DTA Report 343 NR 1601 ISSN 1175-6594 Bamiyan Province Climatology and Temperature Extremes in Afghanistan D E Cook April 2012 DTA Report 343 NR 1601 ISSN 1175-6594 BAMIYAN PROVINCE CLIMATOLOGY AND TEMPERATURE EXTREMES IN AFGHANISTAN Duncan E. Cook APRIL 2012 ABSTRACT Afghanistan is susceptible to extremes in surface air temperatures that are of importance to the designers and manufacturers of military hardware. Data mining of all known direct weather observations from the region has identified the highest ambient air temperature recorded in Afghanistan: 54°C, recorded at Asadabad in Konar Province. Extreme heat is not uncommon in Afghanistan; lowland deserts sites examined in this report often exceed 45°C on hot summer days. In addition, there is strong evidence suggesting that temperatures on military tarmacs, in vehicles and in storage facilities may be as much as 20°C higher again. In contrast, high-altitude regions of Afghanistan such as Bamiyan Province experience a dry, mountain climate with mild summers and bitterly cold winters. The few climate records available from Bamiyan Province show that extreme cold and snow is common in the winter months, conditions which could affect the lifespan and performance of military hardware (such as UAS) designed for operation in temperate environments. The Bamiyan data show the presence of strong and highly localised winds each year that can be of sufficient strength as to impact hardware endurance and operability. The findings from this work highlight the need to quantify the environmental conditions of the battlefield and of developing military hardware that will withstand environmental extremes and thus operate reliably in a diverse range of theatres. Published by Defence Technology Agency Private Bag 32901 Devonport Auckland 0744 New Zealand © Crown Copyright 2011 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY BACKGROUND A detailed knowledge of the environmental conditions in which military hardware must operate is of primary importance to those scientists and engineers planning and creating products for our militaries. The Defence Technology Agency’s (DTA) Kahu Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) was designed for use in temperate environment regions such as mainland New Zealand. This hardware has recently begun operations in other areas of the world. Research undertaken at the DTA has required knowledge of the range of environmental conditions that exist in Afghanistan, while related information on the climate of Bamiyan Province in Afghanistan is needed for UAS planning and operations. This report draws these two research streams together to provide detailed information on the temperature extremes that can be encountered in Afghanistan while discussing all known observations of weather from Bamiyan Province and how annual climatic conditions here may affect Kahu UAS operations. SPONSOR A0802 – Unmanned Vehicle Systems AIMS The first aim of this work is to document the temperature extremes that exist in Afghanistan. The secondary aim here is to provide a detailed account of the climatic conditions found in Bamiyan Province, Afghanistan, in support of Kahu UAS operations here by the NZDF. RESULTS Data mining of all known direct weather observations from the region has identified the highest ambient air temperature recorded in Afghanistan: 54°C, recorded at Asadabad in Konar Province in 1987 and 1988. Beyond this location, stations in the lowland desert regions of Afghanistan have recorded maximum air temperatures in excess of 49°C. In addition, there is strong evidence suggesting that temperatures on military tarmacs, in vehicles and in storage facilities may be as much as 20°C higher again. And while extreme high temperatures may not be an issue in high-altitude regions such as Bamiyan Province, other aspects of the operational environment here present challenges to military planners. Bamiyan Province has a dry, mountain climate with mild summers and bitterly cold winters. There are direct weather observations from just two locations. High altitudes and complex terrain further confound climatic analyses, with individual valleys often having unique microclimates and no direct observations. Analysis of the available weather records highlights several critical issues for UAS operations here. The presence of strong and highly-localised winds in the province can be of sufficient strength as to impact UAS endurance and operability, while extreme cold and snow in the winter months may equally test military hardware and reduce opportunities for deployment. DTA Report 343 ii CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................... ii BACKGROUND ......................................................................................................... ii SPONSOR ................................................................................................................. ii AIMS .......................................................................................................................... ii RESULTS .................................................................................................................. ii CONTENTS .................................................................................................................. iii LIST OF TABLES .......................................................................................................... v LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................................ v 1 Introduction.............................................................................................................1 2 Bamiyan Province climate ......................................................................................2 2.1 Location and climate ....................................................................................2 2.2 Regional winds ............................................................................................2 2.3 Data sources................................................................................................4 2.4 Bamiyan.......................................................................................................6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.4.1 Temperature .........................................................................................6 2.4.2 Wind .....................................................................................................8 2.4.3 Precipitation ..........................................................................................8 Pan Jao......................................................................................................10 2.5.1 Temperature .......................................................................................10 2.5.2 Wind ...................................................................................................11 2.5.3 Precipitation ........................................................................................11 Camp Airborne (Wardak Province) ............................................................12 2.6.1 Temperature .......................................................................................12 2.6.2 Wind ...................................................................................................13 2.6.3 Precipitation ........................................................................................14 Summary: Bamiyan Province climate and UAS operations .......................15 2.7.1 Critical issues for UAS operations ......................................................15 2.7.2 Temperature .......................................................................................15 2.7.3 Wind ...................................................................................................16 2.7.4 Precipitation ........................................................................................16 3 Long-term temperature time series in Afghanistan ...............................................17 4 Maximum temperatures from Afghanistan weather stations .................................20 