or decelerating) petrol engines give out much unaltered petrol, and, when starting from cold, diesel engines can discharge unburnt fuel. Often, the petrol is not combusted but discharged in an altered form : that is, its complex hydrocarbons may be simplified by rearrangement of the molecules in the process known as ‘cracking’. Contamination of the air by unburnt or by cracked hydrocarbons is serious in Los Angeles and other cities where strong sunlight and stable air produce a ‘photochemical smog’. This results largely from the action of ultraviolet light on nitrogen oxides and hydrocarbons discharged from the i8 Air Pollution and Health exhausts of vehicles. In the presence of some hydrocarbons, notably olefines, oxides of nitrogen react to form ozone. In turn, the ozone reacts with more hydrocarbons and other organic matter to produce compounds that irritate the eyes. This ‘photochemical smog' is the product of strong sunlight, stable air conditions, and high concentrations of the necessary hydrocarbons and oxides of nitrogen— a combination of circumstances very rare in Britain. 2. 8 With incomplete combustion substances such as alde hydes, ketones, and organic acids may be form ed: they are probably responsible for the typical smell of petrol and diesel exhausts. Incomplete combustion is also liable to lead to the formation of carbon in diesel engines, particularly when they are badly maintained or misused, with the consequent; emission of clouds of black smoke. 2. 9 Petrol engines emit large quantities of the odourless and colourless gas carbon monoxide, which is virtually absent from diesel exhaust. In Britain, concentrations of 10 to 20 ppm are usual in busy streets, with occasional peaks up to 100 ppm.133 Occupants of vehicles, especially in traffic jams, may be exposed to high concentrations from exhaust gases from other cars or leaking exhausts. The degree of absorption can be measured precisely, by analysis of the blood of exposed people, with simple and accurate methods that have made survey work much easier. The much greater affinity of the haemoglobin of blood for carbon monoxide than for oxygen constitutes the danger in high concentrations, which may cause fatal poisoning in a closed garage with the engine running. Extensive surveys have shown that concentrations approaching these do not occur even in crowded streets. 2. 10 Organic lead compounds are commonly added to petrol as ‘anti-knock' agents. Much of the lead is emitted with the exhaust in inorganic form; the concentrations found in busy streets are very small. Those in the air of Fleet Street in London have been found to be about 3 ug/m3, a result in keeping with assays made abroad.133 (See also para 7. 3) 2. 11 So far as is now known the many other contaminants of the air constitute no danger to health; but this is a matter that must be kept under close observation. Sources, Types, and Trends of Air Pollution 19 Factors Affecting the Distribution of Air Pollutants 2. 12 Measurements of smoke and sulphur dioxide through out Britain have shown the effect of various factors on their distribution in urban air; for example season, weather, size and position of town, the kind of fuel, and the way it is burnt. The smoke/sulphur-dioxide ratio is less in town-centres where offices and shops are centrally heated by plants producing little or no smoke than in residential areas where coal is incom pletely burnt in open grates. A town on a hill or on the coast will, in general, be swept by winds that make the air cleaner than in a town inland or in a valley. When the source of heat is electricity or gas there is little if any pollution of the air, and little smoke comes from hard coal burned in open grates, as in parts of South Wales, or from coke and other manufac tured fuels. Although the sulphur content of these smokeless fuels is similar to that of the coal from which they are made, less of them is needed to provide the same amount of heat. Soft bituminous coal, which is that chiefly used in houses, cannot be burnt in open grates without much smoke— a problem of special significance in places where miners have concessionary coal. 2. 13 Contamination of the atmosphere from the combustion of fuels for heating buildings increases in the winter. Seasonal swings of levels of pollution are less in places where industrial consumption of fuel is more or less constant throughout the year, and where domestic fires are used for cooking and for heating water. The concentration of pollutants in urban air may increase rapidly when Temperature inversion’ occurs. Usually, the air is colder the farther it is from the ground. Warm polluted air from chimney stacks rises rapidy through the colder layers of air above a city and is quickly dispersed. But if on a cold, still, cloudless night the earth loses heat by radiation the air immediately above the ground becomes colder than the air above the city (Figure 2): the temperature gradient is inverted. In these conditions contaminated air near the ground is thus cooler and denser than the air above and so cannot rise high enough to be effectively dispersed. The Temperature inversion’ is particularly serious when the cold ground air in a valley forms a stable pool in which pollutants FIGURE 2 THE MECHANISM OF TEMPERATURE INVERSION These illustrations show how change in air temperature can trap pollutants in a dense fog close to the ground. Many industrial towns in Britain are by their situation especially exposed to this hazard.. Sources, Types, and Trends of Air Pollution 21 are trapped. If humid air cools fog may form and shut off the warmth from the sun. The inversion of temperature persists until a change in the weather breaks it up. Many industrial towns in Britain are, unfortunately, situated in valleys and are therefore especially subject to periods of high air pollution. The Measurement of Smoke and Sulphur Dioxide 2. 14 Regular measurements of smoke concentrations in towns were first made more than fifty years ago. The number of sites making daily measurements of this pollutant, and later of sulphur dioxide too, has increased. Only since 1961 have stations for sampling the atmosphere been systematically set up throughout the United Kingdom. The Warren Spring Laboratory of the Ministry of Technology organises and publishes regular reports of this National Survey;76 by Sep tember 1969, 1,189 daily sampling instruments were in use.77 Local authorities, as well as other bodies, provide and main tain the instruments. 2. 15 A simple apparatus consists of an inlet funnel that excludes large particles, a clamp holding a filter paper, a bubbler containing a solution of hydrogen peroxide, a small pump, and a gas meter to measure the volume of air drawn through the apparatus. Smoke particles are held back on the filter paper, and their concentration can be estimated by reflectance in terms of ‘equivalent standard smoke’. Sulphur dioxide is converted to sulphuric acid in the bubbler and the amount is determined by titration.75 2. 16 Samples of air are usually taken over periods of 24 hours, but more frequent measurements may be required. Acute effects of air pollution may be more closely related to peak values than to 24-hour averages. At times of high pollution it is therefore important to supplement routine measurements of smoke and sulphur dioxide with others made over short periods (usually one hour). In foggy weather sul phuric acid can be determined by titration of samples collected on filter paper. 2. 17 Since smoke and sulphur dioxide are the major suspect pollutants and can be measured simply, there is a tendency to use their concentrations as indices of air pollution in general. 22 Air Pollution and Health Daily alterations in concentration at any one site are mainly determined by variations in the weather rather than by short term changes in emission. Concentrations of smoke, sulphur dioxide, and other pollutants usually alter in parallel with each other. In epidemiological studies concentrations of smoke or of sulphur dioxide have been used as indices of pollution, but this does not imply that these pollutants directly cause the effects that may be observed. Also, in many areas of the country the relations between smoke, sulphur dioxide, and other pollutants are gradually changing. For example, in London there is now much less smoke in the atmosphere as a result of the implementation of the Clean Air Act; but concentrations of sulphur dioxide have not decreased to the same extent. (See Fig. 13, p. 66.) 2. 18 In towns today, the average concentration of sulphur dioxide over the year is about 200 micrograms per cubic metre (u g/m 3), ranging from 140 in summer to 260 ug in the winter.78 Much higher concentrations may occur over short periods, up to 4,000 u g/m 3 in times of persistent temperature inversion. Before the Clean Air Act came into force in 1956 concentrations of smoke were often higher than those of sulphur dioxide, but now they are, in general, lower. It is no longer true to say that the largest towns have the highest smoke concentrations: in London they are no higher than those in many small provincial towns, and are well below those in small northern mining towns. 3 Experimental Work on the Effects o f Inhaled Pollution 3. i Most of the work on the effects of inhaled particles and gases has been done to identify potential hazards in industry, where men may be exposed for prolonged periods to high concentrations of pollutants, including some such as sulphur dioxide that also occur in urban air. Experiments on the chronic effects of long-term exposures to pollutants are necessarily confined to animals, but acute effects have been observed in human volunteers. The use of human beings in experiments has obvious limitations, especially, for example, in examining the effects of various pollutants on patients with bronchitis. It is difficult to apply to man the observations made in the laboratory on animals, if only for the reason that it is not possible to simulate in the laboratory the fog as it occurs in real life. All that can be done is to test the effects of indi vidual components of fog, alone or in limited combinations. 3. 2 The American Conference of Governmental Industrial Hygienists reviews each year the evidence relating to poten tially harmful materials. In Britain, the Ministry of Labour publishes these acceptable ‘threshold limits',72 some of which are shown in Table 3 alongside the highest hourly concentraTABLE 3. THRESHOLD L IM IT V ALU ES FO R SOM E PO LLU TA N T S IN IN D USTRY AND M A X IM U M H O U R L Y C O N C E N T R A TIO N S IN URBAN A IR Industrial lim it Sulphuric acid, mg/m3 Sulphur dioxide, ppm Carbon monoxide, ppm Nitrogen dioxide, ppm 1 5 50 5 M axim u m in urban air 07 2 55 0.25 24 Air Pollution and Health tions of pollutants observed in recent years in London air.19 It will be seen that with the exception of carbon monoxide (discussed in Chapter 7) the concentrations of pollutants in urban air do not exceed, even for one hour, those considered acceptable for most workers continuously exposed to them. Contamination of urban air may exacerbate bronchitis and hasten the death of patients already seriously ill; hence industrial limits set for the protection of healthy workers have limited relevance to those in the same community exposed to cold and damp and suffering from disabling conditions of the lung or of the heart, or approaching the end of life. Full reviews of the epidemiological and experimental evidence on sulphur dioxide and particulate matter in the air were pub lished in 1969 by the United States Department of Health, Education, and Welfare.126’127 3. 3 The physical phenomena involved in the penetration and deposition of particles in the lung are complex and depend on the rate and other aspects of ventilation of the lung, as well as on the character of the particles themselves. In general, particles greater than 10 microns in diameter are trapped in the nose and upper air passages and do not usually reach the alveoli (or air cells) of the lung. As the size of the particles diminishes, the proportion that passes beyond the bronchioles (small branches of the bronchial tubes) increases. Most insoluble particles of less than 2 microns in diameter reach this region. Particles containing substances soluble in water grow rapidly in size in the humid air of the air passages and are thus more readily deposited there by impaction or sedimentation. 3. 