BILANS ET PERSPECTIVES Budget - Finances Summary Foreword 7 The key figures of the regional debt 8 Part I : The institutional framework in Wallonia 1. Belgium: a Federal State 11 2. Explanation of the concepts of Community and Region11 3. Wallonia12 3.1. Competences 12 3.2. Institutions 13 3.3. Financing: the special law on financing 14 3.4. State Reform and transfer of powers 16 4. Rules governing the indebtedness of federated entities17 4.1. Legal basis 17 4.2. Types of loans 18 Part II : Regional debt and cash flow 1. Administrative framework and good governance21 1.1. Administrative framework 21 1.2. Internal and external controls 22 1.3. Consultative bodies - the Joint Treasury Council and the Regional Treasury Council 23 2. Debt management24 2.1. Components of the regional debt 2.1.1 Long-term debt 24 26 A. Direct debt 27 B. Indirect debt 28 29 C. Breakdown of the sources of financing 2.1.2 II.1.2. Short-term debt 33 A. Overall cash balance 33 B. Description of revenues and expenditure 33 C. Financial centralisation 37 41 D. Cash flow cycle Summary E. Deficit and surplus management 44 2.2. Secured debt 44 2.2.1 Senior guarantees 44 2.2.2 Junior guarantees 48 2.3. Consolidated gross debt: Maastricht concept 49 2.3.1 Transition from ESA 95 to ESA 2010 49 2.3.1.1. Treaty of Maastricht 49 2.3.1.2. ESA 95 50 50 2.3.1.3. ESA 2010: progressive implementation 2.3.2 Consolidated gross debt of the Walloon Region zone: Maastricht concept 2.4. Risk Management 51 54 2.4.1 Liquidity and refinancing risk 54 2.4.2 Exchange rate risk 56 2.4.3 Credit risk 58 2.4.4 Currency exchange risk 58 2.4.5 Follow-up of the derivatives portfolio 58 2.5. Active debt management 54 2.5.1 Mission and strategy 60 2.5.2 Management principles and their application 60 1. Responsiveness, flexibility, transparency and communication 60 2. Optimal distribution between fixed rate and floating rate 61 3. Diversification of the investor base 62 4. Levelling of the debt amortisation schedule 62 5.Principles of prudence, competitive procedure and efficiency of the decision making process 63 6. Appropriate utilisation of derivative financial instruments 63 7. Search for synergies 63 2.5.3 Performance indicators 64 A. Budgetary performance 64 B. Rating 65 C. Margin with regards to OLO 65 66 D. Historical indicators 2.6. Abbreviations 69 Foreword by Minister Christophe Lacroix With the establishment of a new government for a period of five years and a change of majority - currently the Socialist Party and the Humanist Democratic Centre (CDH) - 2014 was a truly exceptional year. For the rest, 2014 was characterised in economic and financial terms by: historically low interest rates, prompting a reduction in interest costs and the weighted average rate of debt; the transition from ESA1 95 to ESA 2010 with the substantial enlargement of the Walloon zone, from 40 to 165 institutions, which had a negative effect on the financing balance; like everywhere else in Europe, unfavourable macroeconomic parameters, even though a growth rate of 1.3% was achieved, a clear improvement on the 0% recorded in 2013; the comprehensive modification of the Belgian institutional framework, with a new transfer of powers to the federated entities. (laws and decrees of the 6th State Reform dating from 1 July 2014 but entering into force on 1 January 2015) In keeping with its debt management policy, Wallonia continued its process of improvement in 2014 with the aim of optimising the cost/risk ratio of its funding, and of moving towards an increasingly professional structure capable of coping with the numerous, and often sudden, changes in financial markets still affected by an unprecedented economic and financial crisis. In terms of transparency, whereas 2011 was the first year of publication of this report in French and English, the website (www.wallonie.be/ financement) became operational and includes, in addition to this report, all reference publications and documents. The translation of the website into English attests to the importance Wallonia places in the transparency of the policies which it implements. This report will inform the reader about the institutional framework in Wallonia, as well as the technical and administrative framework of debt and cash flow management. It will also present the key regional financial aggregates and the active management of debt, with special focus on the management of risks linked to the regional debt. The report will provide detailed information relating to the debt issued and managed by the Finance Directorate of the Walloon Public Service, and for which the interest costs are financed from the Walloon expenditure budget. In order to provide the reader with a complete overview, the consolidated gross debt (Maastricht concept) is also succinctly presented. The detailed elements of the debt of the entities included in the regional zone can be obtained from these entities. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 SEC= S European System of national and regional Accounts. In September 2014, the new European standard ESA 2010 entered into force for calculating national accounts. This methodological revision is the result of a long-term evolution and fits into an international framework. It aims to better understand the specific transformations of modern economies. 1 Christophe LACROIX Minister for the Budget, for the Civil Service and Administrative Simplification 7 The key figures of the regional debt (in million or as a % as at 31 December) 2013 2014 6.137,3 7 011,1 6.360,4 6 781,8 5.563,9 5 985,7 796,5 796,1 (223,1) 229,3 6.360,4 6 781,9 1.760,6 1 714,1 Schuldschein 1.403,5 1.596,5 Bond issues 3.196,3 3.471,3 562,0 562,0 1.163,3 1 043,3 I. Outstanding amounts of the regional debt instruments 1. (Net) regional debt (Gross) long-term debt Direct debt Indirect debt Short-term debt 2. Long-term regional debt instruments 2 Bank loans 3 - Stand alone - Medium Term Notes - Commercial paper 730,0 820,0 - Euro Medium Term Notes 741,0 1 046,0 3. Secured debt 7.484,0 7.720,9 Senior debt 6.668,3 6.946,9 Junior debt 815,7 774,0 Long-term A1 A1 Short-term P-1 P-1 Négative Stable II. Characteristics of the regional debt MOODY’s rating Outlook Distribution according to the rates (in %) 8 Fixed rate (in %) 83,65 82,68 Variable rate (in %) 16,35 17,32 Average life span (in years) 9,2 8,5 Implicit rate (in %) 3,65 3,63 Ratio of regional debt/Revenues (in %) 80,82 90,53 Ratio of regional debt expenses/Revenues (in %) 2,684 2,80 2 Debt instruments are split between bond issues, bank loans and Schuldschein-type issues. 3 Bond issues are broken down into MTN, EMTN, BT and Standalone. 4 he calculation method for the regional debt expenses/Revenues ratio was modified, which explains the difference T between the value for the debt ratio in 2013 and the one indicated for this year Part I : The institutional framework in Wallonia Part I: The institutional framework in Wallonia 1. Belgium: a Federal State Since June 2011 and in accordance with the decisions of the Parliament and the Government, all standard communication is conducted with the official designation «Wallonia». Since the Constitution was not modified, texts with legal scope5 refer to the «Walloon Region» designation. In the present report, we will mostly use the «Wallonia» designation. However, the designation has not been modified in the extracts of legal articles referred to hereinafter. 1. Belgium: a Federal State In 1993, Belgium officially became a Federal State made up of Communities and Regions (article 1 of the Constitution6). Articles 2 and 3 of the Constitution stipulate that Belgium is comprised of three Communities (French-speaking Community, Flemish Community and German-speaking Community) and three Regions (Walloon Region, Flemish Region and Brussels-Capital Region). The organisation of the country is therefore structured around three levels of independent authority: • the Federal State; • the three Regions; • the three Communities. Each federated entity sovereignly exercises its competence through its own parliamentary and governmental institutions. However the reader will observe that since 1980, the Flemish Community exercises the competences of the Flemish Region with one Government and one Parliament. In 1993, the French-speaking Community transferred the exercise of certain powers to the Walloon Region (cf. below). The Belgian territory is further sub-divided in administrative terms, into 10 provinces and 589 municipalities (262 in the Walloon Region, 19 in the Brussels-Capital Region and 308 in the Flemish Region). 2. Explanation of the concepts of Community and Region Article 4 of the Constitution stipulates that Belgium includes four linguistic regions: the French-speaking region, the Dutch-speaking region, the bilingual Brussels-Capital region and the German-speaking region. The linguistic regions are simple territorial subdivisions which do not have any political or administrative body and which as a result should not be confused with the three main Walloon, Brussels and Flemish Regions. The Communities exercise their competences in the corresponding linguistic region, with specific rules for the bilingual Brussels-Capital region. These competences, based on people and culture, extend to Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 5 These are primarily: standard-setting legislation such as draft decrees and decree proposals of the Government of the Walloon Region; agreements, employment contracts, lease contracts, loan contracts or provision contracts, documents pertaining to public procurement contracts, etc. 6 Constitution consolidated on 17 February 1994 11 3. Wallonia six areas: cultural matters, education, the use of languages, personbased matters (healthcare - except social security - and assistance to individuals) as well as international cooperation and scientific research in community matters7. The Regions exercise their competences within their respective territory. These competences are based on the management of the territory (urban development, environment, natural resources, agriculture, transport, housing, infrastructure, energy, etc.) and economic development (employment policy, enterprise grants, foreign trade, applied research, etc.)8. This dual-level federalism stems from the historical evolution of Belgian state reform. 3. Wallonia 3.1. Competences The competences of Wallonia are exercised with regard to the people based within its territory Bayenet et Pagano, le financement des entités fédérées : un système en voie de transformation, CRiSP, 2011. 7 Bayenet et Pagano, le financement des entités fédérées : un système en voie de transformation, CRiSP, 2011. 8 12 The powers and functions of Wallonia are set out by the Belgian Constitution as well as by the special law concerning institutional reform (LSRI) of 8 August 1980, as modified in particular in 1988 and 1993. Matters falling within its functions are: • local authorities, social action and health, • businesses, employment and research, • mobility and waterways, • roads and buildings, Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 urban development, housing, patrimony and energy, • agriculture, natural resources and the environment, • and tax. 3. Wallonia • In 19939, the French-speaking Community, whose designation since June 2011 has been the «Wallonia-Brussels Federation», transferred the exercise of certain functions to Wallonia and the French-speaking Community Commission of the Brussels-Capital Region. This transfer specifically concerned sports infrastructure, tourism, vocational training, social promotion, and also policies relating to healthcare and assistance to individuals. These competences are exercised not only by Wallonia itself, but also through regional companies10, separate management bodies11 and Public Interest Organisations (PIO). 3.2. Institutions The institutional organisation of the federated entities is defined by the Constitution and by the special law concerning institutional reforms of 8 August 1980, as modified in 1988 and 1993. The Walloon Parliament is a single-chamber assembly made up of 75 deputies, who are elected by direct universal suffrage, according to proportional representation, for a 5 year term. It exercises legislative power through decrees which have force of law. The right of initiative belongs both to the Government which introduces draft decrees, and to deputies who introduce decree proposals. Parliament votes on budgets and accounts, on the proposal of the Government, and exercises a dual supervision function over the latter by designating the members of the Government (nine at the most), and regularly questioning them on their actions and decisions. The Walloon Government currently includes eight members12. In charge of the executive power, the Government promulgates the Walloon decrees, instructs their publication in the Belgian Official Journal, and makes the necessary orders and regulations to implement them. The Government is accountable to the Parliament. It should be noted that the results of federal elections do not have any direct impact on the regional political landscape and consequently, by extension, on parliamentary and governmental representations. As such, the Regional Governments13 can have coalitions which are different to those of the federal Government, and even Community Governments. 3.3. Financing: the special law on financing The financing of federated entities (Communities and Regions) is governed by the special law of 16 January 1989 on the financing of Communities and Regions (SLF), as modified in 1993, 2001 and 2014. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 9 See in particular the Decree II of 19 July 1993 transferring the exercise of certain competences of the French-speaking Community to the Walloon Region and the French-speaking Community Commission (which entered into force on 1 January 1994). 10 Only the Walloon Waste Agency falls within this category. It does not have its own legal personality. 11 Only the Walloon Air and Climate Agency falls within this category. 12 Contrary to the previous legislature, only two Walloon regional Ministers are also Community Ministers. In this respect, see the Walloon Government order of 22 July 2014 setting out the distribution of competences between the Ministers (Official Journal 20 August 2014) and the Government of the Wallonia-Brussels Federation order of 22 July 2014 setting out the distribution of competences between Ministers (Official Journal 18 August 2014). 13 Since the regional and European elections of 25 May 2014, the Walloon Government represents a coalition of the Socialist Party and the Humanist Democratic Centre (CDH) (this coalition is also present in the Government of the Wallonia-Brussels Federation). 