Corruption in the Wealthy World Miriam A. Golden Professor University of California, Los Angeles Compared with third-world nations, the world’s wealthy democracies have it easy. Governance, while hardly a trivial process, is usually relatively unproblematic. Public officials can anticipate what it will take to enter office and when and in what matter they are likely to depart; when holding office, they have trained civil servants to do their bidding; and when legislation is approved, there is some reasonable expectation that implementation will follow in due course. Citizens, for their part, vote, sign petitions, protest, and publicly complain but, by and large, do not reject the basic principles of the political system. None of this works perfectly, automatically, or without any conflict, but on the whole, politics and law making in the wealthy democratic world are routinized and heavily predictable. All of this takes place, moreover, without elected officials stealing most of the country’s wealth from the public treasury and secretly shipping it abroad or spending most of their time in public office conspiring with other elites to gain additional privileges and income. Rent-seeking—a term used to describe any additional undeserved income that politicians may gain from holding public office above and beyond their official salaries—as well as political corruption are comparatively modest in wealthy democracies compared with the extent of elite plunder that afflicts some of the world’s poorest nations. However, even if it is less frequent and less politically or economically intrusive, political corruption still takes place in the world’s wealthiest countries. Elected officials disobey the laws they are entrusted to enforce, and they use public office for illegal personal gain. But should we care, and, if so, how much, and why? We may find political Miriam A. Golden is Professor of Political Science at the University of California, Los Angeles and for 2011–2012 Visiting Senior Research Scholar at Princeton University. Her areas of expertise include issues of political accountability and corruption in wealthy and less developed countries. Copyright © 2012 by the Brown Journal of World Affairs Spring/Summer 2012 t volume xviii, issue 11 75 Miriam A. Golden 76 corruption morally offensive. We may be surprised and disturbed when the press uncovers illegal dealings on the part of an elected official, and we may suspect that the problem goes deeper than what has been made public. We may worry that political corruption causes misallocations of economic resources and that it provides unfair political advantages to those who participate in corrupt activities. But does political corruption impinge on governance? Does it affect the basic operation of democratic political institutions in the world’s wealthiest nations? My answer is that it does not. In stable wealthy democracies, the effects of political corruption on governance are modest at best. What corruption does occur is usually part of an attempt by an elected official to retain his or her office rather than an attempt to amass personal financial wealth. Perhaps as a result, voters typically reelect public officials charged with or even convicted of corruption, abuse of office, or accepting illegal kickbacks in exchange for government contracts. If the average voter appears not to mind corruption and continues to endorse democratic institutions (and even the very officials whose actions may have violated the legal order), then it is hard to argue that corruption is consequential. If most voters do not care, then why should we? The political corruption that transpires in wealthy democracies is different from what takes place in third-world nations. The latter is characterized by more frequent and often quite routine illegal actions on the part of public officials. These actions are typically aimed at attempts to increase one’s salary or amass a personal fortune. They interact with government regulations to impede economic growth and to reinforce existing political and economic inequities. Citizens often have little recourse when confronting requests for bribes by public officials since elections are often not fully competitive or contested. It may be impossible to “throw the rascals out,” as the saying goes. Just how frequent is political corruption in different countries? Because the activities that we are interested in by definition involve illegal behavior, the persons involved try to hide them. It is therefore difficult to determine with precision the levels of corruption in various nations. We can use data available from Transparency International to get a rough idea. The data presented in Figure 1 shows Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) in relation to current per capita GDP for 168 of the world’s countries in 2010.1 The CPI is an index that is based on an aggregation of the results of surveys of experts, international business people, and regular citizens that ask how much corruption respondents believe exists. The relationship between perceived corruption and GDP is strong and negative, meaning that as countries become wealthier, the perception of corruption declines. The world’s wealthiest countries—those with the brown journal of world affairs Corruption in the Wealthy World per capita GDP of more than approximately $20,000—are dispersed across the lower values of the corruption index, whereas the world’s poorest nations are located in the top quarter of the index. The data clearly documents that wealthy countries suffer less from perceived corruption than poor ones. It accords with our intuition that corruption is more common in less developed countries than in their wealthy counterparts. 