The Vietnam War Why did the United States use force? National Interests: o Containment & Domino Theory – Containment was a central pillar of U.S. foreign policy during the Cold War, aimed at preventing the spread of communism by the Soviet Union. According to Kennan, the Soviet Union saw itself in a “perpetual war” with capitalism and sought to expand its influence by installing “controllable” communist regimes in other countries that would be hostile to the United States. Compounding this fear, the domino theory hypothesized that if one country fell to communism, surrounding countries would soon fall as well. o What explains the timing of U.S. escalation? U.S. Credibility – In 1954, President Eisenhower had committed the United States to defending South Vietnam after the French withdrew. When considering whether to escalate U.S. involvement later in 1964 and 1965, Johnson was worried that a failure to defend South Vietnam would embolden the Soviet Union and China to challenge U.S. commitments elsewhere. Bureaucratic Politics: Johnson kept on key members of Kennedy’s Cabinet (i.e. Rusk, McNamara, Bundy) who had an individual stake in Vietnam’s outcome since they had advocated Kennedy sending military advisors prior. Domestic Politics: o Shadow of Truman & Loss of China o Anticipated criticism from Southern Democrats/Republic party and its (anticipated) effect on public opinion. o Linkage between success of the Great Society program and success in Vietnam Gulf of Tonkin Incident: In early August 1964, there were reports that the North Vietnamese had fired upon believed that two U.S. destroyers off the coast in the Gulf of Tonkin. These alleged attacks prompted Johnson to seek authorization for an increased U.S. military presence in Vietnam, and a few days later Congress passed the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution. This resolution authorized Johnson to “take all necessary measures” to repel the North Vietnamese and prevent further aggression. This resolution would provide the legal basis for Johnson’s escalation in Vietnam in 1965 and Nixon’s expansion of the war into Laos and Cambodia. What were U.S. goals? What would have victory looked like? 1964 Election: According to Herring, LBJ wanted to avoid making a major escalation in Vietnam in the lead up to the election, since part of his campaign had promised no wider war. Plus, passing the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution on its own generated a rally large enough to get him through the election. Deteriorating Conditions in S. Vietnam: Ngo Dinh Diem, the U.S.-backed President of Vietnam after the French-Indochina war, was ambivalent to undertaking necessary reforms (like land reforms) in order to undermine the Vietcong’s insurgency. He was assassinated in 1963 in a coup d’état, which was sanctioned by the U.S. Yet, the post-Diem government in the South was no more effective or stable. Riots broke out against the new leader, Nguyen Khanh in November 1964, and another coup occurred in February 1965. Goals: Maintain U.S. credibility. Prevent South Vietnam and surrounding countries from falling to communism. Victory: End the Vietcong Insurgency, and ensure South Vietnam as a viable, stable state. (Attaining this objective would have to involve South Vietnam enacting a series of political reforms). End North Vietnamese support for insurgency. What military strategies did the United States use? Under LBJ: COIN in South Vietnam: In South Vietnam, the United States was fighting the Vietcong, an insurgent group that used guerilla tactics. A key part of COIN operations in the south was the “Enclave Strategy,” where U.S. forces would try to clear and hold areas that had been under the control of the Vietcong. Importantly, there is a cautious element to this strategy: U.S. soldiers could only undertake search and destroy missions within 50 miles of their military bases in order to minimize the risk of casualties. Operation Rolling Thunder: This operation was a coercive air campaign against North Vietnam that lasted from 1965 to 1968, chosen in lieu of a massive ground campaign. The purpose of these bombings were to compel North Vietnam to stop providing personnel and supplies to the Vietcong and to agree to a peace deal in which North Vietnam would recognize South Vietnam’s independence. This strategy of coercion is distinct from other ways air power could be used in war (See Lecture 7 for more). It includes intermittent pauses in bombing in order to leave room for negotiation. Under Nixon: Vietnamization: This strategy sought to shift responsibility for fighting the Vietcong back towards the South Vietnamese government. Nixon began pulling U.S. troops out of South Vietnam, and those that remained were there to train the S.V. army, not in combat roles. Why was this strategy chosen? Coercive Bombing Campaigns: Nixon also expanded the scope of the Vietnam War in many ways, including conducting secret bombings in Laos and Cambodia to cut off supply routes used by North Vietnam to supply arms to the Vietcong insurgency in the South. These actions were primarily aimed at North Vietnam and sought to compel them to accepting a peace agreement favorable to the United States. Johnson’s Incremental Escalation: Could not walk away from commitment for strategic and/or domestic reasons (see above). Major escalation of force and unrestrained use of ground troops too costly domestically and could risk a wider war with China and/or the Soviet Union. Military advocated for a “fast and full squeeze” approach attacking major industries and military targets while civilian leadership advocated a “slow squeeze” in a gradual series of attacks. Nixon’s Approach: Why was U.S. strategy unsuccessful? By time he entered office, most of the public was against Vietnam. Many people in the government came to believe that Vietnam was a huge mistake, and Nixon campaigned on the promise of ending the war. Nixon homed that “Vietnamization” would appease voters at home and reduce U.S. casualties. At the same time, he hoped to achieve a “peace with honor,” which would require being able to demonstrate that the U.S. was resolved to inflict high costs on NV through coercive bombing campaigns. Asymmetries of Resolve: North Vietnam and Vietcong insurgents had more at stake (they were fighting for their country) and were willing to incur more costs. Stakes vs. Leverage: Because the “stakes” of losing Vietnam to communism was too high for the United States, the United States lost the “leverage” necessary to coerce South Vietnam to undertake necessary political reforms. Soviet/Chinese Aid: Both the USSR and China were providing military aid to North Vietnam and the Vietcong insurgency in the South. A full-scale ground campaign into North Vietnam would risk a wider, more dangerous war with the Soviet Union and China. What are the key events in the conflict? Why? Domestic Political Constraints on Military: Civilian leaders would often avoid using military force in a way that would be politically risky, which could have undermined the war effort. For example, the decision to use the draft with 12-month term limits instead of calling up the reserves meant that 18-year olds without much training or local knowledge were the ones doing the bulk of the fighting the insurgency in South Vietnam. Tension in Coercive Bombing under Nixon: Wanted to convince the North Vietnamese that the United States was willing to impose unacceptably high costs on North Vietnam for the foreseeable future while trying to get out of South Vietnam by handing over military responsibility to them. Gulf of Tonkin Incident (1964): [see discussion above] Tet Offensive (1968): In January 1868, the North Vietnamese and Vietcong launched a massive offensive of coordinated attacks throughout South Vietnam. While the United States quickly beat the offensive back, it was a major political defeat for the United States and marked a turning point in the war. These attacks demonstrated that the United States was not almost about to win the war, and it revealed the “credibility gap” between what the administration had been saying and the reality on the ground. Following the attacks, public support for the war plummeted, leading Johnson to cap troop involvement at 540,000 and to withdraw from the presidential race. Easter Offensive & Operation Linebacker (1972): In March 1972, North Vietnam launched a conventional invasion of South Vietnam, making some initial territorial gains. The United States responded with Operation Linebacker, and North Vietnam suffered major losses due to the conventional nature of the fight. These two events are important because it created an incentive for North Vietnam finally to negotiate with the United States, although still not on the “peace with honor” terms.
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