WORKINGPAPER PilotAssessmentoftheQualityofCiprofloxacinin selectedLatinAmericanCities TheresearchwasoverseenbyRogerBate,DirectoroftheSafeMedicinesCoalition.Thesampling collectionsandmedicinetestingwerefundedbytheLegatumInstituteandtheInternationalPolicy Network. Summary Ciprofloxacin was sampled from pharmacies in ten Central and South American cities. At least six per cent of the medicines are substandard or falsified. Sao Paolo, Buenos Aires and Montevideo have very few substandard or falsified medicines, whereas Asuncion and Caracas had considerably more. There are possible explanations for this, such as the latter cities having more unregistered products sold in pharmacies, but this is only a pilot study, without detailed analysis of the possible socioeconomic and legal causes. The study also only assesses a few cities and one medicine, a more detailed assessment would be useful to guide policymakers as to how to respond to this public health menace. Introduction Therehavebeenassessmentsofbasicmedicinequalityfrommanycountriesandregionsacross theworld(IOM2013),butalmostnoneinCentralandSouthAmerica.Overthepastdecademy colleaguesandIhavecollectedovertenthousandsamplesofmedicinesfrom22citiesin emergingmarkets,buttheonlyonefromtheLatinregionwasSaoPaoloinBrazil.Wehavenow rectifiedthisgap,atleastforonecriticalmedicine,thebroadspectrumantibioticciprofloxacin. WehaveundertakenconsiderableresearchonCiprobefore(Bateetal2015,Bateetal2016), anditistheonedrugwehavefoundineverycityandmostpharmacieswithineachcity.We thereforeexpectedtobeabletofinditineachofthenineLatincities(inadditiontoSaoPaolo) wesampled,whichincludedAsuncion,BuenosAires,Caracas,GuatemalaCity,Guayaquil,La Paz,Lima,Montevideo,SaoPaoloandTegucicalpa. Weareinterestedinidentifyingfakeorfalsifiedmedicines,thosethatarenotmadebythe manufactureronthepackaging,andassessingwheresuchproductsoccur.Butourmainaimis toanalyzethequalityofmedicinesmadebythelegitimatemanufacturer.Thisisbecauseour priorresearchindicatesthat,atleastinemergingmarkets,substandardmedicinesarethe largerthreatandonethatisarguablyeasierforpolicymakerstoaddress.Assuchtheaimofthis paperistoidentifyanysubstandardmedicinesineachcity,assesswheretheyaremade,and whethertheyareregisteredinthecountryofpurchase.Thefindingswillthereforebe comparablewithpriorresearch,butnovelbecausemostLatincountrieshaveneverbeen assessedinthisway. Method Weinstructedcovertshoppersfromtheregiontorandomlywalkintopharmaciesandclaim thatafamilymemberneededaspecifictypeofdrug.Tomimicrealpatientsasmuchas possible,thecovertshoppersdidnotpresentadoctor’sprescriptionandalwayspurchasedthe pharmacist-suggestedbrand.Informaldrugvendors(busvendors,mobilecarts,etc.)occurin somelocations,buttobeabletocompareacrossalllocations,ourshoppersonlyvisited pharmacieswitharegularstorefront.Asaresult,oursamplesarelikelytounderstatethe problemofpoor-qualitydrugs,giventheexpectationandexistingevidencethatinformal vendorssellworsedrugs(IOM2013). AllmedicineswereassessedfollowingtheGlobalPharmaHealthFund(GPHF)e.V.Minilab® protocoltoidentifysubstandardorfalsifiedmedicines(Jahnkeetal,2001).Thekeytestforour sampleisthesemi-quantitativethin-layerchromatography(TLC),whichassessesthepresence