Profitable Fulfillment: Orchestrating Multi- Enterprise Networks to Profitably Serve Diverse Customer Demands By Bill McBeath July 2016 © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Table of Contents The Profitable Fulfillment Challenge ........................................................................................ 1 Dynamic, Diverse, Personalized Fulfillment Requirements Are the Norm ............................................... 1 Network Orchestration Required ............................................................................................................. 1 Profitable Fulfillment Opportunities ........................................................................................ 2 Automation & Integration of Mass Customization ................................................................................... 3 Fulfillment Segmentation and Orchestration ........................................................................................... 5 Optimized Postponement with Outsourced Partners .............................................................................. 7 Multi-Party Inventory Pooling................................................................................................................... 8 Enablers of Profitable Fulfillment ............................................................................................ 9 Operationally Precise, Network-Wide Visibility ........................................................................................ 9 Dynamic Network Orchestration Capabilities......................................................................................... 11 Networked Order Management ............................................................................................................. 12 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................. 13 © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment The Profitable Fulfillment Challenge Profitable fulfillment is one of the biggest challenges and opportunities for today’s businesses. Dynamic, Diverse, Personalized Fulfillment Requirements Are the Norm Manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers alike are being challenged with diverse, continually changing channel fulfillment demands. Across industries, success (and even survival) depends on the ability to serve customers profitably in the way they expect to be served. This means doing everything from massive shipments to micro-fulfillment, from high velocity to slow movers, ship from anywhere, fulfillment innovation, tailoring for channel and potentially per customer, automated sourcing, dynamic inventory management, creative postponement strategies at each stage, last mile optimization, and more … and doing it all profitably. In other words, successfully serving today’s consumer and business customers requires a supply chain that is personalized for each sector, channel, and customer’s unique needs and demands, but doing it economically, efficiently, and profitably. The variety and specificity of customer demands expand every day. This is not just about product personalization. It is about delivering products in the precise manner desired: at the desired time and place (such as just-in-time delivery to a busy urban construction site); in the desired packaging, prepared and packed in a specific way (such as floor-ready hanging merchandise, customer-specific purpose-built kits for use in an operating room or manufacturing plant, rainbow pallets for store delivery, and so forth); in the desired sequence of delivery (different components arriving as they are needed, in the sequence they are used); at the desired level of component/finished goods assembly (for optimal duty/tariff engineering and/or logistical optimization); with the desired documentation and precise customer- and location-specific labeling; using the right transportation carriers and routes; offering the desired installation services when and where needed; The list of dimensions of fulfillment personalization goes on and on, and grows every day. Network Orchestration Required We see more and more third parties involved in these increasingly complex fulfillment scenarios. How can businesses meet these highly diverse, micro-segmented, personalized requirements with increasing numbers of fulfillment partners, with so many different handoffs and stages in the end-to-end delivery of products? 1 © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment Success requires a unified networked approach to the problem. This means integrating the end-to-end network of fulfillment partners—supplier-manufacturers, logistics providers, packaging firms, third party fulfillment, carriers, inspectors, distributors, retailers, delivery and installation companies—everyone who touches or manages the end-to-end fulfillment. It means having an operationally precise, network-wide view—a highly accurate and up-to-date shared single-version-of-the-truth, as a foundation for synchronizing each player across the network. In this paper, we provide concrete examples and describe specific capabilities that leading companies are executing today. Profitable Fulfillment Opportunities The challenge of diverse fulfillment requirements is not just the fact that omni-channel presents more and more fulfillment locations and methods every year. It is also about variety in other dimensions: different product types (size, logistics handling requirements such as fragility or temperature control, installation or technical support requirements, etc.), range of category velocity (very fast to very slow movers), localization, range of item criticality (T-shirts vs. organ transplant), configuration complexity, logistical complexities, and