MEXICO THURSDAY, JUNE 2, 2016 / VOLUME 1 / NUMBER 1-1 SCRAP Shredded Machine shop turnings Plate & structural 3ft. No. 1 busheling No. 1 heavy melt MXN/MT USD/MT $4,587 $4,000 $4,495 $4,495 $4,220 $249 $217 $244 $244 $229 Monterrey consumers kept prices sideways after rising approximately 300 MXN in the prior week. Consumers held prices steady as they wait to see what happens with the U.S. settlements as well as when Turkey resumes its imports of raw material, sources said. The assessed price is sideways for MXN but retreated $1 a tonne USD due to the currency fluctuation. The USD to MXN exchange rate for the week ended May 27 is 18.44. MEXICAN HOT-ROLLED BAR TRADING VOLUMES WITH US IN 1ST QTR. (in tonnes) 90,000 effective week ending May 27, 2016 STEEL LONG PRODUCTS 80,000 SBQ (1” round 1,000 Series) MXN/MT USD/MT $12,471.50 $675 70,000 has been tepid, with few major price or Special bar quality (SBQ) sentiment in Mexico 60,000 demand fluctuations, market participants said. Cold-finished bar sales, for instance, have generally plateaued over the last few years, though automotive continues as a 50,000 bright spot for the relatively small SBQ market, 40,000 said one hot-rolled bar buyer. “May (was) pretty slow. April was better than May,” said a SBQ bar buyer and cold-finished bar 30,000 processor. Most SBQ volumes in Mexico are tied up in direct contract negotiations, often 20,000 between mills and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and within the automotive 10,000 sector, with very sparse spot tonnage, said an SBQ distributor. effective week ending May 27, 2016 0 STEEL IMPORTS (into Mexico from US) MXN/MT Rebar Wire rod Hot-rolled bar $18,850.66 $26,442.59 $18,269.06 STEEL EXPORTS (from Mexico into US) Rebar Wire rod Hot-rolled bar $399.13 $11,456.96 $621.31 30,000 $9,865.22 $534.99 20,000 50,000 40,000 10,000 0 2012 MEXICAN STEEL REBAR TRADING VOLUMES WITH USOFSTEEL IN 1ST QTR. VALUE MEXICAN HOT-ROLLED BAR TRADE WITH IN 1ST QTR. MEXICAN REBAR TRADING VOLUMES WITH US US IN 1ST QTR. (in (dollars tonnes)per tonne) ExportstotoUSUS Importsfrom fromUSUS Exports Imports $1,400 80,000 80,000 70,000 $1,200 70,000 60,000 $1,000 50,000 $800 40,000 $600 30,000 $400 20,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 $200 10,000 10,000 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb 2015 2016 drop in exports comes on top of a 97.3-percent year-on-year fall in the first quarter of $400 20,000 2015, after the International Trade Administration maintained steep dumping margins $200of Mexican hot-rolled bar exports to the against Mexican rebar the prior year. The10,000 value 0 through March, down 26.6 percent from U.S. averaged $534.99 per tonne from January $0 2012 2012 20132013 20142014 20152015 20162016 2013 2014tonne 2015 2016three months of 2015. $729.26 per in the first Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb Exports to US 2014 $1,200 60,000 $1,000 Mexico’s rebar exports to the U.S. were50,000 valued at an average of $399.13 per tonne in the $800 40,000 per tonne in the same 2015 period. Rebar first quarter, down 29.6 percent from $566.59 exports to the U.S. slumped 35.1 percent to$600 1,344 tonnes in the same comparison. The 30,000 70,000 $7,343.99 Imports from US 2013 Mexico imported 29,847 tonnes of steel reinforcing bar from the United States in the first quarter, down 43.7 percent from 53,011 tonnes in the same period last year. The value $1022.27 STEEL REBAR TRADING VOLUMES WITH USaverage INUS1STINQTR. MEXICAN HOT-ROLLEDof BAR TRADING VOLUMES WITH USUnited IN 1ST QTR. rebar imports from the StatesMEXICAN also dropped, falling 6.8 percent to an VALUE OF MEXICAN HOT-ROLLED BAR TRADE WITH 1ST QTR. $1,433.98 tonnes) of $1,022.27 per tonne from $1,096.46(inper tonne the same comparison. Mexico’s (in tonnes) (dollars perintonne) Exports to US Imports from USyear Exports to US Imports from US to Exports to USthe United Imports from US bars $90,000 990.73 80,000 imports of hot-rolled from States fell 9.4 percent year on $990.73 $1,400 per tonne from $1,093.16 per tonne. 