337 Germinability of arctic plants is high in perceived optimal conditions but low in the field Botany Downloaded from www.nrcresearchpress.com by King's College London - CHAN Journals on 05/13/11 For personal use only. Eike Müller, Elisabeth J. Cooper, and Inger Greve Alsos Abstract: Sexual reproduction is crucial for plant populations to track and adapt to climate change, but it is uncertain to what degree arctic vascular plants reproduce by seed. Several studies on arctic species show low germination. To re-examine seed germination and evaluate factors limiting sexual reproduction, seeds of 6–22 arctic species were germinated in five different, increasingly more realistic, conditions. Thirteen out of 15 species that were tested in an earlier study in Svalbard, Norway, germinated better in our study. Compared with perceived optimal conditions in a growth chamber, average germination per species was 6%–52% lower in five out of six species germinating at a colder temperature in soil, 36%–64% lower when germinating outdoors in soil, 49%–91% lower when germinating in a moss covered moraine, and 55%–91% lower when germinating in open soil on a moraine. Germination outdoors was below 5% in 10 out of 13 species and not correlated to germination in perceived optimal conditions. The high germination compared with earlier studies suggests that climate warming has already increased seed viability. However, caution should be taken when evaluating species-recruitment potential based on laboratory studies, as germination in the field was limited by species-specific responses to low temperatures, moisture, predation, and safe-site availability. Key words: arctic, germination, seeds, Svalbard, temperature, tundra. Résumé : La reproduction sexuelle joue un rôle crucial chez les populations végétales permettant aux plantes de repérer et de s'adapter au changement climatique, mais l'on ne sait pas à quel point les plantes vasculaires arctiques se reproduisent par des graines. Plusieurs études sur les espèces arctiques témoignent de leur faible germination. Afin de réexaminer la germination des graines et d'évaluer les facteurs limitant la reproduction sexuelle, les auteurs ont fait germer les semences de 22 espèces arctiques sous cinq conditions différentes de plus en plus réalistes. Treize des 15 espèces préalablement testées au Svalbard, Norvège, ont mieux germé dans cette étude. Comparée afin de percevoir les conditions optimales en chambre de croissance, la germination moyenne par espèce a été de 6%–52 % plus faible chez cinq des six espèces à une température plus froide dans le sol, de 36%–64% plus faible lorsque réalisée à l'extérieur dans le sol, de 49%–91% plus faible lorsqu'effectuée sur un sol de moraine couvert de mousse, et de 55%–91% lorsqu la germination a été faite sur un sol ouvert de moraine. La germination à l'extérieure est inférieure à 5% chez 10 des 13 espèces et ne montre pas de corrélation avec les conditions optimales telles que perçues. La forte germination comparativement aux études antécédentes suggère que le réchauffement climatique aurait déjà augmenté la viabilité des graines. Cependant, on doit être prudent lorsqu'on évalue le recrutement potentiel des espèces, basé sur des études en laboratoire, puisque la germination sur le terrain est limitée par des réactions spécifiques à l'espèce envers la basse température, l'humidité, la prédation et la disponibilité de sites sûrs. Mots‐clés : arctique, germination, semences, Svalbard, température, toundra. [Traduit par la Rédaction] Introduction It has been claimed that the importance of sexual reproduction in vascular plants is lower in arctic regions (Billings and Mooney 1968; Born and Böcher 2001; but see Murray 1987) than at lower latitudes (Söyrinki 1939; Welling and Laine 2000). This assumption is based on several types of evidence. In arctic habitats, a lower proportion of species seem to produce viable seeds (Sørensen 1941; Eurola 1972) than in the northern boreal – alpine zone (Söyrinki 1939; Bliss 1958), and arctic seeds seem to have poorer germination than seeds from the northern boreal – alpine zone (Bliss 1958; Eurola 1972). Additionally, it has been suggested that a high proportion of arctic species are capable of reproducing vegetatively (Billings and Mooney 1968; Billings 1987). The numbers of seedlings encountered in most arctic habitats and in seed addition experiments in the Arctic are low (Bell and Bliss 1980; Klokk and Rønning 1987; Bliss and Gold 1999; Received 1 December 2010. Accepted 3 March 2011. Published at www.nrcresearchpress.com/cjb on . E. Müller. The University Centre in Svalbard (UNIS), Post Office Box 156, NO-9171 Longyearbyen, Norway; Department of Arctic and Marine Biology, Faculty of Biosciences, Fisheries and Economics, University of Tromsø, NO-9037 Tromsø, Norway. E.J. Cooper. Department of Arctic and Marine Biology, Faculty of Biosciences, Fisheries and Economics, University of Tromsø, NO9037 Tromsø, Norway. I.G. Alsos. The University Centre in Svalbard (UNIS), Post Office Box 156, NO-9171 Longyearbyen, Norway; Tromsø University Museum, NO-9037 Tromsø, Norway. Corresponding author: Eike Müller (e-mail: [email protected]). Botany 89: 337–348 (2011) doi:10.1139/B11-022 Published by NRC Research Press Botany Downloaded from www.nrcresearchpress.com by King's College London - CHAN Journals on 05/13/11 For personal use only. 338 Cooper et al. 2004, but see Speed et al. 2010). It also has been assumed that there are energetic advantages of asexual reproduction (Chapin et al. 1980). Contrary to studies postulating low seed viability, low germination, and high proportions of clonal reproduction, other studies report medium to high germination percentages of arctic species (Mooney and Billings 1961; Bell and Bliss 1980; Bliss and Gold 1999; Hagen 2002). Also, many arctic species have high levels of genetic diversity (reviewed by Brochmann and Brysting 2008). Even predominantly clonally reproducing species (Bistorta vivipara (L.) S.F. Gray (Bauert 1996) and Saxifraga cernua L. (Gabrielsen and Brochmann 1998)) and some northern range populations of higher temperature demanding species that have never been observed with ripe seeds in the Arctic (Alsos et al. 2003) have medium to high levels of genetic diversity (Alsos and Engelskjøn 2002). Thus, sexual reproduction in the Arctic may be more frequent than previously assumed. We assume that the variation in germination rates observed in different studies can be attributed to factors such as species studied, temperature during seed development, pregermination treatment and dormancy state of the seeds, germination temperature, water, substrate, and light conditions. Each of these factors can reduce germination and increase variability of germination success. Knowledge about germination and pregermination treatment of seeds (storage, desiccation tolerance, and stratification) has improved, especially over the past 30 years (Baskin and Baskin 1998; Tweddle et al. 2003; Fenner and Thompson 2005). Hence, some of the low germination percentages reported in early studies may be caused by inappropriate storage conditions or ineffective dormancybreaking methods. The importance of temperature during seed production and germination in arctic vascular plants has been demonstrated in earlier studies. Experiments show that elevated temperatures result in increased seed production (Arft et al. 1999) and also in higher germinability of seeds (Wookey et al. 1995). Temperature is also an indicator of the time of year and may determine the timing of germination (Baskin and Baskin 1998). Several studies show that temperature during germination and germination success are positively correlated in arctic and subarctic species (Mooney and Billings 1961; Trudgill et al. 2000; Milbau et al. 2009). Many arctic species germinate best at temperatures between 12 °C and 20 °C (Mooney and Billings 1961; Bell and Bliss 1980). Other studies have shown that light (Milberg et al. 2000), water (Harper and Benton 1966), and substrate (Bell and Bliss 1980), in addition to temperature, may affect germination. Most arctic species are either weakly affected or unaffected by light conditions (Bliss 1958). Responses to drought stress vary between species; most common is a reduced viability and slower germination speed (Fenner and Thompson 2005). Substrate seems to be of lesser importance for seed germination than temperature and water availability in laboratory experiments (Baskin and Baskin 1998). Under optimized temperature and moisture conditions, using nondormant or broken-dormancy seeds, one may expect that 100% of the viable seeds will germinate. Germination percentages, therefore, reflect the proportion of viable seeds produced by a plant population. In contrast with germination in controlled laboratory ex- Botany, Vol. 89, 2011 periments, germination under natural conditions in the Arctic encounters many uncontrollable factors, e.g., low temperatures, wind, predation, and drought. The effect of substrate may interact with temperature and moisture, and favorable conditions for germination are often patchy and found in microsites, such as small cracks or moss mats, but rarely on exposed ridges (Bell and Bliss 1980; Svoboda and Henry 1987). Similarly, predation is heterogeneous and after primary dispersal, seeds may be subjected to discovery and consumption by avian predators (Holmes and Froud-Williams 2005). High wind speeds, in particular where vegetation is sparse, not only relocate seeds after primary dispersal (Chambers and MacMahon 1994), but may also prevent germination through seed burial in deep soil and increase seedling mortality by substrate removal and abrasion (Maun 1994). The few seed-addition experiments in arctic areas report that germination in the field is very low (Bell and Bliss 1980; Klokk and Rønning 1987), and plant establishment is only possible in favorable years (Svoboda and Henry 1987). About 165 native vascular plant species occur on the arctic archipelago of Svalbard, Norway (Elven and Elvebakk 1996; Alsos et al. 2010), where this study was conducted. Based on observations in the field and studies partly from other regions, it is assumed that 60.2% of the vascular plants in Svalbard mainly reproduce sexually (Brochmann and Steen 1999). Based on genetic studies, Alsos et al. (2007) hypothesized that the establishment phase of reproduction (germination, survival, and local reproduction) limits vascular plant colonization on Svalbard. However, the only comprehensive study to date on germination of seeds collected in Svalbard showed that 30% of 63 tested species did not germinate, and the majority of the species had very low (<10%) germination (Eurola 1972). The first objective in this study was to examine if previous studies in the Arctic, and especially in Svalbard, underestimated seed germination. Secondly, through a stepwise design, we investigated how germination changed by adding natural factors, such as low temperature, wind, moisture limitation, and predation. In addition, we tested if germination percentages in field conditions are correlated with germination percentages in perceived optimal conditions. Material and methods Collection of seeds Seeds of the 22 most common species, including bulbils from B. vivipara and S. cernua (hereafter included in the term seeds) were collected between 22 August and 20 September 2007 in Adventdalen surrounding Longyearbyen (78°13′N, 15°39′E), Svalbard (Fig. 1; Table 1). For some species only a few seeds were found. For these species, seeds were collected in several lowland locations near Longyearbyen and were mixed before germination (Table 1). The collection site in Endalen is a very sheltered slope with a southeast exposure and alternating Dryas and Cassiope heath. Erigeron humilis R.C. Graham was collected in a snow bed, and Luzula confusa Lindeb. was collected on an exposed ridge in Endalen. The collection site at Hotellnesset is a more open, plain habitat with