JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 106, NO. D17, PAGES 20,255-20,273, SEPTEMBER 16, 2001 Sources and simulated distributions with the of dust GOCART aerosols model Paul Ginoux, •'•'Mian Chin,•,•'Ina Tegen3 JosephM Prospero 4 BrentHolben•' OlegDubovik•,•'and Shian-JiannLine Abstract. The global distribution of dust aerosolis simulatedwith the Georgia Tech/GoddardGlobalOzoneChemistryAerosolRadiationand Transport(GOCART) model. In this modelall topographiclowswith bare groundsurfaceare assumedto have accumulated sedimentswhich are potential dust sources. The uplifting of dust particles is expressedas a function of surfacewind speed and wetness. The GOCART model is driven by the assimilatedmeteorologicalfields from the Goddard Earth ObservingSystemData AssimilationSystem (GEOS DAS) which facilitatesdirect comparisonwith observations.The model includes sevensize classesof mineral dust ranging from 0.1-6 /•m radius. The total annual emission is estimatedto be between1604and 1960Tg yr-1 in a 5-yearsimulation. The model has been evaluatedby comparingsimulation resultswith ground-based measurementsand satellite data. The evaluationhas been performedby comparing surfaceconcentrations,vertical distributions, depositionrates, optical thickness, and size distributions. The comparisonsshow that the model results generally agreewith the observationswithout the necessityof invoking any contribution from anthropogenicdisturbancesto soils. However,the model overpredictsthe transport of dust from the Asian sourcesto the North Pacific. This discrepancyis attributed to an overestimate of small particle emission from the Asian sources. 1. Introduction where it potentially plays an important role in biogeochemical processes. There is an increasing interest in the atmospheric Many studies, which have characterized dust genertransport of mineral dust. Recent research suggests ation on a micrometeorologicalscale, have shown that that mineral dust may play an important role in clidust mobilization is sensitiveto a wide range of factors mate forcing by altering the radiation balance in the including the compositionof the soils,the soil moisture atmosphere[Tegenet al., 1997]and by affectingcloud content, the surface conditions, and the wind velocity. nucleationand optical properties[Levin et al., 1996]. Previous global models have identified the dust sources In addition, dust can serve as a catalyst for reactive basedon the soil moisturecontent[Joussaume, 1990], the location of deserts from vegetation data set [(Yenand can significantly modify photochemical processes thon,1992a,1992b;Mahowaldet al., 1999],the location [Dickersonet al., 1997]. Largeamountsof mineraldust of sparselyvegetatedarea, and the soiltexture from vegaredeposited to the oceans[Duce,1995;Prospero,1996] gas speciesin the atmosphere[Dentenet et al., 1996] etationandsoildatasets[TegenandFung,1994],or the distributionof duststormfrequencies overarid regions [Dentenetet al., 1996]. Discrepancies betweensimu- 1Schoolof Earth and AtmosphericSciences,Georgia Institute of Technology,Atlanta, Georgia. 2NASA Goddard SpaceFlight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland. lated and observeddust loadinghaveled somemodelers to invoke land surface modification as a source that con- tributesas muchas 50% of total dustemission [Tegen and Fung,1995]. In this work, we determine the global distribution many. 4RosenstielSchool of Marine and Atmospheric Science, of dust sourcesby usingthe surfacetopographicfea3Max-Planck-Institute for Biogeochemistry.Jena, Ger- University of Miami, Miami, Florida. 5ScienceSystemsand Applications, Inc., Lanham, Mary- tures. We assumethat the most probable sourcesare related to the degree of depression. The dust sources land. estimatedhereare consistent with the recentstudyof J. M. Prosperoet al. (Environmentalcharacterizationof Copyright 2001 by the American GeophysicalUnion. Paper number 2000JD000053. 0148-0227 / 01/ 2000JD000053509.00 global sourcesof atmosphericsoil dust derivedfrom the NIMBUS-7 TOMS absorbingaerosolproduct, submitted to Reviewsof Geophysics, 2000, hereinafterreferred 20,255 20,256 GINOUX ET AL.: DUST AEROSOL MODELING to as Prosperoet al., submittedmanuscript,2000). In of the model results with TOMS aerosol index will be that study,usingthe long-term(1979-present) recordof discussedin a separate paper. the global aerosolindex retrievedfrom the Total Ozone MappingSpectrometer(TOMS) instrument[Hermanet al., 1997; Torreset al., 1998],Prosperoet al.(submitted 2. Model Description manuscript,2000) haveidentifiedthe locationof all the major dust sources. They have shown that the sources can usually be associatedwith topographic lows which have a deep accumulation of alluvial sedimentsformed during the late Pleistoceneor Holocene. These sediments are composedof fine particles which are easily eroded by winds. To simulate the atmospheric dust distribution, emission, transport, and deposition of seven particle size classesbetween 0.1 and 6 pm radius have been incor- porated in the Georgia Tech/Goddard Global Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Trknsport (GOCART) model. This model is driven by assimilated meteorologicalfields generated in the Goddard Earth ObservingSystem Data AssimilationSystem (GEOS DAS) and hasbeenappliedto simulateatmosphericsulfate aerosolsand its precursors [Chin et al., 2000]. The advantageof the GOCART model is that, by usingobserved meteorologicalfields, it can effectively simulate atmospheric constituents for any specifictime period. In this paper, we present a detailed descriptionof the componentsincorporated in GOCART model to simulate dust distributions. The global distribution and budget of mineral dust is discussed. Results from our model simulationsare comparedwith ground-basedand satellite measurements. The comparisonsinclude the surface concentrations,vertical distribution, deposition fluxes, optical thickness, and size distribution. We also compare our results with those of other model studies. This paper is focusing on the model evaluation on the global scale and its ability to reproduce the observed 2.1. Model Configuration The GOCART model has been developedby Chin et al. [2000]to simulatethe distributionof sulfurspecies in the atmosphere. The model solvesthe continuity equation which includes the emission, chemistry, advection, convection, diffusion, dry deposition, and wet deposition of each species. The meteorologicalfieldsusedto drive the GOCART modelare assimilateddata by GEOS-DAS[Schubertet al., 1993].The GOCART modelhasthe samehorizontal resolutionas GEOS DAS: 2ø latitude by 2.5ø longitude. The vertical resolution varies with the different GEOS DAS versions. For GEOS DAS version 1, available from February 1980 to November 1995, there are 20 vertical sigma levelsfrom the Earth's surfaceto 10 mbar. For GEOS DAS version 1.3, availablefrom April 1995 to November 1997, the data fields have been regriddedfrom the original 46 levelsinto 26 vertical levels from the Earth's surface to 0.1 mbar, with 23 levels in the troposphere. The GEOS DAS prognosticvariables are instantaneousvalues savedevery 6 hours, while the diagnosticfields are averagedvaluesover 3 or 6 hours, as indicated in Table 1. Values of instantaneous fields are linearly interpolated to every model time step (20 min). The modelis initializedwith near-zeromass,and is spin-up for i month prior to the simulations,and the results are saved every 6 hours. 