Best Practices or Best Guesses? Assessing the Efficacy of Corporate Affirmative Action and Diversity Policies Author(s): Alexandra Kalev, Erin Kelly, Frank Dobbin Source: American Sociological Review, Vol. 71, No. 4 (Aug., 2006), pp. 589-617 Published by: American Sociological Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/30039011 Accessed: 16/02/2009 17:08 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=asa. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit organization founded in 1995 to build trusted digital archives for scholarship. We work with the scholarly community to preserve their work and the materials they rely upon, and to build a common research platform that promotes the discovery and use of these resources. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. American Sociological Association is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to American Sociological Review. http://www.jstor.org Best Practices or Best Guesses? Assessing the Efficacyof Corporate Affirmative Action and Diversity Policies Alexandra Kalev University of California, Berkeley Frank Dobbin Harvard University Erin Kelly University of Minnesota Employers have experimented with three broad approaches to promoting diversity. Some programs are designed to establish organizational responsibilityfor diversity, others to moderate managerial bias through training andfeedback, and still others to reduce the social isolation of women and minority workers. These approaches find support in academic theories of how organizations achieve goals, how stereotyping shapes hiring and promotion, and how networks influence careers. This is thefirst systematic analysis of their efficacy. The analyses rely on federal data describing the workforces of 708 private sector establishmentsfrom 1971 to 2002, coupled with survey data on their employmentpractices. Efforts to moderate managerial bias through diversity training and diversity evaluations are least effective at increasing the share of white women, black women, and black men in management. Efforts to attack social isolation through mentoring and networking show modest effects. Efforts to establish responsibilityfor diversity lead to the broadest increases in managerial diversity. Moreover, organizations that establish responsibility see better effectsfrom diversity training and evaluations, networking, and mentoring. Employers subject to federal affirmative action edicts, who typically assign responsibilityfor compliance to a manager, also see stronger effects from some programs. This work lays thefoundation for an institutional theory of the remediation of workplace inequality. Lists of "best practices" in diversity man- agement have proliferated recently. to the Presidential Glass Ceiling Commission (1995), the women's business advocacy group Catalyst (1998), and the Society for Human Everyone seems to have a list, from the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (1998) Resources Management (2004). These lists are Direct correspondenceto AlexandraKalev, RWJ Scholars Program, University of California, 140 Warren Hall, MC7360, Berkeley, CA 94720 ([email protected]).The authorsthank Ronald Edwards and Bliss Cartwright of the Equal EmploymentOpportunityCommission for sharing their data and expertise;Nicole Esparzaand Leslie Hinksonforhelp with datacollection;KevinDobbin, JohnDonohue, LaurenEdelman,JoshuaGuetzkow, Heather Haveman, Jerry A. Jacobs, Seema Jayachandran,Lawrence Katz, JordanMatsudaira, John Meyer,TrondPeterson,Daniel Schrage, Paul Segal, Robin Stryker,Donald Tomaskovic-Devey, BruceWestern,ChrisWinship,and four anonymous reviewersfor suggestions; and Randi Ellingboe for technical and editorial assistance. Supported by National Science Foundation grant 0336642 and Russell Sage Foundationgrant 87-02-03 and partiallysupportedby the RobertWoodJohnsonScholars in HealthPolicy ResearchProgram. AMERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW, 2006, VOL.71 (August:589-617) 590 AMERICANSOCIOLOGICALREVIEW loosely basedon academictheoriesthatpointto causes of workplace inequality ranging from unwitting bias (Lemm and Banaji 1999) to dependence on networks for hiring and promotion (Reskin and McBrier 2000). Whereas there has been a great deal of researchon the sourcesof inequality,therehas been littleon the efficacy of differentprogramsfor counteringit. At best, "best practices"are best guesses. We know a lot about the disease of workplace inequality,but not much aboutthe cure. We examine the effects of seven common diversity programs-affirmative action plans, diversity committees and taskforces,diversity managers,diversity training,diversity evaluations for managers,networkingprograms,and mentoringprograms-on the representationof white men, white women, black women, and black men in the managementranksof private sector firms. Each of these programsmay well increasediversity.To date, therehas been little evidence one way or the other.This is surprising given the popularityand cost of the programs.Ourcontributionis to bringto bearrich new data,to theoreticallydistinguishthreetypes of diversityprograms,andto show thatorganizationalstructuresallocatingresponsibilityfor changemaybe moreeffectivethanprogramstargeting eithermanagerialbias or the social isolation of disadvantagedgroups. Previous empirical studies of antidiscriminationand diversityprogramshave been limited by data constraints. Economists first comparedemployerswho are subject to affirmativeactionrequirementswith those who are not (AshenfelterandHeckman1976;Heckman and Wolpin 1976; Leonard1984). They lacked data on employer programs.Sociologists and economistsstudyingemployerprogramsexamine data at one or two points in time (but see Baron,Mittman,andNewman 1991), analyzing the effects of some programswithoutaccounting for others.These studiesindicatethatsome programsmaybe effective,buttheirfindingsare inconsistent (Baron et al. 1991; Edelman and Petterson 1999; Holzer and Neumark 2000; Konrad and Linnehan 1995; Leonard 1990; Naff and Kellough 2003). Gender and racial segregationhas declined remarkablysince the 1970s, when employers first adopted antidiscrimination programs (Jacobs 1989a; King 1992;Tomaskovic-Deveyet al. 2006), but there is no hardevidence thatthese programsplayed a role. We obtainedthe federalestablishment-level data that economists have used (i.e., the annual EEO-1 reportsthat privatesector establishments submit to the Equal Employment OpportunityCommission [EEOC]). We then surveyeda sampleof theseestablishmentson the history of their personnel and diversity programsso thatwe could analyzeprogrameffects on diversity. A strengthof the EEO-1 reportsis that they detail annual employment by race, ethnicity, andgenderin all mediumand largeprivatesector workplaces.A limitationis that they cover only nine broadjob categories,collapsing into "management"all jobs above that of first-line supervisor(Baronand Bielby 1985; Smithand Welch 1984). We know frompreviousresearch thatwomen andAfricanAmericansare crowded in the lowest ranksof management.Even as women moved into managementin the 1970s and 1980s, "womenmanagerscontinuedto trail their male counterpartsin both earnings and authority"(Jacobs 1992). Thus our analyses indicatewhich diversityprogramshelp women and African Americans move at least into the bottomranksof managementand,importantly, which do not. They cannottell us whetherany of these practiceshelp women andminoritiesto move into the executiveranks. We find a clearpatternin the data.Structures establishingresponsibility (affirmativeaction plans, diversitycommittees,and diversitystaff positions) are followed by significant increases in managerialdiversity.Programsthattarget managerialstereotypingthrougheducationand feedback(diversitytrainingand diversityevaluations)arenot followed by increasesin diversity. Programs that address social isolation amongwomen andminorities(networkingand mentoringprograms)are followed by modest changes. The effects of these initiatives vary across groups, with white women benefiting most, followed by black women. Black men benefit least. We also find that responsibility structuresmake training,performanceevaluations, networking, and mentoring programs more effective. Federal affirmative action requirements,which typically lead to assignment of responsibilityfor compliance,also catalyze certainprograms. CORPORATEAFFIRMATIVEACTION AND DIVERSITYPOLICIES These findings support an institutional theory of inequality remediation that builds on key precepts of organizational sociology. As Weber (1978 [1968]) argues, executives must appoint specialists and give them authority to achieve specialized goals. Thus, remedies targeting individual bias or network isolation may be less effective than remedies that establish responsible parties. As neo-institutionalists (Meyer and Rowan 1977) note, new programs decoupled from everyday practice often have no impact. Therefore, appointing a manager or committee with responsibility for change is likely to be more effective than annual diversity training, periodic diversity evaluations, or decentralized networking and mentoring programs. As structural theorists of organizational inequality claim (Baron 1984), there is more to segregation than rogue managers exercising bias. Thus, appointing special staff members and committees to rethink hiring and promotion structures may be more effective than training managers not to ask their secretaries to make coffee, and not to exclude minorities from football pools. The argument that organizations should structure responsibility for reducing inequality may seem commonsensical, but today's popular diversity programs often focus on changing individuals. In the academy generally and in management studies particularly, methodological individualism now holds sway. Theorists prescribe solutions that change incentives for, and beliefs of, individuals with the idea that most problems of management are problems of motivation rather than structure. Thus the most popular program that is not federally mandated is diversity training, designed to attack bias. Managerial bias is also the target of diversity evaluations that offer feedback to managers. Networking and mentoring programs may appear to operate at the collective level, but they are designed to "fix" a lack of specific human and social capital in individual workers. Next, we describe the three categories of diversity practices, link them to theories of inequality, and summarize the (scant) evidence about the effects of workplace antidiscrimination programs. Then we review the research on the effects of the Civil Rights Act and presidential affirmative action edicts on employment-hitherto the main body of research on the effectiveness of antidiscrimination measures. After a discussion of data and methods, we 591 present the results from analyses of white men, white women, black women, and black men in management. THREE APPROACHES TO INCREASING MANAGERIAL DIVERSITY Scholars often presume that practices designed to attack known causes of inequality actually will reduce it, as Reskin (2003) argues, making a leap of faith between causes and remedies. Thus, for example, although we know from experimental psychology that unconscious bias is endemic, and likely contributes to workplace inequality, we can only hope that the prevailing treatments-diversity training and diversity evaluations-diminish inequality. Understanding the cause of malaria and understanding its treatment are two different things. Whether a prescription for inequality is effective is an inherently empirical question. Current prescriptions are not based in evidence. Our goal is to take a first step toward developing an empirically based theory of remediation for organizational inequality. We sketch three mechanisms for remediating workplace inequality rooted in different social science literatures and discuss the popular human resources (HR) measures thought to put these theories to work. One mechanism, based in arguments from Max Weber and organizational institutionalists, is the creation of specialized positions as the way to achieve new goals. Another mechanism, based in theories of stereotyping and bias, involves training and feedback as the way to eliminate managerial bias and its offspring, inequality. A third mechanism, based in theories of social networks, involves programs that target the isolation of women and minorities as a way to improve their career prospects. ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGE:STRUCTURES OF RESPONSIBILITY We begin with a canonical insight from organizational theory. Organizational sociologists and psychologists find that workers ignore newly announced organizational goals and continue to pursue old goals with old routines. The decoupling of formal goals and daily practice may occur because individuals face information overload, and thus stick to the familiar, or 592 AMERICANSOCIOLOGICALREVIEW becausethe old ways of doing thingshavebeen imbued with meaning and value over time (Orton and Weick 1990; Selznick 1949). Institutionalistsarguethat decoupling is common in programs responsive to regulatory demands,such as civil rightsprograms(Dobbin et al. 1988; Edelmanand Petterson1999; Scott 2001; Sutton and Dobbin 1996). Thus, for instance,academicdepartments haveabandoned the old-boysystemof hiringin favorof openjob advertisement,but departmentchairs still ask theirpals for leads. Some arguethatmanagers may simplynot perceiveit as in theirinterestto promote gender and racial integrationof jobs (Jacobs1989b).Decouplingis particularlylikely when there is no office or expertto monitor progress, as Max Weber(1978 [1968]) hinted when he arguedthatexecutives should appoint specialists to pursue specialized goals. If Weberand the institutionalistsarecorrect, where diversity efforts are everyone'sresponsibilitybutno one'sprimaryresponsibility,they aremorelikelyto be decoupled.In organizations that do not assign responsibilityfor diversity goals to a specific office, person, or group, these goals may fall by the waysideas line managersjuggle competing demandsto meet production quotas, financial targets, and the like (Edelman 1990; Meyer and Rowan 1977). Scholars(Reskin 2003; Sturm2001) and consultants(Winterle 1992) alike advise ongoing coordination and monitoring of diversity progress by dedicated staff members or task forces. Threecommon approachescan be used to establishresponsibilityfor diversity,as discussed in the following sections. RESPONSIBILITYAND AFFIRMATIVEACTION PLANS. Assign responsibilityfor setting goals, devising means, and evaluatingprogress;this was Weber'sadvice to bureaucrats.The agency LyndonJohnsonset up in 1965 to monitoraffirmativeactionamongfederalcontractorsencouraged this approach. In 1971, the Office of Federal ContractCompliance (OFCC, which later gained a P for "programs"to become OFCCP)orderedcontractorsto write affirmative action plans in which they annuallyevaluate their own workforces,specify goals for the fair representationof women and minorities based on labor market analyses, and sketch timetables for achievement of these goals (Shaeffer 1973:66). The order also specifies that firms should assign responsibilityto a staff member:"He or she must have the authority,resources,support of and access to top managementto ensurethe effective implementation of the affirmative action program"(U.S. Department of Labor 2005). By collecting andreviewinglocal information annually,the affirmativeaction officer can track "underutilization"of women and minoritiesand keep managersinformedabout their departments' progress (Linnehan and Konrad1999:410; Reskin 2003:13) or initiate "constructivedialogue"about making further progress(Sturm2001). The few studiesthatexamineeffects of affirmative action plans are inconclusive. Baron et al. (1991), studying annual data from 89 California state agencies between 1975 and 1981, foundthat,all else being equal, agencies with affirmativeaction programsmade significantly slower progress in gender desegregation of jobs. Yet those agencies were more integratedoriginally,so it may be that preexisting affirmativeaction programshad left little roomfor improvement(see also Edelmanand Petterson 1999:126; Leonard 1990:65). In a study of 3,091 federal contractorswith affirmative actionplans JonathanLeonard(1985b) shows that the goals employers set for hiring white women,blackwomen, andblackmen did have positive effects, althoughthe goals were wildly optimistic. Goals apparentlydo not act as quotas because virtually no employer ever achieves its writtengoals. Federalcontractorsarerequiredto writeaffirmative action plans, but contractorstatusdoes not correspondperfectlywith the presenceof a plan. Many contractorsfail to write plans or to updatethem (Bureauof NationalAffairs 1986; Leonard 1990:55). Up to one fourth of firms with affirmativeactionplansarenot contractors. They createplans to bid for contractsor to set diversity goals (Bureau of National Affairs 1986;Reskin 1998). In oursample,7 percentof contractorsneverhad a plan, and 20 percentof firms thathadneverhad a contractwroteplans. OVERSIGHTVIA STAFFPOSITIONSAND DEPART- MENTS.Following the classic bureaucratic dic- tum (Weber1978 [1968]), some organizations appointfull-timestaffmembersor createdepartmentsto monitordiversityinsteadof leavingthe task to line managersor assigning it to staffers CORPORATEAFFIRMATIVEACTION AND DIVERSITYPOLICIES with otherresponsibilities.As a newly appointed diversity managerin a high tech company explainedto us in 2001: "Asthe organizationhas startedto grow,they realizedtheyneededsomeone in there to really pay attentionto affirmative action and compliance and ... efforts on diversity.... So the position was createdat the beginning of this year." Big militarycontractorswere the first to create special positions, in the wake of Kennedy's initialaffirmativeactionorderin 1961.Edelman and Petterson(1999) show that equal opportunity departmentsdo not increase gender and racial diversity on their own, but that they do expanddiversityrecruitmentprograms,which in turnimprovediversity.We includea measure for recruitmentprogramsto isolate the effects of diversitystaff positions. OVERSIGHTAND ADVOCACYVIA COMMITTEES. From the late 1980s, experts have advised employersto appointdiversitycommitteesand task forces comprising people from different departments,professional backgrounds, and managerial levels. Committees typically are charged with overseeing diversity initiatives, brainstormingto identify remedies, and monitoringprogress.The diversitytask force at the accounting and consulting giant Deloitte & Touche, for instance, createda series of ongoing groupsresponsiblefor analyzingthe gender gap, recommendingremedialsteps, and establishingsystemsformonitoringresultsandensuring accountability(Sturm2001:492). These three strategies share a focus on responsibility.An organizationwith any one of these has assignedresponsibilityfor progressto a person or group-an affirmativeaction officer, a diversity manager or department,or a committee or task force. Thatperson or group monitorsprogressregularly.Affirmativeaction officers also write explicit annual goals for progress,as do some staffersand committees. BEHAVIORAL CHANGE: REDUCING BIAS THROUGH EDUCATION ANDFEEDBACK Social psychologists trace inequality to bias amongmanagers.Stereotypingis a naturalcognitive mechanism. It is inevitable given our innocenttendencyto makeassociationsbetween categories and concepts (Gorman 2005; Heilman 1995; Lemm and Banaji 1999). The 593 implicit associations we make between race, gender,ethnicity,and social roles can have the effect of reproducing existing patterns of inequality (Jost, Banaji, and Nosek 2004). Managersmay unwittingly select women for jobs traditionally dominated by women and men forjobs dominatedby men, with the effect of preserving between-group differences. Moreover in-group preference is widespread (TajfelandTurner1979) andmay likewise contaminate managerial judgment (Baron and Pfeffer 1994; Reskin 2000). Rosabeth Moss Kanter(1977) sketchesthe earlyresearchon ingroup preference to support her theory of homosocial reproduction-white men promoting their clones. Kanterargues that managers preferto hire their own for reasonsof communication and trust. Twocorporateinitiativesarethoughtto counter stereotyping and in-group preference. Diversitytrainingis thoughtto makemanagers awareof how bias affectstheiractionsandthose of subordinates. Diversity evaluations are thought to provide managers with feedback showingthe effects of theirdecisions on diversity. EDUCATIONVIA DIVERSITYTRAINING.Social psychological researchshows that giving people informationaboutout-groupmembersand aboutstereotypingmayreducebias (Fiske 1998; Nelson, Acker, and Melvin 1996). Diversity trainingprovidesmanagerswith such information. It can be tracedto the equal opportunity "sensitivity"trainingprogramsthata handfulof major corporations put together in the mid1970s in responseto the first equal opportunity consent decrees and court orders (Shaeffer 1973). By the late 1980s, quite a few corporate trainersandpsychologistshad developedtraining modules designedto familiarizeemployees with antidiscriminationlaw, to suggest behavioral changes that could address bias, and to increase culturalawarenessand cross-cultural communication(Bendick, Egan, and Lofhjelm 1998). Employersusually offer trainingeitherto all managersor to all employees. We look at the effects of trainingoffered at least to all managers.Some studiesof diversitytrainingsuggest that it may activate rather than reduce bias (Kidder et al. 2004; Rynes and Rosen 1995; Sidanius,Devereux,andPratto2001). Research 594 AMERICANSOCIOLOGICALREVIEW on diversity training programs has seldom exploredtheireffectson workforcecomposition, but one study of federal agencies (Naff and Kellough 2003) did show that a broaddiversity programhad a negative effect on the promotion of minorities(Krawiec2003:514). FEEDBACKVIA PERFORMANCEEVALUATIONS. Feedbackis thoughtto reducebias by directing managerial attention and motivation (Reskin 2003:325). Laboratoryexperimentsshow that when subjects know that their decisions will be reviewedby experimenters,they show lower levels of bias in assigning jobs (Salancik and Pfeffer 1978; Tetlock 1985). Evaluatingmanagers on their diversity performance creates oversight and provides feedback. As early as 1973, the HarvardBusiness Reviewnoted that "as one criterionof a line manager'sperformance appraisal,some companieshave included his success in effectively implementingequal opportunity programs" (Fretz and Hayman 1973:137). By the mid-1980s, a study of nine exemplaryfirms found that managersin each firm received regular equal opportunityperformanceevaluations(Vernon-Gerstenfeld and Burke1985:59-60). To ourknowledge,no studies assess the effects of