Geoforum 30 (1999) 249±261 www.elsevier.com/locate/geoforum The political ecology of ¯ood hazard in urban Guyana Mark Pelling * Department of Geography, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 3BX, UK Received 11 August 1998; in revised form 25 February 1999 Abstract Some 90% of the Guyanese population are at risk from contemporary ¯ood hazard and the potential impacts of climate change and sea-level rise. Such risks are not the product of physical systems alone, and by using a political ecology frame the geography of ¯ood hazard in urban environments can be seen to coevolve with political, social and economic systems. These systems are explored by a historical review which traces the roots of present vulnerability to the colonial experience, and an analysis of contemporary vulnerabilities which draws from a peri-urban and an urban case study. The case studies show that the current fashion in international donor agencies to fund Ôcommunity sponsored developmentÕ has missed an opportunity to enhance security through grassroots empowerment, and rather that those community organisations associated with this system have been co-opted by political elites reproducing embedded distributions of power and vulnerability. Ó 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: Political ecology; Vulnerability; Urbanisation; Guyana; Flooding 1. Introduction ``The two-fold problem of the sea and the ¯oods is still with us (but) the problems of the world market have proved the more intractable'' (Anonymous, in Rodney, 1981:29). This re¯ection on the circumstances of sugar production was made in the 1880s by a spokesperson for Booker Brothers, a major investor in British GuianaÕs sugar industry. More than a century later it equally describes much of the present tension between the global political-economy and local environmental systems and development planning. This paper focuses on the production and maintenance of GuyanaÕs hazardous coastal environment and interprets environmental hazard as a product of risk and human vulnerability, with vulnerability being ``intimately connected with the continuing process of underdevelopment recorded throughout the world'' (OÕKeefe et al., 1976, 560). The work responds to a gap in the political ecology literature which, with a few exceptions (Swyngedouw, 1995, 1997), has tended to * E-mail: [email protected] concentrate on land resources and rural societal contexts (Bryant, 1998). Some 90% of GuyanaÕs population and 75% of its GNP producing activities are situated on the North Atlantic coastal plain, seldom more than 15 km wide and around 200 km long. The plain lies at about mean sea-level and is composed of Amazon clay deposits (Abernethy, 1980) producing a ¯at and easily waterlogged topography. Coastal geomorphology is dominated by the westward moving Guiana current which transports up to 25 million tons of sediment per month in mudbanks with wavelengths of about 40 km (NEDECO, 1972); Abernethy, 1980; Allersma, 1990). The passage of these mudbanks creates a cyclic pattern to coastal erosion and accretion, though the process is disturbed by the out¯ows of major rivers such as the Essequibo. GuyanaÕs colonial experience and post-colonial modernisation projects have transformed the coastal environment. The coastal mangrove swamps have been drained, and mangrove wood extracted and replaced by sea-walls, irrigation canals, polders and human settlement (FAO, 1990; Bynoe, 1996; Williams, 1997). This has created a Ôsecond natureÕ (Smith, 1984) requiring high levels of human inputs (labour and ®nancial) to maintain. The failure of the coastal political economy to 0016-7185/99/$ - see front matter Ó 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. PII: S 0 0 1 6 - 7 1 8 5 ( 9 9 ) 0 0 0 1 5 - 9 250 M. Pelling / Geoforum 30 (1999) 249±261 produce, or access from external sources, the inputs required for its maintenance has made the settled coast vulnerable to environmental hazard and the potential impacts of climate change (drought, ¯ooding and sealevel rise). 2. The political ecology of hazard Hazards exist both as discursive constructs and as actually felt phenomena. This necessitates conceiving of hazard as operating at the level of political discourse as well as political action. Such a view is not new to political ecology (Peet and Watts, 1996), but it is to hazards analysis. This paper deals with the institutional structures and cultural norms which shape negotiations between political actors for control over urban development resources, and the geography of vulnerability that is produced. Although much of the debate on vulnerability has taken place within the contexts of famine and rural society (Devereaux, 1993), analyses have begun to apply to a broader range of hazards and societal circumstances. Moser et al. (1994) argue that urban societies have different sources of vulnerability to rural societies, because of commoditization (integration into a cash economy), additional sources of environmental danger (poor housing and infrastructure and industrial pollution), and social fragmentation (loss of supportive social networks, greater social problems). In contrast, previous analysis had considered rural populations as most at risk, because of the greater availability of services, infrastructure and economic resources in urban areas (Dreze and Sen, 1991). Clearly the context of risk is critical for the production of relative vulnerabilities. The comparison of peri-urban and urban vulnerabilities below adds to this discussion. Vulnerability for individuals and social groups has three components; exposure, resilience and resistance. These components are simultaneously the products of political and socio-economic structures and the capacity of individual actors and social institutions to adapt to hazard stress. This capacity is rooted an agentÕs ability to compete for access to rights, resources and assets (Sen, 1981; Blaikie et al., 1994), and takes on their ¯uctuating status. In any social setting, poverty and vulnerability are often closely linked ± but they are not equivalent terms. Poor households are constantly having to Ôplay oÕ poverty and vulnerability (Swift, 1989), invariably ÔchoosingÕ to accept