more. Trying to satisfy customer demands across all these dimensions often increases costs and eats into sometimes already thin margins. It is usually assumed that this is a fixed tradeoff between meeting increasingly varied customer demands vs. profitability. There is, in fact, enormous opportunity to move the efficient frontier to both satisfy customerspecific demands and achieve higher profit. The opportunities are substantial and diverse. Here are examples we cover in this paper: 2 Automation & Integration of Mass Customization—Providers of mass customized products, from running shoes to mining trucks, are exploring new approaches to squeezing out more efficiencies, using the same highly-automated manufacturing line for their customized items that they use for their largerun build-to-stock items, and leveraging the bulk shipping whenever possible. Fulfillment Segmentation and Orchestration—Companies are using an increasing number of partners to fulfill demand, for increasingly varied scenarios. Doing that profitably requires a new level of multiparty automation, control, and visibility around that shared fulfillment process. Optimized Postponement with Outsourced Partners—When using a network of outsourced manufacturing and fulfillment partners, postponement or differed differentiation strategies are hard to do. These can be enabled by having precise visibility into the actual step-by-step execution across the network and the means to instantly disseminate precise instructions for each step to each partner. © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment Multi-party Inventory Pooling—Multiple tiers of distribution can be integrated to pool inventory across the supply chain. Needs in one channel can be fulfilled with inventory from another channel if the visibility and relationships are in place. This goes beyond the single-enterprise scenario of a retailer fulfilling from all of their own locations (stores, DCs). It includes multiparty scenarios, such as in spare parts distribution. Below we discuss each of these opportunities in more detail. Automation & Integration of Mass Customization Automation of Mass Customization Example One of the world’s top manufacturer/major brand owner of athletic shoes and clothing uses outsourced manufacturers to make, in the same factories, both bulk orders destined for retailers and personalized shoes that individual consumers have customized and ordered on their website. Using a networked platform, they send to their Asian contract manufacturers a single flow of orders, containing both bulk and custom shoe orders. The orders for custom shoes contain a ‘mini-BOM’ for each pair. The contract manufacturer is thus able to optimize the interleaving of bulk and custom production runs. The network platform looks for opportunities to piggyback individual shoe orders on bulk shipments to the deconsolidation point, from where the individual orders are separated and sent to the consumer. The same networked platform sends each factory very detailed, order-specific labeling, packing, and routing instructions and data, so that when the custom shoes arrive at the deconsolidators or at the brand owner’s own DC, they are already packed with the correct parcel shipping label on them and can be sent out the same day. Suppliers also receive the packing instructions for their bulk shipments to the DCs. This could include things like the exact musical size runs by store, enabling rapid cross docking. Manufacturers have been striving to improve the efficiencies of mass customization in their plants for many years. In this quest, they have developed Network-wide Visibility Example and refined techniques like single minute exchange Another major sports shoe and apparel manufacturer uses a 1 of die and in-line sequencing. However, mass network platform to monitor forecasted demand and actual customization is increasingly being done by a series incoming orders, and raises an alert when it sees there will be a of outsourced partners in stages across a shortage for fulfilling expected future demand. In that case, the OEM’s planner has the ability to look at in-transit inventory, as distributed supply chain. Since most of the cost is well as finished goods inventory across suppliers. It can request incurred outside of the OEM’s own four walls, it specific suppliers to accelerate orders and/or drop ship to the requires visibility and tight orchestration and retailer instead of to the OEM’s DC. The OEM can also request control of these multi-stage, multi-entity the supplier to reprioritize the work-in-progress in order to meet anticipated demand. The same system provides an orderprocesses: from forecasting and prepositioning of specific packing plan, with the correct labeling, quantities, component inventory, to presenting and taking the cartons, packing sequence, destination, and so forth for that order, the actual manufacturing and/or assembly specific retailer. The same system can be used by the supplier or of the products, labeling and packaging, various 3PL to book transportation, ensuring that the correct retailerapproved carriers and routes are used. The reasons for the legs of transport, and final delivery/installation. expediting/air freight are captured in the process, so that the Furthermore, to contain costs, brand owners and supplier is not charged the expediting fees when it wasn’t their OEMs are enabling automation across the fault, and anyone viewing the transaction after-the-fact can understand why the decisions were made. distributed set of partners performing all the various steps, as well as deploying algorithms that look for opportunities to optimize and reduce costs (such as lower cost transportation modes). 