STM103 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 1 Structure of class Structure of class Major alternative concepts of democratic Major alternative concepts of democratic governance I I. Electoral democracy: Joseph Schumpeter/Przeworski Electoral democracy: Joseph Schumpeter/Przeworski Liberal democracy: Robert Dahl/Polity IV Good governance: World Bank/Ibrahim Index Good governance: World Bank/Ibrahim Index 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 2 Class Resources Class Resources Geraldo L. Munck and Jay Verkuilen. 2002. ‘Conceptualizing and measuring democracy - Evaluating alternative indices indices.’ Comparative Political Studies Studies. 35 (1): 55 34. LeDuc, Niemi and Norris Comparing p g Democracies 3 Haerpfer Democratization Ch 2 Supplementary Supplementary optional readings by Dahl, Schumpeter, Dryzek, and Held. 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 3 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 4 Alternative concepts of democratic governance Electoral democracy Przeworski/Cheibub Liberal democracy Good governance Polity IV/ Polity IV/ Ibrahim Index/ Ibrahim Index/ Freedom House World Bank Minimalist Maximalist 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 5 1 Electoral democracy 1.Electoral democracy Joseph Schumpeter, Capitalism, socialism and Josep Sc u pete , Cap ta s , soc a s a d democracy Procedural minimalist definition "Th d "The democratic method is that institutional i h di h i i i l arrangement for arriving at political decisions in which individuals acquire the power to decide by means of a individuals acquire the power to decide by means of a competitive struggle for the people's vote“ Multiparty elections at regular intervals Citizens select leaders Pros and cons of this notion? How would you measure it? How would you measure it? 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 6 Pros and cons? Pros and cons? Validity? Reflects basic commonsense notions of democracy Excludes too much? No notion of freedom of speech or assembly, civil liberties, political p y, ,p rights, human rights, common good, regime structure, quality of governance, policy outputs? Reliability? Institutional criteria (elections) can be observed and verified Are there multiparty competitive elections for national office? Yet what counts as a genuine Yet what counts as a genuine ‘competitive competitive struggle struggle’?? Electoral autocracy? Potential measurement error through misclassification 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 7 M db P ki/Ch ib b Measured by Przworski/Cheibub Adam Przeworski et al Democracy and development y p (CUP 2000) Jose Cheibub Presidentialism, Parliamentarism and Democracy (CUP 2007) (CUP 2007) Minimalist Dichotomous classification democratic v. autocratic regime, not a continuous scale i l Criteria Contestation Regimes Regimes that allow some regularized competition among conflicting that allow some regularized competition among conflicting visions and interests Regimes in which some values or interests enjoy a monopoly buttressed by threat or the actual use of force Operationalization “Democracy is a regime in which government offices y g g are filled by contested elections.” p19 “Democracy is a system in which incumbents lose elections and leave office when the rules dictate.” p54. All other regimes are not democratic. Rules 1. Chief executive must be elected directly or indirectly y y 2. The lower house of the legislature must be elected 3. There must be more than one party 4. (If pass above) and if incumbents subsequently held, but never lost elections, regimes are authoritarian. Cases of Singapore, Botswana, Japan, Kenya, Mexico?? Contestation rules: Ex‐ante uncertainty (probability that at least one member of incumbent coalition will lose)) Ex‐post irreversibility (whoever wins election will be allowed to assume office) p y ((temporary outcomes) p y ) Repeatability Figure 3.1: Trends in Cheibub and Gandhi’s classification of regime types, 1945-2002 Cheibub Type of Regime 120 Democracy Dictatorship 100 Couunt 80 60 40 20 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 1978 1976 1974 1972 1970 1968 1966 1964 1962 1960 1958 1956 1954 1952 1950 1948 1946 Year Source: José Cheibub and Jennifer Gandhi. 2004. ’A six-fold measure of democracies and dictatorships.’ Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com Association. 11 Minimalist exclusions Minimalist exclusions No social or economic aspects included No social or economic aspects included No measure of accountability, responsibility, responsiveness or representation responsiveness or representation No measure of freedom, liberties or human rights No measure of participation eg f i i i f franchise hi No reference to civil‐military relations • Advantages and disadvantages of this approach? Democratic governance Electoral democracy Przeworski/Cheibub Liberal democracy Good governance Polity IV/ Polity IV/ Ibrahim Index/ Ibrahim Index/ Freedom House World Bank Minimalist Maximalist 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 13 2 Liberal Democracy 2. Liberal Democracy Robert Dahl 1956. A Preface to Democratic Theory f y Modern democratic states can be understood in practice as polyarchies Two concepts are important: Contestation and Two concepts are important: Contestation and participation ‘Polyarchies’ can be identified by the presence of certain key political institutions: key political institutions: 1) elected officials; 2) free and fair elections; ) g 3) inclusive suffrage; 4) the right to run for office; 5) freedom of expression; 6) alternative information; and 7) associational autonomy 7) associational autonomy 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 14 Dahl'ss Conceptual Logic Conceptual Logic Dahl Liberal Democracy Contestation Right to form parties Associational autonomy 9/21/2009 Participation Freedom of the press Right to vote Fairness of election Extent of suffrage www.pippanorris.com 15 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 16 Measurement: Polity IV Measurement: Polity IV Monty G. Marshall, and Keith Jaggers. 