Conspicuous Consumption and Happiness Rainer Winkelmann∗ January 2010 Abstract Traditional tools of economic welfare analysis cannot quantify the envy-related welfare loss from conspicuous consumption. The happiness approach offers itself as an alternative for estimating such consumption externalities. The approach is developed in the context of luxury car consumption (Ferraris and Porsches) in Switzerland. Results from detailed panel data suggest that the prevalence of luxury cars in the area has a negative impact on individuals happiness, with the biggest impacts arising for the poor. JEL Classification: D12, D62, I31 Keywords: Ferrari, status, consumption externality, Swiss Household Panel ∗ Address for correspondence: University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute, Zuerichbergstr. 14, CH-8032 Zurich, Switzerland, email: [email protected]. 1 Introduction There is ample evidence that the well-being of an individual depends to a large degree on comparisons with others. Status concerns in particular are an important feature of our social existence. Higher ranked individuals are on average healthier (Wilkinson, 2000) and live longer (Oswald and Rablen, 2008) than lower ranked ones. They also report higher levels of happiness in survey questions (Di Tella at al., 2007). Relatedly, actions of others affect the “frame of reference” for own decisions (Frank, 1991). As Karl Marx (1847) famously noted, “A house may be large or small; as long as the neighboring houses are likewise small, it satisfies all social requirement for a residence. But let there arise next to the little house a palace, and the little house shrinks to a hut.” For the economist, such positional concerns and frame of reference effects are important, as they can lead to inefficient market outcomes. For example, resources spent on improving one’s status are wasteful from a societal point of view, as one person’s gain is another person’s loss. As Layard (1980) puts it “For, though individuals are willing to make sacrifices to improve their individual position, the net result of status-motivated action will be no increase in status satisfaction but an increase in sacrifice.” (p. 738). Perhaps the best studied example of such wasteful competition occurs in the presence of relative consumption effects, i.e. if an individual’s utility depends not only on the level of her own consumption but also on how that level compares with the consumption of others. One cause of such interdependence has been explored by Veblen (1899) who, referring to the behavior of the nouveau riche during the Second Industrial Revolution in Britain, coined the term of “conspicuous consumption”. He argued that this consumption “is evidence of wealth, and thus becomes honorific, and . . . failure to consume a mark of demerit.” Veblen thus refers to consumption that is intently used as a signal for status. The selection 1 of goods that can serve as signal depends on context. Sometimes, the term of conspicuous consumption is applied more broadly, for all consumption activities, not necessarily only those serving as status signals, as long as they fulfill two requirements: First, the consumption must literally be “visible” to outsiders. Second, the consumed good(s) must be positional, in the sense that utility depends at least in part on relative rather than only absolute consumption. While there have been a number of theoretical papers on consumption externalities (e.g. Layard, 1980, Dupor and Liu, 2003, Arrow and Dasgupta, 2009), showing the specific conditions under which overconsumption and thus inefficiencies do or do not arise, direct empirical evidence on conspicuous consumption is relatively scarce. Traditionally, economists have analyzed consumption externalities based on revealed preferences and behavior (Neumark and Postlewaite, 1998, Kuhn et al. 2008). For example, under certain assumptions regarding preferences, consumption comparisons will shift the marginal rate of substitution between consumption of goods and leisure, thereby changing observed choices. Specifically, an increase in reference consumption will lead to an outward shift in labor supply and an increase in own consumption, an effect known as “Keeping up with the Joneses” (Frank, 1999). However, as shown in the next section, negative welfare effects may arise even in the absence of such behavioral distortions, for example if conspicuous consumption triggers feelings of envy or jealousy. Dupor and Liu (2003) remark “that nonstandard empirical approaches may then be required” (p. 428) in order to determine the welfare loss from overconsumption. Exactly such a “non-standard” analysis is the objective of this paper. I