Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 156 (2015) 61e70 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ecss Low-salinity plume detachment under non-uniform summer wind off the Changjiang Estuary Jianzhong Ge a, *, Pingxing Ding a, Changsheng Chen b a b The State Key Laboratory of Estuarine and Coastal Research, East China Normal University, Shanghai, 200062, PR China School for Marine Science and Technology, University of Massachusetts-Dartmouth, New Bedford, MA 02744, United States a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history: Accepted 21 October 2014 Available online 31 October 2014 In the past, two physical mechanisms, baroclinic instability (BI) and strong asymmetric tidal mixing (SATM) during the spring tidal period, were proposed for the offshore detachment of the low-salinity plume over the inner shelf of the East China Sea (ECS). These two mechanisms were re-examined using both observations and a fully three-dimensional (3-D), high-resolution, unstructured-grid, freesurface, primitive-equation, Finite-Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM). The observed currents and salinities showed that the plume was characterized by a two-layer system, in which the upper layer is mainly driven by the river discharge-induced buoyancy flow and the lower layer is predominantly controlled by tidal mixing and rectification. The SATM mechanism was based on the model run without calibration against observed currents and salinity around the plume region, so that it should be applied with caution to a realistic condition observed on the inner shelf of the ECS. The BI mechanism was derived under a condition without consideration of tidal mixing. Although BI could still occur along the frontal zone when tides were included, it was unable to produce a single, large, detached low-salinity lens observed on the inner shelf of the ECS. The process-oriented model experiment results suggest that for a given river discharge and realistic tidal flow, the spatially non-uniform southwesterly surface wind during the southeast monsoon-dominant summer could increase frontal spatial variability and thus produce a significant offshore detachment of low-salinity water on the inner shelf of East China Sea. © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: plume detachment non-uniform wind Ekman transport Changjiang Estuary 1. Introduction The low-salinity plume is a common coastal and oceanic physical phenomenon in river-dominated estuaries such as the Amazon River (Lentz, 1995), the Chesapeake Bay (Lentz, 2004; Lentz and Largier, 2006), the Connecticut River mouth (O'Donnell, 1990), the southeast U.S. continental shelf (Kourafalou et al., 1996a; 1996b, Chen et al., 1999, 2000), the Columbia River (Hickey et al., 1998) and the Changjiang River (CR) (Beardsley et al., 1985; Chen et al., 2008; Xue et al., 2009). The CR, one of largest rivers in the world, has a typical freshwater discharge of ~40000 m3/s during summer (wet season) and ~10000 m3/s during winter (dry season) (Beardsley et al., 1985). The Changjiang Estuary (CE) is characterized by shallow shoals, islands and multiple outlet channels in the river mouth, and submarine canyons in the outer estuary, with dikes and groins in the river mouth region (Fig. 1). The abundant freshwater * Corresponding author. E-mail addresses: [email protected] (J. Ge), [email protected] (P. Ding), [email protected] (C. Chen). http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2014.10.012 0272-7714/© 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. discharge from the CR produces a strong low-salinity plume around the Changjiang Estuary and adjacent inner shelf of the East China Sea (ECS), which is a permanent local physical dynamic phenomenon (Mao et al., 1963; Beardsley et al., 1985; Su and Wang, 1989; Chen et al., 1999). The intensity and structure of this plume vary significantly with season: weak and generally trapped along the coast during the dry season but stronger and more unstable during the wet season. During the wet season, an isolated low-salinity lens often occurs as a result of the detachment process along the frontal zone, which directly affects the local and regional ecosystem and sediment transport on the inner shelf of the ECS (Tian et al., 1993a, 1993b; Chen et al., 1999, 2003a; Gao et al., 2008, 2009). Several studies have been conducted to examine the physical mechanisms driving the offshore detachment of low-salinity water from the Changjiang River plume (Chen et al., 2008; Moon et al., 2010; Wu et al., 2011, Xuan et al., 2012). Chen et al., (2008) developed a high-resolution, unstructured-grid, finite-volume, coastal ocean model for the ECS (hereafter referred to as ECS-FVCOM) and applied it to explore the frontal variability of the Changjiang River plume. Their results show that baroclinic instability of the plume could lead to the offshore detachment of the low-salinity water 62 J. Ge et al. / Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 156 (2015) 61e70 Fig. 