77 Data Source: GDP per capita, PPP (current international dollars) from World Bank; CPI from Transparency International How economic development drives down corruption is complex. Economic development expands the literate and politically informed portion of the population, which is more vigilant in monitoring politics and politicians and more sensitive to the appropriate use of fiscal resources. Nonetheless, we are all familiar with the occasional public scandal involving illegal behaviors by elected officials in Europe and the United States. In addition to the 2009 scandal that caught dozens of British Members of Parliament misusing public funds to pay for their own personal expenses, in 2011 Austria saw the exposure of networks of corruption between politicians and entrepreneurs, and French prime minister Nicolas Sarkozy was linked to arms sales to Pakistan that were said to have generated kickbacks to be used for political campaigns. In early 2012, the president of Germany was forced to resign over pending corruption charges involving financial improprieties, the first major scandal in that country since the 1999 revelations that Germany’s Christian Democratic Party had for many years been illegally receiving funds for political campaigns. Spring/Summer 2012 t volume xviii, issue 11 Miriam A. Golden Italy is an interesting case study in political corruption. Perhaps because Italy has experienced particularly high levels of political corruption over many decades, corruption there has been especially well documented and detailed. As a result, we have more good information and hard data about corruption in Italy than in any other country in the world. A series of political scandals involving high-level and very extensive corruption brought down almost all of the country’s political parties in the early 1990s, and these events were exhaustively dissected and scrutinized The “Clean Hands” investigations by journalists, academics, and public of the early 1990s exposed a investigators. Even today, revelations of political corruption in other European higher level of corruption in Italy countries usually invoke comparisons than in any other wealthy democ- with what came to be called the “Clean racy in the world at that time. Hands” investigations, which are used to benchmark the extremes exposed in Italy. Starting in Milan in early 1992, Italy’s public prosecutors uncovered evidence of chronic corruption, especially involving kickbacks in public works contracts. The judicial investigations that took place over the next two years ultimately implicated a third of the members of the country’s lower house of 78 representatives, six former prime ministers, and several thousand local politicians and civil servants. Ultimately, the Clean Hands investigations of the early 1990s exposed a higher level of corruption in Italy than in any other wealthy democracy in the world at that time. We learned from these judicial investigations that political corruption in one of the world’s wealthiest democracies had become widespread, entrenched, and systematic thanks to high-ranking politicians associated with multiple political parties who colluded and even conspired to cover it up. The judicial papers that were sent to Parliament to request that that body lift immunity for hundreds of its members in order to proceed with investigations repeatedly indicated preliminary evidence of collusive networks of political officials who arranged kickbacks in exchange for public works contracts and for a percentage of each kickback being passed up the party hierarchy to the national offices. Investigations revealed just how important these networks had become in allowing corruption to seep into almost all aspects of Italian political life. In electorally competitive environments, if public officials associated with one political party engage in political corruption, they risk being exposed and denounced by partisan rivals—unless they can induce officials associated with rival parties to engage in similar illegal activities. When, instead, multiple officials associated with all or the brown journal of world affairs Corruption in the Wealthy World most of a country’s political parties become mired in political corruption, those associated with each fail to denounce the others during electoral campaigns in fear of retaliation. In the case of Italy in the 1990s, all of the political parties— except the Italian Communist Party, which remained politically isolated and frozen out of the networks of national political power—were deeply implicated in taking kickbacks and other forms of abuse of office.2 The Italian events also illustrate not only how corruption begins and then penetrates a political system, but also the motives of those involved. In Italy, the initial impulse came from the small Italian Socialist Party (PSI), which aspired to inclusion in governing coalitions but, having more or less severed its ideological links with the Communist Party, could no longer rely on an ideologically loyal reservoir of activists and voters. Facing the loss of traditional