Sept., 2014 Journal of Resources and Ecology J. Resour. Ecol. 2014 5 (3) 253-262 DOI:10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2014.03.008 www.jorae.cn Vol.5 No.3 Article Mapping Air Temperature in the Lancang River Basin Using the Reconstructed MODIS LST Data FAN Na1,2, XIE Gaodi1*, LI Wenhua1, ZHANG Yajing3, ZHANG Changshun1 and LI Na1,2 1 Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China; 2 University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China; 3 Center for Environmental Education & Communications of Ministry of Environmental Protection, Beijing 100029, China Abstract: Air temperature is an important climatological variable and is usually measured in meteorological stations. Accurate mapping of its spatial and temporal distribution is of great interest for various scientific disciplines, but low station density and complexity of the terrain usually lead to significant errors and unrepresentative spatial patterns over large areas. Fortunately the current studies have shown that the regression models can help overcome the problem with the help of time series remote sensing data. However, noise induced by cloud contamination and other atmospheric disturbances variability impedes the application of LST data. An improved Savizky-Golay (SG) algorithm based on the LST background library is used in this paper to reconstruct MODIS LST product. Data statistical analysis included 12 meteorological stations and 120 reconstructed MODIS LST images of the period from 2001 to 2010. The coefficient of correlations (R 2) for 80% of the stations was higher than 0.5 (below 0.5 for only 2 stations) which illustrated that there is a considerably close agreement between monthly mean TA (air temperature) and the reconstructed LST in the Lancang River basin. Comparing to the regression model for every month with only LST data, the regression model with LST and NDVI had higher R 2 and RMSE. Finally, the LSTNDVI regression method was applied as an estimate model to produce distributed maps of air temperature with month intervals and 1 km spatial in the Lancang River basin of 2010. Key words: air temperature; land surface temperature; MODIS; spatio-temporal analysis; regression 1 Introduction Air temperature is traditionally measured at the shelter height 2 m above and one of the most important and frequent records with high accuracy and temporal resolution in meteorological stations, which is dependent on the regional infrastructure for weather data collection (Jones et al. 1986; Prihodko and Goward 1997; Stisen et al. 2007). It has been widely used in a range of researches, within climate change (Gielen et al. 2007; Wang et al. 2007), terrestrial hydrology (Arnold et al. 1998; Neteler 2010), ecological system modeling (Kätterer and Andrén 2009; Yang et al. 2009), agricultural models for crop growth and yield simulation models (Abraha and Savage 2008; Mo et al. 2005), and so on (Tran et al. 2007). All these researches rely on the sensitivity of air temperature to regional differences, such as land cover, surface moisture, topographic conditions and so on. Received: 2014-02-26 Accepted: 2014-05-06 Foundation: Ministry of Science and Technology of China (2008FY110300). * Corresponding author: XIE Gaodi. Email: [email protected]. Ground meteorological stations provide important local data of air temperature but have limited ability to describe the spatial heterogeneity of air temperature over large areas of the earth by the following reasons: (i) Air temperature from meteorological station which is just in situ point data cannot reflect the spatial variation of air temperature; (ii) Even the different geographical interpolation methods, e.g. inverse distance weighting, Kriging and spline methods have been used, but they also may lead to the results with significant errors and unrepresentative spatial patterns that because spatial interpolation approaches only implies spatial average situations. So geographical interpolation methods can’t optimally represent all the environments and the spatial information of climate (Hofstra et al. 2008); (iii) The inadequate density of the station network, especially most of weather stations are designed to be located near cities for convenient operation and the complexity of the 254 terrain, may be successful in estimating temperatures near weather stations, but can’t insure the interpolating accuracy far away weather stations (Neteler 2010). In all, meteorological measurements station are far from capturing the range of climate variability in sparsely populated and underdeveloped regions like parts of Lancang River. As an alternative data source, the remote sensing can be an important and valuable source of information, since it can greatly improve the ability to get spatial estimates of land surface temperature with a high spatial sampling rate at regional and global spatial scales (Benali et al. 2012; Ke et al. 2011; Yao and Zhang 2012). Daily time series data of the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) and the Moderate Resolution Radiometer (MODIS) have been successfully used, which can provide an unprecedented global coverage of critical land surface parameters for the past decades with a high spatial resolution, such as surface temperature and vegetation indices, etc (Benali et al. 2012; Raynolds et al. 2012). According to higher spatial resolution and greater spectral resolution, MODIS data has been frequently used in studies. The polar-orbiting MODIS sensors produce daily Land Surface Temperature (LST) products with global coverage (Justice et al. 2002). Several researches have proposed methods to estimate TA using LST product from MODIS: Mostovoy et al. found that linear regression models had high accuracy with low mean absolute error values ranging from 0.97 to 2.07℃ in estimating air temperature (Mostovoy et al. 2006). Benali et al. explored the possibilities and accuracy of retrieving maximum (Tmax), minimum (Tmin) and average air temperature (Tavg) from MODIS LST separately for a 10 years period in Portugal (Benali et al. 2012). Zhu et al. work have showed that the TVX method improve the accuracy of daily maximum air temperature significantly with RMSE=3.79℃, MAE=3.03℃, and r=0.83 (Zhu et al. 2013). Many researches demonstrated that a strong linear correlation between MODIS LST and air temperature, so undoubtedly regression models using remote sensing data for estimating and mapping air temperature are with relatively higher accuracy than the interpolating methods. However, the problem is that the methods above have not considered the quality of MODIS LST products. Due to the contamination of clouds, fogs, and other atmospheric factors, the LST product provided by NASA may suffer from missing values and noises from various sources, which can degrade the LST quality and hamper its efficient applications. During the last decade, researchers have proposed several algorithms for reconstructing MODIS vegetation indices, such as the Maximum Value Composite (MVC) algorithm, Best Index Slope Extraction, Asymmetric Gaussian filter, and Savitzky Golay (SG) filter, however few researches focus on solving the low quality of LST product (Chen et al. 2004; Gu et al. 2009; Neteler 2010; Roerink et al. 2000). All the above methods for reconstruct high-quality time-series MODIS NDVI data Journal of Resources and Ecology Vol.5 No.3, 2014 based on mathematical theories can also be used to solve the low quality of LST product with some adjustments. As we all know, the prior knowledge plays an important role in inversing parameters from remote sensing data. Recently some new researches begin to use historical datasets as background information. Fang et al. (2008) have developed a temporal spatial data filtering algorithm (TSF) which integrates both the multi-seasonal average trend (background) and the seasonal observation to fill the gaps and improve the quality of the MODIS standard LAI product (Fang et al. 2008). However, this method will be uneffective when the multi-year averaged values cannot be calculated because of lacking high quality data. Moreover, previous studies were mainly focused on daily maximum and minimum air temperatures, but Monthly mean TA is also greatly useful and needed for many researches, such as climatic change, geography, vegetation distribution, etc. Therefore, the main objectives of this paper are: (i) to reconstruct monthly MODIS LST product by explore a filtering algorithm using LST background library even in the situation of lacking high quality data; (ii) to explore systematically the relationship between air temperature from meteorological stations and land surface temperature from reconstructed MODIS LST product of Lancang River basin; and (iii) to estimate and map TA by using monthly linear regression methods between TA and LST. 2 Study area The Mekong River is an important international river, it flowing through six countries, i.e., China, Myanmar, Laos, Thailand, Combodia, and Viet Nam (Liu et al. 1998). The section of Mekong River in China namely the Lancang River, is one of China’s five major basins. The Lancang River originates on the eastern Tibetan Plateau, near the Deqin County with the highest elevation, it enters Yunnan Province and plunges through deep gorges (He and Zhang 2005). The Lancang River (Fig. 1) flows about 2160 km in distance and has 164 000 km2 of drainage area with a total drop of about 4 500 m. The average flow at the exit is about 2 170 m3 s-1 (He et al. 2007). The Lancang River has a boundary of longitude 94˚– 102˚E, latitude 21˚–34˚N. As a typical north-south river, the basin extends 13º in latitude from north to south. It is divided into three sections: the upper reach, the middle reach and the lower reach. The Lancang River flows south through Yunnan Province, hemmed in by mountains ranging in height from 3000 to 4000 m in the north, 1500 to 2200 m in the middle, and 500 to 1000 m in the south. Because of diversity in the geomorphology and climate, the study area almost includes all kinds of ecosystem except desert and marine (Wang et al. 2007). The Lancang River basin experiences five climate zones and many kinds of geographical environment, which has climatic gradients running from the upper reach to the FAN Na, et al.: Mapping Air Temperature in the Lancang River Basin Using the Reconstructed MODIS LST Data lower reach, and from lowlands to mountains (Qiu 1996). Temperature increases from north to south, and decrease with increasing elevation. The original region of the basin with high altitude, low temperature and low rainfall is cold climate, where the annual average temperature is range from –3℃ to 3℃, and even the hottest month’s average temperature is 6–12℃. The temperature of the basin in Tibet increases from north to south, and shows a clear vertical variation. It belongs to a plateau temperate climate ,the annual average temperature is above 10℃. The climate in the basin of northwest Yunnan is midstream. The annual average temperature here is 12–15℃, the average temperature in hottest month is 24–28℃, and even the average temperature in the coldest month reaches 5–10℃. The lower reach experiences subtropical or tropical climates, where the average temperature, the hottest month average temperature, the coldest month average temperature are 15–22℃, 20–28℃, 5–20℃ respectively. It shows greatly spatial heterogeneity in the Lancang River basin, but the weather stations in this area are far apart and most of them are located near cities or towns. The spatial method 95˚E 100˚E Gansu Qinghai 255 for air temperature is urgent, because it is a great challenge to recognize the spatial pattern of air temperature in the study area based on the weather stations. 3 Data 3.1 MODIS data Terra-MODIS data are available from 3/2000 onward, its products have a wide range of application, including characterization of land use and land cover, change detection of land use and land cover, hydrologic modeling, agriculture monitoring and forecasting and so on (Amiri et al. 2009; Son et al. 2012). In the recent research, the MODIS product level V005 was used, which offers significantly improved data quality compared to previous levels, especially for inland water pixels, as well as other, product-specific improvements (Wan 2008). The MODIS land surface temperature product (MOD11A2) are 8-day Global 1 km SIN Grid VI data sets using the generalized split window algorithm, which include two kinds: LST_day and LST_night (The Terra satellite platform over-passes at approximately 10:30 am and 1:30pm local solar time) (Wan 2006). Here, only day land surface temperature is used. A total of 1840 images (in the title of h25v05, h26v05, h26v06, h27v07, from 2001 to 2010) are downloaded from the Land Processes Distributed Active Archive Center (https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/lpdaac/products/modis). Xizang 30˚N Sichuan 30˚N 3.2 Meteorological data Station Table 1 Basic information of the meteorological stations. Langcang River Yunnan Basin Altitude (m) High: 6882 Low: 87 N 0 95˚E 200 km 100˚E Fig. 1 Map of the study area and distribution of the meteorological stations. 25˚N 25˚N The main tributaries 200 100 Daily air temperature data (2001 to 2010) for 12 weather stations in the study area are subset from China land surface meteorological dataset, which could be downloaded from China Meteorological Information Center (http://cdc.cma. gov.cn/index.jsp). These stations are located from about 559 m to 3801 m above sea level (Table 1 and Fig. 1). The daily data were averaged as monthly composite data. Code 56969 56959 56954 56964 56946 56751 56548 56444 56137 56128 56125 56018 Name Mengla Jinghong Lancang Simao Gengma Dali Weixi Deqin Changdu Leiwuqi Nangqian Zaduo Latitude (°) Longitude (°) Altitude (m) 21.48 101.57 643 22.00 100.78 559 22.57 99.93 1040 22.78 100.97 1304 23.55 99.40 1100 25.70 100.18 1977 27.17 99.28 2396 28.48 98.92 3204 31.15 97.17 3267 31.22 96.60 3801 32.20 96.48 3630 32.90 95.30 4170 256 4 Methods 4.1 MODIS LST Map reconstruction method The MODIS Reprojection Tool Software (MRT V4.0, https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/lpdaac/tools/modis_reprojection_ tool; 15 May 2013) was used to reproject images from the original Sinusoidal (SIN) to the Albert projection (STDPR1:25.0, STDPR2:47.0, CenMer:105.0). MRT also allows for mosaicing and geographical subsetting, and it exports the resulting maps to standard GIS data formats such as GeoTIFF. After these data preprocessing, then we present an algorithm to reconstruct LST images (Fig. 2). Compared with other reconstruction algorithm, our selfcontained LST reconstruction algorithm employed historical LST datasets as the prior knowledge to restore the LST profiles. This included four steps, the first two processes were to eliminate low quality and unreliable pixels, the third and fourth step were to fill the empty pixels: 4.1.1 Creating monthly composited data set In order to eliminate the impact of the cloud, the monthly LST data set was performed by MVC (maximum value composite) methods using the 8-day data. 4.1.2 Removing the outliers based on histogram analysis We found abnormal low data in the monthly LST dataset, especially in summer as there were lots of undetected clouds. To overcome this problem, an outlier detector was applied to eliminate the remaining cloud-contaminated pixels. The outlier-filtered was based on an image-based histogram analysis that finds and remove pixels which show unusually low LST values, when quartiles are considered (Neteler 2005). Low_boundary=1st_quartile−1.5(3rd_quartile −1st_quartile) (1) 4.1.3 Building the LST background library by using historical LST datasets This paper, we built the LST background library of the Lancang River basin by using monthly LST dataset ranging from 2001to 2010, which was used to provide the average annual LST trend of the study area. We choose the temporal weighted averaged method instead of the multi-year averaged method to get a more reliable average LSI trend. Before calculating the trend, the empty pixels were filled by using linear interpolation based on inverse distance methods. Then, we got the continuous LST data for each year. Because of low quality LST data would increase fluctuation, so we defined the f (fluctuation coefficient) index to measure the fluctuation of LST in a moving temporal window, then set the ω (weight coefficient) index according to the f index. The greater the f values, the lower the weight when the average LST trend is calculated. The mathematic form of p index, ω index can be expressed as following. Journal of Resources and Ecology Vol.5 No.3, 2014 MODIS 8-day LST data MODIS Monthly LST data 2 IDW lnterpolation MVC Rate lnterpolation Temporal weighted average MODIS Monthly LST data 1 MODIS Monthly LST data 3 The outliers detection based on histogram Monthly LST background data S-G Filter Reconstructed LST data Fig. 2 Flowchart of the algorithm. 1 ∑ (LST (i , j , m, n) − LST (i , j , n) ) 3 f (i , j , m, n ) = 12 2 (2) m =1 N ω(i,j,m,n)= ∑ f ( i , j , m, n ) − f ( i , j , m, n ) ω (3) ∑ ω(i,j,m,n)×LST(i,j,m,n) (4) n =1 N ( N − 1) ∑ f ( i , j , m , n ) n =1 LSTback(i,j,m) = N n =1 where i and j present the location of a pixel; m means the month of a year, m=1,2,…,12; n means the number of years to establish the LST background, n=1,2,…,10, N=10; LST(i, j, m, n) presents the LST value of pixel with location (i, j) at the mth month of the nth year; LST (i , j , n ) is the average LST value of pixels in the nth year; f (i,j,m,n) is the fluctuation coefficient of pixel with location (i,j) at the mth month of the nth year; ω(i, j, m, n) is the weight coefficient of pixel (i,j) at the mth month of the nth year; and LSTback (i, j, m) means the LST background value of pixel (i,j) at the mth month of library. 4.1.4 Reconstructing a new LST time-series by S-G filter Algorithm Savitzky and Golay proposed a simplified least-squares-fit convolution for smoothing (Savitzky and Golay 1964). The algorithm can be understood as a weighted moving average filter with weighting given as a polynomial of a certain degree (Chen et al. 2004). This convolution is designed to preserve higher moments within the data and to reduce the bias introduced by the filter, so it has the advantage of restoring LST data to reduce the negative offset effects caused by the atmospheric factors such as clouds. The mathematic form can be expressed as: m * Yj = ∑CY i j +i (5) N where Yj* is the resultant value; Y is the original data value; Ci is the coefficient of the filter; m is the size of a moving i=− m 257 FAN Na, et al.: Mapping Air Temperature in the Lancang River Basin Using the Reconstructed MODIS LST Data window, and N is the total number of pixels in the moving window. The improved algorithm of this paper was based on LST background library. Before the S-G smoothing, the rate of changes of LST at time t from the LST background library was used to fill the empty pixels, the mathematic form can be expressed as follows: a=LSTbask(i,j,t)−LSTbask(i,j,t−1) (6) The model with high R2 was chose to estimate the monthly air temperature in 2010 for every month. Then we mapped the spatial distribution of TA for every month and analyzed the spatio-temporal pattern of TA. 5 Results 5.1 Reconstructed LST maps Regression model design and assessment were based on a statistical approach, so it’s necessary to analyze the differences between LST and TA. Firstly, we performed the spatio-temporal variation of monthly LST versus monthly mean TA for every station for the period of 2001–2010. Then the coefficient of correlations, the mean absolute error (MAE) and the error to standard deviation (SED) were explored to analysis the differences. Finally, establish the mathematic form of liner regression to future analysis the relationship between LST and TA. A total of 1840 MODIS LST images were processed for the basin of Lancang River, then we got 120 monthly reconstructed LST maps from 2001 to 2010. In any case, the rate of change can be used to reconstruct the LST map due to the LST background library. This approach developed reasonable results even in cases where 55% of the filtered LST maps were void. Fig. 3 showed an example of MODIS monthly LST dataset by using the MVC method, LST map sfter histogram filtered, reconstructed LST maps by using the improved S-G filter and the differences between them. Fig. 3 indicated that some anomalous pixels with nonsensical low values in the MVC method LST map are effectively replaced by the previously mentioned algorithm. The abnormal low data mainly appear in the downstream of Lancang River, which were caused by clouds and other atmospheric processes. For these regions, the holes could be filled firstly by new values which were calculated by the rate based on the LST background library. Then through S-G filter we reconstructed the LST maps in a year. Fig. 3 also showed the differences between LST image after histogram filtered and LST image reconstructed by improved S-G filter mainly appeared in the downstream. 4.3 Mapping monthly mean TA in the Lancang River basin using regression model 5.2 Statistical analysis of monthly LST vs. monthly mean TA for every station from 2001 to 2010 Two regression equations were used in this paper and the coefficient of determination was calculated for every month. The station’s land surface temperature (LST) profiles were created by extracting the reconstructed LST images for the 4.2 Spatio-temporal and statistical analysis of monthly mean TA vs. the monthly reconstructed LST for every station 96˚E 99˚E 102˚E 96˚E 99˚E 102˚E 93˚E (a) (b) 48 48 96˚E 99˚E 102˚E 93˚E 96˚E 99˚E (c) 102˚E (d) 43 35 0 125 250 96˚E N -275 500 km 99˚E 102˚E 0 125 250 96˚E N 500 km 99˚E 102˚E 10 0 125 250 96˚E 24˚N N N 6 500 km 99˚E 102˚E 0 125 250 96˚E 0 500 km 99˚E 21˚N 21˚N 24˚N 27˚N 27˚N 30˚N 30˚N 33˚N 93˚E 33˚N LST*(i,j,t)=LST(i,j,t)+a (7) * where LST (i,j,t) is the invalid LST data with location (i, j) at the tth month which need to be calculated, α is the rate change between LSTback(i,j,t) and LSTback(i,j,t–1); LSTback(i,j,t) is the LST data with location (i, j) at the tth month in LST background library; LSTback(i,j,t–1) is the LST data with location (i, j) at the (t–1)th month in LST background library. 102˚E Fig. 3 2010-Jun LST by using the MVC method (a); 2010-Jun LST after histogram filtered (b); 2010-Jun LST reconstructed by improved S-G filter (c); and difference between b and c (d). 258 Journal of Resources and Ecology Vol.5 No.3, 2014 TA LST Lancang 1 7 1 7 1 7 17 1 7 1 7 17 1 7 1 7 1 7 35 30 25 20 15 10 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 TA LST Simao 1 71 7 1 71 71 71 7 1 71 71 71 7 Month Temperature (℃) Temperature (℃) Month 35 30 25 20 15 10 0 17 1 7 1 7 17 1 7 1 7 17 17 1 7 1 7 Month TA Gengma LST -5 0 5 Deqin 10 15 20 TS 30 y=0.73x+7.23 R2=0.62,P<0.001 25 20 15 Dali 10 9 12 15 18 21 TS 17 1 7 17 17 1 7 1 7 17 17 17 17 Month TA LST Jinghong y=0.60x+12.15 2 30 R =0.40,P<0.001 25 20 171717 1717 17171717 17 Month TA LST Mengla 1 7 1 7 1 7 17 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 71 7 1 7 Month LST LST 40 y=0.79x+9.29 R2=0.57,P<0.001 30 20 10 Changdu 0 -5 0 5 10 15 20 TS LST 35 y=0.38x+15.46 2 30 R =0.25,P<0.001 25 20 15 Weixi 10 5 10 15 20 TS 35 y=0.81x+10.85 R2=0.42,P<0.001 30 25 20 Gengma 15 13 15 18 20 23 25 TS LST LST 30 y=0.89x+11.94 R2=0.79,P<0.001 20 40 y=0.70x+19.40 R2=0.42,P<0.001 30 20 10 Nangqian 0 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 TS 35 y=0.67x+12.37 2 30 R =0.43,P<0.001 25 20 Jinghong 15 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 TS LST 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 Temperature (℃) Temperature (℃) Month 30 y=0.77x+11.80 R2=0.66,P<0.001 20 10 0 Leiwuqi -10 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 TS LST Temperature (℃) 17 17 17 17 1 7 1 7 17 1717 17 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 30 y=0.89x+11.94 R2=0.79,P<0.001 20 10 0 Zaduo -10 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 TS 10 (8) i Lancang 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 TS 35 y=0.40x+16.99 R2=0.24,P<0.001 30 25 20 Simao 15 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 TS y=0.57x+12.534 30 R2=0.35,P<0.001 25 LST Dali Weixi LST i LST LST Temperature (℃) Temperature (℃) TA TA n ∑ ABS(LST −TA ) n LST 35 Changdu TA LST 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 Month 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1 i =1 40 Nangqian TA LST 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 -10 Month Month 30 25 20 15 10 5 MAE = LST 30 Deqin TA LST 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 absolute error (MAE) and the error to standard deviation (SED) were explored to analysis the differences between LST serial and TA serial in each station (Table 2). The mathematic form of MAE, SED can be expressed as: LST 30 Leiwuqi TA LST 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 -10 Month Temperature (℃) 30 Zaduo TA LST 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 -10 -15 Month Temperature (℃) Temperature (℃) Temperature (℃) Temperature (℃) pixel in which the meteorological station was located based on the GIS technology. The monthly mean TA for each station was compared with the LST of the 12 stations from 2001 to 2010. Fig. 4 showed the result of temporal and regression analysis between TA and LST. Close time series variations were observed between the monthly LST and the monthly mean TA. The correlation coefficient, the mean 20 Mengla 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 TS Fig. 4 Temporal analysis and the results of regression between TA and LST for each station from the period of 2001 to 2010. FAN Na, et al.: Mapping Air Temperature in the Lancang River Basin Using the Reconstructed MODIS LST Data EDS = 1 n ∑ (ei − MAE ) 2 (9) n i =1 where n presents the total number of month from 2001 to 2010, n=120; LSTi means the land surface temperature of the ith month ; TAi means the air temperature of the ith month. Correlations between monthly LST and monthly mean TA for every station were shown in Table 2, the coefficient of correlations (R2) for 80% of the stations was higher than 0.5 (below 0.5 for only 2 stations). The differences between monthly LST and monthly mean TA (MAE) were quantified for all meteorological stations, the relatively obvious difference between LST and TA were found in the stations located high latitude area. The index of MAE in Nangqian station reached up to 17.8℃. However the standard deviation of differences (SED) for 90% of the stations is lower than 5℃ (only one station over 5℃). In order to further investigate the relationship between monthly LST and monthly mean TA, the liner regression Table 2 Correlations (R 2) between monthly LST and monthly mean TA for each station (Significant correlations: **, p =0.01). Name Zaduo Nangqian Leiwuqi Changdu Deqin Weixi Dali Gengma Lancang Jinghong Simao Mengla R2 0.886** 0.644** 0.814** 0.756** 0.829** 0.498** 0.785** 0.645** 0.374** 0.649** 0.652** 0.591** MAE (℃) 11.72 17.80 10.90 7.62 9.69 8.00 3.10 7.18 4.93 3.04 6.09 2.96 EDS (℃) 3.45 5.84 3.97 4.57 3.34 4.83 2.66 4.01 4.15 2.67 2.85 2.92 259 analysis were shown in the right of Fig. 4. The mean coefficient of determination (R 2) was 0.48, 40% of the station’s R2 were higher than 0.5, 4 station’s R2 were lower than 0.5 but higher than 0.4, only 3 station’s R2 were below 0.4. These results of linear regression analysis illustrate that there is a considerably closed agreement between monthly mean TA and the reconstructed LST in the basin of Lancang River. 5.3 Estimation of monthly mean TA with MODIS monthly mean LST The advantage of LST data is that the study area is completely covered (hence each LST map pixel time series can be considered as a “virtual meteorological station” for temperature data). The time series variations analyses and the relationship statistic above demonstrate that it is reasonable to estimate monthly mean TA from MODIS reconstructed LST according to the linear regression relationship between LST and TA. The reconstructed LST and TA were derived from each station for the period 2001–2010, and then linear regression models of them were developed (Table 3). It could be seen that the coefficient of determination (R2) varies from 0.25 (June) to 0.81 (January). It was found that trees and grasses shadow solar radiation and thus change the moisture conditions of the air and the soil, necessarily affecting land surface temperature and air temperature, so the different ecosystems and land cover would result in the variation of LST and TA (Vancutsem et al. 2010). Then, the NDVI index as another independent variable was used to illustrate the linear regression model for estimating the air temperature. The R2 of every month were significant by using LST-NDVI method. It varied from 0.33 (July) to 0.91 (February), only 3 station’s R2 values were lower than 0.50, which were shown in Table 3. This indicated that the linear regression model with LST and NDVI variables could be more effective than the model only with LST. Table 3 Linear regression models of TA for every month and the coefficient of determination. Month Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Regression equation TA=1.22*LST–12.30 TA=1.01*LST–12.06 TA=0.98*LST–12.18 TA=0.98*LST–11.54 TA=0.89*LST–7.14 TA=0.79*LST–1.15 TA=0.74*LST+1.78 TA=0.88*LST–1.27 TA=1.14*LST–6.93 TA=1.38*LST–12.36 TA=1.27*LST–11.34 TA=1.21*LST–8.99 Note: significant correlations: **, p=0.01. R2 0.81** 0.71** 0.62** 0.48** 0.33** 0.25** 0.26** 0.36** 0.6** 0.79** 0.8** 0.77** Month Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Regression equation TA=0.87*LST+14.60*NDVI–13.72 TA=0.54*LST+25.49*NDVI–14.19 TA=0.49*LST+24.86*NDVI–11.62 TA=0.54*LST+21.48*NDVI –9.47 TA=0.61*LST+15.52*NDVI –7.27 TA=0.66*LST+8.97*NDVI –2.87 TA=0.72*LST+5.32*NDVI –0.96 TA=0.87*LST+5.80*NDVI –4.67 TA=1.03*LST+7.60*NDVI –9.12 TA=1.28*LST+5.22*NDVI –13.69 TA=1.04*LST+7.93*NDVI –11.63 TA=0.92*LST+12.41*NDVI –11.27 R2 0.89** 0.91** 0.87** 0.76** 0.57** 0.37** 0.33** 0.44** 0.71** 0.81** 0.85** 0.88** 260 Journal of Resources and Ecology Vol.5 No.3, 2014 Month MAE (℃) RMSE (℃) Jan. 2.26 1.99 Feb. 2.14 1.66 Mar. 2.49 2.03 Apr. 3.21 2.46 May. 3.68 2.90 Jun. 3.81 2.83 Month MAE (℃) RMSE (℃) Jul. 3.36 2.20 Aug. 3.16 2.23 Sep. 2.48 2.00 Oct. 2.56 2.17 Nov. 2.69 2.00 Dec. 2.34 2.06 So the linear regression equations of using LST and NDVI as factors for every month were chose to estimate air temperature (Table 3). The indexes of MAE, RMSE were calculated to further determine the effectiveness of this model. Tables 3 and 4 indicated a robust linear relationship between TA, LST and NDVI. The MAE index varied from 3.81 (Jun.) to 2.14 (Feb.), however the RMSE index for every month were lower than 2℃. Additionally, in summer (Jul. to Sep.) the R2 index was lower and the RMSE index was higher than other seasons, that because the quality LST product in summer was usually low due to the clouds and fogs. All of the analyses above indicated that the LST-NDVI model performs properly in the estimation of monthly mean air temperature in the study area. 5.4 Temporal and spatial variation of TA in Lancang River According to the LST-NDVI models for every month, 22˚N 24˚N 26˚N 28˚N 30˚N 32˚N 21˚N 23˚N 25˚N 27˚N 29˚N 31˚N 33˚N 94˚E 96˚E 98˚E 100˚E Table 5 The statistical value for estimated monthly mean TA in the study area. Month Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Min –28.23 –19.26 –14.18 –10.25 –4.83 1.61 3.45 –0.36 –7.16 –17.76 –24.41 –24.64 Feb. Mean 3.06 6.50 9.49 12.59 14.96 17.45 18.71 18.61 16.53 10.94 6.09 4.04 Mar. 94˚E 96˚E 98˚E 100˚E 94˚E 96˚E 98˚E 100˚E102˚E Apr. May Jun. 32℃ 32℃ 32℃ 32℃ 32℃ 32℃ -29℃ -29℃ -29℃ -29℃ -29℃ -29℃ Jul. Aug. s.d. 10.35 8.99 7.89 6.81 5.02 3.46 2.91 3.35 5.00 8.28 9.59 9.26 monthly mean TA in 2010 were calculated, then the maps from the period of Jan to Dec were drew to analysis the temporal and spatial variations (Fig. 5). Its tem-spatial pattern could be generalized as follows: (i) a large degree of variation of TA over space and time was observed, the trend of TA was very close to regional climate and landform pattern, and TA decreases from valleys to mountain, TA decreases from south to north; (ii) From south to north, the degree variations of TA in a year were different. Fig.5 illustrated that the variations in a year of upper reaches were much higher, in winter most area was below 0℃ and in summer the temperature was increased greatly. However, 94˚E 96˚E 98˚E 100˚E 94˚E 96˚E 98˚E 100˚E 94˚E 96˚E 98˚E 100˚E Jan. Max 19.64 21.88 24.06 25.63 25.99 27.31 31.02 31.20 28.75 28.34 25.54 20.08 Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. 