1. Bathymetry and observation stations around the Changjiang Estuary. The red filled circles denote the mooring stations where current, salinity and temperature were measured, and black triangles show the wind observation sites A (Shengshan Island), B (Sheshan Island) and C (Dajishan Island). (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.) along the frontal zone and form an isolated low-salinity lens on the inner shelf of the ECS. This instability could be enhanced under the southwesterly monsoon wind condition, which could produce a large, isolated low-salinity lens and advect it to the offshore ECS region. The studies by Chen et al., (2008) were carried out under a condition without inclusion of astronomical tides. The tides are dominant features in the Changjiang Estuary, where the typical amplitude of tidal currents is about 0.6e1.0 m/s. In the shallow region (less than 20 m), the water is usually vertically well mixed. Is the finding reported by Chen et al., (2008) still valid when tidal currents and mixing are taken into consideration? To our knowledge, this question has not been explored since their work. Alternative studies were reported by Rong and Li (2012) and Moon et al., (2010) using a coarse-resolution structured-grid ocean model with a focus on the contribution of tidal mixing on the offshore detachment of the low-salinity water from the Changjiang River plume. Although this coarse-resolution model did not resolve the baroclinic instability process, the simulation results suggested that tidally induced vertical mixing via dissipation around the plume was strong enough to overcome the buoyancy effect during the spring tide, which could lead to the offshore detachment of the low-salinity water along the frontal zone. Rong and Li (2012) used the same model as Moon et al., (2010), and the configurations in both their experiments were very similar in horizontal resolution and tidal forcing. In Table 2 of Rong and Li (2012), the modelproduced tidal currents were compared with observations, and the model overestimated the magnitude of tidal currents by 17%, 47% and 60% at MS, SDS, and M2 stations, respectively. Since the SATM mechanism was based on enhanced tidal current and mixing during the spring tide, whether or not it could be applied to the realistic condition off the Changjiang Estuary needs a further validation via observed tidal currents and salinity within the plume frontal zone. The environmental condition of the Changjiang Estuary has been significantly changed in recent years. This estuary has been strongly impacted by multiple stressors, including the Three Gorges Dam in the upstream Changjiang River (Yang et al., 2007, 2011), the Deep Waterway project in the North Passage (Ge et al., 2012) and coastal land reclamations in Hengsha Shoal and East Nanhui Shoal (Wei et al., 2014). These anthropogenic activities have resulted in fast changing estuarine dynamics. Due to the regulation of the Three Gorges Dam and water withdrawal along the Changjiang River, the net freshwater input to the estuary has decreased in the last decade (Yang et al., 2011). We have collected daily river discharge data from January 2000 to June 2014 at Datong Station, which is the nearest hydrology station to the Changjiang River Estuary, and statistics of this time series data show that the maximum value during the summer peak period could still reach J. Ge et al. / Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 156 (2015) 61e70 66,000 m3/s. However, the river discharge reached 60,000 m3/s for a total of only 45 days over 14 years. Although the river discharge remained above 55,000 m3/s 35 days in 2010, it was only 3e10 days in each of the other 6 years. The studies by Chen et al., (2008) and Moon et al., (2010) were based on the historically averaged maximum river discharge rate of 60,000 m3/s in the summer over a 30e60 day simulation period. It is clear that this assumption does not apply to the current conditions of the Changjiang Estuary. It is unclear whether or not previously proposed physical mechanisms for the offshore detachment of the low-salinity water from the Changjiang River plume are still valid under the current environmental condition. In particular, would baroclinic instability theory still be applicable to the Changjiang River plume after considering the contribution of tidal mixing? How would the constant versus variable winds contribute to the offshore lowsalinity detachment under the condition with tides? To our knowledge, these questions have not yet been well examined. In this paper, we attempt to examine the above questions based on both observations and modeling. We have developed a regionalestuarine nested high-resolution FVCOM model and used it to simulate the Changjiang Estuary plume under a realistic condition and boundary condition. Unlike previous process-oriented mechanism modeling experiments, the mechanism-oriented numerical experiments were conducted after a careful validation with the field measurement data. The results obtained from