ICES Journal of Marine Science Journal du Conseil Volume 72 Supplement 1 July 2015 http://icesjms.oxfordjournals.org/ Lobsters in a Changing Climate Proceedings of the 10th International Conference and Workshop on Lobster Biology and Management Conveners: Patricia Briones-Fourzán (Mexico), Enrique Lozano-Álvarez (Mexico) ICES Journal of Marine Science Journal du Conseil Volume 72 Supplement 1 July 2015 http://icesjms.oxfordjournals.org/ Contents Introduction P. Briones-Fourzán & E. Lozano-Álvarez Lobsters: ocean icons in changing times i7 Reviews E. Spanier, K. L. Lavalli, J. S. Goldstein, J. C. Groeneveld, G. L. Jordaan, C. M. Jones, B. F. Phillips, M. L. Bianchini, R. D. Kibler, D. Dı́az, S. Mallol, R. Goñi, G. I. van Der Meeren, A-L. Agnalt, D. C. Behringer, W. F. Keegan, & A. Jeffs A concise review of lobster utilization by worldwide human populations from prehistory to the modern era i22 J. W. Penn, N. Caputi, & S. de Lestang A review of lobster fishery management: the Western Australian fishery for Panulirus cygnus, a case study in the development and implementation of input and output-based management systems i35 C. D. Ellis, D. J. Hodgson, C. L. Daniels, D. P. Boothroyd, R. C. A. Bannister, & A. G. F. Griffiths European lobster stocking requires comprehensive impact assessment to determine fishery benefits i49 Original Articles S. de Lestang, N. Caputi, M. Feng, A. Denham, J. Penn, D. Slawinski, A. Pearce, & J. How What caused seven consecutive years of low puerulus settlement in the western rock lobster fishery of Western Australia? i59 I. A. Hinojosa, B. S. Green, C. Gardner, & A. Jeffs Settlement and early survival of southern rock lobster, Jasus edwardsii, under climatedriven decline of kelp habitats i69 R. A. Wahle, L. Dellinger, S. Olszewski, & P. Jekielek American lobster nurseries of southern New England receding in the face of climate change i79 B. K. Quinn & R. Rochette Potential effect of variation in water temperature on development time of American lobster larvae i91 C. D. Ellis, H. Knott, C. L. Daniels, M. J. Witt, & D. J. Hodgson Geographic and environmental drivers of fecundity in the European lobster (Homarus gammarus) i101 M. Butler, IV, R. Bertelsen, & A. MacDiarmid Mate choice in temperate and tropical spiny lobsters with contrasting reproductive systems i115 M. J. Butler, IV, A. Macdiarmid, & G. Gnanalingam The effect of parental size on spermatophore production, egg quality, fertilization success, and larval characteristics in the Caribbean Spiny lobster, Panulirus argus i1 i124 i128 i139 i147 i155 i164 i170 i177 i185 i199 i211 i225 i232 i244 i252 i260 R. O’Rorke, S. D. Lavery, M. Wang, R. Gallego, A. M. Waite, L. E. Beckley, P. A. Thompson, & A. G. Jeffs Phyllosomata associated with large gelatinous zooplankton: hitching rides and stealing bites C. E. Davies, A. F. Johnson, E. C. Wootton, S. J. Greenwood, K. F. Clark, C. L. Vogan, & A. F. Rowley Effects of population density and body size on disease ecology of the European lobster in a temperate marine conservation zone A. S. Kough, C. B. Paris, D. C. Behringer, & M. J. Butler, IV Modelling the spread and connectivity of waterborne marine pathogens: the case of PaV1 in the Caribbean J. S. Goldstein, E. A. Dubofsky, & E. Spanier Into a rhythm: diel activity patterns and behaviour in Mediterranean slipper lobsters, Scyllarides latus P. Briones-Fourzán, R. Domı́nguez-Gallegos, & E. Lozano-Álvarez Aggressive behaviour of spotted spiny lobsters (Panulirus guttatus) in different social contexts: the influence of sex, size, and missing limbs R. I. Candia-Zulbarán, P. Briones-Fourzán, E. Lozano-Álvarez, C. Barradas-Ortiz, & F. Negrete-Soto Caribbean spiny lobsters equally avoid dead and clinically PaV1-infected conspecifics M. J. Childress, K. A. Heldt, & S. D. Miller Are juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters (Panulirus argus) becoming less social? B. C. Gutzler, M. J. Butler, IV, & D. C. Behringer Casitas: a location-dependent ecological trap for juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters, Panulirus argus C. B. Butler & T. R. Matthews Effects of ghost fishing lobster traps in the Florida Keys I. D. Tuck, D. M. Parsons, B. W. Hartill, & S. M. Chiswell Scampi (Metanephrops challengeri) emergence patterns and catchability H. A. Lizárraga-Cubedo, I. Tuck, N. Bailey, G. J. Pierce, A. F. Zuur, & D. Bova Scottish lobster fisheries and environmental variability G. Ewing & S. Frusher New puerulus collector design suitable for fishery-dependent settlement monitoring E. A. Babcock, W. J. Harford, R. Coleman, J. Gibson, J. Maaz, J. R. Foley, & M. Gongora Bayesian depletion model estimates of spiny lobster abundance at two marine protected areas in Belize with or without in-season recruitment Z. Kordjazi, S. Frusher, C. D. Buxton, & C. Gardner Estimating survival of rock lobsters from long-term tagging programmes: how survey number and interval influence estimates C. Gardner, K. Hartmann, A. E. Punt, & E. Hoshino Fewer eggs from larger size limits: counterintuitive outcomes in a spatially heterogeneous fishery S. Lee, N. D. Hartstein, & A. Jeffs Modelling carbon deposition and dissolved nitrogen discharge from sea cage aquaculture of tropical spiny lobster Published by Oxford University Press for International Council for the Exploration of the Sea Conseil International pour l’Exploration de la Mer H. C. Andersens Boulevard 44-46, DK-1553 Copenhagen V, Denmark ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i1 –i6. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv111 Introduction to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Introduction Lobsters: ocean icons in changing times Patricia Briones-Fourzán* and Enrique Lozano-Álvarez Instituto de Ciencias del Mar y Limnologı́a, Unidad Académica de Sistemas Arrecifales Puerto Morelos, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Quintana Roo, México *Corresponding author: tel: + 52 998 8710009; e-mail: [email protected] Briones-Fourzán, P., and Lozano-Álvarez, E. Lobsters: ocean icons in changing times. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i1– i6. Received 10 April 2015; revised 26 May 2015; accepted 28 May 2015; advance access publication 23 June 2015 . The 10th International Conference and Workshop on Lobster Biology and Management was held in Cancún, Mexico, in May 2014. The papers included in this supplementary issue of the ICES Journal of Marine Science are a sample of the multidisciplinary nature of the conference and provide new knowledge of the biology, ecology, fisheries, and management and aquaculture of clawed, spiny, and slipper lobsters. The emphasis of the conference was climate change and its consequences for lobster biology, population dynamics, ecology, and fisheries. As noted in several papers, climate change is already affecting different lobster species by altering growth rates, sizes at maturity, the timing of reproductive processes, duration of larval development, and the timing and levels of settlement; by affecting key benthic habitat-forming species in settlement habitats; by increasing the risk of disease and impacting the behavioural ecology of lobsters, and by changing the spatial distribution of the stocks and, hence, affecting catches and the territorial behaviour of fishers. Other issues addressed at the conference included aquaculture and enhancement—the holy grails of lobster management—sustainable management strategies, and a fascinating review of the use of lobsters through human history. In addition to their economic importance, lobsters continue to provide valuable information to understand different marine environments in a changing climate. Keywords: biology, clawed lobsters, climate change, fisheries, management, slipper lobsters, spiny lobsters. Introduction Marine lobsters are a diverse group of large, abundant, long-lived, crustaceans that inhabit a wide range of habitats. Lobsters are highly valued and sustain some of the most profitable fisheries in all tropical, subtropical, and temperate-cool waters of the world. In 2012, worldwide landings of marine lobsters were 294 000 metric tons (mt) with a value of around US $2800 million, with an additional 2000 mt produced through aquaculture (FAO, 2014). Chan (2010) recognized 248 lobster species in 55 genera and 6 families from 4 infraorders; however, most commercially important species are members of the families Nephropidae (clawed lobsters and scampi), Palinuridae (spiny or rock lobsters), and Scyllaridae (slipper lobsters). Apart from their economic importance, lobsters play key roles in the maintenance of healthy and diverse marine ecosystems, given their generally high local abundances and trophic position as benthic consumers. Lobsters exhibit different types of lifestyles and reproductive strategies—even within the same genus—and display complex behaviours, yet are relatively easy to keep in the laboratory and to use in controlled experiments. Thus, lobsters provide valuable # International information to understand different marine environments in a changing world and constitute useful subjects, and even model organisms, for many types of biological and ecological studies (Cobb, 2006). The International Conference and Workshop on Lobster Biology and Management In January 1977, a group of 34 scientists from six countries met in Perth, Australia, to discuss issues on lobster ecology and physiology. Over time, the scope widened and the meeting became the “International Conference and Workshop on Lobster Biology and Management” (or ICWL for short). The aims of the ICWL are to review recent advances in the study of all aspects of the biology, ecology, fisheries, and aquaculture of clawed, spiny, and slipper lobsters; to identify gaps in current knowledge and future research priorities, and to encourage collaborative studies for future research. Established and new generations of lobster scientists, academics, students, managers, and industry representatives attend the ICWLs to exchange knowledge and mingle in a friendly atmosphere. After Perth, subsequent ICWLs were held in Saint Andrews, Canada Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2015. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i2 P. Briones-Fourzán and E. Lozano-Álvarez (1985), La Habana, Cuba (1990), Sanriku, Japan (1993), Queenstown, New Zealand (1997), Key West, USA (2000), Hobart, Australia (2004), Charlottetown, Canada (2007), and Bergen, Norway (2011). The 10th International Conference and Workshop on Lobster Biology and Management was held in Cancún, Mexico, in May 2014 and was attended by 182 registered participants from 21 countries (Figure 1). To celebrate the fact that this was the first ICWL held in Mexico, the logo of the 10th ICWL depicted a stylized “pre-Columbian” spiny lobster (Figure 2). Over the 5-day conference, 200 presentations were delivered: 133 oral and 67 posters, including keynote presentations by Bruce Phillips, Richard Wahle, Ehud Spanier, James Penn, and Juan Carlos Seijo (see the Book of Abstracts in Supplementary Material). The emphasis of the 10th ICWL was “Lobsters in a Changing Climate” and presenters were encouraged to address this issue from their particular field of study, but there were in all 14 theme sessions: Climate change; Behavioural ecology; Diseases and parasites; Population and community ecology; Lobsters in antiquity; Reproduction, development, and physiology; Connectivity and larval studies; Genetics; Aquaculture, nutrition, and population enhancement; Fisheries and fishing technologies; Marine protected areas; Habitat and ecosystem issues for fisheries management; Stock assessment; and Management. The conference ended on May 23 with the announcement and presentation of the next venue. The 11th ICWL will be held in Portland, Maine, USA, in 2017. Lobsters: the state of the art The 26 papers (3 reviews and 23 original articles) published in this special issue of the ICES Journal of Marine Science exemplify the diversity of topics addressed at the 10th ICWL. The conference featured a special session on the use of lobsters through the history of Figure 2. The logo of the 10th International Conference and Workshop on Lobster Biology and Management featured a “pre-Columbian” spiny lobster (designed by Jorge Quiñonez-Alvarado). Figure 1. Participants in the 10th International Conference and Workshop on Lobster Biology and Management (Cancún, Mexico, 18– 23 May 2014). Lobsters in changing times humans with eight presentations from different geographic regions and civilizations, and all the presenters from that session joined their efforts to produce the comprehensive and fascinating first review (Spanier et al., 2015). The review shows that lobsters have been iconic creatures for thousands of years, that humans have used lobsters for food and trade essentially always, and that many indigenous peoples appear to have harvested lobsters at a sustainable rate. However, as the demand for lobsters increased, fishing methods became more efficient and preservation techniques increased the potential for international trade, eventually leading to the present status in which most lobster stocks are either fully exploited or overexploited (e.g. Jeffs et al., 2013; Phillips et al., 2013; Wahle et al., 2013). Therefore, present-day lobster populations are more vulnerable to environmental changes and in dire need of sound and sustainable management strategies. In the second review, Penn et al. (2015) give an interesting account of the evolution of the management of the fishery for the western rock lobster (Panulirus cygnus) in Western Australia, which is considered one of the best-managed fisheries in the world. The review shows that the initial use of biological controls enhanced with input controls (limited entry) was necessary to accumulate sufficient fishery-based data for effective management decision processes that could be understood by fishers. However, fishers always find ways to maximize capture, which will eventually counteract input controls and impact the stocks, thus leading to the need for output controls such as total allowable catch with individual transferrable quotas. The management of the fishery for P. cygnus appears an effective model that may be widely applicable. Aquaculture and population enhancement remain the holy grails of lobster management. Clawed lobsters have short larval phases, but may take years to reach marketable size, so in many European countries stocking populations of Homarus gammarus with hatchery-reared juveniles is a common activity believed to provide a viable tool for sustainable management. However, as noted in the review by Ellis et al. (2015a), evidence of success (or failure) is sorely lacking. In particular, there is a dearth of basic knowledge of ecology and population dynamics of wild European lobsters, especially the elusive early life stages, and little is known of the fitness of reared lobsters and the impact of stocking on wild lobster population genetics, for which the authors advocate the use of modern genetic approaches and stock assessment methods. Four original articles are directly related to the main topic of the conference: climate change. Indeed, some species that support major fisheries (e.g. P. cygnus, Jasus edwardsii, and Homarus americanus) occur in areas that are hotspots for increasing water temperature (Hobday and Pecl, 2014), which appears particularly affecting the early life stages of these species. For example, in Western Australia, very low settlement levels of postlarvae of the western rock lobster (P. cygnus) were recorded for seven consecutive years (2006/2007–2012/2013), raising concern in this wellmanaged fishery. By analysing an impressive amount of biological and environmental data, de Lestang et al. (2015) discovered that these low settlement levels are related to an earlier seasonal spawning and higher water temperatures at the time of the onset of spawning, thus potentially causing a mismatch with other environmental factors that are related to growth of early-stage larvae and the return of postlarvae to the coast several months later. Identifying the factors that affect puerulus settlement will improve assessment models and support management planning. Along the east coast of Tasmania, coverage of brown algae has decreased substantially over the last few decades due to climate change, with potentially i3 negative consequences for local lobster productivity, as Hinojosa et al. (2015) found that coverage of brown algae increases settlement of postlarvae and reduces predation rates on early benthic juveniles of southern rock lobster (J. edwardsii). Climate change is having complex effects on populations of American lobsters (H. americanus) along the east coast of North America. For example, in Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, Wahle et al. (2015) found significant declines in the abundance, distribution, and size composition of juvenile lobsters during 2011– 2012 compared with data from 1990, when the lobster fishery and larval settlement were at historical highs. Moreover, in 2011–12, juvenile lobsters were restricted to the outer coast and deeper water at the mouth of the bay, whereas in 1990 they extended from the outer coast well into the mid-sections of the bay. During this period, water temperature has increased by 28C for several weeks during summer, exceeding the thermal physiological threshold for lobsters and turning semi-enclosed embayments increasingly inhospitable to lobsters in this region. Quinn and Rochette (2015) used different thermal scenarios to model development time of American lobster larvae. The model revealed that variability in temperature can also have strikingly different effects on larval duration of H. americanus depending on whether the larvae originated in “warm” vs. “cold” waters along the geographic distribution of the species. Ten articles deal with biological aspects of lobsters such as reproduction, larval behaviour, diseases, and behavioural ecology, some of them from the perspective of climate change. In exploited species such as lobsters, a good understanding of reproductive biology provides insights into the suitability of management strategies throughout the range of that species and the potential consequences of fishing practices. Using datasets from multiple locations throughout Europe, Ellis et al. (2015b) found that fecundity at mean size of female European lobsters (H. gammarus) did not correlate positively with either mean water temperature or latitude, but with longitude and greater annual ranges in sea surface temperature. The authors identified proximity to stable Atlantic currents as the most likely driver of the relationship with longitude. Lobsters have mating behaviours that appear tuned to the cost of reproduction, as suggested by Butler et al. (2015a), who experimentally compared mate choice among males and females of different sizes between J. edwardsii, a temperate species, and the Caribbean spiny lobster (Panulirus argus), a tropical species. During the corresponding reproductive season, most females of J. edwardsii chose to cohabit with large males, whereas large males tended to cohabit with large females. In contrast, males and females of P. argus associated freely with no preference for mate size. Therefore, compared with P. argus, the variance in mate quality appears higher in J. edwardsii and the cost of poor mate choice greater, especially for larger females. However, as in many other exploited lobsters, large males of P. argus are being disproportionally extracted from populations, potentially leading to sperm limitation. Butler et al. (2015b) examined the effect of male size on fertilization success and the role that parental size plays in gamete and larval quality of P. argus. Maternal size had no effects on egg size or quality, or larval quality, but fertilization success declined with spermatophore size, suggesting that sperm limitation occurs in this species. Spiny lobsters have a long larval phase (5 – .20 months, depending on the species) that develops in oligotrophic oceanic waters, and how the phyllosoma larvae survive in these waters has always been a puzzling question. O’Rorke et al. (2015) report finding several phyllosomata of P. cygnus attached to a large salp zooid. Using highthroughput sequencing analyses of DNA, they determined that the i4 larvae were indeed feeding on the salp. Thus, by attaching themselves to large gelatinous prey items, phyllosomata may both survive better in oligotrophic waters and conserve energy by riding along with salps. Climate change is expected to increase the occurrence of diseases in marine organisms, and levels of disease may further increase in no-take zones (NTZs) as a consequence of increased density of hosts. However, in the UK, Davies et al. (2015) found that, although the abundance and mean size of H. gammarus were significantly higher in an NTZ relative to a nearby fished zone, endozootic shell disease (caused by chitinolytic bacteria) was more prevalent in large lobsters, injured lobsters, and in males irrespective of zone. The authors make a strong point for the need to monitor the health status of target species in NTZs both before and after implementation. However, marine pathogens tend to spread more rapidly than their terrestrial counterparts, and little is known about their mechanisms of dispersal. Kough et al. (2015) used a modelling approach to test the potential for dispersal of Panulirus argus Virus 1 (PaV1), a pathogen that attacks Caribbean spiny lobsters, via two mechanisms (i) as a passive waterborne particle and (ii) within infected lobster postlarvae. Their results suggest that the latter mechanism would better explain the current geographic and genetic distribution of PaV1. Some slipper lobsters are economically important, but scyllarids in general remain poorly studied. Goldstein et al. (2015) tested the hypothesis that Scyllarides latus (the Mediterranean slipper lobsters) would exhibit a circadian rhythm as spiny lobsters do. Using timelapse video and accelerometers, they assessed the activity of lobsters kept under simulated 12 : 12 light : dark periods for several days, then under constant conditions of darkness. The results confirmed the hypothesis and will be useful for investigating seasonal migrations of S. latus and its responses to changing environmental conditions. Social behaviour may influence the patterns of population distribution, and spiny lobsters vary widely in behaviours such as gregariousness and aggressiveness. Using video techniques, Briones-Fourzán et al. (2015) examined the relative importance of individual traits in the shelter-related aggressive behaviour of spotted spiny lobsters (Panulirus guttatus) held in the laboratory. In same-sex groups, size was an important predictor of aggressiveness, but the number of missing limbs significantly impacted the degree of aggressiveness in males. In mixed-sex groups, males were substantially more aggressive than females, and when the largest individual was a female, it took longer for smaller males to assert themselves, increasing aggressiveness levels. These findings are relevant in the context of fishing practices (which selectively remove the largest lobsters, mostly males) and increasing loss of complexity in Caribbean coral reefs (which may reduce availability of suitable shelters). Panulirus argus is a more gregarious spiny lobster, a behaviour that is mediated by conspecific chemical cues, but PaV1 alters this behaviour. Using lobsters screened for PaV1 by PCR in Y-maze trials, Candia-Zulbarán et al. (2015) found that uninfected lobsters avoided to a similar degree chemical cues emanating from PaV1diseased conspecifics and from dead conspecifics, whereas their response to chemical cues emanating from subclinically infected or uninfected conspecifics did not differ from random. The results suggest that diseased lobsters emit chemicals that are repellent to healthy conspecifics, and that subclinically infected lobsters either do not emit these chemicals or do so at subthreshold levels. Childress et al. (2015) tested the hypothesis that juvenile P. argus are becoming less social via a meta-analysis of six Y-maze chemical cue choice experiments conducted between 1996 and 2012. Results showed that conspecific attraction has indeed decreased since 2010, P. Briones-Fourzán and E. Lozano-Álvarez with a significantly lower value in 2012. Some potential explanations for these results include the current widespread presence of PaV1, and a fishery-induced selection on attraction behaviour resulting from the reliance of current fishing methods on aggregation behaviour. Indeed, in several Caribbean countries, large artificial shelters (“casitas” or “pesqueros”) are used to facilitate aggregation of P. argus lobsters, whereas in Florida, lobster traps are “baited” with live sublegal lobsters that function as chemical attractants for conspecifics. However, both casitas and traps have downsides, as shown in two articles that examine these particular fishing methods. Gutzler et al. (2015) found that casitas deployed in nursery areas rich in natural shelters may increase predation-induced mortality of small juvenile lobsters—which are not the target of the fisheries—that may be chemically attracted to the casitas by their larger counterparts. Therefore, deployment of commercial casitas in nursery areas or where natural shelter abounds should be avoided. Butler and Matthews (2015) found that tens of thousands of lobster traps are lost every year in the Florida fishery, and that these “ghost traps” remain intact and continue to capture lobsters, fish, and other organisms, for up to 1–2 years, thus having a pervasive negative effect on many components of the local communities. On average, about 630 000 of P. argus are estimated to die in ghost traps annually in the Florida fishery. Attempts to address these issues include provisions requiring that all traps have a degradable wooden panel. Six articles examine different aspects related to the fisheries and stock assessment of clawed and spiny lobsters. Deep-sea New Zealand scampi (Metanephrops challengeri) occupy burrows and are only available to trawl fisheries when emerged on the seabed. Using acoustic tags and hydrophone receivers moored close to the seabed, Tuck et al. (2015) discovered strong emergence cycles in relation to tidal current and time of day. This information was incorporated into a stock assessment to reduce uncertainty in burrow occupancy and catchability estimates. In Scotland, Lizárraga-Cubedo et al. (2015) used 30-year long time-series to analyse the relationship between some components of the fishery for H. gammarus and several environmental variables for two stocks, the Hebrides and Southeast, to explain variability in the fluctuations of both lobster populations. They found that sea surface temperature, windspeed, and sea level pressure strongly affected the capture of lobsters throughout the year, although at different levels between geographic areas and at different spatial scales. In some fisheries for spiny lobsters, the use of artificial collectors for postlarvae allows for long-term settlement monitoring programmes that provide important data for stock assessment and management. In Tasmania, “crevice” collectors used to monitor pueruli settlement of J. edwardsii are typically deployed and serviced by divers in waters ,10 m, although the fishery typically operates in waters .50 m in depth. Ewing and Frusher (2015) adapted the collectors to fit within a lobster trap frame and tested these collectors in depths of 50–60 and 90–105 m for 6 months. The collectors caught pueruli at both depth ranges, but mostly at 50–60 m. Commercial fishing vessels were successfully used to service these collectors, which is expected to both reduce the costs of research and promote co-management. Stock assessment, a vital tool for fisheries management, strongly relies on modelling approaches. In Belize, Babcock et al. (2015) used Bayesian depletion models with in-season recruitment and several lobster catch per unit effort (cpue) indices to estimate the abundance and fishing mortality of adult P. argus lobsters at two marine reserves: Glover’s Reef (an oceanic reserve surrounded by deep wall reefs with an NTZ of 20% of its area) and Port Honduras (a coastal reserve with shallow habitats and an NTZ of 5% of its area). Abundance was estimated at 66 –79 000 lobsters i5 Lobsters in changing times in Glover’s Reef, of which 60 –85% were present at the beginning of the season and the rest recruited into the fished population later in the season, and at 12 000 lobsters in Port Honduras, where in-season recruitment was not supported by the data. The models estimated a harvest fraction of 70% in both reserves. In Tasmania, Kordjazi et al. (2015) investigated how the number and duration of surveys affect the precision of survival estimates for male and female J. edwardsii lobsters in long-term tagging studies. Using Cormack– Jolly –Seber models and model selection, they found that a minimum of five surveys was generally required to obtain stable estimates, with the most parsimonious model being gender-dependent irrespective of the periodicity of intervals between surveys. Therefore, they suggest that tagging programmes should aim to be longer than the typical 3-year duration of most research projects. Also in Tasmania, Gardner et al. (2015) used a bioeconomic model to investigate probable outcomes of increasing the legal minimum size (LML) of female J. edwardsii across this island state, which could presumably increase egg production and prevent low levels of post-larval recruitment such as occurred in recent years. However, as both the stock and fishery exhibit strong spatial patterns around Tasmania due to variable abiotic factors, they found that raising the LML statewide would not improve management of egg production because it would increase protection of females in southern areas where egg production is already high, and decrease egg production in the northern areas due to displacement of effort. The final article deals with environmental impacts of spiny lobster farms. Culture from the egg is still not economically viable for spiny lobsters due to their long larval phase, but these lobsters grow rapidly. Therefore, in several Asian countries, wild-caught small juveniles, especially of the ornate spiny lobster, Panulirus ornatus, are grown into marketable sizes in sea cage farms. The potential environmental impacts of these farms were investigated via a modelling approach by Lee et al. (2015). The authors concluded that the levels of deposition of particulate organic carbon and release of dissolved inorganic nitrogen from typical spiny lobster farms are low compared with levels from the aquaculture of finfish species, and advocate locating spiny lobster farms in areas with some levels of hydrodynamical activity and away from sensitive habitats such as seagrass and coral reefs. Conclusions In the context of global climate change, new gaps in knowledge constantly emerge. This is especially true for shallow-water lobster species that inhabit coastal zones where increasing temperatures, in conjunction with other anthropogenic pressures such as overfishing and habitat degradation, are resulting in rapid changes in water conditions and loss of essential benthic habitats (Caputi et al., 2013). As shown in papers presented at the 10th ICWL, climate change is already affecting some lobster species by changing the spatial distribution of the stocks and hence affecting catches and the territorial behaviour of fishers; by affecting growth rates, sizes at maturity, the timing of reproductive processes, duration of larval development, and the timing and levels of settlement; by affecting key habitat-forming species in settlement habitats, especially in temperate zones, and by increasing the risk of disease and impacting the behavioural ecology of lobsters. In addition, there are still many technological challenges to develop effective aquaculture and enhancement methods that may allow a sustainable supply of lobsters separate from the harvest of wild populations, as well as big holes in the basic knowledge of many species—including some quite heavily exploited—that preclude evaluating the success or failure of those methods. On the other hand, research on lobsters has grown exponentially during the 37 years that have elapsed between the first and the 10th ICWL. For example, a Web of Science search (excluding patent databases) for articles with “lobster” in the title yielded 980 entries for all years before 1977 (the year of the first ICWL), but 14 574 entries for the period 1977–2014. There has been considerable progress in the understanding of life history strategies and the relationships between environmental factors and spawning, fecundity, post-larval recruitment, and distribution of juveniles and adults. The advent of molecular techniques is broadly expanding the scope of studies on genetics, phylogeny, connectivity, and trophic ecology of lobsters. Technological advances are enabling more in-depth studies on lobster behaviour and interspecific relationships. Improved modelling approaches are being developed that take into account the biology and behaviour of the exploited species. The accumulation of biological data and the lengthening of environmental and fisheries time-series are favouring the development of better management strategies, including co-management, and advances are being achieved in the investigation of nutrition and culture conditions of different lobster species. The generation and search for knowledge will continue as long as there remain lobsters and lobster fisheries. Supplementary data Supplementary material is available at the ICESJMS online version of the manuscript. Acknowledgements We thank our director, Elva Escobar-Briones, for the institutional support, and the keynote speakers (Bruce Phillips, Richard Wahle, Ehud Spanier, Jim Penn, and Juan Carlos Seijo), members of the organizing committee, session organizers, volunteer assistants, and all presenters for a wonderful conference. Our special appreciation to Bruce Phillips (Curtin University, Perth, Australia) for establishing the ICWLs back in 1977 and attending all 10 conferences to date, and for delivering the main keynote presentation titled “Lobsters in a Changing Climate”. Grant Stentiford suggested the title for this Introduction. Our sincere thanks to Gabriela Macedo, Fernando Llano, and the staff of DMC-Cancún for managing the conference and providing logistic support. We especially thank Fernando Negrete-Soto and Cecilia Barradas-Ortiz for their invaluable technical support through the conference preparation and during its development, and Jorge Quiñonez-Alvarado for designing the colourful logo for the 10th ICWL. The 10th ICWL received much appreciated sponsorships from several sources. We are especially grateful for the generous financial support provided by the National Council of Science and Technology (Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnologı́a, México) and the Coordination of Scientific Research-National Autonomous University of Mexico (Coordinación de la Investigación Cientı́fica—UNAM), which was instrumental not only for the development of the conference, but also for the publication of this issue of the ICES Journal of Marine Science. Substantial support for the conference was also provided by several organizations from Mexico (Instituto Nacional de Pesca, Chaktunché Art and Crafts, Colectividad Razonatura, Comisión Nacional de Áreas Naturales Protegidas, Universidad Marista de Mérida, El Colegio de la Frontera Sur, Mayan Star Fisheries, Snorkeling Adventure, Integradora de Pescadores de Quintana Roo, Academia Mexicana de Ciencias, and Asociación Latinoamericana de Carcinologı́a) and from the USA (Wiley-Blackwell), South Africa (ORLAC SPS), and Canada (Clearwater Seafood). i6 References Babcock, E. A., Harford, W. J., Coleman, R., Gibson, J., Maaz, J., Foley, J. R., and Gongora, M. 2015. Bayesian depletion model estimates of spiny lobster abundance at two marine protected areas in Belize with or without in-season recruitment. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i232–i243. Briones-Fourzán, P., Domı́nguez-Gallegos, R., and Lozano-Álvarez, E. 2015. Aggressive behaviour of spotted spiny lobsters (Panulirus guttatus) in different social contexts: The influence of sex, size, and missing limbs. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i155 – i163. Butler, C. B., and Matthews, T. R. 2015. Effects of ghost fishing lobster traps in the Florida Keys. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i185 – i198. Butler, M., IV, Bertelsen, R., and MacDiarmid, A. 2015a. Mate choice in temperate and tropical spiny lobsters with contrasting reproductive systems. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i101 – i114. Butler, M. J., IV, MacDiarmid, A., and Gnanalingam, G. 2015b. The effect of parental size on spermatophore production, egg quality, fertilization success, and larval characteristics in the Caribbean spiny lobster, Panulirus argus. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i115 – i123. Candia-Zulbarán, R. I., Briones-Fourzán, P., Lozano-Álvarez, E., Barradas-Ortiz, C., and Negrete-Soto, F. 2015. Caribbean spiny lobsters equally avoid dead and clinically PaV1-infected conspecifics. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i164 – i169. Caputi, N., de Lestang, S., Frusher, S., and Wahle, R. A. 2013. The impact of climate change on exploited lobster stocks. In Lobsters: Biology, Management, Aquaculture and Fisheries, pp. 84 – 112. Ed. by B. F. Phillips. Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford. Chan, T. -Y. 2010. Annotated checklist of the world’s marine lobsters (Crustacea: Decapoda: Astacidea, Glypheidea, Achelata, Polychelida). The Raffles Bulletin of Zoology, (Suppl. 23): 153 – 181. Childress, M. J., Heldt, K. A., and Miller, S. D. 2015. Are juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters (Panulirus argus) becoming less social? ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i170 – i176. Cobb, J. S. 2006. The Lobster Conferences: Origin, development, and impact. Journal of Crustacean Biology, 26: 550– 554. Davies, C. E., Johnson, A. F., Wootton, E. C., Greenwood, S. J., Clark, K. F., Vogan, C. L., and Rowley, A. F. 2015. Effects of population density and body size on disease ecology of the European lobster in a temperate marine conservation zone. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i128 – i138. de Lestang, S., Caputi, N., Feng, M., Denham, A., Penn, J., Slawinski, D., Pearce, A., et al. 2015. What caused seven consecutive years of low puerulus settlement in the western rock lobster fishery of Western Australia? ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i149 – i158. Ellis, C. D., Hodgson, D. J., Daniels, C. L., Boothroyd, D. P., Bannister, R. C. A., and Griffiths, G. F. 2015a. European lobster stocking requires comprehensive impact assessment to determine fishery benefits. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i35– i48. Ellis, C. D., Knott, H., Daniels, C. L., Witt, M. J., and Hodgson, D. J. 2015b. Geographic and environmental drivers of fecundity in the European lobster (Homarus gammarus). ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i91– i100. Ewing, G., and Frusher, S. 2015. New puerulus collector design suitable for fishery-dependent settlement monitoring. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i225 – i231. FAO. 2014. FAO yearbook. Fishery and Aquaculture Statistics 2012. Statistics and Information Branch of the Fisheries and Aquaculture Department. FAO, Rome, 76 pp. Gardner, C., Hartmann, K., Punt, A. E., and Hoshino, E. 2015. Fewer eggs from larger size limits: Counterintuitive outcomes in a spatially heterogeneous fishery. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i252 – i259. P. Briones-Fourzán and E. Lozano-Álvarez Goldstein, J. S., Dubofsky, E. A., and Spanier, E. 2015. Into a rhythm: Diel activity patterns and behaviour in Mediterranean slipper lobsters, Scyllarides latus. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i147 – i154. Gutzler, B. C., Butler, M. J., IV, and Behringer, D. C. 2015. Casitas: A location-dependent ecological trap for juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters, Panulirus argus. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i177 – i184. Hinojosa, I. A., Green, B. S., Gardner, C., and Jeffs, A. 2015. Settlement and early survival of southern rock lobster, Jasus edwardsii, under climate-driven decline of kelp habitats. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i59– i68. Hobday, A. J., and Pecl, G. T. 2014. Identification of global marine hotspots: Sentinels for change and vanguards for adaptation action. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries, 24: 415 – 425. Jeffs, A. G., Gardner, C., and Cockcroft, A. 2013. Jasus and Sagmariasus species. In Lobsters: Biology, Management, Aquaculture and Fisheries, pp. 259–288. Ed. by B. F. Phillips. Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford. Kordjazi, Z., Frusher, S., Buxton, C. D., and Gardner, C. 2015. Estimating survival of rock lobsters from long-term tagging programmes: How survey number and interval influence estimates. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i244 – i251. Kough, A. S., Paris, C. B., Behringer, D. C., and Butler, M. J., IV. 2015. Modelling the spread and connectivity of waterborne marine pathogens: the case of PaV1 in the Caribbean. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i139 – i146. Lee, S., Hartstein, N. D., and Jeffs, A. 2015. Modelling carbon deposition and dissolved nitrogen discharge from sea cage aquaculture of tropical spiny lobster. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i260 – i275. Lizárraga-Cubedo, H. A., Tuck, I., Bailey, N., Pierce, J. C., Zuur, A. F., and Bova, D. 2015. Scottish lobster fisheries and environmental variability. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i211 – i224. O’Rorke, R., Lavery, S. D., Wang, M., Gallego, R., Waite, A. M., Beckley, L. E., Thompson, P. A., et al. 2015. Phyllosomata associated with large gelatinous zooplankton: Hitching rides and stealing bites. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i124 – i127. Penn, J. W., Caputi, N., and de Lestang, S. 2015. A review of lobster fishery management: The Western Australian fishery for Panulirus cygnus, a case study in the development and implementation of input and output based management systems. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i22 – i34. Phillips, B. F., Melville-Smith, R., Kay, M. C., and Vega-Velázquez, A. 2013. Panulirus species. In Lobsters: Biology, Management, Aquaculture and Fisheries, pp. 289– 325. Ed. by B. F. Phillips. Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford. Quinn, B. K., and Rochette, R. 2015. Potential effect of variation in water temperature on development time of American lobster larvae. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i79– i90. Spanier, E., Lavalli, K. L., Goldstein, J. S., Groeneveld, J. C., Jordaan, G. L., Jones, C. L., Phillips, B. F., et al. 2015. A concise review of lobster utilization by worldwide human populations from pre-history to the modern era. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i7– i21. Tuck, I. D., Parsons, D. M., Hartill, B. W., and Chiswell, S. M. 2015. Scampi (Metanephrops challengeri) emergence patterns and catchability. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i199 – i210. Wahle, R. A., Castro, K. M., Tulle, O., and Cobb, J. S. 2013. Homarus. In Lobsters: Biology, Management, Aquaculture and Fisheries, pp. 221 –258. Ed. by B. F. Phillips. Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford. Wahle, R. A., Dellinger, L., Olszewski, S., and Jekielek, P. 2015. American lobster nurseries of southern New England receding in the face of climate change. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72(Suppl. 1): i69– i78. Handling editor: Howard Browman ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i7 –i21. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv066 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Reviews A concise review of lobster utilization by worldwide human populations from prehistory to the modern era Ehud Spanier 1, Kari L. Lavalli 2 *, Jason S. Goldstein 1,3, Johan C. Groeneveld 4, Gareth L. Jordaan 4, Clive M. Jones 5, Bruce F. Phillips 6, Marco L. Bianchini 7, Rebecca D. Kibler 1, David Dı́az 8,9, Sandra Mallol 9, Raquel Goñi 9, Gro I. van Der Meeren10, Ann-Lisbeth Agnalt 11, Donald C. Behringer 12,13, William F. Keegan 14, and Andrew Jeffs 15 1 The Leon Recanati Institute for Maritime Studies and Department of Maritime Civilizations, The Leon H. Charney School for Marine Sciences, University of Haifa, Haifa, Israel 2 Division of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, College of General Studies, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA 3 Department of Biological Sciences, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, USA 4 Oceanographic Research Institute, PO Box 10712, Marine Parade, Durban 4056, South Africa 5 James Cook University, School of Marine and Tropical Biology, Cairns, Queensland, Australia 6 Curtin University, Environment and Agriculture, Perth, Western Australia, Australia 7 Istituto Ambiente Marino e Costiero (IAMC-CNR), Italian National Research Council, 91026 Mazara del Vallo TP, Italy 8 Departament de Biologia Marina i Oceanografia, Institut de Ciències del Mar—CSIC, Passeig Marı́tim de la Barceloneta, 37-49, 08003 Barcelona, Spain 9 Instituto Español de Oceanografı́a—Centro Oceanográfico de Baleares, Muelle de Poniente, s/n Apdo 291. 07015 Palma de Mallorca, Spain 10 Institute of Marine Research, Austevoll Research Station, NO-5392 Storebø, Norway 11 Institute of Marine Research, PB 1870 Nordnes, NO-5817 Bergen, Norway 12 School of Forest Resources and Conservation—Program in Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, Gainesville, FL, USA 13 Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA 14 Florida Museum of Natural History, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA 15 Leigh Marine Laboratory, Institute of Marine Science, University of Auckland, Warkworth 0985, New Zealand *Corresponding author: tel: +1 774 287 7550; fax: +1 617 353 5868; e-mail: [email protected]. Spanier, E., Lavalli, K. L., Goldstein, J. S., Groeneveld, J. C., Jordaan, G. L., Jones, Clive M., Phillips, B. F., Bianchini, M. L., Kibler, R. D., Dı́az, D., Mallol, S., Goñi, R., van Der Meeren, G. I., Agnalt, A-L., Behringer, D. C., Keegan, William F., and Jeffs, A. A concise review of lobster utilization by worldwide human populations from prehistory to the modern era. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i7– i21. Received 9 November 2014; revised 18 March 2015; accepted 25 March 2015; advance access publication 7 May 2015 . Lobsters are important resources throughout the world’s oceans, providing food security, employment, and a trading commodity. Whereas marine biologists generally focus on modern impacts of fisheries, here we explore the deep history of lobster exploitation by prehistorical humans and ancient civilizations, through the first half of the 20th century. Evidence of lobster use comprises midden remains, artwork, artefacts, writings about lobsters, and written sources describing the fishing practices of indigenous peoples. Evidence from archaeological dig sites is potentially biased because lobster shells are relatively thin and easily degraded in most midden soils; in some cases, they may have been used as fertilizer for crops instead of being dumped in middens. Lobsters were a valuable food and economic resource for early coastal peoples, and ancient Greek and Roman Mediterranean civilizations amassed considerable knowledge of their biology and fisheries. Before European contact, lobsters were utilized by indigenous societies in the Americas, southern Africa, Australia, and New Zealand at seemingly sustainable levels, even while other fish and molluscan species may have been overfished. All written records suggest that coastal lobster populations were dense, even in the presence of abundant and large groundfish predators, and that lobsters were much larger than at present. Lobsters gained a reputation as “food for the poor” in 17th and 18th century Europe and parts of North America, but became a fashionable seafood commodity during the mid-19th century. # International Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2015. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i8 E. Spanier et al. High demand led to intensified fishing effort with improved fishing gear and boats, and advances in preservation and long-distance transport. By the early 20th century, coastal stocks were overfished in many places and average lobster size was significantly reduced. With overfishing came attempts to regulate fisheries, which have varied over time and have met with limited success. Keywords: Africa, Americas, ancient era, Australia, Europe, fisheries, human utilization, lobsters, Mediterranean, middle ages, modern era, New Zealand, prehistory, zoo-archaeology. Introduction Lobsters have been a part of the world’s seascape for millions of years with their origins (likely Polychelida) appearing in the Devonian [409–372 million years ago (MYA)]. Early forms were probably deep water species, much as living polychelids are today (Bracken-Grissom et al., 2014). The Achelata appeared 391–351 MYA, but did not diverge into the palinurid and scyllarid lineages until the Permian (250 MYA) (Patek et al., 2006; Bracken-Grissom et al., 2014). Palinurids underwent a rapid diversification in the Upper Jurassic (200 –160 MYA), which coincided with the breakup of Pangea and formation of many new habitats (George and Main, 1967; Patek and Oakley, 2003; Bracken-Grissom et al., 2014). Fossil remains of scyllarids date back to the midCretaceous (100–120 MYA; Glaessner, 1969; Webber and Booth, 2007) and those of nephropids to the Lower Cretaceous (Wahle et al., 2012). Nephropids may have been more common in shallow shelf waters during the Cretaceous than at present, because of the subsequent invasion of these environments by predatory fish and competing brachyuran crabs (Vermeij, 1977; Wahle et al., 2012). Most lobster stocks are currently exploited by humans, some to the point of overexploitation, and management schemes often seek to restore natural populations and their ecosystems. Therefore, understanding the history of human impacts on lobster stocks might provide valuable information to guide restoration and fishery practices. Erlandson and Rick (2010) suggested that modern views of ancient human impacts on marine fauna are biased by the belief that humans were not populous enough, nor technologically advanced enough to significantly deplete exploited species. Yet more recent case studies from around the world (reviewed in Erlandson and Rick, 2010) demonstrate that humans modified prehistorical marine ecosystems by removing keystone predators, reducing the size of finfish and shellfish, and causing local extinctions of seabirds and marine mammals. This review seeks to reconstruct how humans came to exploit lobsters as they dispersed throughout the world and tries, when possible, to point out areas where fishing practices were seemingly sustainable and where overexploitation happened early on, before more modern fishing techniques. It follows the chronological migratory patterns of humans into specific regions to discuss the practices of the indigenous peoples and then covers how European colonization altered traditional fishing methods, the local seascapes, and, ultimately, lobster populations. The time line is divided into sections for prehistoric, ancient, middle age, and up to the introduction of modern fisheries. This is done by examining archeological data in the form of midden findings, ancient artwork and rituals, oral traditions, and written records. A brief review of human dispersal Current dispersal models based on dated remains suggest that archaic, anatomically modern humans (AMHs) left the African Rift Valley in several pulses and migrated west- and southward to the coasts of Africa, and then eastward to the Levant (Armitage et al., 2011; Figure 1). From there, migrants continued eastward along the Indian coast to colonize various Asian Pacific islands, Australia, and the Chinese coast. Others migrated inland to colonize Figure 1. Migratory pattern of AMHs (arrows with dates based on DNA evidence) overlaid with coastal species of lobster distribution (dark grey area, present-day depth distribution of 10 m or less of commercial species of lobster according to Holthuis, 1991). Stars indicate areas where we have evidence of use of lobster by indigenous peoples. i9 Historical use of lobsters by humans worldwide the interior regions of China and Siberia. Migrating Levantine peoples also hugged the Mediterranean coastline to colonize modernday Turkey, Romania, and southern Europe. The Americas were only recently colonized when ice sheets extending over much of Canada receded. Peoples from Siberia and Asia moved across Beringia, with some moving along the northwest coast of North America to Central and South America, and others spreading over the North American plains (Eriksson et al., 2012). Movements in South America followed the Pacific coastline, until reaching the Patagonian glaciers, whereupon migrants crossed the Andes and continued southward along the Atlantic coast (de Sainte Pierre et al., 2012). Coastlines at the time of the first migrations out of Africa were more extensive than today because of the last Ice Age that ended 18 000 years ago. Migrants using land-bridges to move from continent to continent or islands and those using coastlines as pathways would have used marine resources as a relatively accessible food source, if fishing techniques and/or swimming had been mastered. Evidence of fishing technology used by Homo erectus has been found in Zaire (Yellen et al., 1995) and Southeast Asia (Morwood et al., 1998). More evidence comes from Middle Stone Age sites in South Africa (Henshilwood et al., 2004; Marean et al., 2007), Neanderthal sites off Gibraltar and the Mediterranean (125 000– 30 000 years ago; Garrod et al., 1928; Stringer et al., 2008), and Australia (40 000 –30 000 years ago; Jones, 1992). Boating technology was more advanced than previously thought since pelagic fish were exploited by some Pacific islanders 40 000 years ago (O’Connor et al., 2011). Based on midden analysis, fish, molluscs, sea turtles, and marine mammal (dugongs, seals) were seemingly more commonly exploited than lobsters (Klein et al., 2004). However, the absence of lobster remains in middens may be due not to lack of use, but rather to differences in preservation of lobster tissue and/or differences in how lobster remains were used compared with fish, bird, turtle, mollusc, or marine mammal remains. Sampling issues Many extant spiny (Palinuridae), clawed (Nephropidae), and slipper (Scyllaridae) lobsters overlap the migratory pathways taken by AMHs (Figure 1). However, determining the diets of migratory hunter-gatherers is difficult, and evidence of shellfish consumption (incl. lobsters) dates only from the development of relatively permanent settlements with midden heaps (“kitchen remains”). Fish bones and mollusc shells are common in prehistorical and historical middens and have often been identified and analysed to species level. Taxa with more fragile shells, such as echinoderms and crustaceans, have been largely ignored in most of the zoo-archaeological literature (e.g. Zugasti, 2011). One reason for this is the composition of the relatively thin exoskeletons (compared with thicker mollusc shells), which degrade and dissolve over time, leaving no recognizable remains in archaeological digs. Carbonic acid, formed by the interaction of rainwater and CO2, removes all but the thickest shell fragments, leaving behind only parts of lobster claws, mandibles, and possibly gastric mill teeth. Middens in dry sites, such as caves protected from rain, may retain fragments for thousands of years, although it is sometimes difficult to separate lobster from crab fragments without DNA analysis. Lobster mandibles also appear to be well preserved in alkaline soils, such as those found in ash layers and shell middens (Leach and Boocock, 1993). Because of rapid decomposition in non-optimal soils, lobster remains will be rare in typical middens; however, an additional Figure 2. Example of calcified lobster mouthpart (opposed left and right grinding plates). These are one of the few elements of the exoskeleton that survive in the archaeological record. bias can occur during screening when objects are removed from the sieved matrix. If objects are not recognized as potentially identifiable, fragments may be discarded, and thus shell bits may fail to be set aside for further examination or even considered relevant. Leach and Boocock (1993) argue that lack of knowledge on the part of archaeologists has led to the discard of lobster shell fragments at many sites in the past. In addition, the remains may differ among lobster families. For example, slipper lobsters (Scyllaridae) have thicker exoskeleton than spiny lobsters (Palinuridae) and especially clawed lobsters (Nephropidae; e.g. Barshaw et al., 2003; Tarsitano et al., 2006), but they lack heavily calcified mandibles of palinurids or the claws of nephropids. Thus, evidence of their use may be difficult to assess from midden samples alone. Remains of lobster mandibles in middens can date to over 11 000 years ago (Jerardino and Navarro, 2002; Figure 2), which is far less than that of fish bones that can date up to 75 000 years ago (Yellen et al., 1995). Also, the assumption that lobster remains should be found only in middens is not necessarily correct, especially for indigenous peoples who practiced agriculture. In those cultures, lobster exoskeletons may have been spread over fields as fertilizer, in which case they would have completely degraded. Furthermore, some indigenous peoples had strictures of how to treat the remains of animals from whence they obtained food, and often for marine species, this meant returning the remains to the sea (Maillard, 1863). Hence, it remains unclear whether the scarcity (or absence) of lobsters in some archaeological records is caused by their inaccessibility to ancient fishers, or avoidance by ancient peoples, or decomposition of exoskeletons, or sampling bias. This means that for some parts of the world, evidence of use may focus more strongly on written and oral records and/or artwork. Use of lobsters worldwide Southern Africa The Cape west coast is influenced by the northwards flowing cooltemperate Benguella Current and nutrient-rich upwelling systems, which support abundant marine life. Rocky shores and shallow subtidal kelp forests shelter an abundance of shellfish, including dense mussel beds and the endemic Cape rock lobster, Jasus lalandii. These i10 E. Spanier et al. shellfish occur in inter- and shallow subtidal habitats, where they can easily be collected by hand, without the use of specialized tools. Islanders (from 3000 years ago), and other groups that settled after 1788, when the first European colony was established. Prehistorical era Prehistorical and historical eras Early human use of marine resources in South Africa date from 165 000 years ago, during the Middle Pleistocene (Marean et al., 2007). Middle Stone Age sites along the Cape west coast also confirm that subsistence harvesting of coastal resources is very ancient, based on well-developed shell middens dated to 70 000 years ago. Preserved calcareous mandibles in middens confirm that lobsters were exploited by early hunter-gatherers over the past 15 000 years (Jerardino et al., 2008). Mandible size has been used to estimate lobster carapace length and past exploitation rates (Jerardino et al., 2001, 2008; Jerardino and Navarro, 2002; Jerardino, 2010a). Middens show increasing human settlement in west coast cave sites and shelters that gathered deposits between 5000 and 3000 years ago (Jerardino, 2010b). A megamidden period (large shell middens; many marine shells; low densities of artefacts) between 3000 and 2000 years ago show an intensified reliance on marine resources, including lobster, and a full range of settlement, subsistence, and new cultural, social, and economic developments (Jerardino, 2010a, b). Human habitation in this area decreased between 2000 and 500 years ago, thus concluding the Late Stone Age lifestyle before the arrival of European settlers (Jerardino et al., 2009). Aboriginals possessed no literacy, and their history was communicated to successive generations through stories, art, and dance. They lived with a strong dependence on the land and water, within groups or tribes that developed skills (usually hunting, fishing, or gathering) for their specific environment. Most Aboriginals inhabited southern and eastern Australia, particularly along the larger permanent rivers, and fewer lived along the coast or gained sustenance from it. Archaeological and ethnographic records indicate that lobsters formed part of the diet of coastal Aboriginals (Anonymous, 2004). The few references that mention lobster use or European paintings depicting fishing by Aborigines suggest that fishing was typically conducted along the coastal fringe from rock platforms or shallow rocky reefs, by diving or using small canoes. Aboriginal middens older than 4000 years in Tasmania (Flood, 1995) contained species that could be collected along rocky shores or by wading. Substantial consumption of subtidal shellfish and crustaceans (including lobsters) began when people started to dive and swim, around 3500– 3000 years ago. The most significant animals to Aboriginal people were often depicted in paintings rendered on bark or rock surfaces, but there are few records of lobsters being depicted in such paintings. Only Sonkkila (2013) mentions rock art in northwestern Australia that includes images of crayfish (sic) among many other animals. The inhabitants of Torres Strait Islands, located between Cape York, in northern Queensland, and Papua New Guinea, are a “sea people”, without a recorded history until European contact. Historical accounts suggest that lobsters formed an integral part of their diet (primarily seafood), equal to other marine species. McNiven et al. (2009) recorded evidence of lobster (possibly Panulirus ornatus) in rock art on Dauan Island, but such paintings are rare, known from only two sites. Europeans settled at Cape York in 1863. Trade with native Torres Strait Islanders was mostly for pearls and beche-de-mer, with lobsters being less important (Loban, 2007). Introduction of modern fisheries The Cape was first colonized by Dutch settlers in 1652, bringing them into contact with the local Khoi-San, and “strandlopers” (beach-wanderers) or “strand bosjemans” (beach bushmen; Brink, 2004). Pappe (1853) reported that rock lobster “was easily caught in vast numbers all the year round” and that they had a proclivity for massing at the sewer outfalls in Table Bay. Colonists considered lobster to be a “regular godsend” to misers and the poor classes of the community (Melville-Smith and Van Sittert, 2005), and this negative connotation persisted until lobster meat became popular with the bourgeois in Europe. Commercial exploitation of J. lalandii began in 1875, when a processing plant was established in Cape Town to can lobsters for export to Europe. Weights of canned, frozen, tailed, and live lobster exported from South Africa have been reported since 1891, leaving a record of most commercial landings for over a century (Melville-Smith and Van Sittert, 2005). Growth and modernization of the fishing fleet and processing plants during and after World War II led to peak landings of 17 000 t year21 in the early 1950s. Since then commercial landings have declined to between 10 and 15% of what they were at the height of the fishery. The biomass of lobsters above the legal minimum size is currently at 3.5% of pristine levels (DAFF, 2012). Australia Because Australia is bounded by the Indian, Pacific, and Southern oceans, its oceanography is quite complex. Currents running along the west and east coasts bring warm, nutrient-poor waters that flow south; these currents mean that the west and east coasts of Australia have a warm climate with coastal waters that support tropical species at what would normally be considered a temperate latitude. Hence, coral reefs are well supported along both coasts, bringing with them a rich diversity of species, including a variety of lobsters: at least 11 palinurids, 14 scyllarids, and 8 nephropids (Holthuis, 1991). The human population of around 23 million comprises Aboriginals (from 40 000 years ago), Torres Strait Introduction of modern fisheries Lobster fishing in Australia developed as an industry during the late 1800s, simultaneously in southwestern Australia for Panulirus cygnus, South Australia, Victoria, and Tasmania for Jasus edwardsii, and New South Wales for Sagmariasus verreauxi. Regulations accompanied the earliest developments of lobster fishing, and although they varied among the different jurisdictions and species, they generally included size limits, prohibition against taking ovigerous females, and some spatial and/or temporal closures. For recreational fishers, the regulations focused on gear and bag limits per person. From the late 1880s through to the mid-1900s, the lobster fisheries remained relatively small and non-mechanised, but after World War II, the broad adoption of diesel engines and development of refrigeration allowed for expanded local and foreign markets. Consequently, fishing effort and catches increased steeply, necessitating fisheries management controls such as individual transferable quotas (Phillips, 2013). Mediterranean basin The Mediterranean is mostly landlocked with only a narrow connection to the Atlantic Ocean. The cold, low salinity water from the Historical use of lobsters by humans worldwide Atlantic flows eastward and is warmed along the way. Evaporation in this region exceeds precipitation, so the surface water increases in salinity as it moves and eventually sinks when it reaches the Levant and then travels westward at depth, exiting back into the Atlantic at the bottom of the Strait of Gibraltar. Continental shelves in the basin are narrow and the basin is thus mostly deep sea and nutrient poor compared with the Atlantic. Nevertheless, it supports a high diversity of species, many of which are endemic to this sea. While the Mediterranean today is connected to the Red Sea via the Suez Canal, these seas were separated for most of human history. The Red Sea is an inlet of the Indian Ocean and is extremely salty and warm, being situated between desert and semidesert land with high evaporation rates. Water exchange occurs between the Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea which helps to ameliorate the effects of high salinity and allows for extensive reef development. Partly due to the species richness of the Mediterranean and Red Seas, several ancient coastal and maritime civilizations originated along their coasts. Edible lobster species important to inhabitants along these coasts included at least two Mediterranean clawed lobsters, five spiny lobsters (two in the Mediterranean; three in the Red Sea), and five slipper lobsters (three in the Mediterranean; two in the Red Sea; Holthuis, 1991). Prehistorical and ancient eras The earliest depiction of a lobster is from a mural on a temple wall in Deir el-Bahari, Egypt, commemorating the trade voyage of Egyptian Queen Hatshepsut to the southern Red Sea 3500 years ago (e.g. Glenister, 2008). It appears to be a spiny lobster (possibly Panulirus pencillatus) carved together with other Red Sea marine animals. Recently, only a partial claw (chela) of Homarus gammarus (Figure 3) was found among other kitchen refuse (mostly marine), dating 2700 years ago (early Iron Age) in northern Sardinia (B. Wilkens, pers. comm.). The considerable size of the crushing teeth on this claw indicates a sizeable lobster. Perhaps large European lobsters were common in shallow Mediterranean waters during ancient times, and were exploited by coastal peoples. Patchy archaeological and historical information of lobster utilization by Mediterranean and Red Seas civilizations indicate a Figure 3. The end of a claw of H. gammarus found in an excavation of a seventh century BCE nuragic village of Sant’Imbenia near Alghero, northern Sardinia. Unearthed by Stefano Masala (under the supervision of Dr Barbara Wilkens, Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Sassari, Italy). Used by special permission of the copyright owners and the Soprintendenza ai Beni Archeologici di Sassari e Nuoro, Italian Ministry for the Cultural Heritage. i11 variable attitude towards lobster consumption, ranging from complete religious prohibition for Jews (and Christians) to epicurean status in the Hellenistic-Roman world. Consequently, lobsters are either completely absent from artwork and literary expression, or they appear quite prominently. While rare, lobsters were depicted on Roman coins, rings, terracotta vessels, tableware, wall drawings, and reliefs. However, the bulk of the information on Mediterranean lobsters comes from written text and mosaics (Charmantier, 2014). Decorative mosaics contribute to understanding the role of marine organisms to humans in ancient times. Mosaics are often not accurate enough to allow for identification to species level, and in some cases, only parts of animals are depicted. A good example is a 2300-year-old illustration of Pontus (“Oceanus”, a preOlympian sea-god) on Roman mosaic from Neapolice, Tunisia, that shows antennae and claws (presumably of a lobster) emerging from his forehead (Fradier, 1982). Another mosaic from the same period, the “Unswept Floor”, from Pergamon depicts legs and an antenna of a spiny lobster (Orange and Nordhagen, 1966). The accuracy of images increased during the Hellenistic period, such that a lobster appearing in a Roman mosaic from Thugga (Dougga of today) in the “House of Dionysus and Ulysses” (Poinssot, 1965) some 600 years later (Figure 4) is easily identified as Palinurus elephas. Other mosaics where lobsters can be recognized are associated with representations of fishing activities. Greeks and Romans were knowledgeable about the biology of Mediterranean lobsters and also understood fishing techniques. Hippocrates writing around 2460–2370 years ago distinguished among clawed, spiny, and slipper lobster forms (Lloyd and Chadwick, 1984). From 2400 to 1800 years ago, Aristotle (d’ArcyThompson, 1952), Pliny the Elder (Rakham, 1962), and Aelian (Scholfield, 1958) classified lobsters as “animals without blood”, and supplied detailed information about their morphology, recognizing them as decapods. They provided detailed descriptions of the claws (the “astakós”), spines, thorny antennae (the “káravos”), tail, eyes, colors, and other external features. Classical naturalists such as Aristotle and Pliny the Elder described the habitats, behaviour, predators, territoriality, homing, and movements of several lobster “types” from shallow to deeper waters in winter and summer, respectively. Aspects of lobster reproduction, life cycle, moulting, and physiology were also known. Aristotle even described tiny “káravos” that were “smaller than a finger” (possibly the first benthic stage), and with Pliny the Elder and Aelian detailed the backward escape swimming (tail-flip) of lobsters when in danger. Plutarch noted that octopus prey on lobsters some 1900 years ago (Babbit, 1957). Interactions among the common octopus (Octopus vulgaris), a predator of lobsters, the Mediterranean moray eel (Muraena helena), a predator of octopus, and lobsters were not only documented by the above naturalists, but were depicted in ancient Roman mosaics. A notable mosaic from Pompeii from 1900 years ago (Ward-Perkins and Claridge, 1978; Figure 5) shows an octopus attacking P. elephas while being threatened by a moray eel. Roman and Greek fishers knew the habitats, seasons, baits, and methods to catch lobsters. The Greek poet Theocritus remarked 2400 years ago that lobsters were a superb food that could be caught with pots (traps) made of weaved reed (Holden, 1974), and pots appeared in Roman mosaics of fishing activities (e.g. Fradier, 1982). Similar weaved pots were used in Norway well into the modern era, and are known from Africa, Brazil, and Sardinia. The Romans were the first to transfer preserved fish far inland, and they built “cetariae ”, to hold live lobsters, that were similar to i12 E. Spanier et al. Figure 4. The common spiny lobster, P. elephas, in a third century CE Roman mosaic known as “Ulysses and the Sirens” from the “House of Dionysus and Ulysses” in Thugga, Tunisia. Photo by Dennis Jarvis, used with permission. today’s holding facilities (André, 1961). “Cetariae” were built close to the sea to take advantage of natural coastal ponds fed by waves. Wealthy Roman city dwellers even had their own facilities. Lobsters appeared in classical comedies, tragedies, and poems of Greek and Roman writers, and were described as an excellent food by the dramatist Epicharmus (Rodrı́guez-Noriega Guillén, 1996). They occur in recipes in cook books, including the Deipnosophistae (“Dinner-Table Philosophers”) by Athenaeus written between 1700 and 1800 years ago (Gulick, 1957). Lobsters were also thought to possess various medicinal properties (King, 2011) inclusive of aphrodisiacs (e.g. Pajovic et al., 2012, and references therein). Middle ages Few artefacts show lobster use in the Byzantine period, primarily because of the decline of non-religious art. One pavement mosaic from a Byzantine church dating to 1400 years ago from Bet Guvrin, southern Israel (Ovadiah and Ovadiah, 1987), depicts two clawed lobsters, possibly H. gammarus, but Israel lies outside the present distribution range of any clawed lobster species (Holthuis, 1991). This discrepancy may be explained by H. gammarus extending into the southeastern Mediterranean during the Little Ice Age (2000– 500 years ago), or the artist may have been from the western Mediterranean where this species was common or may have copied a model while visiting there. In the Middle Ages, mosaic representations were replaced by paintings, some of which accurately depicted lobsters (e.g. Charmantier, 2014). The popularity of lobsters continued into the Renaissance and early modern era, as expressed in many paintings illustrating fish markets and luxurious table settings (see Table 1 in Charmantier, 2014) as well as in the literature (e.g. Crane, 2009). lobster fisheries in the Mediterranean started relatively late in the 1900s, but at-sea enforcement was difficult with the large number of vessels in the basin. Non-uniform regulations across the basin combined with poor enforcement have been cited for severe overfishing. Europe The North Atlantic current extends the Gulf Stream towards the northwest coast of Europe and brings warm surface water to that region, resulting in a highly productive marine ecosystem with high biodiversity. While several lobster species occur in European waters, the two main species of interest to humans are H. gammarus from coastal and shallow rocky habitats along the coasts of Norway south to the Azores and Morocco (and historically in parts of the Mediterranean and Black Sea), and P. elephas from rocky and coralligenous habitats of the shallow and continental shelf from Norway to Morocco and in the west-central Mediterranean. These two species have been exploited by humans for centuries, but extensive histories are only available for some regions covered herein. Norway Prehistorical era Remnants of Neolithic living dating from 10 000 to 12 000 years ago are scattered along the Norwegian coast (A.K. Hufthammer, Bergen Zool. Museum, pers. comm.). Marine invertebrate remains in dry caves consist mostly of mollusc shells, with some decapod claw fragments, but it is unclear whether they represent middens from human activities or caching by animals. Stone carvings display fish and whales, but no lobsters are present in art or have been identified in middens. Middle ages Introduction of modern fisheries While the yields of Mediterranean lobster declined in Roman times, they accelerated over the last two centuries, with the introduction of modern technologies and effort intensification. Fishing techniques changed from the use of pots or diving to more efficient trammelnets, resulting in rapid stock declines during the last century (Goñi and Latrouite, 2005; Groeneveld et al., 2013). Regulation of Norse sagas and songs from 700 to 800 years ago refer to lobsters, and in medieval times, the Norse word “humarr”, today recognized as “hummer”, was acknowledged as a poetic metaphor (“kenning”) for the sea/seabed (Sturlason 1222–1231a, b; referred to in a list of sagas, e.g. Herrick, 1909 and references therein). Although the use of lobsters was not mentioned in literature at the time, the word “hummer” (which means to move or row backwards) is the root i13 Historical use of lobsters by humans worldwide Figure 5. Part of a Roman mosaic from Pompeii (house n. 16, insula 2, Regio VIII; first century CE) that described predator– prey interactions between an octopus, a spiny lobster, and a moray eel (Soprintendenza Speciale per i Beni Archeologici di Napoli e Pompei). of European lobster names in 20 countries, from Scandinavia, throughout northern Europe, and as far as Russia and Armenia. The widespread use of the name “hummer” suggests that lobsters may have been traded among countries, since shared names usually imply shared goods (E. Ellingsve, NTNU, pers. comm.). Such trade does not exist in modern times, but the sharing of the expression may indicate an ancient trade, perhaps with lobsters sold and transported as frozen goods from Scandinavian middle age winter markets (Magnus, 1555). In his Carta Marina map of northern Europe (1539) (Figure 6a and b), giant lobster-like monsters catch a sailor and fight a “rhinoceros”. These lobster illustrations were later copied by other naturalists (Gesner, 1558). Magnus (1555) also mentions lobsters in his descriptions of the natural history and social structure of Scandinavia. Lobsters (carabii) are here connected to octopuses and moray eels, as depicted in Greek and Roman mosaics. Since moray eels and large octopuses are not present in Scandinavia, these observations may have been adopted from Pliny the Elder, whom Magnus mentions. However, Magnus (1555) describes cephalopods (Di Polypis) in a chapter illustrated by man-hunting lobster-like creatures, so it is unclear if his illustrations actually represent lobster or octopus. The first actual mention of lobsters and crabs for human consumption was made by Clausson Friis (1599, published by Storm, 1881) who described how lobsters could be caught in the intertidal zone, how cooking or drying changed their colour, and that they avoided traps containing live crabs. Introduction of modern fisheries During the Enlightenment in Europe (1650 –1750), wealthy and royal classes could afford lobsters, as depicted in still life paintings (details in Charmantier, 2014). In Norway, lobsters were not commonly accepted as food by privileged classes; instead, “heaps of oyster and lobster shells laying outside their shacks” showed the popularity (or the necessity of consumption) among the poor (Pontoppidan, 1752–1753). Lobsters and their shells were also used for fertilizer, and not served to farmhands and servants more than thrice weekly up until the last century (E. Nøstvold, Kvitsøy, pers. comm.). While not popular with Norwegians, the privileged classes of England and the Netherlands created a strong demand for lobsters 400 – 500 years ago. Dutch traders established a trade for Norwegian lobsters around 1650, but were eventually replaced by a British trading monopoly. By 1700, the export industry expanded from a few southwestern fishing communities to cover most of southern Norway. Local reports on social and biological trends relevant to lobster exploitation and export exist since the late 1600s and trade is described in contemporary books on Norwegian natural resources and social life in the 1700s, including that by Pontoppidan (1752 –1753). i14 E. Spanier et al. Figure 6. (a) The Olaus Magnus Carta Marina (1539 version) and the (b) and (c) “lobsters”, which may or may not be actual lobsters, but misrepresentation of cephalopods. High-resolution copy kindly provided by the Norwegian National Library, Oslo. As lobster export became more lucrative in Norway, landowners extended their claims into the sea, attempting to privatize access rights (Sunde, 1991, and references therein). Strong disputes overfishing rights arose, culminating in a royal decree on 23 April 1728, stating that lobsters and all other marine organisms, except salmon, were common property. Increased exploitation since 1650s rapidly led to reductions in local lobster stocks, which subsequently fluctuated as a result of the wars in Europe, climate changes, market demands, and technological developments. Fishing regulations were first introduced in 1849 with little effect. At present, the Norwegian lobster stock is at a record low, showing little or no signs of recovery (Kleiven et al., 2012). Spain The first spiny lobster fishing grounds exploited by Spanish boats for export markets were along the northern Iberian coast, in the late 1800s. Live P. elephas and P. mauritanicus were transported in boats with seawater tanks to cities in France and the UK, where profits from their sales were four times higher than if sold domestically (Montesinos, 1905). Spanish vessels also caught clawed lobster, H. gammarus, in the Atlantic and Mediterranean Sea, but not as a target species. When yields of spiny lobster from northern Spain began to decline, fleets moved to fishing grounds in West Africa. The evidence of overexploitation noticed by then triggered the implementation of seasonal restrictions and a special fishing tax. Despite these measures, overfishing worsened in the 1900s with dramatic changes in the mean lobster weight declining from 2 kg per lobster at the start of the century to 0.6 kg today. Traditional fishing gear consisted of cotton nets until Basque fishers introduced lobster pots (Montesinos, 1905). Both gears were used simultaneously until the late 1980s, when pots were virtually abandoned for lack of effectiveness (Goñi and Latrouite, 2005). Targeted lobster fisheries are now restricted to archipelagos and islands in the Western Mediterranean, such as the Balearic Islands in Spain, where trammel-nets are used. Here, artisanal fishers have exploited lobsters for over 150 years, and trade with the Iberian Peninsula dates back to the mid-1800s. Official statistics show much lower landings at present compared with 100 years ago. The Americas Pacific coast of North America The Pacific coast of North America supports the spiny lobster Panulirus interruptus only at its southern-most end, from San Luis Obispo Bay, California, through the length of the Baja Peninsula (Holthuis, 1991). Paleo-Indians occupied this region around 13 000 years ago and expanded to the Northern Channel Islands i15 Historical use of lobsters by humans worldwide across a 7 –20 km wide strait, and to the more dispersed and distant Southern Channel Islands further from the mainland when sea levels were lower than at present (Inman, 1983; Rick et al., 2005). The Channel Islands and Santa Barbara Channel lie at the confluence of two major ocean currents (the cool California Current and warm Southern California Countercurrent) in a region of persistent upwelling that supports a rich diversity of habitats composed of kelp forests, rocky reefs, and eelgrass beds. Prehistorical and historical eras Coastal middens from the Early Holocene demonstrate that Paleo-Indians harvested a variety of marine organisms, including red abalone, giant chitons, mussels, turban snails, crabs, geese, cormorants, albatross, pinnipeds, sea otter, and a variety of finfish (Erlandson et al., 2011). Active searches in well-preserved ancient middens found no lobster remains (J.M. Erlandson, pers. comm.). Middle Holocene (around 6000 years ago) middens contain a more diverse mixture of marine taxa (Rick et al., 2005) from indigenous Chumash Indians (northern islands) and Tongva peoples (southern islands; Jones and Klar, 2005; Rick et al., 2005). The Chumash harvested shellfish so intensively that middens illustrate declines in shell sizes of some species, suggestive of overfishing. These anthropogenic effects seem focused on abalone, but Spanish explorers in the 1700s remarked that lobsters were common in Indian villages (Fray Juan Crespi, 1769–1774; reported in McArdle, 2008), abundant in coastal waters (Sebastian-Vizcaino, 1602; reported in McArdle, 2008), and fished with devices (pots) similar to Spanish ones (Hudson and Blackburn, 1982). Less information is available for the Tongva, so it remains unclear if they used lobsters. Introduction of modern fisheries Chinese and Caucasian fishers replaced the island Chumash during the 1800s and fished for lobsters off Santa Barbara and Santa Cruz Island. They delivered dried tails to San Francisco’s Chinatown for export to China (Rathbun, 1887; McArdle, 2008), and live lobsters for local use. Rathbun (1887) reported that lobsters were so abundant in the Santa Barbara Channel that a single person could capture around 230 kg in the space of 2 h, from the nearshore with dipnets. Spiny lobster became popular as a substitute for dwindling eastern clawed lobster, and canneries sprung up to provide a product that could withstand long-term storage and be shipped worldwide. Canneries used their own engine-powered ships to move lobster fishers between islands and along the coast, and transport catches. Industrialization increased fishing effort (both in terms of fishers and traps deployed) and landings and gradually reduced the size and weight of landed lobsters. By the early 1900s, lobster stocks were considered to be overfished and regulations were imposed. The regulations have resulted in a relatively stable catch in modern times, but at the cost of increased effort per fisher, and in a small size of fishable and reproductive lobster (McArdle, 2008). Atlantic coast of North America The northeastern American coast lies at the junction of the nutrient-rich, warm northward flowing Gulf Stream and the oxygen-rich, cold southward flowing Labrador Current. An abundance of fish and marine mammals have historically thrived here, including the American clawed lobster, Homarus americanus, which occupies a range from Labrador and Newfoundland to the shelf waters of North Carolina (Holthuis, 1991), though historically, it has been far more abundant from northern New Jersey to Newfoundland. Prehistorical and historical eras Aboriginal peoples were present in Labrador some 8500 years ago, and reached Newfoundland some 4500–5000 years ago, when the climate was warmer than today (Marshall, 1996; Renouf, 1999). The Beothuk Indians occupied Newfoundland at the time of European contact in the 1400s (Tuck, 1976), although other groups may have travelled there for particular resources (Marshall, 1996). Faunal analysis suggests that Beothuk ate a wide variety of marine and terrestrial animals, including lobster, recognized from claw fragments (Howley, 1915; Marshall, 1996; Pastore, 1997). The Beothuk harvested lobster during summer (Marshall, 1996) and could store lobster tails (Tuck and Pastore, 1985) and dry the meat (Anonymous, 1987). Europeans arriving in Newfoundland in 1578 commented on the great abundance of lobsters near the shore (Parkhurst, 1578)—thus the Beothuk appear not to have fished populations down greatly. The Mi’kmaq Indians (Canadian Maritime provinces, Gulf of St. Lawrence to the Bay of Fundy, Nova Scotia, Cape Breton, Prince Edward Island) fished for lobster when migrating from inland winter quarters in spring and summer. They used handcollecting, spears, and hooks while wading at low tide, but also captured lobsters incidentally in fish weirs (Wallis and Wallis, 1955; Anonymous, 2012). Lobsters were used as food, fertilizer, decorations, totems, tobacco pouches, and pipes (Ganong, 1968; Anonymous, 2012). English explorers and chroniclers of early colonies recounted how natives in Maine (probably Eastern Abenaki or Mi’kmaq) and Connecticut (Mohegan, Quinnipiac, and Pequot Indians) used lobsters (Rosier, 1605; Morton, 1632). Natives used lobster for bait to catch eel and cod, and dried them for food in winter (Wood, 1639). In Connecticut, natives were described as converging in large numbers for a month or more to harvest lobsters at low tide and dry their meat for winter (Morton, 1632). Lobster remains have been found in a Manissean seafood processing village midden at Block Island (Rhode Island) and date to 2350– 2500 years ago (K. McBride, pers. comm.; Jaworski, 1990); these may be the oldest surviving remnants in New England. Other island tribes (Wampanoags) have legends describing feasts where lobsters were boiled in pots with succotash and fish, and served with steamed clams, roast pheasant, and rabbit stew (Scoville, 1970). Early European chroniclers also remarked on the abundance of lobsters inshore, usually by recounting how quickly lobsters could be caught via different fishing methods. For instance, Parkhurst (1578) described how with just a single gaff, he could capture enough lobsters to feed 300 men in less than a half a day in the waters of Newfoundland. Others recounted how men, with only one haul of a small draw net, caught more than 140 lobsters off Nova Scotia in 1597 (published by Brown, 1869). Wood (1639) remarked that lobsters were so plentiful that they (meat and shell) were used as fertilizer instead of food when fish were readily available. Nearly 250 years later, hoop netters were able to capture 500 lobsters in 8 –10 h in waters off New Brunswick (Simmonds, 1859). Introduction of modern fisheries Many settlers in the 1600 and 1700s considered lobster as a suitable stand-in when other foodstuffs were unavailable, as a fertilizer for crops, or as a food for the poor (Rowan, 1876; Wells, 1986). Lobsters were often used as bait to capture the more highly prized i16 cod. By the late 1700s, lobster became a commodity in urban centres (Boston, New York). High demand was initially met from nearby waters, but by the early 1800s, southern New England fishers could no longer keep up (Martin and Lipfert, 1985). During this period of growing demand, the indigenous peoples were mostly excluded from lobster fishing and did not regain guaranteed fishing rights until the late 1900s (Davis et al., 2004). Live shipment gave rise to the “smack vessel” (similar to the “hummer-busser” used in Norway), and the “car” (floating box to hold lobster for sale to the smack vessel). Hand-held gaffs that typically killed lobsters were replaced by hoop nets that required constant monitoring by fishers. The inefficient hoop net gave way to the wooden trap (“pot”) that became more sophisticated in design to prevent lobster escape. Lobster canning grew during the mid-1800s, and by the 1880s, there were 23 plants in Maine and over 40 in Canada (Rathbun, 1887). The canneries required millions of pounds of lobster per year to supply demand, and mounting fishing pressure caused a decline in lobster size and weight (from 1.8– 4.5 to ,0.9 kg). The live lobster industry also impacted stocks, because fishing rowboats became larger, engine powered, then gave way to large mechanized boats, permitting fishing further from the shore. Increased demand and the industrialization of the lobster fishery led initially to regulations stipulating who could fish local waters, but by the late 1800s these stipulations included a variety of measures that differed from state to state. Some of the stricter regulations caused a decline in the Maine canneries with many closing; by the end of the 1800s, all Maine canneries had closed or relocated to the Canadian Maritimes (Martin and Lipfert, 1985). Massachusetts and Rhode Island (later joined by Maine, Newfoundland, and other Canadian regions) opened up state hatcheries by the end of the 1800s, in an attempt to restock state waters with more than 800 million larvae hatched from egg-bearing females (Martin and Lipfert, 1985). Despite these “seeding” efforts and the imposition of additional regulations, lobster stocks continued to experience dramatic drops in abundance and shifts to smaller individuals. Today’s stocks are highly depleted in all but their most northern range (Gulf of Maine northward), and even those stocks only provide high yields with enormous fishing effort. South Florida The Caribbean spiny lobster, Panulirus argus, occurs in shallow coastal waters of southeastern Florida, along the Keys archipelago, and throughout the Caribbean Sea (Holthuis, 1991). Humans settled the area during the Archaic Period (9000 –3000 years ago) and gave rise to the Glades cultures (2750– 500 years ago). By the time of the European contact (2500 years ago), the descendants of the Glades culture had given rise to the Tequesta (near modernday Miami and the Upper Florida Keys) and the Calusa (west coast of south Florida, from Fort Myers to Naples and the Ten Thousand Islands area). Both tribal societies were based on marine and estuarine resource exploitation. Prehistorical and historical eras Middens indicate that the tribes consumed more than 50 species of fish and 20 species of molluscs and crustaceans, sea and land turtles, ducks, and some land mammals, although these latter items accounted for ,7% of the their animal-based energy (MacMahon and Marquardt, 2004). The Calusa had little contact with Europeans, but one shipwreck survivor observed that lobsters were consumed regularly by both the Calusa and Tequesta (Fontaneda, 1575). E. Spanier et al. Introduction of modern fisheries Wars between Spain and England devastated the South Florida tribes. The British took over Florida in the mid-1700s, and reported that lobsters were plentiful and quite large, but they were not highly prized as food, and were instead used as bait for fish such as snapper and grouper (De Brahm, 1772; Moe, 1991). For the next centuryand-a-half, lobsters were captured by south Floridians with castnets, gillnet, haul seines, and spears, and were easily captured en masse when roaming over grass flats. A commercial fishing industry for lobsters arose when the Florida Keys were connected to the mainland via the Overland Railroad in 1912, but no regulations on fishing were imposed until the 1920s. Nevertheless, regulations have failed to prevent overfishing and landings have declined dramatically in the present time. Caribbean and Mesoamerica The tropical Caribbean Sea basin (2 754 000 km2) supports five spiny and four slipper lobsters species. The Caribbean spiny lobster P. argus is the most abundant, and has been identified in pre-Columbian archaeological deposits throughout the Caribbean (Keegan, 1982, 2000). Prehistorical and historical eras The earliest migrants (ca. 6000 years ago) were hunter-gatherers, who transitioned from tropical forest life to coastal living, shifting from subsistence hunting to gathering shellfish (Rouse, 1989; Wing, 1989; Keegan, 2000). Archaeological evidence for this shift comes from sites in Cuba, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, and the Lesser Antilles (see review in Keegan et al., 2013). For example, middens from the pre-ceramic period (5000 –3000 years ago) in the Lesser Antilles contain thousands of mollusc shells and fish bones (Wilson, 2007), demonstrating that subsistence hunting had been replaced by coastal living. Saladoid cultures, also known as ceramic-making farmer-fishers (around 2400– 1100 years ago), originated along the Orinoco River of lowland Amazonia (present-day Venezuela) and maintained subsistence strategies that included shellfish gathering (Newsom and Wing, 2004). Archaeological sites on Montserrat (2400 –2200 years ago), Nevis (965 –735 years ago), Turks and Caicos Islands (915–715 years ago), eastern Puerto Rico and Anguilla (815 –615 years ago), and Saint Lucia (1115 –515 years ago) suggest that the consumption of lobster was widespread and covered the entire Ceramic Age occupation (de France et al., 1996). However, lobster remains occurred in low frequencies at all sites, suggesting that lobsters were not commonly harvested or remains were not well preserved. The Taino (Arawakan) civilization (6000 –500 years ago) occupied the Greater Antilles and some of the northern Lesser Antilles. They were seafaring people who harvested conch, oysters, lobsters, and crabs using various methods (Rouse, 1992). The sizes and types of fish in archaeological deposits throughout the Caribbean indicate that basket traps were probably used to harvest lobsters. A test of this hypothesis by Keegan (1982) using 2 m long × 1 m wide Haitian-style basket traps (Figure 7), similar to those used by the Taino, caught lobsters of relatively small size at low frequency. This matched archaeological evidence for ubiquitous, but limited use of lobsters by the Taino (Keegan, 1982). The Maya (Yucatan peninsula; 3800 – 1100 years ago) comprised a large and pervasive civilization extending from Mexico into Mesoamerica (present-day Honduras, Belize, Guatemala, El i17 Historical use of lobsters by humans worldwide comes from reports by European explorers, such as Theodor de Bry’s 450-year-old engraving of Incas bringing treasures, including a lobster, as ransom for their leader, Atahualpa, held by the Spanish (King, 2011). The effigies and engravings may, however, represent the freshwater prawn, Macrobrachium brasiliense, which is widely distributed in South America. The spiny lobster Jasus frontalis is known from the Juan Fernández and Desventuradas Islands in the southeastern Pacific Ocean (Holthuis, 1991). Andrew Selkirk, a Scottish sailor, was marooned on Robinson Crusoe Island for 4 years. When he was rescued, the ship’s captain described his men bringing back an “abundance of Craw-fish” along with Selkirk (King, 2011). Selkirk’s biographer wrote that he had often captured huge lobsters that he boiled or grilled (Howell, 1829). Later travellers would write that this lobster was large (weighing 3.5 or 4 kg each), highly flavourful, and incredibly abundant (e.g. Anson, 1853). Figure 7. Haitian-style basket trap used to capture fish and lobsters (purchased in Cap-Haı̈tien, 1995). Salvador, and Costa Rica). Mayans consumed many marine animals, including lobsters, which were often dried, roasted, and salted (Lang, 1971). Lobsters form part of Mayan aquatic iconography (Bonnafoux, 2008), and represented the expression of maritime trade (Lang, 1971). Effigy vessels were widespread and an effigy of a Caribbean spiny lobster excavated in 2007 from Belize is one of the oldest (http://www.belize.com/maya). Introduction of modern fisheries Commercial fishing for J. frontalis began in the late 1800s, when lobsters were commercially harvested from shallow waters (,15 m), but as fishing pressure increased, lobsters were harvested from deeper and deeper water (Holthuis, 1991). Assessments show that the population near the island is overexploited, but fishing has expanded to new grounds (Jeffs et al., 2013). The fishery continues today and provides employment for a large proportion of the archipelago inhabitants. New Zealand At the time of the Spanish conquest in 1492, the Taino were cultivating crops and had evolved individual specialities including fishing and trapping. New technologies would substantially increase lobster harvests in the coming centuries. The 1600 and 1700s were marked by increased trading between Europe and the New World. New World fishing techniques that targeted both fish and lobsters included bottom netting, trapping with wooden pots, harpooning, torch fishing, and diving (Price, 1966). New Zealand straddles the boundary of the Pacific Ocean and the Tasman Sea midway between Antarctica and the tropics. The islands lie at the confluence of two current systems: the warm Subtropical Gyre (northwest and northeast coasts) and the cooler Antarctic Circumpolar Current (southern islands). Upwellings occur at the convergence zones of the two systems, providing nutrients for rich fishing grounds. Two spiny lobster species inhabit New Zealand waters: the widespread red spiny lobster, J. edwardsii, and the packhorse lobster, S. verreauxi, that is restricted to the northeast North Island (Kensler, 1967). South America and the Juan Fernandez archipelago Prehistorical and historical eras It is unknown how early South America was colonized after peoples migrated through Beringia; however, human occupation sites, particularly Monte Verde in Chile and Quebrada Jaguay and Quebrada Tacahuay in Peru, have dated to around 14 600 years ago (Dillehay et al., 2008) and around 12 700 –12 900 years ago (Keefer et al., 1998), respectively. New Zealand was first settled 1200 years ago by Polynesian seafarers who initially lived along the coast and relied heavily on gathering seafood from shallow waters (Best, 1986). Archaeological evidence (mandibles) from multiple shell middens date to 700 –900 years ago and show that lobsters were exploited (Anderson, 1979; Leach and Anderson, 1979; Leach and Boocock, 1993). Written records from European explorers and Maori oral history indicate that lobsters were important seafood (Best, 1986). Apart from hand gathering in shallow waters, Maori fishers also used plant-based traps and fishing lines baited with abalone (Best, 1986). Thus far, only J. edwardsii mandibles have been found at archaeological sites (Leach and Boocock, 1993). Lobsters were eaten fresh, dried, and prepared by soaking in freshwater so that the flesh separated easily from the shell without cooking (Best, 1986). Coastal Maori traded sun- and oven-dried lobsters with inland tribes (Best, 1986). Lobster fishing was highly regulated within Maori communities through cultural rituals and taboos. Chants and charms related to the process of catching lobsters were integral to fishing, reflecting a spiritual perspective towards the natural world. Tribal groups administered spatial, seasonal, or rotational harvesting strategies (Best, 1986). Even with these measures, Introduction of modern fisheries Prehistorical and historical eras Faunal evidence suggests a wide use of resources, both coastal and mountainous. There is clear evidence that marine seaweeds from sandy and rocky shorelines were exploited (Dillehay et al., 2008) where marine shellfish and crustaceans would also be present. In Quebrada Jaguay and Quebrada Tacahuay, knotted cordage, fish bones, and crustacean and mollusc shells have been recovered (e.g. Keefer et al., 1998). Indications of lobster use on the mainland include lobster effigies from ancient Peru (e.g. of the Chimu-Inca Culture, Moche Valley, north coast of Peru, dating 585–475 years ago, Mingei Museum, CA, USA; http://www.mingei.org/collection object/ceremonial-sprinkler-with-lobster-effigy-2/). This is peculiar, because no shallow water marine clawed or spiny lobsters are present along the Pacific coast of South America. More information i18 changes in mandible size in some middens strongly suggest that the Maori had negative impacts on J. edwardsii populations and drove the species to smaller sizes over several centuries (Leach and Anderson, 1979). Some archaeologists suggest that the Maori may have practiced intensive use of a resource for a time, followed by a period where they allowed the resource to recover (Leach and Boocock, 1993), but it does not appear that intensively fished populations of J. edwardsii rebounded. Introduction of modern fisheries There is now a significant commercial fishery in New Zealand, with around 2700 t of lobsters harvested a year, and with significant stakeholding by Maori descendants. Conclusions It is undisputed that ancient and more recent peoples around the world used lobsters for food and trade. In many cultures, lobsters were a valuable and highly prized commodity; in others, they were considered food for the poor, or a replacement when other foods were not available. However, before the modern era, knowledge of lobster use is based mainly on archaeological evidence, artwork, or historical accounts. These sources are less exact and often biased by ancient and sometimes lost cultural insights. Nevertheless, they do give important information, as long as their interpretation accounts for the cultures from which they derive. One should keep in mind that when Europeans provided descriptions of lobster stocks in new lands, they did so within the context of their own often already overfished home stocks. Therefore, when Europeans described new found stocks of lobsters as highly abundant, we should take them at their word that lobsters were as abundant as described and that these written descriptions were not exaggerations (Bolster, 2012). Apart from the Mediterranean civilizations and possibly some Maori tribes, indigenous peoples appear to have harvested lobsters at a sustainable rate, even when other taxa (marine mammals, pelagic fish, land mammals, shellfish) in the same area may have been overexploited. Traditional hand collection methods, small baskets (pots), and gaffs limited the numbers of lobsters that could be captured at one time. As colonists increased their demand for lobster, new technologies were developed that increased the efficiency of capture. Overexploitation typically followed a specific pattern. For example, when lobsters became sought-after seafood commodities in European and other markets during the mid-1800s, fisheries became industrialized, extracting greater quantities. International trade followed the development of preservation techniques (frozen, canned, or live lobsters) and long-distance transport of products. Some of the modern fishing methods and gear, such as trammel-nets, led to precipitous declines in lobster abundance. In some cases, indigenous peoples were pushed out of lobster fisheries during the period of economic expansion; in countries such as New Zealand and Canada, they now have traditional fishing rights. Lobster life history, which typically progresses from pelagic and well-hidden juvenile stages to more accessible adolescent and adult stages, has allowed them to retain a part of the recruiting population out of reach of fishing gear. Nevertheless, the long lifespans, slow growth, and variable recruitment success leave many lobster species vulnerable to continued overexploitation. Despite regulatory attempts, lobster stocks around the world are currently heavily or overexploited, and it is unrealistic to expect a recovery E. Spanier et al. to the near-pristine levels reported by explorers some 400– 500 years ago. High landings of some stocks today come as a result of a highly mechanized fishing fleet, use of a large number of pots or nets, smaller sizes of landed lobster, and reductions in the age of reproduction. 