Status and Change Assessment of Glaciers in the Hindu Kush Himalayas UN/Pakistan International. Workshop on Integrated use of Space Technologies for Food and Water Security 14 March 2013, Islamabad, Pakistan. (UN-OOSA, ISNET, SUPARCO) Samjwal Ratna Bajracharya Sudan Maharjan, Finu Shrestha, G. Wanqin, Y. Xiaojun, W. Junfeng and L. Shiyin International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development ICIMOD Kathmandu, Nepal Contents Methodology Status of glaciers in the HKH region Observed glacier changes in the HKH region Glacier area loss Lesson Learnt Way Forward Methodology Semi-automatic glacier mapping Status of Glaciers in the HKH region (10 major basins) Glacier Area in HKH: about 60,000Km2 Glacier Cover in HKH: 1.43% Basins Amu Darya Indus Ganga Brahmaputra Irrawaddy Salween Mekong Yangtze Yellow Tarim Interior Total Number Area (km2) 3,277 2,566 18,495 21,193 7,963 9,012 11,497 14,020 133 35 2,113 1,352 482 235 1,661 1,660 189 137 1,091 2,310 7,351 7,535 54,252 60,054 Glaciers in Indus basin Basins Glacier Glacier area number (km2) Ice reserves (km3) Kabul 1,601 183 Upper Indus 11,413 15,062 Panjnad 5,481 Indus 1,722 4,409 18,495 21,193 2,174 340 2,697 0 Interior Tarim Yellow Yangtze Mekong Salween Irrawaddy 7,534.6 12.5 2,310.3 3.8 137.4 0.2 1,659.9 2.8 234.6 0.4 1,351.8 2.3 35.5 0.1 23.3 14,019.8 15,000 Brahmapu… 9,011.5 15.0 10,000 Ganges 30 20 10 0 Percentage (%) 20,000 35.3 21,192.7 25,000 Indus 2,566.2 4.3 5,000 Amu Darya Glacier area (km2) Glacier Area percentage in HKH 50 Glacier area Glacier area percent 40 Interior Tarim Yellow Yangtze Mekong Salween Irrawaddy Brahmaputra Ganga Indus Amu Darya Elevation (masl) Glaciers - Elevation 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 Area-Elevation (Hypsometry) 9,000 8,000 Elevation (masl) 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 Indus 3,000 Ganga Brahmaputra 2,000 0 200 400 600 Glacier area 800 (km2) 1000 1200 1400 1600 Distribution of Glaciers Elevation - Area Debris Cover (DC) Area From the analysis of 32,000 km2 glacier area (28,500 glaciers) Debris Cover in: HKH region - 9.7% Ganges - 12.6% Brahmaputra - 11.06% Indus - 9.3% Observed Changes in HKH region Observed Changes Representative examples of glacier changes in HKH region A = Wakhan Corr., Afghanistan B = Shyok basin, Pakistan C = Imja Valley, Nepal D = Lunana area, Bhutan Retreat of glaciers: snout shift 100 to 125m in Lirung, Kimjung, and Yala glaciers in Langtang valley Retreat of glaciers: snout shift in Imja valley Decadal Change in Nepal from 1980, 1990, 2000 and 2010 8500 8000 7500 Elevation (masl) 7000 6500 6000 5500 5000 4500 4000 1980 1990 3500 2000 2010 3000 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Glacier area (km2) 350 400 450 Decadal Change in Nepal 8500 8000 7500 Elevation (masl) 7000 5800 masl 6500 6000 5500 5000 4500 4000 1990 3500 2010 2000 3000 0 50 100 150 200 250 Glacier area (km2) 300 350 400 Glacier delineations from landsat images Hypsograph comparison from 1980, 1990, 2000 and 2010 7500 7000 Elevation (m asl) 6500 6000 5500 5000 4500 1980 1990 2000 2010 4000 3500 0 20 40 60 80 Glacier area (km2) 100 120 140 Hypsograph comparison from 1990, 2000 and 2010 7500 7000 Elevation (m asl) 6500 5400 masl 6000 5500 5000 4500 1990 2000 2010 4000 3500 0 20 40 60 80 Glacier area (km2) 100 120 Status of glaciers and decadal glacier change in Jhelum Basin Year Pakistan 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year India 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year JHELUM 1980 1990 2000 2010 Glacier Number Highest Elevation (m) 477 477 486 487 6285 6285 6285 6285 Glacier Number Highest Elevation (m) 340 346 359 359 5236 5236 5275 5259 Glacier Number Highest Elevation (m) 817 823 845 846 6285 6285 6285 6285 Lowest Elevation (m) 3520 3520 7m 3520 3527 Lowest Elevation (m) 3573 74m 3573 3542 3647 Lowest Elevation (m) 3520 3520 74m 3520 3527 Glacier Area (sq km) Ice Reserve (cu km) 159.20 35km2 148.33 22% 129.08 124.53 Glacier Area (sq km) 109.37 99.82 91.75 86.63 Ice Reserve (cu km) 23km2 21% Glacier Area (sq km) 268.57 248.15 220.83 211.16 6.64 6.14 5.25 5.04 4.32 3.89 3.56 3.31 Ice Reserve (cu km) 57km2 21% 10.96 10.04 8.82 8.36 Status of Glaciers in Jhelum Basin in 1980, 1990, 2000 and 2010 Glacier Number Highest Elevation (m) Lowest Elevation (m) 1980 817 6285 3520 2765 268.57 10.96 1990 823 6285 3520 2765 248.15 2000 845 6285 3520 2765 2010 846 6285 3527 2758 Year Gr. Nr + 3.5% Diff Elv. Glacier Area (sq.km.) Ice Reserve (cu.km.) Area % Loss 1980- 1990 7.6 10.04 1990- 2000 11.0 220.83 8.82 2000-2010 4.4 211.16 8.36 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1980 Glacier Number 1990 Glacier Area (sq.km.) 2000 Ice Reserve (cu.km.) 2010 21.4 Lessons Learnt and Way Forward Identify HOT SPOT area Access to the better quality satellite images for regular monitoring Repeat Inventory of Glaciers in 5/10 Years Quick methodology for glacier mapping and monitoring Way forward Use better quality satellite images to identify the hot spot area and regular monitoring of glaciers Development of quick methodology for monitoring of glaciers Snow and glacier melt runoff modeling for water availability
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