our studies not only avoid an unrealistic condition of tidal currents and mixing but also provide a more comprehensive view of the baroclinic instability process under the realistic tidal-inclusive condition. The rest of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, a brief description of the observations and model is given. In Section 3, observed salinity structure and currents are reported, followed by model-data comparisons of salinity and its variability for the realtime simulation. In Section 4, the model-guided process-oriented experiments are carried out to determine the effects of tidal mixing, uniform and non-uniform winds on the offshore detachment of the low-salinity water from the Changjiang River plume on the inner shelf of the ECS. The conclusions are summarized in Section 5. 2. Field measurements and design of model experiments An interdisciplinary cruise was conducted in the CE and the inner shelf of the ECS during July 6e15, 2005. The survey area covered the 10e50-m isobaths region of the Changjiang Estuary, Hangzhou Bay and Zhoushan Archipelago where the river plume was located (Kong et al., 2007). Twelve moorings (red circles in Fig. 1) were deployed, with labels JS1, JS2, SH1, SH2, SH3, SH4 and SH5 in the CE, ZJ1 and ZJ2 in the Hangzhou Bay, ZJ4, ZJ5 and ZJ6 around the Zhoushan Archipelago. The measurement durations at individual mooring stations are listed in Table 1. Currents, salinity, temperature, and turbidity were measured at each mooring. The SonTek-ADP®-500 KHz (Acoustic Doppler Profiler, SonTek/YSI, Inc.) was used for current measurements, with a cell size of 1.0 m and a sensor depth of about 1.0 m below the sea surface. Time interval was 120 s. An OBS-3A (Optical Backscatter Sensor, D&A Instrument Company) was used to measure the water turbidity (NTU), temperature ( C) and salinity (psu). Three additional meteorological stations (black triangles in Fig. 1) were also set up at Shengshan Island (A), Sheshan Island (B) and Dajishan Island (C) to record hourly wind speed and direction at a 10-m height over the time period of July 1e31, 2005. A high-resolution, regional-estuarine nested FVCOM model was employed to simulate the Changjiang River plume and to examine the driving mechanism of the offshore detachment of the lowsalinity water. FVCOM is a prognostic, unstructured-grid, free-surface, three-dimensional (3-D), primitive-equation ocean model 63 Table 1 Time coverage of mooring stations during the spring tidal cycle and neap tidal cycle. Six survey vessels took shifts during the spring tide cycle, and three vessels were arranged during the neap tidal cycle. Spring tide 09:00 Jul 6e11:00 Jul 7 JS1 JS2 SH1 SH2 SH3 SH4 SH5 ZJ1 ZJ2 ZJ4 ZJ5 ZJ6 Neap tide 17:00 Jul 7e19:00 Jul 8 09:00 Jul 12e11:00 Jul 13 C C C C 17:00 Jul 13e19:00 Jul 14 C C C C C C C C C C C C C C (Chen et al., 2003b, 2004, 2006, 2013). FVCOM combines the advantages of the finite-element method for geometric flexibility and of the finite-difference method for high computational efficiency. The finite-volume approach ensures volume and mass conservation in the individual control volume and entire computational domain, which is critical to simulate the river plume on the inner shelf of the ECS. The regional-estuarine nested FVCOM system used in this study consisted of two models: ECS-FVCOM and CE-FVCOM. The computational domain of the regional ocean model ECS-FVCOM, developed originally by Chen et al., (2008), covered the entire ECS, Yellow and Bohai Seas, and the Japan/East Sea. The computational domain of the high-resolution estuarine model CE-FVCOM, developed originally by Xue et al., (2009), covered the Changjiang River, Hangzhou Bay, Zhoushan Archipelago and the inner shelf of the East China Sea (Fig. 2b). The large East China Sea model was run first to provide the forcing condition at the nesting boundary with the small-domain model. In addition to the nesting boundary condition, the fine-resolution Changjiang Estuary model was also driven by river discharges and surface wind forcing. This model was driven by the river discharge at the upstream end of the Changjiang and Qiantangjiang Rivers, surface meteorological forcing, and lateral boundary forcing on the nested boundary provided by ECSFVCOM. The river discharge rate for the Changjiang River was based on the daily measurement records, with a mean value of 39,913 m3/ s and a standard deviation of 2745 m3/s over the period of June 15 July 30, 2005. For the Qiantangjiang River, a constant summer climatological river flux of 1000 m3/s was used. ECS-FVCOM included eight major astronomical tidal constituents (M2, S2, K2, N2, K1, O1, P1 and Q1) and continental shelf currents such as the Taiwan Warm Current, the Yellow Sea Warm Currents, the Kuroshio, etc. Two improvements have been made to ECS-FVCOM in this study. First, we increased the horizontal resolution in both ECSFVCOM and CE-FVCOM off the Changjiang Estuary (Ge et al., 2013), with a grid size as fine as 250 m in the inner shelf of the ECS for CE-FVCOM (Figs. 