greater vulnerability in their battle against daily poverty (Chambers, 1995). Decision-making power is central to the distribution of dierential vulnerabilities, and is negotiated between institutions which dier in their scales of in¯uence, access to information and resources, and legal and cultural rights and responsibilities. For institutions such as households, public agencies and private organisations it is information and cultural norms, in¯uenced by expectations, historical experience and political context, that shape the development discourse in which understandings of a hazard or resource are embedded (Pelling, 1998a). This can be seen in the dierent perspectives held for elements of the anthropomorphised environment, which may be variously described as hazards, as resources or considered benign. Competing views can be held by dierent actors for the same environmental element or phenomena, as has been shown by the debate over solid waste as a resource or hazard. Such dierences of perception are often experienced as a con¯ict between grassroots knowledge and expert knowledge systems (Grove-White, 1996) both of which need to be recognised for mechanisms which reproduce risk, vulnerability and hazard to be more fully understood (Pugh, 1996). 3. Historicising power and vulnerability In Eurocentric discourse the low-lying mangrove coast of Guyana changed from an inhospitable and hazardous barrier to trade, the ÔSavage CoastÕ of the 17th and 18th centuries, to a fertile resource for plantation agriculture, the ÔRice Bowl of the CaribbeanÕ, in the 19th and 20th centuries. This transformation of the imagination, underpinned by the political and economic imperatives of the time, has been inscribed onto the Guyanese natural and human landscape through the drainage, empoldering and permanent settlement of the coast ± its capture and incorporation into the national and global capitalist productive systems. However, the fragile and super®cial nature of this transformation has been made apparent through the resurgence of the coast as a hazard, as levels of human resilience (the ability to manage water resources) ¯uctuate in the face of environmental and economic stresses with their roots in the historical development of the national and international political-economy (Pelling, 1996). Permanent European settlement of Guyana occurred in the 1600s. Little is documented from before this time, although it is reckoned that some 160,000 Amerindians from the Warao and Arawak nations inhabited the coast and coastal rivers at the time of the ®rst European encounter (Colchester, 1997). The period from 1600 to the present day can be divided into three principal phases of development; the colonial period from 1600 to 1965, the immediate post-colonial period from 1966 to 1985 and an ongoing period of liberalisation from 1986. Initial European settlement at interior, riverine sites enabled mercantile trade with the indigenous population M. Pelling / Geoforum 30 (1999) 249±261 (Fig. 1). However, by the late 1700s the locus of production and settlement had shifted to the coast (Glasgow, 1970; Latchmansingh, 1994). This change had its roots in the dynamic European political-economy which manifest locally in a movement in the productive base from mercantile trade to direct production through coee and cotton plantations, requiring the fertile soils of the coast (Daly, 1974; Rodney, 1981; Spinner, 1984). Clearing the coastal mangrove forest and establishing plantations required massive labour inputs, provided by slave labour, and access to investment capital and technological expertise. This was facilitated in 1746 by the passing of a policy in which Dutch Guiana opened its borders to settlers and investors of any nationality. British Guiana was constituted in 1831, the century which followed was a period of consolidation for coastal settlement and plantation production. The coastal environment became increasingly anthropomorphised with the construction of the East and West Demerara Water Conservancies in the 1840s to provide irrigation water and ¯ood control for the coastal plantations (Fig. 1). Until 1941 ¯ood protection was a private responsibility, and there were great disparities in the capacity of private land-owners to provide for this. Independent villages founded by emancipated Africans from 1839, and by ex-indentured Indian, Chinese and Portuguese migrants from 1873 were most at risk (Rodney, 1981; Baber and Jerey, 1986; Lakhan, 1994; Williams, 1997). Social control in this period was based on a local variant of the British doctrine of Ôdivide and ruleÕ, in which dierent ethnic groups were aorded legally de®ned privileges control- 251 ling access to dierent economic sectors. Williams (1991) argues that the roots of contemporary ethnic tensions can be traced back to this period. It was during the colonial period that Georgetown emerged as the capital city and one with high vulnerability to ¯ood risk. Despite some major public and private investments Georgetown suered from large scale ¯ooding in 1855 and 1872 (Latchmansingh, 1994). As GeorgetownÕs population grew so did the health risk and sanitation schemes for Georgetown were proposed as early as 1854, however it was only in 1924 that work on an urban sewerage system was commenced. The delay in public spending contrasts with other South American cities in which municipal water utilities were established in the second half of the nineteenth century. This can be explained by the peripheral status of the Caribbean territories within the British Empire at this time, also more locally by political domination of the planter class over any urban bourgeois class, and the economic crisis from 1883 to 1902 brought about by competition from European sugar beet producers. In 1966 Guyana gained independence, though in the process a once ethnically united independence movement was fractured in two: the PeopleÕs Progressive Party (PPP) with rural and Indo-Guyanese support, and the PeopleÕs National Congress (PNC) with a more urban and largely Afro-Guyanese constituency. The PNC remained in power from 1966 until 1992 with a single leader, Forbes Burnham, until his death in 1985. The Burnham era of so-called Ôco-operative socialismÕ was characterised by electoral fraud and political violence Fig. 1. A Sketchmap of the Guyanese coastal plain. 