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The use of echinoids and crustaceans as food during the Pleistocene – Holocene transition in Northern Spain: methodological contribution and dietary assessment. Journal of Island and Coastal Archaeology, 6: 115– 133. Handling editor: Carmel Finley ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i22 –i34. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv057 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Review A review of lobster fishery management: the Western Australian fishery for Panulirus cygnus, a case study in the development and implementation of input and output-based management systems J. W. Penn*, N. Caputi, and S. de Lestang Western Australian Fisheries and Marine Research Laboratories, PO Box 20, North Beach, WA 6920, Australia *Corresponding author: tel: +61 8 92030184; fax: +61 8 92030199; e-mail: jim.penn@fish.wa.gov.au Penn, J. W., Caputi, N., and de Lestang, S. A review of lobster fishery management: the Western Australian fishery for Panulirus cygnus, a case study in the development and implementation of input and output-based management systems. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i22 – i34. Received 30 August 2014; revised 12 March 2015; accepted 16 March 2015; advance access publication 12 April 2015 . Lobster stocks around the world support high-value fisheries with production currently about 260,000 tonnes annually. The largest fisheries harvest Homarus, Nephrops and Panulirus species with smaller production from the Jasus, Palinurus and Scylarid species groups. The majority of larger industrial fisheries have systems limiting fishing effort or catches, while many of the smaller fisheries remain open access and have yet to implement basic management controls. The review uses the Western Australian fishery for Panulirus cygnus, valued between AUS$200 – 400 million annually with a long history of successful management, as a case study for the consideration of lobster fisheries management systems more generally. The conclusions from the review suggest that an evolutionary approach to management with biological controls as a precursor to input-based controls is necessary to allow sufficient fishery-based data to be accumulated for management decision processes to be effective. The case study experience suggests that well-defined fishing rights leading to an input-based total allowable effort system with individually transferable effort (ITE) units can provide efficient mechanisms for the reduction of latent effort, which characterises most lobster fisheries with open access or basic limited entry. Further the system has been shown to be capable of generating significant license values for fishermen while maintaining owner-operators as the dominant group in the fishery. The ITE system was also used effectively to adjust fishing to compensate for a severe environmentally-driven downturn in recruitment, but resulted in highly complex management rules. In 2010 the fishery moved seamlessly to a total allowable catch with individually transferable quotas which removed the complexity of management, further increased the catch value and reduced costs of fishing. Price/ earnings (P/E) ratios have been used to track trends in license values which highlight the industry’s increasing economic viability over time under both input and output based management. Keywords: input controls, licence valuations, lobster fisheries, management, output controls. Introduction Lobster stocks around the world support catches in the order of 260 000 t annually (FAO STATS, 2011) which are taken by a range of fishing activities from artisanal fishing in many tropical regions to industrial fisheries in temperate and cold waters (Phillips et al., 2013). Lobsters are commercially taken mostly using traps, but also by trawling and diving, are highly valued in the world seafood market and also prized by recreational fishers. Most large commercial fisheries initially relied on the biological control measures of minimum size limits and protection of egg-bearing females to maintain breeding stocks and many later developed forms of effort or catch controls to maintain stock levels. In contrast, many of the smaller fisheries, particularly in tropical Africa and Asia, remain open access, have limited capacity to control fishing and have yet to implement basic biological protection measures. Stocks in these fisheries are likely to be suffering from growth and possibly recruitment overfishing, but can continue to operate at depressed catch rates because of the high value of lobsters and low costs of fishing in developing economies. # International Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2015. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i23 Review of lobster fishery management The first recorded direct control on lobster catches was in South Africa during the 1940s, when lobster tail quotas were set for the industrial fishery for Jasus lalandii (Melville-Smith and van Sittert, 2005). Later in the mid-1950s, the alternative approach of limiting fishing effort to indirectly control catches of Panulirus argus began in Mexico, when fishers’ cooperatives along the coast were issued with exclusive lobster-fishing rights (Briones-Fourzan and LozanoAlvarez, 2000). In the early 1960s, the first control on fishing vessel and pot (trap) numbers occurred when limited entry management was introduced in the Western Australian (WA) fishery for Panulirus cygnus (Bowen and Hancock, 1989), an approach later adopted by many fisheries in developed economies. From these initial measures to control lobster catches, more market-based management systems using freely tradable pot quotas in Western Australia (de Lestang et al., 2010) and catch quotas in the New Zealand and now most Australian fisheries have been developed and are providing significant improvements in economic performance (Gardner et al., 2013). Against this background, it is notable that most of the larger trapbased fisheries (see reviews in Phillips, 2013) continue to rely heavily on biological measures to maintain their lobster breeding stocks. In terms of controls on lobster catches, basic limits on effort remain the most common form of management being applied in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Cuba, Chile, and Japan, where about two-thirds of the world lobster harvest occurs. The largest lobster fishery where output controls, i.e. a total allowable catch (TAC), are used is the multinational European trawl fishery for Nephrops (Bell et al., 2013) and this system is also now applied to most lobster trap fisheries in New Zealand and Australia and South Africa. For most fisheries, management is focused on sustaining maximum catches rather than on the economic performance with the main exceptions being the fisheries in New Zealand and Australia, where fully market-based versions of the total allowable effort (TAE) [with individually transferable effort (ITEs)] and TAC [with individually transferable quotas (ITQs)] management have been implemented with a strong emphasis on maximizing economic performance (Gardner et al., 2013; Reid et al., 2013; Caputi et al., 2015). The primary purpose of this review is to assess the performance of the alternative input and output-based management systems for lobster fisheries using the Western Australian fishery for P. cygnus as a case study. This is Australia’s most valuable single-species fishery generating between AUS$200 and 400 million annually (Reid et al., 2013) and has been the subject of comprehensive biological research and management since 1963 (Bowen and Hancock, 1989). Over this period, the initial limited-entry system evolved into a sophisticated TAE control system with ITE units issued to each vessel (de Lestang et al., 2012), which allowed the fishery to operate close to maximum sustainable yield (MSY) levels and to generate significant licence values for fishers. More recently (2010), this fishery was converted to TAC management with a strategy of targeting maximum economic yield (MEY; Caputi et al., 2014b, 2015). This provides a unique opportunity to compare the operation of the two alternative control systems on the same fishery and also illustrates the way these more market-based management strategies impact both lobster stocks and industry economic performance. For this latter purpose, a new approach for valuing commercial fishing rights, using a licence transfer price to earnings (P/E) ratio method, has been developed and used to track licence values through several decades of the effort management and since the implementation of a TAC with ITQs. Western Australian lobster fishery case study Background The western rock lobster P. cygnus is an endemic Australian species occurring along the west coast where it supports a large fishery operating from Shark Bay (268S) in the north to Cape Leeuwin (348S) in the south and around the Abrolhos Islands (28– 29.58S) on the continental shelf edge (Figure 1). This fishery produced around 11 000 t annually from the 1980s to early 2000s, although the catches have been significantly reduced by management action to around 6000 t since 2008/2009 to adjust for lower recruitment (puerulus settlement) resulting from environmental changes (Caputi et al., 2014c; de Lestang et al., 2015). The stock also supports an important licensed recreational fishery taking several hundred tonnes annually (Melville-Smith et al., 2004) under catch share arrangements (de Lestang et al., 2012). Since 1949, the commercial fishery has been documented through industry landing records and detailed research logbooks since 1963. Additional information from puerulus settlement (1968 onwards), observer programmes (starting 1971), and fisheryindependent spawning stock surveys (1991 onward) have provided particularly detailed databases for the fishery. Stock assessments using these data underpin management processes and have contributed to the fishery being the first certified by the Marine Stewardship Council in 2000 (de Lestang et al., 2012). Figure 1. The Western Australian coastline, showing the three western rock lobster fishery management zones (A– C) and the puerulus collector sites (filled circle) used in the catch forecasting process. i24 Early management development (pre-1993–1994) The history of the fishery records that minimum size limits and spawner protection measures were first introduced in the late 1890s (Bowen and Hancock, 1989). By the 1930s, annual catches were around 250 t and reached 1000 t in the late 1940s after a market was developed for frozen lobster tails in the United States (Brown, 1991). This led to a rapid expansion of fishing through the 1950s and early 1960s, until some levelling out of catches and the threat of an influx of vessels from outside of the state, led to a WA Government decision to limit vessels numbers in 1963 (Bowen, 1980). These initial controls on fishing effort occurred through duplicated State and Federal Government legislation; however, since 1980, the fishery has operated solely under WA (State) control following an Offshore Constitutional Settlement (Anon., 1980) which simplified the management processes. While the initial decision to limiting vessels to 858 was quickly implemented, it immediately raised concerns that pot (trap) numbers would increase and an additional rule limiting pots to three per foot of boat length (10 m21) with a maximum holding of 200 pots was introduced. Although this capped pot numbers at 76 000, fishers then responded by trying to replace their existing vessels with larger ones to increase their pot holdings and led to a policy (1965) only allowing the same length replacement vessels. A simultaneous decision to phase out offshore processing vessels suspected of undertaking illegal activities occurred and was facilitated by allowing them to redistribute their pot entitlements in J. W. Penn et al. small parcels to other fishers wanting to operate larger replacement vessels. The administrative process to allow replacement vessels and purchase of additional pots involved the buyer and seller submitting evidence of the sale to the Fisheries Agency, which would then recognize the ownership change and link the associated pot entitlements to the new vessel. This by default led to the “transferability” of the licence or “right to fish” for lobsters. Although these pot licences initially had little value, the vessel sale prices soon began to involve an additional “goodwill” payment of around the value of 1 year’s catch by the number of pots being transferred (Bowen, 1980). Although the vessel and pot numbers were controlled, nominal fishing effort measured as “pot lifts” continued to increase through the 1970s and1980s and the effectiveness of fishing gear was also increasing (Brown, 1991). This led to additional controls on pot size and a requirement for multiple escape gaps. Despite these measures, effort and catches continued to increase partly due to the increasing efficiency (Brown et al., 1995), but also due to a series of high catch years and improved juvenile survival from better handing of released undersize lobsters (Brown and Caputi, 1986). While these additional controls slowed the rate of increase in the catch, the number of pot lifts continued to expand (Figure 2) as larger replacement vessels were able to work more days during the fishing season. To specifically address this issue of “effort creep”, Figure 2. The history of catches, fishing effort, and TAE in pot-lifts for the western rock lobster fishery, from the start of significant commercial fishing in the 1940s to 2009/2010. From 2010/2011 to 2014/2015, the fishery operated under TAC management and a 14-month quota season (with proportional TAC increase) occurred in 2011 –2013 to reset the start date for the quota year. i25 Review of lobster fishery management the fishing season was shortened by 6 weeks in 1977 and in response to very low puerulus settlement in 1982/1983, pot entitlements were also temporarily reduced by 10% for the 1986/1987 season. This pot reduction, although supported by industry leaders, was resisted by most fishers, but found to be economically beneficial and made permanent at 2% per year over 5 years from 1987 to 1988 (Brown, 1991). Development of sophisticated effort management systems During the late 1980s and early 1990s, there were considerable improvements in fish-finding equipment (colour echosounders and GPS plotters) that enabled fishers to better target lobsters in deep water where most of the breeding stock resides (Hall and Chubb, 2001). To compensate for the resulting decline in breeding stocks possibly related to lower puerulus settlements, a controversial management package was introduced in 1993/1994. This increased the minimum size by 1 mm, extended protection from berried females to all mature females exhibiting egg-bearing setae, and “temporarily” reduced the number of pots that could be used by each licensed vessel by 18%. This move to “variable pot usage” was the effective start of the full TAE with ITEs management system which was formalized in 2001, when each vessel’s pot holding was converted to ITE “units”. The 68 961 units issued corresponding to the number of pots in use before the 1993/1994 package and effectively fixed the “share” of the fishery that each vessel operator would have access to in the future. The 18% pot reduction was then applied as a “pot usage ratio” (0.82) to each vessel’s ITE unit holding, to determine the number of pots which could be deployed for that season. (Note: reference to TAE or TAC management also implies individually transferable units of effort or catch are in use.) The TAE at that time then became the maximum pot lifts permitted, i.e. the total number of pots in use (68 961 units×0.82) multiplied by the fishing days during the season (227) or 12.8 million pot lifts. This annual TAE since the start of limited entry (Figure 2) compared with the actual effort in pot-lifts each year shows that the fleet had considerable scope to increase effort under the rules, when the initial controls were enacted in 1963. This “latent” or unutilized effort capacity (Hall and Brown, 2000) was mostly created by the increased seagoing capacity of replacement vessels and the advent of technology for offshore fishing not available to the original fleet. While the series of management decisions to reduce effort through the 1970s and 1980s had some impact on this increasing fleet capacity, it was not until the 1993/1994 management changes that latent effort was effectively removed from the fishery (Figure 2). A further small adjustment to the TAE (Figure 2) occurred in 2005/2006 before significant reductions were implemented in 2008/2009 and 2009/2010 to adjust for an unprecedented environmentally caused decline in puerulus settlement (Caputi et al., 2014c; de Lestang et al., 2015). These latter effort reductions (.70%) represented a proactive management response, being introduced before the poor puerulus year classes reached the legal size for fishing, i.e. 3 –4 years later. As a result of this emergency process, the TAE was reduced to around 2.2 million pot lifts with the objective of achieving a target catch of 5500 t in future years (Reid et al., 2013). The rules negotiated with industry to achieve this outcome were, however, very complex and varied between management zones. These included different pot usage rates, closed periods, limits on fishing days each week, and alterations to minimum and maximum sizes, together with uniform changes to escape gaps (Department of Fisheries, 2011). Predictably, the large reduction in TAE also had a significant impact on vessel numbers which declined from around 460 to 280 vessels over the 2 years (Figure 3) and contributed significantly to the decrease (70%) since the start of limited entry. The reduction in TAE was successful in lowering the catch to 7470 and then 5770 t in the 2008/2009 and 2009/2010 seasons, respectively (Figure 2), well down from the forecast catches from the three zones (Figure 4) in aggregate totalling 9900 and 8900 t had the effort continued at 2007/2008 levels. This resulted in a significant carry-over of legal stock into the years affected by the very low recruitment, a substantial increase in catch rate from around 1 to 2.5 kg pot lift21 and breeding stocks reaching historically high levels (Caputi et al., 2014c). In addition, the effort of ,3 million pot lifts had the fortuitous effect of moving the fishery close to the MEY level previously projected (Reid et al., 2013). This lower effort and fleet size automatically reduced operating costs and the smaller lobster supply increased prices such that total fishery revenue did not decrease substantially and profitability increased, despite the lower catches (Reid et al., 2013). While the TAE changes implemented in 2008/2009 and 2009/ 2010 achieved their objectives, the industry negotiation process to tailor management to regional needs proved particularly difficult and the resulting fishing arrangements were complex to administer and enforce. Some of these controls also required frequent stock assessments, real-time monitoring of catch, and adjustments midseason to ensure the fishery achieved the nominal target catch. For these reasons, the TAE changes created significant industry debate, uncertainty, and costs which ultimately contributed to the Government’s unilateral decision to simplify management by directly setting a TAC and adopting ITQs. This occurred despite a lack of overall industry support at the time, although there had been industry consultation and debate in the preceding years; J. Kennedy, pers. comm. (Fisheries Department, Manager West Coast Lobster Fishery). In fact, first detailed consideration of a TAC with ITQs had started in the early 1990s (Bowen, 1994) without ever achieving majority industry support. Conversion of fishery from TAE to TAC management The management change to a TAC with ITQs occurred at the start of the 2010/2011 season (de Lestang et al., 2012) and was simplified by direct conversion of the ITE units to ITQ units, so that the share of the fishery held by each owner remained the same. While the one-to-one conversion disadvantaged the more efficient fishers who had historically achieved above-average catch per ITE unit, some of these operators were supportive and accepted the situation to enable a quicker transition to the new system and expected economic benefits. The existing target catch (notional TAC) used to set the TAE was also adopted as the actual TAC for the first 2 years of the new system. The smooth transition was also assisted by retaining most of the existing gear controls to minimize disruption to vessel operations, although pot usage rates were relaxed back to 50% of the unit holding and the season was extended by 6 weeks. In addition to the anticipated reduction in operating costs, the TAC with ITQ system had a significant impact on catch value. While the previous catch reduction to 5500 t under the TAE system generated a useful price increase (Figure 5) of around US$5– 7 kg21 resulting from essentially all of the reduced catch being exported live at premium prices, the move to a TAC had a more significant impact (Reid et al., 2013; Caputi et al., 2014b). This event corresponded to an approximate US$10 kg21 additional i26 J. W. Penn et al. Figure 3. Fleet numbers and effort in pot lifts in the West Australian rock lobster fishery in three periods: 1963/1964 – 1992/1993 when limited entry operated, 1993/1994 – 2009/2010 when ITE management was developed, and 2010/2011 onwards following adoption of ITQ management. increase in price (Figure 5), as the longer season allowed fishers to reduce catches during high abundance periods with depressed prices and target periods of high demand. Highgrading to select preferred market sized also contributed to the price increase with limited negative impact as lobsters handled correctly suffer little discard mortality (Brown and Caputi, 1986). The full 12-month season introduced in 2013 also corresponded to further price rises (Figure 5) of about US$7 –8 kg21 (Caputi et al., 2014b), although this may have also been influenced by greater demand for lobsters. [Note: Reid et al. (2013) reported beach (dockside) prices converted to US dollars to minimize the impact of Australian dollar exchange rate variations, as essentially all of the catch is exported and marketed under contracts in US$.] Overall, the conversion of the fishery from a TAE (with ITEs) to a TAC (with ITQs) has had a significant economic benefit and simplified the management arrangements in the fishery. MEY has been formally added to the management plan for fishery in 2014, in addition to sustainability objectives. Second, the very conservative TAC adopted initially for sustainability reasons, has also minimized the inherent risks of this control system where the catch available can be highly variable, and overestimates of stock abundance can lead to breeding stock depletion. The implementation process for the TAC (with ITQs) in the fishery also benefited greatly from the longstanding catch prediction system (Caputi et al., 2014a), which had also allowed industry to be restructured in advance of the forecast low catch period from 2010 to 2011 onwards. Further, the historical reliability of the forecasts, which could only have been developed under the TAE system, provided industry with confidence that their catch quotas would be achieved and the fishery would remain sustainable under the new TAC system. Fishery licence valuations The early adoption of licence transferability resulted in pot licences having a sale value and created a small “windfall” profit for the original vessel operators. This generated considerable debate at the time about the associated capital costs and particularly about their inhibiting new fishers from entering the fishery (Bowen and Hancock, 1989). Despite these concerns, lobster pot values continued to increase over time from several hundred AUS dollars in the early 1970s to around AUS$10 000 per pot unit by 1992/1993 (Penn et al., 1997) with industry adapting to the changed situation. Prices further increased after the 1993/1994 management package to around AUS$26 000 in 1995/1996 when the effort reduction improved catch rates and created additional demand for pots. Review of lobster fishery management i27 Figure 4. Catches and catch forecasts (based on puerulus settlement 3 – 4 years prior) taking into account effort levels for the three fishing zones in the western rocklobster fishery from 1986/1987 to 2007/2008. Forecasts from 2008/2009 onward assume the effort levels of 2007/2008 continued; however, the catches achieved reflect the significant management changes to the TAE in 2008/2009, 2009/2010, and the implementation of a TAC in 2010/2011. Prices later peaked at AUS$36 000 during early 2000s before falling to around AUS$10 000 when forecast catches were in steep decline and before the change to ITQs, when values again returned to the previous highs, i.e. above AUS $30 000. While the overall increase in pot or unit prices has been significant over time, the values obtained have also been affected by other factors unrelated to the management performance of the fishery, e.g. inflation rates, large exchange variations relative to export market destinations, and increasing fuel costs. These outside influences on pot unit prices make it difficult to relate the values achieved to the economic performance of the fishery over time and also make comparisons with other lobster fisheries less reliable. In a more general context, these prices paid for pot units traded through the licence register set up under the Fisheries Act are an equivalent to “stock market” prices where the fishery as a whole is equivalent to a listed “company” and the ITE or ITQ units are effectively “shares” in that company. On this basis, the more conventional approach of valuing company shares (in this case, fishery units) has been adopted by using the ratio of the prices paid for a unit relative to the expected earnings from a unit. The use of a purchase price to earnings (P/E) ratio better reflects the underlying performance of the fishery (company) and allows easier comparison with other fisheries. This valuation approach is essentially the same basic method used by financial analysts (Campbell and Shiller, 1988) to value listed corporations, except for the use of income from the season following purchase rather than the reported income for the previous period. This variation to the conventional method was adopted because the catch prediction system for the fishery (Figure 4) has provided the purchaser with a particularly reliable forecast of the catch by a unit and lobster processors provide some guidance on market prices before the season start when sales typically occur. Purchasers are more likely to use these forecasts to guide their decisions than rely solely on the previous season’s catch or price outcomes. In this context, the P/E ratio valuations for lobster fishery units are an indication of the “market” view of the future profit stream from ownership of the units and the long-term sustainability of a fishery. This method also formalizes the system historically used by the WA Fishery Agency when comparing the performance of different fisheries and by some bankers when assessing fishers’ loan applications. The time-series of P/E ratios created using this method for the fishery (Figure 6) show that valuations were initially relatively low (,1) through the early 1970s reflecting the uncertainty about the fishery at that time. However, by the early 1980s, when illegal i28 J. W. Penn et al. Figure 5. The relationship between catch volume and average beach (dockside) price for the WA lobster fishery from 1991/1992 to 2014 under both TAE and TAC management systems (updated from Reid et al., 2013). activity, including the sale of undersize lobsters and use of pots more than licence numbers (de Lestang et al, 2012) had been effectively eliminated and the underlying economics of the fishery became better known, the P/E ratios had moved up to the 2 –3 range. (Note: the P/E ratios reflect the expectation of cumulative future profits flowing from the ownership of the fishing rights in perpetuity.) The first pot reduction programme (1986/1987–1991/1992) further improved the fishery’s economic performance and created additional demand for pots from fishers wanting to bring their vessels back to full design capacity, i.e. add back the 10% of pots lost which effectively increased their share of the fishery. A further major increase in value occurred after the 1993/1994 management changes which reduced pot usage by 18%, and corresponded to the P/E ratio reaching new highs between 6 and 8 from 1995 to 1997 (Figure 6). This increase was again the result of market demand from successful and “efficient” operators buying additional ITE units and others taking the opportunity of high pot values to retire from the fishery. These generally higher P/E ratios also corresponded to improved puerulus settlement (Caputi et al., 2014c) which indicated increasing catches over the next 3 –4 years and influenced the ability of fishers to borrow to purchase additional units. The P/E ratios from the late 1990s onwards became more volatile as the fishers responded more directly to changes in puerulus settlement (Figure 7) based forecasts (Figure 4) and the lobster supply–export price relationship (Figure 5) became better known. While the P/E decline in 2007/2008 and 2008/2009 corresponded to the record lows in puerulus settlement, it was notable that the radical management decision to cut the TAE from 2008 to 2009 onwards and carry forward catches into years affected by low puerulus settlement had an immediate impact on the industry confidence, with the effect that the P/E ratio stabilized (Figure 6). Despite the ongoing stock uncertainties, the resulting improvement in catch rates, lower fishing costs and increased lobster export prices, corresponded to a slight upturn in values, which continued after the change to ITQ management in 2010/2011 season (Figure 5). The associated lobster price increases and further lowering of costs under ITQs all appear to have contributed to the P/E ratios returning to the previous highs of 6– 8 (under the TAE) and then moving to above 9 (Figure 6). The P/E ratio is expected to remain at these higher levels, given the increased certainty in catches and ongoing improvements in lobster price under the more flexible ITQ fishing system. Ownership of fishing rights in Western Australian fishery The issue of lobster licence ownership became of concern to both Western Australian fisheries administrators and industry leaders, when limited-entry licences began to assume significant values (Bowen and Hancock, 1989). However, despite the lack of specific controls on who could own lobster fishing licences, ownership outside of the Western Australian fishing community has not become a feature of the fishery to date. While licence ownership controls were not imposed, there was until recently a legislated requirement that lobster processing companies (also historically subject to limited licences) were majority (80%) Australian owned to control offshore ownership and the associated possibility for transfer pricing to minimize Australian taxes. This lack of corporate ownership persisted through the effort management period, despite the presence of one multinational i29 Review of lobster fishery management Figure 6. The TAE and unit licence valuations (P/E ratios) for the western rock lobster fishery from the early 1970s to the present, including the periods under basic limited entry management (1970/1971 – 1992/1993), TAE with ITE unit management (1993/1994– 2009/2010), and TAC with ITQ management (2010/2011 onwards). The 2014/2015 estimates are preliminary. Note: The P/E ratio uses the catch value achieved by a unit in the season following purchase. corporation processing lobsters and operating vessels, when limited entry was first introduced. This company was allocated vessel licences in the initial 1963 allocation, but was using employee skippers and found its fleet operation was unprofitable. The company later sold the vessels and ultimately its processing licence. Since then, larger corporations and public companies have not become involved in the fishery through the effort-management period (to 2010), despite the fishery’s history of profitability. More recently, some private family-based companies have purchased additional vessels and successfully operated small fleets, mostly using family or independent skippers on equitable share fishing arrangements. Overall, the majority of licences have remained under individual or owner operator control under small family-based company structures. This situation may be gradually changing due to the practise of leasing of fishing licences which was formalized under the Fisheries Act in 1994 (FRMA, 1994) and became more prevalent following the 1993/1994 management changes which resulted in a significant decrease in vessel numbers. As a result of this ongoing fleet reduction process, many owners retiring their vessels from the fishery now prefer to lease (rather than sell) their units so as to maintain an income stream and retain the option to re-enter the fishery in the future. This trend to lease rather than sell units has continued under the ITQ system and is expected to increase based on the scope for further fleet reductions and increases in unit values under this system. While many ex-fishers currently retain the fishing rights through leasing, ultimately this process is likely to result in more non-fisher ownership of the lobster fishing rights through inter-generational transfers. Discussion Application of input and output-based management to lobster fisheries For input-based management, the catchability and behaviour of the species being harvested can influence the directness of the relationship between the fishing effort and catch achieved and is a primary consideration for management. While for most lobster fisheries including the case study fishery, short-term variations in catchability related to moulting and lunar phase can be expected (Wright et al., 2006); there is typically a reasonable relationship between annual effort applied and catch achieved, such that input-based systems can generally operate effectively. An exception to this is where lobster species undergo mass migrations, e.g. P. cygnus (de Lestang et al., 2012) and P. argus (Kanciruk and Herrnkind, 1978), and during those events, lobsters can be highly aggregated, such that the catches obtained are poorly related to the effort being applied at that time. During these short periods, e.g. the “whites” migration in the case study fishery (Melville-Smith et al., 1998), input-based management is less effective in controlling catches and this was one of the factors which influenced the case study fishery decision to move to output-based management. i30 J. W. Penn et al. Figure 7. The average standardized annual settlement of P. cygnus pueruli on collectors along the coastline from Port Gregory in the north to Cape Mentelle in the south. Note: before 1982/1983, only three puerulus collector sites were available in the centre of the fishery. The degree of variability in annual catch available or “recruitment to the fishery” also affects the way the alternative management control systems operate. For example, where there is high variability in recruitment to the fishery, the setting of a precise catch quota (TAC) is inherently more difficult and errors in the forecast of the annual catch available are more likely. Further, as in the case study fishery, variability in recruitment to the fishery can also be significant between regions, i.e. is much higher in the south (C Zone, Figure 4), which further complicated management decision processes. Where these more variable recruitment to the fishery situations occur, input (effort-based) controls provide a lower risk management strategy as the catch achieved tends to self-correct when errors in stock abundance estimates occur. That is, with effort and exploitation rate relatively fixed, the catch achieved more closely reflects the underlying abundance, and leaves a relatively constant proportion of the stock after fishing each year. Conversely, the application of output-based (catch) controls to fisheries with high catch variability is a higher risk strategy whenever stock levels are overestimated, as uncontrolled effort can expand to achieve a TAC set high and reduce residual stock with potential impacts on breeding stocks. For these reasons, tropical Panulirus lobster stocks with typically higher variability in recruitment to the fishery (due to faster growth and shorter life cycles often resulting in a single year class dominating the catch each year) are generally better suited to the “selfcorrecting” effort-based management systems. This is particularly relevant where stocks are heavily fished or a strategy targeting MSY is adopted, as was historically the situation in the case study fishery. Alternatively, the longer-lived, slower-growing lobster species occurring in temperate to cold waters can be expected to have less variable recruitment to the fishery (i.e. more year classes contribute to each year’s catch) such that errors in assessing the stock levels available for TAC setting purposes are less likely. Because such longlived species have lower natural mortalities, there is also little penalty from setting conservative TACs and allowing fishable stock to carryover to future years. From this perspective, output-based management is likely to be more suitable for the cold-water fisheries for the Homarus, Palinurus, and Jasus lobster groups. Although catch quotas are also applied to sections of the European Nephrops trawl fishery (Bell et al., 2013), this shorter-lived group is likely to be suitable for either form of management. The third factor influencing the effectiveness of the management strategy adopted is the ability to collect data from the fishery to support the management decision processes. For example, in an open access fishery situation, excess fishing capacity is likely to have developed (Gardner et al., 2013) and there are often insufficient fishery catch data for a manager to do other than implement some basic input controls to stabilize the situation. In practical terms, the initial use of input controls as occurred in the case study fishery resulted in fishing effort applied consistently to the stock and enabled a comprehensive time-series of low cost fisherydependent catch and effort data to be developed. The availability of these data was critical to decisions to limit entry (Bowen and Hancock, 1989) and later assessments of fishing power (Brown et al., 1995) needed to adjust the effort levels. These data issues generally make input controls and fishery-dependent data gathering a useful precursor to the implementation of output-based control i31 Review of lobster fishery management systems. Conversely, ITQ management designed to allow individual vessels to fish to market demand usually leads to the inconsistent application of effort, highgrading, and the need for higher cost fisheryindependent survey data to support decision processes. These issues suggest that input controls are more suitable for most lobster stocks initially, particularly those with open access and excess fishing capacity. Similarly, data-poor lobster fisheries are likely to benefit from an initial input management phase as a precursor to more sophisticated controls being considered. Management implementation in lobster fisheries A reason commonly given for lack of basic management in many lobster fisheries is the limited community support and associated difficulties in compliance. This is often associated with a lack of ongoing fishing or exclusive rights (Gardner et al., 2013) which would ensure that the fishers being asked to suffer short-term reductions in catch will be the beneficiaries in the longer term. Based on the positive Mexican experience in applying management controls in the 1950s, Seijo (1993) has noted that “a useful first step in these situations is for governments to provide some basic, ongoing community fishing rights at the community level”. These issues of lack of support for management and illegal activity (taking of undersize and berried lobsters) were also evident in the case study fishery (de Lestang et al., 2012) through the 1960s, before exclusive fishing rights were issued and continued until transferability was well established. While the lobster fisheries in the developed economies mostly now have rights-based management in place with biological and some effort controls, there has been limited uptake of the more complex market-based management systems which have now developed, despite their potential to significantly improve economic performance (Gardner et al., 2013; Caputi et al., 2015). These more complex fishery management systems have however mostly developed in single legal jurisdictions (e.g. the Australian states, New Zealand) and their implementation in fisheries managed under more complex federal and state legal systems or multinational jurisdictions is likely to be more difficult. Nonetheless, the management effectiveness and improved economic outcomes under these control systems suggest they have general applicability to most lobster fisheries. In many of the established lobster fisheries, the debate around these more active management strategies continues to be socially based and often relates to competition between fishing groups and potential impacts on younger fishers wishing to enter commercial fisheries (Acheson and Gardner, 2011). Fishing communities are also concerned about loss of control over the fishery, creation of windfall profits for historical operators, and the potential for aggregation of fishing rights to create monopoly ownership, particularly under ITQ management (Copes and Charles, 2004). While some of these concerns stem from local legal and social complexities, others have not been borne out by the experience in the case study fishery, particularly under the effort-control system. While these issues were also initially of concern in the WA lobster fishery (Bowen and Hancock, 1989), the concerns raised decreased as the fishers began to understand that the increasing transfer values reflected the underlying profitability of their “lobster fishing businesses” and they were able to borrow to fund unit purchases in line with normal business practice. Further, under the TAE with ITEs system, new operators wanting to enter the fishery would typically build up a small unit holding through purchases then lease additional units sufficient to operate a small vessel. This process was easier for skilled skippers, who could then achieve aboveaverage catches, a process not legally possible under an ITQ system. This history of ownership of the fishing licences in the case study fishery is also relevant to the wider issue of loss of fishing community control over the fisheries (Copes and Charles, 2004). That is, the transfer of licences to corporate bodies, apart from private fishing family companies, has not been evident through the TAE management period, despite the obvious profitability demonstrated by the P/E ratios being achieved. Historically, some of the processing companies have entered this market by purchasing units for lease back to active fishers in an attempt to guarantee their supply of lobsters; however, this did not become a significant activity under the TAE system. The apparent reason for this is that a fisher using leased pots does not have to legally land the product to the ITE owner (Processor). That is, the Government does not need to directly track individual vessel catches or landings, as the only practical compliance concern is to ensure the correct licensed fishing vessels and gear are operating through the season. Second, the major long-standing and most successful processor in the Western Australian fishery has historically been a large fishers’ cooperative, which distributes its profits back to fishers and has had no incentive to accumulate fishing rights on its own behalf and compete with its shareholders. While the previous TAE with ITEs avoided many of the concerns about new entrants and fishery ownership or control, the new ITQ system now in place is not likely to have these same social characteristics. That is, the experience with ITQs generally is that transfer to corporate ownership is more likely and leasing becomes common place (Gardner et al., 2013). For these reasons, limits on aggregation of ownership to prevent monopolies developing are typically required. The experience in the New Zealand lobster fishery (Donohue and Barker, 2000) is that despite a maximum quota holding limit of 10%, fisher ownership diminished rapidly with corporate and processing companies controlling about half of the quota, 10 years after the introduction of ITQs. The contracting out of the catching of quotas has also led to concerns that fishers on small margins are less likely to show custodianship of the resource compared with owner operators. In addition, new social issues of greater risk taking at sea are now emerging in the Tasmanian fishery linked to non-fishing quota ownership and leasing of quotas (Emery et al., 2014). This practice of leasing under ITQs also changes the relationship between quota owner and a lessee, because the Government compliance system tracks all catches and can ensure that all legal catches are landed to the quota holder. In this situation, quota-owners (including former fishers) naturally seek to maximize their return from their ownership of the fishing rights and lease fees can reach 50 –60% of the value of the catch, in effect making the vessel operator an employee skipper. Performance of the effort-control system The potential for effort increases under the early limited entry system was recognized early in the WA fishery and measures to reduce latent effort and control “effort creep” were instituted. Through this period, the competitive nature of fishing sometimes resulted in limited adherence to the fishing rules, with fishers repeatedly trying to capitalize on any loophole to increase their effort (Bowen and Hancock, 1989). Further, their report noted “it is therefore imperative that a mechanism be established at the start of effort limitation which sets out a method for fishing capacity reduction to counterbalance the increases that inevitably occur”. A second factor i32 that contributed to effort creep under the input control system was that as the fishery became more profitable through the 1980s and 1990s, many competitive fishers invested in bigger and faster vessels in an attempt to gain a greater share of the fishery output. This process, known as “capital stuffing” (Gardner et al., 2013), results in a “rush to fish” (Emery et al., 2013) in which all operators are forced to compete or lose catch share. These larger more powerful vessels were able to achieve above-average catches by being able to move their full pot holding to areas of high abundance daily. While this factor was initially controlled to some extent by the rule that vessels had to have between 7 and 10 pots m21 of vessel length to operate, it was later removed after political pressure from affected industry operators. While the capital stuffing in the case study fishery has largely been eliminated by the change to ITQs, the previous controls linking gear entitlements to vessel size remain relevant to other lobster fisheries using effort-based management systems. While a series of adjustments to the fishery were made to overcome “effort creep” through the early development period, the first major test of the capacity of the limited-entry regime to actively manage the stock occurred when exploitation rates in the early 1990s (Wright et al., 2006) had reached high levels (70–75% annually) following the introduction of electronic technology (including GPS plotters, etc.). This caused significant depletion of breeding stocks, possibly below 20% of virgin levels (Hall and Chubb, 2001) and raised the possibility of recruitment overfishing. Despite the potentially high risks to the fishery, there was intense industry opposition to the planned management changes to recover breeding stock levels. While the package of new management measures in 1993/1994 proved successful and licence values quickly recovered, this experience illustrated the difficulties associated with achieving industry consensus in large fisheries when significant effort adjustments are required. In contrast, the more radical effort adjustments made in response to the puerulus settlement decline starting in 2007/2008 required similarly difficult negotiations, but were implemented quickly, with reasonable industry leadership support, due to the concerns about heavy fishing pressure continuing on the projected record-low stock levels. These difficulties in making effective management changes under effort controls when high levels of latent effort and significant excess fishing capacity exist are likely to apply to many other effortmanaged commercial lobster fisheries and in most artisanal situations. The long-established Homarus fisheries in the United States, where catches and fishing effort have continually increased over a long period but are now suffering decreased recruitment and survival in some areas under climate change (Wahle et al., 2013), are also likely to be in the above situation. In these situations, the case study experience strongly supports the need in all input control fisheries for automatic effort adjustments, so that management action to deal with significant changes in stock abundance is not delayed by having to first remove excess capacity. Benefits from conversion to TAC with ITQ management The case study experience from moving to ITQs is that this system can provide significant additional increases in economic performance. This occurred through the virtual elimination of the rush to fish, which reduced vessel operating costs and considerably improved the prices being achieved for lobsters (Caputi et al., 2014b, 2015). This was illustrated by the P/E valuations which were low at the time of TAC (ITQ) implementation, but recovered quickly back to the levels previously achieved under TAE system before the puerulus settlement collapse. J. W. Penn et al. This experience suggests that many long-standing lobster fisheries that have stable catches, particularly if they can predict recruitment, could achieve much better economic performance under an ITQ system without compromising sustainability. However, such conversions from basic limited entry to more market-based system with ITEs (or ITQs) in fisheries and particularly where there is considerable excess fishing capacity can be expected to result in significant reductions in vessel numbers. Because these changes and the expected increase in licence values are likely to have significant socio-economic consequences for fishing communities and affect the future ownership of the fishery rights, the legislation to make these changes needs to anticipate and address these issues. Lobster fishing rights and management The creation of exclusive fishing rights in the WA lobster fishery flowed from limiting entry were ultimately formalized under the Fisheries Act (FRMA, 1994) and enhanced by the licence register where contract arrangements around ownership could be recorded. Notably, these “access rights” and associated administrative systems developed for the WA commercial fishery have most of the traits suggested for fishing rights by Gardner et al. (2013) and led to increasing industry support in the form of lower compliance and research costs which have improved management outcomes (Bowen, 1994). While the nature of the commercial access rights are specific to the Western Australian legal system, it has been noted that they are in effect very similar to the franchisee rights under franchise contract (Penn et al., 1997) which operate successfully in most countries where lobsters are fished. That is, the franchisee contract arrangements have a long legal history and because they operate in a wide variety of jurisdictions can provide a useful starting point where improved fishing rights are proposed, but locally contentious. A key aspect of franchisee “contracts” is that there are typically provisions for buyback of the individual enterprises, usually at market value, under this system. This aspect of the franchise contract equating to the “obligations” of Government after the fishing rights are issued is not often included directly in Fisheries management plans (Penn et al., 1997), but would better protect all fisher’s rights if significant restructuring of fisheries is needed to deal with common issues such as catch share changes between sectors (Gardner et al., 2013) or stock shifts under climate change. Second, while the franchise contracts usually have buy-back provisions, the secondary leasing of the operator rights is not generally a feature of these management systems. Noting that leasing is expected to increasingly transfer fishery income away from fishing communities and can have other negative social impacts (Emery et al., 2013), the incorporation of the franchise contract principles in fisheries legislation may provide an effective legal basis to control these potentially negative effects and provide better outcomes for the wider community as the ultimate “owners” of the lobster resources. In addition to the franchisee contract matching commercial lobster fishing access rights, the model is also relevant to defining the rights of other fishers (sport and artisanal) and conservation groups seeking catch shares for inclusion in “not take” areas. Conclusions The review suggests that early adoption of tradable “access rights” rights similar to franchisee contracts in the case study fishery was a critical first step in gaining fisher support for management and the licence values created provide a useful indicator of fishery viability. Review of lobster fishery management The historical process where basic biological controls are enhanced with limited entry before developing sophisticated ITE or ITQ-based systems appears an effective and efficient pathway for fishery development with wider relevance. The case study experience has however shown that ITE and ITQ-based systems are inherently different in their operation and socio-economic consequences. The ITE system appears to avoid many of the negative consequences often attributed to ITQs and suggests that they could be usefully applied where fishing community concerns are impeding management implementation. Notably, both ITE and ITQ systems have proved capable of significant fleet reductions to overcome the excess fishing capacity without the need for government financial involvement. However, the review shows that ITQ management has additional economic benefits, but involves a higher risk strategy to be applied with caution, where fisheries are operating at high levels of exploitation or stock estimates are unreliable. While the case study experience with ITE and particularly ITQ-based management suggests that both are capable of generating significant economic benefits, the longer term impacts of these control systems on ownership of the fishing rights, the flow of benefits from fishing, and the resulting manageability of lobster stocks are questions yet to be answered. Acknowledgements The authors thank Dr Alex Hesp, Mr M. Rossbach, and Mr E. Barker for their help with the licence information and analysis, and contribution to the many discussions about the management of the WA lobster fishery. Mrs J. Moore provided much appreciated assistance with the manuscript preparation. References Acheson, J., and Gardner, R. 2011. 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Handling editor: Sarah Kraak ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i35 –i48. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsu196 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Review European lobster stocking requires comprehensive impact assessment to determine fishery benefits Charlie D. Ellis 1,2*, David J. Hodgson 3, Carly L. Daniels 2, Dominic P. Boothroyd 2, R. Colin A. Bannister 4, and Amber G. F. Griffiths1 1 Environment and Sustainability Institute, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn, Cornwall TR10 9FE, UK National Lobster Hatchery, South Quay, Padstow, Cornwall PL28 8BL, UK 3 Centre for Ecology and Conservation, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn, Cornwall TR10 9FE, UK 4 Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, Suffolk NR33 0HT, UK 2 *Corresponding author: tel: +44 7940 316348; fax: +44 2326 254243; e-mail: [email protected] Ellis, C. D., Hodgson, D. J., Daniels, C. L., Boothroyd, D. P., Bannister, R. C. A., and Griffiths, A. G. F. European lobster stocking requires comprehensive impact assessment to determine fishery benefits. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i35 – i48. Received 15 July 2014; revised 13 October 2014; accepted 14 October 2014; advance access publication 18 November 2014. Historically, hatcheries in Europe and North America attempted to contribute to the conservation and enhancement of clawed lobster stocks, but lacked monitoring programmes capable of assessing success. In the 1990s, this perspective was changed by the results of restocking and stock enhancement experiments that inserted microwire tags into hatchery-reared juvenile European lobsters (Homarus gammarus) before release. This allowed recapture in sufficient numbers to prove that lobsters had survived and recruited to the mature fishable stock. However, evidence of recruitment still failed to answer key questions about the ultimate ecological and economic benefits. As a result, a growing number of lobster stocking ventures remain hindered by a lack of clear evidence of the effects of their stocking schemes. This review evaluates these experiments and related studies on other fished species, summarizes key findings, and identifies data and knowledge gaps. Although studies of fitness in cultured lobsters provide some of the most encouraging results from the wider field of hatchery-based stocking, the limitations of physical tagging technology have significantly hindered appraisals of stocking impacts. We lack basic knowledge of lobster ecology and population dynamics, especially among prerecruits, and of the impact of stocking on wild lobster population genetics. We advocate the use of genetic methods to further our understanding of population structure, rearing processes, and stocking success. We also recommend that more focused and comprehensive impact assessments are required to provide a robust endorsement or rejection of stocking as a viable tool for the sustainable management of lobster fisheries. Keywords: crustacea, genetics, hatchery, Homarus gammarus, mark – recapture, population structure, restocking, stock enhancement, tagging. Introduction Capture fisheries make crucial contributions to the world’s wellbeing and prosperity. The global value of fisheries was estimated at over E65 billion per annum in 2010, ca. 10% of the world’s population are dependent on fish-related jobs, and seafood products are a vital source of protein and micronutrients for 3 billion people (Fisheries and Aquaculture Department, 2014). Commonly, however, conventional management fails to prevent the overexploitation of stocks. Interventions that use hatchery technology to improve or re-establish the productivity and sustainability of # International capture fisheries, which can be categorized as “stocking”, are, therefore, worth considering. For many aquatic species, the survival of juveniles in aquaculture facilities is several orders of magnitude higher than in the wild, allowing increased recruitment above natural levels (Lorenzen, 2005). Stocking schemes aim to improve and sustain capture fisheries and are categorized as either “restocking” (the release of cultured juveniles to restore spawning biomass) or “stock enhancement” (the recurrent release of cultured juveniles to overcome recruitment limitations) (Bell et al., 2006). Lorenzen Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2014. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i36 (2008) advocates that aquaculture-based enhancement of stocks ranks alongside regulation of fishing effort and restoration of key habitats as a principal means by which wild fisheries can be sustained and improved. With many capture fisheries under intense pressure, aquaculture technologies have become an increasingly important means of seafood production, largely through the full grow out of marketable fish, but also by restocking and stock enhancement of wild populations. Hatchery stocking is undertaken worldwide and has been most successful in large-scale schemes coordinated and funded by government or industry. For example, the government-financed programme in Japan alone involves the enhancement of .80 marine species (Kitada, 1999) and is estimated to account for 90% of the chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) fishery, 50% of the kuruma prawn (Penaeus japonicus) and red sea bream (Pagrus major) catch, 30% of the flounder (Paralichthys olivaceus), and almost all the scallop harvest (Kitada et al., 1992; Kitada and Kishino, 2006). However, the contribution of stock enhancement to global fisheries production has remained small (2%), and few case studies have been declared outright successes (Lorenzen, 2008). Overall, the available literature appraising the impact of stocking is heavily biased towards certain finfish; Araki and Schmid (2010) found that 62% of genetic-based stocking impact studies evidenced salmonids, flatfish, and bream, despite these groups accounting for only 5% of the catch tonnage of enhanced fisheries. For many years, the progress of stocking enterprises was hindered by a lack of appropriate research into wild life histories and by a lack of effective methods for distinguishing released individuals from wild conspecifics. As a result, robust evaluation of the economic and ecological benefits of stocking has been impeded, restricting impetus within the industry. Extensive knowledge of the ecosystem, species biology, and population-specific data is required for the design of successful stocking programmes. For example, of eight species across a variety of taxa cultured in Japan reviewed by Kitada (1999), six showed significant variation in the effectiveness of stocking with differing release locations and/ or release densities. The method, timing, and recipient habitat of releases and the density, size, and conditioning of released animals can all have significant effects on survivability (van der Meeren, 2000; Ball et al., 2001; Stunz and Minello, 2001; Svåsand et al., 2004; Leber et al., 2005; Hamasaki and Kitada, 2008a; Ochwada-Doyle et al., 2010). The focus on this review is the European lobster (Homarus gammarus L.), an ecologically and economically important decapod crustacean ranging from northern Norway to Morocco and the eastern Mediterranean (Triantafyllidis et al., 2005). Global catches of the European lobster have been increasing since the 1980s, with recent recorded pot-caught landings reaching 5913 t in 2011 (Fisheries and Aquaculture Department, 2014). Compared with many finfish or the recent very large landings of the American lobster (Homarus americanus) in North America [e.g. 50 000 t in Maine (Steneck and Wahle, 2013)], European lobster landings are small and come from sparse stocks. The species is of very high value, however, fetching an average market price of E12.50 kg21 at the time of writing (Fish Information and Services, 2014). Therefore, lobster populations are disproportionately important to local fishing communities and regional economies as well as fulfilling key roles in the maintenance of healthy and diverse marine ecosystems (Mann and Breen, 1972; Breen and Mann, 1976). Aquaculture-based augmentation of wild Homarid lobster C. D. Ellis et al. populations has been attempted on both sides of the North Atlantic for over 150 years using many release strategies and life history stages (Nicosia and Lavalli, 1999). Because enhancement of existing populations was difficult to identify, few of these experiments have been assessed in terms of benefits to fisheries (Addison and Bannister, 1994; Nicosia and Lavalli, 1999). Lobster hatcheries have provided most of the recorded information on clawed lobster life history (Nicosia and Lavalli, 1999), but significant voids still exist in our understanding of the species’ basic ecology. The basic technology to rear lobsters through the planktonic phases has long been available. This lifestage is presumed to be an important recruitment bottleneck due to predation in the wild (Richards and Wickins, 1979; Bannister and Addison, 1998). However, efforts to trial the stocking of lobsters were renewed in Europe throughout the 1980s–1990s in response to three key drivers. First was a severe collapse of the fishery throughout Scandinavia from 1930 to 1970 due to overexploitation and inadequate management, which saw landings decline 99% in Denmark, 92% in Norway, and 90% in Sweden, all but wiping out a once-thriving export commodity (Dow, 1980; Agnalt et al., 1999; Fisheries and Aquaculture Department, 2014). This led to aspirations to restock depleted populations as well as to enhance stocks where uncapped potting effort rose in response to new continental export opportunities, such as the United Kingdom (Bannister, 1986). Second, it was demonstrated that hatcheryreared lobsters acquired benthic, shelter-seeking behaviours (Cobb, 1971; Cooper and Uzmann, 1980; Botero and Atema, 1982) that might decrease their vulnerability to wild predators and hence improve survival (Howard, 1980, 1988). Third, the development of coded microwire tagging (CWT) technology (Jefferts et al., 1983) allowed cultured juvenile lobsters to be distinguished from wild conspecifics after release (Wickins et al., 1986; Bannister and Addison, 1998). Experimental lobster stock enhancement programmes were launched to release large numbers of juvenile lobsters onto known lobster grounds at a range of sites in France (Henocque, 1983; Latrouite and Lorec, 1991), the United Kingdom (Burton, 1992; Bannister et al., 1994; Cook, 1995), and Norway (Agnalt et al., 1999, 2004; Agnalt, 2008). Coded microwire tags were inserted into late-stage juveniles before release, and their recapture provided the first definitive evidence that cultured lobsters were able to survive in the wild. In both UK stock enhancement and Norwegian restocking trials, cultured lobsters were shown to attain adult sizes (Bannister et al., 1994; Agnalt et al., 1999) and add to spawning –stock biomass (Bannister et al., 1994; Agnalt, 2008). Restocking also showed that released lobsters could augment rather than simply displace natural stocks (Agnalt et al., 1999, 2004). Although most of these studies declared the renewed lobster stocking efforts as tentatively successful, it was also proposed that production costs and lobster market values did not make the observed recapture rates economically viable (Whitmarsh, 1994; Moksness et al., 1998). In this review, we summarize current practices in lobster stocking, and reappraise the measurement of stocking success and the practices of monitored stocking trials. We then highlight critical issues for lobster stocking, including hatchery production methods, understanding the ecology of lobsters in the wild to optimize success of released lobsters, and genetic considerations. Finally, we address the problem of comparing stocking with alternative management strategies and conclude by suggesting future research directions and hatchery protocols. i37 Lobster stocking requires impact assessment Hatchery rearing of European lobsters The rationale for current European lobster cultivation is typical of hatchery enterprises. Fishery stakeholders are attracted to stocking where other management options are limited or unappealing. Intensive developments in husbandry, infrastructure, and stakeholder engagement are required to establish a lobster hatchery, and significant gaps remain in our understanding of aspects of the biology and ecology of H. gammarus. Nevertheless, severe stock depletions, high market value, and well-functioning rearing technology continue to encourage new lobster stocking efforts in Europe (Svåsand et al., 2004). Female lobsters, bearing eggs fertilized naturally in the wild, are typically bought or loaned from fishers or merchants and are held until the larvae have hatched. Larvae are normally reared communally through the planktonic lifestages (Zoea larval stages I –III and post-larval stage IV) in tapered hoppers or Hughes/Kreisel cones in which upwelling air and/or water reduces settling and cannibalization (Richards and Wickins, 1979; Beard et al., 1985; Grimsen et al., 1987; Beard and Wickins, 1992; Burton, 1992; Cook, 1995; Nicosia and Lavalli, 1999; Daniels et al., 2010). Survival of the planktonic phase is highly sensitive and variable even in the captive environment, and although individual batches may attain survival .50%, typically 10– 15% of stage I larvae reach the onset of benthic behaviours a few days after moulting to stage IV (Burton, 1992; Nicosia and Lavalli, 1999; Daniels et al., 2010). The absence of interspecific predation suggests that cultured larval survival is likely to far exceed that of wild larvae, although the scarcity with which wild conspecifics are found (Nichols and Lovewell, 1987) means that no reliable estimates of natural survival exist for comparison. Once they attain stage IV, post-larvae have a much greater swimming ability and are generally then separated into individual holding compartments for on-growing before being released into wild environments at an early benthic juvenile phase. Over 1.4 million cultured juvenile European lobsters have been released by known stocking programmes between 1983 and 2013. Of these releases, 90% can be classified as stock enhancement of existing commercial fisheries around the United Kingdom, Ireland, and France, and 10% as restocking heavily depleted populations in Norway, Germany, and Italy (Table 1). Approximately 255 000 released lobsters (mostly in Norway and the United Kingdom) were grown on to late juvenile stages [12 –21 mm carapace length (CL), Latrouite and Lorec, 1991; Burton, 1992; Cook, 1995; Bannister and Addison, 1998; Agnalt et al., 1999; Schmalenbach et al., 2011] and tagged to allow wild survival to be monitored. More recently, stock enhancement programmes in Orkney, Scotland, and Cornwall, England, and restocking trials in Lazio, Italy, have released some 900 000 untagged juveniles at earlier lifestages (stage V+, .5 mm CL; D. Shearer and G. Nascetti, pers. comm.). Assessments of lobster stocking success Monitored stocking trials Long after the development of the requisite technology to rear lobsters through the larval phases for release as juveniles, the success of early stocking programmes still could not be formally evaluated (Addison and Bannister, 1994). Ecdysis (exoskeletal moulting) precludes the use of externally fixed markers in lobsters, particularly juveniles which moult frequently. As a result, there was no lasting method to discriminate between hatchery-reared and wild individuals. Whether released animals survived and actually enhanced natural stocks (instead of displacing them) were unproven, proponents of stocking were unable to demonstrate whether the method provided any benefits to fisheries (Addison and Bannister, 1994). Flawed attempts to recognize recaptured hatchery-reared individuals led to the trial release of 1300 H. gammarus × H. americanus hybrid juveniles in France during the 1970s (Latrouite and Lorec, 1991), despite no evidence of their ecological suitability and the Table 1. Summary of major and/or widely reported stock enhancement projects for European lobsters 1972– 2013. Location (hatchery—area) France (Ile de Sein; Ile d’Yeu; Ile de Houat) France (Ile de Sein; Ile d’Yeu; Ile de Houat) United Kingdom (MAFF—Bridlington; NWSFC—Aberystwyth; SFIA—Ardtoe; Orkney) France (Ile de Sein; Ile d’Yeu; Ile de Houat) Norway (Kvitsøy) Ireland (Galway; Wexford) Germany (Helgoland) United Kingdom (OSFH—Orkney) United Kingdom (NLH—Cornwall) Italy (CISMAR—Viterbo) Total a Release Monitoring Release years years age/stage 1972 –1977 – Stage 5–1 year 1978 –1983 1980 –1983 1 year Number released 265 000 Number Recapture ratio recapture (% recaptured) Source reference – – Henocque (1983) 1300b 0 Latrouite and Lorec (1991) 1 : 62 (1.6%) 1 : 1 158 (0.1%) Bannister et al. (1994); Cook (1995); Burton (1993); Bannister and Addison (1998) Latrouite and Lorec (1991) 1983 –1990 1985 –1994 1 year 90 925a 1471 1984 –1987 1987 –1989 1 year 25 480a 22 1990 –1994 1992 –2001 1993 –1997 – 2000 –2005 2001 –2009 2000 –2013 – 1 year 127 945a Stages 4–5 292 000 1 year 5400a Stages 4–10 747 000 7950 – 487 – 1 : 16 (6.2%) – 1 : 11 (9.0%) – Agnalt et al. (2004) Browne and Mercer (1998) Schmalenbach et al. (2011) D. Shearer, pers. comm. 2002 –2013 Stages 5–10 150 000 – – This paper – 9930 – 1 : 25 (4.0%) G. Nascetti, pers. comm. – – 2010 –2013 – 1983 –2013 1985 –2009 Stage 4+ Stage 4– 1 year 10 000 1 714 947 (249 750 tagged) Tagged. Homarus gammarus × H. americanus hybrids; “phenotypically marked”, but omitted from tagged release total. b – i38 scheme relying on local fishers identifying precise morphological variations in surviving hybrids. Extensive interannual fluctuations in landings inhibited the usefulness of fishery capture statistics in quantifying stocking success (Le Gall et al., 1983), but the advent of the first suitable internal tagging methods in the early 1980s encouraged three groups in France, Norway, and the United Kingdom to commit significant resources to new experimental stocking programmes (Bannister and Addison, 1998). These projects (Table 1, entries 3 –5) reared and released in all 244 350 latestage juveniles. The insertion of magnetized, batch-coded CWTs offered the prospect of detecting survivors and evaluating the contribution of stocking to fisheries. Since these experiments concluded in the late 1980s or early 1990s, only one further scientific assessment of H. gammarus stocking has been reported: 5400 one-year-old lobsters were tagged with visible implant elastomers (VIEs— Uglem et al., 1996) and released during 2000–2005 on the German island of Helgoland (Schmalenbach et al., 2011). Monitoring of these projects has enabled the identification of cultured lobsters upon recapture several years after wild release, and currently provides all the data available with which to assess the effectiveness of lobster stocking in Europe (Latrouite and Lorec, 1991; Burton, 1992; Bannister et al., 1994; Cook, 1995; Bannister and Addison, 1998; Agnalt et al., 1999; Agnalt et al., 2004; Schmalenbach et al., 2011). There were many differences of detail in relation to release sites and methods, local fishing effort and legislations, and monitoring patterns both within and among the groups undertaking European stocking trials. However, hatchery rearing protocols were largely shared and, with little information about the habitat requirements of prerecruit lobsters, all groups released juveniles into areas populated by adults. Release numbers were maximized but dispersed in relatively small batches to reduce potential competitive interactions. Each group released a succession of annual juvenile cohorts over 4 or more years and, usually, monitored stocks and landings for at least a comparable period to estimate survival and the proportion of tagged lobsters in the fishable stock (Latrouite and Lorec, 1991; Burton, 1992; Bannister et al., 1994; Cook, 1995; Bannister and Addison, 1998; Agnalt et al., 1999, 2004; Schmalenbach et al., 2011). In France, Norway, and the United Kingdom, recaptured lobsters fitted with CWTs were detected using magnetic detectors on board potting vessels or at quayside landing stations (Bannister and Addison, 1998), while VIE-tagged lobsters in Germany were identified visually by fishers and divers (Schmalenbach et al., 2011). The recapture profiles of release cohorts typically illustrated common sequences of growth, accumulation, and decay over the monitoring period. Annual recaptures were largely on the scale of tens to hundreds, cumulating to a total of 9930 individuals across all monitored projects, mostly recaptured 3 –10 years after release as subadults or adults in the size range 50 –120 mm CL (Burton, 1992; Bannister et al., 1994; Cook, 1995; Bannister and Addison, 1998; Agnalt et al., 1999, 2004; Schmalenbach et al., 2011). Released lobsters generally showed high site fidelity (e.g. recaptured within 6 km of release sites; Bannister and Howard, 1991), and many of the adult females carried fertilized eggs, although whether these were sired by wild or cultivated males was not assessed. Recapture rates Monitoring of hatchery-reared European lobster recruitment has shown that releases in the order of 100 tagged juveniles have typically yielded single-figured numbers of recaptures (Table 1; Bannister and Addison, 1998; Agnalt et al., 2004; Schmalenbach et al., 2011). These nominal recovery rates were regarded as indicators C. D. Ellis et al. of the potential contribution to the local fishery, but also of the potential economic rates of return (Whitmarsh, 1994). Stocking trials in France provided the least encouraging total recapture figures (Table 1), although these results can be somewhat discounted due to deficiencies in their monitoring programmes. Although CWTs were implanted into 24 500 juveniles released around the French Atlantic coast during 1984–1987, monitoring began 2 years after the first releases, but lasted only 3 years (Latrouite and Lorec, 1991). Only 22 lobsters were recaptured, but the maximum recapture window (2–5 years for different release cohorts) appears insufficient in light of the recapture profiles of later trials elsewhere. At that same time in the United Kingdom, almost 91 000 one-year-old juveniles were tagged and released in four areas—Bridlington in England, Aberystwyth in Wales, and Ardtoe and Orkney in Scotland—where the natural stocks were depleted (though still more abundant than in Norway). Total recaptures were 1471 over the 5- to 8-year monitoring period, with the regional recovery rates ranging from 1.3 to 2.4% (Bannister and Addison, 1998). Higher recapture results came several years later from the heavily depleted lobster stock in the Norwegian archipelago of Kvitsøy. By 2001, 6.2% of the 128 000 coded-wiretagged year-old juveniles released during 1990 – 1994 had been recaptured, and released lobsters outnumbered wild conspecifics among the legalsized catch (Agnalt et al., 2004). Importantly, both the proportion of hatchery-reared lobsters in the fishable stock and catch per unit effort increased over the monitoring period, suggesting that cultured lobsters had enhanced existing stocks rather than replacing them (Agnalt et al., 1999; Svåsand et al., 2004). Most recently, off Helgoland, .9% of the 2000 – 2005 release cohorts had been recaptured by 2009, when 8% of the total landings comprised hatchery-reared lobsters (Schmalenbach et al., 2011). Of those lobsters released in 2001, 1 in 7 was recaptured, the highest rate recorded for any stocked H. gammarus cohort (Schmalenbach et al., 2011). Projections and perceptions of success The results of European projects have produced very different perceptions about the potential worth of lobster stocking. In France, the small number of recaptures caused an abrupt and premature termination of the monitoring programme (Latrouite and Lorec, 1991). In the United Kingdom, the results were welcomed as the first definitive proof of successful survival and recruitment of cultivated lobsters in the wild (Addison and Bannister, 1994; Bannister and Addison, 1998). However, modelling showed that recovery rates were too low to generate a positive net value to the fishery, even when offsetting the costs of building a hatchery over a 25-year release period (Whitmarsh, 1994). In Norway, the large proportional contribution to the depleted stock was viewed positively (Agnalt et al., 1999; Svåsand et al., 2004), though production costs exceeded the value of recaptured lobsters here too (Moksness et al., 1998). In a global context, lobster stocking in Norway gave more efficient fishery yields than those of prawn or crab enhancement in the Far East (Hamasaki and Kitada, 2008b). Although none of these monitored European stocking trials generated total recapture rates of even 10% of the number of lobsters released (Bannister and Addison, 1998; Agnalt et al., 1999; Nicosia and Lavalli, 1999; Agnalt et al., 2004; Schmalenbach et al., 2011), some studies have estimated more encouraging survival rates from speculative calculations of capture probability. For hatchery-reared lobsters in Helgoland, the survival rate to the fishery minimum i39 Lobster stocking requires impact assessment landing size (MLS) was estimated to be 30 –40% using the Lincoln– Peterson method (Schmalenbach et al., 2011). When converted via an independent estimate of trap catchability, recapture numbers produced very high survival estimates of 50 –84% for individual release sites in northeast England (Bannister et al., 1994). Norwegian recaptures provided more tangible evidence of success by showing that cultured lobsters contributed significantly to spawning biomass. Within 4 –10 years of release, cultured females were estimated to account for 27% of egg production within the Kvitsøy population and showed no difference to wild females in measures of fecundity or egg development (Agnalt et al., 2007; Agnalt, 2008). Fitness of hatchery-reared lobsters Studies from stocked populations in Norway provide the only direct evidence of the fitness of cultured H. gammarus in the wild, with ecological and genetic indicators used to assess pre- and post-release fitness. Mature cultured females appear to perform as well as wild equivalents in terms of size-specific fecundity, weight of egg mass, egg size, and embryonic development (Agnalt, 2008), a crucial finding rarely achieved among other stocked species. Results have been less conclusive when rearing the offspring of wild and cultured broodstock together in competitive, “common garden” environments. The progeny of cultured females recaptured around Kvitsøy, Norway, experienced only 60% of the survival of the offspring of local wild females through both the larval and juvenile phases (Jørstad et al., 2005a, 2009). While in isolation, this represents a damaging assessment of the fitness of cultured lobsters, results were confused by the performance of a second group of wild females that originated just 12 km away, but whose offspring were similarly outperformed by those of local natural females. Perhaps most tellingly though, the authors acknowledged that both wild and cultured males had access to mate with either cohort of females (Jørstad et al., 2005a, 2009), which may have significantly biased the categorization of offspring as wild- or hatchery-derived, particularly within a population where natural and cultured lobsters were fairly evenly represented (Agnalt et al., 2004). Limitations of existing impact assessments Existing assessments of lobster stocking success are susceptible to caveats and assumptions. The recapture numbers cited in Table 1 were not corrected for (i) tag loss, which would yield false negatives and underestimates of survival among tagged lobsters (Agnalt et al., 2004); (ii) emigration to adjacent areas, which would reduce the number of marked lobsters available for recapture (Cook, 1995); (iii) spatial mismatch between release and resampling sites; and (iv) imperfect recapture sampling by quayside monitoring teams. These issues have not been factored into the lobster survival estimates of any impact assessment, suggesting that the recorded recovery rates cited in Table 1 were almost certainly underestimates. As such, pessimistic assessments of the economic viability of lobster stocking by Whitmarsh (1994) and Moksness et al. (1998) were probably based on pessimistic estimates of the survival of cultured lobsters. More basically, these economic assessments evaluated the viability of stocking programmes to be run purely as self-financing businesses and failed to account for the long-term potential for hatchery-reared lobsters to boost or restore local recruitment. Additionally, this appraisal technique fails to account for any potential benefits of raising the profile of lobsters and sustainable fishing among the public. Summary of stocking performance and current hatcheries Stocking has been proved to be a potentially effective method of fisheries remediation (Bannister and Addison, 1998; Svåsand et al., 2004). Despite uncertainties in the magnitude of the recovery rates, monitoring of H. gammarus releases have shown that hatchery-reared lobsters have survived, grown, and mated in the wild in considerable numbers and in multiple locations and ecotypes. However, there remains a considerable scope to improve our knowledge of the ecological dynamics influencing stocked lobster survival and to standardize methods of lobster stocking and assessments of its impact. Interest in undertaking European lobster stocking has soared in recent years as a tool to conserve and improve fisheries and even to mitigate proposed offshore developments (e.g. pipe-laying, wind farms, and spoil dumping). Currently, there are two established hatcheries in the United Kingdom undertaking stock enhancement on a relatively significant scale. These programmes operate in the Orkney Islands and Cornwall (Table 1), where the continued pressure on lobster stocks and the economic importance of the fishery justify the concept of engaging in stock enhancement. They are responsible for over half of the reported releases of cultured lobsters into European waters in the past four decades, but neither programme has ever undertaken routine monitoring of their effects. This is mostly due to the prohibitive costs incurred in growing juveniles to sizes suitable for physical tagging and subsequent monitoring of the wild population for recaptures (D. Shearer, Orkney Lobster Hatchery, pers. comm.). For scientific support, they refer to the basic impact assessments already described; Orkney was one location of the 1980s mark– recapture trials, whereas Cornish enhancement endeavours are based entirely on the experimental results from outside Cornwall. Both hatcheries have been active in undertaking research and developing technical innovations to more effectively and economically rear lobsters. They are aware that reducing expenditure per juvenile produced is a principal method of increasing their economic viability, alongside increasing the survival probability of hatchery-reared lobsters in the wild. These hatcheries also accept their obligation to validate the impact of their stocking programmes, but have been unable to self-subsidize the comprehensive ecological research and monitoring required. What follows is a summary of several aspects of marine stocking that are critical to resolve to improve or perhaps even disprove the value of releasing cultured lobsters for stock management. Critical issues for lobster stocking Understanding lobster ecology Knowledge gaps regarding the ecology and population dynamics of H. gammarus significantly obstruct the unbiased assessment of the performance of hatchery stocking. The most serious of these is the continued absence of methodologies for locating or capturing wild post-larvae and juveniles, despite coordinated efforts (e.g. Linnane et al., 2001; Mercer et al., 2001). As a result, it is unknown whether recruitment is density-dependent and, therefore, limited by habitat-specific carrying capacities (as it is in H. americanus— Wahle and Steneck, 1991, 1992; Wahle and Incze, 1997; Steneck and Wahle, 2013), and we have no understanding of how cultured lobsters compare with wild equivalents in basic behavioural, physiological, and morphological traits. Almost all published information on the biology of early benthic phase H. gammarus emerges from studies based on cultured lobsters, most of which have occurred i40 in aquaria environments (e.g. Wickins et al., 1996; Linnane et al., 2000). Even when based in the wild (e.g. van der Meeren, 2000, 2005), observations of the behaviour and performance of hatchery-reared juveniles still may not accurately reflect the biology of natural juveniles in wild ecosystems. Similarly, the planktonic larval phases are rarely collected in the wild, even in areas high in abundance of reproductively mature adults (S. Clark, Devon and Severn IFCA, pers. comm.). Light traps have proved useful for surveying wild larvae in Scandinavian fjords, which exhibit considerable water retention (Øresland and Ulmestrand, 2013), but have had limited success within the Bristol Channel in the United Kingdom due to strong tides and currents (S. Clark, Devon and Severn IFCA, pers. comm.). Elsewhere, continuous plankton recorder samples provide temporally and spatially extensive datasets of planktonic abundance, but decapod larvae are not routinely identified to species level (Richardson et al., 2006). The absence of basic data on natural larvae and juveniles has inhibited the creation of demographic models that have been useful to predict the effect of stocking in other species (e.g. Lorenzen, 2005, 2006; Hervas et al., 2010). There is a dearth of studies dedicated to operational variables and their influence on settlement success in hatchery-reared lobsters, and the lack of standardization in existing stocking trials makes their data unsuitable for analysis. Comparisons of different methodological aspects are likely to be biased by the presence of many uncontrolled covariates throughout the culture, release, and monitoring processes. Experimental features such as release methods have varied extensively within and among individual projects, with juveniles variously delivered onto benthic habitats by divers or water flume (Bannister et al., 1994; Burton, 2001), released offshore at the sea surface at night (Schmalenbach et al., 2011), and even released during the day into shallow waters off boats or along the intertidal shoreline (Agnalt et al., 1999). In isolation, the lower recapture rates recorded in the United Kingdom compared with Norway and Germany could, therefore, be interpreted as a sign that benthic releases yield lower settlement success than surface and shore releases. However, this is counterintuitive to our expectation that delivering lobsters onto shelter-providing benthic substrates, avoiding pelagic predators, should increase settlement success. It is more likely that the lower UK recapture results arise from the higher abundance of the wild stock, as enhancing productive stocks has been less effective than restocking depleted populations in other decapod crustaceans (Hamasaki and Kitada, 2008b). However, this cannot be evaluated using existing data and should be investigated. Improving tagging technology Existing monitored stocking experiments have depended on the use of physical tags to detect recaptured lobsters, with first the CWT in the 1980s and later the VIE from the late 1990s. These assessments provided the first empirical evidence of the performance of hatcheryreared lobsters in the wild, but there are important limitations to the use and effectiveness of these tags. Both tag types are normally injected into ventral tissues of the upper abdomen, from where VIE tags have been shown not to alter behaviour or growth (Neenan et al., 2014). VIE tags are logged visually through translucent tissues (Uglem et al., 1996; Neenan et al., 2014), whereas CWTs must be retrieved by dissection after initial detection by magnetometer (Burton, 1992; Bannister et al., 1994). Large juveniles (7 months; 12–16 mm CL) show high tag retention (99%) and survival (97%) over 3 months when tagged with CWT and VIE and reared in aquaria (Uglem et al., 1996; C. D. Ellis et al. Linnane and Mercer, 1998). Modern hatcheries typically release younger H. gammarus juveniles, however (post-larval stages V–VI, 4–6 weeks old, 5–8 mm CL), which show reduced survival after tagging (83% for CWT; 68% for VIE) and significant tag migration (Uglem et al., 1996; Linnane and Mercer, 1998). The lack of a suitable tag with which to mark juveniles from the first post-larval instar has prohibited any assessment of whether the considerable investment required to grow juveniles to sizes facilitating tagging is reflected in increased recruitment. Since the founding principle of stocking is to culture vulnerable lifestages in captivity, it is conceivable that lobster survival is suitably optimized at the onset of benthic settlement behaviours (i.e. post-larval stages IV– V). This principle, plus the opportunity to maximize numerical release outputs and avoid on-growing expenses, has meant that most active European hatcheries now release early juvenile stages as standard, although the only evidence for the effectiveness of this strategy is inferred from localized increases in abundance of H. americanus in eastern Canada following releases of cultured post-larvae (e.g. Comeau, 2006; Côté and Cloutier, 2014). These results were obtained by the utility of before-after-control-impact (BACI) methods, where lobster abundance in release areas is compared with that, in similar, unenhanced habitats over several years. BACI methods have proved useful in implying enhancement effects where hatchery-reared lobsters are not tagged (Comeau, 2006; Côté and Cloutier, 2014), although this style of monitoring produces data that lack the definitive evidence provided by the recapture of tagged individuals. Ideally, a new physical tag is required that is cheap and easy to apply, is capable of marking lobsters from the first post-larval phase to adulthood, and is visually detectable by fishers. This would enable a large number of juveniles to be tagged as standard release procedure and facilitate assessments of optimal stocking protocols via low-cost and widespread monitoring by fishery stakeholders, who may be positively motivated by a visible tag. However, such a development is unlikely to be forthcoming, given the regular turnover of sclerotized body parts at ecdysis and the vast discrepancy in size between post-larvae and adults. Attention is, therefore, turning to the potential for polymorphic genetic markers to assign parentage and replace or augment physical tags in future assessments of lobster stocking impact. Methods of genetic profiling can assign hatchery origin with a high degree of certainty (e.g. Jones and Arden, 2003) and have important advantages over established internal tags (Table 2). Tag loss can be effectively eliminated, individuals can be sampled sublethally on multiple occasions, and there are no restrictions on the release size of juveniles (Neenan et al., 2014). Genetic profiling can allow assessments of the recruitment performance of different groups, families, or even genotypes (Sekino et al., 2005; Tringali, 2006) and the extent to which wild and cultured animals integrate and interbreed in the environment. With genetic markers of sufficient quantity and variation, hatchery-derived lineages may even be tracked beyond the released generation by identifying the wild-born offspring of hatchery-reared parents, potentially enabling multigenerational assessments of stocking (Letcher and King, 2001; Blouin, 2003). Employing genetic methods has already proved successful in the detection of hatchery-reared fish among enhanced wild populations of steelhead trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss; Christie et al., 2012a,b) and black sea bream (Acanthopagrus schlegelii; Jeong et al., 2007) and has been proposed as a method of establishing traceability for aquaculture-derived fish at the marketplace (Hayes et al., 2005). In one of the most positive impact assessments of fishery enhancement, microsatellite-based pedigree reconstructions showed that i41 Lobster stocking requires impact assessment Table 2. Summary of the expected performance of different tag types for use in impact assessments of European lobster stock enhancement. Tag performance criteria Individual Tag type ID CWT Yes VIE No Genotype Nob No min. juvenile size No No Yes No tag loss No No Yesc Sublethal sampling No Yes Yes Stakeholder independent monitoring Noa Yes Noa Stakeholder social impact Noa Yes Noa Multiple generations traceable No No Yes Genetic fitness impact No No Yes Stock integration testable No No Yes CWT and VIE performance is based on reported performance in previous uses, whereas genotype tag performance is based on theoretical performance and reports from other stocked species. a Stakeholders may be utilized and socially impacted by monitoring, but cannot readily identify released individuals as part of routine fishing activities. b Individual identification is possible, but often requires a