The Wealth of the Richest: Inequality and the Nobility in Sweden, 1750-19001 Erik Bengtsson, [email protected] Anna Missiaia, [email protected] Mats Olsson, [email protected] Patrick Svensson, [email protected] Department of Economic History, Lund University PRELIMINARY VERSION - not for citation without permission Abstract In Mediaeval and Early Modern Europe, the nobility was the dominant class. However, whether their position was upheld during economic modernization and industrialization of the 19th century is a more controversial matter. Historians such as Hobsbawm (1978) have claimed that the nobility was surpassed by the bourgeoisie in the period between the French Revolution and the First World War, while Mayer (1981) has claimed a “persistence of the old regime”. We use 800+ probate inventories for Swedish nobles from 1750, 1800, 1850 and 1900 and 3000+ probate inventories for commoners to track the wealth patterns of the nobility during this transformative period in the Swedish economy. We find that the share of total wealth held by the nobility, which was about 0.5 per cent of the population, is 29 per cent at the beginning of the period, but drops dramatically to 11 per cent in 1800 and 8 per cent in 1900. On the other hand, nobles are still significantly wealthier than commoners of all social classes: in 1900 the average noble person has about twice the wealth of the average capitalist or merchant. Interestingly, inequality within the nobility increases significantly. Using our dataset we are able to distinguish between the rural real estate, the traditional source of wealth for the nobility, and the more “capitalist” source represented by investments. We find that (1) the gap in average wealth between high and low nobility increases in the period and (2) the highest ranked nobles increase their share of rural real estate in the total wealth and decrease investments while the low rank nobles show an opposite pattern. Our results suggest the rise of an elite within the top class, a group of “super-rich” nobles who maintain their economic power through land ownership while the rest of the nobility takes part to the industrialcapitalist expansion. Keywords: inequality, wealth, Sweden, nobility This paper was written within the projects ‘Growth and inequality before the industrial revolution, Scania 1650 to 1850’ financed by the Swedish Research Council, and ‘Wages, economic performance and inequality. Scandinavia in the “Little Divergence” in Europe’, financed by Jan Wallanders, Tom Hedelius Stiftelse and Tore Browaldhs Stiftelse. 1 1 1. Introduction The 19th century is often seen as “the bourgeois century” (Kocka, 1988). Eric Hobsbawm (1977) in his book The Age of Revolution: Europe 1789–1848 discusses the “dual revolution” of the period: in the field of politics, the French Revolution of 1789, and in the field of economics, the British Industrial Revolution. Hobsbawm (1977: 16) talks of a “triumph of the new bourgeois society” during the first half of the 19th century and how the new class, the industrial bourgeoisie take over the role as the leading and dominating social group in society from the nobility, which had dominated European societies throughout the early modern period. This field change in dominance was supposedly in economic activity and wealth accumulation as well as in the field of politics and control of the state. But was the shift from nobility to bourgeoisie as the dominant class really so swift and decisive? Arno Mayer (1981) made a vigorous counter-argument in his tellingly titled The Persistence of the Old Regime in which he argues that up to the First World War, Western European societies were still of the ancient regime, dominated by the aristocracy in terms of politics as well as wealth and cultural prestige. The debate on the “persistence of the old regime” and the alleged dominance of the aristocracy into the early 20th century has been lively ever since, and has several economic history ingredients. One important aspect is the assumption one makes about the economic rationality of the nobility. We know that this group had a very strong economic position in the European societies of the 18th century and held a very large share of total wealth (i.e. Dewald, 1996). The question then is not only if political changes such as the French revolution reduced the economic position of the nobility, but also to what degree this group succeeded in managing its wealth and putting it into productive use in the new economic context of early industrialization. Historians such as Hobsbawm tend to see the nobility as less economically rational capitalists than the bourgeoisie and therefore losing ground in the 19th century, but this assumption has been questioned. We might ask, then: what did happen to the nobility during the transformation from agrarian early modern society to modern industrial society? How did the nobles participate in industrialization? Did they keep their advantage compared to “bourgeois upstarts”? This paper uses 800+ probate inventories of Swedish nobles from 1750, 1800, 1850 and 1900 to analyse wealth formation and wealth distribution from 1750 to 1900. The aim is to study the evolution of the nobility’s wealth. The detailed information that we have about total wealth of the nobles and other groups for comparison (such as bourgeois townspeople, or peasant farmers), 2 as well as the composition of the wealth, allows us to make an in-depth analysis of the evolution of the economics of the Swedish nobility in the crucial period from 1750 to 1900. Our results suggest the rise of an elite within the top class, a group of “super-rich” nobles who maintain their economic power through land ownership while the rest of the nobility takes part to the industrial-capitalist expansion through investments. The paper is organized as follows. Section 2 gives an overview on the European nobility in the 18th and 19th centuries and of the Swedish one in particular. Section 3 presents the data in detail and the methodology used to analyse it. Section 4 presents the empirical results. Section 5 concludes. 2. The European nobility: from the “Old Regime” to the “Bourgeois Century” In old order Europe, the population was divided into different social estates. Although the exact definition and substance of them could differ between countries and regions a societally upheld division of social groups existed where the exclusiveness of the highest estates was most important (Wrightson, 1982: 27-30). Boundaries between social groups and the extent of social stratification can be based on a number of criteria. In the old regime, inherited status was definitively one such criterion and particularly for the nobility since this stratum was to a great extent closed for those not born into it. Status can be said to have been proposed, particularly by the nobility itself, to indicate an “intangible, hereditary quality” (Doyle, 1996: 319). In a way, status also relates to the concept of being in a certain social group; the idea of being a nobleman implied possibilities. Even if it can be debated whether this social regime is consistent with a division into economic classes, and in conjunction with this how much economic resources mattered for social position, most would argue that wealth mattered (Clark, 1984). It did so since it enabled power but it was also a necessary prerequisite to uphold the status of the nobility. A third characteristic separating social groups, although perhaps a much looser concept, might be political position and power. Having certain positions in the power hierarchy would potentially affect both status and economic power. This would also be a marker of social grouping, above all if these positions were closed for outsiders. The economic wealth, the political power and the status interacted and were to some extent interdependent. They were also related to certain privileges, defined by law and customs, and changes in these and in one of the sources of power could have an effect also on 3 the others. To be able to consider the development in the economic situation of the nobility we therefore need to bring changes in the other dimensions into the explanatory framework as well. One country where political changes is said to have affected the wealth of the nobility is the Southern Low Countries, or Belgium. The effect of the French revolution and its spread into Belgium, together with the French conquest, have implicated that the nobility lost ground, both politically and economically (Clark, 1984). However, a study of the Belgian nobility and of the emerging bourgeois class from the 18th to the 20th century shows that although the nobility lost most of their privileges within the political sphere they remained very wealthy (Clark, 1984). This was partly due to industrialization causing increased demand for agricultural products and as great landowners the nobility benefitted from this and from a fast increase in the value of land. However, the nobility eventually lost out economically relative to other groups, i.e. to the new emerging economic elite, when landed property went from 60 per cent of national wealth in 1846 to only 20 per cent in 1913. One factor affecting an upheld status and not too severe decline in political position but a declining economic one is that most of the ennobled were persons who served the state rather than originated from the new economic elite of businessmen. In sum, according to Clark (1984), the Belgian nobility did not decline as much and as rapid as have been the case in other European countries. For nearby Holland, de Vries (1974: 36) estimates that the nobility in the 16th century held only about 10 per cent of the land. Soltow and van Zanden (1998) agree with de Vries’ analysis of a country with weak nobility and a strong burgher class. This contrasts very much with the relative position of the nobility of Britain. The emphasis in previous literature on the nobility states that the British nobility was the richest in Europe in the early modern period but that its share of total wealth declined over time (Dewald, 1996). In this view it was assumed that the “crisis of the 17th century” and the “Glorious Revolution” of 1689 had weakened the aristocracy for good (Dewald, 1996: 4). The 1689 revolution definitively had an impact on the political and economic power of the nobles but also on their status (Hoppit, 2000: 365-8). However, later research in social history has shown that as late as the late 19th century the wealthiest men in England were noble landowners, a group who also dominated politics and the state (Cannadine 1990). As regards wealth, Lindert (1986) analyses average personal estate in Britain from 1670 to 1875 by social group. His group closest to the nobility is “Titled (gentlemen and up)”. In 1670 the average person in this group held almost two times as much wealth than the average person in the second highest social category, represented by merchants. In 1810, the 4 difference was even larger, over three times, but this situation abruptly changed up to 1858, so that in 1858 and 1875 the average merchant was more wealthy than the average titled person (factors being 1.9 and 1.2 respectively). However, wealth here is measured without real estate and without taking debts into account. Lindert claims regarding real estate that land was very unequally owned in Britain, which makes sense in light of “The diminishing importance of land and of the titled-landed class” (Lindert, 1986: 1147) had egalitarian effects as more equally distributed asset classes became a larger part of total wealth. The European examples are brief but open up at least two major questions for our Swedish study from a comparative perspective. The first is whether Sweden was in 1750 more like Holland, with an economically rather weak nobility, or more like England and Belgium, with a dominant nobility? The second is when, if at all, did the relative wealth of the nobility compared to other social groups cease to stand out? Lindert finds for Britain that titled persons were surpassed by merchants already in 1858; given Sweden’s later economic development, it would be reasonable to expect this shift to come later to Sweden, given that there was no Dutch situation of weak nobility to begin with. 2.1. The Swedish nobility in European perspective In 1751 there were about 9 000 nobles in Sweden, corresponding to some 0.5 per cent of the total population of two million (without Finland). The history of the nobility in Sweden goes back to 1280 when the Alsnö stadga, a King’s ordinance, stipulated that those who supplied the Crown with heavily armed horsemen would be exempt of tax; in Swedish this tax exemption was frälse, that is “freed”, which was the only word for the nobility at this point. Noble status was at this point not hereditary but it was transformed in this direction during the 14th and 15th centuries. In the 16th century the term “adel” starts to be used for the nobles. In 1626 the formal guild of noble families, Riddarhuset (House of Nobility) was formed, and during the period of Four Estates Parliament, from 1668 to 1865 Riddarhuset was one of the four estates. The nobility grew especially in the 17th and 18th centuries. In 1600 there were only around 50 noble families in the country. From 1604 to 1692, another 1415 families were added, often related to military service in the numerous wars fought by the Swedish “great power”. In the next hundred years from 1692 to 1792 the nobility continued to grow rapidly: another 1214 families were added. After this the tempo of ennobling slowed down and from 1792 to 1907 when the last ennobling took place in Sweden, another 326 families or, after 5 1809, main lines were ennobled. The nobility in Sweden never exceeded one per cent of the population. The special rights for the nobles at the beginning of our period were several. They still partly were tax exempt; the so-called “free mile” of their demesne plus their tenants’ land up to one mile (ten kilometres) from the estate was tax exempt. Furthermore, the 120 highest occupations in public service were only open to nobles. The Noble Rights Act of 1723 also confirmed the customary right of nobles to appoint the minister of their parish, when under Jus Patronus, and also the right to collect and use the church and crown tithes in many parishes in the south. There was very little of feudal private justice in Sweden (Upton, 1995), but the nobility several times tried to get the right to private local justice and to sentence their subjects to corporeal punishment; especially in 1719 (Winberg, 1985: 165). The position of the nobility as an independent stratum in the society changed gradually from the 17th century. One strand of the literature claims that these changes turned the nobility into a state-serving estate (Englund 1989: 12; Magnusson, 1997: 204).2 The Carolingian absolutism introduced several changes, thereby strengthening the state on the expense of the nobility: the Reduction of 1680-81 when land previously donated to noblemen was retransferred into state ownership was one feature in this. The ways for the nobility to enlarge their land possessions through acquiring Crown land thus became more restricted and new strategies had to be adopted; now a more intensive use of the labour force through tying them to the land, i.e. the establishments of crofts, and heavier burdens on the tenants replaced earlier more extensive strategies. Moreover, large parts of the newly ennobled noblemen lacked possibilities of accessing land (Englund, 1989: 14). Other changes affected the position of the nobility relative to other social groups. For officers, who were exclusively nobles, the new military organization introduced in the late 17th century meant that their income rested on rents and taxes from the peasant-farmers, thereby associating them to this group and to agriculture. Moreover, the income from the peasant-farmers was not negotiable on individual level but set by the King and the Parliament requiring an extensive political process involving all estates, including the peasants, to be changed (Magnusson, 1997:205). The tax reform of 1713, introducing taxes by wealth, is another feature of attempts from the state to treat all different estates equally, although the reform was temporary (Karlsson, 1994). It has also been suggested that the state policy of 2 But this analysis is partial and probably much more relevant for the low nobility than for the titled nobility who were more likely to have large holdings of land. 6 focusing on town and mercantile growth strengthened the bourgeoisie on the expense of the landholding nobility (Magnusson 1997: 178). The dismantling of the noble rights continued during the 18th and 19th