32℃ 32℃ 32℃ 32℃ 32℃ 32℃ -29℃ -29℃ -29℃ -29℃ -29℃ -29℃ 22˚N 24˚N 26˚N 28˚N 30˚N 32˚N 21˚N 23˚N 25˚N 27˚N 29˚N 31˚N 33˚N Table 4 The statistical error value for estimated monthly mean TA in the study area. 94˚E 96˚E 98˚E 100˚E102˚E95˚E 97˚E 99˚E 101˚E94˚E 96˚E 98˚E 100˚E102˚E95˚E 97˚E 99˚E 101˚E94˚E 96˚E 98˚E 100˚E102˚E 95˚E 97˚E 99˚E 101˚E Fig. 5 Spatial distribution of monthly mean TA in the study region. FAN Na, et al.: Mapping Air Temperature in the Lancang River Basin Using the Reconstructed MODIS LST Data the deviation of TA in a year of lower reaches was not obviously. (iii) Temporal differentiation in a year was obviously, TA in the summer was higher than in the other seasons. The coldest month in the study area was January (in January the lowest temperature was –28.23℃, the highest temperature was 19.64℃) and the warmest month was July with the highest temperature 17.29℃ (in July the lowest temperature was 3.45℃, the highest temperature was 31.02℃)(Table 5); And (4) the standard deviation of monthly mean TA for the warmest month was the smallest (2.91℃), it for the warmest month was the biggest (10.35℃) (Table 2). This illustrated that the spatial differentiation in winter was much clearer than in summer. 6 Conclusion To overcome influence of the missing values and noises in the MODIS LST product, this paper has explored the improved Savizky-Golay (SG) algorithm by using the timeweighted average algorithm to establish LST background library in which can restore the monthly high quality of LST profiles. The relationship between the monthly mean TA and the reconstructed LST of the 12 stations from 2001 to 2010 were statistical analyzed. The result has shown that there is a close relationship between monthly mean TA and the reconstructed LST with the average of the coefficient correlations (R 2) is 0.68. That illustrated the results of reconstructed method were effective and the reconstructed LST product could be used to estimate and map of air temperature over the Lancang River basin. Due to its complex terrain as well as low station density in the Lancang River, the typical method for obtaining temperature maps from meteorological stations has limits to capture the spatial and temporal distributes of air temperature. In this paper, it has been shown that a close correlation exist between monthly mean TA and the restricted LST in the study area. We compared two models for estimate the monthly air temperature in 2010, the first method only used the reconstructed MODIS LST to build the linear regression models, while the second method calculated monthly mean air temperature using the regression model from LST and NDVI. We found that all these models displayed positive slopes, but the correlations of every month in 2010 for the LST-NDVI method (R2 is range from 0.33 to 0.91 and the average of R2 is 0.57 ) were stronger than the he LST-NDVI method (R2 is range from 0.26 to 0.81 and the average of R2 is 0.7). The LST-NDVI method was chose to estimate and map monthly air temperature in 2010, which the RMSE of 12 months is range from 1.99℃ (May) to 2.90℃ (Jan.). Then the analysis of air temperature spatial-temporal pattern in the study area can be drawn. A large degree of variation of TA over space and time had been observed in the Lancang River basin. In spatial, TA decreases from valleys to 261 mountain and TA increases from north to south. In temporal, the mean temperature TA in the summer was higher than in the other seasons, but the spatial differentiation of a month in winter was much clearer than in summer with the highest Std dev (10.35℃) in Jan. References Abraha M, M Savage. 2008. 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Remote Sensing of Environment, 130:62-73. 澜沧江流域基于重建的MODIS地表温度数据的空气温度空间化制图 范 娜1,2,谢高地1,李文华1,张雅京3,张昌顺1,李 娜1 1 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京 100101; 2 中国科学院大学,北京 100049; 3 环境保护部宣传教育中心,北京 100029; 摘 要:空气温度是一个非常重要的气候变量,通常由气象台站观测获得。对其时空特征的精确估算是很多模型的基础, 但是由于台站分布密度的不均和研究区复杂的地形,往往使其空间化的结果较差。目前,随着遥感技术的发展,使用热红外遥 感数据估算的地表温度,结合地面观测数据,建立回归模型可以提高区域空气温度估算的精度。由于云和其它大气因素会影响 遥感反演的地表温度数据结果,因此本研究本文将2001-2010年的LST历史数据作为先验知识,用以建立LST背景库,并提出了 基于LST背景库的Savitzky-Golay(SG)滤波算法来实现LST时间序列数据的重建工作。将重建后的 LST 与研究区12个气象站空气 温度数据进行了时序分析和回归分析,结果表明在月尺度合成序列上LST-TA的一致性较好,且具有非常好的线性相关关系, 80%的台站的决定系数高于0.5。通过对比分析发现,加入植被指数(NDVI)的各月空气温度回归模型比直接用LST建立的回 归模型精度更高。因此,本研究使用LST-NDVI模型对澜沧江流域2010年12个月份的空气温度进行空间化制图,并分析了其年 内时空格局特征。 关键词: 空气温度;地表温度; MODIS;时序分析;回归分析
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