gift market factpack 1 contents 1. Overview Page 3 4. 2. What consumers think about buying gifts at Christmas Page 3 4.1. How many subscribers give gift subscriptions? Page 6 3. The gifting market Page 4 4.2. What are the characteristics of gift subscription donors? Page 7 Page 4 4.3. Number of gift subscriptions held Page 9 3.1.1. Growing population driving volume demand Page 4 4.4. Source of gift subscriptions Page 10 3.1.2. Diversity in household composition & ageing population benefits gifting networks Page 4 4.5. Renewal intentions Page 10 4.6. Future gift intentions Page 12 3.1.3. More high spenders and fewer low spenders Page 5 5. Barriers to gift subscriptions Page 14 3.1.4. Online altering the sales pattern for home shopping retailers Page 5 6. Conclusion Page 14 7. Sources Page 15 3.1. Key factors affecting the gifting market 3.2. Segmentation 2 Page 5 The potential for gift subscriptions Page 6 7.1. Mintel: Christmas Shopping Habits Page 15 7.2. PPA: The Loyalty Challenge; How consumer magazine subscriptions work Page 15 1. overview 2. what customers think about buying gifts at Christmas The gift market is large - and growing. Consumers find buying gifts at Christmas stressful – many leaving it until the last moment. How frustrating that all this effort results only in forgotten, unworn and unused presents. Source: PPA/Royal Mail/YouGov Nov 2006 If you find Christmas shopping stressful, don’t worry – you are not alone! Almost all consumers surveyed in PPA/Royal Mail’s YouGov poll said they would like to receive a subscription as a gift – and yet subscribers remain largely unaware of gift subscriptions, and how and where to buy them. UK gift givers spent over 650 m hours on soon-to-be-forgotten gifts of Christmas but only one in ten can remember last year’s Christmas present. One third even admitted to wearing something they didn’t even like, just to please the person who gave it to them. And yet… By approaching existing subscribers at the right time with a relevant offer, publishers can successfully increase their subscription base. …88% of people would welcome a magazine subscription as a Christmas gift But don’t take our word for it – read the evidence from a number of pieces of research. And there’s a convincing case study courtesy of BBC Magazine’s Gardener’s World Magazine, which shows how it can be done. 3 Furthermore, a staggering 73% of existing subscribers neither give or receive a gift magazine subscription. 3. the gifting market Of course, subscriptions have competition when it comes to the Christmas gifting market. They are up against a range of potential presents available in stores, online and through catalogues. But this is a large, and growing, market. Mintel puts the size of the overall gift market at £20bn – and growing: retail sales in the UK in the fourth quarter saw an increase of 4.1% on last year (source: Verdict, UK Retail Trends 2007) And although we’ve focused on Christmas gifting, there are special events throughout the year – from Valentine’s Day to Father’s Day – giving a regular opportunity to promote your gift subscriptions programme. 3.1. Key factors affecting the gifting market Source: Mintel, Christmas Shopping Habits, February 2007 3.1.1. Growing population driving volume demand Demand in the economy has been stimulated by growth in population numbers and the forecast trend is for a broadly similar rate of growth in the next five years as was experienced in the last five years. However, variations between age bands highlight contrasting changes of: • Declining number of children • Increased numbers of 15-24-year-olds • Rising number of over-55s. 4 3.1.2. Diversity in household composition & ageing population benefits gifting networks Increasingly complex household formation shaped by marital breakdown, children by different partners and remarriage can contribute to individuals having more complex and extended gifting networks, but this may be mitigated by hostile relationships with former partners, estranged partners and children abandoned by one or other parent. Greater longevity also contributes to creating extended family networks, thereby increasing the gifting network of many older people. Ensuring older people stay in touch with what younger relatives want is never easy, but electronic gift lists posted on websites help. Making purchasing of gift cards easier, such as the Post Office’s Gift card shop