The Geography of Equity Listing: Why Do European Companies List Abroad? Marco Pagano CSEF, University of Salerno and CEPR Ailsa A. Röell Princeton University and CEPR Josef Zechner University of Vienna and CEPR First draft: 30 April 1999. This version: 11 December 1999 Abstract This paper documents the aggregate trends in the foreign listings of companies and analyzes both their distinctive pre-listing characteristics and their post-listing performance relative to other companies. In the 1986-97 interval, many European companies listed abroad, but did so mainly on US exchanges. At the same time, the number of US companies listed in Europe decreased. The cross-listings of European companies appear to have sharply different motivations and consequences depending on whether they cross-list in the United States or within Europe. In the first case, companies pursue a strategy of rapid expansion fuelled by high leverage before the listing and large equity issues after the listing. They rely increasingly on export markets both before and after the listing, and tend to belong to high-tech industries. In the second case, companies do not grow more than the control group, and increase their leverage after the cross-listing. Also, they fail to increase their foreign sales in the wake of the cross-listing. The only common features of the two groups are their large size, high foreign sales before cross-listing and high R&D spending after cross-listing. Keywords: JEL classification: cross-listings, going public, initial public offerings, geography G15, G30, G39 Authors’ addresses: Marco Pagano, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche, University of Salerno, Via Ponte Don Melillo, 84084 Fisciano (Salerno), Italy; ph. +39 081 575-2508, fax +39 081 575-2243, e-mail: [email protected]. Ailsa A. Röell, Department of Economics, Princeton University, Fisher Hall, Princeton NJ 08544-1021, U.S.A.; ph. +1-609-258-4467, fax +1-609258-6419, e-mail: [email protected]. Josef Zechner, University of Vienna, Brünnerstrasse 72, A-1210 Wien, Austria; ph. +43 1 4277-38071, fax +43 1 4277-38074, e-mail: [email protected]. Acknowledgements: We thank Asher Blass, Yishay Yafeh, Gilles Chemla and seminar participants at Aachen, Copenhagen, Konstanz, Tel-Aviv, and the Barcelona CEPR-IAE Workshop on Banking and Financial Markets for helpful comments. Larissa Lube and Otto Randl have provided outstanding research assistance. This research has been supported by grants awarded by INQUIRE, the Fondation Banque de France, and the Italian Ministry of University and Scientific and Technological Research (MURST). This paper is produced as part of a CEPR research network on The Industrial Organization of Banking and Financial Markets in Europe, funded by the European Commission under the TMR Programme (contract No ERBFMRXCT980222). 1 1. Introduction Foreign listings are becoming an increasingly important strategic issue for companies and stock exchanges alike. As companies become global in their product market and investment strategies, direct access to foreign capital markets via an equity listing can yield important benefits. At the same time, the international integration of capital markets has led to unprecedented levels of competition among stock exchanges. In this competitive struggle, the winners are the exchanges that manage to attract more foreign listings and the attendant trading volume and business opportunities. Despite the importance of these issues, still little is known about which exchanges succeed in capturing more listings from abroad and why. This question is intimately related with a second issue, namely which advantages companies expect to get from a foreign listing: securing cheap equity capital for new investment, allowing controlling shareholders to divest on a liquid market, preparing for foreign acquisitions, or simply enhancing the company’s reputation. The evidence presented in this paper is relevant for both issues − the determinants of exchanges’ success and the microeconomic motives for listing abroad. We start by providing a broad picture of the geography of cross-listings by European and US companies, and of its changes in recent years. This aggregate picture shows that European companies have become more “footloose” in recent years, and that most of their cross-listings have been directed towards the US exchanges, while US companies have reduced their cross-listings in Europe. Correspondingly, the ability of European exchanges to attract listings from the rest of the world has declined, while the reverse has happened to US exchanges. Interestingly, the European markets with the highest trading costs, lowest accounting standards and worst shareholder protection have also fared worst in attracting or retaining foreign listings, and companies from those countries have been comparatively eager in seeking foreign listings. We then turn to microeconomic data to gain a better understanding of these shifts in the geography of cross-listings, by linking companies’ decision to list abroad to their ex ante characteristics (e.g., size or foreign sales) and their ex post behavior (e.g., their growth rate after listing abroad). We investigate these relationships by using company- 2 level data for non-financial European companies in 1986-97, drawn from the Global Vantage and Worldscope databases. We find that the European companies that list in other European exchanges and those which list in the US have few common features: they all tend to be larger and more export-oriented than the companies which not list abroad, and all tend to increase their R&D spending after cross-listing. The differences between the two groups are far more numerous and striking. European companies that cross-list in the US pursue a strategy of rapid expansion fuelled by high leverage before the listing and large equity issues after the listing. They rely heavily on export markets both before and after the listing, and tend to belong to high-tech industries. Companies that cross-list elsewhere in Europe, instead, do not grow more than the control group, and increase their leverage after the cross-listing. Also, they do not rely on foreign sales to the same extent as firms cross-listing in the US, and generally do not belong to high-tech sectors. Thus, cross-listing in the US appears to be driven by the need to raise equity to fund growth and foreign sales expansion, generally in high-tech sectors. These motives are less common for European companies that cross-list in other European exchanges. Therefore, the changing geography of cross-listings across the Atlantic is associated with a difference in the type of companies that cross-list in the two continents. US exchanges appear to be especially suited to the needs of high-growth, export-oriented and high-tech European companies. In Section 2 we outline the main reasons why companies may wish to list abroad and draw testable predictions from each hypothesis. In Section 3 we analyze the overall pattern of cross-listings, studying the geographical origin and destination of firms that went public on the world’s major equity exchanges in 1986-97. In Section 4 we perform a first exploration of company-level data using descriptive statistics centered on the year of cross-listing. Section 5 presents an econometric analysis of the variables that affect the choice to list abroad for the first time, as well as the choice between listing in the US or in Europe. In Section 6 we try to gauge if listing abroad affects the subsequent performance of companies relative to our control sample, and how this differential performance hinges on cross-listing in the US as opposed to Europe. Finally, Section 7 summarizes the results of the paper, compares them with those of related studies, and discusses their implications for the comparison between US and European exchanges. 3 2. Hypotheses and Related Literature In this section we outline the reasons why companies may want to list on an exchange outside their country of incorporation, either as their first port of entry into the public equity market or after having already listed on their domestic exchange.1 First of all, companies may list abroad because funding abroad may be cheaper or more easily available. This can happen for various reasons, detailed below in Section 2.1 jointly with their empirical implications. Second, the publicity that comes with a listing can enhance a company’s reputation with its suppliers and customers, as explained in Section 2.2. On the other side of the ledger, the costs of listing abroad may deter certain companies, as discussed in Section 2.3. Table 1 summarizes the testable implications of the various motives of the decision to list abroad, relating it both to (i) the pre-listing company characteristics and to (ii) its likely effect on subsequent performance. 2.1 Selling Securities on Better Terms By listing abroad firms may improve the terms on which they can raise capital or on which their shareholders can sell existing securities. This motive is strongest if the firm or its existing shareholders need to raise capital and if financial constraints in the home market are significant. Some of the empirical predictions relevant for this motive have to do with the reason why capital is needed, and others have to do with why crosslisting makes it cheaper. The salient reason why a company may need funding is to carry out new investment programs. The required funding is likely to be especially large for fast-growing companies, and especially expensive if the company is already highly levered. Therefore, companies which cross-list in order to raise capital cheaply should have a 1 The decision to list or cross-list on a foreign exchange is related to the more general issue of why firms go public, which has recently been explored in the finance literature: see Bolton and von Thadden (1998), Pagano and Röell (1998), Chemmanur and Fulghieri (1999), Mello and Parsons (1996), Pagano (1993), Röell (1996), Stoughton, Wong and Zechner (1996), and Subrahmanyam and Titman (1999). These papers emphasize various advantages of going public from the standpoint of controlling shareholders, such as portfolio diversification, liquidity, information dissemination, ownership dispersion, and product market spillovers. Some of the insights of this literature can be brought to bear also on the decision to list abroad. 4 higher leverage, investment and growth rate before cross-listing and engage in a primary equity offering at the time of the cross-listing or shortly afterwards. Moreover, such companies would be more likely to cross-list on a deep stock market such as the US or the UK than on shallow markets such as most exchanges in continental Europe. Since higher expected growth should translate into higher price-earning ratios (P/E), one would also expect them to have higher P/E ratios than comparable domestic companies. Rather than via organic growth, a company may choose to expand by a merger or acquisition involving a foreign company. The acquisition of a target company is facilitated by using the bidder’s shares as a medium of exchange, but the latter are an acceptable “currency” only if the two companies are listed on the same exchange.2 Even if the firm has no need to finance new investment, its current shareholders may want to sell out, and listing abroad can increase the market value of their stake. Privatizations are an important special case, where the government is the divesting shareholder. Therefore, we would expect newly privatized companies to be more likely to cross-list than other comparable companies. A more direct test would look at whether, in general, the main shareholders sell out at the time of cross-listing or shortly afterwards. An imperfect proxy for such divestment can be an abnormally high turnover. We now turn to the reasons why listing abroad can raise a company’s stock market value. a) Reducing barriers for foreign investors Widening the clientele for a firm’s shares improves risk sharing and thus lowers the cost of capital, as shown by Stulz (1999), Martin and Rey (1999) and Lombardo and Pagano (1999). The empirical evidence summarized in Karolyi (1998) shows that indeed cross-listing reduces the cost of capital for firms, whether this is measured by secondary market returns or by accounting variables such as the price-earnings ratio or the market to book ratio. The reduction in the cost of capital appears to reflect, at least 2 Listing abroad may also relieve constraints on future growth options by creating the necessary contacts and reputation in the local financial community (e.g., with investment bankers, regulators, etc.), and by facilitating the identification of potential target companies. 5 partly, the reduction of the company’s home market beta. This gain should be larger for riskier firms, which therefore should have greater inducement to cross-list.3 Listing abroad can mitigate market segmentation by reducing barriers to foreign investors, such as (i) regulatory barriers: for instance, pension funds may face a ceiling on the proportion of their assets invested in stocks not listed on their domestic market; (ii) transaction costs: for instance, dividends of non-US shares held by US residents must be converted into dollars at the expense of individual investors; (iii) informational frictions: these range from total ignorance of foreign investment opportunities as in Merton’s “awareness hypothesis”,4 to an informational disadvantage when trading foreign stocks, as in Gehrig (1993), Kang and Stulz (1994) and Brennan and Cao (1997).5 A foreign listing may reduce such frictions, supplying local investors with more abundant, timely and transparent information.6 Foerster and Karolyi (1999) provide the most direct evidence connecting Merton’s “awareness hypothesis” to the drop in the cost of capital at the time of cross-listing: they show that the price of cross-listing companies rise more when they are accompanied by a greater expansion of the shareholder base. Related evidence is reported by Kadlec and McConnell (1994) for over-the-counter shares which listed in the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE): they find that the listing is accompanied by a 5 percent abnormal return, by an increase in the number of shareholders and a reduction of the bid-ask spread. Also consistently with the “awareness hypothesis”, Baker, Nofsinger and Weaver (1999) document that crosslisting on the New York and London exchanges is associated with increased analyst coverage and media attention. 3 No study so far has examined if cross-listing companies have lower betas with the destination market and higher home market betas than comparable domestic companies. Consistently with Merton's (1987) model, such firms would reap the highest risk sharing gains from listing abroad. 4 Merton (1987) derives a simple model of market equilibrium with incomplete information. Listing in a foreign market can be easily incorporated in this framework by assuming that it involves a cost but broadens the firm's investor base. In such a framework, risk characteristics should determine which firms are most likely to incur the cost of broadening its shareholder base by listing in a foreign market. 