2-c). Second, we included the dike-groyne module in CE-FVCOM to resolve the realistic bathymetry and construction off the Changjiang River mouth (Ge et al., 2012, 2013). The numerical simulation was conducted over the period of June 15eJuly 30, 2005, for different cases with and without inclusion of tides and winds. For the experiments with winds, we considered both constant and variable wind conditions. The non-uniform wind forcing was provided by the high-resolution Weather Research & 64 J. Ge et al. / Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 156 (2015) 61e70 Fig. 2. Unstructured model grid nested in the East China Sea model (panel a). The blue grids in panel b indicate the nesting boundary. The enlarged view of the river mouth grids is shown in lower panel c. (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.) Forecast (WRF) model that was validated via measurements at three meteorological stations (Ge et al., 2013). 3. Observed salinity structure and model-data comparisons 3.1. Tidal elevations and currents Observed tidal current ellipses at observation stations SH4, JS1 and JS2 over the spring tidal cycle had major axes ranging from 0.6 to 1.0 m/s and a direction of 120 e140 (Table 2), indicating that the inner shelf of the ECS featured a moderate tide. This observed tidal current value was smaller than the simulated value shown in Rong and Li (2012), suggesting that the spring-tide mixing mechanism for the offshore detachment of the low-salinity lens proposed by Rong and Li (2012) and Moon et al., (2010) might not be applicable for the realistic condition of the Changjiang River plume. Table 2 Observed tidal ellipse parameters over the spring tide cycle at mooring stations. Station Major axis (m/s) Minor axis (m/s) Direction ( ) JS1 JS2 SH2 SH4 SH5 ZJ1 ZJ2 ZJ4 ZJ5 ZJ6 0.8 0.6 0.98 0.57 1.17 1.47 1.11 0.48 0.74 0.4 0.45 0.37 0.52 0.28 0.13 0.17 0.12 0.24 0.38 0.31 140 143 96 146 83 104 113 156 131 120 3.2. Vertical distributions of salinity and velocity Defining six relative depths: surface (0.0H), 0.2H, 0.4H, middle layer (0.6H), 0.8H and bottom (1.0H), in which H denotes the total water depth, we examined the vertical distribution of currents and salinity relative to the total local water depth. For example, the temporal variability of vertical profiles of salinity and velocity at stations SH2, SH3 and SH4 over the spring tidal cycle is shown in Fig. 3. At the shallow site SH2, the water was vertically well mixed. The salinity at this site varied with tidal excursion scale, with a range of 10 psu over an ebb-flood tidal cycle. At the relatively deeper sites SH3 and SH4 where the plume was located, the salinity and velocity profiles featured a two-layer structure: the lowsalinity water floating in the upper 5e10-m layer, and salty water in the lower layer from the middle depth to the bottom. This observational evidence clearly suggested that the Changjiang River plume, particularly in the frontal zone, was characterized by a twolayer dynamics system described by Chen et al., (2008), and tidal mixing over the spring tidal cycle was not strong enough to break down this feature. 3.3. Wind speeds and directions The wind velocity at the three meteorological stations located in Fig. 1 varied strongly both temporally and spatially during July of 2005 (Fig. 4). The wind direction was mainly northward as a result of the prevailing summertime monsoon. The wind was relatively weaker, with a speed of ~5e8 m/s during the period of July 4e15 and then became much stronger, with a speed reaching 10e12 m/s during the period of July 16-28. The WRF-simulated wind speed and direction was compared with these observations. The results of J. Ge et al. / Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 156 (2015) 61e70 SH2 SH3 0 Depth (m) 20 25 -8 Depth (m) 15 25 SH4 0 30 20 -6 25 -4 20 20 Depth (m) 0 -2 65 -16 20 25 30 -10 -20 -30 6 6.5 7 Time (day) 7.5 7.6 8 Time (day) 6.5 Salinity (psu) 7 7.5 Time (day) depth inner she lf slope 15 20 25 30 35 offshore Fig. 3. Variation of salinity processes at SH2, SH3 and SH4 from shallow to deep region off the Changjiang Estuary during the spring tidal cycle. a detailed comparison were described and discussed in Ge et al. (2013). The RMS error was 2.1 m/s for the wind speed and 23 for the wind direction. Without data assimilation, the local WRF model was capable of reasonably reproducing the spatial and temporal variability of the wind field off the CE over the simulation period. 