4.1 Introduction ................................................................................................20 DTA Report 343 iii 5 6 4.2 Asadabad, Konar Province, eastern Afghanistan ......................................21 4.3 Kundunz, Kunduz Province, northern Afghanistan ....................................21 4.4 Faizabad, Badakhsan Province, northern Afghanistan ..............................21 4.5 Bust, Helmand Province, southern Afghanistan.........................................21 4.6 Farah, Farah Province, southwestern Afghanistan ....................................21 4.7 Zaranj, Nimruz Province, southern Afghanistan.........................................22 4.8 Jalalabad, Nangarhar Province, eastern Afghanistan ................................22 4.9 Kandahar Airport, Kandahar Province, southern Afghanistan....................22 4.10 Herat, Herat Province, western Afghanistan ..............................................22 4.11 Farah TMQ-53, Farah Province, western Afghanistan..............................22 4.12 FOB Ramrod, Kandahar Province, southern Afghanistan..........................22 4.13 Kabul Airport, Kabol Province, eastern Afghanistan ..................................23 Maximum temperatures in Afghanistan: other observations .................................23 5.1 Runways and tarmacs ..............................................................................23 5.2 Vehicle interior temperatures .....................................................................23 Concluding discussions ........................................................................................25 References ..................................................................................................................27 DTA Report 343 iv LIST OF TABLES Table 1 Meteorological stations that contributed to the Bamiyan Province climatology ................................. 6 Table 2 Afghanistan meteorological stations contributing data to this study ................................................ 19 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1 Bamiyan Province, Afghanistan.. .................................................................................................. 3 Figure 2 The Amu Darya River valley near the northern border of Afghanistan. Vertical entrainment of dust along a wind front connected to strong northerly regional winds in summer. ................... 3 Figure 3 True-colour satellite image from by MODIS of a dust storm over Iran, southern Afghanistan and Pakistan, 29 April 2004. ......................................................................................................... 5 Figure 4 Maximum Peak wind gusts measured at Bamiyan and Pan Jao, Bamiyan Province, Afghanistan.................................................................................................................................... 5 Figure 5 Annual wind velocities from sites in south and southwestern Afghanistan ................................... 6 Figure 6 Topography of the Bamiyan Valley (trending west to east), Bamiyan Province, Afghanistan ...... 7 Figure 7 Maximum, minimum and mean daily air temperatures at Bamiyan, Bamiyan province, Afghanistan, 1975-1987.............................................................................................................. 7 Figure 8 Precipitation at Bamiyan, Bamiyan Province, Afghanistan ........................................................... 9 Figure 9 New Zealand PRT in Bamiyan Province, winter 2010 .................................................................. 9 Figure 10 Air temperature recorded at the WMO weather station Pan Jao, Bamiyan Province, 1975-1979…………... ................................................................................................................... 10 Figure 11 Monthly precipitation at Pan Jao, Bamiyan Province, Afghanistan............................................. 11 Figure 12 Camp Airborne, Wardak Province, showing its location relative to Bamiyan Province and Kabul. ................................................................................................................................... 12 Figure 13 A two year record of air temperature from Camp Airborne, Wardak Province, Afghanistan ...... 13 Figure 14 Monthly mean and maximum wind speeds recorded at Camp Airborne, Wardak Province, Afghanistan, 2008-2010 .............................................................................................................. 14 Figure 15 Daily precipitation received at Camp Airborne, Wardak Province, Afghanistan ......................... 15 Figure 16 Southwest Asia, showing the relationship between Afghanistan and its neighbouring countries. ..................................................................................................................................... 18 Figure 17 Data years of record for each calendar month, Islamabad Airport (Pakistan). ........................... 19 Figure 18 Monthly climate averages for Islamabad International Airport (Pakistan)................................... 19 Figure 19 Mean maximum monthly surface air temperature (°C) for July to December ............................. 20 DTA Report 343 v 1 Introduction An understanding of the environmental conditions that military hardware will be operated in is essential information for scientists and engineers tasked with creating and testing safe and reliable products. At the genesis of a project, a detailed knowledge of the environmental conditions that equipment must withstand is necessary to assess the overall feasibility of projects, and to broadly guide the direction that research and development may take. At later stages of product development, environmental testing of hardware can be undertaken that replicates those environments that the operational product will be used in (the Environments of intended use of MIL-STD-810 or NATO STANAG 2895, for example). The Defence Technology Agency (DTA) Kahu Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) (Strong and Brown, 2010) was designed and built for the environmental conditions typically experienced in mainland New Zealand or similar mid-latitude environments. Current research undertaken at DTA has focused attention on theatres of operation outside of New Zealand. To assess the ability of the Kahu hardware to withstand the extreme environmental conditions, this work was initiated to quantify, in particular, the maximum temperatures that may be experienced in the country of Afghanistan. This report will first focus on the climate of Bamiyan Province, Afghanistan, utilising all applicable data sources currently available. The remainder of this report will examine the long-term climate history of the region, followed by a study of the hottest air temperatures recorded at weather stations in Afghanistan. Finally, the implications of operating and storage temperatures in military vehicles and structures relevant to the Kahu UAS will be explored. Although the climatic extremes observed in Afghanistan in the past may not be precise predictors of weather conditions in decades to come (especially under projected global warming scenarios), these data sets are still the most powerful tool available in assessing environments of intended use for military hardware. DTA Report 343 1 2 Bamiyan Province climate 2.1 Location and climate Bamiyan (alternatively Bamian, or Bamyan) Province is located in the central eastern region of Afghanistan between 34° and 35.25° N parallels (Figure 1). The province is characterised by a dry, mountainous climate, with a high propensity for microclimates within the numerous steep valleys that make up the Baba (Koh-i-Baba) and Hindu Kush mountain ranges. Much of Bamiyan Province is above 2000 m elevation with significant areas located above 4000 m. The highest location in the province is Foladi peak (Shah Fuladi) which has a maximum height of 5029 m. There exists great spatial variability in climate across the province, a problem for military planners that is further complicated by a lack of detailed climate records for analysis (section 3). The few records that are available from Bamiyan Province highlight two outstanding features of the annual climate. The first is the intense cold periods in winter when air temperatures commonly do not exceed −5°C throughout a day, while minimum air temperatures below −20°C are common. The second feature is the large diurnal temperature variations recorded in summer months, whereby daily temperature ranges may exceed 20°C. Although sites in Bamiyan Province are not as hot as the lowland regions of Afghanistan, the combined effect of high-elevations and summer heat has affected NZDF operations here. In one example, in has been estimated that engine power in the NZAF C−130 Hercules is reduced by up to 40% when operating in a Bamiyan summer when compared with sea-level, temperate environment operations. This has translated into a loss of payload capability of over 4.5 Tonnes in summer when compared with winter operations (Scott, 2006). 