centuries. The feudal doctrine of tax-exempted land exclusively being owned by the nobility was challenged. Laws passed in 1789 and in 1809 made it possible for peasant-farmers and the bourgeoisie to buy this land but it also increased the opportunities for the nobility to use the land in a more efficient way, selling it or re-organising cultivation on this land in ways previously prevented by the feudal arrangements (Winberg, 1985: 200). Furthermore, with the Constitution of 1809, nobles lost their monopoly on the highest public posts and with the abolishing of the four estates parliament in 1865–66, the nobles lost their special place in Parliament. In all, this affected both the political power of the nobility and their exclusive access to certain economic resources. It also affected their status as exclusive and the dominant estate, both through the ennoblements but also through the equal treatment as other estates in many respects from the side of the state. There are thus a number of indications that the nobility lost ground in as well political position as in status which could have affected their economic position. Finally, the emerging industrialization, where other assets than land became important, might have had further effects on the economic status of the nobility. A counterargument, which would mean that the nobility could maintain their economic status, is the development of land ownership rights. After the reduction in 1680, the nobility retained a large part of Sweden’s farmland. Almost a third of the peasants were subject tenants under the nobility. In the Noble Rights Act of 1723 the state confirmed that it should never interfere with what nobility did with their land or their tenants (Olsson, 2014: 75). A land holding of origin in medieval feudal arrangements had turned into perfect private property. 2.2. The wealth of the nobility in Sweden We know that the nobility was quite dominant in 17th century Sweden and still at the beginning of the 18th century; this society can be described as dyadic, with power divided between the Crown and the nobility, with swinging balance of power between them (Lindkvist and Sjöberg, 2003). However, the nobility was gradually transformed into one of several important social groups in terms of both political and economic power. Previous research on the Swedish nobility in the 18th and 19th century has explicitly dealt with the capacity – or lack of capacity – of the nobility to cope with this transformation and how well 7 they defended their dominant position in society (Carlsson, 1973; Elmroth, 2001; Norrby, 2005). Carlsson and Elmroth present two different versions of the “decline of the nobility” argument proposed internationally for example by Hobsbawm (1979). Carlsson (1973) focuses on the struggle of commoners to dethrone the nobles, and sees the removal of noble privileges to public positions and land tax exemptions in 1789 and 1809 as indicators of a new era. Carlsson claims that the sales of tax exempt land from the nobility to commoners are an indicator of how the nobles lost out, and even that they were “pauperized”. However, as Winberg (1985: 164) have pointed out, the right to sell tax exempt land to non-nobles might as well be seen as a strengthening of the nobility’s position, as it made it possible for them to restructure their land holdings, consolidating previously scattered holdings, and that it raised the value of their land by increasing demand. Indeed, quite a few noble representatives in Parliament in 1789 and 1809 supported these land reforms (Winberg 1985: ch. 7). Furthermore, Carlsson’s economic analysis is not built on systematic use of wealth data and his handling of statistics and the use of anecdotal evidence have been criticized (Norrby 2005: 23, 48). Elmroth’s (2001) version of the nobility decline argument is less political and more demographic in focus. The key claims of Elmroth concerns social mobility and demography and to study this he uses a database with 9,000 nobles born between 1770 and 1939, containing information about marital status, number of children, profession (or rather, title) and year of ennobling. On social mobility, he claims that after the first generation of an ennobled man, the family often failed to move further up in the social hierarchy and that a recurrent social downward mobility in occupations is at hand within the estate as a whole (Elmroth, 2001: 67) On demographics, Elmroth points to that newly ennobled families often failed to reproduce themselves. One half of newly ennobled families lasted less than sixty years, and four fifths were extinct by the fourth generation (Elmroth, 2001: 70) He explicitly relates low nativity to “low” economic standards, and shows correlations such as that titled nobility (counts and barons) reproduced to a higher degree than lower nobility, and the equivalent for nobles with higher professional status compared to lower status. In other words the economic and demographic of decline are related: family extinction is the “the final consequence of the downward social mobility” (Elmroth, 2001: 90–91, our translation). There are several problems with Elmroth’s argument. Firstly, he underestimates the role of war and war-related mortality (Sweden was at war for much of the time from 1600 to 1814) in explaining the demographic problems of the nobility. Secondly, since he does not control 8 for age at death when calculating social mobility the result is that all sons who die young mechanically seem like they were socially mobile downward, while they may in fact have been on a strong career trajectory before it was cut short. The same statistical problem afflicts the latter generations in his study, those born in the late 19th century: since his last measure of social status is in 1919, naturally those born in the 1890s who were only in their twenties in 1919 had still not reached their social peak, and so comparing their measured social status with that of their parental generation gives a possibly spurious appearance of downward social mobility. Thirdly, much like Carlsson he does not have any hard evidence on incomes or wealth of the nobility, but rather infers the economic status of the nobles from their – notoriously ambiguous – titles. Norrby’s (2005) study of the adaptation strategy of the nobility during the “bourgeois” 19th century is to a high degree framed as a correction against the declinist interpretations of Carlsson and Elmroth. He explicitly refers to Mayer’s (1981) “persistence of the old regime” interpretation. Contra Carlsson’s idea about “pauperization”, Norrby (2005: 74–75) refers to the 1845 wealth survey which shows that in that year, 13 of the 14 largest landowners in Sweden were noble. He makes his own descriptive quantitative study of nobles, this time only high nobility (counts and barons). Here the share who were “propertied” (besuttna) is high and persistently so: for those born from the 1770s to 1860s around 50-60 per cent, those born 1860-1900 about 35 per cent, and those born 1900-20 about 20 per cent (Norrby, 2005: 86– 88). Norrby criticizes Carlsson and Elmroth for judging the social status of the nobility on criteria fixed with the 17th century in mind: they look at job titles in the army and civil administration and when the nobility’s positions in the higher echelons of these two sectors decline, they interpret it as social degradation. However, as Norrby points out, the pathways to and criteria of social and economic power changed from the 17th century to the 19th century. After Sweden entered its long period of peace in 1814 and the productivity in agriculture increased rapidly, at the same time as the exporting manufacturing sector grew rapidly, career officer became a less important career and the payoff to owning land and capital instead increased. (Norrby, 2005: 215) This means that Carlsson and especially Elmroth who do not systematically look at ownership miss an important part of the economic standing of the nobles. However, Norrby’s study still contains two elements of a declinist view. Firstly, he maintains that the mentality of the nobility was distinct from that of the bourgeoisie: the nobles generally conformed less to the Weberian ideal type of the capitalist, profitmaximizing entrepreneur. For example, he refers to a study comparing the noble family 9 Gripenstedt’s estate Nynäs with the estate