G7 Summit, June 2015 The Curious Case of Japanese Leadership in Global Summitry Hugo Dobson The University of Sheffield Media Centre – G7 Summit. Over recent now…. an example that the rest of the years Japan’s prime minister Abe Shinzo world should be following’. One senior has emerged as the comeback kid of scholar of Japan’s international relations Japanese politics. Tainted and written-off has recently suggested the emergence of a after a widely perceived failed first stint as distinct but risky ‘Abe Doctrine’ in foreign prime minister from September 2006 to and security policy. At the end of 2014, Abe September 2007, he unexpectedly became won a second consecutive landslide the first post-Occupation politician to election, ended the annual turnover of return to the position of prime minister on Japanese prime ministers that began with 26 December 2012. Since then Abe’s his first period in office in 2006, and reputation and position has gone from appeared secure in his position for the strength to strength. He has scotched foreseeable future. reports of Japan’s decline and become inexorably associated with the resurgence These assertions of Japan’s revived of a strong Japan. In May 2013, The fortunes and emphasis on the leadership Economist photo-shopped Abe’s face onto role of Prime Minister Abe therein stand in the body of Superman on its front cover stark contrast to the previously received with the headline ‘Is it a bird? Is it a plane? wisdom that Japan was in some kind of No… It’s Japan!’ In June 2014, one widely absolute or relative decline, as well as published commentary boldly argued that suffering from an associated leadership the Japanese prime minister was ‘the most vacuum. The leadership of a rebooted Abe effective national leader in the world right 2.0 is seen to have manifested itself in a G7 Summit, June 2015 number of issue-areas. These range from challenge for Japan represented by the reviving Japan’s economy under the global rebalancing of power. Particularly eponymous set of policies known as since the Global Economic Crisis of 2008-9, ‘Abenomics’ monetary this has manifested itself in the perceived easing to target inflation, fiscal stimulus irrelevance and attempted reform of the including a ¥10 trillion package and the central mechanisms of global governance, promotion of growth strategies through mostly established by the US in the Cold structural reform) to attempting to turn War period. This apparent decline in the Japan into a more ‘normal’ country in influence and relevance of the traditional security terms through a ‘proactive institutions of global governance, such as contribution to peace’, and reinterpreting the G7 and G8, has appeared to mirror Japan’s self-imposed ban on the right to temporally and also compound Japan’s collective self-defence. own decline as it has closely aligned itself (consisting of with these now seemingly defunct It is entirely understandable that economic groupings. Second, several of these and security policies have received the mechanisms lion’s share of attention when exploring especially the more informal, ad hoc ones the questions of whether Japan’s decline such as the G7, G8, G20 and World has been halted and reversed, as well as Economic Forum, place a much greater the role of Abe in any such revival. Yet, at emphasis on the central role played by the the same time, the narrow focus on these president, prime minister or chancellor. So, areas is unfortunate. This is because other if we wish to gauge the leadership of Abe, policy areas, such as global summitry, or any leader for that matter, these represent an overlooked but pertinent mechanisms avenue of enquiry into Abe’s leadership represent an opportunity by which an skills. individual leader can assert him/herself at of of global global governance, governance a time of reform and reordering. This is for two reasons. First, analysis of global summitry can shed insight on the G7 Summit, June 2015 So, how has Abe fared in terms of being a and moral decline, particularly in relation leader in global summitry? One trend that to the rise of China. Take the most recent has clearly emerged is that Abe has moved example of the last G8 summit held in June away from Japan’s traditional diplomatic 2013 at Lough Erne, Northern Ireland (the role characterized as an internationalist 2014 Brussels Summit of the G7 was middle power and nowhere is this more hijacked by events and ended up becoming evident that in the case of global summitry. more of an ad hoc response to the Russian Across alphanumeric annexation of Crimea, conflict in Ukraine proliferated and Russia’s suspension from the G8). In of the field of economics, Abe’s goal was to the range configurations across the governance that of have architecture but pitch his ‘Abenomics’ programme to his particularly in the G7 and G8, Japan has fellow leaders but largely with a domestic traditionally cherished its seat at the top audience in mind. Abe sought to preempt table of global summitry, acted in its self- open criticism at the summit from some G7 appointed role as representative of Asia, leaders of the unpredictable and negative mediated between the US and Europe, and effects of quantitative easing and the taken its great power responsibilities weakening of the yen on the global seriously as evidenced by its high levels of economy by explaining ‘Abenomics’ and compliance with summit commitments then claiming international endorsement. and and As a result, the policy could be presented consistently successful summits (at least at home as an international commitment according to the ongoing analysis of the in order to secure further leverage in the G7, G8 and G20 Research Groups). face of domestic opposition. In the place of this internationalist, middle In the field of security, Abe’s other avowed power role, Abe has used global summitry goal was ‘to state Japan’s clear stance to promote a more narrowly focused, based on our national interests with regard nationalist and revisionist agenda focused to the North Korea nuclear and abduction on staunching Japan’s perceived material [of Japanese citizens by North Korean its in recent global hosting of decades, relatively G7 Summit, June 2015 agents] issues’. Again, he was successful in discussions be limited to the 21st century securing his fellow leaders’ support over and avoid discussion of historical cases. these issues. More radically, an agreement This was endorsed at Lough Erne for the administration would be criticized for its creation of a comprehensive agreement revisionist position that questions the level promoting UK-Japan intelligence sharing of coercion employed in the system of and the