diversityevaluations. TREATINGSOCIALISOLATION:NETWORKING AND MENTORING MarkGranovetter(1974) broughtinsightsabout social networks,pioneeredby both sociologists and psychologists, to the study of how people find jobs. Students of inequality have since speculated that differential network contacts and differentialresourcesaccruingfrom these contacts may explain part of the continuing inequality between whites and blacks, and betweenmen andwomen(Blair-Loy2001; Burt 1998; Ibarra 1992, 1995; McGuire 2000; Petersen, Saporta, and Seidelm 1998). White men are more likely than others to find good jobs through network ties because their networks are composed of other white men who dominatethe uppertiers of firms (Burt 1998; Reskin and McBrier 2000, but see Fernandez and Fernandez-Mateo 2006; Mouw 2003). Social networksalso encouragetrust,support, andinformalcoaching(BaronandPfeffer1994; Castilla 2005; Kanter 1977). Networking and mentoringprogramsdesigned specifically for women and minorities are thought to provide usefulcontactsandinformation(Thomas2001). Both types of programswere pioneeredin the 1970s and then revived in the 1990s as partof diversitymanagementefforts(Wernick1994:25; Winterle 1992:21). NETWORKINGPROGRAMS.Diversitynetworking programsfor women andminoritiesvary in structure.Some takethe formof regularbrownbag lunchmeetings,whereasothersincludelavish national conferences (Crow 2003). These programsmay be initiatedby employees or by HR managers.They provide a place for members to meet and share informationand career advice. Some networks also advocate policy changes,suchas those involvingfamilypolicies and domestic-partner benefits (Briscoe and Safford2005). Althoughnetworkingmay occur without any organizationalimpetus,we examine formal networkingprogramsthat employers supportthroughreleasetime forparticipants, meeting space, funding,newsletters,and email lists. MENTORING PROGRAMS. In 1978, the Harvard Business Review published an article titled "EveryoneWho Makes It Has a Mentor"that made mentors a must-have for aspiring management trainees (Lunding, Clements, and Perkins1979;see also Roche 1979). Proponents of formal mentoringprogramsarguethat they can level the playing field, giving women and minoritiesthe kinds of relationshipsthatwhite men get through the old-boy network. Mentoringprogramsmatch aspiringmanagers with senior mentors,with the two meeting for career counseling and informal advice. Empiricalstudies,such as BurkeandMcKeen's (1997) survey of universitygraduates,suggest a relationshipbetween mentoring and career success among women, but do not rule out the possibility that ambitious women seek mentors. One study of randommentorassignment within a single firm found that, in general, mentees have improved social networks and tacticalknowledge,whichmayhelptheircareers (Moore2001). Othershavefoundthatcross-race mentoring relationships often fail (Thomas 2001), and that same-sex mentoringdoes not have a positive effect on job placementin aca- CORPORATEAFFIRMATIVEACTION AND DIVERSITYPOLICIES demic departments of economics (Neumark and Gardecki1996). ADVERSE EFFECTS OFDIVERSITY PRACTICES Some argue that affirmativeaction and diversity programs can backfire (Bond and Pyle 1988; Linnehanand Konrad1999). First,executives may believe that women and minorities benefit from reverse discriminationand thus may not deserve their positions (Heilman, Block, and Stathatos1997;but see Taylor1995). Second,because of the elusive natureof cognitive bias, "conscious attemptsat thoughtregulation"-such as diversitytraininganddiversity evaluations-"may even backfire, leading to exaggeratedstereotypingunder conditions of diminished capacity, or when self-regulation efforts are relaxed" (Nelson et al. 1996:31). Indeed,managementconsultantsandresearchers find mixed reactionsto diversitymanagement among white males, who report that they are "tiredof being made to feel guilty in every discussion of diversity... of being cast as oppressors" (Hemphill and Haines 1997). Third, coworkersand executives may have negative reactions when they perceive minorities "as attemptingto obtain power by individual and collectivemeans"(Ragins 1995:106),andexecutives may fear that networking will lead to union organizing(Bendick et al. 1998; Carter 2003; Friedman and Craig 2004; Miller 1994:443; Society for Human Resources Management2004). Finally,some studies find thatraciallydiverseworkgroupscommunicate less effectivelyandareless coherent(Baughand Graen 1997; Townsendand Scott 2001; Vallas 2003; Williams and O'Reilly 1998). Taken together,this research suggests that diversity programsmay inhibit management diversity, particularlyfor blacks. THE CIVILRIGHTS ACT, AFFIRMATIVE ACTION EDICTS,AND DIVERSITY PRACTICES Although there is little researchon the effects of corporatediversityprograms,the Civil Rights Act and presidentialaffirmativeaction orders havebeen shownto increasediversity.The Civil RightsAct coversvirtuallyall employers,making researchon its effectsdifficult(Donohueand Heckman 1991). The effects of presidential 595 affirmativeaction orders can be examined by comparingfederal contractorssubjectto these orders with noncontractors.Six studies using EEOCdatafor periods of 4 to 6 years between 1966 and 1980 show that black employment grew more quickly among contractors (AshenfelterandHeckman1976;Goldsteinand Smith 1976; Heckman and Payner 1989; HeckmanandWolpin1976).Affirmativeaction hadnegligibleeffectson whitewomen(Leonard 1989:65). Contractoreffects on blacks, especially black women, declined from the early 1980s (Leonard 1990:58), coincidentwith the Reaganadministration's policy of deregulation. These studies do not look at whether federal contractors increased black employment by adoptingantidiscriminationpractices.The two exceptions are a study by Leonard (1985b) showing that employerswho set high recruitment goals see more change and a study by Holzer and Neumark (2000) showing that employers subject to affirmative action law expandrecruitmenteffortsandhiremoreapplicants from disadvantagedgroups.We examine the effect of affirmative action orders and explorethe possibilitythatbeing subjectto such orders(bybeing a federalcontractor)rendersthe seven diversityprogramsmore effective. In summary,we expect the differentsorts of diversityprogramsto varyin efficacy.If assigning organizationalresponsibilityis more effective than targetingthe behaviorof individuals, then affirmative action plans, diversity committees,andfull-timediversitystaffwill be followed by broader increases in diversity than will eitherdiversitytrainingand diversityevaluations,or networkingandmentoringprograms. By the same logic, the latterfourprogramsmay be more effective when implementedin organizations with responsibilitystructures.Finally, we examinewhetheraffirmativeactionoversight rendersprogramsmore effective. ALTERNATIVESOURCES OF CHANGE IN THE MANAGERIALWORKFORCE We includein the analysesotherfactorsthought to affect management diversity. We cannot include factorsthatdo not vary with time, such as industryor location,becauseourfixed-effects models account for such stabletraits. 596 AMERICANSOCIOLOGICALREVIEW LEGALENVIRONMENT Legal enforcement, through OFCCP compliance reviews, lawsuits, and EEOC charges, should increase employers'hiring and promotion of women and minorities (Baron et al. 1991:1386; Donohue and Siegelman 1991; Kalev andDobbin forthcoming;Leonard1984; Skaggs 2001). ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURES Organizationalsize andthe availabilityof managerialjobs createnew opportunities(Baronet al. 1991), but also more competition.Konrad and Linnehan (1995) and Leonard(1990:52) find thatincreaseddemandfor managersfavors white women, but not African Americans. Unionizationtends to preserve segregationby favoringold timersthroughseniorityprovisions (Blau and Beller 1992; Milkman 1985; but see Kelly 2003; Leonard1985a). Formalizationof personnel systems can reduce favoritism (Dobbinet al. 1993;ReskinandMcBrier2000), althoughit also can create separatecareertrajectoriesfordifferentgroups(BaldiandMcBrier 1997; Baron and Bielby 1985; Elvira and Zatzick 2002). Legal counsel may sensitize employersto diversityin promotiondecisions, and recruitmentsystems targetingwomen and minoritiescan increasediversity(Edelmanand Petterson 1999; Holzer and Neumark 2000). Finally,work/familypolicies mayremoveobstacles to the promotion of women (Williams 2000). Zatzick 2002; Kletzer 1998). Finally,growing industriescan offer more attractivejobs, and both women and minorities have historically been relegatedto less attractivesectors(Reskin and Roos 1990:298). DATA AND METHODS We conducted a fixed-effects analysis of longitudinaldataon the workforcecompositionof 708 establishmentsto assess changes in managerialcompositionafterthe adoptionof each of seven diversity practices. The data cover the period1971-2002. Fixed-effectmodelsaccount, implicitly,for organizations'unobservedcharacteristicsthat do not vary over time and that may affect diversity. EEOCDATA The Civil Rights Act of 1964, as amended, requiresprivateemployerswith more than 100 employees and government contractors with more than 50 employees and contractsworth $50,000 to file annual EEO-1 reports.These reportsdetail the race, ethnicity,and genderof employees in nine broad occupational categories. There are no better data on workforce composition(fora methodologicaldiscussionon using EEO-1reports,see Robinsonet al. 2005). We obtainedthe data from the EEOC through an Intergovernmental PersonnelAct (IPA)agreement. Some arguethatemployersreclassifiedjobs in the 1970s, moving women and minorities TOPMANAGEMENT COMPOSITION into managementcategories to improve their The diversityof the top managementteammay federal reports (Smith and Welch 1984). affect managerial hires through homosocial Leonard(1990:53) notes that "purereclassifireproductionor social closure (Kanter 1977; cation would cause black losses in the lower Tomaskovic-Devey1993). occupations[in the EEO data],which is generally not observed."Jacobs (1992:298) shows a LABORMARKET ANDECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT declining gender earningsgap consistent with realprogress,notingthat"thepredominanttrend Firms can more easily increase managerial has been towardreal,if slow progressinto mandiversitywhen internalandexternallaborpools agement on the partof women."In our sample, are diverse (Cohen, Broschak, and Haveman few firms show suddenincreasesfor women or 1998; Shenhavand Haberfeld 1992). Demand blacks in management, but we checked results for workersfromunderrepresented groupsmay for robustnessby eliminatingthese cases, and be higher in industrieswith more federal conthe results did not change. We also eliminated tractors.In hardeconomictimes,blackmen, and to a lesser extent women, are more vulnerable establishment-yearspells frombefore 1990, as than white men to being laid off (Elvira and discussed later,and the findings held up. CORPORATEAFFIRMATIVEACTION AND DIVERSITYPOLICIES ORGANIZATIONAL SURVEYDATA We drew a random sample of establishments fromthe EEO-1 databasefor our organizational survey. For that sample, we constructed a dataset comprising all EEO-1 reports for the years 1971-2002, interpolatingfor the missing years of 1974, 1976, and 1977. Establishments enter the datasetwhen they begin filing EEO1 reports.To ensurethatwe wouldbe ableto follow establishmentsover time, we chose half of