Schizophrenia Research 63 (2003) 73 – 78 www.elsevier.com/locate/schres Low maternal vitamin D as a risk factor for schizophrenia: a pilot study using banked sera John McGrath a,*, Darryl Eyles a, Bryan Mowry a, Robert Yolken b, Stephen Buka c,d,e a Department of Psychiatry, Queensland Centre for Schizophrenia Research, University of Queensland, The Park Centre for Mental Health, Wacol Q4076, Australia b Stanley Division of Developmental Neurovirology, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA c Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA d Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA e Harvard Institute of Psychiatric Epidemiology and Genetics, Boston, MA, USA Received 6 June 2002; accepted 2 October 2002 Abstract Objective: Evidence from epidemiology suggests that low maternal vitamin D may be a risk factor for schizophrenia. Method: Based on sera taken during the third trimester, we compared the level of 25 hydroxyvitamin D3 in mothers of individuals with schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorders versus mothers of unaffected controls. For each case, we selected two controls matched on race, gender and date of birth of the offspring. Results: There was no significant difference in third trimester maternal vitamin D in the entire sample (cases = 26, controls = 51). Within the subgroup of black individuals (n = 21), there was a trend level difference in the predicted direction. Conclusions: Maternal vitamin D does not operate as a continuous graded risk factor for schizophrenia, however, the results in the black subgroup raise the possibility that below a certain critical threshold, low levels of maternal vitamin D may be associated with an increased risk of schizophrenia. D 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Vitamin D; Schizophrenia; Banked sera 1. Introduction Prenatal nutritional deficiencies are biologically plausible risk factors for schizophrenia (Brown et al., 1996). To date, evidence linking maternal nutrition and schizophrenia is based on ecological studies drawn from the Dutch Hunger Winter (Susser et al., 1998). These studies have reported an association * Corresponding author. Tel.: +61-7-3271-8694; fax: +61-73271-8698. E-mail address: [email protected] (J. McGrath). between exposure to prenatal famine and an increased risk of schizophrenia and affective disorders in the offspring (Susser and Lin, 1992; Susser et al., 1996; Brown et al., 2000). The precise nature of the nutritional exposures (e.g. micronutrient deficiency, protein or calorie malnutrition, etc.) that may underlie these findings has not been clarified. One specific nutritional factor that has been linked to the epidemiology of schizophrenia is vitamin D (McGrath, 1999). As vitamin D levels fluctuate over the seasons, commentators have suggested that this factor may be associated with the excess of schizo- 0920-9964/03/$ - see front matter D 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/S0920-9964(02)00435-8 74 J. McGrath et al. / Schizophrenia Research 63 (2003) 73–78 phrenia births noted in winter and spring (Pile, 1951; Moskovitz, 1978). In addition to seasonality, low prenatal vitamin D may also provide a parsimonious explanation for two other curious epidemiological features of schizophrenia. The risk of developing schizophrenia is increased in (a) those born in urban versus rural locations (Marcelis et al., 1998; Mortensen et al., 1998) and (b) dark-skinned second generation migrants to cold climates (Harrison, 1990; Selten et al., 2001). Urban place of residence is associated with lower vitamin D levels compared to rural place of residence (McGrath et al., 2001b) and dark-skinned individuals living in cold climates are particularly prone to develop hypovitaminosis D (Holick, 1995; Looker et al., 2002). Vitamin D (cholecalciferol) is mainly derived from the action of ultraviolet radiation on a cholesterol metabolite in the skin. After hydroxylation in the liver (to 25-hydroxyvitamin D3: calcidiol), a second hydroxylation produces the active 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D3 (calcitriol). Calcitriol is a potent seco-steroid that regulates cell differentiation and proliferation, immune function and genomic stability, in addition to its classical role in calcium metabolism and bone growth (DeLuca and Zierold, 1998). Receptors for calcitriol are widely distributed throughout the developing and adult brain (Sutherland et al., 1992; Veenstra et al., 1998; Prufer et al., 1999) and the importance of vitamin D in brain functioning is receiving increasing recognition (McGrath et al., 2001a; Garcion et al., 2002). We examined maternal vitamin D as a risk for schizophrenia using banked maternal sera kept as part of the National Collaborative Perinatal Project (Buka et al., 1999). In this pilot study, we hypothesised that the mothers of those with schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders would have significantly lower third trimester vitamin D levels compared to the mothers of unaffected controls. 