andconcentrationofactiveingredientinatestsampleascomparedtothereferencestandard. AsampleisreferredtoasfalsifiedifitcontainszerocorrectAPI,andreferredtoassubstandard ifitcontainssomecorrectAPIbuttheamountofAPIisunder-dosed(below80%).This techniquehasbeenusedforthepastdecadebyourteamineverysampling.Alltestswere conductedwithin60daysafterpurchase,followingtheclassificationinBate,JinandMathur (2015). ItisimportanttonotethatmedicinescanbesubstandardandstillpassTLC,sincetheymaynot besolubleorbepoorlyformulatedinotherways.Asaresultourassessmentsarelikelyto underestimatethenumberofpoorqualitymedicines. Asacknowledgedinotherstudies(Attaranetal2012),thelegaldistinctionbetweenfalsified andsubstandardproductsisoneofintention:bothsortsofcompromisedmedicinesarenotas labeledandviolatetherelevanttechnicalstandards,butsubstandardmedicinesare compromisedaccidentallyornegligently,whilefalsifiedmedicinesarecompromised intentionally,withthisdifferencenotalwaysbeingapparentfromthecontentofthemedicine. Inotherwords,legallyspeaking,falsifiedproductsaretheproductoforganizedcriminalintent, butsubstandardmedicinesarewrongfullyproducedbyotherwiselegitimate,law-abiding manufacturers.However,thislegaldistinctionbreaksdownwhenalegitimatemanufacturer intentionallycheatsontheingredientsofthemedicine.Inlightofthedifficultytodetectthe intentofmanufacture,thispaperdistinguishessubstandardandfalsifieddrugsbyAPIonly. Results Astable1belowshows,513samplesofciprofloxacinwereboughtintencities(SaoPaolowas sampledtwice,thefirsttimein2012).Overall6.3%(33/518)ofthemedicinesfailbasicquality, oftheseten(1.9%)wereobviousfakesand23(4.4%)weresubstandard. Fivecitieshadnoobviousfakemedicines,Ascuncion(4/547.4%)andCaracas(2/424.7%)had morefakesthantheothercities.OnlyBuenosAireshadnofailingmedicinesatall(nofalsified medicinesandnosubstandards).Caracashadthemostsubstandardmedicines(4/42,9.5%). Table1 City SaoPaolo2012 SaoPaolo2016 Guayaquil Lima Tegucicalpa GuatemalaCity LaPaz Ascuncion BuenosAires Montevideo Caracas Total failing Fake Samples 70 42 43 55 44 52 33 54 44 39 42 518 Fail% 3 1 2 4 3 4 2 7 0 1 6 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 4 0 0 2 33 10 % Substandard Fake% 4.28 2.38 4.65 7.27 6.81 7.69 6.06 12.96 0 2.56 14.28 6.37 1.43 0 0 1.82 2.27 1.92 0 7.40 0 0 4.76 1.93 2.86 2.38 4.65 5.45 4.54 5.77 6.06 5.55 0 2.56 9.52 % Registered Registered 4.44 66 41 38 50 37 44 30 38 41 37 29 94.28 97.62 88.37 90.91 84.09 84.61 90.91 70.37 93.18 94.87 69.05 451 87.06 Removingthetenfakemedicinesfromthesample,wherebydefinitionwedonotknowwhere theyweremade,thelocationofproductionofthelegitimatemedicineisintable2below.The largestsupplierofCiprotoallLatincountriesisIndia,providing35%(179/508)ofthesample. ProductsmadeinLatinAmerica(whethermadedomesticallyinthecountryofpurchaseor imported)provide159(31%)samplesandEurope,USandotherOECDnationsprovidethenext mostat90(18%).OECDmedicinesdidnotfailatall,whereasIndianandChinesemedicines bothfailedmorethanotherlocationsatover6%ofthesample. Approximately87percentofthemedicineswereregisteredinthecountryinwhichtheywere procured,butthisbeliedarangeof97%inSaoPaolodownto70%inCaracasandAsuncion. Thesamplesizesaretoosmalltodeterminestatisticallywhetherunregisteredproductsfailed