2.2. Particle Sizes Mineral particles in the atmospherehave radii rangseasonalcycle. The detailedregionaland daily analysis ing from about 0.1 to 50 pm [Duce,1995]. The uplift- Table 1. GEOS DAS MeteorologicalFields UsedAs Model Input Variable Time Resolution Prognostic Surface pressure Temperature Wind velocity Specific humidity 6 6 6 6 Surface 6 hours instantaneous wetness hours, instantaneous hours, instantaneous hours, instantaneous hours, instantaneous Diagnostic Cloud mass flux 6 hours, averaged Specifichumidity change due to moist processes Wind speed at 10 m Precipitation Eddy diffusion 6 3 3 3 hours, averaged hours, averaged hours, averaged hours, averaged GINOUX ET AL.: DUST AEROSOL MODELING ing of particles smaller than 0.1 /•m by air is limited by the adhesiveand cohesiveforceswhich tend to form 20,257 S- ( Zmax - zi 5 (1) Zmax -- Zmin largerparticlesor aggregates [$chefferand $chatschabel, 1992]. Becauseof gravitationalsettling,particles where $ is the probability to have accumulatedsedilarger than 6/•m generally have short atmosphericlife- mentsin the grid cell i of altitude zi, and Zmaxand Zmin times(i.e.,lessthana fewhours)[TegenandFung,1994] are the maximum and limits their significanceon the global scale. The present study is therefore restricted to particles with a diameter larger than 0.1/•m and smallerthan 6 /•m rounding 10ø x 10ø topography,respectively.It is not intended and minimum elevations in the sur- here to calculate the exact amount of alluvium but rather to define the most probable locations of sedradius. FollowingTegenand Lacis[1996],the sizedis- iment. To increasethe topographic contrast of these tribution is modeled into sevensize bins, and the mass locations and to obtain the best fit with the sources distribution varieslinearly with respectto radius in each identifiedby Prosperoet al. (submitted manuscript, bins. The sevensize rangesare 0.1-0.18 /•m, 0.18-0.3 /•m, 0.3-0.6/•m, 0.6-1/•m, 1-1.8/•m, 1.8-3/•m, and 3-6 /•m, with correspondingeffectiveradii of 0.15, 0.25, 0.4, 0.8, 1.5, 2.5, and 4/•m, respectively. The U.S. Departmentof Agriculture(USDA) defines particles with a radius between 1/•m and 25/•m as silt, andbelow1/•m asclay [Hillel, 1982].Mineralogicalsilt particles are mainly composedof quartz, but they are often coated with strongly adherent clay suchthat their 2000), the relativealtitude has been taken at the fifth power. Only land surface with bare soil is considered as possibledust sources.We identify the bare soil surface from the 1ø x 1ø vegetation data set derived from the advancedveryhighresolutionradiometer(AVHRR) data [DeFriesand Townshen&1994]. Figure I showsthe global distributionsof the source function S, regriddedon the 2.5ø x 2ø GOCART grid, the calculateddust emission(seenext section),and the physicochemical propertiesare similar to clay [Hillel, TOMS aerosol index. Most of the maxima of the S func1982]. The massdensityof clay (classes1-4) and silt tion are collocated with the "hot spots" of the TOMS (classes 5-7) are 2.5 and 2.65g m-3, respectively. aerosol index which have been identified as dust sources by Prosperoet al. (submittedmanuscript,2000). The The size distributionof small particles (radius 0.1-1 /•m) is assumednot to changeduring transport, since clearest examples are the Tunisian, Libyan, Mauritathe differencesin the gravitational settling velocities nian, and Malian sources in the Sahara, the Bodele within this size classare small. For numerical efficiency depressionin the Sahel, the Indian source along the the first four classesare transportedas one group (0.1- Indus valley, the Taklimakan located north of the Hi1 /•m) of clay particleswith an effectiveradius of 0.75 malaya, the Lake Eyre basin in Australia, the Salton /•m. When computing optical properties, which have Sea in southern California, the Altiplano and Patagoa strong dependency on the size distribution, the clay nia in the Andes, and the Namibian sourcein southwest size classis redistributed into the original four classes Africa. (0.1-0.18, 0.18-0.3, 0.3-0.6, and 0.6-1 /•m) by assuming 2.4. Dust Emission a massfraction for each class:0.9, $.1,23.4, and 67.6%, respectively[Tegenand Lacis,1996]• Dust uplifting into the atmosphere is mainly initiated by saltation bombardment(sand blasting). Mar2.3. Dust sources ticorenaand Bergametti[1995]havedevelopeda model The origin of clay minerals at the Earth's surface is, of dust emissionbased on a complex parameterization in the majority of cases,a processof weatheringof rocks of this process. Their emission scheme has been into form alluvium (streamdepositedsediments)[Velde, corporatedin dust transport model for regional studies 1992]. Becausethere are no data on the global distri- [Schulzet al., 1998; Guelle et al., 2000]. The major bution of alluvium over the land surfaces,the potential limitation of this algorithm is that it needsdetailed in- location formations of soil characteristics which are not readily available on the global scale. of accumulated sediments has been determined by comparing the elevation of any 1ø x 1ø grid point with its surrounding hydrologicalbasin. The complex contoursof each basin have been simplified by assuming a constant area of 10ø x 10ø. This choiceis based on the fact that most hydrologicalbasin has a size of roughly 10ø in the arid regions. A more precisesource distribution should be based on a more accurate basin We usean equivalentempirical formulation by Gillette and Passi [1988]for dust uplifting which requiresthe knowledgeof the surfacewind speedand the threshold velocityof wind erosion.In this formulationthe flux Fp of particle size classp is approximated by the expression: contouringby using a hydrologicalmodel. We assumethat a basin with pronouncedtopographic variations containslarge amount of sedimentswhich are otherwise ' accumulated essentially in the valleys and depressions, and over a relatively fiat basin the amount of alluvium is factorequalto 1 tzgs2 m-5, S homogeneouslydistributed. We introduce here a source whereC is a dimensional function S, which is the fraction of alluvium available is the source function described in section 2.3, U•0m is the horizontal wind speed at 10 m, ut is the threshold for wind erosion, as follows: Fp- { 0 CSSp 2 ifru•0.• > ut (2) 20,258 GINOUX ET AL.: DUST • • MODELING particle size and the soil moisture[Pye, 1989]. Belly [1964]suggested a relationshipfor entrainmentof sand Source function 90N 60N AEROSOL • which takes into account the particle size and soil moisture content. This relationship has been modified here 30N to usethe surfacewetness(providedby GEOS DAS) in determiningthe threshold wind velocity: 0 30S 60S ttt-- 90S {AV/PP;,P'•g(I)p(1.2 ) ifw<0.5 , •x• 80 120W I 60W 0 60E 120E 180 ........... .:: ::i•iiiiiiii::ii•iiii::ii!iii•i •iii•i:i:iii•i•i!:: !:: •i!iiiiii•::i:::•i•i i!•iiii:.:':--': •.'...-' '"..---':-..... ::iiii i:..-'•i! ilii i:•i:.:: •::!::ii•::i•i:::.i•i: :..:..:.::..-' iiii:::.•ii:'""..'• :......2.:,': i!:.•i i•i•ii :•'.'...':,../,..:...".:..' :: i•i•'"" '--" 0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 Dust Emission(g.m'•.yr") • • (a) where A - 6.5 is a dimensionlessparameter, w is the surfacewetness[0.001-1],•p is the particlediameter,g is the accelerationof gravity,pp and Pa are the particle and air density,respectively. The typical valuesof w in arid regionsare between0.001 and 0.1, but are higher than 0.5 after precipitation. For w-0.1, ut is 1.5 m 90N 60N otherwise • 30N s-• for the smallestclassand 3 m s-• for the largest 0 30S class. This formulation,basedon studiesfor large sand particles (r > 30 pm), showsan increaseof ut with 60S increaseof particle size. However, wind tunnel and field 90S 180 120W 60W 0 60E 120E 180 0 1 5 10 50 100 500 Aerosol Index TOMS for particle r < 35pm, ut decreaseswith the increaseof radius. Therefore the threshold velocity obtained from equation(3) will be lowerthan that from wind tunnel experiments,and the correspondingdust emissionwill 90N be larger. In Figure I the similarity betweenthe source 60N • distribution(upperpanel) and the annualdustemission averagedfrom 1987 to 1990 (middle panel) showsthe importanceof the sourcefunction (S) relative to the other variablesin equation(2). 30N 0 30S 60S experiments [Iversenand White,1982;Marticorenaand Bergametti,1995; $hao et al., 1996]have shownthat ::::"::"' ......... •:""':'::•:::' ....... 