Governance of Small-Scale Fisheries importance, vulnerability and deficient knowledge Jeppe Kolding (UiB) Christophe Benė (IDS) Maarten Bavinck (UvA) FiskeriFaglig Forum, 2014 Governance and knowledge Governance is about getting and dispersing power – the power to steer! Power holders are always selective in the field of knowledge. They choose the knowledge they like and suppress the knowledge that threatens them Just like we choose (or are taught) to believe in some information, and ignore or distrust other. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 3 citations from IPCC AR5 WGII Ch. 7 (1) 1. Key adaptations for fisheries and aquaculture include policy and management to maintain ecosystems in a state that is resilient to change 3 citations from IPCC AR5 WGII Ch. 7 (2) 2. In addition to measures of calorie availability, food security can be broadened to include nutritional aspects. There is robust evidence and high agreement that lack of essential micronutrients such as zinc and vitamin A affect hundreds of millions Primary sources of vitamin A and zinc = fish and seafood 3 citations from IPCC AR5 WGII Ch. 7 (3) 3) Food insecurity is closely tied to poverty; Fisheries make particular contributions to food security and more than 90% of the people engaged in the sector are employed in smallscale fisheries, many of whom are found in the poorer countries of the world Small Scale Fisheries (SSF) are not small > 60 % of total world captures > 70 % of total landings for human consumption > 90 % of all fishermen (≈ 80 % live in Asia) Many ecosystems only exploitable on small-scale Coastal lagoons Tidal flats, shallow shores Estuaries Coral reefs Most freshwaters Comparison between large scale industrial and small scale artisanal fisheries Marine only, freshwater fisheries are around 40 mill tonnes too Kolding et al. (2014) SSF versus LSF SFF are many and generally poor LSF are few and generally rich This do a governance dilemma – we want wealth or welfare? Unutilized? 1,000 Google scholar hits for fisheries crisis Still Waters: The Global Fish Crisis > 1,000,000 Google hits for fisheries crisis http://ocean.nationalgeographic.com/ocean/global-fish-crisis- …and the doomsday predictions based on the extrapolation of regression there will be 100% collapse in the year 2048 Global loss of species from LMEs. Trajectories of collapsed fish and invertebrate taxa over the past 50 years (diamonds, collapses by year; triangles, cumulative collapses). Worm et al. (Science 2006). … becomes a management crisis The fisheries “crisis” - and associated management crisis - is extrapolated worldwide, also in small scale fisheries Countless “management projects” are set up and implemented. Their theoretical background are all based on our old Western legacy on how to do it. These are pressures from ‘above’.. How can we govern these fisheries? The welfare perspective Small-scale fisheries in many developing countries are functioning as the ‘social security system’– A common good! May serve as the ‘last resort’ when everything else fail. This requires open access. These are pressures from ‘below’.. What are the needs in these fisheries? Sustainability: Fishery objective UNCLOS (1982), WSSD (2002) Declaration § 31 (a): «Stocks should be kept at biomass levels that can produce maximum sustainable yields (MSY).» Sustainability: Conservation objective CBD (1998) The Malawi principles for Ecosystem Approach: «A key feature of the ecosystem approach includes conservation of ecosystem structure and functioning» FAO adopted EAF in 2001 Only 2 biological questions in fisheries management How much? = Fishing pressure • (effort f) How? = Fishing pattern • (catchability q) • (selectivity s) Fishing mortality Fishing mortality = ‘How much’ x ’How’ Catch = Fishing mortality x Biomass Fishing mortality (F) or solving the number problem Better methods Increasing these is Development So while we ‘manage’ and ‘develop’ the fishing mortality stays the same. Only we get fewer and fewer fishers catchability (q) Fishing mortality (F) Effort (f) More units (capacity) Decreasing these is Management f and q development in Norway 180 4 000 000 160 3 500 000 140 3 000 000 120 2 500 000 100 2 000 000 80 Catches not changing 60 40 1 500 000 Quantity (tons) Fishermen (1000) / Catch per fisherman (tons) Effort (f) decreases while Catch Per Unit Effort (CPUE) increases because catchability (q =efficiency) increases 1 000 000 500 000 20 0 0 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Quantity (tons) Fishermen (1000) ? Catch (tons) per fisherman Total catch, numbers of fishers, and catch per fisherman in the Norwegian fishery 1945-2005 «Look at Norway» World champions in fisheries management ”Nature”(Feb-09): Compliance with the FAO Code of