sandy substrate, and the vegetation is dominated by Silene acaulis (L.) Jacq. and Saxifraga oppositifolia L. Adventdalen is not as sheltered as EnPublished by NRC Research Press Müller et al. 339 Botany Downloaded from www.nrcresearchpress.com by King's College London - CHAN Journals on 05/13/11 For personal use only. Fig. 1. Maps of the Svalbard archipelago (left) and Adventdalen (right) showing where seeds were collected for germination experiments, and where germination experiments in the field were performed. dalen but provides habitats with higher soil moisture than at Hotellnesset. Dryas octopetala L., L. confusa, and Luzula nivalis (Laest.) Spreng. are the dominant species at the collection site in Adventdalen. All sites are classified as Cassiope tetragona L.D. Don. tundra (Elvebakk 2005), which corresponds to the Cassiopo tetragonae – Dryadetum octopetalae (Hadač 1946), a vegetation type characteristic for bioclimatic zone C. Pregermination treatment All seeds were collected into paper bags. In the laboratory, they were cleaned, counted into batches of 30 or 50 seeds, and packed into coffee filter bags. From the end of September 2007 until germination at the start of spring 2008 (Table 2), the seeds were kept in an open cardboard box outdoors in Longyearbyen, Svalbard, at ambient temperatures to experience natural temperature and moisture conditions. Between the end of storage and the start of the germination test (Table 2), the seeds were stored at 1 °C. Species were allocated to the experiments based on seed availability. Germination under perceived optimal conditions (experiment 1) Based on germination trials of Alsos et al. (2003), Cooper et al. (2004), and Cooper (unpublished, 2001), 18 °C was used as the perceived optimal temperature (Table 2). Boxes were prepared with a water reservoir to keep filter papers moist. Three replicates of 50 seeds for each species were laid on filter papers (grade 1, Whatman, Maidstone, UK). Every batch of 50 seeds was covered with a plastic cup to keep the microclimate moist. The boxes were transferred to a growth chamber at 4 °C without light, to stratify the seeds under similar conditions as during snow melt. After 16 d, the temperature was raised 4–4.5 K/d for three days until the temperature reached 18 °C, and light (approximately 40 µmol m–2 s–1 at seed surface, 35 W fluorescent tube, 840 HE (Osram, Munich, Germany)) was set to 24 h. All seeds were examined once a week for germination (appearance of radicle or cotelydons), and the trial was continued until no new seedlings appeared in two successive weekly counts, which oc- curred after 10 weeks. No attempts were made to determine whether nongerminating seeds were dormant or dead. Germination in controlled suboptimal conditions (experiments 2 and 3) Experiments 2 and 3 (Table 2) were prepared using a soil mixture consisting of two-thirds greenhouse soil for seedlings (Hasselfors Garden, Såjord, Örebro, Sweden; 125 g m–3 N, 60 g m–3 P, 135 g m–3 K, 240 g m–3 Mg, 1800 g m–3 Ca, and 70 g m–3 S; pH 5.6–6.4) and one-third perlite (grain size 1.5–6.0 mm). Ten replicates of 50 seeds of each of six species (B. vivipara, D. octopetala, Oxyria digyna (L.) Hill, Salix polaris Wahlenb., S. oppositifolia, and Silene acaulis) were sown in pots of 70 mm × 70 mm, except for B. vivipara, for which 12 replicates were made. All pots were watered every 2–3 d with tap water. The pots were divided and two experiments were carried out. Experiment 2. Five pots of each species (seven for B. vivipara) were placed in a growth chamber to germinate seeds in controlled conditions with suboptimal (low) temperatures. The temperature in the chamber was set at 8 °C (Table 2), but hovered between 6 °C and 12 °C owing to the functioning of the air-cooler control loop. After 6 weeks, technical problems with the air cooler occurred, and the seeds were subjected to approximately 20 °C for a maximum of 24 h. By this time, all species had already completed germination, except Silene acaulis, which had germinated to 27.2% and increased thereafter to the final amount (Table 1). All pots were immediately moved to two smaller growth chambers that had a minimum operating temperature of 12 °C. Experiment 3. The other batch of prepared pots was placed in controlled outdoor conditions on the flat roof of the building of the University Centre in Svalbard on 4 June 2008. Seeds were protected against bird predation by a net and against rodents by placement. Temperatures were monitored with Tinytag Plus TG 12-0020 (Gemini Data Loggers, Chichester, UK) until 9 August 2008 when the logger memory was full. Emerging seedlings in both experiments were counted weekly for 5 weeks and subsequently every 3rd week; the experiment ran for 12 weeks. Seedlings remained in the pots to Published by NRC Research Press 340 Table 1. Collection dates, sites, and germination percentages±SD of seeds collected in Svalbard and germinated at different temperatures on different substrates. Alopecurus magellanicus Lam. Bistorta vivipara (L.) S.F. Gray Cassiope tetragona L.D. Don. ssp. tetragona L. Cerastium arcticum Lange coll. Dryas octopetala L. Erigeron humilis R.C. Graham Eriophorum scheuchzeri Hoppe ssp. arcticum Novoselova Honckenya peploides (L.) Ehrh. ssp. diffusa (Hornem.) Á.Löve Luzula confusa Lindeb. Luzula nivalis (Laest.) Spreng. Oxyria digyna (L.) Hill Papaver dahlianum Nordh. Pedicularis dasyantha (Trautv.) Hadac Pedicularis hirsuta L. Salix polaris Wahlenb. Saxifraga cernua L. Saxifraga cespitosa L. ssp. cespitosa Saxifraga hirculus L. ssp. compacta Hedberg Saxifraga oppositifolia L. ssp. oppositifolia Silene acaulis (L.) Jacq. Silene involucrata (Cham. & Schltdl.) Bocquet ssp. furcata (Raf.) V.V. Petrovsky & Elven Silene uralensis (Rupr.) Bocquet ssp arctica (Th.Fr.) Bocquet This study, growth chamber: filter paper, 18 °C 8.7±2.3 This study, moraine: gravel, 6.7 °C* — This study, moraine: moss, 6.5 °C* — Eurola (1972): peat, 15 °C* 0.1 — Bell and Bliss (1980): filter paper, 20 °C — Hagen (2002): peat and sand, 22 °C — Söyrinki (1939, 1939): paper, not given — 9.5 — 90 — Bliss (1958): filter paper, 22 °C — Collection date in 2007 5 September Collection sites Adventdalen 22 August 14 September 14 and 17 September 5 September 20 September 14 September 4 and 14 September 23 August Hotellneset Mine 7 Endalen 26.7±3.6 2.3±0.9 2.7±0.9 76.0±3.5 — — 0 52.0 — — — Adventdalen Hotellneset Endalen Endalen 16.0±3.0 — — 5.7 — 36 — — 55.3±4.1 53.3±4.1 0 0 3.0±1.0 0 — — — — 10 — 40 — Endalen 10.0±2.4 — — — — — 55 23 August 9 September Hotellneset Moskushamn 6.7±2.0 — — — — — — — 17 September 5 September Endalen Adventdalen 78.7±3.3 25.3±3.5 2.7±0.9 — 3.3±1.0 — 27.5 0.3 — — — — 80 — 82 — 23 August 22 August Hotellneset Endalen 92.7±2.1 0 1.7±0.7 0 (12.5±2.1) 2.0±0.8 0 (15.0±2.1) 5.6 0.2 — — 30 — 70 80 94 — 4 and 6 September 9 September 6 September 17 September 4 September 14 and 17 September 20 September Endalen 1.3±0.9 0 (2.4±1.1) 0 (4.1±1.2) 0.6 — — — — Moskushamn Endalen Endalen Endalen Endalen 0 76.7±3.5 95.3±1.7 97.3±1.3 0 (6.2±1.7) 7.3±1.5 3.7±1.1 — 0 (19.3±2.4) 27.3±2.62.1 22.0±2.4 — 0.5 1.2 3.1 — — — — — — — 96 65 — — — — — — 88 95 Hotellneset 3.3±1.5 — — 0 — — — — 20 September Hotellneset 72.0±3.7 — — — — Hotellneset 94.0±1.9 2.3±0.9 (20.0 ±2.3) 19.7±2.3 1.9 23 August and 20 September 23 August 2.0±0.8 (20.0±2.1) 18.6±2.4 — 89.7 — — 99 Hotellneset 98.7±0.9 0.7±0.5 4.7±1.2 — — — — — 5 September 6 and 9 September Adventdalen Endalen 99.3±0.7 — — — — — — — 0 — 5.4 Note: Values in parentheses are germination percentages obtained after a recount 1 year later. For comparison, germination percentages obtained in other studies with seeds collected on Svalbard (Eurola 1972; Hagen 2002), Unimat in low-arctic Alaska (Bliss 1958), King Christian Island in the polar desert part of Canada (Bell and Bliss 1980), and from alpine Scandinavia (Söyrinki 1939) are given. Nomenclature follows the Pan Arctic Flora project (Elven 2007). Collection sites are shown in Fig. 1. *Temperatures are means of ambient temperatures. Botany, Vol. 89, 2011 Published by NRC Research Press Botany Downloaded from www.nrcresearchpress.com by King's College London - CHAN Journals on 05/13/11 For personal use only. Germination percentages 341 Wind No No Yes Yes Yes Predation No No No Yes Yes Moisture limitation No No No 0.16±0.01* 0.07±0.03* minimize removal disturbance and to monitor survival. However, using this counting frequency, the percentage of germinating seeds may have been slightly underestimated in experiment 3, as some seedlings may have germinated and died unnoticed. Owing to strong weather shifts with subzero temperatures at the end of June, seedlings of three species died. For these species, percentages given in Table 1 and Fig. 2 and data used to compare experiments 2 and 3 are based on maximum numbers of observed germinated seeds. The data from experiment 3, used to compare with those from experiment 4, however, are based on seedlings that survived by the end of the experiment. Seedlings were counted for the last time on 22 August 2008. Note: Shaded areas are factors reducing germination from optimal conditions. *Averages and SD of hourly measured soil moisture are given as cubic metres of water per cubic metre of soil. Temperature fluctuations Minimum Minimum Medium High High Temperature, average ± SD (°C) 18.0±0.5 8.0±0.5–12.0±0.5 6.6±2.6 6.5±3.5 6.7±3.5 Place Indoor Indoor Outdoor Outdoor Outdoor Substrate Filter paper Soil mixture Soil mixture Moss Gravel Germination start 2008 4 April 1 June 4 June 27 June–2 July 27 June–2 July Stratification end 2008 18 March 29 May 29 May 29 May 29 May Experiment 1. Filter optimal 2. Indoor low 3. Outdoor protected 4. Outdoor moss 5. Outdoor gravel Table 2. Germination conditions used to test factors influencing germination success in six arctic species in a stepwise design from perceived optimal to field conditions. Botany Downloaded from www.nrcresearchpress.com by King's College London - CHAN Journals on 05/13/11 For personal use only. Müller et al. Germination in moss and on gravel in the field (experiments 4 and 5) In total, 20 seed-addition plots in two different sites were established. The sites (78°11′N, 15°35′E) were on the flat part of an old moraine of Larsbreen glacier on the lower part of a north-facing slope on Sarkofagen, a hill close to Longyearbyen (Fig. 1). One site, hereafter called outdoor moss (experiment 4), was mainly covered by moss and scattered Salix polaris, whereas the other site, hereafter called outdoor gravel (experiment 5), was characterized by frost-disturbed open gravel with small vegetated patches of Salix polaris and L. confusa in between. In the latter site, plots were established only on frost-disturbed open gravel and in the former only on moss. Single plots were chosen for their homogeneity and were, therefore, nonrandom. All seeds were subjected to natural temperature and moisture conditions. In addition, there was no protection against seed predation. The most frequently observed potential seed predator was snow bunting (Plectrophenax nivalis L.), whereas barnacle goose (Branta leucopsis Bechstein.) and Svalbard rock ptarmigan (Lagopus muta hyperborea Sundevall) were less frequently observed. The influence of invertebrate seed predators can be neglected on Svalbard (Coulson 2007). In the moss plots, small gaps approximately 0.5–1 cm deep and 0.5 cm wide were made, and seeds were sown into these gaps to prevent them from being blown away. On the outdoor gravel site, enough small cracks in the soil provided shelter for the seeds, therefore, no artificial gaps were made. For each plot, 30 seeds per species were sown with the aid of a frame that was 50 cm × 50 cm with 16 subplots of 10 cm × 10 cm, which provided regular distance and orientation. Each of the 13 species (B. vivipara, D. octopetala, E. humilis, L. confusa, O. digyna, Papaver dahlianum Nordh., Pedicularis dasyantha (Trautv.) Hadac, Pedicularis hirsuta L., Salix