Aria Amirbahman Steve Norton* Kaci Fitzgibbon Firooza Pavri** Emma Carey Linda Bacon Jeff Dennis Jeremy Deeds Scott Williams Colin Holme Funding from the Senator George J. Mitchell Center for Sustainability Solutions The background - DEP • Great Pond Act Classification attainment status • Status determined by trophic parameters • Secchi Disk Transparency • Chlorophyll, Phosphorus, • Dissolved Oxygen • Federal Non-point Source Funds (Section 319) • Non-attainment/Impaired lakes - Restoration • At-risk lakes - Protection The background - VLMP • Founded 1971 • Oldest volunteer lake monitoring program in nation • ~1,400 Certified Water Quality Citizen Scientists who monitor 400+ lake stations • Collect 10x as much data as DEP • Stewardship catalyst The background – Collaborative History • 1998 – Stakeholder DEP contacted UM geochemists atypical lakes – anoxia without sediment P release • Multiple projects revealing critical Al:Fe ratios in sediment in a small number of lakes and streams (1996-2016) • 2010 – 2012, DEP collects and characterizes sediments from 106 lakes • 2015 Current project – Local stakeholder participation • Physicochemical data collection • Social surveys • Analysis of multiple data sets and merger The resource • Lakes are ‘gems’ on Maine’s landscape. • ~2,800 lakes 10 acres or greater in size. • Lakes are home to a diversity of fish and wildlife. • Lakes perform various ecosystem services. • Activity related to Maine lakes contributes approximately $4 billion/year to the state economy. Threats to Maine lakes • Atmospheric deposition (acid rain, Hg) • Invasive species • Eutrophication Land Use Internal lake dynamics • Climate change Extreme weather events Warming Reduced duration of ice cover Stronger thermal (density) stratification Longer growing season The urgency • Climate change threatens Maine lakes. • Since 1895, average regional temp. has increased by ~3F • Number of days at >32F has increased by ~14. • Models predict additional 3-5F increase in temp. & 5-10% increase in precipitation by 2050 in northeastern U.S. • More frequent intense storms; ~70% increase in extreme precip. (2” or more in 24 h) has occurred in last 60 years. • For example, Lake Auburn exhibited severe dissolved oxygen loss and its first serious algal blooms in 2011 and 2012. An early iceout year and warm summers resulted in long open-water seasons. This year (2016) may produce similar responses. • Excess phosphorus in lake water is the leading cause of water quality loss. The objectives (a) Develop a lake Vulnerability Index to predict which lakes are more susceptible to deteriorations in water quality (b) Use surveys and interviews to identify factors that encourage successful collaborations among VLMP monitors and lake associations on lake stewardship activities (c) Develop a blueprint of activities - informed by our physical and social scientific findings - that can positively influence stewardship behaviors among the public Fe-DOC PO43- Fe3+ PO43- Fe(OH)3 -PO43- The Ferrous Wheel Fe2+ Lake water/ Hypolimnion Sediment PO43- + Fe2+ Concept from Mortimer, 1941; Einsele, 1937 Fe(OH)3-PO4 Courtesy of G. W. G. Ferris, 1882 But, there were problems…… predicted average P flux (mg/m2/day) For example, data from Amirbahman et al., 2003 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2 measured average P flux (mg/m /day) 14 16 Lake Auburn, Maine 2015 Dissecting the Core Lake sediment 0.5 cm etc. c.. 1.0 cm etc.. H20 (%), 110oC LOI (%) = % org., 550oC Conc. = (ug Hg)/(g dry sed.) 210 Pb = Bq/(g dry sed.) t1/2 = 22 y 137 Cs (1963/4 maximum) 241 Am (1963/4 maximum) 2.0 cm Sediment-water interface at 35 m water depth Speciation of the elements of interest, including Al, Fe, and P Sequential Extraction of sediment slices Sediment 1 M NH4Cl @ pH 7 Residue 0.1 M Na2S2O4/NaHCO3 Modifications of Psenner technique Residue 0.1 M NaOH 25°C Residue 0.5 M HCl Labile Fe-P Ca-P Digestion NaOH TP - NaOH rP NaOH-Al Residue = NaOH-nrP Org./Bact.