JOURNAL Evidence OF GEOPHYSICAL of meridional RESEARCH, motion VOL. 100, NO. D8, PAGES 16,675-16,688, AUGUST in the summer 20, 1995 lower stratosphere adjacent to monsoon regions Timothy J. Dunkerton Northwest ResearchAssociates,Bellevue,Washington Abstract. Twenty-oneyearsof rawinsondedata were used togetherwith 8 years of uninitializedEuropeanCentre for Medium-RangeWeather Forecasts(ECMWF) analyses to describethe climatologicalstructureof large-scalecirculationsadjacentto monsoon regionsin northern and southernhemispheresummers.In the upper troposphereand lower stratosphere,equatorwardand polewardmotionsoccuron the easternand western sidesof monsoonregions,respectively.It is shownthat significantmeridionalvelocities (>1 ms-1) penetrate thelowerstratosphere up to a maximum heightof 50-30 mbar. Largestmeridionalvelocitiesare observedin connectionwith the Asian monsoonin northern summer.Although evanescentin height, thesemotionsare relativelyimportant for horizontaltransportof constituentsin the summerlower stratosphere,when planetary wavesare otherwisesmall.Asian and Mexican monsoonsin this seasonare displaced sufficientlyfar from the equator,in closeproximityto the tropopausebreak, to have a significantrole in stratosphere-troposphere (S/T) exchange.The companionpaper by Chen (1995) providesevidenceof irreversibleS/T exchangein the "upper middle world" during northern summer. 1. Introduction Large changesof circulation,cloudiness,and precipitation accompanythe seasonalmarch of the tropical and subtropical troposphere.These variations are especiallyprominent over the easternhemisphere(attributedto African, Asian,andAustralian monsoons)and Americas.Althoughcomplexin detail, and varyingsomewhatfrom year to year, the seasonalcycle follows a predictablecourse.Deep convectionand rainfall occur in the summer hemisphere,attracted to the warmest land surfacesand sea surfacetemperature.Troposphericcirculationsprovide moisture for convectionand are in turn drivenby latent heat release.The upper troposphericresponse is approximatelyoppositethat near the surface,containinga significantcross-equatorial divergentflow, aswell asrotational circulationsin the subtropicsadjacentto the convection.Midlatitude jet streamsare enhancedlocally as part of the rotational response,with meridional transport into jet entry regionsand away from jet exit regions. Although monsoon circulations have been described in manytextbooks,relativelylittle attentionhasbeen givento the structureof climatologicalcirculationin the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere.For reasonsthat are not entirelyclear, we find numerous illustrations of 200 mbar circulation in the literature, as if this level adequatelydescribedthe upper troposphericflow. Among mandatoryrawinsondelevels,the 200 mbar level contains the maximum zonal wind of midlatitude jets (u), and largestzonallyaveragedmeridionalwind at the equator(•); this level alsoprovidesa qualitativelycorrectpicture of the rotational responseto tropical convection.However, the magnitudeof responsein northern summeris generallylargestin the 200-100 mbarlayer,especiallyoverAsia, and is best illustratedusing150 or 100 mbar data. Circulation patterns of the subtropicalupper troposphere are visiblein the lower stratosphereduringsummer,decaying rapidly with height. These circulationsare able to transport constituentshorizontally in the lowest layers of the stratosphere,asillustrated,for example,in the polewarddispersalof volcanic aerosol following the eruption of Mount Pinatubo [Trepteet al., 1993]. Although summer monsooncirculations and quasistationary wavesare evanescentin height (significant onlyup to approximately20-25-km altitude),they are primarily responsiblefor lateral mixing of the lower stratospherein this season,when planetarywavesare otherwisesmall. In a companionpaper, Chen [1995] emphasizesfor the first time the role of summermonsooncirculationsin stratospheretroposphere(S/T) exchange.Chen findsthat isentropicmixing and S/T exchangein the "upper middle world" are significant in northern summer, in connection with Asian and Mexican monsoons.Extending the terminologyof Hoskins [1991], the upper (lower) "middle world" containssurfacesof constant potentialtemperature0 intersectingthe tropopauseabove(below) the jet maximum. The purposeof this paper is to describethe climatological circulationof the upper troposphereand lower stratosphereat the solstices,emphasizingthe penetration of monsooncirculationsand quasistationary wavesinto the lower stratosphere in the northern hemisphereduring summer.Rawinsondedata for 1973-1993 are compared to analysesobtained from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) in 1985-1992 (the data and analysismethodsare describedin section2). The upwardpenetrationis more dramatic in northern summer(section3) and displacedfarther from the equator, in comparisonto southernsummer(section 4). Variabilityof monthlymeansis discussed brieflyin section5. Copyright1995 by the American GeophysicalUnion. 