5 The “home bias” induced by informational frictions may take the form of overconfidence about domestic shares relative to foreign ones. Kilka and Weber (1997) produces experimental evidence that potential investors are more optimistic about the expected performance of domestic shares than that of foreign shares. The publicity associated with a cross-listing could change this perception. 6 Finally, Miller (1999) shows that the stock price reaction to a cross-listing is positively correlated both to the increase in the shareholder base and to the barriers to capital flows: abnormal returns are largest when companies list on major US exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq and when they originate from emerging markets. b) Capitalizing on product market reputation Companies which sell popular brands abroad may find it easier to place their shares in foreign markets because local investors already trust them as consumers. A simple strategy to test this hypothesis is to look at indicators of the degree of sales internationalization for companies which cross-list. One would expect a larger fraction of revenue coming from abroad to encourage eventual cross-listing. Saudagaran (1988) showed that 104 companies from 9 countries that were already listed abroad in 1981 had a higher proportion of foreign sales than a control sample. This however begs the question of which came first: the cross-listing or the outward orientation of these companies. Only the latter would be consistent with the idea that these companies crosslisted to capitalize on their product market reputation. c) Relying on foreign expertise The exchange where a company lists may be determined by the location of analysts with superior technological knowledge of the industry. Especially in high-tech sectors, the availability of such skills may substantially affect the availability of equity finance and the terms at which it is available, by reducing informational asymmetries in the primary market. This hypothesis predicts, for example, that high-tech companies may be more likely to list in the US where the corresponding industries are well developed. Evidence in this direction is already provided by Blass and Yafeh (1999), who show that Israeli and Dutch firms which list in the US (bypassing their respective home markets) are relatively high-tech and fast growing. 6 Access to cheaper capital not only through the stock market but also through the bond market and trade credit through suppliers. This may be due to a reduction in adverse selection since strictly more information is available about the company. 7 d) Committing to disclosure and corporate governance standards The listing location may also be affected by differences in regulatory regimes, especially concerning shareholder protection. By selecting a more tightly regulated foreign exchange, a firm precommits to adhere to higher standards of corporate governance and/or disclosure. Exchanges compete to attract cross-listings by designing a regulatory environment that is expected to lower the cost of capital of their companies. Huddart, Hughes and Brunnermeier (1998) present a model in which exchanges competing for trading volume engage in a “race to the top” regarding disclosure requirements.7 Ashbaugh (1997) documents firms’ decisions to voluntarily adopt the tighter US accounting standards. Fuerst (1998) argues that firms signal quality by listing on strictly regulated markets.8 Similarly, Stulz (1999) argues that companies from countries with poor legal standards can secure a lower cost of capital by subjecting themselves to the tighter regulatory standards of other markets and thereby reducing the agency costs of external finance. At the empirical level, this suggests that companies located in countries with particularly inadequate supervision and disclosure standards would be more likely to cross-list abroad. However, so far the evidence on this point is mixed. On one hand, Biddle and Saudagaran (1989) and Saudagaran and Biddle (1992) find that stringent disclosure requirements deter the listing of foreign companies. On the other, Reese and Weisbach (1999) report that firms from countries with French Civil Law systems, which give weak protection to minority shareholders, list abroad more frequently than firms from other countries, and cross-list more often on organized exchanges such as NYSE or Nasdaq rather than on the Over the Counter (OTC) market. Of course, to the extent that exchanges compete for new listings by adjusting their regulatory standards, this motive for cross-listing may diminish over time. For example, Fanto and Karmel (1997) suggest that current improvements in European regulatory standards are attracting US institutional investors to stocks exclusively listed in Europe. If foreign accounting standards and disclosure requirements act as a better guarantee for minority shareholders than corresponding home-market regulations, companies which cross-list can also be expected to feature a larger decrease in the concentration of ownership relative to their domestic counterparts. 7 8 On this point see also Chemmanur and Fulghieri (1998). See also Cantale (1996). 8 In addition, the signaling hypothesis predicts that the post-listing profitability of companies which cross-list on a more demanding exchange should be better than that of companies which cross-list on other exchanges. This should also be reflected in a positive stock price reaction to the cross-listing announcement. This prediction is supported by several studies surveyed in Karolyi (1998), which show that the price reaction is significant for non-US companies listing in the US, which has the tightest disclosure standards, whereas it is negligible otherwise. e) Liquidity Some markets may be better positioned than others in the production of liquidity, for instance because of a better design of their microstructure or because of a larger number of competing market makers. The beneficial effects of competitive pressure from another exchange can also narrow the spreads on the domestic market and thereby raise its trading activity, as found by Kadlec and McConnell (1994), Noronha, Sarin and Saudagaran (1996), Foerster and Karolyi (1996) and Smith and Sofianos (1997). However, cross-listing may not always lead to a greater liquidity for one’s shares, due to the potentially offsetting impact of market fragmentation. Domowitz, Glen and Madhavan (1998) show that opening trade on the foreign market may reduce liquidity in both the domestic and the foreign market, if intermarket information linkages are poor, and support this point with evidence concerning Mexican companies issuing American Depository Receipts (ADRs). To test if liquidity might be a reason for cross-listing, one can compare indicators of trading for cross-listed shares, such as turnover ratios or bid-ask spreads. For instance, the liquidity of the US market is unlikely to be an important motive for cross-listing for European cross-listed companies if their turnover in the US turns out to be small relative to their domestic turnover.9 f) Relative mispricing Firms may decide to list abroad to take advantage of a temporarily high price for their shares abroad relative to their home market. This could be due either to an overvaluation in the foreign market or to an undervaluation in the domestic market. This 9 A related issue is whether foreign trading volume of cross-listed stocks tends to remain permanently high after the foreign listing or gravitates back towards the home market over time. 9 can be tested by including the price indices of the two exchanges (or the relevant sectoral indices) in regressions explaining the probability of a foreign listing. 2.2. Product Market Spillovers Firms’ decisions about where to list may be affected by the location of their product market, because the cross-listing may generate a positive feedback on the company’s demand from consumers and its relationships with suppliers, owing to its perceived reliability, managerial and product quality.10 Stoughton, Wong and Zechner (1998) provide a model where a company lists in order to signal to consumers its high product quality, and as a result captures a larger share of the market and increases its profits. In this model, a listing is not associated with the need to raise capital or with the intention to sell out by existing shareholders. The product market spillover hypothesis predicts that cross-listed companies increase their fraction of foreign sales. It is also consistent with higher overall sales growth and profits after the cross-listing. Furthermore, it is only potentially relevant for industries in which the firm’s product market reputation is of particular significance. As far as profitability is concerned, caution is in order because this effect is also consistent with other hypotheses. Furthermore, the corresponding test suffers from the problem that the timing of cross-listing may be endogenous. Companies may choose to list when their earnings performance is abnormally good, so mean reversion may induce a drop in profitability after listing. This bias could be partially corrected by including the change in profitability before listing as one of the explanatory variables in a regression context. This would still, however, fail to control for accounting manipulation, as found, for instance, by Teoh, Welch and Wong (1997a, 1997b). The latter may be corrected only by using as control sample a set of companies that go public in the domestic market, since these would presumably attempt the same kind of accounting manipulation.11 10 It may also improve the quality of its managerial decisions since, after the foreign listing, its stock price incorporates information which otherwise managers may have overlooked. 11 A post-listing improvement in profitability may also show up in the stock price performance, but we shall not analyze this aspect, which has already been thoroughly researched. For instance, Foerster and Karolyi (1999) analyse companies that went public in their domestic markets and subsequently listed in one of the main US markets, and document abnormal positive performance before but abnormal negative performance subsequent to the foreign listing. 10 2.3 Cost of Listing Abroad Listing abroad also involves a variety of costs. There are direct costs, such as listing charges and fees for professional advice. But the main costs cited in survey evidence regarding potential cross-listings in the US (see Fanto and Karmel (1997)) are the cost of complying with US GAAP accounting standards and the risk of lawsuits. Presumably, shareholders’ power to interfere in managerial decisions increases with a US listing. This survey evidence agrees with the results of the above-quoted studies by Biddle and Saudagaran (1989) and Saudagaran and Biddle (1992). Since the costs of cross-listing include a large fixed cost element, they bear most heavily on small companies. Thus, we expect larger companies to be more likely to cross-list. This prediction is borne out by Saudagaran’s (1988) study. 3. The Changing Geography of Equity Listings This section provides a description of the cross-listing behavior of European and US companies in the last decade. First, we document the “geography” of cross-listings, by gauging regional clusters in cross-listing behavior. Second, we inquire if these patterns have changed over time, and how. In particular, we investigate if there have been substantial changes in “transatlantic listings”, that is, in the tendency of European companies to list in the US and of US corporations to list in Europe. Third, we try to relate these changes to the characteristics of the European and US exchanges concerned. The sources of the cross-listing data used in the tables and figures of this section are described in Appendix A. 3.1 Geographical Pattern of Cross-Listings Table 2 summarizes the pattern of foreign listings in 1986-97 on the following stock exchanges: Amsterdam, Brussels, Frankfurt, Milan, London, Madrid, Paris, Stockholm, Vienna, Easdaq, Amex, Nasdaq, and NYSE.12 Panel A displays a matrix of foreign 12 The figures in the table refer to the stock of foreign listings on a given market, not the flow of new listings in a given year. 11 listings, with the country of incorporation appearing in the columns and the destination stock exchange along the rows. Each cell of the table contains three values: the top one refers to 1986, the middle to 1991, and the bottom one to 1997. For each stock exchange, the table displays only the foreign listings originating in the countries of our sample: Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, Italy, UK, Spain, France, Sweden, Austria (henceforth shortened to EU9 countries) and US. For instance, Japanese, Australian or Canadian companies are excluded (evidence on these is deferred to Panel C of Table 2). Looking at the column of a given country, one learns where the companies originating from that country tend to cross-list. The column EU9 indicates in which exchanges European (EU9) companies as a whole tend to cross-list. The last column shows how the total number of cross-listing companies from the EU9 and US area have distributed themselves within the area. The table indicates that European companies list abroad more frequently within Europe than in the US. For instance, only 4 out of 32 foreign listings by Belgian companies were on the three US exchanges. This is true for all EU9 countries’ companies (with the exception of the UK in 1997). The table also suggests that common language and similar institutions foster crosslistings. For example, the Vienna stock exchange is the single largest destination for German companies and vice versa. The same is true for the US and the UK. This “clustering” indicates that companies tend to cross-list in countries geographically or culturally close to their country of incorporation. This parallels the findings by Portes and Rey (1999) and by Tesar and Werner (1995) that geographical proximity and cultural homogeneity (especially language) greatly enhance cross-border securities transaction flows. Geography and culture seem to matter also in cross-listing behavior, presumably for the same reason: as a proxy for informational asymmetries. For a US investor, for instance, the accounting data and the behavioral patterns of a British company are easier to decipher than those of a French or Spanish company. Looking at each row across columns, we learn what has been the contribution of each country to the total number of foreign listings in a given market. Comparing the figures in the US column with the others, American companies turn out to be the single largest source of foreign listings on European exchanges. This is particularly evident for Amsterdam and London, where in 1997 American corporations still are over two thirds of the total number of foreign listings, despite the considerable decline in their number. 