Plocal ages Lorain-Medina Rural Electric Cooperative ‘Fueling’ Agriculture During the last election campaign we heard a lot of talk about the 1 percent very wealthy versus the 99 percent everyone else in terms of economics interests. Based on the information in last month’s editorial (Part 22), I am much more impressed with the approximately 2 percent of Americans who produce more than enough food to feed themselves, the other 98 percent of Americans and export a Part 23 large percentage of U.S. food and feed crops to other countries. This month we will focus on the “Energy Flow” that feeds the 100 percent in the U.S. and show you why those who claim there will be minimal impact from “Cap and Tax” legislation are at best grossly uninformed. Figure 1 illustrates the Energy Flow in the U.S. Food System based on a December 2000 study by the University of Michigan (sorry, Ohio State fans). Energy Flow refers to the relationship between the amount of food energy produced in the U.S. and the amount of energy used to produce, transport, process, package, sell, store and prepare that food. The amount of U.S. food energy produced annually is 1.4 Quads, or 1.4 Quadrillion btus. If you convert Figure 1 Energy Flow in the U.S. Food System Note: 1 Quad = 1x1015 btus or 1,000,000,000,000,000 btus. Source: http://css.snre.umich.edu/css_doc/CSS01-06.pdf 20D COUNTRY LIVING • DECEMBER 2012 btus to food calories at the rate of 1 btu = .25199 food calories, then the U.S. produces 2,595 trillion food calories per year, or 7.1 trillion food calories per day. If you recall from Part 21, the minimum “survival” calories needs of 7 billion human beings are 14 trillion food calories per day. This means that the U.S. produces just over half of those required food calories! How has this been made possible? The first half of the answer is the Green Revolution which actually began in Mexico in 1944. A plant-breeding station was established in northwest Mexico headed by Norman Borlaug, a plant breeder from the University of Minnesota. He developed a high-yielding wheat plant, which has since spread throughout the world. This project’s success was followed by a similarly successful project for rice in the Philippines. Plant breeders also have developed high yielding varieties for other major crops including sorghum, corn and beans in about 16 plant breeding centers around the world. All countries benefit by this research. For example, over the last 60 years U.S. corn yields per acre have more than quadrupled. The second half of the answer has been the dramatic changes in farming practices, including the conversion from animals (primarily horses in the U.S.) to fossil-fueled powered farm machinery and the widespread use of fertilizers, herbicides and pesticides. This fact is illustrated in this month’s cartoon. The first primary energy input into agriculture is solar energy, since all food energy is based on capturing the sun’s energy through the process of photosynthesis (see Part 14). The sun also drives the second major input neces- Plocal ages Lorain-Medina Rural Electric Cooperative sary for plant growth, and that is water from the earth’s water cycle. The sun’s heat evaporates surface water, which later condenses and falls as rain, which supplies the water necessary for photosynthesis. Prior to the introduction of fossil fuels, the additional energy inputs came from human and animal muscle power, which in turn is fueled by food calories derived from solar energy. This is why prior to the Industrial Revolution, the majority of the population was involved in agricultural production (see Part 22). One estimate is before the widespread use of motorized farm equipment, approximately 20 percent of the food calories produced were used to feed (fuel) the horses oxen used to help power the farms. The second primary energy input comes from fossil fuels, which were originally derived from solar energy (see Part 14). Originally, gasoline was primarily used when farm equipment was first motorized. (Earlier, there were steam powered threshing machines which burned wood or coal.) Today, roughly 75 percent of farm equipment uses diesel fuel to plant, cultivate, harvest and ship crops grown in the U.S. Another major fossil fuel input is natural gas, which is used in large quantities to make anhydrous ammonia fertilizer for the corn crop. Propane (butane in some southern states) and natural gas are used for drying grains to a safe moisture level for storage. I remember visiting my father in Nebraska where a nearby plant used natural gas to dry alfalfa which gave a somewhat pleasant aroma for miles around. Petroleum and natural gas are also used as chemical feed stocks to produce the herbicides and pesticides used in agriculture. Electricity (generated by mostly coal and natural gas for Ohio’s electric cooperatives) is another major farm energy input. Electricity is used to load and unload grain from storage bins. It is used to power air moving fans on crop dryers and on grain bins. Electricity is used for farm lighting, milking machines, livestock ventilation and feeding, water pumping, and manure management (sure beats shoveling it all by hand!). Going back to Figure 1, we see that a little more than 2 Quads of energy are used in agricultural production. Note Figure 3 Comparative trends of crop commodity and oil price indice from 1990-2009 (with 2004 as baseline) Source: http://www.fao.org/docrep/014/i2454e/i2454e00.pdf Figure 2 Energy expended in producing and delivering one food calorie Source: http://www.postcarbon.org/files/PCI-food-and-farming-transition.pdf that 43 percent more energy is going in than comes out as food energy. Fossil fuels have replaced human and animal muscle power which allows for the division of labor in the economy which we discussed last month (Part 22). However, that is just the beginning of the energy inputs into the food system. An additional 8.3 Quads of energy are used to transport, process, package, sell, store and prepare the food we eat after it is produced. Another way of looking at this is shown in Figure 2. For every calorie we produce and eat, there are 7.4 calories of energy expended – mostly from fossil fuels. One logical result of this relationship between food energy inputs and outputs is that food prices are very sensitive to fossil fuel prices. This is illustrated in Figure 3 which shows the 1990-2009 relationship between the world Crude Oil Price Index and the Cereals Price Index. The Cereals Price Index is based upon international wheat, rice and corn prices weighted by their average share of the world grain trade market. You can see from Figure 3 that world grains prices tend to increase with rising oil prices. You may recall the food riots that broke out in 2008 in several countries due to high food prices when oil prices spiked causing a run-up in fertilizer and fuel costs to agriculture. Those who tried to sell us “Cap and Tax” legislation in 2009 and by the Obama administration in 2012 claim there would be little impact on the economy. All I can charitably say is they are grossly uninformed. You’ve just seen that any increase in fossil fuel costs, whether by supply and demand market price change, “Cap and Tax” legislation, direct carbon taxes or EPA regulations will increase the cost of food — at a ratio of 7.4 for every food calorie produced. That’s an energy FACT no amount of political or media spin can change. DECEMBER 2012 • COUNTRY LIVING 20E
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz