Study Guide for the Arab League Framework for Shared Military Units The creation of a pan-Arab military force has been a goal of the Arab League for a good 65 years, when the Arab nations signed a rarely used joint defence pact. The endeavour has, however, never been realised. Discussions around the issue flared up again in 2015, when the Arab League announced the creation of a joint military force but again, it was soon postponed indefinitely. History The Arab League has a long history with attempting to implement joint military plans. The Joint Defence Council was created in 1950 after the experience of the 1948 war with Israel, when five Arab states failed to act jointly and were each defeated separately by Israel. The first Arab summit in January 1964 promised to create a joint Arab military command but the plan was never realised. However, some integration of forces has occurred, the most advanced in the internal security field. 1 Historically, the most effective Arab actions were those led by a Saudi-Egyptian alliance. The 1973 Arab-Israeli War, for example, perhaps the Arab states’ most effective war of the 20th century, was fought largely by Egyptian and Syrian troops. However, the Saudis, along with Algerians and other Arabs, played a key role economically and politically because oil was an essential weapon. When the Lebanese Civil War escalated in 1976, the Arab League created an international peacekeeping unit under the command of the Syrian forces composed of Syrian as well as Sudanese, Saudi Arabian and Libyan forces. It was named the Arab Deterrent Force (ADF). Initially, it consisted of 30,000 troops, 25,000 of which were provided by the Syrian administration. The mandate of the ADF aimed at deterring the conflicting parties from relapsing into outbreaks of violence. This included attempting to maintain cease-fire, confiscating heavy weaponry and supporting the Lebanese government in re-asserting their monopoly of power. In 1991, when Saudi Arabia cooperated with a U.S.-led force to combat Saddam Hussein’s Iraq from Kuwait, Saudi Arabia was encouraged to participate by Egypt, whose support Washington had secured even before asking the Saudis. In fact, after the war, Hussein was quoted saying that he blamed Mubarak for the Arab action more than King Fahd of Saudi Arabia because the Iraqi dictator believed the Saudis would have been reluctant to act without Egypt.2 Gulf nations, under the umbrella of the Gulf Cooperation Council, joined forces to defeat a string of destabilizing Arab Spring protests in 2011 by the Shiite majority in Sunni-ruled Bahrain.3 1 http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/markaz/posts/2015/03/30-riedel-can-joint-arab-military-force-succeedyemen-saudi-arabia 2 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/04/01/why-arab-states-have-chosen-now-to-build-a-jointmilitary/ 3 http://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/ap/article-3016267/Questions-answers-Arab-peacekeeping-force.html Facing the escalation of the Syrian popular uprising in 2012, the Arab League requested a joint U.N.-Arab League peacekeeping mission. The peacekeeping force aimed at putting pressure on Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. A communiqué called on members to "open channels of communication" with Syrian opposition groups and provide "political and financial support." It urged members to cut diplomatic and economic ties with Damascus "except for those that directly affect Syrian citizens”. The proposed peacekeeping mission would oversee the aftermath of a ceasefire. The Arab League had suspended Syria's membership in January of that year, and the Syrian government announced that any decision made without it was “not binding". According to the Syrian government, the proposal reflected "the state of hysteria affecting some Arab governments, especially Qatar and Saudi Arabia, after Qatar's failure to pass a U.N. Resolution that allows foreign intervention in Syria," according the Syrian government.4 Arab League Summit in March 2015 In March of 2015, Arab leaders announced, during an Arab League summit in Egypt, the establishment a joint military force named Operation Storm Resolve to maintain security within the region. Army chiefs of staff from member states of the Arab League drafted a protocol for a new joint force to intervene in Middle East conflict zones.5 The decision was primarily aimed at fighting insurgencies, especially jihadis who had overrun large parts of Iraq and Syria and won a foothold in Libya. A further concern was the rise of Daesh, who was perceived as a destructive force that threatened “ethnic and religious diversity”. A final summit communique outlined the leaders’ views; Yemen was on the brink of the abyss, requiring effective Arab and international moves after all means of reaching a peaceful resolution have been exhausted to end the Houthi coup and restore legitimacy.6 The draft planned for membership to be voluntary. A decision to intervene would be based on a request from a member state that currently faces threats. The defence ministers of participating member states