2.5. Removal Processes 90S 180 120W 60W 0 60E 120E 180 Two types of removal processesare considered,the dry deposition which includes the turbulent transfer to 0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 3.2 the surfaceand gravitationalsettling, and the wet deposition which includes rainout and washout in and below Figure 1. Comparisonbetween(top) the dust source function,and (middle)the dust emissionand (bottom) clouds. The turbulent transfer of particlesat the surface is calculatedas a first-orderprocessusinga deposition distributions of TOMS aerosol index. The dust emission and TOMS aerosolindex are averagevaluesfrom 1987 velocity v•. The velocityv• is assumedto be equivalent to 1990. to the exchangevelocity for heat and moisture at the surface. This exchangevelocityis diagnosedfrom flux profile relationshipsand is availablein the GEOS DAS velocity,and sp is the fraction of eachsizeclasswhich data [Takacset al., 1994].However,particleswhichare deposited at the surfacecan be uplifted outside source is defined below. regions depending on the surface wetnessw and the The fractions of clay and silt sizes are different for wind velocity. To take into accountthis fact, we define differentsoil types at eachlocation. Owing to the unan effective dry depositionvelocity6• as follows: certainties in the available soil texture data, we choose a simple particle size distribution, following Tegenand Fung [1994]. The fractionof clay is basedon the assumptionthat erodibleclay represents1/10 of the total mass of emitted silt, and that of each silt subclass is • _{ v•(w +(1- w)exp[-(u•0,• - ut)]) u•0,• >(4)ut va otherwise assumedto be the same. The sp valuesare thus 0.1 In this formula, Oawill be smaller than va with strong for the class0.1-1/•m, and 1/3 for the classes1-1.8/•m, surfacewind speedover dry surface. Over wet surfaces, 1.8-3/•m, and 3-6/•m, respectively. The main factor affectingthe thresholdvelocityut is the interparticle cohesionforceswhich dependson the 6a is equal to va. For large aerosolsthe most efficientremovalprocessis gravitational settling. The changeof concentrationby GINOUX ET AL.' DUST AEROSOL MODELING Table 2. Annual Budget of Dust for the Years 19871990 and 1996 a 3. Model Results The dust distribution Year Era, Dry, Wet, Tg yr- x Tg yr- x Tg yr- x 1987 1988 1989 1990 1996 1883 1956 1804 1829 1604 1653 1704 1613 1611 1451 256 289 229 237 166 Load, Life, Tg day 38 40 36 34 31 7.1 7.3 7 6.6 6.6 aThere is a 2% difference between the total emission and total deposition due to numerical errors in the ad- vective scheme. Emission, em; dry deposition, dry; wet deposition,wet; atmosphericburden, load; lifetime, life. 20,259 has been simulated over several time periods: 1987-1990, 1996, most of 1997, and a few months in 1994. The choice of these periods is based on the available data sets used for comparison. In this section we present the global budget of dust and compare the model results with observations. The observed data sets have been selectedfor their adequate temporal and spatial coverage. These data sets can be sep- arated into surfacemeasurements(concentrationand depositionflux), vertically integratedground-basedobservations(sizedistributionand opticalthickness),and satellite data (vertical distribution and optical thickness). 3.1. Global Budget Table 2 givesthe annual budget for 5 years, 1987-1990 gravitational settling is calculatedby an implicit scheme and 1996. The averaged global dust emission is 1814 at all vertical levels. The settling velocity vstk for a Tg yr-•. The calculatedemissionrangesfrom 1604Tg particle of radius r is determinedusingthe Stokeslaw' yr-• in 1996to 1956Tg yr-1 in 1955,reflectingmainly the differencesin the wind speed at 10 m. The calculated emissionsare within the range of previous model 2ppgr2 CCun n vstk = 9 /• estimateswith similar sizesrange: 1250 Tg yr-• for particlesradiuslessthan 8/•m [Tegenand Fung,1995], wherepp is the particle density,g is the accelerationof 1800Tg yr-• for particleslessthan 10/•m [Dentenetet gravity,and/• isthe absolute viscosity ofthe air (1.5 105 al., 1996],and 3000Tg yr-• for a singleclasscentered kg m-X S--1),andCcunnis the Cunningham correction at 1.25 /•m [Mahowaldet al., 1999]. Dry depositionis which takes into accountthe viscositydependencyon the main loss processwith an averaged value of 1607 Tg yr-1. Wet deposition accounts for 235Tg yr-1 and air pressureand temperature[Fuchs,1964]. Wet scavenging in the model includesrainout (in- representsonly 10% of the total loss. The atmospheric cloudprecipitation)and washout(belowcloudprecipi- dust load is 36 Tg with an averaged lifetime of about tation) in large-scale precipitationand in deepconvec- 1 week. Table 3 lists the budget and lifetimes for each tive cloud updraft. The parameterizationof thesepro- size class. The highest emissionis obtained for particles cesses for sulfate aerosols has been described in detail by Chin et al. [2000]. Unfortunately,there are few data concerningthe scavenging efficiencyof dust particles. Here we use the samewet scavengingparameters for dust as those used for sulfate, which is probably reasonable,sincethe scavengingefficiencyreported by Gallowayet al. [1993]for non-sea-saltsulfateand nitrate are roughlythe sameas the valuesusedby Duce et al. [1991]for dustoverthe North Atlantic Ocean. 2.6. Transport Dust particlesare transportedin the atmosphereby advection,convection,and turbulent mixing. The different methods use to solve these processeshave been describedelsewhere[Allen et al., 1996; Chin et al. 2000]. Here, briefly,advectionis computedby a flux- form semi-Lagrangian method [Lin and Rood, 1996]. Moist convectionis parameterizedusing archivedcloud massflux fieldsfrom the GEOS DAS. Turbulentmixing due to mechanicalshear and buoyancyis approximated by eddy diffusion. The eddy diffusion coefficientis calculated using a 2.5 order local closureparameterization [Helflandand Labraga,1988]. radii ranging from 1 to 2 /•m. The lifetime of the two smallest classesis 2 weeks and drops to 1 day for the largest class(3-6 /•m). Our estimatedlifetime for the smallestparticlesis 50% longerand for the largestparticles is 50% shorter than the valuesreported by Tegen and Lacis[1996].The differences canbe explainedby a stronger dry deposition rate and a weaker wet deposition rate in our case. •Vhile the lifetime of particles size 1-2 /•m agreeswith Tegenand Lacis[1996],it is twice Table 3. Annual Budget, Averaged Over 5 Years (1987-1990and 1996) for Each Size Classes a Size, Emis, Dry, Wet, Load, Life, /•m Tg yr- • Tg yr- • Tg yr- • Tg day 0.1-1 1-2 335 571 265 484 79 97 14 14.5 14 9 2-3 3-6 0.1-6 504 404 1814 461 396 1606 49 l0 235 6.1 1.3 35.9 4.3 1.1 7.1 aEmission, em; dry deposition, dry; wet deposition, wet; atmospheric burden, load; and lifetime, life. 20,260 GINOUX ET AL.: DUST AEROSOL MODELING Table 4. Total Simulated Deposition to Various Ocean Regions ComparedWith EstimatedValuesby Duceet al. [1991]and Prospero[1996]• Ocean North South North South North South Global Duceet al. [1991] Pacific Pacific Atlantic Atlantic Indian Indian Prospero[1996] 480 39 220 24 100 44 910 96 8 220 5 20 9 358 GOCART 92 28 184 20 138 16 478 aUnitsare in T g yr-•. the valuereportedby Mahowaldet al. [1999]. How- lated to the movementsof the Intertropical Convergence ever, Mahowaldet al. [1999]considered only onedust Zone (ITCZ) whichoccupiesits southernmostposition size classthat may result in a shorter lifetime. in winter (•5øN) and northernmostpositionin summer The simulated total annual deposition to various (•20øN). The seasonal shift in the modelmatchesthat ocean regions are compared in Table 4 with Duce et observedby satelliteinstruments,suchas the advanced al. [1991]and Prospero[1996]estimations fromin situ veryhighresolution radiometer(AVHRR) [Husaret al., measurements. Duceet al. [1991]usea scavenging ratio 1997]. for dust of 200 for the North Atlantic Ocean and 1000 The surface concentrations are similar to the val- overthe remainderof the worldOcean.Prospero [1996] ues calculatedby Dentenet et al. [1996]over North has suggestedto use a scavengingratio of 200 for all Africa with maxima over the Sahel and Sahara, but ocean regions. Our calculated total annual deposit. ion they differ significantlyelsewhere. The most striking over the North Pacific and North Atlantic are compara- difference is over the Taklimakan desert which is a re- ble to that estimatedby Prospero[1996].However,over gionalminimumin the work of Dentenet et al. [1996] the other oceans,the model results are closerto values but a maximum in Figure 2. Another important dif- estimatedby Duceet al. [1991].The majordifference is ferenceis near the sourcesin the Southern Hemisphere over the North Indian Ocean where the simulated total depositionis 8 times higher than the value estimated by Prospero[1996].As mentionedby the author,thereis a large uncertainty in the estimated value becausethere were very few data over the Indian Ocean. 