propose to use information on what people say when asked whether they have a good and worthwhile life, i.e., survey information on “subjective well-being”, or “happiness”, in order to determine the welfare loss due to conspicuous consumption. The paper thus contributes to the economic 2 happiness literature, where “happiness” is taken as a proxy for “utility”, or “welfare”. Recent evidence suggests that happiness can be measured with a reasonable degree of reliability, sufficient to be able to compare means over time or across regions, or to use multiple regression analysis to understand the factors that affect individual happiness (Krueger and Schkade, 2008). Moreover, happiness taps into key components of quality of life. For example, many studies have found a positive correlation between happiness and longevity. One of the mechanisms seems to be that happiness protects the healthy from becoming sick, by lowering stress, which in turn enhances the immune system (Veenhoven, 2008). Studies have also shown that individuals who report higher levels of satisfaction with their lives are also rated as happier by their relatives and friends, tend to smile more during social interactions, have higher pre-frontal brain activity (the part of the brain associated with positive states), and are more likely to recall positive life events (Layard, 2005). It is still contentious whether and to what extent happiness represents “decision utility”, i.e., the utility that economists think of when talking about “utility maximization”. Regardless of this unresolved issue, happiness surveys provide direct evidence on the welfare implications of behaviors, policies and institutions in general, and conspicuous consumption in particular. In principle, there are a number of questions that could be asked: What is the effect of conspicuous consumption on own happiness? What is the effect of conspicuous consumption on others’ happiness? What determines conspicuous consumption? What forms of consumption do contribute most to overall happiness? The objective of this paper is to provide evidence on the second question, i.e. to quantify the welfare loss due to the negative externality generated by conspicuous consumption. In contrast to prior related research (e.g. Clark and Oswald, 1996), where such positional externalities were studied based on constructed reference incomes (begging the question whether such income differences are at all “conspicuous” for the individual), the approach here focuses on a specific instance of 3 conspicuous consumption, the purchase and display of luxury sports cars. Two brands are considered, Ferrari and Porsche. Is their consumption conspicuous? Although people, when asked about attributes that would affect their own decision of buying (any) car, seem to downplay the role of status, a large majority thinks that status concerns are important for others (Johannsson-Stenman and Martinsson, 2006). Regarding Ferraris and Porsches, since other desirable attributes, such as “environmentally friendly”, can hardly justify their purchase, pure demonstration of status is a plausible prime motive. Data are for Switzerland, for the years 2002 and 2007. Happiness and other relevant socio-demographic characteristics (most importantly current household income) are taken from the Swiss Household Panel. For each person, it is possible to match the number of new luxury car registrations (per 1000 population) at the municipal, the regional, and the cantonal level. There is no information whether respondents actually acquired such a car themselves, but the chances for this event appear minimal. The empirical question is then whether happiness is lower, the higher the local or regional density of new luxury sport cars. Ordered logit models are used to quantify the well-being loss due to conspicuous consumption. 2 Background 2.1 Modeling conspicuous car consumption The following model, an adaptation of Dupor and Liu (2003), is a useful framework for thinking about conspicuous car consumption. Let c denote own consumption of car attributes (such as horsepower, or looks) and c̄ the average attributes of cars in the population. The utility function of identical consumers can be written as U (c, c̄, l) 4 where l is individual labor. We assume that people enjoy horsepower (∂U/∂c = U1 > 0) and that horsepower consumption is conspicuous and generates envy (∂U/∂c̄ = U2 < 0). People have to work in order to be able to afford luxury cars. The budget constraint is c ≤ f (l), where f (l) denotes the technology. To maximize utility U (c, c̄, g(c)) where g(c) = f −1 (c) = l, individuals have to trade off the marginal utility from consumption and the disutility from