the sample from establishmentsthat had been in the datasetsince 1980andhalf fromthosethat had been in the dataset since 1992. We also stratifiedby size, selecting 35 percentof establishments with fewer than 500 employees in 1999, and by industryto representthe manufacturing,service,andtradesectors.We sampled from food, chemicals, computer equipment, transportation equipment,wholesaletrade,retail trade,insurance,business services, and health services. Corporatediversitycan be influenced by acquisitions,spin-offs,andplantclosings, so we sampledestablishments,selecting no more than one per parentfirm. We conducted a longitudinal survey of employment practices at each establishment coveringthe years 1971-2002, in collaboration with the PrincetonSurveyResearchCenter.We drewon the experiencesof otherswho hadconducted organizationalsurveys of employment practices (particularlyKalleberg et al. 1996; Kelly 2000; Osterman 1994, 2000). We completed 833 interviews,for a responserateof 67 percent, which compares favorably with the rates of those other organizationalsurveys. In preparation,we conducted41 in-personinterviews with HR managersfrom randomlysampled organizationsin fourdifferentregions,and 20 pilot phone interviews. Data from those interviews are not included in the analyses reportedin this discussion. We began by writing to the HR directorat each establishment.We askedfor permissionto conduct an interview and for the name of the person who could best answerquestionsabout the establishment'shistoryof HR practices.The typicalintervieweewas an HR managerwith 11 yearsof tenure.We scheduledphoneinterviews at the convenience of the interviewees, and explained in advance the nature of the information needed. We asked whether the establishmenthadeverused eachpersonnelprogram, when it was adopted,and whetherand when it 597 hadbeen discontinued.Programdiscontinuation was rare.When a respondentcould not answer a question, we sent a copy of that question by email or fax, askedthatshe consultrecordsand colleagues,andcalled backto fill in the blanks. Duringour in-personpilot interviews, respondentsroutinelypulled out manualswith copies of policies and lists of adoption and revision dates. Nonetheless, because responses about events long past may be inaccurate,we replicated the analyses using only establishmentyear spells for 1990 to 2002, as discussed later. We matched survey data for each establishment with annual EEO-1 records, creating a datasetwith annualestablishment-yearspells. After excluding 10 cases that had EEO-1 data availablefor fewer than 5 years, 13 cases with excessive numbersof missing values for EEO1 or surveydata,and 102 cases thatwere missing the adoption date for at least one key program,our final datasetincluded 708 cases and 16,265 establishment-year cells, with a medianof 25 years of dataper establishment,a minimum of 5 years, and a maximum of 32 years.We collected dataon national,state, and industryemploymentfromthe Bureauof Labor Statistics. Because of our stratified sampling design and the response pattern,we were concerned thatrespondentsmight not representthe populationof establishmentsthatfile EEO-1reports in the sampled industries. We constructed weightsbased on the inverseprobabilitythatan establishmentfrom each stratum(industryby size and by time in the EEO-1 dataset)would completethe survey.We replicatedall reported analysesusingweights,andthe resultsremained intact.We reportunweightedresults in the following discussion(WinshipandRadbill 1994). We also were concerned that employers who refusedto participatemight systematicallydiffer, on factors affecting diversity,from those who participated.We included in the models predictedvalues froma logistic regressionestimating the probabilityof response (Heckman 1979). This did not change our results. Covariatesin that model were industry,establishment status (headquarters,subunit, standalone status),size, contractorstatus,managerial diversity,andcontactperson'sposition.The last variablewas obtainedin the initial contact,the others from the EEO-1 data. 598 AMERICANSOCIOLOGICALREVIEW DEPENDENTVARIABLES The dependentvariablesare the log odds that managersare white men, white women, black women, and black men . For each group, odds are calculated as the proportionof managers from that group divided by the proportionnot from that group (proportion/(l- proportion)). Figure 1 presentsthe trends,in percents,in our sample. Between 1971 and 2002, management jobs held by white men decline from 81 to 61 percent in the average establishment. Managementjobs held by white women rise from 16 to 26 percent, whereas those held by black women rise from 0.4 to 2 percent, and those held by black men rise from 1 to 3.1 percent. There also is a significant rise in the representationof othergroups,notablyHispanics, duringthisperiod,whichis why the percentages do not sum up to 100 percent. Black women and men showed dramatic changes in their proportions in management relativeto the baseline,quadruplingandtripling, respectively,but saw small changes in percentage points. Because the absolute changes for blacks are relatively small we log the dependent variables.We use log odds, ratherthan log proportion,because the distributionis close to normal (Fox 1997:78).1In a sensitivity analysis, log proportionperformed very similarly. The dependentvariableis measuredannually, one year after the independent variables. Changingthe lag to 2, 3, or 4 yearsdoes not alter the findings. Our sample is designed to investigatethe effects of diversityprogramson workforce composition in private sector establishments large enough to file EEO-1 reports.We do not claimto describethe nation's managerialworkforce.Nationallyrepresentative samples such as the CurrentPopulationSurvey include the public and nonprofit sectors, in which the gains of women and minoritieshave 1 Becauselog-odds(logit)is undefinedat values of 0 and 1, we substituted 0 with 1/2Nj,and1 with 1-1/2Nj,whereNj is the numberof managersin establishmentj (HanushekandJackson1977;Reskin andMcBrier2000).Theresultswererobustto differentsubstitutions for0. Wechosetheonethatkept thedistribution unimodalandclosestto normal.To ensurethatthe substitution doesnotdrivethe findings,we includea binaryvariablefornogroupmembersin management. been larger.Furthermore, nationalfiguresreflect the change in women'srepresentationin managementassociatedwith service sector growth (e.g. Jacobs 1992), whereas our data track a relativelystable set of firms. AFFIRMATIVE ACTIONPLANSANDDIVERSITY PRACTICES Figure2 showstheprevalenceof all sevendiversity programsamong the 708 employers analyzed later.By 2002, affirmativeaction plans were used in 63 percent of the workplaceswe study,followedby trainingin 39 percent,diversity committeesin 19 percent,networkingprograms(forwomenandminorities)in 19 percent, diversityevaluationsformanagersin 19 percent, diversitystaffin 11 percent,andmentoringprograms(forwomenandminorities)in 11 percent. The bivariate correlations and joint frequencies of the seven programsare not shown here (see Online Supplement,ASRWeb site: http:// www2.asanet.org/joumals/asr/2006/toc052.html). In the analysesreportedin the following discussion,we use binaryvariablesto representthe presenceof the sevendiversityprograms.Forsix programs,we asked whetherthe organization had ever had the program,when it was first adopted,andwhen (if ever)it was discontinued. Forthe seventhpractice,diversitytraining,we asked when it was first and last offered. If an employerhadgone for 3 yearswithouttraining, we treatedthe programas defunct.We collected additionalinformationaboutdiversitytraining becauseourin-personinterviewssuggested that it varied across organizationsmore than the other programs,but we found significant similaritiesin trainingprograms.In 70 percent of the establishmentswith training for managers, trainingwas mandatory.Includedin 80 percentof the trainingprogramswas a discussion on the legal aspectsof diversity,and98 percent were conducted with live facilitators,as opposed to being offered exclusively via the Web or video. Although some organizations offered trainingnot only to managers,but also to all employees, we reporteffects of training for managersbecause managersmade promotion decisions. Trainingfor all employees had nearlyidenticaleffects in the models. Because the measures are binary, coded 1 for all the yearsthe programis in place,program effects are estimated for the entire period of CORPORATEAFFIRMATIVEACTIONAND DIVERSITYPOLICIES 599 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% managers of 40% percent 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Year S---- White Men -0--- White Women -4- Black Men - - - - Black Women Figure 1. Percent of Managers: White Men and Women and Black Men and Women, 1971-2002 Note: Based on EEO-1 reports 1971-2002 sampled for Princeton University Human Resources Survey 2002. Varying N. Maximum N = 708; EEO = equal employment opportunity. 40% Workplace of 30% 20% percent 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Year --AA Plan --A-- Diversity Committee -0-- Diversity Training - - -Mentoring for Women/Minorities --4- FullTimeEO/AAStaff DiversityEffortsin Mgrs'Evaluations -)-- Networking for Women/Minorities Figure 2. Percentof Private-SectorWorkplaceswith Affirmative Action Plans and Diversity Programs, 1971-2002 Note: Based on Princeton University Human Resources Survey, 2002. Varying N. Maximum N = 708. 600 AMERICANSOCIOLOGICALREVIEW the program'sexistence(notmerelyfor the year after initiation). For six of the programs,between 2 and 4 percent of the respondentswho reported the program'sadoptioncould not tell us the exact year.Forthe seventhpractice,affirmativeaction plan, the figure was 8 percent.We eliminated cases with missing data on any of these variables.The resultswere virtuallyidenticalwhen we imputedmissing datafor variablesof interest and retained these cases in the analysis. Missing adoption dates for control variables were imputed using ordinary least squares (OLS) regression, with industry,age of establishment, and type of establishmentas covariates. Omittingcases with imputeddatadid not substantiallyalterthe findings. CONTROL VARIABLES All measures included in the analyses vary annually.Table 1 presentsdefinitions and data sources for key variablesas well as means and standarddeviations(basedon all organizational spells). Descriptivestatisticsfor the entirelist of control variables are not shown here (see Online Supplement,ASR Web site). Because the fixed-effects method estimates variation withinthe organization,it captureschangeover time. For example, in the models, the variable organizational size captures the effect of a change in size on change in managerialdiversity.These models effectively ignore measures thatdo not change, such as industry,but crosscase variationin those measuresis capturedby the fixed effects. LEGALENVIRONMENT. We include a binary variablebased on the EEO-1 reportsindicating whetherthe establishmentis a federalcontractor subject to affirmative action regulation. Legal enforcementis measuredusing threesurvey variables that capturethe establishment's experience with Title VII lawsuits, EEOC charges, and affirmative action compliance reviews. Each is coded 1 from the year of the firm'sfirst enforcementexperience.Morethan one thirdof establishment-yearspells had previously faced a lawsuit; more than one third had faced an EEOCcharge;and nearly 15 percent had faced a compliancereview (only contractorsare subjectto compliancereviews). ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURES. Organizationalsize andavailabilityof managerialjobs are measured using EEO-1 data on the total numberof employees in the establishmentand the number of managerial employees. Unionization is coded 1 when the establishment has at least one contract. Substituting with a measure of core job unionization does not alterthe results.FormalHR policies involve a count of hiring, promotion, and discharge guidelines; job descriptions; promotion ladders;performanceevaluations;pay grade system: and internaljob posting. Legal counsel is measuredwith a binary variable for the presence of an in-house attorney.Targetedrecruitment policy is a binary measure of special diversityrecruitmentefforts.Work-familysupport counts paid maternityleave, paid paternity leave, flextimepolicies, andtop management supportfor work-family programsas assessed by our respondents. TOP MANAGEMENT COMPOSITION. Top management team diversity is measured with the percentage of the top 10 positions held by women and/or African Americans, based on survey data.We asked aboutthe percentageat 10-year intervals and interpolatedvalues for the interveningyears. LABORMARKETAND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT. The diversity of the establishment's internal laborpool is measuredwith two variablesbased on the EEO-1 reports:the percent of the focal groupin nonmanagerialjobs andthe percentin the corejob. To determinethe EEO-1 category that held the core job, we asked respondents about the single biggest job in the organization. We include a variablecoded 1 when there are no membersof the focal group in management. Diversityof the establishment'sexternal laborpool is capturedby two sets of variables on industry and state labor forces from the CurrentPopulationSurvey. Industryemploymentvariablesarelogged.Weuse the industry's percent of governmentcontractors(based on EEO-1 data)to measuredemandfor underrepresentedworkersin affirmativeaction sectors. Economic conditions are measured with the yearly state unemploymentrate, and industry size is measured as total annual industry CORPORATEAFFIRMATIVEACTION AND DIVERSITYPOLICIES 6ol Data EEO-1 shown EEO-1Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey EEO-1 EEO-1 Survey Survey Survey EEO-1 Survey Survey EEO-1 EEO-1 Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey not opportunity; variables of Type Count Count Count Binary Binary Binary Binary Binary Binary BinaryBinary Binary Binary Binary Binary Binary list Continuous Continuous Continuous Continuous Continuous Continuous Continuous Continuous employment 10010066.7 100 Maximum 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .789 1 9 1 1 4 100100 12,866 detailed a equal = for 2 EEO Table to note See 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 .002 0 0 here. Minimum shown not but Deviation 4.25.9 23.6 21.2 .494 .206 .222 .244 .303 .244 .179 .498 .356 .474 .464 .090 .436 .448 .978 .363 analyses 2.516 10.239 23.575 827 the in Standard http://www2.asane included site: are Web Composition 1.4 22.2 2.4 Mean 70.0 Workforce .156 .912 3.471 .045 .052 .064 .102 .064 .033 .455 .149 .341 .314 .124 .254 .277 .422 4.917 16.445 ASR 702 variables Supplement, environment Managerial of contract) Analysis in minorities Measures and Online on economic (percent) and variables men women women men staff managers (government women minorities women market of Diversity establishment for areare control status white white black black plan in and of Variables(percent) Labor Composition lawsuits size areareareare who who list accommodations Structures review action action programs policies resources. programs who who who who committee evaluations training ActionEEO/diversity attorney 16,265. Selected Variables managers recruitment HR entire charges agreement = time managers managers 1. Environment N (seehuman Management = Special Top Top Establishment Formal In-house Work-family Compliance Discrimination EEOCPercent Union Diversity Diversity Mentoring Affirmative Managers Managers Affirmative FullDiversity Managers Managers Networking HR Top here Legal Organizational Note: Affirmative Table Outcome Used 602 AMERICANSOCIOLOGICALREVIEW employment,both fromthe CurrentPopulation Survey. METHODS Weuse pooled cross-sectionaltime-seriesmodels, with fixed effectsforbothestablishmentand year (Hicks 1994; Hsiao 1986). We use fixed effects for establishmentsto accountforunmeasured,time-invariantcharacteristicsthatmight affect outcome variables(for recent empirical examples of these methods appliedto individuals, see Budig and England 2001; Western 2002). This specification, achieved by subtracting the values of each observation from the establishment mean (Hsiao 1986:31), strengthens our causal inferences about the effects of affirmativeaction plans and diversity practices by ruling out the possibility that organizationsthat adoptedthose practiceshad stableunobservedpreferencesfor diversity.To captureenvironmentalchanges, such as legal and culturalshifts, we use a binaryvariablefor each year, omitting 1971. The large numberof parametersinvolvedin estimatingfixed-effects models rendersthem less efficient than other estimators.However,we prefer these to alternative models because they provide the most stringent tests of our hypotheses. The establishment and year fixed effects also offer an efficient means of dealing with nonconstant varianceof the errors(heteroskedasticity) stemming from the cross-sectional and temporal aspects of the pooled data. Because our dependentvariablesare measured as parts of the same whole (the whole being managementjobs), we expect theirerror terms to be correlated.Ordinaryleast squares wouldthusproduceunbiasedandconsistent,but inefficient, estimators.We use seeminglyunrelated regression, which takes into account covariance between the errors and produces unbiased, efficient estimators (Felmlee and Hargens 1988; Greene 1997; Zellner 1962). Simultaneousestimationalso allows us to comparethe effect of each diversitypracticeacross groupswith formalchi-squaretests (Kalleberg and Mastekaasa2001; Zellner 1962). FINDINGS The analysis shows substantialvariationin the effectiveness of diversity programs. Some increasemanagerialdiversityacrossthe board, whereas others have meager effects, or positive effects for some groupsandnegativeeffects for others.Themost effectivepracticesarethose thatestablishorganizational responsibility:affirmative action plans, diversity staff, and diversity task forces. Attempts to reduce social isolationamongwomenandAfricanAmericans through networkingand mentoring programs areless promising.Leasteffectiveareprograms for taming managerialbias througheducation and feedback. DIVERSITY PROGRAMS AT WORK In Table 2, we report models of managerial diversity. (Selected control variables are presented;the remainingcoefficients can be seen on the OnlineSupplement,ASRWebsite). Each dependentvariableis the (natural)log odds of managersbeing froma certaingroup.To transformthe coefficient[pfromrepresentingchange in log odds to representingpercentagechange in odds, it should be exponentiated:[exp([3)1]*100. Once exponentiated in this way the coefficient representsthe average percentage changein the oddsthatmanagersarefroma certaingroup,associatedwith a changein the independentvariable.Inthe discussionbelow we use 'odds for [group]'as a shorthand.We also provide an illustrativesummaryof the results in proportionterms. The R2 figures for these fixed-effects models represent the percentage of the variance explained by the predictorswhen the unique effectsof eachestablishmentareexcluded.A log likelihood ratio test shows that the variables reportedin Table 2 significantly improve the model fit (chi(28) = 405.66; p < .001), as compared with the baseline models that have no variablesrepresentingdiversityprograms(available on request). ORGANIZATIONALRESPONSIBILITY.Coefficients for the diversityprogramsrepresentthe change in the log odds that managersare from a certaingroup that is attributableto the presence of a practice,averagedacross all years of the program'sexistence.Afteremployersset up affirmativeactionplans,the odds for whitemen in managementdecline by 8 percent;the odds for whitewomenrise by 9 percent;andthe odds for blackmen rise by 4 percent.These numbers represent the estimated average difference CORPORATE AFFIRMATIVE ACTIONANDDIVERSITY POLICIES 603 Table2. FixedEffectsEstimatesof the Log Oddsof WhiteMen andWomenandBlackWomenandMen in Management,1971-2002 Organizational Responsibility Affirmativeactionplan Diversitycommittee Diversitystaff ManagerialBias Diversitytraining Diversityevaluations SocialIsolation Networkingprograms Mentoringprograms LegalEnvironment Governmentcontract Compliancereview TitleVII lawsuit EEOCcharge Structures Organizational Proportionmanagersin establishment size (log) Establishment Unionagreement Formalpersonnelpolicies In-houseattorney policy Targetedrecruitment Work-familyaccommodations TopManagementComposition Proportionminoritiesin top management Proportionwomenin top management WhiteMen WhiteWomen BlackWomen BlackMen -.078** (.017) -.081** (.028) -.055 (.033) .086** (.017) .175** (.029) .104** (.034) .005 (.014) .242** (.024) .123** (.028) .039* (.015) .114** (.026) .128** (.030) -.038 (.021) .028 (.027) -.001 (.022) .061* (.028) -.066** (.018) -.027 (.023) .031 (.019) -.081** (.025) -.083** (.027) -.011 (.033) .080** (.028) -.004 (.035) .012 (.023) .213** (.029) -.096** (.024) .037 (.031) .032 (.019) -.083** (.020) -.107** (.015) -.007 (.016) .006 (.019) .077** (.020) .141** (.016) .014 (.017) -.039* (.016) .020 (.017) .044** (.013) .019 (.014) -.027 (.017) .081** (.018) .029* (.014) .034* (.015) -.896** (.108) -.021 (.012) -.053 (.033) -.002 (.004) -.100** (.023) -.071** (.021) -.078** (.008) .309** (.112) -.023* (.012) -.068* (.034) -.003 (.004) .126** (.024) .108** (.021) .065** (.009) -4.499** (.092) -.661** (.010) -.007 (.028) -.016** (.003) -.040* (.020) .131** (.018) .026** (.007) -3.989** (.099) -.515** (.011) -.029 (.030) -.015** (.003) .021 (.021) .099** (.019) .004 (.008) -.002 (.001) -.002** (.001) -.002 (.001) .004** (.001) .007** (.001) .002** (.001) .012** (.001) -.002* (.001) .2799 .3636 .3335 .3146 R2(64 parameters) = < unrelated .001. Data shown are coefficients from Note: Log likelihoodratiotest;X2(28) 405.66;p seemingly regressionwith standarderrorsin parentheses.Variablesincludedin the analysesbutnot shownhereare8 vari4 binaryvariablesforproportionof eachgroupin non-managerial jobs andin corejob in eachestablishment; ablesfor no workersfroma groupin management;8 variablesforproportionof eachgroupin stateandindustry rate(full laborforces;proportionof contractorfirmsin industry;industryemployment;andstateunemployment resultson OnlineSupplement,ASRWebsite:http://www2.asanet.org/journals/asr/2006/toc052.html). Analyses also includeestablishmentandyearfixed effects.All independentvariablesarelaggedby 1 year,excluding = 16,265;N (organizations) = 708. EEOC= Equal proportionof managerialjobs. N (organization-year) Employment Opportunity Commission. * p < .05; ** p < .01 (two tailed test). 