National Sin Release No.: 53/NOV 02-2/07/11/20 SPEECH BY MR. S RAJARATNAM, SENIOR MINISTER (PRIME MINISTER'S OFFICE) AT THE FIRST ANNIVERSARY DINNER OF THE ASSOCIATION OF SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISES AT THE MANDARIN HOTEL ON FRIDAY, 20 NOVEMBER '87 AT 8.00 PM HAPPY DAYS WILL I once When I was a schoolboy in witnessed the grand funeral entrepreneur Apart from orchestras, prestigious resplendent mastery repertoire l out to BE HERB AGAIN of and one of the the gongs, drums my hometown procession prominent and pipes in of Seremban, a wealthy citizens of the town. of a fleet of Chinese what gave the procession a touch of class was a local Western band famous more for the military uniforms of the musicians than for its But it was esteemed for its wide Western music. of solemn Western funeral music. Unfortunately, be somewhat on that longer than day the estimated funeral route turned and so, just before the procession reached the cemetery the band had exhausted To have repeated its perforits supply of funeral music. mance of great funeral hits would have been a shattering blow to the band's reputation as possessing an inexhaustible supply of funeral music and so the quick-witted bandmaster decided to fill the gap with some non-funeral music. The result was that the dead gentleman completed the rest of his journey to the strains of: "Happy days are here know whether the deceased To this day, I don't again". personage noticed the difference but I like to think that the old gentleman permitted himself a wink in appreciation of so enterprising a bandmaster. Therefore my address tonight, of: is going to be a sort message since most Singapore worse, again" give the appearance funeral or returning medium businessmen. of people from one for bread do However, and butter I not problems 70,500 small and medium this time would be like exposed shakeable for be here these days to a and for the free drinks and the least I can do is into your proceedings. propose to touch on the immediate that face Singapore's estimated First, to do so at enterprises. applying a dentist's drill to an tooth. Second, problems or will who are either going - especially of small So I thought that in return dinner you are providing me tonight, to inject a bit of Christmas Cheer l better "Happy days businessmen is, my grasp frankly, of one of specific your bread comprehensive and butter and possibly un- ignorance. Third, I understand your specific problems are being studied by the EDB and the Business Enterprise Committee who are better guides to your survival than I could ever be. intelligent So what I propose and, hopefully, safely through international to the turbulent economic crisis. do instead is to useful observation seas of Now what is I am not make some to steer you known as an claiming any great expertise on the subject, but since eminent economic pundits, including Nobel Prize winners and other business soothsayers are just as confused as been on the matter, I think my views on the any more unsound than uncertain moment, So I would like and unpromising I am nevertheless state theirs. to of the world economy cannot be begin by asserting that however the world economy is at the optimistic about its future. 3 I base this conviction among others on the authority the eminent physician by Hippocrates, and the acknowledged father of modern He said: "All things being equal, medicine. tend to get of a of ancient Western sick people remark Greece better". Well, I have the same feelings about sick economies All human activity, including economic activity, is an too. endless cycle of progress and disintegration, of prosperity of death and resurrection. All human history and penury, has been a continual cycle of good times followed by bad of-rise and fall of nations. This is how humanity times, progressed from the Stone Age to the Space Age. Progression and retrogression call human are This economic is crisis. to to survive portends hang business how we should the than those inevitable So my advice on - even if But of passively of crisis new skills, let me coping to it give with economic sides of the single coin we see the on-going which behave end of the global have never a crisis as come are more as though world. you is not be by your to abandon all finger nails. you a word a crisis. of caution It is not You must the hope but about this enough to use the period wait for the good times. apart from surviving also to equip yourself with. new perceptions and new psychological attitudes to make the best of the prosperity will offer. past two All crises in human history and those nations which confront for the good times that must been permanent though preparing likely crisis the progress. order century that will and a half opportunities The terrain supplant will the new cycle of and climate of the new the one we have known the be radically different. 4 the So you must end of the world worlds born. see the current but as a titanic - a world that The confusion economic struggle crisis not between is dying and a new struggling and disarray which today alarm as two to be us is really the consequence of the resistance offered by the partisans of a dying global economic order to the assertions of an emerging global economic order which has its roots in the post-war scientific and technological explosion. In the new global economy ism is being forced imperatives National operating a defiant to adjust of what is economies can with and not National pipe-dream, Great natural giant taken weakened economic the internationalist national- termed the post-industrial society. survive and prosper only by coconfronting the new economy. self-sufficiency whatever validity vast resources, territory and even superior make possible a self-sufficient United trade but to is, in it may have populations, technological national this day had in great resources and age, the past. expanse of cannot economy. though the international trade