70,000 80,000 60,000 USD/MT MEXICAN HOT-ROLLED BAR TRADING VOLUMES MEXICAN BAR TRADING VOLUMES WITH US IN 1ST QTR. WITH USHOT-ROLLED IN 1ST QTR. 2012 Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb USD/MT MXN/MT MXN = Mexican peso MT = metric ton (in tonnes) 90,000 Exports to US Imports from US 0$0 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 Source: Compiled by AMM fromfrom U.S.U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb Source: Compiled by AMM International Trade Commission's DataWeb Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb MEXICAN WIRE ROD TRADING VOLUMES WITH USSTEEL INMEXICAN 1ST MEXICAN WIREQTR. ROD TRADING WITHUSUSININ1ST 1STQTR. QTR. VALUE OF STEEL REBARVOLUMES TRADE WITH (in tonnes) (dollars per tonne) to US Imports fromfrom US US Exports Exports to US Imports 50,000 $1,600 45,000 $1,400 40,000 $1,200 35,000 $1,000 30,000 25,000 $800 20,000 $600 15,000 $400 10,000 $200 5,000 0 $0 20122012 20132013 20142014 20152015 20162016 Source: Compiled by AMM International Commission's DataWeb Source: Compiled by AMM fromfrom U.S. U.S. International TradeTrade Commission's DataWeb EXCHANGE RATE $1 USD = MXN 18.44 (five day average for week ending May 27, 2016) MEXICAN STEEL REBAR TRADING VOLUMES WITH US IN 1ST QTR. VALUE OF MEXICAN STEEL REBAR TRADE WITH US US IN 1ST QTR.QTR. VALUE OF MEXICAN STEEL WIRE ROD TRADE WITH US IN 1ST QTR. MEXICAN STEEL WIRE ROD TRADING VOLUMES WITH IN 1ST (in tonnes) IT IS A VIOLATION(dollars OF AMM COPYRIGHT TO PHOTOCOPY/DISTRIBUTE THIS PRODUCT (in tonnes) per tonne) (dollars per tonne) ExportstotoUSUS Importsfrom fromUSUS Exports Exports to US Imports from US Exports to US Imports from US Imports 80,000 $1,600 50,000 $1,600 . b b 10,000 $200 0 $0 2012 2012 10,000 0 2, 2016 JUNE 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb VALUE OF MEXICAN HOT-ROLLED BAR TRADE VALUE MEXICAN BAR TRADE WITH US1ST IN 1ST WITHOF US INREBAR 1STHOT-ROLLED QTR. MEXICAN STEEL TRADING VOLUMES WITH US IN QTR.QTR. (in tonnes) (dollars per tonne) Exports to US Imports from to US Imports from USUS Exports $1,400 80,000 70,000 $1,200 60,000 $1,000 50,000 $800 40,000 $600 30,000 $400 20,000 $200 10,000 0$0 20122012 20132013 2014 2014 20152015 20162016 Source: Compiled by AMM U.S. International Commission's DataWeb Source: Compiled by AMM from from U.S. International TradeTrade Commission's DataWeb NEWS VALUESTEEL OF MEXICAN STEEL REBARVOLUMES TRADE WITH USUS IN IN 1ST1ST QTR. MEXICAN WIRE ROD TRADING WITH QTR. (dollars per tonne) (in tonnes) Exports to US Imports from US Exports to US Imports from US $1,600 50,000 45,000 $1,400 40,000 $1,200 production target of 5 million light Mexico's 35,000 vehicles $1,000 "will happen in 2020," Eduardo Solís, 30,000 executive president of Mexican automotive $800 association AMIA, predicted. This industry 25,000 compares with 3.2 million units produced in 2014. $600 20,000 Solís termed the prediction a "hard forecast"— 15,000 $400 as opposed to a "soft forecast"—to indicate that 10,000 it is$200 based on data from original equipment 5,000 manufacturers' (OEMs') actual production plans $0 2012 capacity 2013 rather 2014 2016 and0installed a2015 forecast 2012 2013 2014 than 2015 2016 based Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb on historical trends or International potential projects, heDataWeb said. Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S. Trade Commission's According to AMIA, almost $20 billion in new OEM plants and expansions have been built or started between 2010 and VALUE OFconstruction MEXICAN STEEL WIRE ROD TRADE WITH US 2014. IN 1ST QTR. Solís'perdata (dollars tonne)coincides with that of global audit, Exports to US Imports from USIf that tax and advisory firm KPMG LLP. 5 million $1,600 target is hit, according to a KPMG report, Mexico's $1,400of light vehicle production in North share America $1,200 will jump to 27.5 percent in 2020 from 18.7 percent in 2014. It will also equal 40 percent of the $1,000 then-projected production volume