Bjärke-Säby of the arch bourgeois Oscar Ekman, a wealthy merchant. Here he claims that the Gripenstedt’s management of their estate was oldfashioned and inefficient, so that eventually they had to sell it (Norrby 2005: 179). Obviously this anecdotal method runs the risk of ending up with the same problem as Norrby points out regarding Carlsson’s use of the count and school teacher Rudenschiöld as an illustrative example: that the supposedly telling example is wholly unrepresentative. Secondly, Norrby with his method of “collective biography” often reproduces statements from his sources – letters, diaries, memoirs of nobles – claiming that the economic situation was tough, even dire. For example, to explain why rather many in the high nobility didn’t marry, Norrby’s preferred explanation for the men is the lack of money to uphold an aristocratic lifestyle. His example is the count Arvid Wachtmeister (born in 1889) who married in 1919 and lived with his wife, two children and two maids at one of the most “posh” addresses in Stockholm, Karlavägen. Wachtmeister had a low post at that bastion of the nobility, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs; his post was abolished in the 1920s and after this he had two work two jobs (both in prestigious public institutions) to uphold his lifestyle. Norrby (2005: 119) presents Wachtmeister’s case as an example of the tough economic situation of the nobility, but on the other hand, one might equally see it as an example of the economic strength of the nobles: the count held jobs in two prestigious institutions, lived at one of the finest addresses in the country, and employed two maids. This is certainly no extravagance by aristocratic standards, but compared to the average Swede of the period, the count must be seen as very privileged. Norrby continuously fails in his source criticism when reproducing noble memoirists’ assertions of tough times; as Dewald (1996: 7–8) points out, saying that times are tougher than ever for the nobility and that their power and wealth is in decline has been a cliché of discourses on nobility since at least the 18th century, even in times when in fact their wealth and power have increased greatly. And precisely the issue of relevant comparisons is key here. Carlsson and Elmroth completely, and Norrby partly, use earlier generations of nobility as the standard of comparison for current generations.3 What is lacking is a comparison with concurrent commoners: count Wachtmeister may not have had the living standards of some of his ancients, who lived in castles with scores of servants and maids, but like Carlsson and This methodological point on how to measure the development of the nobles’ social positions (and in particular on the use 17th century standards vs. 20th century standards to compare over time) has been made also by Schijf et al. (2002). 3 10 Elmroth, Norrby does not see the count in the context of his contemporaries and does not compare him to their standards. The approach of the Scottish-American economic historian Gregory Clark who recently presented a study of the nobility and social mobility in Sweden is very different. Unlike Carlsson and Elmroth, who used 16th–17th century standards to define being elite (military and civil service titles), Clark (2012) very consciously uses contemporary standards to compare the current status of the Swedish nobility to that of common people.4 Clark uses surnames to identify nobles and compare their prevalence in elite positions – attorneys, physicians, and students at the prestigious Uppsala and Lund universities – to the prevalence of Swedes with typical 18th century bourgeois Latinised surnames and typical working class surnames. He shows that nobles are much more likely than Swedes of commoner descent to hold elite positions in 1901, 1930, 1960 and today, and to have high incomes. Clark’s conclusion is that social mobility in Sweden has been overrated and that the advantage of being of noble descent is still sizeable. In other words, Clark’s analysis is quite the contrary to those of Carlsson, Elmroth and, to some degree, Norrby. The same pattern is found by Sundell (2013) who looks at nepotism in Swedish bureaucracy from 1790 to 1925. Despite the removal in 1809 of the monopoly of the nobles for the highest offices they still kept their position well into the 20th century. Göran Ulväng (2013) on a smaller scale also presents a revisionist view of the wealth of the nobility during the 19th century. Ulväng notes that previous literature – especially Carlsson – has pointed to declining share of tax-exempted noble land but shows with a study of Uppland that during the same period the nobility’s ownership of non-noble land increased, so that their manors’ overall size kept up.5 Given this contradictory state of the literature, one might ask: how well did the nobility adapt to liberalization and industrialization in the 18th and 19th centuries? Were they “pauperized”, as Carlsson would have it, socially degraded to the point of extinction, as in Elmroth, or are they still at the helm of society’s centres of power, as in Clark’s analysis? This paper will add a key piece to the puzzle: precise and encompassing estimates of wealth of nobles from the early 18th century to 1900, systematically measured and compared to other social groups. As stated above, the studies of Carlsson, Elmroth and Norrby are flawed in 4 Dronkers (2003) has used a surname approach on the Dutch nobility and found that they had a strong socioeconomic position in the late 20th century, despite having been legally weakened as a class in the 19 th century. Dronkers claims that the Dutch nobility around 1900 went through a successful transfer into high bourgeoisie and modernized its social and cultural capital. Korom and Dronkers (2009), using a surname approach, show that in Austria in 2009, nobles were six times more likely than non-nobles to sit on company boards. 5 Malatesta (2004) on the other hand seems to defend the method to focus on just land owning to measure the position of the nobles; this, however, seems unnecessarily reductionist. 11 their discussion of the economic position of nobles by the fact that they have only professional titles, not real economic information on incomes or wealth, of the nobles. Norrby (2005: 78) explicitly complains about the lack of data to judge the real wealth position of the nobility. We collect and analyse probate inventories of 800+ noble persons who died in 1750, 1800, 1850 and 1900. This enables us to describe and study the real economic position of the nobility throughout the 18th and 19th centuries, the period of major transformation pointed at by much of the nobility research. We discuss issues such as the relative economic position and wealth of the nobility compared to other social groups, their economic activity (were they lousy entrepreneurs as Norrby implicitly claims?), and the diversity within this class, much debated in the previous literature. 3. Data and methodology 3.1. Probate inventories We use probate inventories as our source of the wealth of the nobles. The nobility’s probate inventories were archived separately, since the nobility had its own courts (Göta hovrätt, Svea hovrätt). We have collected all noble probate inventories for four benchmark years: 1750, 1800, 1850 and 1900. In 1750, we have 209 inventories, in 1800 215, in 1850 229 and in 1900, 227. Table 1 shows our sample of the adult noble population by age class.6 Table 1 - Nobility by age class, 1750-1900 (unadjusted sample). . 1750 Age 20–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 60–64 65–69 70+ Total No. 8 25 23 44 31 30 48 209 1800 Share 3.83 11.96 11 21.05 14.83 14.35 22.97 100 No. 8 19 21 31 16 18 102 215 1850 Share 3.72 8.84 9.77 14.42 7.44 8.37 47.44 100 No. 12 23 29 40 21 28 76 229 1900 Share 5.24 10.04 12.66 17.47 9.17 12.23 33.19 100 No. 7 7 12 27 24 33 117 227 Share 3.08 3.08 5.29 11.89 10.57 14.54 51.54 100 In order to compare the performance of the nobility with that of the rest of the population, we use information from the probate inventories on the wealth of the other social 6 The part of the sample below the age of 20 was dropped for two main reasons. A methodological reason is that we only had a few data point for children who were rarely recorded in probate inventories. A theoretical reason is that children in general were rarely entitled to own wealth and would have little relevance in the analysis. 