offering cards for a variety of retailers, provides ready access to a favourite standby for older people unsure of what to buy. 3.1.3. More high spenders and fewer low spenders With a third of the sample spending more, and just under a quarter spending less than last year, the balance of responses is consistent with the industry enjoying a better Christmas in 2006. The finding that there were more high spenders and fewer low spenders was the main reason why spending increased. On average, consumers intended to spend £351 on Christmas gifts for immediate family and friends. Post-Christmas research indicates that they actually spent £400, 14% more. Those least able to forecast their spending correctly were those with young children, over-65s and those in socioeconomic group E who appear to have felt able to loosen their purse strings more than anticipated. 3.1.4. Online altering the sales pattern for home shopping retailers 2006 was a massive Christmas for online retailers and increased use of online will contribute to later shopping patterns. This is because people know they can order late and still get their gifts in time for Christmas because traders are offering reliable 48-hour delivery as standard. This shifts the traditional peak for home shopping from November into December. 5 3.2. Segmentation Mintel segments the gifting market as follows: Group 1: Bore Chore (36%) – an opportunity to excite and inspire. The primary characteristic of this group is that they think Christmas gift buying is a chore Group 2: Excited but Unprepared (17%) These consumers show high enjoyment for Christmas buying (69%, average = 54%), but at the same time appear unprepared financially for the event. Group 3: Well-prepared (28%) Similar to the Excited but Unprepared, these consumers also show high levels of enjoyment for Christmas buying (92%). However, they contrast markedly in that they show a prepared attitude towards Christmas buying, Group 4: Unseasonal Buyers (19%) The most notable characteristics of this group is that they show a tendency to buy out of season for Christmas gifts. Full details of the characteristics of these segments, and much more information on the Christmas gifting market can be found in Mintel’s Christmas Shopping Habits report, February 2007. 4. the potential for gift subscriptions A large 73% of consumers who hold a subscription themselves are not involved in gift subscriptions at all, either giving or receiving. The implication is that there must be significant potential to grow this whole area of the subscription market. Source: PPA/Royal Mail/Brand Lab, “The Loyalty Challenge”, November 2006 It is clear that gift subscriptions offer the publishing industry the potential for significant extra subscription sales. 4.1. How many subscribers give gift subscriptions? Do you currently give or receive a gift subscription? Gift subscription activity Yes. I have paid for a gift subscription for someone else % 19 Yes. I receive a gift subscription paid for by someone else 5 Yes. I both give and receive a gift subscription. 3 No. None of the above Total Base: Magazine Subscribers 6 73 100 The focus groups conducted as part of the research show that magazine gifting is a very black and white area – people either already do it and think that it is a great idea or it has simply never occurred to them at all. For this second group, once explained, they too enthused about the idea, but they had lots of questions about how to do it. The level of consumer awareness about this whole area still seems to be quite low. “It’s dead easy. My husband really enjoys it.” (Women’s Specialist) “Giving a magazine as a gift. Now that idea has never occurred to me. Is it difficult? I bet it’s especially good for people who are difficult to buy presents for.” (Men’s Specialist) 4.2. What are the characteristics of gift subscription donors? • Gift subscriptions donors do not display the male bias that is apparent for self subscribers Gender Self Subscribers Index Gift Sub Donors Index • Age has always been a strong driver behind self-subscription; here it is apparent that gift subscriptions are more likely to be given by subscribers in the 45-54 age bracket Male 130 100 Female 82 100 • Existing buyers of magazines in the following categories are more likely to purchase gift subscriptions: Countryside & county, Gardening and News & Current Affairs 16-24 55 72 25-34 75 43 35-44 78 104 45-54 104 122 55-64 122 110 65+ 175 142 Age Indexed on total research sample 7 Magazine Sector Gift Sub Donors Index Music 91 Adult 78 News & current affairs 126 Buying & selling 73 Parenting 66 Computing 90 Puzzles 87 Countryside & county 170 Sport 99 Gardening 134 Teenage 78 Hobbies 90 Trade & professional 114 Homes & decoration 120 TV listings 84 Men’s lifestyle monthlies 81 Women’s monthlies 113 Men’s lifestyle weeklies 113 Women’s weeklies 89 Motoring & motorcycling 105 Young women’s 74 Other 129 Indexed on total research sample 8 4.3. Number of gift subscriptions held How many subscriptions do you currently pay for as a gift for someone else? Gender No. of Gift Subs Given No. of gift subs Male 1.4 % 1 80 Female 1.5 2 14 Age No. of Gift Subs Given 3 4 Under 44 1.6 4–6 1 45-54 1.2 7 – 10 0 55+ 1.5 10 Plus 1 Base: Gift Subscription Donors Total 100 Base: Gift Subscription Donors The average number of gift subscriptions taken out at any one time is 1.4 subs per person. This is the same level as recorded in Royal Mail’s 1999 Omnibus Survey. Splitting this by gender shows females have on average taken out a slightly higher number of gift subscriptions. 9 Note: The sample size is insufficient to provide breakdown by magazine sector. Some age-bands have been combined to provide sufficient sample sizes. 4.4. Source of gift subscriptions If you have purchased a gift for someone else, please indicate where you purchased your gift subscription from (Please select one) Source of Gift Subscription % From an advert or insert in the magazine itself 40 Internet –direct from publishers website 27 Internet – from an online subscription shop (e.g. isubscribe.co.uk) 13 Cannot remember 8 Gift box (e.g. a special pack from a shop like WHSmith) 6 Other 6 Total 100 Base: Gift Subscription Donors The obvious first place to go to buy a gift subscription is to the magazine itself, either by buying a copy or by going to the magazine website. With 40% going via the Internet (27% publishers’ own sites plus 13% online shops), this is becoming a major channel for gifting. Retail subscriptions, such as the WHSmith “pillow packs”, seem to have good consumer awareness, as evidenced by the focus group discussions, but it is not yet a dominant route for the actual gift subscription purchase itself. 10 4.5. Renewal intentions The impression from the focus group discussions is that the first time a magazine gift is given, it is often a last minute “brainwave”, but that consumers are then unsure what to do at renewal. When you buy a gift subscription how often do you continue with the gift the following year? (Please select one) Renewal activity % I always extend the gift the following year 22 I sometimes extend the gift the following year 52 I never extend the gift the following year 26 Total Base: Gift Subscription Donors 100 Over a quarter of gift donors subscribe in the knowledge that this will be a one-off, “in and out” purchase. The focus groups suggest that there can be several reasons for this: Gender • The donor does not want to appear boring or unimaginative in repeating the same gift idea repeatedly. Male 91 Female 106 • The donor is not always completely sure that the magazine choice is the right one Age 16-24 167 • “If they really like it, then they can always get it themselves.” (Men’s Specialist) 25-34 100 35-44 86 Breaking responses down by gender and age reveals: 45-54 108 55-64 101 65+ 90 • Females are slightly more likely to renew their gift subscription • And there is a significantly higher likelihood that gift subscription donors aged 16-24 will renew the gift subscription 11 Indexed on all Gift Subscription Donors “I always / sometimes extend my gift sub” Index 4.6. Future gift intentions 41% of self-subscribers and 22% of non-subscriber magazine buyers are likely to give a magazine gift subscription in the future. How likely are you to give a magazine subscription as a gift in the future Gift intention Subs % Non–Subs % Very likely 10 3 These figures show: Quite likely 31 19 • The obvious bias of existing subscribers to give a subscription as a gift Not very likely 36 41 • The overall potential for magazine gifting Not at all likely 23 37 Total 100 100 Breaking responses down by gender and age reveals: • Female magazine buyers and those in the 16-54 age bracket are more likely to purchase a gift subscription in the future • Existing buyers of magazines