-P 1 M NaOH 85°C Residue Refractory-P Modified after Psenner Highland Lake, ME - Accumulation Rates for P 210Pb age 0.0 0.5 umoles/cm2/y 1.0 1.5 2003 2000 1996 1990 1983 1977 1971 1964 1955 1942 1926 2.0 2.5 NH4Cl BD NaOH-25 HCl NaOH-85 Pennesseewassee Lake, ME – Accumulation Rates for 2P 210Pb age 0.0 2003 2000 1996 1992 1986 1979 1968 1952 1927 1912 1888 0.5 umoles/cm /y 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 NH4Cl BD NaOH-25 HCl NaOH-85 from Coolidge, K. 2004 Kopáček et al., 2005 Magical Numbers If Al(OH)3,(BD+NaOH)/Fe(OH)3,(BD+NaOH) ≥ 3, and if Al(OH)3,(NaOH) > 25P(BD+NaOH+EX) there will be no release of P during anoxia. concept from Kopáček et al., 2005 The study lakes high trophic state Thompson (4400*) Emden (1568) Hopkins (442) Long (2700) Great (8240) Messalonski (3500) North (2900) Salmon (666)/McGrath (486) East (1823) Pleasant in Casco (1312) Clearwater (750) Pleasant in Caratunk (1120) Damariscotta (4400) Mousam (900)/Square (840) Taylor (650) Meddybemps (6765) Sabbatus (1960) Unity (2500) Webber (1200) Tunk (2010) Auburn (2260) China (3844) low citizen involvement high low * Numbers are lake surface area in acres Working with the VLMP volunteers Transparency Dissolved Oxygen & Temp Water Samples Chorophyll a Total Phosphorus Anions, Cations DOC, pH, ANC Sediment Samples Al, Fe, P speciation Sediment (0 to 2 cm) and epilimnetic data August of 2012-2015 (n = 140 lakes) Physical and epilimnetic data (n = 100 lakes) August, 2011-2012 70 Chlorophyll a (ppb) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 500 1000 Schmidt stability (J/m2) 1500 2000 2500 3000 Conclusions Lake vulnerability to eutrophication is a combination of external and internal characteristics. External factors, not considered here, include bedrock and surficial geology, precipitation water quality, soil types, land use, watershed/lake areal ratio, lake orientation, and weather/climate. Precipitation water quality, land use, and weather/climate are variables influenced by human behavior. Internal factors include sediment quality and lake morphometry (maximum depth, thermal profiles, and water volume distribution with depth). Sediment quality has a major influence on potential eutrophication because sediment quality determines the amount of internal recycling of phosphorus. Speciation of Al, Fe, and P is critical. Climate warming alters the thermal structure of lakes, encouraging the development of anoxic waters, thereby fueling release of P from the sediment, which may lead to eutrophication and nuisance algae. Lake vulnerability to eutrophication is a combination of external and internal characteristics. External factors, not considered here, include bedrock and surficial geology, precipitation water quality, soil types, land use, watershed/lake areal ratio, lake orientation, and weather/climate. Precipitation water quality, land use, and weather/climate are variables influenced by human behavior. Internal factors include sediment quality and lake morphometry (maximum depth, thermal profiles, and water volume distribution with depth). Sediment quality has a major influence on potential eutrophication because sediment quality determines the amount of internal recycling of phosphorus. Speciation of Al, Fe, and P is critical. Climate warming alters the thermal structure of lakes, encouraging the development of anoxic waters, thereby fueling release of P from the sediment, which may lead to eutrophication and nuisance algae. Photo by S. Nort
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