The Movie Industry Charlie Fraioli, Shelly Grinshpun, and Sheryl Quock Agenda Introduction Industry Analysis Pricing Strategies Recommendations Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Why the Movie Industry? Rapid changing movie consumption in the information age Unique Pricing Structures Pricing Phenomenon with uniform pricing in each theater despite various levels of time, effort and money invested per film Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation THE MOVIE INDUSTRY THREE DIFFERENT SECTORS EXIST WITHIN INDUSTRY: 1. Production 2. Distribution 3. Exhibition Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation THE MOVIE INDUSTRY THREE DIFFERENT SECTORS EXIST WITHIN INDUSTRY: 1. Production 2. Distribution 3.Exhibition Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation THE EXHIBITION SECTOR FIVE DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS WITHIN SECTOR: 1. Cinema 2. DVD/Blu-ray 3. Pay-per-view (PPV), video on demand(VOD), and video streaming 4. Free-to-air TV 5. Subscription-based TV channels (cable/satellite TV) Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation THE EXHIBITION SECTOR FIVE DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS WITHIN SECTOR: 1.Cinema 2. DVD/Blu-ray 3. Pay-per-view, Video On Demand (VOD), and video streaming 4. Free-to-air TV 5. Subscription-based TV channels Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Cost Structure Rent & Utilities: theaters compete on the basis of facility quality Industry company’s largest single expense: rental of films for exhibition This accounts for 32% of revenue Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Consumer Demand Key drivers of demand: 1. Disposable income (affected by employment rates, taxes, and the general state of the economy) 2. Leisure time 3. Marketing efforts of major motion picture studios Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Consumers Median age: 32.4 (see chart below) Total HH income of +$75k (frequent moviegoers) Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation COMPETITION: MAJOR COMPANIES 3 FIRMS ACCOUNT FOR 52.8% of market share: 1. Regal Entertainment Group – 21.2% 2. AMC – 18.7% 3. Cinemark – 12.9% (Next highest in market share — Carmike Cinemas Inc.— drops down to 4.5%) Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation COMPETITION: MARKET CONCENTRATION CR4 = 57.3 HHI Top four share 57.3% 2,000 smaller firms share 42.7% HHI = 0.2122 + 0.1872 + 0.1292 + 0.0452 + 2000(0.000497142) = 990.73 990.73 < 1000 INDUSTRY IS COMPETITIVE Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation COMPETITION: BARRIERS TO ENTRY High barriers to entry due to: 1. High fixed costs Equipment for running movies High quality facilities necessary to compete 2. Distribution channels Licensing agreements 3. Economies of scale 4. Brand identification Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation COMPETITION: EXIT BARRIERS Not as strong as barriers to entry, but some to consider: 1. Cost of ending licensing agreements prematurely 2. Compensating employees Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Internal Competition Movie theaters compete on the basis of: 1. Film offerings 2. Ticket prices 3. Auditorium quality 4. Concessions offerings Aside from these factors, most theaters offer the same products Internal competition is high for this reason Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation External Competition Competition from: 1. Piracy/illegal streaming Source: IBISWORLD.COM Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Government Regulation: Piracy Illegal streaming can steal considerable amounts of revenue from all distribution channels within the movie industry When US government shut down illegal streaming site Megaupload, the website was accused of costing copyright holders more than $500 million in lost revenues The government does not provide any assistance to the movie theater industry in terms of tariffs or subsidies Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation External Competition Competition from: 1. Piracy/illegal streaming 2. Increase in popularity of all other distribution channels Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation External Competition Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Distribution Timeline Sources: iTunes.com, xfinity.com, NATO, Technicolor, Redbox.com Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Comparing 2007 to 2015: VOD, PPV, and DVD/Blu-ray Release Dates Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Changing the Timeline Timeline of distribution is changing Example: Netflix will release “Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: The Green Legend” in 2015 on the same day as its theatrical release Subscription streaming services on the rise: in 2014 HBO, CBS, and Lionsgate all announced online subscription streaming services Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Industry Summary Landscape for industry is changing rapidly with the growth of other distribution channels for movies Highly competitive Both internal and external competition is high Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Main Pricing Strategies Second Degree Price Discrimination Third Degree Price Discrimination Tacit Collusion Concession Markups & Bundling The Uniform Pricing Puzzle Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Pricing Data Collected pricing data from 28 Regal Cinemas locations across 27 different states Controlled for theater size (14 auditoriums) Analysis demonstrates how the movie theater industry utilizes: Second degree price discrimination Third degree price discrimination Tacit collusion Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Second Degree Price Discrimination Versioning By time Discounted matinee rates in the afternoon By quality RealD 3D Premium Auditoriums IMAX One of Regal Cinemas’ RPX Premium Auditoriums Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Average Adult Ticket Price for Different Movie Versions $18.00 Price of Movie Tickets ($) $16.00 $14.00 $12.00 $10.00 $8.00 $6.00 $4.00 $2.00 $0.00 Matinee Standard 3D Matinee 3D RPX IMAX Movie Version Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Versioning Discounts for less crowded times Average matinee discount = 19.27% Premiums for additional features/better quality Average 3D premium = 32.09% Average RPX premium = 42.58% Average IMAX premium = 47.26% Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Third Degree Price Discrimination Groups of moviegoers are segmented by: Age Adults, Seniors, and Children Student or Military discounts Geography Ticket prices vary by location Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Average Movie Ticket Price by Age $18 Range of prices over the 28 theaters Price of Movie Tickets ($) $16 $14 $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 Adult 1 Senior (60+) Child (3-11) Age Category Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Price Discrimination by Age Average senior discount = 25.5% Average child discount = 26.7% Senior prices were equal to child prices at 19 of 28 locations. Only one location offered student and military discounts. Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Geographic Price Discrimination for Movie Tickets $18 Adult $16 Price of Movie Tickets ($) $14 Senior (60+) Child (3-11) $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 Location Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Movie Ticket Prices vs. Housing Costs $18 Adult Tickets Linear (Adult Tickets) Price of Movie Tickets ($) $16 $14 R² = 0.5102 $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 $0 $250 $500 $750 $1,000 $1,250 $1,500 $1,750 Median Monthly Rent by Zip Code ($) Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation $2,000 Competitive Analysis Collected data on the number of local competitors for each of the 28 Regal theaters. Collected proximity and price data on 4 Regal Cinemas and 8 AMC Cinemas in the New York Metro Area. Data analysis indicated that tacit collusion may be occurring. Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Movie Ticket Prices vs. Number of Local Competitors $18 Adult Tickets Linear (Adult Tickets) $16 Price of Movie Tickets ($) $14 R² = 0.0676 $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Number of Local Competitors Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation 35 Average Difference in Price of Movie Tickets ($) Difference in Adult Movie Ticket Prices Between Nearby Competitors $3.00 $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $0.00 0 to 5 mi. 5 to 10 mi. 10 to 15 mi. Distance Between Two Competing Theaters (miles) Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Tacit Collusion Markets with lots of movie theaters do not display price cutting behavior Competitors in close proximity have low variability in ticket prices The three largest firms have nearly identical criteria for age segmentation: Child Age Group 3 to 11 2 to 12 1 to 11 Senior Age Group 60+ 60+ 62+ Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Concession History Used to be a monopoly of 8 studios/distributors Directly and indirectly owned theaters Controlled ticket admissions, show times, types of films Forced independent theaters into block booking 1984 US V.S. Paramount - end of collusion Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Consequences prohibition against price-fixing, joint ownership, major franchises and block licensing End of Block Booking higher selectivity higher production cost led to less movies made per year, Higher licensing rate charged to theaters Studios forced to sell theaters led to an increase in rent for movie theaters Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Concessions Over 40 % of total theater profit is Concession Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Admission Ticket Sales How much do theaters get from ticket sales? 1st week- between10%-25% 2nd week-25%-45% 3rd week-45%-55% After 4th week- up to 80% Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Why are the Markups High? By placing a premium on concessions prices for tickets can be lower This allows price sensitive consumers to see films Research shows that there are proportionally higher sales during low attendance periodindicating the existence of people who are die hard movie goers and have WTP for expensive popcorn Fun Fact: Research shows that people who purchase tickets online tend to buy more snacks Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Why are the Markups High? Price Sold for Large Tub of Popcorn Cost of large Popcorn bag Cost of Popcorn Tub Cost to make of large Popcorn $8.00 $0.22-$0.35 $0.85-$1.00 $0.08 A tub’s worth of popcorn could carry around an 800% markup! Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Bundling Prices still high and almost the same as buying a la carte Prices depends on Theater Chain Examples: Regal For 2 medium drinks & large popcorn $18.50 for bundle, same price as a la carte AMC For large drink and large popcorn $13.75 for both a la carte and bundle Muvico For 2 medium drinks and large popcorn $16.50 for bundle and $17.50 for a la carte Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Uniform Pricing Puzzle Two Characteristics of Movie Industry Movie Puzzle-price uniformity across movies that run at the same time Showtime Puzzle-refers to the lack of price differentiation between weekdays and weekends or across seasons (Exceptions are Matinees) Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Why Does it Occur? Demand Uncertainty Variable Pricing can be complicated Distributors can refuse to license to theaters that have variable pricing Fairness Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Opportunity for Variable Pricing Opportunity to have variable pricing based on popularity Research shows sequels do about as well as originals Correlation between Revenue and Production Cost Success of film typically determined by sales on the first weekend Allows for price adjustments that Monday Variable Pricing Pros Cons Boost Independent Films (Non Blockbusters) Pressure from distributor Encourage Early Purchase of Ticket Potentially boost Concession sales Raising prices would anger consumersreduce # of price sensitive consumers As prices go down more people will be WTP for tickets Lowering prices might seem like an indicator of quality Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Recommendations Investments Negative Protection Window Shrinking High Entry Barriers High Fixed Costs New Technology Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Recommendations Pricing Strategies Continue 2nd and 3rd degree price discrimination Long Term- Variable Pricing Fluctuating Prices on Per Movie Basis Based on: Popularity Performance over time Disclaimer: Price Variability would only work in an ideal situation. Distributors still have power to prevent changes from occurring Introduction Industry Analysis Price Strategies Recommendation Thank You! Questions?
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