additional work that is required to support the increased consumption. Specifically, the first-order condition for such a maximum is U1 (c, c̄, g(c)) + g 0 (c)U3 (c, c̄, g(c)) = 0 (1) A symmetric equilibrium is then characterized by the equilibrium condition U1 (c, c, g(c)) + g 0 (c)U3 (c, c, g(c)) = 0 This equilibrium is inefficient, since individuals do not account for the negative externality U2 (c, c, g(c)) they impose on others. The social optimun requires that U1 (c, c, g(c)) + U2 (c, c, g(c)) + g 0 (c)U3 (c, c, g(c)) = 0 (2) Assuming concavity of U (c, c, g(c)), the optimal car consumption c∗ that solves (2) is less than the equilibrium consumption ĉ, an instance of overconsumption. A government imposing a “luxury” tax can remove this inefficiency. The underlying assumption of identical consumers is admittedly unrealistic, as every person would then buy cars with similar attributes, whereas in reality Ferraris and Porsches are only bought by few people. Changing the model in order to allow for heterogeneity in endowments (whereby “rich” people would have a greater demand for c) would not change the essential mechanisms leading to overconsumption. Arrow and Dasgupta (2009) consider 5 a dynamic version of the model. Making leisure conspicuous as well would change the model but there is no evidence to that effect (Solnick and Hemenway, 1998). An important takeaway from this model is that the marginal rate of substitution between leisure and consumption, U3 (c, c̄, g(c))/U1 (c, c̄, g(c)) does not need to depend on c̄, as is the case for example if the utility function is additively separable in c̄. In this case, envy would not affect individual decisions but nevertheless lead to a welfare loss. Suppose, however, that U (c, c̄, g(c)) can be measured empirically. Then it becomes possible to determine the effect of c̄ on U using statistical methods. 2.2 Empirical literature There is, to the best of my knowledge, no paper yet on the effects of conspicuous car consumption on happiness. More generally, the literature on consumption and happiness is still in its infancy, although there is some evidence, mostly from lab experiments in psychology, that the kind of consumption one engages in matters for happiness. Progress in this area is delayed by the absence of suitable large scale datasets collected on representative samples, since the usual happiness surveys rarely contain sufficiently detailed consumption information. One exception is the Health and Retirement Survey which has been used in a recent study by DeLeire and Kalil (2009). They find, for example, that the interaction between consumption activities and social connectedness is an important determinant of happiness. As to the incidence of conspicuous consumption, Charles, Hurst and Roussanov (2009) show that Blacks and Hispanics devote larger shares of their expenditure bundles to visible goods (clothing, jewelry, and cars) than do comparable Whites. A substantial fraction of evidence on consumption externalities comes from discrete choice experiments in which people are confronted with (hypothetical) choices and asked for their preferred option. The claim that people care for relative rather than absolute consumption 6 levels is often supported by answers to “parallel universe” questions, where one has to choose between two fictitious societies. Consider the following example: In society A, everyone lives in a house with 3,000 square feet of floor space, whereas in society B the own house has 4,000 square feet while neighbors have 5,000 square feet. Frank (1999, 2004) contents that most people prefer society A. Solnick and Hemenway (1998) have conducted such discrete choice experiments with real populations. Interestingly, they find that leisure appears to be inconspicuous – perhaps in part because it is not so easily publicly observable. The relativity of consumption experiences was also investigated in field experiments. An example is provided by Hsee et al. (2008) who report on evidence from data collected among randomly selected respondents from 31 large cities in China. Participants were asked about their happiness with their jewelry possessions. The researchers found that residents of cities with more expensive jewelry were not any happier on average about their jewelry than residents of cities with less expensive jewelry (although within each city, people who owned more expensive jewelry reported greater happiness about their jewelry). One way to distinguish between conspicuous and inconspicuous activities is the nature of the consumption experience: is it inherently evaluable (such as ambient temperature, sleep, having social company etc.) or inherently inevaluable (the size of a diamond, the horsepower of a car)? (Hsee et al., 2008). Frame of reference effects can also stem from past own consumption. There is evidence that hedonic adaptation plays a major role in some consumption activities, such as the size of the house, but not in others, such as a short commute (Stutzer and Frey, 2008). One factor in adaptation is uncertainty: unstable or uncertain consumption experiences create longer lasting happiness than their stable and certain equivalents (Kahneman and Thaler 1991, Hsee et al. 2008). The most comprehensive evidence on the effect of consumption externalities on happiness so far is indirect, as it documents the pervasive role of relative income for happiness. 7 Examples are studies by Clark and Oswald (1996), Luttmer (2005) and Dynan and Ravina (2007). The two main challenges in this literature are, first, to determine an appropriate reference income and second, to ensure that the measured effect is not confounded by other factors, such as costs of living. The existence of relative income effects are suggestive of negative consequences of conspicuous consumption, but other explanations exist, and this approach cannot determine the welfare loss generated by such consumption. 3 Data The paper combines data from a number of sources: information on individual happiness and income is obtained from the Swiss Household Panel; car registration data were provided by the Federal Roads Office; and a cost of living index was constructed from data obtained from an internet property platform as well as the Swiss Labor Force Survey. The Swiss Household Panel is comparable in structure and scope to other European panel household surveys, such as the German Socio-Economic Panel or the British Household Panel. It was initiated in 1999 and has been repeated annually since. Importantly, it collects information on the following question: In general, how satisfied are you with your life if 0 means “not at all satisfied” and 10 means “completely satisfied”? The answer is henceforth referred to as measurement of “happiness”. In addition, a number of variables can be extracted that are used as typical controls in happiness regressions. These include household income, household size, age, marital status, employment status, gender and language region. The dataset provides no direct information on cars owned by respondents, nor on individuals’ perceptions of (conspicuous) car consumption by others. Therefore, it is necessary to merge this information from external sources. Data on registrations of Ferraris and Porsches for each ZIP code were obtained from the Federal Roads Office. The merge is done on a 8 geographic basis, the assumption being that Ferraris and Porsches are most visible around the place of residence of the owner. Three types of “neighborhoods” are considered, the same municipality, the same region or the same canton. Switzerland is composed of about 2,900 municipalities. According to the population census of 2000, they range in size from 24 inhabitants (Corippo in the Verzasca Vally in Ticino) to 368,875 inhabitants (Zurich). A total of 1,053 municipalities are represented among participants of the Swiss Household Panel. A regional division of Switzerland, consisting of 106 so-called spatial mobility (mobilité spatiale, or MS) regions, was developed by the Swiss Federal Statistical Office for the original purpose of analyzing spatial mobility between comparable micro regions (SFSO, 2005). Finally, Switzerland is a confederation of 26 cantons whose role and political functions pretty closely resembles that of the States within the U.S.; Again, population sizes vary considerably, from a mere 15,199 in the canton of Appenzell Innerrhoden to 1.3 million in the canton of Zurich. Exposure to conspicuous car consumption is defined as the number of newly registered Ferrari and Porsche cars per year per 1000 population in the municipality, region or canton the individual lives in. This information is available for the years 2001 and 2007. In 2001, the number varied between 0 and 7 at the municipal level, between 0 and 2 at the regional level, and between 0.09 (canton of Berne) and 0.65 (canton of Zug) at the cantonal level. Over the whole of Switzerland, a total of 1,324 Ferrari and Porsche cars was newly registered during the year 2001, corresponding to a ratio of about 0.24 per 1000 population. − − − − −− Figure 1 about here − − − − − − − By 2007, the nationwide number of new registrations of Ferraris and Porsches had increased by 72 percent to 2,281. The “least conspicuous” canton (with a rate of 0.08) was now the canton of Glarus. In Zug, again by far the canton with the highest density of such new 9 sport