3.2. Dust Concentrations Layer in the Boundary where the GOCART model surface concentrations are significantlyhigherthan Dentenetet al. [1996],except over Australia. The comparisonwith Tegen and Fung [1994]indicatessomedifferencesin Africa where the Sahel source was not included in their study and in Australia where the surface concentrations from their model were as high as over the Sahara. The monthly dust concentration has been compared The calculated seasonal dust concentrations in the with the observationsat 18 sites indicated in Figure 2 planetaryboundarylayer (0 to 1 km altitude) areshown with their number. These sites were operated by the in Figure 2. These values have been averagedover 5 Universityof Miami [Prospero,1996]. Somesitesare years (1987-1990 and 1996). The sourceregionsap- located closeto the sourceregions: Izana (station 4) pear clearly in this figure as well as the patterns due near North Africa, Kaashidhoo(8) near India, Cheju to long-range transport. The highest concentrations (9) and Hedo (10) in the Asian east coast,Cape Grim (above250/•g m-3) are locatedin the NorthernHemi- (17) nearAustralia,and CapePoint (7) in SouthAfrica. sphere: over the western Sahara and the Sahel region, Other sitesare located downwindof the sourceregions: in part of the Arabic Peninsula and Iran, and in the Barbados(1), Miami (2), and Bermuda (3) alongthe Asian sourceregions(Taklimakanand Gobi deserts). Saharandust plumes;Enewetak(11), Midway (12) and Over North America there is a lesspronouncedmaxi- Oahu (13) in the corridorof Asian and North Amermum which is centered on the Salton Sea in southern ican plumes;Norfolk Island (18) and New Caledonia California. In the Southern Hemispherethe peak values (16) downwindof the Australiandust sources.The reare locatedin the regionsof the Lake Eyre basin (Aus- maining sitesare located in remote regionsof the North tralia), Altiplano (Bolivia), Patagonia(Argentina),and Atlantic, Mace Head (5); South Atlantic, King George Namibia (South Africa). Thesemaxima are quite per- (6); and Pacific,Nauru (14) and Funafuti (15). Most sistent through the seasons. The model showsa clear data have been collected in the 1980s and 1990s, but latitudinal shift of the dust plume over the North At- the period of measurementsvaries betwen sites. The lantic from winter to summer. This seasonal shift is relocationsof the 18 sites are given in Table 5. GINOUX ET AL- DUST AEROSOL Figure 3 showsthe comparisonof the annually averageddust concentrationsmeasuredand simulatedat the 18 siteswherethe modelresultsare 5 years(1987-1990, 1996) averagedvalues.The annualconcentrations vary by more than 3 ordersof magnitude from more than 30 MODELING 20,261 siteswithvalues greaterthan2/•g m-• andtheremote siteswithvalueslessthan2/•g m-•. Themodelconcentrations agreewith the observationsto within a factor of 2 in the dusty regions,but the model overestimates the concentrationin the remote regions,particularly in /•g m-a at Izanato lessthan 0.1/•g m-1 at NauruIs- the North Pacific. For example, dust concentration at land. The sitescan be divided into two groupsdepend- Midway (12) is overestimated by as muchas a factor of ing on the range of surfaceconcentrations:the dusty 5. Part of this discrepancyis due to the fact that this Dec-don-Feb ::=:•=:•:2='"• = ............ sos 90SI ": -:=::== ..,.= ......... :•i•/•s•s/•:/,::•:•i•,•:•:•:?:•s•*•-:C' '.•'.:•. -'-•"•.... :'•=•"-'-ß - '.•.•i•..-'•½½i'• iiii!.?,•i.-"..-".-"-•-"--•'....-•',.-'..'iiii.:--::-}:½/,:/:ii•8• -'---' ........... Mor-Apr-Moy i 90N _ 60N ............................................................ 50N _ 0_ 5OS _ 60S 90S Jun -Jul-Aug 90N _,..::• ::•.-.. ...... ,?:-::::s::. ' "• 60N -'...... • ..•..• . .. 50N -.'=':== == o 5 5OS •• - • 90S Sep-Oct-Nov 90N ;,..; !•ii•.-'..-i:::½.':::..:..}: ....!, .•.,; ::;i. ............. .:..:. ?--'....?.::.i!•./ ...... -:-':•:-"C.! ....... - '"' "•"•'"::":' ...... -:"*":'•-: ............... :'::' :-- '...... -::-::'::::•:•::-:::: ............ :•:?'•:•':' ............ 5?%?:/%: 60N i}•i:•;•;•!•/•??•?•::??:•:..•.•;.s::.;:...:•.:.....•:!:•..`....•...:.`..•;•:i•:•;•:• -'-!i•--: .................. -:.--:•::--..•: '"'•' i .... o 3os 6os 9os 180 120W 60W 2.5 0 5 60E 25 120E 125 250 180 500 Figure 2. Seasonalvariationof dust concentration, averagedover5 years(1987-1990and 1996), in unitsof/•g m-3. 20,262 GINOUX ET AL.: DUST AEROSOL Table 5. List of Stations Managed by the Rosenstiel trations MODELING are within the observed standard deviations ex- Schoolof Marine and AtmosphericScience(Univer- cept in December and January. However, the simulated sity of Miami) for the Measurementof Atmospheric standard deviation is particularly large during these 2 Dust Concentration Site Name Latitude Longitude 1 2 3 4 5 Barbados Miami Bermuda Izana Mace Head 13.17øN 25.75øN 32.27øN 28.3øN 53.32øN 59.43øW 80.25øW 64.87øW 16.5øW 9.85øW 6 7 King George Cape Point 62.18øS 34.35øS 58.3øW 18.48øE 8 K aashido o 4.95 oN 73.45 o E 9 Cheju 33.52øN 126.48øE 10 Hedo 26.92øN 128.25øE 11 Enewetak 11.33øN 162.3øE 12 Midway 28.22øN 177.35øW 13 14 15 16 Oahu Nauru Funafuti New Caledonia 21.33ø51 0.53 øS 8.5ø S 22.15øS 157.7øW 166.95 o E 179.2 øW 167øE 17 Cape Grim 40.68øS 144.68øE 18 Norfolk 29.08øS 167.98øE Island months. This comparison shows no indication of overprediction of dust concentrationaloft from the African sources.The situationin Asia is generallydifferentfrom that in Africa. The Taklimakan desert, which is the ma- jor Asiandustsource[Zhanget al., 1998],is locatedbetween 1 and 2 km above sea level. There is evidence that Asiandustis transportedaround8 km altitude [Merrill et al., 1989]. The long-rangetransportat sucha high altitude is much more rapid than commonly found for Africandustplumes(•3-5 km altitude) [Karyarnpudiet al., 1999]. An overprediction of dust emissionfrom the Taklimakan will have a longer and stronger impact on the remote atmospherethan from African dust sources. To better understand the origin of the discrepancyover the North Pacific,it is necessaryto validate the emission rates and dust loads close to the Asian sources and the altitude of the traveling plumes. This will be discussed in the next sections. 3.2.2. Southern Hemisphere. In the Southern Hemisphere the model simulates the seasonalcycle at the different sites downwind of the dust sources reason- site was operated with sector control sothat the samples ably well (sites6, 7, 14, 15, 16, 17, and 18 in Figure were taken only when the winds came from the ocean. 4). At Cape Grim, southeastof the Australian dust However, such sampling bias may not explain a factor source,the model reproducesthe seasonalcycleof dust 5 differencebetweenthe model and the data. The good concentration,although the austral summer maximum agreementin the dusty regionsand the large discrepancy in the remotePacific suggesta somewhatdeficient representationof the transport, the removal processes, Annuolconcentrotion m or the size distribution in the model. Figure 4 shows the seasonal variation of dust concentration at each of the 18 sites,with 11 sites(1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, and 13) in the NorthernHemisphereand 7 sites(6, 7, 14, 15, 16, 17, and 18) in the SouthernHemisphere. 