2. Methods 2.1. Participants The study sample was drawn from the Boston, MA and Providence, RI, cohorts of the National Collaborative Perinatal Project. Full details of the method- ology are published elsewhere (Buka et al., 1999; Zornberg et al., 2000; Buka et al., 2001). Pregnant women were enrolled during clinical visits between 1959 and 1966 and selected to be representative of patients receiving prenatal care at each study site. The New England cohorts include 15,721 surviving offspring of a sample of 11,971 pregnant women. Maternal serum samples were collected at various time points and stored at NIH repositories at 20 jC. In this study, we examined calcidiol levels in maternal sera taken during the third trimester. Offspring with psychotic illness were identified through (a) personal interviews and/or (b) record linkage with psychiatric treatment facilities. Subjects were re-contacted and interviewed by a trained diagnostic interviewer using the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV (First et al., 1996) followed by best-estimate consensus diagnoses generated by four experienced diagnosticians according to DSM-IV criteria, based on interview data and medical chart review. From the cohort of 15,721 individuals, 119 offspring were identified with an adult psychotic disorder (0.76%). Thirty-nine met definite criteria for schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorder (depressed) (0.25%). For the current analysis, we selected at random 27 of these subjects with schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorder and with available maternal serum. For each case subject, two healthy matched controls were selected, matched for gender, race/ethnicity, and date of birth. Controls were selected from an unaffected subset of subjects with no Axis I psychiatric diagnoses. Human subjects approval was granted by human studies review groups at Harvard University, the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, and local psychiatric facilities. After complete description of the study to the subjects, written informed consent was obtained. 2.2. Assay Calcidiol levels were assessed blind to case status by a radioimmunoassay (Diasorin Stillwater, Minnesota, USA). This precursor is regarded as the most appropriate indicator of overall vitamin D status (Hunter, 1998; Hollis, 2000). The stored samples had been diluted 1:5 in phosphate buffered saline, thus, in order to ensure that samples with low values of calcidiol (< 15 ng/ml) could be reliably measured, J. McGrath et al. / Schizophrenia Research 63 (2003) 73–78 an extraction step was used prior to the immunoassay. Samples were evaporated to dryness and then restored to the original extract volume prior to assay with the standard technique. The precision of this technique was assessed in 10 aged plasma samples by diluting them 1:5 in phosphate-buffered saline with subsequent storage at 70j. These samples were reconstituted and then assayed and results compared with the same nondiluted plasma extracted according to the manufacturers instructions. When this experiment was repeated three times, the results yielded excellent precision between the methods (slope = 0.90 F 0.03, r2 = 0.89). Finally, assay accuracy was assessed with samples obtained from the Vitamin D External Quality Assurance Scheme (DEQAS) yielding excellent correlation (slope = 1.11 F 0.05, r2 = 0.97). 2.3. Analysis As a preliminary examination of the data, t-tests were used to assess the impact of season (winter/ spring versus summer/autumn) and race (black versus white) on calcidiol levels. The main analysis was assessed with conditional logistic regression for case/control matching where the odds ratio is for 75 proportional change in caseness per unit of calcidiol (ng/ml) (Breslow and Day, 1980) using SAS version 8. One planned subgroup analysis was undertaken with black and white case/control trios assessed separately. 3. Results Serum from one control was not available. Visual inspection and subsequent testing demonstrated that one sample had undergone deterioration. The level of calcidiol was >250 ng/ml, a level substantially above levels reported in the literature (Vieth, 1999) and nearly five times higher than the next highest sample in the study. This sample was excluded, and as it was maternal sera from one of the cases, the maternal sera from the two matched unaffected controls were also excluded. Thus, maternal sera from 26 cases and 51 unaffected controls were available. There were 68 male and 9 female subjects. Seven of the cases and 14 of the unaffected controls were black, while the remaining subjects (19 cases, 37 controls) were white (Fig. 1). Overall, there were seasonal differences in the level of calcidiol, with calcidiol levels measured in sera Fig. 1. Calcidol levels (ng/ml) in all subjects, white subjects only and black subjects only. The box plots show the median (central line), 25th and 75th quartiles (box), and the highest and lowest values (bars) excluding outliers (circles). 76 J. McGrath et al. / Schizophrenia Research 63 (2003) 73–78 obtained during winter/spring being significantly lower than levels measured in sera obtained during summer/ autumn (mean ng/ml (S.D.) = 15.25 (8.18); 25.59 (10.02) respectively; t = 4.50, df 75, p < 0.001). Overall, black mothers had significantly lower levels of calcidiol compared to white mothers (mean ng/ml (S.D.) = 11.76 (6.48); 22.06 (9.80) respectively, t = 4.46, df 75, p < 0.001). There was no significant difference in maternal calcidiol levels between cases and matched controls (Odds ratio = 0.98, 95% CI 0.92– 1.05). Within the white subjects, there was no significant difference (OR = 1.01, 95% CI 0.94 – 1.10), however, a trend level difference in the predicted direction emerged when black individuals were examined separately (Case Mean (S.D.)