grassroots militancy as well as the rising costs of political campaigns characteristic of a more modern society, in the 1980s PSI leaders began to rely on illegal kickbacks—especially kickbacks connected to public works construction—to fund their campaigns. That these new and more instrumentally oriented party leaders themselves came from modest backgrounds also contributed to their propensity to use ill-gotten gains; without family financial resources to fund their campaigns, they moved to fundraising illegally.3 Political corruption thus entered the Italian political system when a startup party confronted a longstanding monopolist (Italy’s dominant governing party, Christian Democracy) and urgently needed financial resources to make electoral headway. But why not fundraise using legitimate avenues? One reason is that campaign contributions in Italy are, as everywhere else in Europe, limited by law. Broadly speaking, campaign contributions in the United States are private, unlimited, and transparent—that is, funds are collected from private sources, they are virtually unlimited, and recipients are required by law to disclose the source of donations over a certain amount. In Europe and Latin America, by contrast, many campaign costs are covered by public sources and private campaign contributions are regulated, often by the imposition of ceilings on campaign expenditures. The goal of limiting expenditures is to prevent the excessive intrusion of money into politics and to level the playing field across parties. But this can backfire. If the limits are unrealistic, as is perhaps inevitably the case, rather than reducing campaign spending, legal limitations encourage candidates and parties to engage in illicit and illegal activities for campaign fundraising. Perhaps the shift in campaigning from television and radio to the Internet will drive down costs in the future, but for many decades the costs of political campaigning have grown as parties shifted from deploying loyal rank- Spring/Summer 2012 t volume xviii, issue 11 79 Miriam A. Golden 80 and-file activists in direct interactions with voters (e.g., door-to-door canvassing and neighborhood rallies) to advertising through mass media. Regulations regarding campaign expenditures in this increasingly expensive market have inevitably been too restrictive, and one inadvertent byproduct has thus been to encourage political corruption. If the only way to spend enough money to win an election is to spend more than is legally permitted, winners are almost by definition engaging in illegal and corrupt activities. Thus, prohibitive campaign spending regulations may criminalize the inevitable costs of competitive democratic politics. The example of Italy suggests the possibility that restrictive legal environments in wealthy countries create incentives for using illegal activities to fundraise.4 It is therefore not surprising that most revelations of political corruption in Europe in the last thirty or more years involve diverting funds to political campaigns. That does not mean that politicians never embezzle for personal gain, of course. In wealthy countries, politicians are usually paid adequate salaries. Even so, incumbents may line their own pockets or in other ways inappropriately and illegally benefit from office, especially if they feel a little too secure in their jobs.5 The 2009 parliamentary expense scandals in the United Kingdom, like the 1992 House banking scandal in the United States, revealed extensive (and in the British case, illegal) misuse of legislative prerogatives for personal monetary benefit. Scandals that reveal illegal or privileged access to special prerogatives by elected officials degrade politics, humiliate the individual politicians involved, and elicit widespread disgust with the political system. They often remain splashed across the front pages of the newspapers for weeks or months on end, and perhaps in consequence they elicit considerable public disapprobation. From what we know, however, instances of misuse of public office for personal gain are much less common than instances of misuse of public office in order to gain an electoral advantage.6 This type of corruption allows experienced politicians to raise campaign funds despite punitive and restrictive legislation regulating campaign expenditures. How do voters in wealthy democratic nations respond to corruption charges against elected officials? In the United States, multiple studies document that political candidates charged with wrongdoing experience some loss of their expected vote shares, but not enough to lose their seats; in consequence, voters by and large reelect politicians charged with wrongdoing.7 Research finds that Japanese and Spanish voters behave similarly.8 In Italy, voters had been dutifully reelecting politicians implicated by the judiciary in illegalities for 40 years prior to the Clean Hands investigations.9 In fact, the implosion of the Italian the brown journal of world affairs Corruption in the Wealthy World party system on the heels of the Clean Hands investigations is the only known historical instance in any democratic nation of the electoral repudiation by voters of an entire corrupt national political elite. There has been almost no systematic research since then that would allow us to know whether corruption has been permanently eradicated or whether instead it has reemerged in Italian