12 groups of Sweden. These, along with the nobility probate inventories, form a dataset covering eleven social groups in Sweden that reflect the entire social structure of the country.7 As for the rest of the population, we know age at death, sex, the provenience from a urban or rural context, the marital status and the region. Types of wealth It is worth noting that Swedish probate inventories, which were mandatory by law from 1723 onwards, are very detailed and rich in an international perspective. For example, there is no problem with lacking real estate as in the British counterparts (Lindert, 1981). For our calculations of overall wealth distribution, we use the total net worth of each person as the starting point. However, it is not only total worth that is interesting for our purposes. To investigate the economic activity of the Swedish nobility, it is relevant to see also in which form they held their wealth from 1750 to 1900. Fortunately, our sources allow us to discriminate between different types of wealth. We have four types: rural real estate, urban real estate, and claims and investments. These three make up gross worth (equation 1). To calculate net worth we subtract debts from gross worth (equation 2). (1) Rural real estate + Urban real estate + Movables + Claims and investments = Gross value (2) Gross value – Debts = Net value Historians such as Mayer (1981) and Cannadine (1990) have stressed the importance of the landed aristocracy in the European economies not only in the 18th century but in the 19th century and into the beginning of the 20th. We can capture this type of wealth as rural real estate, which encompasses buildings as well as land. Furthermore, it is highly interesting, as investigated by Norrby (2005), to which degree nobles went into other lines of business. We capture this by the wealth level in terms of claims and investments. The share of the individual’s total gross worth held in (a) rural real estate and (b) claims and investments are then used as proxies for the “traditional” and “modern” economic attachments of the individual nobles.8 7 The entire dataset is used in Bengtsson et al. (2015) to assess the evolution of overall wealth inequality in Sweden in the same period we are considering here. 8 The degree of indebtedness can also be interesting in itself. It has been claimed that the nobles became increasingly indebted during the 19th century, possibly because of the investments required by the “agrarian revolution” (Norrby 2005: 76). 13 Old and new nobility, high and low nobility There are two important distinctions within the Swedish nobility: that between high or titled nobility (barons and counts) and low or untitled nobility, and that based on the time when the family was ennobled. So Elmroth (2001: 25) claims that “old nobility” and “new nobility” fared very differently after 1800 and placed the threshold point between old and new at being nobles before or after 1600, while Norrby (2005) stresses the very different economic behaviour of the high nobility, which tended to be landed, and the low nobility. For these reasons, we include information about provenance and class of nobility. For provenance, for each person we have coded the year that their family was ennobled and introduced at Riddarhuset.9 We define old nobility as those families who were noble at the start of the House of Nobility (Riddarhuset) in 1626, and consequently new nobility as any family ennobled after that. Since 1563 when the titles baron and count were introduced (Upton, 1995: 15) Swedish nobility has three classes, noble (adlig), barons (friherrlig) and counts (grevlig).10 The former is low nobility and the other two taken together are high nobility. 11 The high nobility is the group who dominated politics and the King’s Council in the 16th, 17th and to some degree 18th centuries and who are in the literature associated with large holdings of land, not the least because of the donations from the Crown in the 16th and 17th centuries. The low nobility is more often associated with smaller land holdings and a larger dependence upon state service in the military and the bureaucracy. We might therefore expect quite different wealth patterns for these two groups (Norrby, 2005). The genealogical information is fetched from the genealogy site http://www.adelsvapen.com/genealogi which digitalizes the information from Elgenstierna’s (1925–36) seven volumes on noble families and other similar genealogical publications on 9 A few technical notes. In some cases, there are some years between ennoblement and introduction at Riddarhuset. Then we have coded the year of ennoblement, not introduction. In a few cases we have persons of ancient noble stock from abroad, whose families were introduced at Riddarhuset in Sweden at some point. In these cases, we have coded their year of introduction. When the family is described as “urgammal”/ancient but it was not introduced until later, possibly it should be coded as 1625. This might only be an issue with the Trolle family which was only introduced in 1689 despite having noble lineage back to the 14 th century. 10 A problematic case is the noble families who never were introduced at Riddarhuset. They are still considered nobility in Sweden, although unintroduced. We have coded them as low nobility, but obviously they lack year of ennobling. For this reason, the n is a bit lower when we use old/new nobility as the separating factor than when we use low/high nobility. 11 We have coded the family status and if it is a family which was first ennobled in the “adlig” class and later promoted to “friherrlig” or “grevlig”, we have coded not only the first year of ennobling, which is the most important variable for our purposes, but also the year of promotion. However, in the current state of the paper we do not use this information. 14 Swedish nobility. The Elgenstierna database provides excellent mini-biographies of more or less all Swedish noble persons from the early modern period up to the 1920s. 12 The probate inventories can be uninformative in assigning job titles to the deceased. A particular problem is the issue of military titles. Serving in the military was a part of noble culture in the period investigated here, even after the end of Sweden’s era as a great power in 1720. After this, there weren’t as many full time positions available in the military anymore, but typically young noble men still service in the military for a couple of years, and could very quickly advance to fairly high officers’ titles, or at least the title of captain. Often they left the military around the age of 30 to pursue other careers, but because of the prestige in military service and other cultural reasons, quite often in their probate inventories the title assigned could still be their military rank.13 For this reason we have completed job title information, when needed, with the information at the Adelsvapen. 12 Previous research, especially Elmroth, have put some emphasis on the alleged demographic weakness of the nobility, that they did not manage to reproduce so new ennobling was constantly needed to uphold a sizeable nobility. For this reason we code the year that the family died out, if it has done so. Nobility is only inherited on the male side, so family extinction is when the last male member of the family dies. Our information on extinction was gathered by Elgenstierna in the 1920s and 1930s so we do not know whether families died out after that. However, given that the “youngest” persons in our sample died in 1900, this should not matter. In the current state of the paper this information is not used. 13 A recurring phrase in the mini-biographies is “levde utan tjänst”, or “lived without service/without employment”. This means that the person lived off the incomes of his estates. So for example Samuel Ehrencrona (1786–1851) is called baron and the lowly job title “extra ordinarie kanslist” in his probate inventory, but in reality he lived on the estate he inherited, and was very, very wealthy. Similarily, Malte Ramel (d. 1752) is only referred to as “herr” (“mister”) in the provate inventory, but he owned several estates and was “immensely rich”, to quite Elgenstierna. A further example is Lorens von Nackreij (d. 1798) who is called “captain” in his probate inventory, but in reality he was a factory owner, which he had been since he left the army at the age of 32. This lack of precision in the use of titles in the 18 th and 19th centuries is a methodological problem in the literature, and especially mars Elmroth’s (1981, 2001) vastly overblown conclusion of downward social mobility for the nobility: when the men are referred to as “captains” even though they typically left the army at the age of 30 to instead live of vast holdings of estates, factories, and so on, then of course a job title based study will overestimate the rate of downward social mobility. 