July 10, 2015 Greece offers fresh compromises in a bid to secure a third bailout. Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has submitted a bundle of what some eurozone members have hailed as credible reform proposals including tax increases, economic liberalization schemes and pension savings - in return for a €53.5bn bailout over three years. The French government, who helped compile the 12-page list of specific reforms, praised the measures as “serious” and “credible” while the German administration withheld judgment. However, there remain notable hurdles to a resolution. Tsipras still needs the garner support within the Greek parliament, which will need to sign off on the reforms, which must be implemented before receiving aid funding. The proposals must also earn endorsement from crucial eurozone officials in the EU summits this weekend, when a final decision will be made. -PAG The IMF released the latest forecast for global growth, falling to 3.3% in 2015, just shy of prior forecasts for 2014’s output of 3.4%. Forecasts for 2016 were increased to growth of 3.8%. The agency predicts Canada will see growth of 1.5% this year, down 0.7% from earlier estimates, and 2.1% in 2016. While the IMF left its 2015 projections for China and the euro area unchanged from April, it singled out both economies as areas sources of potential risk. -LB http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/09/us-imf-economy-idUSKCN0PJ1N720150709 Chinese stock market steadies in a boost to global risk sentiment. Global financial markets are cheering the revival in Chinese equities, which rose for a second straight session, as Beijing’s drastic actions over the past week seem to have at last convinced investors to wade back into the markets. The Shanghai Composite closed up 4.5% overnight to mark its largest two-session advance - 10.6% - since 2008. However, the headline gains are far less inspiring when one considers that more than 1,400 stocks, or half of the all-listed companies, remain halted. Despite their recent intense volatility, exchange traded funds tracking Chinese stocks drew record inflows of $13.5bn over the past week, according to EPFR.-PAG http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-09/who-blew-up-china-s-stock-bubble- July 10, 2015 BOB DICKEY – Back to Abnormal The market volatility has been increasing over the past two weeks, and with the daily directional changes, it is hard to get a handle on what is going on. But for the past month, there has been a pattern developing of lower highs and lower lows that we believe could continue for another month or two. Some indexes, like the transports, utilities, energy stocks, and many foreign markets have had this choppy and lower trend going on for several months, and now it appears to us that the Dow Industrials and the S&P are starting to catch up to the corrections that are common in other places. We believe the heavy doses of the daily news are serving as some confusing noise to keep the focus off the general deterioration taking place across a broad swath of the market. Dan Osachoff Associate Portfolio Manager, Investment Advisor www.rbcds.com/daniel.osachoff | [email protected] (604) 257-7011|1-866-876-8973 960 Quayside Drive, Suite 201 New Westminster, BC V3M 6G2 This commentary is based on information that is believed to be accurate at the time of writing, and is subject to change. All opinions and estimates contained in this report constitute RBC Dominion Securities Inc.’s judgment as of the date of this report, are subject to change without notice and are provided in good faith but without legal responsibility. Interest rates, market conditions and other investment factors are subject to change. Past performance may not be repeated. The information provided is intended only to illustrate certain historical returns and is not intended to reflect future values or returns. Respecting your privacy is important to us. If you would prefer not to receive this type of communication, please let us know.
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