604 AMERICANSOCIOLOGICALREVIEW between having a plan and the counterfactual condition of not having a plan for the entire periodof the plan'sexistence.These resultsare consistent with Leonard's(1990) finding that affirmativeactionplangoals areeffective.Note thatthe coefficient for black women is not significant here. When we introduced industry interactions,we discoveredthatin manufacturing (computers, electronics, transportation), affirmative action plans had negative effects on black women, whereas in service (retail, insurance,businessservices),affirmativeaction planshadpositiveeffects (resultsavailableupon request).Creatinga diversitycommitteeincreases the odds for white women, acrossthe period of the committee's existence, by 19 percent. The odds for black women rise 27 percent,and the odds for black men rise 12 percent. Employerswho appointfull-timediversitystaff also see significant increases in the odds for white women (11 percent), black women (13 percent), and black men (14 percent) in management. As noted,the coefficientsin Table2 represent the averagechanges in log odds thatmanagers are from a certain group. The effect of each programon the percentof women and minorities in management will vary depending on where organizationsbegin (Fox 1997:78). For example, an 8 percent decrease in the odds of managersbeing whitemen resultingfromadoption of affirmativeaction plan would translate to a decline of 2.6 percent in the percent of whitemen in managementif they constituted70 percent before adoption, but it would mean a larger decline of 4.3 percent if they made up only 50 percent at the baseline (Petersen 1985:311). PROGRAMSFORREDUCINGMANAGERIAL BIAS. Programsdesigned to reduce managerialbias througheducation(diversitytraining)andfeedback (diversity evaluations)show one modest positive effect and two negative effects across the threedisadvantagedgroups.Diversitytraining is followedby a 7 percentdeclinein the odds for blackwomen. Diversityevaluationsarefollowed by a 6 percentrise in the odds for white women, but an 8 percentdecline in the odds for black men. These mixed effects are anticipated in the literature.As noted,laboratorystudiesand surveys often show adversereactionsto training (Bendick et al. 1998; Nelson et al. 1996). Moreover, critics argue that trainers define diversitybroadlyto includegroupsnot covered by federal civil rights law (parents,smokers), and therebydrawattentionaway from protected groups (Edelman, Fuller, and Mara-Drita 2001; Kochanet al. 2003; KonradandLinnehan 1995). PROGRAMSFOR REDUCINGSOCIALISOLATION. Networkingandmentoringprograms,designed to countersocial isolation,show modest effects on managerialdiversity.Networkingis followed by a rise in the odds for white women and a decline in the odds for white men and black men. The negativecoefficient for black men is anticipatedby qualitativeresearch(Carter2003; Friedmanand Craig2004) showingthatwhites can develop negativeattitudestowardAfricanAmerican organizing. In contrast, mentoring programsshow a strongpositive effect on the odds for black women. These findings suggest that having personal guidance and supportat workcan facilitatecareerdevelopment(Castilla 2005) for blackwomen, whereasnetworkingis more effective for white women. GENDER AND RACIAL PATTERNS.Overall, it appears that diversity programs do most for white women and more for black women than for black men. Black men gain significantly less from affirmative action than do white women (chi-sq(1) = 4.15, p < .05), and significantly less from diversitycommitteesthan do blackwomen(chi-sq(l) = 22.47,p.< .01). Three programs show negative effects on African Americans,whereasno programshows a negative effect on white women. We hesitate to overinterpretthis pattern,but note thatthere is somethingof a trade-offamong groups. Table3 evaluatesthe magnitudeof the effects of programson the proportionof each groupin managementbased on the coefficients in Table 2. "Proportionin year of adoption"is the mean proportion of each group in management, amongadopters,in theiractualyearsof program adoption(i.e.,just beforetreatment)."Estimated proportionwith practice"shows the predicted mean proportionafter the practice is in place. Thus, for example, the proportion of white women among managersin the averageestablishment adopting an affirmative action program was 0.132, and the net effect of the CORPORATE AFFIRMATIVE ACTION ANDDIVERSITY POLICIES 605 Table3. EstimatedAverageDifferencesin ManagerialCompositionDue to Adoptionof AffirmativeActionand DiversityPractices WhiteMen AffirmativeActionPlan .783 Proportionin yearof adoption Estimatedproportionwith practice .769 Percentdifferencedue to adoption -1.8%** DiversityCommittee .630 Proportionin yearof adoption Estimatedproportionwith practice .611 Percentdifferencedueto adoption -3.0%** DiversityStaff .724 Proportionin yearof adoption Estimatedproportionwith practice .713 Percentdifferencedueto adoption -1.5% DiversityTraining .687 Proportionin yearof adoption Estimatedproportionwith practice .679 Percentdifferencedueto adoption -1.2% DiversityEvaluations .720 Proportionin yearof adoption Estimatedproportionwith practice .726 Percentdifferencedueto adoption .8% NetworkingPrograms .702 Proportionin yearof adoption Estimatedproportionwithpractice .684 Percentdifferencedueto adoption -2.6%** MentoringPrograms .690 Proportionin yearof adoption Estimatedproportionwith practice .688 Percentdifferencedueto adoption -.3% Note:Estimatesbasedon coefficientspresentedin Table2. * p < .05; ** p < .01 (twotailedtest). program,with control for other factors, is to raise white women proportion to 0.142. Similarly,theproportionof blackwomenamong managerswas 0.014 in the averagefirm adopting a diversitycommittee,and adoptionbrings black women to 0.018, an increase of almost 30%.The thirdrow,basedon the firsttwo rows, reportsthe percentagechangeoverthe baseline resultingfrom programadoption. Tables 2 and 3 supportour contention that programsestablishingorganizationalresponsibility aremorebroadlyeffective thanthose that address managerial bias or social isolation among women and African Americans. Organizationsthat structureresponsibilitysee consistent positive effects for white women, black women, and black men. Coefficients for control variables are consistent with expectations, with one possible exception. The negative effect of formal per- WhiteWomen BlackWomen BlackMen .132 .142 7.6%** .017 .017 .0% .024 .025 4.2%** .230 .262 13.9%** .014 .018 29.8%** .020 .022 10.0%** .157 .171 8.9%** .014 .016 14.3%** .021 .024 14.3%** .194 .194 .0% .017 .016 -5.9%** .022 .023 4.5% .160 .168 5.0% .017 .017 .0% .024 .022 -8.3%** .193 .206 6.7%** .014 .014 .0% .020 .018 -10.0%** .017 .021 23.5%** .021 .022 4.8% .216 .215 -.5% sonnel policies is not consistentwith the idea that bureaucracyimpedes cronyism or bias in promotion decisions (Reskin and McBrier 2000), but is consistentwith the argumentthat formalizationleads to the needless inflationof educationalprerequisites(Collins 1979), and with findings that the determinantsof promotion differsystematicallyfor whites andblacks even when formal personnel systems exist (BaldiandMcBrier1997). Othercoefficientsof control variables show that although growth and unionizationhave not improveddiversity, andalthoughlegal staffhadonly limitedeffects, targeted recruitment programs, work/family accommodations,and top managementteam diversity show positive effects on managerial diversity.Coefficients for the labormarketand economic environmentmeasures, not shown here, are in the expected directionas well (see Online Supplement,ASRWeb site). 606 AMERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW DOEs ORGANIZATIONAL RESPONSIBILITY IMPROVEPROGRAMEFFECTIVENESS? It is possible that some programswork best in combination with others (MacDuffie 1995; Perry-Smithand Blum 2000). Ourfinding that organizational responsibility structureshave broadereffects than other programssuggests that perhaps training, evaluation, mentoring, and networkingwould be more successful in combinationwith responsibilitystructures.We undertakeseveral analyses of programcombinations. First,we explorethe possibility thatthe simple numberof programsmatters.Perhapsour measurescapturenot the effects of discreteprogramsso much as an orientationtowardchanging workplacedemography.We introducethree thepresenceof any binaryvariablesrepresenting and three or more one, two, programs.Across the 16,265 organization-yearspells of data,49 percent had no programs,34 percent had one program,10 percenthad two programs,and 7 percenthad threeor moreprograms.In the top panel of Table 4, we reportthe effects of the Table4. Fixed-EffectsEstimatesof the Log Oddsof WhiteMen andWomenandBlackWomenandMenin Managementwith Bundlesof Programs,1971-2002 Adoptionof One or MoreAA Plans& DiversityPrograms Onlyone program Twoprograms Threeor moreprograms R2(60 parameters) Interactionwith ResponsibilityStructures Responsibilitystructures Diversitytraining x Responsibilitystructure Diversityevaluations x Responsibilitystructure Networkingprograms x Responsibilitystructure Mentoringprograms x Responsibilitystructure White Men White Women Black Women Black Men -.043** (.016) -.091** (.023) -.158** (.029) .056** (.016) .121** (.023) .232** (.030) -.009 (.013) .020 (.019) .127** (.025) .026 (.014) .024 (.021) .046 (.027) .3323 .3124 .3569 .2767 -.063** (.017) -.026 (.036) -.026 (.042) .294** (.057) -.326** (.061) -.090 (.050) -.003 .081** (.017) -.064 (.038) .132** (.043) -.042 (.059) .136* (.063) .163** (.052) -.088 .007 (.014) -.046 (.031) .044 (.036) -.065 (.049) .057 (.053) -.026 (.043) .073 .042** (.015) .026 (.033) .040 (.038) -.077 (.052) .009 (.057) -.172* (.046) .118* (.056) (.058) (.048) (.051) .140** (.066) -.183* (.074) -.101 (.068) .133 (.076) -.042 (.057) .344** (.063) .127* (.061) -.108 (.068) R2(66 parameters) .3347 .3136 .3602 .2785 Data shown are coefficients from 2 unrelated with standard in errors seemingly regressionanalyses parenNote.: theses.ResponsibilityStructuresincludeaffirmativeactionplans,diversitycommitteesanddiversitystaff.The analysesincludeestablishmentandyearfixed effectsandall the controlvariablesincludedin the modelspresented in Table2 (forcoefficientsof controlvariables,see OnlineSupplement, ASRWebsite:http://www2. N (organization-year) = 16,265;N (organizations)=708. asanet.org/journals/asr/2006/toc052.html). * p < .05; ** p < .01 (two tailed test). CORPORATEAFFIRMATIVEACTION AND DIVERSITYPOLICIES numberof programsin models parallelto those presentedin Table2 (resultsfor the controlvariables are availableon the Online Supplement, ASRWebsite).Wecomparedcoefficientsforthe binary count variablesusing t tests. For white women,the sheernumberof programsmatters; one is betterthanzero, two betterthanone, and three or more are better than two. For white men, we find the opposite pattern,suggesting that each additionalprogramreduces the odds for white men. Forblackwomen, havingone or two programsis not significantlydifferentfrom having none. Havingthree is significantly different. For black men, none of the count variablesshowan effect significantlydifferentfrom havingno programs.Hence, for white women, the more programsthe better. For blacks, the numberof programsmattersless thanthe contentof theprograms.This is not surprisinggiven that some practicesin Table2 show no effects, or even negative effects, on blacks. Althougheachadditionalprogram,regardless of content,does not alwaystranslateintogreater diversity,particularbundlesof programsmight operatewell together.To test this idea, we ran (in models otherwiseidenticalto those in Table 2) all two-way interactionsbetween affirmative action plan, diversitycommittee,diversity staff,training,evaluation,networking,andmentoring.