polaris, S. cernua, S. oppositifolia, Silene acaulis, and Silene involucrata ssp. furcata) was randomly allocated to the subplots. Loggers (HOBO Micro Station, Onset Computer Cooperation, Pocasset, Massachusetts) were installed at these sites on 2–4 July 2008. The loggers were equipped with sensors for photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), soil temperature, and moisture. PAR was measured 1 m aboveground to avoid shading of the sensor; soil temperature and moisture were measured approximately 1 cm below the surface. Average PAR in summer at the field site was 234 µmol m–2 s–1 in 2008 (5 July to 31 August). Seed germination was counted only on 30 August 2008 and may thus be underestimated as some seedlings probably died before being counted. The seed addition plots were recounted Published by NRC Research Press 342 Botany, Vol. 89, 2011 Fig. 2. The germination percentages of six common arctic species with 95% confidence intervals obtained in five different experiments. The germination conditions were (i) filter optimal (filter paper and 18 °C, perceived optimal conditions), (ii) indoor low (soil mixture and 8–12 °C), (iii) outdoor protected maximum germination (soil mixture and ambient temperatures, seeds protected against predation) (the second line indicates survived seedlings), (iv) outdoor moss (moss covered moraine plots), and (v) outdoor gravel (bare gravely soil plots on a moraine), see Table 2. Bistorta vivipara 100 80 Germination (%) Germination (%) 80 60 40 20 60 40 20 0 0 Filter optimal In door Outdoor Outdoor Outdo or lo w protected moss gravel Filter optimal Oxyria digyna 80 Germination rmination (%) 80 Germination ermination (%) 100 60 40 60 40 20 20 0 0 Filter optimal 100 Indo or Outdoor Outdo or Outdo or low protected mo ss g ravel Salix polaris 100 Filter op timal Ind oor Outdoo r Outdoor Outdoor lo w protected moss gravel Saxifraga oppositifolia In door Outdo or Outdoo r Outdoor low p rotected moss gravel Silene acaulis 100 80 Germination (%) 80 Germination (%) Botany Downloaded from www.nrcresearchpress.com by King's College London - CHAN Journals on 05/13/11 For personal use only. Dryas octopetala 100 60 40 20 60 40 20 0 0 Filter Indo orlow Outdoor Outdoor Outdoor optimal protected moss g ravel on 8 June, 26 August, and 10 September 2009 to determine if any further seeds had germinated. Germination percentages of other studies Germination percentages were compiled from published studies of seeds collected in Svalbard (Eurola 1972; Hagen Filter optimal In door Outdoor Outdoor Outdoor lo w protected moss gravel 2002); Unimat, northern Alaska (Bliss 1958); and King Christian Island, Northwest Territories (Bell and Bliss 1980). The germination percentages of B. vivipara (≡Polygonum viviparum L.) and Silene acaulis taken from Bliss (1958) are from seeds collected in alpine tundra in Wyoming. The only other comprehensive study from the Arctic that we are aware Published by NRC Research Press Botany Downloaded from www.nrcresearchpress.com by King's College London - CHAN Journals on 05/13/11 For personal use only. Müller et al. 343 of, Sørensen’s (1941) study from NE Greenland, was excluded because no germination percentages were given. To compare our data with data from an alpine area, germination percentages from seeds collected in northern Scandinavia (Söyrinki 1939) were included (Table 1). To increase the sample size for exploring the correlation between germination in the field and under optimal conditions, data from Bell and Bliss (1980) were used. Spearman rank-order correlation coefficient (rs) is given. Nevertheless, adding data from Bell and Bliss (1980) to our data improved model fit to a LM. Model fit was evaluated using diagnostic plots in R. All statistical analyses were made with the statistic package R 2.7.2 (R Development Core Team 2008). Temperature during seed development To compare temperatures during seed development for our study with those for the most comprehensive study from Svalbard (Eurola 1972), we calculated temperature sums using positive daily averages from 1 May to the last day of seed collection (22 August 1969, Eurola 1972; 20 September 2007, this study). Also, the daily air average temperatures for each of the summer months of May–September were compared. The temperature data were obtained from the Norwegian Meteorological Institute (http://met.no). In 2007, the first daily average air temperature above 0 °C was 11 d earlier than in 1969. June was significantly warmer in 2007 (approximately 4 K, Wilcoxon’s signed-rank test, W = 74, p < 0.001) than in 1969. The daily temperature sum from 1 May until seed collection was 629.4 K in 2007 and 371.4 K in 1969 (i.e., 187.6 K higher), as well as 16 more days that had positive daily average temperatures in 2007 than in 1969. Thus, the seeds that germinated in our study had 1.7 the amount of heat during their development than those reported by Eurola (1972). Germination in perceived optimal conditions Twenty out of the 22 species (91%) germinated in perceived optimal conditions, and 10 of the tested species had greater than 70% germination (Table 1). Two species, Papaver dahlianum and Pedicularis hirsuta, did not germinate, whereas Alopecurus magellanicus Lam., Pedicularis dasyantha, Saxifraga hirculus L., and Honkenya peploides (L.) Ehrh. had less than 9% germination. Thirteen out of 15 species that were tested in both studies had higher germination in our study than in Eurola’s (1972); for half of the species the germination percentages were 25%–92% (Table 1). Two species (C. tetragona and S. hirculus) that did not germinate in Eurola’s study germinated in our study, whereas the opposite was observed for two other species (Papaver dahlianum and Pedicularis hirsuta). All three species that were present in both our study and the one by Bliss (1958) germinated at higher percentages in our study. When compared with Bell and Bliss (1980), one species germinated equally well, two germinated at a higher percentage, and one germinated