by Mark Macintosh AgFirst Introduction An analysis was carried out to assess the profitability of irrigation on a range of soils ie dry (high priority), medium (medium priority), and moist (low priority). Pasture growth was assumed for the three soil types based on past experience. This was converted to milk production using assumed conversion factors from dry matter to milksolids. Variable costs such as: feed, fertiliser, power, and pasture renovation were assumed for each option A fixed charge per hectare for the Community Irrigation scheme was included - $540/ha. For each soil type the change in profit and a return on investment was calculated. Pasture Growth Assumptions Pasture Growth For Various Soils Dry Year Without Irrigation 70 Dry soils Pasture growth kgDM/ha 60 Medium soils 50 Moist soils 40 30 12,805 10,889 8.973 20 10 0 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Note: Pasture growth = Pasture Utilised, not Total Grown Feb Mar Apr May Pasture Growth Assumptions Pasture Growth For Various Soils Average Year Without Irrigation 70 Dry soils 60 Pasture growth kgDM/ha Medium soils 50 Moist soils 40 30 13,414 11,619 9,733 20 10 0 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Note: Pasture growth = Pasture Utilised, not Total Grown Feb Mar Apr May Pasture Growth Assumptions Pasture Growth For Various Soils With Irrigation Pasture growth kgDM/ha 70 Dry soils 60 Medium soils 50 Moist soils 40 30 14,083 13,323 12,775 20 10 0 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Note: Pasture growth = Pasture Utilised, not Total Grown Feb Mar Apr May Other Assumptions Other Assumptions Units Area Irrigated Irrigation Capital on farm Milksolids payout Fonterra Share value Supplement Nitrogen applied Feed conversion Milksolids Cows milked MS/cow MS/ha Irrigation applied Period of Irrigation Power for irrigation Scheme charge ha $/ha $/kgMS $/kgMS kgDM/ha kgN/ha gMS/kgDM kg/yr No. kg/cow kg/ha mm days $/ha/day $/ha DRY YEAR ‐ NO IRRIGATION DRY YEAR WITH IRRIGATION High Priority Med Priority Low Priority High Priority Med Priority Low Priority Dry soils Med soils Moist soils Dry soils Med soils Moist soils 100 100 100 100 100 100 $0 $0 $0 $4,000 $4,000 $4,000 $6.5 $6.5 $6.5 $6.5 $6.5 $6.5 $6.5 $6.5 $6.5 $6.5 $6.5 $6.5 5000 4000 3000 2500 2500 2500 50 75 100 150 150 150 72 74 76 78 78 78 95,947 106,530 116,619 121,818 125,367 129,626 300 300 300 300 300 300 320 355 389 406 418 432 959 1065 1166 1218 1254 1296 0 0 0 625 500 375 0 0 0 125 100 75 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2.80 $2.80 $2.80 $0 $0 $0 $540 $540 $540 Financial Result Partial Budget DRY YEAR ‐ NO IRRIGATION DRY YEAR WITH IRRIGATION High Priority Med Priority Low Priority High Priority Med Priority Low Priority Med soils Moist soils Dry soils Med soils Moist soils Dry soils $791,816 $814,884 $842,566 $623,657 $692,448 $758,027 Income Milksolids Income Total Milk Income $/ha Variable expenses Electricity ‐ irrigation Supplement Nitrogen Fertiliser Reparation of pastures Community scheme water charge Total Variable Expenses 0.35 1800 0.75 $/ha Net Cash Profit $/ha $623,657 $6,237 $0 $175,000 $9,000 $39,578 $30,000 $0 $253,578 $2,536 $370,079 $3,701 $758,027 $7,580 $791,816 $7,918 $814,884 $8,149 $842,566 $8,426 $0 $0 $140,000 $105,000 $13,500 $18,000 $43,944 $48,106 $10,000 $5,000 $0 $0 $207,444 $176,106 $2,074 $1,761 $485,004 $581,921 $4,850 $5,819 Net Cash Profit Increase per ha $35,000 $87,500 $27,000 $50,250 $0 $54,000 $253,750 $2,537 $538,066 $5,381 $167,987 $1,680 $28,000 $87,500 $27,000 $51,714 $0 $54,000 $248,214 $2,482 $566,670 $5,667 $81,667 $817 $21,000 $87,500 $27,000 $53,471 $0 $54,000 $242,971 $2,430 $599,596 $5,996 $17,675 $177 $692,448 $6,924 $ Cash Profit/ha ($6.50 payout) For Dry soils $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 Dry yr No Irr Av yr No Irr Irrigation $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $3,701 $4,422 $1,000 $0 Dry soils $5,381 $ Cash Profit/ha ($6.50 payout) For Medium Soils $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 Dry yr No Irr Av Yr No Irr Irrigation $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $4,850 $5,426 $1,000 $0 Med soils $5,667 $ Cash Profit/ha ($6.50 payout) For Moist Soils $7,000 Dry Yr No Irr $6,000 Av yr No Irr $5,000 Irrigation $4,000 $3,000 $5,819 $6,332 $2,000 $1,000 $0 Moist soils $5,996 Return on Investment before Interest Expected Return on Investment with Irrigation 35% 30% 25% 20% Dry soils Medium Soils Moist Soils 15% 10% 5% 0% ‐5% ‐10% 0/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 Frequency of Dry years in 5 4/5 5/5 Summary Based on a $6.50/kgMS payout it is profitable to irrigate from a community based irrigation scheme if farming relatively dry free draining soils (ie high priority) The return on investment is marginal for medium priority soils and non-existent for low priority moist soils, assuming a frequency of 2 to 3 dry years in 5. On a community scheme there is potential to irrigate smaller dry areas within the farm at reasonable cost. The profit is particularly sensitive to the frequency of dry years and to a lesser extent milk payout. Points to Consider The cost of accessing water will vary widely between farms. The community scheme is designed for those without ready access to a water resource. There is a need to have a good understanding of your soils and drainage before considering irrigation. Good drainage is essential to reduce the risk of soil saturation with heavy rainfall in the autumn period. Need to consider extra labour costs depending on the type of irrigation employed. Farms need to be assessed individually as to their suitability for irrigation. The information in this presentation is to be used as a guide only.
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