252 M. Pelling / Geoforum 30 (1999) 249±261 creating a de facto one party state which became increasingly isolated internationally. By the 1980s political closure, suppression of civil society, under-development of the private sector, co-option of the labour and womenÕs movements and political rent seeking on a grand scale were being translated into economic crisis and outmigration. This culminated in the withdrawal of World Bank/International Monetary Fund recognition in 1982. Over this period poverty and vulnerability became increasingly widespread, and risk grew with a reactive strategy in ¯ood control of Ôcrisis managementÕ (Camacho, 1988). The rural areas, predominantly settled by the Indo-Guyanese were most at risk with large areas of cultivable land becoming salinated or eroded. Although a secure sea-wall was built to protect Georgetown shortly after independence, the city's inhabitants received little more support than in rural areas (Halcrow, 1994b). With the death of Burnham in 1985, leadership of the PNC transferred to Desmond Hoyte. Responding to local and international pressures, Hoyte embarked upon a project of liberalisation, privatisation and democratisation with the International Monetary Fund renegotiating a structural adjustment programme (SAP) with Guyana in the late 1980s (Ferguson, 1995). Free elections held in 1992 and 1996 were won by the PPP, however to a large extent broad policy for this period to the present day is shaped by requirements of the SAP (Grith, 1997). Indeed throughout the 1990s real earnings have declined hitting hardest in the urban centres and amongst the Afro-Guyanese community many of whom have been retrenched from down-sizing in the public sector. Consequently, Georgetown has resurfaced as a centre of extreme vulnerability to coastal ¯ood hazard. Associated with the SAP is the creation of a ÔparticipatoryÕ or community sponsored development programme. For local communities it provides a second route of resource distribution in parallel with government line ministries and local government. The funds are targeted for projects which have been proposed by ocially recognised community groups, which, as a response have also risen greatly in number since 1990. There is, however, some considerable doubt over the meaningfulness of the participation associated with this programme, so that notwithstanding super®cial decentralisation in decision-making, deeper structures of political patronage and information asymmetries continue to in¯uence the distribution of resources between and within communities and so to aect the production of vulnerability to ¯ood hazard (Pelling, 1998b). Despite the continuing vulnerability of this coast to ¯ood hazard, at the time of this study there remained no organised disaster response mechanism. Spring high tide warnings posted in the national press and state radio constitute the only disaster preparedness programme. A National Relief Commission, the Guyana Red Cross, the Salvation Army and the Social Impact Amelioration Project have all been active in providing relief aid, but there is no established co-ordinating unit for disaster preparedness, relief or post disaster planning. No independent assessment of the methods used for identifying bene®ciaries of disaster relief or of the appropriateness of this relief and extent of post disaster planning has been made (Swedeplan, 1995). 4. Contemporary vulnerabilities in the urban environment The historical review above demonstrates the key role played by political power in the shaping of vulnerabilities. This position is supported below by a ®eld study examination of the contemporary geography of vulnerability. The study looked at two sample areas in which ¯ood risk, exposure, vulnerability and impact were assessed. Both areas, one urban and one peri-urban, fall within the hydrological regime of the East Demerara Water Conservancy and are considered to be at high risk from ¯ooding (Halcrow, 1994b; Pelling, 1996). The periurban case study of 569 households was drawn from six neighbourhoods in a village on the coast some 16 km east of the capital, the urban study of 240 households was drawn from four neighbourhoods in Greater Georgetown. At present, with the exception of Georgetown, the east Demerara coast is poorly defended against coastal erosion (DHV, 1992; World Bank, 1993). Sea-defences are under most pressure between October and March when spring high tides coincide with afternoon onshore winds. The coastline to the north-east of Georgetown has experienced great change since settlement in the mid 1700s with two estates being lost before the present seawall was constructed in the twentieth century (James, 1920). More recently, Singhroy (1997) shows coastal retreat along the coast by comparing photographic images of the coast from 1972 and 1992. Rainfall and land-drainage are additional sources of ¯ood hazard on the coastal plain. There are two wet seasons (May±July and November±January) with mean annual precipitation of 2500 mm at Georgetown (NEDECO, 1972). Numerous small rivers (discharge 250±1000 m3 /s) enter the coastal plain at which point many of their waters are captured by the East Demerara Water Conservancy which acts as a ¯ood control reservoir. Overland drainage is facilitated by a gravity system of drainage and irrigation (D and I) canals running from the water conservancy dam to ÔclokersÕ at the sea or river defenses many of which are only open to discharge for 7±14 h in 24. Settlements M. Pelling / Geoforum 30 (1999) 249±261 253 have residential drainage systems which are integrated with the main drainage canals. The East Demerara Water Conservancy dam and much of the major D and I infrastructure and has suered from inadequate maintenance resulting in overtopping, the threat of dam breaching (Camacho, 1994), and a reduction in the capacity of the drainage system to store or discharge ¯ood waters. Highest ¯ood risk is experienced adjacent to the sea-wall where threat of overtopping and sea-wall breaches coincides with the run-o accumulation. Throughout the coastal plain most residential land-use is located in this zone of maximum hazard. 