cars, the number had almost doubled to 1.27. It has to be pointed out that the number of newly registered cars may not be the best measure for conspicuous car consumption, as it ignores the stock of existing Ferraris and Porsches. Unfortunately, such stock data are not kept on file by the Federal Roads Office. In a steady state, the stock is proportional to the flow. A problem arises however if registrations are sufficiently rare, since a zero flow (during a year) is a poor proxy for the accumulated stock. This censoring problem is most severe when considering municipal level data, which renders the use of data at this level of disaggregation potentially less informative than the use of data for regions or cantons. Local cost of living indicators were constructed using information on rentals paid for private use apartments and houses. There are two principal sources for such information. The first is the largest online property website in Switzerland, homegate.ch, which made available all ads that had appeared during 2002 and 2007. The strength of this datasource is the sheer number of observations. There were 90,669 relevant ads in 2002, and 165,757 in 2007, which gives sufficient information to compute price indices, adjusting prices for the number of rooms and the property type, at the municipal level. The disadvantage of this datasource is that current market rentals are often substantially above rentals paid by longterm tenants. The indices for the regional and cantonal level are therefore based on the Swiss Labor Force Survey, with annually about 50,000 participants, that provides information on actual rents. After merging the SHP data with the two indicators for conspicuous consumption and cost of living, and restricting the sample to those aged between 20 and 70 with non-missing responses on the key variables, there are 8,827 observations 3,823 for the year 2002 and 5,004 for the year 2007. The increase in the sample size is explained by a refreshment sample drawn in 2004. The panel is highly unbalanced, as less than one third of all persons (2065) are included in both years. 10 4 Empirical Models and Results The effect of conspicuous consumption on happiness is estimated by exploiting regional variation in the density of Ferraris and Porsches. Are those who live in a municipal- ity/region/canton with relatively more such luxury cars less happy than others, and if so, how large is the effect of conspicuous consumption on well-being on others? We would like to estimate the effect “all else equal”, and therefore use regression analysis to account for potential confounders. Among them, income is perhaps the most important variable to include, since it is, first, a proxy for the own consumption level, and, second, a natural monetary comparison scale in order to gauge the magnitude of the consumption externalities. Other controls are the usual individual social demographic variables, then local variables such as cost of living and population size, and finally regional fixed effects. Since the dependent variable, happiness, is ordinal, taking integer values from 0 to 10, the regression is specified as an ordered logit model and estimated by maximum likelihood. In such models, coefficients indicate the relative change in the odds of reporting a happiness greater or equal to j, rather than less than j, where j is any value between 1 and 10. A positive coefficient thus means that a person is more likely to be very happy if the associated regressor increases. Rather than reporting marginal effects, it is more natural in the present context to directly monetize the implied welfare loss (if any) from conspicuous consumption by relating the estimated effect to the income coefficient. Table 1 displays the basic ordered logit results. The first three columns show the conspicuous consumption effects for the three regional aggregation levels (municipality, region, canton) in a bare bone model, with logarithmic income as the only additional control variable. The estimated coefficient of income on happiness is around 0.5 in all three equations. Since income enters the model on a logarithmic scale, this coefficient tells us that a doubling 11 of income (a change in logarithmic income by 0.69), moves the linear index of the ordered logit model by an estimated +0.35. The effect is highly significant, and it can be taken as point of comparison for assessing the magnitude of conspicuous consumption effects. The modelling of the Ferrari and Porsche density (FP) differs between the municipal model on one hand, and the regional and cantonal models on the other. In the former case, 37% of all values are zero. Thus, rather than using only FP, a second variable