Conduct ..only 2(3) factors we can regulate Catch = Fishing mortality * Biomass We can regulate directly or indirectly on: Yield (Y), Fishing mortality (F) or Biomass (B). Output control Input control Options of regulations BMSY, Minimum SSB, MBAL, Bpa Stocking, Bio-manipulation, Enhancement B Y = F⋅B Y MSY, TAC, ITQ, Bag limit F That is all! Any available choice belongs to one of the 3 Size of capture: tc (selectivity) Mortality index: F= Z-M Exploitation rate: F/Z = E Effort control: f = F/q F control: F0.1, Fmed etc. Closed area (MPA, F =0) Closed season (F =0) Choice and cost of management The choice of management regulations depends on value of the resource vs costs: In terms of required knowledge (= management costs) then: BB > Y > F, where for the latter f > q Expensive cheap Data driven constant Small Scale Fisheries (SSF) = ‘q’ - management For fisheries where little or nothing is known, management regulations are always based on regulating catchability q (in particular selectivity): Mesh size Size of capture Gear regulations (e.g beach seines…) Closed area or season (MPAs!) Find one example where one or several of these do not apply When nothing is known these regulations are based on assumptions (derived from model results). The global perception of SSF? “Fisheries have reached their peaks – now declining in several countries” “To save the oceans and restore healthy ecosystems there is a need for reforms” But this is what we hear or think – For SSFs there is practically no data to support the statement. Without data we use extrapolations FAO (2012) stock status 13% developing 57% fully exploited 30% overexploited FAO statistics.. The majority is assessed by the “Catch method”: ? ? We have limited info about the left side (C), and no clue whatsoever about the right side of the equation! Global trends Percentage of fisheries Courtesy of Trevor Branch Global status: catch method FAO (2012) status 13% developing 57% fully exploited 30% overexploited Developing Fully exploited Overexploited Collapsed Year Collapsed Figure: Pauly (2008) Journal of Biological Research 9:3-9. Other sources using similar catch status plots: Froese & Kesner-Reyes (2002), Garcia & Grainger (2005), Pauly (2007), Pauly et al. (2007), Worm et al. (2006), Froese et al. (2012), Kleisner et al. (2012), Sea Around Us Project website, Halpern et al. (2012) Global trends Courtesy of Trevor Branch Percentage of fisheries Underdeveloped Developing Fully exploited Overexploited Method applied to random numbers with no trend Collapsed Developing Fully exploited Overexploited Applied to global catches Collapsed Year Year Daan et al. (2011) ICES J Mar Sci 68:1375-1378 Also: Branch et al. (2011), Wilberg & Miller (2007) So what do we know in SSFs? “Catches are declining” “Fish are getting smaller” “Catches are declining” CPUE or Biomass Age and size structure changes under selective fishing to younger and smaller individuals. effort Individual catch and total catch Yield or CPUE System yield “The catches decrease” is an expected normal sign of fishing! A decrease in total yield is a sign of overfishing! CPUE A decrease in CPUE is NOT a sign of overfishing Fishing effort Jul-Larsen et al. (2003) Common property theory (CPT) (open access) dB = Yield dt Max = MSY This is what we fear MEY Costs Profit = 0 Profit = max Stock collapse Overfishing B∞ B∞/2 Effort This we see Thisisiswhat our model MSY Where are the data on the descending side? Are we driven by fear and imagination? Or indoctrinated by a model? Predator-prey MSYprey = Carrying Capacity predator So who controls who? Who controls who? Is catch a function of effort? Or is effort a function of catch? Catch, effort and water levels 17 major lakes and reservoirs in Africa. Fish productivity • Lake level changes Kolding and van Zwieten 2012 Catch per area (ton per km2 per year) In African lakes effort seems self-regulated (from catch rates) Average yield per fisher is 3 ton per year irrespective of system Effort density (Number of fishers per km2) Kolding and van Zwieten 2012 Catch per area (ton per km2 per year) In African lakes effort seems self-regulated (from catch rates) Average yield per fisher is 3 ton per year irrespective of system Result of ”management Effort density (Number of fishers per km2) Is yield driven by effort or is effort driven by yield? Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) Halpern (2003) Do Marine Reserves work? Density doubles inside reserves. However, a reduction in density to around half the ‘virgin’ density is generally where the highest production occurs Does reserve size matter? P = 0.49 P = 0.95 P = 0.25 P = 0.76 Halpern (2003) What is the effect of time? P = 0.45 P = 0.71 P = 0.36 P = 0.83 Halpern (2003) How fast is regeneration? Decrease in rate = Density dependence (years) Halpern and Warner (2003) What we they see isoverfished density dependent growth Where before MPA? Conservation Density doubles inside reserves Fishing Density Surplus = yield = 0 Surplus = yield = Max Kolding et al. 2014 Inside MPAs populations regenerate back at a decreasing rate until asymptote “Fish are getting smaller” Is that a sign of overfishing? Or is it a sign on how we fish? Selectivity FAO 2003 (Ecosystem Approach to Fisheries): "Selectivity, or lack of it, is central to many biological issues affecting fisheries. …. In addition, the discarding of unwanted catch, which is particularly important in unselective fisheries, is being considered by society not only as wasteful but as unethical. The Code of Conduct dedicates a whole section to the issue (8.5). It promotes the use of more selective gear (7.6.9; 8.4.5) and calls for more international collaboration in better gear development (8.5.1; 8.5.4), as well as for the agreement on gear research standards.” Gullestad et al. 2013 «Promotion of species and size selective fisheries is an important foundation for Norwegian fisheries management» Two main narratives guiding fisheries regulations “Let them spawn” Propagation theory – fish should have at least one chance to reproduce before being caught (Fulton 1890, Holt 1895) “Let them grow” Growth theory – fish should not be caught too small before they reach their growth potential (Petersen 1894, Beverton and Holt 1957) “if all fish are allowed to grow“? Survival and reproduction Few More Millions Kolding and van Zwieten 2011 Young fish are likely to die, only a Fish are not mammals… fraction ( < 1%) will mature.. ..but large fish have more eggs 100 cm = 16 mill eggs 50 cm = 1 mill eggs Age at maturity Natural mortality in fish Master, I marvel how the fishes live in the sea. Why, as men do a-land; the great ones eat up the little ones. Shakespeare, Pericles, prince of Tyre Solution: Grow and be Big! Age (years) Cartoon by Frits Ahlefelt Predation vs fishing mortality.. Instantaneous rate of mortality .. is almost exactly opposite Predation mortality Fishing mortality Age (years) From ICES (1997). ..and this is what happens: Fish are getting smaller! Median age-at-maturation (sexes combined) of Northeast Arctic cod based on spawning zones in otoliths (from Jørgensen, 1990). Lake Kariba, Zambezi River Lake Kariba – a man-made lake Non regulated and non enforced Yield = 6000 tonnes yr-1 Regulated and enforced Yield = 1000 tonnes yr-1 Lake Kariba Zimbabwe - Catch rates Zambia - Catch rates 14 Artisanal CPUE (kg/45m net) from CAS surveys 12 Experimental CPUE (kg/45m) Controlled effort 8 Artisanal CPUE (Kg/net) from CAS surveys Open access Experimental CPUE (Kg/45 m net set) Artisanal CPUE (Kg/net/night) from Scholtz 1993 CPUE CPUE 10 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 6 4 2 0 1962 1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 1959 1964 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 Average mesh size (mm stretched), Zambia thesedecrease symptoms of As Are CPUE overfishing?effort, with increasing Is there cause for so does concern? mesh sizes to maintain catch rates 180 160 R2 = 0.86 140 120 100 80 60 1960 Kolding et al. (2003) 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 Kolding and Zwieten 2014 Kolding and Zwieten 2014 Slopes are parallel, species and size composition identical, but everything is less Kolding and Zwieten 2014 Is the Zambian IUU fishing an example of EAF - that has reconciled our objectives? Johannesburg 2002 Declaration § 31 (a): «Stocks should be kept at biomass levels that can produce maximum sustainable yields (MSY).» CBD Malawi principles for Ecosystem Approach: «A key feature of the ecosystem approach includes conservation of ecosystem structure and functioning» What is the best way to fish? How do we A non-selective manage a multiharvesting pattern is species fishery? what they are criticised for What is the right But a gears non-selective and mesh harvesting pattern is sizes? ecosystem conserving. The system remains unchanged,How except ? everything is less. How much ? Small-scale fisheries are often ‘non-selective’ ! Can we fish everything proportionally? Governance and conservation Is there a need for reform in SSF? Will fewer (and richer) fishers solve the problem? What about all those excluded? Will open access always lead to tragedy? Is the ‘Norwegian model’ (wealth-based) something we should promote? Are fishing small fish illegally with small mesh sizes bad for the ecosystem? Do we have the data and the knowledge to answer these questions? Thank you for your attention! Jeppe Kolding [email protected] FiskeriFaglig Forum, 2014
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