would be in charge of running the force, with two-thirds of votes required to pass decisions. Military plans on engagements would be up to the member states’ military chiefs.7 The idea of an Arab joint force has already been tested in the ongoing Saudi-led coalition’s air strikes against Houthis in Yemen. Many of the Arab nations, including Egypt, Jordan and most of the Persian Gulf monarchies, have supported campaigns of airstrikes to counter advances by the Iranian-backed Houthi movement in Yemen. The USA provide intelligence and logistical support. Saudi Arabia is leading the airstrikes while Egypt, with the largest Arab army, has 4 http://edition.cnn.com/2012/02/12/world/meast/syria-unrest/ http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2015/05/26/New-joint-Arab-military-force-plans-inmotion.html 6 http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/mar/29/arab-leaders-agree-to-form-joint-military-force-tocombat-jihadis-in-region 7 http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2015/05/26/New-joint-Arab-military-force-plans-inmotion.html 5 pledged to send ground troops “if necessary.”8 But observers say that in cases like Libya, consensus on a military intervention would be difficult since different Arab countries support rival parties in the North African nations.9 Disagreements include the headquarters location of the forces. The original draft names Cairo as the headquarters.10 The joint Arab force will most likely be made up of Egyptian troops, with token support from Jordan and other countries.11 Egyptian military and security officials have said the proposed force would be made of up to 40,000 elite troops based in either Cairo or Riyadh. It would be backed by fighter jets, warships and light armour.12 The biggest obstacle to an effective joint Arab force, however, may be that dealing with insurgencies and failed states — the problem the force was created to address — requires more political and economic means than military prowess. The pan-Arab force is also designed to be partly political. It spreads the responsibility and the blame and could provide added legitimacy beyond the resolutions of the Arab League. Yet, much of the simmering anger that fuelled the Arab uprisings in the first place had been aimed at many of the governments now leading the way for a pan-Arab force.13 Iran The announcement came as Western diplomats were attempting to reach a deal with Iran to restrict its nuclear program in exchange for the removal of economic sanctions. In response, Saudi Arabia and other American allies in the region have made clear that they are seeking to bolster independent regional security measures because they see the proposed accord as a betrayal of Washington’s commitment to their security. Regardless of Iran’s nuclear programme, they complain, the deal would do nothing to stop Iran from seeking to extend its influence around the region by backing favoured factions, as it has done in Lebanon, Iraq, Bahrain and Yemen. The concern about Iran is not so much a direct military one, nor even about Tehran’s nuclear potential. While the Arab nations surely do not want to see Iran become a nuclear power, the 8 http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/30/world/middleeast/arab-leaders-agree-on-joint-militaryforce.html?_r=0 9 http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2015/05/26/New-joint-Arab-military-force-plans-inmotion.html 10 http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2015/05/26/New-joint-Arab-military-force-plans-inmotion.html 11 http://www.mepc.org/articles-commentary/commentary/arab-joint-military-force-raises-hopes-andquestions?print 12 http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/mar/29/arab-leaders-agree-to-form-joint-military-force-tocombat-jihadis-in-region 13 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/04/01/why-arab-states-have-chosen-now-to-build-a-jointmilitary/ biggest worry is Iran’s expanding political influence in Arab region, especially around Saudi Arabia.14 Reactions The announcement that the Arab League intends to form a unified military force has produced different reactions from observers around the globe. For the most part, the decision was welcomed. Faced with the insurgency in Yemen as well as ongoing conflicts in Libya, Arab leaders felt that unified action was required and that the formation of a unified military force to counter growing security threats was a step in the right direction. The notion is that Arab nations must collectively face various challenges, especially terrorism. As the idea is not new, some observers are reserving judgment until concrete action has been taken. There is a sense among many, however, that even if the Arab League follows through, regional peace will not be secured through military means alone. The consequences of not solving solutions politically, some suggest, could be a “war of all against all”. Despite needing to prepare for the worst, what the region really needs is a political rather than military solution. The argument is that the interests of the MENA region, and the Gulf in particular, not