13 3. Wallonia This law stipulates in its article 1 § 2, that the financing of the Regions is guaranteed by: • non-tax revenues; • tax revenues; • allocated parts of taxes; • a contribution of national solidarity; • and borrowings. The Walloon non-tax revenues essentially correspond to the transfer of credits from the Federal Public Service for Employment, Labour and Social Dialogue on the one hand, and to the transfer from the budget of the Wallonia-Brussels Federation on the other. In the first case, the Regions receive the resources in the form of «drawing rights», to ensure the financing of back-to-work programmes for the unemployed. The amount of the drawing right is fixed annually in consultation with the national authority and the regional authorities, without this limiting their autonomy in terms of employment policy. In the second case, by virtue of Decree II of the Walloon Regional Council of 22 July 1993, it implies for Wallonia the transfer of resources from the WalloniaBrussels Federation, following the decision to transfer the exercise of certain community powers to Wallonia in 1993. The evolution of the contribution transferred by the Wallonia-Brussels Federation is primarily linked to inflation, according to a mechanism established by a decree. The tax revenues mainly concern the 12 regional taxes included in the SLF: 14 • the tax on gambling and betting, • the tax on amusement machines, • the tax on the sale of fermented drinks, • t he succession duties of inhabitants of the Kingdom and transfer duties upon death of non-inhabitants of the Kingdom, • the withholding tax on income from real estate, • r egistration duties on transfers for consideration of immoveable property situated in Belgium, • registration duties on: • t he constitution of a mortgage on an immoveable property situated in Belgium, • t he partial or total division of immoveable property situated in Belgium, Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 • t he transfers for consideration, between co-owners, of the undivided parts of such assets, • t he conversions anticipated in articles 745 c and 745 d of the Civil Code, • registration duties on donations inter vivos of moveable or immoveable goods, • radio and television fees, • the circulation tax on vehicles, • the road fund tax, • the eurovignette. 3. Wallonia Besides these 12 regional taxes, there are also individual taxes or fees in each Region. The Regions are competent to modify the tax rate, the tax base and exemptions of these taxes (without however being able to modify the federal cadastral income in the case of the withholding tax on income from real estate). The Regions also have the possibility to collect additional (or subtractional) percentages, or to grant rebates on joint taxes (personal taxes) within the limits set out by the special law of 13 July 2001, namely a maximum of 6.75%. The allocated parts of taxes make up the allocations which are historically referred to as «PIT» (Personal Income Tax). These are amounts allocated by the federal state, calculated on the basis of the mechanisms of the SLF, regardless of the actual collection of the tax. The PIT allocation transferred to the three Regions evolves annually according to the average consumer price index, and the real growth of gross domestic product. This amount is distributed between the Regions according to their respective share in the revenues of the PIT (the ‘fair return’ principle). The Regions for which the return from the PIT per inhabitant is less than the average for the Kingdom receive a national solidarity contribution from the Federal State. The amount of this contribution depends on the mean deviation, the number of inhabitants, and inflation. 3.4 6th State Reform and transfer of powers The 6th State Reform, which falls within the objective of restructuring the Belgian institutional framework, anticipates a new transfer of powers to the federated entities. It is stipulated that, even though the laws and decrees governing this 6th State Reform date from 1 July 2014, the elements pertaining to the financing of this reform take effect from 1 January 2015. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 15 4.Rulesgoverningtheindebtednessoffederatedentities In summary, the powers which have now been transferred to the regions (both from the federal government and social security, and the Wallonia-Brussels Federation), are the following: • E mployment policy14: checks on job seekers (sanctions and training); • M obility, energy, agriculture and local authority policies; • T ax expenditure: housing bonus, service vouchers and Local Employment Agency cheques; • H ealthcare and assistance to individuals15: assistance for disabled people, home assistance for elderly people, extended care; • T he transfer of family allowance began its transition on 1 July 2014. • F inancing of hospital infrastructure and medical-technical services (from 2016 onwards). To finance these new powers, new revenue sources are granted to the regions, together with the other pre-existing sources of finance. These new resources are: • A dditional percentages on personal income tax (PIT); • T ransfer of PIT revenues from the federal government; • L evy of a «national solidarity contribution» on the PIT revenues of the federal government. hanks to these new sources of finance, the fiscal autonomy of Wallonia T has been strengthened. 4. Rules governing the indebtedness of federated entities 4.1. Legal basis Pursuant to article 49, § 1 of the SLF of 16 January 1989, the Communities and Regions are allowed to contract loans. They do not benefit directly from the guarantee of the Federal State pursuant to article 15 of the special law regarding institutional reforms of 8 August 1980. Competences transferred from the federal government and social security 14 Transfer of powers from the Wallonia-Brussels Federation to Wallonia 15 16 It should be noted however that article 54 of the SLF stipulates in § 2 that Wallonia has the right - if the Federal State is late in transferring the funds which it is obliged to transfer to the federated entities under the SLF, or only transfers part of the funds - to borrow funds whilst Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 4.Rulesgoverningtheindebtednessoffederatedentities benefiting from a legal guarantee from the Federal State, and for which the financial service is fully and directly at the expense of the latter. Through certain provisions of the SLF, the federal authorities have ensured that there is a framework for the borrowing capacity of federated entities. There are two objectives in this respect: firstly, the safeguarding of the economic and monetary union (both at the European and national level) and secondly, the prevention of a structural deterioration of financing needs (article 49 § 6). This is also why Cooperation Agreements have been signed between the federated entities and the Federal State, which establish an annual budgetary objective for each entity. To this end, a «Public Authorities Financing Needs» division has been set up within the High Council of Finance (HCF). This body, which is made up of representatives from the federal and federated entities, is tasked with advising on their financing needs, and on the way in which they have met the objective established in the Cooperation Agreements. This division can also give its opinion to the (federal) Minister of Finances with the aim of limiting the borrowing capacity of a federated entity. Using such a provision means however that strict consultation rules must be respected between the parties concerned. It should be noted that the opinions and recommendations provided annually by the HCF have acquired considerable influence over the debt policy of the federated entities. In 2003, following an agreement reached at the Inter-ministerial Budget and Finance Conference (21 March 2002), the European System of Accounts (ESA 95) entered into force. This system is a reference framework which enables the budgetary results of federated entities to be evaluated. These budgetary objectives, expressed in ESA terms, no longer correspond to a maximum authorisation of borrowing. It is an accounting result into which elements are integrated which have no influence on the treasury and debts. Following the new objectives established by the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union, it became necessary to review the standards which defined the statistical tools. It was with this in mind that the European System of national and regional Accounts was revised, and the ESA 95 was reworked and supplemented to become a more complete version: ESA 2010. «To ensure that the concepts, methodologies and accounting rules set out in this volume are strictly applied, it has been decided, following a proposal from the Commission, to give it a solid legal basis. ESA 2010 was thus adopted in the form of a regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council dated 21 May 2013.»16 16 Document: European System of Accounts ESA 2010, EUROSTAT, European Commission Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 17 4.Rulesgoverningtheindebtednessoffederatedentities 4.2. Type of loans The special law of 13 July 2001 on the refinancing of Communities and Regions also substantially modified these entities’ terms for contracting loans. Article 49 of the SLF stipulates the following: •«§ 1 The Communities and Regions can contract loans in euros or other currencies.» •«§ 2 The planning of public borrowing (in the strict sense of the term)17 is established by the (federal) Council of Ministers, after consultation with the (community and regional) governments. The conditions, as well as the timetable, for issuing any public loans are submitted to the (federal) Minister of Finances for approval. In the event that the (federal) Minister of Finances does not give approval, the (community or regional) government concerned can request that the matter is brought before the (federal) Council of Ministers for a decision.» •«§ 3 The Communities and Regions can issue private loans as well as short-term securities, after having informed the (federal) Minister of Finances. […].». The entry into force of these arrangements was set for 1 January 2002. This means that since this date, one single procedure to inform the federal Minister of Finance must be observed prior to contracting a loan. The terms of the communication and the content of this information (in particular, the amount and duration of the loan, the financial conditions, the co-contracting party) were the subject of an agreement18 between the (federal) Minister of Finances and the Community and Regional Governments. Therefore, only loans which are arranged with individuals are the subject of the approval of the Federal Minister of Finances; all other borrowing is the subject of simple notification. 17 In other words loans intended for individuals. 18 Agreement of 20 April 1991 pertaining to article 49 of the SLF. 18 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 Part II : Regional debt and cash flow 1. Administrative framework and good governance Part II : Regional debt and cash flow 1. Administrative framework and good governance 1.1. Administrative framework Wallonia’s finances are managed by the Minister who is assigned responsibility for the Budget. Pursuant to the provisions contained within the mechanism governing the regional budget revenue, the Budget Minister is authorised to subscribe loans and conclude any financial management transaction dictated by the general interest of the Treasury. This authorisation is renewed each year during the vote by the Walloon Parliament on the decree containing the general budget of revenues. Chart 1: Diagram of the administrative framework The strategic approaches to debt management are debated within the Regional Treasury Council (CORET) and the Joint Treasury Council (COCOT) which provide19 advice to the Budget Minister. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 19 For more details concerning these two committees, refer to section 1.3 «Consultation bodies - the Joint Treasury Council and the Regional Treasury Council».. 21 1. Administrative framework and good governance Ministerial decisions relating to the management of the regional debt and cash flow are made within the Walloon Public Service (WPS) by the Finance Directorate based within the Treasury Department, the Crossfunctional Directorate General for the Budget, Logistics, Information Technologies and Communication (DGT). The Finance Directorate is tasked, by delegation20 of the Minister, with the day-to-day aspects of this management. In concrete terms, the Finance Directorate ensures the management of the cash flow cycle, the management and financial service of the direct and indirect debt, and the monitoring of the debt guaranteed in accordance with the advice given by the Regional Treasury Council, the Joint Treasury Council, as well as decisions taken by the Minister. Since the implementation of the treasury centralisation of the Walloon Public Interest Organisations, the Finance Directorate is also responsible for handling the treasury forecasts submitted by these organisations in order to optimise the management of the net cash position resulting from the overall position of the Region and the overall position of these organisations. It should also be noted that the Finance Directorate keeps the accounting record of bridge loans (GESFIN account21 managed by the centralising treasurer)22. Applying the principle of separation of its functions, the Finance Directorate is organised into two separate units: front and back office. In terms of substance, the Front Office (FO) is competent for the dynamic management of the cash flow cycle, as well as borrowing on money and capital markets. It is also responsible for the dynamic management of debt via the use of derivative financial products for hedging purposes. It is assisted in its task by a financial consultant who provides an opinion, on request, pertaining to the transactions undertaken and the correct financial strategy to follow. Order of the Walloon Government of 8 October 2009 on the delegation of powers to statutory agents of the Walloon Public Service, modified on 15 July 2010, 23 June 2011 and 31 May 2012. 20 Open account for every public administrative company for school buildings. 21 Loans concluded in the context of the guarantee granted by Wallonia for the loans contracted by the five Walloon public administrative companies in charge of school and buildings and education organised by the public authorities (SPABS). 22 Designation used until 1 April 2011. 23 22 The Back Office (BO) is responsible for supervising the realised transactions, processing the associated bank confirmations, and also the budgetary and accounting follow-up of these transactions (commitment and authorisation of expenditure, the allocation of revenues, management of the treasury accounts relating to the debt, etc.) It is also competent for payment schedules and drawing up budget estimates for the department. 1.2. Internal and external controls The management activities of the Directorate of Finance are subject to various controls, both internal and external to the Administration. Essentially, there are three checking bodies: the Finance Inspectorate, the Court of Auditors, and the prudential supervision exercised by an external Auditor approved by the FSMA (Financial Services and Markets Authority, former Banking, Finance and Insurance Commission23). Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 1. Administrative framework and good governance As an illustration, and in line with market best practice, the management of short-term liquidities is based on the centralisation of the cash balances of the associated entities for the calculation of interest charges; this makes it possible to have an overall view on the cash position and to achieve considerable savings with regards to the cost of financing and transaction fees. The competitive procedure is in line with market best practice; the financing products and hedging instruments used are a mix of diversified products adapted to the benchmark; the procedures for processing confirmations and marking transactions constitute sound management and cash flow practice; the procedures in place respect the principle of the separation of functions, ... 