at lower percentages in our study. In our study, B. vivipara and Papaver dahlianum had lower germination than in the study by Hagen (2002) (Table 1), whereas D. octopetala and O. digyna germinated better, and L. confusa had similar germination (80%). All species present in our study and the Scandinavian alpine study by Söyrinki (1939) had very similar germination percentages, except Eriophorum scheuchzeri, which germinated at a lower percentage in our study (Table 1). Temperature during germination Owing to exceptionally late snowmelt in 2008, the experiments on the moraine (experiments 4 and 5) were established about 4 weeks later than the one under controlled outdoor temperature (experiment 3). For experiments 4 and 5, averages of soil temperatures were calculated from logger measurements using the period from sowing until final counting of the seedlings (Table 2). The average soil temperature of the controlled outdoor experiment was calculated from the day the experiment was set up until the logger memory was full, 13 d before the final count. Statistical analysis To examine if different treatments affected the proportions of germinating seeds, the generalized linear models (GLMs) were specified with binomial error distribution as recommended for binomial data (Crawley 2007). Germination percentages of each experiment were analyzed at the species level. If the residual deviance was larger than the degrees of freedom, overdispersion in the GLM was assumed, and models were specified as quasibinomial instead of binomial. Confidence intervals (CI, 95%) were calculated with the R package binGroup 1.0-7 (Zhang et al. 2010) after the Wilson score method (Newcombe 1998). The standard deviations for the germination data were calculated with a formula for binomial data (Collett 2003). To test if germination in perceived optimal conditions (experiment 1) was correlated to germination in the field (experiments 4 and 5, separately), a Spearman Rank Order correlation test was used because the data from our study fit a linear model (LM) poorly. For the tested correlations, the Results Germination in field conditions Of the 13 species tested in realistic field conditions, 8 germinated better on moss than on gravel, whereas Silene acaulis germinated at a similar percentage on both substrates and had the highest germination of all species on the gravel plots (19%, Table 1). With three exceptions (Salix polaris, S. cernua, and Silene acaulis), germination was less than 10%, and four species (E. humilis, Papaver dahlianum, Pedicularis dasyantha, and Pedicularis hirsuta) did not germinate. Dryas octopetala did not germinate on gravel, but some seedlings were found in the plots with moss (3% germination). However, Papaver dahlianum and Pedicularis hirsuta germinated at high percentages in 2009 from the seeds sown in 2008 (Table 1). Similarly, the percentage of S. oppositifolia seedlings increased from approximately 2% in 2008 to 20% in 2009. None of the other species in this experiment showed any second year germination. Stepwise realistic conditions The temperature reduction and the change of substrate from perceived optimal conditions (experiment 1, Table 2) to the indoor low temperature conditions (8–12 °C, experiment 2) reduced germination of D. octopetala, O. digyna, Silene acaulis, Published by NRC Research Press 344 Botany, Vol. 89, 2011 Table 3. Results of the generalized linear models analyzing the germination of six species germinated in five different experiments, which were compared stepwise. Botany Downloaded from www.nrcresearchpress.com by King's College London - CHAN Journals on 05/13/11 For personal use only. Experiments compared Filter optimal and indoor low, experiments 1 and 2 Indoor low and outdoor protected, experiments 2 and 3 Outdoor protected and outdoor moss, experiments 3 and 4 Outdoor moss and outdoor gravel, experiments 4 and 5 Environmental factor added Colder temperature and different substrate Colder temperatures and wind Different substrate, moisture, and predation Different substrate and decrease in moisture n replicates 10 t or z value –7.90* p <0.001 15.70 6.81 11.24 16.25 6.32 3.43* 5.59 0.75 <0.001 <0.001 0.001 0.480 6 10 10.16 6.24 5.29 –4.50* 0.002 <0.001 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 — 7.30 19.35 17.69 — –5.36* –3.64 –5.01 — <0.001 0.007 0.001 500 550 10 15 8 13 13.78 17.62 –5.04 7.51 0.001 <0.001 550 550 550 550 15 15 15 15 13 13 13 13 — 17.22 53.08 15.02 — –8.37 –4.00 6.71 — <0.001 0.033 <0.001 550 600 15 20 13 18 32.30 29.85 –0.09 0.20 0.93 0.847 600 600 600 20 20 20 18 18 18 — 21.75 88.02 — 0.29 2.86 — 0.777 0.010 600 600 20 20 18 18 25.12 67.39 0.39 0.16 0.702 0.869 Species Bistorta vivipara n total 500 Dryas octopetala Oxyria digyna Salix polaris Saxifraga oppositifolia Silene acaulis Bistorta vivipara 400 400 400 400 8 8 8 8 6 6 6 6 400 600 8 12 Dryas octopetala Oxyria digyna Salix polaris Saxifraga oppositifolia Silene acaulis Bistorta vivipara 500 500 500 500 Dryas octopetala Oxyria digyna Salix polaris Saxifraga oppositifolia Silene acaulis Bistorta vivipara Dryas octopetala Oxyria digyna Salix polaris Saxifraga oppositifolia Silene acaulis df 8 Residual deviance 5.06 Note: Assumed main limited environmental factors influencing germination at each step are shown. *Binomial and z values are given, otherwise quasibinomial distribution and t values are given. S. oppositifolia, and Salix polaris seeds. The smallest reduction (6%, not significant) was found in S. oppositifolia and the largest was found in D. octopetala (51.7%, Table 3; Fig. 2). The only species that grew better in the colder treatment was B. vivipara. When germinating the seeds in protected outdoor conditions (experiment 3), the colder temperature and harsher environment reduced germination compared with the indoor experiment at a low temperature (experiment 2) by 18.5% (B. vivipara) to 34% (S. oppositifolia, experiment 3, Fig. 2 and Table 3). Germination was prevented in D. octopetala. Bistorta vivipara