2. Paper number 95JD01263. Rawinsond½ wind and temperaturedata for January1, 1973, throughNovember6, 1993,were usedin this study.Mandatory 0148-0227/95/95JD-01263505.00 16,675 Data Analysis 16,676 DUNKERTON: MONSOON CIRCULATIONS IN LOWER STRATOSPHERE leveldataweresubjectto qualitycontrolandlinearlyinterpo- Because of possible trends in the data, as well as different lated to 4 timesdailyas described by Dunkerton[1993].The sampling times,observational input and analysis techniques, mandatorylevels are 1000, 850, 700, 500, 400, 300, 250, 200, exact agreementbetween rawinsondeand ECMWF climatolo- 150, 100, 70, 50, 30, 20, and 10 mbar. For monthlymeans,a minimumof eight soundings per monthwere required.For eachstation'sclimatology,a minimumof four Januarys,four giesshouldnot be expected. For the purposes of thispaper, theyagreewell andmaybe usedinterchangeably. Februarys, etc., were needed in order to be included in the analysis. Stations selected for studymetoneof twocriteria:(1) 3. Climatology: Northern Summer havinga minimumof 90,000datarecords(onerecordis equiv- 3.1. Regionsof Strong Meridional Flow alentto windor temperature datareportedat a singlepressure Figures1 and2 showthezonalandmeridional components level), or (2) havinga minimumof 45,000 data recordsand of velocityat 150 mbar for July,derivedfrom ECMWF analmore recordsthan anyadjacentstationin a 10ø x 2øgridbox. ysesfor 1985-1992.In the summerhemisphere we noticetwo At least 1000 wind observations at the 200 mbar level were concentratedpositive v maxima over western North America requiredin either case.Altogether,971 stationswere selected andeasternMediterranean.Comparable valuesare attainedin in thistime period.Mostwerein the firstcategory; all stations June and August.In June,anotherpositivemaximumis lo- in thiscategorywereusedregardless of stationdensity. Rawinsondeanalyses were constructed by mappingstation climatologies onto a 10ø x 2ø grid usingBarnes'algorithm [Daley,1991]with anisotropic weightfunctionexp -r, where catedoffnorthwestern Africa.Thisfeatureis reducedbymidsummer,asupperleveleasterlies encroach fromthe east.Negative valuesof meridionalwind appearover easternNorth AmericaandChina,complementing the polewardflow.These r2 = (X/Lx) 2 q- (y/Ly)2. Theeccentricity of ellipse Rf = circulationsare part of the Mexican and Asian summermon- L x/Ly wasdeterminedfor a particularvariablef (- u, v, T) soons, respectively, if theterm"monsoon" canbeusedbroadly by the ratio of rmslatitudinalgradientto rmszonalgradient, to includequasistationary wavesadjacent to convectively active usinguninitializedECMWF climatological data as a guide, regions.Closerinspection of Figure2 indicatesequatorward suchthat1 _<Rf _<5. The areaof ellipserrLxLywasheld flow eastof the CaspianSea and weakpolewardflow over constant,equalto that of a circlewith radius6øat the equator. westernIndia. The latter occursat the westernedgeof the This value gavea reasonablecompromise betweenanalysis moist Indian monsoon.As shownin section5, this feature is coverage (requiring largeradius)andsmall-scale structure (re- quitevariablefromyearto year.Most of the polewarddiverquiringsmallradius).To compensate for stationdensity,the sionof massoccurswestof the Arabianpeninsula, arounda weightfunctionat a particularstationwasreducedby a factor secondary anticyclone westof themainTibetananticyclone (cf. equal to the numberof adjacentstationswithin a normalized PlateIII of Ramage[1971]).Thisconcentrated maximumover distancer - 1. Two iterationswere appliedafter the first the eastern Mediterranean is a robust feature of the northern guess.The choice of weight function and other nuancesare summercirculation[0ort, 1983,p. 121]. unimportant for analysisnear stations since the iteration is The zonal componentat 150 mbar for July is shownin guaranteed to converge to the stationvaluesat theirrespective Figure1 fromECMWF data.Eachof thepositivev anomalies locations. Analysis between stations is more realistic with in Figure 2 coincideswith a local accelerationof the zonal anisotropic weighting, particularly for zonalwindandtemperaturewhichhavestronglatitudinalgradientsnearjet streams. This proceduregave good overall agreementwith ECMWF climatology,exceptfor slightlysmootherfields.In regions whereno stations werenearby,suchthatthesumof allweights fell below somethreshold,rawinsondeanalysisvalueswere discarded.Latitude-heightcrosssectionsintegratedover a rangeof longitudesare thereforeincompleteif analysis values are "missing." Thisproblemis unavoidable in certainregions, component u, including theanomalynorthof India.Relatively strongspeeds areattainedoverthe Caspian Sea(-25 ms-•), althoughthesevaluesareweakcompared to thoseof northern winteror southernhemisphere. The overallweakness of northernsummer jetsisimportantfor isentropic mixingin theupper troposphereas discussedin section6. The meridionalcomponentof velocityderivedfrom rawinsondesin 1973-1993(not shown)is very similarto that of Figure2. All of thefeatures identified in Figure2 arepresent. suchasthe easternPacificand southernmidlatitudes,but does Theweakpoleward flownorthof Indiain Figure2 appears as not affectany of the conclusions