3.4. CE-FVCOM validation The CE-FVCOM was validated by comparisons with observed surface tidal elevation, (tidal and subtidal) currents, and salinity. The comparisons for tidal elevation were made at 32 gauge stations along the coasts of CE, Hangzhou Bay and the offshore islands, and results for the M2 tidal constituent are listed in Table 3. For the M2 tidal constituent, the mean error was less than 10% in amplitude and less than 10 in phase. Comparisons for tidal constituents S2, K1 and O1 were also performed, and the results were in equally reasonable agreement. The CE-FVCOM was also capable of simulating the vertical distribution and temporal variability of observed current and salinity. A model-data comparison for the water velocity (speed and direction) in the CE and inner shelf of the ECS was conducted and described in Ge et al., (2013). At SH1, SH2, and SH5, for example, the maximum velocity during the ebb tidal period was >2.0 m/s in the upper surface layer. A pronounced velocity shear was revealed between the upper and lower layers. The shear was mainly dominated by the combined tidal and riverdischarge flows from the CR. There was a relatively weaker velocity shear within the lower layer from the mid-depth to the bottom. In this layer, observed and modeled velocities were consistent, and both were dominated by the tidal flow. The model-data comparison results for salinity at measurement stations were illustrated in Fig. 11 of Ge et al., (2013), which showed that the CE-FVCOM correctly reproduced the salinity variation over tidal cycles. An example was shown in Fig. 5 for the comparison of observed and modeled tidal-cycle averaged vertical salinity profiles. The model agreed fairly well with observations. At both stations SH1 and SH3, observed salinity showed a strong vertical stratification: the lowsalinity water prevailed in the upper layer and the salty water in the lower layer. This two-layer feature was well captured by the model. The model also reproduced the well-mixed vertical profiles and horizontal variation of the salinity at the shallow stations SH2 and SH5. 4. Model-guided process experiments Fig. 4. Variation of wind vectors during July 2005 at three meteorological stations, Shengshan, Sheshan and Dajishan Islands off the Changjiang Estuary. Building on the success of the model validation, we applied this high-resolution CE-FVCOM to the examination of the physical mechanism for the offshore detachment of the low-salinity water from the Changjiang River plume under a realistic condition of July 2005 in the CE and inner shelf of the ECS. During this period, the model detected two major surface detachment events: one on July 7 and the other on July 26 (Fig. 6). The first detachment event occurred around the eastern region of the CE (left column of Fig. 6), and the second took place in the northeastern region (right column of Fig. 6). These two detachment events can be viewed more clearly in the vertical section plots along the main axis of the low-salinity detachment in Fig. 6. The salinity was characterized by a pronounced two-layer system, especially offshore of the 20-m isobath. The vertically well-mixed low salinity was mainly constrained around the 10-m isobath. At 16:00 (GMTþ8), July 7, 2005, the water mass bounded by a 30-psu contour detached as a continuous bubble shape from the frontal zone of the plume. The detached water mass gradually decreased in size over the ebb tide due to tidal mixing and wind stirring over the time period from ebb tide maximum to flood tide maximum. This detachment occurred around the 50-m isobath 66 J. Ge et al. / Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 156 (2015) 61e70 Table 3 Model validation of amplitude and phase of the M2 tidal constituent at 32 gauge stations in the Changjiang Estuary, Hangzhou Bay and adjacent coastal regions (H (cm) is M2 tidal amplitude and G ( ) is M2 tidal phase). Station Wangpan Liangque Haiwang Daishan Changtu Ganpu Zhapu Jinshan Longshan Luhuashan Daji Gaoqiao Shenjiamen Dinghai Zhenhai Yuxinnao Tangnaoshan Haiyan Tanhu Nanhui Waikejiao Lusi Baozhen Sheshan Wusong Hengsha Zhongjun Jiuduan Luchaogang Xize Shipu Dachen M2 (model) Location M2 (obs) M2 (error) Longitude ( E) Latitude ( N) H (cm) G ( ) H (cm) G ( ) (Hmod-Hobs)/Hobs G ( ) 121.2927 121.6308 121.5003 122.1985 122.3011 120.9096 121.0899 121.3736 121.5829 122.5994 122.1656 121.5906 122.3006 122.0993 121.7169 121.8633 121.9711 120.9524 121.6131 121.8475 121.6235 121.6109 121.5865 122.2256 121.5058 121.8502 121.9057 122.1692 121.8267 121.8283 121.9107 121.8816 30.5053 30.2732 30.2131 30.2327 30.2502 30.3584 30.5905 30.7288 30.0844 30.8163 30.8099 31.3668 29.4581 30.0008 29.9882 30.3530 30.5855 30.4969 30.6216 30.8680 33.0006 32.1161 31.5173 31.3972 31.3989 31.2740 31.0948 31.0986 30.8269 29.6114 29.1940 28.4253 165.1 107.4 108.5 94.7 94.2 218.3 193.0 160.4 90.8 111.7 121.2 106.1 117.0 90.2 79.8 107.3 118.8 208.8 138.1 138.5 168.9 181.5 112.9 122.5 104.3 116.7 123.7 127.0 139.8 119.0 151.5 148.5 11.4 346.3 356.4 296.8 294.6 36.5 12.7 359.4 343.1 292.0 311.7 9.9 247.9 283.8 329.8 330.8 325.4 19.2 350.6 333.7 339.1 349.1 16.5 317.5 18.2 343.7 330.2 313.9 333.3 268.7 245.0 244.7 171.8 104.5 111.4 91.7 97.0 254.1 204.2 171.1 91.6 121.3 125.2 110.0 114.6 93.8 80.0 107.0 117.6 212.0 144.6 145.6 183.1 171.5 114.4 113.7 100.1 108.6 117.2 122.8 144.9 121.0 146.1 158.6 12.1 347.2 356.0 298.1 289.4 47.2 28.4 8.9 357.1 287.1 320.7 13.0 267.0 285.6 324.5 328.0 324.5 25.9 350.1 327.0 335.0 352.5 10.4 311.5 13.2 343.3 / 312.4 335.3 264.2 253.2 247.8 4 3 3 3 3 14 6 6 1 8 3 4 2 4 0 0 1 2 4 