15 Table 2 – Nobility by rank and seniority, 1750-1900 (unadjusted sample). Commoners (married to nobles) Unintroduced nobility Low nobility High nobility Total of which introduced nobles Old nobility (<1625) New nobility (>1625) New nobility among low New nobility among high Old nobility among low Old nobility among high No. 25 3 137 44 209 181 31 150 120 30 17 14 Commoners (married to nobles) Unintroduced nobility Low nobility High nobility Total of which introduced nobles Old nobility (<1625) New nobility (>1625) New nobility among low New nobility among high Old nobility among low Old nobility among high No. 34 1 146 48 229 194 36 158 126 32 20 16 3.2. 1750 Share 11.96 1.44 65.55 21.05 100.00 86.60 17.13 82.87 87.59 68.18 12.41 31.82 1850 Share 14.85 0.44 63.76 20.96 100.00 84.72 18.56 81.44 86.30 66.67 13.70 33.33 No. 18 5 152 40 215 192 26 166 136 30 16 10 No. 52 113 62 227 175 27 148 101 47 12 15 1800 Share 8.37 2.33 70.70 18.60 100.00 89.30 13.54 86.46 89.47 75.00 10.53 25.00 1900 Share 22.91 49.78 27.31 100.00 77.09 15.43 84.57 89.38 75.81 10.62 24.19 Empirical methodology In order to use probate inventories to describe the wealth structure of the living population two major adjustments are needed. One is for the age of the population due to the underrepresentation of the young among those who die in a given year. The other is for social groups, which might be represented to a different extent in the inventories. Therefore, we modify our sample in the following way. We identify the most over represented group in each of the two dimensions (always the nobility for social classes14 and the 70+ for age). Keeping the number of individuals from the over represented class fixed, we replicate the individuals 14 The nobility is overrepresented both because of the higher chance of a noble to be recorded due to his or her higher change of owning large amounts of wealth. We also decided to collect proportionally more probate inventories for the nobility due to our prior that it would present higher variation in wealth compared to other groups that we wanted to capture in full. 16 in each group n number of times, with n such that the class after the expansion is correctly represented. The procedure is carried on for age first and then for social structure. We therefore end up with an age and social class balanced sample. Once the sample is adjusted, we show both the average wealth of each social group and the share of the total wealth that each group holds at each point in time. Thereafter, we show three inequality measures for both the nobility and the general population: the gini coefficients, the share of wealth owned by the top 1% and the share owned by the top 10%. The next step is to show the composition of wealth for the entire nobility sample in search for significant changes over the period. The second part of the descriptive analysis implies the breakdown of the sample in low and high nobility. We show the average income for the different types of nobility and look for differences in their wealth composition that can account for different performances through time. Finally, we propose a simple OLS regression analysis to account for the determinants of the wealth of the nobility. The estimating equation that we propose is the following: 𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑛𝑒𝑡 𝑤𝑒𝑎𝑙𝑡ℎ𝑖 = 𝛼 𝐴𝑔𝑒𝑖 + 𝛽 𝑆𝑒𝑥𝑖 + 𝜗 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑥𝑡 𝑖 + 𝛿 𝑅𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑖 + 𝜃 𝑅𝑎𝑛𝑘𝑖 + 𝛾 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑠𝑖 + 𝜋 𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝑒𝑛𝑛𝑜𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖 (3) +𝜌 𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑟𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑙𝑖 + 𝜏 𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑑𝑒𝑏𝑡𝑠𝑖 + 𝜀𝑖 The dependent variable corresponds to the net wealth of the individual i, defined as the sum of all assets minus the debts. The explanatory variables on the right-hand side are age at death, sex, context (urban or rural), region (we use the three regions corresponding to north, centre and south: Norrland, Svealand and Götaland), rank of the person i (high or low), marital status (single, married, widow/widower and divorced), year of ennoblement and the share of debts and rural real estate in gross wealth. For our purposes, we are in particular interested in testing whether the rank of the person, the year of ennoblement and the share of rural land in wealth are strong predictors of wealth patterns. 17 4. Results This section presents the empirical analysis on the age-adjusted dataset. Table 3 presents the dataset by age class and compares the share of each class to the shares of the true population. We can notice that although the numbers do not completely overlap, they are very close, leading to a new sample that has a comparable age structure to that of the general population.15 Table 3 - Age adjusted nobility, 1750-1900. 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Total No. 94 81 48 67 40 43 48 421 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Total No. 222 250 184 145 62 48 76 987 1750 Share 22.33 19.24 11.4 15.91 9.5 10.21 11.4 100 1850 Share 22.49 25.33 18.64 14.69 6.28 4.86 7.7 100 TRUE 28.99 22.76 17.8 13.73 5.99 4.66 6.07 100 No. 266 186 130 125 48 36 102 893 TRUE 31.16 23.7 17.26 14.43 5.06 3.68 4.71 100 No. 185 92 93 152 77 71 117 787 1800 Share 29.79 20.83 14.56 14 5.38 4.03 11.42 100 1900 Share 23.51 11.69 11.82 19.31 9.78 9.02 14.87 100 TRUE 26.69 23.32 20.33 14.72 5.3 4.24 5.4 100 TRUE 26.16 20.51 18.09 14.73 6.11 5.45 8.95 100 Table 4 shows the same information of Table 2 for the adjusted sample.16 Similarly to the original sample, the adjusted one has a higher share of low nobility compared to the high nobility.17 Here too, the new nobility is roughly twice the old nobility. Finally, the last four columns show the overlap between the ranks and the seniority in the nobility. 15 The difference between the two is due to the adjustment that is performed in a second stage on the social class distribution, among which the nobility is highly overrepresented. This second adjustment on the population is necessary to be able to compare our results on the nobility with those on the other social classes but might slightly affect the age adjustment. 16 In this table and from now on commoners are recorded as their partner’s rank and unintroduced nobles as low nobles. This is done for making the descriptive analysis more clear to the reader. 17 It should be noted that 1800 is the year that causes more concerns as it presents an unusually low number of high nobility. This result could be due to the overrepresentation of the low nobles among the younger age classes in the starting sample. This glitch can affect the shares of the total wealth of the nobility, making the results for 18 Table 4 - Age adjusted nobility by rank, 1750-1900. Low nobility High nobility Total Old nobility (<1625) New nobility (>1625) New nobility among low New nobility among high Old nobility among low Old nobility among high 4.1. No. 312 108 420 141 279 215 64 97 44 1750 Share 74.3 25.7 100 33.6 66.4 68.9 59.3 31.1 40.7 No. 762 131 893 255 638 554 84 208 47 1800 Share 85.33 14.67 100 28.56 71.44 72.7 64.1 27.3 35.9 No. 726 261 987 382 605 456 149 270 112 1850 Share 73.56 26.44 100 38.7 61.3 62.8 57.1 37.2 42.9 No. 609 178 787 235 552 406 146 203 32 1900 Share 77.38 22.62 100 29.86 70.14 66.7 82.0 33.3 18.0 Descriptive statistics and inequality measures Table 5 shows a comparison between the average wealth of the nobility and that of the other social classes. Setting the average equal to 1, in 1750 a noble person was expected to own on average 60 times more. The same figure drops to 19 times at the end of the period. The share of wealth detained by the nobility in 1750 was roughly 29 per cent while it was only 8 per cent of the national wealth in 1900. This result suggests that the nobility as a whole has considerably reduced its relative share of wealth over the 150 years that we consider. If we look at the other social classes, the ones that seem to have replaced the nobles in 1900 are the capitalists and merchants (37 per cent) and the bourgeoisie (10 per cent). 