4 O f all parts of the body the respiratory tract is the most accessible to pollutants in the atmosphere. Inspired air passes down to the alveoli of the lung, which have a surface of some 50 to 70 square metres, or about twenty-five times the area of the skin covering the body. An average man breathes about 10 litres of air a minute when seated and up to 50 litres when working hard for short periods. Retention of small particles depends on the rate of ventilation of the lungs, which, in turn, influences the effect on the respiratory tract of noxious matter in the atmosphere. 3. 5 Though it is possible that aqueous droplets in smoky Experimental Work on the Effects of Inhaled Pollution 25 fog may cause spasm of the bronchi or oversecretion of mucus and so increase resistance to the flow of air into and out of the lungs, there is little doubt that fog droplets are not necessary for this to happen. Such increased resistance to air flow may be seen when pollution is high in the absence of fog. It is not easy to assess the relative importance of smoke particles and sulphur dioxide. High concentrations of ‘inert’ particles alone can increase resistance in the airways of the lung in humans and animals.31 There is little doubt that in animal experiments the addition of particulate matter to sulphur dioxide and sulphuric acid can produce increase in airway resistance. These changes have not been observed in man. 3. 6 There have been no convincing reports of any response in human volunteers to experimental inhalation of less than 1 ppm of sulphur dioxide. There have been references to slight transient effects following exposure to concentrations between 1 and 2 ppm,112 124 but these reported positive results are but few among many thousands of experiments. It must be remembered, too, that concentrations of SO2 exceeding 1 ppm are rarely found in town air. A conspicuous feature of the literature on experiments with sulphur dioxide is the rarity with which any effects of realistic concentrations have been reported, despite the performance of a great number of experi ments by reputable workers in many countries. 3. 7 One of the difficulties in comparing the results of various workers is that the pollutants tested have been inhaled in different ways— through mouth or nose, or through both. Sulphur dioxide is soluble in water, and the amount absorbed varies with the route of inhalation and the rate of flow. If the mixture is inhaled through the nose much of the sulphur dioxide is absorbed by it, and only minute amounts will there fore reach the more remote parts of the respiratory tract.113 According to many observers the bronchoconstrictor effect of higher concentrations of sulphur dioxide can be abolished by drugs such as atropine. 3. 8 In town air sulphur dioxide always coexists with par ticles, and it has been suggested that these two types of con taminant could produce a greater effect in combination than separately. Animal experiments show that the effect of sulphur 26 Air Pollution and Health dioxide is enhanced in an aerosol in which it is soluble or which contains salts that accelerate its oxidation to sulphuric acid.1 But response to sulphur dioxide is not altered when used in aerosols of insoluble materials such as carbon and iron oxide.2 The synergistic effect of particles and sulphur dioxide has not been seen to occur in men who have been exposed to mixtures of gas and particles,13 but the possibility that particles of smoke and sulphuric acid in some special physical forms may enhance the irritancy of sulphur dioxide must be borne in mind and must be the subject of continuing research. 3. 9 Episodes of high pollution of the air are often associated with cold weather. It has been reported that in patients with a history of sensitivity to cold weather breathing was impaired when they were exposed to cold air free from any added pollu tant.50 Other experiments showed that in patients with asthma or bronchitis exposure to cold air or to inhaled materials such as carbon dust rapidly increased airway resistance.110 3. 10 Irritation of the bronchial tubes causes excess secretion of the mucus, which in normal amounts enables cilia to work. There is evidence that the phase of over-secretion— simple chronic bronchitis— is due to the inhalation of cigarette smoke. These early changes may be reversed by removing the irritant: that is, by stopping smoking. Control of air pollution will help to restrain whatever part this may play in causing, or exacer bating, chronic bronchitis. Unless preventive measures of this kind are taken infection is superimposed, in which the bacteria Haemophilus influenzae and Streptococcus pneumoniae are often prominent. Possibly urban pollution favours infection either by encouraging the growth of bacteria or by paralysing the action of the very fine hairs or cilia lining the airways that keep mucus on the move. Cigarette smoking also has this paralysing effect on the cilia. If they are paralysed they cannot perform their normal function of removing inhaled particles, including germs, from the lungs. Pollutants may alter the bacterial inhabitants of the respiratory tract. In animal experi ments inhalation of tobacco smoke increases virus and bac teria/ infections. Another observation bearing on this was that particulate pollutants from town air stimulated the growth of Haemophilus influenzae on culture plates.60 4 A ir Pollution, Chronic Bronchitis, and A llied Diseases 4. 1 O f diseases affecting the lungs chronic bronchitis is one of the major causes of disablement and death in Britain, par ticularly among middle-aged and elderly men. In 1967, 5,253 deaths in men aged 45 to 64 (6'8 per cent of all male deaths in the same group) were attributed to bronchitis, and 1,134 deaths in women of the same age (2.6 per cent of all female deaths in this group).89 Just over thirty million working days are lost to industry each year because of bronchitis,73 and the consequent cost of lost production and medical care has been estimated to amount to £65 million a year. It is therefore of great importance to the public health and the national economy to discover the causes of the disease and the effects on it of contamination of the air. 4. 2 It is appropriate in considering the effect of air pollution on chronic bronchitis to recall briefly the way in which the disease develops. At first there is simply persistent or recurrent cough, with production of phlegm. Infection of the bronchial tubes is shown by recurrent illnesses in which the phlegm becomes yellowish or purulent, and in time persistent breath lessness may develop. Both the infection and the breathlessness, often due to an associated emphysema,* tend to increase in severity and persistence. In many cases heart failure develops because the circulation of the blood through the lungs is disturbed. 4. 3 We do not know precisely how air pollution may cause death in a patient with chronic disease of the lungs and the heart. Narrowing of the airways by the irritation of contami *A condition in which the air spaces in the lung enlarge and break down. This interferes with the even flow of air, and diminishes the effective gas exchanging area of the lung. 28 Air Pollution and Health nated atmosphere reduces the flow of air in and out of the lungs and the supply of oxygen to the heart and other tissues. In such cases examination shows great increase in the difficulty of breathing, and the oxygen content of the blood is very low. Even comparatively slight decreases in the diameter of airways already narrowed by chronic bronchitis may curtail the supply of oxygen to the blood. It has been repeatedly shown that reduction of oxygen supply to the lung constricts its smaller blood-vessels, and this may place an intolerable burden on the heart. Seriously ill patients may be unable to stand the strain on breathing brought on by the irritation of polluted air. These stresses may also be responsible for the gradual deterioration of many patients with chronic bronchitis during successive years of exposure to unclean air. Acute Effects of High Pollution and Cold Weather 4. 4 One of the most dramatic examples of the effect of high pollution of the air and cold weather, in terms of bronchitic illness and death, occurred in London in December 1952, and is referred to at the beginning of this report.68 There, Table 1 shows that in the Administrative County of London deaths amounted to three times the number expected at that time of the year. Figure 3 shows that deaths both from lung disease and from disease of the heart and the blood-vessels followed a similar time pattern. As has already been stated, most of these deaths were in elderly people suffering from chronic disease of the heart and the lungs; but deaths were also higher than expected in patients under the age of 45 years. There have been similar if less dramatic episodes before and since 1952 in London and in such large cities as Glasgow and Manchester.67,98,38,83, 86 For example, in the particularly fogridden winter of 1958-59 several periods of fog were associated with an immediate increase in mortality, mainly from bron chitis and pneumonia.67 4. 5 In 1840 Dr William Farr, the great medical statistician, noted the influence on mortality of the severe cold that so often coincides with a fog.86 The same observation has been made many times since then, and it has been shown that the weekly death rates from respiratory disease in both infants and the Air Pollution, Chronic Bronchitis, and Allied Diseases 29 aged are closely related to the temperature recorded in the preceding week.102,103, 137,138, 142,140,62 Pollution of the air from domestic fires will obviously be greatest during cold weather. In London and East Anglia the weekly death rates from bronchitis and pneumonia during the period 1947-54 were found to be more closely related to coldness than to the frequency of fog.8 Nevertheless, the increase in the average number of deaths during periods of intense cold and frequent 29th 6th NOV D FIGURE 3 13 th E C E 20th M B 27th E R 3rd JAN. DEATHS FROM DISEASES OF THE LUNGS AND THE HEART AT THE TIME OF THE FOG OF DECEMBER 1 952 It will be seen that the number of deaths from bronchitis, pneu monia, and the two forms of heart disease rose during the fog and continued in excess for the rest of the month. 30 Air Pollution and Health fogs was greater in London than in East Anglia, where the air is less polluted. 4. 6 The effects on bronchitis of sudden changes in weather and contamination of the air have been shown in other ways. Patients with bronchitis have been asked to record in a diary changes in their symptoms from day to day.57 Figure 4 shows that deterioration coincided with increase in the concentration of both smoke and sulphur dioxide; it was less closely related to either falls in temperature or variations in relative humidity. FIGURE 4 EFFECTS OF CHANGES IN WEATHER AND POLLUTION ON PATIENTS WITH BRONCHITIS It will be noted that the sharp peak in concentrations of smoke and sulphur dioxide coincided with aggravation of the disease. Changes in temperature and humidity had little effect. Air Pollution, Chronic Bronchitis, and Allied Diseases 31 Statistics of sickness absence have been related to atmospheric changes. For example, in London during the last war the monthly absence rate of postmen with bronchitis rose sharply when fog cut visibility below 1,000 metres.96 A study of factory and office workers in London showed that rates of absence from work began to rise when 24-hour averages of 200 ug of smoke or 250 ug/m3 of sulphur dioxide were reached.3 And temperature changes had no additional effect. A review of FIGURE 5 DEATH RATES FROM BRONCHITIS IN MIDDLE AGE IN RURAL AND URBAN AREAS (ENGLAND AND WALES, I9 5 9 -I9 6 3 ) The above diagram shows the great excess of bronchitis in men as compared with women. The absolute difference in the death rate as between rural areas and conurbations is particularly strik ing among men. (Data from the Registrar General’s Supplement on Area Mortality, 1961.) 32 Air Pollution and Health medical certificates in Salford12 disclosed that there was a doubling of the rate of absence attributed to bronchitis after periods when smoke concentration exceeded 1,000 u g/m 3. 4. 7 Records of admissions to London hospitals in 1955-56 made it clear that the demand for beds for patients with acute chest disease rose during periods of cold weather.48 When changes in humidity, barometric pressure, and other climatic factors were taken into account in the statistical analysis, peaks in air pollution were found to have an effect in addition to that of cold weather on this demand for beds. Long-term Effects of Air Pollution 4. 