2.2 Regional winds From an operational perspective, the most important wind phenomena impacting much of Afghanistan is the region-wide ‘120-day wind’ (Bad-i-sad-o-bist roz), alternatively known as the sistan or Levar wind. These strong winds are associated with high pressure air (the Azores High) building across the Caspian Sea Region north of Uzbekistan and Pakistan, giving rise to a pressure gradient across the mountain ranges and down into the Sistan basin of Afghanistan (Kendrew, 1961; Hickey and Goudie, 2007). Heading down from the southern steppe regions of Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan (Figure 2), these winds are drawn over mountainous landscapes, funnelling through mountain passes, blowing near-constantly for up to three months during spring and summer, impacting southwestern Afghanistan, Iran and Pakistan (Hickey and Goudie, 2007). During this time, wind speeds may exceed 80 knots for extended periods (Miri et al., 2010). DTA Report 343 2 Figure 1. Bamiyan Province, Afghanistan. Figure 2. The Amu Darya River valley near the northern border of Afghanistan. Vertical entrainment of dust along a wind front connected to strong northerly regional winds in summer. Image STS106-718-056, NASA Human Spaceflight Collection, 2000. DTA Report 343 3 This seasonal wind is often responsible for the dust storms that plague Afghanistan, entraining salts, fine silts and clays from dry lakebeds and desert surfaces in the southern provinces of Afghanistan (Jamalizadeh et al., 2008) (Figure 3). The operational significance of these phenomena are well known; the central Asian desert regions have the greatest number of dust storm days on the planet. Aviation ‘brownouts’, or low visibility landing (LVL) phenomena in the region cost the US Military approximately $100M per year and are responsible for the majority of helicopter accidents in Afghanistan (Sabbagh, 2006). In spring 2005, 18 people died when a United States military Chinook helicopter crashed in a heavy dust storm in Ghazni, 150km south of Bamiyan (Goudie and Middleton, 2006). It should be noted that locations in Bamiyan Province are often sheltered from the most severe wind events by the surrounding mountains (USAFCCC, 2003). As such, peak wind speeds here are often less than those encountered in southern and western Afghanistan. Strong winds in the central and eastern mountain regions are often connected to thunderstorm activity through summer, with down drafts rapidly flowing down mountain slopes and through valley passes (USAFCCC, 2003). High-wind activity in Bamiyan Province exhibits a bi-modal annual pattern (Figure 4). The springsummer phase of strong surface winds across much of Afghanistan is well documented. The shorter duration period in November-December is, however, less reported and appears to be absent from wind observations collected in southern and western Afghanistan (Figure 5). A survey of other station records in northern Afghanistan confirms the existence of this early winter phenomena. Although little is known about the process behind the sharp rise in wind speeds in the transitional season, it is probably connected to the passing of the southwest monsoon across the region. At this time, the subtropical jet shifts southwards, causing westerly disturbances to move across the region before winter (USAFCCC, 2005; CSG, 2009). 2.3 Data sources There are only two locations with weather observations listed in the GSOD in Bamiyan Province, covering 14,000 km2 of land (Table 1). The data in this report have been supplemented by modern, high-quality observations collected by US Forces at Camp Airborne, a base located 100 km southeast of Bamiyan town in Wardak (or Maidan Wardak) province. Detailed climatic conditions around Bamiyan town are taken from AFCCC (2003). Due to the high relief and complex terrain of the Bamiyan landscape, weather conditions experienced in locations only kilometres away from a weather station may be dramatically different. As such, the weather conditions inferred from these locations should be used with caution, and may be of little relevance for locations in Bamiyan Province beyond these reference sites. DTA Report 343 4 Afghanistan Pakistan Iran Figure 3. True-colour satellite image from by MODIS of a dust storm over Iran, southern Afghanistan and Pakistan, 29 April 2004. Dust (light brown) can be seen being transported southwards from the western border Afghanistan with Iran, and spreading over large tracts of southern Afghanistan, Pakistan and into the Arabian Sea. Image SPD-ETOBS-12104, NASA Earth Observatory Collection. 60 Maximum peak wind gust (knots) 50 40 30 20 10 Bamiyan Pan Jao 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month of the year Figure 4. Maximum peak wind gusts measured at Bamiyan and Pan Jao, Bamiyan Province, Afghanistan. DTA Report 343 5 Figure 5. Annual wind velocities from sites in south and southwestern Afghanistan. From Whitney (2006). Table 1. Meteorological stations that contributed to the Bamiyan Province climatology. Station name and information were taken from the Integrated Surface Database Station History online database, accessed October 2010. Station ID 696714 409450 409460 2.4 WMO Station Name Camp Airborne Bamiyan Pan Jao Call sign KQQS OABN OAPJ Province Wardak Bamiyan Bamiyan Latitude (º N) 34.383 34.810 34.383 Longitude (º E) 68.867 67.810 67.033 Elevation (m) 2240 2550 2710 Bamiyan 2.4.1 Temperature The town of Bamiyan is located in the east-draining Daryaeheh-ye Bamian (River) valley, at an altitude of 2550 m (Figure 6). The river valley is enclosed to the south by the Hindu Kush mountain range, in a region characterised by a cold semi-arid climate (Köppen-Geiger Bsk classification) (Peel et al, 2007). The mean annual daily temperature is 7°C. Summer days in Bamiyan are warm, occasionally reaching hot in temperature. Data mined from the GSOD database show the highest recorded air temperature in Bamiyan was 38.3°C. However, temperatures rarely exceeded 30°C on a summer’s day. The more challenging operational conditions in this region begin in winter, where air temperatures can reach as low as -20°C (Figure 7). The lowest recorded temperature at Bamiyan was -31°C, recorded in January 1978. Temperatures in Bamiyan may vary greatly within a single day; several days in the historical record show temperature differences of 30°C between day and night observations. DTA Report 343 6 Figure 6. Topography of the Bamiyan Valley (trending west to east), Bamiyan Province, Afghanistan. The Koh-i-Baba ranges are represented in the bottom of the image by steep contours, with the peak of Shah Fuladi at 5029 m indicated. From Bohannon (2005). 