(The bivariatecorrelationsandjoint frequenciesof the sevenprogramsarepresentedon the Online Supplement, ASR Web site.) The two-way interactionsamong training, evaluation,networking,andmentoringdidnot indicate that any pairs operatedbetter than individual programs. But two-way interactions with responsibility structuresdid render training, evaluation, networking, and mentoring more effective. Forease of presentation,we collapse the three responsibilitystructuresinto a single variable,interactingit with the four otherprogram variables. The second panel in Table 4 includesestimatesfrommodelswiththese interactions(resultsfor the controlvariablesarepresented on the Online Supplement,ASR Web site). Diversity training, evaluation, networking, and mentoringprogramsare more effective in firms with responsibilitystructures.Withdiversity trainingand evaluations,the responsibility structure interaction positively affects white women. With networking, the responsibility structure interaction positively affects black 607 men, and with mentoring,it positively affects blackwomen.Note thatthe noninteractedvariable,responsibilitystructure,continuesto show the expected effects for white men, white women, and black men. The overallpatternis strikingand suggeststhatthese authoritystructuresrenderthe otherprogramsmore effective. Yeteven with responsibilitystructuresin place, none of these programsshow the sort of consistent pattern across outcomes that we find for, say, diversitycommittee. Do AFFIRMATIVE ACTIONORDERS MEDIATE PROGRAM EFFICACY? In Table2, we also examine whetheraffirmative action enforcement shows direct effects. Employers who sign a government contract, andtherebybecomesubjectto affirmativeaction regulation,do not see increases in managerial diversityas a directresult.Whenwe interacted contractorstatuswith theperiod1971-1980, the results did not supportearly researchers'findings thatcontractorsexperiencedfastergrowth in black employmentin the 1970s. Of course, effects foundin earlierstudieswere quitesmall, and it may be that they were concentratedin industrieswe do not sample.Forthe entireperiod, we find a decline in the odds for black women afterthe approvalof a governmentcontract.This maybe becauseemployerswho strive to improvetheir numbersbefore seeking government work, improve more slowly after receiving contracts (Baron et al. 1991:1389; Leonard1990:65). Governmentcontractorstatus does not showpositiveeffects even whenwe exclude programsthat may be associatedwith contractorstatus:the seven diversitymeasures, formalHR policies, work-family policies, and compliance reviews (results available on request). Unlike contractorstatus, antidiscrimination enforcementshows effects. Federalcompliance reviews, which 32 percentof the contractorsin ourdatafaced,increasedrepresentation of white women and black men. Leonard(1985b) also foundeffectsof compliancereviewsin his study of the 1970s. When we interactedcompliance review with the period 1971-1980, our results (availableupon request)replicatedhis finding from the 1970s as well (see also Kalev and Dobbin forthcoming).Discriminationlawsuits increase the odds for all three groups in man- 608 AMERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW agement (Skaggs 2001), and EEOC charges increasethe odds for black men. The naturalfollow-up question is whether affirmativeaction oversightmediatesthe efficacy of the seven affirmativeaction and diversity measures. Theory suggests that program implementationmaybe takenmoreseriouslyin firms subjectto regulatoryscrutiny.Thosefirms typicallyassignresponsibilityfor complianceto an office or person. In Table5, we add interaction terms between programs and contractor status to the model presented in Table 2. Coefficients for controlvariablesare available on the Online Supplement,ASR Web site. A Table 5. log-likelihoodtest showsa significantimprovement in fit over that of the model presentedin Table 2. The interaction coefficients show whethereffectsaresignificantlydifferentamong contractorsand noncontractors.We also examine the linear combination of the interaction components (using Lincom in Stata)to assess whether programs have significant effects among contractors. Diversity trainingshows the greatestdifference in effects on all four groups. Whereas among noncontractorstraining decreases the representationof white and black women in management,among contractorsit is followed Fixed-Effects Estimates of the Log Odds of White Men and Women and Black Women and Men in Management with Government Contractor Interactions, 1971-2002 Affirmative Action Plan X Government contract Diversity Committee X Government contract Diversity Staff X Government contract Diversity Training X Government contract Diversity Evaluations X Government contract Networking Programs X Government contract Mentoring Programs X Government contract R2 (71 parameters) White Men White Women Black Women -.050* (.023) -.050 (.028) -.096* (.038) .029 (.053) -.076 (.058) .024 (.066) .005 (.027) -.092* (.038) .049 (.039) -.041 (.050) -.133** (.038) .086** (.023) .003 (.029) .173** (.040) -.006 (.055) .018 (.060) .120 (.068) -.094** (.028) .197** (.040) .090* (.041) -.035 (.051) .171** (.039) -. 195** (.052) -.053 (.047) .086 (.065) .000 (.019) .000 (.024) .270** (.033) -.050 (.046) .205** (.050) -.127* (.056) -. 116** (.023) .107** (.033) -.097** (.034) .118** (.042) -.034 (.033) .069 (.043) .179** (.039) .057 (.054) (.053) -.145* (.060) -.016 (.025) .100** (.035) -.063 (.036) -.027 (.045) -.035 (.035) -.113* (.046) .070 (.042) -.056 (.058) .3165 .3650 .2811 .111* (.051) .028 (.046) -.081 (.063) .3341 Black Men .007 (.021) .053* (.026) .076* (.035) .074 (.049) .240** Note. Log likelihood ratio test; X2(28) = 135.86; p < .001; Data shown are coefficients from seemingly unrelated regression with standarderrors in parentheses. The analyses include establishment and year fixed effects and all the control variables included in the models presented in Table 2 (for coefficients of control variables, see Online Supplement, ASR Web site: http://www2.asanet.org/journals/asr/2006/toc052.html). N (organization-year)= 16,265; N (organizations)= 708. * p < .05; ** < .01 p (two tailed test). CORPORATEAFFIRMATIVEACTION AND DIVERSITYPOLICIES by a significant decline in the odds for white men (3 = .086; SE = .004) and significant increasesamongwhite women (3 =. 103; SE = .030) and black men (3 = .083; SE = .027). Diversityevaluationsalso areless likelyto backfire among contractors, where the effect on black women is now zero. Affirmativeaction plans show significantly largereffects for blackmen amongcontractors, furthersupportingLeonard's(1990) findings. The coefficients for diversitystaff in the models for black women and men, althoughsignificantly smaller among contractors, are still positiveandsignificant(B = .078; SE = .032 and B = .095; SE = .034, respectively).Networking programshelp white women in noncontractor establishments,at the expenseof whitemen,but this effect disappearsamong contractors,and black men see negativeeffects for reasonsthat are not clear. FURTHERANALYSES A key challenge in analysis of nonexperimental data is to account for heterogeneity that stemsfromnonrandomselectionintothe "treatment" (in our case, adopting a program). Heterogeneitymay bias casual inference. Our model specification,with fixed effects for each year and each establishmentand with control variablesmeasuringorganizationalstructures, laborpool composition,andeconomicand legal environment,is designedto minimize this possibility. We conducted three additional robustness tests (results available on request). First, we addedbinaryvariablesas proxies for unspecified, unobserved events (impending lawsuit, local news coverage) that may have caused employersboth to implementnew antidiscriminationprogramsand to hire more women and AfricanAmericans.We createdproxiesfor each of the seven programs.We re-ranthe analysis 14 times, with proxies measured2 and 3 years before programadoptionin models parallelto thosepresentedin Table2. Theseproxyvariables did not substantiallyalter the coefficients or standarderrorsfor affirmativeactionanddiversity programs,and most did not show significanteffects.This addsto ourconfidencethatthe observed relationshipsbetween diversity programsandmanagerialdiversityarenot spurious 609 (Rossi, Lipsey, and Freeman 2004; Snyder 2003). Second, programadoptersmay be different fromnonadoptersin ways thatarenot absorbed by the establishment fixed effects. Perhaps adopters change faster than nonadopters in terms of managementfads and demographics. We therefore re-ran the analyses in Table 2 seventimes, eachtime only with establishments thateveradopteda particularprogram(once for affirmativeactionplan adopters,then for diversity committee,etc.). If the effects in Table2 are attributable to differencesbetweenadoptersand nonadopters,then programeffects should disappear when we exclude nonadopters. The resultsof our"adoptersonly"analysesare substantivelysimilarto those in Table2. Third,we were concernedthat because the datasetis not rectangular(some establishments enter the data after 1971), unobservedheterogeneity might distort the results if establishments are missing in early years for reasons (e.g. organizationalsize or age) associatedwith the outcome variables.We thus replicatedthe analysisusing a rectangularsubsampleof establishments.The resultswere substantiallysimilar to those reportedin this discussion. To examine the robustnessof the results to within-unitserial correlation,we correctedfor thepossibilitythateacherroris partiallydependent on the errorof the previous year (AR[1]) with the Cochrane-Orcuttmethod(availablein State using xtregar,not the seemingly unrelated regression).This transformsthe databy subtractingfromthe equationfortime t the equation for time t-1 multiplied by the autocorrelation coefficient. The AR(1) results are substantially similarto those reportedin Table2 (available on the Online Supplement,ASRWebsite). The one exception is that affirmativeaction plan is significant for whites only at thep < 0.1 level. Wereportseeminglyunrelatedregressionmodels in Table2 because they accountfor relatedness of outcome variables and are thus more efficient, andbecausethey allow us to compare coefficients for differentgroups. Because our analyses cover more thanthree decades, we also exploredtwo theories of timing and programefficacy (results availableon request)to ruleoutthe possibilitythatsome programsshowingno effects in the aggregateactually were effective at certain points in time. One theoryis thatemployerpracticesaremore 6io AMERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW effective under active regulatoryregimes. We thus added to the model reported in Table 2 interactiontermsbetweeneach of the practices andthe Reaganand first Bush era(1981-1992) as well as the Bill Clintonand GeorgeW.Bush era (1993-2002). The comparisonperiod,1971 to 1980,encompassedthe activistNixon administration,the brief Fordadministration,and the activistCarteradministration(Skrentny1996). A finding that programswere more effective during the 1970s might help to explain why research on the period (e.g., Leonard 1990) found the greatest increases in black employment among contractors.We find no evidence thatprogramsoperateddifferentlyacross periods. The second timing argument