8 High levels of air pollution, especially when combined with cold weather, certainly affect those already disabled by disease of the heart or of the lungs. The influence of prolonged exposure to the concentration of pollutants usually found in the air of British towns is more difficult to assess. The high urban excess in mortality from bronchitis is seen in Figure 5. Reasons for this excess, or for differences in mortality between town and country, may be found in differences in diagnostic practice, in the social and occupational structure of the populations concerned, in the opportunities for cross-infection in crowded houses and cities, and in cigarette smoking. All these factors, as well as air pollution, must be taken into account in making geographic comparisons and in analysing variations over a period of time. Long-term Trends in Mortality from Bronchitis 4. 9 Changes in air pollution and factors such as smoking habits can be compared with long-term trends in the death rate from chronic bronchitis and related diseases. Interpretation of changes in the death rates attributed to chronic bronchitis during the past hundred years is complicated by changes in diagnostic skills and methods and in the official classification of causes of death.64 Figure 6 shows the broad trend. The death rates from bronchitis in both men and women were falling consistently until 1940, and this fall was at a time when con sumption of coal was increasing. Since that date, however, the death rate from bronchitis in men has taken an upward turn, Air Pollution, Chronic Bronchitis, and Allied Diseases 33 while in women the decline in mortality has continued, but less steeply. The difference in mortality between the sexes became apparent earlier among those of middle age. 4. 10 The changes over a period of time in deaths from bronchitis among men and women can be looked at in another way. The ratio of male to female deaths at ages 55 to 59 in people born in successive five-year periods from 1866-70 onwards is illustrated in Figure 7. The change in mortality from bronchitis in middle-aged men first appeared in 1935 among those born around 1880; and increased steadily to a peak in those bom in succeeding five-year periods. Yet the relative FIGURE 6 LONG-TERM TRENDS IN MORTALITY FROM BRONCHITIS RELATED TO CONSUMPTION OF COAL AND TO CIGARETTE SMOKING Between 1858 and 1940 the death rates from bronchitis in men and women fell steeply. After 1940 the death rate from bronchitis in males rose again. In the preceding forty years, cigarette smok ing among men had increased rapidly. 34 Air Pollution and Health exposure to air pollution between men and women was unlikely to have varied during this time. Cigarette smoking, however, became more and more popular among men, especially during the First World War and thereafter. Women took to smoking later. The increasing mortality from bronchitis in men in recent years is more closely linked to increased cigarette smoking than FIGURE 7 TIME TRENDS IN FUEL CONSUMPTION, CIGARETTE SMOKING, AND EXCESS MORTALITY FROM BRONCHITIS IN MALES Since the early years of the twentieth century, coal consumption (excluding that used for generation of power) has declined and the use of petrol (and more recently derv) has increased. Cigarette smoking went up sharply until about 1940. Between 1930 and 1955 the ratio of death rates from bronchitis among men to those among women greatly increased. This growing excess mortality in males during this period is more closely linked to cigarette smok ing than to the consumption of fuels. Air Pollution, Chronic Bronchitis, and Allied Diseases 35 to any greater exposure of men to urban air pollution, the consumption of coal, petroleum or derv. International Differences in Chronic Lung Diseases 4. 11 One study has shown that British physicians, when certifying death from the same clinical condition, usually state ‘chronic bronchitis’ on the certificate, whereas American and Norwegian physicians use terms such as ‘emphysema' or ‘bronchiectasis’.97 These and similar differences in diagnostic classification and differences in certification limit the value of international comparisons. A detailed comparison of the hospital and postmortem records of patients dying from all causes in Bristol and San Francisco has shown, however, that when the same diagnostic conventions are used there remains an excess in the death rate from chronic disease of the lung in Bristol.84 Britain has the highest death rate in the world from chronic lung disease in middle-aged men.139 4. 12 In one investigation, the death rate from chronic disease of the lung in the age-group 55 to 64 was found in different countries to be related more to the consumption of coal than to cigarette smoking.119 But because the number of countries included was restricted by the availability of data, and because of the lack of appropriate measures of life-time exposure to pollutants, this work is difficult to assess. 4. 13 These indications of international differences in death rates from bronchitis have been followed up by various standardised studies of morbidity. A survey of the prevalence of respiratory symptoms and impaired function of the lung in similar population groups in Denmark and Britain suggests that differences in the use of pipe and cigarette could explain variations in bronchitis rates in rural populations in these two countries.81 The Danes prefer pipes and cigars, and the British cigarettes.15 Another standardised survey showed little distinc tion between the frequency of simple cough and sputum in a small New England town, and that in rural and urban Britain.94 But bronchitis, with recurrent illnesses and breath lessness, was commoner in Britain, especially among older people in the larger towns. 4. 14 Some of the differences in the disease found in samples 36 Air Pollution and Health of the general population in these countries may be connected with occupation, with life in factory or farm, and associated social and economic conditions. Surveys have therefore been made of men doing the same job (as motor vehicle drivers in public utilities) in London and elsewhere in Britain,46 in Bergen in Norway,80 and in Baltimore, Washington, and Westchester (New York) in the United States.47 49 It was found in groups similar in age and in smoking habits that men working in London had worse bronchitis and poorer function of the lung than those in either Bergen or the cities of the eastern seaboard of the USA, or in the smaller towns of England. The difference was most marked in the more serious disease in Londoners over the age of 45. Bronchitis in Rural and Urban Britain 4. 15 In rural districts air is cleaner, and there are fewer people among whom infection might spread. The death rate from bronchitis of men and their wives, standardised for age, is about five times greater in the unskilled working classes than in the professional classes, and intermediate classes have an intermediate mortality.90 As the gradient is the same for the men and their wives it must be the result of social and environmental influences to which both are exposed rather than to occupational factors affecting only the men. Although the proportion of people in these social classes varies in dif ferent types of district, such differences in social classes are an unimportant factor in urban/rural differences in bronchitis.136 4. 16 Whatever the index of air pollution employed, all investigations in Britain have so far shown a close correlation between presumptive pollution level and mortality from bronchitis in middle life. One inquiry related it to an index of smoke based on local consumption of coal by domestic users.23 Two studies compared the death rate from bronchitis with current levels of smoke and sulphur dioxide.10,82 In one of these, crude adjustment for regional differences in cigarette smoking, or in the proportion of the population formed by semi-skilled or unskilled workers and their families, reduced but did not abolish the close correlation between air pollution and mortality from bronchitis.10 Air Pollution, Chronic Bronchitis, and Allied Diseases 37 4. 17 Another approach was to compare the frequency of absence of postmen from work because of bronchitis in different parts of the country with widely differing conditions of pollu tion, as indicated by the frequency of thick fog in the districts where they worked.34 Even after density of population and domestic overcrowding were taken into account, the rates for premature death or disablement and for absence from work because of bronchitis were highest among those working in the most polluted areas. The same method of study, with uniform occupational groups, disclosed that among both postmen and bus crews the highest rates of disability from bronchitis were among men working in the centre and north-east of London, where the concentration of air pollution was highest, compared with the rest of London.91’ 21 The frequency of absence from work because of bronchitis increases as men grow older. Within the London area, climate is uniform but inception, i.e. attack, rates are higher in every age group in districts where smoke concentrations in winter are also high. (Data from Ministry of Pensions and National Insurance Morbidity Survey, 1965.) 38 Air Pollution and Health 4. 18 The most recent information on occupied men comes from the survey of absence from work carried out by the Ministry of Social Security in 1961-62.73 The rate of disability attributed to bronchitis was strongly correlated with local levels of sulphur dioxide and, to a lesser extent, of smoke in the places where the men worked; but the high bronchitis rate in South Wales, where pollution was low, was a remarkable exception to this general rule. There was no consistent associa tion between size of town and bronchitis. In general, the disease was more common in the North of England than in the South. Within the London region, where climatic conditions are fairly uniform, the districts where winter pollution was high had higher sickness absence rates from bronchitis than the districts where it was moderate (Figure 8). 4. 19 A nation-wide survey of symptoms by standardised techniques conducted by the Royal College of General Practi tioners in 1961 showed that after age, sex, social class, and tobacco smoking had been taken into account bronchitis was twice as frequent in large towns as in the rural areas of Britain.16 Effects of Air Pollution and Cigarette Smoking 4. 20 In Northern Ireland a retrospective inquiry into mor tality from bronchitis gave useful information on exposure to different urban and rural environments as well as to dustiness of occupation, smoking habits, social class, and other personal factors.135’ 25 Questions about these aspects of life were put to the relatives of patients who had died from chronic bronchitis, and to relatives of a representative control sample of the population matched for sex and age. The death rates in the two groups illustrated the major importance of smoking habit and social class in this disease; but even when age and smoking differences were taken into account there remained a marked residential gradient in mortality ranging from 73 per 100,000 in rural districts to 310 per 100,000 for the centre of Belfast. 4. 21 To assess the separate and joint effects of air pollution and cigarette smoking on symptoms of bronchitis a recent survey was made of randomly selected samples of the British population of both sexes between the ages of 35 and 64 years.55 Air Pollution, Chronic Bronchitis, and Allied Diseases 39 Those who responded to a postal inquiry about persistent cough, bringing up phlegm, and repeated ‘chestiness' were classified according to the levels of air pollution in their places of residence and their cigarette smoking. Figure 9 indicates that cigarette smokers are three times as likely to suffer from chronic bronchitis as non-smokers, and that twice as many of those living in heavily polluted districts as of those in the cleanest areas suffer from this disease; but because of the less precise measures of exposure used it is not possible to express the relative importance of individual exposure to cigarette smoking and air pollution. Specially significant is the combined effect of smoking and air pollution. This is seen in the widening FIGURE 9 BRONCHITIS IN RELATION TO SMOKING AND AIR POLLUTION The Standardised Morbidity Ratio (%) compares the frequency of chronic bronchitic symptoms, allowing for differences in age and sex, in groups of the British population relative to the national level taken as 100 per cent. These groups are living in areas with very low (1), low (2), moderate (3), and high (4) prevailing levels of air pollution. (Data from a survey of respiratory symptoms in Britain by Lambert and Reid55.) 40 Air Pollution and Health gap between the rates for bronchitis among smokers and nonsmokers as the level of air pollution rises. The non-smokers are much less affected. 4. 22 There is some evidence that air pollution is more important in the aggravation than in the initiation of chronic bronchitis. In the survey conducted by the Royal College of General Practitioners, in 1961, for example, cigarette smoking among the younger men was most clearly associated with chronic production of phlegm.16 After the age of 55 years, more serious symptoms such as repeated chest illness and breathlessness were commoner in those living in the more heavily polluted areas. Among postmen disabled by bronchitis complications such as pneumonia were, in early middle life, more common in the more polluted districts, and the proportion of men dying within seven years after retiring from work because of bronchitis was again higher in these parts of Britain.96 Air Pollution and Intercurrent Infections 4. 23 Winter peaks in the death rate for bronchitis or pneumonia may of course be associated with epidemics of influenza and other infections. During a period of dense fog in London as long ago as 1891 there was a higher mortality than was expected from measles, whooping-cough, and tuber culosis, as well as from bronchitis and pneumonia, according to the Registrar-General.87’ 83 Many of the 1,400 deaths in excess of expectation were probably the result of pulmonary complications of acute infectious disease as well as of chronic disease of the lungs. Although an epidemic of influenza came after the fog of 1891, the excess mortality was not attributable to this infection; nor did it account for the high mortality in the bad fog of 1952. The simple explanation is probably the correct one: namely, that the cold weather and the polluted fog affected the lungs and increased the risks of infection, bringing on in many cases the pneumonia that so often ends the life of a person suffering from chronic bronchitis and emphysema. Pneumonia and other Respiratory Diseases in Adults 4. 24 Investigations have demonstrated a significant correla Air Pollution, Chronic Bronchitis, and Allied Diseases 41 tion between pneumonia death rates and the levels of particu late air pollution in fifty-three county boroughs in England and Wales, and the higher death rate from pneumonia in towns is consistent with the suggestion that air pollutants increase the risk of serious lung disease.117 During very cold weather in London, with temperatures below 32° F, the death rate from pneumonia doubled when the duration of fog increased from 10 hours to more than 20 hours in the week preceding death.8 This pattern was not repeated in East Anglia, where the tem perature was similar but air pollution levels were much lower. In respect of sickness absence, the Ministry of Pensions and Social Security found in the population at work in England and Wales no clear rural/urban or regional differences for pneumonia that could be related to differences in exposure to pollution of the air.73 This was in sharp contrast with the correlation between such pollution and absence from work because of bronchitis. Conclusions 4. 25 The immediate effects of a rise in pollution above normal winter levels have been seen in the aggravation of existing bronchitis, increased sickness absence, more demand for hospital beds, and greater mortality among patients already suffering from chronic disorders of the lung. Results from the many studies on these acute effects reviewed here point to the direct influence of pollution in addition to any attributable to low temperatures, but the actual pollutants responsible have not been identified. Concentrations of smoke and sulphur dioxide have been used as indices of harmful pollution, but the relative importance of each has not been established, and other pollutants, such as sulphuric acid and oxides of nitrogen, may play some part. The concentrations of most pollutants rise and fall together in response to day-to-day changes in the weather, and there is therefore little chance of separating the influence of any one of them in short-term studies. Thus, although it has been reported that effects on bronchitis patients become detectable when the air contains 600 fig/m 3 (about o.2 ppm) of sulphur dioxide together with 300 /zg/m3 of smoke, and other associated pollutants, these findings give little 42 Air Pollution and Health indication of the possible action of one pollutant without the others.58 The changes in the composition of urban pollution resulting from the operation of the Clean Air Act may, how ever, provide some opportunity of determining the relative importance of smoke and sulphur dioxide. (See para 9. 5) 4. 26 Although there is no doubt about the immediate harm ful effects of high pollution as encountered from time to time in the larger towns of Great Britain, none of the evidence presented in this chapter would justify recommendations on ‘air quality standards’ for any one pollutant in isolation from the others. 4. 27 The influence of long-sustained pollution of the atmosphere, as indicated by differences in the frequency of respiratory symptoms or in mortality from bronchitis as between urban and rural areas, cannot be easily distinguished from the effects of other environmental factors and smoking habits. Measurements of air pollution cannot assess anything more than current exposures, and the development of chronic respiratory disease may well be influenced by exposure to pollution early in, or throughout, life. As with acute effects, the opportunity to investigate the relative importance of smoke, sulphur dioxide, and other pollutants rests on following up the effect of changes in the character of pollution resulting from the operation of the Clean Air Act. 4. 28 Epidemiological studies point to a causal relation between air pollution and chronic bronchitis, and deaths from it. 4. 29 Long-term trends in mortality from bronchitis are also affected by factors such as social improvements and advances in therapeutic medicine and, in recent decades, by cigarette smoking. 4. 30 There is some evidence of a combined effect of air pollution and cigarette smoking on chronic bronchitis. By irritating the bronchial tubes cigarette smoke brings on cough and expectoration. High levels of air pollution in British cities maintain and aggravate the bronchitis thus initiated, with the risk of further disease of the lung and premature death. In the absence of cigarette smoking these effects of air pollution are much less. 5 Respiratory Disorders in Young People 5. I In the fog disaster of December 1952, mentioned at the beginning of this report, the death rate of children rose abruptly, especially in the first year of life.68 Special attention should be paid to the effect of contaminated air on young people because a disease that may disable later in life may have its origins in childhood. 5. 2 Table 4 shows that the death rates from respiratory disease in children are higher in England and Wales than TABLE 4. DEATH RATES (PER 100,000) FR O M INFLUENZA, BRON CH ITIS AND PN EUM ON IA A T AGES 0-14 YEARS, 1957-61 M a les Fem ales 40 31 31 28 Northern Ireland Scotland England and Wales France Norway Denmark Netherlands 37 35 33 19 20 18 14 16 15 12 TABLE 5. BRON CH ITIS D EATH RATES (PER 100,000), ENGLAND AND WALES (MALES AND FEMALES), 1960-63 Conurbations and Urban 100,000 + Urban 50,000 to less than 100,000 Rural 0-4 16 13 11 5 -1 4 o -4 0 .5 o.8 1 5 -4 4 2.2 1.9 1.4 4 5 -6 4 75 61 43 elsewhere in North West Europe, and double the rates in Scandinavian countries. Excess of deaths from bronchitis in pre-school years in British towns is shown in Table 5; and the same trend is observed in those over the age of fifteen years. In the sparser population of the countryside the pre-school 44 Air Pollution and Health child in rural areas is less exposed to infection and so remains relatively free from bronchitis. In the school years the picture changes. The town child has by then been through his ordeal by infection, probably made worse by air pollution. But the country child going to school comes into a relatively crowded community for the first time and is exposed to the respiratory infections of his schoolmates; and it is he who is now at a disadvantage, compared with the child in the town, in respect of bronchitis.93 5. 3 One complication of the infections of the upper respira tory tract is chronic infection of the middle ear. Chronic otitis media was found at examination for National Service to be higher in youths from towns than in those from the country.61 This trend seems to persist into adult life. When serving away from home soldiers from towns had more frequent attacks of respiratory disorders than those from rural areas.100 An urban cause in common for ear and chest diseases was indicated by high discharge rates from hospital for both in industrial areas and low rates in rural areas.03 5. 4 Other factors must be taken into account, such as over crowding in the home and in the community, which facilitates the transfer of infection from one person to another.9 63 Overcrowding is a feature of social class. Semi-skilled and unskilled workers and their families congregate in the large industrial centres, and this may to some extent explain the high rate of respiratory infections in children there. 5. 5 A comparative study of 600 children in Sheffield and of 400 in a rural district of Wales, at ages of 10 to 12 years, disclosed that perforated eardrums and discharging ears were commoner in the Sheffield than in the Welsh children of the same social class.128,92 The same relation was found in respect of bronchitis and pneumonia, and in the results of tests of lung function. Another study in Sheffield itself made it apparent that persistent cough and scarred or perforated eardrums were commoner in those districts where air pollution was high than in those where it was not.65 In this last study it seemed that social circumstances such as overcrowding in the home had little effect compared with air pollution. 5. 6 As part of the National Survey of Health and Develop Respiratory Disorders in Young People 45 ment health visitors and school doctors have periodically interviewed and examined 3,866 children out of a national sample of those born in 1946. They were classified into four groups according to length of time spent in areas of pollution varying from very low to very high.30 Little difference in the frequency of infections of the upper air passages was found between these groups, though there was some indication that tonsillitis and discharging ears were less common in rural areas with low pollution. But repeated infections of the bronchi and the lungs in infancy that caused admission to hospital or absence from the infant school were commoner in the more heavily polluted districts (Figure 10). Similar differences were found up to the age of 15 years. 5 .7 Since then another survey has been made of 11,000 primary schoolchildren between the ages of 6 and 10 years in A IR FIGURE 1 0 P O L L U T I O N G R O U P BRONCHITIS IN CHILDREN AT LOCAL LEVELS OF AIR POLLUTON The diagram shows that the percentage of children having re peated attacks of bronchitis increases with the amounts of air pollution. (Data from a survey by Douglas and Waller.30) 46 Air Pollution and Health urban and rural areas in England and W ales: in two cities with high levels of air pollution (Newcastle and Bolton); in two with moderate to low levels (Bristol and Reading); and in rural areas near each centre.17 Questionnaires were issued to parents and a standardised clinical examination and tests of lung function were carried out on the children. Figure 11 shows that persistent cough in winter was at its lowest rate among children of professional and managerial classes and highest among children of semi-skilled and unskilled labourers. Among the children of less-skilled workers (Social Classes IV and V) there is a definite gradient from the lowest rate in the rural areas to the maximum rates in the most heavily polluted areas. But in Merthyr Tydfil and rural Glamorgan, where smoke pollution is relatively low, bronchitis in children is more frequent than in urban or rural England. FIGURE 1 1 BRONCHITIS AMONG CHILDREN OF DIFFERENT SOCIAL CLASSES IN RURAL AND URBAN ENGLAND The Standardised Morbidity Ratio (%) compares the frequency of chronic cough in children aged from 6 to 10 years old, living in rural areas and less and more heavily polluted cities in England, relative to a rate for all children in the survey of 100 per cent. (Data from a survey by Colley and Reid.17) Respiratory Disorders in Young People 47 5. 