Top PAPERS A Critical Review of Haiti Earthquake of 2010: Key Development Problems and Focused Solutions Hector MARTIN1, Timothy M. LEWIS2, and Nanika MORAIN MARTIN3 1 Lecturer, University of the West Indies, (St Augustine, Trinidad) [email protected] 2 Professor, University of the West Indies (St Augustine, Trinidad) [email protected] 3 Director, M&M Dev. Co. Ltd. '¶$EDGLH7ULQLGDG [email protected] In the year 2010, natural disasters were at catastrophic levels leaving death, havoc, devastation and displacement in its wake; demonstrating the need for increased focus on disaster management. Integral to reducing this impact and a primary focus point to disaster management is the evaluation of risk and vulnerability. This paper presents a systematic evaluation of Haiti and examines the pressure and release (PAR) model in the context of the earthquake of 2010. An evaluation of the cause and effect of the disaster is also undertaken; which in turn predicted risk factors. The evaluation assumes that disasters are caused by the intersecting of two opposing forces: the process generated vulnerability, and physical exposure to hazards. Increasing pressure can come from either; it was shown that vulnerability has to be reduced to relieve the pressure. Vulnerability was evaluated in three levels: root causes, dynamic pressures and unsafe conditions. The reverse of the progression of vulnerability provided areas where solutions can be focus to improve safety. Keywords: disaster, vulnerability assessment, pressure and release model ` 1. INTRODUCTION The Caribbean, located at latitude 10-300 N is bombarded yearly by hurricane forces. In addition to its peculiar location, it is bounded by tectonic plates which contribute to the occurrence of earthquakes, volcanoes, and tectonic tsunami. It is a fact that each year Caribbean countries are at risk to natural hazards which results in significant losses and environmental damage. Charvériat (2000) estimated that within Latin America and the Caribbean, damages from natural disaster have reached US$3.5 billion annually leaving a death toll of 45,000. Haiti is located in the northern region of the Caribbean. On January 12, 2010, the country was hit by a 7.0 magnitude on the Richter scale earthquake, where 316,000 persons were killed and more than 9 million affected (my web 2011). The impacts of this disaster resulted in the disruption of the society, with environmental effects that reshaped the entire landscape; leaving a trail of falling trees and accumulated debris in need of collection, sorting, treatment, and disposal. Also, there were economic impacts as catastrophic damage to infrastructure and abysmal property damage were severe and subsequently hinder economic activity to the country. The social impacts of this disaster were loss of life, epidemics that left many communities disrupted and hundreds of thousands of people displaced. In comparison, Chile was struck by an earthquake magnitude 8.8 in February of the same year; more than 2 million people were affected and deaths totaled 708 persons (Xinhua 2010). More recently, March 2011 marked one of the worst earthquakes; to hit Japan in 140 years. This was a 9.0 magnitude earthquake which brought with it a - 33 - Top PAPERS tsunami killing 15,698 persons and 4,666 reported missing (Vervaeck and Daniell 2011). Of the three locations, Haiti was impacted by the lowest magnitude earthquake but had the highest death toll and total number affected; even though, the magnitude of the Chile earthquake was 700 times stronger than that of the Haiti earthquake. This is rather contrary to the notion that the damages should be greater as the magnitude increases, all being equal; but are all things equal? In addition, the Haiti earthquake was more than twice as lethal as any previous magnitude-7.0 event (Bilha 2011). Our assessment must therefore examine these anomalies; in order to determine what the key contributors toward Haiti susceptibility to earthquake are. One of the principal challenges in the determination of susceptibility is the quantification of conditions both pre and post disaster. This was evident in the collection of reliable statistics of the total killed as witnessed by the fact that estimates of this number ranged from (200- WKRXVDQG ³international HVWLPDWHV´ DQG WKRXVDQG ³+DLWL HVWLPDWH´ (NYT 2012). Additionally, there was no national tracking system to monitor the movements (or the returns) of displaced persons throughout the country. The intended evaluation model for the identification of a solution for Haiti must therefore take these challenges into consideration. This report aims to critically evaluate +DLWL¶V vulnerability towards earthquake and recommend measures to reduce the probable future devastating impact. To achieve this aim, the pressure and release (PAR) model will be utilized to track the progression of vulnerability by addressing the underlying causes as issues, and analyzing the nature of hazards molded by a series of dynamic pressures. This leads to safer conditions which facilitate the preparation of the community to dealing with disasters. The PAR Disaster Model explains disaster from a macro perspective. It indicates how risk to disaster can be reduced by employing preventative and mitigation actions. 2. PAR MODEL AND VULNERABILITY Risk is a function of hazard and vulnerability. Wisner et al. (2007, Kindle Locations 1581-1583,) lamented that vulnerability refers to the potential for casualty, destruction, damage, disruption or other form of loss in a particular element: risk combines this with the probable level of loss to be expected from a predictable magnitude of hazard (which can be considered as the manifestation of the agent that produces the loss). The key to understanding disaster is therefore an understanding of vulnerability. Blaikie, et al. (1994) defines vulnerability as the characteristics of a person or group in terms of their capacity to anticipate, cope with, resist and recover from the impact of a disaster. In essence, vulnerability is the potential for loss and is the only identifiable attribute which can characterize a person or group pre-disaster, during the event, and post disaster. In addition, vulnerability is time dependent to some degree and can be measured in terms of the damage to future livelihoods and not just as what happens to life and property at the time of the hazard event (Blaikie, et al. 1994).Therefore, any model which truly addresses disaster management must include vulnerability as its cornerstone. Vulnerability involves a combinatioQRIIDFWRUVWKDWGHWHUPLQHWKHGHJUHHWRZKLFKVRPHRQH¶VOLIHDQGOLYHOLKRRGDUHSXWDWULVNE\ a discrete and identifiable event in nature or in society (Blaikie, et al. 1994). It is the capacity to suffer harm and react adversely (Kates 1985). Timmerman (1981) emphasizes that the degree and quality of the DGYHUVHUHDFWLRQDUHFRQGLWLRQHGE\DV\VWHP¶VUHVLOLHQFHDPHDVXUHRIDV\VWHP¶VFDSDFLW\WRDEVRUEDQG recover from the event). Consequently, the prescriptive and normative response to vulnerability is to formulate a model which lessen exposure, enhance coping capacity, intensify recovery potential and augment damage control by private and public means (Watts and Bohle 1993). The distinction of the type of disaster model to be utilized in a given scenario is more profound in its efficacy when reacting to disasters with severe time constraints. Disaster management models can be categorized as: logical, integrated, causes, and others (Asghar et al 2006). The PAR model is classified as a causal model, since it is not based on the idea of defining stages in a disaster, but simplifies this process through the suggestion of some underlying causes of disasters through the analysis of the nature of the - 34 - Top PAPERS hazard. This simplification distinguishes a critical element in the assessment of the complex interactions of the disaster stages; an essential criteria in the measurement of the usefulness of disaster models as noted by Kelly (1998). Models which follow the rudimentary logic of the disaster management cycle truncate the process into discrete separable stages which is atypical of the actual unraveling of a disaster. The challenge arising from this truncation is to determine when each stage ends and when another begins. The PAR model overcomes these limitations through the focus on the pressure before, during and after the event without distinguishing each stage; hence, the processes of improvement conceived are implemented continuously. The PAR model is used primarily to address social groups facing disaster events which emphasize distinctions in vulnerability by different exposure units such as social class and ethnicity (Turner II et al. 2003). The Haiti earthquake of 2010 and its impact on that country demonstrated the high vulnerability of people in disasteU VLWXDWLRQV ZKHQ WKHUH DUH PDQ\ H[LVWLQJ ³SUHGLVSRVLQJ´ IDFWRUV LQ SODFH The model allows the community to identify such predisposing factors and correct them in order to reduce vulnerability and the overall impact of natural hazards. Highlighting the vulnerability of countries to natural disasters can serve to shed light on the issue, identify sectors of the economy or society that are particularly at risk, and aid in planning to mitigate the effects of future events (Crowards 2000). The usefulness of the PAR model was put into focus when Trobe and Venton (2003) noted: ³The WUDGLWLRQDO GLVDVWHU PDQDJHPHQW µPRGHO¶ FDQ EH XQKHOSIXO DV LW IDLOV WR LQFOXGH WKH underlying causes of disasters that construct risk and vulnerability. « the wider development community should get involved in disaster risk reduction .....because of root causes, not just how to tackle the disaster when it happens. Therefore, to overcome «« a ODFN RI µRYHUDOO YLVLRQ¶ « emphasis should be placed on highlighting the root causes of disasters such as poverty and other forms of vulnerability.´ The PAR model does not provide a detailed and theoretically informed analysis of the precise interactions of environment and society at the point when the event occurs (Wisner et al. 2004). While the PAR model does not quantify vulnerability in a manner in which it is relevant to the assessment and quantification of risk and is unable to address the occurrence of multiple hazards. It is a qualitative assessment which has the advantage of identifying areas in need of further focus. Therefore, this characteristic will be further explored in the evaluation of Haiti to determine primary focus areas. 3. THE CASE OF HAITI The pressure and release model (see figure 1) shows the progression of vulnerability of the Haiti earthquake, the risk is crunched between the progression and the hazard. The primary impact was the earthquake but Haiti also experienced secondary impacts such as the cholera epidemic; which sickened nearly 500,000 persons across Haiti and killed nearly 7,000 (McNeil Jr. 2012). Tertiary impact includes violent attacks as UN peacekeepers were suspected of introducing cholera. Critical unsafe conditions, dynamic pressures and root causes for the Haiti 2010 earthquake disaster were obtained from secondary data sources and are presented below: Unsafe Conditions x x Uncontrolled illegal housing development in vulnerable areas such as hillsides and flood plains. Because of the low per capita GDP of $1,300 (CIA Fact Book 2011) people building homes have no option but to build using the most affordable materials and the cheapest and quickest building methods; which often prove to be unsuitable. - 35 - Top x x PAPERS Haitian roads (4,545 km in total) are in poor condition. Eighty percent of the paved roads and 96 percent of the remaining primary roads require repair or rehabilitation (Archi 1995). These unpaved and poor roads result in limited access and also increase vehicle operating costs. In 1990 only 39 percent of the 5.9 million residents had adequate access to water and only 24 percent to sanitation (Us Army Corps of Engineers 1999). The lack of essential basic amenities such as water or sanitation is outside the reach of government and public services and in 2012 this still poses a challenge to Haitis development. Dynamic Pressures x x x There is little or no urban planning in Port-au-Prince to control settlement development and regularization of rural poor immigrants into the city in need of a better way of life. There is a shortage of housing and those that exist are of poor quality (Oxfam 2010). %\WKHPLGGOHRIWKHWKFHQWXU\+DLWL¶Vagriculture policy fueled significant de-forestation and soil degradation that was the workings of sugar plantations. The government lacked the resources or the will to reverse this long-term man-made ecological disaster. Farmers over-farmed the soil in order to make a bare subsidence and, in recent years, a population too poor to buy kerosene or bottle gas turned to forest-derived charcoal as their only source of cooking fuel. Root Causes x x x x ,Q WKH ODWH WK FHQWXU\ +DLWL ZDV )UDQFH¶V PRVW YDOXDEOHFRORQ\ SURGXFLQJ R RIWKe sugar and 60% of the coffee consumed in Europe. In 1791 the slaves of Haiti rebelled and, under the leadership of slave-JHQHUDO 7RXVVDLQW /¶2YHUWXUH WKH\ GHIHDWHG 1DSROHRQ¶V DUPLHV %HWZHHQ DQG Haiti was forced to pay enormous reparations to France in return for diplomatic recognition. To obtain the required amount of money Haiti borrowed extreme sums from the US, German and French banks (Oxfam 2010). This made Haiti a heavily indebted country. ,QWKHHDUO\WKFHQWXU\WKH86$¶VSROLF\WRZDUGVHaiti was to use force and occupation to ensure that Haiti stuck to its repayment schedules (Oxfam 2010) +DLWL¶V GLFWDWRUV LQVWHDG RI IRFXVLQJ RQ +DLWL¶VGHYHORSPHQWUHVRUWHGWRSHUVRQDOSOXQGHU RI+DLWL¶V9 million population lives below the poverty line of $2/day of which 54% in abject poverty; unemployment rate is 45% (CIA Fact Book 2012). The amplification of surface seismic waves crossing the soft sedimentary plains on which most dwellings were constructed contributed to their collapse. Because of this, and the westward propagation of the rupture, damage was less on the bedrock hills south of the city, and far more on the coastal plains near Léogane 30 kilometres to the west (Bilha 2011). Risk reduction is the purpose of hazard managers. Risk reduction will include some mechanism to reduce vulnerability. Vulnerability reduction may include changes to achieve safer conditions either directly or indirectly by reducing dynamic pressures and addressing root causes that result in unsafe conditions. Figure 2 illustrates how safety can be enhanced through the reduction of dynamic pressure and root cause. If we consider the Haiti 2010 earthquake and follow the chain of explanation that links vulnerability to the specific physical trigger that creates a disaster, reversing the PAR model, starting with ³XQVDIH FRQGLWLRQV´ ZH FDQ LGHQWLI\ ZK\ +DLWL ZDV VR YXOQHUDEOH WR WKH 1DWXUDO +D]DUG Some of the proposed safe conditions include: Structural y Revision of Seismic Building Code and maps y Retrofit of existing Buildings y Training of best international practices, then, provide supervision for the construction of new Buildings - 36 - Top y PAPERS Development of safer infrastructure and develop masonry as a locally appropriate construction technology Non-Structural y Develop master urban plans with a bottom up approach to incorporate the views at the community levels. Implement land-use planning and regulation including the compulsory purchase of ruined tenements by government. y Implement disaster preparedness planning at the local and community level 4. CONCLUSION Countries economic, social and political climate are severely affected after such destruction by a natural hazard. It often leaves the country exposed to other threats as seen in Haiti which experienced a severe outbreak of cholera after the earthquake devastation. While natural disasters have a lethal reputation, secondary effects such as, food shortage, genocide, illness, civil and political violence in some countries still count for the highest numbers of deaths. Even more devastating is the extent of human suffering and displacement, which prevails long after the disaster has occurred, as exhibited by the number of persons living in camps in Haiti. In these instances it is often the poor who are most adversely affected. From this review it was found that the most critical factors contributing to Haiti high susceptibility to earthquake are: poor construction and materials, lack of planning and building regulations lack of awareness that earthquakes are a significant threat Abject poverty Emphasis must therefore be placed on improving these key areas and equitably distribute wealth, which has a history of political corruption. - 37 - Top PAPERS Progression of Vulnerability Root Causes -Poverty (80% people living below Dynamic Pressures Unsafe Conditions Risk Hazard Lack of: Physical poverty line, 54% live in abject -Seismograph stations. poverty) -Attention to earthquake resistance -High death rate due AIDS/HIV, -Poor design and construction of malaria, respiratory infections. buildings to possibility of earthquakes Environm ment: -Poor construction practices -Poor marine and costal management systems -Lack of basic health care. earthquake - Awareness that Haiti was vulnerable -Deforestation and -High exposure to infectious earth disasters. -Flooding devastation in 2008 -75% of Haiti household lack - Effective education systems -Over farming running water -Social support structures seismic waves crossing the (32 coup). Macro Forces: soft sedimentary plains -Struggle for political power. -Désertification Economic Environment: -Education Adult Literacy: men -Deforestation 54%; women 50% (Foreign and -Large population -Haiti is the poorest country as Commonwealth Office 2012) per the Human -Migration Development Index; -Large slum city in capital -Between 1825 and 1947 Haiti was -Government corruption -Densely populated areas forced to pay enormous reparations to -GDP of 11.53 billion or 1,300 -Extremely high food prices France in return for diplomatic per person. recognition. To obtain the required Ideologies: -Low income levels amount of money Haiti borrowed History of corrupt political -30-40% foreign aid makes up extreme sums from US, German and system and government. government budget. French banks. This made it a heavily Corruption 168 of 180 countries indebted country. (Transparency international Fig.1 The progression of vulnerability for earthquake hazards - 38 - 6.2 surface which caused the energy to be released very close to the -Disaster management systems. - Amplification of surface -Long history of political violence was miles in depth below the to earthquakes and other natural desertification diseases The depth of the Haiti surface. There was ground shaking that lasted 30-40 seconds, several aftershocks also followed periodically measuring about 4.0 ² 5.0 in magnitude. Total damages earthquake estimated $8-$14 billion of the was between Haiti Earthquake 7.0 Magnitude Top PAPERS Progression of safety Address Root Causes Reduce Dynamic Pressures Achieve safe Condition Physical Development of: Increase the access of Reduce Hazard Environment: vulnerable groups to: Local community groups to Power demand effective Resources and reconstruction. Improve seismic building codes and their enforcement Local institution Through the Training and education democratization of Enhanced legal framework for structure Reduce building densities by changing land use pattern. governance the facilitation and regulation Provide incentives to of international disaster aid. strengthen existing Ethical standards in public buildings Challenge any: life Reduce Ideology, economic system or political Macro Forces: system that Diversify rural income Press freedom opportunities Risk Improve Seismic hazard mapping Automated post Improve rural economic event Resilient local economy: increases opportunities to reduce vulnerability. urbanization Strengthen livelihoods Public Actions: Re-forestation Develop and implement Improve preparedness disaster and health program planning. Through school programs Fig.2 Risk reduction mechanisms for Haiti - 39 - notification Top PAPERS 5. 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