is included that indicates whether or not there are any FPs, thus allowing for a discontinuity of the effect at zero. − − − − −− Table 1 about here − − − − − − − In all three models, a significant negative effect of a higher FP can be detected. At the level of the municipality, zero FP is predicted to increase the linear index by about 0.2, more than half of what the effect of a doubling income would be. The linear term is statistically insignificant at the municipal level. However, the FP point estimates are -0.5 and -0.7, and statistically significant, at the regional and cantonal aggregation level, respectively. These are obviously large estimates of the negative happiness externality caused by one additional Ferrari or Porsche per 1000 population. Columns 4 to 6 of Table 1 repeat the analysis with a number of individual control variables included. For instance, the effect of being married is close to +0.5 – equivalent to a more than doubling of income. Moving down and across the columns shows the usual stable patterns that are rather insensitive to specification: the happiness - age profile is convex; men are less happy than women; the effect of unemployment is negative and very large. Perhaps a new finding, worth further explorations, the French speaking population within Switzerland is, ceteris paribus, considerably less happy than the German speaking population. Including these variables attenuates the FP effects somewhat, e.g. to -0.4 in the regional equation and to -0.6 in the cantonal equation, but they remain large and statistically significant. 12 In the models discussed so far, there is a plausible concern that the FP effect may in truth capture regional differences other than that of conspicuous consumption. It is for example to be expected that the incidence of conspicuous consumption increases with the prosperity of a region which, in turn, means that living expenditures, mainly housing, will tend to be higher. In order to alleviate the concern of misinterpreting the FP effect, the three equations were re-estimated with regional indicators of living cost and logarithmic population size included. The results are shown in the left panel of Table 2. Essentially, the FP effects remain statistically significant, although their size has once more decreased. At the municipal level, the estimated “zero-FP” effect is now +0.14; each unit increase in regional (cantonal) FP is predicted to lower the happiness index by 0.23 (0.31). Of course, there could be other local differences not captured by these two controls. As long as they are time invariant and common within a canton, the right panel of Table 2 with canton dummies can account for those. The point estimates (for zero-FP and FP, repectively) remain in the same range, and they are, with the exception of the third equation, statistically significant. − − − − −− Table 2 about here − − − − − − − Overall, the results are strongly suggestive of negative effects of conspicuous consumption on happiness. While the estimates are associated with a considerable amount of uncertainty, and their magnitudes depend on specification, the signs are always negative, and the implied compensating income variations are large by any standard. It would be attractive to report additional estimates from a full panel model with individual specific effects. This is not done here, however, for two reasons. First, two thirds of all individuals are included in one year only. A panel analysis would thus lose most of the observations, making the estimates from the remaining sample so imprecise as to factually being useless. Second, in a world with potentially diverging short-term and long-run effects, 13 the fixed effects estimator identifies the former, whereas we are more concerned with the latter. Some alternative robustness checks are reported in Table 3. Specifically, interactions between FP and three variables were considered: being male, having a left political orientation, and being poor (here: a household equivalent income in the first quartile of the income distribution). One might expect that men are more susceptible to conspicuous car consumption, as are individuals who see themselves on the right of the political spectrum. However, these conjectures are not supported by the evidence. Only the third interaction, that between being poor and FP, is found to be statistically significant: the negative consumption externality appears to work almost exclusively among the poor. − − − − −− Table 3 about here − − − − − − − It is perhaps premature to draw specific policy conclusions from these results. The empirical investigation in this section suggests, however, that consumption externalities caused by envy are an empirically relevant phenomenon that can usefully be studied with happiness equations. 5 Conclusions The traditional tools of welfare analysis rely exclusively on behavioral responses. This limits the scope of questions one can answer. It is for example not possible to quantify the welfare loss resulting from envy-related overconsumption, or to quantify the value of a public good. To value such intangibles, the happiness approach offers a promising alternative. Related examples are van Praag and Baarsma (2005) who use the happiness approach to value the cost of airport noise, Luechinger (2009) for air quality and Frey, Luechinger and Stutzer 14 (2009) for terrorism. ... to be done: no citations in conclusions Kuhn et al. lottery winnings do not make neighboring households less happy (six month after win) The primary objective of this paper was to explore the happiness approach as a conceptual framework for thinking about conspicuous consumption and consumption externalities. A secondary objective was to provide an illustrative application for Switzerland, in order to determine the welfare costs of luxury cars. The results indicated that people living in an area with a higher prevalence of luxury cars are indeed less happy, ceteris paribus. Interestingly, luxury cars have become a recent political issue in Switzerland. The socalled “off-roader initiative” (that mandates for example a sales ban on cars with a weight exceeding 2.2 tons and puts limits on CO2 emissions) has obtained more than 100’000 signatures of support. A date for the country-wide referendum has not yet been set. Once the referendum is completed, it will be interesting to compare voting outcomes with luxury car prevelance measure used in this paper. If people “scratch where it itches”, one should find a positive association. 15 6 References Arrow, K.J. and P.S. Dasgupta (2009) Conspicuous Consumption, Inconspicuous Leisure, forthcoming in: Economic Journal. Charles, K.K., E. Hurst and N. Roussanov (2009) Conspicuous Consumption and Race, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 124, 425-467. Clark, A.E. and A.J. Andrew J. 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Happiness and Conspicuous Consumption (Ordered Logit) Dep. var.: Happiness Logarithmic income Ferrari&Porsche/1000 pop.(FP) Zero Ferrari&Porsche munic. 0.465 (0.045) 0.044 (0.033) 0.216 (0.045) Aggregate variables at level of... region canton munic. region 0.483 0.472 0.572 0.586 (0.044) (0.044) (0.047) (0.047) -0.467 -0.680 0.042 -0.355 (0.078) (0.114) (0.033) (0.081) 0.158 (0.046) Logarithmic household size 0.257 0.268 0.263 (0.054) (0.054) (0.054) 0.482 0.490 0.500 (0.062) (0.062) (0.062) -0.109 -0.107 -0.109 (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) 0.001 0.001 0.001 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) -0.359 -0.341 -0.343 (0.050) (0.049) (0.049) -1.082 -1.068 -1.062 (0.172) (0.175) (0.174) -0.183 -0.170 -0.180 (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) -0.152 -0.125 -0.114 (0.036) (0.036) (0.037) Married (Yes=1) Age Age2 /100 Romandie (Yes=1) Unemployed (Yes=1) Male (Yes=1) Year 2007 Observations canton 0.576 (0.047) -0.468 (0.120) 8745 8779 19 8827 8745 8779 8827 Table 2. Happiness and Conspicuous Consumption (Ordered Logit) Dep. var.: Happiness Logarithmic income Ferrari&Porsche/1000 pop.(FP) Zero Ferrari&Porsche Cost of living Log population Canton fixed effects munic. 0.556 (0.048) 0.039 (0.048) 0.142 (0.059) -0.103 (0.078) -0.006 (0.017) Aggregate variables at level of... region canton munic. region 0.608 0.590 0.579 0.617 (0.048) (0.047) (0.043) (0.041) -0.225 -0.312 0.063 -0.248 (0.097) (0.148) (0.053) (0.118) 0.155 (0.059) -0.406 -0.488 0.097 -0.376 (0.217) (0.270) (0.088) (0.296) -0.075 -0.037 0.003 -0.022 (0.031) (0.030) (0.018) (0.035) No No No Yes Yes canton 0.602 (0.041) -0.505 (0.344) 0.474 (1.310) -0.109 (0.296) Yes Table 3. Effect heterogeneity by gender, political orientation, and poverty Ratio Ferrari&Porsche(FP) Male Male×ratio Politically left Left×ratio Poor Poor×ratio region -0.230 (0.114) -0.201 (0.059) 0.101 (0.149) Aggregate variables at level of... canton region canton region canton -0.287 -0.213 -0.269 -0.043 -0.067 (0.169) (0.105) (0.157) (0.098) (0.148) -0.209 (0.075) 0.095 (0.219) -0.178 -0.172 (0.061) (0.077) 0.067 0.046 (0.156) (0.227) 0.006 0.047 (0.082) (0.099) -0.595 -0.759 (0.183) (0.268) 20 Fig 1. Cantonal ranking in luxury car registrations per 1000 pop., 2001 .4 .2 be lu ur ar ju bs so fr ow gr gl ne sg vs sh tg ag ai bl nw vd zh ge ti sz zg Source: Federal Roads Office, own calculations. 21 0 Newly registered Ferrari & Porsche .6
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