1 In-line sequencing, also known as Just-in-Sequence, is commonly used in automotive. As each chassis travels down the line, feeder lines deliver the exact set of components and options for that specific vehicle (for a specific order) in the right precise sequence, just-in-time for assembly into the vehicle. 3 © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment Those profit-maximizing capabilities are enabled by a network platform providing a single-version-of-the-truth, creating inherent real-time integration between all of the parties connected on the platform. Beyond that, some platforms are able to automate the functions within each of the partners in a synchronized way. For example, a brand owner has different compliance requirements from its different retailer customers, each retailer dictating many precise details from custom packaging, to labeling, routing requirements, bundling of shipments, sequence of packing and loading, documentation, and much more. Non-compliance results in costly chargebacks that can add up to 5% or more of revenue for some brand owners. A shared platform allows compliance rules to be centrally defined and input, then uses those rules to drive automated operations, distributed across the supply chain, so that each player in the chain performs their step in a way that creates a fully compliant end-to-end fulfillment process. Production and prepositioning of component inventory at contract manufacturers, ready for mass customization, based on shared forecast between OEM and contract manufacturers. Supply Network Decisions (Location of Production, Distribution) Returns Policies and Execution Product/ Sourcing/ Production Decisions (Models, Styles, Mix, Qty, Location, Timing) Fulfillment Execution Allocation Decisions (How many will each location get) Fulfillment Decisions (Location, timing, delivery mode) Real-time visibility of component inventory available at contract manufacturers’ locations enables accurate lead times presented to online consumer, based on the combination they selected. Postponement Decisions Present Choices to Customer (How many to hold back, where) (Incent to Profitable Order) Execution of Production Customer Places Order Source: ChainLink Research Execution at each stage driven by compliance rules from the network platform, ensuring end-to-end compliance and efficiency. Exact pack-sequences, labeling, transport, and other requirements travel with the order to the contract mfg. Mass customized items assembled on-demand, based on order stream from OEMs ecommerce site, automatically sent to contract manufacturers factories in near real-time. Figure 1 - Automation and Integration of Mass Customization 4 © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment Fulfillment Segmentation and Orchestration A common strategy to control complexity and cost is consolidating spend to fewer suppliers and service providers (e.g. carriers, 3PLs, installers, and repair services), thereby gaining economies of scale and volume discounts with more business per supplier. However, supplier consolidation can make it harder to meet the increasingly diverse fulfillment requirements that companies are facing across the globe, such as a much broader mix of order sizes, product diversity, needs for specialized processing, handling, and installation skills and equipment, and expanding globalization with significant differences by regions (even within a country). The diversity of requirements drives the need to segment fulfillment, with capabilities to handle the unique requirements of each segment differently. It can be hard or impossible to find a supplier that can do it all. Often specialized or regional service providers are much better able to fulfill these diverse unique requirements… sometimes at a lower cost. Unfortunately, using many specialized suppliers introduces complexities. Different products are handled by different partners, e.g. temperature sensitive carriers or storage facilities, heavy equipment haulers and riggers, extremely fragile instruments, and so forth. Advanced companies are using technology to provide the coordination and orchestration that lets them ‘have their cake and eat it too’—that is to take advantage of the abilities of a diverse and scattered set of suppliers and service provider partners, while controlling costs and performance. One example of fulfillment segmentation and orchestration is a major automotive OEM that has an online ‘Upfit Configurator’ that allows general contractors, plumbers, caterers, people 5 Complex Orchestration Challenge With over 300 vehicle/equipment platforms (compared to 1215 typically for an automotive manufacturer) Caterpillar’s equipment comes in hundreds of thousands of possible configurations. There can be over 10 legs in the end-to-end delivery from the factory to the dealer. Many of these, such as mining trucks, are very large complex pieces of equipment that may not be shipped as an entire finished vehicle, but rather shipped in various pieces from various locations that arrive at a yard, often colocated with the destination port, where they do the assembly. These can include many different third party accessories and subsystems that CAT doesn’t provide directly. Dealers have the flexibility to mix and match those add-ons at the dealer location or at the actual job site, which could be a mine, construction site, agricultural, military, or other site. In the past this in-chain, multi-stage assembly process was difficult for CAT, since it tracked shipments but did not have clear visibility into the relationship of those various piece parts. Dealers often had long lead times of 15-25 weeks from the time they placed an order until receiving it. Yet, depending on sector, some equipment can’t be forecasted until 2-3 