in this paper. a weaklynegativelocalmaximum.Strongpositiveanomalies UninitializedECMWF analyses on a 2.5ø x 2.5ø grid were over western North America and eastern Mediterranean are obtainedas monthlymeansfor 1985-1992and averagedto similarto thosederivedfrom ECMWF data. Examplesof yield climatologicalfieldsfor each level and month. Identical stationclimatologies near v extremaof Figure2 are shownin mandatorylevelswere used except for 20 mbar which was Figures3a-3e.Maximumpolewardflowoverthe easternMedunavailable.Stratosphericanalysesprior to June 1986 were iterranean exceeds 12ms-• in summer. Stations in thevicinity discarded for reasons explained by Trenberth [1992].Compar- of thisspatialmaximumhavetheirtemporalmaximumv at 150 isonwith climatologiesderivedfrom initializedECMWF fields mbar in June,July,or August.It is worth notingthat the for 1980-1989showedgoodagreement,althoughtheuninitial- tropical easterlyjet attainsits maximumvalue over southern ized fieldshad slightlymore varianceat the smallesthorizontal India at the 100 mbar level.The relativelyhigh altitudeof scales. uppertropospheric circulations inducedby the Asianmonsoon When comparingrawinsonde and ECMWF climatological suggests thatAsiais the mostimportantregionfor isentropic analyses,recall that rawinsondeanalyseswere formed from mixingand S/T exchange in northernsummer[Trepteet al., stationclimatologies, regardless of when a particularstation 1993;Chenet al., 1994;Chen,1995]. was in operation,whereasECMWF climatologies were obOf the stations shownin Figure3, the largeststratospheric tainedfrom twice-dailyanalyses usinga subsetof thesestations meridionalwindsare observed at Ankara,typicalof the east(andothers)at anyonetime,togetherwith otherinputdata ern Mediterranean. Whether the observed values at other losuch as aircraft reports, satellite radiances,and cloud winds. cationsare significantly largedependson the contextandrel- DUNKERTON: MONSOON CIRCULATIONS IN LOWER STRATOSPHERE 16,677 U 150 mb jul 90 60 30 EQ 30 60 ; '----•. •, -----•---•-;--•--_-.-:- .ø : , [ •. : • ' ' ' : ! 9O 180 135 90 45 GM 45 90 135 W 180 E Figure 1. Zonalvelocityat 150mbarfor July,derivedfromECMWF data.Contourinterval5 ms-1, with easterlies shaded. ative magnitudeof u. Any of the local extrema of 70 mbar v lation,whichwill be discussed elsewhere).Weak surfacewest- (approximately 1-3 ms-•) are largecompared to the zonally erlies appearnorth of the equator,separatedfrom very weak averaged,seasonallyvarying diabatic circulation at this altitude. They are alsolarge comparedto inducedQBO circulationsin the tropicallower stratosphere.Over North America, u and v are both smaller than over Asia, so the deflection of wind from a purely zonal direction is comparablein the two regions. 3.2. Asian and African Monsoons Cross sections of zonal and meridional velocity from ECMWF data, averagedover 16ø-46øE,are shownin Figures 4a and 4b. Among the four regionsof large v in Figure 2, this sector and its complementover China display the greatest penetration of meridional motions into the summer lower stratosphere.The region of maximummeridional flow at 150 mbar is slightlyequatorwardof the local jet maximum.The meridionalcomponentterminatesabruptlypolewardof 45øN. Most of the climatologicalnorthward motion at 150 mbar simplyprovidesmassto the acceleratingjet stream. Conver- westerlies in summer midlatitudes. The profile of meridionalvelocity(Figure 4b) shouldnot be confusedwith the Hadley circulation,althoughthe southward (northward)Hadley flow is evidentat the equatorin the upper (lower) troposphere.The apparentmeridionalcell at 30øN is actuallya quasihorizontalrotationalcirculation,sothisfeature mustbe compensatedon the samepressurelevel by opposing equatorwardflow at some other longitude.Accordingto Figure 2, the return flow at 150 mbar occursin a broad region from China centrated eastward to the central over eastern China. Pacific. Much of it is con- Cross sections of ECMWF me- ridionalflow in this regionindicatethat maximumnegativev is locatedsouthof the jet core,with significantpenetrationinto the lower stratosphere(not shown).As in westAsia, the zerowind line is close to the latitude of maximum meridional ve- locity.Southwardflow at the equatoris considerablystronger in eastAsia,approaching -7 ms-•. This agrees,for example, genceof meridional velocity in thisregion(-4.5 x 10-6 S-1) with the climatologyof v at Singapore.The jet core and tropoagrees wellwiththedivergence of zonalcurrent(-3.9 x 10-6 pausebreak are locatedat approximatelythe samelatitude as s-•). Thejet is quitenarrowandpushed wellpolewardof its on the westernsideof the monsoonregion.Temperaturein the winter position;its maximum coincideswith the tropopause interior of the tropospherehas a local maximumat 30-40øN, break in this sector. The zero-wind line meanders upward coincidentwith zero verticalshearasrequiredby thermalwind throughthe region of largestmeridionalvelocitybefore turn- balance. Crosssectionsof rawinsondemeridional velocity for 1973ing poleward in the lower stratosphere.We observestrong easterliesover the