2006. Polity IV Monty G. Marshall, and Keith Jaggers. 2006. Polity IV Project: Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions, 1800‐2006: Dataset Users’ Manual. Maryland: University of Maryland. http://www.cidcm.umd.edu/polity/ Long time‐series (1800‐2006) annual observations Academic standard especially in IR p y 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 17 Polity IV Concepts Polity IV Concepts Democracy reflects three essential elements: Democracy reflects three essential elements: The presence of institutions and procedures through which citizens can express preferences about which citizens can express preferences about alternative policies and leaders; The existence of institutionalized constraints on the The existence of institutionalized constraints on the power of the executive; and The guarantee of civil liberties to all citizens The guarantee of civil liberties to all citizens (although not actually measured). 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 18 Polity IV measurement Polity IV measurement The dataset constructs a ten The dataset constructs a ten‐point point democracy scale democracy scale by coding The competitiveness of political participation (1‐3), The competitiveness of executive recruitment (1‐2), The openness of executive recruitment (1), and Th The constraints on the chief executive (1‐4). t i t th hi f ti (1 4) Autocracy is measured by negative versions of the same indices same indices. The two scales are combined into a single democracy‐autocracy score varying from ‐10 to +10. y y y g 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 19 Polity IV classification Polity IV classification The existence or absence of institutional features of the nation state. Competitive executive recruitment is measured by leadership selection through popular elections contested by two or more parties or candidates two or more parties or candidates. The openness of recruitment for the chief executive is measured by the opportunity for all citizens to have the oppo tu ty to atta t e pos t o t oug a egu a ed opportunity to attain the position through a regularized process, excluding hereditary succession, forceful seizure of power, or military coups. By contrast, autocracies are seen as regimes which restrict or suppress competitive political participation, in which the chief ii li i l i i i i hi h h hi f executive is chosen from within the political elite, and, once in office, leaders face few institutional constraints on their power. power 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 20 Polity IV Polity IV Figure 3.4: Trends in Polity IV measure of Constitutional Democracy, 1800-2000 4 Mean Polity Combined 20 0-pt score 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 1960 1955 1950 1945 1940 1935 1930 1925 1920 1915 1910 1905 1900 1895 1890 1885 1880 1875 1870 1865 1860 1855 1850 1845 1840 1835 1830 1825 1820 1815 1810 1805 1800 Year Source: Monty Marshall and Keith Jaggers. 2003. Polity IV Project: Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions, 1800-2003. http://www.cidcm.umd.edu/inscr/polity/; 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 21 Polity IV Polity IV Pros and cons? Pros and cons? Validity? Reliability? 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 22 Democratic governance Electoral democracy Przeworski/Cheibub Liberal democracy Good governance Polity IV/ Polity IV/ Ibrahim Index/ Ibrahim Index/ Freedom House World Bank Minimalist Maximalist 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 23 Good governance indices Good governance indices Increasingly commonly used in the last decade gy y World Bank Institute: Kaufmann‐Kray Good governance indicators 1996 Good governance indicators 1996‐date date Rule of law Government effectiveness Transparency Voice Stability Will discuss in Class 11 Ibrahim Index of African Governance 9/21/2009 http://www.moibrahimfoundation.org/index‐2008/ p // g/ / www.pippanorris.com 24 Ibrahim Index Ibrahim Index 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 25 e g Ibrahim Index e.g. Ibrahim Index “All citizens of all countries desire to be governed well. That is what h citizens ii want from f the h nation-states i i which in hi h they h live. li Thus, nation-states in the modern world are responsible for the p ggoods to their inhabitants. The deliveryy of essential political essential political goods can be summarized and gathered under five categories: •Safety Safety and Security; •Rule of Law, Transparency, and Corruption; •Participation and Human Rights; •Sustainable S i bl Economic E i Opportunity; O i andd •Human Development. g these five categories g of political p goods g epitomize p the Together, performance of any government, at any level.” 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 26 E g Ibrahim Index E.g. Ibrahim Index 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 27 Eg Ibrahim Index Eg Ibrahim Index 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 28 Ibrahim index Ibrahim index Advantages? Disadvantages? 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 29 Key questions? Key questions? How would you assess the strengths and weaknesses of the normative concepts of electoral democracy, liberal democracy, deliberative democracy and good governance? Which of these concepts would you use to measure the quality of governance in your home region, for example, working in a UN agency, a national NGO, as a journalist, working in a UN agency, a national NGO, as a journalist, as an official for a bilateral donor, or as an academic analyst? How would you justify your choice of concepts and How would you justify your choice of concepts and measures to a diplomatic official from, say, ASEAN, the African Union, or the UN? 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 30 Next class Next class Note: Meet next on Wednesday 18 Note: Meet next on Wednesday 18th Feb Introduction to the QoG dataset 9/21/2009 www.pippanorris.com 31
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