8 In this survey, children with chronic cough were more likely also to have blocked noses, discharging ears, or damaged ear drums. These and other diseases of the upper respiratory tract were commoner in children from working-class homes than in those from the homes of professional and managerial people (social classes I and II) or of skilled workers (social class III). In each social class the rates for ear disease among children living in heavily polluted Bolton and Newcastle were three times as high among rural children. Rates in Bristol and Reading were, however, lower than those for rural children. These findings and the conflicting evidence cited in paragraphs 5. 5 and 5. 6 show that there is as yet no conclusive proof that air pollution in particular, rather than urban conditions in general, predisposes to infections of the ear, nose, and throat in children. Conclusions 5. 9 Death rates from the respiratory diseases (influenza, bronchitis, and pneumonia) in British children up to the age of 14 are about double those in Scandinavian countries and the Netherlands. 5. 10 Surveys in Britain have shown that bronchitis in chil dren is especially frequent in areas where there is much air pollution. But it is also common in South Wales, where pollu tion is relatively low. There is some evidence that air pollution particularly affects children from working-class homes. 5. 11 Children with bronchitis are more liable to disease of the ear and nose than children free from bronchitis. Dis charging ears or damaged ear drums are commoner among urban than in rural children. Evidence that air pollution affects the upper as well as the lower respiratory tract is suggestive but not, as yet, conclusive. 6 A ir Pollution and Lung Cancer 6. i The evidence that cigarette smoking is the most impor tant factor in causing lung cancer does not preclude the examination of other possible influences. Observations suggest that there might be some additional factor in the British urban environment. The death rate from lung cancer is highest in the major conurbations, and decreases with the size of town to the lowest rates in rural districts. This implies that air pollution might account for the higher risk of death from lung cancer in urban areas. But the situation is far more complex than such a supposition would suggest. Some Geographical Comparisons 6. 2 Death rates from lung cancer tend to be high in countries where the air is much polluted by coal smoke. In one study there was a positive correlation between mortality from lung cancer and the burning of solid fuel;118 but the disease is common in some countries (e.g. Finland) where little coal is burnt. No correlation was found between cancer of the lung and the use of liquid fuel. International comparisons are, how ever, likely to be obscured by differences in diagnostic standards. 6. 3 Early vital statistical studies in England suggested that local death rates from cancer of the lung were closely related to an index of pollution given by hours of obscuration of the sun.114 Further work revealed a close correlation between mor tality from the disease and measurements of smoke in a number of localities in England and Wales.115 Later, more comprehen sive studies demonstrated that the scope of this earlier work had been too narrow, and that the correlation between the prevail ing levels of air pollution and mortality from cancer of the lung had been exaggerated because it was based on the extreme Air Pollution and Lung Cancer 49 differences between small rural areas in North Wales with low mortality from lung cancer and large towns in the North West of England in which the mortality was high and the air heavily polluted.10,131 Among towns of similar size but different levels of pollution little correlation was found between these levels and death rates from cancer of the lung. But within the London area other investigations showed mortality from lung cancer to be highest where air pollution was highest as measured by concentrations of smoke and of sulphur dioxide.41,45 6. 4 In view of the slow evolution of cancer one important weakness of these studies is that the measurements were related to current and not past exposures to pollution of the air, and therefore might be inappropriate. Because of the lack of exact measurements of pollutants in the air twenty years ago the frequency of dense fogs at that time has been taken as an index of pollution, and a rather low correlation has been found between the presumptive pollution thus estimated and current death rates from cancer of the lung.34 Recent work, however, has demonstrated correlation between local levels of consump tion of coal ten years previously and death rates from lung cancer in the larger county boroughs of England and Wales.39 6. 5 The differences between death rates from lung cancer in country and town— the rural/urban gradient— might be partly explained by the availability of better diagnostic facilities in the cities. But the gradient in chronic respiratory diseases with which lung cancer could be confused suggests that different diagnostic facilities are not the explanation. Diagnostic methods and postmortem rates for these two conditions now differ little as between town and country in Britain.56 Occupational Differences 6.6 For the years around 1961 the Registrar-General re ported only a small difference between the lowest death rate from the disease among the professional and managerial classes and the higher rates in the skilled, semi-skilled, and unskilled workers.90 This contrasts with the much greater difference in the death rate from bronchitis in these social classes (4. 15). 6. 7 There are undoubted increased risks of lung cancer in men in certain industries that might be thought to be the 50 Air Pollution and Health cause of raised urban death rates from the disease. Workers in asbestos, in nickel and chromate refining, in iron foundries and iron mines, and in tar distillation are all exposed to an increased risk of the disease, but they form a very small part of the male urban population and work only in certain areas. The general excess of mortality from lung cancer in urban districts cannot be explained by such occupational groups. By contrast, the low mortality from the disease among coal-miners accounts for the relatively low rates in some parts of Britain.4’ 52 6. 8 There is no consistent excess of death from lung cancer in men likely to be particularly exposed to polluted air in streets. A t the 1951 census policemen had a death rate from the disease of 7 per cent above the national average, but this excess is not statistically significant.88 In his last two reports on occupational mortality the Registrar-General recorded a signi ficantly increased mortality from lung cancer of about 20 per cent in motor mechanics and drivers of motor vehicles.88’ 90 No such excess occurred in bus conductors or in lorry drivers’ mates. Nor was any excess above the national level observed in a special investigation of mechanics working in garages, with their inevitable exposure to fumes from diesel engines and other vehicles.85 Retort-house workers in gas works exposed to very high levels of known carcinogens (sometimes up to 100 times the peak concentrations of benzo(a)pyrene in towns) have a relatively small excess of lung cancer in comparison with the general population : 308 compared with 181 per 100,000 per annum.2659 Smoking and the Urban Factor 6. 9 By far the most important matter affecting all these aspects of mortality from lung cancer is cigarette smoking. Unfortunately we have no detailed information on the smoking habits among town and country men and women many years ago, when smoking might have begun to affect people now dying of lung cancer. More is known about current habits in different countries and different social classes and areas in this country.122’123 Much of the international variation in mortality from lung cancer might be explained by differences in cigarette smoking; for example, by differences in the length of the stub Air Pollution and Lung Cancer 51 left after smoking, in the frequency of puffing, as well as in the quantity and in the type of tobacco used.44 29,141 But. in one of the studies already discussed some degree of association between burning solid fuel and lung cancer death rates remained after differences in smoking habit were taken into account.118 Adjust ing the death rates from lung cancer to allow for differences in current smoking habits between town and country dwellers makes the urban-rural gradient less prominent but does not FIGURE 1 2 TRENDS IN FUEL USED, CIGARETTE SMOKING, AND LUNG CANCER MORTALITY IN MEN This figure is similar to Figure 7. It shows that malignant disease of the lung in men follows the upward trend in cigarette consump tion much more closely than any of the changes during this century in the use of either coal or oil fuels. The rise in diesel fuel consumption followed and did not precede the rise in the death rate from lung cancer.131 52 Air Pollution and Health abolish it.10 The contrast between the below-average death rates among agricultural workers and the higher rates among mechanics and drivers may be due to the fact that farm workers smoke 54 cigarettes a week, compared with the national average of 70, while transport workers smoke 86.123 Possible Causes of Time Trends in Lung Cancer 6. 10 Historical trends in lung cancer mortality in this country may help in the assessment of any effect of urban air pollution. Figure 12 illustrates the contrast in the last forty years between the dramatic rise in death rates from lung cancer and the decline in coal consumption: this excludes the coal burnt for generation of power, which does not. as a rule produce smoke.131 It is obvious, too, that the rise in the use of diesel fuel (derv) followed and did not precede the increase in lung cancer. The rise in petrol consumption, it is true, preceded the rise in mortality from cancer of the lung in men; but the facts that the mortality rate from this disease began to increase much later in women, and that men occupationally exposed to fumes from motor exhausts are not unduly affected, suggest that the use of petrol plays no part in causing the disease. Field Surveys of Lung Cancer 6. 11 T o reduce the uncertainty about the relative roles of cigarette smoking and of urban residence retrospective inquiries have been made into cigarette smoking and place of residence of lung-cancer patients as compared with others free from the disease. In early studies in London hospitals there was little difference between residence in town or country in the two groups.27 A survey of lung cancer and other patients living in either the relatively clean air of rural North Wales or in the urban areas, including Liverpool in North West England, brought out the dominant effect of cigarette smoke.120 But, except among the heaviest smokers, the survey demonstrated that within each smoking group the death rates rose steadily from the lowest levels in North Wales and South East Cheshire to a maximum in the Merseyside conurbation.116 More recently, in Northern Ireland an inquiry has shown that for people with similar smoking habits the risk of dying from lung cancer rose Air Pollution and Lung Cancer 53 from 47 per 100,000 per annum in the rural areas consistently through urban districts to a maximum of 157 per 100,000 among those who had spent most or all of their lives in central Belfast.25 135 From the results obtained it was calculated that if the death rate from lung cancer for a symptomless non-smoker living in a rural area is taken as the irreducible minimum, the risk of death from the disease would be about doubled for a man living in an urban area, but increased twenty-fold if he smoked more than 20 cigarettes a day.11 Such retrospective inquiries, of course, have serious limitations, if only because they depend on the recollection of past events and habits by patients or by their relatives. Although they appear to point to an urban factor in the causation of lung cancer, they do not amount to an indictment of air pollution. 