is that early programadoptersare those most committedto change (Tolbertand Zucker 1983). We looked at whether the effects of each practice were strongeramong the first 15, 25, and40 percent of eventualadopters.Ouranalysesshowedthat practices are no more effective among early adopters. We also explored whether some programs showedweak effects in the modelsbecausethey had differential effects by establishmentsize or industry.With regard to size interactions, some negative programeffects were neutralized in very large establishments,but the programsthatprovedineffectivein generalwerenot effectiveamonglargeor smallorganizations.In industryinteractions,mostprogrameffectswere stable in direction if not in magnitudeacross industries. One notable pattern was that the effect of affirmative action plans on black womenwas negativein manufacturingandpositive in service, as discussed earlier. Finally, we were concerned that survey respondentreportsof earlyprogramdatesmight be inaccurate,which could cause us to underestimate program effects by including posttreatment values (i.e., that reflect changes attributableto a program)as pretreatmentdata. We were particularlyconcerned about results showing weak effects for training,evaluations, networking, and mentoring. Correlations between respondenttenureand adoptionyears were small and not significant, the one exception being for networking(correlationof-0.20; p < 0.05). To evaluatethe effects of measurement error,we re-ranTable 2 models, eliminating establishment-yearspells before 1990, thus excluding fromthe analysispossibly erroneous informationon early years of adoption. Using fixed-effectsmodelsto analyzeonly data for 1990-2002 would preventus from evaluating the effects of programsadopted any time before 1990, so we firstreplicatedthe full analysis (for the entireperiod) without fixed establishmenteffects,replacingdifferencedvariables with undifferencedvariables.The results were similarto thosepresentedin Table2. Thenusing the undifferencedvariables,we re-ranthe models eliminating all establishment-yearspells before 1990. We lost many spells, but the substantiveresultsheld up (for results, see Online Supplementon ASR Web site). This increases our confidence in the models, and particularly in the weak effects of training,evaluations,networking,and mentoring. CONCLUSION The antidiscrimination measureswe studyhave become popular among employers, HR managers,lawyers,andadvocacygroups,despitethe absenceof hardevidencethattheywork(BisomRapp1999;Krawiec2003). Employersuse these practices to defend themselves in court, and the courts,in many cases, acceptthem as good faith efforts to stamp out discrimination (Edelman et al. 2005). There are reasons to believe that employers adopt antidiscrimination measuresas window dressing,to inoculate themselves against liability, or to improve moraleratherthanto increasemanagerialdiversity. In the final analysis,however,the measure of these programs-for scholars,practitioners, andthe courts-should be whetherthey do anythingto increasediversity.Using EEO-1reports, we cannot examine whether these programs help womenandAfricanAmericansto move up fromthe bottomrungsof management.But we can show thatsome populardiversityprograms at least help women andAfricanAmericansto climb intothe ranksof management.Otherpopularprogramsdo not do even that. Thereis a richtraditionof theoryandresearch on the causes of workplaceinequality.We contend that this work may not always hold clear implicationsfor remedies.The questionof how to reduceinequalityis just as deservingof attention. Ourconceptualizationof differenttypes of diversity programsand our analyses of their effects lay the groundworkfor researchandthe- CORPORATEAFFIRMATIVEACTION AND DIVERSITYPOLICIES ory on the remediationof inequalityin workplaces. Broadly speaking,our findings suggest that althoughinequalityin attainmentat work may be rootedin managerialbias andthe social isolation of women and minorities,the best hope for remedyingit may lie in practicesthatassign organizationalresponsibility for change. Our own theory of the remediation of inequality builds on classical organizational sociology ratherthanon theoriesof cognitivebias or social networks(see also Blum, Fields, andGoodman 1994). Structuresthatembedaccountability,authority, and expertise (affirmative action plans, diversitycommittees and taskforces,diversity managersanddepartments)arethe most effective means of increasing the proportions of white women, black women, and black men in private sector management. Moreover, they show effectseven in the presenceof controlsfor the specific initiatives that specialists often implement,from formalhiring and promotion rules to work-familyprograms.Responsibility structuresalso catalyzethe otherdiversityprograms, renderingeach a bit more effective for one group. Some programs also prove more effective among federal contractors, likely because legal requirementsencourageemployers to assign responsibilityfor compliance. Practicesthattargetmanagerialbias through feedback(diversityevaluations)and education (diversitytraining)show virtuallyno effect in the aggregate. They show modest positive effects when responsibilitystructuresare also in place and among federal contractors.But they sometimes show negative effects otherwise. Researchto datefromHR expertsandpsychologists suggests that interactive training workshops,of the kind we examine, often generate backlash. Finally,programsdesigned to counter the social isolation of women and minorities throughmentoringand networking are disappointing, although mentoring does appearto help black women. The poor performance of practices that address social-psychological and social-relational sourcesof inequalityshouldnot be taken as evidence that these forces do not produce social inequality.A preponderanceof empirical researchshows thatbias andpoornetworkconnections contribute to inequality. Further 611 researchis needed to determinewhy these programs do not live up to theirpromise. Much managementtheorizingfrom law and economics scholars (Becker 1968; Gray and Shadbegian 2005; Posner 1992; see also Simpson2002) andpsychologists (e.g. Tetlock 1985) suggests that corporatebehavioris best controlledby doling out incentives to individual managersand shapingtheir attitudes.This approachis rooted in a sort of methodological individualismthatis prominentin management researchandpractice.However,when it comes to addressingcorporateinequalitywe find that the strategies designed to change individuals are less effective than the conventionalmanagementsolutionof settinggoals andassigning responsibilityfor moving towardthese goals. Thatsaid,the threeprogramswe foundto be most effective likely operatein somewhatdifferentways. Whereasaffirmativeaction plans anddiversitystaffbothcentralizeauthorityover and accountabilityfor workforcecomposition, diversity committees locate authority and accountabilityin an interdepartmental taskforce andmay workby causingpeople fromdifferent partsof the organizationto take responsibility for pursuingthe goal of integration. In this study,we examinemanagersalone. It is important for both theory and practice to extend this research to other occupational groups.Yet for employersseeking solutions to the problem of gender and racial segregation, our analyses offer hope. Most employers do something to promote diversity-76 percent had adopted one of these seven programsby 2002-but do they do what is most effective? Diversitycommitteeshavebeen quiteeffective, requiringneitheradditionalstaffnor expensive consultants.Less than 20 percentof the establishments we studied had them by 2002. Diversitystaff are also quite effective, but only 11 percentof establishmentshad them. On the otherhand,diversitytraining,which 39 percent of establishmentshad adopted,and which can be quite costly, was not very effective and showedadverseeffects amongnoncontractors. Even the programsthatworkbest havemodest effects, particularlyfor AfricanAmericans, who are poorly represented to begin with. Diversity committees raise the proportionof black women in managementby a remarkable 30 percent on average,but from a baseline of only 1.4 percent.Appointingfull-time diversi- 612 AMERICANSOCIOLOGICALREVIEW ty staffer raises the proportion of black men by a healthy 14 percent, but from a baseline of only 2.1 percent. These programs alone will not soon change the look of management. Note, however, that our sample of large, private firms has changed less quickly than the economy as a whole. In young start-up firms and in the public sector, these practices may be even more effective than they are in our sample. The effects of these programs should not be conflated with the effects of antidiscrimination legislation. First, as we demonstrate, federal affirmative action regulations clearly mediate the efficacy of diversity evaluations and training. Our findings thus go against the popular claim that antidiscrimination regulation is no longer needed because diversity programs have gained a life of their own (Fisher 1985; Liberman2003). Moreover,it was federalregulations that led employers to first establish affirmative action plans, the most common interventionand one of the most effective. Second, enforcement has been effective regardless of corporate policies. As research has shown,andas ourfindingssupport,TitleVII lawsuits and affirmative action compliance reviewsled to increasesin women'sandminorities' share of managementjobs, especially in periodsandjudicialcircuitswhereincivil rights enforcement was strong (Kalev and Dobbin forthcoming; Leonard 1989; 1990; Skaggs 2001). Finally, to assess the impact of antidiscrimination legislation on employment inequality, one needs to consider broader political, social, and cultural changes associated with the Civil Rights Act, affirmative action, and related laws (Burstein 2000). Yet if the effects of government antidiscrimination measures have slowed, as some observers suggest, then we should waste no time sorting out which corporate programs are effective. Alexandra Kalev received her Ph.D. from Princeton in 2005. Her dissertation examines how workplace restructuring ("high performance" systems and downsizing) affects the careers of women and minorities. Kalev is a postdoctoral fellow in the Robert Wood Johnson Scholars in Health Policy Research Program at UC Berkeley studying gender and racial disparities in work related injuries and illnesses. Kalev has published with Frank Dobbin on civil rights law enforcement in the face of deregulation (Law and Social Inquiry), and with Erin Kelly on how companies manage flexible Economic Review). schedules (Socio- Frank Dobbin is Professor of Sociology at Harvard. He edited The New Economic Sociology: A Reader (Princeton University Press) and The Sociology of the Economy (Russell Sage Foundation), both published in 2004. He is continuing work with Kalev and Kelly on the effects of employer policies on workforce diversity, and is spending the 2006-2007 academic year at the Radcliffe InstituteforAdvanced Study, with fellowships from Radcliffe and from the John Simon Guggenheim Foundation. Erin L. Kelly is Assistant Professor of Sociology at the University of Minnesota. Her research on the development, diffusion, and implementation of family-supportive policies has appeared in the American Journal of Sociology and the SocioEconomic Review. 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