5. The peri-urban study The Social Impact and Amelioration Programme (SIMAP) identi®ed 18 villages with a total population of 26,673 in immediate need of improved residential drainage to prevent run-o ¯ooding (1991). No formal data exists on ¯ood frequency, between February 1990 and June 1996 seven events were reported in the press. In these cases direct economic losses incurred by pettyagriculturists were estimated to be around US$1000 to US$50,000 per village (Pelling, 1996). In the peri-urban study households were at risk from everyday ¯ood events as a result of rainwater or irrigation water accumulating behind the sea-wall and over¯owing drainage canals during high tide when gravity drainage was inoperable, and from sea-wall overtopping; and also from higher magnitude, episodic events due to high rainfall or sea-wall breaches. At the time of the study, the most recent episodic event to impact directly upon this community was a sea-wall breach in 1993 which was linked to two mortalities from typhoid. The presence of this risk is also shown in comparatively high values for costs of opportunities lost, around one quarter of respondents had given up petty-agriculture because of the threat of ¯ooding. In a similar fashion to ChamberÕs ratchet eect of vulnerability, reducing livelihood options narrows scope for responding to external economic pressures and so increases household vulnerability overall. The locations of the neighbourhoods are shown in Fig. 2 and their characteristics in Table 1. 5.1. Observed vulnerabilities Whilst high income was associated with greater security (home ownership, dwelling security, less household density) it was also linked to higher incidences of ¯ood losses (75% of households with less than G$30,000/month; and 82% of households with more than G$30,000/month suered direct economic losses). Fig. 2. A Sketchmap of the Peri-Urban samples. However, in absolute terms it is likely that higher income households were more able to absorb such losses than lower-income households. A clearer indicator in the peri-urban analysis was household tenure. Renter households tended not to live in adapted dwellings (64%, compared to 80% of owners and 87% of squatters) or to take part in communal action to improve the local environment (9%, compared to 14% of owners and 23% of squatters) and so became vulnerable to ¯ood risk. Owners had most access to septic tanks (11%, compared to 4% of renters and 0% of squatters), though throughout the village pit latrines were the usual form of sanitation so that individual household security to the health impacts of ¯ooding is unlikely to have been greatly enhanced. Squatter households were the most vulnerable group with many squatters having little access to economic resources and through living in overcrowded households and neighbourhoods lacking sanitary infrastructure. Some security had been gained by individual adaptation through raising dwellings and opportunities to mobilise social assets shown by the high proportion of respondents with relatives also living in the village (72%, compare to 66% of renters and 67% of owners) and participation in community action. As Fig. 2 shows, many squatters also lived in a site away from the sea-wall with lower risk of ¯ooding. Hence, locational assets, coupled with individual and collective adaptive action reduced risk of ¯ooding in this highly vulnerable group. Households in this predominantly Indo-Guyanese peri-urban village with female or male/joint headship showed very similar patterns of vulnerability, risk and ¯ood impact. Female headed households were dierentiated only by a lower likelihood of participation in community based action (9%, compared to 25% of male/ joint households) and by a lower proportion of respon- 254 M. Pelling / Geoforum 30 (1999) 249±261 Table 1 Neighbourhood characteristics Neighbourhood Characteristics Plaisance south Plaisance north Plaisance pasture Towler town Bellview Charity Core settlement, middle income, low ¯ood risk, council representation. Middle/low income, high ¯ood risk, council and community group representation. Low income, many petty-agriculturalists, high ¯ood risk, council and community group representation. Low income, squatter settlement, very high ¯ood risk, no political representation or community organisation. Low income, squatter settlement, medium ¯ood risk, informal community representation. Low income, re-settlement from Towler Town, medium ¯ood risk, informal community representation. dents with relatives living in the village (66%, compared to 73% of male/joint households), both indicating that social isolation was experienced by this group. 6. The Georgetown study Georgetown is protected from seawater intrusion but remains at risk from run-o accumulation. Since no recent change in annual rainfall patterns have been noted (Kemp, 1993, 1994), the observed increase in ¯ooding has been associated with a range of human processes. Impervious areas within Georgetown increased by 50% between 1963 and 1993, raising the volume of run-o channeled through GeorgetownÕs drainage system. At the same time, drainage capacity has been reduced due to the in®lling of drains, inadequate maintenance of existing drainage, the use of drains for informal refuse disposal and the use of drainage reserves for informal housing and petty-agriculture. Since 1989 uncontrolled urban expansion into unserviced areas has similarly increased city vulnerability to ¯ooding from high rainfall events (Halcrow, 1994a). Sea-level rise will further reduce the eciency of the cityÕs gravity drainage (Camacho, 1994; Swedeplan, 1995) and may induce a rise in ground-water level. Climate change adds further uncertainty to hydraulic systems, with global warming being associated with increased precipitation (Fowler and Hennessy, 1995). The locations of the four study areas are shown in Table 2 and their locations in Fig. 3. All sites were classi®ed as being at high risk of ¯ooding (Halcrow, 1994b) despite their varied char- acteristics which were derived from 1991 census data and ®eld observation. 