northerntropicsin upper troposphere,ex- 1993 are shownin Figures5a and 5b for western and eastern tendinginto the southerntropics(causinga semiannualoscil- sides,respectively,of the Asian summermonsoon.Although 16,678 DUNKERTON: MONSOON CIRCULATIONS IN LOWER STRATOSPHERE V 90 150 mb jul 60 30 EQ , o 30 60 90 180 W 135 90 45 GM 45 90 135 180 Figure2. Meridionalvelocityat 150mbarfor July,derivedfromECMWF data.Contourinterval3 ms-•, withnegative(southward) valuesshaded, zerocontourheavy. the datacoverageat otherlatitudesis incompleteasnotedin penetratethe lower stratosphereduring northern summer. ECMWF v at 70-100 mbarare approximately 1-2 ms-• on firmed,including thestratospheric penetration. A muchlonger both sidesof the continent(not shown);similarvaluesare data recordwas usedin Figure 5, providinga more stable observed in rawinsonde data(seeFigure3d and3e). Southestimate of meridional motion in the summer lower stratoward flow at 150 mbar prevailsover easternNorth America sphere.It is onlyin thesetwo regionsthat the climatological and westernAtlantic, but is smaller and lessconcentratedthan meridional velocities at 70 mbar exceed +3 ms-•. Zonal variits polewardcounterpartoverwesternNorth America.Jet veationsof 70 mbar zonal wind are inducedby the rotational locitiesare considerably weakerthan overAsia,sothe relative circulationat thislevel:for example,strongertropicaleaster- magnitudeof v is aboutthe samein bothregions. liesare foundsouthof India (-12 ms-•), compared to the Streamlinesof horizontalwind form nearlyclosedcirculawestern hemisphere at thislatitude(-6 ms-•). tionscenteredaboutthe zero-windline at 150and 70 mbar,as When averagedoverthe entireAsianmonsoonregion,the shownin Figures7 and 8, respectively. The streamlinesare meridional windshownin Figure6 is obtained(fromECMWF displayed in sucha wayasto approximate the streamfunction data).Thissectoris sufficiently wideto encompass mostof the in regionswherethe flowis horizontally nondivergent. At 150 rotationalcirculationin upper troposphere, leavinga fairly mbar, streamlines gentlyspiraloutwarddue to horizontaldiaccuratepictureof the easternhemisphere's divergent Hadley vergence. In northern summer, one of these cells is centered circulation.Maximum divergentflow occursin the 150-200 over northwestern Mexico, associatedwith the Mexican monmbarlayer,decayingmorerapidlywith heightthanthe rota- soon, and a pair of cells are located over Iran and Tibet, tionalcirculations thatpenetratethelowerstratosphere. Weak associated with the Asianmonsoon.Anticyclonic circulations meridionalcellsof reversedsignare visibleon either side. at 70mbarareslightly polewardof thoseat 150mbar,byabout During early summerthere is somemeridionaltransport 8ø-12ø,consistent with a polewarddisplacement of zero-wind overnorthwestern Africa(seeFigure3c)witha splitzonaljet. linein thelatitudeheightcross section (e.g.,Figure4a).Weak In the northAtlantic,jet entryandexitregionsoccurside-by- convergence is evidentin the anticyclones. Zonal variationof section 2, our main conclusions from ECMWF data are con- side.ECMWF andrawinsonde v at 70-100mbarareapprox- tropical easterliescan alsobe seen. imately1-2 ms-• butcloser to theequator, asis thetropopausebreak. 3.3. Mexican Horizontal 4. Monsoon circulations associated with the Mexican mon- Climatology: Southern Summer Meridionalvelocityat 150mbarin Januaryis largelyantisymmetricabout the equator,as shownin Figure 10. This soonand quasistationary anticycloneover North Americaalso situation contrasts with that of northern summer. The ten- DUNKERTON: jul MONSOON CIRCULATIONS U: 17130 A1 10 ms-1 • mb 20 30 50 100 200 3OO 5OO -40 -30 -20 -10 jul A2 mb 0 10 20 30 V: 17130 40 20 30 50 100 200 300 500 , -15 -10 -5 jul 0 dency of deep convectionto overlap the equator in southern summer,rather than being displacedwell off the equator as in northern summer,causesthe differentcirculationresponsein the two seasons.There are sixpotentiallyinterestingregionsof large meridional transport in the southern summer hemisphere. These are related to zonal variations of the zonal velocitycomponentasshownin Figure 9. Rawinsondeanalyses agreewell, both with regard to the magnitudeand location of significantanomalies(not shown).The corresponding mapsfor December and February are similar. Crosssectionswere examinedin each of the sixregions.As might be inferred from comparisonof Figures 9 and 10, v extremaare well removedfrom the jet maximaand tropopause breaks,by as much as 250-40ølatitude, exceptfor the "eastern Australia" sector.An example of transportby the Australian monsooncirculationwas discussedby Danielsen[1993]. Lower stratosphericv are comparableto or lessthan that associated with the Mexicanmonsoonin northernsummer(not shown). The rotational circulations are also of limited 10 15 T: 17130 20 øK 20 30 50 100 200 300 5. Variability of Monthly Means over the eastern Mediterranean 5OO • ................................. i 195 • .......... I 210 225 • ........ i 240 extent Monsoon circulations and quasistationarywaves are not identical to those of the climatology in any particular year [Websterand Yang, 1992]. Interannualvariationsoccur,some of which may be attributable to or interact with remote phenomenasuchasthe E1Nifio/SouthernOscillation(ENSO) and Eurasiansnowcover[Nigam,1994].Nor are thesecirculations steadyfor an entire season.Intraseasonaloscillations,monsoon breaks, and transient synoptic-scaledisturbancescause significantday-to-dayvariability.The role of eddieson shorter timescalesthan seasonalis essentialto isentropicmixing and the potentialvorticitybalanceof the upper troposphere(section 6). It was noted in Section 3 that the maximum poleward flow 10 ................................ horizontal . 5 A3 mb lOOO 18o 16,679 comparedto the massiveAsian monsoon.Although someisentropicmixingof the southerntropicallower stratosphereseems possiblein December,January,and February (DJF), significant S/T exchangeis lesslikely in this hemisphereand season [Chen, 1995]. Upward penetrationof v is slightlygreater on the opposite (winter) side of the equator, but zonal jets near 30øN are considerablystrongerand more concentratedthan in summer (Figure 9). Accordingto Chen, S/T exchangein the upper middle world is insignificantin either winter hemisphere,due to the strong gradient of potential vorticity associatedwith enhanced, concentratedzonal jets. Chen's results and ours highlightthe importanceof monsooncirculationsand quasistationarywavesduring northern summeras discussedin the previoussection. ms-' lO 1000 -20 IN LOWER STRATOSPHERE 255 270 285 300 Figure 3. Climatologicalprofiles of zonal wind, meridional wind, and temperatureat rawinsondestationsduringnorthern summer (June or July): (a) Ankara (40.0øN, 32.9øE), (b) Chengdu (30.7øN, 104.0øE), (c) Santa Cruz de Tenerife (28.5øN,16.3øW),(d) Nashville(36.1øN,86.7øW),and (e) Oakland (37.8øN,122.2øW).Data are displayedat mandatorypressure levelsonly. occurs in each northern sum- mer, while greatervariabilityis observednorth of India. Figure 11a showsthe variability of ECMWF v at 150 mbar in July, averagedover20ø-45øN.This bandencompasses the centersof maximumIvl overAsia and North America.In someyears, there is a secondarymaximumv near 75øE(1986, 1987, 1989, 1991)while in other years,broad regionsof positiveand negativev occuradjacentto one another(1985,1988,1992).These differences are attributable to intraseasonal as well as interan- nual variability,sinceAugustmonthlymeanssometimesdiffer from thoseof July in the sameyear. Variance of monthlymean v has severalindividualmaxima from Europe eastwardto the Pacific,eachwith rms magnitude 16,680 DUNKERTON: jul B1 mb CIRCULATIONS U: 56294 IN LOWER STRATOSPHERE jun ms-' 10 20 20 30 30 50 50 100 100 200 200 300 300 500 500 -30 -20 -10 jul 0 10 20 30 V: 56294 40 -30 -20 -10 jun 20 0 10 20 30 V: 60020 l0 C2 mb ms-' I 1000 -40 ms-' 10 40 ms-' •/ :20 ........................................... /".......................................... 30 50 50 100 100 200 200 300 300 500 500 lOOO -20 -15 -10 -5 jut , . 0 5 10 15 T: 56294 20 1000 -20 -15 -10 -5 jun øK 10. 20 30 30 50 50 100 100 0 5 10 15 T: 60020 10 C3 mb 20 I 20 øK I 2OO 200 3OO 300 5OO 500 , lOOO 18o U: 60020 lO Cl mb lOO0 -40 B2 mb MONSOON 195 210 225 240 255 270 285 300 lOOO 180 195 210 225 240 255 270 285 300 Figure 3c. SantaCruz de Tenerife (28.5øN,16.3øW) Figure 3b. Chengdu(30.7øN,104.0øE) ---4ms-• (notshown). Thisis smallcompared to theclimato- over centralAsia is part of a well-definedteleconnectionpatlogicalextremaat 150 mbar, but largewithin regionsof smaller v, as in central Asia. We infer that climatological motions dominate meridional transport near their extrema, but interannual and intraseasonalvariationsare relativelyimportantin central Asia and elsewhere,attaininga magnitudecomparable to the climatology.Anomaly mapssuggestthat the variability tern extendingover this region with zonal wavelength---50ø60 ø. Figure 11b showsthe variability of monthly mean ECMWF v at 70 mbar. Climatologicalextremaare apparent,and there is evidenceof the samevariation over centralAsia as in Figure 11a (e.g., 1989).The impressiongainedis that thesevariations DUNKERTON: jul MONSOON CIRCULATIONS U: 72327 ms-' jul E1 D1 mb 16,681 U: 72493 10 I ms-1 I mb 20 20 30 30 50 50 100 100 200 200 300 300 500 5OO 1000 -40 -30 -20 -10 jul D2 mb IN LOWER STRATOSPHERE 0 10 20 30 V: 72327 10 ! 40 1000 -40 ms-' -30 -20 -10 jul 0 10 20 30 V: 72493 40 ms-1 I [ . E2 mb . 20- 20 30 . 50 50 . lOO 100 200 200 300 300 500 500 1000 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 1000 -20 -15 -10 -5 jul D3 mb 10 E3 mb 20 30 30 50 50 100 100 200 200 300 300 500 500 1000 180 195 210 225 240 255 270 285 Figure 3d. Nashville(36.1øN,86.7øW) 300 1000 180 5 10 15 T: 72493 10 20 0 20 øK I . 195 210 225 240 255 270 285 300 Figure 3e. Oakland(37.8øN,122.2øW) from climatologydecaymore rapidlywith height than the cli- line in the upper troposphereand lower stratosphere.Signifimatologicalfeatures,possiblydue to their shorterzonal scale. cant meridional parcel displacementsoccur in a developing critical layer becausedisturbanceswith • = c, by definition, 6. Discussion are stationarywith respectto the fluid. Adiabatic mixing is The nearly closedanticycloniccirculationsof northern sum- expectedwithin a Rossbywave critical layer, particularlyif the mer may be likened to critical layer "cat's-eyes"associated isentropic potentialvorticity(PV) gradientisweak.An exampleis with quasistationaryRossbywavesencounteringa zero-wind the stratospheric "surfzone" [Mcintyreand Palmer,1984]. 