12 3.2 Changes in the Geography of Cross-Listings The information in Panel A of Table 2 also gives a picture of how the geography of European and US cross-listings has changed between 1986 and 1997. The two bottom lines give an overall view of the change in the cross-listings pattern. The row “Total Listings” displays the number of listings that companies from a given country have in the foreign exchanges included in our sample. The bottom row “Total Companies” eliminates double counting by reporting the number of companies from a given country with at least one foreign listing. The number of foreign listings originated by a given country is greater (or at most equal) to the corresponding number of companies listed abroad, because the same company can be listed in several foreign exchanges. The numbers in these two rows reveal that European companies have become more outward looking in their search for investors: the number of EU9 companies listed abroad doubled (from 177 to 337) and the total number of their foreign listings increased by 61 percent (from 320 to 516). In contrast with European companies, European stock exchanges do not appear to have become equally outward oriented. Foreign listings on most European exchanges exhibit an inverse U-shaped time pattern over time. In the European exchanges as a whole, the total number of foreign listings increased very slightly from 732 in 1986 to 757 in 1991, and then declined to 625 in 1997 (see the last cell in the row “European exchanges”). So these exchanges lost over one hundred foreign listings in a decade. The opposite picture emerges when one considers American companies and exchanges. US companies have become less eager to list in Europe, with their number decreasing from 284 to 184. In contrast, US exchanges (especially the Nasdaq and the NYSE) have captured an increasing share of foreign listings by European companies: the listings of EU9 companies in the US went from 53 in 1986 to 207 in 1997, while in the same interval their listings within Europe went from 267 to 309. The contrast between these two opposite flows of “transatlantic listings” emerges very clearly in panel B of Table 2. While European listings in the US almost quadrupled, the number of US companies listed in Europe fell by over a third. In 1986 the US firms listed in Europe were more than five times as many as the European firms 13 listed in the US. In 1997, the latter outnumber the former. This suggests that the relative attractiveness of European equity markets declined in this time window. Panels A and B of Table 2 do not provide a full account of the outward orientation of each exchange, because they neglect the listings originating outside our sample of countries. Panel C completes the picture, by reporting cross-listings originating from the rest of the world. Canadian, Latin American and Israeli companies are major sources of listings in US exchanges, while they list much less frequently in Europe. In contrast, South African and Asian companies list predominantly in London - with the exception of Japanese corporations, which gravitate primarily towards Frankfurt. Considering instead how the overall pattern changed over time, one sees again that the US exchanges have captured the lion’s share of the increase in cross-listings from the rest of the world, especially those from Australia, Canada, Latin America and Israel. In contrast, in most cases, European exchanges have lost cross-listings originating from these regions. The data in Table 2 raise two questions. First, is the decline of foreign listings on European exchanges part of a more general decline in their ability to attract new listings, including domestic ones? Second, are the three data points reported in Table 2 representative of the overall history of cross-listings between 1986 and 1997? Figures 1a and 1b address both questions. Figure 1a (on the left) displays the time pattern of domestic and foreign companies listed on each exchange, as well as their total number. The general impression is that the European exchanges’ inability to attract new listings is not confined to foreign listings alone. Most of them have not attracted a large number of new domestic listings either, especially in the 1990s, with the exception of Frankfurt and, to some extent, of London. The opposite is true of US exchanges, where both domestic and foreign listings increased over the sample period: domestic listings rose from 6,168 in 1986 to 7,950 in 1997 (a 29% increase), while foreign listings increased from 350 to 873 (a staggering 150% increment, mostly accounted for by the NYSE). Figure 1b (on the right) shows how cross-listings from our EU9 countries and the US evolved in each exchange. It is based on the same data as Table 2, except that it reports figures for all the years of our sample. The dotted line is the number of foreign companies (from the rest of EU9 and the US) listed on a given domestic exchange, whereas the solid line is the number of domestic companies listed in other EU9 and US 14 exchanges. For almost all the European exchanges, the dotted lines are declining and the solid lines are rising, especially toward the end of the sample period, whereas the opposite is true for US exchanges. This confirms the finding of Table 2. A possible measure of the “outward orientation” of these markets is the ratio between its foreign listings and its total listings. This measure is shown in Figure 2. The ratio declined in Amsterdam, Frankfurt, London, and Vienna, was roughly stable in the other European exchanges, Amex and Nasdaq, and increased substantially in the NYSE. Conversely, Figure 3 shows a measure of the tendency of domestic companies to cross-list in foreign exchanges, by reporting the ratio of cross-listed companies to the total of domestically listed ones. We call this the “diaspora” index. For most European countries, the diaspora index has increased substantially, with the smaller countries recording the strongest diaspora. 3.3 Relationship with Characteristics of Stock Exchanges The changes in the geography of equity listings documented in Table 2 and in Figures 1 to 3 raise the question if they are related to some characteristics of the exchanges and countries concerned. Since our data include only twelve exchanges and ten countries, we cannot hope to draw reliable inferences from the data about such correlations. Nevertheless, it is intriguing to see if the markets whose companies are more eager to list abroad and which attracted less foreign listings differ systematically from those with the opposite experience. In Table 3 we provide some information on the market characteristics that may be related to the cross-listing decisions of companies, based on the hypotheses outlined in Section 2 and summarized in the last column of Table 1: accounting standards, degree of investor protection, size of the market (as measured both by market capitalization and turnover) and trading costs. In the first three columns we report information on the gross and net change in crosslistings of each exchange, drawn from the same data used for Table 2, Panel A. Consistently with the results so far illustrated, most EU9 markets are net losers of listings, Sweden being the only exception, while the US market experiences a net gain. The normalized net change in the fourth column of the table indicates that the net loss has been particularly large in the Netherlands, followed by Great Britain, Belgium and Austria (in this order). 15 With the glaring exception of Great Britain, the normalized net change in crosslistings appears to correlate positively with accounting standards and investor protection, in agreement with the evidence produced by Reese and Weinbach (1999). The Netherlands, Belgium and Austria have relatively low values for both variables, even within Europe. Sweden and the US have instead the highest rating on accounting standards; Sweden fares a fair degree of investor protection and the US scores very highly on this front. In general, Europe − again except for the UK − compares negatively with the US on both accounts. Market capitalization and turnover hold less promise as a potentially explanatory variable. Some of the markets that lost relatively more listings are small (the Netherlands, Belgium and Austria), while the NYSE and NASDAQ are obviously the largest. However, in this case the exceptions are not confined to the UK: relatively small markets like Sweden are doing relatively well, and others like Italy and Spain are not losing comparatively as much as larger markets like France, Germany and the UK. Of all five variables, trading costs is the indicator which appears to have the closest correlation with the normalized net change in cross-listings. The four markets with the highest trading costs − Great Britain, Austria, the Netherlands and Belgium, in that order − are precisely those featuring the largest net outflow of cross-listings. The NYSE, which attracts most cross-listings, has the lowest trading costs (together with Spain, and immediately followed by Germany, France, Italy, Nasdaq and Sweden). In conclusion, the data in Table 3 are consistent with the view that low trading costs, good accounting standards and strong investor protection may play a role in the crosslisting decisions of European and US companies. They also help to explain the one-way net flow of transatlantic cross-listings in the 1986-97 interval (with the partial exception of the UK, which has high trading costs but excellent accounting and investor protection standards). Of course, the paucity of the data points in Table 3 is such that this conclusion should be regarded as purely tentative. To make further progress in our understanding of the cross-listing decision, we now leave the big picture and turn to microeconomic evidence. 16 4. Company-Level Data: Descriptive Statistics In the rest of this paper, we investigate the characteristics and performance of the companies that cross-list, using companies that do not as our control sample. The sample includes all the companies incorporated in our nine European countries for which balance sheet information is available in the Global Vantage data base for the 1986-1997 interval. We exclude from the sample financial companies and investment funds, as well as companies not listed in their country of incorporation.13 Summary statistics for the entire sample are provided in the Panel A of Table 4. The total number of companies is 1,823. The median company has assets of US $ 372 million, sales of US $ 400 million and 3,022 employees. The median growth rate of assets is 7.6 percent, property plant and equipment 6.7 percent, sales 8.2 percent, and employees 1.2 percent. The median company has leverage of 19 percent, market to book ratio of 1.81 and earns one third of its revenue from foreign sales. There is huge variation in the values of some of these variables, even though we eliminated economically meaningless outliers, such as negative sales figures (see the appendix for details). For instance, total assets range from US $ 170 thousand to 113 billion, and the growth rate of plant property and equipment ranges from –100 percent to over 1 million percent. This points to the need for robust statistical analysis in our hypothesis testing. R&D data is only provided for a very small proportion of the companies in the sample; these spend 1.72 percent of revenue on R&D on average. To remedy the paucity of observations on R&D, we construct an alternative “high-tech intensity” indicator, based on the company’s SIC 4-digit classification code (see the appendix for details). This dummy classifies 10.15 percent of the sample as high-tech companies. Panel B of Table 4 illustrates the composition of the sample in terms of country of incorporation and proportion of companies cross-listed, distinguishing those that were already cross-listed in 1986 from those that cross-listed during the sample period. For all countries of origin only a small proportion of sample companies, about 12.5 per cent, list abroad at all. In terms of the country composition of our sample, the United 17 Kingdom is very heavily represented: nearly half of all companies studied, and over half of the companies that first list abroad during our sample period, are British. We now turn to a first comparison of the companies that list abroad with those that do not, mainly focusing on balance sheet variables (such as total assets and sales) and ratios (such as leverage and market to book value). Panel A of Table 5 reports the difference between the median values of these variables for the cross-listed companies and the companies listed only domestically, controlling for calendar year and country of incorporation. More precisely, the values reported in the table are obtained by fitting a median regression on a constant, a cross-listing dummy variable as well as control dummies for calendar year and country. There are eight cross-listing dummy variables: each one represents a particular year relative to the year of cross-listing, ranging from year –3 (three years before) to year 3 (three years after) and a “permanent” dummy (4 or more years after). The results concerning company size show that cross-listing companies are significantly larger than companies that are only listed domestically. This is the case for all the years relative to the listing period and for every size measure considered: total assets, market value of common stock, revenue and number of employees. The coefficient of the dummy variable for the permanent difference in median size is by far the largest. This reflects the fact that this dummy captures mostly companies that were historically the first ones to cross-list, and these are the largest companies in their home country.14 The relatively large size of cross-listed companies agrees with the view that there are economies of scale in cross-listing, reflecting fixed costs combined with benefits that increase with company size. Turning to the relationship between cross-listing and company growth, the table displays growth in total assets, employment, sales and plant-and-equipment. For all these variables, there is a marked peak in growth in the four years surrounding the cross-listing date. In that period, the growth rates for cross-listing firms exceed the growth rates of the control sample by about three to six percent, peaking in year zero and reverting to normal two years later. That cross-listing is associated with a period of 13 Within the data base, we select only the companies in the sections “industrial active” or “industrial research” and listed on their home-country stock exchange. To exclude financial companies, all companies with SIC-codes starting with 6 have been dropped. 