of the For example, States is only 14 per cent of its total GNP, global is nevertheless the oxygen necessary to keep this That is why the Americans too have economy alive. up as their battle-cry: "Export or perish" though un- Treasury wisely some less enlightened officials of the U.S. It is a measure have thrown in-their lot with a dying past. of the extent to which national economies are being sub- ordinated battle-cry for over to a global economy that the export or perish has been picked up even by a Communist bloc 70 years had pursued the chimera of socialist which self-sufficiency. Singapore Fortunately, right never seriously from the start an independent went in for economic nationalism. pulling oneself up by one's boot- National self-sufficiency: straps had no appeal for a country which a large population and confined resources, area. lacked natural to a small land a 5 So, like Hong Kong and Japan, Singapore, by plugging directly into the global economic grid, was able to enjoy a per capita income far higher than that enjoyed by countries many times larger, endowed with natural international more approach was the So if, as I believe, more international be even entrepreneurs can more rules of a predominantly oriented global That nature 'where a life giant populous resources. in and more than generously This was proof road to prosperity. the new economic its assertions readily respond technologically to that an order will then Singapore the dynamics and scientifically- and economy. is why I think you would be misreading the of the new economy were you to picture it as one small and medium enterprises are going to be locked and death struggle with predatory world-straddling enterprises. prosperity, established, once For the would one thing, the in new global new economic order has be so big as to make the been firmly prosperity of the recent post-war The global economy for enterprises of decades seem a scramble over peanuts. will be so vast that there will be room all shapes and sizes provided they underThose nations that stand the dynamics of the new economy. do not will go under and I'm afraid a number of nations are resigned to such a fate. Having regard to the incredible size of the coming global economy, relationship between small, medium and large enterprises should be and will be symbiotic rather than confrontational. In any case, in a dynamic and rapidly expanding economy the media will be elastic division between small, large and porous. This is because emerging ation of society, there will be a proliferand services as never-before witnessed in all of technological new products economic history. and in the 6 For from 60 to constitute it example, 70 per today's has been estimated cent of the products world economy were that anything and services unknown before that the war. Even more significant is that the worldly possessions of the average man world-wide have increased manifold. Apart from his land and dwelling, and a few rags and the average man's possessions include items untrinkets, slippers and shoes, before the war - rubber transistor radios, bicycles, powder, lipstick, stoves and may be even Hondas. thinkable watches, kerosene Even in the many has most gone backward life for beyond will According to well-informed there be an unprecedented and poorest mere of cheap villages subsistence. future explosion watchers, not in the world's only total GNP, but some 70-80 per cent of the economy of the 2lst century will be dominated by products and services which have not yet been invented. The market-place is full of rumours products like you of whizz kids and boffins dreaming up incredible medium and small entrepreneurs and ideas which big, can convert into tradeable products and services. Given chances small of this small and medium proliferation but to big An economist of innovative are named goods and enterprises services, moving the from good. Burton Economics" claims that new economic emerge from big enterprises. This Klein in his developments is because, book "Dynamic very rarely so he argues, once a large enterprise dominates the market by making the perfect product, it tends to become rigid and specialised. That is To change a perfect product is to invite disaster. why candle and gas-light enterprises did develop electricity and why horse-carriage failed to explore the commerical possibilities not bother to manufacturers of the 7 internal-combustion the instant camera engine. and the So too, computer Kodak failed to pioneer revolution was launched but by not by IBM, the leading computer manufacturer today, the relatively obscure camera-firm of Fairchild with the assistance of a few adventurous whizz kids and imaginative boffins. It was a group of self-employed boffins who turned the most useless substance on earth - sand - into the feats profitable silicon chip which can perform some mental well beyond the capacity of human beings. claims Burton Klein, In fact, major 50 technological breakthroughs not come from the large enterprises. The moral of all also intelligently Similarly, for just big, but big. that today roam the practically of the all 20th the century did this is that if a small firm thinks and realistically, it can become the converse reasons the Dinosaurs market-place could become extinct. If you take my morale boosting speech-a little more seriously than you may be inclined to then you will live to enjoy good times again. I am not thereby suggesting that Singapore will be among the top 10 economic giants of the 2lst century but I can guarantee you that Singapore will not be among the bottom 60 nations of the world who have possibly been already names not even-thumb me. first And final-y anniversary nominated screw will for extinction and whose succeed in extracting out may I wish your and may it flourish. association a happy @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ Ml/SrMl/Pgs.l-7 of
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