40 35 30 25 20 Air temperature (°C) 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 Daily maximum Daily minimum Daily mean -25 -30 -35 16/04/1975 28/08/1976 10/01/1978 25/05/1979 6/10/1980 18/02/1982 3/07/1983 14/11/1984 29/03/1986 11/08/1987 Date Figure 7. Maximum, minimum and mean daily air temperatures at Bamiyan, Bamiyan province, Afghanistan, 1975-1987. DTA Report 343 7 2.4.2 Wind Local terrain effects are far more important to the winds around Bamiyan town than the largescale systems that affect much of Afghanistan (see 2.4.2). The prevailing winds vary between upand down-slope with speeds typically between 5 and 10 knots. Daytime winds are upslope in direction, light and from the northeast, but they are stronger in summer than in any other season (Figure 4). Night winds are predominantly downslope, stronger than upslope winds and come from the southwest side of the Bamiyan river valley. Calm conditions are relatively common, more so during the day than at night. Winds are strongest under thunderstorm down rush gusts that are funnelled from the mountainsides to the southwest above the PRT base and airstrip. Peak gusts can reach 40 knots in April and June, nearly 50 knots in May and 30 knots between July and September (USAFCCC, 2003). 2.4.3 Precipitation Mean annual precipitation in Bamiyan is less than 165 mm (much of this falling as snow) (Figure 8). In spring and early summer, snow melt from the surrounding mountains increases air moisture and river discharge in the valley bottom. This contributes to increased atmospheric instability and storminess as the approaching summer months result in warmer air masses (USAFCCC, 2002; 2003). Precipitation, exclusively as rainfall and isolated thunderstorms, is at the annual minimum in summer. Thunderstorm activity is greatest in the months of April and May, with an average of two and three days (respectively) per month of storms recorded. By June, thunderstorm activity drops to an average of one day of storms per month, while the remainder of the year is typically without storms (USAFCCC, 2003). Rainshowers around Bamiyan are often weak and result in little precipitation reaching the earth. Rainfall falls, on average, a couple of times per month in June and September, while no rain falls in July or August. Thunderstorms occur on an average of one day in June alone; the remaining summer months are free of storms. Convective showers in summer months are often dry or produce only virga (rain that evaporates before reaching the ground). The presence of localized atmospheric phenomena such as virga, microbursts and updrafts under hot summertime ambient temperatures should be noted for this region and consideration given to how this may increase problems for UAS operations. Light snow will typically start falling in late September, with an average of one day of snow per month. Rates of snowfall incrementally increase from October onwards, elevating precipitation in the area. The greatest number of snowfall days occurs between January and March (10-11 days each month). At this time, snow may be as much as one metre deep in and around Bamiyan town, although average depths are generally <0.8 m deep (USAFCCC, 2002) (Figure 9). DTA Report 343 8 160 Maximum Mean Minimum 140 Precipitation (mm) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month of the year Figure 8. Precipitation at Bamiyan, Bamiyan Province, Afghanistan. Figure 9. New Zealand PRT in Bamiyan Province, winter 2010. DTA Report 343 9 2.5 Pan Jao 2.5.1 Temperature From 1975 to 1979, the Pan Jao weather station collected observations in the town of Panjab, the capital of the Panjab District in the southwest of Bamiyan Province. This settlement is located in a valley floor near the confluence of five rivers. At an altitude of 2710 m, Panjab has one of the highest altitudes for a major settlement in Bamiyan Province. Air temperatures recorded at the Pan Jao station are nearly always colder than the lower altitude sites elsewhere in the region. Maximum daily temperatures in summer rarely exceed 20°C, while the highest temperature on record is just 28°C (Figure 10). In winter, Pan Jao is bitterly cold; temperatures approaching -40°C have been recorded in January, with daily means below -20°C. In some winter seasons, air temperatures have not climbed above freezing for several months. These observations suggest that at higher altitude locations in Bamiyan Province, UAS operations may be limited in the coldest months of the year due to the extended periods of sub-zero temperatures that occur here. Figure 10. Air temperature recorded at the WMO weather station Pan Jao, Bamiyan Province, 1975-1979. DTA Report 343 10 2.5.2 Wind Pan Jao’s elevated location means that it does not benefit from the degree of protection from large-scale wind systems that Bamiyan does. This probably explains why year-round this town experiences (on average) winds five knots greater in speed (Figure 4). Like Bamiyan, the highest average wind speeds occur in spring and summer, however peak wind conditions in Pan Jao typically occur in April. The sharp rise in wind conditions in October and November are very similar to that recorded in the Bamiyan Valley, and may be driven by similar weather systems. 2.5.3 Precipitation Precipitation in Pan Jao shows a similar annual distribution to that recorded to the northeast in Bamiyan, with maximum precipitation record in spring, and no precipitation recorded in the summer months (Figure 11). Monthly precipitation around Pan Jao can be up to twice as high as that recorded in Bamiyan town. This increase in the winter and spring is most likely due to the increased snowfall recorded at this high-elevation site. 160 Maximum Mean Minimum 140 Precipitation (mm) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month of the year Figure 11. Monthly precipitation at Pan Jao, Bamiyan Province, Afghanistan. DTA Report 343 11 2.6 Camp Airborne (Wardak Province) 2.6.1 Temperature Camp Airborne is a US Airforce base located near the town of Meydan Shahr in Wardak (alternatively, Vardak) Province, approximately 100 km east of Bamiyan at an altitude of 2240 m (Figure 12). This site has been included in the climatology of Bamiyan Province as it is the only weather station near Bamiyan Province with a modern record of observations, collected from 2008 to present. Furthermore, the location is located on route between Bamiyan and Kabul along roads of strategic importance. The maximum air temperature recorded at Camp Airborne was 33°C (July and August 2009 and July 2010) (Figure 13). Average summer temperatures are between 23°C and 25°C. February is typically the coldest month of the year, when temperatures may reach as low as -14°C. Figure 12. Camp Airborne, Wardak Province, showing its location relative to Bamiyan Province and Kabul. White lines denote province borders. Image from Google Earth (2010). DTA Report 343 12 It is difficult to compare the modern observations collected at Camp Airborne with those collected at Bamiyan and Pan Jao as the most recent data from these dates from the early 1980s. A broad comparison of monthly trends suggests that average summer temperatures around Camp Airborne are probably a couple of degrees warmer than in Bamiyan (although maximum temperatures may be similar). In winter, temperatures in Bamiyan are routinely colder by several degrees, and minimum winter temperatures may be as much as 10°C lower in Bamiyan town than those experienced in the eastern part of Wadak Province. 2.6.2 Wind During the late spring and summer months at Camp Airborne, northerly winds reach their annual peak activity, with velocities in excess of 20 knots recorded in April, May and June (Figure 14). The second annual phase of elevated wind conditions identified across Bamiyan Province (section 2.1.2) affects this region too, with elevated wind conditions recorded in the OctoberDecember transitional season. A broad comparison with mean wind conditions recorded at stations in Bamiyan Province suggests that, on average, peak wind gusts at Camp Airborne will typically be lower than those experienced in Bamiyan town. This is probably due to the significant contribution from topographically enhanced winds that can flow up and down the slopes of the Bamiyan River valley. The terrain surrounding Camp Airborne is lower relief than that found surrounding Bamiyan, while the valley bottom location is several hundred metres lower in altitude. 