5 8 6 1 8 4 8 5 3 4 2 4 6 1 1 0 1 5 11 16 10 14 5 9 3 19 2 5 3 1 7 0 7 4 3 6 6 5 0 / 1 2 5 8 3 where the main frontal zone of the plume was located. A narrow neck of low-salinity water linking the detached water and the main low-salinity plume was severed due to tidal mixing and the windinduced water transport. Around 123 E and 31.5 N, the salinity distribution around the 50-m isobaths featured an unstable frontal zone, where a eastward detachment occurred. The model- Surface produced detached salinity distribution in this region agreed well with previous salinity measurement results during summer (Zhu et al., 2003). At 21:00 (GMTþ8), July 26, 2005, the other bulge-shaped detachment event occurred off the 20-m isobath around the northeastern region (123 E, 32 N) off the CE (Fig. 6: right panel), SH1 SH2 SH3 SH1 SH2 SH5 Relative Depth 0.2H 0.4H 0.6H FVCOM 0.8H Observed Bottom Surface Relative Depth 0.2H 0.4H 0.6H 0.8H Bottom 15 20 25 30 Salinity(psu) 35 15 20 25 30 Salinity(psu) 35 15 20 25 30 Salinity(psu) 35 Fig. 5. Model-data comparisons for tidal-cycle-averaged salinity profiles at SH1, SH2 and SH3 during the spring tidal cycle, and at SH1, SH2 and SH5 during the neap tidal cycle (red dotted curves are simulated; blue ones are observed). (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.) J. Ge et al. / Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 156 (2015) 61e70 67 Fig. 6. Distributions of surface salinity at two significant low-salinity water detachments on July 7 (left column) and July 26 (right column), 2005. The dashed black line shows the section along the main axis during the detachment. The vertical distributions of the salinity along the sections are plotted in the lower row. The white-dashed and white-solid lines indicate the 20-m and 50-m isobaths respectively. where a strong unstable salinity gradient was found near the 20-m isobath. The salinity of the detached water was relatively uniform, with relatively high-salinity water forming a northward intrusion from the tip of the 50-m isobath. The direction of the intrusion was identical with the flood tidal direction (~120 e140 ). The bubbles and bulge contours all showed a northwestern flattening along the flood tidal direction as a result of tidal mixing. To identify and quantify the physical driving mechanism for the offshore detachment of the low-salinity water from the Changjiang River plume detected in our real-time simulation, we re-ran the model for the cases with a) only river discharge (Case A), b) river discharge plus tides (Case B), c) river discharge, tides and constant wind (Case C), and d) river discharge, tides and variable winds (Case D). Case D is the simulation case we have shown in Fig. 6. The constant wind in Case C is a July 2015 monthly mean value of hourly WRF-simulated wind velocity. Case A is an experiment repeated from Chen et al., (2008), but with reduced river discharges. The results clearly showed that under this forcing condition, the plume was characterized by the bulge shape along the 20-m isobath (Fig. 7, upper-left panel), which was very similar to the pattern detected in Chen et al.’s (2008) simulation. In contrast to Chen et al. 's (2008) experiments, the horizontal diffusion coefficient used in our experiment was 200 m2/s, about 10 times larger than the value used in their work, and the river discharge rate used in our experiment was 40,000 m3/ s, 20,000 m3/s smaller than that used in their work. Applying the baroclinic instability criterion to our case, we have. Eh ¼ Ah f ðg 0 Qe Þ 2=3 z0:11 < Ehc z0:34 0:57 where Eh is horizontal Ekman number, Ehc is the critical Ekman number for baroclinic instability, and Qe, Ah, g0 and f are river discharge per unit length, horizontal eddy viscosity, reduced gravity acceleration and Coriolis parameter, respectively (Chen et al., 2008). This value of Eh still satisfied the baroclinic instability criterion given above. This indicates that even for the case with reduced river discharge rate and larger horizontal diffusion coefficient, the plume produced in the river-discharge-only case was in a baroclinically unstable condition, even though no eddies were generated in this case. As horizontal diffusion coefficient diminishes, we saw eddies form along the frontal zone as a result of baroclinic instability. Our focus here is on examining the physical mechanism driving the offshore low-salinity detachment discovered in Case D, where the horizontal diffusion coefficient was specified by Smagorinsky's turbulence closure scheme. For this reason, we did not alter the horizontal diffusion coefficient to match that used in Chen et al., (2008). Based on the lateral mixing coefficient used in our case, the baroclinic instability seemed not to be a key physical mechanism in producing the large isolated offshore low-salinity detachment found in Case D. When tidal forcing was added in Case B, the bulge shape along the 20-m isobaths was significantly smoothed as a result of enhanced tidally induced vertical mixing, even though the plume