1800 not reliable. Although this is not ideal, we decided not to adjust for nobility rank at this stage and focus our analysis on the average wealth and the shares of different sources of wealth within groups, leaving the share of total wealth out of the analysis. 19 Table 5- Average wealth by social group, 1750–1900 (average=1). 1750 Nobility Capitalists and merchants Persons of rank Bourgeoisie Farmers Rural artisans Crofters Non-bourgeoisie townspeople Soldiers Rural workers and servants Workers in factories and foundries Total Average 60.9 8.6 3.4 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 1.0 0.2 0.2 1 Share total 29% 8% 9% 3% 34% 1% 3% 2% 8% 3% 0% 100% 1850 Nobility Capitalists and merchants Persons of rank Bourgeoisie Farmers Rural artisans Crofters Non-bourgeoisie townspeople Soldiers Rural workers and servants Workers in factories and foundries Total Average 31.0 7.7 4.2 2.3 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 1 Share total 11% 8% 10% 10% 51% 0% 4% 0% 1% 5% 1% 100% 1800 Share total 7% 10% 14% 3% 57% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 0% 100% 1900 Average Share total 19.0 8% 10.1 37% 2.3 8% 1.1 10% 1.0 37% 0.3 1% 0.1 1% 0.2 0% 0.0 0% 0.1 5% 0.2 5% 1 100% Average 19.9 9.4 4.0 1.2 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1 The decline of the gap between the nobility and the other social groups would at first suggest that the entire noble class becomes relatively less rich during the industrialization period. The results of Table 6 on wealth inequality suggest that this might not be the case. If we look at the gini coefficient within the nobility, we observe that the starting value is 0.75, almost equal to the one in the general population (0.76). But after an initial drop in 1800, the gini coefficient in 1850 and 1900 rises to 0.88 and 0.87, suggesting a major transformation in the wealth ownership among the noble class. This increase mirrors the one observed in the general population and supports the need for further analysis. Table 6 also shows the top 1% and 1% shares of wealth within the nobility, suggesting again rising inequality. 20 Table 6 – Inequality measures, 1750-1900 (average=1). 1750 0.75 0.76 1750 23% 65% 42% 67% Gini nobility Gini total Top 1% nobility Top 10% nobility Top 1% total Top 10% total 1800 0.70 0.82 1800 19% 52% 44% 73% 1850 0.88 0.84 1850 31% 79% 38% 74% 1900 0.87 0.9 1900 33% 78% 57% 84% Before moving to a breakdown of the nobility, we show the composition of wealth for the entire sample. Figure 1 shows the shares of the four main sources of wealth: claims and investments, rural real estate, urban real estate and movables. As we see in the table, the shares are relatively stable in time, with the main source represented by the rural real estates followed by similar shares of movables and investments and last in size the urban real estates. Figure 1 – The composition of wealth of the nobility, 1750-1900 (average=100). 60 50 Share 40 30 20 10 0 Claims and investments Rural real estate Urban real estate Movables 1750 22 44 5 29 1800 27 56 1 15 1850 29 46 3 22 1900 31 51 4 13 Table 7 moves on in the analysis and breaks down the average wealth of the nobility into average wealth of the low and high and of the old and new. The averages are normalized to 1. We see that in 1750 the high nobility was about three times richer than the low nobility. There is no large difference between the old and the new nobles. In 1900 the gap between the low and the high nobility increases, with the latter owning about five times more. The new nobility also forges ahead owning a little more than double compared to the old nobility, although this difference is only observed in 1900. 21 Table 7 - Average wealth by rank and seniority, 1750-1900 (average=1). Low nobility High nobility Total Old nobility New nobility Total 1750 0.64 2.04 1 1750 0.94 1.03 1 1800 0.82 2.04 1 1800 0.86 1.06 1 1850 0.33 2.86 1 1850 0.94 1.04 1 1900 0.54 2.59 1 1900 0.50 1.21 1 Table 8 shows the average wealth of the low and high nobility by source of wealth. As expected, the high rank nobles are richer than the low rank nobles in all years and for all sources of wealth. It should be noted that the average wealth from rural real estate is the one that diverges the most, with a gap of 79-159 in 1750 and of 34-326 in 1900. Table 8 - Averages of different type of wealth by nobility rank, 1750-1900 (average=100). 1750 Low nobility High nobility Total 73 179 100 Low nobility High nobility Total 79 159 100 Low nobility High nobility Total 43 264 100 Low nobility High nobility Total 56 227 100 1800 1850 Claims and investments 89 43 166 257 100 100 Rural real estate 82 32 206 290 100 100 Urban real estate 88 95 169 114 100 100 Movables 78 47 227 248 100 100 1900 98 108 100 34 326 100 83 159 100 48 278 100 To sum up, Figure 1 suggests that the wealth composition for the entire nobility is not changing dramatically in the period while Tables 7 and 8 suggest that there is a group, corresponding to the high rank nobles, that is richer on average at the beginning of the period compared to the low rank and becomes increasingly richer up until 1900, with a 22 disproportionate advantage in the rural real estate ownership. The relative strengthening of the minority of high rank nobles could be caused by a general increase in their wealth, regardless of the source or conversely be linked to the increase of one particular source. Figures 2 and 3 show the composition of wealth within the two groups. The low nobility in Figure 2 shows a relative increase from 23 to 53 per cent of claims and investments. Rural real estate goes from 50 to 30 per cent while the rather small share represented by urban real estate doubles from 3 to 6. Movables decrease by half. Figure 3 shows a very different pattern for the high nobility, suggesting that claims and investments had a decrease by one third while rural real estate went from 37 to 69 per cent, dominating the wealth structure at the end of the period. Urban real estate had the reversed pattern compared to the low nobility while movables decreased by half. Figure 2 – The composition of wealth of the low nobility, 1750-1900. 60 50 Share 40 30 20 10 0 Claims and investments Rural real estate Urban real estate Movables 1750 23 50 3 24 1800 29 55 1 14 1850 31 36 6 26 1900 53 30 6 11 The picture that arises from these two figures points to a divergent pattern between the two groups. It appears as the low nobility transitioned from being fairly strong land owning class, mostly based in the country side and with a relatively small share of investment in their portfolio to a much more active and urbanized class. On the contrary, the high nobility has consolidated its share of rural real estate and has gained less and less from claims and investments. 23 Figure 3 – The composition of wealth of the high nobility, 1750-1900. 