bulbils, however, still grew better than on filter paper at 18 °C (experiment 1, Fig. 2). During experiment 3, a high percentage of seedlings of three species died (O. digyna, 55%; Salix polaris, 97%; and Silene acaulis, 41%, not shown in Table 1 or Fig. 2), whereas no seedling mortality was observed for B. vivipara and S. oppositifolia. Comparing only the seedlings that survived (O. digyna, 25.2%; Salix polaris, 0.4%; Silene acaulis, 19.2%; B. vivipara and S. oppositifolia, see Table 1) in the protected outdoor experiment (experiment 3) with those counted in the outdoor experiment on moss substrate on the moraine (experiment 4, Table 1), the responses to the different conditions were species specific. The numbers of seedlings of B. vivipara, O. digyna, and S. oppositifolia on the moss plot were 22%–29% lower compared with those in protected outdoor conditions. Germination of Salix polaris was 20% higher on moss plots than in the protected outdoor experiment (Table 3), and additionally, some D. octopetala seedlings germinated on the moss plots (Table 1). In the last experimental step (outdoor moss to outdoor gravel), reduction of germination was small (below 0.1%) and not significant for any species, except Salix polaris, which germinated to 20% less in gravel than in moss plots (Table 3, Fig. 2). Published by NRC Research Press Müller et al. 345 30 25 20 15 10 5 Germination Outdoor moss/ moist meadow (%) data our study data from Bell and Bliss (1980) 0 Botany Downloaded from www.nrcresearchpress.com by King's College London - CHAN Journals on 05/13/11 For personal use only. Fig. 3. Germination percentages of nine species from our study that germinated outdoor on a moss-covered moraine plotted against germination of the same species under perceived optimal conditions indoors at 18 °C on moist filter paper. Additional data from Bell and Bliss (1980) is for seven species that germinated on a moist meadow and are plotted against the same species germinated indoors on filter paper. Adjusted R2 = 0.19, p = 0.049, df = 14. 0 20 40 60 80 100 Germination on filterpaper (%) When comparing germination under stepwise more realistic conditions with perceived optimal conditions (B. vivipara excluded), germination was reduced by 36%–64% under protected outdoor conditions (experiment 3), 49%–91% in the outdoor moss plot, and 55%–91% lower in the gravel plots. The largest decrease was seen in O. digyna with 91% fewer seeds germinating from the best to harshest conditions. Only B. vivipara germinated better under indoor low temperature and outdoor protected conditions than at perceived optimal conditions (Fig. 3). Correlation between germination in field and optimal conditions For the species present in perceived optimal conditions (experiment 1) and in both field experiments (experiments 4 and 5), germination success in perceived optimal conditions was not correlated to seedling emergence in the field plots. Both rs values were rather small and p values were large (germination in optimal conditions and moss plot: rs = 0.43, p = 0.25; in optimal conditions and gravel plots: rs = 0.18, p = 0.64). The inclusion of data from the experiments by Bell and Bliss (1980) resulted in a weak positive correlation (Fig. 3). Discussion The generally high germination percentages obtained under perceived optimal conditions in our study indicate that viability of seeds from the middle arctic tundra zone (bioclimatic zone C) in Svalbard is higher than that reported in the only larger previous study (Eurola 1972). Our data suggest similar germinability in optimal conditions to that of Scandinavian alpine areas (Söyrinki 1939). However, with stepwise more realistic conditions, the proportions of germinating seeds were strongly reduced. In addition to a suboptimal (lower) germination temperature, other factors, such as wind, moisture limitations, predation, and soil properties, limited seed germination in natural conditions. Furthermore, germination in natural conditions was only weakly related to germination under perceived optimal conditions, suggesting that the effects of factors limiting germinability under extreme arctic field conditions are species specific. Germination has been underestimated in former studies The generally higher germination percentages found in our study compared with those obtained by Eurola (1972) may be due to the conditions during seed development or seed germination. Eurola (1972) germinated the seeds on soil at ambient temperatures with a mean temperature 3 °C lower than the one we used, and that may have influenced germination. However, most of our germination percentages were also higher than Eurola’s (1972) percentages of viable seeds, which he determined with a tetrazolium test. Thus, conditions during seed development might have been more favorable in our study than in Eurola’s (1972). Daily average temperatures above 0 °C were 11 d earlier in our study compared with those of Eurola (1972), which may have favored spring phenology. Arctic species respond to earlier advancement of spring (including earlier snowmelt) with rapid phenological advancements (Høye et al. 2007), which is an important factor for developing seeds (Chambers 1989; Cooper et al. 2011). In addition, the later date of seed collection and higher summer temperatures exposed developing seeds to a greater temperature sum in 2007 (629.4 K) than in 1969 (371.4 K), which is important for seed viability and level of maturity (Wookey et al. 1995). Thus, we assume that the higher temperature sum during the ripening process of the collected seeds is the most important factor explaining the higher germination in our study compared with that of Eurola (1972). This also emphasizes the importance of collecting seeds when they are completely ripe. Our study also showed higher germination percentages than several other studies in the Arctic. The seeds germinated by Bell and Bliss (1980) most likely experienced lower temperatures during development because they