35 30 25 Temperature (°C) 20 15 10 5 0 -5 Maximum Mean -10 Minimum 21 /0 7/ 20 08 9/ 09 /2 00 29 8 /1 0/ 20 08 18 /1 2/ 20 08 6/ 02 /2 00 28 9 /0 3/ 20 09 17 /0 5/ 20 09 6/ 07 /2 00 25 9 /0 8/ 20 09 14 /1 0/ 20 09 3/ 12 /2 00 22 9 /0 1/ 20 10 13 /0 3/ 20 10 2/ 05 /2 01 21 0 /0 6/ 20 10 10 /0 8/ 20 10 29 /0 9/ 20 10 18 /1 1/ 20 10 -15 Date Figure 13. A two year record of air temperature from Camp Airborne, Wardak Province, Afghanistan. DTA Report 343 13 2.6.3 Precipitation Between 2008 and the end of 2010, most rainfall at Camp Airborne fell in a brief three-month window, in the summer of 2010 (Figure 15). Summer peaks in precipitation (as rainfall) at this site correspond to peak thunderstorm activity for the year. Peak rainfall recorded in June 2010 is likely to be connected to thunderstorm activity. Although there are very few data available for comparisons, there is some evidence to suggest that rainfall pattern in this area may differ from that experienced at the higher elevation sites to the west in Bamiyan Province. Summer rainfall in Bamiyan Province is uncommon; it appears that Camp Airborne may be located sufficiently east in Afghanistan as to be within the peripheral influence of the Indian summer monsoon and the moisture that it brings to the west Asian region. 30 Wind speed (knots) 25 20 15 Maximum Mean 10 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month of the year Figure 14. Monthly mean and maximum wind speeds recorded at Camp Airborne, Wardak Province, Afghanistan, 2008-2010. DTA Report 343 14 250 Precipitation (mm) 200 150 100 50 1/ 06 /2 00 21 8 /0 7/ 20 08 9/ 09 /2 00 29 8 /1 0/ 20 18 08 /1 2/ 20 08 6/ 02 /2 00 28 9 /0 3/ 20 17 09 /0 5/ 20 09 6/ 07 /2 00 25 9 /0 8/ 20 14 09 /1 0/ 20 09 3/ 12 /2 00 22 9 /0 1/ 20 13 10 /0 3/ 20 10 2/ 05 /2 01 21 0 /0 6/ 20 10 10 /0 8/ 20 29 10 /0 9/ 20 18 10 /1 1/ 20 10 7/ 01 /2 01 1 0 Date Figure 15. Daily precipitation received at Camp Airborne, Wardak Province, Afghanistan. 2.7 Summary: Bamiyan Province climate and UAS operations 2.7.1 Critical issues for UAS operations Afghanistan’s Bamiyan Province is characterised by a dry, mountainous climate. Although only a pair of weather station records exist for the province (for limited years of operation), some general insights into the climate here may be deduced. Aspects of this climate may present challenges to UAS operations. The temperature extremes and extreme diurnal ranges, wind strengths and precipitation patterns identified early in this report, in particular, could influence how, when and where UAS operations take place. It should again be stressed that the region has well-documented instances of highly localised weather phenomena, with reports noting that individual valleys can have unique climates. As such, conditions specific to single weather station locations should not be extrapolated for any great distances across the region without care. 2.7.2 Temperature DTA Report 343 15 Winter months in Bamiyan Province, especially at the higher elevations, are very cold. While the Kahu UAS has not undertaken extensive cold-climate testing, it is feasible that occasional exposure to sub-zero temperatures should not lead to any major degradation or damage to components. Battery discharge performance, however, is reduced in such conditions, and subsequently, the endurance of Kahu affected. Undertaking mini-UAS operations when air temperatures remain below freezing (which is common at Pan Jao and Bamiyan during winter) could result in decreased sensor performance due to increased start-up times of electrical components. The impact of condensation on the system may also be of concern in winter. 2.7.3 Wind Small UAS vehicles (such as Kahu) are best suited for operating in lower, less turbulent wind conditions. When wind speeds begin to blow consistently above 25 knots, UAS operations may be too difficult to undertake (Cook et al., 2012; Strong and Brown, 2010). Wind gusts in excess of 25 knots during late spring and summer months are common across the three sites analysed in this report. Due to complex terrain and storm-induced downdrafts, unpredictable wind turbulence may potentially be of concern to UAS operators. A second peak in high wind speeds appears to commonly occur in early winter (November and December), decreasing sharply in January. The site of Pan Jao, in the east of Bamiyan Province, has the greatest wind speeds year-round, and it is possible that any UAS operations in this area would be susceptible to disruption. Peak wind speeds here appear to blow 5 to 10 knots higher than in Bamiyan town. 2.7.4 Precipitation The current Kahu airframe is partially resistant to water. However, operations during snowfall or significant rainfall generally cannot be undertaken. This is not a great problem for UAS operators because poor visibility during rainfall reduces the need to fly. During winter months in Bamiyan, when snowfall can be a significant source of moisture in the air, the ability to undertake UAS operations could be restricted. When combined with temperatures below -20°C, the likelihood of flight restrictions is further increased. Rainfall is practically non-existent in the summer months, and combined with more favourable air temperatures, no impedance to UAS operations from precipitation is likely. DTA Report 343 16 3 Long-term temperature time series in Afghanistan When developing climatic metrics for military hardware design, it is often stipulated that the climatic data should be sourced from long, continuous, high-quality compilations of direct observations. In doing so, significant interannual and interdecadel variability (e.g., El NiñoSouthern Oscillation) in climate may be better accounted for than relying on recent observations alone. Some measure of normal weather conditions (and those conditions that are abnormal), usually represented as average values of temperature, precipitation and wind parameters are often called for. When available, best practices, such as that specified by the World Meteorological Organization, typically utilise average values of weather observations from a 30year period to produce ‘climatic normals’ (WMO, 1988). Climate observations in Afghanistan were first permanently collected in the 1940s. At its zenith, Afghanistan’s meteorological authority was responsible for over 40 meteorological stations, with daily and monthly data regularly reported to, and published by, the Meteorological Department in Kabul (Shobair, 2002). Many of these hardcopy records have since been lost or destroyed following the degradation of Afghanistan’s central government and the country’s meteorological capability. Since the mid-1980s, Afghanistan’s ability to collect and archive meteorological data has been greatly hampered by a lack of functioning central government and civil unrest, and has essentially ceased following the onset of Taliban rule in 1996. However, it’s likely that airport weather stations still collected some data during this period (Shobair, 2002). Despite recent efforts by US government agencies to rescue what remains of Afghanistan’s climate data (http://docs.lib.noaa.gov/rescue/data_rescue_afghanistan.html), there are now very few long-term (>10 years duration) climate records available from Afghanistan. The number of these that are complete and without major discontinuities in their record is fewer again. Indeed many climate studies in the region have relied on observations collected at stations located beyond the political boundary of Afghanistan, using data collected in nearby Pakistan, Iran, or Tajikistan (Daly et al., 2010), depending on the exact region of interest and the length of historical data required (Figure 16). Without long and reliable records, assessing the frequency and magnitude of temperature extremes will be confined to just a few locations within a country. This is especially problematic in Afghanistan, where an enormous range of climate variability often exists within small regions; individual valleys can have microclimates and highly localised hydrology (Sprehe, 2010). At worst, obtaining reliable climatic measurements for some regions, for any significant period of time, can be close to impossible to achieve (e.g., Yemen (Kopp, 1981)). DTA Report 343 17 The longest and most complete temperature record that is representative of the eastern region of Afghanistan comes from the neighbouring Islamabad International Airport (Pakistan), 200 km east of Afghanistan (Figure 16, Table 2). The National Climate Data Center’s (NCDC) Global Summary of the Day (GSOD) database contains observations from Islamabad International Airport from 1973 to present, with a near-uninterrupted record of approximately 30 equivalent data years from 1975–2010 available (Figure 17). The highest air-temperature recorded in Islamabad was 47.0°C, in the summer of 1980. More recently (summer, 2005), daytime air temperatures have reached 46.6°C at the Islamabad airport. These are not rare conditions here; daily maximum temperatures in excess of 45°C have occurred with some regularity in the summer months of June, July and August in the last three decades at Islamabad. Monthly means derived from the long-term daily record (Figure 18) show June is on average the warmest month of the year, having the greatest maximum daily air temperatures of the year and the highest mean monthly air temperatures over the last 30 years. Figure 16. Southwest Asia, showing the relationship between Afghanistan and its neighbouring countries. Locations of WMO-listed weather stations discussed in this report are marked. DTA Report 343 18 Table 2. Afghanistan meteorological stations contributing data to this study. Station information is from the Integrated Surface Database Station History online database, accessed October 2010. USAF Code WMO Station Name Call sign Province Latitude (º N) Longitude (º E) Elevation (m) 415710 409880 409480 409860 690764 692324 409740 409900 692414 409540 40938 Islamabad Airport Bust Kabul Airport Zaranj FOB Ramrod Farah PRT TMQ-53 Farah Kandahar Airport Asadabad FOB Jalalabad Herat OPRN n/a OAKB OAZG KQDX KQAR OAFR OAKN KQCC OAJL n/a (Pakistan) Helmand Kabol Nimruz Kandahar Farah Farah Kandahar Konar Nangarhar Herat 33.617 31.55 34.55 31.0 31.633 32.366 32.366 31.5 34.850 34.433 37.117 73.10 64.367 69.217 61.85 64.95 62.183 62.183 65.85 71.133 70.467 70.517 508 780 1791 478 916 700 700 1010 844 553 1200 32 Equivalent data years of record 31 31 30 30 29 29 28 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month of the year Figure 17. Data years of record for each calendar month, Islamabad Airport (Pakistan). Data were extracted from the GSOD database produced by the NCDC. 50 MDAT MDLT 45 MDHT Air temperature (°C) 40 Max temp 35 30 25 20 15 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month of the year Figure 18. Monthly climate averages for Islamabad International Airport (Pakistan); Mean Daily Average Temperature (DAT), Mean Daily Low Temperature (MDLT), Mean Daily High Temperature (MDHT) and the Maximum recorded daily temperature for a given month (Max temp). These data have been calculated using daily means for c. 30 years with data from the NCDC’s GSOD database. DTA Report 343 19 4 Maximum temperatures from Afghanistan weather stations 4.1 Introduction WMO (World Meteorological Organisation) weather station records from across Afghanistan were examined to determine how long and complete their data series were. Stations that showed reliable and complete records of at least 12 months were then sub-sampled to identify those sites that recorded the highest maximum air temperatures in Afghanistan (Figure 16). Daily observations of mean, minimum and maximum air temperature from these sites were then mined from each station’s record for inclusion in this study. Those sites which had recorded maximum daily temperatures of 45°C or more are detailed herein. The ‘hottest’ locations in Afghanistan are in the southern provinces of Nimruz, Helmand and Kandahar; areas characterised by low-altitude desert environments (Figure 19). Rare, extremeheat days have also been recorded at lower altitude locations in the far north and east of Afghanistan at sites (Badakhshan, Nangarhar and Konar provinces). MAY JUN JUL AUG Figure 19. Mean maximum monthly surface air temperature (°C) for summer months in Afghanistan. DTA Report 343 20 4.2 Asadabad, Konar Province, eastern Afghanistan The temperature record from Asadabad includes the hottest air temperature on record for Afghanistan; 54.0°C, which was recorded in both 1987 and 1988. The mean air temperature on these days was 38.7°C and 43.0°C respectively. 4.3 Kundunz, Kunduz Province, northern Afghanistan Kunduz (alternatively Konduz, Kondoz or Qonduz ) is a city in the northeast of Afghanistan, in the province of Kunduz near the border with Tajikistan. The city lies at an altitude of 397 m on a broad, low-relief, heavily cultivated floodplain that extends northwards towards Tajikistan. In the summer of 1984, an extreme heat day resulted in the ambient air temperature reaching 50.2°C at Kunduz airport, once one of the largest Soviet bases in Afghanistan. Although maximum daytime temperatures in summer of 45°C are not uncommon in this location, the extreme 1984 value has never been matched. 4.4 Faizabad, Badakhsan Province, northern Afghanistan Faizabad (alternatively, Feyzabad, Fayzabad or Fazelabad), located approximately 150 km northeast of Kunduz in the Badakhsan Province, is an airstrip weather station site that appears to have experienced the same extreme heat period as Kunduz in the summer of 1984. On the same day as Kunduz (23 June 1984), temperatures here reached 50°C. It should be noted that Faizabad’s higher elevation of 1200 m makes this record quite remarkable; data mined from the GSOD show that typically summer daytime temperatures rarely exceed 42°C in this region. 4.5 Bust, Helmand Province, southern Afghanistan The WMO station name of ‘Bust’ refers to a weather station located at or near Bost Airport. This station is located at an airstrip immediately south of the town of Lashkar Gah in the north of Helman Province at an altitude of 780 m. ‘Bust’ is one of only a few stations in the south of Afghanistan where reliable and continuous climate observations appear to have been collected and the records preserved. It is located in a relatively inhospitable setting, being situated between the north-eastern edge of the Registan desert and the northern limits of the Dashti Margo desert region. The highest recorded air temperature at this station, 49.9°C, was from the summer (July) of 1983. The mean air temperature on this day was 37.4°C. 4.6 Farah, Farah Province, southwestern Afghanistan Data extracted from the GSOD database details the hottest day on record at Farah as 49.8°C in the summer of 1983. Qualitative reports elsewhere suggest that as recently as August 2009 the air temperature at Farah reached 49.9°C. However these data were unavailable in the GSOD database at the time of this report. Farah Province is certainly one of the consistently warmest regions in Afghanistan; each weather station here has recorded temperatures in excess of 45°C. DTA Report 343 21 4.7 Zaranj, Nimruz Province, southern Afghanistan Located in the lowland (c. 500 m) south-western desert bordering Iran, Zaranj recorded its highest air temperature, 49.0°C, in the summer (July) of 1979. The mean daily temperature on this day was 39.8°C. The second hottest day on record was also in July 1979 (48.0°C). The mean air temperature for this day was 42.0°C. 4.8 Jalalabad, Nangarhar Province, eastern Afghanistan The WMO station of Jalalabad is the best quality climate record available from the eastern Afghanistan province of Nangarhar, which borders the strategically important Federally Administered Tribal Areas of western Pakistan. The highest recorded air temperature at this station was 48.0°C, this being recorded twice (in the summers of 1978 and 1988). The corresponding mean daily temperatures on those days were 35.3° C and 38.3° C respectively. 4.9 Kandahar Airport, Kandahar Province, southern Afghanistan Like Bost Airport, Kandahar Airport is located on the northern edge of the Registan Desert, though at the greater altitude of approximately 1000 m. The highest recorded air temperature here was 48.0°C, in the summer (July) of 1980. The corresponding mean daily temperature on this day was 33.8°C. 4.10 Herat, Herat Province, western Afghanistan The city of Herat is approximately 70km from the border with Iran in western Afghanistan at an altitude of 977 m. In the summer of 1977 an extreme heat day resulted in air temperatures reaching 47°C here, while the average temperature that day was 36°C. Maximum summer daytime temperatures in Herat, on average, do not exceed 36°C, making the summer 1977 value exceptional for western Afghanistan. 