6. 12 Some of the limitations of this method of investigation are much diminished by prospective inquiries. These have the advantage that characteristics, habits, and past exposure of the subject are recorded before the onset of disease; and the inquiry can be repeated at intervals in the group chosen for such an investigation. The prospective inquiry into the smoking habits and residence of doctors is therefore most valuable in that it can assess the effects of these in a socially and occupa tionally homogeneous group.28 Among cigarette smokers the death rate from cancer of the lung in doctors under the age of 65 rises from 40 per 100,000 in rural areas to 64 per 100,000 in the conurbations of Britain. 6. 13 These results, and those of retrospective inquiries and comparisons of mortality statistics, demonstrate that there is an association between urban residence and the risk of dying from lung cancer, independent of the influence of current smoking habits. However, there are substantial differences between urban and rural death rates from lung cancer in countries such as Norway, where there is little air pollution.53 Pollution is thus unlikely to be the sole cause of the urban excess. Heavier smoking in towns in the past could be respon sible, but up to 1962 the gap between urban and rural death rates was not closing.10 130 6. 14 As already noted, some of this difference in death rates from lung cancer as between country and town may be due to Air Pollution and Health 54 differences in life-time smoking habits. If the death rates from lung cancer found in a nation-wide survey in the United States43 are compared (after adjustment for age and current cigarette consumption) with those in rural and urban areas in England and Wales, it is found that mortality from lung cancer increases (Table 6) with size of population in both countries. TABLE 6 . RUR AL/U RBAN GRAD IENTS IN LU N G CAN CER M O R T A L IT Y IN TH E U N ITED STATES AND ENGLAND AND WALES ADJUSTED FO R AGE AND SM O K IN G S t a n d a r d is e d M Population of area 500,000+ 50,000— < 50,000 Rural (U S o r t a l it y R Males national male rate a t io s ( p e r c e n t) * (U S Females nationalfemale rate = 100%) =100%) US England & Wales US England & Wales 123 111 107 231 132 195 194 177 144 236 216 106 78 149 134 79 * The death rates from lung cancer for non-smokers and those smoking varying numbers of cigarettes each day found in a US national survey43 have been used to calculate the number of deaths in corresponding smoking groups in each type of area in England and Wales that would have occurred if the inhabitants had the same risk of dying from lung cancer as the Americans as a whole. The Standardised Mortality Ratio expresses the number of deaths from lung cancer actually reported in these areas as a ratio to the number that would have been expected on this basis. But in places of similar size the death rate in England and Wales is nearly twice what it is in the USA. This implies that there is a ‘specific British factor’ as well as a general ‘urban factor’, especially since this contrast between the national death rates is just as great in rural as in urban areas. Pollution of the air in British towns cannot therefore be the whole explanation of the adverse experience of this country in respect of lung cancer. As has already been mentioned, there are reports, for example, of differences in stub length and frequency of puffing as between American and British smokers, and differences in the type of tobacco in their cigarettes.44’ 29 141 Experience of British Migrants 6. 15 The death rates from cancer of the lung among Britishborn people living in the less-polluted atmospheres of New 55 Air Pollution and Lung Cancer Zealand, South Africa, the United States, and Canada, lie between the lower rates of those bom in these countries and the higher rate for Britain itself.32’ 24 42,95' 22 This suggests that there is an enduring effect of British conditions or habits on the risk of developing lung cancer; and this might be due to exposure to high levels of air pollution in early life. In South Africa the British immigrant, with apparently identical smok ing habits and living in the same areas as his South-Africanborn contemporary, still has a higher rate of mortality from cancer of the lung.24 Table 7 shows death rates from lung TABLE 7 . AGE-STANDARDISED LU N G CAN CER D EATH RATES PER 1 0 0 , 0 0 0 PER ANNUM (M ales aged - 35 74 ) Norwegian-born residents in Norway Norwegian-born residents in the United States US-born residents in the United States British-born residents in the United States British-born residents in Britain 31 48 72 94 151 cancer for British and Norwegian migrants to the United States, for residents in the United States born there, and for Britons and Norwegians staying in their own countries.95 The rates are highest for Britons and lowest for Norwegians staying in their own countries, with United States citizens coming in between. Some Experimental Evidence 6. 16 Products from the incomplete combustion or from the distillation of coal produce tumours when painted on the skin of laboratory animals. A landmark in this work was the isolation from gasworks pitch of a substance, benzo(a)pyrene, which has potent carcinogenic properties.20’51 This carcinogen is present in small amounts in the smoke of town air.129,18 Many animal experiments have been done to determine whether by itself or in combination with other materials it could cause cancer of the lung. Suspensions of comparatively large amounts of benzo(a)pyrene introduced directly into the 56 Air Pollution and Health lungs have produced lung tumours in rats.7 Tumours have also resulted from the insertion into the trachea of this carcinogen along with particles of carbon.108 The carcinogenic effect depended on the extent to which the benzo(a)pyrene was adsorbed on the carbon. When hamsters were given benzo(a)pyrene in suspension with haematite (iron ore), this fine inert dust seemed to facilitate the penetration of the carcinogen into the lungs.104 It must be emphasised that such results as these may have only limited relevance to the human inhalation of carcinogens from the air. In a recent experiment the inhalation of sulphur dioxide and benzo(a)pyrene together caused tumours to appear in the lungs of rats; but neither did so when inhaled separately.54 This experiment did not simulate the conditions existing in urban air; nor has the experimental inhalation of air pollutants at realistic concentrations caused tumours in animals. However, the experiments have shown that a carcino gen might be more effective when inhaled with an irritant such as cigarette smoke. The possible interaction of cigarette smoke and carcinogens in urban smoke has been tested by painting the skin of experimental animals with tobacco smoke conden sate and benzo(a)pyrene separately and together: together they were much more effective than they were separately in stimulating the production of tumours." The large amount of work done on the experimental inhalation of cigarette smoke will be referred to in the further report by the Royal College of Physicians on smoking.101 Conclusions 6. 17 The evidence on the role of air pollution in the causa tion of lung cancer is still inconclusive. Some element in the British urban environment seems to produce in those sufficiently exposed to it an increased liability to develop lung cancer. How much of this liability is due to air pollution alone remains in doubt. 6. 18 The existence of similar rural-urban gradients in mor tality from cancer of the lung in countries where there is little pollution from coal smoke suggests that pollution of the air by the products of burning coal is not alone responsible for the British urban excess in lung cancer. There is conflicting evi Air Pollution and Lung Cancer 57 dence on the influence of differences in past smoking habits in towns and country. 6. 19 Britons who emigrated had an incidence of lung cancer that was higher than that in the countries they went to but lower than that of their compatriots who stayed at home. 6. 20 Urban air contains carcinogenic compounds, but the relatively small excess risk to men occupationally exposed to large concentrations of these compounds raises doubt about the relevance to lung cancer of the much lower levels found in the air of even the most polluted city. 6. 21 The study of the time trends in the death rates of lung cancer in urban areas demonstrates the overwhelming effect of cigarette smoking on the distribution of the disease. Indeed, only the detailed surveys that have taken individual smoking histories into account have succeeded in separating the rela tively very small influence of the ‘urban factor5 on the over riding effect of cigarette smoking in the development of cancer of the lung. 7 Other Effects o f A ir Pollution Pollutants from Motor Vehicles 7. 1 The increasing density of motor vehicle traffic in British towns has aroused anxiety about the possible effects on health of pollutants from motor exhausts. Carbon monoxide and lead are two of special interest, and the black fumes from diesel engines the most conspicuously offensive. (See also paras 2 . 5 - 2 . 10) 7. 2 The effects of relatively high amounts of carbon mon oxide in the blood are well documented, but recently there has been a renewal of interest in the possible effects of concentra tions below those causing symptoms such as headache. In such instances visual threshold and discrimination may be impaired, as, it is suggested, may be the performance of various other tests of psychomotor performance and perception.66 ,106,5 Surveys have shown that exposure to heavy traffic rarely produces blood levels of carboxyhaemoglobin (carbon mon oxide bound to haemoglobin) greater than 4 per cent satura tion. Concentrations in excess of this are very commonly found in cigarette smokers who are not exposed to motor exhausts. Much further work is needed to investigate the effects of these small concentrations on performance. 7. 3 Lead is readily absorbed into the body by inhalation. Should such absorption exceed excretion, a rise in ‘body burden' becomes manifest in increased lead levels in blood and urine. Surveys of 2,300 individuals in Los Angeles, Phila delphia and Cincinnati revealed blood levels of over 60 u g/ 100 ml in only 11 of them.125 In general, the levels found in individuals were well below the level of 80 ^Lg/100 ml, at which danger of lead intoxication arises. No such reports are available for Britain. Other Effects of Air Pollution 59 7. 4 Increased motor traffic is raising the amount of many potentially toxic compounds in urban air. Many exhaust products are important only in the bright sunlight and still air of the Los Angeles type of ‘smog’. There, ozone, unburnt hydrocarbons, 'cracked' hydrocarbons, and oxides of nitrogen interact to produce substances that irritate the eyes and res piratory tract. Such physical effects are seldom, if ever, seen in Britain. Nitrogen dioxide in high concentrations, as in industrial accidents, can itself cause acute and often fatal pulmonary oedema, with damage to the lung in those who survive. Up to 5 ppm for 8-hour exposures are considered safe in industrial practice. Such concentrations in street air have not been recorded. The highest hourly concentration reported in London is about 0.2 ppm.19 Cardiovascular Disease 7. 5 During the intense fog of December 1952 the death rates from degenerative heart diseases increased above the normal, but much less dramatically than the rate for bronchitis.68 These diseases, and deaths from them, are commoner in the town than in the country. An analysis of the death rates from cardiovascular disease in larger county boroughs of England and Wales showed little correlation with the index of air pollution as measured by local coal consumption, once social and other factors were taken into account.39 During the winter months there is no relation between prevailing concentrations of smoke and sulphur dioxide in London air and demands on the Emergency Bed Service by patients suffering from cardio vascular disease.48 7. 