3.2.1. Northern Hemisphere. Over the dusty regionsthe model reproducesthe seasonalvariation although sometimesthe observed values are underestimated. For example, the June maximum at Barbados is underestimatedby 50•. Farther away from the African dust source, at Miami and Bermuda, the model results are within ues. the standard deviation The differences between 12 ' ..... .7' of the observed val- these three sites can be due to subgrid scale local meteorologyor to the fact that the measurementshave been averagedover different periods. Another example is at Cheju: the spring maximum is well reproducedbut is underestimatedby 50%. Similarly,the modelfails to capturethe dust peak in April at Hedo. A difficulty in assessing the model resultsat the surface is that it is not necessarilyrepresentativeof dust concentration aloft where most dust plumes are traveling. Transport aloft is tested with data from Izana (site 4 in Figure 2) whichis locatedabout 2.5 km above sea level. Measurements lO.O at this location are considered 1.0 .,t::•i•;61. ' 0.1 o.1 1.o lO.O Meosurements Figure 3. Comparison of annual mean concentration simulated(bold line) and observed(dots) at 18 sites; to be representative of mostAfricandustplumes[Chia- the standard deviation of the simulated and observed pelloet al., 1997].The observedconcentrations at Izana valuesare representedby shadingand vertical segments, are the largest of the 18 sites. The simulated concen- respectively. GINOUX ET AL.' DUST AEROSOL MODELING , . ,(1.).B,or.bo, do, s, , . •'• 50 E 40 o, 30 3 2o 20,263 (3) Bermuda (2) Miami ? 25 E 20 ? 20 E 15 •.•.1,5 •o •• •o r2 ...... r-, J FMAM J FMAMJJASOND E 8 o-, 6 0 J FMAMJ D .. (s) .u0ce ?-1o 3 J JASON JASOND 2.0 1.5 •.o 4 0.5 0.0 J FMAMJ •-;'-'-10 E 8 or, 6 ,. (7! .Co. pe, , J JASOND FMAMJJASOND (9) Cheju (8) Kooshidoo •' -'-" 25 5O E 20 ........... ....... • so • 2o •15 '-'10 J FMAMJ J JASOND FMAMJ J FMAMJ JASOND (12) Midway (1 1) Enewetok (1 0) Hedo ? • 50 40 C'1o 2.0 E E 1.5 o, • zo 2O 3 :::: JASOND 1.0 3 8 6 4 % 0.5 g o.o J FMAMJ J FMAMJ JASOND (15) Oohu • J JASOND (14) Nouru 10 ½ 2.0 8 E 1.5 E 1.5 o', 6 3 4 • 1.0 '• • 1.0 '-" % = • • C'5 • 0.5 • 0.5 g o.o ................................... d FMAMd d ASON D (16) NewCaledonia E 4 A o.o d FMAM d d ASOND d FMAM (17) CapeGrim .,---5 ............ E 4 J FMAMJ d ASOND J J ASOND (15) Funofuti 2.0 E • FMAM J FMAM C'5 E 4 J J ASOND d d ASON (18) NorfolkIsl ........ J FMAM ©' D ' ' J J ASOND Figure 4. Comparisonof •nonthlty dust concentration,simulatedand observedat 18 sites,in unitsof pg m-3. is underpredictedby a factor of 2. Farther east, at Norfolk Island, the austral winter minimum is overpredicted by a factor of 2. At Cape Point, near the Namibian dust source, the model simulates correctly, within the standard deviation, the increase of concentration from March to July. Finally, at King George which is influenced by dust emissionfrom Patagonia, the model is able to reproduce the weak seasonalcycle with a slight increase in January and December. The two observed tropical Pacificby a factor of 2 to 5. This overestimation probablyappliesto the higherlatitudesof North Pacific as well. This discrepancy could be related to a misrepresentation of the altitude of the Asian dust plumes,dust emissions from the Asiansources,or the removal 3.3. rates. Vertical Distribution Figure 5 showsthe 4-year (1987-1990)zonally avhigh peaksin Januaryand April are due to dust events eraged dust concentrationsin the model. Dust congeneratedduring the limited period of measurements. rapidly with height. In To summarize these comparisons, we conclude that centrationgenerallydecreases the model reproduces the dust concentration and seasonal variations at most sites, but overpredicts the dust levelsfrom Asian dust sourcesover the tropical and sub- the free troposphere, zonal mean concentrations range from near 0 to 5 pg m-3. Figure5 presentssomedifferences with the model results reported by De•te•er 20,264 GINOUX ET AL- DUST AEROSOL MODELING and 125 (September17, 1600UT) and the corresponding simulateddust concentrationsfrom the sealevel to 10 km altitude. The LITE orbit 115 signal showsthe African plume which rises over the African west coast and extendsto 5 km altitude (first panel). The strong signalnear the oceansurfaceis due primarily to other .......................................................................... typesof aerosols(e.g., seasalt). As seenin the second panel of Plate 1, the model reproducesthe vertical and Zonal concentrotibn(/xg m-3) 200 ] ........... • 400 3 600 c:/...i...••i horizontal extensionof the dust plume, and the location • 1000 800 :iiii',i:i','"'"'•:':':"•'":•..-: •:•i':•:'":""•: 'a:i!i•:.--•i•i•.-"---:•i•i • '•'-"•"--•""••••'•••of the dust source in the model is located correctly at 90S 60S 30S 0 30N 60N 90N Latitude between 18.5ø and 20øN. The last two panels in Plate I are the vertical distributions along the orbit 125 over China. The LITE data (third panel) showa dust plume Figure 5. Zonal mean dust concentration with isolines extending to 7-8 km altitude as well as dust mixed in at 0.5, 1, 5, 10, and 50/•g m-3. the boundary layer. The model can reproducethis extension, but does not capture the pronouncedfeature et al. [1996]. We obtain a strongernorthwardmeridional transport to high latitudes at around 800 mbar, particularly in the Northern Hemisphere. Tegen and Fung [1994]obtainedalso a meridionaltransportbut at higheraltitude (around100 mbar). Althoughthere is considerableevidenceof long-rangetransport to high northernlatitudes,for example,in Norway[Franz•net al., 1994]and Greenland[Davidsonet al., 1993],there are few direct measurements of dust vertical distribu- tion. The most useful data with which to compare the model vertical distribution are the aerosol backscatter- at 3-4 km (last panel). Theseresultsindicatethat dust particles emitted from the Asian sourcesare uplifted more efficientlythan over the Sahara to high altitude in the jets where they are subjectedto efficientlong-range transport. Such results have been previouslysuggested [e.g.,Merrill et al., 1989]. 3.4. Dust Deposition Figure 6 showsthe annualtotal deposition(dry and wet deposition)averagedover 5 years (1987-1990and 1996). In this figure a latitudinal gradient appears clearly, with a maximum between 0ø and 45øN, and a minimum below 45øS. The highest deposition is over ing measurementsmade during the Lidar in SpaceTech- westernChinawith a maximumof 162g m-2 yr-1. nologyExperiment(LITE) [Winker et al., 1996]. The Figure 7 showsthe comparisonbetweenthe annual observed and simulated removal rate at 16 sites. The data cover 10 days in September 1994. The lidar return signal was sampled at 10MHz, correspondingto a spatial resolution of 15 m between the Earth's surface to 20 km altitude. The data used for comparison site location, the period of measurements,and the observed and simulated values of the total annual deposition flux are given in Table 6. The 16 sites are also are the backscatteringratio at 532 nm (http://wwwlite.larc.nasa.gov).The orbits passingover westernSahara (orbit 115) and the Taklimakandesert(orbit 125) observedvaluesvariesfrom 450 g m-2 yr-• overthe Taklimakanto 0.08 g m2 yr-• in equatorialPacific. have been selectedfor comparisonwith model simulations. Plate I showsthe backscatteringratio measured along the orbits 115 (September17, 1994, 0100 UT) indicatedin Figure 6 with their number. The range of Figure 7 showsthat the model successfully predicts high versuslow depositionrangingover4 ordersof magnitude, although it tends to underpredict the highest Annual Deposition(g m'2yr") 90N .:• - '.............. ' ..:::•i::::::iii:•iiii:::'•"•::...•:•:' .............. •::•:'.,•"""5 •....`....•i..•:•:J•t..`...::i!...`...ii!::!::•.•...•...•..•ii...•;i•..•L:: •."':" ;.:• .::...%:-:.:g' .:• '.. :.::" .:. ;.).•...'...'.' ::.'.,'• :;:::"'-.•r.x,'"•, "•'••;..'•iiii• ...... •'":. '"*•' "':"" *:':' '"' -. '--' 30N [':::;:'"'"'"'"'"'"'-•'""• •iiii iiiig?'"