weeks out because the customer doesn’t know the exact requirements yet. This forces dealers to make their own forecast and hold a lot of parts inventory. And if they can’t put together the right configuration, they may be forced to sell an alternate brand to meet the needs on time, even if the customer preferred CAT equipment. GT Nexus network platform is being used to increase the transparency, reliability, and coordination of shipments to dealers. Dealers can now see where all the various pieces of the product are and get more accurate estimated arrival times. CAT is also providing mechanisms for the dealers to better pool their inventory (see Inventory Pooling in a Heavy Equipment Dealer Network below). CAT is continually working on better optimizing product movements to reduce costs, reduce lead times and variability (see CAT Tackles Variability below), reduce detention and demurrage charges, and speed up processing at the port. They have used the network data to analyze port efficiencies and thereby changed origin/destination pairs for better speed (reduced wait time for unloading or delays in custom clearance). Detention has been reduced by better documentation and better visibility of the receiving capabilities and locations in the yard. © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment transporters, electricians, and HVAC contractors to configure customized vans and wagons.2 The customizations are typically not done by the OEM, but rather by its network of upfit or port processing partners, at an ‘upfit center,’ often located near the origin or destination port. This is just one specialized step in a multi-step logistics process from the factory to the dealer (see Figure 2 below) that can include the OEM, their Origin Service Provider, rail carriers, the trading company, upfit centers and port processors, ocean carriers, car haulers, and more. By using a common networked platform across this network of fulfillment partners, the OEM is able to give the upfit centers much more precise estimated times of arrival, allowing the centers to better plan their labor and capacity. The upfit center receives a complete set of instructions for the operation. The same system gives the OEM precise visibility into progress at the upfit center, for early alerts when things are falling behind with the potential to miss the sailing. The system provides a set of KPIs and dashboards to measure and continually improve the performance of the upfit centers. This is one example of how fulfillment can be highly segmented, performed by many parties, yet tightly coordinated, with the activities of all of the parties being monitored and orchestrated by a common end-to-end platform. Figure 2 - Example Multiple Milestones and Partners in Vehicle Logistics Processes from Factory to Dealer 2 Customizations include adding various interior racks, shelving, workbenches, seating, wire spool holders, partitions to separate and secure the cargo, protective window mesh, exterior ladder racks, strapping systems, and so forth. 6 © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment Optimized Postponement with Outsourced Partners While supply chain postponement strategies3 have been implemented by manufacturers for years, they can be a lot harder to accomplish, due to the loss of visibility and control resulting from the tremendous growth in outsourced manufacturing and fulfillment partners. The challenges are compounded when multiple tiers and multiple enterprises are involved. To enable well-managed postponement execution with outsourced manufacturers, one of the world’s largest sporting footwear brand owners has implemented the ability to monitor the progress, step-by-step, at each of its suppliers’ factories. This granular, near-real-time visibility into factory progress against milestones is foundational to the OEM’s postponement strategy. Another large apparel manufacturer/OEM has taken a similar approach. Precise factory milestone visibility enables these OEMs to have multiple points of postponement and maintain an accurate estimate of the time they have before they need to make each of the key postponement decisions. For example, the apparel OEM sends an order which specifies the number of shirts to make, but not yet the colors or sizes. The outsourced factory buys the undyed gray fabric. The OEM knows exactly when the material is ordered, arrives, and is scheduled to be dyed. It knows exactly when it has to make the color decisions, based on what is actually happening on the ground at the outsourced factory, not some average estimated schedule. Later in the process, it knows when the size decisions must be made, based on when the cutting and sewing will start. At the end, it knows by when they must tell the contract manufacturer how many of each size, color, and style to ship and where. In fact, the decision on final destination can be postponed further until the shipment arrives at the deconsolidator at the destination port. This allows key decisions to be postponed until location-specific demand is much better understood. Postponement is also used for duty and tariff engineering, where an item’s components are assembled at the point in the supply chain that creates the lowest total cost. One large equipment manufacturer makes enormous mining trucks, which are assembled at different stages and points in the supply chain, both to optimize duties and tariffs as well as due to logistical constraints of moving very large machinery across roads, on or under bridges, and by rail. In many cases, the final assembly is at the mine. The flexibility to design a global fulfillment and delivery process with postponement done at the optimal stage by various outsourced partners is made feasible by using a shared network platform that orchestrates the activities of the various partners. The network platform must provide highly granular, near-real-time visibility into what is happening on the ground at all of the various manufacturing and fulfillment partners, and provide a single shared system that drives the execution, with precise instructions for each activity at each partner at each step. With a single networked platform, there are no delays in these instructions or status information getting from one system to another or mistakes introduced by manual data re-entry or translation errors between different systems. 