6 It is often difficult to interpret 'underlying cause' of death given on the certificate of patients dead from various diseased conditions of the heart and the lung. For example, death from heart failure in a patient with chronic bronchitis and emphysema may be ascribed to chronic bronchitis as the disease which ultimately led to death, or, alternatively, to 'myocardial degeneration', as the final cause. Some of the differences in the rates of death from ‘myocardial degeneration' in town and country may be apparent rather than real. 6o Air Pollution and Health Cancer of the Stomach 7. 7 Death rates from cancers of the stomach and intestine have been found to be significantly related to levels of smoke pollution in thirty English county boroughs.117 Such disease might be caused by particulate matter from the air reaching the alimentary tract from deposits on food or hands or by the swallowing of smoke-polluted phlegm from the lungs. Gastric cancer is, however, particularly frequent in semi-skilled and unskilled labourers and their wives, so that other aspects of life such as diet may be important in this connexion. In another analysis of mortality in the larger county boroughs the adjustment of death rates to allow for differences in the social class structure in each area reduced the correlation between air pollution and cancer of the stomach among men, and abolished it among women.39 In South Africa, British migrants have a lower death rate from gastric cancer than white South Africans presumed to have been less exposed to air pollution.24 In the absence of further evidence a causal link between air pollution and gastric cancer must remain no more than a speculation. Arthritis and Rheumatism 7. 8 The inquiry conducted by the Ministry on sickness absence in the insured population showed a close relation between absence due to arthritis and rheumatism and local levels of air pollution as measured by the National Air Pollution Survey.73 In places where bronchitis was a frequent cause of absence from work ‘arthritis and rheumatism5 was also a relatively frequent cause of sickness. Because the more polluted towns where bronchitis and rheumatic disorders were especially common were in the North rather than in the South of England, it was impossible to distinguish the effects of air pollution from those of different climatic and social circum stances in the two parts of the country. Without further field studies the role, if any, of air pollution in rheumatic disorders will remain in doubt. 8 Prevention o f A ir Pollution 8. 1 The burning of fuel for heat and power is the prime cause of the pollution of air of British towns. Complete com bustion of all fuels would reduce the emission of smoke and the amount of fuel needed for these two purposes, and the result would be an improvement of health and a saving of money. This is the first step towards control of contamination of the air. Treatment of either the fuel or the combustion gases can further reduce contamination by sulphur compounds, and adequate dispersion will lower the amount of pollution at ground level. Controls must be applied to the three main sources of pollution : domestic fires, industry, and transport. Air Pollution from Domestic Sources 8. 2 Most of the pollution likely to affect health comes from the burning of coal fires in homes. Electric fires do not con taminate the air, and gas fires are almost equally blameless in this respect. There is little contamination from oil used for domestic heating; it has a low sulphur content. It is not possible to burn coal smokelessly on open grates. After each refuelling volatile matter is distilled off and dispersed as tarry droplets or bums with a smoky flame. An open coal fire is a highly inefficient way of heating a room. Nevertheless we must face the fact that some solid fuels will continue to be used for many years. Smokeless solid fuels are to be preferred, such as anthracite, which contains little volatile matter, or processed fuels. Some of these retain enough volatile matter to bum freely even in open grates. Others, such as hard cokes, are practically free of volatile matter and can be burnt only in deeper fuel beds in stoves or specially designed grates. Closed 62 Air Pollution and Health stoves are more efficient than open grates, because of increased efficiency of combustion. 8. 3 Coke and most other solid smokeless fuels contain approximately the same amount of sulphur as raw coal. Oil for domestic heating contains little sulphur, but the heavier grades for large central-heating installations contain more sulphur than coal does. Sulphur is virtually absent from domestic gas, and a relatively cheap supply of natural gas should encourage householders to change their ways of keeping a home warm. This would greatly reduce pollution of the air from domestic sources, as, also, would heating by electricity and oil. 8. 4 Fuels for heating office buildings, commercial premises, and blocks of flats often contain a high proportion of sulphur, and although the buildings may be high their chimneys do not always ensure effective dispersion. In some atmospheric con ditions downdraughts of air heavily laden with sulphur dioxide may enter neighbouring streets and buildings. Efficient chim neys are desirable. Fuel of low sulphur content should be used, especially in conditions that favour temperature inversion. 8. 5 District heating systems in which a central boiler-house supplies hot water for heating all the houses of a neighbour hood are employed in many European cities but in only a few places in Britain. Local air pollution is greatly reduced, for a single high chimney disperses contaminants much more effectively than the low chimneys of many houses. Pollution from Industrial Sources 8. 6 The large efficient furnaces used in industry and in power stations can bum coal so completely that no smoke should be given out, except on lighting up. The control of fuel and air supply is most important, for uneven firing is respon sible for most of the smoke from industrial furnaces. Mechani cal stokers and well-designed fire-doors have cut down the production of smoke even by small boilers. 8. 7 Coal and oil from which much of the sulphur has been removed are too expensive for general use in industry. Alter natively, sulphurous products can be removed from gases in the chimney stack. This, too, is costly. The gas-washing plants Prevention of Air Pollution 63 at Battersea and Bankside power stations remove some 95 per cent of the sulphur dioxide, but the decrease in the buoyancy of the plume of smoke is often obvious, and it may reach the ground for short periods. Dry scrubbing processes that do not cool the plume are being investigated. 8. 8 Raising the height of the chimney stack to as much as 800 feet makes dispersion effective. If the gas velocity is high the plumes escape even in foggy weather, when contamination from other sources is trapped close to the ground. High winds may, of course, bring the plumes down, but the impact is brief, and high concentration of pollutants is unlikely. The Ministry of Housing and Local Government has issued a valuable memorandum on the design of high stacks for the guidance of local authorities and architects.70 Pollution from Railways, Ships, and Motor Vehicles 8. 9 Steam locomotives, a serious source of pollution for merly, have been replaced by diesel and electric engines. Pollution from suburban diesel trains can still be a nuisance to those living in the neighbourhood. Improved designs of fire-doors have reduced the smoke from coal in ships’ boilers, but most vessels are now oil-fired or have diesel engines, and pollution from this source in river and sea ports is no longer a serious problem. 8. 10 Contamination of the air from motor vehicles has already been mentioned, but it should be stressed once more that a properly adjusted diesel engine should emit no more than a faint puff of smoke on acceleration. Diesel fumes may constitute no direct threat to health, but they are dangerous in traffic because they obscure visibility; and most people find their smell offensive. Carbon monoxide in vehicle exhausts remains a potential hazard in congested traffic and in enclosed spaces. 8. 11 The customary lack of continued bright sunshine and the relative rarity of persistently stable air save Britain from the photochemical reaction that causes the Los Angeles type of ‘smog’. Therefore, devices designed to reduce the emission of hydrocarbons from petrol engines are unlikely to be needed; improvements in engine design are to be preferred. 64 Air Pollution and Health Legislative Control of Air Pollution 8. 12 The Clean Air Act of 1956 seeks to limit the pollution of air by smoke, and it puts this responsibility on local authorities in respect of pollution from the domestic hearth. It does not try to deal with the emission of sulphur dioxide. It does not apply to motor vehicles; these are already covered by the Motor Vehicles (Construction and Use) Regulations, 1 955 , which are enforceable by the police.79 The purpose of the Clean Air Act is that ‘dark smoke shall not. be emitted from a chimney of any building' although the Minister may make regulations specifying the periods for which it may be permitted (such as during lighting up from cold). The Act empowers local authorities to forbid the installation of a furnace, ‘unless it is so far as practicable capable of being operated continuously without emitting smoke when burning fuel of a type for which the furnace was designed'. There are, too, regulations for ‘minimising the emission of grit and dust from any chimney' that serves a furnace or oven. New furnaces designed to burn pulverised fuel or solid fuel at a rate of 1 ton/ hour or more must be fitted with approved plant for arresting grit and dust. The Clean Air Act of 1968 has widened the scope of some of the original provisions in relation to industry.71 8. 13 An important feature of the Act of 1956 is that for the first time it gives local authorities powers to deal with domestic smoke. It states that, ‘any local authority may, by order con firmed by the Minister, declare the whole of the district of the local authority or any part thereof to be a smoke control area'. The emission of smoke from the chimney of any building in such an area constitutes an offence. When an area is declared a ‘smoke control area', many householders must adapt their equipment to bum smokeless fuel and grants of up to 70 per cent of the cost can be made (30 per cent from the local authority and 40 per cent by the Government). Grants are not payable in respect of houses built since the Act was passed in 1956. 9 The Effects o f the Clean A ir Acts 9. i Since the passage of the Clean Air Act the emission of smoke from industrial premises has been much reduced throughout the country, but the control of domestic sources has been less uniform. The use of alternative fuels to coal has had a marked effect in some areas. Figure 13 shows that both emission and concentration of smoke in London have fallen. There has been little fall in the emission of sulphur dioxide, but in recent years there has been some reduction in its con centration. There is some evidence that favourable weather has contributed to this decline. 9. 2 The resulting improvement in London is obvious. The air is often as clear as it is in rural areas. Clothes, household furnishings, and decorations remain clean much longer, and the cleansing of grime-covered buildings is now economically justifiable. A wider range of plants and trees can be grown in city parks and gardens; this, coupled with savings in labour and expense on laundry and house cleaning, makes family life both easier and more pleasant in areas where smoke pollution has been efficiently reduced. 9. 3 In the past decade London has been remarkably free from episodes of high pollution. This may have been partly due to reduction of the pall of smoke, thus allowing the sun to break up temperature inversion. Increased turbulence of the air induced by large heated buildings may also have helped. 9. 