6.1. Observed vulnerabilities The ®rst records for Georgetown (Stabroek) in 1781 put the population at 780, this increased to 8810 in 1820; 48,828 in 1911 and peaked at 174,000 in 1980. Since then population has stagnated which places Georgetown in the unusual position of being a city suering from environmental hazard and economic hardship but without the high rates of population growth with which such conditions are usually associated (Chan and Parker, 1996). In this case it is a failure in service provision rather than increased demand that has led to a worsening of environmental quality and increased environmental hazard. This is demonstrated by high infant mortality rates, estimated to be 70/1000 in under one-year olds and 73/1000 in children under ®ve years of age. Intestinal infectious diseases, which can be attributed to GeorgetownÕs deteriorated environment account for about 25% of recorded infant deaths (PAHO/WHO, 1993). Several localised ¯oods occur in Georgetown each year with press reports mentioning 21 between January 1990 and June 1996 (Pelling, 1997), and it has been estimated that 30% of GeorgetownÕs population suer ¯ooding at least once a year (Halcrow, 1994a). Because ¯ooding was imposed upon a largely pre-existing urban structure, all social classes and urban environments had become potentially vulnerable to ¯ood hazard and its impacts. Following 153 mm of rain recorded over 24 h on 12 November 1995 a ¯ood impact assessment was undertaken (Pelling, 1997). Table 2 Neighbourhood characteristics Neighbourhood Characteristic Wortmanville West Ruinveldt West Sophia Inner-city, low income, limited service provision, no community organisation. Suburban, low income, very limited service provision, no community organisation. Suburban, squatter settlement with many dwellings less than 5 years old, mixed income, no service provision, community organisation. Suburban, high income, limited service provision, community organisation. Bel Air Park M. Pelling / Geoforum 30 (1999) 249±261 255 Fig. 3. Urban neighbourhoods and ¯ood risk, Georgetown. Redrawn from Halcrow (1994b), Fig. 3. `Areas aected by improper drainage', Georgetown Water and Sewerage Masterplan Part IV ± Primary Drainage System, Volume 1, Existing Services. A high proportion of low-income households lived in squatter dwellings (35%, compared to 18% of households with incomes above G$30,000/month) and used pit latrines (47%, compared to 22% of households with incomes above G$30,000/month), they were more often headed by women (35%, compared to 16% of households with incomes above G$30,000/month), but more active in community based action (34%, compared with 25% of households with incomes above G$30,000/ month) than higher income households. This group recorded a high proportion of ¯ooded dwellings (30%, compare to 21% of households with incomes above G$30,000/month), but a similar pattern of impacts compared to the higher income group. Household tenure revealed a continuum of increasing vulnerability from owners through renters to squatters based upon reported access to economic and infrastructural resources. However, the urban squatter group had reduced risk by engaging in household adaptation (66%, compared to 48% of owners and 28% of renters) and participation in community action (49%, compared to 20% of renters and 7% of owners) to enhance local environmental conditions. It is perhaps partly because of this communal action that the squatter community included in this study did not ¯ood on 12 November. There was little dierence between renters and owners in the likelihood of ¯ooding or suering direct economic losses or health impacts. Female headed households in the mixed Indo- and Afro-Guyanese urban samples were marked by their low access to economic resources (25% had incomes above G dollars 30,000/month, compared to 48% for male/joint headed households). Rental accommodation was the most common form of tenure which in part explains why individual dwelling adaptation was low (33% had yard or dwellings raised, compared to 43% of male/joint headed households). In contrast to the peri-urban sample, urban women headed households were, however, active in community based action (20%, compare to 13% of male/joint households). Further analysis at the neighbourhood level found that high income households (for example, in Bel Air 256 M. Pelling / Geoforum 30 (1999) 249±261 Park) were exposed to ¯ooding but had been able to manage vulnerabilities to some extent through the transfer of ¯ood impacts from health to economic investment and loss. Similar avoidance of ¯ood impacts (though from a very vulnerable base) was identi®ed for low-income households living in recently constructed self-help dwellings (West Sophia) who had responded to contemporary environmental conditions and so reduced individual vulnerabilities. Such ¯exibility was not encountered in formal housing areas within the urban or peri-urban studies where dwelling form and drainage infrastructure were more ®xed and responsibility for living environments was less clear, being shared between house owners, landlords, tenants and municipal authorities. Tenure was a key indicator of vulnerability at the aggregate level, with squatters showing the highest vulnerability to ¯ood impacts, although risk of ¯ooding was reduced in this group. In Guyana squatting has been historically a rural or peri-urban phenomena. However, the proportion of households living in squatter dwellings in urban Georgetown has grown at an increasing rate throughout the 1990s, from 1 household/1000 in 1980; to, 35 households/1000 in 1990; and 70 households/1000 in 1995 (Pelling, 1992; Payne, 1996). Despite some individual and communal success at risk management, squatter households displayed very high vulnerability to potential ¯ood impacts. The continuing shortfall in formal public and private housing provision clearly represents a major environmental problem in Georgetown. Some 25% of the households in Region 4 are headed by women (IICA/FAD, 1994) and women are known to be disproportionately aected by inadequate infrastructure since their labour time is increased by having to acquire water or dispose of waste (Peake, 1993). Furthermore, women are made vulnerable to the loss of economic and social assets following divorce or separation from long-term partners. Legal protection