much larger panel of genetic markers than is required to establish hatchery origin via parentage assignment, the most commonly used genotype-based method. c No tag “loss”, but similar error can be introduced by genotyping errors (e.g. flawed tissue collection or processing, the presence of null alleles, the interpretation of results, etc.). Repeat sample processing and analysis of data can be used to estimate and/or correct this error rate. stocked A. schlegelii suffered no loss of heterozygosity, integrated with wild schools, and contributed 59% of individuals to an important fishery in Japan (Jeong et al., 2007). Similarly, thorough evaluation is required to elucidate the long-term impact of stocking H. gammarus, although such investigations are not cheap or accomplishable without archived tissues from which the genotypes of hatchery progeny can be deduced (i.e. maternal and egg samples). The type and quantity of markers required for parentage assignments to accurately detect hatchery-reared lobsters from large-scale surveys of wild populations would be largely dependent on the population’s genetic diversity, effective size, and gene flow, the broodstock turnovers and recapture survey methods employed, and whether multiple paternity frequently exists among individual broods [as has been found in H. americanus (Gosselin et al., 2005)]. Sampling only landed lobsters that are destined for the market may be a more practical survey method than in situ, on-board sampling of the catch (including undersized lobsters destined for return to the sea). The latter could be biased by the inclusion of single individuals sampled on multiple occasions, which would be indistinguishable from multiple individuals possessing genotypes that are identical by descent, although this approach does lend itself well to obtaining recapture data that could reveal the movements of stocked lobsters and the spatial impacts of stocking. Simulations and case studies have shown that parentage can be accurately assigned, even where systems boast hundreds or thousands of candidate parents, using as few as 60 –100 single-nucleotide polymorphisms SNPs (Hayes et al., 2005; Anderson and Garza, 2006) or 7 –15 microsatellites (Bernatchez and Duchesne, 2000; Letcher and King, 2001; Hayes et al., 2005; Jeong et al., 2007; Christie et al., 2012a), although this is also dependent on the overall power provided by the number and frequency of alleles (Bernatchez and Duchesne, 2000). For H. gammarus, it may well be possible to base such parentage assignments on established and available genetic markers, such as the 12 microsatellites published by André and Knutsen (2010). However, where spatial population genetic structuring is minimal, hatchery broodstock turnovers are high, and multiple paternity occurs frequently within individual broods (all of which are possibly the case for H. gammarus), the number of markers required to resolve parentage may rise to become prohibitively costly. Nextgeneration genotyping resources, such as restriction site associated DNA (RAD) markers and larger panels of SNPs, offer the resolution to overcome such obstacles (Baird et al., 2008; Hohenlohe et al., 2010), and for species such as Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar), microarray genotyping chips featuring many thousands of SNPs are now widely available (Affymetrix, 2014). The development and widespread utilization of such technology is likely to be beyond the financial means and expertise of independent lobster hatchery ventures, however. Still, there is a significant time lag between captive rearing and potential recapture in the wild, and many universities and research facilities are now equipped with the capabilities to carry out a range of molecular genetic analyses. Therefore, even where no immediate plans exist to assess stocking, all lobster hatcheries should routinely archive tissue and several fertilized eggs from every brood female for potential future collaborative research opportunities. Improving hatchery production All hatcheries require the stable production of juveniles to enable release numbers to achieve stocking targets. Because facilities culturing lobster have experienced prolonged and sometimes unexplained periods of production failure, stabilizing juvenile output is required. Where cultured juveniles have no reduction in fitness, increasing both the quantity released and their chances of wild establishment can improve the effectiveness of stocking. Some significant biotechnical advances have been made in recent years that improve lobster hatchery production and cost-effectiveness. While ovigerous females are plentiful in spring and summer, the separation of some at reduced water temperatures (68C) slows egg development and allows the rearing season to be extended. Anecdotally, this has been more effective and reliable than the upward manipulation of egg development and raises the possibility that stable year-round production may be possible. In trials of the so-called green water technique, utilizing algal cultures and enriched live feed more than doubled survival to the first post-larval instar compared with standard rearing protocols (Browne et al., 2009). The larval and post-larval stages are particularly vulnerable to the effects of nutrient limitation; therefore, nutritional enrichments improve growth and survival, even in standard culture environments (Daniels et al., 2010; Schoo et al., 2014). Further improvements have arisen from the long-awaited innovation of multilayered juvenile rearing systems, which increase hatchery capacity 40-fold compared with traditional single-layer vessels (Gowland, 2013). As advancements continue, hatcheries are able to increase production and the overall economic viability of lobster stocking. For example, one H. americanus hatchery more than doubled its production costs from 2002 to 2013, although this enabled technical advances that increased annual production i42 from 1500 to 417 000 juveniles, slashing the investment per juvenile from over US$33 to just US$0.26 (Haché et al., 2014). As well as ensuring they can produce the quantity of juveniles required, stocking projects must aim to ensure that the quality of cultured lobsters is sufficient to achieve long-term population enhancement. In Norway, the performance of recaptured lobsters has been promising in basic fitness traits, such as reproductive potential (Agnalt, 2008). Nevertheless, juveniles reared in captive conditions are frequently shown to have reduced suitability to the demands of life in natural ecosystems (e.g. Davis et al., 2004, 2005; Castro and Cobb, 2005). Ecological naivety is evident in the higher predation vulnerability of cultured H. americanus juveniles compared with wild conspecifics (Castro and Cobb, 2005). For H. gammarus, the continued failure to locate wild juveniles has prevented comparisons of fitness to that of cultured equivalents, an approach used widely for other stocked decapods (e.g. Davis et al., 2004, 2005; Castro and Cobb, 2005; Ochwada-Doyle et al., 2010). Even so, studies have shown that juveniles reared in competitive communal environments grow faster than those raised in isolation (Jørstad et al., 2001), while previous exposure to predator odours gives cultured juveniles a superior ability to outcompete untreated cohorts for limited shelter spaces (Trengereid, 2012). Although some cultured decapod juveniles have matched the predator avoidance of wild conspecifics regardless of acclimation regimes (Ochwada-Doyle et al., 2010), innate behaviours are likely to be complemented by targeted ecological conditioning before wild release. In hatchery-reared blue crabs (Callinectes sapidus), conditioning via controlled predator exposure significantly increases carapace spine length and subsequent post-release survival (Davis et al., 2004, 2005). The traditional hatchery culture of H. gammarus juveniles is isolated and largely devoid of environmental enrichment, but in recent years, attempts have been made to on-grow juveniles in sea-based submerged containers. This semi-wild environment appears to promote traits that are likely to have a positive impact on settlement success and adaption to the natural environment and offers significant potential as an acclimation step before the release of cultured lobsters. Survival often exceeds that of hatchery-reared cohorts (Beal et al., 2002; Benavente et al., 2010), and container-reared lobsters typically demonstrate altered behavioural responses and improved growth and pigmentation (Figure 1). Overall, the unnatural selection pressures of culture environments are a fitness concern that remains largely unaddressed in lobster hatcheries, and significant adjustments to existing rearing and conditioning protocols may well be required to increase the viability of current lobster stocking ventures (van der Meeren, 2005; Trengereid, 2012). Ensuring effective genetic management Poorly regulated fishing throughout most of the range of H. gammarus is likely to have seriously impacted the status of benthic ecosystems and significantly influenced the population genetics of European lobsters. Genetic management of the species has rarely been prioritized or even considered by fishery managers, and the pressures of intensive commercial fishing activities are likely to have impacted the genetics of lobster populations more profoundly than the limited activity of stocking schemes to date. However, mismanagement of lobster fisheries in general should not mean that ventures aiming to enhance and conserve these fisheries via hatchery stocking should not be expected to pursue rigorous standards of ecological accountability. While stocking is C. D. Ellis et al. Figure 1. Cultured juvenile European lobsters on-grown in sea containers in an open bay (c) and estuary (b) show increased growth and pigmentation compared with equivalents reared only in the hatchery (a). generally expected to increase short-term abundance of populations, troubling recent data in other species suggest that negative genetic impacts may arise in target stocks, undermining fishery conservation objectives (Sekino et al., 2002, 2003; Bert et al., 2007; Kitada et al., 2009; Rourke et al., 2009; Hamasaki et al., 2010; Christie et al., 2012a,b; Satake and Araki, 2012). It is increasingly apparent that the dual goals of short-term productivity and longterm conservation are not usually complementary and are difficult to achieve simultaneously (Satake and Araki, 2012). Many authors have proposed ways in which stocking schemes can limit negative genetic impacts, and routinely comparing the genetic diversity and relative fitness of wild and cultured fish is commonly recommended (e.g. Blankenship and Leber, 1995; Shaklee and Bentzen, 1998; Bell et al., 2006; Gaffney, 2006; Bert et al., 2007; Tringali et al., 2008; Laikre et al., 2010; Lorenzen et al., 2010). For example, Bert et al. (2007) suggest that stocking enterprises should study the species’ regional population genetics, genotype broodstock at a resolution sufficient to distinguish their offspring, monitor the genetic variation of cultured juveniles and incoming broodstock, and use genetic assays to scan the wild population for both hatchery progeny and any flux in the larger gene pool. Many independent hatcheries are unable to fund such research or have prioritized investing in biotechnical innovations though, so genetic aspects of management have often been ignored (Bell et al., 2006). This is largely the case among organizations stocking H. gammarus and requires rectifying to ensure that heavily exploited lobster fisheries are not subject to any deleterious effects via stocking. Maintaining fitness and genetic diversity Attaining long-term population growth and simultaneous conservation of the regional gene pool is unlikely where stocked animals have fitness disadvantages (Satake and Araki, 2012). Fitness disadvantages can arise in cultured individuals as a consequence of i43 Lobster stocking requires impact assessment narrow genetic make-up or via inadvertent selection processes occurring in the hatchery environment that make cultured juveniles ill-suited to their natural ecosystem. Where released animals introduce heritable reductions in fitness, stocking has the potential to have negative impacts on wild stocks. This is reported most often where target populations are small and/or show high levels of adaptation to local conditions (Lorenzen et al., 2012). Released animals often have reduced fitness for the natural environment compared with wild conspecifics; Araki and Schmid (2010) reviewed 39 studies that assessed fitness effects, of which 22 found that survival, growth, or reproductive success were reduced by hatchery rearing. Given the dissimilarities between hatchery and wild environments, traits that lead to high fitness in one may reduce fitness in the other. Trout (O. mykiss) raised in captivity have nearly double the reproductive success of wild-born fish when spawned in a hatchery, but their offspring suffer greatly reduced performance in the wild, where survival is less than a third that of the wild-origin cohort (Christie et al., 2012a). A key principle of stocking is that offspring survival is relatively increased in the captive environment, which means that many released individuals may be closely related. Increasing the number of related individuals in a population generally decreases the overall genetic diversity and effective population size and increases the potential for inbreeding depression (Ryman and Laikre, 1991). Cultured individuals often show reduced genetic diversity (e.g. Sekino et al., 2002) and have low effective population sizes, especially where broodstock are captive-reared, are used to rear multiple generations of offspring, or where competitive processes lead to highly skewed reproductive success (Sekino et al., 2003; Shishidou et al., 2008). Parentage assignments in hatchery-reared flounder (P. olivaceus) revealed that almost all the offspring were sired by one of six males, and that half of the 12 spawning females yielded no surviving juveniles at all (Sekino et al., 2003). Although the influence of stocking on population genetic diversity may be trivial compared with that caused by environmental or fishing pressures (Sugaya et al., 2008; Kitada et al., 2009), in some cases, it can be extremely damaging; stocking doubled the number of adult trout (O. mykiss) on spawning grounds in Oregon, United States, but actually cut the total effective population size by two-thirds (Christie et al., 2012b). Wild-mated females have typically been utilized for H. gammarus stocking, with several hundred new broodstock sourced for each production season. Where broodstock are marketed for human consumption upon return to their donors, their repeated use is prevented. Whether achieved via the ease of accessing readilymated females or by enlightened genetic practices, these methods should have contributed to ensuring relatively high genetic diversity among progeny. However, family contributions have been found to be skewed in H. gammarus culture (Jørstad et al., 2005a), and how the genetic diversity of released lobsters compares with that within target populations requires evaluation using modern techniques. Consideration of population structure and local adaptation Genetic diversity is the principal origin of adaptive evolutionary potential (Frankham et al., 2011), so populations are increasingly vulnerable to environmental change where genetic diversity is eroded by the release of cultured individuals (Laikre et al., 2010). Where cultured animals lack hereditary adaptations to their release environment and interbreed with wild fish that are more suitably adapted, adaptive traits crucial to the species’ fitness in that environment are likely to be eroded, reducing the overall fitness of the population. In recent studies on wild marine fish, molecular markers have helped reveal previously unforeseen levels of population structure and local adaptation to environmental heterogeneity (e.g. temperature and salinity), even at small geographical scales [e.g. Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua)—Knutsen et al., 2003, 2011; Jorde et al., 2007; Atlantic herring (Clupea harengus)— Lamichhaney et al., 2012; Limborg et al., 2012; Teacher et al., 2013; sticklebacks (Pungitius pungitius, Gasterosteus aculeatus)— Shikano et al., 2010; Shimada et al., 2011; Bruneaux et al., 2013; Atlantic salmon—Griffiths et al., 2010)]. Although genotyping only 25 individuals per population can often provide accurate estimates of population-level differences in allele frequencies (Hale et al., 2012), even relatively basic genetic studies are generally complex and expensive. As a result, population genetic data are frequently absent or outdated for stocked marine species, and such studies on H. gammarus provide somewhat contradictory evidence or lack peer review. Investigations on genetic structure and diversity in H. gammarus populations using polymorphic microsatellites, allozymes, and mitochondrial DNA (e.g. Jørstad and Farestveit, 1999; Jørstad et al., 2004, 2005b; Triantafyllidis et al., 2005; Huserbråten et al., 2013) have attempted to delineate populations and estimate gene flow within and between them. Observed restrictions in adult migration give the potential for considerable genetic isolation between H. gammarus subpopulations (Øresland and Ulmestrand, 2013), although the most recent research suggests that high genetic connectivity exists over relatively large spatial scales (≈400 km), even among semi-enclosed habitats (Huserbråten et al., 2013). These results, obtained via microsatellite DNA analysis of heavily depleted Scandinavian Skagerrak populations, suggest that larval dispersal must be high and must be the primary origin of gene flow (Huserbråten et al., 2013). Where larvae are distantly dispersed and cultured lobsters add significantly to the spawning biomass, the longterm impacts of stocking could extend far beyond the spatial boundaries over which releases occur. Spatial heterogeneity in H. gammarus population genetic variation has been detected, however, particularly in regions isolated by oceanographic and topographic conditions, such as northern Norway and throughout the Mediterranean (Jørstad and Farestveit, 1999; Ulrich et al., 2001; Jørstad et al., 2004, 2005b; Triantafyllidis et al., 2005) and even among populations from the comparatively unrestricted Atlantic coasts of Ireland, France, and Portugal (Ulrich et al., 2001). There appears an overall association between geographic distance and genetic variation (Ulrich et al., 2001), although considerable genetic differences can be found over modest spatial scales (e.g. 142 km between fjords, Jørstad et al., 2004). Rapid recent developments in whole-genome genotyping methodologies and the field of bioinformatics now offer greater resolution and deeper insights into the extent of population structure and local adaptation. Studies utilizing these technologies throughout the range of H. gammarus will be critical for understanding the spatial scales that stocking may be expected to impact and for ensuring that lobster releases are non-detrimental. Stocking vs. alternative management strategies To date, lobster stocking in Europe has always been practiced in addition to legislative fishery management measures such as closed i44 seasons, closed areas, gear restrictions, and landing bans on undersized, v-notched, or ovigerous lobsters. However, assessments of the relative effectiveness of lobster stock enhancement and other alternative fishery management tools are either lacking or are too ambiguous to allow formative comparison between methods. Several conservation methods are often applied concurrently, which potentially gives a greater chance of safeguarding stocks, but it becomes difficult to appraise the relative strengths and limitations of individual components. The need for rigorous analysis of lobster stocking is particularly urgent, but so too is the analysis of other management measures to enable comparative assessments of fishery conservation tools. Our understanding of the effects of most fishery management options is poor, but marine protected areas (MPAs) have recently demonstrated potential in sustaining exploited lobster populations. In the United Kingdom, the closure of waters off Lundy Island to all fishing activities led to a rapid increase in lobster abundance and mean body size (Hoskin et al., 2011), whereas in Norway, MPA designation increased lobster cpue by 245% over 4 years, far beyond the 87% increase in control areas (Moland et al., 2013). Over 95% of lobsters caught, tagged, and rereleased into both Norwegian and Swedish MPAs remained within or very near to reserve boundaries in multiannual mark– recapture analyses (Moland et al., 2011; Øresland and Ulmestrand, 2013), while high genetic connectivity between these MPAs suggests that larval dispersal benefits may be extensive and far-reaching (Huserbråten et al., 2013). Arguably, thoughtfully designated MPAs have offered more conclusive stock conservation benefits than hatchery stocking to date, although MPAs do have an immediate negative economic impact on displaced fishers. However, employing the two methods simultaneously (i.e. releasing cultured lobsters into MPAs) may offer a powerful stock conservation method and provide quicker enhancement of adjacent fisheries. Conclusions The regulation of European lobster stocking has been largely ad hoc and lacks alignment with the robust frameworks established for the informed management of marine stocking ventures (e.g. Blankenship and Leber, 1995; Lorenzen et al., 2010). Given that recent findings from the wider field of aquatic stocking show that the successful integration of cultured individuals into dynamic wild populations is a highly complex process, this is clearly unsatisfactory. While some deviation from best practice may have been the result of insufficient and fragmented planning by regulatory managers or hatchery operators, much more has been unavoidable. The inconclusive performance of previous lobster stocking projects in providing economically viable benefits to lobster fisheries has made it hard for active hatcheries to attract significant financial backing and industry support. However, the exhaustive monitoring and technical developments required to evidence economic viability are often economically unviable in their own right; as our understanding of the potential ecological considerations mounts, the costs associated with piloting a stocking programme increase (Blankenship and Leber, 1995; Lorenzen et al., 2010). In the absence of focused guidelines or coordinated investment from industry or government, active hatcheries have been largely unable to address significant gaps in our scientific understanding of lobster biology that are integral to the informed management of stocking ventures and lobster fisheries themselves. As a result, hatcheries have been forced to focus on C. D. Ellis et al. advancing production and revenue, conducting ecological research where possible along the way. From existing studies designed to assess the potential for stocking H. gammarus, a proof-of-concept has been demonstrated. Based on recaptures of hatchery-reared lobsters achieving fishery MLSs and reproductive maturity in multiple locations, conclusions have been generally positive that stocking could represent a worthwhile fishery conservation method. However, these conclusions are undermined by a lack of consistent evidence that benefits are universal and cost-effective and by a series of inconclusive or damaging reports into the effects of stocking in other marine species. Nevertheless, in the wake of increased pressures on some fisheries and the regional collapse of others, interest in stocking programmes aimed at restoring or enhancing lobster populations has only increased in recent years. The societal decision whether to pursue stocking of European lobster populations requires evidence of both positive and negative impacts of hatchery releases, so a renewed evaluation of lobster stocking, utilizing the more thorough assessment tools now available, is required to limit the ambiguity of that decision. Impact assessments attempting to appraise the effect of European lobster stocking are significantly hindered by the elusive nature of wild juveniles and scarcity of other basic information on the ecology of natural populations and have, so far, been restricted to unfavourable juvenile tagging methods. Genetic methods should be employed to improve wider understanding of lobster biology and population ecology as well as to deliver assessments on the evolutionary fitness of cultured lobsters and the likelihood of their release to cause negative effects on natural populations. Genetic resources also require testing for their effectiveness in identifying cultured lobsters in the wild. Recent improvements in the quality and cost-efficiency of juvenile production could help make stocking a viable tool for improving the productivity and sustainability of lobster fisheries, although this requires a thorough and strategic evaluation. Overall, our understanding of the dynamics and potential for lobster stocking remains limited, and further research using contemporary methods is required to deliver informative impact assessments. Ideally, all lobster hatcheries should implement the following initiatives: (i) archive maternal and progeny tissues from all broodstock; (ii) establish a management strategy that will limit negative impacts of releases in the presence of population structure and local adaptation; (iii) conduct controlled temporal studies of lobster abundance in release areas, both before and after stocking; and (iv) link with a research institute or university to enable collaborative research. Implementation of these procedures would help raise the ethical and ecological standards of stocking ventures, would provide basic evidence of the effect of stocking on local abundance, would lay the foundations for more comprehensive assessments of the performance of stocked lobsters, and would facilitate partnerships with organizations capable of assessing population structure and stock boundaries throughout the species’ range, as well as driving efforts to locate wild juveniles to resolve associated knowledge gaps. Acknowledgements The authors are grateful to the European Social Fund and the Fishmongers’ Company, United Kingdom, for funding this research and to the insightful comments of two anonymous reviewers who helped improve this paper. We are also indebted to the authors of the many studies we have referenced in this review and to those Lobster stocking requires impact assessment lobster fishers and hatchery operators who contributed to much of their research. 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Economic analysis of lobster stock enhancement. Briefing Paper. CEMARE. University of Portsmouth, UK. 12 pp. Wickins, J. F., Beard, T. W., and Jones, E. 1986. Microtagging cultured lobsters, Homarus gammarus (L.), for stock enhancement trials. Aquaculture and Fisheries Management, 17: 259 – 265. Wickins, J. F., Roberts, J. C., and Heasman, M. S. 1996. Within-burrow behaviour of juvenile European lobsters Homarus gammarus (L). Marine and Freshwater Behaviour and Physiology, 28: 229– 253. Handling editor: Emory Anderson ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i49 –i58. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsu177 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Articles What caused seven consecutive years of low puerulus settlement in the western rock lobster fishery of Western Australia? Simon de Lestang1 *, Nick Caputi 1, Ming Feng2, Ainslie Denham 1, James Penn 1, Dirk Slawinski2, Alan Pearce1,3, and Jason How1 1 Western Australian Fisheries and Marine Research Laboratories, PO Box 20, North Beach, WA 6920, Australia CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Private Bag No. 5, Wembley, WA 6913, Australia 3 Curtin University, GPO Box U1987, Perth, WA 6845, Australia 2 *Corresponding author: tel: +61 892030174; fax: +61 892030199; e-mail: simon.delestang@fish.wa.gov.au Present address: West Australian Fisheries and Marine Research Laboratories 39 Northside Drive, Hillarys. 6025. Western Autsralia. ‡ de Lestang, S., Caputi, N., Feng, M., Denham, A., Penn, J., Slawinski, D., Pearce, A., and How, J. What caused seven consecutive years of low puerulus settlement in the western rock lobster fishery of Western Australia?. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i49 – i58. Received 4 August 2014; revised 17 September 2014; accepted 18 September 2014; advance access publication 19 October 2014. Puerulus settlement in the western rock lobster fishery has remained below average for seven consecutive years (2006/2007 –2012/2013), with 2008/2009 being the lowest in over 40 years. Examination of the timing of the start of spawning using fishery-independent data since the mid2000s indicated that spawning has been occurring earlier. The low settlement appears related to higher water temperatures at the time of the onset of spawning (October) since the mid-2000s. Statistical analysis shows that the most (71%) of the variation in puerulus settlement was explained by the timing of spawning, storm activity during autumn/spring, and offshore water temperatures in February. Earlier spawning may cause a mismatch with other environmental factors such as peaks in ocean productivity and/or storms that assist the larvae return to the coast and offshore water temperatures that help the early stage larval growth. These variables produced a plausible hypothesis to explain the decline in puerulus settlement for these 7 years, including the recruitment failure of 2008/2009. They also predicted the substantial improvement in settlement for 2013/2014. Egg production levels did not to have a significant relationship with puerulus settlement levels after taking environmental variables into account. Further verification with additional years is required to see whether this relationship is maintained. Global climate change may influence these environmental factors: the timing of spawning is influenced by water temperature and there has been a reduced trend of autumn to spring storms off southwest Australia. Keywords: climate change, environmental effects, puerulus, rainfall, storms, timing of spawning, water temperature, western rock lobster. Introduction Puerulus settlement of the western rock lobster (Panulirus cygnus) fishery of Western Australia (WA; Figure 1) has remained well below average for seven consecutive years (2006/2007– 2012/ 2013), with 2008/2009 being the lowest in over 40 years over the whole area of the fishery (Caputi et al., 2010a). The puerulus settlement is important in the stock assessment and management of the fishery as it is a reliable predictor of recruitment to the fishery and catch 3 –4 years later (Caputi et al., 1995a; de Lestang et al., 2009). Previous studies had shown that environment factors such as the strength of the Leeuwin Current and storms in late winter/spring # International typically affect the abundance and spatial distribution of puerulus settlement (Pearce and Phillips, 1988; Caputi et al., 2001; Caputi, 2008). A strong Leeuwin Current (associated with warm water temperatures and influenced by La Niña conditions in the Pacific) has historically been associated with above-average settlement. However, during the recent series of low recruitments, the low settlement has occurred despite a strong Leeuwin Current in 2008 and 2011. It was therefore important to identify other environmental and/or biological influences that may have contributed to the atypically low recruitment and whether any factors identified were Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2014. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i50 Figure 1. Location of current (2013/2014) puerulus settlement sites along the coast and the different fishery zones (A, B, and C) operating in the fishery. exhibiting long-term trends, which could explain the new lower settlement levels. One of the possible causes of the decline in recruitment was whether the breeding stock had declined to levels low enough to cause recruitment overfishing. During the recent period of low settlement, the spawning stock was within historical levels at all sites that had been surveyed since the early 1990s which covered the main part of the fishery (de Lestang et al., 2012). However, there were concerns about the status of the stock in the northern part of the fishery (e.g. northern Abrolhos Islands and Big Bank), which did not represent a major area of the fishery and therefore had not been regularly surveyed. Significant effort reductions were introduced in 2008/2009 as a result of the poor puerulus settlement before these year classes recruited to the fishery. These reductions were designed to increase residual stock abundance that could be fished in future poor catch years and to maintain the spawning stock at safe levels, i.e. above threshold reference levels. The effort reductions resulted in the average catch declining from the longterm average of 11 000 –5500 t in recent years (de Lestang et al., 2012). The lower west coast of WA has been identified as a hotspot for increasing water temperature (Pearce and Feng, 2007), particularly in the autumn –winter period (Caputi et al., 2009). There has also been a significant decline in storm activity and rainfall in the region during winter (IOCI, 2012). These factors have been previously identified as affecting different aspects of the life history of the western rock lobster (Caputi and Brown, 1993; Caputi et al., 2001) and include the impact of water temperature and winter storms during the phyllosoma larval phase, Leeuwin Current S. de Lestang et al. effect on the spatial distributions of puerulus settlement, reduced migration of white lobsters to northern breeding stocks, and decreases in the size at maturity and migration (Melville-Smith and de Lestang, 2006; Caputi et al., 2010b). The western rock lobster has a relatively long spawning phase of 5 months and larval phase of 9 –11 months. Changes in environmental conditions during any phase of the spawning and larval life could have contributed to a mismatch between environmental conditions and a later larval or puerulus stage. An oceanographic larval model has recently identified the timing of spawning as an important factor affecting puerulus settlement, with early egg releases providing the best fit between the model settlement and actual settlement (Caputi et al., 2014). Understanding the cause(s) of recruitment variability and identifying any potential long-term trends has important implications in the stock assessment and management of the fishery. That is, the management response would be significantly different if the major cause of the series of low recruitments was due to reduced egg production rather than variations in environmental factors outside of management control. A previous assessment of the stock –recruitment –environment relationship (SRR-E) for western rock lobster showed that environmental conditions explained most of the variation in puerulus settlement at the coastal sites with spawning stock not being significant (Caputi et al., 1995b); however, this relationship does not explain the variation in more recent years of puerulus settlement. This study examines whether the magnitude of the spawning stock and the timing of spawning are significant factors in the recent decline in puerulus settlement. It also examines previously identified key environmental factors that may also be influencing the puerulus settlement to determine an SRR-E. Methods Biological indices Puerulus settlement The puerulus settlement data are currently collected monthly from nine locations (Figure 1) throughout the rock lobster fishery by the Western Australian Department of Fisheries (DoF; de Lestang et al., 2012), with Dongara being the first location sampled in 1968. A standardized annual mean of fishery-wide puerulus settlement index was obtained from nine locations (Port Gregory, Horrocks, Abrolhos Is., Dongara, Jurien Bay, Lancelin, Alkimos, Warnbro Sound, and Cape Mentelle). The index represented an annual mean settlement rate per collector standardized for location and month of sampling using a generalized linear model (GLM) and the “lsmeans” package in R (R Development Core Team, 2014), and ranged between about 1 and 200. The timing of peak settlement was determined by fitting a normal distribution to the relationship between the date and the sum of all puerulus collected (locations pooled excluding the Abrolhos Islands) in each month of the settlement season (May –April) and ranged between late September and early January. A 5-year centred moving average was fitted to the time-series to emphasize its long-term underlying trend. Egg production Annual egg production in the fishery was determined using data from the annual Independent Breeding Stock Survey (IBSS). This survey is conducted by the DoF at three locations every year (Lancelin, Dongara, and the Abrolhos Islands) and intermittently at four other locations (Fremantle, Jurien, Kalbarri, and Big Bank; Low puerulus settlement in the western rock lobster fishery of Western Australia de Lestang et al., 2012). The IBSS is conducted over a 10-d period during the last new moon before mid-November. This period is just before the annual peak of egg production, which occurs in November/December (Chubb, 1991). The egg production index is based on the catch rate of mature female lobsters and a fecundity– size relationship (de Lestang et al., 2012) at each of the locations sampled. It represents a mean catch rate of eggs per pot lift standardized for location of capture, month of capture, water depth, ocean swell, and soak time of the pot using a GLM. The index ranged between about 12 and 15, and was estimated using the “lsmeans” package. For more information, see de Lestang et al. (2012). Timing of spawning The timing of the start of spawning of P. cygnus varies between years, most likely in relation to interannual variation in winter and spring water temperatures. The general pattern of reproduction is for mating to start around June and fertilization to begin in September before reaching its maximum with the most mature females being ovigerous (egg bearing) in November and December (Chubb, 1991; de Lestang et al., 2012). The numbers of ovigerous mature females then decline to only a few still being present by March. The timing of the onset spawning was examined using the reproductive state of mature females lobsters caught during the IBSS (October/November). Data from the Kalbarri and Big Bank regions were not used in constructing the index of onset of spawning as the timing of some of these surveys were too early for any significant interannual variation the proportion of spawning females to be detected (September). The annual estimate of the onset of spawning was a mean spawning stage standardized (“lsmeans”) for location of capture, year of sampling, the logarithm of timing (days since 1 September) of the survey, and the logarithm of carapace length using a GLM. Logarithmic transformations associated with the timing of the survey and carapace length were based on Tukey’s Bulging rule (Tukey, 1977). Spawning stage was assigned according to the presence and developmental stage of eggs and the condition of a spermatophoric mass on mature females. Females were designated as being mature if they had mated (possess an external spermatophore) or had developing gonads. The stages assigned were: 0 ¼ mature female with no eggs and no used spermatophoric mass; 1 ¼ recently fertilized eggs; 2 ¼ mid-way through egg development; 3 ¼ eggs fully developed; 4 ¼ residual egg remnants from larval release; 5 ¼ a used spermatophoric mass but no eggs (i.e. the lobster had spawned). The resultant index ranged between just above zero when the most mature females had not yet extruded their eggs by mid-October (representing a late start to spawning) to above one when the most females had extruded their eggs by mid-October (representing an early start to spawning). Environmental indices Leeuwin Current and sea surface temperature The sea surface temperature (SST) off the lower west coast of WA’s continental shelf is influenced by the strength of the Leeuwin Current and direct air sea fluxes in the region (Feng et al., 2008). The Fremantle sea level has also been used as an indicator of the strength of the Leeuwin Current and an indicator of the strength of the eddy structure associated with the current (Feng et al., 2009). The Leeuwin Current is influenced by El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events in the Pacific through the oceanic waveguide, and the Southern Oscillation Index is an indicator of the strength of the ENSO events. Levels of puerulus settlement have i51 historically shown a strong relationship with offshore water temperatures in an area west of the fishery (25–288S, 109–1128E) during the early larval stages (February), so this relationship has been updated with additional years (de Lestang et al., 2012). The temperature data used were the ‘NOAA Optimum Interpolation SST V2’ dataset provided by the NOAA website at “http://www .esrl. noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.noaa.oisst.v2.html” (Reynolds et al., 2002). Winter storms Monthly rainfall data were collated from five coastal sites from Jurien (30.18S) in the north to Fremantle (32.08S) in the south (http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/cdo/about/cdo-rainfall-feature. shtml). Rainfall was used as a proxy for the effects of winter storms on the ocean environment (e.g. swell and waves action) and the westerly winds associated with storms crossing the coast, which is crucial to the onshore movement of late stage larvae (Feng et al., 2011b). Individual months of rainfall data were examined to determine what periods the storms having the biggest impact on puerulus settlement. Monthly rainfall data ranged from 0 to 342 mm. Bottom water temperature The effect of bottom water temperature on the timing of spawning was examined as it is the most likely cue for the initiation of spawning (Chittleborough, 1976). An empirical time-series of seabed water temperatures in the spawning grounds was not available; therefore, model-derived estimates of seabed water temperatures were collated by combining outputs from two of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology/CSIRO’s data assimilating oceanographic models, BRAN and OceanMaps v1 for the periods prior and during the spawning period (Oke et al., 2008; Brassington et al., 2012). Outputs from the two models overlapped for a period of 14 months, i.e. BRAN spanned January 1993–April 2008 and OceanMaps October 2007–November 2011. This overlap period was used to develop a correction factor to scale the outputs from the OceanMaps v1 model to that from the BRAN model. Modelled water temperatures ranged from 17.4 to 20.38C. Statistical analysis Stock –recruitment– environment relationship Whether an SRR-E existed and in what form was examined by comparing annual variation in puerulus settlement, with a combination of indices, each previously identified as being capable of impacting on spawning or larval stages. A GLM was employed that utilized a log transformation for the puerulus and egg production indices to the skewed nature of their abundance distributions. The relationship between puerulus settlement and the factors was each examined individually and in combination. Whether the addition of factors contributed significantly to the overall model was assessed using an ANOVA. Multicoefficient models were simplified by removing components (main effects and/or interactions) if they contributed ,1% to the model’s overall R 2. Results Puerulus settlement The puerulus settlement time-series emphasizes the protracted period of very low settlement from 2006/2007 to 2012/2013, with the lowest level of settlement being recorded in 2008/2009 in all regions (Figure 2). Since this record low settlement, levels of settlement have increased, with the greatest increase occurring in the i52 S. de Lestang et al. Figure 2. Standardized mean puerulus settlement time-series from 1968/1969 to 2012/2013 in four regional areas [Dongara/Port Gregory (a), Abrolhos (b), Jurien/Lancelin (c), and Alkimos/Warnbro/Mentelle (d)] and all regions combined (e). The horizontal dotted line represents each time-series median between 1984/1985 and 2005/2006 season. central and northern coastal regions (Figure 2a), where settlement levels have increased to well above their historical medians in 2013/2014 for the first time in 8 years. The weakest of these increases has been in the offshore Abrolhos region, where levels are still just below the median level (Figure 2b). The timing of peak settlement varied markedly between seasons ranging from late September during the 1982/1983 season to early January in the 2012/2013 season (Figure 3). A smoothing of the time-series displayed a progressive trend, with the timing of settlement changing from being delayed (December) during the late Low puerulus settlement in the western rock lobster fishery of Western Australia i53 1960s/early 1970s, to variable between mid-October and midNovember in the 1980s then back to being late post 2010 (Figure 3). An important aspect of the recent decline in settlement has been the particularly low settlement during the early part of the season, August–October, which has historically (before 2008) been a period of good settlement. Puerulus–environment relationships Figure 3. Mean timing of peak puerulus settlement (black line) each season from 1968/1969 until 2013/2014. A five-point centred smoothed time-series is shown in grey. The timing of spawning recorded during the IBSS (measured by egg stage development) increased during the mid-2000s, with this index reaching its maximum in 2007 due to the presence of large numbers of mature females with eroded (used) spermatophoric masses and no external eggs (Figure 4a). This state indicates that many females had started reproduction very early and spawned before the survey. This 2007 spawning season corresponds to the 2008/ 2009 puerulus settlement, which was the lowest on record. Apart from 1994, the most years when the timing of spawning was early Figure 4. (a) Standardized mean (and 95% C.L.) timing of spawning between 1992 and 2014. (b) The relationship between the timing of spawning and the logarithm of puerulus settlement, with the years representing the puerulus settlement season. (c) Standardized mean (and 95% C.L.) egg production from the IBSSs. (d) Relationship between mean egg production and the logarithm of puerulus settlement, with the dotted line representing the fitted relationships between the two factors and puerulus settlement. i54 have occurred since 2004 (Figure 4a). This timing of spawning index displayed a significant (R 2 ¼ 0.23, d.f. ¼ 19, p ¼ 0.026) negative relationship with variation in the puerulus settlement during the subsequent settlement period (Figure 4b). Surveys conducted in years when the most mature females were yet to initiate spawning (as represented by a low index value of 0.2) generally coincided with years of above-average puerulus settlement. Egg production showed a general increase during the 1990s of 8%, followed by a similar decline down in the mid-2000s before increasing by 16% to record levels by 2012 (2013/2014 puerulus settlement year; Figure 4c). The most variation has been caused by major management changes introduced in 1993 and 2008, which reduced exploitation on the lobster stock, especially the spawning stock. The relationship between the magnitude of egg production and that of puerulus settlement in the following settlement season was very poor (R 2 ¼ 0.02, d.f. ¼ 18, p ¼ 0.60), with settlement remaining below average in 2011/2012 and 2012/2013 despite the record-high egg production at the time (Figure 4d). Since the timing of spawning showed a significant relationship with puerulus settlement, this index was then modelled in combination with environmental factors previously identified as being related to puerulus settlement (offshore SST in February and rainfall levels; Caputi et al., 2001) as well as the egg production index. S. de Lestang et al. The addition of rainfall data (as a main effect and interaction) into the model significantly improved its ability to fit the settlement data (Figure 5a). The months of rainfall data that most improved the model were May and October, i.e. at the start and end of the rainy season (Figure 5a). Since most months between these 2 months also increased the overall fit of the model (although not significantly), the entire period from May to October was combined to produce an annual index to represent the onshore storms fronts that the late larval stages and the puerulus stage would experience. This combined index significantly (Dd.f. ¼ 2, F ¼ 10.83, p , 0.001) increased the overall model fit, to a greater extent than any single month (Figure 5a). This mid-autumn to mid-spring period (May – October) was then used to develop a long-term time-series of rainfall (Figure 5b). This series showed a relatively large interannual variation, ranging from a maximum average monthly rainfall of 181 mm month21 in 1890 to a minimum of 47 mm month21 in 2006. The years containing the 20 highest average monthly rainfalls all occurred before 1965, whereas 9 of the 20 lowest rainfalls have occurred since 2000 (Figure 5b). The 5-year smoothed average applied to the index remained relatively steady between 1880 until 1960 with a monthly average of 100 mm month21. From 1970 through until the end of the century, this smoothed index dropped by 10% to 90 mm month21 before declining progressively from the early 2000s until Figure 5. (a) R 2 values from a model between the timing of spawning/mean coastal rainfall in each month (and a grouping of months May – October) and the puerulus settlement in that same year. The grey area represents the months chosen to develop a long-term rainfall index of May – October. *, **, and *** identify in which models the addition of rainfall data significantly (p , 0.05, 0.01, and 0.001, respectively) increased the models relationship. (b) Long-term time-series of coastal May – October rainfall between 1880 and 2013 with a 5-year rolling average shown. Low puerulus settlement in the western rock lobster fishery of Western Australia the current year of 2013 to its record low of 70 mm month21 (Figure 5b). SST during the early larval phase (February) has historically (1982– 2007) been a good indicator of strength of puerulus settlement that occurs later in the year, explaining 58% of the variation during this 26-year period. This correlation declined markedly with the addition of recent puerulus settlement data, explaining only 1% of the total variation when the years 2008/2009–2012/ 2013 were added. When both breeding time and SST in February (as a main effect and interaction) were combined into the same model, that model’s ability to fit the observed variation in puerulus settlement increased, but not significantly (DR 2 ¼ 0.135; Dd.f. ¼ 2, p ¼ 0.195) from a model with breeding time alone. When SST in February was added to the more complex model containing both timing of spawning and rainfall in May–October, there was a 7% increase in model fit from this addition, although it was just not significant (DR 2 ¼ 0.07; Dd.f. ¼ 1, p ¼ 0.09). Since the addition of SST was marginally significant in its improvement to the overall model and SST alone displayed such a strong correlation with puerulus settlement before 2008, even when the dataset was extended back to 1968 (Caputi et al., 2001), we considered it valid to retain this factor in the optimal model. Egg production levels (as a main effect and interaction) were also re-examined in combination with breeding time (DR 2 ¼ 0.03; Dd.f. ¼ 1, p ¼ 0.39), breeding time and rainfall in May– October (DR 2 ¼ 0.12; Dd.f. ¼ 4, p ¼ 0.20) and breeding time, rainfall in May–October, and SST in February (DR 2 ¼ 0.06; Dd.f. ¼ 3, p ¼ 0.33). Egg production levels did not significantly improve the model description in any of these combinations. The optimum model (breeding time, rainfall, and SST) explained 71% of the variation in puerulus settlement, including two marked increases that occurred in 1995/1996 and 2000/2001, the historical minimum in 2008/2009, and the dramatic increase in 2013/2014 (Table 1 and Figure 6a). The model contained a two-way interaction term between the timing of spawning and SST and a three-way interaction between all three main effects. These two interaction terms indicated that both rainfall and SST were positive influences under most typical spawning stage conditions, but had little impact when the spawning stage was early. The relationship between SST and settlement was greater in concert with high rainfall and dampened under conditions of low rainfall (Figure 6b). Variation in timing of spawning The timing of spawning (log-transformed) displayed a significant (R 2 ¼ 0.30, d.f. ¼ 17, p , 0.015) positive relationship with bottom water temperatures throughout the breeding stock areas (Figure 7). Table 1. Summary of the optimal model used to describe the variation in (log) puerulus settlement. Breeding time SST Btime:SST Btime:Rain:SST Constant Observations R2 Residual s.e. F-statistic *p , 0.001. Independent variable coefficients (s.e.): 15.713 (30.395) 0.577 (0.442) 21.382 (1.364) 0.006* (0.001) 28.183 (9.640) 21 0.707 0.637 (d.f. ¼ 16) 9.640 (d.f. ¼ 4; 16) i55 The coolest water temperature in the time-series was predicted in 2001 which coincided with the latest onset of spawning, whereas the most warm years displayed average to early timings for the onset of spawning. All 7 years (2005–2011) associated with a low puerulus settlement period, including the year when spawning started the earliest in 2007, coincided with above-average bottom water temperatures (Figure 7). Discussion and Conclusions Although levels of puerulus settlement have historically varied markedly between years, in the mid to late 2000s, the western rock lobster fishery received an extended period of below average levels of settlement including the lowest settlement on record in 2008/ 2009. This study showed that the timing of spawning (which is related to bottom ocean temperatures), coastal rainfall levels during late larval stages to peak settlement, and offshore water temperatures during the early larval phase collectively explain the most variation in the puerulus settlement. This relationship emphasizes the climate sensitivity of this species during its spawning and larval phase. The early spawning combined with the reduced storm activity (particularly during early winter) during the larval phase may have created a mismatch with the peak in food availability and/or larval transport mechanism back to the coast, as per the ‘match – mismatch’ hypothesis (Cushing, 1990). Under normal conditions, the enhanced ocean production in austral autumn/winter, the enhanced onshore flow that feeds the strengthened Leeuwin Current in austral winter, as well as winter storm activity support the onshore movement of the larvae. The strengthening Leeuwin Current in February –April and winter/spring storms that have historically been identified as affecting the level of settlement for over 35 years (Caputi et al., 2001) may both affect larval food availability and transport, so that a mismatch may be occurring due to the early spawning. Schmalenbach and Franke (2010) identified that an increasing decoupling of the larval peak from optimal external conditions that affected food availability would result in a serious problem for the European lobsters in the warming North Sea. This hypothesis needs to be explored further for the western rock lobster using the oceanographic larval model and environmental data. Timing of spawning Demersal water temperatures throughout the spawning grounds of P. cygnus during the start of spawning (about October) were identified as a factor that may be influencing the timing of the onset of spawning. Increases in water temperature in October since the mid-2000s may have resulted in an earlier onset of spawning that has coincided with the decline in puerulus settlement since 2006/ 2007. Studies on historical water temperature trends in WA have identified the lower west coast of Australia as a hotspot for water temperature increases over the last 40 –50 years (Pearce and Feng, 2007). Increases were found to be particularly high in the austral autumn –winter period with little or no increases evident in the spring –summer period (Caputi et al., 2009). However, the bottom water temperature in the lobster spawning grounds during October obtained from oceanographic models shows a possible increasing trend since the early 1990s. This increase may reflect that in the strength of the Leeuwin Current since the early 1990s which has been described as a result of decadal climate variation in the Pacific (Feng et al., 2010), further enhancing the general increase in water temperature that has been occurring off the lower west coast of Australia (Pearce and Feng, 2007; Caputi et al., 2009). These two drivers of ocean temperature may have important i56 S. de Lestang et al. Figure 6. (a) Observed (black) and estimated +1 s.d (grey) standardized puerulus settlement between 1993/1994 and 2013/2014 seasons. (b) The relationship between the timing of spawning (year t) and the subsequent level of puerulus settlement (year t + 1/t + 2) under good environmental conditions (high rainfall and SST in year t + 1) and poor environmental conditions. Seasons shown represent the puerulus settlement seasons in high (grey) and low (black) rainfall years, with high SST years identified by grey circles. long-term implications for the rock lobster fishery since the increases in water temperature under the decadal climate variation may be expected to revert back to previous levels under periods of weaker Leeuwin Current, and the future projections are for a longterm weakening of the current (Feng et al., 2012). However under the greenhouse gas-induced global warming, long-term increases of water temperature would not be expected to be reversed soon. Winter storms Figure 7. Relationship between the modelled bottom water temperatures throughout the breeding stock areas of the fishery in October and the index of timing of spawning in that same year. Storms (measured by rainfall and associated with westerly winds) in late winter/spring have historically been shown to be positively related to puerulus settlement (Caputi and Brown, 1993). They assessed the rainfall for the 22 years, 1969/1970–1990/1991, although the current study has examined the most recent 21 years, 1993/1994–2013/2014, as onset of spawning is only available for this period. The significance of winter storms in these two separate periods covering over 40 years confirms the importance of this factor on the settlement. Westerly wind patterns during the 2010/ 2011 settlement season have been unusual, with the westerly component being far weaker than average. This is reflected by the second lowest winter/spring rainfall on record in 2010, with 2006 having Low puerulus settlement in the western rock lobster fishery of Western Australia the lowest rainfall on record. It is likely that these conditions were adverse for the 2006/2007 and 2010/2011 puerulus settlement. Previous studies have identified rainfall during July to November as being a significant factor affecting puerulus settlement (Caputi and Brown, 1993; Caputi et al., 2001). However, in this study, the rainfall between May and October when combined with the breeding time index provided a better fit to the variation in puerulus settlement since the early 1990s including the recent years of low settlement. Rainfall represents an index of storm activity affecting the lower west coast of WA, which influences the water vapour transport and is generally associated with westerly winds that may help transport the larvae back to the coast. The rainfall time-series for May–October shows a declining trend since the early 2000s with many of the lowest values occurring since this period. This decline is part of a long-term trend of declining rainfall in the southwest of WA that has intensified in the last 10 years and is expected to continue (IOCI, 2012). The IOCI study has demonstrated that storm development has reduced in the mid-latitudes but increased in the higher latitudes (50–708S) with the net result of fewer storms affecting southwest WA. Egg production The early management intervention in 2008, before the low puerulus settlement year-classes reached legal-size, has resulted in a record level of breeding stock in recent years (2011 –2013) as measured by the fishery-independent spawning stock survey, which is also supported by the model assessment of egg production. The effect of this level of egg production on the poor 2012/2013 and very high 2013/2014 puerulus settlements provides some insights on the effect of breeding stock on settlement. This relationship indicates that spawning stock is not a dominant factor, providing little contribution when modelled against puerulus settlement singularly or in combination with other factors. Relationship with decadal and longer term climate trends The Leeuwin Current has historically been identified as a key factor affecting the level of puerulus settlement, therefore understanding its long-term trend is important. The Leeuwin Current variability is essentially driven by the variations and changes in Pacific equatorial easterly winds: the Leeuwin Current has experienced a strengthening trend during the past two decades, which has almost reversed the weakening trend during 1960s to early 1990s (Feng et al., 2010, 2011a). Currently, most climate models project a weakening trend of the Pacific trade winds and a reduction in the Leeuwin Current strength (as well as the Indonesian Throughflow) in response to greenhouse gas forcing over the next century. Whereas the greenhouse gas forcing induced changes may be obvious in the long-term climate projection (such as 2100), natural decadal climate variations still need to be taken into account for assessment of short-term climate projection, e.g. 2030s (Feng et al., 2012). The strengthening of the Leeuwin Current in recent decades may have increased the southward warm water transport and bottom water temperature on the continental shelf off the west coast of Australia. In addition, the expansion of the tropics due to global warming may have pushed mid-latitude storm activity southward, reducing wave-induced onshore movement off the west coast in austral winter. Taking into account the status of the breeding stock and variations in the Leeuwin Current and the fact that the settlement has remained low for an extended period, a long-term change in the environmental conditions may be the main cause of the recent levels of poor puerulus settlement. The increasing i57 bottom water temperature that may be influencing the start of spawning and the decline in winter storms are probably both influenced by long-term climate change trends that may continue to affect the settlement into the future. It will be interesting to see whether the very good settlement that has occurred in 2013/2014 heralds the return to an improved settlement period or whether it represents a short-term spike. These will need to be closely monitored. From a downscaling model simulation, SST may increase by 18C in the next 50 years; in the meantime the strength of the Leeuwin Current may reduce by 15% (Chamberlain et al. 2012; Sun et al., 2012). An examination of the eddy energetics in the downscaling model suggests that the eddies will be less energetic in the future climate, due to the reduction in the Leeuwin Current strength, which may also affect the ocean primary production in the region (R. Matear, pers. comm.; Matear et al., 2013). Climate model projections suggest that precipitation in southwestern Australia will continue to fall in the future due to further expansion of the tropics and poleward shift of the storm activity (IPCC, 2013). While the reduction in the Leeuwin Current may cancel some of the effects of the increasing ocean temperature, the reduction in the Leeuwin Current eddy energetics and storm activity off the coast may still cause the mismatch between the spawning/settlement and the physical environment. Continued monitoring of the physical environment, including shelf bottom temperature and settlement numbers, is crucial to understanding the sustainability of the fishery. Conclusions The onset of spawning combined with rainfall during May–October and offshore SSTexplains a significant proportion (0.71) of the variation in puerulus settlement since the early 1990s and provides a plausible hypothesis to explain the decline in puerulus settlement in recent years. This relationship and that of the extended model that includes egg production and SST and their interactions need to be verified with additional years of data to see whether the relationships are maintained. The assessment of the possible contribution of a long-term environmental factor(s) to the low puerulus settlement enables the stock assessment model to factor the low settlement into its assessment, so that management and industry can take this into account in future planning. The fishery has been proactive in its adaptation to the low puerulus settlement by implementing early management actions to reduce fishing effort and catch before the low puerulus year classes recruited to the fishery. This has resulted in a lower exploitation rate on the spawning stock as well as achieving a carry-over of legal lobsters into the poor year-class years. 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OCLC 3058187. 688 pp. Handling editor: Claire Paris ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i59 –i68. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsu199 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article Settlement and early survival of southern rock lobster, Jasus edwardsii, under climate-driven decline of kelp habitats Iván A. Hinojosa 1*, Bridget S. Green1, Caleb Gardner 1, and Andrew Jeffs 2 1 Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Nubeena Crescent, Taroona, TAS 7053, Australia Leigh Marine Laboratory, Institute of Marine Science, University of Auckland, P.O Box 349, Warkworth, New Zealand 2 *Corresponding author: tel: +61 3 6227 7277; fax: +61 3 6227 8035 e-mail: [email protected], [email protected] Hinojosa, I. A., Green, B. S., Gardner, C., and Jeffs, A. Settlement and early survival of southern rock lobster, Jasus edwardsii, under climate-driven decline of kelp habitats. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i59 – i68. Received 28 August 2014; revised 14 October 2014; accepted 16 October 2014; advance access publication 14 November 2014. Kelp habitats provide food, refuge, and enhance the recruitment of commercially important marine invertebrates. The southern rock lobster, Jasus edwardsii, supports valuable fisheries in southern Australia and New Zealand. Kelp habitats once covered large areas of inshore reef around Tasmania, Australia, but coverage has reduced over the last few decades due to climate change, especially off the eastern coast of the island. We investigated whether the kelp influences the settlement of lobster post-larvae to artificial collectors and how the presence of kelp affected the overnight predation on the early benthic phase (EBP). Settlement of lobster was tracked over 6 months using crevice collectors that had either natural or artificial giant kelp, Macrocystis pyrifera attached, or nothing attached (control). Collectors with natural kelp had higher catches than those with artificial kelp or controls (p ¼ 0.003), which suggested enhanced settlement through chemical attraction. Additionally, we measured overnight predation of the EBP in barren and kelp habitats individually tethered to artificial shelters. The kelp habitat was dominated by brown macroalgal species of Ecklonia radiata, Phyllospora comosa, and M. pyrifera, while the barren was devoid of macroalgae. Survival of the EBP was higher (40%) in the kelp habitat than in the barren habitat (10%) due to differences in predation (p ¼ 0.016). These results suggest that the kelp habitat improves the recruitment of J. edwardsii and that decline in this habitat may affect local lobster productivity along the east coast of Tasmania. Keywords: climate change, early survival, Jasus edwardsii, kelp forest, Macrocystis, settlement. Introduction The availability of suitable habitats for settlement in coastal waters can be a bottleneck in recruitment of important fisheries species (Wahle and Steneck, 1991; Sheaves et al., 2014). On temperate marine reefs, the loss of productive kelp forest is one of the most dramatic ecosystem shifts reported (Filbee-Dexter and Scheibling, 2014). This ecosystem change affects local species diversity, produces changes in foodwebs, reduces available habitat for small organisms, and can also have localized impacts on the productivity of important fishery resources (Byrnes et al., 2011; Harley et al., 2012). The southern rock lobster, Jasus edwardsii, supports valuable fisheries in southern Australia and in New Zealand. Females release between 50 000 and 500 000 larvae per year (Green et al., # International 2009), which spend 18 –24 months as phyllosoma stages and are widely dispersed by ocean currents (Booth and Phillips, 1994; Bruce et al., 2007). The final stage phyllosoma metamorphose to a puerulus (post-larva), which can actively migrate into the coastal habitat (Jeffs et al., 2005). The mechanism by which the pueruli move inshore to settle is unclear, but it is thought to involve a combination of natural onshore advection and active onshore migration (Jeffs et al., 2005; Linnane et al., 2010a). Puerulus monitoring of J. edwardsii on artificial collectors has been undertaken across their distribution range for 30 –40 years and their settlement trends have been correlated with the fishable biomass in some specific regions (Gardner et al., 2001; Booth and McKenzie, 2009; Linnane et al., 2010b, 2014). The first few days immediately post-settlement in J. edwardsii (early benthic phase, EBP) is a period of high Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2014. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i60 mortality due to predation by fish, octopus, crabs, and other lobsters (Edmunds, 1995; Mills et al., 2006, 2008). Therefore, the availability of suitable habitats and shelters for EBP during this time could greatly affect their survival and recruitment, as occurs in other lobster species (Butler et al., 2006). Southeastern Australia is one of the fastest warming coastal areas in the southern hemisphere, warming three to four times faster than the global average (Hobday and Pecl, 2014). An intensification of the South Pacific Gyre has been suggested as the main cause (Ridgway, 2007), where the warm and nutrient-poor East Australian Current (EAC) is extending further south towards the eastern Tasmanian coast (Figure 1) (Johnson et al., 2011). The intensification of the EAC to Tasmania has resulted in the southward range extension of some marine species as well as benthic habitat changes, such as the depletion of kelp habitats and changes in their algal composition (Johnson et al., 2011). Beds of giant kelp, Macrocystis pyrifera, off eastern Tasmania were once extensive enough to be harvested commercially (Sanderson, 1987), but have declined dramatically over the last 30 years (Figure 1; Johnson et al., 2011). This decline in giant kelp is believed to have been caused by the increasing influence of the EAC with nutrient-poor and warm waters (Johnson et al. 2011). Kelp habitats on reefs of eastern Tasmania have also been affected by grazing of the Australian long-spined sea urchin, Centrostephanus rodgersii, which has extended its range southward as the EAC has strengthened (Ling and Johnson, 2009). This range extension is the result of pulses of larval input from populations to the north of Tasmania over the past 30 years (Ling et al., 2008; Johnson et al., 2011). At high density, C. rodgersii overgrazes the productive macroalgal habitat, including reef previously dominated by M. pyrifera, so that areas of bare rock reef are created, which are known as barrens habitat (e.g. Flukes et al., 2012). In northeast Tasmania these urchin I. A. Hinojosa et al. barrens can cover 50% of nearshore rocky reef, although the barrens are not occurring yet towards the south or on the west coast of Tasmania (Johnson et al., 2011). In northeastern Tasmania there is also a negative relationship between the abundance of the urchin, C. rodgersii, and the abundance of the subadult lobsters of J. edwardsii, which is causing concerns for the potential impact of this habitat change on lobster productivity (Johnson et al., 2011). The EBPs of J. edwardsii actively search for food and shelter (horizontal holes and crevices) in rocky reef at night when they are active (Butler et al., 1999; Booth, 2001; Hayakawa and Nishida, 2002). Also, the EBP eat small invertebrates that commonly inhabit marine vegetation (Edmunds, 1995; Mills et al., 2006). In this context, kelp could also offer protection from predation during periods of nocturnal activity, as well as a potential source of food because of their associated fauna. However, the relative importance of kelp habitat depletion on the recruitment of J. edwardsii has not been tested. Here we examine whether the giant kelp attracts settling pueruli and whether the kelp habitat offers protection from predation during the nocturnal activity of EBP. Material and methods We undertook two field experiments to examine the importance of the kelp habitat on settlement and nocturnal predation of southern rock lobster, J. edwardsii. The first experiment tested whether the presence of M. pyrifera influences settlement of pueruli. The second experiment compared the overnight survival of the EBPs in a habitat with kelp species (i.e. Ecklonia radiata plus Phyllospora comosa and M. pyrifera) contrasted to a habitat that was barren of all macroalgal species due to overgrazing by urchins. Figure 1. The main oceanographic currents around Tasmania (during winter when most settlement occurs) and the change in the extent of the visible surface canopy of M. pyrifera in five regions (a) – (e) on the east coast of Tasmania, 1940 – 2007. Bicheno and Fortescue Bay are the sites where the settlement and the predation experiments were done, respectively. Oceanographic currents based on Cresswell (2000). Visible surface canopy of M. pyrifera as reported by Johnson et al. (2011). Settlement and early survival of southern rock lobster, Jasus edwardsii i61 Giant kelp and J. edwardsii settlement: experiment design sampled separately using individual mesh bags. No pueruli or EBP were found on kelp, or kelp holdfast, so sampling was simplified to include the kelp and the collector in the same bag. Pueruli and EBP of different developmental stages were found on the collectors. The first three pueruli stages were categorized as S1–S3, and the first and the second instar juveniles were categorized as J1 and J2 (or EBP) according to the schema of Booth (2001): S1’s are completely clear pueruli (without any pigmentation on the body); S2’s are clear but with a visible hepatopancreas (white); and S3’s have pigmented exoskeletons. J1 and J2’s occur after the moult from puerulus which is apparent by the change in morphology of the pleopods, which are shorter as they are no longer used for forward swimming. J1’s and J2’s are the first clearly benthic phase which are fully pigmented and the two categories were separated by size, as there is a moult between these stages (J2’s .15 mm cephalothorax length). To evaluate whether M. pyrifera attracts pueruli of J. edwardsii, we conducted an experiment on settlement onto crevice collectors at Bicheno (41852.3′ S; 148818.1′ E) (Figure 1). The crevice collectors were similar in design to that described and illustrated by Booth and Tarring (1986) and are used in Australia for monthly pueruli monitoring programmes (e.g. Linnane et al., 2014). A total of 18 crevice collectors were used with three treatments: six with natural giant kelp attached—testing for visual, chemical, and structural cues; six with artificial giant kelp (http://www.pangea.dk/)— testing for visual and structural cues; and six collectors with no attachments, as controls. The artificial kelp is used for large public aquariums. The fronds were made of an extruded polyethylene plastic and the stipes consisted in a mix of 50% of polyethylene and 50% ethylene vinyl acetate, both of food-grade standard. The artificial kelp was created by computer scanning a natural M. pyrifera from California, USA, which was used for preparing the production moulds that replicated the structure and colour of the upper parts of the plant but not the holdfast. Two complete natural young sporophytes of giant kelp including their holdfasts, or two artificial giant kelp, were attached onto each collector using cable ties (two stipes per collector). Both natural and artificial kelp were 150 cm long and were replaced every month by fresh natural kelp or conditioned artificial kelp. Artificial kelp was conditioned by leaving it for at least 1 month in an indoor tank with flowthrough seawater. Collectors were checked each month and kelp was replaced with new young sporophytes of giant kelp. These were removed using dive knives from natural reef at 3 – 5 m depth via snorkelling at Blackmans Bay (4380.5′ S; 147819.7′ E; Figure 1). In the laboratory they were rinsed with seawater to remove epiphytes and grazers, and were maintained in running seawater for 15 –20 h before to transport in a plastic drum with 80 l seawater to the experimental collectors at Bicheno. Crevice collectors were arranged on a sandy bottom at 5 m depth in three parallel rows or lines (A, B, and C) and six columns (Figure 2A). Each line (row) and column had the three treatments (natural kelp, artificial kelp, and control, Figure 2A). Two collectors with the same treatment were placed next to each other (3 m apart) in the same line. Collectors with different treatments were spaced 4 m apart (Figure 2A). The treatments on collectors were repositioned in a sequence to moving to the left each month after servicing to randomize any potential spatial effect from their position in the grid or from the individual collector (Figure 2A). This spatial design of three lines (A, B, and C) and six collectors per treatment followed the guidance of Phillips et al., (2001, 2005), which controlled for the spatial effect on pueruli catches on collectors (i.e. corner and line effect). This included following the recommendation that at least two lines of collectors and at least twice that the number of columns were required (see statistical analysis). Pueruli catches were recorded from 16 July to 18 December 2013, commencing 1 month after the collectors and treatments were first installed (see Gardner et al., 2001). Collectors were serviced by divers who first placed a mesh bag around each collector including the kelp treatment. The collectors were then hauled to the surface for counting the catch of pueruli and EBP and to clean fouling. Each sample was conducted during the third week of the calendar month, which was normally close to the full moon in this experiment. In a pilot experiment conducted in the previous year, the kelp (natural and artificial) attached to the collectors and the collectors were Giant kelp and J. edwardsii settlement: statistical analysis We primarily examined whether there were differences in lobster catches (pueruli and EBP) on collectors due to their spatial arrangement using three independent one-way ANOVA analyses (Figure 2A). These tests were performed to identify whether spatial distribution of collectors could confound the statistical analysis of treatment. In these exploratory tests of spatial layout, catches were analysed independently of collector treatments and months, but these factors were included in the final analysis. ANOVAs treated the collector lines (A, B and C) and columns (1–6) as factors (Figure 2A). We also replicated the approach used by Phillips et al. (2001) to examine the “neighbour effect” with categories of collectors with two (corner collectors), three (collectors in the outer lines; Line A and C) and with four neighbours (i.e. collectors in line B). All datasets were transformed using log(x + 1), to achieve equal variances and normality from this count data. As the number of lobsters on the collectors varied by line (p ¼ 0.002), but not by column (p ¼ 0.663), and the “neighbour effect” was not detected (p ¼ 0.135) (Table 1) a generalized linear model (GLM) was used to evaluate differences in lobster catches among collector treatments including collector line as a factor (see Randomized Block design in Quinn and Keough, 2002). The full GLM thus included factors of collector line (A, B, and C), treatment (natural, artificial kelp, and control), and month (July to December). ANOVA tests and GLM were conducted using R (R Development Core Team, 2008). Differences between treatments and through time in the proportion of the different developmental stages of the pueruli encountered on the collectors was tested using two-way contingency tables to establish whether the treatment may influence the timing of development of pueruli or their retention after settlement. One table considered the treatments on the collectors (natural and artificial kelp, and control) and pueruli stages (S1 –S3, and Juveniles) as variables. In a second table, month (July to December) and puerulus stage (S1 –S3, and Juveniles) were considered as variables. The interactions between these variables were not considered in these analyses to simplify the results and interpretation. However, a graphical representation of all data are reported. Kelp habitat and J. edwardsii early survival Survival rate of the EBPs of J. edwardsii was compared in kelp and in urchin barren habitats by tethering juveniles (J1) to artificial shelters located in both habitats. The experiment was done in August 2013 (Austral winter) at Fortescue Bay (4388.4′ S; 147858.0′ E; Figure 1) i62 I. A. Hinojosa et al. Figure 2. Schema of the experimental set-ups: (A) arrays of crevice collectors at Bicheno used to examine the effect of Macrocystis (artificial and natural Macrocystis, and Control) on the catch rate of lobster (pueruli plus early-stage juveniles). The collectors were arranged in three rows (collector lines) parallel with the shore line (A, B, and C, respectively) and in six columns. Each collector lines and column had three treatments, respectively. The position of the treatments was repositioned each month to the left (as indicated by arrow). (B) The camera system and artificial shelter used to evaluate the survival of the EBP at Fortescue Bay. Insert photo shows the EBP and the position of the monofilament tether. on rocky reef at 10 m depth. The kelp habitat was dominated by brown macroalgae species of the common kelp, E. radiata (70%); the crayweed, P. comosa (20%); and M. pyrifera (10%), while the urchin barren was devoid of macroalgae. Artificial shelters were used to standardize variation in natural crevice structure between habitats following Mislan and Babcock (2008), Mills et al. (2008), and Weiss et al. (2008) designs. The artificial shelters were constructed with two PVC tubes of 25 mm diameter and a PVC elbow to form an “L” shape with a base of 75 mm length and a height of 120 mm (Figure 2B). The base tube was blocked inside with a plastic barrier to create a shelter of 25 mm diameter × 75 mm length, which was similar in size to holes used by EBP on natural substrate (Edmunds, 1995; Butler et al., 1999). The shelter was attached to a 1 kg dive lead with cable ties. A steel rod was attached to the top of the L-shaped pipe with a swivel at the tip and secured using electrical insulation tape. Electrical insulation tape was wrapped around the structure to cover any gaps that could otherwise be used by EBPs. All the artificial shelters were placed in a tank with running seawater for 1 month before use to enable surface fouling to develop. i63 Settlement and early survival of southern rock lobster, Jasus edwardsii Table 1. Independent ANOVA analyses of the effect of collector orientation (columns and lines), and “neighbour effect” on J. edwardsii pueruli catch rate (replicates were a single monthly sample from a single collector). Analysis ANOVA Data ¼ log10(x + 1) Factors Lines Source of variation Between groups Residual Total Tukey test C vs. A C vs. B B vs. A d.f. 2 105 107 Power ¼ 0.050: 0.842 Diff Means 0.226 0.0533 0.173 SS 1.004 8.298 9.302 MS 0.502 0.079 F 6.349 p 3 3 3 q 4.82 1.137 3.683 P 0.003 0.702 0.028 P 0.002 ANOVA Data ¼ log10(x + 1) Columns Source of variation Between groups Residual Total d.f. 5 102 107 Power ¼ 0.050: 0.050 SS 0.287 9.015 9.302 MS 0.057 0.088 F 0.649 P 0.663 ANOVA Data ¼ log10(x + 1) Neighbour Source of variation Between groups Residual Total d.f. 2 105 107 Power ¼ 0.050: 0.218 SS 0.348 8.954 9.302 MS 0.174 0.085 F 2.041 P 0.135 Lines (A, B, and C), columns (1–6), and number of collector next to each other (2, 3, and 4) were considered as factors in three independent analyses. Line A was close to the shore and line C to seaward (see Figure 2A). Significant values in bold. Pueruli used for the experiment were collected in July 2013 from Bicheno using the crevice collectors and the method described above. The animals were transported in seawater in an 80 l plastic drum then maintained in a 400 l tank with flow-through seawater. After the pueruli reached the J1 stage they were fed with open mussels ad libitum. Only J1 stages were used in this experiment (n ¼ 70; 11.05 + 0.16 mm CL, mean + SE). Tethers were attached to the EBP using the method described in Mislan and Babcock (2008). A 250 mm long monofilament nylon line (0.25 mm diameter, 2.7 kg breaking strength) was tied to the cephalothorax of the EBP between the 4th and 5th pairs of periopods and fixed to the cephalothorax with a drop of cyanoacrylate glue (Figure 2B). This tether was then attached to the swivel on the rod at the top of the shelter. Tethering from the top of shelter allowed the EBP to move between the inside of the shelter and around the seabed within a circular area of 100 mm of radius. EBP were attached to shelters in the laboratory at least 24 h before being transferred to the experimental site at Fortescue Bay in 70 l containers with seawater. Divers randomly placed the shelters with the EBP attached into the kelp and urchin barren habitats. The entrance to each shelter with the EBP inside was blocked with a piece of E. radiata during deployment and this was removed around 30 min before sunset at around 5:40 pm. Divers returned the following morning around 30 min after sunrise at around 6:45 am and recorded whether the EBP remained in the artificial shelter. Three runs of the experiment were conducted over three nights during 1 week. On the first night, 15 units were placed in each habitat treatment; on the second night 8 and 7 units were allocated to kelp and barren, respectively, and on the third night 12 and 13 were allocated, respectively. Tethers clearly restrict the escape behaviour of the EBP so results do not provide an estimate of absolute survival but rather an indication of relative differences in survival between habitats. Bias in relative estimates from tethering can occur where a predation event occurs through facilitation for an uncommon predator. This was evaluated previously in this species by Mills et al. (2008) who made a special note of predation by crabs because they used the tether to “reel in” EBP so these events were excluded from their analyses. In these experiments we reduced the problem of predation by crabs through the overhead tethering design and also used video to observe predators as recommended by Mills et al. (2008). This was conducted using Go-ProTM cameras quipped with extra battery capacity (www.gopro.com), and illuminated using a dive torch with a red filter (Figure 2B). The red filter was an INON red Filter LE or a red cellophane paper. The cellophane filter was based on the Kodak Wratten Gelatin Filter #29 which transmits light at .600 nm, which is outside the visible spectrum of lobsters and octopus (e.g. Weiss et al., 2006). Cameras were set on time lapse and recorded every 5 s. Fourteen EBPs in the kelp habitat and 11 EBPs in the barren habitat were video monitored (03:26 + 0:24 h × EBP21 and 02:44 + 00:23 h × EBP21, respectively, mean + SE). We tested whether the survival of the EBP was different between the two habitats with a simple goodness-of-fit test using an equal survival in both habitat as the expected frequency (Quinn and Keough, 2002). The data were pooled from the three sampling runs undertaken within the same week and were considered as the observed frequency in the test (Quinn and Keough, 2002). The effect of habitat type on the mean per cent of time that the EBP spent inside the shelter was determined with a t-test using data derived from analyses of video recordings, with each deployment providing a single sample and considering the total time of the video or when the EBP was predated. The proportional data were transformed taking the arcsine of the square root of the data (Zar, 2010). Results Effect of kelp on settlement A total of 488 pueruli and EBP were caught within 18 crevice collectors over 6 months. The position of collector lines influenced the number of lobsters caught (p ¼ 0.001, Table 2). Line A, which i64 I. A. Hinojosa et al. Table 2. Generalized lineal model on the number of lobsters per collector considering months (July – December), treatments (natural kelp— NAT; control of no kelp—CON; and artificial kelp—ART) and collector lines (A– C) as factors. Analysis GLM (quasi Poisson) data ¼ log10(x + 1) Factors Months Treatments Lines Source of variation NULL Months Treatments Lines D.F. Deviance 0.895 1.348 1.591 d.f. 107 102 100 98 Residual 19.105 18.210 16.862 15.271 5 2 2 Linear hypotheses NAT—CON NAT—ART CON—ART Estimate 20.317 0.244 20.072 Std. error 0.100 0.098 0.106 z value 23.172 2.498 20.687 Pr(.|z|) 0.004 0.033 0.771 P 0.180 0.003 0.001 Significant values in bold. was closest to the coast, caught significantly fewer lobsters (3.14 + 0.45, mean + SE) than the line B and C (4.94 + 0.66; 5.47 + 0.59; p , 0.05, Tables 1 and 2). Treatment had an effect, with significantly larger numbers of lobsters on collectors with the natural kelp treatment (5.97 + 0.64, mean + SE) than the control collectors (3.47 + 0.44; p ¼ 0.004; Table 2 and Figure 3). The collectors with natural kelp also had more lobsters than the collectors with artificial kelp (4.11 + 0.64; p ¼ 0.033; Table 2). These patterns were consistent during time and there were no differences in catches among months (p ¼ 0.180; Table 2 and Figure 3). Over the 6 months of sampling, 215 lobsters were caught in the collectors with natural kelp treatment (44%), 148 (30%) in artificial kelp, and 125 (26%) on the control collectors. Puerulus development stages on collectors The development stage of pueruli was similar among treatments (x 2 ¼ 8.73; p ¼ 0.189; Figure 4A and B), but different between sampling months (x 2 ¼ 79.24; p , 0.001; Figure 4A and B). This difference appeared to be mainly driven by changes in the proportion of the clear pueruli (S1) and juvenile lobsters (J1 and J2). Clear pueruli were absent in September and their proportion was higher in July and in November (Figure 4B). The proportion of juvenile lobsters was lower during July and much higher in September and October (Figure 4B). Kelp forest and post-settlement survival Overnight survival of the EBP in this experiment was very low with ,50% over each single night of the experiment. Tethered EBPs had higher overnight survival in the kelp environment (42.9%) than in the urchin barren (11.4%) (x 2 ¼ 6.37; p ¼ 0.016, Figure 5). The shelter occupancy (proportion of time that the EBP spend inside the shelter) was similar between habitats (31.4 + 10.6% in kelp habitat and 61.3 + 14.1% in urchin barren, mean + SE) (t ¼ 2 1.579; d.f. ¼ 23; p ¼ 0.128). However, the statistical power of the analysis was 0.203, which was below the desired power of 0.800 (Cohen, 1988). Only one predator in the urchin barren was clearly identified from video recordings which was a rosy wrasse (Pseudolabrus rubicundus), with predation occurring before sunset. Non-lethal interactions with five fish species and two crab species with tethered EPB were recorded with pueruli successfully using the shelter to avoid predation (Table 3). From these non-lethal interactions, wrasse species appeared only in daylight, whereas the cod and the cardinal fish were more active during the night (Table 3). Additionally, when the EBP were stalked by fish species, they remained inside the shelter, and when the EBP were stalked by crab they escaped by a quick backward swim response Figure 3. Mean (and standard error) of the number of J. edwarsii caught per collector treatment between July and December of 2013 (see Table 2 for statistical analysis). (Supplementary material, Video S1). A predation event by another labridae fish, the yellow-saddled wrasse (Notolabrus fucicola), was identified by the presence of the monofilament tether line and swivel in their mouth—this was observed by the diver rather than captured on video (Supplementary material, Photo S2). Discussion The results suggest that recruitment of J. edwardsii is enhanced in kelp habitat. Catches of the pueruli and EBP on collectors with the giant kelp M. pyrifera were higher than controls, suggesting that coverage of giant kelp on natural reef would attract pueruli to settle. Overnight survival of tethered EBP was also higher in kelp environment where an inherent quality that we have not identified, such as the structural complexity of this habitat, or differences in habitat-associated predators, reduced the predation events. Climate change-induced loss of the kelp habitat would thus be expected to affect settlement and subsequent recruitment of lobsters to this valuable fishery (Johnson et al., 2011). Settlement processes in J. edwardsii The metamorphosis from phyllosoma to puerulus stage occurs far offshore from coastal reefs and has been detected beyond the continental shelf (Jeffs et al., 2001). The mechanisms that pueruli use to return to coastal reef is poorly understood, but there is evidence that they orientate shoreward with long-distance cues and active swimming in combination with physical transport (Jeffs et al., 2005; Linnane et al., 2010a). Pueruli of J. edwardsii, as other spiny lobsters, have sensory mechanisms that allow them to perceive and use multiple cues from their environment to guide their swimming, including celestial, wind, acoustic, and magnetic cues (Jeffs Settlement and early survival of southern rock lobster, Jasus edwardsii i65 Figure 4. (A) Proportion of the different development stages of pueruli and juveniles of J. edwardsii collected between July and December of 2013 from three treatments on crevice collectors. (B) Contingency table results over months [critical value of chi-square (0.05, 15) ¼ 25.0] and treatments [critical value of chi-square (0.05, 6) ¼ 12.6]. (+) and (2) represent the observed frequencies above and below the expected frequencies (chi-square values .5, respectively). et al., 2005; Kough et al., 2014). Of particular interest for this study, laboratory experiments with P. argus showed that pueruli could identify coastal waters and they would actively select these waters in choice experiments suggesting the use of chemical cues (Goldstein and Butler, 2009). Once the pueruli of J. edwardsii reach coastal waters, they may also use local cues to identify the settlement habitat, as do other several decapod crustacean species (Gebauer et al., 2003; Stanley et al., 2010). Observed higher pueruli settlement on collectors with the natural kelp, M. pyrifera, than collectors with plastic kelp and controls suggested that pueruli were receptive to chemical cues from the kelp, in addition to the physical structure of kelp. This local chemical attraction may guide the pueruli to locate a hole and/or crevice to settle, or attract them from surrounding habitats. The time that the J. edwardsii puerulus (S1) takes to moult to juvenile (J1) has been estimated to be between 1 –3 weeks depending on temperature (Booth and Stewart, 1993; Fitzgibbon et al., 2014), i66 I. A. Hinojosa et al. although it could be affected by some chemical and physical cues from the habitat (e.g. Gebauer et al., 2003; Stanley et al., 2011). For example, reduction in the time to moult in pueruli of P. argus has been reported in response to the presence of chemical cues from the red macroalgae, Laurencia spp., which dominates their settlement habitat in Florida, USA (Goldstein and Butler, 2009). If the giant kelp expedites the time to moult in J. edwardsii we could expect a difference in the proportion of the pueruli stages according with the treatments in our collectors. However, we did not find any difference of the pueruli stages among our collector treatments suggesting no effect on the time to moult within a monthly sampling. Post-settlement predation on J. edwardsii Structured habitats such as seagrass beds, mangroves, corals, mussels, and kelp can provide the necessary resources and environmental conditions to facilitate the settlement and survival of many other species, including those of commercial importance (Grutter and Irving, 2007; Halpern et al., 2007; Almanza et al., 2012). For example, it is well established that mangroves enhance the settlement of some fish species where the two most important pressures governing this habitat selection are the risk of predation and the availability of food (e.g. Laegdsgaard and Johnson, 2001). In addition, direct predatory avoidance behaviour has been reported as an important driver to settle in some competent decapod larvae (Tapia-Lewin and Pardo, 2014). Our results suggest that kelp habitat may provide some predator protection, or there is a reduction of the potential predators for J. edwardsii. The EBP of J. edwardsii inhabit small holes and crevices scaled to their body size, and forage only at night across small areas to reduce encounter rates with predators (Edmunds, 1995; Butler et al., 1999). Our experiment mimics nocturnal emergence and offered standardized artificial shelters similar to natural holes to avoid variation in this factor between kelp and urchin habitats. We found that the overnight predation of tethered EBP was lower in the kelp environment than in the urchin barren, indicating that the kelp habitat reduces predation encounters possibly by obstructing prey detection and also changing the ability of predators to manoeuvre and capture prey (e.g. Syms and Jones, 2000; Rogers et al., 2014). This pattern of reduced predation risk with increased structural complexity appears a general pattern observed in kelp habitats (Villegas et al., 2008; Kovalenko et al., 2012). The presence of kelp is also likely to increase the availability of food for juvenile lobsters (Caputi et al., 2013) and modify the predator composition and abundance (Pérez-Matus and Shima, 2010), although these factors were not directly examined in our experiments. Climate changes and fishery implications in Tasmania Figure 5. Proportion of tethered EBP of J. edwardsii surviving in kelp and urchin barren habitats. Numbers in parentheses are replicates. Critical value of chi square (0.05, 1) ¼ 3.8. (+) and (2) represent the observed frequencies above and below the expected frequencies (chi-square values .3, respectively). Our experiments confirm that settlement of J. edwardsii involves active searching (Booth, 2001) and that local settlement is increased by the presence of giant kelp. In addition, during the solitary and cryptic phase of EBP, kelp habitat reduced predation, possibly through modification of the suite of associated predators or their ability to successfully capture EBP. This facultative association between J. edwardsii and kelp habitats may “facilitate” (sensu Bruno et al., 2003) and enhance the recruitment in this lobster species. Our results imply that climate change-driven loss of kelp habitat may affect local productivity of the J. edwardsii fishery. There was a period of widespread declines in recruitment of J. edwardsii from 2004 to 2011, including in areas where the loss of kelp had occurred (Hartmann et al., 2013). Although this decline in recruitment occurred at a broader scale than the loss of kelp and was due to other processes (Linnane et al., 2010b), the impact of loss of kelp examined here could be expected to compound the effects of these low recruitment events. Jasus edwardsii recruit into a range of habitats where holes and crevices are available (Edmunds, 1995; Butler et al., 2006), however, the kelp habitat “facilitates” the recruitment Table 3. Potential predators (predation risk) of the EBP of J. edwardsii recorded on video in kelp and urchin barren habitats. Osteichthyes Decapoda Scientific name Notolabrus fusicola Pictilabrus laticlavius Meuschenia sp. Pseudolabrus rubicundus Vincentia sp. Lotella rhacina Strigopagurus strigimanus Plagusia chabrus Common name Yellow-saddled wrasse Senator wrasse Leatherjacket Rosy wrasse Cardinal fish Beardie (cod) Hermit crab Speedy crab Recorded 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 Habitat Kelp Kelp Kelp Barren Barren Barren Barren Kelp & Barren Dark/daylight Daylight Daylight Daylight Daylight Dark Dark Dark Dark Settlement and early survival of southern rock lobster, Jasus edwardsii i67 process. Jasus edwardsii is possibly less vulnerable to a loss of kelp habitat than some other lobster species (Wahle and Steneck, 1992; Butler et al., 2006) because a change in kelp abundance would not be expected to create local extinction of the fishery but rather reduce productivity due to a reduction in recruitment. 