14 This finding does not imply that companies which cross-list grow faster in the long run. 18 exceptional growth, is consistent with the notion that new capital needs to be raised. However, it is striking that the growth differential is not sustained in the long run. As an indicator of international orientation, the table includes foreign sales as a proportion of total sales. This variable is significantly greater for the cross-listing companies in all the years considered, but particularly so after the cross-listing date. So the data suggest that a foreign listing is more likely to be pursued by export-oriented companies and at the same time is part of a strategy of expansion on foreign markets. Surprisingly, the relatively high leverage of cross-listing firms increases upon crosslisting. Before, leverage is about seven percent above that of the control group, rising to about twelve percent in the three years after listing. This is mirrored by the marked and permanent decline of the capitalization ratio (stockholders’ equity divided by total assets) after the cross-listing. Thus, reducing leverage does not seem to be the main motive for cross-listing. There is also some weak evidence that cross-listing firms are R&D-intensive (the ratio of R&D expense to total sales is larger in all the years around the cross-listing but not always significantly so). They also pay significantly higher average wages in the years before the cross-listing date and up to two years after. Thus, they seem to be skillintensive firms. Trading activity on the home exchange – as measured by the number of common shares traded divided by their total number outstanding – is larger for companies which cross-list, both before and after the time of cross-listing. This is consistent with the already mentioned fact that these are large companies in their home market, with accordingly high turnover ratios. So far, the data do not appear to support the hypothesis that cross-listing enhances home market liquidity, but it does not seem to divert trading away from the home market either. Finally, the market-to-book ratio of cross-listing firms is not significantly different from that of other firms, suggesting that market timing holds little promise as a potential explanation for cross-listing. Also the return on assets (ROA) does not differ significantly from that of the control group around the cross-listing date, except for a drop three years after the cross-listing and thereafter. In Panel B of Table 5 we repeat the comparison separately for companies which cross-list for the first time in the US and for those that do so within Europe. Compared 19 with the control group, the companies that cross-list in Europe tend to be larger than those that cross-list in the US in terms of total assets and number of employees, both before and after the cross-listing date. But the most visible differences between the two groups concern their R&D intensity before cross-listing and their long-run profitability relative to the control group. First, the companies which cross-list in the US spend more on R&D than the control sample, using the three measures of Table 5, whereas this is not true of the companies that cross-list within Europe. The high-tech nature of the companies listing in the US is also mirrored by their higher labor cost per employee. Second, the companies that cross-list in the US appear to have a larger ROA in the longrun, compared to those that cross-list in Europe. This may reflect a different quality of the two groups − a finding consistent with a signalling model, in the presence of higher listing costs in the US. 5. Predicting Cross-Listing from Company Characteristics The descriptive statistics discussed in the previous section provide some exploratory evidence concerning the reasons why European companies list abroad. However, to compare the explanatory power of the competing hypotheses and filter out spurious correlations, we must turn to regression analysis. In the next subsection, we use logit and duration analysis to investigate which company characteristics predict listing abroad, and multinomial logit analysis to predict where they cross-list. In Table 6 we analyze the determinants of the probability of listing abroad for the first time in any given year. The set of determinants includes beginning-of-year values of the logarithm of total assets, leverage, the domestic exchange’s market-to-book ratio, the average of the three highest foreign market-to-book ratios, the previous year’s total asset growth, proportion of sales abroad, and ROA.15 The regression also includes a 15 The foreign sales variable in our data set is missing for roughly one third of all companies. We impute these missing values via regressions which generate predicted values of the percentage of foreign sales based on the following regressors: the company mean value of the fraction of foreign sales (for the companies where at least one data point is available), the logarithm of total assets, the growth rates of total assets and sales, dummies for SIC codes at the 1-digit level, country of incorporation, calendar year, and the high-tech dummy. The regression results reported in Tables 6 and 7 use the data obtained with this imputation method. Since a regional breakdown of sales may be missing more frequently in companies with no foreign sales, we perform a robustness check via an alternative imputation method whereby the percentage of foreign sales is set equal to zero wherever it is missing. The estimates of the coefficients in Table 6 and 7 are practically unaffected, and so are their estimated standard errors. 20 privatization dummy16, the “high-tech” dummy defined above, calendar year dummies and regional origin dummies for each company: South (France, Italy and Spain), East (Austria and Germany), North (Sweden, Belgium and Netherlands) and the default (United Kingdom). Since we are using repeated observations on individual companies to estimate a logistic regression, we must take into account that the errors can be correlated across observations referring to the same company. For this reason we use a Huber-Whitesandwich estimator of the variance-covariance matrix, which allows for dependence within clusters of data concerning the same company. The two most significant predictors of the decision to list abroad are the proportion of sales abroad and the size of the company (as measured by the log of total assets). To interpret the magnitude of their effect, observe that the estimates in the table are the multiplicative impact of a unit increase in the independent variable on the odds ratio. Therefore, a 1 percent point increase in the proportion of sales abroad increases the odds ratio by a factor of 1.02, i.e. by 2 percent. A possible interpretation is that listing abroad is partly a means of capitalizing on the reputation acquired through a presence on foreign output markets. Conversely, companies that depend on foreign sales value the positive publicity associated with a foreign listing – as suggested by Stoughton, Wong and Zechner (1998). Size also raises the probability of listing abroad: the elasticity of the odds of listing abroad with respect to total assets is 0.71 (the logarithm of 2.041). The fact that the probability of listing abroad increases with company size suggests that there are substantial fixed costs involved and that benefits are increasing in size: for instance, a large company places larger demands on equity markets, thus benefiting more from a wider shareholder base. Several other variables are significant at the 1 percent level: the high-tech dummy variable, the asset growth rate and the leverage ratio. The odds of listing abroad are 2.70 times as large for high-tech companies as for traditional companies. This agrees with the idea that high-tech companies turn to foreign equity markets for capital because foreign investors and intermediaries know more about the company’s business than their domestic counterparts, and thus can better evaluate the stock. 16 This dummy equals 1 when the government makes a public offering of shares in the company. 21 There is also support for the view that companies list abroad after experiencing a spurt in growth and investment, as found for domestic Italian initial public offerings (IPOs) by Pagano, Panetta and Zingales (1998). Past growth of assets plays a significant role in the regression: a 1 percent point increase in the growth rate is associated with a 0.1 percent increase in the odds of listing abroad. In addition, companies seem to list abroad after accumulating debt, possibly the financial consequence of rapid asset growth: a 1 percent point increase in leverage raises the odds ratio by 2 percent. The privatization dummy is statistically significant at the 5 percent level. The odds of listing abroad for a privatization issue are 4.41 times as large as for non-privatization issues. Privatization issues tend to be very large, so that the depth of the international equity market is likely to be needed to obtain a good price. The market-to-book ratios on both the domestic and the foreign markets and the ROA have no significant effects on the probability of listing abroad. So we do not find evidence of companies trying to exploit “windows of opportunity” in the pricing of their country’s stock or in the pricing on foreign stock markets, or to time their cross-listing after an exceptional profit performance. This contrasts with the findings of the literature on the timing of domestic IPOs (see Loughran, Ritter and Rydqvist, 1994, and Pagano, Panetta and Zingales, 1998). Lastly, there is evidence (at the 5% significance level) that companies from the Southern region (France, Spain and Italy) are less likely to seek a listing abroad than British companies: the odds of listing for a Southern company are only 0.33 times as high as those for a British company. Table 7 repeats the estimates using a Cox regression. This method measures the impact of the various determinants on the hazard ratio, which in our case is the probability of listing abroad for the first time. This method is particularly suited to the prediction of discrete events in a panel setting. The results are very similar to those of the logit regression of Table 6, both in magnitude and statistical significance. We next investigate where companies cross-list. We wish to predict whether a company is more likely to cross-list in Europe, in the US (possibly at the same time as in Europe), or not at all. This is done in the multinomial regression shown in Table 8.17 17 The sample used to estimate this regression is about 10 percent larger than in the previous two tables, because now we also use the observations for companies which were already listed abroad in 1986 (either in a foreign European country or in the US). Another difference with the logit and Cox regression 22 All the regressors are lagged except for the High Tech dummy, for which no endogeneity problems arise. As in the logit regression, standard errors are adjusted to allow for dependence within clusters of data concerning the same company. The estimates confirm that large size and high proportion of foreign sales are good predictors of cross-listing – be it in the US or in Europe. High leverage and high-tech industry classification are significant predictors of a cross-listing in US, but not in Europe. Instead, the privatization dummy and the ROA are significant predictors only for Europe. Therefore, the overall picture is that a US listing is a more natural choice for companies that have embarked on ambitious expansion programs and therefore have accumulated a substantial amount of debt, and for high-tech companies. European stock exchanges have instead been chosen more often by governments in the implementation of their privatization programs. They have also been chosen by companies with a stronger record of past profitability, but this may reflect the tighter listing requirements of European exchanges (where only companies with some years of accounting profits are eligible for listing) compared to US ones. Interestingly, the companies which cross-list in the US are very unlikely to seek a subsequent listing elsewhere in Europe, while a previous listing in Europe has no significant effect on listing in the US.18 A previous listing in the US implies a sixfold reduction in the relative odds ratio of cross-listing within Europe. The decision to access US equity markets appears to be a one-way trip, which accords with the growing imbalance in transatlantic cross-listings noted in Section 3. The choice of cross-listing location also differs considerably by country of origin, other factors being equal. British companies (the default regional dummy) are more likely to list in the US than German and Austrian companies. Again, this agrees with the greater tendency of UK companies to list in the US noted in the aggregate statistics of Section 3. estimates is that the observations for companies which already cross-listed within Europe are used in estimating the probability of cross-listing in the US and vice versa, since these two events are not mutually exclusive. In fact, the list of regressors used in Tables 6 and 7 is now expanded to include the number of previous foreign listings of each company in the other continent. 18 In our sample, two thirds of the companies that cross-listed in the US had not previously cross-listed elsewhere in Europe. 88 firms that cross-listed in the US had no prior EU cross-listing, 17 had one, 9 had two, 7 had three, 4 had four and 7 had five cross-listings in Europe prior to listing in the US. 23 6. Ex Post Evidence on Cross-Listed Companies In this section we assess the effects of listing abroad on the subsequent performance of companies. In the model to be estimated each variable is modeled as depending on the dummies (first introduced in Table 5) to indicate the year of listing, the three years after the listing and the subsequent years: yit = α 0 + α1 f i + α 2d it0 + α 3d it1− 3 + α 4d itp + ε it , where yit is the dependent variable (e.g., the logarithm of total assets of company i at time t), f i denotes a company fixed effect, d it0 is a dummy intended to capture the impact effect of the first cross-listing of company i, dit1−3 is a dummy corresponding to the three subsequent years and d itp captures the permanent effect of the cross-listing. To limit the effect of influential observations, we use median regression estimation, and to eliminate fixed effects we difference both sides of the equation, so that the specification becomes: ∆yit = α 2 ∆d it0 + α 3∆d it1− 3 + α 4 ∆ditp + ηit , where ηit ≡ ∆ε it . In Table 9 we report the results of the estimation of this differenced model. Very few coefficients appear to be precisely estimated. The turnover rate on the domestic market appears to be negatively affected by the foreign listing, both upon impact and in the three subsequent years, in contrast with the findings of Noronha, Sarin and Saudagaran (1996) and Foerster and Karolyi (1996). The fraction of foreign sales appears to increase upon cross-listing. Research per employee rises strongly both upon impact and keeps increasing afterwards, witnessing the rising R&D intensity of these companies, while the labor cost per employee changes in the opposite direction. A possible reason why most of the estimated coefficients in Table 9 are small and imprecise is that this specification unduly restricts the effects of cross-listing on the US and European exchanges to be the same. This is confirmed by Table 10, where we introduce separate dummy variables for the listings in the two continents.19 19 In Table 10 there are two cross-listing variables: one captures the first cross-listing in Europe and the other captures the first cross-listing in the US Thus, unlike in Table 9 (where only the first cross-listing anywhere was considered), in Table 10 the same company can go through two cross-listing events. 