is available, but those women most in need of support ± those with least assets ± are likely to be those least aware of their legal rights or are those most alienated from the legal system (Trotz, 1995). Household data also indicated that even within long-term unions, some women were prevented from active participation in community organisation, thus increasing the marginalisation of women and reducing the representativeness of community organisation. This study also highlighted the importance of ethnicity in the production of vulnerability in female headed households. The aggregated results are somewhat limited in that they masked the negotiation of asset accumulation and expenditure which took place within individual households, and the complexity of decisions to be made by households weighing up risks from social and economic, as well as environmental hazard. In particular, social assets were important for managing vulnerabilities within low-income and squatter groups. However, it was amongst these groups, that social resources were least developed outside the family or household with households preferring to invest social capital in the household or family. It is to a discussion of the role played social assets, and of the interaction between households, public agents and community organisations in the distribution of information and resources and hence in the reproduction of vulnerability that we now turn. 7. Power, resistance and vulnerability For a democratic polity to function meaningfully it requires political competition and popular participation. Neither of these conditions are met in the Guyanese case. Despite the apparently far-reaching political and economic reforms made in Guyana in the 1980s and 1990s, decision-making power continues to be held centrally by national political elites that draw upon racially de®ned constituencies. The racial bias in voting patterns together with the demographic structure of the electorate and the current electoral system undermine meaningful political competition. Similarly, whilst popular participation is often lauded in policy documentation and political rhetoric it is less easy to identify in the structures of everyday decisionmaking. The participatory model supported by the international donor agencies was the most conspicuous mechanism for participation in decision-making for environmental management. It had been principally applied in peri-urban settlements. Because of an ongoing IDB Urban Rehabilitation Programme funding agencies were reluctant to fund urban based projects. In the peri-urban communities grassroots participation in decision-making through this model was seen to have been undermined from initiation by the top-down construction of ÔcommunityÕ groups in which leaders and members were self-selecting from within established elite groups. In this local political environment the new Ôcommunity leadersÕ were closely associated with local government eecting the co-option of community organisation by political elites at the local level. In this way local elites were able to retain local decision-making power and control over (and possibly rent from) environmental rehabilitation projects (Pelling, 1998b). As with the peri-urban groups, it was common for community group leaders in the urban sample to have direct links with political parties. Indeed, there was evidence of political activists being a dominant force in social organising at the grassroots level in Georgetown (UNDP, 1995), though these groups were presented as M. Pelling / Geoforum 30 (1999) 249±261 community based rather than branch groups of political parties. This brings into question the extent to which the aims of the political activists and the community can be reconciled, and the contradictory nature of leadership which lies at the heart of leadership/community relations in both urban and peri-urban communities (Pelling, 1998b). In the majority of urban and peri-urban neighbourhoods respondents acknowledged that the aims of local leaders dominated the wider interests of the host community, and that the community advocate role of leaders was often left unful®lled. A prime example of this con¯ict of interest is seen in one peri-urban leader whose ®rst project was to re-surface an access road to his property and workplace. However, for communities with insucient economic resources to access goods and services from the private sector, leadership with political contact or even political aliation was likely to be the best means of accessing external support of any kind, whilst minimising risk taking and resource expenditure for the individual household. As has been found elsewhere (Desai, 1995), patronage can be a useful resource for marginalised and otherwise excluded groups to access decision-making power. The problematic nature of the present system of environmental management was demonstrated further by community ÔresistanceÕ (Scott, 1985, 1990) to the form of community participation operationalised in Guyana. Public forms of resistance were uncommon but had been observed; Plaisance North formed its own Ôlocal community groupÕ with the hope of dislodging an imposed Ôcommunity groupÕ which was controlled by a senior local government member, and in Plaisance Pasture a letter was sent to the national press openly criticising the disbursement of community funds within the local authority area. Resistance to structures of political authority can also be read into the high non-payment of local government property rates 33% in Georgetown, 1992 and also in the increasing reluctance for grassroots actors to volunteer labour or resources for ÔparticipatoryÕ development works. The contradictory relationship between leaders and community is best shown here, with one leader responding to low community participation rates by suggesting his perceived role of directing local environmental rehabilitation schemes would be made more eective if the requirement for active community support for projects was dropped from funding agency requirements. A further, concealed, but direct, expression of resistance came from respondents during questionnaire interviews. Although supportive of, or ambivalent towards community leadership during formal