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Harley, C. D. G., Anderson, K. M., Demes, K. W., Jorve, J. P., Kordas, R. L., Coyle, T. A., and Graham, M. H. 2012. Effects of climate change on global seaweed communities. Journal of Phycology, 48: 1064– 1078. Hartmann, K., Gardner, C., and Hobday, D. 2013. Tasmanian rock lobster fishery 2011/12. Fishery Assessment Report. The Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia. 61 pp. http://www.imas.utas.edu.au (last accessed 27 August, 2014). Supplementary data Supplementary material is available at ICESJMS online version of the manuscript. Acknowledgments We thank Ruari Colquhoun, David Fallon, Kylie Cahill, Graeme Ewing, Sarah Pyke, Hugh Jones, John Keane, Luis Henriquez and Lara Marcus for assistance in the field and collecting data. We also thank Rafael Leon who helped with the statistical analyses. Particular thanks to Stewart Frusher who contributed to the original research ideas. 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Weiss, H. M., Lozano-Alvarez, E., and Briones-Fourzan, P. 2008. Circadian shelter occupancy patterns and predator-prey interactions of juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters in a reef lagoon. Marine Biology, 153: 953– 963. Weiss, H. M., Lozano-Alvarez, E., Briones-Fourzan, P., and Negrete-Soto, F. 2006. Using red light with fixed-site video cameras to study the behavior of the spiny lobster, Panulirus argus, and associated animals at night and inside their shelters. Marine Technology Society Journal, 40: 86 – 95. Zar, J. H. 2010. Biostatistical Analysis. Prentice-Hall/Pearson, Upper Saddle River, NJ. xiii, 944 pp. Handling editor: Stéphane Plourde ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i69 –i78. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv093 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article American lobster nurseries of southern New England receding in the face of climate change Richard A. Wahle 1*, Lanny Dellinger 2, Scott Olszewski 3, and Phoebe Jekielek 1 1 School of Marine Sciences, Darling Marine Center, University of Maine, Walpole, ME 04573, USA Rhode Island Lobstermen’s Association, Providence, RI, USA 3 Rhode Island Division of Fish and Wildlife, Jamestown, RI, USA 2 *Corresponding author: tel: + 1 207 563 8297; fax: +1 207 563 3119; e-mail: [email protected] Wahle, R. A., Dellinger, L., Olszewski, S., and Jekielek, P. American lobster nurseries of southern New England receding in the face of climate change. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i69 – i78. Received 28 August 2014; revised 24 April 2015; accepted 28 April 2015; advance access publication 27 May 2015. Historically, southern New England has supported one of the most productive American lobster (Homarus americanus) fisheries of the northeast United States. Recently, the region has seen dramatic declines in lobster populations coincident with a trend of increasingly stressful summer warmth and shell disease. We report significant declines in the abundance, distribution, and size composition of juvenile lobsters that have accompanied the warming trend in Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, since the first comprehensive survey of lobster nurseries conducted there in 1990. We used diver-based visual surveys and suction sampling in 1990, 2011, and 2012, supplemented by post-larval collectors in 2011 and 2012. In 1990, lobster nurseries extended from the outer coast into the mid-sections of the bay, but by 2011 and 2012 they were largely restricted to the outer coast and deeper water at the mouth of the bay. Among five new study sites selected by the lobster fishing industry for the 2011 and 2012 surveys, the deepest site on the outer coast (15– 17 m depth) harboured some of the highest lobster densities in the survey. Separate fixed site hydrographic monitoring at 13 locations in the bay by the Rhode Island Division of Fish and Wildlife recorded an approximately 2.08C increase in summer surface temperatures over the period, with 2012 being the warmest on record. Additional monitoring of bottom temperatures, dissolved oxygen and pH at our sampling sites in 2011 and 2012 indicated conditions falling below physiological optima for lobsters during summer. The invasion of the Asian shore crab, Hemigrapsus sanguineus, since the 1990s may also be contributing to declines of juvenile lobster shallow zones (,5 m) in this region. Because lobster populations appear increasingly restricted to deeper and outer coastal waters of southern New England, further monitoring of settlement and nursery habitat in deep water is warranted. Keywords: American lobster, climate change, Narragansett Bay, nursery habitat, settlement. Introduction Climate change is having tangible impacts on commercially important fisheries of coastal and shelf waters worldwide (Harley et al., 2006). This is especially true of the North Atlantic where ocean warming has outpaced that of other parts of the world, resulting in altered phenology and geographic range shifts for a host of marine fish and invertebrates with important implications for the future of the fisheries and their management (Nye et al., 2009; Hare et al., 2012; Mills et al., 2013; Pinsky et al., 2013). It is rare, however, to have the opportunity to evaluate the impact of climate change on the earliest life stages of marine species since most long-term datasets are derived from commercial catch or # International fishery-independent trawl surveys that selectively sample largerbodied older juveniles and adults and do not target nursery habitat. Southern New England has experienced dramatic changes in its population of American lobster, Homarus americanus, over the past two decades. These changes suggest that summer conditions in coastal areas are becoming inhospitable to this iconic, historically abundant and commercially important species. In the mid-1990s, lobster abundance and harvests were at historical highs in southern New England. Since then, the onset of shell disease and sharp declines in larval settlement to the region’s coastal nurseries have preceded precipitous declines in adult abundance and landings that are now only a fraction of what they were two decades ago Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2015. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i70 (Wahle et al., 2009a). Extreme summer temperatures, storminduced mixing and rainfall during 1999–2000 triggered a massive die-off in Long Island Sound that resulted in a 75% drop in lobster landings and a local collapse of the commercial fishery (Pearse and Balcom, 2005). The Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission’s (ASMFC) Lobster Technical Committee has deemed the southern New England lobster stock to be in a state of recruitment failure (ASMFC, 2009). In contrast, further north, where cooler temperatures prevail, abrupt warming events have caused shifts in phenology. Most recently, 2012 brought a recordbreaking ocean heat wave that triggered an early molt and inshore migration in the Gulf of Maine, resulting in an over-supply of landed lobsters that overwhelmed processors and severely depressed the price (Mills et al., 2013). The American lobster is not the only species to have experienced dramatic changes associated with ocean warming in southern New England (Keller et al., 1999; Nixon et al., 2004, 2009). In the wellstudied Narragansett Bay and nearby coastal waters, the winter– spring diatom bloom has all but disappeared (Keller et al., 1999; Oviatt et al., 2002; Nixon et al., 2009), eelgrass has been on the decline (Bintz et al., 2003), comb jellies have increased (Sullivan et al., 2001), the composition of the groundfish assemblage has changed (Jeffries and Terceiro 1985; Jeffries, 2002), and the invasive green crab, Carcinus maenas, has been replaced by the equally invasive Asian shore crab, Hemigrapsis sangineus (Lohrer and Whitlatch, 2002). Of particular relevance to lobster, summer water temperatures in southern New England have exceeded a long-recognized 208C physiological threshold with historical frequency (McLeese and Wilder, 1958; Pearse and Balcom, 2005; Glenn and Pugh, 2006). The net result is the northward shift in the lobster’s thermal niche, a scenario whereby coastal southern New England will no longer be a hospitable nursery to the American lobster in the coming decades (Frumhoff et al., 2007). It is, therefore, valuable to compare current distributions with previous baselines. In 1990, Wahle (1993) undertook the first comprehensive survey of Rhode Island lobster nurseries in Narragansett Bay, including 17 sites surveyed visually by divers, 6 of which were also suction-sampled (Figure 1; Supplementary Table S1). In retrospect, it is apparent that these surveys were done at a time when the lobster fishery and larval settlement were at historical highs. After the 1990 survey, a subset of the lower bay sites plus additional outer coastal sites continued to be monitored by suction sampling under what would become the American Lobster Settlement Index (ALSI), a collaborative monitoring programme of lobster nurseries throughout New England and Atlantic Canada. Larval settlement in Rhode Island has fallen to historical lows in recent years (Wahle et al. 2009a, 2012; Supplementary Figure S1). Concurrently, since 1990, summer surface temperatures in the bay have risen at an average rate of 0.098C per year (Olszewski, 2013; Supplementary Figure S2). However, the original Narragansett Bay sites have not been re-surveyed since 1990, despite the dramatic changes reported over the intervening years. In this study, we repeated and augmented the Narragansett Bay lobster nursery survey in a collaborative project among the University of Maine, the Rhode Island lobster fishing industry, and Rhode Island Division of Fish and Wildlife (RI DFW) to evaluate how lobster nurseries within the bay had changed over the two decades since the first survey. Methods This study repeated the diver-based visual and suction sampling surveys at the same sites visited in 1990 and augmented them at R. A. Wahle et al. Figure 1. Narragansett Bay and Rhode Island’s outer coast showing the 17 sites surveyed in 1990 and resurveyed in 2011 and 2012 (circles). Black circles denote sites subject to both visual surveys and suction sampling by divers; white circles are sites where only visual surveys were conducted. Crosses indicate industry-selected sites for the 2011– 2012 survey; white crosses denote the site where collectors and visual and suction samples were done; black cross denotes the sole industry-selected site where collectors were not deployed. RI, Rhode Island, MA, Massachusetts. Map includes 20 m isobath. Inset shows Narragansett Bay on a map of New England, USA. several locations using passive post-larval collectors to provide an independent comparison to the diver-based methods. We also sampled five additional study sites selected by participating lobster fishers to address industry concerns that previous sampling was insufficient to characterize current juvenile lobster distributions. Visual surveys and suction sampling were completed and passive collectors were deployed at these new sites. In addition to the methodology outlined below, further details for visual and suction sampling appear in Wahle (1993), and for the use of passive collectors, Wahle et al. (2009b). Visual surveys We conducted visual surveys in July and early August to provide a rapid assessment of general bay-wide patterns in the benthic lobster population. Divers haphazardly placed 1-m2 quadrats on cobble–boulder habitat at each site. Four divers surveyed in all 20 quadrats in 30 min. Divers carefully overturned rocks and searched crevices, working slowly so as to avoid suspending sediment that hampers visibility. Data recorded for each quadrat included cobble and algae coverage and counts of lobster, crab, and other larger fauna. We also measured lobster carapace length and crab carapace width to the nearest millimetre. We conducted visual surveys in 2011 and 2012 at all 17 sites surveyed in 1990 (listed in Supplementary Table S1). Each year, we included two additional industry-selected sites which were only i71 American lobster nurseries of southern New England sampled for 1 year. These sites ranged in depth from 3 to 5 m below mean low water. In 2012, we added one additional “deep” site, Fort Wetherill, at 17 m below MLW. Suction sampling surveys Suction sampling was necessary because visual methods are less effective for recently settled young-of-year (YoY) and 1-year-old lobsters. However, all sizes of lobster were sampled in the process. We conducted suction sampling from late August to the first week of September to coincide with RI DFW long-term monitoring of stations on Rhode Island’s outer coast at the end of the settlement season. Diver pairs worked together to vacuum the contents of 0.5 m2 quadrats placed in cobble– boulder habitat. Rocks were removed during the process to expose hidden infauna. Samples were retained in a mesh bag secured to the top of the sampler; bags were changed between quadrats. We sampled 20 quadrats per site. Two diver pairs completed this task in ,1 h, making it feasible to have completed 3 –4 sites in a day. Sample bags were returned to the laboratory where they were sorted fresh or were frozen to be sorted later. Lobsters were measured, sex was determined, and claws counted. Associated fauna of interest included several species of native and introduced crabs (C. maenas, Dyspanopeus sayi, Cancer borealis, and Hemigrapsus sanguineus) and benthic fish which were also identified to species, counted, and measured (see Supplementary Tables S2 and S3 for a full list of crabs, lobsters, and fish collected by suction sampling). Collector surveys Passive post-larval collectors were also deployed to provide a measure of settlement independent of the diver-based method. Previous studies have documented the comparability of the collector- and suction sampling-based methods (Wahle et al., 2009b, 2012). Passive collectors were made of 10-gauge vinyl-coated wire with a 3.7-cm (1.5 inch) mesh. They measured 61.0 × 91.5 × 15.0 cm deep, providing 0.55 m2 in the floor area. A cover made of the same wire mesh served to retain the rocks and allow the free passage of post-larval lobsters. The floor and walls were lined inside with 2-mm plastic mesh (PetmeshTM ) to retain newly settled lobsters, crabs, and other organisms during retrieval. Collectors were filled with clean, rounded cobbles ranging in diameter from 10 to 15 cm. Collectors filled with rocks weighed 80 kg. Each collector was fitted with a bridle to enable lifting in a horizontal position, which is important to retaining collections during retrieval. An earlier pilot study demonstrated that losses of organisms were negligible when retrieved in this manner (Wahle et al., 2009b). Collectors were deployed in late May/early June each year. Twenty collectors were deployed at each of the six original and two industry-selected sites, comprising in all 160 collectors per year. We retrieved collectors at the end of the settlement season at the same time suction sampling was conducted (late August – early September). Once on deck, lids were removed, rocks rinsed with a hose to remove sediment, and then carefully removed to inspect for lobsters and other organisms. All lobsters, crabs, and fish were measured. Lobsters were further inspected to determine sex and the number of claws, noted for evidence of shell disease, and then released. Water quality RI DFW provided surface and bottom temperatures from 1990 to 2013 for 13 fixed locations throughout the bay sampled during its monthly bottom trawl survey (Supplementary Figure S2; Olszewski, 2013). In addition, we collected water quality data specific to our benthic sampling sites in 2011 and 2012, although no hydrographic data were collected in 1990. At the subset of six original sites and two industry-selected sites subject to the more intensive sampling, we deployed continuously recording Tid-BitTM temperature loggers set to record temperature hourly. Temperature loggers were fastened to post-larval collectors and deployed at 5– 7 m depth. Furthermore, we conducted SeaBird CTD casts in July and August to assess thermal profiles at selected deeper mid-channel locations next to sampling sites. We conducted hydrographic surveys of our benthic sampling sites during 22 –24 August 2012, by measuring surface and bottom temperature, salinity, dissolved oxygen (DO), and pH at using a YSI 556 Multiparameter System. Statistical analysis We evaluated the statistical significance of lobster demographic changes between 1990, 2011, and 2012 using the visual survey dataset encompassing the 17 sites originally visited in 1990. Although visual surveys may undersample the smallest size classes of lobster, this dataset comprised the largest number of lobsters and the greatest spatial coverage compared with the suction sampling and collectorbased methods. To evaluate changes in lobster population density, we used a Wilcoxon signed-ranks test to assess the three possible between-year comparisons of site means. Differences in mean carapace length among years were tested using a single-factor ANOVA, with each year treated as a separate level (numbers of lobsters for each year denoted in Figure 2b). Similarly, we used a single-factor ANOVA to assess spatial shifts in occupied lobster nurseries from 1990 to 2011 and 2012, by evaluating differences in the latitude for sites where lobsters were present (not weighted by density) in each year’s survey. Latitude runs perpendicular to the roughly N–S axis of the bay’s basin, and therefore served as the most useful dimension with which to assess spatial shifts; the northern and southern most sites of the 17 are separated by 0.2278 of latitude or 25.2 km (0.2278 × 111 km degree21 latitude). Finally, to evaluate the link between hypoxia and acidification at our sampling sites, we used a least-squares linear regression to test the statistical relationship between dissolved oxygen concentration and pH measured at the surface and bottom during our hydrographic survey. Results Visual surveys Diver visual surveys of Narragansett Bay lobster nurseries conducted in 2011 and 2012 revealed a dramatic reduction in lobster density, distribution, and size composition compared with 1990 levels (Figure 2). In 1990, lobster densities among the 17 sites averaged 0.51 lobsters per m2 (+0.14 SE). By 2011 and 2012, densities had fallen to 0.13 (+0.05 SE) and0.06 (+0.02 SE) individuals per m2, respectively, representing a statistically significant nearly 10-fold overall decline from 1990 to 2012 (Wilcoxon signed-ranks test: 1990 vs. 2011, Z ¼ 22.86, P ¼ 0.002; 1990 vs. 2012, Z ¼ 23.17, P ¼ 0.004; 2011 vs. 2012, Z ¼ 22.03, P ¼ 0.04). Notably, most of the lobsters counted in the 2012 visual survey were from the single deep site, Fort Wetherill, selected by the fishing industry, that was not part of the 1990 survey. The spatial distribution of lobster nurseries also receded south towards the outer coast from 1990 to 2011 and 2012 (Figure 2a). Whereas juvenile lobsters in 1990 extended well into the midsection of the bay, they were largely restricted to the lower bay and outer coastal locations in the recent surveys. In the context of the i72 R. A. Wahle et al. Figure 2. Visual surveys of H. americanus nurseries in Narragansett Bay, 1990, 2011, and 2012. (a) Lobster density (n m22 + 1 SE) listed by the site north-to-south (n ¼ 20 1-m2 quadrats sampled per site), and (b) lobster size composition. Industry selected denoted with asterisks. sampling domain of 17 visual sampling sites, spanning 0.2278 of latitude (25.2 km), this represents a statistically significant southward shift of 0.0388 (4.2 km) in the centre of the nursery population from 41.5068N (+0.0148 SE) in 1990 to 41.4688N (+0.0068 SE) in both 2011 and 2012 (one-way ANOVA, F ¼ 3.94, d.f. ¼ 2, P ¼ 0.03). We also recorded a significant upwards shift in the size composition of the nursery population in the recent surveys, reflecting the i73 American lobster nurseries of southern New England absence of the smaller juveniles that were prevalent two decades earlier (Figure 2b). Mean carapace length significantly increased from 31.5 mm (+1.2 mm SE) in 1990 to 36.7 (+1.9 SE) and 41.0 (+2.2 SE) in 2011 and 2012, respectively (one-way ANOVA, F ¼ 6.74, d.f. ¼ 2, P ¼ 0.001). mode in the size distribution, but in 2011 they were absent from the suction samples, and in 2012 only one was found (Figure 3b). In 2012, all the lobsters collected by suction sampling came from Fort Wetherill, the single deep site, and the only site, historical or industry-selected, where lobsters of any size were collected by this method. Suction sampling surveys Suction sampling reinforced evidence of diminishing lobster recruitment of YoY lobsters (Figure 3). In the 1990 survey, YoY lobsters extended from the outer coast to mid-bay locations (Figure 3a). In 1990, YoY lobsters also represented the dominant Passive collectors All collectors were retrieved, except for 15 lost at Southwest Point and 5 lost at Sachuest Point, as a result of Hurricane Irene in 2011. All lobsters found in collectors in 2011 came from the lower bay Figure 3. Suction sampling of H. americanus nurseries in Narragansett Bay 1990, 2011, and 2012. (a) Lobster density (n m22 +1 SE) listed by the site north-to-south, (n ¼ 200.5-m2 quadrats sampled per site), and (b) lobster size composition. Industry selected denoted with asterisks. i74 and outer coast, whereas lobsters from 2012 collectors were exclusively from the outer coast. We recorded only one YoY in 2011, and five in 2012, all at the two outermost coastal sites (Figure 4a). No YoY lobsters were found in collectors deployed at the industryselected sites. Overall, the size composition of lobsters in collectors was similar to that of suction samples (Figure 4b). Although a quantitative assessment of associated fauna is not included in this report, several points are worth highlighting on the decapod crustacean and fish assemblages (Supplementary Table S2). The Asian shore crab (H. sanguineus) is a notable recent introduction, not reported in the 1990 survey, but counted at all sites except the deep one (Fort Wetherill) in the recent survey. At least 16 species of fish were identified and counted in collectors deployed during this study (Supplementary Table S3). Several species of fish, such as cunner, black sea bass, toad fish, and eels, were reported at remarkable densities of tens per collector. Several of these species are known to be predators of juvenile lobster (Wahle et al., 2013). Despite the high predator diversity and abundance in collectors, it is noteworthy that YoY and juvenile lobster densities were still found at comparable or even larger numbers than those in suction samples of the natural nursery habitat at the same location, which has been the case in previous studies (Wahle et al., 2009b, 2012). Water quality Temperatures at all sites rose well above the thermal threshold of 208C for lobsters during the 2-year study (Figure 5). Coincidentally, summer of 2012 proved to be the warmest on record since the initiation in 1990 of RI DFW fixed site temperature monitoring at 13 sites in the bay (Supplementary Figure S2; Olszewski, 2013). Loggers were lost from our outer coastal stations at Sachuest Point and Southwest Point during the hurricane in 2011, so we used data from a more protected site nearby, House-on-Rocks. Temperatures at upper bay sites exceeded 208C 2 weeks ahead of the lower bay sites, and reached maximum temperatures of 258C (Figure 5). Representative upper and lower bay profiles for 2011 and 2012 revealed considerable thermal stratification (Figure 6). The entire water column exceeded 208C down to a depth of 10 m in the upper bay. At the mouth of the bay, only the first few meters of depth were .208C, with temperatures at 15 –20 m ranging from 17 to 188C, which approximates the thermal optimum for lobsters. The hydrographic survey also revealed considerable differences between surface and bottom conditions and bay-wide gradients in water quality (Supplementary Figure S3). Salinity ranged from 29 to 31 psu in a down-bay direction, and was slightly higher near bottom than at the surface, as is typical in estuaries. Temperature ranged from a high of 258C in the upper bay to a low of 198C on the outer coast, and was consistently a degree or two warmer at the surface than at the bottom. Dissolved oxygen levels were generally higher at the surface than at the bottom, ranging from about 6.8 to 8.1 mg l21. There were two sites with exceptionally low DO concentrations: Fogland and Easton Point, both in the Sakonnet River, with bottom readings below 6 mg l21. Levels of pH varied from typical ocean levels of 8.1 to ,7.0, and were also generally lower near the seabed than at the surface. Levels of pH also correlated significantly with DO concentrations, especially near the seabed (surface: r 2 ¼ 0.39, P ¼ 0.004; bottom: r 2 ¼ 0.83, P , 0.001), which would be consistent with near-bottom O2 depletion and CO2 generation and acidification resulting from benthic respiration (Supplementary Figure S4). R. A. Wahle et al. Discussion These results indicate significant declines in abundance and a receding distribution of juvenile lobsters in Narragansett Bay since the early 1990s. The three independent and parallel sampling protocols revealed consistent patterns of declining lobster numbers in shallow nurseries. The change in lobster abundance we detected within Narragansett Bay is also consistent with trends observed in juvenile populations at sites monitored continuously by suction sampling from 1990 to the present along the Rhode Island’s outer coast (Wahle et al., 2009a; Pershing et al., 2012; Supplementary Figure S1). Supplemental sampling of additional industry-selected sites, with one important exception, agreed with observations at the original sites. Densities of juvenile lobster were as low at these sites as they were at nearby locations in the bay. The exception was the deep site (15–17 m) at Fort Wetherill where relatively high densities of juvenile lobsters were found. Taken together, the three sampling methods, the added sampling locations, and long-term monitoring outside the bay, strongly indicate a decline and receding distribution of juvenile lobster from shallow nurseries. In short, the relative rarity of YoY lobsters represents a demographic hole in the nursery population, which now comprises only a few remaining juveniles most likely from previous years of settlement. Water quality indicators suggest that midsummer conditions have become increasingly stressful for lobster in the upper and mid-bay sections of Narragansett Bay. The American lobster begins to experience physiological stress at temperatures above 208C (McLeese and Wilder 1958; Pearse and Balcom 2005). Lobsters were absent in the upper bay where water temperatures ranged above 258C for extended periods during summer and where salinity was reduced. Independent RI DFW hydrographic surveys indicate that mean summer surface temperatures in these same areas of the bay were 2–38C warmer in 2011 and 2012 than they were in 1990 (Supplementary Figure S2). Coincidently, summer temperatures in 2012 happened to be the warmest on record, not only in Narragansett Bay (Olszewski, 2013; Supplementary Figure S2), but over a large portion of the Northwest Atlantic (Mills et al., 2013). Despite this warming trend, much of the bay and outer coast thermal stratification during summer can create a thermal refuge for lobsters in deeper water that may be within reach of settling post-larvae or larger juvenile and adult lobsters. These changes in the distribution of lobster nurseries suggest that favourable conditions have shifted considerably southward towards the mouth of the bay. Furthermore, Glenn et al. (2011) recently observed that with increasingly warm summer temperatures in nearshore shallows, egg bearing lobsters were being caught at greater depths, and therefore greater distances, from shore. This suggests that larvae are hatching further from shore and are more likely to be exported from coastal nurseries, further exacerbating the effects of a declining broodstock in nearshore waters. Since the 1970s, temperatures in Narragansett Bay have been rising at a rate of 0.38C per decade (Nixon et al., 2004). This is consistent with the long-term trend reported by Mills et al. (2013) for the Gulf of Maine, although their more recent study also suggests that the pace of warming has accelerated over the past decade. Even at the more conservative rate, future warming projected by the International Panel on Climate Change models is likely to make southern New England shallow coastal areas increasingly inhospitable to lobsters in the coming decades (Frumhoff et al., 2007). Abrupt warming events can play an especially important role in altering species distribution and abundance. The lobster die-off of American lobster nurseries of southern New England i75 Figure 4. Passive collectors deployed in H. americanus nurseries of Narragansett Bay, 2011, and 2012. (a) Lobster density (n m22 + 1 SE) listed by the site north-to-south (n ¼ 20 collectors sampled per site), and (b) lobster size composition. Collectors were not used in 1990. Industry selected denoted with asterisks. 1999 in Long Island Sound, next to Rhode Island waters, may be a prime example (Pearse and Balcom, 2005). Mass mortality of lobster and associated fauna in the Sound resulted from a combination of warmer than average temperatures and wind-induced turnover of the water column that mixed warm, oxygen-poor water down to deeper channels that are normally a cool refuge from the midsummer heat in the shallows. Although the 2012 ocean heat wave was a record-breaker, it was not accompanied by mass mortality event in southern New England, even though it dramatically impacted lobster molting phenology further north (Mills et al., 2013). We speculate that the absence of a late summer storm-related mixing event, such as occurred in 1999, may have allowed the southern New England to avert another catastrophic die-off. i76 R. A. Wahle et al. Figure 5. Temperature logger data at upper (Popasquash 41.67438N, 271.30838W) and lower (House on Rocks 41.48158N, 271.35618W and Sachuest Point 41.47338N, 271.24838W) Narragansett Bay locations during collector deployments in 2011 and 2012. Grey, hourly record; black, 24-h running mean. Adverse secondary effects of warming, such as hypoxia and possibly shell disease, may only exacerbate conditions for lobster, and may also contribute to the receding distribution of lobster nurseries in Narragansett Bay. The onset of the shell disease epizootic in southern New England, for example, followed almost a decade of above normal summer temperatures (Glenn and Pugh, 2006), although the role of toxic pollutants in the epizootic remains in question (Laufer et al., 2013). At some of our study sites, high temperatures were accompanied by hypoxic and acidified conditions. The extent to which these conditions also contributed to the absence of lobsters is unclear. Narragansett Bay is a particularly urbanized estuary prone to summer hypoxia events related to local anthropogenic eutrophication (Altieri and Witman, 2006; Nixon et al., 2009). Reducing nutrient supplies into the bay, therefore, could mitigate adverse effects of hypoxia and low pH. We also cannot rule out the possibility that the invasion of the Asian shore crab, H. sanguineus, may have contributed to declining numbers of juvenile lobsters in Rhode Island’s shallow lobster nurseries. Asian shore crabs were not present in our 1990 survey, but were abundant in the recent sampling at all sites except the deepest one at Fort Wetherill in Narragansett Bay. This introduced species is an aggressive predator, and has excluded or limited distributions of the green crab, C. maenas, from some shores in southern New England (Lohrer and Whitlatch, 2002). It is not unreasonable to suspect this crab could have a similar impact on juvenile lobsters to the extent the two species overlap. On the other hand, the depth American lobster nurseries of southern New England i77 Figure 6. Midsummer temperature profiles at upper (41.66478N, 271.39048W) and lower (41.46248N, 271.21688W) Narragansett Bay locations taken in 2011 and 2012. range of the Asian shore crab does not extend greatly into the lobster habitat, so its impact, if any, would be restricted to the shallowest subtidal locations. Therefore, further monitoring of lobster settlement and nursery habitat in deep water is warranted. It is likely that with increasingly inhospitable summer temperatures in shallow coastal areas, lobster settlement in southern New England will be further restricted to deeper zones, provided suitable shelter-providing habitat is available. To date, there has been only limited sampling, mostly by passive collectors, to evaluate lobster settlement in .10 m of water (Glenn et al., 2011; Wahle et al., 2012). These studies were done during the recent dearth of larval settlement in southern New England, and not surprisingly have produced only a few records of YoY lobsters. Collector deployments in other parts of New England and Atlantic Canada, where settlement has remained strong, have reported settlement at depths as great as 80 m. Collectors have not been deployed to greater depths to date. This raises the possibility that settlement may be occurring at depths greater than previously thought, and that there is a need for further deep water monitoring. To monitor lobster settlement in deeper water will likely require the expanded use of passive collectors. Furthermore, high-resolution mapping of available nursery habitat will enable extrapolation of estimated settlement densities to the area of suitable habitat. In conclusion, this study reports the receding distribution of American lobster early benthic life stages in previously wellpopulated nurseries of Narragansett Bay. Since 1990, when the first survey was conducted, lobsters have suffered mass mortalities, shell disease, and diminishing fishery recruitment on a larger scale in southern New England. Climate warming has been implicated in these events. But, coastal ocean warming is not the only stressor associated with climate change. It will be important to gain a greater understanding of how hypoxia, ocean acidification, and the shifting ranges of predators and competitors impact the changing geography of lobster distributions. Monitoring the most vulnerable life stages of commercially important species and their environment can provide the early warning that coastal and i78 fishery managers need to anticipate and adapt to the impacts of a warming climate. Supplementary data Supplementary material is available at the ICESJMS online version of the manuscript. Acknowledgements Special thanks to C. Bergeron, M. Jaini, N. Oppenheim, T. Wahle, as well as the RI DFW staff, and Rhode Island fishing industry members for their assistance in collector deployments, data collection, and processing. The project was supported by a grant from the Commercial Fisheries Research Foundation. Rhode Island Division of Fish and Wildlife and the University of Maine’s Darling Marine Center provided facilities and logistic support. References Altieri, A., and Witman, J. 2006. Local extinction of a foundation species in a hypoxic estuary: Integrating individuals to ecosystem. Ecology, 87: 717 –730. 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L. 2006. Epizootic shell disease in American lobster (Homarus americanus) in Massachusetts coastal waters: interactions of temperature, maturity, and intermolt duration. Journal of Crustacean Biology, 26: 639– 645. Hare, J.A., Manderson, J. P., Nye, J. A., Alexander, M. A., Auster, P. J., Borggaard, D. L., Capotondi, A. M., et al. 2012. Cusk (Brosme brosme) and climate change: assessing the threat to a candidate marine fish species under the US Endangered Species Act. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 69: 1753– 1768. Harley, C. D. G., Hughes, A. R., Hultgren, K. M., Miner, B. G., Sorte, C. J. B., Thornber, C. S., Rodriguez, L. F., et al. 2006. The impacts of climate change in coastal marine systems. Ecology Letters, 9: 228– 241. Jeffries, P. 2002. Rhode Island’s ever-changing Narragansett Bay. Maritimes, 41: 1 – 5. Jeffries, P., and Terceiro, M. 1985. Cycle of changing abundances in the fishes of the Narragansett Bay area. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 25: 239 –244. Keller, A., Oviatt, C., Walker, H., and Hawk, J. 1999. Predicted impacts of elevated temperature on the magnitude of the winter-spring phytoplankton bloom in temperate coastal waters: A mesocosm study. Limnology and Oceanography, 44: 344 –356. Laufer, H., Chen, M., Baclaski, B., Bobbitt, J. M., Stuart, J. D., Zuo, Y., and Jacobs, M. W. 2013. Multiple factors in marine environments R. A. Wahle et al. affecting lobster survival, development, and growth, with emphasis on alkylphenols: A perspective. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 70: 1588– 1600. Lohrer, A. M., and Whitlatch, R. B. 2002. Interactions among aliens: apparent replacement of one exotic species by another. Ecology, 83: 719– 733. McLeese, D. W., and Wilder, D. G. 1958. The activity and catchability of the lobster (H. americanus) in relation to temperature. Journal of the Fisheries Research Board, Canada, 15: 1345 –1354. Mills, K. E., Pershing, A. J., Brown, C. J., Chen, Y., Chiang, F. -S., Holland, D. S., Lehuta, S., et al. 2013. Fisheries management in a changing climate: Lessons from the 2012 ocean heat wave in the Northwest Atlantic. Oceanography, 26: 191– 195. Nixon, S., Fulweiler, R. W., Buckley, B. A., Granger, S. L., Nowicki, B. L., and Henry, K. M. 2009. The impact of changing climate on phenology, productivity, and benthic– pelagic coupling in Narragansett Bay. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 82: 1 – 18. Nixon, S., Granger, S., Buckley, B., Lamont, M., and Rowell, B. 2004. A one hundred and sixteen year coastal water temperature record from Woods Hole, Massachusetts. Estuaries, 27: 397– 404. Nye, J. A., Link, J. S., Hare, J. A., and Overholtz, W. J. 2009. Changing spatial distribution of fish stocks in relation to climate and population size on the Northeast United States continental shelf. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 393: 111– 129. Olszewski, S. 2013. F-61-R Annual Performance Report, Assessment of recreationally important finfish stocks in Rhode Island waters. Rhode Island Division of Fish and Wildlife, Coastal Fishery Resource Assessment Trawl Survey 2013. Oviatt, C., Keller, A., and Reed, L. 2002. Annual primary production in Narragansett Bay with no bay-wide winter-spring phytoplankton bloom. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 56: 1013– 1026. Pearse, J., and Balcom, N. 2005. The 1999 Long Island Sound lobster mortality event: Findings of the Comprehensive Research Initiative. Journal of Shellfish Research, 24: 691– 697. Pershing, A. J., Wahle, R. A., Meyers, P. C., and Lawton, P. 2012. Large-scale coherence in New England lobster settlement associated with regional weather. Fisheries Oceanography, 21: 348 – 362. Pinsky, M. L., Worm, B., Fogarty, M. J., Sarmiento, J. L., and Levin, S. A. 2013. Marine taxa track local climate velocities. Science, 341: 1239– 1242. Sullivan, B., van Keuren, D., and Clancy, M. 2001. Timing and size of blooms of the ctenophore Mnemiopsis ledyi in relation to temperature in Narragansett Bay, R.I. Hydrobiologia, 451: 113– 120. Wahle, R. A. 1993. Recruitment to American lobster populations along an estuarine gradient. Estuaries, 16: 731– 738. Wahle, R. A., Bergeron, C., Tremblay, J., Wilson, C., Burdett-Coutts, V., Comeau, M., Rochette, R., et al., 2012. The geography and bathymetry of American lobster benthic recruitment as measured by diverbased suction sampling and passive collectors. Marine Biology Research, 9: 42– 58. Wahle, R. A., Bergeron, C., Wilson, C., and Parkhurst, M. 2009b. A vessel-deployed passive post-larval collector for the American lobster. New Zealand Journal of Marine and Freshwater Research, 43: 465– 474. Wahle, R. A., Gibson, M., and Fogarty, M. J. 2009a. Distinguishing disease impacts from larval supply effects in a lobster fishery collapse. Marine Ecological Progress Series, 376: 185– 192. Wahle, R. A., Brown, C., and Hovel, K. 2013. The geography and bodysize dependence of top-down forcing in New England’s lobstergroundfish interaction. Bulletin of Marine Science, 89: 189– 212. Handling editor: Jonathan Grabowski ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 10(Supplement 1), i79 –i90. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv010 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article Potential effect of variation in water temperature on development time of American lobster larvae Brady K. Quinn* and Rémy Rochette Department of Biology, University of New Brunswick, 100 Tucker Park Road, Saint John, NB, Canada E2L 4L5 *Corresponding author: tel: +1 506 343 7676; e-mail: [email protected] Quinn, B. K., and Rochette, R. Potential effect of variation in water temperature on development time of American lobster larvae. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 10: i79 –i90. Received 1 August 2014; revised 19 December 2014; accepted 8 January 2015; advance access publication 7 February 2015. Studies typically assess the effects of temperature on development time, larval drift, and fisheries recruitment in American lobster at a range of constant temperatures. However, in nature, lobster larvae are exposed to varying temperatures, which might result in different development times than would be predicted from mean temperatures alone. To investigate this hypothesis, we conducted a modelling exercise in which we simulated larval development from hatch through stages I– IV under different combinations of mean and variance in temperature. Two thermal scenarios were modelled, the first based on estimated (i.e. interpolated by a model from empirical data) recent historical mean and variability of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) experienced by developing larvae in specific parts of the species’ range, and the second based on a broad range of simulated combinations of mean and variability in temperature, including conditions that may be experienced by larvae in the future. The model calculated development times using daily SSTs and temperature-dependent development equations from previous studies of warm- and cold-water origin larvae. For warm-origin larvae, higher variability in temperature resulted in shorter development times at very cold and very warm mean temperatures, and longer development at intermediate mean temperatures, than lower (or no) variability. For cold-origin larvae, the effect of variable temperature was overall much smaller, and opposite to that for warm-origin larvae at very cold and very warm mean temperatures. These results show that lobster larvae experience meaningful variability of water temperature in nature, and that this variability can markedly impact larval development. Thermal variability therefore should be considered when estimating development and drift of lobster larvae, including under scenarios of climate change. Keywords: American lobster, climate change, development, Homarus americanus, larvae, mean, temperature, variability. Introduction The American lobster, Homarus americanus (Milne Edwards, 1837), inhabits coastal marine waters along eastern North America, from Cape Hatteras, NC (35.258N), to the Strait of Belle Isle, Labrador (51.738N; Lawton and Lavalli, 1995), and supports major fisheries (Wahle et al., 2004) between Rhode Island and Newfoundland (Pezzack, 1992). Lobster larvae are released into the water column and complete development during summer, typically sometime between May and October (Aiken and Waddy, 1986). After hatching, lobsters pass through three planktonic larval stages (I –III) and a swimming post-larval stage (IV) that generally inhabit the water column above local thermoclines (Factor, 1995; Harding et al., 2005) and drift with ocean currents (Chassé and Miller, 2010; Incze et al., 2010). Post-larvae sample the seabed and settle # International to the benthos once suitable substrate is found (Botero and Atema, 1982; Factor, 1995). The duration of each larval stage depends on water temperature, with higher temperature generally resulting in faster development and shorter stage duration (Hadley, 1906; Templeman, 1936; MacKenzie, 1988; Quinn et al., 2013). Drift of larvae can connect different lobster fisheries and populations, resulting in their interdependence for larval supply and new recruits (Ennis, 1995; Chassé and Miller, 2010; Incze et al., 2010; Quinn, 2014), but time and distance drifted depend heavily on the speed at which larvae complete development (Quinn, 2014). Specifically, slower-developing larvae spend more time drifting than faster-developing ones, and are thus less likely to contribute to benthic recruitment in their place of origin (e.g. Miller, 1997; Chassé and Miller, 2010; Incze et al., 2010; Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2015. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i80 Quinn, 2014) and more likely to experience mortality (Incze and Naimie, 2000; Kough et al., 2013), for example, by predation (Robert et al., 2007). Therefore, the relationship between temperature and development time has important implications for the supply of larvae and potential recruits to lobster populations and fisheries (Tlusty et al., 2008; Schmalenbach and Franke, 2010; Boudreau, 2012; Green et al., 2014). Several studies have examined the relationship between water temperature and development time of American lobster larvae. Most of these studies examined larvae originating from relatively warm-water regions within the lobster’s range, including parts of the Gulf of Maine and the southern Gulf of St Lawrence (Hadley, 1906; Templeman, 1936; Hughes and Mathiessen, 1962; Hudon and Fradette, 1988; MacKenzie, 1988). However, a recent study showed that development time of larvae originating from a relatively cold-water region in the northern Gulf of St Lawrence (north of Gaspé, QC) have a different functional relationship with temperature; temperature had a smaller impact on development of these “cold-origin” larvae than had been observed for “warm-origin” larvae (Quinn et al., 2013). Cold-origin larvae still developed faster at warmer than at colder temperatures, but they developed faster at temperatures ≤108C (and slower at temperatures ≥148C) than warm-origin larvae did in previous studies, suggesting that these larvae may have undergone counter-gradient adaptation (e.g. Botta et al., 2014 and references therein) for development in colder waters (Quinn et al., 2013). The effect of temperature on biota is generally studied by measuring biological response variables, such as development time or moulting rate (McLaren et al., 1969; Heip, 1974; MacKenzie, 1988), in different constant-temperature regimes, or by relating observed responses to mean temperatures experienced in variable-temperature regimes (e.g. Hughes and Mathiessen, 1962). However, natural variability in temperature results in effects on biota distinct from what can be inferred from the mean values alone (Anger, 1983; Niehaus et al., 2012; Studer and Poulin, 2013). For example, variable temperatures result in more rapid growth and development in larval frogs (Niehaus et al., 2012) and juvenile crayfish (Thorp and Wineriter, 1981), as well as higher survival of rock crab (Cancer irroratus) larvae (Sastry, 1979), than constant temperatures, due perhaps to occasional exposure to highly beneficial or “optimal” temperatures (Thorp and Wineriter, 1981). However, variability in temperature can also have harmful effects, including slower overall development of spider crab (Hyas araneus) larvae (Anger, 1983) and relatively lower feeding and reproductive performance of zebrafish (Condon et al., 2010). Thermal variability can therefore have significant, but species- and context-specific impacts on biological processes (e.g. larval development rates), and its effects should therefore be considered in addition to the effects of average temperatures. Whether thermal variability impacts development time of lobster larvae has not yet been examined. Studies by Templeman (1936), MacKenzie (1988), and Quinn et al. (2013) observed development times of lobster larvae at constant, controlled water temperatures in the laboratory. Other studies carried out in hatchery tanks (Hughes and Mathiessen, 1962) or the field (Hadley, 1906; Hudon and Fradette, 1988; Annis et al., 2007) did expose larvae to thermally variable conditions, but they made inferences based on mean temperatures experienced by the larvae and did not quantify whether and how thermal variability impacted larval development. Results of these studies are used to make inferences about larval development times in nature; for example, to estimate larval supply patterns to local fisheries B. K. Quinn and R. Rochette around Prince Edward Island, Miller et al. (2006) estimated larval development times in summer using the equations of MacKenzie (1988) and estimates of the mean water temperature. Similar approaches may also be used to estimate how larval development patterns could change as a result of future climate change (Galbraith et al., 2012; Khan et al., 2013; Loder et al., 2013). However, these estimates are also likely to be affected by variability in temperature (Easterling et al., 2000; Hordoir and Meier, 2011; Loder et al., 2013; Ma and Xie, 2013). The objectives of the present study were to (i) estimate the thermal variability typically experienced by lobster larvae throughout the species’ range, (ii) contrast larval development time predicted under variable thermal regimes to those predicted at the same mean temperatures but with no variability, and (iii) develop a more generalized model of the predicted effect of thermal variability on larval development time, which among other things may help forecast effects of climate change. We address these objectives using development equations derived in previous studies, where American lobster larvae were raised at constant temperature, and hence do not address the possibility that development functions themselves may be modulated by thermal variability (i.e. phenotypically plastic). Achieving these objectives will help determine the extent to which water temperature variability impacts the development time of lobster larvae in nature, and whether this variability needs to be considered in connectivity and climate change studies of lobster. Material and methods A computer model was created to calculate development times of American lobster larvae under different thermal regimes. The model was written in FORTRAN 90/95, compiled using gFortran 4.8 (Free Software Foundation, Inc., 2012), and run in a virtual ubuntu 10.10 Linux instance (Canonical Ltd, 2012) accessed through VMware Player 4 for Windows (VMware, Inc., 2012). Water temperatures experienced by larvae in model simulations Sea surface temperature (SST) is generally a good indicator of water temperature experienced by lobster larvae because these tend to remain above local thermoclines, in the surface mixed layer (Factor, 1995; Harding et al., 2005; Quinn et al., 2013). Two different datasets were used to provide daily SSTs to larval development models, which were used to calculate total larval development times: (i) daily SST data derived from a historical dataset (Ouellet et al., 2003) for specific regions of the lobster’s geographic range, and (ii) daily SSTs simulated using a randomization algorithm to create different “thermal regimes” (mean and variability). The first dataset was used to estimate how the development time of lobster larvae is affected by values of temperature (mean and variability) these larvae are known to experience in nature, whereas the second was used to assess development over a wider range of temperature regimes (means and variances), and then derive a generalized model that can be used to predict development under more varied thermal regimes, including different climate change scenarios. Historical SSTs Estimates of SSTs between 1981 and 2000 were extracted from outputs of the oceanographic model of Ouellet et al. (2003; available online at http://www.meds-sdmm.dfo-mpo.gc.ca/isdm-gdsi/ azmp-pmza/climat/sst-tsm/sst-tsm-eng.asp). Ouellet et al. (2003) Potential effect of variation in water temperature on development time i81 Figure 1. Map of the Atlantic Shelf of eastern North America, including most of the American lobster’s geographic range and the domain of the oceanographic model of Ouellet et al. (2003) from which daily historical SST data were obtained for this study. Solid black lines encompass different regions (SGM, southern Gulf of Maine; NGM, northern Gulf of Maine; SGSL, southern Gulf of St Lawrence; NGSL, northern Gulf of St Lawrence) considered in this study. Numbers in black and white circles indicate the locations of previous studies of the effect of water temperature on development time of warm- and cold-origin lobster larvae, respectively. generated daily SST per 0.1758W × 0.1758N (or 13.6 × 19.5 km) “site” by linear interpolation in time between weekly satellite observations by the Physical Oceanography Archive Centre of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory. We extracted daily SST data from this model in the form of harmonic daily means, which Ouellet et al. (2003) calculated by averaging the average SSTon the same calendar day across a 20-year period (1981 –2000). Data fell within a physical domain between 40 –758W and 40 –528N (Ouellet et al., 2003). Daily summer SSTs (from 1 May to 30 September) were extracted from the database for all sites within each of four selected geographic regions in which previous studies have assessed thermal effects on American lobster larval development time: (i) the southern Gulf of Maine (SGM, number of 0.1758W × 0.1758N sites ¼ 637), (ii) northern Gulf of Maine (NGM, n sites ¼ 155), (iii) southern Gulf of St Lawrence (SGSL, n sites ¼ 294), and (iv) the northern Gulf of St Lawrence (NGSL, n sites ¼ 270; Figure 1). Daily SSTs from 1 May to 30 September (153 d) for each site in each region were passed to a larval development model (described below) and then used to calculate development times of larvae released at each site. When the model was run using 1981–2000 SSTs, it input one warm-origin and one cold-origin larva (sensu Quinn et al., 2013) per day at each site from 1 May to 1 September, corresponding to the period when hatching typically occurs in nature (Aiken and Waddy, 1986); this resulted in 246 larvae being input at each site. Once a larva had completed development (moult to stage V i82 Figure 2. Mean (+95% confidence intervals) SST over the summer (day 121 ¼ 1 May, day 273 ¼ 30 September) in four geographic regions (SGM, southern Gulf of Maine; NGM, northern Gulf of Maine; SGSL, southern Gulf of St Lawrence; NGSL, northern Gulf of St Lawrence) within the American lobster’s range. The mean values were calculated from daily SSTs of all sites (n ¼ 155 2 637) within each region, obtained from the model dataset of Ouellet et al. (2003) (see details in the Material and methods section). Different colours represent different geographic regions. Horizontal lines on the plot indicate the typical period during which larval release (hatch), development, and drift occur, as estimated based on at-sea sampling of ovigerous female lobsters in the Gulf of Maine (GM; Incze et al., 2010) and Gulf of St Lawrence (GSL; Chassé and Miller, 2010 and references therein). completed, see below), the mean and s.d. of daily SSTs it had experienced were calculated. To simplify data analysis, the mean and s.d. of SST values were rounded to the nearest 18C; an s.d. value of ,0.58C was therefore rounded to 08C. To quantify the thermal variability experienced by larvae within each region, the percentage (%) of larvae (across all sites and release dates) within each of the four regions experiencing different combinations of the mean and s.d. of SSTs was calculated. As these particular results were extremely similar for warm- and cold-origin larvae, thermal variability experienced by larvae was quantified and illustrated using combined data for all larvae. Simulated SSTs Historical SSTs were further assessed to determine the range of temperatures that could be experienced by lobster larvae in nature. First, we calculated the mean daily SSTs from historical SSTs (Ouellet et al., 2003) for all sites within each of the four regions considered in this study (Figure 1). Second, we determined the range of historical daily SSTs occurring during the period in which larvae are potentially released and develop in these regions (1 May to 30 September), as estimated based on at-sea sampling of ovigerous females (Chassé and Miller, 2010 and references therein; Incze et al., 2010; Figure 2). Finally, we defined simulated SST “thermal regimes” that included all combinations of the mean and s.d. of these daily temperatures (during the period of larval hatch and development) observed yearly between 1981 and 2000. Simulated SST data also included combinations of the mean and s.d. of SST not observed in the historical SST datasets, to explore potential effects of future climate change. Daily SSTs during larval development B. K. Quinn and R. Rochette ranged from 5 to 268C (Ouellet et al., 2003; see also the mean values in Figure 2); therefore, a total of 154 simulated SST thermal regimes were defined, each with a specific combination of the mean SST (5–268C) and s.d. (0 –68C) of SST (Ouellet et al., 2003), at 18C increments. The range of mean temperatures used was selected to comfortably encompass temperatures at which larvae are likely to be hatched and develop in the four regions under study (Figures 1 and 2). Although lobster spawning is typically thought to occur only when temperature exceeds 10– 128C (e.g. Harding et al., 1983; MacKenzie, 1988; Ennis, 1995), in some parts of the NGM and NGSL hatch can occur when SSTs are as low as 58C (Figure 2), and egg-bearing females are found in some parts of Newfoundland where SSTs never exceed 5 –108C (Ma et al., 2012; R. Stanley, Memorial University of Newfoundland, pers. comm.). When run using simulated SSTs, the larval development models (described below) generated 100 individual warm-origin larvae and 100 cold-origin larvae (sensu Quinn et al., 2013) to be subjected to each thermal regime during development, for a total of 30 800 larvae. The model then randomly generated daily SSTs experienced by each larva based on the thermal regime to which it was assigned. Daily temperature was always set to the mean temperature if the s.d. of temperature for a given thermal regime was zero (no variability). Otherwise (s.d. . 08C), to define the probability of any temperature occurring on a given day a Gaussian probability curve (for 10 000 temperature values, at 0.018C increments) was generated for each thermal regime based on its mean temperature and s.d. Then, each day (i.e. at every model time-step), a random number generator that used RANLUX (James, 1994) selected the temperature to be experienced by that larva on that day. Larval development model Daily SST (historical or simulated) experienced by each larva was passed on to one of two different larval development models, which were based on experiments involving warm-origin (MacKenzie, 1988) and cold-origin (Quinn et al., 2013) lobster larvae, respectively (Table 1, Figure 3). Each model contained four equations relating development time through a particular larval stage (stages I –IV) to water temperature (MacKenzie, 1988; Incze et al., 2010; Quinn et al., 2013; Quinn, 2014; Table 1). Quadratic equations were used (Table 1, Figure 3) to account for the fact that development time of arthropod larvae does not indefinitely decrease with temperature (e.g. Sastry and Vargo, 1977; Brière et al., 1999; Shi and Ge, 2010; Pakyari et al., 2011). Importantly, equations for both warm- and cold-origin larvae were derived in their original studies (MacKenzie, 1988; Quinn et al., 2013) within a more limited thermal range (10–228C) than that used in this study (5 –268C). Therefore, development times predicted in this study were extrapolated beyond current knowledge, and thus interpreted with caution. It is worth noting, however, that an earlier study of warm-origin larvae by Templeman (1936) used temperatures as low as 68C and as high as 248C, and observed nearly identical development times and functions as MacKenzie (1988), providing some confidence in these extrapolations. The development models had a time-step of 1 d, during which temperatures were generated and/or read, and developmental progress of each larva was calculated based on SST. The model initialized larvae at stage 1.0, or the beginning of the first larval instar (stage I) immediately after hatching and moult from the prezoea stage (Charmantier et al., 1991). Then, daily SSTs were used in the appropriate equation for each larval stage to calculate the proportion of the stage through which a larva would advance on that i83 Potential effect of variation in water temperature on development time Table 1. Temperature-dependent development equations used to increment development through larval stages I– IV each day, based on water temperatures. Stage I II III IV Warm-origin larvae D ¼ 39.558– 3.659T + 0.092T 2 D ¼ 55.670– 5.227T + 0.130T 2 D ¼ 81.298–7.631T + 0.189T 2 D ¼ 156.895 –14.316T + 0.359T 2 Cold-origin larvae D ¼ 22.704 –1.525T + 0.031T 2 D ¼ 16.469 –0.425T + 0.001T 2 D ¼ 30.219 –1.674T + 0.033T 2 D ¼ 49.368 –2.354T + 0.029T 2 Quadratic equations of the form D ¼ aT 2 + bT + c were used, in which D is the total stage duration (in days) at a certain temperature, T (in 8C), and a, b, and c are fitted constants. Equations for development through stages I–III for warm-origin larvae were derived in this study from data presented by MacKenzie (1988), while the equation for stage IV was derived by Incze et al. (2010) based on data from MacKenzie (1988). Equations for cold-origin larvae were obtained from Quinn et al. (2013) (stages I –III) and Quinn (2014) (stage IV, based on data from Quinn et al., 2013). Figure 3. Predicted total development time (in days) of warm- (solid squares and line) and cold-origin (open circles, dashed line) lobster larvae at different constant temperatures (in 8C), as predicted using development equations from previous studies (Table 1). These predicted development times were compared with those predicted by our model, which included realistic variability in temperature within each regime (see the Results section, Figures 4 and 5). Note that predicted development times of warm-origin larvae at temperatures ,6 and .248C, and of cold-origin larvae at temperatures ,10 and .228C, are extrapolations beyond the range of temperatures used in the studies upon which the development functions (Table 1) are based. day. To avoid computational errors in high variability regimes, stage increment of larvae that experienced daily SST ≤ 08C was set to zero because lobster larvae are not known (and extremely unlikely) to continue development at subzero temperatures (Huntsman, 1924). When a larva reached stage V, which is the first benthic juvenile stage and therefore the end of the larval phase (Factor, 1995), the time elapsed (in days) from the larva’s hatch up to this point was recorded as the total larval development time. Analyses After model simulations were completed, total larval development time calculated for each individual larva was used for analyses. Separate analyses were performed on data for cold- and warm-origin larvae. Total development times calculated by the model using historical SSTs were analysed on a per-region basis; in other words, data for larvae generated for all sites and dates within each of the four regions were pooled [number of warm- or cold-origin larvae per region ¼ 78 351 (SGM), 19 065 (NGM), 36 162 (SGSL), and 33 210 (NGSL)]. We calculated the difference between the development time of each larva as predicted under different scenarios of the mean and variance in temperature to that predicted assuming the same mean temperature but no variance (Figure 3). Differences in development time were then grouped together based on the mean and s.d. of SSTs experienced by each larva (in 18C steps), and for each combination of the mean and s.d. of SST, the mean difference (+95% confidence intervals) in development time was calculated. If the 95% confidence intervals around the mean difference between development times determined with and without thermal variability at a particular mean and s.d. of SST did not overlap with 0, it was concluded to be significant (p , 0.05; Cummings et al., 2007). Next, analyses were carried out on total development times calculated by the model using simulated SSTs. For each of the 154 combinations of the mean and s.d. of temperature, means and 95% confidence intervals of development time were calculated for 100 cold- and 100 warm-origin larvae. Development times calculated with and without thermal variability were concluded to be significantly different (p , 0.05) if the 95% confidence intervals of a larval development time in a particular variable thermal regime (s.d. ¼ 1–68C) did not overlap the mean development time in the constant (s.d. ¼ 08C) regime at the same mean temperature (Cummings et al., 2007). Finally, a nested non-linear regression equation was derived for both warm- and cold-origin larvae to allow total development time to be predicted based on the mean and s.d. of temperature, both within and beyond the ranges of recently recorded mean and s.d. of SSTs. These equations had a basic quadratic structure (as did the original development equations in Table 1) relating total development time (D) to the mean temperature (TM), as D = A + BTM + CTM2 . However, the magnitude of s.d. affected this relation. The relationship between s.d. and development time within each mean temperature appeared to be non-linear and quadratic, so the equations describing the effects of s.d. of temperature (s.d.T) on regression coefficients of the mean temperature-development relationship were structured as follows: A = a1 + b1 s.d.T + c1 s.d.T2 ; B = a2 + b2 s.d.T + c2 s.d.T2 ; C = a3 + b3 s.d.T + c3 s.d.T2 . Results Thermal regimes experienced by lobster larvae In general, the lowest mean daily SSTs during larval release and development occurred in the NGM (range of the mean daily SSTs across all sites in the region ¼ 6.9 –14.68C), and the highest occurred in the SGM (range ¼ 9.5 –19.38C; Figure 2); daily summer SSTs in the NGSL (range ¼ 9.4 –14.98C) tended to be lower than those in the SGSL (range ¼ 10.5 –17.58C), though SSTs in both of these were higher than those in the NGM and lower than those in i84 B. K. Quinn and R. Rochette Figure 4. Incidence of different combinations of mean (x-axis) and variability (s.d., indicated by different fill patterns) in historical daily summer SST (in 8C) experienced by American lobster larvae in four regions within the species’ range. Daily SSTs were harmonic means of historical (1981 – 2000) SSTs extracted from outputs of the physical oceanographic model of Ouellet et al. (2003) (see details in the Methods section). The mean and s.d. of SST experienced during development were calculated for individual larvae released at specific sites and on each day over summer, between May and September. The per cent (%) of all warm- and cold-origin larvae in each region (n ¼ 38 130 –156 702 larvae/region) that experienced each combination of mean and s.d. is plotted on the y-axis. the SGM (Figure 2). The mean overall SSTs experienced by lobster larvae between 1981 and 2000, as well as the variability around these means, differed among the four regions of the lobster’s range (Figure 4). The mean SSTs ranged from 7 to 258C, while the s.d. of SSTs ranged from 0 to 48C (Figure 4). Means as low as 7 – 88C occurred rarely in all four regions, while the highest mean SST values experienced differed among regions (Figure 4); the highest mean SST, 258C, was experienced by larvae in SGM, while the mean SSTs in the NGM, SGSL, and NGSL did not exceed 18, 19, and 158C, respectively (Figure 4). Across all regions, the highest mean SSTs were accompanied by relatively low variability (s.d. ¼ 0–18C), with larvae experiencing the mean SST . 168C never experiencing s.d. . 18C, while conversely lower mean SSTs tended to coincide spatially with higher levels of variability (Figure 4). Thermal variability over the larval period was relatively low in the Gulf of Maine, with only 18.8% of larvae in the SGM and 22.5% in the NGM experiencing s.d. of SST ≥ 28C (Figure 4), and was comparatively high in the Gulf of St Lawrence, with 46.5% of larvae in the SGSL and 49.7% in the NGSL experiencing s.d. of SST ≥ 28C (Figure 4). Development time of larvae under estimated natural variation in SST Warm-origin larvae In all four study regions, warm-origin larvae that experienced variable SSTs during development had shorter total development times than predicted based on the mean temperatures ≤14 –168C alone, and the magnitude of this difference increased with variability in temperature (Figure 5). In contrast, at higher mean temperatures, there was little evidence of any effect of variability in temperature on development time (Figure 5), likely because larvae that experienced higher mean SSTs experienced little to no thermal variability (s.d. ≤ 18C) during development (Figure 4). On average, larvae at higher mean SSTs that experienced s.d. ¼ 18C tended to take slightly longer to develop than those at the same means that experienced constant SST (s.d. ¼ 08C), but these differences were never significant (Figure 5). Conversely, for s.d. ¼ 28C, the difference was always significantly negative (faster development in variable than in constant temperature) except at mean temperatures .148C, and for s.d. ¼ 3 and 48C, they were always significantly negative (Figure 5). The mean of significant deviations from predicted development i85 Potential effect of variation in water temperature on development time Figure 5. Effect of variability in 1981 – 2000 SSTs on total development time (from hatch to stage V) of warm-origin lobster larvae. Values are mean differences (+95% confidence intervals) between predicted total development time (in days) using realistically variable SSTs vs. those predicted assuming no thermal variability (as per Figure 3), at different mean temperatures (in 8C). Different symbol types and colours represent larvae experiencing different levels of thermal variability (s.d. of SST, in 8C). Note that development of larvae in the NGSL most likely should be calculated using cold-origin equations (Quinn et al., 2013), as in Figure 6, and that development at mean SSTs .22 and ,108C is extrapolated beyond the thermal range thus-far examined for warm-origin larvae (MacKenzie, 1988). time without thermal variability (for predicted values, see Figure 3) ranged from 1 to 9 d (2–12%) for s.d. ¼ 28C, 8–23 d (9–20%) for s.d. ¼ 38C, and 20–31 d (19–24%) for s.d. ¼ 48C (Figure 5). Cold-origin larvae In contrast to warm-origin larvae, cold-origin larvae were not strongly affected by thermal variability (Figure 6; note difference in scale of y-axis relative to Figure 5). Nevertheless, some significant differences in development times of ,2 d, or ≤4%, from mean-only predictions were observed (Figure 6). Thermal variability was somewhat associated with the magnitude and direction of this deviation, with development times of larvae experiencing s.d. of SST ≥28C being shorter at the mean SSTs ≤10–138C, and those of larvae experiencing s.d. of SST ≤18C being longer in the majority (82%) of cases, than would be predicted at the same mean temperatures but no variance (Figure 6); differences were always ≤1 d, however (Figure 6). variable (s.d. ¼ 1–68C) vs. constant (s.d. ¼ 08C) thermal regimes, and the magnitude of this difference increased with thermal variability (Figure 7). Usually, means and 95% confidence intervals of development times under variable and constant temperatures did not overlap, and thus were significantly different (p ≤ 0.05, Figure 7). At mean temperatures ≥58C and ≤148C, and at mean temperatures ≥258C, greater thermal variability was predicted to result in more rapid development (Figure 7). Conversely, for mean temperatures ≥158C and ≤248C, greater variability resulted in slower development (Figure 7). The consequence of these complex interactive effects of the mean and variability in water temperature is that the parabola relating total development time of larvae to mean water temperature became less steeply curved (i.e. development less affected by the mean temperature) as variability in water temperature increased (Figure 7). Cold-origin lobster larvae Development time of larvae under simulated variation in SST Warm-origin lobster larvae Total development time of warm-origin larvae under simulated SST regimes differed significantly between larvae that experienced The effect of simulated variable SSTs on development of cold-origin larvae was markedly smaller and in some regards opposite to that predicted for warm-origin larvae (Figure 7). In particular, the curve relating total development time of cold-origin larvae to the mean SST became somewhat more steeply curved as variability in i86 B. K. Quinn and R. Rochette Figure 6. Effect of variability in 1981 – 2000 SSTs on total development time of cold-origin lobster larvae. Values are the same as those plotted in Figure 5, only for cold-origin larvae. As s.d. values were rounded to the nearest 18C increment, the s.d. ¼ 08C group does not necessarily represent absolutely zero variability, but rather very low variability; thus, these symbols are not all exactly on the x-axis (difference ¼ 0 d), as would be expected. Note that development of larvae in all areas but the NGSL most likely should be calculated using warm-origin equations (MacKenzie, 1988), as in Figure 5, and that development at mean SSTs ,10 and .228C in these plots is extrapolated beyond the thermal range thus-far examined for cold-origin larvae (Quinn et al., 2013). temperature increased, although this change occurred mainly over the lower range (5– 88C) of mean temperatures tested (Figure 7). Nevertheless, in the majority (69%) of cases, development time of cold-origin larvae differed significantly between larvae that experienced variable (s.d. ¼ 1–68C) vs. constant (s.d. ¼ 08C) SSTs, and the magnitude of difference increased with greater thermal variability (Figure 7). The magnitude of differences in development time between different levels of variability was much smaller for cold-origin larvae than was observed for warm-origin larvae (Figure 7); for example, the maximum difference in development time between s.d. ¼ 08C vs. s.d. ¼ 68C was observed at the mean temperature ¼ 58C for both warm- and cold-origin larvae, but the difference was 231 d for warm-origin larvae, but only +15.4 d for cold-origin larvae (Figure 7). In fact, for many mean temperatures, the maximum difference between constant and variable regimes for cold-origin larvae was extremely small, and often ≤1 d (Figure 7). Significant harmful effects (slower development) of thermal variability on development of cold-origin larvae were observed at mean temperatures between 5 –98C and ≥218C, whereas significant beneficial effects (faster development) were not observed at any mean temperature (Figure 7). Discussion Differential effects of variability depending on larval origin and mean temperature In this study, we examined the extent to which larvae of the American lobster experience variable water temperatures during development in different parts of the species’ range, and we estimated the effect this variability may have on their development time. In all four regions that we examined, some larvae were estimated to experience s.d. of SST as high as 48C during their 21 –200+ d development period (Templeman, 1936; MacKenzie, 1988; Quinn et al., 2013). Such variability in water temperature greatly affected calculated larval development times, which has important implications to predictions of larval drift time in nature, including in climate change scenarios. Interestingly, whether the effect of variability in water temperature on larval development time was positive or negative varied in a relatively complex fashion depending on larval origin and mean water temperature. This was likely because warm- and cold-origin larvae exhibit distinct temperaturedependent development functions, which may be the result of adaptation to different thermal regimes (Quinn et al., 2013), including i87 Potential effect of variation in water temperature on development time Figure 7. Mean (+95% confidence intervals) total development time (in days) from hatch to the moult to stage V of warm- (top) and cold-origin (bottom) lobster larvae predicted by the model using simulated SSTs at different combinations of mean (x-axis) and s.d. (indicated by different symbol types and colours) of temperature (in 8C). Note that the scales of the y-axes differ between the warm- and cold-origin plots. Lower and higher mean temperatures in the hatched regions of both plots represent extrapolations beyond the range of temperatures used in the original studies (MacKenzie, 1988; Quinn et al., 2013) from which the development functions were derived. Also indicated on both graphs are the non-linear regression equations derived in this study to express how s.d. of temperature (s.d.T) alters the shape of the relationship between mean temperature (TM) and total larval development time (D); both regressions were highly significant (p , 0.001) and had R 2 ≥ 0.99. of this relation, increased variability in temperature increases development time when temperature is close to the “development optimum” (208C), but it decreases development time at mean temperatures that are colder (,158C) and warmer (.248C) than this optimum. The negative effect of variability in temperature near the optimum is intuitive, whereas the positive effect at less optimum temperatures arises because greater variance around suboptimum temperature will result in a greater amount of time spent at more favourable temperatures (e.g. Thorp and Wineriter, 1981; Niehaus et al., 2012). As warm-origin larvae in the SGM and SGL mainly experience temperatures between 15 and 248C (near their thermal optimum; Ouellet et al., 2003; see also Figures 2 and 4), contemporary effects of natural thermal variability on these larvae are most likely negative. Variability in water temperature also affected the development time of cold-origin larvae, but these effects were markedly different and overall much smaller than those for warm-origin larvae. First, there was little evidence of positive effects of variability in temperature on development times of cold-origin larvae across the temperature range we examined. Second, significant negative effects were observed, but usually, these were extremely small, and resulted in ≤1 d longer development in variable vs. constant temperatures. Somewhat greater lengthening of development times (1–14 d) in variable vs. constant thermal regimes was observed at lower mean temperatures, between 5 and 98C, but these effects were still relatively small compared with those observed for warm-origin larvae. The reason for the relatively limited effect of temperature variability on development of cold-origin larvae is that the overall shape of their temperature-development function is much less curvilinear than that of warm-origin larvae (MacKenzie, 1988; Quinn et al., 2013), meaning that thermal variability around a particular mean value results in similar increases and decreases in development time, and thus variance has less impact on expected (i.e. mean) development times. Cold-origin larvae in the northern Gulf of St Lawrence mainly experience temperatures ≤158C (Ouellet et al., 2003; see also Figures 2 and 4), so contemporary effects of natural thermal variability on these larvae are most likely negative, and could be very small. These considerable differences in how thermal variability impacted warm- and cold-origin larvae point to the need for further research into the possibility and scope of geographic variation of temperature-based development functions of American lobster larvae. In particular, future research should quantify the effect of water temperature on development of larvae from other cold-water regions of the lobster’s range, such as the north shore of Quebec, northern Gulf of St Lawrence (mean summer SSTs ≤148C; Ouellet et al., 2003), or Placentia Bay, Newfoundland (summer SSTs ≤58C; Ma et al., 2012). Implications of results to estimates of larval drift possibly faster development at cold temperatures in regions where summer/fall temperatures may become too cold for larval development or survival (e.g. northern Gulf of St Lawrence; Figure 2). For warm-origin larvae, significant beneficial effects of thermal variability, resulting in much shorter development times, were predicted at very low (5–148C) and very high (≥ 258C) mean SSTs, but significant negative effects were predicted at intermediate temperatures of 15 –248C. This occurred because the relation between temperature and development time of these larvae resembles a parabola, with development time increasing as temperature moves away from an optimum (i.e. where development time is shortest) of 208C (see the Material and methods section, Figure 3). As a consequence Results of this study showed that variability in water temperature could have important effects on the development of lobster larvae in nature, which is consistent with observations on other species and systems (e.g. Thorp and Wineriter, 1981; Anger, 1983; Niehaus et al., 2012; Studer and Poulin, 2013). This may be important to lobster populations and fisheries, as changes to larval development times impact larval drift times and distances (Quinn, 2014), which in turn could influence connectivity and recruitment patterns among and within local fisheries (Ennis, 1995; Chassé and Miller, 2010; Incze et al., 2010; Green et al., 2014; Quinn, 2014). For example, in this study, total development times of larvae in variable thermal regimes at the mean simulated SST ¼ 208C were as much as i88 60% longer than those of larvae that experienced a constant temperature of 208C, which could result in up to 500 km longer larval drift distances (Quinn, 2014). Therefore, our results demonstrate the potential for considerable errors to be made if estimates of larval development and drift are made without accounting for effects of variability in temperature. One way to account for thermal variability while making such estimates would be to use the complex nested model equations derived in this study (Figure 7). Assuming one knew the mean and s.d. of water temperature in an area and period of interest, they could apply the appropriate equation for either warm- or cold-origin larvae and estimate their total development time. These results should be experimentally validated, though, to ensure that different aspects of larval biology—such as mortality at extreme temperatures or phenotypic plasticity (discussed below)—do not unduly impact the predictions of these models. Future research needed to confirm results Thermal limits of lobster larval development As noted in the Material and methods section, projections (of development times) made beyond the thermal ranges (10–228C) used in the studies on which larval development equations were based (MacKenzie, 1988; Quinn et al., 2013) must be considered with caution. Development time of arthropod larvae increases markedly beyond certain threshold temperatures (Sastry and Vargo, 1977; Shi and Ge, 2010; Pakyari et al., 2011) until a lethal temperature is reached beyond which no development occurs (Bĕlehrádek, 1935; McLaren et al., 1969; Brière et al., 1999). If such thermal limits occur for lobster larvae within or just outside the range of temperatures (5–268C + 0– 68C s.d.) considered in this study, changes to the models we used would be required, as our current projections would underestimate development times at more extreme temperatures. Anecdotal evidence suggests lethal temperatures for lobster larvae at or below 1 –58C (Huntsman, 1924; MacKenzie, 1988) and above 28 –358C (Huntsman, 1924; Sastry and Vargo, 1977). However, there was no clear evidence of thermal threshold(s) (e.g. Brière et al., 1999) within the range of temperature (10–228C) examined in the studies from which the development functions used here were derived (MacKenzie, 1988; Quinn et al., 2013), or even within the extended range (6– 248C) utilized in an earlier study (Templeman, 1936). It therefore seems unlikely that development times estimated beyond 10 –228C in the present study (mean SSTs of 5 –108C and 22 –268C) would have led to markedly erroneous conclusions. In highly variable simulated thermal regimes daily SSTs further outside this range could be generated, but due to the way in which our model simulated daily SSTs (see the Material and methods) these were extremely unlikely to occur, and because they would have occurred so infrequently their impact on our results would have been very short term and overall small. But perhaps more important, if this problem did bias our results, it would not affect any of our major inferences. Specifically, even if results based on extrapolated mean SSTs (,108C and .228C) are excluded, we would still conclude that variable water temperature, compared with constant temperature, results in (i) faster development of warm-origin larvae at means ≤148C, (ii) slower development of warm-origin larvae at means between 15 and 248C, and (iii) either no effect or slightly (≤1 d) longer development times of cold-origin larvae. We nevertheless recommend that experiments be undertaken to precisely determine lethal temperatures of lobster larvae and the shape of their development function(s) near these limits. B. K. Quinn and R. Rochette Potential metabolic and/or phenotypic plasticity In addition to the uncertainty of applying development equations at “extreme temperatures”, other aspects of lobster larval biology may also need to be considered to fully understand the effect of thermal variability on their development. In the present study, water temperature was assumed to affect larval development in the same manner on each day, irrespective of the temperature the larva experienced on previous days. Enzyme kinematics offer a theoretical foundation for this assumption, as enzymes are expected to be influenced by temperature in the same way over a given period regardless of temperature in previous periods (so long as damage or denaturation do not occur), and there is evidence this is true for processes related to development and moulting of arthropod larvae (Thorp and Wineriter, 1981; Brière et al., 1999). However, if larvae experiencing variable temperatures undergo phenotypic plasticity of temperature-dependent development rate, for example, through modification of the enzymes that mediate larval development (Somero, 2004), then actual development times could differ from those predicted in the present study. It is unknown whether such plastic responses occur in American lobster larvae, but in certain species of arthropods (mosquito, Anopheles quadrimaculatus: Huffaker, 1944; rock crab, C. irroratus: Sastry, 1979) larvae reared in fluctuating thermal environments had higher metabolic rates than conspecifics reared in less variable environments, and these plastic changes affected future growth and development rates of larvae at particular temperatures. If lobster larvae display similar plasticity in development, then our predictions of development time may be biased, and it is difficult to predict the nature of this bias. Future research is needed to assess the effect of “thermal experience” on the development of American lobster larvae at different temperatures. Importance of results in relation to climate change Thermal regimes likely to be experienced by larvae The range of means and s.d. of SSTs estimated to be experienced by larvae in this study showed that both warm- and cold-origin larvae frequently experience variable temperatures during development in nature. However, thermal regimes including relatively high thermal variability (s.d. of SST ¼ 2–48C) were confined to relatively low mean temperatures (≤14 –168C), while larvae experiencing higher mean temperatures tended to experience much lower or almost no (s.d. ¼ 0–18C) thermal variability during development. This pattern appears to have emerged because larvae that experience higher mean SSTs develop faster, and thus experience relatively little thermal variability during development, while larvae that experience lower mean SSTs take longer to develop and experience greater variability. This means that it is unlikely that larvae developing under natural conditions will experience a thermal regime including a high mean SST and high variability. These results also suggest that the overriding consequence of future climate change may be that lobster larvae will experience higher mean SSTs and lower thermal variability, which for the most part may result in faster development and reduced connectivity via larval dispersal. That being said, at the mean SSTs ≥258C, there is potential for slower development due to thermal inhibition, which (as discussed above) could result in larvae experiencing both high mean and high variability in temperature. Additionally, larvae developing in simulated SSTs in the second part of our study that were “forced” to experience “unusual” thermal regimes characterized by high mean and high variability in temperature did develop significantly i89 Potential effect of variation in water temperature on development time slower than larvae at the same high means but experiencing little or no variability. Therefore, if combinations of high means and high variability of SST do someday occur in some parts of the lobster’s range, the effects on larval development could be quite large. Importance of thermal variability to estimating effects of future climate changes Empirically derived thermal regimes in this study covered a recent historical period, from 1981 to 2000, but more contemporary (i.e. 2001–2014) and future patterns of SST are likely to be quite different. In recent years, summer water temperatures in Atlantic Canada have been warmer on average than in recent history (Galbraith et al., 2012; Loder et al., 2013) and have potential to become considerably higher over the next century (Khan et al., 2013). Studies of the effects of future climate changes often consider how mean annual, seasonal, and/or monthly temperatures are expected to change, and then use these projections to estimate effects on biota (e.g. Drinkwater, 2005; Khan et al., 2013). However, our results show that the magnitudes of the effects of future climate change could also markedly depend on thermal variability, and that making these inferences based on projected mean temperatures alone may not be satisfactory. Projections of specific changes to thermal variability in the ocean are rare, involve considerable modelling effort, and are limited by much uncertainty due to interactions between spatial and temporal variability in physical oceanography, climate, etc. (Ma and Xie, 2013). Thermal variability in certain locations might increase, for example, due to more frequent and intense storm events (Easterling et al., 2000), while in other areas, it could decrease due to increased stratification and reduced mixing of the water column (Hordoir and Meier, 2011). Preliminary work in eastern North America suggests that increased stratification (Loder et al., 2013) and thus less thermal variability (J. Chassé, Fisheries and Ocean Canada, pers. comm.) may be the dominant change across much of the lobster’s range in the future. Ongoing modelling efforts may eventually allow changes to thermal regimes experienced by lobster larvae to be estimated. Our results show that such efforts are worthwhile, to accurately estimate future changes to lobster larval development. For example, if the mean August SST experienced by warm-origin larvae in a given area at present is 158C, and is expected to increase to 208C by 2100 (Khan et al., 2013), the actual reduction in larval development times that would result could differ by a factor of 2 depending on thermal variability; specifically, the change could be as small as 9 d if s.d. of SST ¼ 68C, or as large as 20 d if s.d. ¼ 08C. Quantifying mean and variability in temperature is therefore crucial to understanding and predicting effects of future climate changes on the development of lobster larvae, which in turn will impact their dispersal and contribution to population connectivity. 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Brock Woodson ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i91 –i100. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv044 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article Geographic and environmental drivers of fecundity in the European lobster (Homarus gammarus) Charlie D. Ellis 1,2, Hannah Knott 2,3, Carly L. Daniels 2, Matthew J. Witt 1, and David J. Hodgson 4 * 1 Environment and Sustainability Institute, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn, Cornwall TR10 9FE, UK National Lobster Hatchery, South Quay, Padstow, Cornwall PL28 8BL, UK 3 Marine Biology and Ecology Research Centre, School of Marine Science and Engineering, University of Plymouth, Plymouth, Devon PL3 8AA, UK 4 Centre for Ecology and Conservation, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn, Cornwall TR10 9FE, UK 2 *Corresponding author: tel: +44 1326 371829; fax: +44 1326 254243; e-mail: [email protected] Ellis, C. D., Knott, H., Daniels, C. L., Witt, M. J., and Hodgson, D. J. Geographic and environmental drivers of fecundity in the European lobster (Homarus gammarus). – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i91 – i100. Received 31 August 2014; revised 22 February 2015; accepted 24 February 2015; advance access publication 18 March 2015. Fecundity in the European lobster (Homarus gammarus) has been shown to exhibit extensive spatial variation across northern Europe. Previously, this has been attributed to a lack of methodological standardization among samples. Instead, we show significant correlations between fecundity and both geographical and environmental drivers. We use linear mixed-effect models to assess the contribution of latitude, longitude, and measures of sea surface temperatures on the size– fecundity relationships of 1058 ovigerous females from 11 locations in the UK, Ireland, and Norway. We include new data for 52 lobsters from Falmouth, UK, the southwest limit of existing samples. Fecundity at mean female size correlated positively with eastings and greater annual ranges in sea surface temperature, but not with mean temperature or latitude. This contradicts the established latitudinal and mean temperature dependence reported for the closely related H. americanus. We postulate that proximity to stable Atlantic currents is the most likely driver of the relationship between fecundity and longitude. Mechanisms are discussed by which egg production or retention may be influenced by temperature range rather than by mean temperature. With further validation, we propose that temperature-correlated fecundity predictions will provide a valuable tool in ensuring that management thresholds are appropriate for the reproductive characteristics of lobster populations. Keywords: crustacea, egg production, environmental driver, fishery management, general linear model, reproductive ecology, reproductive variation. Introduction Measures of egg production are vital parameters for estimating the reproductive capacity of marine populations, the maintenance of which is a key objective of fishery management. Knowledge of reproductive capacity is critical for informed management of exploited populations because it is required for models of stock and recruitment dynamics and can be used to define the maximum threshold for fishing mortality (Laurans et al., 2009). It is also important to determine the geographic scales over which the reproductive characteristics of managed species vary to apply commensurate stock conservation measures to each region (Tully et al., 2001; MacCormack and DeMont, 2003; Currie and Schneider, 2011). A size-specific fecundity factor is well documented in populations of the European lobster (Homarus gammarus, L.), a prized # International decapod crustacean fished extensively throughout its range (e.g. Hepper and Gough, 1978; Bennett and Howard, 1987; Tully et al., 2001; Lizarraga-Cubedo et al., 2003; Agnalt et al., 2007; Agnalt, 2008). However, published estimates of mean fecundity have varied considerably among putative populations throughout northwest Europe (Agnalt, 2008), ranging from 5200 eggs per oviposition in southeast Scotland (Lizarraga-Cubedo et al., 2003) to 12 500 in southern England (Roberts, 1992) and southwest Norway (Agnalt, 2008), among females of 100 mm carapace length (CL). Environmental determinants of fecundity variation have been identified in many marine species (Wright, 2013), including seawater parameters such as temperature, salinity (e.g. Gomez et al., 2013), and dissolved oxygen (e.g. Wu et al., 2003). Temperature Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2015. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i92 (or latitude, as a proxy) has been found to correlate tightly with the exponent of size-specific fecundity variation in American lobster (Homarus americanus; Currie and Schneider, 2011). It also aligns with reproductive traits in other lobsters, including Southern rock lobster (Jasus edwardsii; Annala et al., 1980; Gardner et al., 2006), and in fish inhabiting a similar range throughout the Northeast Atlantic, such as Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua; Thorsen et al., 2010; Wright et al., 2011a; Hansen et al., 2012) and Dover sole (Solea solea; Witthames et al., 1995; Mollet et al., 2013). We aimed to test associations between H. gammarus fecundity and geographical and environmental factors, to assess whether they may contribute to the observed spatial variation in fecundity. Management has failed to prevent extensive and enduring stock collapses in the recent past (e.g. throughout Scandinavia in the mid-20th century; Dow, 1980; Agnalt et al., 1999), and where stock thresholds fail to reflect regional differences in fecundity, the management of pressured fisheries can be seriously undermined (Lambert, 2008; Morgan, 2008). Therefore, the identification of drivers that explain reproductive variation may be important in conserving lobster populations (Green et al., 2014). Despite the established influence of ecological drivers in reproductive variation across a range of taxa, whether regional differences in H. gammarus fecundity may be driven by environmental factors has not been assessed. Observed variation in clutch size among clawed lobsters has been attributed to differences in the success of attaching the externally incubated eggs (Currie and Schneider, 2011), the rate of egg loss over a lengthy incubation of 9 –10 months (Wahle et al., 2013), and the retention of eggs during capture and subsequent handling and storage (Agnalt, 2008). Agnalt (2008) hypothesized that a lack of methodological standardization among studies may prevent the detection of population-level variations, but we aimed to assess whether the influence of thermal environment might be detectable within the observed variation of H. gammarus fecundity. We hypothesized that a relationship would exist between temperature and fecundity among putative populations of H. gammarus. To test this hypothesis, egg counts of ovigerous females were collated from existing studies of fecundity in northern Europe. A new fecundity measurement was also made for females from the Atlantic peninsula of Cornwall, UK, an unassessed region at the southwest edge of the range of available data where the lobster fishery is vital in supporting 370 commercial potting vessels (S. Davies, pers. comm.; Cornwall IFCA, 2014). Parameters of the size-specific fecundity relationships of these samples were regressed against geographical and environmental covariates. We find longitudinal and environmental predictors of fecundity at mean size and discuss our findings in relation to lobster physiology, evolutionary ecology, and fishery management. Material and methods New samples Animal acquisition and storage Ovigerous female lobsters (n ¼ 52) were caught in baited pots and collected directly from inshore fishers working in Falmouth Bay, southwest UK in January –March 2013. This was carried out with permission from the local authority, as the landing of ovigerous females within inshore waters is normally prohibited (Cornwall IFCA, 2014). A large and evenly distributed range in female sizes was requested because this improves the accuracy of estimates of size –fecundity relationships (Estrella and Cadrin, 1995). A broad size range was achieved, although legal landing restrictions meant C. D. Ellis et al. that no females could be obtained less than the 90-mm CL jurisdictive minimum landing size. Most females were sampled immediately upon collection; where this was not possible, females were stored for a maximum of 3 d in a modern 2000 l recirculation system, where chilled temperatures (5–68C), shelter provisions, and low stocking density (maximum 3 m22) ensured egg loss was negligible (daily net cleaning revealed that egg loss equated to ,10 eggs lobster21 d21). Physical fecundity estimation CL was measured using Vernier calipers, rounding down to the nearest whole millimetre, and the egg mass was collected by hand, as per Agnalt (2008). A subsample of the eggs was separated and counted manually, ranging from 517 to 708 individual eggs (mean ¼ 606, +3.45). No repeat subsamples were taken because Agnalt (2008) showed that the correlation between two counts was .0.99 using even smaller subsamples [wet weights of 1–1.5 g, compared with 2.2–3.9 g (mean ¼ 2.97 g, +0.05 g) in this study]. Egg development was similar among all females, with most clutches being partially “eyed”, although no formal measurements of development stage were taken. Individual fecundity estimates were made by calculating the dry weight of the egg mass against that of the counted subsample; dry weight was preferred so that any variation in the amount of seawater incidentally gathered with the egg mass would not bias the measurement. All egg samples were dried in a drying oven (UT6200, Thermo Electron LED, Germany) at 1058C for 24 h (+1 h). Samples were moved into a sealed desiccating cabinet to cool before mass was measured to the nearest 1 mg by electronic balance (AE240 Balance, Mettler, UK). After an additional hour in the drying oven, sample mass was remeasured to check that it was stable and that drying had completed; all samples were deemed fully dried after this check because the difference in mass between the measurements was ,1% of the total sample mass. The dry mass of the subsample of known egg count was used to determine the mean dry mass per egg as: Dry mass per egg (mg) = Subsample dry mass (mg) . Subsample size (n eggs) (1) Fecundity estimates for each individual were then obtained from the total dry mass of eggs as: Subsample dry mass (mg)+Remaining sample dry mass (mg) Fecundity (n eggs) = . Dry mass per egg (mg) (2) Geographical survey Data collection and statistical modelling To test potential geographic and environmental drivers of fecundity variability in H. gammarus, data were collected from five studies assessing fecundity among 1009 individuals in 10 areas around the UK, Ireland, and Norway, plus the 52 individuals from Falmouth, southwest UK (Figure 1), measured by this study. Each regional sample location was assigned latitudinal and longitudinal coordinates from the approximate centre of the spatial range of sampling, as could be best deduced from study methodologies. The mean sea surface temperature (SST) data were obtained for each location the first day of each month during the year(s) of the study and one preceding year, since the majority of Homarid lobsters spawn in Geographic and environmental drivers of fecundity i93 Figure 1. Map of the UK and Ireland, with continental Europe around the North Sea, showing the locations of regional fecundity samples. Fecundity in Falmouth (F) was assessed in this study, while other samples used to model correlations with temperature were: Arranmore (A), Galway (G), Cork (C), and Rosslare (R) from Tully et al. (2001); St Davids (D) from Bennett and Howard (1987); Milford Haven (M), Selsey (S), and Bridlington (B) from Free (1994); Poole (P) from Roberts (1992); and Kvitsøy (K) from Agnalt (2008). See Table 1 for further information on regional samples. a biennial cycle (Tully et al., 2001; Comeau and Savoie, 2002; Agnalt et al., 2007). Using SST data, the mean temperature (mean SST of all months in all years) and temperature range (the mean difference between the mean SST of the three coldest months and the mean SST of the three coldest months of each year) were calculated for each location. SST data were obtained via AVHRR Oceans Pathfinder from the Physical Oceanography Distributed Active Archive Center (PO.DAAC, 2014) for all locations except Falmouth, UK, for which SST data were only available via MODIS Aqua EOS-PM from the Goddard Space Flight Center (OceanColor, 2014) due to the recentness of the sampling. SST was utilized instead of seabed temperature (SBT) because SBT was unavailable at the spatial and temporal resolutions required. While SBT may present a more biologically relevant parameter for benthic lobsters, the use of SST was supported by a regression of 80 surface (mean ¼ 1.8 m below surface) and bottom (mean ¼ 3.3 m above seabed) temperature measurements obtained by depth casts (ICES Data Centre, 2014) taken between 1998 and 2008 at fishable locations (within 15 km of the coast and ,85 m depth) across the geographic range of the study. The relationship showed a highly significant correlation between surface and bottom temperatures (Pearson’s product-moment correlation, r 2 ¼ 0.96, p , 0.01). General linear models (GLMs) were constructed using R (R Core Team, 2012) to apply power (log –log), log-linear, and linear fits to the global relationship between fecundity (F ) and female size (CL) across all 1061 individuals. Analysis of the distribution of residuals and comparisons of the log-likelihood ratio statistic and Akaike information criterion (AIC) of each model confirmed that the power fit, log(F) = log (aCL)b , best described this relationship (see i94 C. D. Ellis et al. Table 1. Summary of regional samples analysed including: study origin; sample region; sample size (n); central coordinates used for sample SST data and geographic factors in modelling, SST-derived mean temperature, and temperature range; a and b (Fslope) of the power-fitted relationship between fecundity and CL (F ¼ aCLb), with r 2 and associated p-values; and Fmean. Study Ellis et al. (this study) Tully et al. (2001) Tully et al. (2001) Tully et al. (2001) Tully et al. (2001) Bennett and Howard (1987) Free (1994) Free (1994) Free (1994) Roberts (1992) Agnalt (2008) SST range (88 C) 6.76 b a (Fslope) 0.0066 3.08 Fmean r 2 p-value (n eggs) 0.68 ,0.001 11 011 8830′ 36′′ W 11.64 4.63 0.0042 3.18 0.81 ,0.001 9835′ 60′′ W 9824′ 0′′ W 6824′ 0′′ W 5819′ 48′′ W 12.41 12.87 12.13 11.10 5.31 5.98 7.40 7.13 0.0017 0.0031 0.0164 0.0003 3.29 3.18 3.01 3.42 0.73 0.57 0.49 0.73 588′ 24′′ W 11.75 7.19 0.0000 3.14 0.48 76 50842′ 36′′ N 0846′ 48′′ W 12.94 177 5484′ 48′′ N 0810′ 12′′ W 10.06 7.81 8.68 0.1827 2.85 0.0344 2.84 0.26 ,0.001 11 622 0.59 ,0.001 11 776 50 50840′ 48′′ N 1858′ 12′′ W 12.49 9.84 217 5983′ 36′′ N 5826′ 24′′ E 7.05 9.38 0.0114 3.03 0.0047 3.11 0.53 ,0.001 11 208 0.85 ,0.001 12 920 Sample region Falmouth, SW England Arranmore, NW Ireland Galway, W Ireland Cork, SW Ireland Rosslare, SE Ireland St Davids, SW Wales n Lat. 52 5088′ 24′′ N Milford Haven, SW Wales Selsey, S England Bridlington, NE England Poole, S England Kvitsøy, SW Norway 8 51842′ 0′′ N 73 5580′ 36′′ N 144 70 111 80 5386′ 36′′ N 51827′ 36′′ N 52810′ 12′′ N 51852′ 12′′ N Long. 581′ 48′′ W Supplementary material). Power law models have been favoured in other recent studies (e.g. Tully et al., 2001; Lizarraga-Cubedo et al., 2003; Agnalt, 2008) because they account for the volumetric nature by which the brooding capacity of the abdomen increases in length and width with increasing CL. The outlying data of three individuals for which fecundity estimates lay beyond 4 s.e. of the allometric relationship were removed from the analysis. A linear mixed-effects model was constructed using the R package lme4 (Bates et al., 2014) to test the effect of the sizes of potential geographical and environmental drivers on lobster fecundity. Geographical factors assessed were latitude, longitude, and the interaction between the two, while environmental factors (analysed separately) were mean temperature, temperature range, and the interaction between the two. The relative strength of all geographical and environmental covariates was standardized via an adjustment to similar scales (mean ¼ 0; s.d. ¼ 1). From these models, coefficients of log(fecundity) at the mean size of all sampled females (Fmean) and the exponent of the size-specific fecundity power relationship (Fslope; b value) were extracted for each regional sample and then regressed in GLMs against the scaled geographical or environmental covariates. All combinations of models containing the effects of geographical or environmental factors on Fmean and Fslope in each regional sample were compared using multimodel inference and model averaging in the R package MuMIn (Barton, 2013). Model-averaged effect sizes and AIC weights (the proportion of weight accumulated by all models containing the assessed variable) were extracted to evaluate the relative importance of each variable on Fmean and Fslope. Correlation between geographical and environmental factors was tested by linear regressions. The GLMs used to regress Fmean and Fslope against geographical and environmental parameters were weighted by the sample sizes studied in each lobster population to limit the influence of imprecise estimates on global relationships. Some existing fecundity samples within the spatial range investigated were not analysed because raw data were unavailable (e.g. eastern and western Scotland; Lizarraga-Cubedo et al., 2003) or were collected before the backdated availability of SST measurements (e.g. northwest France; Latrouite et al., 1984). Data from another sample taken near Whitby in northeast England by SST mean (88 C) 11.85 9559 ,0.001 9353 ,0.001 8947 ,0.001 10 105 ,0.001 9466 0.02 10 293 Bennett and Howard (1987) were omitted because it was deemed likely that they were biased by considerable egg loss before fecundity estimation. The data included extremely low egg counts (e.g. ,750 eggs) and yielded a very low correlation for the power-fitted size –fecundity relationship (r 2 ¼ 0.12). A sample from Milford Haven, Wales (Free, 1994), was included despite the sample size being very small (n ¼ 8) because the data exhibited a reasonable correlation for a power-fitted size –fecundity slope (r 2 ¼ 0.62). Results Physical fecundity estimation Among females collected from Falmouth, UK, CL ranged from 90 to155 mm (mean ¼ 110 mm, +1.9 mm), and estimated egg production ranged from 3712 to 35 241 eggs ind.21. The relationship between fecundity (F ) and female size (CL) was described by F ¼ 0.0066 CL3.10 using a power-fitted model (r 2 ¼ 0.68, p , 0.001; Table 1), or by F ¼ 406.92 CL 229 749 using a linear-fitted model (r 2 ¼ 0.77, p , 0.001). The mean dry mass egg21 ranged from 1.53 to 2.24 mg among females, but demonstrated no relationship with overall fecundity (linear fit; r 2 ¼ 0.14, p , 0.01). Mass egg21 appeared to fit a natural logarithm relationship with female size, as described by Agnalt (2008), although overall correlation of this model fit was weak (r 2 ¼ 0.29, p , 0.001; see Supplementary material). Compared with the sample from Kvitsøy (K) and pooled Irish samples (I), the mean dry mass egg21 (mg) at Falmouth (F) was slightly higher at the lower distribution of female sizes (90 mm CL: K ¼ 1.3; I ¼ 1.4; F ¼ 1.6), but was comparable at upper size limits (150 mm CL: K ¼ 1.9; I ¼ 1.9; F ¼ 2.0; Tully et al., 2001; Agnalt, 2008). Estimates suggest that fecundity among lobsters from Falmouth is fairly central within the range recorded for the species across northern Europe, despite the location lying at the southwest geographical extremity of all samples. Drivers of fecundity variation Table 1 shows SSTand fecundity relationship results for each regional sample. North Sea sites at Kvitsøy and Bridlington had both the lowest mean temperatures (9.84 and 10.068C, respectively) and highest temperature ranges (9.38 and 8.688C). The mean i95 Geographic and environmental drivers of fecundity temperature was highest at sites in the English Channel at Selsey (12.948C) and Poole (12.498C) and in the Northeast Atlantic off western Ireland at Cork (12.878C) and Galway (12.418C). Western Ireland also experienced the smallest temperature ranges, decreasing northwards from Cork (5.988C) to Galway (5.318C) and being lowest at Arranmore (4.638C). Across all samples, Fmean corresponded to a female size of 102.8 mm CL. For the log power-fitted relationship, log(F) = log(aCL)b , b (Fslope) was lowest for the samples from Bridlington (2.84) and Selsey (2.85), and was highest for the St Davids sample (3.42). Fmean ranged from 8947 eggs female21 in Cork to 12 920 in Kvitsøy. For all North Sea and English Channel samples, Fmean exceeded 11 000 eggs female21, whereas it was below 10 300 eggs for all samples from the Irish Sea and western Ireland. We found that increases in Fmean were strongly associated with increases in both (easterly) longitude and mean annual temperature range (Figure 2). Each variable had a high cumulative AIC weight (temperature range ¼ 0.92; longitude ¼ 0.89; Table 2), and a model-averaged effect size identifiably .0, with 95% confidence intervals not overlapping zero (Figure 3). The influence of longitude and temperature range on fecundity also extends to females in other size classes. These variables also yielded identifiable positive effect sizes in linear mixed-effect models of fecundity at the current European Commission minimum landing size of 87 mm CL (data not presented). Latitude and mean temperature variables, and interactions of these factors, had no influence on fecundity variation, however. Modelled with Fmean, these variables had low cumulative model weightings (AIC weights ,0.1) and 95% confidence intervals that spanned an effect-size of zero (Figure 3). We also demonstrated that variation in Fslope could not be attributed to any of the geographical or environmental variables investigated (Figure 3). No variable had an identifiable effect upon Fslope, with confidence intervals spanning zero effect-sizes and low cumulative weighting (AIC weights ,0.4) for all model factors. Linear regressions between variables showed a significant positive correlation between mean annual temperature range and longitude (Pearson’s coefficient: r 2 ¼ 0.90, p , 0.001; Figure 4), and a significant negative relationship between latitude and mean temperature among regional fecundity samples (r 2 ¼ 20.74, p , 0.01). Discussion Figure 2. Plot of the relationship between Fmean and scaled temperature range, showing that increased Fmean was positively associated with increased range in annual temperature (r 2 ¼ 0.83, p , 0.002). Knowledge of factors contributing to fecundity variation is vital to ensure that fishery management strategies are suitable for exploited species throughout their range (Lambert, 2008; Morgan, 2008). We have demonstrated geographical and environmental factors that correlate with fecundity variation in H. gammarus across a portion of its range which has accounted for over 75% of the species’ recorded landings in recent years (FAO, 2014). Our results are an important indication that the observed spatial variation may reflect differences between the fecundity of putative populations, not simply study-level differences in investigative approach, and that environmental temperature is a driver contributing to variation in the production and/or retention of eggs in H. gammarus. In isolation, the new fecundity sample taken from Falmouth, Table 2. Summary of candidate linear mixed models with measures of model likelihood and weighting to show the effect of geographical and environmental covariates on Fmean. F parameter Fmean Factors Geographical Environmental Fslope Geographical Environmental Model variables Longitudea Latitude + longitude Latitude + longitude + latitude:longitude Latitude Temperature rangea Mean temperature + temperature range Mean temperature Mean temperature + temperature range + mean temperature:temperature range Longitude Latitude + longitude Latitude Latitude + longitude + latitude:longitude Temperature range Mean temperature Mean temperature + temperature range Mean temperature + temperature range + mean temperature:temperature range Factors denoted a were deemed identifiable effects by model-averaging. d.f. 3 4 5 3 3 4 3 5 3 4 4 5 3 3 4 5 logLik 20.966 21.406 22.075 8.444 14.687 14.816 9.712 14.948 AICc 232.5 228.1 222.2 27.5 219.9 215.0 210.0 27.9 3.454 5.147 2.313 7.036 4.060 2.565 4.680 4.997 2.5 4.4 4.8 7.9 1.3 4.3 5.3 12.0 D AIC 0.00 4.36 10.35 25.04 0.00 4.98 9.95 12.05 AIC weight 0.894 0.101 0.005 0.000 0.915 0.076 0.006 0.002 1.64 3.49 3.92 7.05 0.43 3.42 4.43 11.13 0.251 0.099 0.080 0.017 0.384 0.086 0.052 0.002 i96 C. D. Ellis et al. Figure 3. Model-averaged effect sizes of geographical and environmental variables modelled against the fecundity parameters Fslope and Fmean. Variables with effect-sizes that are identifiably different from zero have 95% confidence interval bars that do not overlap the model mean (dashed vertical line). Figure 4. Plot of the relationship between longitude and mean annual temperature range among regional fecundity samples (r 2 ¼ 0.90, p , 0.001). the first such assessment in southwest England, can contribute an important parameter of the reproductive capacity of H. gammarus in this important regional fishery. Our most important findings are that fecundity at mean size improved with increasing range in annual temperature, along a gradient towards more easterly longitudes, and that longitude and temperature range were closely associated. The most obvious underlying driver linking gradients of longitude and temperature range in the area of this study is proximity to the North Atlantic Drift of the Gulf Stream. The North Atlantic Drift brings greater thermal stability to the coastal waters of the immediate Atlantic coast along western Europe than that experienced by more enclosed shelf sea areas. By example, among the three most northerly regional samples we surveyed, the mean annual range in sea temperature for the Northeast Atlantic at Arranmore was only 4.68C, compared with 8.78C around Bridlington and 9.48C at Kvitsøy in the North Sea. Considering the strength of the associations we found between fecundity at mean female size and both longitude and temperature range, we propose that proximity to currents associated with the Gulf Stream contributes to the regulation of egg production i97 Geographic and environmental drivers of fecundity Table 3. Regional samples ranked via smallest SOM LP50 (the CL at which 50% of females are functionally mature), as physiologically determined by Free et al. (1992) and Tully et al. (2001), with comparison to fecundity at the global mean female size (Fmean) as calculated in this study using raw data from Free (1994) and Tully et al. (2001). Study Free et al. (1992), Free (1994) Tully et al. (2001) Sample region Selsey, S England Bridlington, NE England Galway, W Ireland Cork, SW Ireland Rosslare, SE Ireland Arranmore, NW Ireland and/or retention in H. gammarus across the northern part of the species’ distribution. In contrast to the relationship detected for H. americanus by Currie and Schneider’s (2011) similar meta-analysis of spatial variation in fecundity, we found no evidence of the slope of size-specific fecundity increasing with decreased latitudinal gradient. Instead, we found that fecundity at mean size was increased among regions with high ranges in annual temperature, irrespective of mean temperature. This finding defies the expectation that mean temperature drives the reproductive investment of ectotherms (e.g. Ernsting and Isaaks, 2000; Thorsen et al., 2010; Tobin and Wright, 2011; Wright et al., 2011a). Currie and Schneider (2011) found that fecundity-at-size in H. americanus (in this case, 85 mm CL lobsters) met this expectation, as it aligned closely to latitudinal gradient. However, the direction of this relationship was unexpected, with fecundity-at-size found to increase in higher latitudes (Currie and Schneider, 2011), suggesting that clutch size does not increase with increasing temperature in either Homarus species. Rather than being a function of size, Currie and Schneider (2011) propose that H. americanus fecundity may be age-related, with fewer growing degree-days (e.g. Neuheimer and Taggart, 2007) at higher latitudes leading to smaller size at maturity and comparatively greater clutches at equivalent body sizes. Age-at-size validation methods remain too unreliable among crustaceans (Hartnoll, 2001) to evidence this, but the proposition is not supported by Currie and Schneider’s (2011) own assertion of overall increases in size-specific fecundity slopes towards southerly latitudes, nor by our finding of a disconnect between fecundity at mean size and mean temperature in H. gammarus. A comparable pattern to that which we revealed is shown by sole (S. solea) populations from colder North Sea environments, whose earlier maturity and higher reproductive investment compared with conspecifics from warmer seas to the south and west has been attributed to countergradient environmental adaptation. This suggests that greater fecundity can arise among populations inhabiting colder regions to compensate for high mortality caused by winter sea temperatures (Conover, 1992; Mollet et al., 2013), and that similar pressures could be driving variation in egg production for H. gammarus. In most studies of fish, spatial and temporal trait adaptations associated with temperature variation have been attributed to phenotypic plasticity (Crozier and Hutchings, 2014), although evolutionary mechanisms are more commonly proposed to explain counter-gradient variations (Conover, 1992; Mollet et al., 2013). Compared with plastic traits, locally adapted fecundity variation is less likely to be flexible to global climate change (Conover et al., 2009), and evidence of such adaptation to thermal gradients has already been established among H. americanus populations across the Atlantic, with larval growth and planktonic duration found to be comparatively shortened under local sea temperatures (Quinn et al., 2013). SOM (CL, mm) (rank) 82 (1) 90 (2) 92 (3) 94 (4) 95 (5) 96 (6) Fmean (n 3 103 eggs) (rank) 11.6 (2) 11.8 (1) 9.35 (5) 8.95 (6) 10.1 (3) 9.56 (4) Reported variation in size at the onset of maturity (SOM) also appears to support the suggestion that geographical and environmental factors may influence reproductive ecology atypically in H. gammarus. Female SOM has been estimated to be generally smaller in those samples farther from the mild Northeast Atlantic currents (Table 3), despite an expectation to positively align with mean temperature as a product of greater energy acquisition and growth rate (e.g. Zuo et al., 2011; Green et al., 2014), as has been asserted for H. americanus (Little and Watson, 2003, 2005; Caputi et al., 2013). Physiological assessments found SOM to be smaller in Bridlington than at any location around Ireland (Free, 1994; Tully et al., 2001), and morphologically determined SOM was lower in the Scottish North Sea than at the Hebridean Atlantic coast. In both scenarios, lobsters mature at smaller sizes in the area of greater temperature range, despite those areas experiencing lower overall mean temperatures. Assessing the relative contributions of environmental, demographic, and genotypic factors can be extremely challenging (Wright, 2013), but the alignment of multiple traits to gradients of temperature range is a strong indicator that reproductive variation in H. gammarus is driven by thermal environment. It is not possible to disentangle whether the observed spatial variation in H. gammarus fecundity arises as a result of differences in the production of eggs or in the retention of eggs after oviposition, or both. Agnalt (2008) measured fecundity soon after extrusion and again soon before hatch, and detected no egg loss across 7 months among lobsters from Kvitsøy, whereas Latrouite et al. (1984) estimated that 27% of eggs were lost during incubation off the northwest coast of France. Agnalt (2008) sourced lobsters stringently and argued that the egg loss observed by Latrouite et al. (1984) could have arisen from handling and inappropriate storage, factors well known to downwardly bias subsequent egg counts. Nevertheless, most studies of H. americanus imply that 15% or more of eggs are lost during incubation (Wahle et al., 2013), and egg retention could exist as a result of thermal environment, so egg loss during incubation cannot be discounted as a mechanism of H. gammarus fecundity variability. Egg loss among communally captive H. gammarus is dramatically reduced below a thermal tipping point of 98C (B. Marshall, pers. comm.), with decreased metabolism and movement inhibiting behaviours and interactions which otherwise inhibit egg retention. It is also conceivable that the diversity and abundance of known fungal and nemertean pathogens of lobster eggs (e.g. Alderman and Polglase, 1986; Campbell and Brattey, 1986) is influenced by sea temperatures. However, speculative hypotheses that rate of egg loss may be improved in colder winters are tempered by the extended duration of the incubation period at lower temperatures (Charmantier and Mounet-Guillaume, 1992; Schmalenbach and Franke, 2010) and by our analysis of samples from Selsey and Poole, which also had high fecundity at mean size, i98 but where high temperature ranges were driven by warm summers rather than cold winters. Although there is a tendency for mass egg21, egg and larval size, and larval robustness to increase with female size (Tully et al., 2001; Agnalt, 2008; Moland et al., 2010), scant evidence has been found of any trade-off between quantity and quality of egg production in H. gammarus. Investment per egg in terms of dry mass appears consistent between samples from Ireland, Kvitsøy, and Falmouth and showed no discernible association to clutch size in our Falmouth sample. In the geographic range of this study, it is also unlikely that fecundity variation arises as a result of regional differences in spawning frequency, as a biennial reproductive cycle has been recorded for the majority of lobsters in both Norway and Ireland (Tully et al., 2001; Agnalt et al., 2007), althoughvariation in spawning strategies is apparent in the genus and is poorly understood (Gendron and Ouellet, 2009). Fishing-induced mortality is another candidate driver of spatial variation in lobster fecundity. A response to selection pressures incurred via recruitment overfishing has been proposed to explain temporal fecundity increases in North Sea populations of cod (G. morhua), haddock (Melangrammus aeglefinus), and plaice (Pleuronectes platessa; Yoneda and Wright, 2004; Rijnsdorp et al., 2005; Stares et al., 2007; Wright et al., 2011b) and was also considered as a driver of temporal SOM variation in H. americanus (Landers et al., 2001). Among the samples we investigated, the highest fecundities at mean size were recorded from the post-collapse population at Kvitsøy (Agnalt et al., 1999) and the samples from Bridlington, Selsey, and Poole, which are from stocks in the east and south of England that experience heavier fishing pressure than those of Atlantic coasts towards the southwest (Cefas, 2011). The status of stocks around Ireland and Wales are not known. The strong effects of longitude and temperature range that we identified suggest that any demographic pressure must also align closely with these gradients, although from the limited information available on current and historical fishing pressure, this does seem to be the case for H. gammarus in parts of northern Europe. The confirmation and elucidation of geographical and/or environmental drivers of fecundity variation would be valuable to the management of reproductive potential in H. gammarus stocks, especially among unassessed regions in lieu of laborious manual quantifications (Currie and Schneider, 2011). Predictions facilitated via relationships we have demonstrated with temperature range may be a suitable method of fecundity estimation among unmeasured populations, although the associations we found between temperature and fecundity are not as categorical as those offered by Currie and Schneider (2011) for H. americanus. This may be an artefact of uncontrolled variation in the effective spatial ranges of the regional samples we analysed. Our findings would be strengthened by the standardized assessment of H. gammarus fecundity in other regions within the spatial range encompassed by this study, as well as in areas such as Subarctic Norway, the Iberian peninsula, Morocco, and the Mediterranean to determine whether temperature range may be a driver of clutch size throughout the species’ range. Repeat estimations in regions previously assessed could elucidate whether fecundity varies temporally as well as spatially, and provide further evidence that the recorded variation in lobster fecundity reflects populationlevel differences in the production and/or retention of eggs, rather than inherent bias between samples. Conclusions We show that the fecundity of European lobsters at mean female size correlates positively with easterly longitude and annual range in C. D. Ellis et al. SSTs across the northern range of this species. Fecundity at mean size did not correlate with mean temperature or latitude, contradicting the widely assumed temperature dependence of ectotherms. We propose that the proximity of populations to stable Atlantic currents is the driver of this variation. With further validation, temperaturecorrelated fecundity predictions would provide a valuable tool in ensuring that conservation management is suited to the reproductive characteristics of lobster populations. Supplementary data Supplementary material is available at the ICESJMS online version of the manuscript. Acknowledgements We are indebted to Ann-Lisbeth Agnalt and Oliver Tully, for supplying fecundity data and references for this analysis, and to Liz Preston of the University of Plymouth’s Aquatic Animal Nutrition and Health Research Group, for methodological assistance. We further acknowledge the generous help of several Cornish fishers who donated lobsters for this study and to the Cornwall Inshore Fisheries and Conservation Authority, for granting permission for some sampling required for this investigation, and for contributing useful information to our study. Finally, we are grateful to the European Social Fund and the Fishmongers’ Company, UK, whose funding contributed to aspects of this project, and to Emory Anderson and two anonymous reviewers, whose input greatly improved the manuscript. References Agnalt, A. L. 2008. Fecundity of the European lobster (Homarus gammarus) off southwestern Norway after stock enhancement: do cultured females produce as many eggs as wild females? ICES Journal of Marine Science, 65: 164 – 170. Agnalt, A. L., Kristiansen, T. S., and Jørstad, K. E. 2007. Growth, reproductive cycle, and movement of berried European lobsters (Homarus gammarus) in a local stock off southwestern Norway. 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Handling editor: Emory Anderson ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i101 –i114. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsu227 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article Mate choice in temperate and tropical spiny lobsters with contrasting reproductive systems Mark Butler, IV 1*, Rodney Bertelsen 2, and Alison MacDiarmid 3 1 Department of Biological Sciences, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA 23529, USA Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, Florida Marine Research Institute, South Florida Regional Laboratory, 2796 Overseas Highway, Suite 119, Marathon, FL 33050, USA 3 National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, PO Box 14-901, Wellington, New Zealand 2 *Corresponding author: tel: +1 757 683 3609; fax: +1 757 683 5283; e-mail: [email protected] Butler, M.IV, Bertelsen, R., and MacDiarmid, A. Mate choice in temperate and tropical spiny lobsters with contrasting reproductive systems. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i101– i114. Received 23 July 2014; revised 11 November 2014; accepted 19 November 2014; advance access publication 22 December 2014. Sperm limitation of reproductive success is common in decapod crustaceans, favouring mating systems in which females compete for large males of high reproductive value. We investigated these phenomena in two species of spiny lobsters—one temperate, one tropical—with contrasting reproductive systems: the Southern Rock Lobster (Jasus edwardsii) and the Caribbean Spiny Lobster (Panulirus argus). We hypothesized that female mate selection should be more pronounced in the temperate J. edwardsii than in the tropical P. argus because J. edwardsii matures later, has a shorter mating season, and produces just one clutch of eggs per year that benefit from significant maternal investment of resources. As hypothesized, experiments conducted in large mesocosms revealed that female J. edwardsii cohabited with large males more often than expected by chance during their receptive period, but not at other times. Large male J. edwardsii cohabited in dens with the largest unmated females, whereas small males exhibited no mate size preference. In contrast, the proportion of female and male P. argus that co-occupied dens with the opposite sex was no more than expected by chance. Cohabitation patterns in the wild supported these laboratory findings for both species. Our results demonstrate the tight connection between contrasting reproductive strategies and the specificity of mate choice in spiny lobsters that are consistent with predictions based on environmental seasonality in temperate vs. tropical ecosystems. Keywords: Jasus, mate choice, Panulirus, reproduction, spiny lobsters. Introduction Latitudinal gradients in animal life history characteristics, such as the trade-off in maternal investment in egg mass vs. numbers of eggs (i.e. clutch size), are deeply rooted in evolutionary biology theory (MacArthur and Wilson, 1967; Pianka, 1970; Reznick et al., 2002). These differences are paraphrased by the classic r-selected vs. K-selected life history dichotomy: species that evolved at lower latitudes display r-selected life history attributes (e.g. many offspring at low “cost” to the parent, thus: high fecundity, early maturity, low parental investment, etc.) and those that evolved at higher latitudes tend to be K-selected (e.g. fewer and better provisioned offspring: lower fecundity, late maturity, large parental investment, etc.). Empirical evidence from a variety of taxa, including marine fish (Vila-Gispert et al., 2002; Foster and Vincent, 2004) and # International crustaceans (Anger et al., 2002; Sarma et al., 2005), is consistent with this theory. Latitudinal differences in life history theory are also relevant to applied fields such as fishery management, that to be effective must adopt different management regulations where latitudinal gradients in life history exist (Fromentin and Fonteneau, 2001). Spiny lobsters (Decapoda; Palinuridae) are good models for exploring the implications of latitudinal differences in the evolution of reproductive life history characteristics such as mate choice and competition and the potential effects of, or implications for, human exploitation of those populations. Spiny lobsters have a global distribution, their patterns of reproduction vary latitudinally, their reproductive systems are finely tuned with very low sperm:egg ratios, and their size-dependent breeding systems are sensitive to Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2014. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i102 changes caused by overfishing (Lipcius et al., 1983; Lipcius, 1985; DeMartini et al., 1993; MacDiarmid and Butler, 1999; Kelly et al., 2000; Melville-Smith and de Lestang, 2006; Butler et al., 2011). We investigated latitudinal effects on mating systems in two species of spiny lobsters with contrasting reproductive systems: a temperate species—the Southern Rock Lobster (Jasus edwardsii) from New Zealand and south Australia; and a tropical species— the Caribbean Spiny Lobster (Panulirus argus). We hypothesized that mate selection should be stronger in J. edwardsii than in P. argus for at least two reasons: J. edwardsii has fewer lifetime mating opportunities and the consequences of a missed mating opportunity are severe. Female J. edwardsii breed only once per year after a pre-mating molt and during a 3 –5 month autumn mating season repeated over an average of 7 years (Pollock, 1991). So a single mating opportunity represents 5 – 15% of the average lifetime matings for J. edwardsii. In contrast, female P. argus mate and spawn up to three times per year depending on their size (Lyons et al., 1981; Maxwell et al., 2009) and do so over a prolonged breeding season (6 –12 months depending on latitude) and for anywhere from 5 to 30 years (Pollock, 1997; Bertelesen and Mathews, 2001; Ehrhardt, 2008; Maxwell et al., 2009). So a single mating constitutes as little as 1.5% of all matings by a longlived female P. argus. Moreover, the fecundity of female J. edwardsii drops 10% each day that mating is delayed once a female becomes receptive and, if no mate is found, absorption of the egg mass scars the ovaries resulting in up to a 40% drop in fecundity the following mating season (MacDiarmid and Sainte-Marie, 2006). In contrast, if female P. argus do not find a mate, they simply extrude the unused egg mass (Butler et al., 2011). In short, the reproductive cost of not acquiring a mate for female J. edwardsii (the temperate species) is far greater than that for P. argus. The same temperate–tropical differences that give rise to disparate female reproductive patterns and mate selection also influence the choice of mates by male lobsters. Large male spiny lobster should preferentially choose and compete for large competent females with whom to mate, given their greater egg production, and this preference should be more strongly exhibited by male J. edwardsii. In both J. edwardsii and P. argus, female fecundity is size dependent with the largest females producing 9 –19 times the number of eggs per clutch of the smallest mature females (MacDiarmid and Sainte-Marie, 2006). However, the short breeding season of J. edwardsii in temperate climates and limited mating opportunities with females that mate only once per year should result in stronger male–male competition for mates in J. edwardsii than for P. argus. Yet, these highly evolved differences in the reproductive biology of tropical and temperate species may be similarly affected by overfishing. In intact populations within MPAs where large males are still present, spiny lobsters exhibit lek-style mating systems in which large males defend specific dens or groups of dens from other males and females travel among these males and their territories (MacDiarmid, 1994; Bertelsen and Cox, 2001; Bertelsen and Matthews, 2001; Robertson and Butler, 2012). However, this lekstyle mating system breaks down in heavily fished spiny lobster populations where large lobsters, especially large males, are absent and smaller individuals tend not to establish or defend mating territories (MacDiarmid, 1994; Bertelsen and Cox, 2001; Bertelsen and Matthews, 2001). Here, we describe how we first compared the reproductive biology of these two species of spiny lobster whose life histories are indicative of temperate and tropical species. We then conducted M. Butler et al. a series of female and male mate choice experiments in large, outdoor mesocosms and compared those findings with field observations of mating and den co-occupancy. As predicted by life history theory, we hypothesized that (i) preference for larger mates would be strongest by females, larger individuals, and in J. edwardsii compared with P. argus, and (ii) male– male competition would also be most intense among large males, particularly J. edwardsii. Methods Southern rock lobster mesocosm experiments Mature male and pre-molt female J. edwardsii were obtained from the Chatham Islands and near Wellington, New Zealand, and transferred to a flow-through seawater system (Figure 1). Only J. edwardsii of a size whereby all are certain to be mature (.90 mm CL) were included in our experiments. Lobsters were measured (carapace length; CL), individually marked with colour-coded antennae tags, and distributed among six 1.8 m diameter × 0.6 m deep concrete holding tanks. Sexes were held separately until the start of the experiments. The lobsters in each holding tank had continuous access to live blue mussels (Mytilus galloprovincialis) for food and were shaded from sunlight. Experiment 1: mate choice by female J. edwardsii The choice of a mate by small (99 –108 mm CL) and large (127 – 153 mm CL) mature female J. edwardsii were tested at four different phases of the mating cycle: pre-molt, early post-molt, late post-molt, and egg-bearing. The designation of reproductive stages that we tested for J. edwardsii are related to a specific pre-mating molt that females undergo each year before the breeding season. To define these stages for each female, we calculated the expected day of mating from a function incorporating molt-mate interval, day of molting, and female size (MacDiarmid, 1989b). We then used this information to subdivide the period between molting and mating into two phases: early post-molt and late post-molt. The experiment was conducted in two large outdoor tanks measuring 7 × 5 and 2 m deep (75 000 l) and covered by a plastic mesh screen that reduced the ambient light level by 75%. In each corner, a shelter was constructed from two hollow concrete building blocks supporting a 500 × 500 mm concrete paving slab. Shelters were large enough to simultaneously house a large male and a large female. One shelter was left empty, but in the other three shelters we tethered either a large mature male (180 mm CL), a small mature male (100 mm CL), or a female of the same size and reproductive stage as the test female. Lobsters were tethered to their shelter by a 0.5 m length of 40 kg test-strength monofilament fishing line. The line was attached to the lobster via a swivel on a plastic cable tie fastened around the cephalothorax between the second and third walking legs. This fit snugly between the legs and allowed normal locomotor activity. Tethering is more commonly used as a means to compare relative rates of predation on marine animals under differing conditions, and its utility and problems have been thoroughly debated (Peterson and Black, 1994; Aronson and Heck, 1995; Aronson et al., 2001). We used it simply to constrain an individual lobster near a particular den. Perhaps doing so may result in some behavioural artefact, but we know of no method to constrain a specific sized lobster within a specific shelter that would have been less obtrusive. The length of the tether and lack of any obstructions in each den minimized the potential for tangling of the tether that might alter lobster behaviour. Otherwise, lobsters Spiny lobster mate choice Figure 1. Field study sites in northeast New Zealand and Florida, USA. i103 i104 appeared to behave normally and remained sheltered within each den during the day. The test female was liberated in the centre of the test tank and her position in the tank recorded 24 h later, after which she was removed. To eliminate any bias in shelter choice due to the uneven distribution of natural light penetration or water circulation, the positions of the shelters and tethered lobsters were rotated around the tanks among replicates. Both experimental tanks ran simultaneously until 20 or more females had been tested for each combination of size and molt stage. The choice of the test females among the different shelters was analysed using a log-linear goodness-of-fit test with an even distribution of females among shelters as the expected outcome if shelter choice was random. Experiment 2: mate choice by male J. edwardsii The same tanks, shelters, tethering arrangements, and experimental protocols were used as in Experiment 1. However, in this case, females of four different sizes (,99, 100 –119, 120–139, and .140 mm CL) were tethered singly in each shelter. Two sets of replicates were run with either pre-molt or post-molt unmated females tethered to shelters. In both cases, a single small (99 –112 mm CL) or large (178–185 mm CL) mature male was liberated in the centre of the test tank and its position in the tank recorded 24 h later. Both experimental tanks ran simultaneously until 20 or more males of each size had been tested for the two female molt phases. The choice of the test males among the different shelters was tested using log-linear goodness-of-fit tests with an even distribution of males among shelters as the expected outcome if shelter choice was random. Caribbean spiny lobster mesocosm experiments Mature male and female P. argus were obtained from reef environments in the Florida Keys and the Dry Tortugus National Sanctuary (USA) by divers (Figure 1). Lobsters were transported to the Keys Marine Laboratory (Long Key, FL, USA) where they were measured (CL), individually marked with colour-coded antennae tags, and transferred to four outdoor flow-through holding tanks (2 m diameter × 1 m depth). Sexes were held separately until the start of the experiments. The lobsters in each holding tank were provided shelter and were fed frozen shrimp and squid daily. Only P. argus of a size whereby all are certain to be mature (.80 mm CL) were included in our experiments. Experiment 3: mate choice by female P. argus This experiment was run outdoor in two large (15 m long by 7 m wide by 1.5 m deep), oblong concrete channels supplied with flowthrough seawater. Four shelters as described in Experiment 1 were placed equidistant around the perimeter of each channel. Four alternative shelter conditions were established for this experiment. To three of the shelters, we tethered either a large mature male (.120 mm CL), a small mature male (,100 mm CL), or a female the same size and reproductive condition as the test female. The fourth shelter was left empty. Lobsters were tethered as described for Experiment 1. Each morning, a test female was liberated in the centre of the test channel and her position in the tank recorded 24 h later after which she was removed. We first tested the shelter (i.e. mate) choice of unmated small (,90 mm CL) and large (.100 mm CL) females during the reproductive season, and to contrast these patterns with shelter choice at other times of year, we repeated the test during the non-reproductive season (n ¼ 19 –63 lobsters per experimental condition; mean ¼ 37). Female M. Butler et al. choice of the available den partners was analysed using log-linear goodness-of-fit tests. Four separate analyses were run comparing mate choice by small and large females during the reproductive season and during the non-reproductive season; an even distribution of females among the four shelter conditions was considered the expected outcome if shelter choice was random. Experiment 4: mate choice by male P. argus To investigate mate choice by male P. argus, we used a similar experimental protocol as that described in Experiment 3. However, in this case, a single small (80 –100 mm CL) or large (.120 mm CL) male lobster (as opposed to a female lobster as in Experiment 3) was released in each mesocosm to choose among four different shelter conditions: a small female (,90 mm CL) tethered in a den, a large female (.100 mm CL) tethered in a den, an equivalent size male tethered to a den, or an empty den. We ran these trials for small (n ¼ 26) and large (n ¼ 36) males during the reproductive season and, as for the female tests described above, repeated the test during the non-reproductive season (n ¼ 12 –57 for small and large males, respectively). Again, log-linear goodness-of-fit tests were used to assess non-random shelter associations for small and large males during the reproductive and non-reproductive periods. Field studies We examined patterns of male and female dispersion and courting activity in wild populations of J. edwardsii and P. argus in unfished marine reserves and nearby fished areas. For J. edwardsii, we studied four adjacent populations—two protected (Leigh Marine Reserve and Tawharanui Marine Park) and two fished (eastern side of Kawau Island and northwest Hen Island)—in northeast New Zealand (Figure 1). At each of these localities, the abundance, size frequency, sex ratio, and courting activity of lobsters was estimated during the peak of mating in June 1995. At each locality, divers observed lobsters during daylight hours at four sites, two shallow (1–10 m) and two deep (11– 20 m), situated within areas of crevice and boulder habitat in which J. edwardsii are primarily found. At each site, we searched for lobsters within five haphazardly placed 50 × 10 m transects. Lobsters were counted, their sex determined, and their size estimated using established visual techniques (see MacDiarmid, 1989a, 1991). Lobsters in each den were recorded separately. Courting activity was defined by lobsters engaged in “frontal approach” behaviour, which is unique to pre-copulatory courtship in spiny lobsters (Lipcius et al., 1983; Lipcius and Herrnkind, 1985; MacDiarmid and Kittaka, 2000). Before the surveys, 2 days were spent training divers to reliably estimate CL to within +5 mm over the whole size range (20 –200 mm CL). The same three divers were used throughout the survey. Fished populations of P. argus in four areas of the Florida Keys (Carysfort Reef in the northeast to Marquesas Rocks in the west) and a protected population in the Dry Tortugus National Marine Sanctuary (USA) were also studied in situ by divers (Figure 1). Every 6 weeks from March to September in 1996 and 1997, two backreef (landward side of reef crest, 1 –6 m), two fore-reef (seaward of the reef crest, 1 – 10 m), and two deep-reef (.15 m) sites were chosen for study within each of the regions in the Florida Keys and at the Dry Tortugus. At each site, divers searched for lobsters for two 30 min periods; the time needed to capture each lobster with a hand net was not included in the search period. All lobsters captured from each den were held in separate mesh bags for later processing aboard a research vessel. If a lobster evaded capture, i105 Spiny lobster mate choice we noted its sex (if known) and estimated its CL. We also noted whether lobsters were dwelling alone or cohabiting with other individuals in a den. For each captured lobster, we determined its CL and sex. The presence and condition (i.e. fresh, used, single, multiple) of spermatophores on females was also noted. Lobsters were released unharmed after processing. To determine whether male P. argus patterns of cohabitation were influenced by male–male competition, we used computer simulations to determine if the difference in size of the two largest males in dens was significantly different from that produced when we randomly resampled the data to repopulate the dens. The data were blocked by site (Tortugas, Upper Keys, Lower Keys), year, and month; the number of dens, and den occupants were held constant in the simulations. Dens were then repopulated using the lobsters captured within the site–month –year blocks and the difference in size between the largest and second largest males in each den was calculated. These results were then compared with the original field data. If there was little difference between the randomized and observed datasets, we concluded that observed pattern was due to other factors (e.g. population structure and den availability) other than interactions among males. Results Southern rock lobster mesocosm experiments Experiment 1: mate choice by female J. edwardsii Before molting, neither large nor small mature female J. edwardsii showed any particular preference when given a choice of four shelters that were either empty or contained a single tethered mature female, small mature male, or large mature male (Figure 2). However, soon after molting the majority of the large (72%), and many small (46%) females chose to cohabit with a large male (G ¼ 31.3, d.f. ¼ 3, p , 0.001and G ¼ 17.4, d.f. ¼ 3, p , 0.001, respectively; Figure 2). This preference by large and small females for shelters containing the largest male increased to 78 and 71%, respectively, during the 25 –35 days between molting and mating (Figure 2). After mating had taken place and females were brooding eggs, both large and small females showed a tendency to cohabit with other females, though only in larger females was this statistically significant (G ¼ 15.6, d.f. ¼ 3, p ¼ 0.0014; Figure 2). Never did females prefer to shelter in any particular corner of the test tanks (i.e. there was no tank position bias). Experiment 2: mate choice by male J. edwardsii Large mature males showed no tendency to shelter with pre-molt females of any particular size (G ¼ 0.40, d.f. ¼ 3, p ¼ 0.940; Figure 3). However, they showed an increasing preference for cohabitation with large, unmated post-molt females. This preference rose steadily from 12% cohabiting with the smallest females to 42% cohabiting with the largest females (Figure 3). When all four female size classes were included in the analysis, the trend was nonsignificant (G ¼ 5.35, d.f. ¼ 3, p ¼ 0.148). However, pooling of the results for the two largest and two smallest female size classes indicated there was a significant tendency for large males to shelter with females larger than 120 mm CL (G ¼ 3.95, d.f. ¼ 1, p ¼ 0.0470). Small mature males showed no tendency to shelter with any size of pre-molt (G ¼ 4.50, d.f. ¼ 3, p ¼ 0.210) or post-molt (G ¼ 1.31, d.f. ¼ 3, p ¼ 0.724) mature female (Figure 3). Never did males prefer to shelter in any particular corner of the test tanks. Caribbean spiny lobster mesocosm experiments Experiment 3: mate choice by female P. argus In the non-mating season, large female P. argus preferentially sheltered in empty shelters or with other females, whereas small females showed no shelter preference (Figure 4). During the reproductive season, the proportion of both large and small mature females that denned with mature males was significantly higher (51–52%; Figure 4) than in the non-mating season (19 –40%; large females: G ¼ 20.05, d.f. ¼ 3, p , 0.001; small females: G ¼ 16.63, d.f. ¼ 3, p , 0.001). However, the distribution of females among the four den types during the reproductive season was no different from expected by chance alone (Figure 4). These results suggest that female P. argus actively avoid male-occupied dens most of the year, but this relaxes during the reproductive season when females freely associate with males with no particular preference for male size. Experiment 4: mate choice by male P. argus In the non-mating season, the greatest proportion of large mature male P. argus denned alone, although this was not statistically significant (Figure 5); small males also showed no den preference (Figure 5). During the reproductive season, the proportion of small and large mature male P. argus that denned with mature females was significantly higher (51 –55%) than at other times of year (33 –34%; large males: G ¼ 10.94, d.f. ¼ 3, p ¼ 0.012; small males: G ¼ 30.61, d.f. ¼ 3, p , ,0.001). The distribution of males among the four den types during the breeding season, however, was no different from expected by chance alone (Figure 5). These results suggest that male P. argus, especially large individuals, are solitary in dens most of the year but freely associate with females during the reproductive season with no clear preference for females of any size. Field studies Jasus edwardsii We observed 44 courting male and female J. edwardsii at the four field sites in New Zealand, although most (91%) of these were observed in the two MPAs. Most males (95%) were larger than the females they were courting. In only two cases was the male the same size as the female and never at any locality was the male smaller than the female he courted. There was a marginally significant, positive relationship between the size of courting pairs in the 2 Leigh Marine Reserve (radj = 0.086, F1,37 ¼ 4.46, p ¼ 0.042) but no relationship among the size of courting pairs within the 2 Tawharanui Marine Park (radj = 0.055, F1,15 ¼ 1.87, p ¼ 0.192). At both localities, the dispersion of courting among male size classes was significantly different from expected by the relative abundance of mature male size classes (Leigh x 2 ¼ 69.15, d.f. ¼ 11, p ,,0.001; Tawharanui x 2 ¼ 72.48, d.f. ¼ 10, p ,,0.001). In both marine reserves, courting was exclusively undertaken by large mature males: courting males were all ≥130 mm CL at the Leigh Marine Reserve and ≥120 mm CL at the Tawharanui Marine Park (Figure 6). Although smaller (90–120 mm CL) individuals comprised 42 and 50% of the mature male populations at Leigh and Tawharanui, respectively, none was observed courting. Too few courting pairs were observed at fished localities to determine the mating success of different sized males. The dispersion of mature post-molt, but as yet still unmated, female J. edwardsii among dens containing a large male differed with female size on reefs within the Leigh Marine Reserve (Table 1). i106 M. Butler et al. Figure 2. Jasus edwardsii. Patterns of cohabitation of paired (a) small and (b) large mature females. Expected frequencies are based on independent female choice from Experiment 1. Random frequencies are those that would occur if females neither choose large males nor competed for them. Spiny lobster mate choice i107 Figure 3. Jasus edwardsii. Shelter choices by (a and b) large mature males and (c and d) small mature males when dens contained one of four size classes of tethered pre-molt or post-molt mature females. The proportion of small (,120 mm CL), post-molt females sheltering alone, or cohabiting in groups with a large male was no different from that expected under a random model of dispersion (x 2 ¼ 0.609, d.f. ¼ 3, p ¼ 0.894). Large post-molt females, in comparison, were significantly dispersed among more males (i.e. fewer male dens had no females), were much more frequently alone with large males, and occurred less often in groups with a large male than expected (x 2 ¼ 18.45, d.f. ¼ 4, p ¼ 0.001). Panulirus argus We observed no courtship among P. argus in the field, probably because most courting activity in this species takes place during crepuscular periods (Lipcius and Herrnkind, 1985) and at night (Bertelsen and Horn, 2000), whereas our fieldwork was conducted during the day. Instead, as a proxy, we used the incidence of females with new spermatophores cohabiting with a single mature male to indicate the likely size of mating pairs. Although often males were larger than the females, in some instances, they were smaller, especially at the Dry Tortugas. There was no relationship among the size of females with new spermatophores or the male coha2 = 0.083, F1,19 ¼ 2.86, biting with them at either the Florida Keys (radj 2 = −0.068, F1,6 ¼ p ¼ 0.110) or the Dry Tortugus Sanctuary (radj 0.552, p ¼ 0.485). There was no evidence of females bearing multiple spermatophores. The frequency of cohabitation of male P. argus with like-sized males reflects the intensity of male– male competition for females and it varies with male size. At the Dry Tortugus Sanctuary, mating activity is most intense in February and March and peaks again in June when some females mate again to fertilize a second clutch (Bertelsen and Cox, 2001). Large males (.101 mm CL) were never observed together in dens during the first intense phase of mating, but male–male cohabitation briefly increased in May before dropping again in June/July (Figure 7a–c) when some females mate again. A similar pattern was observed for smaller mature males except that they began cohabitating earlier in the year. In the fished Florida Keys population, males .101 mm CL were too rarely observed to determine patterns of cohabitation. There the reproductive season starts in late March/April and lasts until September without the pronounced peaks in mating activity evident at the Dry Tortugus (Bertelsen and Cox, 2001). This is also reflected in the patterns of mature male cohabitation, which was less pronounced than at the Dry Tortugas Sanctuary (Figure 7d and e). Competition among male P. argus of different sizes is also apparent at the Dry Tortugus Sanctuary when the size of the two largest males in a den is compared at different times of the year. This analysis excludes those dens in which males were solitary and is thus a conservative measure of the degree to which large males will tolerate the presence of other males in a den during the peak of mating in i108 M. Butler et al. Figure 4. Panulirus argus. Shelter choice by large and small mature females during the mating (top panels) and non-mating (bottom panels) seasons. February –March. At this time of year, cohabiting males differ by 60 mm in CL, which equates to a fivefold difference in body weight. This difference in body size among cohabiting males decreased sharply after the mating period. In the fished Florida Keys population, large males were rare and the difference in size of the two largest males in a den was lower than found at the Dry Tortugus and did not show the same sharp peak. To determine the extent that these patterns of male association were influenced by the availability of different sized males in the population, we randomly repopulated the dens in computer simulations. These results show that at the Dry Tortugus Sanctuary, the observed difference in the size of cohabiting males early in the year, especially if the den contained a large male, was much larger than expected due to chance alone. In the fished Florida Keys population where large males were rare, the distribution of males among dens was not different from that explained by random association. Discussion We documented differences in the mating systems of two species of spiny lobster that are consistent with, and presumably linked to, the evolution of drastically different reproductive characteristics representative of temperate and tropical species. The results of our mesocosm experiments and field observations revealed that mate selection in the temperate species (J. edwardsii) is more precise than in its tropical dwelling counterpart (P. argus), especially among larger individuals. Large female J. edwardsii preferentially cohabited with large males during the mating season and vice versa (Figures 2 and 3). This contrasts with the behaviour of both sexes outside of the mating season (e.g. before the female pre-mating molt and once eggbearing) when they exhibited no preference for cohabitation with large individuals of the opposite sex. In contrast, female and male P. argus did not discriminate among mating partners of different sizes, although females cohabited with males more frequently during the mating season (Figures 4 and 5). These species-specific differences in mate size preferences revealed in mesocosm mate choice experiments were also borne out in field observations of mate choice (Figures 6 and 7). Our findings are in keeping with evolutionary theory because in J. edwardsii, the variance in mate quality is higher and the cost of poor mate choice greater, especially for larger females. More specifically, there are greater rewards for J. edwardsii than for P. argus to mate with a larger partner who can provide more and larger eggs resulting in more robust larvae, or more sperm for males (Annala and Bycroft, 1987; MacDiarmid and Butler, 1999; Butler et al., 2015). The consequences of not locating a suitable mate are also dire for J. edwardsii females, because unmated females incur long-term ovarian damage and thus a significant reduction in annual and lifetime egg production (Pollock, 1991; MacDiarmid and Butler, 1999; MacDiarmid et al., 1999). Spiny lobster mate choice i109 Figure 5. Panulirus argus. Shelter choice by large and small mature males during the mating (top panels) and non-mating (bottom panels) seasons. The differences that we observed in mate selectivity by females were expected because of the differing reproductive strategies of the lobsters. The number of egg clutches a female produces on average each year and over her lifetime, and the consequences of not finding a suitable mate, differ markedly between these species, whose reproductive dynamics are representative of the two predominate evolutionary courses that the palinurids have taken. For females of the temperate species, J. edwardsii, there is only one annual opportunity to breed (MacDiarmid, 1989b) over an average reproductive life of 7 years (Pollock, 1991). Therefore, on average each mating constitutes 100% of a female’s annual matings and 14% of her lifetime matings. In addition, because the spermatophore is short-lived, mating must take place within a relatively narrow 1 –2 day window coinciding with peak egg fertility, otherwise the proportion of the clutch able to be successfully fertilized decreases substantially (MacDiarmid et al., 1999; MacDiarmid and Kittaka, 2000). Unmated females do not extrude unfertilized eggs, which typically for larger females (.125 mm CL) results in severe damage to her ovaries that greatly diminishes her reproductive output in future years (MacDiarmid et al., 1999). Thus, there is strong selective pressure on female J. edwardsii with ripening ovaries to first locate potential mates and then to choose a male likely to have sufficient sperm to fertilize all of her eggs in a single mating timed to coincide with her peak fertility. The strong selective pressures that have presumably driven the evolution of a precise system for selection of males by female J. edwardsii are absent for the tropical species, P. argus. Female P. argus become reproductive in 1.5 –2 years post-settlement and remain reproductively active throughout their lifetime, which is unknown but may approach 30 years. Each mating season for P. argus is several months long and large females produce two to three clutches a year (Bertelsen and Cox, 2001). In addition, female P. argus can mate up to 28 days before extruding eggs, which allows females time to locate a more appropriate male if the first male is judged too small to provide enough sperm. Finally, if no mate is located, then female P. argus simply release unfertilized eggs with no long-term consequences on future matings. Female mate choice is well described among crabs (Christy, 1987; Kendall and Wolcott, 1999; Sainte-Marie et al., 1999) and in the clawed lobsters, Homarus americanus (Atema, 1986; Gosselin et al., 2003) and Homarus gammarus (Debuse et al., 1999, 2003), but in few other decapod crustaceans. However, it is likely to evolve in any species where there is high variance in male quality coupled with a method for females to distinguish among these males. Laboratory experiments using female J. edwardsii suggest that although a chemosensory mechanism is important, visual and possibly tactile cues also play a role in mate choice (Raethke et al., 2004). An alternative explanation for the patterns of association between post-molt female J. edwardsii and large males is that the males provide a measure of protection during the vulnerable soft-shell phase after molting, as occurs in H. americanus (Atema, 1986; Gosselin et al., i110 M. Butler et al. 2003). The evidence, however, is counter to this interpretation. First, if the protection hypothesis is true, then smaller post-molt females would be more likely to seek shelter with a male for protection after Figure 6. Jasus edwardsii. The frequency of mature males in 10 mm size classes and the proportion of each size class observed engaged in courting activities at (a) Leigh Marine Reserve and (b) Tawharanui Marine Park. Table 1. Jasus edwardsii: expected and observed frequencies (%) of cohabitation with large mature males for two size classes of late post-molt unmated females in the Leigh Marine Reserve during the peak of mating in June 1995. Frequencies expected based on independent or random female association were calculated from a Poisson model. Female size class Number of females in male den 0 1 2 3 4+ Mean # of females per den <120 mm CL >120 mm CL Expected (%) 42.81 36.8 15.83 4.54 – 0.86 Expected (%) 25.5 34.93 23.93 10.88 4.77 1.37 Observed (%) 41.86 34.88 18.6 4.65 – 0.86 Observed (%) 17.07 51.22 21.95 2.44 7.32 1.37 molting. Moreover, the association would decrease rapidly after molting as the female’s new shell hardened. In fact, the patterns were opposite, which suggests that the association between post-molt females and large males is not associated with protection after molting. Post-molt protection of females by males is also irrelevant in P. argus as mature males and females molt well before the beginning of the reproduction season (Lyons et al., 1981). The preference by large male J. edwardsii to cohabit with large females and the absence of any such relationship in P. argus suggests that this is linked to the increase in egg quality with female size in female J. edwardsii as has been found in other species (Kraak and Bakker, 1998). Although there is no relationship between female size and egg size in P. argus (Butler et al., 2015), large female P. argus share with female J. edwardsii the desirable attribute of high egg production. Still, we found no evidence that male P. argus preferentially choose to den with or mate mostly with larger females (MacDiarmid and Butler, 1999). This makes sense when males can match the size of the ejaculate with the size of the female and thus the number of eggs available to fertilize. There is little advantage to mate with a large female in these circumstances except the additional costs of having to locate and court several times with successive small females to fertilize the equivalent number of eggs that a large female produces. These costs may be low if the mating season is long and the probability of a male mating on any specific day is low. Theory suggests that when both males and females exercise mate choice, it gives rise to assortative mating with high-quality females mating with high-quality males and a decline in this correlation over the course of the mating season (Johnstone, 1997). We found little field evidence for size assortative pairing of courting J. edwardsii or P. argus; neither has it been documented in P. guttatus (Robertson and Butler, 2012), which cohabits coral reefs with P. argus in the Caribbean. However, two factors not yet included in reproductive models may play an important role in determining mating patterns. First, male –male competition when large males are present prevents smaller mature males from participating in reproduction (MacDiarmid, 1989a), thereby limiting the size range of males available for females to choose among. Second, the choice by large male J. edwardsii for large females observed in our laboratory experiments was much less intense than that of large females for large males (43 vs. 78%) and small males exhibited no preference at all. Thus, in J. edwardsii, the size association of males and postmolt females is dominated by the preference by all sizes of post-molt females for large males. In contrast, male and female P. argus do not appear to discriminate among size classes of the opposite sex during the reproductive period. In both species, competition among males is a major element in the mating system. This is reflected in the frequency with which large males segregate during the peak of the mating season. In J. edwardsii as few as 5% of large males (.140 mm CL) cohabit in dens at this time of year (MacDiarmid, 1994) and no large mature male P. argus (.101 mm CL) den with other like-sized males at the Dry Tortugus Sanctuary during the peak of mating. Smaller male P. argus are therefore relegated to suboptimal habitats where reproductively active females are scarce. At Looe Key in the Florida Keys, for example, most reproductive activity is on the fore reef where female:male sex ratios are 4:1 during the reproductive season (Hunt et al., 1991), whereas in nearby habitats, sex ratios are near 1:1 and reproductive activity is nil. Male–male competition in areas where large males are common prevents small male J. edwardsii from participating in reproduction (MacDiarmid, 1989a, this study). Spiny lobster mate choice i111 Figure 7. Panulirus argus. Cohabitation patterns of three sizes of mature males from (a – c) the Dry Tortugus Sanctuary and (d and e) the fished Florida Keys. The number of males sampled is shown above each bar. Larger males cohabit with many mature females (MacDiarmid, 1994), a greater proportion engage in courting activity, usually do not move far from their den, and rarely shift among dens on consecutive days (MacDiarmid et al., 1991). Small mature male J. edwardsii, in contrast, often share shelters (up to 60% at peak of mating; MacDiarmid, 1994), cohabit with no or few mature females, are excluded from courting activities, move greater distances at night than large males, frequently shift shelters on consecutive days, and have low levels of fidelity on a reef (MacDiarmid et al., 1991; MacDiarmid, 1994; Kelly and MacDiarmid, 2003). However, some smaller mature males are tolerated in the dens of large males. The patterns of mate selection and competition in J. edwardsii and P. argus that we found depend on variance in mate quality and the cost of mating. These patterns are likely to be common across a range of temperate and tropical decapods. In species— typically temperate—that have only one brood per year (many i112 crabs, all temperate clawed and spiny lobsters) or mate only once in their lifetime and rely on stored sperm supplies thereafter (e.g. snow crabs, blue crabs; Kendall and Wolcott, 1999; Rondeau and Sainte-Marie, 2001; Sainte-Marie et al., 2002; Sainte-Marie, 2007), the cost of mating with an inadequate male is high. Consequently, the evolutionary pressure for females to develop mate selection and perhaps competition strategies is likely to be intense. In contrast, in species—often tropical—that mate and brood many times per year or can sequester sperm from many males, the cost of mating with a single male with insufficient sperm is much lower and the selection for mate choice and competition strategies is also much reduced (Sato et al., 2005). Many decapods are exploited commerciallyand males in particular are sometimes heavily fished (Carver et al., 2005; Sato and Goshima, 2006, 2007; Sato et al., 2010). Even with similar levels of male and female exploitation, male size is reduced disproportionately by fishing because males grow much larger than females (MacDiarmid and Sainte-Marie, 2006). For high-value commercially fished species like spiny lobsters whose populations worldwide are almost universally considered fully or overexploited, there are few situations where natural mating dynamics remain intact (Rowe and Hutchings, 2003; Fenberg and Roy, 2008). In rare cases, there are spiny lobster species whose natural abundance or size render them unacceptable candidates for widespread commercial fishing (e.g. P. guttatus), providing the opportunity to study natural mating systems (Robertson and Butler, 2009). Yet for most species of spiny lobster, only in large and well enforced, unfished marine reserves do there exist populations whose abundance, size composition, and sex ratio are unaltered by humans and thus their mating dynamics a true reflection of the species evolutionary past (Jack and Wing, 2010). Without those vestiges of unspoiled natural populations, our understanding of lobster biology goes wanting and the consequent management of exploited populations is flawed being based on targets whose foundation are “natural baselines” that are unknown or shift (Heino et al., 2013). For example, it is a common misconception among fishers and managers of P. argus that spawning stocks and mating activities occur in deeper waters .20 m. This is true in heavily exploited lobster populations where the preponderance of large lobsters are relegated to deeper waters where fishing intensity is less—but this is a consequence of fishing, and not the natural system. In large, effectively enforced MPAs like the Dry Tortugas nearly all of the mating activity occurs in shallow water ,8 m where large, mature lobsters roam freely. The extirpation of large male and female lobsters through overfishing of spiny lobsters worldwide has often dramatically changed mating systems that evolved based on size-specific male–female relationships. The mating systems of overfished lobster populations now persist as a scramble competition for mates among barely mature individuals that mate at most once before capture by fishers. Overfishing is a strong selective force indeed that can greatly alter the reproductive biology of species with strong consequences for population sustainability (Coltman et al. 2003; Garcia et al., 2012; Kuparinen and Hutchings, 2012). Thus, studies like ours that reveal the true mating behaviour of marine species not only offer insight into the factors shaping the evolution and maintenance of animal breeding systems, they remind us of the potential effects of fishing on reproductive dynamics and population sustainability. Acknowledgements We greatly appreciate the help in the field and laboratory given by S. Kelly, R. Stewart, M. Oliver, J. Heisig, L. Cox, and D. Behringer. E. Abraham made useful comments on the draft ms. M. Butler et al. This research was supported in New Zealand by FRST contracts CO1408, CO1803, and CO1X0004, and in the United States by the National Science Foundation Award: OCE—9730195 and by MARFIN contract # 0518. 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Handling editor: Jonathan Grabowski ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i115 –i123. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv015 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article The effect of parental size on spermatophore production, egg quality, fertilization success, and larval characteristics in the Caribbean Spiny lobster, Panulirus argus Mark J. Butler, IV1 *, Alison Macdiarmid 2, and Gaya Gnanalingam1 1 Department of Biological Sciences, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, USA National Institute for Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand 2 *Corresponding author: tel: +1 757 683 3609; fax: +1 757 683 5283; e-mail: [email protected] Butler, M. J.IV, Macdiarmid, A., and Gnanalingam, G. The effect of parental size on spermatophore production, egg quality, fertilization success, and larval characteristics in the Caribbean Spiny lobster, Panulirus argus. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i115 – i123. Received 24 August 2014; revised 7 January 2015; accepted 11 January 2015; advance access publication 17 February 2015. The average size of spiny lobsters (Decapoda; Palinuridae) has decreased worldwide over the past few decades. Market forces coupled with minimum size limits compel fishers to target the largest individuals. Males are targeted disproportionately as a consequence of sexual dimorphism in spiny lobster size (i.e. males grow larger than females) and because of protections for ovigerous females. Therefore, overexploitation of males has led to sperm limitation in several decapod populations with serious repercussions for reproductive success. In the Caribbean spiny lobster, Panulirus argus, little is known about the effect of reduced male size on fertilization success or the role that individual size plays in gamete and larval quality. We conducted a series of laboratory experiments to test the relationship between male size and spermatophore production over multiple mating events and to determine whether spermatophore reduction and female size affected fertilization success or larval attributes in P. argus in the Florida Keys, FL (USA). We found that over consecutive matings, larger males consistently produced spermatophores of a greater weight and area than smaller males, although size-specific differences in sperm cell density were undetected and probably obscured by high variance in the data. Where spermatophores were experimentally reduced to mimic the decline in spermatophore size with declining male size, fertilization success (the number of fertilized eggs/total number of eggs extruded) declined, indicating that sperm availability is indeed limited. No maternal size effects on egg size or quality (C:N ratio) or larval quality (size, swimming speed, mortality) were observed. Our results demonstrate the importance of maintaining large males in populations of P. argus to ensure fertilization success and caution against their overexploitation through fishing, which may severely reduce reproductive success and thus population sustainability. Keywords: egg quality, larvae, mating, Panulirus argus, reproduction, spermatophore. Introduction Fishing significantly alters the size structure of exploited populations with major consequences for mating systems, reproduction, and the sustainability of exploited populations (Rowe and Hutchings, 2003; Maxwell et al., 2009; Butler et al., 2011a; Garcia et al., 2012; Kuparinen and Hutchings, 2012). Typically, the largest and oldest individuals are removed first, particularly where minimum size limits are enforced, which reduces the mean size of individuals in the population (Roberts and Polunin, 1991; Jennings and Lock, 1996; Heath and Speirs, 2012). Where there is sexual dimorphism in the size of adults and males grow larger # International than females, fishing can skew sex ratios in favour of females. Prohibitions on the removal of ovigerous females may further skew sex ratios. As highlighted by a number of decapod species, these fishing induced changes in size structure, abundance, and sex ratio can restructure mating systems and reduce the reproductive output of the population (Kendall et al., 2002; Sato and Goshima, 2007; Sato et al., 2010; Robertson and Butler, 2013). Such may be the case for the Caribbean spiny lobster, Panulirus argus. Panulirus argus is ubiquitous throughout the Western Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico from NC, USA, to northeast Brazil (Briones-Fourzan et al., 2008). Fisheries for P. argus are Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2015. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i116 some of the largest and most economically valuable in the Caribbean with an estimated annual regional value more than $450 million USD (CRFM, 2013). As a consequence of its high value and market demand, many regional populations of P. argus are currently fully capitalized or overfished (Chavez, 2009; Ehrhardt et al., 2010). The species displays considerable sexual dimorphism; males grow more than three times larger (by mass) than females and are distinguishable from females by their broader sternum, elongated walking legs, and curved dactyls (Holthius, 1991). So although fishing reduces body size in both sexes, the decline is more pronounced in males (Bertelsen and Mathews, 2001; Cox and Hunt, 2005). In unfished populations where large males are still present, lobsters demonstrate a lek-style mating system in which large males defend a den from other large males and females choose among males and their dens (Bertelsen and Cox, 2001). In heavily fished populations where large males have been removed this system breaks down, although competition among males still remains a major component of the mating system (Bertelsen and Mathews, 2001; Butler et al., 2015). During mating, male and female P. argus couple and males deposit an external, tar-like spermatophore on the sternum of the female (Lipcius et al., 1983; Figure 1). Females resist further mating attempts by males and scratch open the spermatophore 1–28 d after copulation to expose the non-motile sperm, which fertilize the eggs externally as they are extruded (Talbot and Summers, 1978; Butler et al., 2011a). The fertilized eggs attach to the setose pleopods on the underside of the female’s abdomen, and they are carried there for 3–4 weeks until they hatch (Saul, 2004). Throughout much of the Caribbean P. argus spawn year-round (Butler et al., 2010), although spawning peaks in late spring and in subtropical areas, the breeding season is constrained to just spring–summer (Chubb, 2000). In Florida, for example, spawning generally commences in March and continues through August. However, the number of clutches and the duration of the spawning period vary with female size; larger females produce more clutches and become reproductively active earlier in the spawning period when compared with small, mature females (Bertelsen and Mathews, 2001). Mating of all palinurids occurs during the intermoult phase, and there is no clear link between molting and mating in P. argus, as there is in other spiny lobster species such as Jasus edwardsii (MacDiarmid and Butler, 1999). Individual fecundity in female P. argus is size-dependent with larger individuals producing exponentially more eggs (Bertelsen and Mathews, 2001; Ehrhardt, 2005; MacDiarmid and Sainte-Marie, 2006). A reduction in female body size as a result of fishing, therefore, has clear implications for reproductive capacity in terms of egg production. What is less clear is the effect of reduced male size on reproductive dynamics. Decapods may experience sperm limitation if ejaculate size scales with male body size, mating history, expected female output, or future mating opportunities (reviewed by MacDiarmid and Sainte-Marie, 2006). The probability that populations are sperm limited is therefore closely related to population structure, mean male size, density, sex ratio, and the intensity of sexual competition (Sato et al., 2010). Previous studies of P. argus have demonstrated a clear link between the availability of large males and female fecundity because spermatophore size, a function of male size, explains nearly half of the variance in clutch size (MacDiarmid and Butler, 1999) and because sperm:egg ratios—which are already low (25:1)—are 40% lower in fished populations (Butler et al., 2011a). Building on the previous work of MacDiarmid and Butler (1999), we present the results of a series of laboratory experiments M. J. Butler et al. that describe the mating system of P. argus with special reference to the effect of male size on reproductive success. First, we experimentally manipulated the size of spermatophores on mated females to determine the potential effects of reduced male size on fertilization success and egg production by females. We then assessed the effects of male size on spermatophore production, depletion, and recovery over successive matings. Finally, using data from the spermatophore reduction and depletion/recharge experiments, we evaluated maternal effects—i.e. the effects of female size on egg and larval quality. Methods Spermatophore reduction experiment To assess whether sperm availability can limit reproductive success in P. argus, we manipulated the size of spermatophores on mated females collected from the field and measured the resultant production of fertilized and unfertilized eggs. Female P. argus with spermatophores were collected by divers from the Florida Keys, FL, USA (a fished population), and the Dry Tortugas National Park, FL, USA (a no-take marine protected area; MPA) in February– March of 1998– 2000. Lobsters were transported in aerated live wells to the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission field laboratory in Marathon, FL, where the experiments took place. Females were split into two size classes: small (carapace length 80 –90 mm) and large (carapace length .90 mm) and kept in individual 75 l tanks with aeration and flow through seawater; lobsters were fed squid and shrimp ad libitum daily. These size classes of female lobsters represent those that are common in heavily fished vs. unfished populations of P. argus (respectively); thus, the results of this study provide specific insight into how current fishing practices potentially impact reproductive dynamics. Spermatophores on females were then manipulated with a scalpel and flat forceps such that lobsters belonged to one of three treatment groups: (i) a 50% reduction in spermatophore mass, (ii) a 75% reduction in spermatophore mass, and (iii) a no reduction control (Figure 1). Sperm cells are evenly distributed between the left and right halves (Butler et al., 2011a) of the spermatophore, but are more concentrated in the posterior portion of each paired spermatophore. Therefore, the removal of one of the paired spermatophores is a proxy for a 50% reduction in spermatophore mass, which approximates the difference in spermatophore sizes transferred to females by large and small males (MacDiarmid and Butler, 1999); a 75% reduction in size was simply chosen as a third, extreme treatment. Although cutting the spermatophore transversely from anterior to posterior would have maintained the total area of the spermatophore, they were cut longitudinally to preserve as much as possible the tough outer layer of the spermatophore and prevent the exposure of the sperm before fertilization. The 50% reduction treatment would not have resulted in any inadvertent “leakage” of sperm from the remaining spermatophore, given that each spermatophore half is an independent unit produced by the paired testes and delivered via paired gonopores. Perhaps, sperm may have leaked from the remaining portion of the spermatophores in the 75% reduction treatment, but if so that procedural effect would be the same for both large and small lobsters. Lobsters were then monitored daily for the presence of attached eggs, an indication of spawning and fertilization. After spawning, unfertilized eggs fail to attach to the female’s pleopods, so we siphoned them from the tank bottom and counted them to estimate the abundance of unfertilized eggs (see below). When eyespots Effect of parental size in the Caribbean Spiny lobster i117 Figure 1. Visualization of the way in which spermatophore size was diminished in the spermatophore reduction experiment. In each frame is a ventral view of the same female P. argus with eggs from a previous clutch (visible under the abdomen) and a new spermatophore (black mass) that will be used to fertilize the next clutch. (a) 50% reduction treatment: white area depicts how half of the spermatophore was removed. (b) 75% reduction treatment: white areas depict how three-fourth of the spermatophore was removed. (c) Control: no manipulation of the spermatophore. became visible in brooded eggs (14 d after spawning), a scalpel was used to gently scrape off egg masses from the pleopods. Counts of unfertilized (siphoned from tank) and fertilized (scraped from female pleopods) eggs were made by taking three 2 g subsamples (weighed to the nearest hundredth of a gramme) of each egg mass. Eggs were counted under a dissecting microscope to provide an estimate of individual female fecundity (number of fertilized eggs) and the total number of eggs extruded (number of fertilized + unfertilized eggs). Fertilization success is defined as the ratio of fertilized eggs retained on pleopods to the total number of eggs extruded. To evaluate differences in fertilization success as a function of the spermatophore reduction treatment, we used a two-factor ANOVA with female size class and treatment as factors. Sperm depletion and recovery We determined if large and small adult males differ in their production of spermatophores and their ability to recharge sperm stores after mating, by repeatedly mating large males collected from an MPA, and small males from a fished population, with several females in a laboratory experiment. Divers collected males and females from the Florida Keys fished population and the Dry Tortugas National Park MPA during February and March of 1999–2001. The absence of large males in the heavily exploited Florida Keys population necessitated the collection of large individuals only from the Dry Tortugas. All males were collected before the onset of the breeding season and therefore had not mated since the previous year’s mating season. A single large male (126 – 160 mm CL; n ¼ 22) or small male (90– 99 mm CL; n ¼ 19) along with seven females ranging in size from 70 –144 mm CL were placed into experimental tanks (1.75 m diameter; 1500 l) that received aerated filtered seawater from a flow-through system. Ambient seawater temperature and photoperiod were maintained and lobsters were fed shrimp and squid ad libitum. These experimental conditions (e.g. sizes and sex ratios) are typical of conditions in the wild during the reproductive season when females significantly outnumber males on coral reefs because large, agonistic males temporarily drive smaller males into alternative habitats (Bertelsen and Mathews, 2001; Butler et al., 2015). Females were checked for spermatophores daily. Flat forceps were used to remove intact spermatophores after they had hardened for 24 h. Before their removal, the spermatophore area was estimated. An outline of the mass was traced onto a sheet of a clear acetate paper, which was scanned and digitally measured in Image J. Once removed, spermatophores were weighed to the nearest hundredth of a gramme and refrigerated at 58C in 10 ml of filtered seawater until sperm counts could be conducted. Females were returned to their original experimental tanks after the removal of the spermatophore so that they could remate. In the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas, large P. argus females mate and produce up to three and perhaps four clutches within a given season, whereas i118 small females produce only a single clutch per year (Lyons et al., 1981; Bertelsen and Mathews, 2001). As such, we could rely on females remaining receptive to courtship and remating during the course of the experiment. The male mating frequency in the wild is unknown, but the lek-style mating strategy of large males indicates that at least large males mate repeatedly during the breeding season. To conduct sperm counts, spermatophores were laterally sliced into thin sections (0.5 mm thick) with a scalpel into a Petri dish. The spermatophore sections were then washed from the Petri dish into a 25-ml test tube with 10 –15 ml of sterile seawater; the test tube was capped and then mechanically shaken for 3 min to liberate sperm from the spermatophore matrix. A haemocytometer was then used to count the number of sperm cells in five separate 10 ml aliquots of each sample. The total sperm number and sperm density (total sperm number/spermatophore weight) was then calculated. This method for sperm counts has been used previously and it has been shown to consistently liberate .70% of the sperm from the spermatophore matrix (Butler et al., 2011a). Males repeatedly mated with the females in their experimental tanks and the order in which spermatophores were produced was recorded. On the cessation of mating (i.e. production of new spermatophores) in each experimental tank, typically 10 d to a month from first mating, males were removed and isolated in individual tanks for 1, 2, or 3 weeks to potentially “recharge” their sperm stores. After the recharge period, males were returned to their original experimental tank with the same set of females to resume mating. Sperm depletion and recharge rates were assessed as a function of male size with individuals separated into large (.100 mm CL) and small (,100 mm CL) size classes. To test whether sperm attributes (i.e. spermatophore weight, spermatophore area, sperm density, and total number of sperm) varied relative to male size for the first deposited spermatophore, a one-factor MANOVA with canonical discriminant function analysis was performed. To determine whether male size affected sperm attributes over repeated matings (sperm depletion), we used a split plot MANOVA with male size as the whole plot factor, ejaculate number as the subplot factor, and individual as a randomized block. To assess whether male size affected sperm attributes after the set recharge period, we used a two-factor MANCOVA with the covariate “time between mating” and the independent variables male size and recharge period (i.e. 1, 2, or 3 weeks). Finally, paired t-tests were used to compare spermatophores produced initially and following the recharge period by the same individual. M. J. Butler et al. with an ocular micrometre. The C:N content of eggs (a measure of egg lipid content and thus egg condition or quality; Giminez and Anger, 2001; Liddy et al., 2003; Bas et al., 2007) was also determined from the subsamples of each egg clutch. Subsamples were rinsed in sterile seawater, frozen, and stored at –208C, then dried before C and N were measured with a Carlo –Erba elemental analyser and standard methods. Larval condition was measured in three ways: larval size, survival, and swimming speed. The carapace length of 20 first stage phyllosome larvae per clutch was determined with a dissecting microscope fitted with an ocular micrometre. Larval survival was assessed in a starvation trial in which 20 first stage phyllosome larvae per clutch were individually housed in 15 ml Petri dishes filled with sterile seawater but no food at ambient light and temperature (268C). Larval mortality was assessed daily and sterile seawater was changed daily until all larvae had expired. The swimming speed of ten individual phyllosome larvae per clutch was also estimated in a seawater-filled, black swimming chamber (25 cm long × 10 cm wide × 5 cm deep) with a 1-cm grid scale on the bottom. Clear holes (0.5 cm dia) at either end of the plastic chamber permitted light (wavelength: 400–600 nm; intensity: 0.80 –1.00 mmol m22 s21) to enter either end of the chamber from a 300-W quartz-halogen filament lamp (Olympus model LGPS) projected from a fibre optic cable and through a filter. This wavelength and intensity is similar to that observed in the surface water (,25 m) of the open sea where firststage larvae normally dwell (Butler et al., 2011b). At the start of each trial, the room was darkened and a single larva was added to one end of the test chamber, while the chamber was illuminated from the opposite end. First-stage phyllosome larvae are positively phototactic, so they swam towards the light at the opposite side of the chamber. We measured the distance the larvae moved over a 5-s period and then let the larvae swim all the way to the lighted end of the chamber. Larvae were given a 1-min respite in total darkness before we illuminated the opposite end of the chamber and repeated the procedure. The swimming speed of each larva was tested in this manner ten times and the mean swimming speed determined for each larvae. The relationships between female size and egg characteristics (area, C:N ratio) and larval characteristics (larval carapace length, days until 100% mortality, and swimming speed) were analysed with linear regression. Results Spermatophore reduction and sperm limitation Egg quality and larval characteristics During sperm depletion/recharge experiments, the spermatophore on six mated females from every treatment group was left intact and the date of spermatophore deposition and the date of egg extrusion were recorded. This took anywhere between 0 and 19 d for different females with a mean time of 4 d. These females were removed from the experimental tanks and on the 10th day after egg extrusion random samples of the egg masses were removed, for the assessment of maternal effects on egg quality and to provide the estimates of fecundity. Females were then returned to holding tanks until their remaining clutch had hatched. Eggs and newly hatched larvae from these females in the sperm depletion/recharge experiment and from control females in the spermatophore reduction experiment were used to assess possible maternal effects on egg and larval quality. For egg quality, the egg area was determined by measuring the diameter of 20 eggs per clutch with a dissecting microscope fitted When spermatophores were experimentally reduced in area, the total number of eggs that were released did not differ significantly among treatments (Figure 2). However, fertilization success (number of fertilized eggs/total eggs extruded) was lower for females whose spermatophores had been reduced (Figure 2; ANOVA: F ¼ 13.59, p , 0.001, d.f. ¼ 1). Post hoc tests indicated that differences lay between the control and 50% reduction treatments (Tukey HSD, p ¼ 0.030) and the control and 75% reduction treatments (Tukey HSD, p ¼ 0.003) with no detectable difference between the reduction treatments. When fertilization success was assessed for large and small females separately, differences among treatments were only significant for small females (Figure 2; ANOVA: F ¼ 13.78, p ¼ 0.001, d.f. ¼ 1); the results were similar but not significant for large females (ANOVA: F ¼ 1.34, p ¼ 0.27, d.f. ¼ 1), although the results for large females are tentative given the small sample sizes, hence lower power of the tests when the data were divided into two lobster size groups. Effect of parental size in the Caribbean Spiny lobster i119 Figure 2. Results of the spermatophore reduction experiment; bars are the means with standard errors (top panel). The total number of eggs released (at left) by female P. argus in the three treatments and the total number of fertilized eggs retained by female lobsters (at right). (bottom panel) The number of fertilized eggs produced by large (at left) and small (at right) female lobsters in the three treatment groups. Note that the number of eggs retained by female lobsters reflects fertilization success because unfertilized eggs do not attach to the females pleopods. NS results and significant results (with P-values) among treatment groups are shown in each panel; treatments sharing a letter are not significantly different from each other. Spermatophores depletion and recharge over multiple matings Males took 1 –22 d between consecutive matings with a mean time of 2.5 d between mating events. Attributes of initial spermatophores varied significantly between large and small males (Wilks’ lambda, p , 0.0001), with large males typically producing spermatophores that were heavier and of a larger surface area (Figure 3; spermatophore weight: F ¼ 13.41, p ¼ 0.001, d.f. ¼ 1; spermatophore area: F ¼ 14.07, p ¼ 0.001, d.f. ¼ 1). However, the number of sperm cells and sperm density for initial spermatophores did not differ significantly between large and small males (number of cells: F ¼ 3.41, p ¼ 0.72, d.f. ¼ 1; density: F ¼ 0.01, p ¼ 0.943, d.f. ¼ 1), although the values for large males are consistently greater than those for small males and the lack of a difference may very well be due to the high variance in these data. Males fertilized between 2 and 27 females consecutively; larger males (.100 mm) mated with 15 females on average and small males (,100 mm) mated with 11 females on average over a period of up to 1 month. This difference was not statistically significant (t-test: t ¼ 0.25, p ¼ 0.80, d.f. ¼ 28). For males of all sizes Figure 3. Results of the sperm depletion experiment for large (dark squares; n ¼ 30) and small (grey triangles; n ¼ 11) male P. argus; shown are the means with 1 s.d. Spermatophore weight (top panel), number of sperm per spermatophore (second panel), sperm density (third panel), and spermatophore area (bottom panel) are shown for consecutive matings and after a non-mating recharge period of 1, 2, or 3 weeks. i120 combined, the spermatophore weight and area decreased markedly as the number of spermatophores per individual increased (Figure 3; spermatophore weight: F ¼ 6.26, p , 0.001, d.f. ¼ 41; spermatophore area: F ¼ 2.82, p ¼ 0.003, d.f. ¼ 41). For all males combined, no significant differences in the total number of sperm cells and sperm density were observed over repeated matings. But there is a large amount of variance in the data, particularly for the smaller males, which likely obscures a clear result when all the data are combined. However, when analysed by size class, spermatophore weight, spermatophore area, and the total number of sperm cells declined as the number of spermatophores extruded per individual increased (Figure 3; spermatophore weight: F ¼ 75.18, p , 0.001, d.f. ¼ 1; spermatophore area: F ¼ 101.70, p , 0.001, d.f. ¼ ; total number of cells: F ¼ 15.55, p , 0.001, d.f. ¼ 1). After a recharge period of 1, 2, or 3 weeks, larger males again had heavier spermatophores that were larger in area (Figure 3; spermatophore weight: F ¼ 6.73, p ¼ 0.018, d.f. ¼ 1; spermatophore area: F ¼ 4.65, p ¼ 0.044, d.f. ¼ 1), but there were no differences between large and small males in the total number of sperm cells or sperm density (Figure 3; number of cells: F ¼ 1.82, p ¼ 0.19, d.f. ¼ 1; sperm density: F ¼ 0, p ¼ 0.99, d.f. ¼ 1). This same result was observed regardless of the length of the recharge period (Figure 3). There were also no differences in sperm attributes between initial spermatophores and spermatophores produced following the recharge period (paired t-test, p . 