were collected in a polar desert. The comparatively small differences in C. tetragona by Bliss (1958) and D. octopetala by Hagen (2002) to our study were most likely caused by annual variability in germination percentages within species, which seems especially pronounced in thermophilic species (Welker et al. 1997; Wada 1999). High annual variability in germination within any tundra or alpine species has been largely attributed to date of snowmelt, timing of precipitation, ambient temperatures, and soil temperatures (Chambers 1989; Cooper et al. 2011). Thus, again we assume that a temperature difference during the development and ripening process of the seeds was the most important factor for the higher germination percentages observed in our study. Inappropriate stratification methods may account for the lack of germination in Papaver dahlianum, Pedicularis dasyantha, and Pedicularis hirsuta in our study. Papaver has morphophysiological dormancy, whereas Pedicularis has physiological dormancy (Baskin and Baskin 1998). All three species were observed germinating on both field plots (experiments 4 and 5) 1 year after sowing (Table 1), indicating Published by NRC Research Press 346 Botany Downloaded from www.nrcresearchpress.com by King's College London - CHAN Journals on 05/13/11 For personal use only. that dormancy in these species can be broken with two cold stratification periods and one warm stratification period. Stepwise reduction from perceived optimalization The reduction in germination percentages observed in five out of six species in the first three experimental steps was mainly an effect of decreasing temperatures, because moisture was kept optimal and there was no seed predation. The impact of temperature reduction on germination, however, differed among species. Thus, as with species from alpine and temperate zones (Trudgill et al. 2000), arctic species seem to have dissimilar temperature sensitivity. The lower numbers of seedlings of B. vivpara, O. digyna, and S. oppositifolia in both moss and gravel plots compared with controlled outdoor conditions suggest that the factors present in both field plots limited germination. As the temperature conditions were rather similar in all three plots, factors other than temperature were probably more important. Seed predation, as well as the redistribution of seeds due to abiotic processes, such as wind and rain, may reduce the number of seeds available for germination (Vander Wall et al. 2005). The germination of B. vivipara may have been reduced by predation, as nutrient-rich bulbils are popular food items for snow buntings (P. nivalis) (Green and Summers 1975; Dolman 1995). The small seeds of S. oppositifolia may have fallen into small cracks, landed in places that did not meet germination conditions, or been overlaid owing to soil movements or rain and thus entered the seed bank rather than germinating. The higher germination percentages recorded 1 year later in this species suggest that a substantial proportion of the seeds entered the seed bank only temporarily. It can be assumed that some of the large winged seeds of O. digyna were moved from the plots by strong winds. Salix polaris was the only species that had significant differences in germination in moss (experiment 4) compared with gravel plots (experiment 5). In addition, seedling numbers in the moss plot were much higher than in the protected outdoor experiment (experiment 3), suggesting that for this species, moisture conditions may have been critical. Mossy substrates slow down the surface drying process (Bell and Bliss 1980), and for drought sensitive species, such as Salix (Densmore and Zasada 1983), the substrate in natural conditions, therefore, matters. Thus, reduced germination in the outdoor plots seems to be caused by different factors for different species. Correlation between field and optimal germination The low correlation between germination in the field and under perceived optimal conditions is counter intuitive, as one would expect that the species with the highest percentage of viable seeds would also germinate best in the field. However, as our stepwise design demonstrates, temperature sensitivity is species specific, and for some species additional factors, such as predation or lack of moisture, limit germination. Thus, there may not be any linear correlation between seed viability and germination under current natural conditions. As temperature probably was the most limiting factor for germination of four of the six species studied in detail here (Fig. 2), the expected increasing temperatures (Christensen et al. 2007) may result in a stronger correlation between seed viability and natural seedling occurrence. Nevertheless, elevated temperatures in a given habitat may not benefit all Botany, Vol. 89, 2011 species. As shown for S. oppositifolia by minor differences in germination between experiments 1 and 2 (Fig. 2), some species may even react contrarily in warmer conditions, e.g., B. vivipara (experiment 1, Fig. 2) and Ranunculus glacialis L. (Totland and Alatalo 2002). Also, in a warmer climate, competition may limit recruitment in some species (Totland 1999). Thus, caution should be taken when evaluating speciesrecruitment potential based on laboratory studies. Conclusion The higher proportion of species germinating and the higher germination percentages observed in our study compared with those of earlier studies suggest that climate change already has increased seed viability of arctic plants. Thus, most of the arctic species have the ability to reshuffle their genes and adapt to changing habitats. However, germination in the field is still strongly limited by both temperature and other factors. Thus, sexual reproduction is lower in the Arctic than in other areas. With an even warmer climate, this may change, but the changes are expected to be species specific, because different factors limit recruitment in different species. 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