24 What happens after a cross-listing could hardly differ more sharply in the two cases. The companies that cross-list in the US experience a 6.5 percent permanent increase in total assets and a 4.62 percent long-run increase in the growth rate of employees. In contrast, companies that cross-list within Europe end up with a 3.8 percent permanent reduction of total assets and a 5 percent long-run decrease in the growth rate of sales, relative to the control sample. The estimates for the capitalization and leverage ratios show that the expansion of total assets for the companies which cross-list in the US is funded by an increased amount of equity and no significant leveraging (actually some deleveraging in the cross-listing year). The opposite is true for companies cross-listing within Europe. The opposite changes in the capital structure of the two types of companies are also mirrored in the opposing time patterns of the market value of their outstanding stock after the cross-listing.20 In short, the overall picture is that cross-listings in the US are prompted by the need to fuel rapid expansion via new equity issues, while those within Europe are at best used to increase the debt capacity of the company and are hardly followed by rapid growth. This striking difference is consistent with the results of Table 8, where cross-listings in the US – but not in Europe – are shown to follow rapid expansion of the asset base. Another difference concerns the degree of export orientation of the two group’s sales strategies: companies cross-listed in the US experience a small (0.2 percent) increase in the fraction of foreign sales upon impact, leveling off to 0.18 percent in subsequent years, relative to the control group. Companies cross-listed within Europe temporarily lose ground on foreign markets upon impact and in the subsequent three years, although eventually they experience a foreign sales expansion comparable to the other group. The turnover ratio on the home market also behaves differently in the two cases. After a listing in the US the change in turnover is not statistically significant, whereas after a cross-listing in Europe there is an 8 percent drop in the domestic turnover ratio (significant at the 10 percent level) upon impact, followed by comparable reductions in later years, though imprecisely estimated. This is consistent with the “time zone” hypothesis proposed by Pulatkonak and Sofianos (1999), who show that NYSE trading in non-US stocks tends to decrease with the time zone difference.21 20 It is less clear why the market-to-book ratio does not change appreciably for the companies that crosslist in the US but rises considerably (though not permanently) after a listing in Europe. 21 In Table 9 (p. 47) of their study they show that for European, non-UK stocks the share of NYSE trading is considerably lower than that of London trading: for the cross-listed stocks of the Netherlands, Spain, 25 R&D intensity is the only variable that appears to move in the same direction in both cases, rising throughout the post-listing period. On a per employee basis and a percent of sales, it increases more after European cross-listings, whereas as a percentage of total labor expenses it rises more after US listings. But in any event the increasing reliance on R&D that already emerges in Table 9 is confirmed by the results of Table 10. 7. Conclusions We can now bring together the results in the two parts of this paper: the account of the aggregate trends in the geography of listings in Europe and the US in 1986-97 and the analysis of a panel of European companies in the same time interval. In particular, it is worthwhile asking if our findings about the individual cross-listing decisions help us explain the changes in the geography of equity listings. Our aggregate figures show that the number of European companies cross-listing their shares increased considerably, but most of the increase went to US exchanges (of which the NYSE absorbed more than half). At the same time, the number of US companies cross-listing in Europe fell by a third. The end result has been a decline of foreign listings in Europe and a large increase in European listings in the US. The decline of foreign listings on European exchanges appears to be part of a more general decline in their ability to attract new listings. Most of them have not attracted a large number of new domestic listings either, especially in the 1990s, with the exception of Frankfurt and, to some extent, of London. The opposite is true of US exchanges, where both domestic and foreign listings increased over the sample period. Interestingly, the European countries whose companies have been more eager in seeking foreign listings and whose exchanges have been least able to attract or retain foreign listings are those with the highest trading costs and - with the exception of the UK - with the lowest accounting standards and worst shareholder protection. Viceversa, the US feature lower trading costs, tighter accounting standards and better shareholder protection than most European countries. Germany, Italy, France, and Sweden, the NYSE share of total trading is on average 12 percent, while the UK share is 28 percent. Being effected on a closer marketplace, a cross-listing within Europe tends to “eat” into domestic turnover much more than a listing effected in the US. 26 The microeconomic analysis of the characteristics and behavior of European companies helps to understand better the motives of their cross-listing decisions, and thus the reasons behind the one-way flow of cross-listings from Europe to the US. Apart from a few common features, European companies that cross-list in Europe and in the U.S. appear to have sharply different characteristics and performances. The few common features are size, high foreign sales and high R&D spending before listing abroad. The importance of size suggests that the cross-listing decision involves non-negligible fixed costs and economies of scale, consistently with the findings of studies of the decision to list in domestic market such as Pagano, Panetta and Zingales (1998). The role of the fraction of foreign sales underscores the importance of international orientation. Firms are able to take advantage of foreign investors’ familiarity with the firm and its products in order to find a market for their shares; or conversely, the purpose of the cross-listing may be to enhance the firm’s profile and reputation abroad so as to aid its product marketing efforts. The role of R&D spending may indicate that firms seek a foreign listing to access a pool of investors who are more knowledgeable about their prospects than domestic investors. Apart from these common features, European companies that cross-list in the United States differ considerably from those which do so within Europe. In the first case, companies pursue a strategy of rapid expansion fuelled by high leverage before the listing and large equity issues after the listing. They feature increasing reliance on export markets not only before but also immediately after the listing, and tend to belong to high-tech industries. Companies which cross-list in Europe, instead, do not grow more than the control group and increase their leverage after the foreign listing. Moreover, they do not rely on foreign sales to the same extent as firms cross-listing in the US, and generally do not belong to high-tech sectors. Finally, they are more likely to be newly privatized firms.22 Therefore, on the whole the motivation for a US listing appears to be the need of an equity infusion by rapidly expanding, highly levered companies that plan to expand their sales internationally and/or belong to high-tech industries. The latter finding is consistent with Blass and Yafeh (1999), who report that Israeli and Dutch firms which 22 In addition, transatlantic listing seems to be a one-way street for European companies. A European company that is already listed abroad within Europe is not discouraged from seeking a US listing; but once a company is cross-listed in the US, it is significantly less likely to cross-list abroad within Europe. 27 choose Nasdaq for the first listing are overwhelmingly high-tech oriented. The motivations for cross-listing within Europe are not equally clear, but the companies that take this route are definitely less dynamic, less outward-oriented and in more mature sectors than those of the other group. The contrast between these two groups is reminiscent of the contrast between European and US companies’ domestic IPOs, documented by Pagano, Panetta and Zingales (1998), Planell (1995), Rydqvist and Högholm (1995) and Mikkelson, Partch and Shah (1997). These studies, respectively conducted on Italian, Spanish, Swedish and US panel data, investigate the characteristics and behavior that distinguish companies listing for the first time (on their domestic market) from those that decide to stay private. In Italy, Spain and Sweden, domestic IPOs do not appear to finance subsequent investment and growth while in the US they feature phenomenal growth. Moreover, European IPOs are on average much older then their US counterparts. These studies on domestic IPOs therefore suggest that in European countries the stock market mainly caters to large, mature companies with little need to finance investment, while the opposite is true of the United States. In the present paper we find that this applies equally to cross-listing decisions: when it comes to cross-listing, the most dynamic and outward-oriented European companies self-select in US exchanges. The main remaining puzzle is why European exchanges are judged to be less attractive by this group of companies. Probably the answer has several pieces to itself. First, the high-tech nature of the European companies listing in the US suggests that a key advantage of the US market is the presence of skilled analysts and institutional investors specializing in evaluating these companies. This agrees with the finding by Baker, Nofsinger and Weaver (1999) that listing on the NYSE induces higher analyst coverage than listing in London. This comparative advantage of the US market may partly reflect its sheer size, combined with the fixed costs of expertise in high-tech industries. The costly investments in human capital required to evaluate high-tech companies in their respective industries are worthwhile only if many such companies are already listed, and this is true of a large continental market such as the US, but not of European markets. Second, as already stated, American exchanges are more liquid than most European exchanges, and the US feature better accounting standards and shareholder rights’ 28 protection than most European countries. Insofar as these comparative advantages translate in a lower cost of equity capital, they may be particularly important to companies who need to raise large amounts of fresh equity. Last, but not least, the US economy has not only a large capital market but also a huge product market − and one which has grown at a consistently higher pace than European markets in the last decade. Therefore, it has been the natural springboard for foreign companies with a strong export orientation, since it has allowed them to capitalize on their product market reputation and expand their foreign sales rapidly, possibly via acquisitions in the US. If these are the main factors of comparative advantage of US exchanges relative to European ones, they may attenuate gradually as the process of integration of European capital markets proceeds. The removal of capital controls and the more homogeneous regulatory framework of European directives is likely to lead to the birth of a truly continental equity market and to increasing integration of markets for good and services in Europe. If many of the factors of comparative advantage discussed above depend on sheer market size, European companies may become less interested in cross-listing on US exchanges. But this will not apply to companies from many non-European countries, for which the US market is likely to retain its attraction. 29 Appendix: Data Sources and Definitions (A) Market segments used and data sources Stock exchange market segment control group - Data sources used Amsterdam market segment (foreign companies) Foreign and Canadian Issues Aandelen Buitenland Aandelen Binnenland, (excl. parallel market) Brussels Easdaq Premier Marche EASDAQ market Premier Marché - Frankfurt Amtlicher Handel Amtlicher Handel Milan Stock Exchange’s Equity Market and Mercato Ristretto Overseas Listings (excl. Ireland) [Official List] Stock Exchange’s Equity Market and Mercato Ristretto Companies of the F.T. All Shares Index Het Financieele Dagblad; Officiele Prijscourant; Stock exchange Stock exchange Financial Times 27. 11. 1997 and FT Information Amtliches Kursblatt der Frankfurter Wertpapier-börse, 1986-1997 Stock exchange Continuous and Floor International Listings Non-US corporate issuers Premier, Second and Nouveau Marche A, O und OTC-list Amtlicher Handel and Geregelter Freiverkehr Primero Mercado Premier, Second and Nouveau Marche A, O und OTC-list Amtlicher Handel and Geregelter Freiverkehr Amex London Madrid Nasdaq NYSE Paris Stockholm Vienna Stock exchange Official price list, factbooks from the Financial Times Business Research Centre, LSE Quarterly, Risk Measurement Service, 19861997 from the LBS Stock exchange Stock exchange Stock exchange Stock exchange Stock exchange Stock exchange Note: The number of domestic companies used for Figures 1 to 3 are obtained by adjusting FIBV data on main and parallel markets in various ways. First, since the FIBV 1986-88 figures include investment funds, 1986-88 figures are adjusted by the proportion of investment funds over companies in 1989. Second, we had to make a number of market-specific adjustments. For the Paris Stock Exchange the FIBV numbers before 1997 do not include the Second Marché. We therefore use FIBV data only for 1997, and before 1997 drawn our data from the SBF 1997 factbook. For the Frankfurt Stock Exchange we restrict ourselves to the Amtlicher Handel. We did not include foreign listings in the Freiverkehr. This segment features an inflated number of foreign listings, since it trades foreign firm’s shares even without the firm’s application. We were could not obtain data on the Geregelter Markt, but only very few companies in this segment would qualify to be in our sample. For the Nasdaq data before 1997, the number of domestic firms was provided by Nasdaq and the total number of listings was obtained from the Nasdaq Factbook 1997. The number of foreign firms was calculated as the difference between total and domestic listings. For the Stockholm Stock Exchange, we obtained the total number of listings and the number of foreign listings from the factbooks 1997 and 1998. The number of domestic listings was obtained by calculating the difference between the two. For the Amsterdam stock exchange, the FIBV data for 1993 and 1994 are the number of shares, not companies. To obtain a proxy for the number of domestic companies, we calculated the proportion of domestic companies relative to domestic shares for 1993 by the ratio of the number of domestic companies (OM) to the number of domestic shares (OM) reported in the factbook "The Amsterdam Stock Exchange in 1993". We then multiplied the FIBV numbers by this ratio. 