1.3. C onsultative bodies - the Joint Treasury Council and the Regional Treasury Council In order to optimise the management of regional and community finances, organisational synergies between Wallonia and the WalloniaBrussels Federation have been established, in particular by the creation of a Joint Treasury Council24 where the strategic approaches to debt and cash flow management are debated, as well as the coordination of community and regional financial policy, the working out of joint management principles and the intensifying of synergies in light of the institutional frameworks. This consultative body is chaired by a representative chosen in common agreement by the Community and Regional Ministers responsible for the Budget and Finances, and is made up of representatives from the Minister Presidents, Vice Presidents and (regional and community) Administrations; the Finance Inspectorate, the Court of Auditors, the external Auditors, and external experts all participate in the meetings of the Council. The Joint Council is composed of a Community Treasury Council25 and a Regional Treasury Council26 which are tasked with assisting their respective government in matters of day-to-day debt management and cash flow management, and with ensuring the implementation of the strategic decisions proposed by the Joint Council, and decided on by the Minister concerned. Cooperation agreement of 19 May 2010 modifying the cooperation agreement of 10 December 2004 establishing a Joint Treasury Council for Wallonia and the Wallonia-Brussels Federation. 24 See also the decree of the Government of the Frenchspeaking Community of 21 January 2005 repealing the decree of the Government of the French-speaking Community of 7 December 1998 establishing the Community Treasury Council. 25 See also the decree of the Walloon Government of 23 December 2004 repealing the decree of the Walloon Government of 10 July 1997 establishing a Regional Treasury Committee (CORET). 26 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 23 2. Debt management 2. Debt management 2.1. Components of the regional debt The regional debt held by the private sector is made up of long-term debt and short-term debt. The various components of the regional debt have evolved as follows (in € million) : 2010 2011 2012 4 555.1 4 984.4 5 459.9 5 563.9 5 985.7 808.0 807.1 797.0 796.5 796.1 5 363.1 5 791.5 6 256.9 6 360.4 6 781.8 Emission de papier commercial en cours (4) 0.0 79.9 0.0 0.0 687.6 Placement de papier commercial en cours (5) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 273.5 228.5 210.7 223.1 458.3 -273.5 -148.6 -210.7 -223.1 229.3 5 089.6 5 642.9 6 046.2 6 137.3 7 011.1 Montant en EUR millions Dette Directe (1) Dette Indirecte (2) Dette à long terme (brute) (3) = (1) + (2) Solde global du compte courant (6) Dette à court terme (7) = (4) - (5) - (6) Dette régionale nette (8) = (3) + (7) 2013 2014 As a reminder, 2013 saw the net regional debt grow by an additional €91.1 million to reach €6,137.3 million as at 31 December 2013, which is an annual increase of 1.51%. Part of this increase is due to a prefinancing in 2013 of the Walloon financing needs for 2014, amounting to ± €211.5 million. 2014 saw an increase in net regional debt of €873.8 million, due to a faster rise in expenditure compared to revenues27. The ESA deficit amounted to €708 million28. This deficit is primarily explained by the balance of the economic regrouping, with the integration of 165 structures within the Walloon zone. This redrawing of the zone follows two rounds of successive reclassifications carried out by the Institute of National Accounts (INA). Full measure should also be taken of the entry into force of ESA 2010 on 1 September 2014 and of the change of rules compared to ESA 95. The implementation rate for expenditure is 98% compared to a typical average of 92.5%. The collection of revenues was smaller, with a rate of 96.7%. 27 The latest balance published by the Institute of National Accounts on 20 April 2016 28 24 In anticipation of the debt report 2015, it can already be confirmed that various mechanisms have been put in place in 2015 to avoid this situation happening again. Permanent monitoring has been carried out to verify whether the objective assigned by the Walloon Government to the entities within the zone has been met. This task has been assigned to a Monitoring Committee which was set up in 2015, and is made up of representatives from the competent administrations, the Finance Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management Inspectorate, the Financial Information Unit (CIF) including the Single Point of Contact (SPOC), and the Fiscal Unit. Chaired by the DGT, it regularly submits a report to the Government on the budgetary situation, and in particular ensures: - the monitoring of revenues (including institutional or related contributions, and tax- and non-tax revenues), the monitoring of their collection and the updating of projections according to the latest available variables; - the monitoring of budget appropriation; - the monitoring of the impact of the ESA on all the organisations included in the zone of budgetary consolidation, as well as the impact of the ESA on all the delegated missions and mechanisms of alternative financing with regards to what the Government has planned within the scope of its budget; - the monitoring of budgetary funds in order to guarantee the impact of the ESA anticipated by the Government within the scope of the drawing up of the budgets; - the monitoring and regular objectivation of outstanding debts; - the monitoring of the salaries of the Civil Service. In terms of controls, it is important to bear in mind that the Walloon Government has a budgetary and financial advisor: the Finance Inspectorate This body works in close collaboration with the Walloon government to draw up and complete the annual budget. On a daily basis, the Inspectorate of Finances advises on all questions referred to it by the Walloon Government, or one of its members, and scrutinises the expenditure made by the Walloon administrative departments. The Walloon Government also has the support of the Financial Information Unit (CIF). The tasks of this unit are the recurrent and occasional conducting of budgetary, accounting and financial analysis. It draws on expertise in matters of public-private partnerships. It advises, provides guidance, draws up and implements monitoring procedures and tools. Since 2014, the CIF is Wallonia’s Single Point of Contact (SPOC) with regards to the Institute of National Accounts. In this context, it is the preferred contact of the institutional units included in the sector of the Walloon public administrations, within the meaning of ESA 2010. Within certain organisations included in the sector S13.12129, the Government has appointed two auditors, who have two primary tasks: a control mission and an information mission. They are tasked with verifying the legality, in other words the conformity of the decisions taken by the management bodies with Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 Public sector units are broken down into different categories. Central administration (S1311), Administration of the federated states (S1312), Local administrations (S1313), Social security administrations (S1314). The Walloon Region is included in category S1312. 29 25 2. Debt management the laws, decrees and orders of the Government, and management contracts, as well as the advisability of the decision, which must be in accordance with the general interest. They are also tasked with keeping the Minister President, the Minister in charge and the Budget Minister informed, via reports. When necessary, the Auditor has the possibility to appeal against any disputed decision. 2.1.1 Long-term debt Long-term debt, whose evolution is shown in the chart below, is made up of direct and indirect debt. Chart 2: Evolution of the long-term debt (in € million) 8000 7000 6000 5000 Indirect Debt 4000 Direct debt 3000 2000 1000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 This chart illustrates the stability, in nominal terms, of long-term debt over the period 2002-2009, followed by a period of expansion in regional long-term debt, observed with a lag effect due to the consequences of the economic and financial crisis. 26 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management The breakdown and evolution of long-term debt is shown in the table below: Evolution of long-term regional debt Year (31/12) Amount in € million Change in the direct debt Change in the indirect debt Total change in € million Total change in % 2001 4.058,20 250.5 -97.3 153.20 3.9 % 2002 4.257,00 299.3 -100.5 198.80 4.9 % 2003 4.295,50 784.1 -745.6 38.50 0.9 % 2004 4.284,00 3.3 -14.8 -11.50 -0.3 % 2005 4.291,00 4.5 2.5 7.00 0.2 % 2006 4.293,60 17.2 -14.6 2.60 0.1 % 2007 4.294,60 6.3 -5.3 1.00 0.0 % 2008 4.219,20 -73.5 -1.9 -75.40 -1.8 % 2009 4.225,60 8.2 -1.8 6.40 0.2 % 2010 5.363,10 1.138.6 -1.1 1.137.50 26.9 % 2011 5.791,50 429.3 -0.9 428.40 8.0 % 2012 6.256,90 485.5 -10.1 465.40 8.0 % 2013 6.360,40 104.0 -0.5 103.50 1.7 % 2014 6 781,80 421,80 -0,40 421,40 6,6 % A. Direct debt Initially, the direct debt represented the total of the historical budget deficits in Wallonia. The re-borrowing of direct debt amortisations does not constitute an increase of the outstanding amounts since this refinancing serves to pay off loans which are falling due. However, two other outstanding amounts have been integrated into the direct debt. Firstly, since the mid-1990s, the refinancing of indirect debt amortisations has been integrated into the indirect debt. Consequently, besides the total of the budget deficits, the current evolution of the outstanding direct debt comprises the re-borrowing of the indirect debt amortisations. Subsequently, on 31 December 2003, Wallonia took over €684.0 million on its own behalf of the outstanding amount which was part of its indirect debt. This «debt assumption» is now part of the direct debt, but did not impact overall debts. It is made up of inherited outstanding debt (97.7% of the steel loan), Local Authority debt (subsidised works, investments in water, abattoirs, industrial zones, sports infrastructure), debt taken on by the Wallonia-Brussels Federation for social action and health (outstanding debts for «health», outstanding debts for «social action», and training for self-employed people), and other Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 27 2. Debt management outstanding debts (a loan from 1986 for the Management Association of the Lacs de l’Eau d’Heure and loans taken out for the protection of waters - production, distribution and purification - over the period 1992 to 1994). B. Indirect debt The indirect debt is the debt which has been contracted by public sector companies and for which Wallonia ensures all or part of the costs. It also includes the transfer of part of the community powers to Wallonia since 1 January 1994. On 31 December 2014, the outstanding amounts of the indirect regional debt amounted to €796.1 million and were essentially made up of the debt of the Public Administration Companies for School Buildings (SPABS), which since 1994 has managed the property assets used for education by the Wallonia-Brussels Federation. 2011 2012 2013 2014 795,35 795,35 795,35 795,35 -- SWCS (loans 1987-1988) 9,29 0 0 0 Corresponding assets as regards Wallonia -- SWDE 2,50 1,69 1,14 0,77 807,14 797,04 796,49 796,12 Amount in € million 1. Loans of which Wallonia pays 100% of the debt service Immovable assets as regards Wallonia -- SPABS 2. Loans of which Wallonia pays a part of the debt service No corresponding assets as regards Wallonia Total indirect debt The scale of this indirect debt should be kept in perspective since the outstanding amount is almost exclusively compensated by financial or property assets which generate revenues. In fact, Wallonia does not pay all of the interest costs but an amount deducted from the return made on these assets. In 2014, no loan re-financing transaction for SPABS was carried out. 28 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management C. Breakdown of the sources of financing The debt management policy carried out by Wallonia aims to minimise its cost of borrowing, and to manage this debt securely. To this end, Wallonia pursues the objective of diversifying its investor base by essentially utilising four different types of financing instruments. Bank loans Bank loans are the first type of financing which Wallonia has utilised since 1992. Wallonia still has a considerable volume of bank loans in its portfolio. In 2014, Wallonia did not conclude any bank loans in the context of direct debt management. Domestic commercial paper programmes30 (short-term, medium-term and long-term) Wallonia has two MTN (Medium Term Notes) programmes which are financing instruments characterised by the existence of a prospectus, in other words a pre-defined legal document which governs the issuance conditions for debt securities issued within the context of these programmes. There are firstly a series of documents which are permanent and can therefore serve as a support for multiple issues and secondly, documents which are specific to each issue and which can be prepared very rapidly. Besides rapid access to capital markets on a continual basis and in line with Wallonia’s cash flow and financing needs, as well as significant flexibility in terms of the characteristics of the securities issued (amount, rate, maturity, etc.), it is also a means of finance which is less expensive than a conventional bond issue, which generally concerns one large amount loaned at one time. The first commercial paper programme was concluded in November 1994 with CGER Banque SA, which became BNP Paribas Fortis in 2009. This programme, which was updated on 2 May 2012, targets maturities from 7 days to 50 years for a total amount of €1,250 million. A second commercial paper programme was launched in November 1996 with Crédit Communal de Belgique SA, which became Belfius Bank SA in June 2012. It enables the issuance of commercial paper for all maturities from one day, for a total amount of €2,500 million. Wallonia has historically had two domestic financing programmes instead of just one, due essentially to the underwriting agreements associated with these programmes. However these programmes have not been renewed since 1 January 2013. Through its two domestic financing programmes, Wallonia utilises fixed-rate, variable-rate and structured rate loans, with or without an underlying hedging structure. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 Commercial paper within the meaning of the Royal Decree of 23 January 1991. 