PENN STATE SHALE WEBINAR June 20, 2013 Jim Cutler President – Macle, Inc. Webinar Discussion Points Selected Definitions Historical Background Basic Ethylene Chemistry Ethylene Production Ethane & Natural Gas Ethylene Economics Ethylene Production Economies Of Scale World Scale vs. Regional Ethylene Plants Supply Chain Resiliency Selected Industry Definitions Inside Battery Limits (ISBL) – process units excluding support equipment World Scale Ethylene Plant – plants over 1.5 Billion lbs./yr. Mont Belvieu – a major NGL storage, processing and trading hub located 30 miles East of Houston, TX Barrel – 42 gallons NGL – natural gas liquid (ethane, propane, butane, natural gasoline) Fractionator – A processing plant that separates NGL’s into its components via distillation (heat) Olefin – A unstable (double bond) straight chain hydrocarbon US ETHYLENE CRACKERS DEVELOPMENTAL BACKGROUND IN THE 1960’S ETHYLENE PLANTS VIEWED TO BE A REFINERY OPERATION ETHYLENE PLANTS CONSIDERED TO BE GARBAGE DISPOSAL UNITS QUESTION OF PLANT SITE LOCATION • FEEDSTOCK • DOWNSTREAM MARKETS • EXPORT OPPORTUNITIES Marcellus PE Freight Positioning Rail Cost $.04/lb Location-Location - Location Appalachian Basin Appalachian Resins, Inc. Major Polymer Resin Consumers 6 Ethylene Chemical Compound Ethylene is a hydrocarbon with the formula C2H4 or H2C=CH2. Ethylene is a colorless flammable gas with a faint sweet odor pure. It is the simplest olefin. What’s In A Name THE NAME CHANGES - NOT THE PLANT Ethylene Plant Ethylene Cracker Steam Cracker Ethane Cracker Light Olefins Unit (LOU) Ethane Cracking Reaction It’s the unstable double bond that makes ethylene reactive and a valuable petrochemical intermediate. quench Hydrogen Gas NGL Fractionator “Y” Grade Natural Gasoline Regional Ethane Cracker - - 500 MM Lbs/Yr Natural Gas Support MACLE, INC. Ethylene Yields Ethylene Cracker Feed Yields EHANE Ethylene Heavier feedstocks require more back end units. Propylene C4's Heavier feedstocks reflect higher capital costs. Heavy feed ethylene crackers resemble small refineries. Ethane crackers not as sensitive to capital economies of scale. Ful Gas Pyrolysis Gasoline NAPHTHA Ethylene Propylene C4's Ful Gas Appalachian Resins, Inc. 13 Steam Cracker Costs Ethane Cracker Reflects Lowest Capital Cost $ CAPITAL COST HIGHER NAPHTHA ETHANE HEAVIER FEEDSTOCK MOLECULAR WEIGHT Appalachian Resins, Inc. 14 ETHYLENE PLANT – SIMPLIFIED SCHEMATIC Ethane Recycle STEAM Ethane Ethylene 1450 – 1600°F FURNACES WATER QUENCH RECOVERY Typical Ethane Cracker Distillation Columns – Recovery Section 3 Columns de-methanizer 32 feet high 10 feet diameter de-ethylenizer 55 feet high 10 feet diameter de-ethanizer 88 feet high 10 feet diameter A MISUNDERSTOOD FACT ALL ETHYLENE PLANTS ARE CREATED EQUAL REGIONAL PLANTS HAVE THE SAME VARIABLE COSTS AS “WORLDSCALE” PLANTS PLANT SIZE MAKES NO DIFFERENCE ETHYLENE PRODUCTION YIELD - POUND PER POUND ETHANE FEED PLANT SIZE (MM LBS) 500 1,000 2,000 PRODUCT PRODUCED YIELD YIELD YIELD 0.80 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.13 0.01 0.00 0.80 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.13 0.01 0.00 0.80 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.13 0.01 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Ethylene Propylene Butylene Butadiene Fuel Gas Gasoline Pitch TOTAL Appalachian Resins, Inc. 17 Regional Ethylene Plant Appalachian Resins Configuration ETHYLENE 500 Million lbs/yr 500 MM lbs/yr POLYETHYLENE 500 Million lbs/yrlbs/yr World Scale Ethylene Plant Typical Configuration POLYETHYLENE 1.0 Billion lbs/yr ETHYLENE 2.0 Billion lbs/yr ETHYLENE OXIDE ETHYLENE GLYCOL 840 Million lbs/yr 600 million lbs/yr World Scale Ethylene Plant Typical Configuration MORE OF EVERYTHING • • • • • MORE ENVIRONMENTAL EMISSIONS MORE LAND MORE TRAFFIC MORE COST OVERRUN POTENTIAL MORE PRODUCTION BALANCING POLYETHYLENE 1.0 Billion lbs/yr ETHYLENE 2.0 Billion lbs/yr ETHYLENE OXIDE ETHYLENE GLYCOL 840 Million lbs/yr 600 million lbs/yr WORLDSCALE vs REGIONAL ETHYLENE CRACKERS Per Pound Capital Cost REGIONAL ETHANE CRACKERS CAN BE COST COMPETITIVE WITH “WORLDSCALE” PLANT • Same yield structure • Less rail staging area requirements • Environmental Considerations • Regional crackers can be integrated with existing operations (brownfield) Regional Plants Piggy-Back (Brownfield) Capability Barge Dock Rail Car Capability Truck Capability Warehouses Water Electricity Natural Gas Support Services Office Space Nitrogen Blanketing WORLD SCALE ETHYLENE PLANTS A world scale ethylene plant is over 1.5 Billion lbs. Largest ethylene plant is 3.7 Billion lbs (India). A world scale ethylene plant has to support downstream production facilities, such as: Polyethylene Ethylene Oxide Vinyl Chloride Monomer (VCM) A world scale ethylene plant is actually a large petrochemical complex. CLIMATE CHANGE RECOGNITION A COMPETITIVE EDGE Evidence that Earth’s climate is changing Some Impacts of Climate Change Extreme weather events—droughts, wildfires, storms, floods—increasing Electricity outages Rail bed damage Bridge failures Manufacturing facility damage Workforce disruption THE BOTTOM LINE – HIGHER COSTS SOURCE: American Chemical Society For Commodity Petrochemical Manufacturing, Integrated Site Operations, Not Facility Size, Is Key to Cost Competitiveness Planned Regional Development Can Duplicate Or Exceed Benefits Associated With World Scale Ethylene Plants
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