questionnaire interviews, during more informal conversations distrust of leadership and feelings of exclusion from the decision-making process which was felt to have been 257 captured by the local political/economic elite were commonly expressed. Resistance was accompanied by withdrawal from community action and a retreat into the household or family. Withdrawal needs to be seen in the context of recent Guyanese political history which promoted a tendency for grassroots actors to be dependent upon socially or spatially external agents for local environmental decision-making. It also re¯ects contemporary risk aversion and a wariness of, and uncertainty in, the social and economic costs and bene®ts that participation might bring to an individual or community. In hazard management withdrawal was best seen in a preference for household centred adaptation (raising yards or modifying dwellings) over communal action (drain cleaning, garbage collection) which took place despite the greater security gains to be made from communal action. Guyanese society, and in particular the status of local ÔconstructiveÕ social capital (social networks underpinned by cultural norms that promote horizontal integration and inclusivity with accountability to the wider community), continued to be deeply in¯uenced by the legacy of the centralised and oppressive political regime of the 1970s and 1980s, which eroded civil society to its most basic elements of social organisation (the household and family). The suppression of the private sector and civil society over this period put the public sector and hence political decision-makers centre stage in the distribution of resources for environmental management. Restructuring decision-making networks to enhance grassroots participation has, therefore, to overcome both a withdrawal of civil society and an entrenched (and adaptive) political elite. With this in mind, it is not surprising that the super®cial and quick ®x approaches to the ÔconstructionÕ (Evans, 1996) of bene®cial social capital which have been employed in the present ÔparticipatoryÕ mechanisms have failed to make decision-making more inclusive, to empower grassroots actors or to strengthen horizontal social linkages between grassroots actors. In both studies it was those neighbourhoods characterised by high vulnerability to ¯ooding (low-income, agricultural livelihoods, rental and squatter households, inadequate physical infrastructure) where leadership from community based organisations or patronage based local authority representation was most absent (Tables 1 and 2). Even within those peri-urban neighbourhoods with formally recognised community organisations, vulnerable individuals (low-income householders, renters, petty-agriculturalists, femaleheaded households, the young and old) were excluded from the decision-making networks which were composed of house owning businessmen with relatively high socio-economic status. Earlier studies have found a similar disjuncture between the characteristics of a 258 M. Pelling / Geoforum 30 (1999) 249±261 heterogeneous community and its homogeneous and exclusive leadership (Verba, 1978; Desai, 1995). In this way, the community sponsored development of the donor agencies can be seen to have been subject to cooptation by an entrenched and politicised elite which was able to adapt to changing mechanisms of resources disbursement and so resist challenges to its control over local resource expenditure decision-making. The most vulnerable communities were not served by this system. Neither the self-help nor the empowerment that might have provided bases for social development and the strengthening of local social capital as precursors for more representative community organisation were apparent, and consequently an eective mechanism for the distribution of development resources to reduce vulnerability was lost (Pelling, 1998b). In addition, the local knowledge held by the most vulnerable groups was not brought into the project process. Despite a contrasting structure of local governance and a dierent set of political actors, very similar problems were identi®ed in the Georgetown study: structural resource scarcity and inecient management in the public sector undermined eorts to bring decisionmaking closer to the local level (decentralisation and democratisation), and the historic marginalisation and ongoing underdevelopment of the private sector and civil society prevented a mixed framework for resource distribution of public, private and civil society mechanisms from evolving. Here, politicisation was not only a characteristic of emerging grassroots organisation (UNDP, 1995), but also of relations between dierent scales of government bureaucracy (Guyana Review, 1997), and in this sense ¯ooding and vulnerability were outcomes of a political discourse as well as environmental change. In both case studies, community based organisations re¯ected the partisan political landscape of Guyana. Horizontal linkages between grassroots actors remained undeveloped, and may even have been weakened by recent participatory projects (NDI, 1995), and vertical linkages were underdeveloped or had been incorporated into systems of patronage. It is this legacy which allowed the capture of community leadership by political elites in the peri-urban case, and explains the preference expressed, in particular by squatter groups, in Georgetown to make alliances with the dominant political party of the day. There remains a gap between the lowest levels of government (municipal, local) and host communities, and similarly in Georgetown a gap between the municipal authority and the national government. The size of these gaps allowed inecient governance to operate, and opened resource distribution for environmental management to rent seeking and partisan political in¯uence (van der Linden, 1997). This shaped the distribution of environmental infrastructure and services and allowed political power to produce distorted geographies of neighbourhood vulnerability to ¯ood hazard. 