30 29 2. Debt management «Schuldschein» credits In the context of the diversification of its sources of financing, Wallonia utilises issues in book entry form akin to the German «Schuldschein». In doing so, it can benefit from an interesting cost of financing. The «Schuldschein» (or certificate of indebtedness) is a financial instrument under German law which shares certain characteristics with a bond. Although it differs from the latter in that it is not a transferable security, but rather a bilateral credit contract between the issuer and one or more investors. Compared with a conventional loan, a «Schuldschein» ensures a certain liquidity of debts, which like financial securities, circulate between different investors. Compared with a bond issue, it is a transaction which is not the subject of any press release in the market and for which the legal documentation is significantly simplified. The advantage for investors, particularly in the context of historically low rates, is that they can record their debts in the balance sheet according to IFRS standards31 at their nominal value, and can therefore avoid having to adapt them to the market value. Value adjustments as a consequence of the crisis have therefore not impacted their results. Wallonia has developed standardised «Schuldschein» format legal documentation so as to be more responsive and guarantee rapid access to the market. As shown in the table below, Wallonia borrowed €193 million in 2014 in the form of «Schuldschein» with an average weighted duration of 22.49 years: Nominal amount Duration (years) Rate after possible swap Final maturity after possible swap €12,000,000.00 20 Fixed-rate at 3.340% 20/02/2034 €30,000,000.00 50 Fixed-rate at 3.650% 13/03/2064 €50,000,000.00 25 Fixed-rate at 2.775% 29/09/2039 €50,000,000.00 10 Fixed-rate at 1.619% 8/10/2024 €35,000,000.00 12 Fixed-rate at 1.810% 8/10/2026 €16,000,000.00 27 Fixed-rate at 2.631% 22/03/2041 IFRS: International Financial Reporting Standards 31 30 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management EMTN financing programme (Euro Medium Term Note) In accordance with its desire to diversify its investor base, Wallonia implemented an EMTN (Euro Medium Term Note) programme worth €2.0 billion with BNP Paribas Fortis and ING Bank on 2 May 2012. Besides these two arrangers, other dealers in this programme are Barclays, Belfius Bank, CBC Bank, Deutsche Bank, HSBC France and KBC Bank. When this programme was updated on 25 June 2013, the ceiling was increased to €2.5 billion. This programme enables Wallonia to increase its visibility on financial markets and extend its investor base thanks to documentation drawn up according to standards which are recognised by investors at the international level. It has obtained a «Senior Unsecured (P) A1» rating from Moody’s. On the basis of this programme, Wallonia can also diversify its financing instruments by having the possibility to launch a public issue (a benchmark), which is among the financing options earmarked for the coming years. 2014 was characterised by the following transactions for a total amount of €305 million and an average weighted duration of 23.59 years. Nominal amount Duration (years) Rate after possible swap Final maturity after possible swap €25,000,000.00 30 Fixed-rate at 3.450% 7/04/2044 €35,000,000.00 40 Fixed-rate at 3.400% 12/05/2054 €30,000,000.00 15.5 Fixed-rate at 2.210% 8/04/2030 €10,000,000.00 30 Fixed-rate at 2.650% 7/11/2044 €100,000,000.00 19 Fixed-rate at 2.000% 12/12/2033 €10,000,000.00 8 Euribor 03 M + 30 BP 12/12/2022 €70,000,000.00 30 Fixed-rate at 2.412% 12/12/2044 €25,000,000.00 8 Fixed-rate at 0.977% 9/12/2022 €305,000,000.00 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 31 2. Debt management The chart below shows in detail the breakdown of the different types of loans of long-term debt. Chart 3: Breakdown of the sources of financing of the long-term regional debt (€ million) – Evolution from 31 December 2013 to 31 December 2014. Long-term regional debt as at 31/12/2013 (€ 6,360.4 millions) Medium Term Notes 18 % 12 % 28 % Bank loans Standalone Commercial paper associated with a derivative Schuldschein 22 % 9% Euro Medium Term Notes 11 % Long-term regional debt as at 31/12/2014 (€ 6,781.9 millions) Medium Term Notes 15 % 16 % 25 % Bank loans Standalone Commercial paper associated with a derivative 24 % 8% 12 % Schuldschein Euro Medium Term Notes Wallonia utilises various financing instruments which allow it to diversify its investor base and gradually reduce its dependence on bank loans, in favour of bond issues. In 2014, bank loans only represented one quarter of the long-term regional debt compared to more than half for bond issues (51%). Issues under the EMTN programme, which as a reminder were created in May 2012, already represent 16%. 32 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2.1.2 Short-term debt 2. Debt management From the moment it acquired financial autonomy (1 January 1991 pursuant to article 52 of the SLF of 16 January 1989 on the financing of the Communities and Regions), Wallonia has been able to implement the automated management of its revenues and expenditure. This prelude significantly facilitated the effective management of the regional financial flows. Other essential aspects also form the framework within which Wallonia carries out its management policy concerning liquidities: • perfect visibility with regard to revenue flows; • an ever more precise configuration of the expenditure flows; • the centralisation of all financial flows within one cashier; • t he implementation of domestic commercial paper programmes and cash credit facilities. hese fundamental characteristics have allowed new financial flows to T be integrated without major difficulty, as a result of the Saint-Quentin and Saint Polycarpe agreements. A. Overall cash balance The regional cash flow regroups all of the financial accounts, in which the revenues and expenditure of the entity are recorded. In this respect, the cash flows reflect the carrying out of budgetary and nonbudgetary movements, such as transactions on behalf of third parties and especially capital transactions of the regional debt (loans and amortisations). From 1 January 1991 onwards, given the new powers transferred from the Federal Government to the federated entities, Wallonia chose a cashier with whom cash management is centralised, and who ensures among other things, the carrying out of its transactions. All accounts opened by Wallonia with its cashier (Belfius Bank SA) have their balances consolidated on a daily basis in order to determine an overall cash balance, which constitutes a Walloon current account or «overall regional position». B. Description of revenues and expenditure Revenues In 2014, €7,744,126,000 (including the specific section) was booked in the Revenue budget. Since 1 January 2013 and pursuant to the decree of 15 December 2011 pertaining to the organisation of the budget and accounting of the Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 33 2. Debt management Departments of the Walloon Government, the revenues of the Walloon Public Service are booked on the basis of established entitlements in the financial year. From these revenues, €2,557,541,000 was assigned to tax revenues and represent 33% of these. The general non-tax revenues amounted to €4,640,721,000 and represent 60% of the total revenues. An amount of €342,720,000 was assigned to the category of specific policy revenue (funds relating to the environment, energy, roads and motorways, etc.), in other words 4% of the total revenues. Finally, €203,144,000 was assigned to the revenues of the specific sections which represents 3% of the total revenues. The revenues collected in 2014 are broken down as follows: Nature of the revenues Total amount of revenues (established entitlements) (in €) Current revenues Capital revenues Tax revenues 1,756,916,000 General non-tax revenues 4,137,023,000 800,625,000 292,852,000 49,868,000 Specific section revenues 203,144,000 0 6,389,935,000 Total revenues 0 2,557,541,000 3,698,000 500,000,000 4,640,721,000 Specific revenues TOTAL Loan 342,720,000 0 203,144,000 854,191,000 500,000,000 7,744,126,000 The chart below shows the breakdown of Walloon revenues in 2014 from the perspective of established entitlements. Chart 4: Walloon revenues in 2014 (€ 7,744.1 million) 3% 4% 33 % Taxes revenues General non-tax revenues Specific revenues 60 % 34 Specific section revenues Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management This chart illustrates in particular Wallonia’s high degree of fiscal autonomy, for which 33% of revenues stemmed from regional taxes in 2014. Expenditure The breakdown per large masses of expenditure into means of action in Wallonia in 2014 appears as follows: • l ocal authorities (Municipal Fund, Provincial Fund, etc.), social action and health represent 32% of the total amount of expenditure; • e xpenditure pertaining to businesses, employment, training and research makes up the second largest sector (26% of the total amount of expenditure); • t he mass of expenditure allocated to mobility and waterways (10%), as well as to roads and buildings (7%) represents 17% of the total amount of expenditure; • u rban development, housing and patrimony management and energy management represent 8% of the total amount of expenditure; • e xpenditure relating to agriculture, the management of natural resources and the environment represent 6% of the total amount of expenditure; • e xpenditure related to the Parliament, Government departments and the administration represent 5% of the total amount of expenditure; • e xpenditure related to the budget, logistics and information and communication technologies represent 5% of the total amount of expenditure; • T he categories for tax, European co-financing, inter-departmental provision for the Marshall Plan and the specific sections represent 1% of the total amount of expenditure. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 35 2. Debt management Chart 5 : Walloon expenditure in 2014 Expenditure recorded as at 31/12/2014 (€ 7,956.6 millons) 5% 5% 1% Parliament, government departments, administration, etc. 7% 10 % 6% 26 % Budget, logistics and information and communication technologies Roads and buildings Mobility and waterways 8% Agriculture, natural resources and the environment 32 % Urban development, housing, patrimony and energy Local powers, social action and health Businesses, employment and research Special sections Concerning the expenditure related to the Marshall Plan, this is integrated within the expenditure of the Operational Directorates General. For information, the amount assigned to the Marshall Plan amounted to €439,082,000 in 2014. % Parliament, government departments, administration, etc. 5% 397,855,354.7 Budget, logistics and information and communication technologies 5% 399,557,525.99 Roads and buildings 7% 536,316,949.02 10 % 763,327,300.72 Agriculture, natural resources and the environment 6% 462,028,662.61 Urban development, housing, patrimony and energy 8% 612,399,095.52 Mobility and waterways Local authorities, social action and health 32 % 2,559,953,248.07 Businesses, employment and research 26% 2,097,636,330.85 Tax 0.0 % 22,033,881.16 European co-financing 0.0 % 1,621,808.48 Specific sections 1.0% 103,872,061.01 Total 36 Amont (in EUR) 100.0% 7,956,602,218.13 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management C. Financial centralisation On 19 October 2002, during the budgetary conclave, the Walloon Government adopted the principle of the financial centralisation of the treasuries of Walloon PIOs, without the creation of a new legal structure. This decision was transcribed in the form of a decree on 19 December 200232. In accordance with the provisions of the decrees of 19 December 2002, the Walloon Government drafts an annual report for the Walloon Parliament on the policy carried out in matters of cash flow management and debt management in the Walloon Region. This report is submitted to the Walloon Parliament, at the latest on 30 June of the year following the financial year in question. The decrees implementing these decrees were adopted by the Walloon Government on 16 January 200333 A ministerial circular letter of 26 March 2003, modified on 2 May 2012, specifies the terms of implementation of the centralisation: management of accounts, cash flow forecasts, reporting, etc. However, the budgetary decree containing the general expenditure budget for the budget year 2014 (article 40) extended the scope of the decrees of 19 December 2002 to the following PIOs: the General Tourism Commission, the Spa Francorchamps Circuit SA, SOWAFINAL, SOWALFIN for the resources granted within the scope of the Marshall Plan 2.Vert, IWEPS, the School for Public Administration jointly controlled by the Wallonia-Brussels Federation and the Walloon Region, and the non-profit organisation Les Lacs de l’Eau d’Heure. In the extension of these provisions, the psychiatric hospital ‘le Chêne aux Haies’ was removed from the centralisation. The centralisation anticipated that the para-regional organisations included in the decrees of 19 December 2002 and the changes made by the budgetary decrees, would open their financial accounts with the designated centralising cashier, and deposit all of their assets there. The transfer of the assets of these organisations became effective on 31 March 2003. The principle of this centralisation is to merge, in terms of amounts and value date, all the balances of all the accounts of the Walloon Region and the designated organisations. This pooling determines a net cash position and is realised by the centralising cashier, in other words the banking institution appointed by the Government. In order to maximise the efficiency of this centralised management, all the forecasts for short-term, medium-term and long-term cash flow are produced by the departments of the Region and the designated organisations. These cash flow forecasts are merged in terms of the value date and enable dynamic cash flow management by the Region. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 Decree of 19 December 2002 establishing the financial centralisation of Walloon PIOs whose missions relate to the matters referred to in articles 127 and 128 of the Constitution 32 Walloon Government decree of 16 January 2003 pertaining to the management terms of the financial centralisation of the treasuries of Walloon Public Interest Organisations whose missions relate to the matters referred to in articles 127 and 128 of the Constitution. 33 37 2. Debt management The alphabetic list of the Walloon PIOs participating in this centralisation in 2014 is the following: APAQ-W, ASE34, AST35, AWAC, AWEX, AWIPH, AWT36, CGT, CRAC, CRA-W, FOREM, IFAPME, IPW, ISF, ISSeP, IWEPS, les Marronniers, OWD, RWAEI, RWEAP, SOFICO37, SOGEPA, SOWAER, SOWAFINAL, SOWALFIN, SPAQUE, SRWT, SWCS, SWL and WBT. On 31 December 2014, the centralisation regrouped 276 accounts spread across the 29 organisations indicated above. The contribution of the Public Interest Organisations regularly increased from the implementation of the cash flow centralisation up until 2013. In 2014, it fell slightly to €1.248 billion at the end of 2014. In fact, in 2014, the contribution of the Public Interest Organisations was – €163.7 million compared to 2013. This reduction is explained by the fact that the CRAC and SOWAFINAL contributed less in 2014 following various decisions of the Government. Chart 6: Contribution of the Public Interest Organisations after the treasury centralisation (in €) 1 600 000 1 400 000 1 200 000 1 000 000 800 000 600 000 The ASE and AST merged to become the AEI, created by decree on 28 November 2013 and incorporated on 21 November 2014. 34 The ASE and AST merged to become the AEI, created by decree on 28 November 2013 and incorporated on 21 November 2014. 35 AWT became the ‘Agence du Numérique (subsidiary of the AEI), incorporated on 8 January 2015. 36 400 000 200 000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 contributions of the PIOs (in €) These contributions, ranked in descending order of size, are shown in the following table: The transit account of the SOFICO was included in the ‘merger’ of the regional accounts, even before the enactment of the cash flow centralisation, and is therefore not included in the «centralisation» tables. dans les tableaux «centralisation». 