30 (B) Variable Definitions and Sources Variable Calendar Year Dummies Capitalization Ratio Common Shares Outstanding Common Shares Traded Common Shares Traded / Outstanding Countries’ PBV Country Dummies Employees (in 1000) Employees Growth (in percent) Foreign Sales Proportion (in percent) Source / formula Strategy used to purge the data from measurement error The calendar year dummy for 1986 equals 1 in 1986 and 0 in all other years. Analogous dummies are defined for all calendar years from 1986 to 1997. Global Vantage; the average of the most current Set not available whenever two years’ of stockholder’s equity divided by total smaller than or equal to assets, multiplied by 100. zero; Set not available if shareholders’ equity is smaller than zero. Global Vantage; issue item; represents the net Set not available whenever number of common / ordinary shares outstanding smaller than or equal to zero as of the company’s fiscal year-end. Global Vantage; issue item; represents the number Set not available whenever of shares traded in the calendar month for an issue; smaller than zero December values were used. Calculated from common shares traded divided by common shares outstanding Morgan Stanley Capital International; yearend price to book ratios for the countries investigated Takes on the value of one for the country where the company is incorporated or legally registered. The information on the country of incorporation is obained from Global Vantage Global Vantage; number of company workers as reported to shareholders. It is reported as an average number of employees by some companies and as the number of employees at yearend by others. These different bases of reporting are not differentiated. Calculated from employees – employees(-1) divided by employees(-1) multiplied by 100 Worldscope Negative sign of number of employees has been changed into a positive sign for the companies (name, year): Greenall Whitley, 1994 Rugby Cement, 1991 Spring Ram Corp PLC, 1991 Bluebird Toys, 1996 Additionally set not available whenever smaller than zero or employees growth rate smaller than –99 % Set not available whenever smaller than zero or larger than 100 31 Variable Hightech Sector Dummy Source / formula The dummy equals 1 for the following list of SICcodes, and 0 otherwise: 2830 drugs 2833 medicinal chemicals, botanical products 2834 pharmaceutical preparations 2835 in vitro, in vivo diagnostics 2836 biological products, ex diagnostics 3570 computer and office equipment 3571 electronic computers 3572 computer storage devices 3575 computer terminals 3576 computer communication equipment 3577 computer peripheral equipment 3651 household audio and video equipment 3660 communication equipment 3661 telephone and telegraph apparatus 3663 radio, tv broadcast, communication equipment 3669 communiations equipment 3670 electronic components and accessories 3671 electron tubes 3672 printed circuit boards 3674 semiconductor and related device 3760 guided missiles, space vehicles 3761 guided missiles, space vehicles 3764 guided missiles, space vehicles propulsion 3769 guided missiles, space vehicles parts 3810 search, detection, naval, guided, aero systems 3812 search, detection, naval, guided, aero systems 3820 laboratory apparatus, optical, measure, control instruments 3821 laboratory apparatus and furniture 3822 automatic regulating controls 3823 industrial measurement instruments 3826 laboratory analytical instruments 3840 surgical, medical, dental instruments 3841 surgical, medical instruments, apparatus 4800 communications 4810 telephone communications 4812 radiotelephone communications 4813 phone comm ex radiotelephone 4820 telegraph and other mess. communication 4822 telegraph and other mess. communication 4830 radio, tv broadcasting stations 4832 radio broadcasting stations 4833 television broadcasting stations 4840 cable and other pay tv services 4841 cable and other pay tv services 4890 communication services 4899 communication services 7370 cmp programming, data processing 7371 computer programming service 7372 prepackaged software 7373 component integrated system design Strategy used to purge the data from measurement error 32 Variable Issue Market to Book Ratio Issue Market Value (in billion USD) Labor & Related Expense (in million USD) Labor Cost / Employee (in 1000 USD) Leverage (in percent) Privatisation Dummy Source / formula Strategy used to purge the data from measurement error Set not available whenever Global Vantage; issue item; represents pricesmaller than or equal to monthly-close divided by the result of zero; common/ordinary equity divided by common shares outstanding (converted to the corresponding Set not available if total shareholders’ equity is month). If the most recent observation for common shares outstanding is not available, the smaller than zero. prior year’s value is used Global Vantage; issue item; is the price-monthly- Set not available whenever close mulitplied by common shares outstanding. If smaller than or equal to zero the most recent observation for common shares outstanding (converted to the corresponding month) is not available, the prior year’s value is used. Global Vantage; represents direct payments to, Set not available whenever and indirect payments on behalf of, all employees. smaller than zero Calculated as labor and related expense divided by employees Calculated from total debt divided by total assets, multiplied by 100 Dummy is set equal to one in the year of a privatisation (or seasoned offering) and zero in other years; the database used for assigning the values has been kindly provided by Bernardo Bortolotti, Fondazione ENI Enrico Mattei Property Plant Calculated as property plant equipment net – Equipment Growth property plant equipment net (-1) divided by property plant equipment net (-1), multiplied by 100. Property Plant Global Vantage; net cost or valuation of tangible Equipment Net fixed property used in the production of revenue. Calculated by Global Vantage as: Fixed Assets Total (gross) less Depreciation, Depletion, Amortisation (Accumulated), less Investment Grants and Other Deductions Regional Dummy Takes on the value of one if country of North incorporation is Netherlands, Sweden or Belgium, zero elsewhere Regional Dummy Takes on the value of one if country of East incorporation is Germany or Austria, zero elsewhere Regional Dummy Takes on the value of one if country of South incorporation is France, Italy or Spain, zero elsewhere Regional Dummy UK Takes on the value of one if country of incorporation is Great Britain, zero elsewhere Research / Labor Calculated as research and development expenses Expense divided by labor and related expense Research / Revenue Calculated as research and development expenses (in percent) divided by (total revenue*10) Research and Global Vantage; represents all costs incurred Development Expenses relating to development of new products or (in million USD) services Set not available if larger than 100 Set not available whenever smaller than zero Set not available whenever smaller than zero 33 Variable Source / formula Research per Employee (in 1000 USD) Return on Assets (in percent) Calculated by research and development expenses divided by employees Global Vantage; income before extraordinary items divided by the average of the most recent two years of assets-total multiplied by 100 Global Vantage; 4 digit Standard Industry Classification code Global Vantage; total value of assets reported on the Balance Sheet SIC Codes Total Assets (in billion USD) Strategy used to purge the data from measurement error Set not available whenever return on assets is less than – 100%. Set not available whenever total assets is smaller than or equal to zero or total assets growth is smaller than –95 %. Total Assets Growth (in percent) Calculated from total assets – total assets(-1) divided by total assets(-1) multiplied by 100 Total Debt Global Vantage; sum of long term debt – total plus Set not available whenever (in billion USD) debt in current liabilities smaller than zero Total Revenue Global Vantage; represents Sales/Turnover (net) Set not available if smaller (in billion USD) than zero Total Revenue Growth Global Vantage; represents (total revenue divided Set not available if smaller (in percent) by total revenue(-1))-1, multiplied by 100. than –99 % Total Shareholders Global Vantage; represents common/ordinary and Equity preferred/preference shareholders’ interest in the company and any reserves reported in the Shareholders’ Equity section variables concerning Data constructed using data sources summarized Foreign Listings in the appendix on market segments. The variables are defined in different ways for the different methodologies used and explained in the notes preceding the tables. Note: Variables are always calculated using the “purged” data. The variables marked as “issue item” variables concern a selected issue of the company only. Where available, we have selected common / ordinary shares; otherwise, we have selected an issue as close as possible to common shares. Additional adjustments: - Several variables of Fiat 1988, DAF 1989, 1992, Heidelberger 1989 and ENI 1986-88 have been set not available due to unrealistic magnitudes of the data in those years. If total revenue is actually zero or the ratio of total revenue to total assets is smaller than 0.01, this fact is used as indicator of a holding company. All accounting variables are set not available for these companies. 34 References Ashbaugh, H., 1997. “Non-US Firms’ Accounting Standard Choices in Accessing Foreign Markets,” working paper, University of Iowa. Baker, H. Kent, John R. Nofsinger and Daniel G. Weaver, 1999. “International CrossListing and Visibility,” NYSE Working paper no. 99-01. Biddle, G.C. and S.M. Saudagaran, 1989. “The Effects of Financial Disclosure Levels on Firms’ Choices among Alternative Foreign Stock Exchange Listings,” Journal of International Financial Management and Accounting 1, 55-87. Blass, A. and Y. Yafeh, 1999. “Vagabond Shoes Longing to Stray: Why Foreign Firms List in the United States,” Hebrew University, unpublished manuscript. Bolton, P. and E. von Thadden, 1998. “Blocks, Liquidity, and Corporate Control,” Journal of Finance 53, 1-25. Brennan, M.J. and H.H. Cao, 1997. “International Portfolio Investment Flows,” Journal of Finance 52, 1851-1880. Cantale, S. 1996. “The Choice of a Foreign Market as a Signal,” INSEAD working paper. Chemmanur, Thomas J., and Paolo Fulghieri, 1999. “A Theory of the Going-Public Decision,” Review of Financial Studies 12(2), 249-279. Chemmanur, T.J. and P. 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Wong, 1997a. “Earnings Management and the Underperformance of Seasoned Equity Offerings,” unpublished manuscript, UCLA. 37 Teoh, S.H., I. Welch and T.J. Wong, 1997b. “Earnings Management and Long-Run Market Performance of Initial Public Offerings,” unpublished manuscript, UCLA. Tesar, L. and I. Werner, 1995. “Home Bias and High Turnover,” Journal of International Money and Finance 15, 467-92. 38 Table 1 Motives for Cross-Listing and Their Empirical Implications Hypothesis about motive for crosslisting 1. Raising capital for investment 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Predicting crosslisting (ex ante evidence) High leverage Consequences of cross-listing (ex post evidence) High growth, P/E and real investment High growth, P/E and real investment Stock sales by Newly privatized High share turnover firms existing shareholders High risk firms More foreign Broadening investors and high shareholders’ foreign turnover base Capitalizing on High fraction of product market foreign sales reputation High-tech sector, Foreign large R&D spending expertise Decrease in Commitment to Low domestic regulatory standards ownership disclosure & concentration, governance no worsening in standards profitability Higher share turnover Liquidity 8. Relative mispricing Stock Market characteristics Deep and liquid stock market Deep and liquid stock market Large stock market Stock market located where company’s foreign sales are high Knowledgeable investors and analysts High regulatory standards Stock market with low spreads, low brokerage fees and high volume Low domestic E/P ratio relative to foreign E/P ratio 9. Strengthen the company’s output market 10. Listing costs are Large size low relative to benefits Higher foreign sales and profits, without necessarily raising more capital Market located where company’s foreign sales have large growth potential Low listing fees and disclosure requirements 39 Table 2. Number of Cross-Listings in 1986, 1991 and 1997 (End-of-Year Values) Panel A: EU9-USA Cross-Listings Matrix Country of origin Stock Exchange Amsterdam Stock Exchange Brussels Stock Exchange Frankfurt Stock Exchange NetherBelgium Germany Italy lands 7 8 7 15 15 14 12 16 19 2 4 4 Italian Stock Exchange London Stock Exchange 7 10 11 2 1 2 2 3 8 11 11 12 11 9 3 3 12 15 13 Madrid Stock Exchange Paris Stock Exchange 10 9 8 Stockholm Stock Exchange Vienna Stock Exchange 12 11 10 10 9 8 1 4 5 5 3 3 1 5 4 2 4 6 5 UK 14 20 11 14 17 11 14 21 13 1 1 Spain France Sweden Austria EU9 USA Total Comp. 2 38 44 31 54 60 49 48 74 65 129 108 83 36 36 34 51 58 42 167 152 114 90 96 83 99 132 107 193 159 111 2 4 234 206 158 52 52 37 1 1 5 3 4 2 3 4 116 128 98 1 4 9 25 34 28 6 4 4 2 2 8 13 12 5 10 8 4 4 4 1 4 7 5 2 1 1 3 4 4 1 1 2 9 8 2 4 41 47 47 15 13 14 1 6 6 3 1 1 17 21 20 3 1 59 73 69 2 19 23 14 14 24 17 5 5 4 5 5 5 1 2 27 23 24 2 2 11 13 2 2 1 1 3 4 64 76 61 0 3 4 22 30 26 Easdaq European exchanges (EU9 & Easdaq) Amex Nasdaq NYSE Total Listings Total Companies 48 55 58 6 5 17 4 6 16 58 66 91 27 32 48 6 23 24 28 1 1 1 2 1 23 24 32 7 60 74 77 4 11 19 27 27 3 57 83 55 3 4 4 18 25 55 11 26 46 89 138 160 17 15 24 26 29 31 10 11 19 54 89 130 3 2 2 8 7 6 10 1 7 9 16 20 21 3 14 19 40 58 3 34 29 37 2 11 13 18 267 339 309 3 5 4 34 39 96 16 46 107 320 429 516 8 9 10 15 22 43 18 15 21 2 9 11 177 231 337 15 13 12 5 17 34 36 1 2 465 418 316 465 418 316 20 732 757 625 3 5 4 34 39 96 16 46 107 785 847 832 284 234 184 461 465 521 40 [Table 2, continued] Panel B: Summary of Transatlantic Listings Stock Exchange EU9 Exchanges U.S. Exchanges Country of origin EU9-Countries Foreign Listings Foreign Companies 267 147 339 182 309 180 53 52 90 89 207 206 Foreign Listings 465 418 316 U.S. Foreign Companies 284 234 184 41 [Table 2, continued] Panel C: Listings on EU9-USA Exchanges from the Rest of World, by Country or Region of Origin Country of origin Stock Exchange Amsterdam Stock Exchange Brussels Stock Exchange Frankfurt Stock Exchange Australia, New Guinea, New Canada Zealand, Vanuatu 2 5 Central Central and and South Eastern America Europe 6 3 13 8 4 9 11 9 2 4 2 18 19 14 25 29 22 1 1 14 7 16 19 1 3 1 15 13 7 1 1 3 4 3 1 Israel 1 1 1 Rest of Africa Rest of Europe Rest of Asia South Africa West Indies 23 24 21 6 6 5 57 60 56 1 1 1 2 2 6 6 4 4 5 3 7 9 6 12 23 18 2 1 1 16 16 18 5 5 6 1 8 27 29 8 7 6 14 