4.11 Farah TMQ-53, Farah Province, western Afghanistan A TMQ-53 is a US Department of Defence/US Air Force Tactical Meteorological Observing System. These weather stations are deployed at nearly 300 locations of strategic importance worldwide (OFCM, 2005). The TMQ-53 station at the Farrah FOB has a modern (though brief) record of operation that includes direct observations of the summer of 2009, when ambient air temperature reached a maximum of 46.5°C. 4.12 FOB Ramrod, Kandahar Province, southern Afghanistan A group of modern weather stations located at US Army Forward Operating Base’s (FOB) in the south, central, south and southeast of Afghanistan have recorded peak maximum air temperatures of 46°C in the last decade. Forward Operating Base (FOB) Ramrod, for example, recorded several summer days in 2009 and 2010 that reached between 45 and 46°C. DTA Report 343 22 4.13 Kabul Airport, Kabol Province, eastern Afghanistan The longest and most complete climate record in the central/north-eastern region of Afghanistan comes from Kabul Airport. The weather station here is located at 1789 m and is reasonably typical of the climates experienced across the higher altitude, central-eastern region of the country between the longitudes of 34 and 35° north. Although it is not one of the hottest locations in Afghanistan, its strategic importance and hot summer days lead to inclusion in this study. The highest recorded air temperature from Kabul Airport was 40.4°C, in the summer (August) of 1982. The corresponding mean daily temp on this day was 25.3°C. Typically, summer maximum daytime temperatures in Kabul rarely exceed 35°C. 5 Maximum temperatures in Afghanistan: other observations 5.1 Runways and tarmacs While ambient air temperatures are the most commonly recorded temperature observations available, other measures of how hot operating environments can be do exist. Air Force Magazine (September 2010) recently detailed laser thermometer measurements of up to 70°C recorded from US air base runways in Afghanistan. This suggests that the temperatures that military hardware may be exposed to may reach 20°C higher than the recorded maximum daily air temperature. These data, along with other direct observations of temperatures in the battlefield may be obtained from the US Army and Airforce, and could help shed light on the temperature extremes that should be planned for when designing hardware for operations in Afghanistan and elsewhere in the Middle East region. 5.2 Vehicle interior temperatures Beyond ambient air temperatures, the conditions experienced within vehicles, cases or buildings in southwest Asia at the height of summer are also of concern to those designing maximum operating conditions for military hardware. Although there are few data readily available for vehicle interiors, measurements collected from inside an operating leopard tank, for example, have exceeded 65°C on an Afghanistan summer’s day (Cadieu, 2008). Under controlled laboratory conditions with an applied external air temperature of 44°C, internal air temperatures of up 64°C were recorded inside a Canadian Leopard 2C Tank by Jacobs et al. (2007). Perhaps of more relevance to the NZDF at present are the findings of Hanna (2006), who used external laboratory conditions of 49ºC and 20% relative humidity and a solar loading of up to 1100 W m-2 to demonstrate that air temperatures inside a LAV unit reached 40ºC while the airconditioning was fully activated. DTA Report 343 23 Detailed studies conducted in the USA have demonstrated that air temperatures within closed vehicles receiving direct solar radiation rapidly increase on warm days. Earlier research demonstrated that at an ambient air temperature of 36.8°C, the air temperature inside a closed vehicle climbed to 67°C within 15 minutes (King et al., 1981). Interior vehicle air temperatures in direct sunlight can climb to 90°C when exposed to direct sunlight for a full day (Grundstein et al., 2010). Even when external air temperatures are lower (approximately 30°C), the temperatures inside vehicles may still reach between 55 and 60°C (McLaren et al., 2005). With maximum air temperatures in excess of 45°C not uncommon in Afghanistan, it is not inconceivable then that the air temperature within an enclosed vehicle may reach 70°C, though direct observations collected from relevant vehicles in the battlefield would be required to quantify this upper design specification limit. Future work in this area might include the direct measurement of the heat extremes inside vehicles, containers and buildings in the summer in Afghanistan to ensure that military design specifications have kept pace with the ever-widening range of environments that forces such as the NZDF operated in today. DTA Report 343 24 6 Concluding discussions The landlocked country of Afghanistan is susceptible to extremes in both maximum and minimum air temperatures that are of direct importance to the designers and engineers of military hardware. Data mining of all known direct weather observations from the region has identified the highest ambient air temperatures recorded across the country; an all-time temperature maximum of 54°C recorded on multiple instances at Asadabad in Konar Province. Beyond this location, multiple stations in the lowland desert regions of southern and northern Afghanistan have recorded maximum air temperatures of between 49°C and 52°C. Perhaps of more concern to military planners and engineers is the evidence that temperatures on military tarmacs, in vehicles and in storage facilities may be 20°C higher due to solar gain in summer months. For military hardware deployed in Afghanistan, this may translate to ambient operating temperatures over 60°C. In contrast, in the central-eastern town of Bamiyan, the highest temperature on record according to the GSOD database was 36°C. And while extreme high temperatures may not be an issue in Bamiyan, other aspects of the operational environment here are of importance to military planners. Strong and highly-localised winds may often be of sufficient strength to inhibit UAS endurance operability, while extreme cold and snow in the winter months may test military hardware reliability, durability and in some circumstances, limit our ability to operate UAS entirely. At its broadest, the spatial pattern of air temperature in Afghanistan may be described as increasing from north to south (and to a lesser extent, east) and from higher altitude sites to lower sites. The hottest temperatures ever recorded were collected at weather stations in the lower altitude desert regions of southern and eastern Afghanistan. Beyond this relationship, however, the timing and location of extreme high and low temperatures becomes convoluted because of the complex terrain of much of the country. Those few, high-quality records of weather that exist for Afghanistan cannot begin to account for the spatial variability that exists. In Bamiyan Province, for example, it is well known that individual valleys can be characterised by microclimates that are distinct from those recorded in locations only several valleys away. As such, it must be noted that climatologies developed using observations from singular locations should not readily be extrapolated any great distance beyond the station location. This caveat is most relevant to the mountainous regions in the central and northern regions of Afghanistan; in open, low-relief desert terrain in the southern provinces, there is significantly less spatial variation in climate to contend with. In this report, all known weather observations from Bamiyan Province have been reproduced, allowing us some insight into the climatic conditions from several locations. A broader discussion DTA Report 343 25 of the seasonal climate of Bamiyan town can be found in AFCCC (2003), much of which is