37 38 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 Organisation Average contribution Share of the total average contribution Cumulative contribution 22.974% 322.97% 352,360,354.78 Contribution as at 31.12.2014 (in €) CRAC (in €) 356,567,441.95 SWL 262.639.748,42 16.922% 39.90% 327,488,986.46 AWIPH 206,629,399.79 13.314% 53.21% 19,981,252.55 FOREM 166,419,437.41 10.723% 63.93% 87,052,270.10 SPAQUE 116,826,236.07 7.527% 71.46% 99,232,122.75 SWCS 98.574.960,86 6.351% 77.81% 89,284,791.28 SOGEPA 62.882.791,12 4.052% 81.86% 42,396,479.30 SOWAFINAL 56.157.404,28 3.618% 85.48% 39,770,347.37 IFAPME 40,857,675.42 2.633% 88.11% 33,470,335.29 SRWT 38.769.816,88 2.498% 90.61% 8,285,493.15 CGT 31.011.053,37 1.998% 92.61% 23,388,302.54 CRA-W 18.631.158,85 1.200% 93.81% 21,596,829.96 AWAC 17.765.279,16 1.145% 94.96% 16,538,864.34 AWEX 14,673,137.41 0.945% 95.90% 15,276,025.67 MARRONNIERS 12.771.983,90 0.823% 96.72% 14,825,163.74 IWEPS 11,245,293.18 0.725% 97.45% 9,650,534.36 SOWAER 10,690,668.48 0.689% 98.14% 19,078,849.22 ASE 9.693.633,79 0.625% 98.76% 8,818,798.70 APAQ-W 5.563.338,47 0.358% 99.12% 4,370,174.68 AST 3,146,838.92 0.203% 99.32% 4,077,011.57 OWD 2,651,323.38 0.171% 99.49% 1,593,823.88 SOWALFIN 2.437.604,60 0.157% 99.65% 2,078,501.00 ISSEP 2,154,703.99 0.139% 99.79% 4,837,332.16 RWEAP 1,544,702.91 0.100% 99.89% 2,190,971.36 WBT 973,906.78 0.063% 99.95% 848,078.12 ISF/CIRCSA 965,344.66 0.062% 100.01% 949,252.36 AWT 175,520.93 0.011% 100.03% 249,283.09 16,657.53 0.001% 100.03% 160,000.00 -411,371.39 -0.027% 100.00% -1,878,196.72 1,552,025,691.15 100.00% RWAEI IPW TOTAL 2. Debt management Table 1. Average contribution of the PIOs following the treasury centralisation in 2014 (in %) 1,247,872,033.06 The average contribution of the CRAC represents slightly less than 23% of the total, equating to an average contribution of €356 million. The other main contributors are the SWL, AWIPH, FOREM, SPAQUE, SWCS, SOGEPA and SOWAFINAL with average contributions higher than €50 million. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 39 2. Debt management Chart 7 Average contribution of the PIOs to the centralisation The following chart illustrates the breakdown between the different contributors to the centralisation: Average contribution of the PIOs to the treasury centralisation in 2014 CRAC 23 % OTHERS 18 % SWL 17 % SOGEPA 4% SWCS 6% SPAQUE 8% FOREM 11 % AWIPH 13 % From this chart, it can be observed that seven PIOs (out of twenty nine) contribute around 82% to the financial centralisation. Since 1 January 2013, the interest rate conditions applied to Wallonia’s current account by its cashier refer to the monthly arithmetic mean of the EURIBOR 1 week rate (base 360), increased by a margin for credit interest and reduced by a margin for debit interest. 40 Abréviation Dénomination complète APAQ-W Agence wallonne pour la Promotion d’une Agriculture de Qualité ASE Agence de Stimulation Economique AST Agence de Stimulation Technologique AWAC Agence Wallonne Air Climat AWEX Agence Wallonne à l’Exportation AWIPH Agence Wallonne pour l’Intégration des Personnes Handicapées AWT Agence Wallonne des Télécommunications CGT Commissariat Général au Tourisme CRAC Centre Régional d’Aide aux Communes CRA-W Centre wallon de Recherches Agronomiques FOREm Office Wallon de la Formation professionnelle et de l’Emploi IFAPME Institut wallon de Formation en Alternance et des Indépendants et Petites et Moyennes Entreprises IPW Institut du Patrimoine Wallon Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 Institut du Patrimoine Wallon ISF Association intercommunale pour l’exploitation du Circuit de Spa Francorchamps ISSeP Institut Scientifique de Service Public IWEPS Institut Wallon de l’Evaluation, de la Prospective et de la Statistique Les Marronniers Centre Hospitalier psychiatrique OWD - DSD Office régional Wallon des Déchets RWEAP Ecole d’Administration Publique commune à la Communauté et à la Région wallonne SOFICO Société wallonne de Financement Complémentaire des Infrastructures SOGEPA Société wallonne de Gestion et de Participation SOWAER Société Wallonne des Aéroports SOWAFINAL Rénovation et revitalisation urbaine et SAED SOWALFIN Société wallonne de Financement et de Garantie des PME SPAQUE Société Publique d’Aide à la Qualité de l’Environnement SRWT Société Régionale Wallonne du Transport SWCS Société Wallonne du Crédit Social SWL Société Wallonne du Logement WBT Wallonie Bruxelles Tourisme 2. Debt management IPW D. Cash flow cycle In the context of active cash flow management, it is interesting to isolate the annual cycle in order to analyse the evolution of the daily overall position of all the accounts integrated into the centralisation, and to determine the differences between the rhythms of revenue collection and expenditure. It is important to reiterate here that the SLF stipulates the payment terms of the financial resources transferred to Wallonia by the Treasury of the FPS Finances. Besides the terms which govern the frequency of the resources transferred, the amount of these resources is also predetermined by the mechanisms of the SLF and the decree assigning certain powers from the Wallonia-Brussels Federation to Wallonia. Wallonia’s cash flows are therefore characterised by a high degree of revenue predictability thanks to prior knowledge of the terms of settlement, both regarding the amounts and the collection rhythms of most of the resources. For example, the share assigned from the Personal Income Tax transferred by the Federal State is paid monthly at the rate of one-twelfth of the budgeted amount, in accordance with the SLF. This method of payment is also applied for the payment of resources made by the Wallonia-Brussels Federation. Concerning the Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 41 2. Debt management drawing rights paid by FPS Employment, Labour and Social Dialogue, these are paid every quarter at a rate of one quarter of the budgeted amount. As for the collection of regional taxes, they are also expressed in monthly terms, but there may be fluctuations with regard to the budgeted amounts. As for cash outs, these can be split into two categories: • programmed expenditure for which the amounts and dates of disbursement are pre-determined. The programming is calculated on the basis of budgetary data (amounts) and legal, decretal, regulatory or conventional norms (payment dates) This programming is the subject of periodic adjustments with regard to the budgetary amendments which take place during the course of the financial year, and the actual expenditure made; • miscellaneous expenditure represents a little more than one third of all expenditure. These have a significantly more random disbursement rhythm and are monitored by the Finance Directorate. The statistics obtained enable the effects of volatility to be limited in terms of cash flow management. The flows of revenues and expenditure are illustrated in the chart below: Chart 8: Evolution of Wallonia’s monthly revenues and expenditure in 2014 (in €). 1 200 000 000.00 1 000 000 000.00 800 000 000.00 600 000 000.00 400 000 000.00 REVENUES EXPENDITURE 200 000 000.00 0.00 MANAGEMENT TRANSACTIONS (Δ) -200 000 000.00 -400 000 000.00 -600 000 000.00 The following chart shows the actual regional cash flow cycle for 2014, which includes the revenues, expenditure and the management transactions (financial flows related to the loans and investments concluded by the Walloon Region). The expenditure peaks are mainly due to the settlement of the annual contribution to the AWIPH at the start of the year, and to the payment 42 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management made at the end of year to the Municipal Fund and the Provincial Fund. In December, during the annual closing of accounts, the treasurers make the final payments on the basis of the invoices sent by the service providers working with the Walloon Region. Concerning the revenues, recorded in December, the peak is explained by the collections made in November and December (additional percentages to the PIT and the contributions transferred from the FPS Finance). In fact, the collections of the month N are always booked in the following month, except for December. Chart 9 - Daily evolution of the regional cash flow in 2014 (in €) 1 500 000.00 1 000 000.00 500 000.00 Walloon Region -500 000.00 Walloon Region+OIP -1 000 000.00 -1 500 000.00 -2 000 000.00 -2 500 000.00 The general form of the cash flow curve is explained by the fact that Wallonia’s biggest expenses generally occur at the end of the month, whereas the majority of its revenues are collected at the start of the month. It can also be observed that Wallonia’s cash flow balances show negative values all throughout the year. The contribution of the Public Interest Organisations enables the situation to be redressed and limits the need to make cash borrowings. On 31 December 2014, the impact of the cash contributions of the Public Interest Organisations amounted to €1.248 billion, establishing the balance of the overall consolidated position at €458.3 million (see table on page 39). E. Deficit and surplus management The net cash balance creates a credit or debit situation for the regional cash flow on a daily basis, and as such generates credit interest or debit interest calculated on a monthly basis by the cashier. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 43 2. Debt management Surpluses Until 23 December 1995, Wallonia was subject to ordinary tax law in matters of investment; it was therefore liable for withholding tax on every kind of investment. It was therefore a matter of searching for investments which offered the highest gross rate of return, for the level of risk accepted, in such a way to maximise the net return, compared with the gross monthly rate offered for assets in the current account. Since this date, Wallonia is exempted from the withholding tax if it invests its surplus cash in book-entry securities of the Public Authorities. Wallonia’s other investments remain subjected to the rules of ordinary tax law. In 2014, no less than 182 investment transactions were carried out in commercial paper essentially from public administrations (BrusselsCapital Region, Provinces, Towns, Public Centres for Social Welfare, etc.) but also from the academy of the UCL. Their nominal amount was €1,152.02 million for an average duration of 30 days (with a total return of €319,830). Deficits In the event of a debit balance, arbitrage is carried out between the conditions of Wallonia’s current account and those pertaining to the issuance of short-term commercial paper or fixed-rate advances. As such, Wallonia has two commercial paper programmes38 which allow it to cover its cash requirements. 2.2. Secured debt 2.2.1 Senior guarantees On the basis of a series of powers given by the Parliament, the Government can grant a regional guarantee on financial assets and liabilities. In these circumstances, the Government issues the regional guarantee to financing (conventional credit, credit lines, etc.), on the basis of the authorisations provided by the decree. The decretal authorisation most commonly used is the decree containing the general expenditure budget which includes all the authorisations which can be issued by the Government for the year in question. These authorisations anticipate a maximum amount of regional guarantee for each organisation, valid for one year due to the annual character of the general expenditure budget. For more details on these programmes, refer to section 2.1.1 «Long-term debt» in point C «Breakdown of the sources of financing». 38 44 When the guarantee is issued, it represents a commitment whereby the Government grants security to an organisation whose activities it wants to facilitate, by unconditionally and irrevocably guaranteeing the lender(s) that it will reimburse the capital and/or the interest in the event that the organisation is in default. In these circumstances, as we Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management will see below, the main beneficiaries are the housing companies. In fact, the policy carried out by the Government in this area is to limit as much as possible the rates of social mortgage loans, in order to facilitate access to them as much as possible and guarantee housing for all. The issuance of the guarantee is subject to a procedure in which the Finance Directorate is involved, at every stage of the decision (examination of the special specifications, launch of the invitation to tender, technical report to the Budget Minister and awarding of the contract). Furthermore, a report is made to the Finance Inspectorate at the end of the procedure. To date, the guarantee has not been called upon. If an entity is in difficulty and sees no way of paying back the interest and/or capital of the relevant loans, a mechanism is activated. At the end of this mechanism, which is only activated in extreme cases, and when all other alternatives have been exhausted and no other solution can be found, the guarantee will be called upon. In this scenario, the Walloon Region is urged to take on the debt on the decision of the Walloon Government. At this point, the debt, referred to as ‘secured’, is activated for an amount to be determined depending on the entity, its financial situation (assets/liabilities), the existing Government Orders, and any other variable to take into account. The secured debt does not therefore commit all the entities concerned since the call for guarantee will only concern one specific entity and will not affect any of the other entities. The call for guarantee is a concept which implies that each dossier is handled on a case by case basis. It should be specified that the granting of regional guarantees has virtually no impact on the budget. In terms of expenditure, the granting of the guarantee does not entail any additional expenditure. In terms of revenues, the Region does not currently apply any remuneration mechanism to organisations contributing to the public interest. Only guarantees granted to private organisations are accompanied with remuneration, as well as the specific case of hospital centres39. On 31 December 2014, the overall outstanding amount of senior guarantees granted by Wallonia amounted to €6,946.9 million and was broken down in the following manner: Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 Cf : Order of the Walloon Government modifying the decree of the Walloon Government of 30 April 2009 stipulating the conditions and terms according to which the guarantee of the Walloon Government can be granted to loans for the financing of transactions http://www.ejustice.just. fgov.be/cgi/article_body. pl?language=fr&caller=su mmary&pub_date=14-0512&numac=2014202975 39 45 2. Debt management Chart 10: Breakdown per guaranteed entity of the outstanding amount of the secured debt as at 31 December 2014. Secured debt - outstanding amount as at 31/12/14 1% 1% CIW 3% 11 % CRAC 5% 3% 70 % Ecetia FIWAPAC S.A. 4% The Walloon Company for the Supplementary Financing of Infrastructure (SOFICO) 2% Walloon Airports Company (SOWAER) Walloon Regional Transport Company (SRWT) Agriculture Sector (FIA, AIDA, ISA) Social housing (FLFNW, SWCS, SWL) Chart 11: Breakdown per sector of the outstanding amount of the senior secured debt as at 31 December 2014 (€6,946.9 million) Senior secured debt - breakdown of the outstanding amount per sector 41 % Public sector Social housing Underlying assets Other Economic Agricultural sector 3% 4% 1% 48 % 2% 5% The three main organisations which benefit from the regional guarantee are the Walloon Company for Social Credit (€2,608.1 