still satisfied the baroclinic instability criterion (Fig. 7, lower left panel). Tidal mixing was mainly caused by the tidal current shear near the bottom, and the tidally induced mixed layer above the bottom agreed with the analytical solution derived by Chen and Beardsley (1995). Balanced by the buoyancy input and turbulent dissipation, the tidally induced mixing depth (hm) could be determined by. hm ¼ 16gdDTU 3 N2 p 1=3 where g is the bottom friction coefficient, usually taken as 0.0025; d is the efficiency of tidal kinetic energy dissipation over the given 68 J. Ge et al. / Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 156 (2015) 61e70 Fig. 7. Distributions of the surface salinity distributions during the first detachment process (2005-07-07 T16:00) around the eastern region of the Changjiang Estuary for the cases with a) only river discharge; b) river discharge plus tides; c) river discharge plus tides and a constant wind; and d) the real-time simulation with river discharge, tides, and variable and spatially non-uniform winds. time period DT, the typical value of which is suggested to be 3.7 103 by Simpson and Hunter (1974); DT is suggested to be ~14 days in the strong stratification case (Lee and Beardsley, 1999). U is the typical tidally averaged and vertically averaged current (with a typical value of ~0.5 m/s along the plume); N is the BrunteV€ ais€ al€ a frequency (with a typical value of 0.02 s1 for the strong stratification case in the plume frontal zone). The calculated mixing depth was ~22 m, which is identical to the isobath of the northern plume region shown in the lower left panel of Fig. 7. This suggests that the vertically well-mixed salinity patterns in the region shallower than ~22 m was caused by tidal mixing. The baroclinic instability was likely to occur in the deeper region of ~50 m, where the frontal structure was characterized by a two-layer dynamical system. It should be noted that the tidal mixing depth determined by Moon et al., (2010) using the same formula was 36 m, about 14 m higher than the value we found in our experiments. Since the initial condition of stratifications was different and the model forcing was not the same, it was not surprising to see such a difference between two models. Adding a constant monthly-averaged wind to Case B, we examined the impact of the wind on the plume variability for Case C. The southwesterly wind produced an offshore Ekman transport, which advected the plume offshore. The offshore frontal moving speed ufront satisfied the Ekman transport theory given as. ufront ¼ tw rfhc where tw, f, and hc are wind shear stress, Coriolis parameter and thickness of plume front, respectively (Fong and Geyer, 2001). The interaction of the uniform wind and non-uniform plume velocity tended to enhance the plume spatial variability, which was consistent with the finding reported by Chen et al., (2008). Under the conditions given in our experiment, however, no offshore lowsalinity detachment occurred in this case. The situation significantly changed when a variable wind was used in Case D. Given the same river discharge rate, tidal forcing and lateral mixing coefficient, the change of the speed and direction of the wind significantly enhanced the temporal and spatial variability of the plume. As a result, the low-salinity water in the northern plume area was detached offshore from the frontal zone. The detachment under this condition was relatively strong. A large body of the low-salinity water was detached as an isolated lens, similar to what has often been observed in that region. It is clear that the variable wind played a key role in enhancing the instability and spatial-temporal variability of the plume. Since the formation of the isolated low-salinity lens occurred under the wind forcing condition, the flow within the lens was not an eddy. The mechanism driving the offshore-detachment was very similar to the case detected by Chen (2000) on the South Atlantic Bight shelf where the isolated low-salinity lens was often observed under the upwelling-favorable wind condition. He found that the detachment process happened in two stages. First, the spatially non-uniform response of current to the upwelling-favorable wind enhances a wavelike frontal shape at the outer edge of the frontal zone. Then, the isolated low-salinity lenses formed at the crest, when water on the shoreward side of the crest was displaced by relatively highsalinity water advected from the upstream trough south of the crest and diffused upward from the deep region. In our case, we J. Ge et al. / Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 156 (2015) 61e70 69 Fig. 8. Distribution of upwelling-favorable, wind-induced Ekman volume transport (VEk ¼ t/f) along the 20-m-isobath (green line in left panel) during the first detachment period of July 7, 2005 (red lines in right panel) and second detachment period of July 26, 2005 (blue line in right panel). t is the surface wind stress and f is the local Coriolis parameter. (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.) found