political parties. Although there are, to the best of my knowledge, no studies of how voters respond to corruption charges in wealthy nations other than the United States, Italy, Spain, and Japan, the findings for these four countries are entirely—and surprisingly—consistent. Despite variations in the electoral systems and political institutions in these four nations, most politicians who are publicly exposed as engaged in illegal corrupt practices nonetheless gain reelection even when they are convicted of criminal wrongdoing (which occurs only rarely). This is the reverse of what we would expect. We expect voters in wealthy countries to hold public officials to exceptionally high standards of behavior and to penalize incumbents who undertake illegal activities by ejecting them from office. We expect them to use their democratic rights to “throw the rascals out.” Why do they not? There are a number of possible reasons, some of which might simultaneously be true. These include: 1. 2. 3. Some voters might not know their elected representative is suspected of wrongdoing. In line with this argument, various studies show that electoral penalties for malfeasance increase with press coverage, and that less-informed voters are more likely to vote for corrupt incumbents than more-informed members of the electorate.10 But lack of information is only one reason why voters systematically reelect corrupt incumbents, since we observe that this occurs even when voters have clear and relevant information. Some voters might condone corruption if it is associated with the delivery of material benefits in the form of pork and patronage. This might pertain in particular to pockets of poor voters in rich countries. However, it seems unlikely that political corruption in wealthy countries today necessarily carries with it much meaningful “pork” or patronage (except perhaps to those in the construction industry who are paying off politicians in exchange for public works contracts), especially since so much corruption seems linked to illegal fundraising. Some voters might condone corruption if it seems economically irrel- Spring/Summer 2012 t volume xviii, issue 11 81 Miriam A. Golden 4. 82 5. evant; that is, voters might believe that some degree of illegal political fundraising by extracting kickbacks for public works is acceptable as long as the economic consequences are limited. This might be more likely to be the case where regulations regarding campaign contributions and activities are widely regarded as unrealistic or excessive. Political campaigning costs money, and often lots of it, and voters may be aware of this and be sympathetic to the needs of politicians to secure more money than is legally available. After all, much of the money is used to provide voters with more information about the nature of their choices. In complex electoral environments, especially those associated with the multiparty systems observed under proportional representation (PR), which elect multiple representatives from the same constituency, voters may have strategic incentives to retain corrupt incumbents. For instance, when multiple political representatives are elected from the same constituency, if all of them are enmeshed in illegal activities, ejecting a single one from office may result in the election of an untried junior legislator who not only does not know the ropes, but also is incapable of getting anything done because of his or her lack of involvement in illegal political networks. Some voters might discount malfeasance on the part of their elected representative because of their attachment to the incumbent’s party, ethnic group, or programmatic agenda. Some evidence for this comes from the United States, where Democratic voters, some of whom were for many decades especially loyal partisans because of their party’s commitment to civil rights, withdrew electoral support from incumbents charged with wrongdoing at lower rates than their Republication counterparts.11 Each of these reasons pertains to some subset of voters. Taken together, they account for the fact that public officials charged with involvement in illegal activities nonetheless tend to gain reelection. Only the most well-informed, highly educated, independently minded, and economically secure voters with the highest standards for those in public office consistently throw out corrupt politicians. It is not surprising that even in very wealthy countries, some voters don’t know about, do not care about, or actually benefit from the spillovers of corruption. Well-informed and nonpartisan voters are the most likely to include the brown journal of world affairs Corruption in the Wealthy World considerations of public honesty in their voting calculus. As education and information levels rise, and as ideological commitments decline, we will continue to experience improvements in the levels of honesty of public officials. But in the meantime, the modest levels of political corruption that affect the world’s wealthiest countries are, by and large, incidental to the operation of their political systems. This is by no means the case in poor nations, where public affairs are deeply mired in political corruption. In these countries, teachers fail to show up to their classrooms, ordinary people must pay bribes to obtain the most basic public services, and civil servants too must pay off elected officials to escape punitive