million), the Walloon Housing Company (€1,444.9 million) and the Walloon Housing Fund for Large Families (€802.4 million). Together, these three companies make up almost 70% of the total regional secured debt, or €4,855.4 million. With the implementation of ESA 2010 which began in September 2014, methodological changes came into play for which the effects will be felt in 2015 (see annex) 40 46 Following the regionalisation of housing competence and the dissolution of the national housing bodies in 2003, the mission and the role of the regional housing companies have expanded considerably. Following this dissolution, the Walloon social housing landscape was significantly changed with the appearance of regional actors tasked with the implementation of the housing policy within the Walloon territory40. As a result the main actors in the sector are: Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management 1. The Walloon Company for Social Credit, and its social credit counters, which plays the role of a mortgage issuing company by facilitating access to mortgage loans at a floor rate for people in difficulty; 2. The Walloon Housing Company, which manages housing stock made up of numerous property assets, together with the Public Service Housing Companies. This management includes the acquisition of new properties as well as the renting out of social housing, social-assimilated housing, transit housing and infill housing; 3. The Walloon Housing Fund for Large Families which has a similar mission and function to the Walloon Housing Company but has a more specific target group, namely large families; 4. The Fund for the amortisation of loans for social housing, which was created with the transfer of powers from the Federal State to the Regions. This historical fund has a debt obligation which was transferred from the Federal State to Wallonia, amounting to €790 million, an amount which was not paid back at the time of the transfer by the regional housing companies; 5. the pool of all the centralised current accounts of the regional housing companies which includes all of the historical subsidy surpluses as well as the historical balances of all the non-utilised loans, which amounted to €416.8 million as at 31 December 2014. The table below illustrates the positive evolution of the balance of all the centralised current accounts of the regional housing companies. Amount in € million Balance of the centralised accounts of the regional housing companies 200920102011201220132014 222,0170,8212,9326,7384,8416,8 Following the example of other centralised organisations, the Government controls the implementation of the budget of these organisations and therefore the utilisation of these centralised surplus funds. In fact, the Government is free to choose how to reallocate these funds, making it a veritable liquidity reserve. The checks carried out by the Government on these companies (in particular via its Auditors), the obligation for the three companies to achieve a balanced account, the low default rate, all of the security mechanisms put in place, the portfolio of mortgages and real guarantees as well as the value of the property assets all mean that the housing sector is deemed to be low-risk. To date, the senior regional guarantees have not been exercised. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 47 2. Debt management Agricultural guarantees The regional guarantee can be granted by the Walloon Government for loans taken out by farmers and agricultural companies for investments or working capital in agriculture and horticulture, in the context of the Agricultural Investment Fund (FIA), Investment Aid for Agricultural Development (AIDA) and Investment Aid for the Agricultural Sector (ISA). The management of these guarantees falls under the Operational Directorate General for agriculture, natural resources and the environment (DGO3). On 31 December 2014, the outstanding amounts of guarantees in the agricultural sector was €148.2 million. 2.2.2 Junior guarantees The economic expansion laws and performance guarantees are included in the junior guarantees. Performance guarantees The performance guarantee allows borrowers who do not have sufficient personal funds to benefit from a loan. In the context of social mortgages or similar products (youth loans/springboard loans), the Walloon Region undertakes to intervene in the loss incurred by the lending organisation for the part of the loan exceeding 70% of the current value of the house. The intervention of the guarantee only takes place after the «sale of the mortgaged property». Borrowers pay into the solidarity fund by making a one-off contribution of 0.2% on the loaned amount, from 1 January 2005 onwards. Only certain organisations are authorised to make the request: The Walloon Company for Social Credit (SWCS), the Counters of Social Credit, the Walloon Housing Fund for Large Families (FLFNW), and the entities of the Fund for the Reduction of the Overall Cost of Energy (FRCE). The balance of the guaranteed amounts has been in continual decline since 2010, amounting to €760.14 million as at 31 December 2014 (compared to €801.57 million in 2013). Private banks can no longer call on the advantages of the performance guarantee; this is one of the explanations for the decline. 48 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management Economic expansion laws The economic expansion law is governed by the order of the Walloon Government of 30 December 1970. This decree was modified by the decree of 22 January 1998. Pursuant to the decree of the Walloon Government of 18 December 2003, the Walloon Region agreed to a loan of €5.3 million by DEXIA BANK SA to the S.C.R.L.F.S Parc d’Aventures Scientifiques (Scientific Adventure Park) at Frameries, for which the outstanding balance due on 31 December 2014 is €2.31 million. On 28 May 2001, the Walloon Government agreed to uphold the regional guarantee on the loan approved for SONACA SA at Gosselies by FORTIS for the financing of NRC EMBRAER SOCAMAERO amounting to one billion Belgian francs. The outstanding balance due on 31 December 2014 is €11.61 million. The outstanding amount of the guarantee granted by the Walloon Region for the economic expansion laws amounted to €13.92 million on 31 December 2014. 2.3. Consolidated gross debt Maastricht concept 2.3.1 Transition from ESA 95 to ESA 2010 2.3.1.1. Treaty of Maastricht The Treaty on the European Union, signed at Maastricht on 7 February 1992, entered into force on 1 November 1993. The historical context at the time led to a desire to strengthen the international position of the Community. The Member States expressed their wish to extend the progress achieved by the Single European Act through other reforms.. The Treaty of Maastricht had the objective of: • Strengthening the democratic legitimacy of the institutions; • Improving the efficiency of the institutions; • Establishing economic and monetary union; • Developing the social dimension of the Community; • Establishing a common foreign and security policy. Convergence criteria of the Treaty of Maastricht41: During the second phase of economic and monetary union (1 January 1994 - 31 December 1998), significant efforts were made to achieve convergence of the economies of Member States. Four measurement criteria were laid down in the Treaty of Maastricht, in December 1991: Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 https://www.nbb.be/fr/ la-banque-nationale/missions-et-activites/politiquemonetaire-europeenne/ cadre-institutionnel-de-l-0 41 49 2. Debt management • Low inflation. The average inflation rate observed during the course of one year before the examination of the entry of a country may not exceed by more than 1.5% the average of the rates of the three Member States demonstrating the best results in terms of price stability. • Sound public finances. The public deficit may not be higher than 3% of the gross domestic product (GDP) and public debt may not exceed 60% of GDP, unless if it reduces sufficiently and approaches the reference value at a satisfactory pace. This last criteria is therefore more flexible and is subject to broader discretion. • Stable exchange rates. Candidate countries must have respected the normal fluctuation margins anticipated by the Exchange Rate Mechanism of the European Monetary System for at least two years and must not have devalued their currency in relation to that of another Member State. • Low interest rates. During the year preceding the evaluation, the average long-term interest rate may not exceed by more than 2% that of the three Member States demonstrating the best results in terms of price stability. 2.3.1.2. ESA 95 ESA 95 (European System of Accounts) was the common accounting standard used following the Treaty of Maastricht to ensure Member States’ compliance with the European convergence criteria, particularly in terms of public debt. It was an accounting framework adapted to the federal, regional and community finances42. ESA 95 (and SCN 93) was an integral system of accounts reflecting the patrimony of the resident institutional units by transactions in goods and services, distribution transactions, financial transactions and other changes in assets. The basic principles were used to achieve an integrated system with regard to categorisations, identities, conventions and various regulations43. http://www.iev.be/ getattachment/0aacdbc56bed-474d-898f2 1 e 5 8 b 6 b d f 5 2 / L%E2%80%99applicationdes-normes-sec-95-auxpouvoirs-locau.aspx 42 https://www.nbb.be/doc/ dq/f_method/m_nfdc98.pdf 43 50 Before reviewing the changes implicated by ESA 2010, it should be remembered that in April 2014, within the scope of ESA 95, a tightening of the criteria entailed an enlargement of the perimeter of public administrations. For the Walloon region, the result of this change was reflected in the integration of the debts of the SWL, SOWAER, SOWALFINAL and CRAC within the public debt. 2.3.1.3. ESA 2010: progressive implementation In June 2012, the Commission (Eurostat) set up a task force to study the implications of Directive 2011/85/EU on the collection and dissemination of fiscal data, which focused on the implementation Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management of requirements in terms of contingent liabilities and other relevant information likely to have a potentially high impact on public budgets, including public guarantees, the liabilities of public companies, publicprivate partnerships (PPP), non-performing loans and the shareholding of public authorities in the capital of companies. The complete implementation of the result of the work of this task force would make a contribution to the proper analysis of the economic relations which lie behind PPP contracts, in particular and if applicable, the risks associated with construction, availability and demand, and the inclusion of off-balance sheet implicit debts of PPPs, strengthening in this way the transparency and reliability of debt statistics. On 1 September 2014, the national accounts of the Member States of the European Union (EU) had to adapt to the new European accounting system: ESA 2010. This is the updated version of ESA 95. From an overall perspective, the general structure of accounts remains unchanged. However, improvements were made in particular in the clarification and thoroughness of concepts, definitions and classifications, as well as in accounting standards. These changes were essential in order to enable the coherence, reliability and comparability of the statistical descriptions of the different economies of all Member States of the European Union. ESA 2010 provides for: a) a methodology pertaining to the common standards, definitions, nomenclature and accounting rules, intended to facilitate the drawing up of accounts and tables on a comparative basis for the needs of the Union, as well as results according to the anticipated terms; b) a programme defining the time scales within which Member States must transmit the accounts and tables to the Commission (Eurostat) to be drawn up in compliance with the methodology specified in point a) above. It is expected that ESA 2010 will gradually replace all other systems as the reference framework for common standards, definitions, nomenclatures and accounting rules, intended for the drawing up of Member States’ accounts for the needs of the Union, thus enabling comparable results between Member States to be obtained.44 2.3.2. Consolidated gross debt of the Walloon Region zone: Maastricht concept The consolidated gross debt comprises: • Short-term direct debt (<1 year) and long-term direct debt (>1 year); • Indirect debt comprising in particular: financial leasings, delegated missions, alternative financing, investments, housing companies, etc.; Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 (14) : http://eur-lex.europa. eu/legal-content/FR/TX 44 T/?uri=CELEX:32013R0549 51 2. Debt management It is calculated on the basis of the following data1:45 : Dette brute dont : instruments financiers non repris dans la dette brute consolidée (1) (2) Actifs financiers (3) dont : placés auprès des administrations publiques (4) Actifs financiers Dette brute consolidée (Définition Maastricht) (5)=(1)-(3) (6)=(1)-(2)-(4) These are the figures published by the INA for the notice of September 2015 pertaining to the debt of the Walloon Region as at 31 December 2014: • Direct debt: •Long-term= €5,961,851,000 •Shortterm= €1,507,730,000 • Indirect debt: •ConsolidatedcompaniesS13.12= •Financialleasingtransactions= •Delegatedmissionsandalternativefinancing= €3,496,573,000 •FADELS= €790,210,000 •AWEX= €12,890,000 Total consolidated gross debt = €7,837,729,000 €108,600,000 €19,715,583,000 Debt within the meaning of Maastricht is consolidated gross debt in the sense that the financial assets of public administrations are not deducted from liability components. The methodology used by the INA to present the Walloon public debt is based on the application of ESA 201046 as opposed to the historical viewpoint of debt accounting applied by the regional treasury administration. Source ICN : SEC 1995/2010 et comptabilités publiques, Dette des administrations publiques, Namur, 13 septembre 2013, page 49. 45 ESA 2010 : https://www. nbb.be/doc/dq/f_pdf_dq/ ks_02_13_269_fr.pdf 46 52 The concept established by Eurostat and applied by the INA in Belgium is defined by a broad range of parameters, which allows a number of public sector entities to be integrated within the perimeter of regional consolidation. This list of entities has evolved considerably since 2014: entities have joined or left the originally established perimeter, following reclassifications carried out by the INA. It can be observed that the amounts published in the successive notices of the INA have been changed. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management It is important to understand that the perimeter of consolidation clearly changes depending on the entities chosen to be listed and the debt which they carry, but that the regional debt does not increase in the literal sense. In the context of the application of ESA 2010: • Long-term direct debt corresponds to the consolidated direct debt (€5,985.7 million) from which the commercial paper issues linked to a fixed-rate derivative are deducted (€820 million) and to which the debt of the SPABS is added (€795.3 million) and that of the SWDE (€0.7 million) resulting in a total amount of €5,961.85 million; • The short-term direct debt corresponds to issues of commercial paper (€687.6 million) to which the issues of commercial paper linked to a fixed-rate derivative are added (€820 million) resulting in a total amount of €1,508 million; • Part of the debt guaranteed by the Walloon Region is included in the debt of S1312, although not all of it. The debt of the consolidated companies categorised in S131247 amounts to €7,837.7 million; • The amount linked to leasing transactions (or tenancy agreements) realised by the SRWT amounts to €108.6 million; • The debt generated on the one hand by the missions (e.g.: FIWAPAC) delegated by the Walloon Government which in the context of these assignments act directly on behalf of and for the account of the Walloon Region, and on the other hand by the alternative financing (e.g.: CRAC, SOWAFINAL) for public sector companies in the broad sense who rely on capital markets in the context of their activities, amounts to €3,496.6 million; • The historical debt of the Social Housing Loan Amortisation Fund (FADELS) amounts to €790.2 million; • The debt generated by AWEX which amounts to €12.89 million and is destined to be integrated into the debt of the consolidated companies S1312. List of public sector units as at 30 September 2014 : http://www.walcomfin. be/index.php?eID=txaws ecuredl&u=0&file=filead min/sites/wcf/upload/wcf_ super_editor/wcf_editor/ documents/Legislation/ Referentiels/V30092014_ Unites_S13.pdf&hash=5a9 56583df8a76cd23ce1e0f85 0e5286b62e829f 47 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 53 2. Debt management 2.4. Risk Management 2.4.1. Liquidity and refinancing risk Wallonia is exposed to the risk of not having enough funds available to honour its obligations at their respective maturities. In fact, if it doesn’t have enough available funds to pay interest and/or capital charges due to lenders, and it cannot borrow the amounts to be repaid, it will face a liquidity problem and be deemed to be in default of payment, being technically insolvent. This risk increases when interest rates rise. To manage this risk as effectively as possible, Wallonia has diversified its sources of finance by extending its investor base. The objective is not to be dependent on one type of financing, for example bank loans. To achieve this, Wallonia has increased the number of its counterparties, who are intermediaries searching for investors amenable to lending it funds. It has also put in place tools (financing programmes and standardised documentation for the “Schuldschein” credits) enabling it to have rapid and constant access to the capital markets. Wallonia also has the following elements which ensure a permanent and sufficient level of liquidity to counter any incident likely to dry up or weaken its sources of financing: 54 • a mechanism of treasury centralisation for Walloon Public Interest Organisations which enables Wallonia to benefit from the cash flow of the organisations included in the centralisation (cf. above); • a current account debit facility of €3.25 billion granted by its cashier in the context of the renewal of the contract signed on 17 July 2012, which entered into force on 1 January 2013; • a levelling of the debt amortisation schedule in order to avoid refinancing peaks as illustrated in the chart below: Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management Chart 12: Amortisation schedule of the long-term debt (direct debt and SPABS) as at 31 December 2014 Schedule of the Regional direct and SPABS debt on 31/12/2014 (in millions of EUR) 600 500 400 300 extendible fixed rate SPABS Variable rate SPABS 200 variable rate loans fixed rate or assimilated loans 100 0 According to the schedule as at 31 December 2014, the peak of refinancing for Wallonia will take place in 2023 and represents 7.60% of long-term debt. A new ratio was established in 2010 in order to formalise this objective of levelling the amortisation schedule. It concerns cumulated amortisations48 in relation to the debt stock. The Joint Treasury Council issued two constraints: the amount of amortisations, from one year to the next, may not exceed 15% of the debt stock, and the cumulative amount of amortisations for the next five years may not be more than 50% of the debt stock. In other words, at least 50% of the debt must be financed for longer than 5 years. Short-term commercial paper, an integral part of the debt stock, is integrated into this indicator. Given that the risk of renewal of commercial paper is perfectly hedged by the current account debit facility, the maturity considered for commercial papers associated with a swap is equal to the maturity of the swaps to which they are linked. For commercial paper not associated to swaps, their respective maturity is applied. No assumptions are made on the manner of refinancing the amortisation coming to maturity. 48 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 55 2. Debt management Chart 13: ratio of the cumulated amortisations of Wallonia as at 31 December 2014 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Max 5 years 50% 50% Max 2017 + 15% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Max 2015 + 15% Max 2016 + 15% Max 15% 6.70% 2015 12.06% 2016 24.87% 18.74% 2017 2018 31.79% 2019 It can be seen in the chart above that almost 70% of the regional debt is financed at more than 5 years. It should be reiterated that the calculation of this ratio is based on conservative assumptions. In fact, all rights attached to the financing and derivative instruments which contractually allow a counterparty to close its position early (such as a «call’ option for the lender) are considered to be exercised on the first possible call date, as such entailing an increase of the cumulated amortisations and therefore the ratio. Wallonia’s liquidity and refinancing risk would appear to be minimal given the authorisation of a current account debit facility of €3.25 billion granted by the cashier of the Region, the financial centralisation of the treasuries of the PIOs and the levelling of the debt amortisation schedule. The amount of the overdraft facility represents 46.36% of the regional debt as at 31 December 2014 and ensures the hedging of Wallonia’s amortisations (rounded up to €400 million per year) for 8.12 years. 2.4.2. Exchange rate risk The interest rate risk is the impact of an increase of the market interest rates on the part of the debt at a variable rate. In this case, the interest rates will be fixed at higher levels and Wallonia’s cost of financing will increase as a result. This «re-fixing» risk of the interest rates is all the more important given that the share of the debt at variable rates is high. 56 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management The choice between a fixed-rate or floating rate loan, short-term or long-term, for financing needs, is the result of a compromise between the costs of financing and risk. Given the generally positive gradient of the interest rate yield curve (upwards inclination), a loan at a floating rate often offers a lower cost of financing in the beginning, but does not guarantee this cost in the future. Conversely, a loan at a fixed rate often has a higher initial cost of financing, but guarantees this cost for the duration of the loan. The opportunity cost represents the costs linked to the impossibility of re-fixing the rates in the event of an inversion of the interest rate curve. The «re-fixing» risk of the interest rates is mainly managed using the fixed rate/floating rate ratio over 5 years, illustrated in the chart below. The objective proposed by the Joint Treasury Council and accepted by the Minister for Budget and Finances is that the share of the debt for which the coupon varies with interest rate fluctuations must aim to be 15% of the debt stock. Given the gradient, form and level of the interest rate curve in 2014, fixed rates have been preferred. Chart 14: Ratio of fixed rate/floating rate debt as at 31 December 2014 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 83.33% 82.31% 85.40% 84.40% 82.82% 16.67% 17.69% 14.60% 15.60% 17.18% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Floating Fixed It should be noted that the calculation of this ratio is also based on conservative assumptions. All rights attached to the financing and derivative instruments which contractually allow a counterparty to refund its position early or modify the nature of the interest rate paid (such as, for example, an option to change from a fixed rate to a floating rate) are considered to be exercised on the first possible call date, as such entailing an increase in the floating part of the portfolio. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 57 2. Debt management 2.4.3. Credit risk Credit risk is the risk of economic loss resulting from the default of a counterparty to meet its financial obligations with regard to Wallonia. It is measured by the replacement cost of the cash flows in the event of the other party’s default. This credit risk exists in particular when Wallonia concludes hedging transactions with derivative products (swaps, etc.). Chart 15: Credit risk for derivative products as at 31 December 2014 5% Baa1 35 % A1 A2 21 % A3 23 % Ba1 16 % The chart above illustrates the quality of the counterparties with whom Wallonia has concluded swaps. In terms of the management of credit risk for the derivative products held by Wallonia, most of the counterparties are classified as «investment grade»49 which corresponds to a low credit risk. 2.4.4. Currency exchange risk The regional debt is not exposed to currency exchange risk, since all of its financing is contracted in euros. 2.4.5. Follow-up of the derivatives portfolio Having examined liquidity and refinancing risk, exchange rate risk, credit risk and currency exchange risk, this section will analyse the risk linked to the derivatives portfolio. In reality, Wallonia has contracted 5% of its total swapped debt with just one counterparty whose rating is «speculative Ba1». 49 58 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 18 % 50 % 2. Debt management Chart 16: Breakdown of the swap portfolio in terms of cash flows paid as at 31 December 2014 Structured Fixed Variable 32 % As shown in the chart above, the derivatives portfolio is primarily made up of swaps for which Wallonia pays a fixed rate. These swaps are linked to floating-rate loans for which Wallonia has decided to hedge against all rate variations, in the context of its risk management policy. The floating-rate paying-leg swaps, in other words for which the rate paid is linked to Euribor rates (1, 3, 6 or 12 months), represent around one third of the derivatives portfolio. Around 50% of these swaps are «basis swaps». Within the scope of its debt management, Wallonia is not exposed to complex structures for which the rates paid may increase disproportionately. Most of the structured swaps are structured by their recipient leg for the Region and not by their paying leg which is fixed or floating. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 59 2. Debt management 2.5. Active debt management 2.5.1. Mission and strategy The essential mission of regional debt and cash flow management is to ensure that Wallonia has the necessary resources at any time and in any circumstances to meet its financial obligations. Given the historical amount of Wallonia’s financing needs, it has adopted a strategy that is essentially based on private investments and the use in particular of the «reverse inquiry50» procedure. 2.5.2. Management principles and their application The regional debt is managed in accordance with seven permanent principles. These principles are the following: 1. R esponsiveness, flexibility, transparency and communication The implementation of the regional debt and cash flow management strategy is based on the responsiveness to financing proposals, flexibility in terms of management, transparency and communication. Heightened responsiveness in particular enables a more effective management of the interest rate risk. It also enables market opportunities to be seized and to improve the competitiveness of the offers received. Furthermore, Wallonia has adopted a proactive approach in terms of communication intended to make the market more aware of its financing needs, its decision-making process, the maximum spreads anticipated versus OLO rates (refer to point C of section 2.4.3 Performance indicators), as well as the Belgian federal system, with a special attention to the SLF, which ensures a significant part of its revenues in a predictable and guaranteed manner. This publication of the annual debt report, including this English version, is part of this approach. Reverse Inquiry» refers to when investors approach Wallonia to offer it a securities issue, which will meet the needs of the issuer and allow the investors to subscribe to a dedicated issue. 50 60 Heightened responsiveness, in terms of decision-making, has been made possible by the implementation of a management framework established for the first time on 28 May 2010 and revised at every session of the Joint Treasury Council. Instead of having to consult the Joint Treasury Council or the Regional Treasury Council to analyse every proposal for financing, the Council will automatically issue a positive opinion for a financing transaction if a certain number of conditions are met, such as the margin proposed by the investor which cannot exceed a certain level OLO issued by the Federal State, with a maturity equivalent to the financing proposed by the investor. The other conditions relate to meeting the objective of the fixed rate/floating rate ratio, a minimum duration of the portfolio, and Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management the drafting of a detailed report for each transaction, which will be presented during the next Council session. The objective of this report is to highlight in particular the risks linked to the presence of options in the proposed financing and to present the elements that mitigate the identified risks. 2. O ptimal distribution between fixed rate and floating rate The yield curve is one of the main indicators taken into consideration for the management of the regional debt. In fact, this indicator helps to determine a ratio for the distribution of the outstanding debt between a fixed rate portion and a floating rate portion. The objective is to achieve the optimal risk/return ratio. For this reason, a significant evolution in the slope of the gradient of the yield curve usually leads to a repositioning of the fixed rate/floating rate ratio regardless of the maturity of the loan. In this way, in the event of a steeply sloped positive curve, the positioning of the debt ratio will be oriented more towards the floating rate. In fact, the utilisation of financial instruments - loans or hedging derivative products - referenced as short term, is then less expensive. Conversely, in the event of a relatively flat yield curve, the return is relatively similar for all maturities. Confronted with this type of curve, the search for the best «risk/return» ratio would involve increasing the fixed-rate share of the ratio. Before 2000, the fixed rate/floating rate distribution ratio was revised for any significant movement in the yield curve. Subsequently, this principle was slightly modified, as it was no longer a matter of reaching a precisely fixed ratio by a given date, but rather of evolving within a range for which the limits had been fixed. This capacity for adaptation of the ratio to movements in the yield curve enabled the risk/return ratio that was most appropriate to the debt to be achieved at any time. The ratio is therefore a key tool for debt management intended to establish an adequate balance between the cost of debt and the risks linked to the volatility of interest rates. The limits fixed for the range of variation were initially set at 65% minimum and 75% maximum of fixed rate, to respect the fixed rate and floating rate share of the debt, in other words a margin equal to 10% of the total outstanding regional debt. During its session of 23 November 2010, the Joint Treasury Council revised the principle of evolving within a range and set the objective51 for the fixed rate/floating rate ratio to gradually move to a floatingrate debt share of 15%. This milestone represents an objective to be achieved gradually. The proportion of the variable-rate debt was 17.32% as at 31 December 2014. Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 These objectives will be revised by the Council if they deem it necessary. 51 61 2. Debt management 3. Diversification of the investor base Having a well-diversified investor base allows Wallonia to not be dependent on just one source of financing, and to lower its cost of financing through increased competition. In order to achieve this objective, Wallonia has increased the number of bank counterparties with which it collaborates, so as to be able to reach a larger number of investors, in various countries. It has also implemented various types of financing instruments (domestic financing programmes, «Schuldschein» agreements, and bank agreements). Since 2012, Wallonia also has an EMTN financing programme, which further increases the number of potential investors. In the past, two strategic partners of Wallonia, Dexia Bank Belgium (now called Belfius Bank), and BNP Paribas Fortis together held the dominant market share, which amounted to 68% of the financing realised as at 31 December 2009, commercial paper excluded. As previously indicated, numerous efforts have been made in order to diversify the investor base and introduce more competition among the counterparties, without questioning the historical strategic status of the historical partners. Between 31 December 2009 and 31 December 2014, the number of counterparties with whom Wallonia collaborated increased from 12 to 22. 4. Levelling of the debt amortisation schedule Wallonia strives to constantly maintain a minimum duration of its debt above 4 years, in order to avoid having to tackle a significant amount of refinancing over a short period of time. In this way, it ensures that its debt is staggered over the long term. Nevertheless, it also aims to diversify the maturities of its debts so as to avoid - to the extent possible - peaks and troughs in refinancing, and thus to be in the market for relatively similar and reasonable amounts each year. With this in mind, the amortisation schedules of the direct and indirect debt were merged in 2010 and a «cumulated amortisations» ratio, including the cumulated percentage of the long-term debt stock coming to maturity in the coming 5 years relative to the total debt stock, has been calculated since November 2010. For this ration, the Joint Treasury Council established an objective on 23 November 201052: not to exceed 50% of cumulated amortisations over 5 years and 15% over 1 year (see chart 13 page 43). These objectives may be revised by the Joint Treasury Council if they deem it necessary. 52 62 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 5. Principles of prudence, competitive procedure and efficiency of the decision making process 2. Debt management As a reminder, the debt and treasury management transactions are included in the exclusions specified in appendix 2 of the Royal Decree of 29 September 2009 modifying the law of 15 June 2006 and the Royal Decrees of 15 July 2011 and 14 January 2013 on public procurement contracts and certain contracts for works, supplies and services, and certain decrees. Nevertheless, prices, rates, margins, etc. are systematically obtained after competitive procedures in a form adapted to the type of product and after having been evaluated internally. The competitive procedure ensures that the best price is obtained, but it also allows a check on the sound understanding of the product concerned. In fact, a significant price discrepancy from a counterparty can be due to a poor understanding of the transaction in progress, and can be corrected before its conclusion, thereby avoiding subsequent difficulties. Additionally, an ex-post control is carried out through the reporting of all transactions to the Treasury Councils. 6. A ppropriate utilisation of derivative financial instruments Wallonia uses the financial instruments that are best suited to the management of its debt, and only for hedging purposes. In this respect, any speculation is systematically excluded and each concluded derivative product is, or will be during its whole life, attached to a component of the regional debt. Interest rate swaps are the most common products used in managing the yield curve, allowing with ease the transfer of a portion of the debt from floating rate to fixed rate, and vice versa. 7. Search for synergies The search for synergies is important, both internally and externally. Since 2010, the calculation of the fixed rate/floating rate ratio, the establishment of a new ratio for evaluating the refinancing risk, the procedures for short-term investments, the model for derivative contracts (ISDA), and the detailed reporting made for all financing transactions are elements which have been harmonised between Wallonia and the Wallonia-Brussels Federation. However, information exchanges and best practice have also taken place since 2010 between the Federal State, the Brussels-Capital Region and the Flemish Community. Ces objectifs peuvent être revus par le Conseil Commun du Trésor lorsque celui-ci le jugera nécessaire. 52 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 63 2. Debt management 2.5.3. Performance indicators A. A. Budgetary performance 1.1. REVENUES 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Revenues 6th reform 6,241,691 6,208,549 6,437,438 6,679,198 6,920,400 Revenues ‘Sainte Emilie’ 3,421,255 3,622,160 3,701,612 3,786,745 3,874,334 Miscellaneous revenues 279 279 279 279 279 TOTAL REVENUES 6th reform and Sainte Emilie TAX EXPENDITURE DEDUCTED FROM THE CONTRIBUTION RESOURCES FROM THE REGIONAL LEVEL TRANSFERS FEDERATION FROM WALLONIA-BRUSSELS TOTAL REVENUES 9,663,225 9,830,988 10,139,329 10,466,222 10,795,013 -850,319 -831,595 -881,701 -938,321 -1,000,045 3,031,814 3,407,623 3,534,304 3,683,860 3,838,989 340,859 349,100 353,156 357,547 362,008 12,185,578 12,756,117 13,145,089 13,569,308 13,995,965 1.2. EXPENDITURE TOTAL EXPENDITURE of which debt expenditure 1.3. GROSS BALANCE TO BE FINANCED = (1)-(2) 12,838,741 13,289,296 13,552,395 13,828,988 14,122,973 299,096 322,855 343,226 358,280 368,367 -653,163 -533,179 -407,306 -259,680 -127,009 1.4. ESA ADJUSTMENTS -309,119 -394,442 -262,385 -406,804 -290,262 Underutilisation of credits 214,000 214,000 214,000 214,000 214,000 Granting of credit and shareholdings net amounts 249,198 247,923 247,869 247,869 227,869 50,385 50,385 50,385 50,385 50,385 204,464 117,866 249,869 105,450 201,992 -448,699 -415,313 -157,437 -154,229 74,983 Balance of economic regrouping Other TOTAL ESA ADJUSTMENTS 1.5.BALANCE OF FINANCING ESA 95 = (3)+(4) 64 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management The multi-annual projections take into account the decisions made in 2015 and the effects of these across subsequent years. From 2016 onwards, expenditure and revenues evolve according to macroeconomic parameters, if applicable. However, the projections do not include the decision which will be taken by the government with a view to achieving the aim of balancing the budget in 2018. In the table above, in line with the budgetary works, the underutilisation of credits amounting to €214 million is included in the ESA adjustments whereas it should be shown at the top of the table to reduce the Gross Balance to be Financed. B. Rating During the last three years, Wallonia had an A1 rating from Moody’s, with a negative outlook. Since 25 June 201453, the outlook has progressed from negative to stable. According to Moody’s, this last rating is the reflection • of the relatively high, and increasing, levels of debt; • of the commitment of the regional administration to implement the consolidation measures included in the agreement concluded between the federal government and the federated entities to achieve the objectives made pursuant to the Excessive Deficit Procedure of the European Union; • of the flexible cash flow management and the solid liquidity profile. C. Margin with regards to OLO Wallonia’s natural benchmark for its financing is the OLO, for which the spread is much less volatile than with the IRS. Given the close financial links between the Federal State and Wallonia, which are expressed through the SLF, the spread with regards to OLO reflects on the one hand, the difference in rating of the two entities, and on the other hand, the difference in liquidity of the bonds issued by the two entities. It can be noted that the specific risk of Belgium is already integrated in the evolution of the OLO and that of Wallonia is mitigated by the high probability that the Federal State would cover, in the last resort, all of the federated entities. In order to fall within the framework established in 2010 to increase responsiveness in terms of decision-making, the maximum margin with regards to OLO is fixed by the Joint Treasury Council, and depends on the evolution of the financial and economical context. 54 In effect, it is indeed a maximum margin and not a margin applied systematically to all of the financing raised by Wallonia. Whereas Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 NB: as of 5 May 2015, the Walloon Region has been awarded the same rating as 25 June 2014. 53 For more details, refer to section 2.4.2 «Management principles and their application» in point A «Responsiveness, flexibility, transparency and communication». 54 65 2. Debt management a classic financing with a fixed rate and without any underlying derivatives will have a spread with regards to OLO below or equal to the maximum margin, a financing which is structured and/or which presents an additional counterparty risk will attract a spread with regard to OLO that is significantly below the maximum margin. For every financing concluded, the difference between the spread and the maximum margin with regards to OLO will depend on the maturity and the risk incurred by Wallonia. D. Historical indicators The Finance Directorate uses several measurement instruments to evaluate the level of risk of its debt portfolio. Besides the fixed rate/floating rate ratio, one of the historical indicators is the average life span of the financing portfolio. It should be noted that before 2000, this indicator was only calculated on the direct debt. From 2010 onwards, the indirect debt was integrated in all of the calculations as a component of regional debt. The average life span was 8 years and 7 months in 2012; 9 years and 2 months in 2013 and 8 years and 6 months for 2014. Another essential indicator is the implicit rate (the amount of all interest paid annually in relation to the corresponding direct debt stock as at 31 December of the year). Its evolution during the period 2008 to 2014 is shown in the following chart: Chart 17: Evolution of the implicit rate 5.00% 4.50% 4.00% 3.50% 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% Implicit rate (en%) 66 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 4.19% 4.61% 3.28% 3.72% 3.44% 3.65% 3.63% Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2. Debt management The evolution of the implicit rate from one year to another is due to the level of interest rates, movements of the yield curve, the level of existing loans and the active management of the debt. These results, in terms of rates, should be put in relation with the average duration as well as with the decision to position the fixed rate/ floating rate ratio essentially at a fixed rate, such that the regional debt is not only inexpensive, but also not too risky (both in terms of interest rates and in terms of refinancing). Reasons to invest in Wallonia The regional debt can be classified as being secured and under control, whilst benefiting from attractive characteristics for investors. A secured regional debt, characterised as at 31 December 2014 by: • a low level of interest rate risk since the debt is essentially fixed rate (82.68%); • a low level of liquidity and refinancing risk thanks to a current account debit facility of €3.25 billion granted by Wallonia’s cashier, a levelling of the debt amortisation schedule, and a diversification of the investor base; • an absence of exchange rate risk, as all financing contracted up until now has been in euros; • prudent and sophisticated debt management with the treasury centralisation of numerous Public Interest Organisations; • management guided by the Joint Treasury Council and the Regional Treasury Council, in which members of the Finance Inspectorate, the Court of Auditors, and external auditors are represented, among others. A regional debt under control, characterised as at 31 December 2014 by: • a regional debt/revenues ratio of 90.53%; • an average life span of 8 years and 6 months; • an implicit rate of 3.63%; • a cumulated amortisation over the period 2015 - 2019/long-term debt stock ratio of 31.79%. An investment offering the following to investors: • a higher return in comparison with OLO, to compensate for the lower credit rating quality («A1» vs «Aa3») and the lower liquidity than the federal level; Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 67 2. Debt management • the implicit support of the Federal State; • a diversification in terms of investments; • an issuer having a certain degree of fiscal autonomy since 33% of the revenues in 2014 come from regional taxes; • an issuer for which 48.34% of its revenues are guaranteed by the Federal State (cf. article 54 of the SLF) and on which there is no risk of effective tax collection as they result from a mathematical formula. 68 Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 2.6. Abbreviations BO Back Office COCOT Joint Treasury Council CORET Regional Treasury Council CPAS Public Centre for Social Welfare CSF/HCF High Council of Finance DGT Cross-Functional Directorate General for the Budget, Logistics, Information Technologies and Communication EMTN Euro Medium Term Notes FLFNW Walloon Housing Fund for Large Families FO Front Office IFRS International Financial Reporting Standards ISDA International Swaps and Derivatives Association LSF/SLF Special Law on Financing LSRI Special Law on Institutional Reforms OIP/PIO Public Interest Organisation OLO Linear Ordinary Bonds ESA 2010 European System of National and Regional Accounts (standards 2010) SOFICO Walloon Company for the Supplementary Financing of Infrastructure SOWAER Walloon Airports Company SPABS Public Administration Companies for Schools Buildings and education organised by the Public Authorities FPS Finances Federal Public Service Finance SPW/WPS Wallonia Public Service SRWT Walloon Regional Transport Company SWCS Walloon Social Credit Company SWDE Walloon Water Company SWL Walloon Housing Company Public debt Wallonia - Report 2014 69 Service public de Wallonie Département de la Trésorerie - Direction du Financement Boulevard du Nord, 8 - 5000 Namur Mél.: [email protected] Web: www.wallonie.be
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