beyond the scope of this report. With so few data from the province, some advancement in developing climatologies for different regions in central Afghanistan may come from the use of remotely sensed climate observation. Satellite-inferred temperatures from land surfaces can be difficult to collect, however, due to the inhomogeneous surfaces reflecting radiance back to Satellite thermal sensors (Menglin, 2004). In addition, there are complexities involved in gathering remote wind and temperature estimates from the Earth’s surface in cloudy conditions or in the presence of dust or volcanic atmospheric aerosols. A final problem which this method would face in central Afghanistan is that the spatial resolution of satellite-derived observations is greater than 20 km, so these data would typically be too coarse to characterise the climatic conditions found in the hills and valleys of much of the country. Future solutions to improve climatic data collection in this region instead may best come from new weather stations being installed and their observations disseminated, or from the rejuvenation of older stations that have been abandoned or damaged by war. DTA Report 343 26 References No Reference 1 Cadieu, T., 2008. Canadian Armour in Afghanistan. Canadian Army Journal 10.4, 5–25. 2 Cook, D.E., Strong, P. and Garrett, S., 2011. Coastal atmospheric research using an Unmanned Aerial System (UAS): preliminary results from the Bay of Plenty, New Zealand. Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand. 3 CSG (Climate services group), 2009. METOC environment Brief Afghanistan Version 5.1. Directorate of Oceanography & Meteorology, Australian Navy, Sydney. 4 Daly, S.F., Baldwin, T. and Vuyovich, C., 2010. Afghanistan Watershed Assessment Average Annual Precipitation Analysis V.1. USA Engineer Research and Development Center. Hanover, USA. 5 Goudie, A.S. and Middleton, N.J., 2006. Desert Dust in the Global System. Springer, Berlin. 6 Grundstein, A., Dowd, J and Meentemeyer, V., 2010. Quantifying the heat-related hazard for children in motor vehicles. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91, 1183–1191. 7 Hanna, M., 2006. LAV III climate room solar testing. National Research Council Task Report 54A5027. 8 Hickey, B., and Goudie, A.S., 2007. The use of TOMS and MODIS to identify dust storm source areas: The Tokar delta (Sudan) and the Seistan basin (south west Asia). In, Geomorphological Variations, (Goudie, A. S. and Kalvoda, J., Eds.). P3K, Prague, 37– 57. 9 Jacobs, I., Michas, R., Limmer, R., Kerrigan-Brown, D. and McLellan, T., 2007. Heat stress mitigation for Leopard 2C tank crew. Technical Report TR 2007-082, Defence Research and Development Canada, Toronto. 10 Jamalizadeh, M.R., Moghaddamnia, A., Piri, J., Arbabi, V., Homayounifar, M., and Shahryari, A. 2008. Dust Storm Prediction Using ANNs Technique (A Case Study: Zabol City). World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology 43, 512– 520. 11 th Kendrew, W.G., 1961, The Climate of the Continents (5 Edition). Oxford University Press, New York. 12 King, K., Negus, K. and Vance, J.C., 1981. Heat stress in motor vehicles: a problem in infancy. Pediatrics 68, 579–582 13 Kopp, H., 1981. Agrargeographie der Arabischen Republik Jemen. Erlanger geographische Arbeiten, Sonderband 11. Selbstverlag der Frankischen Geographischen Gesellschaft. 14 Menglin, J., 2004. Analysis of Land Skin Temperature Using AVHRR Observations. Bullettin of the American Meteorological Society 85, 587–600. 15 McLaren, C., Null, J. and Quinn, J., 2005. Heat stress from enclosed vehicles: moderate ambient temperatures cause significant temperature rise in enclosed vehicles. Pediatrics 116, e109–e112. 16 OFCM (Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology), 2005. Department of Defense Weather Programs. In Estis, F. and Tsugawa, B. (Eds.): The Federal Plan for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research Fiscal Year 2005. FCM-P1-2004, OFCM, Silver Spring, USA. 17 Peel, M.C., Finlayson, B. L., and McMahon, T.A., 2007. Updated world map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 11, 1633–1644. 18 Sabbagh, L., 2006. Flying Blind in Iraq: U.S. Helicopters Navigate Real Desert Storms. Popular Mechanics, October Issue. DTA Report 343 27 19 Scott, A., 2006. Fat Albert’s Bamian foray. Air Force News (Royal New Zealand Air Force) 71, June 2006, 18–19. 20 Shobair, S.S., 2002. Current Drought Situation in Afghanistan. Unpublished report. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), Afghanistan. 21 Sprehe, E., 2010. Weathermen enable special operations forces in Afghanistan. Inside AF.mil, article posted online 25/4/2010. 22 Strong, P.A. and Brown S.A., 2010. A summary of unmanned aircraft systems research at the Defence Technology Agency. DTA Technical Note 2010/2, Defence Technology Agency, Auckland, New Zealand, 22 pp. 23 USAFCCC (United State Air Force Combat Climatology Center), 2002. OPERATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA SUMMARY Bamiyan Afghanistan. United State Air Force Combat Climatology Center, Asheville, North Carolina. 24 USAFCCC (United State Air Force Combat Climatology Center), 2003. Bamyan, Afghanistan - Full Year Climatology. United State Air Force Combat Climatology Center, Asheville, North Carolina. 25 USAFCCC (United State Air Force Combat Climatology Center), 2005. Afghanistan: A Full Year Climatology. United State Air Force Combat Climatology Center, Asheville, North Carolina. 26 Whitney, J.W., 2006. Geology, Water, and Wind in the Lower Helmand Basin, Southern Afghanistan. Scientific Investigations Report 2006–5182. US Geological Survey, Denver, USA. 27 WMO (World Meteorological Organization), 1988. Technical Regulations Volume 1 General Meteorological Standards and Recommended Practices. WMO Publication No. 49. Geneva, Switzerland. DTA Report 343 28 DOCUMENT CONTROL SHEET 1. ORIGINATING ACTIVITY 2. RELEASE AUTHORISED BY: 4. CONTROL NUMBER Defence Technology Agency Auckland, New Zealand 3. 5. REPORT NUMBER DTA Report 343 DATE NR 1601 6. NUMBER OF COPIES 7 8. RELEASE LIMITATIONS April 2012 7. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION 9. TITLE Unclassified Bamiyan Province Climatology and Temperature Extremes in Afghanistan 10. AUTHOR 11. AUTOMATIC DOWNGRADING Duncan Edward Cook 12. 13. KEYWORDS EJC THESAURUS TERMS Afghanistan, UAS, UAV, climate, weather, Bamiyan NON-THESAURUS TERMS ABSTRACT Afghanistan is susceptible to extremes in surface air temperatures that are of importance to the designers and manufacturers of military hardware. Data mining of all known direct weather observations from the region has identified the highest ambient air temperature recorded in Afghanistan: 54°C, recorded at Asadabad in Konar Province. Extreme heat is not uncommon in Afghanistan; lowland deserts sites examined in this report often exceed 45°C on hot summer days. In addition, there is strong evidence suggesting that temperatures on military tarmacs, in vehicles and in storage facilities may be as much as 20°C higher again. In contrast, high-altitude regions of Afghanistan such as Bamiyan Province experience a dry, mountain climate with mild summers and bitterly cold winters. The few climate records available from Bamiyan Province show that extreme cold and snow is common in the winter months, conditions which could affect the lifespan and performance of military hardware (such as UAS) designed for operation in temperate environments. The Bamiyan data show the presence of strong and highly localised winds each year that can be of sufficient strength to impact hardware endurance and operability. The findings from this work highlight the need to quantify the environmental conditions of the battlefield and of developing military hardware that may withstand environmental extremes and thus operate reliably in a diverse range of theatres. DTA Report 343 29 DISTRIBUTION: No. of Copies NEW ZEALAND Director, DTA 2 Legal Deposit Office, National Library of New Zealand 2 Defence Library, HQNZDF, Wellington 1 Army ISTAR BL 1 AUSTRALIA DSTO Research Library DTA Report 343 1 30
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