3 Postponement of differentiation is where certain decisions or steps in production (or fulfillment decisions such as where to ship to) are postponed until a clearer picture of demand emerges (such as having received firm orders or measured actual demand). A classic example is designing a platform with interchangeable components, building the components based on the forecast, but postponing assembly until each order arrives and then doing assemble-to-order. 7 © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment Multi-Party Inventory Pooling The demands of omni-channel fulfillment have given Inventory Pooling in a Heavy Equipment Dealer Network rise to Distributed Order Management, whereby a Heavy equipment dealers can benefit greatly from retailer (or wholesaler or manufacturer) has a system network-wide visibility of equipment, options, and service parts. One of Caterpillar’s largest dealers has about 20 that can see inventory across all locations and make locations spread throughout the region. CAT started optimal decisions about where to fulfill each order giving that dealer better visibility into their own from. However, these systems are often constrained inventory. Now the same platform is being used to help in their visibility to see inventory outside of the with inter-dealer transfers. These were already being done, but largely on a manual basis, with dealers calling company. It is not uncommon to have inventory around when there was a need. Now the platform can spread across multiple tiers of fulfillment, not only a quickly identify and orchestrate inter-dealer transfers. company’s own inventory locations (DCs, stores, This includes full visibility into equipment and components that are at CAT’s own locations and in transit as plants) but also at out-sourced manufacturers’ plants well. and DCs, and at other supply chain participants, such as wholesalers, distributors, installation and repair partners, accessory suppliers, and other players in the channel. In addition, there is often a lot of inventory in transit between these various locations, especially when shipped across an ocean. Network-wide visibility to available inventory, both at rest and in motion, provides major advantages of wider inventory pooling, often allowing much quicker and/or lower cost of servicing customer needs as they arise. In some percentage of cases, pooling consumes inventory that is not in demand in the location it is currently at and therefore might not be consumed for months or at all. In addition to finished goods inventory, multiparty pooling can add a lot of value in spare parts inventory management, where it can be quite challenging to achieve desired service levels with the optimal mix of inventory at each location, in large part due to the long tail4 of slow movers that is common in spare parts. A frequently used approach, particularly where fulfillment response time is critical (e.g. auto parts, where a car is up on the lift waiting for a part), is to simply throw a lot of inventory at the problem, especially at or near the end nodes. This adds a lot of inventory and cost to the system. This can be further complicated when parts distribution centers (PDC) hold a mix of parts built by the OEM and by suppliers. In addition, there is inventory at dealers that becomes invisible to other dealers. Providing unified visibility across dealers’ inventory, suppliers’ inventory, parts retail store inventory, and PDC inventory creates opportunities for higher service levels at less cost across the network. 4 8 Complex machinery has a long tail of parts, many of which may see only a couple of turns per year at a given location. © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment Enablers of Profitable Fulfillment The scenarios and new approaches described above have only been made possible with the advent of a set of enabling capabilities. These capabilities can be broadly divided into three areas: Operationally Precise, Network-Wide Visibility Dynamic Network Orchestration Capabilities Networked Order Management Operationally Precise, NetworkWide Visibility Achieving profitable fulfillment in today’s global, multi-party, omni-channel fulfillment scenarios requires an operationally precise view—accurate, upto-date, granular visibility across the network of partners, as needed to optimize multi-party processes and flows. There are several dimensions to an operationally precise view: Inventory visibility is precise, granular, multiparty, near-real-time—Accurate SKU/location inventory counts that are updated in real time, not just for inventory that the company owns, but inventory across the network, on order, being built, and in transit. Lead times match current reality on the ground—Actual transit times for ocean freight can vary by several days from the estimates supplied by ocean carriers.5 Planning with precision requires knowing the actual average lead times and lead time variability by lane and mode (See sidebar CAT Tackles Ocean Transit/Port Variability). Dynamic Precise ETA—Rather than using standard lead times, a Dynamic Precise ETA monitors various factors (vessel/vehicle