4 By establishing smoke control areas a number of other large cities apart from London have achieved substantial reductions in smoke concentration. But unfortunately there are still too many which have not followed this example, par ticularly in the small mining towns of the north, where there are still far too many ‘black areas' or areas designated by the 66 Air Pollution and Health Act of 1956 as places in which the establishment of smoke control areas (domestic) was urgently needed. Big improve ments, however, have resulted from the carrying out of the industrial provisions of the Act. For example, in Stoke-onTrent replacement of coal by oil, gas, and electricity, in the pottery industry has transformed the scene (see frontispiece). FIGURE 13 CHANGES IN THE EMISSION OF SMOKE AND SULPHUR DIOXIDE AND THEIR CONCENTRATION IN LONDON AIR In London, implementation of the Glean Air Act of 1956 has markedly reduced the amount of smoke emitted and lowered its concentration. The emission of sulphur dioxide in the air has changed little, but better dispersion has also produced lower concentration of this pollutant in London air. In London 75 per cent of premises in ‘black areas’ had been made smokeless by June 1969 (Table 8); the corresponding figure in the Northern Region less than 25 per cent.111 Although the proportion was lowest in the South-West (including South The Effects of the Clean Air Acts 67 TABLE 8 . SM O KE C O N T R O L PO SITIO N IN REGIONS OF ENGLAND A T 30 JUNE 1969 (Figures supplied by Ministry of Housing and Local Government) Region Percentage of total black area premises in the region made smokeless Northern Yorkshire and Humberside East Midlands Greater London North Western West Midlands South Western 25 47 32 75 43 32 Total (black areas) 51 18 Wales) the need for action here is not as great as was supposed, since the hard coal used produces little smoke. The Clean Air Act and Improvements in Health 9. 5 The Clean Air Act has been applied most effectively in London, where changes in morbidity and mortality (e.g. from bronchitis) can serve as a measure of the benefits to be obtained from it. But there are other factors that must also be taken into account; for example, changes in treatment, improvement in the standard of living, epidemics of respiratory infections, and changes in cigarette smoking. The most striking result was seen in December 1962, when the atmospheric conditions that caused the fog of December 1952 were closely simulated.107 The fog lasted just as long and the concentrations of sulphur dioxide were almost identical. There was, however, much less smoke in the atmosphere in 1962. The excess number of deaths over the normal expectation was 700 in that episode, as com pared with about 4,000 in that of 1952. The numbers of older people suffering from serious disease of the chest or the heart may have differed, and many such invalids probably took warning from the experience of 1952 and stayed indoors; but at least part of this improvement may be justifiably attributed to the control of smoke. 68 Air Pollution and Health Effects on Mortality from Bronchitis 9. 6 Since the passing of the Clean Air Act in 1956 a close watch has been kept on the relation between fogs and mortality from bronchitis in London. The definite association observed in the previous decade between excessive mortality and peaks in air pollution can no longer be demonstrated. Apart from the overall reduction in smoke concentration there has for several years been a remarkable absence of any peaks of high pollution. The age standardised death rate from bronchitis in London, which a few years ago was above the national level for men and for women, is now about the same. This reduc tion is particularly marked in men and women below the age of 45. Similar if less dramatic changes are taking place in mortality from lung cancer. These changes in death rates from the two diseases may both be due to alterations in smoking habits in the past. Changes in Bronchitis Morbidity 9. 7 During bad fogs there used to be more calls for emer gency admission to London hospitals. The correlation between air pollution and demand for beds has now virtually dis appeared. Patients with severe bronchitis who have during several winters kept a daily record in diary form of their subjective assessment of fitness have reported deterioration when levels of air pollution rise. Patients reporting in the winter of 1964-65 showed less response to changes in pollution than did those reporting in the winter of 1959-60.134 A long term study of bronchitis among middle-aged men working in West London between 1961 and 1965 demonstrated a decline in the amount of sputum expectorated during the period when there was a fall in concentrations of smoke in central London.37 9. 8 The Clean Air Act of 1956 was directed solely against pollution by particulate matter, but the overall improvement in the cleanliness of the air— with the absence of peaks of pollution and decrease of sulphur dioxide— has been greater than was expected. This abatement in pollution has happily been associated with some decrease in morbidity. io Observations and Recommendations 1 0 . 1 Patients with chronic bronchitis and emphysema or with chronic heart disease are at special risk in episodes of fog with intense pollution of the air. The very young and the very old are also especially vulnerable. Everything should be done to minimise exposure to the polluted air. Windows should be closed and the house kept warm. Those likely to be affected should remain indoors. Undue exertion should be avoided. Anyone having to go out should wear a face mask or scarf over nose and mouth. A bottle of dilute ammonia opened in a room may help to neutralise acid mists, 10. 2 The Meteorological Office provides warnings of fog. It is thought that the much smaller mortality in the London fog of 1962, which in other ways resembled the fog of 1952, may well have been the result of advice over the radio and by television that those most likely to suffer the effects of the fog should stay indoors. The Committee would like to commend this action of the broadcasting authorities and urge them to repeat this valuable service when fogs or periods of high pollution are expected in densely populated areas. 10. 3 It is obviously better for health to live in an atmosphere free from pollutants than in one contaminated by the particles and gases from the burning of fuel. Nevertheless, advice to a bronchitic patient to move from a large town should be given with caution. Individual reactions to polluted air vary greatly, and concentrations of pollution are no longer closely linked with size of town. There may be more smoke in suburban areas or in small towns than in the centres of cities. While the con centrations of smoke and sulphur dioxide to be expected in any given locality can be judged by studying the results of the National Survey (published by the Warren Spring Laboratory, 70 Air Pollution and Health Stevenage, Herts.), it is still difficult to assess exposures of individuals. Sources of pollution close to the patient are impor tant, and in particular the possibility of combustion products escaping indoors (e.g. from leaking flues) must be considered. Pollution from low-level chimneys in adjacent buildings may occasionally enter windows in tall blocks of flats. 10. 4 Effective implementation of the Clean Air Acts is the most urgent task confronting the Government. The public should be fully informed of the dangers to health of contami nated air and urged to bring pressure on local authorities to put the provisions of the Clean Air Acts into operation. The domestic coal fire is the major source of air pollution by smoke. The use of smokeless fuels and of other forms of domestic heating is essential if the ill effects of coal smoke are to be abolished. All new housing developments should at the outset be designated as smoke control areas. District heating schemes should be considered. 10. 5 Medical Officers of Health should conduct surveys of children through the school medical service to assess the nature and extent of respiratory disorders among them. University departments of epidemiology or social and preventive medicine might well investigate groups especially susceptible to pollution of the air, in particular the elderly and those suffering from chronic diseases of the lungs or of the heart, io. 6 The National Air Pollution Survey conducted by the Ministry of Technology should be continued and extended. Special surveys should where necessary be made to assess the health effects of particular types of industrial and other forms of pollution. 10. 7 There is need for centralised information of changes in pollution in different parts of the country and of changes in patterns of health and disease, and detailed analyses of mor tality from respiratory diseases in relation to air pollution should continue. The introduction of a national system for linking vital records from birth to death would also assist in the assessment of the long-term effects of air pollution. The Hospital Inpatient Inquiry might usefully supplement this by providing data on diseases that might be causally connected with air pollution, and the Department of Health and Social Observations and Recommendations 71 Security should, from the same standpoint, regularly survey disabling illness among the insured population. 1o. 8 The Medical Research Council should review the situ ation periodically in order to ensure the assessment of available data. The Council might also consider the extension of labora tory studies into the risks likely to be associated with new forms of pollution, as from asbestos. 1o. 9 Research into the reduction of sulphur in fuels and into methods of removal of sulphur dioxide from stack gases should be intensified. 10. 10 Further research is also needed into the combined effects on health of air pollution and tobacco smoke. 10. 11 On grounds of amenity and of traffic safety, legislation against unnecessary smoke from badly serviced diesel engines should be strictly enforced. There is need for further research into the effects on health of carbon monoxide, oxides of nitro gen, lead, and hydrocarbons, from car exhausts in congested traffic. 10. 12 This report of the committee on Air Pollution and Health has been principally restricted to conditions in the United Kingdom. Standardisation of methods of measuring air pollution, and standardisation of diagnostic terms and conventions, would facilitate international comparisons and enhance the value of work done in different countries. Such an exchange of ideas and information can best, be carried out through the World Health Organisation, which has set up a special division on the public health aspects of contamination of the environment in which man lives. Formal and informal contacts with governmental and university research centres abroad should be encouraged. 10. 13 This report, it is suggested, brings forward enough evidence to justify the vigorous enforcement of existing legis lation on the control of various forms of pollution, and especially the Clean Air Acts of 1956 and 1968, the benefits of which are now being experienced. References 1. A m d u r , M. O. (1957). ‘The in fluence of aerosols upon the respiratory response of guinea pigs to sulphur dioxide.’ Amer. Indust. Hyg. Ass. 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(1966). ‘The role of a his tory of persistent cough in the epidemiology of lung cancer.’ Amer. Rev. resp. Dis., 94, 709-720. 142. Y o u n g , M. (1924). ‘The influ ence of weather conditions on the mortality from bronchitis and pneumonia in children.’ J. Hyg., Camb., 23, 151-175. A IR P O L L U T IO N AND H EALTH The dense and polluted fog of early December 1952 killed 2484 people in the administrative County of London. This disaster led to the passing of the Clean Air Act of 1956. The subsequent establishment of smoke control areas in London has made our capital city a cleaner and healthier place to live in. But there are still many “ black areas” in the small mining towns of the North, where the burning of soft coal pollutes the air with black smoke and sulphur dioxide. Sulphur dioxide is also given off when smokeless fuels and heavy oils are burnt. Are present con centrations of sulphur dioxide in the air harmful to health ? Air is also polluted by diesel fumes and by the exhaust gases of petrol engines. Do diesel fumes affect health ? What are the risks of concentrations of carbon monoxide in streets jammed with cars? Is the possible risk from nitrogen oxides in exhaust gases such as to call for modifications of the internal combustion engine ? These are some of the problems brought to light in this timely publication by the Royal College of Physicians on A IR P O L L U T IO N and HEALTH. £1 1os. od. net
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