80 70 60 Share 50 40 30 20 10 0 Claims and investments Rural real estate Urban real estate Movables 1750 21 37 6 36 1800 23 58 1 17 1850 28 50 1 21 1900 14 69 3 15 One question to address is where this big increase in the share of rural real estate could originate from. In Table 9 we have estimated the development of land prices in our sample and we compare their increase with that of the consumer price index (CPI) by Edvinsson and Söderberg (2011) from 1800 onwards. Table 9 - Estimated land prices (riksdaler per mantal) and CPI, 1750 – 1900. Mean Median CPI1914=100 Land CPI (mean) change change 1800 2 039 1 333 23,368 1850 9 721 7 332 63,946 377% 146% 1900 39 188 33 675 78,086 303% 29% Source: see text. Table 9 suggests that the increase in land prices from 1800 to 1850 was more than twice in percentage terms compared to that of the CPI and even ten times larger from 1850 to 1900. The increase in land prices is therefore a strong candidate in explaining the divergence between low and high nobility in the period we are considering. In terms of comparison with previous literature, there are very few estimations done for land prices for this period. Svensson (2001: Appendix 7) has estimated the price of a farm in southern Sweden 1800 to 1870 and for the period 1800-1850 finds a price increase of 321 per cent, slightly lower than our estimate but still showing the same trend of more than tripled 24 prices during this period. Following the same series in Svensson (2001) the increase in land prices 1850 to 1870 is estimated around 168 per cent. Owning a landed estate was generally good economic business, and increasingly so during the 1800s. Big estates seem to have been more profitable than smaller ones. The overall return on investment in manorial estates was two to three percent higher than the interest rate (Olsson 2002: 323–337). Gårdlund (1947: 157) suggested that the major landowners in Sweden, although they belonged to the top income group, were quite insignificant when it came to financing the industrial investments in the period 1830–1913. Gårdlund’s argument was that the nobles instead used their capital to invest in their own business - agriculture. Our results confirm this interpretation if referred to the top group among the nobles but not to the majority of nobles. The low nobility was indeed involved in investments, probably because they were not given the option to buy the large (and more profitable) estates owned by the high nobility. 4.2. Regression analysis We now turn to estimating equation (3) and compare the results from the descriptive statistics proposed in Section 4.1 are somehow confirmed. Table 10 shows the regression repeated for each benchmark year on the unadjusted sample. The reason for using the unadjusted sample is to avoid running a model on a sample of replicated individuals that do not bring additional information on the relationship between the variables but would introduce a disturbance. In all years, the age variable is not significant. This is easily explained by the type of information provided by probate inventories: the younger part of the population that is the one that potentially did not yet accumulate wealth is heavily underrepresented. On the other hand, the sex of the deceased is significant and the coefficients are high in magnitude. In particular, being a man leads to almost 50% more net wealth in 1750 and more than twice in 1900. The urban context, defined as urban or rural is also highly significant, showing that the nobles based in urban areas (which for a large part of them will correspond to Stockholm) were almost twice as rich. The regional dimension appears to be important in the earlier years, with a negative effect for being based in the north and a positive one for being based in the centre when the baseline is the south. The rank of the noble is also significant in explaining the level of net wealth, as expected. Belonging to the high nobility increases net wealth by almost twice in all years except 1900 when the effect is around 56%. Being married also has a positive and significant effect due to the accumulation of wealth between spouses. The year of the ennoblement does not have a significant effect, suggesting that being a new or old noble was 25 not clearly associated with higher or lower levels of wealth. Moreover, on the shares of wealth, debts are of course associated with lower levels and in all years except the first while one additional share point of rural real estate had a positive effect on the net wealth of about 2.3% in 1800, 2.8% in 1850 and 3.4% in 1900. This result confirms the role of rural real estate in widening the gap between low and high nobles. Finally, the R2 of the regressions increases over time, suggesting that the variables proposed gain in relevance over the period. Table 10 – The determinants of wealth, 1750-1900 (unadjusted sample). Dep. var.: Log net wealth Age at death Male Urban context Svealand Norrland High nobility Married Widow/widower Divorced Year of ennoblement Share rural real estate Share debts Constant Observations R 2 (1) 1750 (2) 1800 (3) 1850 (4) 1900 0.00509 (0.00783) 0.476* (0.251) 0.144 (0.291) 0.486* (0.255) -1.646*** (0.214) 0.948*** (0.253) 0.723** (0.329) 0.449 (0.432) -0.356 (0.483) -6.65e-05 (0.000207) 0.000970 (0.00175) -0.00876* (0.00451) 6.658*** (0.616) -0.00873 (0.00709) 0.338 (0.285) 0.859*** (0.288) 0.461* (0.250) -0.423 (0.410) 0.944*** (0.300) 0.642* (0.353) 0.522 (0.372) 0.409 (0.866) -0.000126 (0.000278) 0.0231*** (0.00375) -0.0259*** (0.00633) 7.940*** (0.775) 0.00369 (0.0103) 0.778* (0.425) 0.931*** (0.317) 0.0555 (0.332) 0.345 (0.523) 1.220*** (0.382) 0.745 (0.492) 0.682 (0.501) 0.000425 (0.000309) 0.0278*** (0.00571) -0.00820 (0.00598) 6.825*** (1.046) 0.00107 (0.00759) 1.008*** (0.320) 0.936*** (0.310) 0.00596 (0.302) -0.453 (1.158) 0.559** (0.276) 1.833*** (0.352) 1.458*** (0.372) 0.0759 (0.371) 0.000390 (0.000239) 0.0345*** (0.00419) -0.0368*** (0.00688) 7.944*** (0.854) 176 0.305 200 0.514 194 195 0.207 0.357 Robust standard errors in parentheses *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1 Summing up, both the descriptive statistics and the regression analysis confirm the following picture for the patterns of wealth of the Swedish nobility in the period 1750-1900. 26 First of all, the Swedish nobility as a whole experienced in the period a decline in their share of total wealth as well as a reduction of the gap between their average wealth and that of the other social groups. In spite of this reduction, they still remained in 1900 the group with the highest average wealth. Within the nobility, the increase in inequality measured both through gini coefficients and top shares suggests that the reduction in average wealth did not take place uniformly in the group. By considering high and low nobility separately we were able to identify the widening gap between them in terms of average income. We were also able to differentiate four components of wealth and observe that although there is no appreciable change in the shares for the nobility as a whole, low and high nobility move towards very different distributions of wealth. The increased share of investment for the low nobility and rural real estate for the high nobility implies that rapidly increasing land prices led to this divergence. Regression analysis confirms the positive effect on wealth of being a high rank noble and of having a higher share of rural real estate as component of wealth. 5. Concluding remarks This paper aims to contributing to the debate on the role of the nobility during the first Swedish industrialization by producing, for the first time, precise and encompassing estimates of the nobles’ wealth. Our estimates offer a national coverage and allow for comparison with other social groups. The information gathered was used to test different hypotheses on what characteristics determined the wealth of the nobility in the period 1750-1900 and how it was divided by source. Our interpretation of the results points to a polarization within the nobility, with the high rank nobles becoming relatively richer than the low rank nobles. The former started holding more and more wealth in land while the latter moved towards investment. This finding suggests that the low nobles were having a more active role in the process of industrialization while the high ones kept a more traditional wealth profile. Our results speak to the previous literature on the European and Swedish nobility. In terms of the European context, Sweden provides picture in which the nobility is still the dominant class in average wealth although its share in the total wealth is greatly reduced. Given the advantage in the relative average wealth, it is hard to claim that a “pauperization” of the class was taking place. On Sweden, the declinist view by Carlsson (1979) and Elmroth (2001) are rejected in light of the persistence of the gap between the nobility and the rest of the society. The view by Norrby (2005) on a nobility with a different mentality from that of 27 the bourgeoisie is confirmed for the high nobility. However, the duality of the nobility is a novelty that the previous literature has not discussed based on quantitative evidence so far. Turning to the social mobility dimension, our results show that at the very top the prediction of low mobility by Clark (2012) seems confirmed. 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