speed/location, weather, port congestion, traffic, backlogs, events on the ground) to provide a much more precise estimated time of arrival. It also updates over time as CAT Tackles Ocean Transit/Port Variability By leveraging its network platform, CAT obtained better visibility into sources of variability throughout the full multi-leg routing and the various costs those were adding such as detention demurrage, and inventory costs. This variability occurred in each stage, such as ocean transit, load and unload, drayage steps, customs clearance, consolidation and deconsolidation, and so forth. In one case, the manufacturer observed a specific lane where customs clearance took place on average 2½ days after vessel arrival and with lots of variability, in many cases over 5 days after arrival (see diagram below). With this visibility and ability to measure and share performance, CAT tightened assumptions and worked with the responsible service providers, and as a result improved the average clearance to 2 days before vessel arrival, while significantly reducing variability so that virtually no loads are taking more than 5 days after arrival to clear. This approach was applied more broadly, and as a result the average variability for CAT’s China to US shipments was reduced from 18 days to 8 days thereby reducing in-transit inventory by 10 days, freeing up $250M of working capital. 5 Ocean carriers’ estimated transit times are typically days longer than the average transit time, to ensure that considerably more than 50% of shipments will arrive within the estimated time. 9 © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment conditions change. Precise ETA on inbound logistics enables better execution of advanced practices such as merge-in transit or DC bypass. Costs are accurate, up-to-date, incident-specific—Traditional standard costs or average costs often diverge widely from actual costs in each situation. Without accurate actual cost data, even the best of optimization algorithms will struggle to find the most profitable approach. This includes not just knowing a firm’s internal costs, but knowing a supplier’s or partner’s costs, which are ultimately passed on to the buyer-customer. Getting a handle on the actual cost drivers and cost interdependencies across the network is the only way to truly understand the total cost-to-serve. That data in turn serves as the foundation for optimized decisions. Condition—For certain types of cargo, accurately knowing the conditions it has been exposed to—such as temperature, humidity, exposure to shock and vibration, and other types of condition sensing—can be an important element of profitable fulfillment. For example, around 20%30% of produce is lost to spoilage before it is consumed. Precise, granular temperature tracking7 can be used to drive process improvements from harvesting to precool to handling in trucks, loading docks, and DCs to dramatically reduce losses. Having a shock sensor on expensive, sensitive electronic equipment can increase handling compliance when service providers know they are ‘being Impact of Temperature on Berries’ Shelf Life 6 watched’ and will be liable for damage based on that data. The new IMO SOLAS Container Weight Verification Requirement, effective July 1, 2016, requires all containers to have an actual (not estimated) weight before they can be loaded onto the vessel. Lack of compliance could cause delays in shipment. Location—Knowing that an item or shipment is somewhere in transit between origin and destination is often not enough. There can be considerable value in knowing with some precision, in near real time, where each shipment is. This can be useful for security (preventing and detecting cargo theft) as well as anti-counterfeiting (knowing that a specific serial number item is not where it should be). It is a key element for calculating Dynamic Precise ETA, which is a foundation for all sorts of other benefits. It is often not cost-justified to attach a satellite- or cellular-connected GPS device to every item or order. In that case, location can be inferred from other data, such as AIS location data of a ship, truck location data, ‘sightings’ of the order at different milestones, current traffic conditions, current port congestion, weather, and other data. Algorithms are getting smarter all the time about using these combinations of data to calculate more precise shipment location. 6 Source: Improvement in fresh fruit and vegetable logistics quality: berry logistics field studies I.e. tracking temperature at a case or pallet level, from the field/point of harvest to the point of delivery/sale to the end consumer. 7 10 © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment Dynamic Network Orchestration Capabilities In addition to an operationally precise network-wide view, a platform needs to provide dynamic orchestration across all the various trading partners and service providers involved in the end-to-end fulfillment processes. These include capabilities such as: 11 Dynamic Multi-Party Available-to-Promise—This requires an ATP (available-to-promise) engine that can see and manage inventory that is owned by multiple parties, across many locations, and dynamically commit that inventory to specific customer orders. This requires synchronization between each player and the network, creating and maintaining a synchronized, near real-time, shared view of what inventory is available for sale. When a dealer or partner or store or ecommerce site sells a unit, it is immediately taken out of the shared pool of inventory available for sale, regardless of which enterprise or entity has sold it. That pool of available inventory may include units that are still in production, or in transit, or returned