in the following categories are more likely to purchase gift subscriptions in the future: Countryside & county, Gardening, Homes & Decoration, Men’s lifestyle weeklies, and News & Current Affairs How likely are you to give a magazine subscription as a gift in the future Gift intention Subs % Non–Subs % Very likely 10 3 Quite likely 31 19 Not very likely 36 41 Not at all likely 23 37 Total 100 100 Base: All Magazine Buyers 12 Base: All Magazine Buyers 4.6. Future gift intentions continued Gender “Likely to buy a gift sub” Index Homes & decoration 133 Men’s lifestyle monthlies 117 Male 84 Men’s lifestyle weeklies 133 Female 110 Motoring & motorcycling 100 Music 114 Age 16-24 116 News & current affairs 124 25-34 104 Parenting 114 35-44 119 Puzzles 84 45-54 107 Sport 100 55-64 74 Teenage 111 65+ 79 Trade & professional 103 TV listings 84 Magazine Sector Adult 108 Women’s monthlies 115 Buying & selling 110 Women’s weeklies 88 Computing 84 Young women’s 88 Countryside & county 141 Other 91 Gardening 122 Indexed on total research sample Hobbies 105 Note: “Very likely” and “quite likely” have been combined to provide sufficient sample sizes for the cross-tabulations. 13 5. barriers to gift subscriptions Source: PPA/Royal Mail/Brand Lab, “The Loyalty Challenge”, November 2006 Some potential downsides were uncovered at the focus groups:“It’s quite a nice idea, but it seems a bit cold. A bit impersonal.” (Women’s Specialist) “I know that my uncle loves classic cars, but I don’t know which specific magazine he likes best and there are quite a few to choose from.” (Men’s General) “Is it really that exciting to get a magazine? It will just arrive in the post, won’t it, like any other magazine? Or do the magazines send out some kind of gift card or box or something to make it more special, more of an event?” (Men’s Specialist) “My Aunt gives me She. She’s done it for the last three years or so. It’s a lovely thought and it was great to begin with. But I’m getting a bit bored with it now. I’d like to change it for something else. But how can I tell her without seeming ungrateful or mean?” (Women’s General) Making the whole gifting process more of an event and giving the recipient more freedom to choose and control the title selection are important enhancements which publishers can make to overcome some of the barriers. 14 6. conclusion Gift subscriptions present an opportunity for subscriptions growth. Consumers want to receive magazine subscriptions as a gift, but there is a lack of awareness amongst consumers as to how and where to buy a subscription. The growth of the online channel for Christmas shopping demonstrates consumers’ increasing use of the internet for their purchases. This is reflected in the research which shows 40% of donors purchased the gift subscription on the internet – either direct from the publisher’s own website or from an online subscription shop. Adverts in magazines themselves continue to be a powerful way to recruit gift subscription donors. Existing subscribers are the most likely to give a gift subscription. The average number of gift subscriptions purchased stands at 1.4 per subscriber and fewer than 1 in 5 subscribers have given a gift subscription. The category of magazine which current readers buy, points to their likelihood to purchase a gift subscription both now and in the future. 7. sources 7.1. Mintel: Christmas Shopping Habits – UK – February 2007 Mintel publishes over 45 reports each month, covering a wide range of sectors and focusing on topical marketing issues. Divided between UK-specific, European and USA reports, Mintel reports analyse market sizes and trends, market segmentation, and consumer attitudes and purchasing habits, as well as assessing the future of the market. 7.2. PPA: The Loyalty Challenge; How consumer magazine subscriptions work. Qualitative research (four focus groups) informed the quantitative research which was conducted through an online panel. Over 6,600 responses were received to the self-completion questionnaire. Research was conducted by BrandLab on behalf of PPA, sponsored by Royal Mail in November 2006. Royal Mail, the Cruciform and all ™ and ® are Trade Marks of Royal Mail Group Ltd. All rights reserved. Royal Mail Group Ltd is registered in England and Wales. Registered number 4138203. Registered office: 148 Old Street, LONDON EC1V 9HQ. 15
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