= 8.44 (3.25); Control Mean (S.D.) = 13.42 (7.13); OR = 0.78, 95% CI 0.55 –1.08). In order to further explore this finding, we undertook a post hoc assessment of maternal calcidiol levels in cases versus controls in those with calcidiol level less than 15 ng/ml (a standard definition of vitamin D deficiency (Vieth, 1999)). A total of 12 of the 26 mothers of cases and 15 of the 51 mothers of controls had levels below 15 ng/ml. (Odds ratio = 2.06, 95% CI 0.77– 5.47), however, there was no significant group difference in the mean calcidiol level between cases and controls in this ‘deficient’ subgroup (data not shown). increased rates of hypovitaminosis D in dark-skinned migrants to cold climates with (b) the increased risk of schizophrenia in these ethnic groups. Black infants growing up in cold climates have a higher prevalence of rickets compared to white infants, as a result of the influence of skin pigmentation on actinic production of cholecalciferol (Holick, 1995; Kreiter et al., 2000; Abrams, 2002). Perhaps hypovitaminosis D during early postnatal life, which is more common in black versus white infants, warrants inspection in future studies. Alternatively, perhaps only marked prenatal vitamin D deficiency operates as a risk-modifying factor, in which case this study lacked sufficient power to confidently detect this effect. These revised hypotheses are consistent with recent animal experiments demonstrating (a) an association between the very low prenatal vitamin D and altered brain development in the rat (Eyles et al., 2002; Feron et al., 2002) and (b) an association between combined prenatal and postnatal vitamin D depletion and altered prepulse inhibition in the rat (Mackay-Sim et al., 2002). Future studies of the role of maternal vitamin D and schizophrenia may wish to focus specifically on individuals born during winter and spring, and darkskinned individuals living in cold climates. Based on the group difference and variance found in the maternal calcidiol levels from the black individuals, over 18 case/control matched pairs of black individuals would be required to confidently detect a group difference (1:1 matching, alpha = 0.05, Power = 0.8). 4. Discussion 4.1. Limitations of the study Maternal calcidiol levels during the third trimester were not associated with risk of schizophrenia in the offspring in this pilot study based on banked sera. Thus, the hypothesis linking low prenatal vitamin D and schizophrenia is weakened. In particular, the results of this study allow us to reject the hypothesis that maternal calcidiol operates as a continuous graded risk factor for schizophrenia. The pilot study has also provided an interesting clue for future research. The trend level group difference found in the small black sample (7 cases and 14 controls) leaves open the possibility that factors associated with race may influence the putative association between vitamin D and schizophrenia. This would be congruent with one of the core elements of the original hypothesis (McGrath, 1999), which linked (a) the Apart from the small sample size, the study is also limited by our ability to predict overall maternal vitamin D status based on only one 3rd trimester blood sample. It is likely that maternal calcidiol levels fluctuate from week to week in response to outdoor behaviour, dress, climate and diet. Also, the interpretation of the absolute calcidiol levels in this study requires caution. The calcidiol levels detected in the stored sera were comparable to the winter –summer fluctuations reported for nonpregnant women aged between 20 and 40 years living in Boston, MA (12 –16 ng/ml for black women, 24– 34 ng/ml for white women; (Harris and Dawson-Hughes, 1998)). Groups interested in the association between vitamin D and cancer have also reported that calcidiol J. McGrath et al. / Schizophrenia Research 63 (2003) 73–78 levels as measured in sera stored over two to three decades appear valid when compared to levels detected in comparable fresh sera (Corder et al., 1993; Braun et al., 1995; Nomura et al., 1998). However, the long storage of the sera might have resulted in a slight reduction in calcidiol levels due to precipitation of vitamin D binding protein. We expect that this artefact would impact on case and control sera equally, but may reduce the range of calcidiol levels and thus further reduce the power to detect true but small group differences. If the offspring of dark-skinned mothers living in cold climates are more vulnerable to low prenatal vitamin D, then the hypothesis would suggest that the incidence of schizophrenia should also be higher in these groups. While there are no US-based incidence studies available to clarify this issue, two major community-based studies of the prevalence of schizophrenia in the United States (Regier et al., 1993; Kendler et al., 1996) have reported nonsignificant but numerically higher prevalence rates for schizophrenia in black individuals. Gallagher et al. (1984) also reported a more prominent winter-birth excess for schizophrenia in black patients compared to white patients, and linked this effect to poorer maternal nutritional during winter in black women. The opportunity to measure candidate exposures such as calcidiol in banked sera provides a powerful tool to evaluate novel risk factors that ordinarily rely on ecological studies. 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