moreoften,however,inCaracasthreeofthefoursubstandardproductswereindeed unregistered. Table2 Production location Domestic India China OECD OtherLatam Samples Substandards 71 179 80 90 88 508 2 12 5 0 4 23 %fail 2.81 6.70 6.25 0 4.54 4.52 Discussion Itisinterestingtocomparethesenewresultswithpreviousresultsfrompriorpapers.Inour largeststudyofciprofloxacin(Bateetal2015)wefoundthat83outof1437samplesofCipro, roughly5.8%ofsamples,weresubstandard.Thisisaslightlyhigherpercentagethanfoundin thislatestresearch(4.5%).Thediscrepancyismostlikelyexplainedbythefactthatjustover8% ofthesampleboughtinAfricancitiesfailed,whereastheratewascloserto4%inmid-income emergingmarkets(includingIndiancitiesandtheoriginalSaoPaolosampleof2012).Inthat respectthesenewdataareconsistentwithpreviousdata. Alsoconsistent,thoughnotanalyzedindetail,isthatrichercitiestendtohavebetterquality medicines,aswesawinBateetal2015andBateetal2016.BuenosAires,SaoPaoloand MontevideoareamongtherichercitiesandAsuncionandCaracasamongthepoorerandtheir qualityresultsreflectthat.AsuncionandCaracasalsohavethefewestregisteredproducts,and previousresearch(Bateal2015andBateetal2016)showsthatunregisteredproductsare morelikelytofailqualitycontrolandsuchnationsareassociatedwithmorefalsifiedmedicines. Insummary,LatinAmericancitieshavemoreregisteredCiproanditisofbetterqualitythan Africancities,butmarginallyworseresultsbycomparisonwithothermid-incomenationcities analyzedpreviously. Conclusion TenCentralandSouthAmericancitieshadciprofloxacinsampledfromlocalpharmacies. Approximately6.3%failedaverybasicqualitythinlayerchromatographytest,providinga minimumassessmentofsubstandardandfalsifiedciprofloxacinmedicinesonthemarket.There wasquiteavarietyinperformanceofthecities,withSaoPaolo,BuenosAiresandMontevideo haveveryfewsubstandardmedicines,whereasAsuncionandCaracashadconsiderablymore. Thisisonlyapilotstudylookingatafewcitiesandonemedicine,amoredetailedassessment wouldbeusefultoguidepolicymakersastohowtorespondtothispublichealthmenace. References Attaran,Amir,DonnaBarry,ShamnadBasheer,RogerBate,DavidBenton,JamesChauvin, LaurieGarrett,IlonaKickbusch,JillianClareKohler,KamalMidha,PaulNNewton,Sania Nishtar,PaulOrhii,andMartinMcKee(November2012)“Howtoachieveinternational actiononfalsifiedandsubstandardmedicines.”BritishMedicalJournal2012:345. Bate,Roger,KimberlyHessandLorraineMooney(2010)“MedicineRegistrationandMedicine Quality:APreliminaryAnalysisofKeyCitiesinEmergingMarkets,”ResearchandReportsin TropicalMedicine,December2010,vol1.Pp89-93,doi10.2147/RRTM.S15199. Bate,Roger,GingerZheJinandAparnaMathur(2015)“FalsifiedorSubstandard?Assessing PriceandNon-PriceSignalsofDrugQuality”JournalofEconomics&ManagementStrategy. Volume24,Issue4,pages687–711,Winter2015 Bate,Roger,GingerZheJin,AparnaMathurandAmirAttaran(2016)“PoorQualityDrugsand GlobalTrade,AmericanJournalofHealthEconomics2(3):373–398 InstituteofMedicine(IOM)(2013),CounteringtheProblemofFalsifiedandSubstandardDrugs, NationalAcademyofSciences,ISBN978-0-309-26939-1. Jähnke,R.W.O.,G.Küsters,andK.Fleischer(2001)“Low-costqualityassuranceofmedicines usingtheGPHF-Minilab®,”DrugInformationJournal35:941-945.
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