•JJJi•;-"liiiiiiiii!!i:-•:,-:•'•?';! .::-' .....:-'::::*!•:•:.'7-...-::/'.,'0,,• :":::"-:.'•;':'.':'?•::::" '"..':::.::' ...... •.•:.•..•:/•:•.`:•:J:....•.;•.ii;•i;.:•:...•..•;`.•.*i•4:.:..•`.•:.•;•:;•:.:...:•.•.:J•:...J•..;•i•...w:•.•ii:jijiiiii.•J5 ,.,J•::'"'"'•:' :•;;::•`•:•::•!•:•!::•!;•4•;!•::•.•:•;•;.•:•i•::;•5•;•iii•ii•`• '"•':.'9--'"" "• '•:•/•i::•:;!•,•,::,::•,!! ..................................... ,I,'" 1 .................. --"-;:.--'i•! ..... :......................................... i:,:•:,iliji:•:•'"•i•:11,/ji:il;• ....... ..-..:iie..-'ji'":"'""•m•? ........... ß ....' . 90S[ 180 120W 60W 0 60E 120E 180 [ o o.1 0.5 1 5 10 50 1O0 Figure 6. Global distributionof the annualtotal depositionflux (g m-2 yr- 1), averaged over5 yearssimulation(1987-1990and 1996). GINOUX ET AL.: DUST AEROSOL MODELING m ø. o 000o o o o ß 0 0 o o a0 tun'ePn:l!11¾'•,• 20,265 20,266 GINOUX ET AL.- DUST AEROSOL MODELING differences. This indicates that there is a large local variability in depositionrates that is not resolvedby the model. Despite this fact, we concludethat the depositionfluxesare in generalsimulatedreasonablywell. Annual Deposition(g.m'.yr 1000.0 3.5. 100.0 Optical Thickness The optical thicknessr is calculatedfrom the dust massload by the relation n' 10.0 - O ...... 5"' O .g ..':% ..i 1.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 10.0 Measurements 100.0 1000.0 Figure ?. Comparisonof annual total depositionflux simulated and observed at 16 sites. 3Qext(A,ri)Mi i ' (6) where Qext(A,ri) is the extinction efficiencyfactor at wavelengthA and effectiveradius ri, Mi is the column massloading for the size classi, and pi is the massdensity of the size classi. The valuesof Qext(A, ri) are calculated using Mie theory and assuminglognormal sizedistributions(M. Chin et al., Troposphericaerosol optical thickness from the GOCART model and comparisons with satellite and Sun photometer measurements, submitted to Journal of Atmospheric Science, 2001, hereinafter referred to as Chin et al., submitted manuscript,2001). 3.5.1. Comparison with AVHRR data. The global distribution of the aerosoloptical thicknesshas valuesand overpredict the lowestvalues. The underpre- been retrieved dicted valuesover the Taklimakan(15), Tel Aviv (16), and Spain (3) are most likely due to the contribution of particleslarger than 6/•m (largestsimulatedparticle radius). The closerthe measurements to the sourcethe higher the fraction of large particles. Observeddeposi- [Husar et al., 1997]. Owingto the large variabilityof tion fluxes at three closelylocated sites 12, 13, and 14 vary by a factor of 5, while the model showsonly 20% at 630 nm from the AVHRR instrument land surfacereflectancein the visible range, only information over the ocean can be retrieved. The optical thicknesshas been derived assuminga singlescattering albedo equal to I which leadsto underestimatethe true value. Although the AVHRR measurestotal aerosoloptical thickness,dust is the major aerosolcomponentat Table 6. Model Versus ObservedTotal Dust Deposition Fluxes at 16 Sitesa Site Location I 2 3 Shemya French Alps Spain 4 Midway 5 Miami 6 Oahu 7 Enewetak 8 9 52.92øN 45.5øN 41.8øN 28.2øN 174.06øE 1981-1987 6.5øE 1955-1985 2.3øE 1987-1990 177.35øW 1981-1987 25.75øN 80.25øW 1982-1983 21.3øN 157.6øW 1981-1987 11.3øN 162.3øE 1981-1987 Fanning Nauru 10 11 Samoa Rarotonga 12 13 New Caledonia Norfolk Island 14 15 16 Latitude Longitude Years New Zealand Taklimakan Tel Aviv Measurement b GOCART c 0.6 2.1 5.3 :t: 2.6 0.6 (0.3-1.1) 0.9 :t: 0.1 2.6 :t: 0.5 3.3 :t: 0.6 1.8 :t: 0.1 1.62 3.3 :t: 0.5 0.42 (0.4-0.5) 1.3 :t: 0.2 0.44 0.9 :t: 0.3 3.9øN 159.3øW 1981-1987 0.09 (0.05-0.22) 0.53øS 166.95øE 1981-1987 14.25øS 21.25øS 170.6øW 159.75øW 1981 0.15 (0.02-0.22) 1981-1987 0.21 0.35 + 0.07 0.23 :t: 0.04 22.15øS 29.08øS 167øE 167.98øE 1983-1985 1983-1987 0.25 :t: 0.05 0.3 :t: 0.06 34.5øS 40øN 32øN 172.75øE 85øE 34.5øE 1983 1994 1972 0.23 0.37 0.64 0.14 (0.1-1) 450 (110-1900) 30 (20-40) 0.4 :t: 0.1 0.35 :t: 0.1 0.25 :t: 0.05 133 :t: 7 11 :t: 0.7 aUnitsarein g m-1 yr-1 bReferences:Prosperoet al. [1989]for sites1, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11, 12, and 13; De Angelisand Gaudichet [1991]for site2; Avila et al. [1997]for site3; Prospero et al. [1987]for site5; Arimoto et al. [1987]for site 10; Arimotoet al. [1990]for site 14; Zhanget al. [1998]for site15; Ganor and Mamane [1982]for site 16. CModelresultsare 5 years(1987-1990and 1996) average. GINOUX ET AL.: DUST AEROSOL MODELING 20,267 GOCART AOT (650 nm) 1987-1990 90N 60N .... . .... ............ :.. ...: ...... :--' .......... 30N 30S 60S 90S AVHRR AOT (630 nm) 1987-1990 90N 60N 30N 30S 60S 90S 120W 180 60W 0 0.1 0.05 60E 0.2 0.3 120E 0.4 180 0.5 0.6 Figure 8. Comparison of the meanopticalthicknesses (top) simulatedat 650 nm and (bottom) observedat 630 nm by AVHRR from 1987 to 1990. several regions such as the tropical-subtropical North Atlantic, western Pacific, and Arabian Sea. Figure 8 showsthe mean optical thicknessat 650 nm in comparisonwith the mean AVHRR optical thickness at 630 nm from 1987 to 1990. The comparison shows that the calculated optical thicknesscorrespondswell to the observed values over the dust dominated oceanic re- Hemisphere. The observed high values in the tropical regionsis due to biomassburning aerosolswhich are not simulated. It has been reported from the AVHRR data that the location of the aerosolplume in the tropical North At- lantic shiftswith the seasons[e.g.,Rao et al., 1988]. In their modelingstudy, Tegenand Fung [1995]suggested gions. The model reproducescorrectly three major dust plumesextending over the North Atlantic, the Arabian that emissions from human disturbed soils had to be in- Sea, and the North Pacific. The simulatedbackground valuesof optical thicknessin the Northern Hemisphere are between 0.05 and 0.1 which is comparable to the observedvalues. Becauseof the significantcontribution of other aerosoltypes which have not been included in this work, it is possiblethat the model overestimatesthe backgroundvaluein the remoteregionsof the Northern seasonal shift. On the otherhand,recentstudieshave cluded in the model in order to reproduce the observed shown that it is the combination of biomass burning and dust aerosolsthat causesthe seasonalshift [Takamura et al., 2000; Chin et al., submitted manuscript, 2001]. To understandthe dust contributions,Figure 9 showsthe monthly variation of the latitudinal position of the maximum dust aerosol optical thickness along 25 20- 1510- I 4 7 10 1987 I 4 7 10 1988 I 4 7 10 1989 I 4 7 10 1990 Month Figure 9. Latitudinal variation of the maximum optical thicknessalong the 25øW meridian de- ducedfrom AVHRR data (continuous line) betweenJanuary1987and December1990 (November 1988 is missing),and from the modelsimulations(dashedline) 20,268 GINOUX ET AL.: DUST AEROSOL MODELING (1) Barbados (2) Cape Verde 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 o.8 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.4 O. lO 0.00 (,5..).Ban. izo. um. bo. u 1.4 0.2 0.0 ...... 1 0.2 0.0 ............................. • o J 1.0 F M A M J J A S 0 N D ß . . [4) Sde Baker 0.8 1 o J 1.0 ........... F M A .... M J J A S 0 N D (5.) Bahrain J 1.0 0.8 F M A M J J A S 0 N D ß . . (.6) .Do[on.zod. go.d. . . 