24 18 22 15 50 90 94 55 4 15 5 16 37 32 11 12 10 8 8 8 6 7 4 1 5 2 2 1 22 22 17 1 1 1 3 8 4 2 1 14 2 3 32 30 32 103 1 1 1 17 17 15 1 1 1 154 157 114 1 2 3 9 9 8 4 4 13 19 32 30 30 32 101 102 105 67 16 29 28 Japan Italian Stock Exchange London Stock Exchange 3 3 2 Madrid Stock Exchange Paris Stock Exchange Stockholm Stock Exchange 1 1 Vienna Stock Exchange 2 2 1 Easdaq 1 12 10 22 1 9 15 34 53 56 1 34 44 40 119 125 165 21 27 65 238 262 316 32 36 47 198 221 285 Amex Nasdaq NYSE Total Listings Total Companies 2 2 2 4 18 1 1 4 11 8 26 3 4 93 25 35 146 5 5 5 16 23 71 1 1 6 25 32 84 16 15 16 8 9 11 134 178 170 26 26 20 8 6 23 2 3 21 62 92 105 1 3 18 21 26 139 23 31 84 81 99 100 24 24 19 44 63 78 2 42 Table 3. Foreign Listings, Market and Country Characteristics This table merges information on cross-listings within the EU9 and US area with market and country characteristics. Change in Cross-Listings into Market is the difference between the number of cross-listings of EU9 and US companies into a given market 1997 and 1986. Change in Cross-Listings Out of Market is the difference between the number of listings by domestic companies in other EU9 and US markets between 1997 and 1986. Net Change is difference between Change in Cross-Listings into Market and Change in Cross Listings Out of Market. Normalized Net Change is the ratio of Net Change to the total number of EU9 and US companies listed in 1991, multiplied by 100. Accounting Standards is the rating reported by La Porta et al. (1998) on the basis of 1990 accounting information. Investor Protection is the Antidirector Rights Index from LaPorta et al. (1998). Market Capitalization is measured in billions of US dollars as of 1991 (source: International Federation of Stock Exchanges). Turnover is the value of share trading (main and parallel markets) as of 1991, measured in billions of US dollars (source: International Federation of Stock Exchanges). Note that comparison between exchanges is problematic due to different definitions and calculation methods used by different stock exchanges. T figures only count transactions that pass through the trading systems of an exchange, while R figures include all transactions, without making a difference between on- and off-market. Trading Cost is measured in basis points as of the 3rd quarter of 1998. It is the average sum of commission, fees and market impact based on trade data on all global trades done by 135 institutional investors in a given market (source: Elkins/McSherry Co., Inc.). Market Change in Change in CrossCrossNet Listings Listings Change into out of Market Market NormalAccountMarket ized Investor ing StandCapitalNet Protection ards ization Change Turnover Trading Costs (Basis Points) Netherlands -53 +33 -86 -24.2 64 2 135.98 38.9 R 34.56 Belgium -7 +9 -16 -5.7 61 0 71.11 8.2 T 33.21 Germany +8 +17 -9 -2.2 62 1 392.47 404.6 R 29.70 Italy +4 +8 -4 -1.6 62 1 158.81 23.4 T 29.84 Great Britain -76 +71 -147 -6.6 78 5 986.11 553.9 R 51.88 Spain +4 +5 -1 -0.2 64 4 127.30 35.3 T 24.57 France -18 +39 -21 -2.2 69 3 373.36 116.6 T 27.63 Sweden +8 +3 +5 +2.3 83 3 97.06 20.6 R 32.26 Austria +3 +11 -8 -5.8 54 2 26.04 7.2 T 51.29 Amex +1 124.45 40.9 T N.A. Nasdaq +62 490.68 693.9 R 30.64 NYSE +91 3484.34 1520.2 T 24.57 -149 +303 +4.6 71 5 43 Table 4. The Global Vantage Sample Panel A: Summary Statistics Mean Total Assets Total Assets Growth Capitalization Ratio Com. Shares Traded / Outst. Employees Growth Employees Foreign Sales Percentage Leverage Issue Market to Book Ratio Issue Market Value Prop. Plant Equipm. Growth Research per Employee Research / Revenue Research / Labor Expense Total Revenue Total Revenue Growth Labor Cost / Employee High Tech Dummy Return on Assets 2.06 14.56 40.01 322.87 38.75 12.39 34.78 20.58 385.59 1.41 113.14 14.70 5.92 16.96 1.93 22.20 87.96 0.10 4.61 Std. No. of No. of Min Max Median Dev. Obs. comp. 6.05 0.00 113.12 0.37 14929 1813 59.29 -92.24 3638.01 7.61 13047 1797 17.32 0.40 99.68 38.80 12867 1787 6144.64 0.00 212610.40 24.13 5413 1370 1727.22 -98.24 136633.30 1.16 11607 1706 34.41 0.00 1851.00 3.02 13533 1751 29.20 0.00 100.00 33.02 11066 1273 15.07 0.00 100.00 18.95 14886 1813 4338.11 0.00 398001.30 181.48 11737 1719 5.73 0.00 297.77 0.26 11926 1729 9953.55 -100.00 1134913.00 6.67 13022 1793 141.38 0.01 3432.89 2.60 2635 483 60.49 0.00 2961.89 1.72 2695 491 240.18 0.00 3724.52 0.10 1692 313 5.06 0.00 71.96 0.40 14918 1812 328.78 -98.57 31883.44 8.21 13029 1797 1321.30 0.00 33975.84 22.15 6458 878 0.30 0.00 1.00 0.00 21876 1823 8.77 -91.92 391.82 4.62 13073 1796 Panel B: Number of Companies by Country of Incorporation No. of companies Total no. of Country of incorporation cross-listed companies already in 1986 Austria 57 2 Belgium 67 8 Germany 204 16 Spain 80 1 France 333 15 United Kingdom 812 28 Italy 79 6 Netherlands 111 16 Sweden 80 15 Total 1823 107 No. of companies that crosslist during 1987-1997 7 2 11 2 13 68 5 9 4 121 Proportion of sample with crosslistings 0.158 0.149 0.132 0.038 0.084 0.118 0.139 0.225 0.238 0.125 44 Table 5. Descriptive Statistics Panel A: Difference in Medians between Cross-Listing Companies and Companies that Do Not Cross-List, by Year Relative to First Cross-Listing Date This table reports the differences in medians between companies that do cross-list and those that do not. Columns give the differences in medians in the years -3, -2, etc. relative to the event of cross-listing. The control sample consists of companies that are not cross-listed at all during the whole sample period from 1986 to 1997. Computation is implemented as median regression, where the variable of interest (e.g. total assets) is the dependent variable, and a relative-listing-year dummy and dummies controlling for calendar year and country of incorporation effects serve as explanatory variables; the relative-listing-year dummy for year +n (-n) takes the value 1 for observations taken n years after (before) the year in which the company is first cross-listed abroad. A separate median regression is run for each cell in the table. The value reported is the coefficient of the relative-listing-year dummy. Standard computation formulas (the method of Koenker and Basett (1982) and Rogers (1993) are used for obtaining standard errors and hence levels of significance, where *** reports significance at the 1 % level, ** 5 %, * 10 %. This computation does not take into account clustering effects (errors might be dependent within companies observed for subsequent years). However, computation of the standard errors by bootstrapping does not change the significance levels substantially (results not reported). Total Assets Total Assets Growth Capitalization Ratio Com. Shares Traded / Outst. Employees Growth Employees Foreign Sales Percentage Leverage Issue Market to Book Ratio Issue Market Value Prop. Plant Equipm. Growth Research per Employee Research / Revenue Research / Labor Expense Total Revenue Total Revenue Growth Labor Cost / Employee Return on Assets -3 1.887 *** 2.864 -2.038 19.150 *** -1.799 7.463 *** 22.140 *** 7.035 *** 22.081 2.352 *** 1.070 1.834 *** 0.308 0.238 *** 1.485 *** 0.935 3.585 ** 0.531 -2 1.560 *** 1.260 -2.500 11.415 * 2.983 ** 7.642 *** 20.580 *** 7.572 *** 27.253 1.308 *** 0.713 1.977 *** 1.039 ** 0.029 1.194 *** 2.578 6.405 *** -0.143 -1 1.307 *** 5.070 ** -3.458 19.130 *** -0.370 7.449 *** 23.400 *** 5.797 *** 21.025 1.322 *** 3.683 1.527 *** 0.146 0.104 *** 1.364 *** 5.429 *** 5.332 *** 0.142 0 1 1.851 *** 1.749 *** 5.231 *** 4.878 ** -4.027 * -5.530 *** *** 12.825 9.916 ** *** 3.304 2.551 ** *** 9.027 10.302 *** 22.550 *** 26.810 *** 9.710 *** 9.289 *** 15.178 9.899 1.120 *** 1.138 *** 6.244 *** 4.016 * 2.285 *** 1.289 *** 0.130 0.010 0.022 0.281 *** 1.683 *** 1.784 *** 3.851 ** 3.030 4.043 *** 2.922 ** 0.542 0.360 2 2.379 *** 1.641 -7.404 *** 13.586 ** -0.508 10.944 *** 36.530 *** 12.794 *** -0.173 1.105 *** 3.188 1.734 *** 0.394 0.299 *** 2.268 *** -1.402 4.212 *** -0.834 3 1.794 *** -0.771 -8.391 *** 9.931 ** -1.689 10.683 *** 35.700 *** 12.786 *** 8.388 1.229 *** -0.490 3.131 *** 0.618 0.174 *** 2.461 *** 3.267 2.014 -1.032 * >3 4.839 *** -0.882 -3.890 *** 16.467 *** -1.734 *** 24.468 *** 29.260 *** 4.636 *** -6.115 2.705 *** -0.699 1.846 *** 0.299 *** 0.106 *** 4.403 *** -1.622 *** 0.272 -0.391 ** 45 [Table 5, continued] Panel B: Differences in Medians between Cross-Listing Companies and Companies that Do Not Cross-List, by Year Relative to First Foreign Listing Date and by Continent of First Foreign Listing This table reports differences in medians of companies that cross-list in the US with the control sample and companies that cross-list within EU9 with the control sample. Only first foreign listings within the total geographical area (EU9 and US) are considered, then the sample is divided into sub-groups depending on where this first foreign listing takes place. Companies that cross-list in the same calendar year in the US and in EU9 are excluded. For columns -3 to +3, subsequent cross-listings in the other geographical area are ignored. The permanent effect column excludes observations for companies that are listed abroad for more than three years in both continents. The sample period is from 1986 to 1997. Calculation is in the form of a median regression. The dependent variable is regressed on a US-relativelisting-year dummy and a EU9-relative-listing-year dummy, and dummies controlling for country of incorporation and calendar year effects. The coefficients of the relative-listing-year dummies are the differences in medians. The setup of this calculation ensures that the effect of controlling for country and calendar year effects is the same for the US and the EU9 subsample and allows a simple test for equality of the coefficients. The P-values of these equality tests are also reported. Note that observations that cannot be assigned to a specific subsample are not used for estimation in the relevant regression. Because of different samples, this table cannot be compared directly to Panel A of Table 4; in particular the >3 column, where a relatively large number of observations is excluded. US Total Assets Total Assets Growth Capitalization Ratio Com. Shares Traded / Outst. Employees Growth Employees Foreign Sales Percentage Leverage Issue Market to Book Ratio Issue Market Value Prop. Plant Equipm. Growth Research per Employee Research / Revenue Research / Labor Expense Total Revenue Total Revenue Growth Labor Cost / Employee Return on Assets -3 1.770 *** 2.042 -2.670 19.283 ** -1.729 5.560 *** 22.410 ** 5.820 * 1.555 1.398 *** 0.632 2.614 *** 1.562 *** 0.238 *** 1.753 *** 2.550 3.585 * 0.719 -2 1.560 *** 1.944 -4.550 11.396 0.595 4.348 *** 20.690 ** 7.572 *** 48.438 * 1.269 *** 0.627 2.790 *** 2.015 *** 0.114 *** 1.160 *** -1.823 6.396 *** -0.419 -1 1.307 *** 2.316 -8.056 ** 19.340 *** -1.457 3.670 *** 19.190 *** 7.725 *** 60.536 ** 1.088 *** 2.387 1.930 *** 0.317 0.149 *** 1.334 *** 5.340 ** 6.723 *** -0.095 0 1.850 *** 6.184 ** -8.372 *** 14.282 *** 4.281 *** 6.287 *** 24.320 *** 10.955 *** 74.191 *** 0.960 *** 6.776 ** 3.398 *** 0.295 0.109 *** 1.372 *** 2.055 3.379 ** -0.202 1 1.993 *** 5.730 ** -7.526 ** 13.146 ** 3.243 * 8.749 *** 35.100 *** 13.834 *** 33.967 1.739 *** 6.206 ** 2.067 *** 0.321 0.281 *** 2.098 *** 6.666 *** 0.170 0.680 2 2.284 *** -1.555 -9.123 *** 8.430 -0.688 10.466 *** 40.860 *** 13.812 *** 88.925 *** 2.210 *** 2.222 1.754 ** 0.394 0.297 *** 2.678 *** -1.831 5.885 *** -1.080 3 1.480 *** -1.295 -10.194 *** 8.177 -3.163 10.599 *** 42.520 *** 12.466 *** 69.582 ** 1.562 *** -3.556 1.921 *** 0.593 0.174 *** 2.461 *** 4.170 7.676 *** -0.267 >3 3.318 *** 3.074 ** -4.643 *** 18.000 *** 0.506 18.288 *** 32.930 *** 5.541 *** 92.784 *** 4.600 *** 2.074 1.871 *** 0.588 *** 0.035 * 4.299 *** 0.100 6.752 *** 0.675 * EU9 Total Assets Total Assets Growth Capitalization Ratio Com. Shares Traded / Outst. Employees Growth Employees Foreign Sales Percentage Leverage Issue Market to Book Ratio Issue Market Value Prop. Plant Equipm. Growth Research per Employee Research / Revenue Research / Labor Expense Total Revenue Total Revenue Growth Labor Cost / Employee Return on Assets -3 2.707 *** 5.539 0.134 30.022 ** -2.699 14.157 *** 19.660 * 8.865 ** 27.968 2.696 *** 1.654 -0.100 -0.370 *** -0.028 *** 1.334 *** -7.301 * 2.069 -0.021 -2 1.543 *** 1.038 -2.356 11.913 3.140 12.140 *** 13.900 8.228 ** -17.571 1.950 *** 0.908 -0.543 -0.714 -0.039 1.194 *** 4.579 4.704 -0.055 -1 1.331 *** 6.494 * 0.274 19.027 ** 0.220 14.310 *** 32.650 *** 5.704 ** -17.382 1.581 *** 5.166 -0.083 -0.672 -0.034 1.299 *** 6.401 ** -0.487 0.282 0 1.890 *** 5.665 * -1.225 12.179 0.390 14.828 *** 19.610 ** 7.297 ** -8.435 1.147 *** 3.247 -0.351 -0.722 -0.043 1.716 *** 3.861 3.135 0.584 1 1.749 *** 1.164 -2.816 7.028 0.920 10.302 *** 20.780 ** 7.395 *** -27.296 0.694 *** 2.707 -0.683 -0.801 -0.042 1.742 *** 0.843 2.842 -0.084 2 2.380 *** 3.472 -5.464 * 18.763 ** 0.324 10.368 *** 26.630 *** 12.097 *** -28.097 0.713 *** 5.183 0.450 -0.584 -0.047 1.894 *** -1.402 3.113 -0.759 3 2.552 *** -0.351 -6.363 ** 9.931 -1.218 10.819 *** 29.810 *** 12.780 *** -25.659 1.066 *** 1.102 0.098 2.110 *** no obs. 2.430 *** 1.820 0.000 -1.233 >3 4.441 *** -1.413 * -2.621 *** 15.842 *** -1.949 *** 22.450 *** 26.660 *** 3.366 *** -16.165 *** 1.888 *** -1.105 1.086 *** 0.093 0.101 *** 4.012 *** -2.103 *** 0.000 -0.345 * 46 [Table 5, Panel B, continued] Difference US - EU9 Total Assets Total Assets Growth Capitalization Ratio Com. Shares Traded / Outst. Employees Growth Employees Foreign Sales Percentage Leverage Issue Market to Book Ratio Issue Market Value Prop. Plant Equipm. Growth Research per Employee Research / Revenue Research / Labor Expense Total Revenue Total Revenue Growth Labor Cost / Employee Return on Assets -3 -0.937 *** -3.497 -2.804 -10.739 0.970 -8.597 *** 2.750 -3.045 -26.413 -1.298 *** -1.022 2.714 ** 1.932 *** 0.266 *** 0.419 *** 9.851 ** 1.516 0.740 -2 0.017 0.906 -2.194 -0.517 -2.545 -7.792 *** 6.790 -0.656 66.009 -0.681 *** -0.281 3.333 *** 2.729 ** 0.153 ** -0.034 -6.402 1.692 -0.364 -1 -0.024 -4.178 -8.330 * 0.313 -1.677 -10.640 *** -13.460 2.021 77.918 * -0.493 *** -2.779 2.013 * 0.989 0.183 ** 0.035 -1.061 7.210 ** -0.377 0 -0.040 0.519 -7.147 * 2.103 3.891 -8.541 *** 4.710 3.658 82.626 ** -0.187 ** 3.529 3.749 *** 1.017 0.152 ** -0.344 *** -1.806 0.244 -0.786 1 2 0.244 *** -0.096 4.566 -5.027 -4.710 -3.659 6.118 -10.333 2.323 -1.012 -1.553 * 0.098 14.320 14.230 6.439 * 1.715 61.263 * 117.022 *** 1.045 *** 1.497 *** 3.499 -2.961 2.750 *** 1.304 1.122 0.978 0.323 *** 0.344 *** 0.356 *** 0.784 *** 5.823 -0.429 -2.672 2.772 0.764 -0.321 3 >3 -1.072 *** -1.123 *** -0.944 4.487 *** -3.831 -2.022 -1.754 2.158 -1.945 2.455 *** -0.220 -4.162 *** 12.710 6.270 -0.314 2.175 95.241 ** 108.949 *** 0.496 *** 2.712 *** -4.658 3.179 * 1.823 * 0.785 * -1.517 * 0.495 ** no obs. -0.066 *** 0.031 0.287 *** 2.350 2.203 7.676 *** 6.752 *** 0.966 1.020 ** 47 Table 6. Predicting Cross-Listing: Logit Analysis This table reports the odds ratios of the logit estimation of the probability of a foreign listing. The listing year dummy takes the value one in the year of the first foreign listing in the EU9 countries or in the US and zero otherwise. Subsequently to the event of cross-listing, a company is excluded from