Election Update
Outlook for
th
114
Congress
PT-PAC Results
• 92% Success Rate
• $1.3 Million in Contributions to MoC
• Notable Wins/Defeats in Senate
– Shelley Moore Capito (WV), Lindsay Graham (SC),
Gary Peters (MI), Mike Rounds (SD), and Jeanne
Shaheen (NH) -Wins
– Bruce Braley (IA), Kay Hagan (NC), Mary Landrieu
(LA), and Mark Udall (CO) - Defeats
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PT-PAC Results in House
• Notable Wins/Defeats in House
– Buddy Carter (GA), John Moolenaar (MI), Donald
Norcross (NJ), Mark Takai (HI), and Mimi Walters
(CA) – Wins
– John Barrow (GA), Ron Barber (AZ), Tim Bishop
(NY), and Lee Terry (NE) – Defeats
• Wins in State Legislature
– Ryan Ferns and Mick Bates (WV) and Deb
Lavender (MO)
3
2015 Congressional Landscape
House of Representatives
Republican Majority Increases
114th Congress
Current (113th Congress)
Republicans
5 Undecided
1 vacancy*
199
Seats
Democrats
233
Seats
186
Seats
Republicans
244
Seats
Democrats
2 vacancies*
* Rep. Mel Watt (D-NC) – appointed to Federal Housing Finance Agency
Rep. Robert Andrews (D-NJ) – resigned
Rep. Eric Cantor (R-VA) – resigned
Current as of Nov. 14, 2014
9:00am (Source: AP)
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2015 Congressional Landscape
House of Representatives Leadership
Republicans*
Democrats**
Speaker of the House
• John Boehner (R-OH)
Minority Leader
• Nancy Pelosi (D-CA)
Majority Leader
• Kevin McCarthy (R-CA)
Minority Whip
• Steny Hoyer (D-MD)
Majority Whip
• Steve Scalise (R-LA)
Assistant Democratic Leader
• James Clyburn (D-SC)
Republican Conference Chair
• Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA)
Democratic Caucus Chair
• Xavier Becerra (D-CA)
Republican Policy Committee Chair
• Luke Messer (R-IN)
Democratic Policy & Steering Committee Co-Chairs
• Rosa DeLauro (D-CT)
• OPEN
National Republican Congressional
Committee Chair
• Greg Walden (R-OR)
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
Chair
• OPEN
* Based on November 13, 2014 House Republican leadership elections
** Based on current leadership positions and pending House Democratic leadership election outcomes
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2015 Congressional Landscape
House Energy and Commerce Committee
Republicans (30)
Democrats (24)
Fred Upton (MI) – Chairman*
Ralph Hall (TX) (defeated)
Joe Barton (TX)* – Chair Emeritus
Ed Whitfield (KY)*
John Shimkus (IL)*
Joseph Pitts (PA) – Health Subcommittee Chair*
Greg Walden (OR)
Lee Terry (NE) (defeated)
Mike Rogers (MI)* (retiring)
Tim Murphy (PA)*
Michael Burgess (TX)*
Marsha Blackburn (TN) – Vice Chair*
Phil Gingrey (GA)* (ran for Senate)
Steve Scalise (LA)
Bob Latta (OH)
Cathy McMorris Rogers (WA)*
Greg Harper (MS)
Leonard Lance (NJ)*
Bill Cassidy (LA)* (ran for Senate)
Brett Guthrie (KY)*
Pete Olsen (TX)
Dave McKinley (WV)
Cory Gardner (CO) (ran for Senate)
Mike Pompeo (KS)
Adam Kinzinger (IL)
Morgan Griffith (VA)*
Gus Bilirakis (FL)*
Bill Johnson (OH)
Billy Long (MO)
Renee Ellmers (NC)*
Henry Waxman (CA) – Ranking Member* (retiring)
John Dingell (MI)* (retiring)
Frank Pallone (NJ) – Health Subcommittee Ranking Member*
Bobby Rush (IL)
Anna Eshoo (CA)
Eliot Engel (NY)*
Gene Green (TX)*
Diana DeGette (CO)
Lois Capps (CA)*
Mike Doyle (PA)
Jan Schakowsky (IL)*
Jim Matheson (UT)* (retiring)
G.K. Butterfield (NC)*
John Barrow (GA)* (defeated)
Doris Matsui (CA)
Donna Christensen (VI)* (ran for Governor)
Kathy Castor (FL)*
John Sarbanes (MD)*
Jerry McNerney (CA)
Bruce Braley (IA) (ran for Senate)
Peter Welch (VT)
Ben Ray Lujan (NM)
Paul Tonko (NY)
John Yarmuth (KY)
6 vacancies**
6 vacancies, including Ranking Member**
* Served on Health Subcommittee in 113th Congress
** Expected vacancies based on current ratios
6
2015 Congressional Landscape
House Ways and Means Committee
Republicans (23)
Democrats (16)
Dave Camp (MI) – Chair (retiring)
Sam Johnson (TX)*
Kevin Brady (TX) – Health Subcommittee Chair*
Paul Ryan (WI)* CHAIR
Devin Nunes (CA)*
Pat Tiberi (OH)
Dave Reichert (WA)
Charles Boustany (LA)
Pete Roskam (IL)*
Jim Gerlach (PA)* (retiring)
Tom Price (GA)*
Vern Buchanan (FL)*
Adrian Smith (NE)*
Aaron Schock (IL)
Lynn Jenkins (KS)
Erik Paulsen (MN)
Kenny Marchant (TX)
Diane Black (TN)
Tom Reed (NY)
Todd Young (IN)
Mike Kelly (PA)
Tim Griffin (AR) (ran for other office)