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 ß 0.0 , . •0 1 •--•-•-•.ee_.e ßß • 1 .....e-e-e-l-le-i-e-e• ....e... • 1e.e_ e-e-e-•-e --e.......... o J F M A M J J A S 0 N D o J F M A M J J A S 0 N D J F M A M J J A S 0 N D Figure 10. Comparisonof opticalthicknesses simulated(bold line) and measuredby AERONET (dots) at six sites;the standarddeviationof the simulatedand observedvaluesare represented by shading and vertical segments,respectively. The lower panels give the monthly Angstrom parameter a, calculatedfrom the AERONET optical thicknessesat 440 and 670 nm. without the necessityof invokingany contributionfront the 25øW meridian. From this figure it appears that the model reproducesthe observedlatitudinal shift in 1989 and 1990. However, in 1987 and 1988 from late fall to early spring,the simulatedlatitude of the dust plume is located farther north. The difference is particularly significativein March 1988. To understandthis difference, we have analyzed the daily distributions. From this analysisit appearsthat the GOCART model simulates an intense dust plume originating from the west Sahara and moving to Europe over the last week of March 1988, in agreementwith the TOMS aerosolindex. For the same period the TOMS aerosolindex has maxima over Nigeria and Ghana, south of 10øN. These maxima indicate the presenceof biomassburning activ- ters that are monitored and maintained at the NASA ities. extinctionbehavior[Eck et al., 1999]. The empirical From this comparisonit seemsthat the contribution of dust load to the aerosol optical thicknessis generally not sufficientto explain the interannual variability of the latitudinal shift of the aerosol plume over the North Atlantic. The emissionof other aerosoltypes by biomassburning is the major factor to explain maximum optical thicknesssouth of 10øN over the Atlantic in winter. However,due to the interannual variability of fire activities and surface wind conditions, the maxima of dust load and aerosoloptical thicknesscan occasionally correspondin winter, as it was for the years 1989 and 1990. The low latitude of dust plumes is simulated anthropogenicdisturbancesto soils. 3.5.2. Comparison with AERONET data. The simulated optical thicknesshas been comparedwith the expressionof ct is given as Goddard SpaceFlight Center [Holbenet al., 1998]. Data have been collectedsince 1993, but most sites have been operational after 1996. All the AERONET values used in this comparisonhave been screenedfor cloud- free conditions[Smirnovet al., 2000a].This screening have rejected a substantial number of data. To avoid bias, the comparisonis basedon model resultsextracted for the dayswhen cloud-screened data are available. We select six sites where dust is considered to be the dom- inant aerosoltype, although the contribution of other aerosoltypes can be significant. The presenceof other aerosolscan be detected on the basisof the wavelength dependencyof optical depth. The Angstrom parameter a can be used as a first-order indicator of spectral c• - - • in(,x3-}• )' (7) where r2 and rz are the optical thicknessat wavelength •z (440 nm) and •2 (670 nm), respectively.In general, the smallerthe particle size, •he strongerthe wavelength dependence,thus the larger the ct values. Typical values of c• range from >2 for smokeparticles and pollution aerosolsto nearly zero for high optical thicknessdust particles[Holbenet al., 1991]. Figure 10 showsthe comparisonof opticalthicknesses calculated at 450 nm from the model results and ob- served at 440 nm at six AERONET sites. The c• values AerosolRobotic Network (AERoNET) data. AERONET is a federatedworldwidenetwork of Sun photome- retrieved at these sites are also shownin Figure 10 for GINOUX ET AL.: DUST AEROSOL MODELING 20,269 Thesecomparisons suggestthat the modelreproduces indicationof particle sizes.Table 7 showsthe location, associated with majordustplumes the selectedperiodof measurements for eachsite, and the opticalthickness over the oceans. The simulated backgroundvalues in the correspondingsimulationperiod. At Barbados the model simulates the observed sea- the Northern Hemisphereat 650 nm is 0.05-0.1. Near sonalvariation of optical thicknesswithin the standard the dust sources the simulated values are within the deviation. The observed June 1997 maximum is shifted standard deviation of the AERONET data, with the of the Asiansite. Fromthesecomparisons it to July by the model,but the simulatedvaluesare well exception within the observed standard deviation. $mirnov et al. [2000b]havestudiedin detailthe AERONET data does not seem that the model overestimates dust emissions. overBarbadosand founda high correlationbetweenthe monthlymeanopticalthicknessand dust concentration 3.6. at the surface.Figure 4 showsthat the model captures the observed maximum surface concentration Aerosol volume size distribution has been retrieved in June (1987-1990and 1996). The discrepancybetweenthe model and observationsin June 1997 is thus not sys- tematic but is most likely related to the variation of calculated emission rates in 1997. The Cape Verde site is closeto the Saharandust source. At this site the model reproduces,within the standard deviation, the observedoptical thickness,at the exceptionof June 1997. For this month the c• pa- Size Distribution from the AERONET data by an iterative inversion algorithm[Dubovikand King, 2000]. The inversion algorithmcalculates the effectivesizedistributionfor the total atmosphericcolumn,assumingaerosolparticlesas polydisperse homogeneous spheres.Duboviket al. [2000]showed that the sizedistribution canbe re- trieved reasonablywell. For dust particlesradius less than 0.3/•m the retrievalproblemassociated with nonrameter is around 0.1 which is characteristic for dust, sphericityis avoidedwhen the angularrange of sky and the discrepancycannotbe attributed to the pres- radiancesis limited to scattering angles smaller than ence of other aerosols. It is most likely due to strong 30ø-40 ø (aroundnoon). For largerdust particlesthe perturbationsoverthe dust sourcewhichwerenot re- limitation to small scattering angles does not apply. The size distribution has been retrieved at only a few solved in the model. The Banizoumbou site is southwest of the Bodele sites(http://aeronet.gsfc.nasa.gov). Figure 11 shows depression and is representative of the Saheliandust the seasonalvariation of the vertically integrated volsources.The modelreproduces the seasonalcyclewithin Umesizedistribution at Cape Verde, Banizoumbou,and the standard deviation except in April where it under- Dalanzadgad,wherethe AERONET retrievedsizedisestimatesthe optical thicknessby a factor of 3. The tributions have been averagedover 3 months. The obexplanationgivenfor the discrepancy at Cape Verde, serveddistributiongenerallyshowsa bimodaldistribution with a fine (sulfateor carbonaceous aerosols) and June 1997, can also be given for this case. a coarse mode with particles larger than 0.6/•m. Only At SdeBoker (Israel) and Barhainthe modelreproduces the seasonal variation within the standard devi- the coarse mode is of interest for this analysis. At Cape Verdethe modelreproduces the volumesize distribution for each season, although it systematically allyhigh,indicatingthepresence of submicron particles. underestimates the larger size fraction. The contribuThe dust opticalthicknessis probablyoverestimated in the model. tion of the largestfractionto the total massis 5 times ation. However, the c• values at both sites are gener- At Dalanzadgad(Mongolia)the simulatedoptical lower than the fraction centered at 1.5 /•m. It thus thicknessis higherthan observedby as muchas a fac- seemsthat the lower than observed simulated optical tor of 2 in July, but is within the observedstandard thicknessin June 1997 at Cape Verde is due to subscale deviation for the other months. As at the Sde Boker perturbations unresolved by the model.At Banizoumand Bahrain sites,the c• valuesare generallyaround 1 bou the model reproducesthe maximum volumedistrithe fraction which indicatesthat the dust optical thicknessis prob- butionat 1.5/•m radiusbut overestimates below 1.5 /•m and underestimates the fraction above. ably overestimatedin the model. Table 7. Site Name, Latitude, Longitude,SelectedYear of Measurements,and Corresponding Year of Simulationfor Each AERONET Site Usedfor Comparison Site Name Latitude Longitude Year Observed Year Simulated 1 Barbados 13.2øN 59.5øW 1997 1997 2 Cape Verde 16.7øN 22.9øW 1997 1997 3 4 5 Banizoumbou Sde Boker B ahr ain 13.5øN 30.5øN 26.3 øN 2.65øE 34.5øE 50.5 oE 1996 1996 1998-1999 1996 1996 1996-1997 6 Dalanzadgad 43.6øN 104.4øE 1997 1997 20,270 GINOUX ET AL.' DUST AEROSOL MODELING Cape Verde Dec-Feb , 1.000 Banizoumbou 97 ........... Dec-Feb , Dalanzadgad 96 Dec-Feb •,,,, 97 .000 O. lOO .100 O.OLO .010 o.ool .001 0.1 1 10 0.1 1 Mar-May 97 10 1 Mar-May 96 1.000 , 1.00C O.lOO Mar-May , .......... 