transfers or receive promotions. In these countries, as a result, governance is indeed impeded by political corruption. In the world’s wealthiest nations, by contrast, teachers can be counted on to show up to work, public services are delivered impartially and without side payments, and civil service regulations guide recruitment, promotions, and transfers. Improving the lives of people living in the world’s poorest and most corrupt nations requires, among other things, improvements in the workings of their political institutions. But doing that requires the growth of an educated, informed, and vigilant public. And if in the United States we wish to move 83 public affairs to Scandinavian levels of honesty (demarcated on Figure 1), improving the literacy of an adult population—30 million of whom are classed as below basic in their skills—and providing regular channels of information about public affairs in place of nonstop televised entertainment would be good places to start.12 In summary, political corruption is largely incidental to the basic operations of the political system in the world’s wealthiest democracies. When it does occur in any systematic way at the national level, it is linked to cartels of politicians who need more money for their political party’s electoral campaigns than allowed by law. When voters learn The modest levels of political corruption that a single politician is accused of political that affect the world’s wealthiest councorruption, most vote tries are, by and large, incidental to the to reelect that person regardless. That corrup- operation of their political systems. tion in the world’s wealthiest nations is held in check, and remains much below that experienced by third-world nations, is because of the potential reaction by a relatively well-educated, sophisticated, and informed public. When, as in Italy, such a public is made aware of large-scale, ongoing, and widespread political Spring/Summer 2012 t volume xviii, issue 11 Miriam A. Golden corruption, it has both the means and the incentive to “throw the rascals out.” Usually, however, there is no need. WA NOTES 84 1. There is little year-to-year variation in the ranking of countries on the index, and what variation exists is difficult to interpret. We may therefore take any single year as a reasonably accurate snapshot of the relative ranking of corruption across countries. 2. Donatella della Porta and Alberto Vannucci, Corrupt Exchanges: Actors, Resources, and Mechanisms of Political Corruption (Hawthorne, NY: Aldine, 1999). 3. This line of argument is advanced by Donatella della Porta and Alessandro Pizzorno, “The Business Politicians: Reflections from a Study of Political Corruption,” Journal of Law and Society 23, no. 1 (1996): 73–94. 4. I have elsewhere documented that much political corruption in Italy was fueled by a 1974 change in law regarding campaign contributions by public corporations; see: Miriam A. Golden and Eric C.C. Chang, “Competitive Corruption: Factional Conflict and Political Malfeasance in Postwar Italian Christian Democracy,” World Politics 53 (2001): 588–622. 5. An analysis of Japanese data shows that political corruption for campaign funds is more likely when politicians face stiff electoral competition but that corruption for personal gain occurs on the part of the electorally safe and powerful. See: Benjamin Nyblade and Steven R. Reed, “Who Cheats? Who Loots? Political Competition and Corruption in Japan, 1947–1993,” American Journal of Political Science 52, no. 4 (2008): 926–41. 6. See the data presented in Figure 1 of Nyblade and Reed, “Who Cheats? Who Loots?”, 932. 7. John G. Peters and Susan Welch, “The Effects of Charges of Corruption on Voting Behavior,” American Political Science Review 74, no. 3 (1980): 697–709; Susan Welch and John R. Hibbing, “The Effects of Charges of Corruption on Voter Behavior in Congressional Elections, 1982–1990,” Journal of Politics 59, no. 1 (1997): 226–39. 8. On Japan, see: Steven R. Reed, “Punishing Corruption: The Response of the Japanese Electorate to Scandals,” in Political Psychology in Japan: Behind the Nails Which Sometimes Stick Out (and Get Hammered Down), ed. Ofer Feldman (Commack, NY: Nova Science, 1999). Analysis of Spanish data shows that a corruption scandal reduces the vote share of an incumbent mayor by four percent (and by nine percent if the scandal receives wide press coverage), which is consistent with estimates from other countries. See: Elena Costas, Albert Solé-Ollé, and Pilar Sorribas-Navarro, “Corruption Scandals, Press Reporting, and Accountability: Evidence from Spanish Mayors” (unpublished paper, University of Barcelona, 2011). 9. See: Eric C.C. Chang, Miriam A. Golden, and Seth J. Hill, “Legislative Malfeasance and Political Accountability,” World Politics 62, no. 2 (2010): 177–220. 10. Marko Klasnja, “Why Do Malfeasant Politicians Maintain Political Support? Testing the ‘Uninformed Voter’ Argument,” (unpublished paper, New York University, 2011). 11. A comparison of Democrat and Republican responses to revelations of wrongdoing appears in Peters and Welch, “The Effects of Charges of Corruption on Voting Behavior,” (1980). 12. “National Assessment of Adult Literacy (NAAL)—Demographics—Overall,” National Center for Education Statistics, http://nces.ed.gov/naal/kf_demographics.asp. the brown journal of world affairs
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