in the United States. $800 $200 20132013 2014 2014 20152015 20162016 $0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb VALUE OF MEXICAN STEEL REBAR TRADE WITH USMEXICAN INWIRE 1STROD QTR. MEXICAN TRADING WITH QTR. VALUESTEEL OF STEEL REBARVOLUMES TRADE WITH USUS IN IN 1ST1ST QTR. (in tonnes) (dollars per tonne) to US Imports from USUS Exports Exports to US Imports from 50,000 $1,600 45,000 $1,400 40,000 $1,200 35,000 $1,000 30,000 25,000 $800 20,000 $600 15,000 $400 10,000 $200 5,000 0 $0 2014 20152015 20162016 20122012 20132013 2014 VALUE OF MEXICAN WIRE ROD TRADE WITHOFUS IN 1STSTEEL QTR.WIRE ROD TRADE WITH US IN 1ST QTR. VALUE MEXICAN (dollars per tonne) Exports to US Imports from US $1,600 Source: Compiled by AMM from International Trade Commission's DataWeb Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S.U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb VALUE OF MEXICAN STEEL WIRE ROD TRADE WITH US IN 1ST QTR. (dollars per tonne)opens sheet fabriLight vehicle production to Tenere Exports to US Imports from US $1,600 hit 5M units by 2020: AMIA cation facility in Monterrey $1,400 Tenere $1,200 Inc. has opened a sheet metal fabrication operation that will target the industrial and $1,000 telecommunications industries in Monterrey. “Tenere’s international expansion is a critical step $800 in providing high-quality manufacturing solutions $600 for our customers,” president and chief executive $400Greg Adams said in a statement. “The new officer facility $200 will allow us to better serve our customers and prospects in that region who value our engineering $0 flexibility and single source solution.” support, 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 ThisCompiled marksbythe of two phases Source: AMMfirst from U.S. International Tradeplanned Commission'sat DataWeb the facility, a company spokeswoman said, adding that the second will include a painting line for Tenere’s steel fabrication services, as well as the ability to powder coat parts it manufactures. “We have been extremely impressed with the quality of work and level of professionalism demonstrated by the Mexico work force,” Dan Jackson, executive director of the expansion, said. “They are a natural fit into Tenere’s employee culture and are focused on ensuring the highestquality service to our customers.” $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Compiled by AMM from U.S. International Trade Commission's DataWeb Some key employees were trained at Tenere’s Wisconsin facilities, the company noted. The 103,000-square-foot facility will provide soft tool metal fabrication and assembly services. Processing capabilities include laser cutting, punching, bending, pressed hardware and welding. Tenere’s presence in Monterrey represents the Dresser, Wis.-based company’s first international operation. Automakers investing Among the new projects announced in Mexico since 2014 are Ford Motor Co.'s $1.3-billion Chihuahua engine plant. Dearborn, Mich.-based Ford will also build a $1.2-billion transmission plant in Guanajuato. Ingolstadt, Germany-based Audi AG also plans to build a $1.3-billion auto assembly factory in Puebla. Zama, Japan-based Nidec Tosok Corp. has already broken ground on an $86-million valve plant at Colinas de San Luis Industrial Park in San Luis Potosí. Earlier this year, Tokyo-based Kayaba Industry Co. Ltd. started operations at it $80-million KYB Shock Absorbers plant at Guanajuato Puerto Interior in Silao, Guanajuato. $600 COPYRIGHT NOTICE $400 This publication is protected by copyrights registered with the US Copyright office. You must have a subscription in your individual name to access or use the publication. If you are not sure, you can confirm you are a subscriber by calling +1(412) 880-4969. Your company has an institutional obligation to create and maintain a culture of copyright compliance by all its personnel. You and your $200 company must not circumvent or impair the requirement of individual subscriptions. 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