joint development of defence enforced sexual slavery, euphemistically equipment. The agreement allows Japan to known as the ‘comfort women’, used by provide the UK with defence technology the Imperial Japanese Army during the despite the fears of some that this Second World War. was for fear that the Abe contradicts the principles that have historically banned the export of weapons So, Abe’s participation in the Lough Erne and related technology. It demonstrates Summit highlighted key elements of his Abe’s willingness to see Japan’s role evolving foreign policy ‘doctrine’: secure enhanced in the political/security area Japan’s great power status by building an without being overly constrained by economically strong Japan, promote a postwar taboos. more proactive and robust Japanese security role, and engage in historical If attention is extended to the broader G8 revisionism to challenge postwar taboos process of that year then a similar and constraints. Sadly, this is at the approach comes clearly into focus. The G8 expense foreign ministers’ meeting held in April internationalism and has little to do with 2013 prior to the leaders’ meeting focused demonstrating on measures to prevent sexual violence in governance. of Japan’s leadership traditional in global conflict. While the Abe administration stated that it would support this initiative Turning to this year’s G7 summit that has from the viewpoint of the human rights of just concluded at Schloss Elmau, Abe came women, Foreign Minister Kishida Fumio to Germany with a number of objectives emphasized that reflect a continuation of the ‘Abe that the focus of G8 G7 Summit, June 2015 Doctrine’. As it regards managing the rise China Seas, Abe employed the strategy of of China, on the one hand Abe was keen to likening China’s grab for territory in this have a statement included in the summit region to Russia’s in Ukraine in order to declaration related to maritime security elicit the support of his fellow G7 leaders. and, although not a claimant in the He repeatedly stressed the importance of dispute, ideally condemning China’s land sovereignty, reclamation and construction of artificial condemned the unilateral use of force by islands in the South China Sea as well as the strong against the weak. Whilst having highlighting the implications for territorial to be careful not to alienate Putin and disputes in the East China Sea (to which jeopardize the positive upturn in Japanese- Japan is a claimant). On the other hand, Russian relations since Abe took office, it Abe was faced with possible divisions on paid dividends as the final declaration the issue of China’s proposed Asian expressed concerns (without explicitly Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) with mentioning China) over ‘tensions in the the United Kingdom, Italy, France and East and South China Seas… [and strongly Germany already committed to joining the opposed] the use of intimidation, coercion initiative whilst Japan stalls on its decision or force, as well as any unilateral actions harboring that seek to change the status quo, such as concerns surrounding transparency, standards and quality in the territorial integrity, and large scale land reclamation’. AIIB’s governance and lending practices. The Schloss Elmau Summit provided an At the same time, in his post-summit press opportunity for Japan to communicate its conference, Abe echoed the leaders’ concerns to its fellow summiteers. declaration and stressed numerous times how it was the shared values of freedom, democracy, basic human rights and the rule of law that bind the G7 leaders The outcome of the summit was largely together and give it its defining character positive for Abe. As regards the issue of as forum. This all chimes with the ‘values- maritime security and the South and East oriented diplomacy’ targeted at isolating G7 Summit, June 2015 China that was the signature foreign policy statements in G7 and G8 documents since initiative of his previous administration. At 2003. this summit, it allowed him to reinforce the comparison between Russia and China and Finally, no doubt he would have been bring the world’s attention to the South happy with a section in the declaration China Sea. dedicated to women’s economic empowerment as this forms part of the Abe also took the opportunity afforded by third pillar of ‘Abenomics’ that stresses his post-summit press conference to structural reform. However, there are emphasize considerable doubts as to the sincerity and that the legislation his administration has introduced to enable motivation of Abe’s intentions. Japan to exercise its right of collective selfdefence was in line with accepted Next year represents an important year for interpretations Japanese Asian leadership and global summitry as Constitution, despite recent opposition Japan hosts the G7 and China hosts the within Japan. He also stressed the G20. Despite the distractions of a US safeguards and conditions in place to presidential election and UK referendum ensure Japan would only exercise the right on Europe, clear opportunities exist for a of collective self-defence appropriately. coordinated response that puts Asian of the issues firmly on the agenda. However, As regards security and defence, the goal numerous obstacles remain. The Abe of including a statement of condemnation administration’s continued shift away from not only over North Korea’s nuclear and Japan’s missile programme, but also the abduction towards a more narrowly focused defence issue, could be taken as a given, especially of its great power status, a high-profile considering Abe’s personal interest in the security role in response to the rise of issue and participation in the first high- China and historical revisionism stand out level Japan-North Korea summit in 2002, as as some of the highest hurdles to well as the regular inclusion of similar overcome. traditional internationalism G7 Summit, June 2015 The recent BBC drama 37 Days summitry under the Abe administration as documented the diplomatic efforts in the it grapples with its decline by focusing on run-up to the outbreak of World War One domestic issues and turns away from and put the following words into the global leadership. mouth of Sir Edward Grey, the British Foreign Minister: ‘It’s what happens to great powers when they shrink; the world shrinks with them and then they cease to Hugo Dobson is Professor of Japan’s think about consequences’. In many ways, International Relations and Head of the this captures the recent evolution and School of East Asian Studies, University of future direction of Japan’s role in global Sheffield.
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