16,682 DUNKERTON: a MONSOON CIRCULATIONS 5 ms-• IN LOWER STRATOSPHERE U 16 E - 46 E ul 10 20 30 50 70 150 200 300 500 700 1000 -90 -60 -30 EQ 30 60 S 90 N LATITUDE • 1 ms-• V 16E - 46 E jul 20 30 50 70 100 150 200 300 ... ..... 500 ..... ::::::::::::::::::::: :::::::::-...v..,.. ::::::::::::::::::::: .... 700 1000 -90 -60 -30 EQ S 30 60 90 N LATITUDE Figure 4. Latitudeheightcrosssectionsof ECMWF (a) zonaland (b) meridionalvelocityfor July,averaged over16ø-46øE, fromECMWF data.Contourinterval3 ms-• in (a), 1 ms-• in (b), negative valuesshaded. Although important for transport,climatologicalmonsoon circulationscannotcauseisentropicmixingor S/T exchangeby themselves. By definition,thesecirculations(includingthe resolvedclimatologicalPV, and conservedtracersadvectedby the climatologicalflow) undergoa steadyoscillationwith the seasonal cycle. Nonconservation of PV, either of coarsegrainedPV due to unresolvedmotions,or of exactPV due to diabatic heating and moleculardiffusion,is essentialfor irre- versible mixing and S/T exchange.Transient eddies,even if resolvedby the data, are an unresolvedpart of the climatology. Three classesof transientlarge-scalemotion are potentially important to augmentthe mean transportillustratedin this paper, leading to irreversiblemixing and S/T exchange.(1) Fluctuationsin the intensityof quasistationarymonsooncirculations, along with slowlymoving intraseasonaloscillations, stationaryorographicwavesand low-frequencyvariabilitywill DUNKERTON: a MONSOON CIRCULATIONS IN LOWER 1ms -• STRATOSPHERE 15 E - 16,683 45 E jul ]01 .....I.....I 2O 30 50 70 100 150 200 300 7OO 1000 -90 -60 -30 EQ 30 90 60 S N LATITUDE b 1 ms-• 95 E 125 E ul - ::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: 101 .....I.....I .................... .............. ..................... ........................................................... 20 70 100 150 200 300 5OO 700 lOOO -90 S -60 -30 EQ 30 60 N 90 LATITUDE Figure 5. Crosssectionsof rawinsondemeridionalvelocityfor July, averagedover (a) 15ø-45øE;(b) 95ø125øE. Contour interval 1 ms-•. bancescrossesthe tropopausebreak. This is unlikely for stationary waves,sincethe zero-windline crossesthe tropical tropopausebefore turningpoleward.Critical layersneverthelesshavefinite width, somixingcausedby stationaryaswell as eastwardpropagatingwavesmay be enhancedin the tropopausebreak in relativelyweak zonal flow. Baroclinicsystems ms-• andmaycontribute to mixingequatorward or poleward contributeto S/T exchangein the lower middle world [Chen, descendbeneaththe jet maximum.(3) of the jet maximum.It is interestingto note that in the caseof 1995],where O-surfaces of tropical origin are ima weak jet, the critical level of eastwardpropagatingdistur- Westwardpropagatingdisturbances contributeto parceldispersionin the vicinityof climatological anticyclones that straddlethe zero-windline. The role of largescalecirculationswas emphasizedin the companionpaper by Chen as the primarymeansof S/T exchangein northernsummer. (2) Eastwardpropagatingbaroclinicwavesoriginating polewardof the jet axishave criticallayersin the range5-10 16,684 DUNKERTON: MONSOON CIRCULATIONS 1 ms-1 IN LOWER STRATOSPHERE V 16 E 121 E ul 20 30 50 70 100 150 200 300 :::::::::::::::::::::::::: '700 ............ ================================= ............ lOOO -90 S -60 -30 EQ 30 60 N 90 LATITUDE Figure 6. 1 ms-•. Crosssectionof ECMWF meridionalvelocityfor July,averagedover 16ø-121øE.Contourinterval portantequatorwardof the jet maximum,beingresponsible for daily fluctuationsof tropicalmotions,cloudiness, or precipitation, and contributing to isentropic and diapycnal mixing within the tropics.Of the three classes,thesewavesseemleast likely to be involved in S/T exchangein the upper middle world. Tropical wavespenetratingthe lower stratospheremay contributeto isentropicmixingas observedwithin the first few weeksfollowingmajor eruptionsof tropical volcanoes. A schematicillustrationof transportin the vicinityof the jet axisand tropopausebreak is shownin Figure 12, representing the westernside of the monsoonregion. The situationportrayed is typical of northern summer, with large meridional velocitiesnear the jet core. For the eastern side of the monsoon, the sign of mean meridional velocity (large arrow at 30øN) shouldbe reversed.The zonal wind, tropopause,isentropic slopes,and Hadley cell are typical of the entire Asian monsoonregion(16øE-121øE,July).In the uppertroposphere, mean meridional motions associated with rotational circula- tionstransportair into (out of) the jet streamon the western (eastern)side.Isentropicmixingis attributableto eddieswith criticallayersabove,beside,or belowthe jet maximum.Mixingis enhancedin a relativelyweak jet, when PV