that the upwelling-favorable wind-induced Ekman transport advected the plume offshore, which caused the plume to become more baroclinically unstable. Variation of the wind enhanced the non-uniform response of current to the wind, and detachment occurred at the bulge-shaped (crest) region of the plume, which proceeded in two steps as described by Chen (2000). Unlike the constant wind case, the non-uniform wind caused the spatial-varying offshore movement speed of the plume, which directly enhanced the spatial variability of the plume as that found in the uniform wind condition. This can be clearly seen in Fig. 8, which shows that the offshore Ekman transport varied significantly along the frontal zone of the plume when the variable wind was used. During the first detachment period on July 7, 2005, the offshore Ekman transport was relatively larger around 30.5 N than in the surrounding area. During the second detachment period, the maximum offshore Ekman transport shifted to the northern region at around 31.5 N. In this event, the surface wind was much stronger than in the previous event. Non-uniform offshore Ekman transports observed in both events played a key role in enhancing the alongfrontal variability of the plume, and thus led to the offshore detachment of the low-salinity water from the plume. 5. Summary The temporal and spatial variability of the Changjiang River plume was examined using both field measurements and a regional-estuarine nested high-resolution model. The observations showed that due to anthropogenic activities, the Changjiang River discharge rate in summer has been significantly reduced. Both salinity and velocity measurements showed that the plume was characterized by a two-layer structure: the low-salinity water floating in the upper 5e10-m layer, and salty water occupying the lower layer from the middle depth to the bottom. The high-resolution ECS-FVCOM and CE-FVCOM nested model system was capable of simulating the vertical distribution and temporal variability of the observed current and salinity of the Changjiang River plume. The real-time simulation over the observed period revealed two significant offshore detachments of the low-salinity water from the plume. Process-oriented experiments suggest that the non-uniform distribution and variability of the wind played a key role in driving these two offshore detachment events. The spatially non-uniform wind field caused the spatially varying offshore movement speed of the plume. The large spatial variability of the plume caused by the non-uniform offshore Ekman transport increased the plume instability. Although tidal mixing tended to stabilize the frontal structure of the plume, the isolated low-salinity lenses could be formed at the bulge-shaped area of the plume when water on the shoreward side of the crest was displaced by relatively high-salinity water advected from the upstream trough south of the crest and diffused upward from the deep region. Our finding was consistent with previous theories suggested by Chen (2000) and Chen et al., (2008). The key difference is that our case was done with a larger horizontal diffusion coefficient and tidal mixing. Under this condition, we found that the spatially nonuniform wind could be more critical than the baroclinic instability in causing the offshore low-salinity detachment from the Changjiang River plume. In our experiments, we did not find the offshore detachment during the spring tidal period, which was suggested by Moon et al., (2010) and Rong and Li (2012). One reason is that the tidal currents have significantly changed since dikes and groynes were constructed off the Changjiang Estuary. Our measurements showed that the magnitude of the M2 tidal currents at the JS2 site was 0.6 m/s during the spring period of July 2005. This spring tidal current magnitude changed significantly with stratification. It dropped to 0.46 m/s in October 2005 and 0.53 m/s in May 2006 as stratification became weak. This site was very close to the M2 and M4 stations discussed in Rong and Li (2012), and the computed magnitude of regular tidal currents in their model was 0.68e0.8 m/ s, which is the same as or larger than the observed spring tidal current magnitudes. As a result of such environmental change, whether or not the SATM will still be applicable to the Changjiang Estuary plume needs further validation via comparisons. Acknowledgments Jianzhong Ge and Pingxing Ding are supported by the Fund from Natural Sciences Foundation of China (No. 41021064; No. 70 J. Ge et al. / Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 156 (2015) 61e70 41306080), Public Service Programme of State Ocean Administration (No. 201205017-2), China Science and Technology Support Programme (No. 2013BAB12B03-Z1) and the SKELC fund (No. SKLEC-2011RCDW03). The authors would like to express their appreciation to two anonymous reviewers, who provided very helpful suggestions to improve the manuscript. 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