Jim Renacci (OH)
Sander Levin (MI) – Ranking Member
Charles Rangel (NY)
Jim McDermott (WA) – Health Subcommittee Ranking Member*
John Lewis (GA)
Richard Neal (MA)
Xavier Becerra (CA)
Lloyd Doggett (TX)
Mike Thompson (CA)*
John Larson (CT)
Earl Blumenauer (OR)*
Ron Kind (WI)*
Bill Pascrell (NJ)*
Joseph Crowley (NY)
Allyson Schwartz (PA) (ran for Governor)
Danny Davis (IL)
Linda Sanchez (CA)
3 vacancies, including Chair**
1 vacancy**
* Served on Health Subcommittee in 113th Congress
** Expected vacancies based on current ratios
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2015 Congressional Landscape
Senate
Republicans Win Majority
Current (113th Congress)
114th Congress
Republicans
55
Seats
Democrats*
45
Seats
1 Undecided
46
Seats
Republicans
53
Seats
Democrats*
Current as of Nov. 14, 2014
9:00am (Source: AP)
* Includes Sens. Angus King (I-ME) & Bernie Sanders (I-VT), who caucus with the Democrats
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2015 Congressional Landscape
Senate Leadership*
Republicans
Democrats
Majority Leader
• Mitch McConnell (R-KY)
Minority Leader
• Harry Reid (D-NV)**
Majority Whip
• John Cornyn (R-TX)
Minority Whip
• Dick Durbin (D-IL)
Republican Conference Chair
• John Thune (R-SD)**
Democratic Caucus Vice Chair & Policy Committee
Chair
• Charles Schumer (D-NY)**
Republican Policy Committee Chair
• John Barrasso (R-WY)
Democratic Caucus Secretary
• Patty Murray (D-WA)**
Republican Conference Vice Chair
• Roy Blunt (R-MO)**
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Chair
• Jon Tester (D-MT)
National Republican Senatorial Committee
Chair
• Roger Wicker (R-MS)
Democratic Steering and Outreach Committee Chair
• Amy Klobuchar (D-MN)
Democratic Policy and Communications Committee
Strategic Policy Adviser
• Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)
* Based on November 13, 2014 Senate leadership elections
** Member is in cycle for 2016
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2015 Congressional Landscape
Senate Finance Committee
Republicans (13)
Democrats (11)
Orrin Hatch (UT) – Chairman
Chuck Grassley (IA)*
Mike Crapo (ID)*
Pat Roberts (KS)
Mike Enzi (WY)
John Cornyn (TX)
John Thune (SD)*
Richard Burr (NC)*
Johnny Isakson (GA)*
Rob Portman (OH)*
Patrick Toomey (PA)*
Ron Wyden (OR) – Ranking Member*
John Rockefeller (WV) (retiring)
Charles Schumer (NY)*
Debbie Stabenow (MI)
Maria Cantwell (WA)
Bill Nelson (FL)
Robert Menendez (NJ)
Thomas Carper (DE)
Ben Cardin (MD)
Sherrod Brown (OH)
Michael Bennet (CO)*
Robert Casey (PA)
Mark Warner (VA)***
2 vacancies**
-1 vacancies (Democrats lose 1 slot)**
* Member is in cycle for 2016
** Expected vacancies based on current majority/minority ratios
*** Member would likely lose Committee seat.
10
2015 Congressional Landscape
Senate HELP Committee
Republicans (12)
Democrats (10)
Lamar Alexander (TN) – Chairman
Mike Enzi (WY)
Richard Burr (NC)*
Johnny Isakson (GA)*
Rand Paul (KY)*
Orrin Hatch (UT)
Pat Roberts (KS)
Lisa Murkowski (AK)*
Mark Kirk (IL)*
Tim Scott (SC)*
Tom Harkin (IA) (retiring)
Barbara Mikulski (MD)*
Patty Murray (WA)*
Bernard Sanders (VT)
Robert Casey Jr. (PA)
Kay Hagan (NC) (defeated)
Al Franken (MN)
Michael Bennet (CO)*
Sheldon Whitehouse (RI)
Tammy Baldwin (WI)
Christopher Murphy (CT)
Elizabeth Warren (MA)
2 vacancies**
No vacancies, Ranking Member open**
* Member is in cycle for 2016
** Expected vacancies based on current majority/minority ratios
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2016 Election Outlook
Senate Seats in Play
Republicans (24)
Kelly Ayotte (NH)
Roy Blunt (MO)
John Boozman (AR)
Richard Burr (NC)
Dan Coats (IN)
Mike Crapo (ID)
Chuck Grassley (IA)
John Hoeven (ND)
Johnny Isakson (GA)
Ron Johnson (WI)
Mark Kirk (IL)
James Lankford (OK)*
Mike Lee (UT)
John McCain (AZ)
Jerry Moran (KS)
Lisa Murkowski (AK)
Rand Paul (KY)
Rob Portman (OH)
Marco Rubio (FL)
Tim Scott (SC)
Richard Shelby (AL)
John Thune (SD)
Pat Toomey (PA)
David Vitter (LA)
* Elected in Nov. 4, 2014 special Senate election
Democrats (10)
Michael Bennet (CO)
Richard Blumenthal (CT)
Barbara Boxer (CA)
Patrick Leahy (VT)
Barbara Mikulski (MD)
Patty Murray (WA)
Harry Reid (NV)
Brian Schatz (HI)
Chuck Schumer (NY)
Ron Wyden (OR)
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