gradientsare small (ineffective barrier)andcriticallayersrelativelywide.Significant S/T exchange ispossibleacrossthe tropopause break.Bycontrast, a strongjet suppresses mixingacrossitscenterdueto the effective PV barrier[Chen,1995]anddiscourages criticallayermixingfor quasistationary or eastwardpropagatingdisturbances having zonalphasespeedsin the observedrange. Apart from radiative heating,irreversibletransportacross O-surfaces is attributable to small-scale motions such as break- ing gravity or inertia-gravity waves, Kelvin-Helmholtz instabilities,andlatentheat releasein deepmoistconvection.These processesact on timescalesthat are rapid comparedto transient large-scalemotions. Radiative heating operates on a comparabletimescaleandhasbeenimplicatedin S/T exchange [Lamarqueand Hess,1994]. 7. Conclusion Twenty-oneyears of rawinsondedata were used together with 8 yearsof uninitializedECMWF analysesto describethe climatologicalstructureof large-scalecirculationsadjacentto monsoonregionsin northern and southernhemispheresummers.In the uppertroposphere andlowerstratosphere, equatorward and polewardmotionsoccuron the easternand western sidesof monsoonregions,respectively.It was shownthat significant meridional velocities (>1 ms-•) penetrate thelower stratosphere up to a maximumheightof 50-30 mbar. Largest meridional velocities are observed in connection with the Asian monsoonin northernsummer.Although evanescentin height, thesemotionsare relativelyimportantfor horizontal transport of constituentsin the summerlower stratosphere, whenplanetarywavesare otherwisesmall.The role of monsoon circulations in the polewarddispersal of tropicalvolcanicaerosol in the lowerstratosphere wasnotedby Trepteet al. [1993]. Asian and Mexicanmonsoonsin this seasonare displaced sufficientlyfar from the equator, in closeproximityto the tropopausebreak, to have a significantrole in stratospheretroposphere(S/T) exchange.The companionpaper by Chen [1995] providesevidenceof irreversibleS/T exchangein the "upper middle world" during northern summer. Climatologicalcirculationsare expectedto playa majorrole in lower stratospherictransport in all seasonsand S/T exchangein northernsummer.Irreversiblemixingis attributable to eddiesand (ultimately)nonconservation of potentialvorticity. Considerablymore work mustbe done to interpretisentropic mixing and S/T exchange,as well as their seasonaland interannualvariability.Calculationssuchasthoseof Hoerlinget (U,V)* n.d. 150 mb jul 90 60 30 EQ 30 60 90 180 135 90 45 GM 45 90 135 W 180 E Figure7. ECMWFstreamlines at 150mbarforJuly,withzero-wind linesuperposed, easterlies shaded. 90 n.d. (U,V)* 70mbjul 60 30 60 90 180 135 90 45 GM 45 90 135 180 E w Figure 8. As in Figure7, but at 70 mbar. 16,686 DUNKERTON: MONSOONCIRCULATIONSIN LOWER STRATOSPHERE u 150 mb jan 90 , , 30 EQ s 90 180 135 90 45 GM 45 90 135 180 W E Figure 9. ECMWF zonalvelocityat 150mbarasin Figure2, but for January. 15o mb jan , , , , , , 60 30 EQ 30 60 90 180 135 90 45 GM 45 90 135 w 180 E Figure 10. ECMWF meridionalvelocityat 150mbarasin Figure1, but for January. DUNKERTON: A ' 20, 45 ' ' I ' V ' ' I ' ' ' I MONSOON CIRCULATIONS 150mbjul '' ' I ' ' ' I ' ' ' 1985 1986 1987 5' 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 , , - 180 , I, , , - 120 I , , , -60 I , , , 0 I , , , 60 I , , , 120 180 LONGITUDE B ' 20, 45 ' ' I ' V ' ' I ' ' ' I 70 mbjul ' ' ' I ' ' ' I ' ' ' 1985 1986 1987 '7 1988 IN LOWER STRATOSPHERE Asian and Mexican monsoonsis a two-wayprocess,with tracers entering the extratropicalstratospherefrom the upper tropical troposphereand vice versa.The ultimate fate of tracers enteringthe lower stratosphere,to be sure,is alsoaffected by diabatic descent at higher latitudes. Thus it is unclear whethermonsoontransportis very importantfor the injection of CFCs and chemistryof the ozone layer. This transport seemsmore important in the vicinity of the tropopause:a regioncomingunder scrutinyfor possibleeffectsof supersonic and subsonicaviation on stratosphericchemistry.The residence time of trace constituentsand pollutantsin the lower stratosphere is determinedby transportprocesses [Douglass et al., 1991]whichare poorlyunderstoodor difficultto quantify. Hydrationof the stratospheric middleworldis apparentlypossibledue to S/T exchangein midlatitudes(A. E. Dessleret al., Mechanismscontrollingwatervaporin the lower stratosphere: A tale of two stratospheres, submittedto Journalof Geophysical Research,1995).Transportof dehydratedstratospheric air into the tropicalupper tropospheremay prove importantto the radiativebalanceof this region and terrestrialclimale. Of interest to this paper is the Rossbywave excitationand propagationassociatedwith monsooncirculations.The summer stratosphereis relatively undisturbedbecausequasistationary Rossbywavesrequire westerliesfor vertical propagation [Charney and Drazin, 1961]. Rotational monsoon circulationsand midlatitudeanticyclonesin summerare therefore unable to significantlyinfluencethe stratosphereabove --•25 km. The magnitude of evanescentmeridional motion in the lower stratosphereis neverthelesslarge comparedto