8. Political ecology and hazards revisited Hazard analysis typically looks retrospectively at social relations in the context of a single event, justifying this because of the extreme magnitude of the physical or human impacts. This study took a somewhat dierent approach, conceiving of ¯ood hazard as an ongoing, everyday state in which extreme, episodic ¯ood events were embedded. This made the process of vulnerability more visible. Because societies in the South are experiencing rapidly changing socio-economic and political in¯uences (e.g. structural adjustment, democratisation and war), it is the processes by which individuals and collective groups are made vulnerable, rather than the explicit vulnerabilities themselves which will be of most bene®t in formulating mitigation strategies. It should be noted that environmental hazard provided opportunities as well as constraints for those affected. The focus of this study was on providing an analysis of the distribution of constraints imposed upon human activity through ¯ood hazard. But there were bene®ciaries of ¯ood hazard. In particular, ¯ooding and more importantly the resources it attracted, were a potential source of rents for institutions at the national and local level, as well as for individuals and private sector entrepreneurs. Amongst the private sector many petty or informal workers occupied the service provision roles abdicated by the state, and bene®ted ®nancially as labourers contracted to raise yards, clear drains, collect garbage or sell drinking water. However, the underdevelopment of the private sector meant that most entrepreneurial activity in this sector was informal so that in contrast to the Ôwater speculatorsÕ of Guayaquil (Swyngedouw, 1995) the gains made by petty-capitalists were modest and not sucient to raise these individuals out of poverty. Rather, it was the local and national political and economic elites that had the most to gain from the present institutional framework for resource distribution. Despite a rhetoric of participation and inclusivity, managerialist perspectives of society/environment relations dominated decision-making discourse. This was seen in the ÔblamingÕ of popular, informal social institutions (cultures, norms and practices) for local, though widespread, environmental degradation. Labelling of the poor and politically voiceless has parallels with early research in rural political ecology where, for example, it was at the grassroots level, in this case peasant farmers, that blame was ®rst placed for soil loss in the Sahel. More recent work (Blaikie and Brook®eld, 1987; Leach and Mearns, 1996) has reconstructed conceptu- M. Pelling / Geoforum 30 (1999) 249±261 alisations of environmental change, placing more emphasis on the reasons for practices resulting in soil loss, and indeed questioning that soil loss has been occurring at all. That the practices of the impoverished can be straightforwardly linked to degraded environments (in which the poor must live) continues to linger in constructions of urban socio-environmental relations. Here, Ôbad citizensÕ are blamed directly for dumping of garbage and waste into drainage canals, for failing to enter into the Ôpublic spiritÕ of municipal city cleaning days, of contaminating canals with human and household waste, of allowing cattle to roam the city and for creating their own vulnerability (and societal costs through health care or eviction expenditure) by colonising seawall or canal reserves for informal housing. In this way the structural problems underlying individual acts are overlooked and proximate causes of vulnerability and risk too easily become the core concern of management discourse. 9. Conclusion Political ecology puts explanatory emphasis on political power and social organisation in the shaping of the ÔnaturalÕ environment, and encourages an historical examination of the processes that produce geographies of environmental and social distress. At ®rst glance the built environment appears to fall outside of such a conceptualisation, with ÔnaturalÕ processes being apparently subjugated by human agency. However, the domination of nature, even in cities, is only partial. Cities are constrained, for example, by their lack of capacity to manage water and air resources and cope with the production of waste. At times, and in places of social vulnerability these constraints can manifest as environmental hazard. The development history of Guyana shows the in¯uence of local agency, as well as of dynamic pressures in the core regions of the global political-economy, for shaping society/nature relations and experiences of environmental hazard. Within Guyana these pressures manifest as local conditions which characterise vulnerability to urban ¯ood hazard, they include: reduced access to economic assets for the poor majority, inadequacy in infrastructure provision, the gendered and ethnic nature of social systems, partisan politics and an underdeveloped civil society. Those social groups most likely to experience vulnerability were found to be: lowincome households, renters, squatters, female-headed households, the young, the old and the in®rm. However between urban and peri-urban households, vulnerability was found to be dierentially constructed according to livelihood, the cultural norms of dierent ethnic groupsespecially in relation to female participation in the labour market and community activities, and the mecha- 259 nisms of infrastructure provision. Consequently in the urban sample it was inner-city residents using bottom houses that endured greatest vulnerability, whilst in the peri-urban sample petty-agriculturalists were most at risk. Whilst global pressures may be outside the scope of national planning, the political-ecology approach has allowed social capital and institutional organisation to emerge as important local elements in shaping the distribution of assets and hence the production of geographies of vulnerability in urban Guyana. Weaknesses in these elements of the political-economy point towards the need for reform in the institutional framework within which decision-making for environmental management is conducted. This may best be achieved from a polycentric or Ômulti-institutionalÕ perspective which recognises the value of public, private and civil society involvement in the provision of goods and services. 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