estimation. Standard errors and resulting p-values are adjusted for clustering on companies. All explanatory variables are lagged, with the exception of the high tech dummy, where there is no danger of endogeneity. The Mean of 3 Highest Countries’ PBV is the arithmetic mean of the three highest values of the Price/Book ratio in each year within the countries of our sample. Calendar year dummies have been used in the estimation, but their coefficients are not reported for brevity. Number of obs. χ²(20) Prob > χ² Pseudo R² 10786 269.34 0.000 0.2029 Log Likelihood -332.685 Listing year dummy (adjusted) Odds Ratio Leverage (lagged) 1.022 Foreign Sales Percentage (imputed, lagged) 1.020 Total Assets Growth (lagged) 1.001 Privatization dummy (lagged) 4.414 Log of Total Assets (lagged) 2.041 Return on Assets (lagged) 0.997 High Tech Dummy 2.697 Mean of 3 Highest Countries’ PBV (lagged) 0.997 Domestic PBV (lagged) 1.001 Regional dummy (North) 0.811 Regional dummy (South) 0.332 Regional dummy (East) 0.566 z 2.290 3.449 2.602 2.268 6.392 -0.067 2.614 -0.513 0.260 -0.562 -2.236 -1.236 P>|z| 0.022 0.001 0.009 0.023 0.000 0.947 0.009 0.608 0.795 0.574 0.025 0.216 48 Table 7. Cox Regression (Survival Time Analysis) This table reports the hazard ratios of the Cox estimation of a foreign listing. The dependent variable is the foreign listing dummy, which takes the value one in the year of the first foreign listing in the EU9 countries or in the US and zero otherwise. Observations are excluded from the estimation sample after the event of a foreign listing took place. Standard errors and resulting p-values are adjusted for clustering on companies. All explanatory variables are lagged, with the exception of the high tech dummy, where there is no danger of endogeneity. No. of subjects: 1642 No. of failures: 69 Time at risk: 10786 Leverage (lagged) Foreign Sales Percentage (imp., lagged) Total Assets Growth (lagged) Privatization dummy (lagged) Log of Total Assets (lagged) Return on Assets (lagged) High Tech Dummy Domestic Price/Book Value (lagged) Regional dummy (North) Regional dummy (South) Regional dummy (East) Log likelihood χ² (11) Prob > χ² Hazard Ratio 1.021 1.019 1.001 3.741 1.993 0.997 2.480 1.001 0.825 0.343 0.571 z 2.356 3.603 2.793 2.404 6.575 -0.077 2.543 0.271 -0.548 -2.285 -1.288 -409.530 238.05 0.000 P>|z| 0.018 0.000 0.005 0.016 0.000 0.939 0.011 0.786 0.584 0.022 0.198 49 Table 8. Predicting the Location of Cross-Listing by Multinomial Logit This table reports the results of the multinomial logit estimation. The dependent variable is the region of the foreign listing. Considered are all within-region new foreign listings. Companies that have foreign listings in both regions in a given year are excluded from the sample in the subsequent year. Two companies have new foreign listings in both the US and EU9 in a given year; these observations are used in the US sample only. We control for whether a company is already cross-listed in the other continent by using the lagged number of foreign listings as regressor. All explanatory variables are lagged, with the exception of the High Tech dummy. The mean of 3 highest EU – Domestic PBV is the difference between the arithmetic mean of the 3 highest EU9 Price/Book Values and the country of incorporations PBV. US – Domestic PBV is the difference between the US and the domestic Price/Book ratio. Calendar year dummies have been used in the estimation, but their coefficients are not reported for brevity. Standard errors and resulting p-values are adjusted for clustering on companies. Number of obs. χ² (42) Prob > χ² Pseudo R² Log Likelihood: -450.539 Region of foreign listing U.S.A. Number of foreign listings (lagged) Leverage (lagged) Foreign Sales Percentage (lagged) Total Assets Growth (lagged) Privatization dummy (lagged) Log of Total Assets (lagged) Return on Assets (lagged) High Tech Dummy US - Domestic Price/Book Value (lagged) Mean of 3 highest EU - Domestic PBV (lagged) Domestic PBV value (lagged) Regional dummy (North) Regional dummy (South) Regional dummy (East) relative risk ratio 1.117 1.020 1.014 1.001 1.723 1.858 0.991 3.670 1.004 0.999 1.006 0.734 0.447 0.255 z 11894 435.60 0.000 0.2112 P>|z| 0.931 1.763 2.455 2.721 0.633 5.419 -0.193 3.945 0.701 -0.131 1.189 -0.707 -1.509 -2.719 0.352 0.078 0.014 0.007 0.527 0.000 0.847 0.000 0.483 0.895 0.234 0.480 0.131 0.007 Europe Number of foreign listings (lagged) 0.160 -2.628 Leverage (lagged) 1.018 1.548 Foreign Sales Percentage (lagged) 1.028 3.130 Total Assets Growth (lagged) 1.002 2.690 Privatization dummy (lagged) 5.249 2.118 Log of Total Assets (lagged) 2.505 5.284 Return on Assets (lagged) 1.084 3.192 High Tech Dummy 0.218 -1.303 US - Domestic Price/Book Value (lagged) 0.992 -0.986 Mean of 3 highest EU - Domestic PBV (lagged) 1.015 1.179 Domestic PBV value (lagged) 1.002 0.157 Regional dummy (North) 1.735 1.146 Regional dummy (South) 0.434 -1.045 Regional dummy (East) 1.931 1.186 (Outcome no cross-listing is the comparison group) 0.009 0.122 0.002 0.007 0.034 0.000 0.001 0.192 0.324 0.238 0.875 0.252 0.296 0.236 50 Table 9. Effects of Cross-Listing: Ex-Post Median Regressions This table reports estimates of the ex-post effects of listing. Each row in the table gives the results of a median regression, for a dependent variable (e.g. Total Assets). The explanatory variables are an impact dummy (1 in the year of cross-listing and 0 elsewhere), a three-year impact dummy (1 in the three years subsequent to cross-listing) and a permanent effect dummy (1 in year 4 from cross-listing and later). We take first differences of all variables in order to eliminate fixed effects. The following dependent variables have been used in logarithmic form: total assets, employees, issue market value and total revenue. A constant and additional control dummies are included in non-differenced form: calendar year dummies in all regressions; country of incorporation dummies only in the regressions explaining total assets, employees, issue market value and total revenue. The coefficients of these variables are not reported for brevity. Only data points from 1990 or later are used, so as to use the observations for companies already cross-listed in 1986 (For these companies, the permanent effect dummy is 1). Impact effect Three year Permanent Pseudoeffect effect R² 0.003 0.006 -0.016 0.139 Total Assets 3.673 -0.579 0.509 0.101 Total Assets Growth -0.059 -0.467 -0.527 0.001 Capitalization Ratio -4.785 -4.102* -6.256* 0.002 Common Shares Traded / Outstanding 0.575 0.633 0.055 0.001 Employees Growth -0.001 0.010 -0.009 0.011 Employees 0.130*** 0.110*** 0.110*** 0.001 Foreign Sales Percentage -0.129 0.239 0.004 0.003 Leverage 10.820 -1.397 3.772 0.016 Issue Market to Book Ratio 0.078* 0.065 0.053 0.050 Issue Market Value 1.280 1.315 0.643 0.014 Property Plant Equipment Growth 0.491*** 0.383*** 0.560*** 0.008 Research per Employee 0.051 0.066 0.096*** 0.001 Research / Revenue 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.001 Research / Labor Expense 0.006 0.005 -0.016 0.116 Total Revenue -2.824 -3.281 -3.842* 0.100 Total Revenue Growth -0.760* -1.493*** -0.825** 0.022 Labor Cost / Employee 0.388 0.429 0.300 0.014 Return on Assets No. of obs. 10936 10089 9901 3941 9031 10004 8102 10888 9147 9331 10074 1956 2003 1285 10913 10057 4819 10094 51 Table 10. Effect of Where Companies List: Ex-Post Median Regressions Distinguishing Cross-Listings in Europe and US This table reports estimates of the ex-post effects of cross-listing, distinguishing US cross-listings and EU9 cross-listings. The methodology is the same as for the estimates reported in Table 9, with the difference that the impact, three year effect and permanent effect dummies are defined for first regional cross-listings. Note that therefore these dummies do not sum up exactly to the dummies of Table 9, as in that table only the first cross-listing anywhere (either in Europe or the US) is considered, while here first cross-listings both in the US and in Europe are counted. The additional dummies used are the same as in Table 9; their coefficients are not reported for brevity. US US US EU9 impact three year permanent impact effect effect Total Assets Total Assets Growth Capitalization Ratio Common Shares Traded / Outst. Employees Growth Employees Foreign Sales Percentage Leverage Issue Market to Book Ratio Issue Market Value Property Plant Equipm. Growth Research per Employee Research / Revenue Research / Labor Expense Total Revenue Total Revenue Growth Labor Cost / Employee Return on Assets 0.007 0.040 0.944 -0.506 0.065 ** 0.001 -0.038** 0.139 10936 10089 3.868 0.258 -1.785 0.102 0.755 1.438 * 1.577 * -0.167 -0.910 -0.954* 0.001 9901 4.774 1.520 0.099 -8.740 * -7.303 -9.413 0.002 3941 0.962 2.672 4.622 * -0.185 -0.994 -2.014 0.001 9031 0.028 * 0.009 0.000 0.011 -0.016 0.011 10004 0.180 *** 0.180 *** 0.001 8102 -0.002 0.200 *** 3.826 0.009 EU9 EU9 Pseudo No. three year permanent R² of obs. effect effect -0.090 *** -0.306* -0.015 0.112 0.475 ** 2.013 -13.487 6.153 24.754 ** 0.116 ** -0.988 -0.140 *** 0.638 *** 0.160 *** 0.010 0.003 10888 19.029 * 2.601 0.016 9147 0.110 * 0.126 * 0.079 -0.020 -0.082* 0.050 9331 -2.507 1.787 6.963 1.777 2.021 0.014 10074 0.056 0.201 ** 0.202 ** 0.659 *** 0.509 *** 0.632 *** 0.008 1956 0.038 0.077 0.094 * 0.057 0.082 0.112 *** 0.002 2003 0.000 0.017 *** 0.015 *** 0.002 ** 0.003 0.001 1285 0.014 0.032 0.014 -0.006 -0.010 -0.030** 0.116 10913 -2.453 0.365 3.183 -2.815 -4.665 -5.111** 0.100 10057 -2.184 *** -0.064 -0.825* 0.022 4819 0.152 0.296 0.014 10094 -0.605 0.521 * -1.599 *** -0.613 -0.106 -0.030 0.111 -0.004 52 Figure 1a. History of companies listed on each exchange: domestic, foreign and total Figure 1b. History of cross-listings among sample countries (domestic companies listed abroad in EU9-US exchanges, and EU9-US companies on domestic exchanges) Amsterdam Stock Exchange Amsterdam Stock Exchange 450 200 400 175 350 150 300 125 250 100 200 75 150 100 50 50 25 0 0 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Total Domestic Companies 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Foreign Companies (EU9+US) domestic companies listed abroad (EU9+US) Foreign Companies Brussels Stock Exchange Brussels Stock Exchange 350 120 300 100 250 80 200 60 150 40 100 20 50 0 0 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Foreign Companies (EU9+US) domestic companies listed abroad (EU9+US) 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Total Domestic Companies Foreign Companies Frankfurt Stock Exchange Frankfurt Stock Exchange 200 600 175 500 150 400 125 300 100 75 200 50 100 25 0 0 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Foreign Companies (EU9+US) domestic companies listed abroad (EU9+US) 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Total Domestic Companies Foreign Companies Italian Stock Exchange Italian Stock Exchange 70 300 60 250 50 200 40 150 30 100 20 50 10 0 0 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Total Domestic Companies Foreign Companies 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Foreign Companies (EU9+US) domestic companies listed abroad (EU9+US) 53 Figure 1a (continued). Figure 1b (continued). London Stock Exchange London Stock Exchange 300 2500 250 2000 200 1500 150 1000 100 500 50 0 0 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Total Domestic Companies 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Foreign Companies (EU9+US) domestic companies listed abroad (EU9+US) Foreign Companies Madrid Stock Exchange Madrid Stock Exchange 70 500 60 400 50 300 40 200 30 20 100 10 0 0 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Total Domestic Companies 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Foreign Companies (EU9+US) domestic companies listed abroad (EU9+US) Foreign Companies Paris Stock Exchange Paris Stock Exchange 150 1250 125 1000 100 750 75 500 50 250 25 0 0 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Total Domestic Companies 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Foreign Companies (EU9+US) domestic companies listed abroad (EU9+US) Foreign Companies Stockholm Stock Exchange Stockholm Stock Exchange 70 300 60 250 50 200 40 150 30 100 20 50 10 0 0 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Total Domestic Companies Foreign Companies 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Foreign Companies (EU9+US) domestic companies listed abroad (EU9+US) 54 Figure 1a (continued). Figure 1b (continued). Vienna Stock Exchange Vienna Stock Exchange 70 200 60 150 50 40 100 30 50 20 10 0 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Total Domestic Companies 0 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Foreign Companies (EU9+US) domestic companies listed abroad (EU9+US) Foreign Companies Amex, Nasdaq, Nyse Amex, Nasdaq, Nyse 500 9000 8000 400 7000 6000 300 5000 4000 200 3000 2000 100 1000 0 0 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Total Domestic Companies Foreign Companies 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Foreign Companies (EU9+US) domestic companies listed abroad (EU9+US) 55 Figure 2. Proportion of Foreign Companies (No. of foreign companies listed on domestic exchange / total no. of companies listed on domestic exchange) 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.00 0.00 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 0.00 86 87 Amsterdam Stock Exchange 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 86 0.60 0.60 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.00 0.00 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 86 0.60 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.00 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 86 0.60 0.60 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.10 0.10 0.10 88 89 90 91 92 Amex 93 94 95 96 97 93 94 95 96 97 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 96 97 0.00 0.00 87 92 Vienna Stock Exchange 0.60 86 88 Stockholm Stock Exchange Paris Stock Exchange 0.00 91 0.00 86 97 90 Madrid Stock Exchange 0.60 87 87 London Stock Exchange 0.60 86 89 0.00 86 Italian Stock Exchange 0.00 88 Frankfurt Stock Exchange 0.60 86 87 Brussels Stock Exchange 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 Nasdaq 93 94 95 96 97 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 NYSE 93 94 95 56 Figure 3. Diaspora Indices (No. of domestic companies listed abroad / no. of domestic companies listed on domestic exchange) 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 0.00 86 87 Amsterdam Stock Exchange 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 86 0.30 0.30 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 86 0.30 0.30 0.25 0.25 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 0.00 86 97 90 Madrid Stock Exchange 0.25 87 87 London Stock Exchange 0.30 86 89 0.00 86 Italian Stock Exchange 0.00 88 Frankfurt Stock Exchange 0.30 86 87 Brussels Stock Exchange 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Stockholm Stock Exchange Paris Stock Exchange 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 Amex, Nasdaq, NYSE 95 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Vienna Stock Exchange 0.30 86 86 96 97 96 97
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