AP US GOVERNMENT & POLITICS UNIT 9 PUBLIC POLICY POWERPOINT #16: The Federal Budget Process Economic policymaking • The government’s tools / options for economic policy: – Fiscal policy: the use of the federal budget (taxing, spending, & borrowing) to influence the economy. – Monetary policy: altering the supply of money in order to modify the overall economy – carried out by the Federal Reserve. • The FED is an independent regulatory commission; although nominated by the president and confirmed by the Senate the FED is isolated from public opinion and electoral politics. – Regulations ‐ by adding regulations on the participants engaged in the free market (i.e. minimum wage) the economy can also be altered. • For example the FDA (Food & Drug Administration) affects what businesses can sell. Side note: The FDA is not an independent regulatory commission because it is under the direction of a cabinet department. – Protectionism – involves trade policy. • Revenue: (input) the money that is brought in to the government, i.e. taxes. • Expenditures: (output) the money that the government spends; i.e. social security checks. • Budget: a policy document allocating burdens (taxes) and benefits (expenditures). The Budget Process Revenue Expenditures • Over the past several decades the United States has spent more than it has brought in through revenue – budget deficit, which has added to our national debt. Revenue • Personal Income Tax: Americans are required to pay the government a portion of the money they earn. the major source of revenue! – The income tax became law under the 16th Amendment, 1913 (prior to this the government received most of its revenue through custom duties) – The income tax is progressive; each bracket of income is taxed at a different rate • Corporate Income Tax: Corporations like people also pay an “income tax” (the corporate income tax system is also somewhat progressive 15‐35% rates). • Social Insurance Taxes (Payroll taxes): Employees have these taxes deducted from their paychecks and employers are required to match it; these funds go directly to paying for Social Security and Medicare. • The government also collects revenue through custom duties, excise taxes, and other fees. • Due to budget deficits the government must also borrow money to make ends meet. – The government sells bonds (individuals, corporations, and foreign countries can buy these) – They borrow money from government trust funds (Social Security); “intragovernmental debt” • Often revenue amounts fall short of expectations due to tax expenditures: special exemptions, exclusions, and deductions that allow taxpayers to pay less than expected. • Such deductions are often referred to as “loopholes;” they normally benefit middle class and upper class Americans (Elite theory? The powerful get what they want?) • Examples: – Taxpayers can deduct contributions they made to charities – Homeowners can deduct their mortgage interest – Businesses that invest in new plans and equipment can deduct these expenses. Expenditures • Social Security: program that provides the elderly with monetary assistance to prevent them from falling into poverty. – The program began under the New Deal – In the 1950s the program expanded to include workers who were disabled – The average recipient receives about $1,200 a month • Medicare: program that provides health insurance for the elderly. – The program begin the 1960s, Johnson’s Great Society – In 2003 Congress added a prescription drug benefit to the program • Both Social Security and Medicare have been putting an increasing strain on the federal budget due to aging baby boomers. • National Defense: During the Cold War the U.S. began to dramatically increase the amount of funds related to the military. – Defense contractors (interest groups) regularly lobby for additional spending even during peace time Why don’t we just balance the budget? • Revenue collection is unpredictable (ex: We don’t know who will apply for each deduction or who might get a raise at work) • Spending can be unpredictable (ex: grandma might break her hip and need to use her Medicare or we might have to go to war) • We might have to adjust taxation or government spending to stimulate the economy. • Entitlements are not up for negotiation. Entitlements: policies for which Congress has obligated itself to pay “X” level of benefits to “Y” number of recipients. For example, Social Security. The Budget Process • Although the power of the purse belongs to Congress, the budget process begins and ends with the president. The President Submits to Congress his/her budget requests to run the federal bureaucracy Congress The President Makes adjustments to the proposal Signs the budget and uses the funds to run the executive branch • The budget process is far from simple, it starts long before the fiscal year begins and because multiple players act in their own self‐interest the process is muddled. Agencies & special interests start lobbying for the following year’s budget Bureaucratic Agencies looking for more $ Interest Groups looking for tax breaks and more $ State govts. want more grants Public opinion The President Submits to Congress his/her budget requests to run the federal bureaucracy Congress The President Makes adjustments to the proposal Signs the budget and uses the funds to run the executive branch Committees OMB CBO GAO The major players in the budget process: • The President • Congress • Congressional committees – House Ways & Means: House committee that originates tax codes – Senate Finance Committee: Senate committee that originates the tax codes – Appropriations: These committees exist in both houses, they decide who gets what in terms of federal money • Office of Management & Budget (OMB): they supervise the preparation of the federal budget for the president. • Congressional Budget Office (CBO): nonpartisan agency that reports economic data to Congress, usually the implications of their fiscal policies. Do things go smoothly? usually no. • Continuing Resolutions: When Congress cannot come to a budget agreement, a CR can be passed to allow agencies to continue spending money at the previous year’s level. • Reconciliation: toward the end of the budget process some programs are revised to meet new requirements. Since budgets cannot be filibustered, some lawmakers push controversial laws through the reconciliation process. Can we make predictions about the what a final budget will look like? • Incrementalism: the best predictor of this year’s budget is last year’s budget, plus a little bit more.
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