0.05), even when size classes were analysed separately, with the sole exception of spermatophore weight for the small males (t ¼ 3.8, p , 0.01, d.f. ¼ 7). Egg quality and larval characteristics Maternal size did not influence the measured egg characteristics (i.e. area and C:N ratio), larval carapace length, or larval survival (Figure 4). The slope of the regression of larval swimming speed with female carapace length differed significantly from zero and was unexpectedly negative, but that result was of borderline significance (F ¼ 5.51, p ¼ 0.02, d.f. ¼ 43) and the relationship explained very little variance in the data, as shown by the low r 2 value (r 2 ¼ 0.09; Figure 4). Discussion The rationale for this study was to obtain a greater understanding of the effects of male and female P. argus size on gamete production and quality, fertilization success, and larval characteristics associated with survival. Given the dramatic reduction in lobster size in exploited populations, correlations between offspring quality or quantity with paternal or maternal size could adversely affect the reproductive potential of those populations. Our results indicate that smaller males produce lighter and smaller spermatophores over consecutive mating events. Increased female body size, on the other hand, had no discernible effect on egg or larval characteristics beyond the well-known exponential relationship between maternal size and egg production. Our finding that reduced spermatophore size did not alter the number of eggs extruded by females, but instead reduced fertilization success, indicates that smaller clutches produced by females mated by small males are not a result of reduced egg output by the female but instead reflect the sperm limitation of fertilization success. Spermatophore reduction also appeared to have a greater impact on the egg retention and hence fertilization success of smaller (,90 mm CL) females, as has been similarly noted for the Western rock lobster P. cygnus (Kuris, 1991). Large P. argus males M. J. Butler et al. actually allocate larger spermatophores to large females (MacDiarmid and Butler, 1999) and larger spermatophores are associated with positive residual clutch weights (MacDiarmid and Sainte-Marie 2006), so perhaps this results in an overapportionment of a viable sperm available for fertilization, which would explain why our experimental reductions in spermatophore size were less effective on large females than smaller ones. Conversely, if males over-apportion sperm to larger females but are less generous to smaller females, as is true in the American lobster, Homarus americanus, then smaller females may receive under-apportioned spermatophores relative to large females (Gosselin et al., 2003). Females across a range of taxa including fish (Skinner and Watt, 2007), insects, birds, and amphibians differentially allocate reproductive resources according to the attractiveness of their mate (see review by Sheldon, 2000). In decapods, evidence of differential allocation of eggs based on mate quality is limited to freshwater crayfish (Galeotti et al., 2006). For P. argus, the apparent inability to mediate egg output suggests that females should select larger males as mates so as to maximize fertilization success. Indeed, large females of all palinurid species thus far tested (P. argus, P. guttatus, Jasus edwardsii) experience lower fertilization success when mated with smaller males (MacDiarmid and Butler, 1999; Robertson and Butler, 2013; Butler et al., 2015), implying that all experience strong selection for larger mates. Although true for some spiny lobsters (e.g. P. guttatus; Robertson and Butler, 2013; J. edwardsii; Butler et al., 2015), it has not proven true in experiments with P. argus (Butler et al., 2015). This discrepancy among species in female selectivity of males by size is difficult to reconcile and bears further study. Spermatophores produced by large males were significantly heavier and larger initially and following multiple matings. This is a finding in accord with previous studies of sperm limitation in P. argus (MacDiarmid and Butler, 1999; Butler et al., 2011a). The number of sperm cells in the spermatophore and sperm density, however, was not different between the size classes (the exception being the number of sperm cells within spermatophores following multiple matings). This despite indications that the mean number of sperm for large males was almost always higher than for small males (Figure 3). So perhaps the high variance in these results obscures a size-specific difference in sperm abundance in addition to the clear difference in spermatophore size. We also believe that our data on the size-specific male recovery of sperm stores after depletion are probably inconclusive. Although there was no statistical difference between spermatophore attributes after recharge periods of 1 –3 weeks, the sample sizes were small, variances high, and means inconsistent. It is also possible that the larger seminal fluid component of the spermatophore in large males when compared with small males is of consequence to sperm viability and hence fertilization success. Similar results have been found for the blue crab Callinectes sapidus (Kendall et al., 2002). As with blue crabs, however, the consequences of reduced seminal fluid in terms of female reproductive success are unknown. Accessory fluid has several functions that include acting as an antibacterial agent or nutritive substance for sperm, as an aid for storage and retention of sperm (Tram and Wolfner, 1999), or as a sperm plug (Carver et al., 2005). New genetic evidence based on paternity analysis (S. Johnson, Univ. Otago, pers. comm.) suggests that female J. edwardsii may engage in multiple copulations to fertilize a single egg clutch. This phenomenon appears unlikely in P. argus where more detailed examinations Effect of parental size in the Caribbean Spiny lobster i121 Figure 4. The relationships between the size of P. argus females and several egg and larval quality attributes, including: (a) egg area, (b) C:N ratio of eggs, (c) larval carapace length, (d) larval mortality, and (e) larval swimming speed. Regression summary statistics are shown in each panel (r 2 ¼ variance explained, ANOVA p-value, n ¼ sample size), although a regression line is only plotted for the one instance where there was a significant regression. of spermatophore structure (Butler et al., 2011a) indicates that reports of layered spermatophores (Mota-Alves and Pavia, 1976) are most likely due to new, unused spermatophores laid upon previously exhausted spermatophores used to fertilize a prior clutch. Thus, to avert sperm competition, large males may use accessory fluid to enhance the size of their perceived investment or to act as a barrier to secondary matings. Indeed, previous experiments with P. argus demonstrate that spermatophores provide both physical and chemical cues perceptible by females that inhibit them from further mating before utilization of the existing spermatophore (Butler et al., 2011a). As first articulated by Dewsbury (1982), the cost to males of producing ejaculates is physiologically non-trivial and all the more so for multiple ejaculates (Wedell et al., 2002). Evidence of depletion over the production of successive spermatophores in our study clearly demonstrates this. Large male P. argus produced more than 25 ejaculates during a mating cycle and small males around 15, but the size of the ejaculates declined precipitously after just a few repeated matings. Similarly, small male king crabs Paralithodes camtschaticus experience reduced reproductive success after seven matings, whereas large crabs can mate up to nine times before experiencing a reduction in fertilization success (Powell et al., 1974). i122 Large P. argus also require a week or so hiatus from mating to restore spermatophore size; small males appear to need even longer. This is similar to observations of blue crabs Callinectes sapidus that require between 9 and 20 d to fully recover sperm stores (Kendall et al., 2001). Other crab species, such as the coconut crab Birgus latro and stone crab Haplogaster dentata, are not thought to recover sperm stores until the next reproductive season (Sato, 2012). Maternal effects on offspring fitness have garnered considerable attention, particularly in relation to exploited marine species (Berkeley et al., 2004a; Green, 2008; Venturelli et al., 2010). In addition to evidence for exponential increases in fecundity relative to size or age, positive correlations between maternal size or age and larval characteristics provide further support for the protection of mature size and age structure in exploited animal populations (Berkeley et al., 2004b; Birkeland and Dayton, 2005). In lobsters, the relationship between maternal size and fecundity is clearly established (Saul, 2004; MacDiarmid and Sainte-Marie, 2006). In comparison, knowledge of maternal influences on egg and larval characteristics is limited, which is disconcerting given the increasing truncation of the size range of exploited lobster populations. Maternal size influences on gamete and/or offspring quality have been observed in the European clawed lobster Homarus gammarus (Moland et al., 2010), some populations of the American clawed lobster Homarus americanus (Attard and Hudon, 1987), and in the temperate spiny lobster J. edwardsii (A. MacDiarmid, unpub. data). However, maternal size resulted in no detectable difference on egg or larval characteristics in P. argus with the possible exception of larval swimming speed, the result of which we question given its low r 2 value. According to Marshall et al. (2010), there are few evolutionary arguments for a maternal size–offspring quality relationship unless the physical environment is the primary driver selecting for maternal effects. Although studies on the effects of fishing on female size and reproductive patterns are known for many species of spiny lobster (reviewed in MacDiarmid and Sainte-Marie, 2006), detailed mating and fertilization dynamics are poorly documented. Our study reveals that the mating system of P. argus is considerably more complex than previously believed. Years of continuous fishing and the consequent human manipulation of lobster demographic structure has added to this complexity. For heavily exploited populations like those in the Florida Keys, where the largest lobsters that normally dominate matings are noticeably absent (Bertelsen and Mathews, 2001; Butler et al., 2015), successful reproduction now depends on smaller individuals. Smaller males that in healthy unfished populations would typically be outcompeted for access to females are afforded the chance to mate repeatedly with available females in overfished populations. Given both the value of, and the reliance on, P. argus fisheries in the Western Atlantic, it is imperative that we incorporate knowledge of mating systems in population assessments (Rowe and Hutchings, 2003) and undertake research to better understand the implications of this. This study, like others before it, clearly demonstrates the importance of maintaining large individuals in exploited populations if we wish to maintain healthy breeding populations of P. argus into the future. Acknowledgements We are grateful for help with our laboratory experiments by a dedicated group of individuals, including J. Heisig-Mitchell, D. Behringer, D. Hansen-Behringer, J. Schratwieser, S. Donahue, and D. Robertson. The use of laboratory space at the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, Marathon Field M. J. Butler et al. Laboratory, is greatly appreciated. This research was supported by an award to M. Butler from the National Science Foundation (OCE-9730195). References Attard, J., and Hudon, C. 1987. Embryonic development and energetic investment in egg production in relation to size of female lobster (Homarus americanus). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 44: 1157– 1164. Bas, C. C., Spivak, E. D., and Anger, K. 2007. Seasonal and interpopulational variability in fecundity, egg size, and elemental composition (CHN) of eggs and larvae in a grapsoid crab, Chasmagnathus granulatus. Helgoland Marine Research, 61: 225 – 237. Berkeley, S. 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Handling editor: Stéphane Plourde ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i124 –i127. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsu163 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article Phyllosomata associated with large gelatinous zooplankton: hitching rides and stealing bites Richard O’Rorke 1*, Shane D. Lavery1,2, Miao Wang 2, Ramón Gallego 1, Anya M. Waite 3,4, Lynnath E. Beckley 5, Peter A. Thompson 6, and Andrew G. Jeffs 2 1 School of Biological Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand Leigh Marine Laboratory, Institute of Marine Science, University of Auckland, Warkworth, New Zealand 3 School of Environmental Systems Engineering and the Oceans Institute, University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA, Australia 4 Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany 5 School of Veterinary and Life Sciences, Murdoch University, Murdoch, WA, Australia 6 Australian Commonwealth Scientific Industrial and Research Organisation, Hobart, TAS, Australia 2 *Corresponding author: e-mail: [email protected] O’Rorke, R., Lavery, S. D., Wang, M., Gallego, R., Waite, A. M., Beckley, L. E., Thompson, P. A., and Jeffs, A. G. Phyllosomata associated with large gelatinous zooplankton: hitching rides and stealing bites. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i124–i127. Received 25 June 2014; revised 24 August 2014; accepted 27 August 2014; advance access publication 3 October 2014. During a zooplankton survey 350 km off the coast of Western Australia, we captured a large and robust zooid of a salp (Thetys vagina), to which six late stage larvae (phyllosomata) of the western rock lobster (Panulirus cygnus) were attached. High-throughput sequencing analyses of DNA extracts from midgut glands of the larvae confirmed that each phyllosoma had consumed mainly salp tissue (x ¼ 64.5% + 15.9 of DNA reads). These results resolve long-standing conjecture whether spiny lobster phyllosomata attach to large gelatinous hosts to feed on them. Keywords: food web, Indian Ocean, PCR, phyllosoma, plankton, pyrosequencing, salp, spiny lobster, Thetys, trophic level. Introduction For many years, there has been conjecture that spiny lobster (Family Palinuridae) phyllosoma larvae might attach themselves to large gelatinous zooplankton for assistance with locomotion and possibly to feed upon them (Jeffs, 2007). This hypothesis was partly extrapolated from in situ observations of phyllosomata of slipper lobsters (Family Scyllaridae; a family related to spiny lobsters) attached to, and most probably consuming, large cnidarian medusae (Shojima, 1963; Thomas, 1963; Hernkind et al., 1976; Ates et al., 2007) as well as captive feeding trials where the phyllosomata were capable of clinging to, and consuming the entirety of a wide variety of jellyfish medusae (Wakabayashi et al., 2012). Spiny lobster phyllosomata have never been directly observed in the wild due to their small size, transparent morphology, and far offshore habitat (extending to over 1500 km offshore, Phillips et al., 1979), which makes direct observations of the nature of any association with large gelatinous zooplankton unlikely. Phyllosomata can grip and manipulate other animals by the use of dactyls at the end of their limbs (Wakabayashi et al., 2012), and on Panulirus cygnus the dactyl of the second pereiopod is particularly large and suited to this purpose (Braine et al., 1979: refer video in supplementary files). However, their grip on their hosts is unlikely to survive sampling, because large gelatinous pelagic organisms, such as colonial radiolaria and siphonophores, often disintegrate when sampled in zooplankton net tows. This means that even if phyllosomata do adhere to them, it will be unlikely to observe them doing so in net hauls. In this study, we report the capture by net tow of a large and robust zooid of a salp (Thetys vagina), to which six late stage phyllosomata were attached (Supplementary Figure 1). To our knowledge, this is the first record of spiny lobster phyllosomata being captured while remaining attached to another animal. To determine if the phyllosomata were feeding on the salp, high-throughput sequencing analyses were performed on DNA extracts from the midgut glands of phyllosomata carefully removed from the salp zooid. DNA methods provide a highly reliable technique for identifying the diet of pelagic predators when in situ observations are not possible (O’Rorke et al., 2012a, b). # International Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2014. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i125 Phyllosomata associated with large gelatinous zooplankton Table 1. Phyllosomata recovered from Thetys salp. Phyllosoma 1 2 3 4 5a 6a Size (mm) 27.25 18 18 16.75 19.5 17.5 Stage 9 7 7 7 7 6 Length refers to the distance from the anterior margin of the cephalic shield (cephalothorax) from between the eyestalks to the posterior tip of the pleon. a DNA from these phyllosomata did not amplify. Methods, results, and discussion A zooplankton net tow of surface water taken on 29 August 2011 between 02:00 and 02:05 AWST at 31.098S, 111.438E 350 km off the Western Australian coast following the methods of Wang et al. (2014) recovered a salp zoid to which six late stage Panulirus cygnus phyllosomata were attached (Table 1). The phyllosoma were all in a typical clinging posture adopted by phyllosoma while feeding with the ventral surface on the cephalic shield, which contains the mouthparts, pressed against the outer surface of the salp zooid. The salp was 115 × 55 mm at its longest and widest dimensions and was identified by Dr Lisa-ann Gershwin (CSIRO-Marine & Atmospheric Research, Australia) to be Thetys vagina, based on its unique morphology. DNA was ChelexTM (Bio-Rad) extracted from tissue of the salp, and a short 18S rDNA region was PCRamplified and sequenced using the Uni1304F and Uni1670R primers and protocol from Larsen et al. (2005). The sequenced Thetys vagina (Genbank accession KM360161) locally aligns to other salp sequences on the NCBI database. However, it does not have a perfect match on the database and was only a 91.2% match to that of the only other 18S sequence of this species previously reported on Genbank (from the NW Atlantic; Govindarajan et al., 2011). From examination of the outer surface of the salp upon landing on the research vessel, it was not possible to determine whether loss of salp tissue was associated directly with predation from individual phyllosoma due to the irregularity in the surface of the salp. Therefore, a DNA approach was adopted to determine if the phyllosomata had consumed salp material. DNAwas extracted from the midguts of the phyllosomata using 31 gauge syringes (O’Rorke et al., 2013a) and also extracted from the codend of the net from which the salp was recovered, as well as from PCR-grade water-only negative control taken from water drained from the codend. PCR amplifications of the v7 and v9 regions of the 18S rDNA were performed according to O’Rorke et al., (2012a,b) and sequenced at Macrogen (Korea) on the 454 GS platform using Titanium chemistry. Sequenced DNA reads were processed in MOTHUR (Schloss et al., 2009) using methods outlined in O’Rorke et al. (2013b) and it was found that DNA was successfully amplified from four of these six phyllosomata and each of these phyllosomata contained a majority of DNA fragment sequence reads that were identified as belonging to salp (Thaliacea) (x + SE ¼ 64.5% + 15.9) (Figure 1). DNA failing to amplify in approximately one-third of phyllosomata is not unusual and could be due to these two phyllosomata only recently attaching to their host, perhaps after capture in the net (O’Rorke et al., 2012). However, it is very unusual to have the same OTU detected in such abundance in every phyllosoma sampled from a single site (Suzuki et al., 2008; Chow et al., 2010; O’Rorke et al., 2012a, b; 2013b). The difference between this study and previous studies is that the phyllosomata were not randomly distributed throughout the plankton, but were all adhering to a single animal. Two loci of the 18S rRNA gene were amplified and sequenced, which both showed the same distribution of DNA sequence reads (Figure 1), which indicates that the dominance of thaliacean reads was not an artefact of primer bias. In addition to the gut contents of the phyllosomata being sequenced, a sample of cod-end water was also collected to control for the remote possibility that we were detecting DNA that had been passively ingested by the phyllosoma. For this, 5 mL of mixed codend water was passed through a 0.5-mm syringe filter (Millipore) into 10 mL of pre-chilled EtOH and stored at 2208C. A 0.5-mm filter was used because this is the exclusion size of the filter press of late stage phyllosomata (Smith et al., 2009; Simon et al., 2012). Perhaps surprisingly, this control contained no salp DNA, but was dominated by DNA from colonial radiolaria. Colonial radiolaria are a significant component of the zooplankton assemblage in the East Indian Ocean, although they do disintegrate when sampled by nets (Stemmann et al., 2008), and it is therefore not surprising that their DNA was detected in the codend sample. After salp DNA, the second most abundant organisms in each phyllosoma were not identical between samples, with phyllosomata 2 and 4 containing 25% of DNA from an anthozoan (Cerianthia) and a bony fish, respectively. This suggests that each phyllosoma was either feeding on a different prey item before encountering the salp or that they were also feeding on other food sources while attached to the salp. Captive phyllosomata have been observed to feed on a range of gelatinous zooplankton such as fish larvae, chaetognaths, ctenophores, and cnidarians (Mitchell, 1971; Kittaka, 1997), which are all a significant part of the plankton assemblage of the East Indian Ocean (Säwström et al., 2014). In a previous experiment, it has been determined that P. cygnus phyllosomata are preferential feeders that consume arrow worms over either salps or krill in a preychoice experimental design (Saunders et al., 2012). This, along with the present study, indicates that P. cygnus phyllosomata are opportunistic predators, attaching themselves and feeding on large prey items, such as salps when they are available. This is consistent with the fact that salps are relatively poor in lipids, protein, and available energy (Wang and Jeffs, 2013; Wang et al., 2013), but they are large and represent a high level of readily digestible biomass that is a guaranteed meal in the absence of better prey options. P. cygnus larvae may not consume the entirety of their hosts, unlike some slipper lobster larvae (Wakabayashi et al., 2012), because it is not clear that this is a good strategy for larvae in oceanic waters with low productivity. However, T. vagina have considerable regenerative properties (Hirose et al., 2005) and it would be valuable to learn if salp tissue can regenerate at a rate that matches consumption by phyllosomata. It has been observed that even after T. vagina zooids are emptied into “barrels” to become the homes of Phronimids (a Hyperiid amphipod), that the salp tissue continues to regenerate (Hirose et al., 2005). Salps have very rapid growth rates, with several species increasing their body length by over 5% per hour, and some at a staggering 20% per hour (Madin and Deibel, 1998). Unfortunately, there are no data on the growth rates of Thetys, but they are the largest known salp (.300 mm length, Nakamura and Yount, 1958) and they can rapidly increase in numbers in response to bursts in productivity (Iguchi, 2006). Furthermore, phyllosomata that attach themselves to large animals that undergo vertical migration would be able to track the diurnal changes in prey density and therefore save considerable energy. i126 R. O’Rorke et al. Figure 1. Distribution of reads across samples. The relative proportions of DNA sequence reads for the four phyllosomata that yielded at least 2000 reads for the (a) 18S v7 and (b) 18S v9 rRNA loci. A sample of water was also taken from the net codend to control against the possibility that phyllosomata guts contain soluble DNA ingested after capture. Both loci are concordant and show that phyllosomata contain a majority of Thaliacea (salp) DNA. In contrast, the codend water mostly contains DNA from colonial radiolarian (Polycystinea). This is important because saving energy has considerable implications for the abilities of the spiny lobster post-larvae (pueruli) to subsequently migrate back onshore (Wilkin and Jeffs, 2011; Fitzgibbon et al., 2013). opportunistic feeding strategy that enables phyllosomata to survive in sparsely populated and oligotrophic oceanic waters. Importantly, by attaching to a large vertically migrating animal, the phyllosomata are able to conserve energy by not swimming, as well as having access to a meal of relatively magnificent size. Conclusion The unique discovery of spiny lobster phyllosomata attached and feeding on a large gelatinous zooplankter resolves conjecture that these animals share this behaviour of the larvae of their close relatives, the slipper lobsters. Sequencing of the gut contents of these spiny lobster phyllosomata confirms that they not only adhere to but also ingest the tissues of their gelatinous hosts. 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Limnology & Oceanography: Fluids & Environments, 1: 163–175. Handling editor: Stéphane Plourde ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i128 –i138. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsu237 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article Effects of population density and body size on disease ecology of the European lobster in a temperate marine conservation zone Charlotte E. Davies1*, Andrew F. Johnson 2, Emma C. Wootton 1, Spencer J. Greenwood 3, K. Fraser Clark 3, Claire L. Vogan4, and Andrew F. Rowley1 1 Department of Biosciences, College of Science, Swansea University, Swansea SA2 8PP, UK Center for Marine Biodiversity and Conservation, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, 9500 Gilman Drive, La Jolla, CA 92093-0202, USA 3 Department of Biomedical Sciences and AVC Lobster Science Centre, Atlantic Veterinary College, University of Prince Edward Island, 550 University Avenue, Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island, Canada C1A 4P3 4 College of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea SA2 8PP, UK 2 *Corresponding author: tel: +44 7814 161356; e-mail: [email protected] Davies, C. E., Johnson, A. F., Wootton, E. C., Greenwood, S. J., Clark, K. F., Vogan, C. L., and Rowley, A. F. Effects of population density and body size on disease ecology of the European lobster in a temperate marine conservation zone. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i128 – i138. Received 28 July 2014; accepted 2 December 2014; advance access publication 29 December 2014. Marine conservation zones (MCZs) are a form of spatial marine management, increasingly popular since the move towards ecosystem-based fisheries management. Implementation, however, is somewhat contentious and as a result of their short history, their effects are still widely unknown and understudied. Here, we investigate the population and health of the European lobster (Homarus gammarus) in the Lundy Island Marine Conservation Zone, Bristol Channel, UK. Using the fished refuge zone (RZ) as a control area, catch per unit effort was calculated for both the no-take zone (NTZ) and RZ and binomial logistic regression models were used to examine the effects of site, sex, landing size, and loss of chelae on the probability of shell disease and injury presence in individuals. Lobsters were also tested for the causative agent of gaffkaemia, Aerococcus viridans var. homari, and white spot syndrome virus (WSSV). The analysis revealed a higher lobster density and larger lobsters in the NTZ compared with the RZ. Shell disease was present in 24% of lobsters and the probability of shell disease occurrence increased notably for individuals over the minimum landing size (MLS) of 90 mm carapace length. Shell disease was also more prevalent in lobsters displaying injury, and in males. Injury was present in 33% of lobsters sampled and prevalence was higher in lobsters in the NTZ compared with the RZ, and in lobsters .MLS. Aerococcus viridans var. homari was detected in ,1% of individuals, but WSSV was absent from all sampled lobsters. Overall, the study demonstrates both positive and potentially negative effects of NTZs, methods for effective non-lethal sampling of disease agents, and highlights the need for more comprehensive, long-term monitoring within highly protected MCZs, both before and after implementation. Keywords: gaffkaemia, health, Lundy Island, marine monitoring, MPA, no take zone, pathogen entry, shell disease, WSSV. Introduction Overfishing persists in many of the world’s oceans. Fish and invertebrate stocks have been overexploited, leaving some species in dangerous decline (Kleisner et al., 2013), and others in complete collapse (Myers et al., 1997). To protect biodiversity, commercial stocks, and to aid in the recovery of declining populations, establishment of marine reserves (no-take zones, NTZs), or marine protected areas (MPAs) are seen as a new paradigm for spatial management (Kaiser, 2005). These areas of conservation are aimed at protecting habitats and species and in some cases have been of significant benefit to local fisheries worldwide (Rosenberg, 2003). The use of MPAs conforms to an ecosystem-based approach to management, as often, these reserves have benefits for multiple species and ecosystems (Botsford et al., 2003; Gaines et al., 2010). # International Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2014. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i129 Effects of population density and body size While protecting habitats or species is often the primary objective of areas closed to fishing, it is of paramount importance to evaluate the success of MPA implementation (Pomeroy et al., 2005). In general, surveys and monitoring are expensive, and as a result, the majority of commercial target species are currently inadequately assessed worldwide (Costello et al., 2012). To provide a “fished” or “non-protected” comparison, it is necessary to establish a baseline before implementation as well as ongoing evaluations of the same measures (Pinnegar and Engelhard, 2007). There have been studies offering methods for evaluating the effectiveness of management of MPAs (Pomeroy et al., 2005; Sciberras et al., 2013). One example method is the before-after control-impact design, with data from replicated MPA and control sites both before and after MPA designation (Fenberg et al., 2012). This has been considered the optimal way of assessing effects of protection (Moland et al., 2013a). In cases where there is insufficient baseline information, it is difficult to ascertain when a healthy population reaches its threshold, both in terms of population density and individual species health (e.g. pathogens and disease). Subsequent MPA management measures may therefore be misguided and inappropriate (Hilborn et al., 2004). Conflicting interests between stakeholder groups adds additional complexity and can exacerbate the problems associated with determining effective management strategies (Fox et al., 2014). Studies have shown that increased density in marine reserves may manifest in higher levels of disease (McCallum et al., 2005; Wootton et al., 2012; Wood et al., 2013). Higher densities are also thought to increase injury due to more conspecific interaction (Debuse et al., 2003; Wootton et al., 2012), which may be linked to disease transmission (Vogan et al., 1999; Whitten et al., 2014). In addition, the number of diseases reported in marine organisms over the past three decades has risen substantially (Harvell et al., 2004); therefore, health monitoring of conservation areas, such as MPAs, is vital to ensure the correct management measures are being assigned on a case by case basis (Agardy et al., 2003; Pomeroy et al., 2005). A previous study by Wootton et al. (2012) of the Lundy Island NTZ, Bristol Channel, UK, demonstrated that the high densities of European lobster (Homarus gammarus) inside the NTZ (compared with the fished Refuge Zone; RZ) may be subjecting individuals to a higher risk of shell disease. As a consequence, it was concluded that a further survey of lobster disease ecology in the Lundy Island NTZ was warranted. The present study extends the original survey to include non-lethal diagnostic tests for the causative agent of gaffkaemia (a potentially fatal bacterial disease of lobsters), and white spot disease (WSD) caused by the white spot syndrome virus (WSSV). WSD is primarily associated with shrimp aquaculture and is rarely seen in the wild; however, it has been suggested that this may be due to limited monitoring of wild populations (Chapman et al., 2004). Shell disease syndrome, also known as enzootic (or “classical”) shell disease, is a progressive condition of crustaceans whereby lesions develop on the cuticle and in extreme cases can totally erode through the carapace, exposing underlying soft tissues (Vogan et al., 2008). Commonly observed among both European and American (Homarus americanus) lobsters (Sindermann, 1989), it must not be confused with the more severe epizootic shell disease, responsible for significant economic losses to American lobster fisheries (Castro et al. 2006; Wahle et al., 2009). Gaffkaemia is the disease resulting from an infection by the Gram-positive bacterium, Aerococcus viridans var. homari (Stewart, 1980). Also known as “red-tail” disease, it is primarily associated with American lobsters (H. americanus) in tidal pound holding facilities where the stress induced by high lobster density and increased temperature exacerbates the spread of the disease, resulting in mortalities (Snesizko and Taylor, 1947). It has also been detected in both holding facilities and in the wild in European lobsters (Wiik et al., 1987; Stebbing et al., 2012). The current study examined the effect of population density on the presence of disease and injury by comparing sites both inside and outside the Lundy Island NTZ. We tested the hypotheses that density of H. gammarus was higher in the NTZ compared with the fished, RZ, and that individual lobsters from the NTZ had a higher probability of exhibiting signs of disease (shell disease, gaffkaemia, WSD) and injury. We also tested whether large individuals were more likely to be diseased and injured than small individuals and whether females had an increased likelihood of disease and injury than males (due to increased intermoult periods when older, or when holding eggs). Additionally, as a breached cuticle increases the potential risk of infection to disease (Davies et al., 2014; Whitten et al., 2014), the hypothesis that injured individuals were more likely to be diseased than non-injured individuals was also tested. Materials and methods Study area Lundy Island, off the North Devon coast, was Britain’s first MPA. The waters around the island were established as a voluntary Marine Nature Reserve (MNR) in 1971 and in 1986, it was designated as England’s first and only statutory MNR. The MNR consists of an RZ, where pot fisheries (for crabs and lobsters) are authorized, but trawl and net fisheries prohibited, and in 2003, a statutory NTZ was implemented within the existing RZ under a byelaw from the local Sea Fisheries Committee (Devon and Severn IFCA). Within the NTZ, all fishing, including potting, and removal of wildlife is forbidden. As a result of the 2009 Marine and Coastal Access Act, in 2010, the waters around Lundy Island also became England’s first Marine Conservation Zone (MCZ). This new designation superseded the MNR designation and established the site as the foundation of a new network of MPAs. In November 2013, 27 sites were designated within the Defra marine area (UK Ministerial Orders, 2013) and Lundy Island’s NTZ designation still remains. Lobster collection and general observations In May 2010 (2 d), July 2010 (3 d), and August 2011 (3 d), the H. gammarus population was surveyed across six sampling sites (4 in RZ and 2 in NTZ; Figure 1) similar to previous Lundy Island surveys (Hoskin et al., 2011; Wootton et al., 2012). One string of baited commercial parlour pots (35 pots with escape gaps closed) was deployed at each sampling site. Each string was immersed for 24 h, retrieved, emptied of all catch, rebaited, and redeployed. Animals were sexed and six additional measurements for each individual were taken (Table 1) before they were returned to the water. Recent, non-melanized breach of the cuticle (injuries), or claw loss (i.e. those sustained in the pot) were not recorded. Animals exhibiting exoskeletal abnormalities or severe shell disease were photographed. Surveillance of A. viridans and WSSV For all three surveys (May 2010, July 2010, and August 2011), haemolymph was drawn into 100% analytical grade ethanol using i130 C. E. Davies et al. Figure 1. Map of Lundy Island MCZ, Bristol Channel, southwest UK (adapted from http://www.lundymcz.org.uk/). Latitude and longitude coordinates represent the MCZ boundary. Note the RZ where pot fisheries are authorized, but trawl and net fisheries are banned and the NTZ where removal of all wildlife is prohibited. Asterisks represent the sampling sites. Inset: size frequency distributions of male (black) and female (white) lobsters surveyed from the NTZ and RZ. Broken lines indicate MLS; CL .90 mm. Table 1. Parameters recorded for each individual H. gammarus caught in the Lundy Island MCZ, used as predictor variables for subsequent models. Measurement Description Carapace length (CL) Length from rear of the eye socket to the rear of the carapace Minimum landing size (MLS)a Whether carapace length was above the 90 mm MLS as designated by The Devon and Severn IFCA District shore Fisheries and Conservation Authority byelaw Berried Presence of eggs attached to pleopods on the abdomen of females Wounds such as punctures and stress fractures to the cuticle as described in Wootton Injurya et al. (2012). Injuries inflicted during captivity within the pot (i.e. recent, non-melanized breach of the cuticle) were not recorded Missing cheliped (or dwarfed cheliped) Claw lossa Presence of shell disease, as well as severity, was recorded (i.e. “high” or “low”, as Shell disease presence and described in Wootton et al., 2012) severitya Other Tagged individuals; those showing abnormalities Measure Continuous measure (mm) Ordered binomial: 0 (no) or 1 (yes) Presence vs. absence (P vs. A) (P vs. A) (P vs. A) (P vs. A) Ordered trinomial: 0 (none), 1 (low), 2 (high) Numbered and photographic a Parameters used for binomial logistic regression models. 23 G needles and 2 ml syringes, to assess the presence of A. viridans var. homari, and WSSV. DNA extraction DNA was extracted from haemolymph (ntotal ¼ 508/1092) using an adapted version of Ivanova et al. (2006) (see Supplementary materials) using 96-well filter plates (AcroPrep Advance 1 ml for DNA binding; Pall Life Sciences, Southampton, UK). DNA was eluted with water and stabilized with Tris-EDTA buffer (10×) then used as the template for subsequent polymerase chain reactions (PCR). Extraction was optimized to ensure detection of all pathogens using “spiked” haemolymph samples of both the “virulent” and “avirulent” strains of A. viridans var. homari (1 × 103, 1 × 104, 1 × 105, and 1 × 106 colony forming units (CFU) ml21; NVI 1032 and 88B; Table 2), and a positive control from WSSV-infected shrimp. Polymerase chain reaction All PCRs were carried out using MangoMix (Bioline Ltd, UK), primers synthesized by Eurofins MWG Operon (Ebersberg, Germany), and a Bio-Rad PTC-100 Peltier Thermal Cycler, before being i131 Effects of population density and body size Table 2. Aerococcus viridans var. homari, causative agent of gaffkaemia, isolates from H. gammarus or H. americanus used to verify primers and positive template controls. Isolate NCIMB1121a NCIMB1119, ATCC29838a NVI 1032bc 88Bc Identification A. viridans var. homari A. viridans var. homari A. viridans var. homari A. viridans-like coccus Origin H. gammarus H. gammarus H. americanus H. americanus Location, year of isolation Harwich, England, UK, 1962 Southampton, England, UK, 1962 NVI, Norway, 1977 Nova Scotia, Canada, 1962 Virulence status Avirulent Virulent Virulent Avirulent a Isolate deposited in National Collection of Industrial and Marine Bacteria. National Veterinary Institute, Norway (infected lobsters imported from St Lawrence area, Canada, 1977). Strains supplied by Dr P. Stebbing, Cefas, Weymouth, UK. b c visualized on a 1.5% agarose gel. Decapod-specific primers 143F 5′ TGCCTTATCAGCTNTCGATTGTAG-3′ and 145R 5′ -TTCAG NTTTGCAACCATACTTCCC-3′ yielding an 848 bp amplicon (N represents G, A, T, or C) were used to verify the quality of the extracted DNA and the integrity of the PCR reaction (Lo, 2014). Cycling conditions were: 4 min at 948C followed by 40 cycles of 1 min at 938C, 1 min at 558C, and 2 min at 728C, followed by 5 min at 728C. and sites were visualized in GraphPad Prism 5.0. Differences in size frequency of populations were tested using a two-sample Kolmogorov–Smirnov test and Mann–Whitney U-test. To compare catch data between zones, t-tests were used (mean + SEM); tests were two-tailed, used a significance level of 0.05, and tested to follow a Gaussian distribution (using the Kolmogorov– Smirnov test) before any further analysis. Catch per unit of fishing effort (CPUE) was calculated as the mean number of lobsters per pot. Detection of A. viridans var. homari Disease and injury ecology Following preliminary evaluations of several candidate primer pairs developed from A. viridans var. homari GenBank ID: AY707775.1 (Greenwood et al., 2005), the primers Av1F 5′ -TCGGAAACGGG TGCTAATAC-3′ and Av2R 5′ -TAAGGTTCTTCGCGTTGCTT-3′ were chosen to detect all A. viridans var. homari (Primer 3 design for Av ATCC29838 16S rRNA, product 837 bp); verified with PCR of A. viridans colony boils (NCIMB1121, and NCIMB1119; Table 2). Cycling conditions were optimized to detect as little as 1 × 103 CFU ml21: 3 min at 958C followed by 38 cycles of 30 s at 948C, 1 min 30 s at 648C (20.58C cycle21 for the first 33 cycles and 47.58C thereafter) and 2 min at 728C, followed by 5 min at 728C. Positive samples were repeated and the PCR product was purified using the Wizard SV Gel and PCR Clean-Up System (Promega, Madison, WI, USA) and sequenced by Eurofins MWG Operon (Ebersberg, Germany). Contigs from sequences were created using the CAP3 sequence assembly programme (Huang and Madan, 1999) and matched to positive controls using NCBI BLAST search. To determine whether the measured parameters (Table 1) had a significant effect on the presence of shell disease, disease severity, and injury in the lobster population sampled, binomial logistic regression models were used (MASS library in R; R development Core Team, 2011). The information theoretical approach was employed for model selection and assessment of model performance (Richards, 2005) and initial models included all the binomial parameters highlighted in Table 1 (a). To select the best model among the entire set of initial models, i.e. the model that best described the presence of shell disease, shell disease severity, and injury, Akaike’s information criterion (AIC) was used (Burnham and Anderson, 1998). The most complex models with full interaction terms between predictor variables were run first, followed sequentially by models with all combinations of predictor variables as full and partial interactions until a simple main effects model was reached. Model selections were based on the lowest AIC value (Table 3). Once selected, non-significant predictor variables were removed to produce final, reduced, and simpler models with increased predictive power (Zuur et al., 2009). Fitted probability plots were used to visualize the significant relationships inferred from the reduced models using carapace length (CL) as the independent variable. The probability of each of the tested response variables was calculated using the following equation: Detection of WSSV Detection of WSSV was performed using an adaptation of methods from Clark et al. (2013), using forward primer F1- WSDvp28 5′ -GTGACCAAGACCATCGAAAC-3′ and reverse primer R1WSDvp28 5′ -TGAAGTAGCCTGATCCAACC-3′ which are based around the VP28 gene of WSSV. Cycling conditions were: 5 min at 958C followed by 40 cycles of 15 s at 958C, 1 min at 608C, followed by 5 min at 728C. A positive control of DNA extracted from WSSV-infected shrimp was used to verify the integrity of the PCR reaction. Statistical analysis Population ecology For population, shell disease and injury ecology, the 2011 data were analysed (see Wootton et al., 2012, for 2010 data analyses). So that individuals were not double sampled (i.e. recaptured after day 1 and considered a unique individual), each was given an identifier based on the parameters in Table 1 and any individuals sharing the identifier were removed (a total of four individuals were removed before analysis). Population distributions between sexes r= 1 1 + exp−bx where r is the probability of each response variable and bx the estimate (slope) for the predictor variable analysed (Table 1). Results General population ecology Catch data from the 2011 survey revealed that significantly more lobsters were caught per string in the NTZ compared with the RZ (p ¼ 0.0105, t ¼ 3.030, d.f. ¼ 12; NTZ ¼ 40.00 + 5.58, RZ ¼ 20.25 + 3.81, Figure 2). The CPUE was 2.13 times greater in the NTZ. A two-sample KS test concluded that the size frequency distributions were different between the NTZ and RZ; and neither followed a i132 C. E. Davies et al. Table 3. Full models used to predict response variables of shell disease, shell disease severity, and injury before model reduction. Model Model 1: shell disease Shell disease Site + sex + injury + landing size + claw loss AIC: 363.37 d.f. ¼ 396 Model 2: shell disease severity Shell disease severity Site + sex + injury + landing size + claw loss AIC: 119.22 d.f. ¼ 94 Model 3: injury Injury site + sex + landing size + claw loss AIC: 482.62 d.f. ¼ 397 Predictor variable Site Sex Injury Landing size Claw loss Site Sex Injury Landing size Claw loss Site Sex Landing size Claw loss Estimate (slope) 0.34 1.54 1.07 21.40 0.74 0.02 20.81 20.08 0.88 0.70 1.03 0.35 20.76 20.03 p-value 0.254 7.09e208* 9.50e205* 1.72e206* 0.084 0.977 0.235 0.863 0.219 0.339 3.21e205* 0.12 ,0.001* 0.93 *Significance (a ¼ 0.05) p , 0.001). Separating by sex, the mean size of males in the NTZ was larger than in the RZ (96.6 + 1.6 vs. 84.9 + 1.2 mm; p , 0.001) and females were also larger in the NTZ than the RZ (89.8 + 1.3 vs. 85.2 mm + 1.5; p ¼ 0.012). The NTZ population comprised 60.8% “large” commercially viable lobsters (those over 90 mm minimum landing size; MLS) and the RZ only 32.1%. It was not possible to test whether there were more ovigerous (“berried”) females being caught in the NTZ compared with the RZ, as the number was too small (n ¼ 3). In total, 0.75% of females caught were berried (all from the NTZ). Shell disease and injury ecology Figure 2. Mean numbers of individuals caught per string in the NTZ and RZ with 95% CI. Independent samples t-test, p ¼ 0.0105, t ¼ 3.030, d.f. ¼ 12; NTZ ¼ 40.00 + 5.58, RZ ¼ 20.25 + 3.81 (mean + SEM). normal distribution (p , 0.001 for NTZ; p ¼ 0.003 for RZ). In terms of population curve shapes, the skewness values were similar (NTZ ¼ 1.50, RZ ¼ 1.29), but the kurtosis values very different (NTZ ¼ 2.00, RZ ¼ 0.45). The difference between the two populations was therefore caused by the shape (kurtosis) of the two population distributions rather than the median values (p ¼ 0.215). These results highlight that the NTZ population had a higher number of individuals around the median size compared with the RZ, but the spread from small to large individuals was similar between the two populations. Lobsters caught in the NTZ were significantly larger than those in the RZ (93.3 + 1.0 vs. 85.0 + 1.0 mm, respectively; In the Lundy MCZ as a whole, 24% of lobsters sampled had shell disease. In the NTZ, 28% had shell disease and in the RZ, 17%. Of the predictor variable combinations tested, the regression model that resulted in the best AIC was the main effects model (Model 1; Table 3). This model showed that there was no significant effect of site (inside NTZ vs. RZ) or claw loss (absence or presence of missing chelae) on the presence of shell disease in the lobsters sampled (Table 3). NTZ lobsters were therefore no more likely to be affected by shell disease than those caught in the RZ. Removing the nonsignificant predictors of site and claw loss on shell disease presence from the final main effects model produced a reduced model (Model 4; Table 4). Sex, injury, and landing size all had a significant effect on the presence of shell disease. Sex had the most significant effect on explaining the probability of shell disease presence, followed by landing size and then injury (Table 4). Probability calculations demonstrated that if a caught lobster was male it was 83% more likely to have shell disease than a female. If the lobster was injured, it was 76% more likely to have shell disease and finally, if the lobster caught was over the MLS of 90 mm, then it was 83% more likely to have shell disease. Table 4. Binomial logistic regression Model 4, reduced from the full, main effects model (Model 1) used to explain the effects of variables; sex, landing size, and injury on the presence of shell disease. Model Shell disease sex + injury + landing size d.f. ¼ 398 AIC: 363.47 *Significance (a ¼ 0.05). Predictor variable Sex (male) Landing size (,90 mm) Injury (Yes) Estimate (slope) 1.50 21.46 1.11 + Standard error 0.28 0.29 0.27 p-value 1.18e207* 3.50e207* 3.59e205* Effects of population density and body size i133 Figure 3. Fitted probability plots of shell disease presence against CL, separated by sex (a), injury (b), claw loss (c), and MLS (d). Asterisks denote significance of the predictor variable in the original full, main effects model and reduced model. The broken line in each plot represents the legal MLS of 90 mm CL. Figure 4. Fitted probability plots of injury presence against CL, separated by site (a) and MLS (b). Asterisks denote significance of the predictor variable in the original full, main effects model and reduced model. The broken line in each plot represents the legal MLS of 90 mm CL. Fitted probability plots, using the model (Disease CL), separated by the significant predictor variables sex, injury, claw loss, and above vs. below MLS allowed an in-depth examination of the relationship between shell disease presence, size, and each of these predictor variables (Figure 3). Separation between the two lines plotted in each graph indicated differences in the probability of disease between the categories for each predictor variable (i.e. male vs. female, injured vs. non-injured, claw loss vs. intact claws, and above vs. below MLS). Separations of the predicted probability lines for each predictor variable categories occurred at CLs of 78, 79, and 95 mm for sex, injury, and claw loss respectively. It is noteworthy that caution should be taken when reading probabilities towards the larger sizes as few individuals were caught over 135 mm CL. Outlying individuals do, however, follow the general sigmoid probability trend well within each plot (Figure 3 and 4). To test whether the predictor variables had a significant effect on the severity of shell disease in infected individuals, Model 2 was run, substituting presence vs. absence for shell disease severity (high vs. low) as the response variable (Model 2; Table 3). However, none of the predictor variables were significant in predicting the severity (high vs. low) of shell disease within individuals (Table 3; p . 0.05). Overall, 33% of lobsters sampled were injured. In the NTZ, 41% were injured and in the RZ, 19%. To analyse the presence of injury in individuals, we used binomial logistic regression to examine injury as the response variable (presence vs. absence), which was tested against the roles of claw loss, landing size, sex, and site in injury presence (Model 3, Table 3). This model showed that there was no significant effect of sex or claw loss on the presence of injury in the lobsters sampled (Table 3). Therefore, the loss of claws or the sex of the lobster was not significant in predicting injury. Removing these non-significant predictors produced a reduced model (Model 5, Table 5) in which landing size and site both had a significant effect on the presence of injury. Landing size showed the highest significance followed by site. This indicates that lobsters over MLS, and those found in the NTZ were more likely to be injured than i134 C. E. Davies et al. Table 5. Binomial logistic regression injury Model 5, reduced from the full, main effects model (Model 3) used to explain the effects of variables; site and landing size on the presence of injury. Model Injury site + landing size d.f. ¼ 399 Predictor variable Site (NTZ) Landing size (,90 mm) Estimate (slope) 1.02 20.78 + Standard error 0.25 0.23 p-value 3.43e205* ,0.001* *Significance (a ¼ 0.05). those under the MLS and those in the RZ (Figure 4). If a lobster was caught inside the NTZ, it was 71% more likely to be injured than if it was caught in the RZ; similarly, if a lobster caught was over the MLS of 90 mm, then it was 71% more likely to be injured. Detection of A. viridans and WSSV Out of the 508 haemolymph samples analysed over the three surveys, one was positive for A. viridans var. homari. The closest BLAST match (% identity and % coverage) being 99 and 98%, respectively, was to A. viridans strain 1030 16S rRNA gene, partial sequence (GenBank ID: AY707775.1; Greenwood et al., 2005). The positive individual was found in the NTZ during the August 2011 survey, thus the total gaffkaemia coverage in the Lundy NTZ (2011) tested, was 1.05% and in the total Lundy MCZ (2011) tested, was 0.52%. All samples tested from 2010 were negative, and all samples tested for WSSV were negative, regardless of year. Discussion The lack of fishing for over 8 years has resulted in an increase in the number of H. gammarus in the Lundy Island NTZ compared with the RZ; the higher CPUE in the NTZ was, therefore, to be expected. This is supported by previous studies which also found a higher CPUE in the Lundy Island NTZ (Hoskin et al., 2011; Wootton et al., 2012). However, in the current study, the CPUE was only 2.13 times higher in the NTZ than the RZ, compared with fivefold higher in 2008 (Hoskin et al., 2011) and 7.7 times higher in 2010 (Wootton et al., 2012). It is well known that there is generally an initial population expansion after fishery closure followed by movement out of the high-density territory, which is a suggestion for the decrease in CPUE experienced in this NTZ (e.g. Abesamis and Russ, 2005; Goñi et al., 2006, 2010; Halpern et al., 2010). The lobsters in the Lundy Island NTZ were found to be significantly larger than those in the RZ, a common occurrence in other studies of MPAs (Hoskin et al., 2011; Wootton et al., 2012; Moland et al., 2013a, b). These findings of more abundant and larger individuals in the Lundy NTZ are likely to benefit the reproductive potential within the MPAs and possibly neighbouring lobster fisheries in terms of increased mating success and larval supply (Jennings, 2000; Dı́az et al., 2011; Moland et al., 2013b). The probability of shell disease, or shell disease severity, was not dependent upon zone (NTZ vs. RZ), contrasting with the previous study by Wootton et al. (2012), which found significantly more shell disease in the Lundy NTZ, compared with the RZ, particularly in large male lobsters. This may be explained by a number of possible factors. The area surveyed was relatively small (8 km2), and studies using tagging systems and acoustic telemetry have shown that H. gammarus migrate to find food and shelter, especially when an area is highly populated (Steneck, 2006). Mark–recapture studies have revealed that H. gammarus move several kilometres a year (e.g. Smith et al., 2001; Agnalt et al., 2007) and new studies using ultrasonic tracking technology have shown some individuals have home ranges of 20 000 m or more from their burrows (Moland et al., 2011a), with increased activity during the summer (Moland et al., 2011b) such as those surveyed here. It must be noted that the current survey only provide a “snap-shot” of the population of interest and dynamic environmental conditions drastically affect the behaviour of organisms; hence, capture of lobsters will widely fluctuate on a temporal basis, resulting in variable data collection. Therefore, lobsters sampled by Wootton et al. (2012), and indeed Hoskin et al. (2011), may have migrated elsewhere by August 2011, possibly from the NTZ into the RZ and vice versa. Huserbråten et al. (2013) support this suggestion. They found that a significant portion of H. gammarus migrated to fishing grounds next to the reserves in which they were originally tagged. This spillover phenomenon has also been demonstrated by studies observing species such as the European spiny lobster, Palinurus elephas (Goñi et al., 2006, 2010), and the squat lobster, Pleuroncodes monodon (Roa and Bahamonde, 1993). It must also be noted that the current study undertakes a binomial logistic regression approach to data analysis, not utilized by Wootton et al. (2012). This is advantageous in terms of determining detailed population ecology by examining interactive forces and parameters at a more complex level and is likely to more realistically reflect the status of the lobster population sampled as it accounts for multiple factors that may determine disease. The fact that those lobsters over the MLS were more likely to be shell diseased was to be expected. Studies have shown that larger lobsters have longer moult increments (therefore moult less often) than smaller, younger lobsters (Castro and Angell, 2000), giving more time for shell disease and lesion progression to manifest (Smolowitz et al., 1992; Glenn and Pugh, 2006). Shell disease levels are also usually higher in females, due to the increased moult increments when holding eggs (Glenn and Pugh, 2006). Our result, that there was a higher probability of shell disease in males, therefore was somewhat unexpected. This was perhaps because ,1% of females sampled were ovigerous in this study. It could also be speculated that males are more likely to take part in conspecific interaction than females, due to intrasexual selection and mate protection (Debuse et al., 2003), therefore more likely to be injured, which in turn may develop into shell disease. Injury presence was indeed a significant factor in predicting shell disease in the current study. In order for chitinolythic bacteria to enter and progress the development of shell disease, a breached cuticle is required so that the chitin containing layers beneath the outermost epicuticle may be reached (Smolowitz et al., 1992; Vogan et al., 1999, Davies et al., 2014, Whitten et al., 2014). Injury can therefore facilitate the initiation and progression of shell disease. Although non-significant, results suggested that lobsters with claw loss were less likely to have shell disease than those with both claws intact. This may be explained by studies that have shown that decapod crustaceans experiencing claw loss moult more frequently in an attempt to regenerate the lost appendages (Skinner and Graham, 1972). This frequent moulting will in turn temporarily rid a lobster of shell disease (Smolowitz et al., 1992; Glenn and Pugh, 2006). Injury presence was found to be significantly higher in those lobsters over the MLS. Species of homarid lobsters are known to be solitary, highly territorial, and establish hierarchical ranks within i135 Effects of population density and body size populations (Karnofsky et al., 1989; Childress and Jury, 2006; Skog, 2009); they therefore may suffer from combative injuries when faced with intrasexual selection and shelter choice (O’Neill and Cobb, 1979; Debuse et al., 2003; Skog, 2009). This will be especially prevalent when they are larger and sexually mature (Karnofsky and Price, 1989), such as those found above the MLS. The finding that the probability of injured lobsters in the NTZ was higher than the RZ may be explained by the aforementioned higher density of lobsters in the NTZ. Some studies have shown that when a population reaches high densities, there is an increase in conspecific interaction (Lizaso et al., 2000), competition, and therefore fighting and injury (Castro et al., 2012). This, in conjunction with the more abundant, and larger lobsters found in the NTZ, means that conflict would be especially increased, leading to injury. The increase in injured lobsters in the NTZ may increase the risk of infection from other pathogens such as A. viridans var. homari. This bacterium lacks invasive mechanisms and therefore is likely to enter the lobster only through a damaged carapace, causing septicaemia that eventually results in death (Stewart, 1980). The low prevalence of A. viridans var. homari detected in the present study is comparable with other wild population studies, which found gaffkaemia in ,1% of H. gammarus from UK (Stebbing et al., 2012) and Norwegian (Wiik et al., 1987) waters. It has been noted, however, that levels of disease in wild populations are probably underestimated as infected lobsters are lethargic and therefore less likely to enter traps (Lavallée et al., 2001). It is also important to note that there are “virulent” and “avirulent” strains of A. viridans var. homari (Stewart et al., 2004); therefore, perhaps the causative agent may lie dormant in sediment until the optimum temperature is reached (Stewart et al., 1969). Current diagnostics for identification of gaffkaemia are based on time-consuming methods (see Stebbing et al., 2012) whereby haemolymph must be examined or cultured immediately. The technique developed in this study, utilizing PCRbased methods, whereby as little as 1 × 103 CFU ml21 could be detected, has potential to be more effective since haemolymph may be stored in ethanol for an extended period before DNA extraction and screening. Although there were no WSSV-infected lobsters found in this study, the European Union EC Directive 2006/88/EC states that all decapod crustaceans are susceptible to this viral infection (EC Directive, 2006). Recent studies have shown that both H. gammarus (Bateman et al., 2012) and H. americanus (Clark et al., 2013) may be susceptible to this disease. The phenomenon of over-population and disease is common in aquaculture systems where diseases must be monitored diligently (Pillay and Kutty, 2005), since populations grow rapidly and unlike “wild” ocean scenarios, the diseased individuals cannot migrate elsewhere or be “fished out” (Wood et al., 2010). Although originating in Asia where waters are warmer, WSSV is not a tropical disease and studies have shown WSSV infection in water temperatures as low as 158C (Guan et al., 2003), with WSSV replication possible at 108C (Du et al., 2008). WSSV-infected shrimp have also been found in European shrimp farms (Stentiford and Lightner, 2011), and given the mean summer temperature of UK waters can be as high as 17.98C (Cefas, 2014), it is viable that WSSV may enter and reside in UK waters. Thus, threat from this disease is plausible and reinforces the need for monitoring, especially in an area such as the Lundy Island NTZ, where population density is thought to have increased the risk of injury, apertures for pathogen entry (current study), and prevalence of shell disease (Wootton et al., 2012). Appropriately managed MPAs have been shown to increase low population numbers, satisfying both fishing industry and environmental stakeholders, especially those implemented and monitored over longer periods. For example, Goñi et al. (2010) showed density spillover of European spiny lobster (P. elephas) into adjacent fisheries using a decade of tag re-capture data, Aburto-Oropeza et al. (2011) recorded a 463% increase in fish biomass over a decade of no take protection, while in Norway, designation of an MPA increased H. gammarus CPUE by 245% over 4 years, compared with just 87% in control areas (Moland et al., 2013a). Of late, the subject of implementation of MPAs in the UK has caused much controversy (Jones, 2012; Rees et al., 2013), and often their efficacy is up for debate worldwide (Roberts et al., 2001; Caveen et al., 2013). The Lundy Island MCZ was created to meet unspecified conservation benefits rather than verifiable management objectives (Hoskin et al., 2009). The lack of predesignation data from this MCZ prevents a true historical assessment of changes in population sizes or the spread and evolution of shell disease since the fishery closure, therefore, promotes a call for further, long-term monitoring studies to take place. This study highlights the necessity to monitor MCZs both before and after implementation, with a requirement for regular, standardized sampling protocols to discern and monitor the health status of species within NTZs and other types of MPA. Data collected can be used to make predictions for future management scenarios, and ultimately better manage the area under protection. This means that under changing environmental conditions, managers are better equipped at predicting resultant effects on the reserve and nearby fisheries, in some cases mitigating negative impacts such as injury, and potential increases in disease. Supplementary data Supplementary material is available at the ICESJMS online version of the manuscript. Acknowledgements We would like to thank the skipper, Geoff Huelin, and crew of FV “Our Jenny” for assistance during sampling, plus Devon and Severn IFCA and Natural England for permission to sample lobsters in the NTZ of Lundy Island. We also thank Dr Gethin Thomas, Dr Richard Unsworth, Dr Ed Pope, Dr Kristina Hamilton, Mr Keith Naylor, and Mr Ian Tew of Swansea University, and Lundy Island staff for their support during sampling. We thank Dr Paul Stebbing (Cefas, Weymouth) for kindly providing some strains of A. viridans var. homari ; and finally, Dr Andrew Woolmer of Salacia Marine, Dr Miranda Whitten, and Mrs Carolyn Greig of Swansea University, Mr Adam Acorn of the AVC Lobster Science Centre, UPEI, Dr Hilmar Hinz of IEO Baleares and Dr Rob Thomas of Cardiff University for advice and assistance. This research was funded by SEAFISH to Swansea University and the ERDF INTERREG IVA, Ireland–Wales programme grant— SUSFISH (Project No. 042) to AFR. CED was part-funded by a tuition fee bursary from Swansea University’s Colleges of Science and Medicine. 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PloS One, 7: e51615. Zuur, A., Ieno, E. N., Walker, N., Saveliev, A. A., and Smith, G. M. 2009. GLM and GAM for absence– presence and proportional data. Mixed Effects Models and Extensions in Ecology with R, pp. 245. Springer. New York. Handling editor: Rochelle Seitz ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i139 –i146. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsu209 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article Modelling the spread and connectivity of waterborne marine pathogens: the case of PaV1 in the Caribbean Andrew S. Kough 1*, Claire B. Paris 1, Donald C. Behringer 2,3, and Mark J. Butler, IV4 1 Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Miami, Miami, FL 33149, USA Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Program, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32653, USA 3 Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA 4 Department of Biological Sciences, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA 23529, USA 2 *Corresponding author: tel: +1 240 447 0426; e-mail: [email protected] Kough, A. S., Paris, C. B., Behringer, D. C., and Butler, M. J.IV Modelling the spread and connectivity of waterborne marine pathogens: the case of PaV1 in the Caribbean. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i139 – i146. Received 25 August 2014; revised 6 October 2014; accepted 28 October 2014; advance access publication 21 November 2014. The PaV1 virus infects spiny lobsters (Panulirus argus) throughout most of the Caribbean, where its prevalence in adult lobsters can reach 17% and where it poses a significant risk of mortality for juveniles. Recent studies indicate that vertical transmission of the virus is unlikely and PaV1 has not been identified in the phyllosoma larval stages. Yet, the pathogen appears subclinically in post-larvae collected near the coast, suggesting that lobster post-larvae may harbour the virus and perhaps have aided in the dispersal of the pathogen. Laboratory and field experiments also confirm the waterborne transmission of the virus to post-larval and early benthic juvenile stages, but its viability in the water column may be limited to a few days. Here, we coupled Lagrangian modelling with a flexible matrix model of waterborne and post-larval-based pathogen dispersal in the Caribbean to investigate how a large area with complex hydrology influences the theoretical spread of disease. Our results indicate that if the virus is waterborne and only viable for a few days, then it is unlikely to impact both the Eastern and Northwestern Caribbean, which are separated by dispersal barriers. However, if PaV1 can be transported between locations by infected post-larvae, then the entire Caribbean becomes linked by pathogen dispersal with higher viral prevalence in the North. We identify possible regions from which pathogens are most likely to spread, and highlight Caribbean locations that function as dispersal “gateways” that could facilitate the rapid spread of pathogens into otherwise isolated areas. Keywords: disease, lobster, Panulirus argus, physical oceanography, virus. Introduction Within the dense and stable medium of seawater, many animals have evolved complex life cycles that include a distinctive planktonic larval phase that facilitates population dispersal. Marine larvae can harness powerful currents and potentially travel long distances which led to the once widely accepted paradigm that marine populations are “open” (Roughgarden et al., 1985). However, we now know that many larvae have specializations and behaviours that limit their dispersal (Paris et al., 2007; Butler et al., 2011; Staaterman et al., 2012). These adaptations enhance the local retention of larvae (Jones et al., 1999; Paris and Cowen, 2004; Almany et al., 2007), resulting in a continuum of dispersal potentials. Although this theory was promulgated on meroplankton, the dispersal of other important ecosystem components, such as marine pathogens, may be similar but remain understudied (Harvell et al., 2004). # International Pathogens play an important role in shaping marine communities (McCallum et al., 2001), where their dispersal and spread are quite different from that of the terrestrial environment. Marine pathogens tend to spread more rapidly than in terrestrial systems (McCallum et al., 2003, 2004) and can fundamentally alter ecosystems (Harvell et al., 1999). For example, an unknown pathogen that rapidly spread around the Caribbean in the 1980s killed longspined sea urchins (Diadema antillarium) en masse, removed an important herbivore from the system, and contributed to a shift towards macroalgae-dominated reefs (Lessios et al., 1984; Lessios, 1988). Emerging diseases that afflict habitat engineers, such as corals or seagrasses, may become more prevalent as the climate shifts (Harvell et al., 1999; Ward and Lafferty, 2004) and could alter their range in tandem with their hosts. Unfortunately, the dispersal, epidemiology, and population dynamics of most marine Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2014. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i140 diseases are unknown, and many diseases are never detected (Harvell et al., 2004). Many pathogens affect both aquacultured and wild species of interest to fisheries, so understanding the dynamics of disease in both is crucial (Daszak et al., 2000). One such pathogen, the virus Panulirus argus Virus 1 (PaV1), infects the Caribbean spiny lobster P. argus (Shields and Behringer, 2004) and is found throughout much of the wider Caribbean (Moss et al., 2013). PaV1 is a large, icosahedral, non-enveloped, DNA virus, and is primarily pathogenic to juvenile lobsters (Shields and Behringer, 2004; Butler et al., 2008; Behringer et al., 2012a, b). The high mortality that juveniles suffer adds another challenge to managing this fully exploited fishery (Chavez, 2009; Ehrhardt et al., 2010). Caribbean spiny lobsters have phyllosoma larvae which have a long pelagic larval duration of 6 months or more (Goldstein et al., 2008) and thus great dispersal potential. Research using genetics (Silberman et al., 1994; Naro-Maciel et al., 2011) and biophysical modelling (Briones-Fourzan et al., 2008; Butler et al., 2011; Kough et al., 2013) suggest that the international exchange of larvae is common so that populations around the Caribbean are linked through larval transport. Likewise, strains of PaV1 from disparate countries share phenotypes (Moss et al., 2013) and some post-larvae that arrive onshore in Florida are infected with PaV1 (Moss et al., 2012), making infected larvae a potential dispersal pathway for the pathogen. Experiments testing vertical transmission from female to larvae have proven negative (Behringer and Butler, unpublished data), so the mechanism or vector of dispersal for PaV1 among distant populations remains elusive. Thus far, no PaV1-infected phyllosoma larvae have been detected in field collections (Lozano-Alvarez et al., unpublished data). However, some post-larvae collected near the Florida coast (Moss et al., 2012) and others many kilometres off of the continental shelf of the Yucatan peninsula (Lozano-Alvarez et al., unpublished data) were found subclinically infected with PaV1. Post-larval lobsters are incapable of feeding (Wolfe and Felgenhauer, 1991) and live off concentrated lipids stored during the long larval phase (Lemmens, 1994; Lemmens and Knott, 1994), so ingestion of the PaV1 pathogen by post-larvae is not a viable transmission pathway. Whether late-stage phyllosoma larvae acquire the virus through ingestion of infected prey or marine aggregates and then retain the virus after metamorphosis into post-larvae, or if only post-larvae are susceptible to infection and the virus is acquired offshore is as yet unknown. Regardless, the presence of PaV1-infected post-larvae means that the virus can potentially spread over long distances within infected, planktonic hosts. Our goal was to compare the genetic relatedness of PaV1 strains in the Caribbean (Moss et al., 2013) with modelled patterns of pathogen spread. We used biophysical Lagrangian stochastic modelling coupled to a stepping-stone model of pathogen spread to describe the probable dispersal of a waterborne pathogen compared with behaviourally adroit P. argus post-larvae in the Caribbean Sea. We tested two hypotheses for how PaV1 may be spread, as: (i) a passive waterborne particle within the top 10 m of the ocean, or (ii) a lobster post-larvae infected with PaV1. Our approach evaluates how hydrology could affect the potential spread of a marine pathogen throughout the Caribbean. Methods We used an advanced multi-scale open-source Lagrangian biophysical model of dispersal, the Connectivity Modeling System (CMS; Paris et al., 2013), to probabilistically describe Caribbean-wide connections between reef sites for 5 years, from the start of 2004 through A. S. Kough et al. the end of 2008. We then used the resulting matrices to randomly and repeatedly seed an ensemble of simulations with pathogen emergence and subsequent spread. Habitat sites We chose habitat sites containing coral reefs from those identified in the Millennium Coral Reef Mapping Project (Andréfouët et al., 2006). We overlaid an 8 × 8 km grid across the Caribbean and created 3202 sites intersecting the reef extent, following Holstein et al. (2014). Real-world spatial data do not always translate into operational hydrodynamic models, and can rest on boundaries between land and water in the model, rendering them ineffective. We removed 806 sites that were impacted by the structure of the modelling framework. Further, we restricted our simulations to sites that both exchanged and received larvae (removing another 714 sites) so that we were working with a theoretical network with no disconnected sites. The resulting 1682 habitat sites stretched across the Caribbean, from the Barbados to the northern edge of the Florida Keys (USA) reef track (Figure 1). Lagrangian tracking We coupled and nested offline operational hydrodynamic models with the CMS. More specifically, we used the 1/128 Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HyCOM) with NCODA assimilated and the 1/248 HyCOM Gulf of Mexico models (Bleck, 2002) that are publicly available and cover our study location. Both models yield daily output, resolve mesoscale eddy features, and have been widely applied to many different ocean transport scenarios. The habitat seascape and hydrodynamic models were integrated within the CMS for simulations of particle transport. We used highfrequency daily particle releases to model connectivity, corresponding to the daily windforcing of the HyCOM models (Bleck, 2002). A sensitivity analysis indicated that 100 particles released daily from each reef habitat site achieved probabilistic saturation at particle tracking times longer than those used in this study (Kough, 2014). Simulations We tested two different hypotheses on how PaV1 virions may be transported around the Caribbean: in seawater or in infected postlarvae. Our first hypothesis was that the pathogen is passively advected as a waterborne particle among habitat locations in the surface (,10 m) water layer (Waterborne simulation: WB). In the WB scenario, we used a pelagic duration of 5 d, which corresponds to laboratory estimates of how long PaV1 can be infectious in seawater (Butler and Behringer, unpublished data). Considering PaV1 virions lack a structural envelope (Shields and Behringer, 2004), they are apt to be more environmentally stable (see Satheesh Kumar et al., 2013 and references therein), which supports the possibility that PaV1 spreads in the water column itself. Unlike non-enveloped viruses such as PaV1, the lipoprotein layer that typically covers enveloped viruses and functions in host cell recognition and penetration, is fragile, and can limit their persistence. The 5 d duration in seawater that we modelled for PaV1 also fits well within the range of viabilities known for several other marine viruses. The viability of all viruses depends on environmental characteristics, particularly salinity and temperature, but the examples that follow all come from experiments that were conducted in seawater (36 psu) and under temperatures likely to be experienced by a virus in the tropical Caribbean Sea (20–338C). Some of these viruses have envelopes, such as white spot syndrome virus, a large DNA virus of decapod crustaceans that can remain viable in the Marine pathogen dispersal i141 Figure 1. Habitat map and mean pathogen spread times around the Caribbean. The habitat map (a) shows the centroids of the 8 × 8 km square coral reef habitat locations (n ¼ 1682) used in the simulations. The mean number of steps in the model (equivalent to time) for PaV1 to spread to each habitat location from random origins is shown for two scenarios: waterborne (WB; b) and post-larvae (PL; c). Colour is used to identify locations on the map and links the position of the habitat on the x-axis in the panels (b and c) of the mean pathogen spread time to a spatial location (a). The position of the habitat identified here is consistent throughout the paper. seawater for 12 d (Satheesh Kumar et al., 2013), or the viral haemorrhagic septicaemia virus, an enveloped RNA virus of fish that can remain viable in seawater for 4 d (Hawley and Garver, 2008). Other viruses such as PaV1 are non-enveloped or “naked”, such as the poliovirus, echovirus, and coxsackie virus; all are RNA mammal viruses that remain viable in seawater for 1–12 d (Fujioka et al., 1980; Labelle and Gerba, 1980; Block, 1983), 3 d (Labelle and Gerba, 1980), and 30 d (Nasser et al., 2003), respectively. Our second hypothesis was that after metamorphosis from the phyllosoma larval phase, presumably seaward of the continental shelf (McWilliam and Phillips, 2007; Phillips and McWilliam, 2009), P. argus post-larvae become infected with PaV1 and the pathogen spreads among locations during the post-larval competency period (Postlarvae simulation: PL). In the PL scenario, we used a variable pelagic duration of 5 –14 d based on estimates of the average duration (Goldstein et al., 2008) and metabolic i142 A. S. Kough et al. constraints (Wilkin and Jeffs, 2011) of the post-larval stage. For the PL, we included a daily vertical migration behaviour from the surface layer at night to depths of at least 100 m during the day as hypothesized by Phillips et al. (1978) for P. cygnus and Butler et al. (2011) for P. argus. Connectivity probability matrices M(i,j) were constructed for the WB and PL scenarios using the modelled particles that successfully arrived at a habitat site ( j) from a habitat site (i), after the pelagic duration. Particlesij Mij = . Particlesi measure of how important a habitat location is to the entire connectivity network. It was formulated by calculating how many times a given habitat location is involved in the fastest pathway of pathogen spread between any other two locations in the network. Thus, we used the time to infection as an edge weight, to assess how rapidly pathogens from one location spread throughout the system. In this context, locations in the Caribbean with the highest betweenness centrality played crucial roles in rapidly sending pathogens to other areas. Calculations were made in MATLABw using the BGL toolbox developed by Gleich (2006). Results Waterborne Stepping-stone pathogen spread model We used the probability connectivity matrices from the Lagrangian tracking simulations in a MATLABw model (Supplementary material) that seeded a randomly selected location in the Caribbean with disease and then spread the pathogen elsewhere based on either the WB or PL simulation scenario (Figure 2). The generality of the model is improved by incorporating stochasticity in the spatial origin and connectivity of the pathogen, which is pertinent for PaV1 as its origin is unknown and the probability of exchange between any two locations is likely to change from year to year based on factors such as temporal variability in the prevalence of PaV1 (Behringer et al., 2011) or changing atmospheric and oceanic conditions (e.g. ENSO, current positions and meanders, mesoscale eddy formation, etc.). Gateway habitats To evaluate how important any given habitat location is in the disease network, we considered its potential for facilitating further spread using betweenness centrality. Betweenness centrality is a In the WB scenario, the Eastern and Central Caribbean were not reached by pathogens originating in the North (Figure 3). Indeed, many regions do not exchange disease with other regions in this scenario and were isolated. This isolation delayed (i.e. more model steps and longer mean time for pathogen spread) or prevented the spread of the pathogen to other locations. Spread-time greatly increased near major oceanographic barriers: for example, near the Turks and Caicos Islands and the island of Hispanola (see Figures 1b and 3WB). The locations with the most betweenness centrality were clustered near the northwest coast of Cuba, and the northeast coast of the Yucatan (Figure 4). The connections at these sites represent a pathway for disease to spread from the Yucatan into the Northern Caribbean and would expand the network. Post-larvae The modelled pathogen spread faster throughout the Caribbean in the PL scenario than in the WB scenario, regardless of origin (see Figure 1c vs. b). The pathogen spread more widely between the Northern and the Central and Eastern Caribbean (see Figure 3PL) and spread more rapidly from the Central and Eastern Caribbean into the Northwestern Caribbean than vice versa. In both the PL and WB scenarios, the Lesser Antilles remained isolated, because it took more model steps for pathogen to spread to them or it never reached them. However, the Florida Keys took longer to receive the pathogen in the PL scenario than it did in the WB scenario (see Figure 3; the leftmost columns are darker in WB than in PL). The locations with the highest betweenness centrality in the PL scenario were next to oceanographic features such as the Windward, Mona, and Anegada passages, the Gulf of Colombia and Gulfo de los Mosquitos, the Nicaraguan Rise, and the Yucatan Channel (see Figure 4). Discussion Figure 2. A flowchart summarizing the steps in the pathogen stepping-stone simulations. A pathogen was seeded 10 000 times from a random starting location in the Caribbean. For each seeding event, the pathogen could spread between locations for 300 model steps. During each step, the probability of dispersal away from an infected location was taken from a matrix of the 5-year mean modelled particle transport specific to either a waterborne or post-larval scenario. This probability was augmented by a stochastic addition to better capture unpredictability between years. Our findings support the expected pattern of linkages among areas in the Caribbean based on well-studied oceanic circulation. The Northern, Central, and Eastern Caribbean were isolated from each other when the pathogen was waterborne and short-lived. Particles have to travel against the prevailing flow to spread from the Northern into the Central and Eastern Caribbean, so this was expected. It is unlikely that the two regions would rapidly share a disease outbreak that originated in the North, although some exchange is possible through pathways from the Greater into the Lesser Antilles and on into the gyres off of Colombia and Panama. Thus, even short-term waterborne transport could spread PaV1 through the Caribbean over long enough periods of time. However, when we modelled the pathogen travelling within an Marine pathogen dispersal i143 Figure 3. Time matrices for the Waterborne (WB) pathogen simulation (left) and Post-larval (PL) pathogen simulation (right) that show how fast the pathogen spread from one specific location (y-axis) to another specific location (x-axis). The position of habitat on both axes corresponds to previously used colour (see Figure 1a) and x-axis position (see Figure 1b and c). The shade of grey represents how many model steps it took for the pathogen to spread from one location to the next. There was no spread of disease among locations shown in white, slow spread between areas shown in lighter shades of gray, and rapid spread between areas shown in black. Figure 4. Map showing habitats that functioned as “gateways” from which the modelled pathogens spread most rapidly to other habitats. Locations denoted with white stars (waterborne scenario) and grey squares (post-larval scenario) were the areas we defined as “gateways” based on the betweenness centrality values of their pathogen spread time. These were the sites with the highest betweenness centrality (same order of magnitude) in the networks of each scenario. The prevailing surface currents in the Caribbean are shown with the dotted line, and major oceanographic features are labelled. infected post-larval host, there was considerably more exchange between the Northern and Southern Caribbean. Regardless of the pathogen transport scenario, it took more model time-steps for the pathogen to spread to the Lesser Antilles, South American Coast, and Central America. Thus, a highly virulent disease that is mainly limited by oceanographic dispersal should spread to i144 these locations last. We also identified certain locations that acted as “gateways” through which the pathogen spread rapidly among habitats. Gateways tended to be next to major currents and to other oceanographic divides. These gateways facilitated connections between localities that were otherwise isolated, and therefore are important locations to focus potential management for future epizootics. How do the two scenarios that we modelled (e.g. WB vs. PL) compare with the geographic structure of relatedness between strains of PaV1 around the Caribbean (Moss et al., 2013)? The WB scenario better captured the isolation and absence of PaV1 in the Lesser Antilles, and in the South and Central Caribbean. Yet, only the PL scenario was consistent with genetic linkages between the PaV1 virus in Panama and the Northern Caribbean (Moss et al., 2013), as it created increased exchange of the pathogen from Central and South America into the Central and Northern Caribbean. However, the number of infected lobsters found in Panama and the Southern Caribbean was low and the authors noted that they had the most diversity where they had the highest sample size (Moss et al., 2013). Still, the presence of shared variants between Central America and the Greater Antilles indicates that the dispersal method for PaV1 requires a waterborne or vectored pathogen that is viable in seawater for more than a few days. From the perspective of the pathogen, post-larvae represent an idealized method of dispersal. Post-larvae use chemical cues (Herrnkind and Butler, 1986; Goldstein and Butler, 2009) and tidal signals (Kough et al., 2014) to reach nursery habitat—an optimal location for a pathogen to reach susceptible juvenile hosts. Still, how do the non-feeding post-larvae acquire the pathogen, if they are not first infected as larvae? Early benthic juvenile lobsters are highly susceptible to PaV1 and can be readily infected through viral particles in the water column (Butler et al., 2008). Spiny lobster post-larvae come onshore during the dark phase of the lunar month with nocturnal flood tides (Acosta et al., 1997; Yeung et al., 2001), navigating from offshore using chemical, tidal, and probably other cues (Goldstein and Butler, 2009; Kough et al., 2014). Post-larvae orient towards coastal water masses, which may expose them to viral particles or other post-larvae already infected within the nursery habitat. Indeed, the model results suggest that the pathogen could spread across the Caribbean travelling within post-larvae if they remain subclinically infected and offshore for an extended time. In addition, stronger linkages between the North and South would exist and be maintained if the pathogen had origins in South or Central America. The transport of pathogens within marine aggregates is perhaps another way that coastal communities around the Caribbean may be linked. Our results in the WB scenario demonstrate that passive particle dispersal connects otherwise disparate areas, even over short time-scales. Many organisms, chemicals, and gradients are transported throughout the water column (Maddox, 2006) and drifting debris can harbour infectious pathogens (Lizarraga-Partida et al., 2011) and a diverse microbial community (Lyons et al., 2010). Marine microbial communities can transition into opportunistic pathogens that afflict plants and animals, especially in a changing ocean (Burge et al., 2013). The floating assemblages of biological materials such as mucilaginous aggregates and algae offshore of coastal communities can play an important role for larval recruitment as shelter and perhaps as a signal of nearby benthic habitat (Wells and Rooker, 2004; Goldstein and Butler, 2009). If such aggregates are used by meroplankton transitioning from the pelagic into benthic habitats, these could be locations where concentrations of A. S. Kough et al. susceptible animals come into contact with pathogens such as PaV1. Marine aggregates may also function as vessels for keeping the virus protected (e.g. from UV light) and viable (Bongiorni et al., 2007), and thus aid in pathogen transport for longer times and potentially larger distances. Our discovery of key gateways that facilitate pathogen connectivity among localities that would otherwise be isolated is meaningful for marine pathogen epidemiology and potential management of the spread of disease. The Greater Antilles have the highest PaV1 genetic diversity (Moss et al., 2013) and also contained the highest number of gateway habitats in the PL simulation scenario, supporting the contention that such locations acted as points connecting a large number of origins and destinations. In the WB scenario, the Caribbean network was split into two relatively separate areas: northwest and southeast of the prevailing current. The major gateways in the WB scenario straddled the primary pathway for linkage between these two areas and occurred at the northeastern tip of Mexico and on the west coast of Cuba. Very few gateway locations were shared between the two scenarios, although there were overlaps at the Cay Sal Bank (western Bahamas) and southeastern Cuba. The gateways in the Cay Sal Bank facilitated connections into the Bahamas and Florida, and were an important intermediary location next to the powerful Florida current. Active management of fishery activities that potentially increase pathogen prevalence or transmission (Behringer et al., 2012a, b) within gateway sites may help to forestall the spread of pathogens among regions of the Caribbean. As with any study, there are certain caveats to our results that bear mention. The time-scale of the Lagrangian modelling was 5 years, which does not encompass the full length of time since PaV1 was first detected. However, our aim was not to recreate the actual pattern of the spread of PaV1 disease, which is unknown, but to instead explore the potential way in which water- or vector-borne pathogens may transition between locations. By tying a stochastic stepping-stone model to the connectivity matrices generated by the Lagrangian particle tracking model, we added variation to simulate periodic, but important events. This construct could miss rare events that happen with a periodicity of ,5 years, but the mean connectivity measured over shorter periods is comparable to the connectivity over longer time-scales (Berglund et al., 2012). We also simulated the spread of a waterborne pathogen using only a 5 d duration, a time frame believed relevant to the PaV1 virus. The viability of many seawater-borne pathogens is poorly known, but their duration will clearly affect patterns of connectivity, as will other factors that we did not simulate (e.g. alternate hosts, dormant stages, host population dynamics, etc.). The CMS also used general ocean circulation models that best represented geostrophic flow (Bleck, 2002); the nearshore tidal and local wind-driven dynamics were not well represented in the general ocean circulation. However, we were interested in the transport through pelagic oceans that could advect a pathogen across greater distances than possible by nearshore processes. When the modelled pathogen originated in Florida in the PL scenario, it spread in a countercurrent direction similar to the well-documented invasion of the Caribbean by lionfish (Morris and Whitfield, 2009). Therefore, although the PL scenario used a shorter dispersal time than a lionfish larva, our model’s results were comparable to a known pattern of Caribbean-wide invasion. In addition, using only open-access tools, such as HyCOM and CMS, makes our work easily reproducible and accessible for other researchers to build on while investigating dispersal of other marine pathogens. Marine pathogen dispersal Although we were inspired to model pathogen dispersal by the discovery and subsequent Caribbean-wide interest in PaV1, our work is relevant to a myriad of different scenarios and organisms affected by marine pathogens. Distant pathogen dispersal could be tied into well-studied disease and ecosystem model systems (Cáceres et al., 2014; Dolan et al., 2014), therefore linking the oceanographic environment to population-based models and yielding a more comprehensive epidemiological model (McCallum et al., 2004). Indeed, considering distant dispersal in tandem with disease dynamics has better explained the outbreak of Aspergillosis in seafans throughout the Caribbean (Bruno et al., 2011) and the persistence of PaV1 in lobster populations in Florida (Dolan et al., 2014). Still, our understanding of the large-scale epidemiology of marine diseases is in its infancy and will likely require analyses that integrate physical dynamics, anthropogenic influence, and disease history so as to identify potential hotspots of marine pathogens in the world’s oceans, similar to work in terrestrial environments (Jones et al., 2008). Benthic marine ecosystems receive new recruits, and potentially pathogens, from ocean currents that unite habitat over broad spatial and temporal scales, making Lagrangian modelling an appropriate tool for examining the potential connectivity of marine diseases. Supplementary data Supplementary material is available at ICESJMS online version of the manuscript. 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Brock Woodson ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i147 –i154. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv008 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article Into a rhythm: diel activity patterns and behaviour in Mediterranean slipper lobsters, Scyllarides latus Jason S. Goldstein1,2*, Elizabeth A. Dubofsky 3, and Ehud Spanier 1 1 The Leon Recanati Institute for Maritime Studies & Department of Maritime Civilizations, The Leon H. Charney School for Marine Sciences, University of Haifa, Israel 2 Department of Biology, Eastern Connecticut State University, Willimantic, CT, USA 3 Department of Biological Sciences, New England Institute of Technology, East Greenwich, RI, USA *Corresponding author: tel: +1 603 892 7135; fax: +1 860 465 5213; e-mail: [email protected] Goldstein, J. S., Dubofsky, E. A., and Spanier, E. Into a rhythm: diel activity patterns and behaviour in Mediterranean slipper lobsters, Scyllarides latus. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i147 – i154. Received 29 August 2014; revised 2 January 2015; accepted 5 January 2015; advance access publication 30 January 2015. Although the natural history for Mediterranean slipper lobsters (Scyllarides latus) is well established, there exists a disproportionate lack of important biological and physiological data to verify many key traits, including to what extent endogenous rhythms modulate aspects of their behaviour. Although Scyllarids appear nocturnally active, few studies exist that quantify this tendency. Our overall objective was to test the hypothesis that adult slipper lobsters are nocturnal and to determine if their diel activity rhythms are under the influence of an endogenous circadian clock. In the laboratory, we exposed a total of 16 animals (CLavg ¼ 92.6 + 6.6 mm; CL, carapace length) to a 12 : 12 light : dark (LD) cycle for 7– 10 d, followed by ***constant dark (DD) for 15– 20 d. Activity was assessed using a combination of time-lapse video and accelerometers. Of a total of 16 lobsters, we analysed data from 15 (one mortality). All 15 lobsters were evaluated using video. Thirteen of these lobsters were also evaluated using accelerometers. All lobsters were more active during night-time than during daytime and synchronized their activity to the LD cycle, expressing a diel activity pattern (t ¼ 24.04 + 0.13 h). In DD, lobsters maintained a circadian rhythm with a t of 23.87 + 0.07 h. These findings may provide insight into the behaviour of these animals in their natural habitat and help explain their ability to anticipate dawn and dusk. Keywords: biological clock, circadian, endogenous rhythms, light– dark cycles, scyllaridae. Introduction In many marine crustaceans, rhythmic behaviours such as foraging, locomotion, and overall activity are often associated with the synchronization and modulation by circadian clocks (Naylor, 1988, 2005; reviewed in Arechiga et al., 1993). These rhythms are strongly influenced by environmental factors, most notably light (Arechiga and Rodriguez-Sosa, 1997; reviewed in Golombek and Rosenstein, 2010). Endogenous rhythms have been described for a variety of marine crustaceans (reviewed in Arechiga and Rodriguez-Sosa, 1997) including crabs (Palmer, 1995; Forward et al., 2003), shrimps (Adhub-Al and Naylor, 1975; Matthews et al., 1991), isopods (Bohli-Abderrazak et al., 2012), amphipods (Rossano et al., 2008), and copepods (Hough and Naylor, 1992). With respect to lobsters, there are representative studies of activity rhythms and locomotion of two general groups: spiny lobsters (e.g. Panulirus argus; Lipcius and Herrnkind, 1982, 1985) and # International clawed lobsters (e.g. Homarus americanus; Jury et al., 2005). For example, Atkinson and Naylor (1976) and Aguzzi et al. (2003, 2004) established the presence of endogenous rhythms in Norwegian lobsters, Nephrops norvegicus, and the potential alterations to these activities based on light-limiting habitats (i.e. the continental slope). Jury et al. (2005) demonstrated that American lobsters, H. americanus, were strongly influenced by an endogenous circadian clock in both racetrack and running wheel laboratory trials; however, there was large variability in this pattern. In a subsequent study, Golet et al. (2006) concluded that the variation in the expression of diel in situ activity patterns might be driven by changes in natural habitat, altering these predominantly nocturnal behaviours. Two other spiny lobster species, Jasus edwardsii and Panulirus japonicus, appear to exhibit strong, persistent rhythms (under constant conditions) and are likely under the control of an endogenous circadian clock (Williams and Dean, 1989; Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2015. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i148 Nagata and Koike, 1997). In the latter species, direct and consistent exposures to light can override the circadian clock, creating variation in locomotive activity among individuals. This phenomenon has also been shown in other marine arthropods (e.g. horseshoe crabs; Chabot et al., 2007). Therefore, while it is assumed that many lobsters possess a nocturnal bias in their overall activity, the behavioural output of these patterns can be flexible. A third and major group of lobsters, the Scyllarids (slipper lobsters), also appear nocturnally active. However, the prevalence of endogenous rhythms in slipper lobsters remains elusive (see Lavalli et al., 2007). Mediterranean slipper lobsters (Scyllarides latus) exemplify a commercially and biologically important species throughout their range. Scyllarides latus are formidable, highly mobile marine decapods that inhabit both shallow and relatively deep areas (4 – 100 m) of the Mediterranean Sea and eastern Atlantic Ocean from the mainland coasts of Portugal south to Gambia and the islands of Madeira, the Azores, and Cape Verde (Holthuis, 1991; Spanier and Lavalli, 1998). Scyllarides latus are capable of attaining sizes .100 mm carapace length (CL) and weights of 1.5 kg (Martins, 1985) and are the target of a selective, but overexploited, fishery throughout their range (reviewed in Spanier and Lavalli, 1998). Recently, this species has been listed under the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species and is designated as “data deficient” (http:// www.iucnredlist.org/details/169983/0). Although the natural history for S. latus has been largely disseminated, there remains a lack of important biological and physiological data to substantiate many key behavioural traits, including to what extent endogenous rhythms modulate locomotion and activity (Spanier and Lavalli, 1998; Pessani and Mura, 2007). Tangential studies suggest these animals display strong nocturnal behaviour indicative of an endogenous circadian rhythm (Spanier et al., 1988; Spanier and Almog-Shtayer, 1992); however, this has not been fully substantiated. Adult S. latus are found mainly on hard substrata and rocky outcroppings in coastal waters; sheltering during the day on the ceilings of highly recessed caves or crevices with minimal light (Spanier and Almog-Shtayer, 1992; Barshaw and Spanier, 1994). Some discrepancies in the display of nocturnal behaviour have been noted in laboratory settings, especially in the absence of predators, resulting in a shift toward more diurnal activity (Barshaw and Spanier, 1994). Interestingly, for the 88 species of Scyllarids known, there is only one study that has formally described endogenous rhythms. Jones (1988) provided the most detailed analysis of diel activity patterns for two shallow-water Scyllarid species (Thenus indicus and T. orientalis), which varied from diel to nocturnal behaviours under naturalistic aquarium conditions. Based on these contrasting patterns, the primary goal of the present study was to provide better resolution of the activity patterns in S. latus during LD cycles. Our hypothesis was that S. latus are nocturnal under simulated LD periods and continue to display this behaviour under constant conditions, suggestive of a circadian rhythm. We further postulate that such behaviours are adaptive and advantageous to an animal that relies on cryptic behaviour and low-light conditions to avoid predation. Our approach was to use accelerometry as a tool for quantifying the long-term activity associated with endogenous rhythms in S. latus. The use of accelerometers is becoming widespread and serves as a relatively low-cost, but highly effective method and has been employed for other species of lobsters (clawed, H. americanus, Lyons et al., 2013 and spiny, P. argus, Gutzler and Butler, 2014) and allows for the collection of large datasets that can record activity patterns and movement. We utilized time-lapse video recordings J. S. Goldstein et al. to help ground-truth the accelerometer data, as well as to observe other behaviours associated with endogenous rhythms. Materials and methods Animal acquisition and environmental conditions Adult, intermolt slipper lobsters used for this study (n ¼ 16, CLavg ¼ 94.6 + 2.0 mm; CL range ¼ 81 – 105 mm) were obtained two ways: (i) at a local fish market in in Akko (Acre, northern Israel, N 328.9331; W 358.0827) where they were caught by fishers*** using trammel nets in shallow (5–10 m) coastal areas and obtained within 24 h of capture and (ii) using SCUBA in the same vicinity. The lobsters were captured in the early summer before the migration to cooler waters offshore (Spanier and Lavalli, 1998). All lobsters were transported in coolers to the marine biological laboratory at the Leon Recanati Institute for Maritime Studies, University of Haifa where they were used in activity assays within 2 –3 weeks. Animals of both sexes (11 males and 5 females) were held communally in tanks with shelters in ambient seawater (20 –228C, 40 psu salinity) and exposed to a 12 : 12 h light : dark (LD) cycle and fed weekly a combination of bivalves (Spondylus spinosus) and limpets (Patella caerulea). Daytime light levels were produced by full-spectrum lights (Ikea Sparsam model 1230, 7 W, 45 lm/W) at an intensity of 185 + 0.64 lux (mean + standard error of the mean (s.e.m.), 5.55 mmol photons/m2/s, n ¼ 750 readings) during the day and 2.4 + 0.21 lux (0.072 mmol photons/m2/s, n ¼ 750 readings,) at night. Light levels were measured using a Vernier Labquest Mini system with light sensor (LS-BTA, Vernier Technology Co.). We determined ecologically appropriate light intensities for our holding tanks and trial simulations in a preliminary study by securing HOBO light loggers in situ (n ¼ 3, model UA0200, Onset Computer Corp., Bourne, MA, USA) to the entrances of lobster dens at a depth of 10 –15 m (close to the lobster capture site). The sensors were left for two weeks after which they were retrieved and the data downloaded. Experimental setup Two activity arenas (60 × 40 × 24 cm (L × W × H), 57L, one lobster/arena) were used for all trials and placed next to each other, separated by an opaque divider, in a light-tight, climatecontrolled room. Before each trial, lobsters were fed to satiation. Each arena included a round opaque PVC shelter (16 cm diameter) that provided shelter and shade. Tanks were fitted with a filter system (Mignon filter 60, AZOO) that allowed each tank (replicate) to run as a closed system. Full-spectrum lighting was used and temperature and light levels were maintained at levels described above. For the first 8 –10 d, lobsters in each trial were subjected to 12 : 12 LD cycles, controlled by a digital timer (Hyundai BND-50/IS8) programmed to a current exogenous sunrise –sunset schedule. All light and temperature levels were recorded using HOBO Pendant temperature–light loggers in 15-min intervals. After this initial 8 –10 d period, lobsters were exposed to constant darkness (DD) for an average of 17 + 0.63 d. During this time, infrared lighting (embedded in the camera and chosen for its minimal influence on the visual sensitivity in crustaceans, inclusive to lobsters; Bruno et al., 1977) was used to illuminate animal activity. Activity assessment using video Overall, lobster activity was recorded using a colour day–night infrared-enabled CCD camera (PC177IRHR08, SuperCircuits, Austin, TX, USA) mounted above the activity arenas. The camera i149 Slipper lobster activity output was then digitized (Canopus ADV5, Grass Valley, Hillsboro, OR, USA) and archived to a computer (Macmini, OS 10.5.6, Cupertino, CA, USA) using video capture software (Gawker, v. 0.8.4, Seattle, WA, USA) that date–time stamped and recorded the video at 24 FPS with a picture captured at each 15-s interval (240 data points per hour). A subset of videos, categorized into 1-h time blocks, were analysed using Windows Media Player Classic (v.1.2.1008). Activity was defined as forward, backward, or sideways locomotion (.2 cm) for each lobster. We also observed neutral behaviours (seen in the video and detected by the accelerometers), such as den-maintenance or antennual flicking. However, these behaviours were excluded from data analyses as they did not meet the threshold for activity, which was quantified as locomotion rather than neutral behaviours. Activity was recorded per hour by counting each minute during an hour the lobster was active. Minutes active per hour were averaged over each light and dark period (per 24-h calendar day) to give an average percentage of time active per hour. Average time active per light or dark period (per animal) were compared using a Student’s t-test. During video analysis, we also made notes of other behaviours (e.g. digging, climbing, etc.). The video data also served as a backup in the event of any issues with the accelerometers. Activity assessment using accelerometers Concurrent with the video recordings, 13 of the original 16 lobsters were fitted with an accelerometer (HOBO Pendant G, model: UA-004-64, Onset Computer Corp., Bourne, MA, USA) capable of recording and storing movement and activity over a three-axis range at a high resolution (+3G). Accelerometers were fastened to each lobster using a custom-built harness consisting of a curved platform (9.4 cm2) with two embedded cable ties. The harness was cemented, using a two-part putty-epoxy (AquaMend, Polymeric Systems Inc., Elverson, PA, USA), to the dorsal carapace of each animal and then sealed with liquid epoxy (Figure 1). This configuration allowed the loggers to be easily removed, downloaded, and re-fastened at weekly intervals with minimal disturbance to the animals. Activity data were recorded by each accelerometer every 30 s. Data were analysed to determine a threshold for activity, as the accelerometer was capable of picking up subtle Figure 1. An accelerometer unit and mounting harness cemented to the dorsal side of a Mediterranean slipper lobster, S. latus. The accelerometer was used for quantifying movement activity during both light:dark (LD) and constant dark (DD) conditions. Data were collected at 30 s intervals; the accelerometer was removed and re-attached at weekly intervals (see Methods for details). movements in lobsters (e.g. twitching and antennual waving behaviours) that we did not consider activity (see Table 1 in Barshaw and Spanier, 1994) and therefore filtered out. The accelerometer data were plotted and analysed as actograms and Lomb-Scargle periodograms (p , 0.05) using ClockLabw (MatLab, Actimetrics, Evanston, IL, USA, v. R2009a), as described in Dubofsky et al. (2013). The evaluation of peaks (10 –30 h) in the periodogram was used to determine if the animals expressed a circadian (24 h) rhythm and visual inspection of each actogram was also used to substantiate data from the periodograms. Significant differences in activity level during the day and night were determined for animals that expressed a diel rhythm in LD. Cumulative total activity (per cent active per hour during light and dark hours) was calculated for the entire trial period and analysed using a Student’s t-test. All data were analysed using JMP Pro v.11.0 (SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, NC, USA) and represented +s.e.m. unless otherwise noted. Results Of a total of 16 lobsters, we analysed data from 15 (one mortality). All 15 lobsters were evaluated using video. Thirteen of these lobsters were also evaluated using accelerometers. Due to technical difficulties, two of the replicates did not provide accelerometer data. Furthermore, we also determined if there were any sex-related behavioural differences. We used a series of t-tests to compare males (n ¼ 11) and females (n ¼ 5) for both overall activity in light (p ¼ 0.94) and dark (p ¼ 0.55) as well as periodogram data (t values, LD, p ¼ 0.37; and DD, p ¼ 0.08); no significant differences between males and females were apparent. The variable t represents the length of the activity rhythm. Video data Of the 15 lobsters for which we had video, we analysed a subset (n ¼ 6) of individuals due to time restraints. However, we felt that this was a representative sample, especially when we compared these data with those from our periodogram analyses (completed for 13 animals). During LD, lobsters were observed to be nocturnal (Figure 2) which appeared to continue as a circadian rhythm Figure 2. Average activity per hour over a 24-h period for six lobsters (S. latus) over 9.33 + 0.56 days (the entire LD period for each lobster). Data were collected via video. Over the 24 h period, we combined lobster activity into four periods: (i) 07:00–14:00, (ii) 15:00– 19:00, (iii) 20:00– 03:00, and (iv) 04:00–06:00 corresponding to daytime, sunset, night, and sunrise. The dashed vertical line “A” indicates sunrise (06:30), dashed vertical line “B” indicates sunset (18:30). Activity between all four times was significantly different (ANOVA; p , 0.001). i150 during the DD period (17 + 0.63 d, active 47% of night-time vs. 14% of daytime). Over the 24-h cycle, we combined lobster activity into four periods: (i) 07:00– 14:00, (ii) 15:00 –19:00, (iii) 20:00 –03:00, and (iv) 04:00 –06:00 corresponding to daytime, sunset, night-time, and sunrise. Activity during these times was significantly different (n ¼ 6, ANOVA; F3, 140 ¼ 116.5, MS ¼ 24710.8, p , .001, Figure 2). Additionally, lobsters displayed markedly different activity levels between any of the given four periods (Tukey HSD; q ¼ 2.60, p , 0.02, a ¼ 0.05, Figure 2). For example, between the hours of 20:00 and 03:00 lobsters were more active (mean ¼ 56.1 + 2.6%) compared with activity between 07:00 and 14:00 (mean ¼ 2.6 + 2.1%). In addition to forward, backward, or sideways locomotion, we noted a variety of other activities, including grooming, waving (slow repetitive rocking movements), and antennual flicking (see Supplementary Video, Barshaw and Spanier, 1994, Table 1). These neutral behaviours also appeared to increase in frequency as sunset approached and decreased before sunrise (see Supplementary Video). When comparing video and accelerometer activity data, we found no significant difference between the two methods of collecting activity data (Pearson’s correlation, p , 0.0001, R2adj = 0.898, Figure 3). Accelerometer data All 13 lobsters expressed a diel rhythm of activity when exposed to a LD cycle (t ¼ 23.96 + 0.318 h, Figure 4). In addition, 12 of the 13 lobsters displayed significantly more activity at night during the LD cycle (t-test, d.f. ¼ 11, 7, p ≤ 0.01, Figure 5). The remaining lobster still showed a circadian trend (t ¼ 24.75 h, actogram not shown); however, this animal appeared to express an increased level of activity during the day. Overall, lobsters were active 59.05 + 1.37% per hour at night vs. 40.35 + 1.56% per hour during the day. In constant conditions (DD), all lobsters expressed a circadian rhythm of activity (t ¼ 23.85 + 0.134 h, Figure 4). J. S. Goldstein et al. Because their endogenous rhythms were shorter than 24 h, lobsters became active earlier with each consecutive day in DD (Figure 4). Discussion Our results provide the first evidence that the diel rhythm of activity in Mediterranean slipper lobsters, S. latus, is controlled by an endogenous clock (Figure 4). After synchronizing their activity patterns to an imposed LD cycle, these lobsters continued to express the same activity pattern in constant conditions, maintaining a circadian rhythm for the duration of the trial (Figures 4 and 5). Few studies have examined diel activity patterns in Scyllarid lobsters despite their economic and ecological importance throughout their range (Lavalli et al., 2007). Jones (1988) has provided the only other detailed analysis of diel activity patterns for Scyllarid species (T. indicus and T. orientalis). Interestingly, our study animals demonstrated more activity during the day than expected, some of which was associated with grooming and den-maintenance behaviours. Both evaluative methods (video and accelerometer) showed a baseline of activity along with neutral movements during the day, but were significantly different from activity at night (Figures 2 and 5). Our goal was to examine activity rhythms in both LD and DD without the influence of any other exogenous cues (e.g. predators, chemical cues, etc.) besides light. Although other laboratory studies suggest the shifting of S. latus to a diurnal rhythm when predators are not encountered (Barshaw and Spanier, 1994), we did not see this kind of behaviour. Our trials were focused on assessing individual activity patterns despite the propensity of this species to cohabitate with conspecifics. Previous studies of group behaviour may have different outcomes (Barshaw and Spanier, 1994), accounting for results that may differ from this study. In daytime field surveys by Spanier and Almog-Shtayer (1992), .50% of lobsters censused were found in dens or artificial reefs cohabitating with conspecifics. The influence of conspecifics and predators and their effects on circadian rhythms is still not well understood. Figure 3. A methodological comparison between lobster (S. latus) activity measured using accelerometry and video analysis. The relationship between video and accelerometer data for an individual lobster over the entire testing period. There was no significant difference between the two methods of collecting activity data (Pearson’s correlation, p , 0.0001). R2adj = 0.898 (Video ¼ 22.115246 + 0.9779221*Accel). Slipper lobster activity i151 Figure 4. Characteristic locomotor activity recorded from two Mediterranean slipper lobsters (S. latus) during LD and DD periods of the study. Both animals showed a nocturnal pattern of activity including drifting during periods of DD. Each lobster was exposed to an imposed LD followed by DD, as indicated on left side of the figure. (a) LD ¼ 9 days, DD ¼ 16 days; (b) LD ¼ 10 days, DD ¼ 16 days. The imposed LD cycle is indicated at the top of the image; dark portions indicate night-time. Images on the left are double-plotted actograms, with periods of activity indicated by vertical black lines. Horizontal scale is time of day (hours) and activity is indicated in metre per second squared. Images on the right are Lomb-Scargle periodograms for the same animal during one of the two treatments (LD top, DD bottom). Vertical scale is the relative strength of rhythmicity (Q(p)); the horizontal scale is the period in hours (5 – 30); the largest peak above the horizontal line of significance (p , 0.05) is indicated by a numerical value. Circadian rhythms are driven by internal biological clocks that have a period of 24 h, allowing animals to anticipate sunset and sunrise and, as a result, modulate changes in their behaviour or physiology (Naylor, 2005; Kronfeld-Schor et al., 2013). Circadian clocks are typically entrained by external stimuli (light); however, they tend to persist in the absence of external cues. In the present study, we observed a noticeable increase of activity in our lobsters before sunset and an opposing decline in activity just before sunrise (Figure 2). Adaptation to light Scyllarides latus appear highly adapted to living in low-light environments and it is well known that these animals are found in dimly lit conditions, taking refuge in crevices and rocky outcrops along coastal ridges (Spanier and Almog-Shtayer, 1992). Despite our simulated light levels being 5 –10% stronger than what we measured in situ, all our animals exhibited a strong endogenous rhythm. How these lobsters sense and react to changes in light levels is not well known, although recent work by Lau et al. (2009) determined S. latus possess “superposition optics” (i.e. sensitivity to a light source affected by the number of facets by which light is collected and focused in the random) with respect to their vision that allows for a balance between optimal sensitivity and acuity. This optical mechanism is specifically adapted to dimly lit environments, and it is theorized that organisms equipped with superposition optics are excellent candidates for circadian rhythms (Lau et al., 2009). We surmise that, like other nocturnal marine crustaceans, there is an increase in visual sensitivity that assists in prey i152 Figure 5. Comparison of average activity and light levels over 5 d for one lobster, S. latus (CL ¼ 87 mm). Activity was recorded every 30 s via accelerometer. Average activity was calculated by summing the two activity readings per minute then averaging the sum per minute over five consecutive days. Activity per hour at night averaged 59.05 + 1.37% and was significantly different from daytime activity per hour (40.35 + 1.56%, p , 0.01). Light levels were recorded every 15 min (light sensor) and ranged from 0 to 350 lx (0–10.5 mmol photons/m2/s). Overall, activity levels increased dramatically as light levels decreased. capture or predator avoidance (Meyer-Rochow, 2001), which would be advantageous for lobsters like S. latus in their natural habitat. Furthermore, it is proposed that the synchronization of circadian rhythms through visual inputs provides an enhanced level of protection aiding in other activities (Meury and Gibson, 1990; Pizzatto et al., 2008; Lee, 2010). Future work to assess the visual sensitivity of S. latus in relation to their activity (e.g. ERG assay, Watson et al., 2008) and examining the role of circadian clocks would serve as a useful follow-up to this study. Although the lobsters used in these trials were all obtained from relatively shallow locations (10 –15 m), Mediterranean slipper lobsters are distributed throughout a gradient of depths, including areas of the continental slope .50 m. It is not known how S. latus obtained from greater depths might respond to LD cycles given the more weakened light intensities to which they are accustomed. Norwegian lobsters (N. norvegicus) are known to entrain to circadian rhythms (Aguzzi and Sarda, 2008) and have also been shown to vary their burrow emergence rates between dusk and dawn (Sbragaglia et al., 2013). However in lab-based trials, exposure to varying light intensities (representative of depths from slope to shelf waters, 10– 400 m), resulted in the lobsters switching from nocturnal to diel activity. This suggests that light intensity and composition help to modulate a “behavioural temporal niche” (Chiesa et al., 2010). Behavioural adaptations Endogenous clocks in mobile but cryptic species, such as S. latus, provide a selective advantage by enabling them to anticipate environmental change and return to their den before the onset of unfavourable conditions (Naylor, 1988, 2005). It is proposed that, like spiny (Lipcius and Herrnkind, 1982) and clawed (Karnofsky et al., 1989) lobsters, S. latus forage exclusively at night to reduce their encounter with diurnally active predators, including triggerfish and grouper (Martins, 1985; Barshaw and Spanier, 1994). Maintaining strong, consistent locomotor rhythms is an adaptive J. S. Goldstein et al. trait to maximize foraging and predator avoidance. Because S. latus predominately reside in low-light habitats, possessing an endogenous rhythm is essential to regulate optimal times for foraging vs. sheltering. The capacity to alter endogenous clocks has been shown in a variety of organisms and the timing and type of change depends on the circumstances that modify the existing rhythm. For example, age may cause cane toads (Bufo marinus) to switch from a nocturnal to a diel pattern of activity (Pizzatto et al., 2008) while amphipods (Orchestoidea tuberculata) make a transition from a nocturnal to a crepuscular pattern of activity (Kennedy et al., 2000). Both of these organisms alter activity rhythms to avoid predation, especially by adult conspecifics. These patterns are noticeable in some lobsters as well, for example, ovigerous N. norvegicus (when compared with non-ovigerous females) appear to decrease their range and duration of emergence from dens (Aguzzi et al., 2007). Ontogenetic changes in the rhythms of S. latus are not known. However, seasonal movements of coastal populations (Martins, 1985; Spanier et al., 1988) suggest that modifications in activity may originate from physiological, neurological, or metabolic changes as opposed to endogenous clocks (Roenneberg and Merrow, 2002; Helm et al., 2013). The initiation and environmental trigger(s) responsible for these seasonally-induced movements are unknown, but are theorized to include changes in temperature as well as photoperiod (Spanier et al., 1988; Spanier and Lavalli, 1998), similar to what is observed in spiny lobsters (Herrnkind, 1983). Alternatively, circannual clocks may serve as the mechanism behind changes in temporal and spatial distributions as is evident in other species such as migratory birds (Gwinner, 1996). We collected and tested for evidence of circadian rhythms in S. latus over nonmigratory periods and purposefully used lobsters of intermolt phase to avoid potential biases. However, it would be of interest to investigate circannual rhythms and their zeitgebers that may be associated with migration, molting, or mating. The establishment of a circadian rhythm in Mediterranean slipper lobsters is an important descriptor of behaviour in this species. Our results may be useful for investigating the timing of biological processes, seasonal migrations, and responses to changing environmental conditions due to global climate change. Supplementary data Supplementary material is available at the ICESJMS online version of the manuscript. Acknowledgements This manuscript was submitted as a contribution to the Proceedings of the 10th International Conference and Workshop on Lobster Biology and Management, held in Cancun, Mexico, May 2014. We sincerely thank J.J. Gottlieb, Mia Elsar, and Joseph Pacheco for their help with husbandry, maintenance, and video analyses throughout this study. We thank Rachael Pollack for her illustration of Figure 1. We are also grateful to Amir Yurman and Eyal Miller for their assistance in finding and collecting live lobsters in the field. A special thanks to Rebecca Kibler and Win Watson for helpful edits and comments that improved this manuscript. 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Handling editor: Howard Browman ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i155 –i163. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsu219 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article Aggressive behaviour of spotted spiny lobsters (Panulirus guttatus) in different social contexts: the influence of sex, size, and missing limbs Patricia Briones-Fourzán*, Roberto Domı́nguez-Gallegos, and Enrique Lozano-Álvarez Instituto de Ciencias del Mar y Limnologı́a, Unidad Académica de Sistemas Arrecifales, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Puerto Morelos, Quintana Roo 77580, Mexico *Corresponding author: tel: +52 998 8710009; fax: +52 998 8710138; e-mail: [email protected] Briones-Fourzán, P., Domı́nguez-Gallegos, R., and Lozano-Álvarez, E. Aggressive behaviour of spotted spiny lobsters (Panulirus guttatus) in different social contexts: the influence of sex, size, and missing limbs. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i155 –i163. Received 14 August 2014; revised 31 October 2014; accepted 3 November 2014; advance access publication 26 November 2014. Panulirus guttatus is a sedentary spiny lobster that exhibits cryptic behaviour and a low degree of gregariousness. Because these lobsters are obligate coral reef-dwellers and avoid sandy expanses, they are potentially distributed in relatively small, discrete populations with variable social contexts, which can strongly influence the expression of aggression. The present study examined the relative importance of sex, size, and the number of missing limbs in the shelter-related aggressive behaviour of replicated groups of four lobsters that differed in social context (i.e. same-sex and mixed-sex groups). Each group was held in a seawater tank with a single artificial cave-like shelter. The interior of the cave was video-recorded for 72 h and the number of aggressions performed by each individual was quantified in a 10-min segment of video per hour. Most aggressions were related to occupancy of the shelter inner space and tended to end when individuals were sufficiently spaced out. In general, per-capita rates of aggression were higher at night and size was an important predictor of aggressiveness among individuals of the same sex. Males were substantially more aggressive than females, but the number of missing limbs significantly impacted the degree of aggressiveness in males. In mixed-sex groups, fewer aggressions occurred when the largest individual was a male than when it was a female, suggesting that it may take longer for smaller males to assert themselves. Our results provide insights into some potential consequences of increase in fishing pressure and loss of habitat complexity in Caribbean reefs for the social behaviour and population dynamics of these lobsters. Keywords: aggression, agonistic interactions, Caribbean coral reefs, social behaviour, social context, spiny lobsters. Introduction In many animal systems, aggressive behaviour is an important component of agonistic and social behaviour that includes actual attacks or any threats of attack (Huber and Kravitz, 2010). Although aggression and dominance are not necessarily correlated (Hand, 1986; Drews, 1993), large crustacean males are typically more aggressive and tend to dominate smaller conspecifics, often monopolizing resources such as food, mates, or shelter (Lee and Fielder, 1983; Thorpe et al., 1994; Edsman and Jonsson, 1996; Beattie et al., 2012). In clawed decapods (e.g. crabs, crayfish, and clawed lobsters), the claws constitute potentially deadly weapons and hence agonistic interactions involve ritualized displays that serve as tests of strength rather than actual attacks (Neil, 1985; # International Huber and Kravitz, 1995; Davis and Huber, 2007). In contrast, in the clawless spiny lobsters (Decapoda: Achelata: Palinuridae), ritualized threat behaviours have not evolved and agonistic behaviour can involve a great deal of contact and struggle, but is less likely to result in injury or death (Atema and Cobb, 1980; Cobb, 1981). Spiny lobsters are large, nocturnally active crustaceans that depend on available structured shelter to hide from predators. Spiny lobsters exhibit gregarious sheltering, a behaviour mediated by conspecific chemical communication (Childress, 2007). Although the degree of gregariousness varies with species, even in highly gregarious species individuals can behave aggressively towards conspecifics attempting to share shelters and may form dominance hierarchies Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2014. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i156 that determine their position within the shelter (Fielder, 1965; Berrill, 1976; McKoy, 1979; Cobb, 1981; Shabani et al., 2009). Panulirus guttatus, the Caribbean spotted spiny lobster, is a relatively small, coral reef-obligate palinurid (Sharp et al., 1997). Individuals of P. guttatus have a limited home range (Lozano-Álvarez et al., 2002; Negrete-Soto et al., 2002) and hide deeply in reef crevices from which they emerge only for brief periods at night to forage on the reef itself (Wynne and Côté, 2007). Although P. guttatus lobsters are attracted to conspecific odours, especially when reproductive activity is high (Briones-Fourzán and Lozano-Álvarez, 2005), they exhibit a low propensity to aggregate, and when multiple individuals co-occupy a reef crevice, they tend to space out in separate cavities or locations within the crevice (Childress, 2007; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2013). Similarly, in a laboratory setting using artificial cave-like shelters, large males aggressively displaced smaller individuals or evicted them altogether from the cave, but aggressions subsided once each lobster secured a separate location within the cave (Lozano-Álvarez and Briones-Fourzán, 2001; Segura-Garcı́a et al., 2004). This spacing behaviour of P. guttatus contrasts with other spiny lobsters, wherein individuals sharing crevices typically maintain close contact with each other. Therefore, the distribution of P. guttatus lobsters over the reef habitat is modulated by a complex interplay between chemical attraction and aggressive behaviour (Briones-Fourzán and Lozano-Álvarez, 2005). Although large males of P. guttatus are generally more aggressive than smaller conspecifics (Lozano-Álvarez and Briones-Fourzán, 2001; Segura-Garcı́a et al., 2004), this does not imply that large males should dominate all agonistic encounters because all individuals, irrespective of sex and size, have the potential to express aggression and the observed aggressiveness is a circumstantial product of the cost/benefit ratio of using it (Drews, 1993; Huber and Kravitz, 2010). Moreover, aggressiveness can be strongly influenced by social context (Karnofsky et al., 1989; Graham and Herberholz, 2009; Beattie et al., 2012), which is particularly relevant to P. guttatus because these lobsters are restricted to a highly patchy habitat and hence potentially distributed in fragmented populations with variable social contexts (Sharp et al. 1997; Negrete-Soto et al., 2002; Robertson and Butler, 2009; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2013). Given the great amount of time that P. guttatus lobsters spend sheltered, we examined in the laboratory the influence of social context (i.e. same-sex and mixed-sex groups) on their shelter-related aggressive behaviour. In particular, we were interested in determining the effect of social context on the rate of aggression, whether individual traits affect aggressiveness of lobsters in a given social context, and whether there is a significantly more aggressive individual in every lobster group irrespective of social context. Following the observations of Lozano-Álvarez and Briones-Fourzán (2001) and Segura-Garcı́a et al. (2004), we predicted that the rate of aggression would be significantly affected by social context, with males exhibiting higher levels of aggressiveness than females, but that the largest individuals would exhibit a higher degree of aggressiveness regardless of social context. Material and methods Lobster collection and holding Lobsters were collected from the Puerto Morelos coral reef (eastern margin of the Yucatan peninsula, Mexico), put into a seawater container in a boat and transported to our laboratory, located at Puerto Morelos (20852.1′ N, 86852.1′ W), within an hour of collection. Lobsters were allowed to acclimate for up to 8 d in large P. Briones-Fourzán et al. tanks fitted with plenty of individual shelters to reduce the probability of shelter-related fights. The shelters were segments of PVC pipe sealed on one end, both to make them darker and to allow the lobsters to fully retreat into them (Briones-Fourzán and Lozano-Álvarez, 2005). The holding tanks (and the experimental units mentioned below) received seawater from the Puerto Morelos reef lagoon via an open-flow system and were in the open but under a translucent shade and hence subject to ambient light. During the holding period, lobsters were fed ad libitum every other day with frozen crabs and mussels, previously thawed. All experimental lobsters were adults. Experimental design The experimental units were three fibreglass tanks (2 m in diameter and 0.9 m in depth, with 2500 l of seawater), each containing a single artificial shelter in the form of a cave with two low entrances. The cave was constructed with an inverted plastic trash bin measuring 0.45 m in diameter and 0.75 m in height with the rim weighed to increase stability. Because P. guttatus lobsters tend to cling to the walls or ceiling of reef crevices, the interior of the cave was lined with wire mesh slightly separated from the walls to provide gripping surface for the lobsters. The mesh reduced the inner height of the cave to 0.50 m. The top of the cave had two holes. One hole held a surveillance video camera (Sony CC-2) encased in an underwater Plexiglas housing (Ikelite 5210). The other hole held an underwater lamp that produced a dim red light that provided sufficient illumination for nocturnal recordings of the behaviour of lobsters inside the cave without disturbing the lobsters (Weiss et al., 2006). Although this shelter design is rather crude, it provides important den requirements for P. guttatus [height, gripping surface, and darkness, see Lozano-Álvarez and Briones-Fourzán (2001)] while allowing the unhindered video-recording of all lobsters in its interior (Segura-Garcı́a et al., 2004; Weiss et al., 2006). Lobsters were distinctively marked with strips of reflecting tape glued to the carapace to provide individual recognition. The experiment consisted of four treatments that differed in social context and relative size of lobsters. The treatments denoted 2MF and 2FM consisted of mixed-sex groups (two males and two females of varied sizes), but in treatment 2MF the males were larger than the females, whereas in treatment 2FM one of the females was at least 5 mm carapace length (CL) larger than the largest male. The treatments denoted 4M and 4F were same-sex groups consisting of either four males (4M) or four females (4F) of varied sizes. Each treatment was replicated three times. The experiment was conducted over winter–spring of 2003, but due to the limited number of experimental units, the treatments were not run simultaneously (Table 1). To ensure that no lobster odours remained between treatments, at the end of each treatment all shelters were extracted from the tanks, brushed, rinsed, and sun dried, and the tanks were drained and thoroughly brushed. Table 1. Dates and relevant characteristics of experimental periods for each treatment. Water temperature Treatment Dates Sunrise (h) Sunset (h) (88 C, mean + SD) 2MF 04 –06 December 06:10 17:05 25.0 + 1.9 4M 21 –23 April 05:22 18:09 26.1 + 1.0 4F 28 –30 April 05:17 18:11 28.0 + 0.6 2FM 09 –11 June 06:05 19:29 27.8 + 0.6 i157 Behaviour of lobsters in different social contexts To avoid the potentially confounding effects of moult cycle and prior residence on aggressive behaviour (Atema and Cobb, 1980; Lipcius and Herrnkind, 1982; Peeke et al., 1998), we used exclusively lobsters in intermoult as determined through microscopic observation of the tip of a pleopod (Lyle and MacDonald, 1983), and introduced the four lobsters in each group into the corresponding tank at the same time. All lobsters quickly took shelter in the cave, which was sufficiently large so as to loosely accommodate the entire group. Also, to avoid potential competition for food, which can occur among lobsters in captivity (Thomas et al., 2003), lobsters were not fed for the duration of the experiment (72 h, see below). However, upon collection many lobsters were missing one or more limbs and several females were ovigerous (Table 2), as individual females of P. guttatus produce multiple clutches per year (Negrete-Soto et al., 2002). Although inclusion of these factors was not contemplated originally, we included them a posteriori because aggressive behaviour can be affected by the lack of limbs (Juanes and Smith, 1995; Edsman and Jonsson, 1996) and, in females, by reproductive state (i.e. ovigerous vs. nonovigerous; Figler et al., 1995; Mello et al., 1999). After the lobsters acclimated to the experimental tanks for 24 h, the inside of the caves was continuously recorded for 72 h starting at 00:00 h of Day 1. A multiplexor (Panasonic WJ-FS216) allowed the simultaneous recording of the interior of the three caves on a timelapse video recorder (Sony SVT-L400). We randomly chose 10 min from each hour of recording (one 5-min segment per each halfhour) to quantify the number of aggressions performed by each lobster (Martin and Bateson, 1993). Aggressions are defined as those offensive behaviours (i.e. attacks or threats) that elicit avoidance or escape behaviours in the opponent (Edwards and Herberholz, 2005; Table 3). All lobsters were used in one treatment only and were released back to the coral reef habitat at the end of the treatments. Table 2. Summary of data for lobsters used in experiment. Replicate Treatment unit 2MF A B C 4M B C 4F A B C Data analyses We were interested in determining (i) the effect of social context (treatment) and time of day (i.e. night vs. day) on the per-capita rate of aggression (i.e. aggressions per hour per individual, Johnson et al., 2004), (ii) whether individual traits (size, sex, number of missing limbs, and reproductive state) affected aggressiveness of individuals in a given social context, and (iii) whether irrespective of social context there was a significantly more aggressive individual in every group. We did a factorial general linear model to examine the effects of social context (four levels corresponding to the four treatments) and time of day (two levels: day and night) on the per-capita rate of aggression (aggressions per individual per hour, Johnson et al., 2004; response variable). We included time of day as a fixed factor because agonistic encounters tend to increase with the level of activity (Capelli and Hamilton, 1984), which for P. guttatus is substantially higher during the night (Lozano-Álvarez and BrionesFourzán, 2001). For every treatment, we averaged the data from each unit across the night (from the hour of sunset to the hour of sunrise) and the day (from 1 h after sunrise to 1 h before sunset). Before analysis, the data were transformed to ln (no. of aggressions +1) to increase homogeneity of variances as assessed with Levene’s tests. For significant effects, differences in means were assessed with Tukey’s HSD post hoc test for unequal sample sizes. To examine whether individual traits (sex, size, number of missing limbs, and reproductive state) affected aggressiveness of lobsters in a given social context, we used a series of general A 2FM A B C Lobster ID (sex and no.) M1 M2 F3 F4 M1 M2 F3 F4 M1 M2 F3 F4 M1 M2 M3 M4 M1 M2 M3 M4 M1 M2 M3 M4 F1 F2 F3 F4 F1 F2 F3 F4 F1 F2 F3 F4 F1 M2 M3 F4 F1 M2 M3 F4 F1 M2 M3 F4 CL (mm) 71.4 69.0 53.3 50.0 61.0 58.0 56.0 54.5 63.2 59.7 43.7 40.8 75.0 61.7 59.4 43.0 75.2 60.7 47.0 40.9 68.5 64.7 59.0 51.4 60.5 52.3 50.0 42.8 56.2 55.0 53.0 49.0 61.2 47.3 45.8 41.9 55.9 50.7 45.0 45.7 60.4 53.4 53.0 48.2 55.0 49.0 44.0 40.3 No. of missing limbs 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 0 1 1 3 1 2 3 5 1 2 0 1 3 2 1 2 1 0 4 3 0 1 2 1 1 2 2 0 0 0 4 1 1 0 1 2 1 1 0 Reproductive state Non-ovigerous Non-ovigerous Non-ovigerous Ovigerous Non-ovigerous Non-ovigerous Non-ovigerous Ovigerous Ovigerous Ovigerous Non-ovigerous Non-ovigerous Non-ovigerous Non-ovigerous Ovigerous Ovigerous Ovigerous Non-ovigerous Ovigerous Ovigerous Non-ovigerous Ovigerous Ovigerous Non-ovigerous M, male; F, female; CL, carapace length. regression analyses. In all models, the dependent variable was the total number of aggressions performed by each individual throughout the experimental period, but the independent variables differed with social context. Thus, for the all-male context, we subjected the data from treatment 4M to a multiple regression analysis with male size and the number of missing limbs as continuous predictors. For the all-female context, we subjected the data from treatment 4F to an ANCOVA with reproductive state as a categorical factor (two levels: ovigerous and non-ovigerous), and female size and number of missing limbs as covariates. To examine the effect of sex in a i158 P. Briones-Fourzán et al. Table 3. Behaviours performed by lobsters involved in aggressive encounters [after Atema and Cobb (1980); Cobb (1981); Segura-Garcı́a et al. (2004)]. Behaviour Attack or threat Antenna point Description Direction of one or both antennae towards another lobster. Approach Movement towards another lobster (forwards, backwards, and sideways). Clasp To straddle another lobster and hug it using all pereopods. Chase Rapid approach towards a retreating animal. Fight Prolonged and intense aggressive contact. Frontal Two lobsters face to face in a high posture and with approach abdomens tucked. Grasp To reach out with pereopods, grab and hold onto part of another lobster. Probe Active probing or poking at another lobster with one or more pereopods. Push Body thrust at another lobster, resulting in its displacement. Rush Rapid approach, often with first two or three pairs of pereopods raised. Escape or avoidance Avoid Alteration of direction of motion, or reorientation of body because of an action by another lobster. Crouch To lower body so that ventral surface touches or almost touches the substrate. Flee Rapid movement away from another lobster. Tail flip Backward withdrawal by the abdomen flex escape response. Walk away Retreat from another lobster (backward, sideward, or forward). mixed-sex context, we pooled the data from treatments 2MF and 2FM. Pooling the data from different treatments is not warranted, but we did this to increase the sample size to do an ANCOVA with sex as a categorical factor and size and the number of missing limbs as covariates. Before all analyses, the size data were ln-transformed, and the dependent variable was transformed to ln (no. of aggressions +1) to increase homogeneity of variances. Finally, we used goodness-of-fit x 2 analyses to test the null hypothesis that all four lobsters in each experimental unit of a given treatment were equally aggressive. If the test was significant, we then proceeded with subdivided x 2 analyses (Zar, 1999) to determine whether or not there was a significantly more aggressive individual in that unit and interpreted the results based on individual traits and the corresponding social context. Results Time of day and aggressiveness The per-capita rate of aggression (mean + SE) varied significantly with time of day (night: 1.05 + 0.11 aggressions h21; day: 0.53 + 0.06 aggressions h21; F1, 226 ¼ 20.456, p , 0.001) and treatment, with higher values in treatments 4M and 2FM (1.03 + 0.12 and 0.98 + 0.15 aggressions h21, respectively) than in treatments 4F and 2MF (0.51 + 0.08 and 0.42 + 0.09 aggressions h21, respectively; F3, 226 ¼ 7.984, p , 0.001). However, the interaction termwas also significant (F3, 226 ¼ 4.204, p ¼ 0.006), indicating that the effect of time of day on aggressiveness varied with social context. Indeed, only in treatments 2MF and 2FM was the per-capita rate of aggression Figure 1. Night (filled circles) vs. day (open circles) per-capita rate of aggression (no. of aggressions per individual per hour) in groups of four P. guttatus held in different social contexts (treatments): 2MF, two males and two females and the males were larger than the females; 2FM, two males and two females but the largest individual was a female; 4M, four males of different sizes; 4F: four females of different sizes. Error bars denote 95% confidence interval. Different letters indicate statistically different groups (treatment × day/night interaction). significantly higher at night than during the day (Figure 1). In treatments 4M and 4F, in contrast, the rate of aggression did not differ significantly between night and day, but was higher for both periods in treatment 4M relative to treatment 4F (Figure 1). Effects of individual traits and social context on aggressive behaviour The regression model for the data from lobsters in an all-male context (treatment 4M) was significant (R2adj = 0.449; F2, 9 ¼ 5.484, p ¼ 0.028). Partial correlations revealed that the number of aggressions performed by individual males increased with size (b ¼ 0.626, SE ¼ 0.253, t ¼ 2.477, p ¼ 0.035; Figure 2a), but decreased with an increasing number of missing limbs (b ¼2 0.783, SE ¼ 0.253, t ¼ 3.097, p ¼ 0.013; Figure 2b). In contrast, the regression model for the data from lobsters in an all-female context (treatment 4F) was not significant (R2adj = 0.327; F3, 8 ¼ 2.780, p ¼ 0.110), although partial correlations showed that the number of aggressions performed by individual females also increased with size (b ¼ 0.685, SE ¼ 0.273, t ¼ 2.507, p ¼ 0.036; Figure 2c), but had no apparent relationship with either the number of missing limbs (b ¼ 2 0.091, SE ¼ 0.267, t ¼2 0.341, p ¼ 0.741; Figure 2d) or maternal condition (b ¼ 2 0.042, SE ¼ 0.257, t ¼2 0.162, p ¼ 0.875). The regression model for the data from the mixed-sex context was significant (R2adj = 0.290; F3, 20 ¼ 4.134, p ¼ 0.0197). Partial correlations showed that neither the number of missing limbs (b ¼ 0.137, SE ¼ 0.180, t ¼ 0.761, p ¼ 0.455) nor size (b ¼ 0.047, SE ¼ 0.190, t ¼ 0.246, p ¼ 0.808) had a significant effect on the number of aggressions, which was expected due to the difference in relative size of males and females between treatments 2MF and 2FM. However, sex did have a significant effect on the number of aggressions (b ¼ 0.611, SE ¼ 0.191, t ¼ 3.204, p ¼ 0.004), with males performing, on average, four times as many aggressions (15.92 + 4.79 aggressions lobster21) as females (3.67 + 1.09 aggressions lobster21). Was there a more aggressive individual in each group? In all three replicate units (denoted A, B, and C) of all treatments, the number of aggressions varied significantly among individuals i159 Behaviour of lobsters in different social contexts Figure 2. Partial residual plots for (a and c) carapace length, CL (ln-transformed) and (b and d) number of missing limbs vs. total number of aggressions performed by (a and b) individual males of P. guttatus held in an all-male context (treatment 4M, black dots), and (c and d) individual females held in an all-female context (treatment 4F, white dots). Dotted lines are 95% confidence interval. Plots for treatment 4M were obtained from a general regression model (GRM) evaluating the effects of both covariates on the number of aggressions performed by each male. Plots for treatment 4F were obtained from a GRM evaluating the effects of size, number of missing limbs, and reproductive state on the total number of aggressions performed by each female. The effects on the number of missing limbs and reproductive state were not significant. (x 2 tests, all p-values ,0.001), except in unit A of treatment 4F (x23 = 3.514, p ¼ 0.173). Subdivided x 2analyses revealed that, in treatments 2MF and 4M, there was a clearly more aggressive individual in each unit, whereas in treatments 4F and 2FM there was wide variability among units. In all units of treatment 2MF, the most aggressive individual was the largest male (Figure 3a). In treatment 4M, it was the largest male in unit C, but the second largest male in units A and B (Figure 3b). However, the second largest males in units A and B were missing one limb each, whereas the largest males were missing three and five limbs, respectively, and were not observed performing aggressions (Figure 3b). In treatment 4F, all four females in unit A exhibited a similar, relatively low level of aggressiveness, but the most aggressive individual in unit C was the largest female and in unit B it was the second largest female (Figure 3c). In treatment 2FM, despite the largest individual in all units being a female, the more aggressive individual in unit A was the largest male, whereas the two males in unit B exhibited a similar level of aggressiveness, higher than that of both females. In contrast, in unit C, the two males and the largest female performed a similar number of aggressions (Figure 3d). Discussion Our results provide further insights into the shelter-related aggressive behaviour of P. guttatus lobsters in different social contexts. Aggressions were generally of low intensity, with only occasional bouts of strong intensity. Males exhibited a higher level of aggressiveness than females, but the number of missing limbs significantly impacted the degree of aggressiveness in males, and size was an important predictor of aggressiveness among individuals of the same sex. Because the treatments were not run concurrently, there is some possibility that the results may be related with the sequence in which the treatments were run. However, Lipcius and Herrnkind (1987) found that photoperiod and temperature did not significantly influence levels of aggression in Panulirus argus, a species that co-occurs with P. guttatus, probably because aggression is expressed in many activities that tropical spiny lobsters perform year-round (e.g. territorial disputes and reproductive activities; Berry, 1970; Lipcius and Herrnkind, 1982). Consistent with previous studies on P. guttatus (Lozano-Álvarez and Briones-Fourzán, 2001; Segura-Garcı́a et al., 2004), most aggressions were related to the occupancy of the shelter space i160 P. Briones-Fourzán et al. Figure 3. Percentage of the total number of aggressions performed by each lobster (n ¼ 4) in each replicate unit (a, b and c) per treatment. Numbers in parentheses on the x-axes are the total number of aggressions recorded in that unit. Numbers above columns denote the number of limbs that each lobster was missing. In the graph legends, F is female, M is male, and the numbers 1 – 4 indicate the size of lobsters in a decreasing order (i.e. 1 is largest and 4 is smallest). Asterisks denote individuals that performed significantly more aggressions in a given unit. (with the vault tending to be the preferred spot), but tended to subside when individuals were sufficiently spaced out. Spacing is an important mechanism to avoid future agonistic interactions in other decapods (Clayton, 1988; Fero and Moore, 2008; Daws et al., 2011) and possibly also in P. guttatus. Spacing could also reflect the dependence of P. guttatus lobsters on cryptic behaviour as a mechanism to avoid detection by predators, as opposed to the communal defensive behaviour exhibited by other, more social spiny lobsters such as P. argus (Briones-Fourzán et al., 2006; Lozano-Álvarez et al., 2007). We expected the per-capita rate of aggression to be greater at night but this only occurred in the mixed-sex groups, although less markedly in treatment 2MF (wherein the two largest individuals were males) relative to treatment 2FM (wherein the largest individual was a female). This result likely reflects the occurrence of a clearly more aggressive individual (the largest male) in each replicate unit of treatment 2MF. In many decapods, once the dominant individual in a group asserts itself, aggressive encounters tend to become fewer and less intense because dominants and subordinates are identified through status-related cues (Capelli and Hamilton, 1984; Huber and Kravitz, 1995; Karavanich and Atema, 1998; Edwards and Herberholz, 2005). In an experiment with P. argus, for example, once some individuals became dominants and others subordinates, urine-borne signals released by the dominants induced avoidance behaviour from subordinates, reducing the general level of aggression (Shabani et al., 2009). In treatment 2FM, in contrast, the per-capita rate of aggression was higher and there was great variability in the number of aggressions within and among replicate units. These findings suggest that when the largest individuals in mixedsex groups are males, the largest male will probably assert itself rather quickly, reducing the general level of aggression in the group, but when the largest individual is a female, it may take longer for any one lobster to assert itself. The per-capita rate of aggression did not vary significantly with time of day in the same-sex treatments, but was twice as high in treatment 4M as in treatment 4F, reflecting the generally higher degree of aggressiveness in males. Size was an important predictor of aggressiveness in both these treatments, indicating that, in the absence of males, large females can also behave aggressively towards smaller females, as has been observed in other decapods (Lee and Fielder, 1983; Thorpe et al., 1994; Edsman and Jonsson, 1996). In crayfish Procambarus clarkii and clawed lobsters Homarus americanus, ovigerous females are more aggressive than non-ovigerous females, presumably to ensure offspring survival (Figler et al., 1995; Mello et al., 1999), but reproductive state did not affect aggressiveness in females of P. guttatus. However, as ovigerous and non-ovigerous females were not equally present in all replicates of treatment 4F, this result should be considered as preliminary. Antennal contact is important in the social behaviour of many decapods (Solon and Cobb, 1980; Mello et al., 1999; Vickery et al., 2012), but its relative importance in aggressive encounters varies with taxa. For example, crayfish and clawed lobsters use their i161 Behaviour of lobsters in different social contexts antennae to whip and attack conspecifics (Solon and Cobb, 1980; Edsman and Jonsson, 1996; Smith and Dunham, 1996), whereas spiny lobsters use their antennae to threaten rather than to attack conspecifics (Atema and Cobb, 1980; Cobb, 1981; Shabani et al., 2009). We observed that the rapid pointing of antennae by a large lobster towards a smaller conspecific occasionally sufficed to elicit the retreat of the latter. In decapods, the degree to which individual performance in agonistic encounters is affected by the lack of limbs varies with the type and number of missing limbs (Neil, 1985; Juanes and Smith, 1995). In the clawless spiny lobsters, agonistic interactions largely involve the use of pereopods (Table 3). This, in conjunction with a higher level of aggressiveness of males of P. guttatus relative to females, could explain why, in an all-male context, aggressiveness decreased with an increasing number of missing limbs. In male spiny lobsters, the first three pairs of pereopods are longer and thicker than in females and play an important role in agonistic and mating behaviour (McKoy, 1979; Lipcius et al., 1983). Therefore, large intact males would have a competitive advantage over smaller males or males lacking limbs. However, individuals that lose limbs may benefit from becoming subordinate by avoiding costs such as increased energy expenditure, further injury from a conspecific, or increased predation risk (Edsman and Jonsson, 1996; Fleming et al., 2007). For example, Berry (1970) observed that the two largest males in a group of Panulirus homarus lobsters sharing a tank were missing several limbs and were subordinate to a smaller but intact male. We found that, in an all-male context, aggressiveness of males decreased with an increasing number of missing limbs to the point of neutralizing the advantage conferred by a large size. Thus, the most aggressive individual in all replicate units of treatment 4M was the male that had fewer missing limbs in conjunction with a relatively large size. In females, the apparent lack of relationship between the number of missing limbs and aggressiveness must be taken with caution because, unlike in treatment 4M wherein one-third of the test males were severely handicapped (i.e. missed three limbs or more) and these males were present in all three replicates, in treatment 4F only 2 of the 12 test females were severely handicapped and no such females were present in one replicate. In addition, reproductive condition of females, which varied widely within and between replicates, may have interacted in complex ways with the number of missing limbs of individual females, obscuring the relative importance of these two factors. Our results also provide insights into some potential consequences of the loss of habitat complexity and increasing fishing pressure for these obligate reef-dwelling lobsters. Density of P. guttatus increases with habitat quality (i.e. coral reef complexity), because complex reefs provide a wide variety of refuges and foraging spaces (Wynne and Côté, 2007; Robertson and Butler, 2009). However, Caribbean coral reefs are losing structural complexity and becoming increasingly flatter, due in part to the loss of key reef-building, morphologically complex corals that are being replaced by faster-growing species that are more resistant to stress but structurally simpler (Álvarez-Filip et al., 2011). The tendency of P. guttatus lobsters to space out in separate cavities within larger crevices presumably reduces agonistic interactions and detection by predators. Therefore, habitat constraints and loss of complexity could increase local levels of aggressiveness of these lobsters, as has been observed for other species (Basquill and Grant, 1998; Corkum and Cronin, 2004), particularly in periods of high reproductive activity when their tendency to aggregate increases (Briones-Fourzán et al., 2013). In Caribbean locations where P. guttatus is heavily exploited, fishing pressure can reduce the mean size of lobsters and even alter sex ratios by disproportionally extracting the largest individuals, which are mostly males (Evans et al., 1996; Wynne and Côté, 2007). Because large females of P. guttatus prefer to mate with larger males (Magallón-Gayón et al., 2011) and our results suggest that, in the absence of large males, it can take longer for smaller males to assert themselves, fishing pressure may also indirectly lead to an increased level of aggressiveness among these spiny lobsters. Acknowledgements We greatly appreciate the highly skilled technical support in field and laboratory activities provided by F. Negrete-Soto and C. Barradas-Ortiz. Additional help was provided by A. OsorioArciniegas, E. Ramı́rez-Zaldı́var, M. Pérez-Ortiz, and J. ValladárezCob. Three anonymous reviewers greatly improved the manuscript. This study was funded by Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México and Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnologı́a (Mexico) through grant 40159-Q and a B.Sc. scholarship for RDG. Annual permits to capture lobsters for experimental purposes were issued by Comisión Nacional de Acuacultura y Pesca. 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P., and Côté, I. M. 2007. Effects of habitat quality and fishing on Caribbean spotted spiny lobster populations. Journal of Applied Ecology, 44: 488 – 494. Zar, J. H. 1999. Biostatistical Analysis, 4th edn. Prentice-Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ. 929 pp. Handling editor: Howard Browman ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i164 –i169. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsu249 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article Caribbean spiny lobsters equally avoid dead and clinically PaV1-infected conspecifics Rebeca I. Candia-Zulbarán1,2*, Patricia Briones-Fourzán 2, Enrique Lozano-Álvarez2, Cecilia Barradas-Ortiz 2, and Fernando Negrete-Soto 2 1 Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Posgrado en Ciencias del Mar y Limnologı́a, Ciudad Universitaria, México DF, Mexico Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Instituto de Ciencias del Mar y Limnologı́a, Unidad Académica de Sistemas Arrecifales, Puerto Morelos, Quintana Roo, Mexico 2 *Corresponding author: tel: +52 998 8710009; e-mail: [email protected] Candia-Zulbarán, R. I., Briones-Fourzán, P., Lozano-Álvarez, E., Barradas-Ortiz, C., and Negrete-Soto, F. Caribbean spiny lobsters equally avoid dead and clinically PaV1-infected conspecifics. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i164 – i169. Received 30 August 2014; revised 15 December 2014; accepted 20 December 2014; advance access publication 11 January 2015. Social behaviour in Caribbean spiny lobsters (Panulirus argus) is mediated by conspecific chemical cues. These lobsters can be attracted to shelters emanating chemical cues from conspecifics but tend to avoid shelters emanating chemical cues from injured conspecifics, dead conspecifics, and conspecifics with visible signs of a potentially lethal disease caused by the pathogenic Panulirus argus virus 1 (PaV1). However, previous studies have not controlled for the presence of PaV1 (i.e. subclinical infection) in grossly “healthy” lobsters, although visible signs of disease do not appear until several weeks after infection. We conducted a controlled experiment using a set of 2 m-long Y-mazes to examine and contrast the response of P. argus lobsters to shelters emanating chemical cues from conspecifics in four different conditions: uninfected, subclinically PaV1-infected (i.e. infected but not diseased), clinically PaV1-infected (i.e. infected and diseased), and dead. Using polymerase chain reaction, we tested for PaV1 in all grossly healthy lobsters and used exclusively uninfected lobsters in intermolt as focal lobsters. Focal lobsters similarly avoided shelters emanating chemical cues from clinically infected (80% avoidance) and from dead conspecifics (85% avoidance), but their response to chemical cues from uninfected and from subclinically infected conspecifics did not differ significantly from random. These results indicate that PaV1diseased lobsters produce chemical cues that are as repellent to conspecifics as are chemicals emanating from dead conspecifics, and that subclinically infected lobsters either do not emit the repellent chemicals or they do so at sub-threshold levels. However, the nature of the repellent chemicals and whether they originate from the pathogen or the host remains to be determined. Keywords: avoidance behaviour, chemical cues, disease, Panulirus argus, Panulirus argus virus 1. Introduction The Caribbean spiny lobster, Panulirus argus (Latreille, 1804) is one of the most valuable fishing resources in the Western Central Atlantic and constitutes by itself over 50% of the world catch of spiny lobsters (Phillips et al., 2013). Panulirus argus has a complex life cycle and undergoes several habitats shifts during its benthic life. The post-larvae settle in vegetated habitats where the small juveniles remain for a few months and exhibit asocial behaviour. However, larger juveniles eventually shift from the vegetation to occupying structured crevice-type shelters, a habitat shift that coincides with a change from asocial to social behaviour (Childress and Herrnkind, 2001a, b). The most ubiquitous example of sociality in P. argus and other spiny lobsters is gregarious sheltering, which is mediated by intraspecific chemical cues released in the urine (Ratchford and Eggleston, 1998; Horner et al., 2006, 2008). For an individual seeking shelter, following conspecific scents into a den both reduces its time of exposure and allows it to assess the quality of the den (Nevitt et al., 2000; Childress and Herrnkind, 2001a), while congregating in dens can increase per capita survival through either a “dilution effect” or “group defense behavior” (Eggleston et al., 1990; Childress and Herrnkind, 2001a, b; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2007). However, gregariousness is not generated by chemical attraction per se unless the benefits of aggregation outweigh the costs (Loehle, 1995; Childress, 2007). Benefits of # International Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2015. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] Panulirus argus avoid dead and clinically PaV1-infected conspecifics i165 aggregation for P. argus would include efficient use of available shelters, decreased predation risk, and increased survival, persistence, foraging ranges, and reproductive opportunities (Childress and Herrnkind, 2001a; Dolan and Butler, 2006; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2007; Childress, 2007). Costs would include an increase in competition and intraspecific aggression as well as in transmission of parasites and pathogenic disease (Loehle, 1995; Lafferty et al., 2004; Childress, 2007). Catches of P. argus have been declining steadily since 2000, mostly due to a combination of overexploitation, changes in environmental and ecological conditions impacting the lobster habitats (Ehrhardt et al., 2011). However, another potential cause for this decline is the disease caused by a pathogenic virus, P. argus virus 1 (PaV1; Shields and Behringer, 2004), which has become an important source of mortality for the juveniles of P. argus since its detection in 1999 – 2000 (Moss et al., 2013). In the laboratory, transmission of PaV1 was found to occur by contact between healthy and diseased lobsters and through water, at least over short distances (Butler et al., 2008). However, experiments conducted by Behringer et al. (2006) showed that healthy lobsters avoided sharing shelters with visibly diseased conspecifics and that the latter were avoided before becoming infectious, which might help reduce contact transmission rates of PaV1 and keep prevalence levels relatively low. More recently, Anderson and Behringer (2013) showed that avoidance was chemical in nature. This would appear akin to avoidance of conspecific alarm odours (haemolymph-borne chemicals emanating from injured conspecifics), which is strongly exhibited by P. argus (Briones-Fourzán et al., 2008; Shabani et al., 2008). Aggregation behaviour is partly communicated by chemical cues released in the urine of conspecifics, which also communicates social status. Thus, urine-borne signals released by P. argus lobsters at short distances from conspecifics elicit avoidance behaviour (similar to haemolymph, Shabani et al., 2008) but attract conspecifics when released at greater distances (Horner et al., 2006; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2008); therefore, the choice of shelter will greatly depend on the context on which chemical cues are transmitted from conspecifics (Shabani et al., 2009). Also, the progression of PaV1 infection can affect mobility of lobsters, with heavily infected lobsters becoming lethargic (Shields and Behringer, 2004; Behringer et al., 2008), but to our knowledge, previous studies with PaV1 have not tested for the presence of the virus in presumably healthy individuals. This is important because visible signs of disease do not appear until many weeks after infection (Behringer et al., 2006). Moreover, subclinically infected lobsters (i.e. positive for PaV1 by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) but with no visible signs of disease) can be as abundant in natural habitats as visibly diseased lobsters (Huchin-Mian et al., 2013) or even more so (Behringer et al., 2011), and hence uninfected lobsters might not be able to avoid being near potentially infectious conspecifics. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to contrast the behavioural response of healthy, uninfected individuals of P. argus lobsters to shelters emanating chemical scents from conspecifics in four conditions: uninfected with PaV1, subclinically infected with PaV1, clinically infected with PaV1, and dead (freshly killed and crushed), controlling for the presence of PaV1 in focal lobsters. Unlike previous studies wherein experimentally infected lobsters were used, we used exclusively lobsters that were infected due to viral exposure under natural conditions. We expected focal lobsters to exhibit attraction to uninfected lobsters, avoidance of clinically infected and dead lobsters, and a neutral response to subclinically infected lobsters, as we have found uninfected lobsters very close to subclinically infected lobsters in field observations (HuchinMian et al., 2013; RIC-Z, unpublished data). Material and methods Lobster collection The experiments were conducted in the Unidad Académica de Sistemas Arrecifales, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, at Puerto Morelos, Mexico (20854′ N, 86854′ W). Using scuba diving, we collected grossly healthy and visibly diseased juvenile lobsters by hand over the Puerto Morelos reef lagoon and transferred them to the laboratory within 1 h of capture. Visibly diseased lobsters (i.e. clinically infected with PaV1) exhibit a milky-white haemolymph that is clearly visible through the transparent membrane between the cephalothorax and abdomen. Diseased and “healthy” lobsters were held in separate tanks provided with multiple hollow concrete blocks for shelter. During the holding period (≤1 week), lobsters were fed every other day with mussels. The holding tanks and all experimental units (see below) received seawater from an open flow system and were in the open but under shade. The seawater was pumped from the Puerto Morelos reef lagoon and was treated with ozone before passing to an elevated reservoir for distribution to the tanks and also after being used in the tanks. Experimental set-up We used a set of four fibreglass Y-mazes 2 m in length, which has been estimated as the distance over which spiny lobster behaviours driven by chemoreception of urine probably function (Horner et al., 2006, 2008; Shabani et al., 2009). Each Y-maze (Figure 1) had two independent head tanks (Briones-Fourzán et al., 2008). All tanks Figure 1. Schematic representation of experimental Y-mazes used to test for response by uninfected P. argus lobsters to shelters emanating chemical cues from conspecifics in four different conditions. i166 were filled to a standpipe height of 0.3 m. Thus, each head tank (0.6 m long × 0.5 m wide × 0.5 m tall) held 90 l of water, whereas the Y-maze (2.0 m long × 0.8 m wide × 0.6 m tall) contained 500 l. A panel (1.0 m long × 0.6 m tall) divided half the length of the Y-maze into two equal arms. Seawater flowed into the head tanks and then from each head tank to an arm of the Y-maze at a rate of 2 l min – 1. The water then mixed in an open area before flowing out through the standpipe located behind the start area of the Y-maze. Using dye visualizations, we estimated the downstream velocity as 0.52 + 0.03 cm s – 1 (mean + SD, n ¼ 3). Two identical shelters were placed one in each arm of the Y-maze at a distance of 1.8 m from the start area. One of the shelters received water that had flowed through the head tank containing the stimulus (see below), whereas the other received plain seawater that had flowed through the head tank that held no stimulus (control). A semicircular wire-mesh screen was positioned at the start area (Figure 1) to prevent lobsters from using the corners in the start area of the Y-maze as refuge. The head tanks and Y-mazes were completely opaque to preclude visual contact between lobsters and were mounted on different surfaces to eliminate the transference of vibrations. Also, to prevent transference of acoustic cues potentially produced by the stimuli, the water from the head tanks fell from a height of 5 cm above the water surface of the Y-maze. Before the experiment, 16 lobsters (50.0 + 15.4 mm CL, mean + SD) were individually tested in the Y-mazes with no chemical stimulus (i.e. the two shelters receiving plain seawater from the head tanks) to test for potential errors in the Y-maze design or orientation that may bias the choice trials. Each shelter was selected by 50% of the lobsters, indicating no potentially confounding effects of device orientation or design. Testing for DNA of PaV1 by PCR We tested the haemolymph of all grossly healthy lobsters for the presence of DNA of PaV1 via PCR assays. After swabbing the exoskeleton with 70% ethanol, 300 ml of haemolymph was withdrawn from the base of one of the fifth pereopods using a sterile 1 ml disposable syringe fitted with a 30 G needle and immediately fixed in 96% ethanol and stored at –208C. DNA was extracted from haemolymph samples following salt precipitation protocols similar as described by Aljanabi and Martı́nez (1997). DNA precipitation was achieved by adding 200 ml sodium acetate 3 M, pH 5.2, instead of NaCl. DNA integrity was assessed by electrophoresis in 1% agarose gels. The DNA of PaV1 was amplified by PCR in a 25 ml reaction containing 1 ml extracted DNA, 0.33 mM of each primer 45aF and 543aR (Montgomery-Fullerton et al., 2007), 2.5 mM MgCl2 (Promega), 0.6× reaction buffer (Promega), 0.4 mM dNTP mixture (Promega), and 0.75 U Taq DNA polymerase (Promega). The thermal cycling conditions were 1 cycle for 948C for 10 min followed by 30 cycles of 948C for 30 s, 638C for 30 s, 728C for 1 min; followed by 728C for 10 min. The presence of the expected 499 bp PaV1 amplicon was determined by resolving 5 ml of the PCR product and 3 ml of loading buffer in a 2% agarose gel containing 0.1% ethidium bromide and DNA visualization using UV illumination (MiniBis Prow). As negative and positive controls, we used ultrapure water and haemocyte DNA extracted from lobsters heavily infected with PaV1, respectively (Huchin-Mian et al., 2013). Experimental treatments Based on the PCR results, grossly healthy lobsters were categorized into uninfected (i.e. negative to PaV1 by PCR) and subclinically R. I. Candia-Zulbarán et al. infected lobsters (i.e. positive to PaV1 by PCR but with no visible signs of disease). The experiment consisted of four treatments that differed in the condition of the lobsters used as sources of chemical stimuli. These lobsters were denoted “stimulus”. The stimuli in three treatments consisted of uninfected lobsters, subclinically infected lobsters, and clinically infected lobsters, whereas the stimuli in the fourth treatment consisted of one half of a dead lobster, freshly killed lobster, and bisected lengthwise. We used only one-half of a dead lobster per trial to minimize the sacrifice of animals. Only lobsters that tested negative for PaV1 by PCR were used as focal lobsters and all focal lobsters were used only once. Trials were conducted overnight. In each trial, the stimulus was randomly assigned to the left or right head tank and placed into the head tank 30 min before dark, and the focal lobster was then placed in the start area of the Y-maze, where it was allowed to acclimatize for 2 h within a mesh cylinder (0.45 m in diameter, 0.40 m in height). The cylinder was then removed, leaving the focal lobster free to roam the Y-maze. Between 09:00 and 10:00 h the following morning, we recorded the position of the focal lobster in the Y-maze and checked the flow rate into the head tanks. The focal lobster was then removed, measured with calipers (carapace length, CL, from between the rostral horns to the posterior margin of the carapace, +0.1 mm), and moult-staged by microscopic examination of the tip of one pleopod (see Lyle and MacDonald, 1983). To ensure that no scents remained after each trial, the head tanks and Y-mazes were drained and thoroughly brushed, and then water was allowed to flow at a high rate until the beginning of the next trial. We ran at least 20 replicate trials in each treatment but discarded those in which the water flow at the end of the trial differed between the head tanks by more than +0.50 l min21 or the focal lobster was not in intermolt (Briones-Fourzán et al., 2008). We also discarded six trials in which the stimuli (clinically infected lobsters) died during the night. To avoid potentially confounding effects of season, we interspersed trials from the four treatments across the experimental period. Irrespective of the stimulus, the result of a trial was denoted “attraction” if the focal lobster chose the shelter subjected to chemical cues from the stimulus or “avoidance” if the focal lobster chose the shelter receiving plain seawater; thus, results are expressed as percentages of lobsters exhibiting attraction vs. avoidance. We used the score method with continuity correction (Newcombe, 1998) to compute 95% confidence intervals for percentages. Results from each treatment were subjected to a two-tailed binomial test wherein the probability of choosing either shelter was 50% (p ¼ 0.5, a ¼ 0.05), and results from the four treatments were contrasted in a 2 × 4 contingency table. Results The overall mean size (+SD) of focal lobsters from all valid trials was 48.8 + 13.3 mm CL (n ¼ 77) and did not vary significantly with treatment (one-way analysis of variance, F ¼ 1.418, d.f. ¼ 3, 74; p ¼ 0.244). The focal, uninfected lobsters were not significantly attracted to shelters with chemical cues emanating from uninfected conspecifics (63.2% attraction, n ¼ 19, p ¼ 0.359) and did not significantly avoid shelters with chemical cues emanating from subclinically infected conspecifics (44.7% avoidance, n ¼ 18, p ¼ 0.814; Figure 2). In contrast, focal lobsters significantly avoided shelters emanating chemical cues from clinically PaV1-infected conspecifics (80% avoidance, n ¼ 20, p ¼ 0.012) as well as shelters emanating Panulirus argus avoid dead and clinically PaV1-infected conspecifics Figure 2. Results of Y-maze experiment investigating the effects of chemical cues from P. argus lobsters in four different conditions on shelter choice by uninfected conspecifics. Horizontal dotted line denotes random shelter choice (50%). Error bars denote 95% confidence intervals. p-values were based on two-tailed binomial tests (a ¼ 0.05). scents from dead conspecific (85% avoidance, n ¼ 20, p ¼ 0.003; Figure 2). The full contingency table analysis contrasting the four treatments yielded a significant result (x2 ¼ 14.748, d.f. ¼ 3, p ¼ 0.002). A subdivided x2 analysis (Zar, 1999) showed no significant difference in the response of focal lobsters to uninfected vs. subclinically infected conspecifics (x2 ¼ 0.222, d.f. ¼ 1, p ¼ 0.638), or in the response of focal lobsters to clinically infected vs. dead conspecifics (x 2 ¼ 0.173, d.f. ¼ 1, p ¼ 0.667). Discussion We contrasted the response of focal lobsters uninfected with PaV1 to chemical scents emanating from uninfected, subclinically infected (i.e. infected but not diseased), clinically infected (i.e. infected and diseased, and infectious), and dead conspecifics in a single experiment. Focal lobsters significantly avoided shelters with chemical cues from clinically infected conspecifics and from dead conspecifics, consistent with the results of Anderson and Behringer (2013) and Briones-Fourzán et al. (2008), respectively, but their response to shelters with scents from subclinically infected lobsters and from uninfected conspecifics did not differ from random. The latter result was unexpected, as in previous experiments with P. argus in Y-mazes, the focal lobsters had been significantly attracted to shelters emanating chemical cues from healthy conspecifics (Ratchford and Eggleston, 1998; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2008). However, more recently, Anderson and Behringer (2013) also obtained a non-significant result testing attraction to chemical cues from non-diseased lobsters. Moreover, according to Childress et al. (this issue), conspecific attraction in P. argus appears declining Caribbean-wise, the causes for which remain to be determined. Spiny lobsters have been extensively studied regarding the mechanisms of aggregation and avoidance, and these studies have shown that in general, aggregation is mediated by urine-borne chemicals and avoidance is mediated by haemolymph-borne chemicals (Horner et al., 2006, 2008; Shabani et al., 2008, 2009; Aggio and Derby, 2011). Yet, results from Anderson and Behringer (2013) and from our study clearly show that avoidance of diseased lobsters by healthy conspecifics is driven by chemoreception of chemicals in i167 the urine. The avoidance of diseased lobsters was similar in magnitude to avoidance of “alarm” chemicals in the haemolymph of injured conspecifics, which is an effective anti-predator strategy for gregarious species (Dicke and Grostal, 2001; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2008). However, haemolymph-borne alarm chemicals elicit aversion for a limited period after injury because they degrade within a few hours (Ferner et al., 2005); thus, according to Aggio and Derby (2011), in overnight experiments using dead specimens as stimuli, the actual chemical stimulus may be changing over time. Yao et al. (2009) suggest that some studies attributing avoidance to alarm odours emanating from dead or injured conspecifics may in fact involve “necromones”, i.e. biochemicals given off by a decomposing organism and hence reliably associated with death, potential sources of infections, and perhaps other pathologies. Unlike alarm odours, which degrade rapidly and are species-specific, necromones (e.g. certain unsaturated fatty acids such as oleic and linoleic acid) can persist for days (Diez et al., 2013) and are highly conserved, as they have been shown to repel animals in many diverse taxa, including crustaceans (Yao et al., 2009). However, given the conserved nature of necromones, death recognition is generally coupled to additional cues conveying relatedness (Yao et al., 2009). Therefore, whether the avoidance of dead conspecifics shown by focal lobsters in our experiment reflects avoidance to alarm odours or aversion to necromones remains unclear. Similarly, it remains to be determined whether the aversive chemicals emanating from PaV1-diseased lobsters originate from the pathogen or from the host (Aggio and Derby, 2011). Some hosts can chemically detect certain pathogens, but examples from marine host-pathogen systems are scant (Toth et al., 2004; Wisenden et al., 2009). Alternatively, PaV1 may alter the chemical cues emanating from overtly diseased lobsters by altering their body chemistry in a specific or in a non-specific manner. In the first case, the chemicals produced by diseased lobsters would convey a specific signal for the PaV1 disease. In the latter case, the chemicals would convey a nonspecific signal of “sickness” and the uninfected lobsters may simply discriminate against “sick” conspecifics, and not against a specific disease. For example, some fish discriminate against conspecifics infested with parasitic trematodes, although these parasites cannot be transmitted from fish to fish (see Krause et al., 1999; Wisenden et al., 2009). However, when clinical signs of PaV1 appear, the infection has already become systemic, extending to the hepatopancreas, gill, heart, hindgut, glial cells around the ventral nerves, cuticular epidermis, and foregut (Li et al., 2008). In heavily infected lobsters, the hepatopancreas exhibits focal necrosis, ischaemia, and atrophy, which leads to metabolic wasting (Shields and Behringer, 2004). Changes in haemolymph constituents in lobsters experimentally infected (Li et al., 2008) and naturally infected with PaV1 (Pascual-Jiménez et al., 2012) reflect increasing tissue degradation and catabolism of the hepatopancreas. Therefore, it is also possible that visibly diseased lobsters exude chemicals associated with decomposition that are repelling to conspecifics. Behringer et al. (2006) found that experimentally infected lobsters were avoided even before they became infectious, which would appear at odds with our finding that subclinically infected lobsters were not significantly avoided. However, although the PCR assay that we used serves to detect the DNA of PaV1 in the haemolymph of lobsters, it does not allow determining the viral load or the progression of the disease in infected lobsters. Therefore, whether subclinically infected lobsters do not emit repelling chemicals or emit these chemicals at subthreshold levels may depend on the progression of the infection process. i168 In summary, healthy lobsters do avoid visibly diseased conspecifics overnight in laboratory conditions and their response is similar to that exhibited towards dead conspecifics. However, this does not imply that all healthy lobsters will invariably avoid sharing shelters with diseased conspecifics in the wild. For example, healthy lobsters often cohabit with diseased conspecifics in “casitas”, large artificial shelters deployed over otherwise shelter-poor habitats to increase biomass of P. argus lobsters in some Caribbean countries (Lozano-Álvarez et al., 2008; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2012), an occurrence for which Lozano-Álvarez et al. (2008) offered two potential explanations. One explanation is that the large shelter area provided by casitas (1 –2 m2) may allow cohabitation of healthy and diseased lobsters without physical contact. However, this explanation is not supported by results of our experiment wherein 16 of 20 focal lobsters avoided chemical cues from diseased lobsters from a distance of up to 2 m (the length of the Y-mazes). Similarly, in a field experiment testing distribution of juvenile lobsters in a radial array of shelters located at 0.5, 1, and 2 m from a centrally located diseased conspecific, lobsters moved on average 1 m away from the diseased lobsters over time (Anderson and Behringer, 2013). The other explanation is that in shelter-poor areas, where the risk of predation for juvenile lobsters is higher compared with shelterrich areas, healthy lobsters make a trade-off between avoiding sharing shelters with diseased conspecifics and avoiding predation risk (Lozano-Álvarez et al., 2008). Indeed, avoidance behaviours may be costly, both energetically and in the form of trade-offs with conflicting demands (Loehle, 1995; Wisenden et al., 2009) and, as noted by Shabani et al. (2009), the choice of shelter is complex and will depend heavily on the context on which chemical cues are transmitted from conspecifics. More experiments are needed to examine the trade-off between disease avoidance and predation avoidance under different ecological contexts. Acknowledgements We greatly acknowledge the help provided by J. P. Huchin-Mian, I. Segura-Garcı́a, and T. Islas-Flores in laboratory activities and PCR assays. A. Espinosa-Magaña, R. Martı́nez-Calderón, R. Muñoz de Cote-Hernández, and M. Ortiz-Matamoros helped to collect and maintain the experimental lobsters and/or with the experimental trials. M. Villanueva-Méndez allowed us the use of his laboratory facilities. Comments by three anonymous reviewers greatly enhanced this manuscript. 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Miller Department of Biological Sciences, Clemson University, Clemson, SC 29634-0314, USA *Corresponding author: tel: +1 864 985 2384; fax: +1 864 656 0413; e-mail: [email protected] Childress, M. J., Heldt, K. A., and Miller, S. D. Are juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters (Panulirus argus) becoming less social? – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i170 – i176. Received 7 September 2014; revised 19 January 2015; accepted 24 February 2015; advance access publication 19 March 2015. Caribbean spiny lobsters are one of the most commercially important fisheries due in large part to their highly gregarious nature that facilitates their harvest by the use of traps or aggregation devices containing conspecifics. Aggregation in this species has been shown to be due to strong attraction to conspecific chemical cues that influence movement rates, discovery of crevice shelters, and den sharing behaviours. Although aggregation has been shown to have many potential benefits (reduction in exposure time and predation risk), it may also have significant costs as well (increase in predator encounters, disease transmission, and fishing mortality). We compared the results of three published and three unpublished Y-maze chemical cue choice experiments from 1996 to 2012 to determine if there has been a decrease in conspecific attraction by early benthic juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters (15 – 55 mm carapace length, CL). We found that attraction to conspecific chemical cues decreased since 2010 and was significantly lower in 2012. Lobsters showed individual variation in conspecific attraction but this variation was unrelated to size, sex, or dominance status. We also found localized regional variation in conspecific attraction with lobsters from high shelter/high disease areas showing significantly lower conspecific attraction than those from low shelter/low disease areas. Given that conspecific attraction varies among individuals and potentially increases mortality through either natural (increased disease transmission) or fishery-induced (attraction to traps) mechanisms, we should play close attention to this loss of conspecific attraction in juvenile lobsters. Future studies should investigate both the causation and the ecological significance of changes in conspecific attraction in regions that vary in intensity of disease (PaV1) and fishing pressure. Keywords: behaviour, Caribbean spiny lobster, disease, dominance, fishery-induced behavioural change, gregariousness, habitat loss, odour attraction, Panulirus argus, sociality. Introduction Caribbean spiny lobsters, Panulirus argus, are one of the most important commercial crustacean fisheries in the Caribbean with estimated landings of 36 938 metric tons per year (SEDAR, 2005). There are multiple life history traits that contribute to their success including a rapid growth rate, enormous fecundity, long-lived larval stage with high dispersal potential, and the ability to use multiple habitat types throughout their development (Butler et al., 2006; Childress and Jury, 2006). Settlement of P. argus postlarvae (puerulus stage) occurs in shallow water seagrass, hardbottom, or mangrove habitats after a 5- to 7-month larval period (Butler et al., 2006). Newly settled benthic juveniles are solitary and widely dispersed in seagrass or macroalgae (Marx and Herrnkind, 1985) where they avoid predators primarily by crypsis (Butler et al., 1997; Anderson et al., 2013). They transition from macroalgae to natural crevice shelters at 15 mm carapace length (CL; Butler and Herrnkind, 1997; Childress and Herrnkind, 1997) and begin orienting toward conspecific chemical cues at this size (Childress and Herrnkind, 1996; Ratchford and Eggleston, 1998). Another important characteristic that P. argus and most other commercially important Palinurids share is a gregarious temperament mediated by attraction to chemosensory cues from conspecifics (Childress, 2007). Conspecific attraction plays a key role in several ontogenetic habitat transitions of P. argus. The attractive chemical is released in the urine (Horner et al., 2006) and detected by the antennules (Horner et al., 2008). Chemosensory cues potentially influence the coastal orientation of postlarvae (Goldstein and Butler, 2009), the choice of settlement habitat by postlarvae # International Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2015. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i171 Caribbean spiny lobsters becoming less social (Livingston-Zito and Childress, 2009), hasten the transition between macroalgal, seagrass, and hardbottom habitats (Childress and Herrnkind, 2001a), facilitates the choice of crevice shelters (Nevitt et al., 2000), and decreases predation risk by reducing search time to find shelters (Childress and Herrnkind, 2001b). Shelter sharing may further decrease predation risk through dilution or group defence of shelters (Mintz et al., 1994; BrionesFourzán and Lozano-Álvarez, 2008) and coordination of mass migrations (Herrnkind et al., 2001). Despite the wealth of potential benefits for conspecific attraction, there are also potential costs to aggregation. Juvenile lobsters may choose to defend shelters rather than sharing them, showing significant aggression against intruding conspecifics (Berrill, 1975; Heldt et al., 2015). Lobsters avoid the chemical cues of injured conspecifics presumably to reduce the risk of predator encounters (Parsons and Eggleston, 2005; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2008). Conspecific attraction can bring small lobsters to shelters co-occupied by large lobsters as well as lobster predators such as snappers, groupers, and nurse sharks. While the large lobsters are not at risk from these predators, small lobsters attracted to large shelters may be at increased risk of predation (Schratwieser, 1999). Conspecific attraction may also increase exposure to diseases, such as Panulirus argus virus 1 (PaV1), a lethal virus transmitted by close contact with infected individuals (Shields and Behringer, 2004; Butler et al., 2008), although this may be mediated by the ability to healthy lobsters to detect and avoid infected individuals (Behringer et al., 2006; Anderson and Behringer, 2013). Furthermore, fishers exploit conspecific attraction by using sublegal lobsters (called “shorts” by the fishers) as bait in commercial traps to attract legal-sized adults (Heatwole et al., 1988), or by the addition of large aggregation devices (i.e. casitas) that draw sublegal and legal-sized lobsters together for easier harvest (Eggleston et al., 1990; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2000). In this paper, we compare three experiments of conspecific attraction of juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters from Florida Bay, FL (USA) to three previous studies on conspecific attraction in Florida (Anderson and Behringer, 2013), Mexico (BrionesFourzán et al., 2008), and the Bahamas (Ratchford and Eggleston, 1998). We also examine how covariates such as sex, size, dominance status, and regional quality (low and high disease) influence conspecific attraction. Specially, we hypothesize that individuals differ in their degree of conspecific attraction and these differences correlate with differences in size, sex, or dominance status. Furthermore, we hypothesize that conspecific attraction has decreased, and is lowest in regions with high disease prevalence. Methods Collection and housing conditions Juvenile (15 –55 mm CL) Caribbean spiny lobsters were collected by divers using hand nets from Florida Bay, FL (USA). Collections of juvenile lobsters in 2004, 2010, and 2011 were made on the bayside of Long Key. Collections in 2012 were made at one region with low disease (0–1% PaV1 visibly infected individuals) bayside of Lower Matecumbe Key and one region with high disease (5– 10% PaV1 visibly infected individuals) bayside of Grassy Key. We recorded the sex, CL in mm, number of missing limbs, and the visible PaV1 status (disease present, disease absent, following the methods of Shields and Behringer, 2004) of every individual. Any animal showing visible signs of PaV1 infection or having been in contact with a PaV1 visibly infected individual while in captivity were excluded from further analysis. To accurately track individuals, we attached a uniquely color-coded antennae band. Lobsters were shipped to Clemson University in Clemson, SC (USA) via overnight express service and were assigned to 120 l aquaria in size-matched pairs (max size difference 2.4 mm CL). Each housing tank included a single crevice shelter made from stacked patio pavers, a submersible aquarium filter, and a 10-cm air stone. Artificial seawater (Instant Ocean#) conditions were monitored daily and 25% water changes were performed weekly. Tanks were placed in a research greenhouse under naturally varying photoperiod from 10L : 14D to 14L : 10D depending on the season. Temperature varied from 22 to 288C, salinity varied from 32 to 38 psu, and pH varied from 7.8 to 8.3. Each individual was fed ad libitum frozen pink shrimp daily and all uneaten food was removed the following day. Newly molted individuals were re-measured, re-tagged with an individually color-coded antenna band, and excluded from behavioural or chemical attraction observations for 72 h. There was no evidence of visible PaV1 infection for any of the individuals analysed in this study during the entire period of captivity (2 –6 months). Dominance behaviour observations We used direct behavioural observations to determine an individual’s dominance status to examine if dominance increases or decreases conspecific attraction. Each pair of size-matched (+2.4 mm CL) lobsters housed together were observed for a minimum of 14 focal animal observations of 10 min duration, half shortly after sunrise (0700– 1000 h) and half shortly after sunset (1900–2200 h) under low level (25 W) red light illumination. All acts of aggression were summed across all observations for each individual, including antenna whips, antenna pushes, and body pushes. The individual within each pair having initiated the most aggressive acts was considered the dominant (D) while its partner was considered the subordinate (S). Observations conducted in consecutive months found dominance status remained highly stable (,3% reversals) for up to 6 months in captivity (Heldt, 2013). Conspecific attraction experiments Conspecific chemical cue choice tests were conducted using a Y-maze wet table similar to the one depicted in Briones-Fourzan et al. (2008) (Figure 1) with the following differences. The dimensions of the Y-maze were 38 cm width × 18 cm depth × 126 cm length with a 100-cm long central divider and a volume of 40 l. The Y-maze contained an overflow drain pipe at the release end that emptied into a 600-l reservoir tank. Seawater from this tank was pumped through a filter and returned to the opposite end of the Y-maze via a PVC spray bar with valves to control the flow of water to each arm of the maze. Flow rates were set to 2 l per minute for each arm of the Y-maze. Each arm of the Y-maze contained a single crevice shelter made up of patio pavers. Behind each crevice shelter was an upstream compartment separated by a perforated opaque divider where a single conspecific could be held while releasing urine-born chemical cues. Chemical cue trials were initiated at 1000–1400 h and were run for 24 h. For each trial, a single test subject was chosen and single source lobster was selected from the same housing tank. The source lobster was placed in either the right or left compartment behind the shelters as determined by a flip of a coin, while the other compartment remained empty. Thus one shelter contained conspecific chemical cues while the other shelter contained a seawater control. A single test subject was transferred from its housing tank and placed at the choice end of the Y-maze opposite the shelters. i172 M. J. Childress et al. A perforated partition was positioned such that the test subject was blocked from entering the arms of the Y-maze but could sense chemical cues within the water coming down each arm of the maze. The test subject was allowed a 10-min acclimation period in this choice end of the Y-maze before the partition was removed allowing access to arms of the Y-maze. After 12 h and again after 24 h, the position of the test subject was recorded as either in the chemical cue shelter, in the control shelter, or in the no-choice end of the Y-maze. Very few trials resulted in no choice (,4%) and those individuals were retested at a later date up to three times until a choice preference was recorded. Conspecific attraction data were graphed as the per cent of individuals that chose the chemical cue side of the Y-maze and the 95% confidence interval was calculated using the modified Wald method (Agresti and Coull, 1998). Meta-analysis of annual variation in conspecific attraction Chemical cue preference test results from three previous studies (Ratchford and Eggleston, 1998; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2008; Anderson and Behringer, 2013) were compared with three chemical cue preference tests reported here (Table 1). Although the methodologies and dimensions of their Y-maze choice tanks differed slightly, their designs were qualitatively the same (see Supplementary materials for Y-maze dimensions and specific differences in the methods of these previous studies). In all these studies, juvenile lobsters were Figure 1. Conspecific attraction (mean + 95% CI) measured as per cent preference for conspecific odour over control odour in a Y-maze choice test vs. year the study was conducted. Numbers inside of bars represents the number of lobsters tested. Each bar represents a different conspecific attraction study; 1996 is from Ratchford and Eggleston (1998), 2004 is from this study, 2006 is from Briones-Fourzán et al. (2008), 2010 is from Anderson and Behringer (2013), 2011 is from this study, and 2012 is from this study. Asterisks above each bar indicate a significant preference (p , 0.05) for conspecific chemical cues. Solid lines above the bars indicate results that are statistically similar using contingency table post hoc tests. Conspecific attraction significantly decreased beginning in 2010. allowed the opportunity to choose among two arms of a Y-maze with either control water lacking conspecific chemical cues or water containing conspecific chemical cues. Choice was indicated by the occupation of a crevice shelter on either the conspecific or control sides of the Y-maze. To assure independence of observations, only the results of a single choice test for each individual were analysed. The raw data from each of these three previous studies (number choosing control and number choosing conspecific cues) and the raw data from our trials conducted in 2004, 2011, and 2012 were analysed individually by year using a log-linear contingency test against the expected random distribution. Then the ratios of individuals attracted to conspecifics vs. control were compared with each other by log-linear contingency test. Post hoc comparisons were made by pairwise contingency tests to specifically identify those years that statistically differed from each other. Influence of dominance status on conspecific attraction This experiment was specifically designed to test whether individuals differ in their attraction to conspecific chemical cues and whether these differences can be explained by sex, size, or dominance status. Sixteen juvenile lobsters (31.3–54.1 mm CL) from Long Key, FL were held in captivity for 6 months in winter of 2010 and ten juvenile lobsters (32.8– 38.3 mm CL) from Long Key were held in captivity for 6 months in autumn 2011 while being tested for conspecific chemical cue attraction. Testing began immediately and was completed within the first 3 months of captivity. We found no change in conspecific attraction with time in captivity over this testing period (Heldt, 2013). Conspecific chemical cue choice tests were then conducted using a Y-maze wet table as described above, but with the following modifications. Every individual was tested a total of six times with source lobsters from one of three dominance status classifications: familiar, unfamiliar dominant, and unfamiliar subordinate. Familiar source lobsters were individuals from the test subjects’ housing tank. Unfamiliar dominant source lobsters were dominant individuals from a different housing tank while unfamiliar subordinate source lobsters were subordinate individuals from a different housing tank. Both unfamiliar dominant and unfamiliar subordinate source lobsters were selected to be close in size to the test subject lobster (+7.8 mm CL). Each test subject was tested twice with each of these three types of conspecific cues for a total of six choice tests. Since the dominance status of the source lobster was not found to influence the choice of an individual, we calculated the proportion of the six trials where an individual chose the conspecific odour as a measure of an individual’s level of conspecific attraction. Analysis of covariance was used to analyse the % conspecific attraction after arcsine square-root transformation. Size was the covariate with sex and dominance status as fixed effects. Table 1. Comparison of six conspecific attraction experiments. Authors (year published) Ratchford and Eggleston (1998) This study Briones-Fourzán et al. (2008) Anderson and Behringer (2013) This study This study Journal Animal Behaviour ICES JMS Biological Bulletin MEPS ICES JMS ICES JMS Year tested 1996 2004 2006 2010 2010 –11 2012 Collection location Bahamas Florida Keys Mexico Florida Keys Florida Keys Florida Keys Sample size (n) 29 23 20 30 26 78 Size min 49.2 19.5 38.8 25.0 31.3 15.5 Size max 97.7 42.6 75.9 50.0 54.1 42.4 Size mean 69.5 33.4 34.1 38.4 35.1 i173 Caribbean spiny lobsters becoming less social Influence of region on conspecific attraction This experiment was specifically designed to test whether individuals differ in their attraction to conspecific chemical cues and whether these differences can be explained by the local prevalence of disease from where they were collected. Seventy-eight juvenile lobsters (15.5 –42.4 mm CL) from two regions of Florida Bay were held in captivity for 4 weeks in May and June 2012 while being tested for conspecific attraction. Thirty-six individuals came from the region near Lower Matecumbe Key. This region is characterized by a recent mass mortality of sponges, lower juvenile density (2–20 lobsters/625 m2), and low levels of PaV1 infection (0–1% of individuals visibly infected). Forty-two individuals came from the region near Grassy Key. This region is characterized by an intact sponge community, higher juvenile density (15–50 lobsters/ 625 m2), and high levels of PaV1 infection (5–10% of individuals visibly infected). These chemical cue choice tests were conducted at the Keys Marine Laboratory, Long Key, FL (USA). Individuals were housed in 50 l tanks with flow-through filtered seawater from Florida Bay under natural photoperiod (13L : 11D), salinity (36–40 psu), and temperature (26 –308C). Conspecific attraction choice tests were conducted using a Y-maze wet table as described above with the following modifications. Trials were only 1 h duration beginning at 1900–2300 hours and ending at 2000–0000 hours. While this was a considerably shorter duration that our previous studies, it was necessary to complete the number of trials needed within a 1-week period for each cohort of lobsters. Analysis of video-taped trials in the laboratory have shown that Y-maze side association changes very little from the first to the last hour over a 24-h period (see Supplementary materials). The number of individuals choosing control and number choosing conspecific cues were analysed by region to determine if conspecific attraction was random using a log-linear contingency test. Then the ratios of individuals attracted to conspecifics vs. control for the low and high disease regions were compared by log-linear contingency test. Anderson and Behringer (2013). However, the combined results from 1996 to 2006 (58 of 72 choosing conspecific chemical cues) vs. the combined results from 2010 to 2012 (79 of 134 choosing conspecific chemical cues) were significantly different (n ¼ 206, G ¼ 10.33, p ¼ 0.0013). Influence of dominance status on conspecific attraction Juvenile lobsters establish dominance ranks with similar size conspecifics with one individual usually showing 10–50% more aggressive acts than its partner (Heldt et al., 2015). But an individual’s dominance status did not influence its preference for conspecific chemical cues (d.f. ¼ 1, 22, F ¼ 0.3613, p ¼ 0.5539). Nor did an individual’s sex (d.f. ¼ 1, 22, F ¼ 0.0340, p ¼ 0.8554) or CL (d.f. ¼ 1, 22, F ¼ 0.2801, p ¼ 0.6019) influence its conspecific attraction (Figure 2). Furthermore, there was no significant effect of the dominance status of the individual used as the chemical cue source on conspecific attraction (d.f. ¼ 1, 22, F ¼ 1.160, p ¼ 0.2922). There were, however, individual differences in conspecific attraction with some juveniles choosing conspecific chemical cues consistently more than other individuals. Influence of region on conspecific attraction Lobsters collected from the Grassy Key region of Florida Bay (sponges present, high juvenile lobster densities, high prevalence of PaV1 visibly infection) had significantly lower conspecific attraction than those from the Lower Matecumbe Key region of Florida Bay (sponges absent, low juvenile lobster density, and low prevalence of PaV1 visibly infection). This regional effect was statistically significant (n ¼ 78, d.f. ¼ 1, G ¼ 4.687, p ¼ 0.0304, Figure 3). However, since these regions differ in multiple factors, it is unclear if this difference is influenced by the prevalence of the disease, the availability of sponge crevice shelters, and/or the density of juvenile lobsters. Discussion Meta-analysis of annual variation in conspecific attraction Juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters historically have demonstrated a significant preference for conspecific chemical cues when tested in Y-maze choice tests (Ratchford and Eggleston, 1998; BrionesFourzán et al., 2008). However, in our conspecific attraction Juvenile spiny lobster conspecific attraction has changed over the years (n ¼ 206, d.f. ¼ 5, G ¼ 12.64, p ¼ 0.0270, Figure 1). Juvenile spiny lobsters showed a significant preference for conspecific chemical cues in 1996 (n ¼ 29, G ¼ 5.665, p ¼ 0.0173, Ratchford and Eggleston 1998), 2004 (n ¼ 23, G ¼ 5.53, p ¼ 0.0186, this study), and 2006 (n ¼ 20, G ¼ 4.051, p ¼ 0.0441, Briones-Fourzan et al., 2008). However, studies conducted since 2010 have not found a significant preference for conspecific chemical cues. Studies in 2010 (n ¼ 30, G ¼ 1.724, p ¼ 0.1892, Anderson and Behringer, 2013), 2011 (n ¼ 26, G ¼ 0.310, p ¼ 0.5778, this study), and 2012 (n ¼ 78, G ¼ 0.644, p ¼ 0.4222, this study) suggest a gradual decrease in the attractiveness of conspecific chemical cues (Figure 1). An analysis of other possible variables that differed across these experiments including location, maze dimensions, flow rates, housing conditions, and experimental methods were no better explaining these differences than the year the study was conducted (see Supplementary Table S1). Post hoc comparisons (Figure 1) found that our conspecific attraction results from 2004 were not significantly different from those measured by Ratchford and Eggleston (1998) or BrionesFourzán et al. (2008). Similarly, our conspecific attraction results from 2011 were not significantly different from those measured by Figure 2. Individual conspecific attraction measured as per cent preference for conspecific odour over control odour in six Y-maze choice tests vs. the size (mm CL) of the individual. Squares are males and circles are females. Individuals with shaded symbols are dominant and individuals with open symbols are subordinate. Although conspecific attraction varied among individuals, this variation was not related to size, sex, or dominance status. Results i174 Figure 3. Conspecific attraction (mean + 95% CI) measured as per cent preference for conspecific odour over control odour in a Y-maze choice test vs. Florida Bay region where the lobsters were collected. Numbers inside of bars represent the number of lobsters tested. Matecumbe Key had lower lobster density, lower disease prevalence, and no sponge shelters. Grassy Key had higher lobster density, higher disease prevalence, and large sponge shelters. Neither of these groups of lobsters showed a statistically significant preference for conspecific chemical cues, but they did differ significantly in their ratio of individuals choosing conspecific vs. control sides of the Y-maze. experiments, we demonstrate that juvenile Caribbean spiny lobster attraction to conspecific chemical cues has decreased through time. Individuals collected in 2004, significantly preferred familiar conspecific chemical cues in 82.6% of trials. However, individuals collected in 2011 and 2012 showed no significant preference for conspecific chemical cues (57.7 and 66.5% preferences, respectively). Since these experiments were conducted using the same Y-maze, and similar laboratory conditions, it cannot be dismissed as differences due to the experimental methodologies (see Supplemental materials). Furthermore, our observations corroborate the findings of Anderson and Behringer (2013) that also found no significant conspecific attraction for Florida Bay lobsters collected in 2010. There are several possible explanations that we investigated to potentially explain this loss of conspecific attraction since 2010. First, we found that when individuals were tested multiple times, there were differences between individuals. These differences were not due to the individual’s dominance status, sex, or size. Nor were these differences due to the identity or dominance status of the individual used as the source. However, individual variation indicates that a juvenile’s attraction to conspecifics shows a degree of repeatability. This is what one would expect if the response to conspecific chemical cues has some level of heritability (Dinglemanse and Dochtermann, 2013). Heritable behavioural traits may respond to natural or artificial selection leading to changes in the mean and variance of the trait in future generations (Bell et al., 2009). Previous studies have found that larger juvenile P. argus tend to be more aggressive and dominant over smaller juveniles (Berrill, 1975; Heldt et al., 2015) and that dominance status is also communicated through the release and detection of urine-born cues (Shabani et al., 2008, 2009). Therefore, it is interesting that conspecific attraction did not differ based on the familiarity or the dominance status of the source individual. Perhaps this is because the source lobster was separated from the choosing lobster in the Y-maze and thus, was not in direct physical contact. Previous experiments have not repeatedly measured the response of the same individual multiple times, so the degree in which individual M. J. Childress et al. repeatability in chemical cue preference has changed is unknown and should be investigated. Second, variation in the conspecific chemical cue attraction across years and regions may reflect decreases in crevice shelter availability or increases in shelter competition. Historically, large sponges (.20 cm diameter) were the primary natural shelter occupied by juvenile spiny lobsters (Butler and Herrnkind, 1997; Forcucci et al., 1994; Herrnkind et al., 1997; Childress and Herrnkind, 1997). Beginning in 1991 and again in 2007, large regions of Florida Bay experienced wide-spread cyanobacteria blooms that killed nearly all sponges .20 cm diameter (Butler et al., 1995). Our 2004 collections of juvenile lobsters from the bayside hardbottom of Long Key, FL, occurred before the mass sponge mortality of fall 2007. However, after the mass sponge mortality, juvenile lobsters were largely restricted to areas with natural solution holes, artificial structures, or boat channels with exposed rock ledges and rubble piles like our Long Key collecting location. Therefore, lobsters collected after 2007 may have experienced fewer natural crevice shelters and elevated shelter competition. The loss of natural crevice shelters may have increased competition for those few remaining shelters. Although juvenile spiny lobsters are known to share shelters, there are only a finite number of lobsters that can receive protection from any crevice shelter. Decreased shelter number and increased shelter competition might explain why lobsters are less attracted to conspecific chemical cues, but our results did not support this prediction. Lobsters from regions hard hit by the mass sponge mortality actually showed higher attraction than lobsters from regions with an intact sponge community. They also show higher den fidelity (Heldt et al., 2015). Thus, where shelters were most abundant, lobsters were least attracted to the chemical cues of conspecifics. While habitat loss might have influenced the decrease in conspecific attraction in Florida Bay juveniles, it should be rigorously examined for other regions of the Caribbean where conspecific attraction has also decreased. Third, concomitant with decreasing water quality and declining shelter availability, juvenile lobsters from Florida Bay are exposed to PaV1, a lethal viral pathogen that is transmitted by close contact with infected individuals. Although the origin of PaV1 in the Florida Keys is unknown (Shields and Behringer, 2004), and its clinical prevalence in the population (5– 9%) has remained relatively stable since its discovery (Behringer et al., 2011), exposure to the pathogen may still be having a significant effect on variability between individuals in conspecific attraction. Behringer et al. (2006) have demonstrated that healthy lobsters can detect and avoid the chemical cues of visibly infected individuals but infected lobsters cannot. Therefore, one possible explanation for the decline in conspecific attraction may be an increased number of individuals with subclinical PaV1 infection within the populations of juvenile lobsters we tested. Moss et al. (2012) found that locations in the Florida Keys vary widely in the prevalence of individuals that test positive for PaV1 and that individuals may indeed be positive for PaV1 virus via PCR assay but not clinically infected (Behringer et al., 2012). However, this explanation is unlikely to explain the variation we observed in attraction to conspecific chemical cues because first, visibly infected lobsters were excluded from study; second, lobsters were held in captivity for 3 –6 months after collection; and third, variation in attraction was not found to be related to the source individual. Fourth, disease may have played a more subtle role in explaining our results. If individuals have variation in their attraction to conspecifics as demonstrated in dominance status experiment and i175 Caribbean spiny lobsters becoming less social PaV1 eliminates those individuals that are most attracted to conspecific chemical cues, then those that survive may be less attracted to conspecifics. This explanation might be supported by our data since the prevalence of visibly infected individuals near Grassy Key (4.64%) was higher than the prevalence of visibly infected individuals near Lower Matecumbe Key (1.64%). Thus, where disease was relatively high, conspecific attraction was relatively low (45.2%) whereas where disease was relatively low, conspecific attraction was significantly higher (69.4%). Clearly, more research is needed on the localized effect of disease prevalence and its effect on the conspecific attraction of those that survive. So what can explain a decrease in conspecific attraction? Certainly, the presence of PaV1 is widespread and could be causing a wide-spread decline in conspecific attraction (Behringer et al., 2011). Researchers from Mexico also report that levels of juvenile conspecific attraction from recent Y-maze trials are showing similar declines (P. Briones-Fourzán, pers. comm.). This suggests that this pattern is not unique to juvenile lobsters from Florida. Alternatively, since spiny lobsters are fished very heavily throughout the Caribbean using baited traps or artificial shelters where those individuals most attracted to conspecifics are those most likely removed by the fishery. Is it possible that the decrease in conspecific attraction is due to fishery-induced selection on attraction behaviour? Other life history traits have been significantly impacted by intensive fishing including size at first reproduction, sperm limitation, and sex ratios (Kuparinen and Merilä, 2007). Like these life history traits, behaviours are also subject to the intensive selection the fishery exerts on the population (Uusi-Heikkila et al., 2008). Given the importance of conspecific attraction to growth, survival, and reproduction in Caribbean spiny lobsters, it would make sense that fishery-induced selection against gregariousness may be having a significant impact on lobster behaviour. This hypothesis will be very hard to test given that fishing occurs across the entire geographic range of this species and the dispersal of the larvae leads to genetic panmixis. Furthermore, why is the decline in conspecific attraction showing up now, when fishing practices have been removing the most gregarious individuals for several decades? These are the important questions that we should focus on in the future to better understand the impact of human activities on this commercially important species. Supplementary data Supplementary material is available at the ICESJMS online version of the manuscript. Acknowledgements This study was conducted in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary under research perm its (FKNMS-2005-038, FKNMS2008-035, and FKNMS-2009-118) and the collections of juvenile lobsters were permitted by the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission (SAL-05-1071-SR, SAL-08-1071-SR, and SAL-111071-SR). Experiment D was conducted at the Keys Marine Laboratory. We thank Lonny Anderson, Cindy Lewis, Kylie Smith, Frank Kolencik, Kelsey McClellan, and Ken Sercy for assistance in the collection of animals and the collection of behavioural data. We thank J. Antonio Baeza, Donald Behringer, Rodney Bertelsen, Margaret Ptacek, Kylie Smith, and the Conservation of Marine Resources creative inquiry team for helpful suggestions on earlier versions of the manuscript. 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A behavioural perspective on fishing-induced evolution. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 23: 419– 421. Handling editor: Jonathan Grabowski ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i177 –i184. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv041 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article Casitas: a location-dependent ecological trap for juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters, Panulirus argus Benjamin C. Gutzler 1, Mark J. Butler, IV 1*, and Donald C. Behringer 2,3 1 Department of Biological Sciences, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA 23529, USA Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Program, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32653, USA 3 Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA 2 *Corresponding author: tel: +1 757 683 3609; fax: +1 757 683 5283; e-mail: [email protected] Gutzler, B. C., Butler, M. J.IV, and Behringer, D. C. Casitas: a location-dependent ecological trap for juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters, Panulirus argus. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i177– i184. Received 25 August 2014; accepted 23 February 2015; advance access publication 15 March 2015. Casitas are artificial shelters used by fishers to aggregate Caribbean spiny lobsters (Panulirus argus) for ease of capture. However, casitas may function as an ecological trap for juvenile lobsters if they are attracted to casitas and their growth or mortality is poorer compared with natural shelters. We hypothesized that juvenile lobsters may be at particular risk if attracted to casitas because they are less able than larger individuals to defend themselves, and do not forage far from shelter. We compared the nutritional condition, relative mortality, and activity of lobsters of various sizes in casitas and natural shelters in adult and juvenile lobster-dominated habitats in the Florida Keys (United States). We found that the ecological effects of casitas are complex and location-dependent. Lobsters collected from casitas and natural shelters did not differ in nutritional condition. However, juvenile lobsters in casitas experienced higher rates of mortality than did individuals in natural shelters; the mortality of large lobsters did not differ between casitas and natural shelters. Thus, casitas only function as ecological traps when deployed in nursery habitats where juvenile lobsters are lured by conspecifics to casitas where their risk of predation is higher. These results highlight the importance of accounting for animal size and location-dependent effects when considering the consequences of habitat modification for fisheries enhancement. Keywords: aggregation device, casita, ecological trap, Panulirus argus, spiny lobster. Introduction Ecological traps, a subset of the broader concept of an evolutionary trap (Schlaepfer et al., 2002; Robertson et al., 2013), occur when a maladaptive and often novel habitat is chosen by an animal over more typical habitats where their fitness is greater (Robertson and Hutto, 2006). This is generally a result of anthropogenic change and occurs when the cues animals use to judge habitat suitability, are decoupled from habitat quality (Gilroy and Sutherland, 2007). Often the costs of ecological traps to animal fitness are associated with recruitment failures or decreased breeding success (Dwernychuk and Boag, 1972; Kriska et al., 1998; Weldon and Haddad, 2005), decreased physical condition (Hallier and Gaertner, 2008; Semeniuk and Rothley, 2008), or increased mortality (Hawlena et al., 2010; Ekroos et al., 2012). Although the concept of an ecological trap was first described in the 1970s (Dwernychuk and Boag, 1972; Gates and # International Gysel, 1978), few cases have been rigorously tested (Schlaepfer et al., 2002; Pärt et al., 2007) and most come from terrestrial systems. For example, passerine birds often prefer habitats with heterogeneous vegetation, and thus preferentially nest along human-created habitat edges where predators of nestlings are concentrated (Gates and Gysel, 1978; Weldon and Haddad, 2005). Mayflies lay their eggs on asphalt roads that reflect polarized light at a greater intensity than do the streams where eggs are normally laid (Kriska et al., 1998). Only a few ecological traps are documented in marine environments. For example, tuna that are attracted to fish aggregation devices are in poorer nutritional condition than free-schooling tuna, and so are more vulnerable to exploitation (Hallier and Gaertner, 2008). Another potential marine ecological trap is one posed by casitas—artificial structures placed on the seabed to aggregate Caribbean spiny lobster (Panulirus argus) for ease of capture. Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2015. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] i178 Casitas as possible ecological traps Caribbean spiny lobsters support the most valuable fishery in the Caribbean (Chávez, 2009) where fishers use a variety of methods to capture them, including casitas (also known as pesqueros or condos) that mimic the natural crevice shelters used by lobsters. Casitas vary in size and construction, but are usually flat, rectangular structures 4 m2 in area with at least two open sides ,10 cm in height. Lobsters aggregate in casitas, increasing their ease of capture by fishers. However, the potential effect of casitas on lobster population biology and productivity is contentious because of gaps in our understanding of their effects on lobsters of all sizes (Herrnkind and Cobb, 2007). Generally, only a few lobsters share a natural den at a time, especially in nursery habitats (Childress and Herrnkind, 1997). However, casitas can contain dozens of individuals at concentrations far exceeding those found in most natural shelters (Mintz et al., 1994). When placed in environments with few natural shelters, casitas are very effective at aggregating lobsters, which are attracted to conspecifics via chemosensory cues (Zimmer-Faust et al., 1985; Ratchford and Eggleston, 1998). In nature, this behaviour aids them in finding scattered shelter and in group defence against predators (Ratchford and Eggleston, 2000; Childress and Herrnkind, 2001). Unlike larger lobsters, small juvenile lobsters are usually solitary and too small to deter predators, even when in groups, so they rely instead on camouflage for protection; thus, over-aggregation of small juvenile lobsters may be maladaptive (Anderson et al., 2013). Most research on casitas has focused on their effects on large, fishery-sized lobsters targeted by fishers (de la Torre and Miller, 1987; Sosa-Cordero et al., 1998; Nizinski, 2007). Other studies have examined the potentially beneficial effects of small shelters on juvenile lobster populations in nursery habitats where shelters may be scarce (Eggleston et al., 1992; Arce et al., 1997; Butler and Herrnkind, 1997; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2007) and post-settlement predation on juvenile lobsters is a major population bottleneck (Herrnkind and Butler, 1986; Butler and Herrnkind, 1997). Depending on the habitat where casitas are placed, they aggregate juvenile, adult, or both lobster stages. It is thus crucial to understand the effects of casitas on lobsters of all sizes (ages), especially because casitas are currently deployed throughout the Caribbean and their use is expanding. Many predators of juvenile lobsters (e.g. grouper, Epinephelinae; snapper, Lutjanidae; triggerfish, Balistidae; nurse sharks, Ginglymostoma cirratum) also are attracted to casitas (Eggleston et al., 1992; Mintz et al., 1994). These gape-limited piscine predators pose little threat to legal-sized lobsters, but small juvenile lobsters that occupy casitas may not be able to avoid or fend off such predators. The concentration of lobsters and other animals attracted to casitas also depletes food resources in the area immediately surrounding the casita (Nizinski, 2007). Large lobsters are highly mobile and can forage beyond the prey-depleted zone near casitas, whereas less mobile juvenile lobsters are perhaps unable to reach prey-rich areas outside this zone (Butler and Herrnkind, 2000). Increased predation pressure near casitas may also indirectly limit the movement and foraging of small lobsters (Weiss et al., 2008). Like other artificial structures deployed in the sea to attract fish and invertebrates for ease of capture (e.g. fish aggregating devices, artificial “reefs”), it remains unclear whether casitas enhance lobster populations (the “Production” hypothesis) or merely redistribute lobsters by concentrating them for easier exploitation (the “Attraction” hypothesis; Pickering and Whitmarsh, 1997; Wilson B. C. Gutzler et al. et al., 2001; Granneman and Steele, 2014). Some contend that adding casitas to habitats where a lack of structure limits lobster abundance may reduce predator-induced mortality (BrionesFourzán and Lozano-Álvarez, 2001) or permit lobsters to exploit underutilized areas, thus expanding their range, population size, and “production” (Sosa-Cordero et al., 1998). But the “population expansion” hypothesis assumes that P. argus populations are normally limited by density-dependent growth, for which evidence is currently lacking (Butler and Herrnkind, 1997; Behringer and Butler, 2006). Alternately, the “Attraction” hypothesis suggests that casitas simply change the spatial distribution of lobsters by aggregating them (Davis, 1985) without a commensurate increase in survival, growth, or reproduction. In addition, the unnatural aggregation of lobsters in casitas may subject them to more predators, pathogens, and perhaps greater intraspecific competition for food. We hypothesized that casitas act as an ecological trap by decreasing foraging success and increasing the risk of predation on small juvenile lobsters. Our study tested the potential effect of casitas on the Caribbean spiny lobster in two distinctly different habitats: shallow nursery areas and deeper adult lobster habitat. Methods Study area Our study sites were located in the Florida Bay north of the Middle Florida Keys and in the Gulf of Mexico north of the Lower Florida Keys (FL, United States; Figure 1). The sites that we studied and the casitas we used in the Middle Keys were those originally deployed in 1990 by Mintz et al. (1994) near the Arsnicker Keys and Twin Keys within Everglades National Park. These sites were 2 –3 m deep within mixed hardbottom and seagrass habitat typical of lobster nursery areas in the Florida Keys. Each site contained an array of 16 casitas made of concrete and PVC spaced 30 m apart; most of them were still functional nearly 25 years after their initial deployment by Mintz et al. (1994). As described by Mintz et al. (1994), two types of casitas of slightly different dimensions were deployed at the two sites: eight “large” casitas (177 × 118 × 6 cm) and eight Figure 1. Study areas in the Florida Keys, FL, United States. (Top inset) Location of the Florida Keys at the southern terminus of the Florida peninsula. (Bottom inset) Photo of a casita. (a) Adult habitat study region in the Lower Florida Keys. (b) Nursery habitat study region in the Middle Keys. Location-dependent ecological trap for juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters “medium” casitas (157 × 105 × 4 cm). These casitas are roughly equivalent in size and shape to the casitas used in fisheries throughout the Caribbean, especially in the most important dimension of opening height, which is often 6–15 cm (Lozano-Álvarez et al., 2003; Ley-Cooper et al., 2013). However, the casitas used by fishers and those used in this study are much larger than the small, artificial structures employed in some experimental studies and referred to by various names (e.g. “small casitas”, sensu Eggleston et al., 1990; “shelters” sensu Butler and Herrnkind 1997). At the Lower Keys sites, we used existing casitas deployed by fishers on sand habitat in 10 m of water several km north of the islands. These casitas varied in size and construction, but were generally 200 cm long × 150 cm wide × 6 cm tall with two open sides, and thus similar in size to those on our Middle Keys sites and those used Caribbean-wide by fishers. In the Middle Keys, we compared the lobster populations from casitas to those from natural shelters (e.g. solution holes, coral heads, and large sponges) found in nearby hardbottom areas. At the study site in the Lower Keys, an eroded reef line between the Content Keys and Mud Keys as well as scattered coral heads are the dominant natural shelters used by lobsters in the area. Lobsters obtained from those shelters were therefore used for comparison to lobsters collected from casitas. We handled and processed all lobsters humanely and in accord with applicable animal care regulations; in the United States, studies involving decapods are not subject to the same animal care regulations as vertebrates. Effect of shelter type on nutritional condition From May to August of 2012 and 2013, we compared the population structure and nutritional condition of lobsters captured by divers using hand nets and tail snares from a haphazard subset of casitas and natural shelters (e.g. coral heads, solution holes, and large sponges) at the two Middle Keys sites (Arsnicker Keys and Twin Keys) and in the Lower Keys. We also estimated the occupancy of casitas by surveying all lobsters present under 16 casitas (n ¼ 7 in the Middle Keys and n ¼ 9 in the Lower Keys), a subset of those that we visited during the entire study. After capture, we recorded the carapace length (CL), sex, injuries, and molt stage (based on microscopic analysis of pleopods; Lyle and MacDonald 1983) of each lobster (n ¼ 669). We retained a subset of the lobsters for analyses of nutrition (n ¼ 325), euthanizing them by rapid freezing and then dissecting out their hepatopancreas, which was then preserved in 95% ethanol. Later, the dry weight of each hepatopancreas was determined by drying at 608C for 72 h and computing the dry weight index of the hepatopancreas (DWI; Bryars and Geddes, 2005). The DWI was superior to four other commonly used nutritional indices that we tested (Gutzler, 2014). We analysed the data in a one-way ANCOVA with four levels to test the effects of casitas and natural shelters in the Middle Keys nursery habitat and Lower Keys adult habitat on DWI, using lobster CL as a covariate. We followed up by testing for differences between treatment group means using a difference contrast. We rank-transformed the data to avoid violating parametric assumptions. Effect of shelter type on relative predation-induced mortality We used tethering to assess differences in the relative mortality of large and small lobsters in casitas and natural shelters in the two Florida Keys study regions. Lobsters were tethered by tying i179 monofilament fishing line around their carapace between the second and third periopods, and tying on a snap swivel on the dorsal side of the carapace before sealing the knots with cyanoacrylate superglue. The snap swivel was clipped to a brick with 30 cm of monofilament for small (CL ≤35 mm) lobsters, or two bricks with 50 cm of monofilament for large (CL ≥60 mm) lobsters. Tethered lobsters were placed by divers at the entrance of casitas or next to appropriately sized natural shelters such as solution holes, large sponges, and coral heads. In both cases, we used shelters already occupied by lobsters whenever possible. Each tethered lobster was thus able to freely move in and out of the shelter, and could retreat well within it. After 24 h, we returned and assessed mortality. Missing lobsters were considered killed if the tether was torn or there were remnants of carapace still attached to it; otherwise, we considered missing lobsters to have escaped and excluded them from the analyses. Less than 10% of the lobsters escaped their tethers. We tethered 184 lobsters at casitas and 147 lobsters at natural shelters during summer of 2012 and 2013. In the Middle Keys, where two distinct sizes of casita were used, we obtained usable data (excluding any potential escapes) from 58 lobsters at 13 different casitas of the “large” design and 25 lobsters under seven different casitas of the “medium” design. Although the survival of tethered lobsters may be correlated with lobster density within casitas, it explains ,10% of the variance in survival (Mintz et al., 1994). Therefore, we did not determine lobster density within each casita before deploying tethered lobsters, so as to avoid disturbing the occupants. We never tethered lobsters in casitas that were unoccupied or sparsely occupied. We also did not quantify predator abundance around casitas for two reasons. First, measures of daytime predation only cover a fraction of the 24-h period, the very fraction when predation on lobsters is often low. Diver observations, especially daytime observations, also miss most of the transient predators that consume lobsters (Smith and Herrnkind 1992). Second, previous results revealed only a weak relationship between lobster survival and predator abundance near casitas (Mintz et al. 1994, Eggleston et al., 1997). We analysed the tethering data using a four-way log-linear contingency analysis to compare the effects of region, shelter type, and size on lobster survival. We followed up with both visual inspection of the data and subdivision of the contingency table to determine which comparisons between the sites, lobster size classes, and shelter types were responsible for differences between observed and expected frequencies. Assessment of relative activity patterns between shelter types and size classes We used accelerometry to test for differences in lobster activity between those dwelling in natural shelters vs. casitas, following protocols described in Gutzler and Butler (2014). We captured lobsters from casitas (n ¼ 7) and natural shelters (n ¼ 13) in the Middle Keys and affixed to them an electronic backpack that transmitted accelerometry data (AT-82 coded transmitter tag with a miniSUR receiver, Sonotronics, Inc.); lobsters were then immediately released back into their original shelter. After 24 h, we returned to the site and used a directional hydrophone (DH-4 Underwater Diver Receiver, Sonotronics, Inc.) to relocate and recapture the lobster. After recapture, we removed the backpack and released the lobster. The accelerometry data were processed in MATLABw, then analysed using a split-plot ANOVA, with the fraction of data points spent active each hour as the factor of interest, shelter type as the whole-plot factor, hour of day as the subplot factor, and individual lobsters as i180 B. C. Gutzler et al. Table 1. Results of a one-way ANCOVA testing the effect of the four region × shelter combinations (Lower Keys natural habitat, Lower Keys casita, Middle Keys natural habitat, and Middle Keys casita) on the nutritional condition (hepatopancreas DWI) of lobsters, with CL as a covariate. Group means of DWI are shown below, with homogeneous subsets underlined as determined by a deviation contrast. Source Carapace length (covariate) Shelter type + region Error Total d.f. 1 3 320 325 MS 252525.304 18422.838 6755.488 F 37.381 2.727 p ,0.001 0.044 Group Mean DWI Lower Keys casita 1.096 Lower Keys natural 0.953 Middle Keys casita 0.756 Middle Keys natural 0.581 blocks. All data were rank-transformed because they violated parametric assumptions. Results Effect of shelter type on nutritional condition Mean lobster size was 50.8 + 22.2 mm CL (mean + 1 SD) in the Middle Keys (n ¼ 249) and 84.0 + 11.4 mm CL in the Lower Keys (n ¼ 76). Sex ratios did not differ between regions or shelter types, and none of the lobsters collected appeared reproductively active. The lobsters captured in casitas were generally larger than those captured in natural shelters (mean size 66.0 + 26.1 mm CL in casitas and 51.6 + 21.1 mm CL in natural shelters, mean + 1 SD). We found a mean occupancy of 40.6 + 27.1 lobsters (mean + 1 SD) per casita in the Middle Keys and 22.1 + 14.9 (mean + 1 SD) in the Lower Keys. The fewest lobsters found under a casita were seven in the Lower Keys, whereas up to 83 lobsters were observed under a single casita in the Middle Keys. Shelter type had no effect on lobster nutritional condition as measured by DWI (Table 1 and Figure 2). The covariate of lobster size (CL) explained the most variance in the data. Although the ANCOVA revealed significant differences between groups (p ¼ 0.044), a deviation contrast (Middle Keys natural shelters as reference category) found no distinct homogeneous subsets. Most of the differences in the lobster nutritional condition were due to region, with lobsters in the Lower Keys having a higher DWI than those in the Middle Keys. The lobsters sampled for DWI were selected to ensure that the full size range of animals was sampled, and we did not include pre-molt or post-molt individuals, as these conditions can skew nutritional condition measurements (Oliver and MacDiarmid 2001, Behringer and Butler 2006). Effect of shelter type on relative predation-induced mortality There were no significant interactions between the effects of region, shelter type, and size on lobster survival (Chi-squared ¼ 0.179, d.f. ¼ 1, p ¼ 0.672; Figure 3). Subdivision of the main contingency table and subsequent inspection of the data revealed that the only significant differences in survival occurred in small lobsters in the Middle Keys, where lobsters in casitas were killed at higher rates than those in natural shelters (Fisher’s exact test; p ¼ 0.023). The small lobsters in Middle Keys casitas experienced the lowest overall survival after 24 h (57.9%), whereas large lobsters in casitas in the Lower Keys had the highest survival (97.4%). Small lobsters were subject to higher rates of mortality than large lobsters always. A log-linear contingency table analysis examining the effects of lobster size and casita size (“large” vs. “medium”; sensu Mintz et al., 1994) on lobster survival after 24 h revealed no significant Figure 2. Nutritional condition (hepatopancreas DWI) of lobsters as a function of CL compared between natural shelters and casitas. Figure 3. Percent of tethered lobsters of two size classes (small ≤35 mm CL; large ≥60 mm CL) surviving after 24 h in different shelter types and regions. Significant differences in survival between natural shelters and casitas are marked by an asterisk. Sample size is shown at the base of the bars. Error bars ¼ 95% confidence intervals. association (Chi-squared ¼ 0.59, d.f. ¼ 1, p ¼ 0.443). A study conducted in the same area on the same casitas nearly 25 years before ours (Mintz et al., 1994) also found no significant difference in lobster survival between large- and medium-sized casitas, which is not surprising given that the two types of casitas are only 20% different in area (2.0 vs. 1.6 m2) and the difference in the heights of their openings (2 cm) is likely too small to substantially change their value as shelters for lobsters in the broad size range we encountered (25 –75 mm CL). i181 Location-dependent ecological trap for juvenile Caribbean spiny lobsters Assessment of relative activity patterns across shelter types and size classes Small lobsters showed very little diurnal activity, regardless of shelter type. However, we found a significant interaction between shelter type and time of day on lobster activity. Small lobsters sheltering in casitas were more active at night relative to those in natural shelters (Table 2 and Figure 4). Discussion The effects of casitas on lobster populations are complex and depend both on lobster size and the habitat within which casitas are deployed. Lobsters collected from casitas and natural shelters did not differ in nutritional condition. However, lobsters in the deeper adult habitats of the Lower Keys were in better nutritional condition than those in the Middle Keys nursery habitats, regardless of the shelter type from which they were collected. Small juvenile lobsters tethered in casitas in nursery habitats experienced significantly greater predation than those in natural shelters, whereas predation on large lobsters did not differ between shelter types or regions. These results indicate that casitas have minimal effects on large lobsters. However, if deployed in nursery habitats where small lobsters are abundant, casitas act as ecological traps for juvenile lobsters by aggregating them in inappropriately large structures where they suffer higher predation. The casita– habitat interaction Lobsters of all sizes are commonly found in shallow habitats, many of which are nursery areas. Casitas have become increasingly common throughout the Caribbean and are often used in shallow Table 2. Results of a split-plot ANOVA testing the effect of shelter type and time of day (h) on the proportion of time small lobsters (CL ≤45 mm) spent active, as determined by accelerometry. Source Shelter type Individual (shelter type) Hour Shelter type × hour Error Total d.f. 1 18 23 23 351 479 MS 40868.32 44340.04 42337.03 19264.62 10408.62 F 0.922 p 4.067 1.851 ,0.001 0.011 0.350 nursery habitats where our results indicate that they have the most potential to cause harm. Fishers usually locate casitas in shallow (,5 m) areas that are close to shore and where they can harvest lobsters by free diving rather than scuba (de la Torre and Miller, 1987; Lozano-Álvarez and Briones-Fourzán, 1991; Ley-Cooper et al., 2013). Yet, when casitas are deployed in nursery habitat, the increased rate of predation on small juvenile lobsters that are drawn to them by the odour of other lobsters within them produces an ecological trap acting on the very life stage considered to be the demographic bottleneck to the population (Butler and Herrnkind, 1997). Predator concentrations near casitas are often greater than those near the more widely dispersed natural shelters used by juvenile lobsters (Eggleston and Lipcius, 1992; Mintz et al., 1994). Most of these piscine predators are gape-limited, and thus more of a threat to smaller juvenile lobsters. Indeed, predation on tethered small lobsters was high (40–45% killed in 24 h) whether in casitas or in natural shelters. The scaling of a shelter relative to the size of a lobster plays an important role in how effective it can be in providing refuge from predation (Eggleston et al., 1990; Mintz et al., 1994). Because casitas are sized to accommodate legal-sized lobsters for capture by fishers, they generally have a much wider opening than the shelters where small juvenile lobsters are normally found. In our study, we often observed predators of lobsters such as nurse sharks, red grouper, and loggerhead turtles (Caretta caretta) nearby or resting inside casitas, with lobsters either notably absent or occupying parts of the casita as far from the predator as possible. Thus, if predators can fit under the shelter, it is clearly not scaled appropriately for small lobsters and is unlikely to serve as a viable refuge. In Florida, an illegal casita fishery is present in deeper water (10 m). It is therefore one of the few areas in the Caribbean where it is possible to examine the effects of casitas in deeper habitats where subadult and adult lobsters are common. Our results suggest that casitas emplaced there have very different effects than those located in nursery habitats. Indeed, we found very few lobsters ,50 mm CL at our Lower Keys site and most (76%) were larger than the minimum legal size limit of 76 mm CL. In this deeper region, large lobsters experienced no differences in mortality or nutrition between natural shelters and casitas. Thus, unlike casitas in nursery habitats where both small and large lobsters are present, casitas in deeper habitats have neutral effects on the lobster population. Casitas and the “attraction vs. production” debate Figure 4. Activity patterns of small lobsters (CL ≤45 mm) in natural shelters and casitas as determined by accelerometry. The shaded area approximates hours of darkness. Error bars are +1 standard error. Whether the aggregations of animals observed around artificial structures (e.g. artificial reefs, fish aggregation devices, and casitas) are the result of enhanced production of biomass or merely, the attraction of individuals from elsewhere has been debated for decades (e.g. Bohnsack, 1989; Pickering and Whitmarsh, 1997; Brickhill et al., 2005). The attractive value of casitas for lobsters is undoubted, and accounts for the adoption of casitas as a fishing gear (Puga et al., 1996). Yet, whether fishing devices like casitas increase the production of lobster biomass is uncertain. Lobsters are usually rare in areas such as seagrass where their prey is abundant, but structures suitable as shelter are scarce. Advocates of casitas argue that casitas deployed in these habitats can enhance lobster production by allowing exploitation of food resources that lobsters otherwise rarely access (Eggleston et al., 1990; Lipcius et al., 1998; Briones-Fourzán and Lozano-Álvarez, 2001). This ignores the possible ecological ramifications of increasing predatory pressure in seagrass communities. Moreover, for casitas to enhance lobster production, they must i182 B. C. Gutzler et al. increase lobster biomass in the population, whether by increased growth or decreased mortality (Bohnsack and Sutherland, 1985). However, other studies indicate that the growth of P. argus in the wild is not density-dependent and does not appear food limited (Behringer and Butler 2006, Nizinski 2007). Indeed, we found that the nutritional condition of both juvenile and adult lobsters were similar whether residing in natural shelters or casitas. Accelerometry also gave us insights into the movement of small and large lobsters residing in casitas and natural shelters. We had hypothesized that the increased risk of predation for small lobsters sheltering in casitas would lead to a shift in their activity patterns, causing them to spend less time foraging away from casitas compared with larger lobsters or those in natural shelters (Weiss et al., 2008). Our results showed that small lobsters in casitas were more active overnight than lobsters in natural shelters, but we could not discern how far they moved. The greater activity of small lobsters near casitas could result from more intraspecific behavioural interactions near crowded casitas, or perhaps reflects greater foraging activity in the prey-depleted feeding halo that surrounds casitas (Nizinski, 2007). misnomer. Small, experimental structures that house small juvenile lobsters should not be called “casitas” because they do not function the same as the larger structures used by fishers. Smaller shelters properly scaled for juvenile lobsters enhance survival (Eggleston et al., 1990; Behringer and Butler, 2006), whereas larger casitas increase mortality on small juvenile lobsters. We therefore urge caution and the consideration of local habitat and lobster population features before implementing casita-based fisheries, so as to reduce the possibility of creating an ecological trap for juveniles. Globally, marine fisheries are experiencing severe declines and collapses (Worm et al., 2009) from which the Caribbean spiny lobster is not exempt (Winterbottom et al., 2012). In the United States, fishery managers are legally obligated to identify and maintain essential habitats for preservation and conservation of fisheries resources (Rosenberg et al., 2000). Shallow nursery habitats are essential habitats because they harbour animals at their most vulnerable life stages (Lindeman et al., 2000). Casitas only operate as ecological traps in areas where small lobsters are present, so management that restricts their use in nursery habitats should be encouraged in the interest of preserving this valuable marine resource. Casitas as an ecological trap for lobsters Acknowledgements Our results indicate that casitas are an ecological trap for juvenile lobsters when deployed in the shallow nursery habitats like those in the Florida Keys. The trap is set when small juvenile lobsters follow their normally beneficial shelter-seeking instincts and are attracted to a casita by the odour of conspecifics (Nevitt et al., 2000). Large lobsters—whose size lies beyond the gape limit of most piscine predators, and who thus suffer no increase in mortality—are present in casitas in aggregations much denser than found in natural shelters (Mintz et al., 1994; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2007). Odours emanating from such dense lobster aggregations are very attractive to small, roaming lobsters (Childress and Herrnkind, 1997; Ratchford and Eggleston, 1998). However, the casita environment teems with predators of small lobsters, increasing the rate of mortality on this particularly vulnerable size class. An analogous situation occurs naturally. Large solution holes contain aggregations of large lobsters that are very attractive to small lobsters, whose abundance in the surrounding natural shelters is depleted by the presence of predatory groupers also living in the solution hole (Schratwieser, 1999). The results of this research showing increased mortality of small lobsters in casitas contradict some previous studies, which concluded that casitas increase lobster production by enhancing survival (Briones-Fourzán and Lozano-Álvarez, 2013). However, of the studies purporting to demonstrate enhanced production of lobsters due to casitas, many did not directly test for differences in predation (Sosa-Cordero et al., 1998; Briones-Fourzán and Lozano-Álvarez, 2001; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2007). Those studies also often used smaller “mini-casitas” better scaled to suit juvenile lobsters, rather than the larger casitas used by fishers and which are at the centre of the attraction – production debate (Arce et al., 1997; Briones-Fourzán and Lozano-Álvarez, 2001; Briones-Fourzán et al., 2007; Lozano-Álvarez et al., 2009). Fishers use casitas with opening heights generally ranging from 6 –8 cm (Lozano-Álvarez et al., 2003) to 15 cm or more (Ley-Cooper et al., 2013), although no uniform size or design exists. Some studies have cautioned against using casitas for fishing in nursery habitats and suggest only using smaller-scale shelters as enhancement devices (Sosa-Cordero et al., 1998). However, using the term “casita” or even “mini-casita” to describe smaller lobster aggregation devices designed for population enhancement is a risky We thank the many students and interns from Old Dominion University and the University of Florida who assisted with this project. The accelerometry component was supported by a Special Equipment Grant from Sonotronics, Inc. This work was funded by Florida Sea Grant project R/LR-B-65 (MJB and DCB). References Anderson, J. R., Spadaro, A. J., Baeza, J. A., and Behringer, D. C. 2013. Ontogenetic shifts in resource allocation: colour change and allometric growth of defensive and reproductive structures in the Caribbean spiny lobster Panulirus argus. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 108: 87 – 98. Arce, A. M., Aguilar-Dávila, W., Sosa-Cordero, E., and Caddy, J. F. 1997. Artificial shelters (casitas) as habitats for juvenile spiny lobsters Panulirus argus in the Mexican Caribbean. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 158: 217– 224. 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Biological Bulletin, 169: 106– 118. Handling editor: Rochelle Seitz ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2015), 72(Supplement 1), i185 –i198. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsu238 Contribution to the Supplement: ‘Lobsters in a Changing Climate’ Original Article Effects of ghost fishing lobster traps in the Florida Keys Casey B. Butler* and Thomas R. Matthews Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, Fish and Wildlife Research Institute, 2796 Overseas Hwy, #119, Marathon, FL 33050, USA *Corresponding author: tel: +1 305 289 2330; fax: +1 305 289 2334; e-mail: [email protected] Butler, C. B., and Matthews, T. R. Effects of ghost fishing lobster traps in the Florida Keys. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: i185 –i198. Received 26 August 2014; revised 19 November 2014; accepted 3 December 2014; advance access publication 7 January 2015. Ghost fishing is the capacity of lost traps to continue to catch and kill animals. In the spiny lobster (Panulirus argus) fishery in Florida, the effects of ghost fishing are of particular concern, given the estimated 10s of 1000s of traps lost annually. We distributed 40 each of the three types of lobster traps (wire, wood – wire hybrid, and wood slat) at three locations in the Florida Keys to simulate ghost fishing. Divers monitored these traps biweekly for 1 year then monthly for two additional years, recording the time ghost traps remained intact and continued to fish, as well as the number of live and dead lobsters and other animals in each trap. Wood slat and hybrid traps remained intact and fished for 509 + 97 (median + median absolute deviation) and 480 + 142 d, respectively. Wire traps fished significantly longer (779.5 + 273.5 d, p , 0.001), and several fished until the end of the experiment (1071 d). Traps in Florida Bay fished longer (711.5 + 51.5 d) than traps inshore (509 + 94.5 d) and offshore (381 + 171 days; p , 0.001) in the Atlantic Ocean. More lobsters were observed in hybrid traps (mean ¼ 4.81 + 0.03 s.e.) than in wood slat (3.85 + 0.16) or wire traps (3.17 + 0.03; F ¼ 40.15, d.f. ¼ 2, p , 0.001). Wire traps accounted for 83% of fish confined overall and 74% of the dead fish observed in traps. Ghost traps in Florida Bay and Atlantic inshore killed 6.8 + 1.0 and 6.3 + 0.88 lobsters per trap annually, while Atlantic offshore traps killed fewer (3.0 + 0.69) lobsters, likely as a result of lower lobster abundance in traps. The combined effects of greater lobster mortality and greater abundance of lost traps in inshore areas account for the majority of the estimated 637 622 + 74 367 (mean + s.d.) lobsters that die in ghost traps annually. Keywords: bycatch, Caribbean spiny lobster, ghost fishing, lobster traps, marine debris, Panulirus argus. Introduction The Caribbean spiny lobster (Panulirus argus) supports one of Florida’s most important commercial and recreational fisheries, with an annual ex-vessel value of between $18 and 35 million USD (Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, unpublished data; Kildow, 2006). The majority (90%) of the commercial spiny lobster catch in Florida comes from the waters surrounding the Florida Keys. Lobsters have been fished from these waters since the early 1800s, but it was not until the 1940s that the fishery shifted almost exclusively to trap fishing (Labisky et al., 1980). The number of traps increased from 250 000 in the 1970s to 936 000 traps by 1991, with no commensurate increase in landings. Excess traps in the fishery were an economic concern of the fishery during this period (Milon et al., 1999; Larkin et al., 2002), but the primary incentive to reducing the number of traps was to decrease mortality in undersize lobsters intentionally retained in traps as live bait (Hunt et al., 1986; Matthews, 2001). # Public domain, 2015 It would also reduce the loss of coral reef habitat and entanglement of protected species by traps and trap rope (Lewis et al., 2009; Adimey et al., 2014). Trap fishers in Florida primarily use rectangular traps (81 × 61 × 46 cm) to catch lobsters. Approximately 90% of these traps are wooden-slat traps composed of a wood frame and six wooden slats on all sides (Matthews et al., 2005), but wire is used in a variety of construction methods to facilitate fishing in deep water, reducing the need for repairs, and increasing trap longevity. On the Atlantic Ocean side of the Florida Keys, wooden traps are occasionally reinforced with wire to reduce damage to the traps by sea turtles and dolphins that break the wood as they try to forage on the lobsters in the traps; these traps represent 8% of traps in the fishery. All wire traps represent 1% of traps and are used in deeper water (.20 m) to facilitate trap pulling and reduce trap movement from storm surge. Plastic traps represent 1% of lobster traps (Matthews et al., 2005). i186 Commercial fishers reported an average annual loss of 18% of lobster traps, equivalent to 90 000 –100 000 traps when 500 000– 530 000 traps were used in the fishery (Matthews and Uhrin, 2009; Arthur et al., 2014). During years with hurricanes, trap losses have reached 65% (FWC, unpublished data). Fishing traps become derelict (lost or abandoned) due to hurricanes and winter storms, entanglement with benthic features, detachment of marker buoys by boat propellers, and theft (Laist, 1995). Derelict traps and ropes pose similar threats as fished traps to the marine ecosystem as well as some unique threats. These threats include the entanglement of trap lines in protected corals (Chiappone et al., 2005), marine mammals, and sea turtles (Guillory et al., 2001; Adimey et al., 2014; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Marine Debris Program, 2014); destruction of coral (Chiappone et al., 2002; Lewis et al., 2009) and seagrass (Uhrin et al., 2005); and persistent marine debris in the water and on the shoreline (Ocean Conservancy, 2014). When derelict traps are intact, they have the capacity to ghost fish, i.e. they can continue to confine animals, possibly resulting in death by starvation or injury (Smolowitz, 1978; Hunt et al., 1986; Matsuoka et al., 2005). Research on the amount of trap debris and the number of ghost traps in the Florida Keys has raised concerns among fishery managers that lost traps continue to capture lobsters and fish (Uhrin et al., 2014). When ghost fishing results in the death of lobsters and fish, it reduces landings in the commercial and recreational spiny lobster fisheries and negatively affects the ecological role of these marine animals. Although Florida’s Caribbean spiny lobster fishery has been the subject of research for decades, no information is available regarding how long derelict traps can continue to ghost fish or the magnitude of fish and lobster mortality that results. The objectives of our study were to: (i) determine how long lost traps ghost fish, (ii) compare the confinement and mortality of lobsters and fish in different types of ghost traps, (iii) compare the confinement and mortality of lobsters and fish in ghost traps in three popular lobster-fishing areas in the Florida Keys, and (iv) estimate the number of lobsters killed by ghost traps. Methods Field observations Three types of lobster traps were constructed for this study: wooden traps, wire traps (composed mostly of plastic-coated wire), and wood –wire hybrid traps (combination of wood and plastic-coated wire; from here on termed hybrid traps; Figure 1). All traps were of C. B. Butler and T. R. Matthews the same rectangular shape and size as those typically used in the fishery (81 × 61 × 46 cm). Wooden traps were constructed entirely of wooden slats (6 per side) spaced 4 cm apart or less. Wire traps were constructed with 14 G plastic-coated wire mesh (2.5 × 5.1 cm). Hybrid traps were composed of three wire sides and one wooden side. All traps had similar wooden tops with one 10 × 13-cm rectangular plastic funnel entrance. Three locations in the Florida Keys were chosen for the ghost fishing experiment: (i) Florida Bay, 4 nm north of the Middle Keys in Florida Bay, (ii) Atlantic inshore, 0.5 nm south of the Middle Keys in the Atlantic Ocean, and (iii) Atlantic offshore, 4 nm south of the middle Keys in the Atlantic, shoreward of Sombrero Reef (Figure 2). These locations were chosen because they are popular fishing areas in which traps are commonly lost (Uhrin et al., 2014). They differ in terms of habitat (Shomer and Drew, 1982; Bertelsen et al., 2009), as well as in the size and abundance of lobsters. Florida Bay has smaller, generally immature, but more abundant lobsters. Atlantic inshore generally lacks the smallest juvenile lobsters, while Atlantic offshore generally has lower lobster density and more reproductive adults (Lyons et al., 1981). Water depth was 4 m in Florida Bay and 6 m at both Atlantic inshore and offshore sites. Two lines of traps, running parallel east to west (250 m apart), were deployed at each location in mixed sand and seagrass habitat. The traps were placed 30 m apart and linked by a line running along the bottom to help divers navigate between traps when monitoring them. A submerged marker buoy was located at each end of the trap lines. A numbered plastic tag was attached to each trap for identification. All traps were deployed unbaited in September 2009, just after the start of the fishing season. Thirteen traps of each type were deployed at Atlantic inshore and Atlantic offshore locations, and 14 of each type were deployed in Florida Bay (n ¼ 120 traps total). Traps of each type were positioned randomly along each trap line. Traps were monitored every 10 –14 d during the first year of the study, then once a month thereafter, until all traps had been rendered non-fishing. Divers documented whether traps were fishing (intact) or non-fishing (broken), the number and estimated size of each live or dead confined lobster (in 5-mm size bins), fish (and determined total length in cm), and other species trapped. Small fish (,5 cm TL) that could have moved freely in and out of the trap were not recorded as confined by the trap. All animals were left in traps and so may have been observed repeatedly. Lobster shell remnants were temporarily removed from traps for inspection, so that the remains could be identified as exuviae or Figure 1. Types of lobster traps used in our study; all traps were standard size with a plastic trap entrance funnel (where lobsters crawl into the trap) attached to a wooden slat top. Standard wooden traps were composed of wooden slats on all four sides; wire traps were composed of plastic-coated wire mesh on four sides; and hybrid wood– wire traps were composed of three sides plastic-coated wire mesh and one side wooden slats. Effects of ghost fishing lobster traps i187 Figure 2. Map of three locations (Florida Bay, Atlantic inshore, and Atlantic offshore) where two parallel lines of 20 experimental ghost fishing lobster traps were deployed for this study. remnants of carcasses. Estimation of lobster and fish size was facilitated by comparison to known slat and wire mesh dimensions and periodically verified by reviewing photographs, by an estimate by a second diver, or for lobster by measuring exuviae. Traps were repaired during the first year of the study to maintain equal numbers of each trap type at each location for collection of data to assess animal confinement in ghost traps. Some traps (27 traps) had been damaged by humans; usually a lid had been opened. In these cases, we closed the trap lid and recorded the trap as still fishing. Traps that appeared to have been broken by a turtle or dolphin, i.e. that were missing slats, latches, lids, or throats (24 instances, 16 traps), were considered to be disabled as a result of the natural processes that render traps non-fishing and were repaired but recorded as non-fishing at the time the damage occurred. Analysis of ghost trap observations The length of time a trap remained fishing (days ghost fishing) was the number of days from deployment to the last time it was observed intact. Comparisons of “days ghost fishing” among trap types and location treatments were made using failure-time analyses (Cox’s proportional hazards model; Kleinbaum and Klein, 2005). “Days ghost fishing” was substituted for “time to event” in the analysis, and the resulting “hazard function” for each treatment group was the probability that a trap would be rendered non-fishing during the next time interval. Experiments continued for as long as 1071 d, at which point the wire traps that were still fishing (n ¼ 4) were treated as right-censored data in the analysis (Kleinbaum and Klein, 2005). Comparisons of the “days ghost fishing” for traps at various treatments were made using a Wald x 2 test (Allison, 1995) and by comparing the estimated hazard ratios for the treatment groups, which indicate the probability of a trap’s becoming non-fishing by the next observation. Because the Cox proportional hazards model offers a non-parametric analysis, median days ghost fishing and the median absolute deviation (MAD) were used to present measures of central tendency and deviation. Since lobsters were not tagged and were left in the traps at each observation, lobsters in traps were potentially measured repeatedly during serial observations. For this reason, a repeatedmeasures analysis of variance (ANOVAR) was used to determine the effect of trap type and location on the number of confined lobsters per trap (Quinn and Keough, 2006). The ANOVAR was run on the ranked data, because they did not conform to tests of normality or heterogeneity of variances (Conover and Iman, 1981). Frequencies of size distributions (5-mm size bins) of lobsters were compared via Kolmogorov–Smirnov’s two-sample tests to i188 determine whether lobster size distributions varied across locations or trap types (Sokal and Rohlf, 1995). Effects of trap type and location on the number of fish per trap observation and the per cent lobster mortality were also analysed via an ANOVAR on ranked data. Per cent lobster mortality was used in the analysis instead of the number of dead lobsters observed to account for differences in the abundance of lobsters between locations. For graphing purposes only, per cent mortality was not represented on the graph if fewer than 20 live lobsters were present at any location during a sampling period to prevent skewing of the graph by the presence of a few dead lobsters in samples with low lobster abundance. Lobster mortality estimation The number of dead lobsters observed per ghost trap and the time to carcass decay were used to estimate unobserved lobster mortality occurring between trap observations. To eliminate the possibility that a lobster carcass would be counted more than once, and to account for unobserved mortalities resulting from rapid carcass decay, we conducted experiments to determine the time required for a lobster carcass to decay. Freshly killed lobsters (n ¼ 20 carcasses) were placed in our ghost fishing lobster traps and their condition evaluated every 24 h by divers. Euthanasia for this experiment was humane and was effected by immersion in 148C seawater for 5 min until movement and reactivity to stimuli ceased and then killing by cooling at 2208C for 30 min (American Veterinary Medical Association, 2013). The lobster carcasses in traps were considered to have decayed when the exoskeleton remains no longer contained flesh and were indistinguishable from exuviae. The carcass decay experiment was conducted 17– 24 November 2011, with seawater temperatures averaging 258C, the average annual temperature at the study locations. Two or three lobster carcasses were placed into one of eight experimental ghost traps (wood, wire, or hybrid) at our Florida Bay location. Additionally, to evaluate any effects of other confined animals on the carcass decay time, the species and quantity of live animals confined in traps used in the carcass decay experiment were recorded and regression lines fit to the data (days to decay vs. maximum number of live lobsters, live fish, or live crabs). The average number of dead lobsters per ghost trap per year (+s.d.) was estimated from the bimonthly observations. The observed number of dead lobsters in each trap was transformed to an estimated number of dead lobsters in a ghost trap per day by dividing the number of dead lobsters observed in the previous 5.1 d (the time it took for a lobster carcass to decay) by the total number of lobsters present in the trap. The daily death rate was then multiplied by the number of days between observations, and the resulting counts of dead lobsters for 1 year were summed for each trap. The number of dead lobsters in each of the 13 or 14 traps of each type at the three study locations was then used to calculate the mean number of dead lobsters per ghost trap per year (+s.d.). We estimated the number of dead lobsters from ghost fishing traps based on our observations of dead lobsters in this study and the number of ghost traps observed by Uhrin et al. (2014). After we observed the difference in the number of dead lobsters in ghost traps between inshore and offshore locations, we used Cochran’s (1963) stratified random design to recalculate the number of ghost traps in inshore and offshore Atlantic locations (again using the data of Uhrin et al., 2014). Uhrin et al. (2014) stratified their sampling area within the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary into six zones based on historical commercial spiny lobster trap use zones: Atlantic and Florida Bay zones for the Upper, Middle, C. B. Butler and T. R. Matthews and Lower Keys. Using the locations of their towed-diver surveys, we categorized each of their tows as taking place in Florida Bay, Atlantic inshore, or Atlantic offshore and calculated an estimated number of ghost traps for each location using their method. The estimated number of ghost traps was used to extrapolate, again using Cochran’s (1963) method, the mean and standard error of the number of dead lobsters resulting from ghost fishing lobster traps per year and to estimate the number of animals dying in all ghost traps in Florida Bay, Atlantic inshore, and Atlantic offshore locations around the Florida Keys. Since the lobster carcasses potentially decayed and disappeared before they could be observed, we measured the days required for a carcass to decay and established that number of days as the period that each of our observations effectively observed. Establishing the period that our observation could “effectively observe” if a lobster had died in a trap reduced the potential for false observations of zero mortality for times between observations. For each survey, the time effectively observed was the average time required for a lobster carcass to decay (from lobster carcass decay experiment). For example, if the actual time between observations was 14 d, and the carcass decay time was estimated to be 5 d, then the time effectively observed was the 5 d leading up to the subsequent observation. The number of potential days each year all lost traps were fishing was set at the number of lost traps estimated by Uhrin et al. (2014) times 365 d. Results Ghost trap fishing duration Most ghost fishing lobster traps continued to fish for more than 1 year. The length of time that traps ghost fished varied with trap type and location (Wald x 2 ¼ 29.7, d.f. ¼ 2, p , 0.001; Figure 3). Hybrid and wooden traps decayed at similar rates (Wald x 2 ¼ 3.29, d.f. ¼ 1, p ¼ 0.070). The median number of days traps ghost fished is expressed as TD50, i.e. the number of days it takes 50% of traps to decay, +MAD. For hybrid traps, this value was 480 + 142 d; for wooden traps, it was 509 + 97 d. Wire traps took significantly longer to decay, 779.5 + 273.5 d (Wald x 2 ¼ 17.99, d.f. ¼ 1, p , 0.001). Three wire traps were still fishing when the experiment ended, at 1071 d. The number of days traps ghost fished also differed among locations (Wald x 2 ¼ 50, d.f. ¼ 2, p , 0.001). Atlantic offshore traps had a TD50 of 381 + 171 d, Atlantic inshore traps of 509 + 94.5 d, and Florida Bay traps of 711.5 + 51.5 d. Bycatch Ghost fishing lobster traps contained fish at the first observation and continued to contain fish over the duration of the 3-year study. We observed 66 fish species (5909 total fish) and 13 invertebrate species (407 total invertebrates) in our ghost fishing lobster traps (Figure 4, Supplementary Appendix SI). Ten double-crested cormorants (Phalacrocorax auritus) were found dead in wire traps. Observations during the first year of the project that included equal numbers of traps of each type at each location indicated that there was a significant effect of trap type on the number of fish confined in lobster traps (F ¼ 59.77, d.f. ¼ 2, p , 0.001; Figure 5). Wire traps confined the greatest number of species (wire: n ¼ 102, hybrid: n ¼ 58, wood: n ¼ 50; Figure 4a) and the greatest number of fish per trap (wire ¼ 4547 total fish, mean fish per trap ¼ 2.88 + 0.03 s.e.; hybrid ¼ 374 total fish, mean fish per trap ¼ 0.300 + 0.01 s.e.; wood ¼ 163 total fish, mean fish per trap ¼ 0.167 + 0.01 s.e.; REGW F-tests, p , 0.05; Figures 4 and 5). The most common fish i189 Effects of ghost fishing lobster traps Figure 3. Length of time (days) that wooden, hybrid, and wire lobster traps ghost-fished at three locations (a – c) in the Florida Keys. observed in traps were white grunts (Haemulon plumieri, n ¼ 2333), saucereye porgies (Calamus calamus, n ¼ 512), scrawled cowfish (Acanthostracion quadriornis, n ¼ 345), and yellowtail snapper (Ocyurus chrysurus, n ¼ 306). Wire traps confined 98% of all white grunts observed during the study, and white grunts made up 13% of the finfish bycatch during year 1. Non-lobster invertebrates occurred in fewer than 10% of trap observations. There were 99 invertebrates in hybrid traps, 85 in wire traps, and 69 in wooden traps. Stone crabs (Menippe spp.) accounted for 84% of the invertebrate bycatch during the first year of study, spider crabs (Mithrax spp.) accounted for 6%, and 11 other invertebrate taxa made up the remaining 10% (Supplementary Appendix SI). More finfish species were observed in traps at the Atlantic offshore location (n ¼ 84) than in Florida Bay (n ¼ 67) and at our Atlantic inshore location (n ¼ 59). Bycatch abundance also varied with trap location (F ¼ 615.33, d.f. ¼ 2, p , 0.001; Figure 5). The abundance of finfish in traps was significantly greater at the Atlantic offshore location (n ¼ 1278, mean fish per trap ¼ 2.55 + 0.04 s.e.) than at the Atlantic inshore location (n ¼ 803, mean fish per trap ¼ 1.30 + 0.02 s.e.) and the Florida Bay location (n ¼ 498, i190 C. B. Butler and T. R. Matthews Figure 4. Species richness (a) and total abundance (b) of bycatch confined in hybrid, wire, and wooden ghost fishing lobster traps in the Florida Keys during year 1 of our study (n ¼ 40 traps for each trap type). mean fish per trap ¼ 0.953 + 0.03 s.e.; REGW F post hoc tests, p , 0.05). A significant interaction effect was seen between location and trap type (F ¼ 30.04, d.f. ¼ 4, p , 0.001), likely driven by greater fish abundance and species richness observed in Atlantic offshore wire traps. Fish were more abundant in wire traps during the beginning of the study (months 1 – 3, Figure 5) at the Atlantic inshore and Atlantic offshore locations. Another peak in the number of fish confined in Atlantic offshore wire traps was observed from late April through July; it corresponded to abundance of dead lobsters (months 7 – 10, Figures 5c and 7c). Fish counts in Florida Bay were lower (,5 fish confined per trap, Figure 5a) than those at other locations throughout the study. Invertebrates were more abundant in Atlantic inshore traps (n ¼ 179) than in Florida Bay (n ¼ 46) and Atlantic offshore traps (n ¼ 28). There were 100 observations of dead fish and 15 observations of dead invertebrates in traps (Supplementary Appendix SII). The number of bycatch mortalities was greatest for wire traps, while wooden traps had the fewest mortalities. For almost half of the dead fish (n ¼ 45), it was not possible to visually identify species or estimate size. Effects of ghost fishing lobster traps i191 Figure 5. Mean fish bycatch confined in ghost fishing hybrid, wire, and wooden lobster traps located at three locations (a – c) in the Florida Keys during a 3-year study. Bars represent standard error. i192 Lobster confinement and mortality We observed 12 813 lobsters confined in our traps during the first year (25 September 2009 – 11 October 2010) and 16 049 lobsters over the duration of the study (120 traps distributed over three locations). An unknown number of lobsters were likely observed multiple times during sequential observations of traps, making comparisons to fishery trap catch rates inappropriate. Observations of lobsters during the first year (September 2009 – October 2010) indicated that hybrid traps confined significantly more lobsters per trap (4.81 + 0.03, mean + s.e.) than did wood (3.85 + 0.16) and wire traps (3.71 + 0.03; F ¼ 40.15, d.f. ¼ 2, p , 0.001; Figure 6). Trap location also affected the number of lobsters per trap (F ¼ 208.6, d.f. ¼ 2, p , 0.001; Figure 6). Traps in Florida Bay confined significantly more lobsters per trap (5.26 + 0.04) than did those at the Atlantic inshore (4.37 + 0.03; post hoc tests, p , 0.05) and Atlantic offshore locations (1.74 + 0.03; p , 0.05). The interaction term between trap type and location was significant (F ¼ 3.03, d.f. ¼ 4, P ¼ 0.017); thus, the number of confined lobsters was a function of location and trap type. When deployed, our traps did not contain bait or live, undersized lobsters, which are typically used in the fishery (Heatwole et al., 1988); our traps required 2–4 weeks to begin to confine lobsters. The ghost fishing lobster traps continued to confine lobsters throughout the duration of our study, but the number of lobsters confined cycled seasonally. The number of lobsters confined generally increased for the first 4 –6 months for all trap types, after which they tended to decrease to the lowest levels during summer (Figure 6). The number of lobsters in traps increased again by August, and the cycle was repeated for those traps that remained intact during year 2. The number of lobsters confined in hybrid and wire traps in Florida Bay peaked in March, with averages of 14.9 + 0.49 (mean + s.e.) per hybrid trap and 12.8 + 0.55 per wire trap; wooden traps in Florida Bay had the most lobsters in April, with 11.0 + 0.49 lobsters per trap (Figure 6a). We were unable to observe traps at the Atlantic inshore location for 4 weeks during February –March due to high turbidity. Atlantic offshore traps had lower but more consistent confinement rates in the first year, but the reduced number of intact traps in the second year likely resulted in the increased variability in confinement rates and may have obscured any seasonal confinement patterns. There was no difference in size frequency distributions of the lobsters confined in traps during the first year of study among locations or among trap types (K –S tests, p . 0.05). Lobster size ranged from 16 to 121 mm carapace length (CL), with the median size of lobsters falling in the 71 –75 mm CL bin for all trap types and location combinations, except for Atlantic inshore wire and Atlantic offshore wooden traps, where the median size was in the 76 –80 mm CL bin. Lobsters confined in ghost traps in Florida Bay ranged in size from 31 to 111 mm CL; lobsters confined in traps at the Atlantic inshore location ranged in size from 16 to 121 mm CL; and lobsters confined in traps at the Atlantic Offshore location ranged in size from 46 to 111 mm CL. Observed lobster mortality During the first year of study, we observed 229 dead lobsters in ghost traps, but other lobsters probably died in traps between observations as well. Of the observed mortalities, 95 (41%) were legal-size lobsters (≥76.2 mm CL). There was no difference in the proportion of dead lobsters by trap type (hybrid ¼ 1.6%, wire ¼ 1.6%, wood ¼ C. B. Butler and T. R. Matthews 2.4%; F ¼ 1.06, d.f. ¼ 2, p ¼ 0.35). There was also no difference in proportion of dead lobsters per trap among locations (Florida Bay ¼ 1.5%, Atlantic inshore ¼ 2.1%, Atlantic offshore ¼ 2.5%; F ¼ 0.157, d.f. ¼ 2, p ¼ 0.86). But more mortalities were observed in the Florida Bay and Atlantic inshore locations due to the greater number of lobsters in traps in those areas (Figure 7). Lobster mortality was high for several months in the late spring and summer in Florida Bay and Atlantic inshore. Lobster mortality was also high at the Atlantic offshore location in April, and few lobsters remained in traps through August. The number of lobsters and fish confined varied over time, as did the number of observations of lobster mortality (Figures 5 and 7). To determine whether these occupancy rates were correlated, we ran Spearman’s rank correlation analyses on the non-normal data. The number of lobsters observed confined in traps was negatively correlated with the number of fish observed per trap in Florida Bay and Atlantic offshore locations (p , 0.001, Figures 5 and 7) and was negatively correlated with per cent lobster mortality at the Atlantic inshore location (p , 0.05; Figure 7). Carcass decay Lobster carcasses decayed in 2 –7 d. The results of a linear regression indicated a slight negative relationship between the maximum number of live lobsters present in the traps during the study and the time to lobster carcass decay (B ¼ 20.9404, R 2 ¼ 0.3931). There was no relationship between time to carcass decay and fish (B ¼ 20.0351, R 2 ¼ 0.0292) or crabs (B ¼ 20.0525, R 2 ¼ 0.0015) present in the traps. During the carcass decay experiment, the abundance of lobsters and fish in traps varied minimally, allowing us to use the maximum number of lobsters or fish as the dependent variable in the regressions. Estimation of lobster mortality in ghost traps After stratifying the Uhrin et al. (2014) data into inshore and offshore Atlantic locations and recalculating the number of ghost traps, ghost trap abundance estimates indicated that the largest proportion of ghost traps were located in the Atlantic inshore region (Atlantic inshore ¼ 72%, Atlantic offshore ¼ 21%, Florida Bay ¼ 7%; Table 1). The estimated number of traps increased from the 85 548 + 23 387 s.d. reported by Uhrin et al. (2014) to 112 567 + 57 281 s.d. (after stratifying into inshore and offshore). The standard deviation for the estimates of ghost traps in each Atlantic area increased because in the stratified data, there were fewer transects per area. Our estimates of the number of dead lobsters per ghost trap, combined with the revised estimate of the number of traps in the same areas (Uhrin et al., 2014), suggest that ghost fishing lobster traps kill 637 622 + 74 367 s.d. lobsters each year. The estimated number of lobsters dying per ghost trap varied with location. Florida Bay and Atlantic inshore locations had 6.8 + 1.0 (mean + s.e.) and 6.3 + 0.88 dead lobsters per trap per year, respectively, and Atlantic offshore traps had 3.0 + 0.69 dead lobsters per trap per year (all three trap types combined, as there was no significant difference in lobster mortality among trap types). The combined effects of the greatest number of ghost traps estimated at Atlantic inshore location and the relatively high lobster mortality rate in the Atlantic inshore location resulted in the greatest portion of lobster ghost fishing deaths occurring at Atlantic inshore location (Table 2; inshore ¼ 80%, offshore ¼ 11%, Florida Bay ¼ 8%). Effects of ghost fishing lobster traps i193 Figure 6. The mean number of spiny lobsters confined per trap observation in ghost fishing lobster traps located at three locations (a – c) in the Florida Keys. Three types of traps (n ¼ 120): wood, hybrid, and wire (n ¼ 13). Error bars represent standard error. i194 C. B. Butler and T. R. Matthews Figure 7. Mean number of lobsters and per cent dead lobsters observed in traps at three locations (a –c) in the Florida Keys for all three trap types combined. Error bars represent standard error; bars with error ,0.3 were removed from the graph to best illustrate trends. i195 Effects of ghost fishing lobster traps Table 1. Re-evaluation of Uhrin et al. (2014), separating out the number of ghost fishing traps in inshore and offshore zones. Zone Upper Keys Bay Upper Keys inshore Upper Keys offshore Middle Keys Bay Middle Keys inshore Middle Keys offshore Lower Keys Bay Lower Keys inshore Lower Keys offshore Total Transects 14 7 30 Mean (s.e.) number of ghost traps per transect (0.8 ha) 0.071 (0.071) 1.0 (1.0) 0.16 (0.084) Estimated total number of ghost traps 1462 55 725 9288 9 9 0 (0) 0.444 (2.42) 0 18 126 28 0.393 (0.173) 7892 21 7 0.048 (0.048) 0.143 (0.143) 6467 7578 26 0.231 (0.101) 6030 112 567 (s.d. ¼ 57 281) Table 2. Lobster mortality estimates resulting from ghost fishing lobster traps in the waters surrounding the Florida Keys. Zone Upper Keys Bay Upper Keys inshore Upper Keys offshore Middle Keys Bay Middle Keys inshore Middle Keys offshore Lower Keys Bay Lower Keys inshore Lower Keys offshore Total Estimated total number of ghost traps 1462 55 725 9288 0 18 126 7892 6467 7578 6030 112 567 (s.d. ¼ 57 281) Estimated total number of dead lobsters 9934 352 322 27 572 0 114 603 23 428 43 949 47 913 17 900 637 622 (s.d. ¼ 74 367) Estimates are based on the number of mortalities observed, the rate of carcass decay, and the number of ghost fishing traps in each location (Table 1, modified from Uhrin et al., 2014). Discussion Landings of the Caribbean spiny lobster have declined throughout the Caribbean, and the consensus is that the population is in decline (FAO, 2007). Landings have also declined in the Florida Keys, and a recent stock assessment indicates that spiny lobster abundance has been lower since 2000 (Gulf of Mexico Fishery Management Council, 2010). The decline in lobster landings may result from a Caribbean-wide population phenomenon, such as a decline in larval recruitment (Briones-Fourzán, 1994; Eggleston et al., 1998; Cruz et al., 2001); from combined local declines from postsettlement processes such as a infection with the PaV1 virus (Shields and Behringer, 2004; Behringer et al., 2009); or from Florida fishing practices that heighten population impacts. While confinement of Caribbean spiny lobsters in fished traps has been well studied, the magnitude of lobster mortality occurring in ghost traps in this fishery has been unidentified until now. We demonstrated that the typical wooden and hybrid traps, which account for 90 and 8%, respectively, of the traps used in the fishery (Matthews et al., 2005), remained intact from 1 to 2 years, and wire traps were intact for 2 or more years. The estimated time that a trap remained intact likely represents the maximum length of time a trap could ghost fish, because these traps were new when deployed. But the length of time new and used traps can ghost fish if lost may not differ substantially. Fishers repair used traps by replacing decayed wood and re-nailing or re-stapling the traps to ensure they function for the duration of the next fishing season (TRM, pers. obs.). Additionally, 34 of the traps in our experiment succumbed not to decay of the wood, but to damage by dolphins, turtles, or stone crabs, and 10 traps were disabled due to breakage of wire components. Trap location seems to be an important criterion for the time a trap remained intact. Fishers report more rapid decay of wood traps in the Gulf of Mexico for traps fished farther from shore than our study location in Florida Bay. In addition to the often observed high degree of biofouling organisms observed on traps fished in the Gulf, substantial movement of traps due to periodic winter winds is a likely cause of trap damage in the open Gulf (Lewis et al., 2009). Conversely, fishers reported that traps take a longer time to decay in deeper, offshore waters similar to our Atlantic offshore location. The 18 traps damaged by humans were not included in the estimate for the length of time required for traps to become disabled because the location of the traps near popular scuba-diving locations and the potential for people to swim the lines that we had connecting the traps, in this case, likely facilitated trap molestation. Molesting traps—even derelict traps— during the closed fishing season is illegal, but the frequency with which it was observed in this study suggests that divers may have a substantial role in disabling ghost traps. Ghost traps continued to capture lobsters and fish for as long as the traps were intact. Once traps began capturing lobsters (2 –4 weeks after deployment for our unbaited traps), lobster abundance in traps generally increased through April. Panulirus argus is known to aggregate with conspecifics (Marx and Herrnkind, 1985; Herrnkind and Butler, 1986), which is the reason live lobsters are used as bait in traps. This aggregative behaviour resulted in ghost traps confining many more lobsters than is typically observed in commercial catches (Matthews, 2001). But the number of lobsters in ghost traps also depended on location and trap type. In particular, hybrid and wire traps in Florida Bay captured their first lobster sooner than did wooden traps, which may be the reason that there were more lobsters in these traps throughout the fishing season. Commercial fishers report lower initial catch of lobsters in new wooden traps than in traps that have been previously fished, presumably because of the chemicals in pressure-treated wood (TRM, pers. comm.). The effects of confinement of lobsters in ghost traps appear similar to those previously observed for lobsters used as live attractants in traps (Hunt et al., 1986; Heatwole et al., 1988). Confining lobsters for long durations can subject them to starvation, injury, predation, or death (Lyons and Kennedy, 1981; Lyons et al., 1981; Kennedy, 1982; Hunt and Lyons, 1986; Hunt et al., 1986; Lyons, 1986; Lyons and Hunt, 1991). In fished traps, these effects are generally restricted to undersize lobsters, which are most often used as bait, while legal-size lobsters are removed from traps and so have low confinement-related mortality (Matthews, 2001). The size distribution of lobsters was the same for ghost traps as for fished traps (Lyons et al., 1981). Thus, the lethal and sublethal effects of long periods of confinement extend to the legal-size lobsters confined in ghost traps, and mortality of legal-size lobsters constituted 41% of the total lobster mortalities in our ghost traps in the first year. Yet i196 confinement of lobsters as bait or in ghost traps does not always result in their death. Approximately 0.8 –1.8% of lobsters in traps escape each day (Yang and Obert, 1978; Davis and Dodrill, 1980; Lyons and Kennedy, 1981), but there are also sublethal effects of prolonged confinement, such as slowed growth rates, weight loss, and moulting with no increase in size (Marshall, 1948; see Wilson et al., 2014, for review). The negative relationship between the time required for a lobster carcass to decay and the presence of live lobsters in ghost traps suggests that these normally highly social lobsters may be resorting to cannibalism to alleviate starvation. Our estimate of the number of lobsters dying in ghost traps was dependent on the total number of ghost traps and the observed mortality in each trap. We found no difference among the three trap types or locations in the proportion of lobsters dying. But since more lobsters were confined in Florida Bay and Atlantic inshore traps, ghost traps in these areas had significantly more dead lobsters. Given the differences between the number of dead lobsters in Atlantic inshore and Atlantic offshore ghost traps, we developed corresponding estimates for the number of ghost traps in these areas based on survey data from Uhrin et al. (2014). We re-evaluated Uhrin et al.’s (2014) estimate of the number of ghost traps in the Atlantic by defining inshore and offshore areas to correspond to the ghost trap study locations. The re-evaluation of the Uhrin et al. (2014) data identified that the majority of ghost traps were located inshore, particularly in the Upper and Middle Keys. The estimated number of ghost traps also increased in this re-evaluation, to 112 567 + 57 281 s.d. from the previous estimate of 85 548 + 23 387 s.d., but the standard deviation around the new estimate also increased, at least in part due to the smaller number of transects in each area of the re-evaluation (Table 1). The concentration of ghost traps inshore is consistent with the premise that boat traffic, which is highest inshore, is a primary contributor to trap loss. Despite the decreased confidence in the estimated number of ghost traps inshore and offshore, overall utilization of locationspecific estimates of ghost trap mortality improved the estimate of the number of dead lobsters in ghost traps. Multiplying the observed number of dead lobsters in each trap in Florida Bay, Atlantic inshore, and Atlantic offshore by the revised estimates of the number of ghost traps in the same areas indicates that overall an estimated 637 622 + 74 367 (mean + s.d.) lobsters die in ghost traps annually in those areas (Table 2). Dead fish also were observed in ghost traps. Wire traps confined more species and greater numbers of fish in all locations than did wooden traps. Wire traps are illegal in Florida waters because they resemble illegal fish traps composed primarily of wire mesh, but they are allowed in adjacent federal waters and in the Caribbean. In our study, the most fish, living or dead, were observed in wire ghost traps. Similar results were described by Matthews and Donahue (1997) for catches in wire and wooden traps fishing in the Florida Keys. In the present study, it was not unusual to observe fish in wire traps with abrasions, which were likely caused by contact with the wire mesh (Sutherland and Harper, 1983). Most injured fish appeared relatively healthy, but our biweekly observations of traps were insufficient to evaluate whether these abrasions caused death. Additionally, we may have so infrequently observed dead fish in ghost traps because the time between observations of the traps exceeded the time required for a fish carcass to decay or disappear. In a study by Matthews and Donahue (1997), most fish carcasses in spiny lobster traps had decomposed within 24 h. C. B. Butler and T. R. Matthews Location and time of year influence species composition and catch abundance (Munro et al., 1971; Guillory, 1993; Wolff et al., 1999; Garrison et al., 2004). We also observed variation in the species composition of animals confined in traps at the various locations over time. But catch also depends on the species of fish that encounter the traps and the behavioural characteristics of those species (Renchen et al., 2012). In this study, fish abundance decreased as the number of lobsters in traps increased, consistent with the findings of Matthews et al
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