10 97 i ,,,,, 0.10C O.OLO 0.01C o.ool 0.001 0.1 1 10 0.1 1 Jun-Aug 97 10 0.1 Jun-Aug 96 1.000 .000 0.100 .100 .100 0.010 .010 .O10 0.001 .001 ............. ' 1 10 Jun-Aug 97 .000 o 0.1 1 Sep-Nov 10 " .001 0.1 97 1 Sap-Nov 1 .ooo .000 O. lOO .100 O.OLO .010 o.ool 10 0.1 96 ................ 1 Sep-Nov 10 97 i ,,,,,, ,001 0.1 1 Radius (,u,m) 10 0.1 1 Radius(•m) 10 1 10 Radius (•m) Figure11. Comparison ofvolume sizedistribution (/•m a /•m-2) simulated (dashed line)and retrieved(continuous line) fromAERONET data. Also,the modelunderestimates by 50%the sizedistri- opticalthickness(Figure10) and surfaceconcentration butionat 1.5 /•m in winterandspring.Thiscouldex- (Figure4) neartheAsiansources arenotlargelyoverplain the lowerthan observedopticalthickness in 1997 estimated. However, because thelifetimeof 1.5/•msize at Banizoumbou (Figure10). particlesis muchlongerthan that of particleslarger At Dalanzadgad (Mongolia)the observed sizedistri- than 6 /•m, the overprediction of smallparticleemisbutionis quitedifferentfromthat at CapeVerdeand sionwill producea modelbiaswhichis stronger far Banizoumbou. Thecoarse fractionis characterized by away from the sourcethan near the source. Further- twomodes:onewith a meanradiusat 1.5/•m andthe more,we haveseen(Plate 1) that dust plumesfrom second witha meanradiusat 7 /•m (Figure11). The Asiansources travelat highaltitudeswherethe winds' contribution of the secondmode to the volumesizedisarestronger.We suspect that thisefficient long-range tribution is dominant. This mode is outsidethe simu- transport,especially for smallparticles, is at theorigin lated particlesizerange. The modeloverestimates the of the too highbackground valuesof opticalthickness firstmodebya factorof3 in springandbya factorof 5 (0.05-0.1)andsurface concentration (5 timesthe obin summer.The overestimation of smalldustparticles servedvalue) estimatedby the model over the North compensates for the absence of particleslargerthan6 Pacific. /•m suchthat the simulatedatmospheric dust load is Finally,Figure11 highlights the largedifference in comparable to the observations. Thisexplains whythe the AERONET retrievedsizedistributionsbetweenthe GINOUX ET AL.: DUST AEROSOL MODELING 20,271 African and Asian stationswhichdoesnot appearin the Fung [1995]attributed to humanactivity. Also, other modelresults. In equation(2) the two variableswhich models which identify deserts as dust sourcestend to depend on the size distribution are the soil size fraction greatly overestimatedust emissionsin Australia. Our Spand the thresholdvelocityut. In our formulation,ut results did not show such a discrepancy because the is proportional to the squareroot of the particle radius. model limits the sourcelocation to the Lake Eyre basin As we discussedin section 2.4, there is some evidence which is consistent with the analysis by Prospero et al. that below 30/•m the threshold velocity is instead de- (submitted manuscript,2000). The comparisonwith creasingwith the increaseof radius. This could explain LITE data showsthat dust uplifting is simulated at the the lower than observedfraction of particles between 3 correct place and time, although the model does not and 6/•m. The use of a more realistic parameterization reproduce all observed features in the vertical aerosol [e.g.,MarticorenaandBergametti,1995]mightimprove distributions. our results by increasingthe fraction of large particles. However, it will not help reproducethe large variability in size distribution between sites. This variability is most likely due to differencein soil properties. The Comparisons with observations have shown that the model is generally able to reproduce the seasonalvariation of the surface concentration and optical thickness valueof Spshouldbe regionspecific,and in the caseof Asia it should have a higher percentageof large parti- mote regionswhere concentrationsare <2/•m the model tends to overestimate the concentrations. Comparison with surfacedata is difficult becausethere is a large local variability which is not resolvedby the model. Nevertheless, the model overestimates the surface concentration in the North Pacific by a factor of 3 to 5 which is much larger than the local variability. To understand the origin of this discrepancy,the dust concentration, vertical distribution, optical thickness, and size distribution have been compared with the observations in the vicinity of the Asian dust sources.The comparison did not show any significantdiscrepancyexcept for the size distribution. The model overestimates by a factor of 3 to 5 the size distribution at 1.5 ttm while, in contrast, the observationsshow a peak at 7 ttm. Near the sourcethe overestimation of small particles compensates the absenceof particles larger than 6 /•m radius and produces a simulated atmospheric dust load which is comparable to the observations. Far away from the sourcesthe atmospheric dust load is largely overestimated because small particles have a longer lifetime. Also, our comparisonwith LITE data showsthat Asian dust particles are uplifted efficiently to 7-8 km altitude where they are subject to long-range transport by the jet streams. Therefore the atmospheric dust loading over the North Pacific is sensitive to the parameterization of dust uplifting and to the soil size distribution in Asian desert. From the comparison of the size distribution near the dust sources, it clearly appears that the size distribution differs significantly between cles. More measurements are needed to constrain the soil size distribution. 4. Conclusions We have developed a new global dust source function which identifies the dust source locations at the topographically low regionswith bare soil surface. This sourcefunction is a generalizationof the finding in satel- lite data analysis(Prosperoet al., submittedmanuscript, 2000) that the dust sourcesare associatedwith topographic depressions. The accumulation of sediments in these depressionsduring pluvial periods servesas a sourceof loose particles which can be easily uplifted into the atmosphere. We have generalizedthis finding and assumethat all topographic lows have accumulated sediments which serve as potential dust sources. With this distribution of dust sources we have sim- ulated the atmospheric dust distribution with the GO- CART modelwhichis drivenby assimilatedmeteorological fields from the GEOS DAS. We have incorporated the emission, transport, and removal processesof dust sizesranging from 0.1 to 6 /•m radius. The model has been evaluated globally over a period of severalyears by comparing simulation results with observationsof dust concentration at the surface,vertical distribution, surface deposition flux, optical thickness, and size distribution. in the "dusty" regions(concentrations>2 ttm). In re- We have been successfulin reproducing observed the African and Asian soils. Past studies have been global scale dust distribution patterns by considering concentrated on dust characterization and mobilization dust emissions exclusively from these so-called "hot over the Sahara, and there ares little data available on spots" regions. The total emissionis estimated at 1604- Asian dust sources. This study showsthat such data 1960Tg yr-• in a 5-yearsimulation.Thisresultis simi- are needed to simulate correctly dust distribution over lar to other modelresultsalthoughdistribution patterns East Asia and the North Pacific. differ substantially. The model source distribution allowsto simulatethe latitudinal shift of dust plumesover Acknowledgments. We are very grateful to Andrea the North Atlantic but doesnot always reproducethe Molod for her continuous help with the DAO data and low latitude of the aerosol plumes in winter. The con- Richard Rood for providing the computational resources. 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Role of aerosol size distribution and source location in
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