items sitting in a returns processing center. Dynamic Multi-Echelon Available-to-Promise—Multi-echelon ATP refers to the ability to reliably promise items that are still in the process of being built or transported or at different tiers of distribution. This requires accurate visibility into the current status of production at suppliers, as well as dynamic precise ETA for goods in transit. These estimates of production completion and transport arrival dates must be dynamic; updated the moment conditions change. With Dynamic Analytics (see below), predictions are updated well before a milestone is missed, based on a variety of predictive data (internal and external) and various algorithms, such as taking into account weather, other orders being built, other ships arriving at a port, and so forth. Dynamic Multi-Echelon Postponement—An enabler of Dynamic Multi-Echelon ATP, this is the ability to wait until the last moment to decide where items will be shipped from for different suppliers or tiers in the chain. This requires the ability to remotely, instantly assign, control, and automate the ‘postponement functions’ at those various suppliers and partners, such as customer- and order-specific assembly/kitting, customer-specific packaging and labeling, and so forth. Thus shared inventory at many different locations can be dynamically pooled across all customers, while still meeting the widely varying requirements of individual customers. Supplier Shipment Automation and Orchestration—This is orchestrating multiple third parties—such as contract manufacturers, packaging firms, third-party logistics, carriers, and so forth. The platform should provide automation and control of end-to-end fulfillment processes such as assembling, labeling, packing, and shipping, regardless of who is doing them. Streamlining these processes is required to efficiently scale to high volumes while improving reliability and reducing lead © Panpote | Dreamstime.com times. © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment Dynamic Analytics—Dynamic analytics provides situational awareness based on conditions on the ground across the network. When there is a change in weather, congestion at ports, a fire, or other event that might cause a slowdown or stoppage at or near one of the locations in the fulfillment network, the appropriate persons are alerted, potential impacts analyzed, and ideally potential remedies suggested. Dynamic Precise ETA and other types of proactive alerts are enabled by this type of analytics. This requires accurate network-wide data feeds and geospatially aware complex event processing capabilities. Network-wide KPIs and Dashboards—The performance of the various players, manufacturing locations, lanes, and services involved in fulfillment must be measured, monitored, and made visible to authorized stakeholders, including the partner providing the service. These should highlight both average performance and variability, identify underperforming and better performing suppliers and locations, and help pinpoint factors that may be affecting performance. This forms the basis for continuous improvement across the network; continually working on reducing the cost of transport, cost of delivery, inventory levels, service levels, cycle times, encouraging collaboration, and other factors contributing to success. Networked Order Management Distributed Order Management (DOM) has been around for over a decade, but is only now getting more attention and some adoption as omni-channel capabilities are becoming increasingly critical. A new set of capabilities called Networked Order Management (NOM) is emerging to support more flexible, multi-party scenarios. This includes managing orders to OEM/brand owners and directing how those get executed by contract manufacturers, logistics providers, and other upstream partners. It also includes more flexible approaches to last-mile delivery. This is an area we plan to explore further in future papers. 12 © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment Conclusion Fulfillment has become a key differentiator and determinant of success. Fulfillment capabilities have become as important as the product itself. Failure to deliver in the desired manner and time has devastating consequences. At the same time, the challenges are increasing. Fulfillment requirements continue to get more complex, varied, and personalized. There are an increasing number of third parties involved in fulfillment scenarios. To survive and thrive in this new world requires a new way of thinking. It requires ‘network thinking’— a network-first approach to manufacturing, inventory, shipments, orders, and fulfillment. It requires coordinating the network of players across end-to-end fulfillment scenarios. A network-first approach is the key to better execution in today’s world. It is the key to satisfied and loyal customers. It is the key to profitable fulfillment. 13 © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved Profitable Fulfillment About ChainLink Research ChainLink Research, Inc. is a Supply Chain research organization dedicated to helping executives improve business performance and competitiveness through an understanding of real-world implications, obstacles and results for supply-chain policies, practices, processes, and technologies. The ChainLink 3Pe Model is the basis for our research; a unique, multidimensional framework for managing and improving the links between supply chain partners. For more information, contact ChainLink Research at: 321 Walnut Street, Suite 442, Newton, MA 02460-1927 Tel: (617) 762-4040. Email: [email protected] Website: www.clresearch.com © ChainLink Research 2016 – All Rights Reserved
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