the diabatic circulationin this region. Although such motion is essentiallyrotational and thereforevanishesidenticallyin the zonalmean,its local effecton constituenttransportis relatively importantwithin the summerhemisphere,as observationsof volcanicaerosol[Trepteet al., 1993]and semi-Lagrangian calculationsof isentropicmixing[Chenet al., 1994;Chen,1995]attest. These observationsinvite further theoreticalstudyof monsoon circulationsand Rossbywave propagation.The role of combinedlatitudinaland verticalshearin Rossbywave critical layerdynamicsandthe nonlinearadvectionof angularmomentum and PV causedby rotational and divergentcirculations must be taken 1989 1990 1991 1992 16,687 into account in order to understand the re- sponsein the upper troposphereand lower stratosphere.Nonlinear dynamicsis likely to be important for the evolution of secondaryvortices,suchas that over the Arabian peninsulain northern summer.This feature is responsiblefor the extreme valuesof meridional velocity over the easternMediterranean. Accordingto Figure 7 of Ting [1994], the linear responseto diabaticheating explainsthe overall structureof Asian monsooncirculationin the upper troposphere,but stationarynonlinearity has a significanteffect in certain regions,such as centralAsia. Monsooncirculationsover Mexico during northern summer and over South America, Africa, and Australia - 180 - 120 -60 0 60 120 180 LONGITUDE Figure 11. Variations of ECMWF monthly mean v in July, averagedover 20ø-45øN.(a) 150 mbar; (b) 70 mbar. during southern summer illustrate flow patterns associated with more localizeddistributionsof diabaticheating,in contrast to those associated with the massive Asian monsoon and zonally elongatedintertropicalconvergencezones. Acknowledgments.The assistance of Mark Baldwin in unpacking ECMWF data was appreciated.Discussionswith Ping Chen helped al. [1993]havehelpedto quantifyS/T exchangein extratropical shapethe ideasof section6, and provideda stimulusfor timely publication of these observations.This researchwas supportedby the latitudes.Further studyof large-scaleadiabaticprocesses that National Aeronautics and SpaceAdministration, Contract NASWlead to S/T exchangewould be valuable. 4844, and by the National Science Foundation, Grant ATM- As noted by Chen [1995], S/T exchangeassociatedwith 9123797. 16,688 DUNKERTON: MONSOON CIRCULATIONS IN LOWER STRATOSPHERE u 10 ms -• 16 E- 10 121 E jul 20 30 50 70 100 150 200 300 7OO 1000 • -90 -60 -30 • EQ S 30 60 90 N LATITUDE Figure 12. Schematicdiagramof meridionaltransportand mixingadjacentto monsoonregionsin northern summer, superposed on contours of zonalwind(interval10ms-•). Heavycontours (interval2 ms-•) and one-waybold arrowsindicateclimatologicalmeridionaltransport;two-wayarrowsillustratemixingalong isentropicsurfaces.The large bold arrow at 30øN representsthe western side of the Asian monsoon.Its directionshouldbe reversedfor the easternside,wherev is oppositeandslightlysmaller.Tropopauseisshown (heavydotted line, "T") and zero-windline is labeled"0". References Lamarque,J.-F., and P. G. Hess,Cross-tropopause massexchangeand potential vorticity budget in a simulated tropopause folding, Charney,J. G., and P. G. Drazin, Propagationof planetaryscale J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 2246-2269, 1994. disturbances from the lowerinto the upperatmosphere, J. Geophys. Mcintyre,M. E., andT. N. Palmer,The 'surfzone'in the stratosphere, Res., 66, 83-109, 1961. Chen, P., Isentropiccross-tropopause massexchangein the extratropics,J. Geophys.Res., this issue,1995. Chen, P., J. R. Holton, A. O'Neill, and R. 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E., Global analysesfrom ECMWF and atlas of 1000 to convectivecloud turrets and by larger-scaleupwellingin tropical 10 mb circulationstatistics,NCAR Tech.Note, NCAR/TN-373 + STR, cyclones,J. Geophys.Res., 98, 8665-8681, 1993. Natl. Cent. for Atmos. Res. Boulder, Colo., 1992. Douglass,A. R., M. A. Carroll, W. B. DeMore, J. R. Holton, I. S. A. Trepte, C. R., R. E. Veiga, and M.P. McCormick, The poleward Isaksen,H. S. Johnston,and M. K. W. Ko, The atmosphereeffects dispersalof Mount Pinatubovolcanicaerosol,J. Geophys. Res.,98 of stratosphericaircraft: A current consensus,NASA Ref. Publ., 18,563-18,573, 1993. 1251, 1-39, 1991. Webster,P. J., and S. Yang, Monsoonand ENSO: SelectivelyinteracDunkerton, T. J., Observationof 3-6 day meridionalwind oscillations tive systems,Q. J. R. Meteorol.Soc., 118, 877-926, 1992. overthe tropicalPacific,1973-1992:Vertical structureand interannual variability,J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 3292-3307, 1993. T. J. Dunkerton, Northwest Research Associates,P.O. Box 3027, Hoerling,M.P., T. K. Schaack,and A. J. Lenzen,A globalanalysisof Bellevue,WA 98009.(e-mail:[email protected]) stratospheric-tropospheric exchangeduring northernwinter, Mon. WeatherRev., 121, 162-172, 1993. Hoskins,B. J., Towardsa PV-0 view of the generalcirculation,Tellus 43AB, 27-35, 1991. (ReceivedDecember12, 1994;revisedApril 12, 1995; acceptedApril 12, 1995.)
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