in large-scale military confrontations, but in compromises and political understandings as proxy wars have failed in the region.15 Postponement A planned meeting by the Arab League to discuss the formation of a joint force was postponed for the second time in July 2015, this time “indefinitely”. The motion was backed by Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, the UAE and Iraq. It is not clear what the main reason behind the delay was, but most likely it was due to disagreements among member states on where to deploy such forces, if at all. Despite statements of unity, there are still vast differences as well as political distrust between the Arab states and their opinions towards military intervention.16 Outlook A resolution on creating a joint Arab force would send a strong message to the world that Arabs have decided to take the initiative themselves. The creation of a pan-Arab force may be a way 14 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/04/01/why-arab-states-have-chosen-now-to-build-a-jointmilitary/ 15 http://www.mepc.org/articles-commentary/commentary/arab-joint-military-force-raises-hopes-andquestions?print 16 http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/meeting-arab-joint-force-postponed-indefinitely-1054743930 to confront the need for immediate action in Yemen. Though Saudi Arabia’s decision to play a war-fighting role is bold and new, challenges ahead should not be underestimated, particularly if ground forces are ultimately needed, and attacks from Yemen on Saudi territory expand.17 A special concern is the growing influence of Iran. A proposed alliance may be a way of rebalancing power structures in the region. There is an incentive for the Arab states to show that they can and will protect themselves instead of relying on intervention by other states and super powers. In terms of the specific aspect of the League’s military force, some hindrances are still to be removed. Financing, for one, should not be a problem due to the oil rents received by the Gulf countries. Yet, particularly the creation of a joint force requires a high degree of mutual trust, which is difficult to achieve among rather authoritarian regimes. Related to this is the issue that an Arab military force will turn out to be a powerful instrument only if it is embedded in an institutionalized system of collective security, which requires sophisticated institutional design, including the readiness of member states to waive some rights of sovereignty. Whether the Arab League under the leadership of Saudi Arabia will be capable of implementing far-reaching institutional reforms to become the “Arab NATO” is far from clear.18 Saudi Arabia may want to register that it has finally arrived militarily. Though Saudi Arabia is the world’s largest importer of arms, few nations view the kingdom’s military as a major factor in the regional military balance. The Saudi military role is untested, so they don’t want to be alone in the fight, neither politically nor militarily.19 There appear to be two meaningful criteria for assessing an Arab military force: whether it would increase regional self-determination on the one hand and enhance human security on the other. Simply put, regional self-determination would be boosted if the Arab military force developed as a powerful tool of a Saudi-led Arab League, since this could spare the region from more American campaigns. Moreover, in the light of Western attempts to prevent the emergence of regional powers, a greater role for an Arab regional power may appear progressive. However, the regime in Riyadh constitutes one of the most reactionary political systems in the Middle East: not only has Saudi Arabia been in charge of securitization policies toward Shiism, but its human rights record is also one of the worst on a global scale. Thus, even if the Arab military force proved to be an effective tool of the Arab League to stabilize the Arab state system, it is far from clear whether this would not be to the benefit of the security of states only rather than to the Arab people. Questions a Resolution Should Answer 17 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/04/01/why-arab-states-have-chosen-now-to-build-a-jointmilitary/ 18 http://www.e-ir.info/2015/05/22/upgrading-the-arab-league-by-establishing-a-joint-military-force/ 19 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/04/01/why-arab-states-have-chosen-now-to-build-a-jointmilitary/ 1. In organisational terms, what should be the extent of the joint military forces? Military cooperation or a fully integrated Arab defence pact? 2. In which cases could shared military units be deployed? How is a “threat” determined and who determines it? 3. Which is the priority: safety of citizens and their human rights or the stability of the respective regime? 4. Assessing the danger of Iran to regional security. 5. Is a joint military framework the appropriate tool to tackle Daesh and the insurgencies in Libya and Yemen? 6. What should be the role of other international actors, such as the UN, the US, or NGOs?
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