MONITORING LAND USE AND LAND USE CHANGES IN FRENCH GUIANA BY OPTICAL REMOTE SENSING Photo : Valéry Gond Photo : Valéry Gond Gaëlle VERGER – ONF, French National Forest Office – [email protected] 24/11/2009 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Photo : Gaëlle VERGER Photo : Valéry Gond Photo : Valéry Gond Summary Context and objectives: • Objectives and method of the project Implementation : • Data • Stratification • Photo-interpretation • Statistical estimates Results and discussion: 24/11/2009 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Summary Context and objectives: • Objectives and method of the project Implementation : • Data • Stratification • Photo-interpretation • Statistical estimates Results and discussion: 24/11/2009 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Ongoing project in French Guiana • Objectives of the project – In the Kyoto Protocol framework – To complement existing inventories made for 1990, 2006 and 2008 time points – Provide surface data for 2012 and feed the last French GHG inventory • Methods – – – – Based on the existing method (developed and approved by IPCC in 2006) Statistical inventory ≠ wall to wall mapping On the basis of stratified sample points By visual photo-interpretation of satellite imagery • GLCF Landsat Images for year 1990 • SPOT images for years 2006, 2008 & 2012 • To be combined with emission factors 24/11/2009 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Summary Context and objectives: • Objectives and method of the project Implementation : • Data • Stratification • Photo-interpretation • Statistical estimates Results and discussion: 24/11/2009 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Satellite Data • 1990: 8 Landsat Imageries • 2008: SPOT 2, SPOT 4 & SPOT 5 • 2012: SPOT 5 (about 270 imageries, thanks to SEAS) • Selection of imageries per frame depending on the cloud coverage SPOT 5 SPOT 4 SPOT 2 Cloud 25 Cloud cover cover << 75 10 % % 24/11/2009 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Definition of the strata • • • • 24/11/2009 Based on several existing studies and on experts knowledge (ONF and National Park of Guyane) Strata R (Reinforced sampling) – ONF GIS analysis on existing information • Roads • Agriculture • Cities 1km Buffer • Human settlements • Urban areas • Gold mining – Mangroves ecological area Strata N (Normal sampling) : all area not in Strata R Strata P : 52 km circle surrounding Petit Saut reservoir Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Sampling design • Systematic/random grid – Square grid - 932 m between points – Random origin and inclination • Sample definition – Strata R : All Grid points – Strata N : One point over 5 Strata Total Area (ha) Strata Nbr of points Distance between 2 points (m) Surface of sample points (ha) N 7 030 800 Normal 1 953 4 194 3 600 R 1 526 241 Reinforced 17 543 932 87 TOTAL 8 557 041 19 496 • Permanent sampling : same samples in 1990, 2008 and 2012 Good estimation of Land Use areas AND Land Use Changes 24/11/2009 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Photo interpretation Shifting Cultivation Gold mining SPOT55TM 2006 – ©- CNES Landsat 1990 GLCF Landsat SPOT55TM 2006 1990 – ©- CNES GLCF Petit Saut Reservoir Landsat SPOT54TM 2006 1990 – ©- CNES GLCF 24/11/2009 Agriculture extension Landsat SPOT54TM 2006 1990 – ©- CNES GLCF Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Photo interpretation 1990 2008 Land Use categories Forest Mangroves Other forests Settlements Gold mining other Settlements Cropland Grassland Wetlands Sea Other lands 24/11/2009 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Statistical estimates • Land use area estimates from Land use proportion in each strata Area estimate Sij Pij S j Variance Pij (1 Pij ) 2 Vij S j nj Stand. dev. i Vi j j V ij j Standard error of the estimate • Land use conversion areas estimated from Land use conversion proportions in each strata : Same formulas – Estimates + Precision of estimates • Sample used = All points without clouds in 1990 And 2006 And 2008 = 16469 points out of 17667. 24/11/2009 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Summary Context and objectives: • Objectives and method of the project Implementation : • Data • Strata • Photo-interpretation • Statistical estimates Results and discussion: 24/11/2009 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Results: Land uses 1990 2006 2008 • • 24/11/2009 Land use 1990 / 2006 (methodology development) / 2008 Ongoing interpretation for 2012 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Results: Forest cover changes Land use changes between forest and non forest (ha) 1990 - 2008 Strata N Estimate Stand. error Forest > Forest 6 824 884 30 971 Forest > Non forest 8 067 8 063 Including Forest > Settlements 8 067 8 063 Including Forest > Gold mining 0 0 Including Forest > Other settlements 8 067 8 063 Including Forest > Cropland 0 0 Including Forest > Grassland 0 0 Including Forest > Wetlands 0 0 Including Mangroves > Wetlands 0 0 Including Forest > Other lands 0 0 Including Mangove > Sea 0 0 Including other Forest > Other lands 0 0 Non Forest > Non forest 112 941 29 938 Non Forest > forest 0 0 Including Cropland > Forest 0 0 Including other non forest > Mangrove 0 0 24/11/2009 Strata P Strata R TOTAL Estimate Estimate Estimate Stand. error Stand. error Stand. error 176 030 1 028 196 8 029 110 1 622 4 046 31 276 34 790 65 662 108 518 1 589 2 419 8 566 954 21 166 30 188 287 1 399 8 188 868 14 863 15 731 274 1 175 1 207 87 6 303 14 457 87 768 8 100 0 27 281 27 281 0 1 584 1 584 0 2 258 2 258 0 460 460 33 835 4 892 38 727 1 571 677 1 711 0 2 634 2 634 0 497 497 0 10 066 10 066 0 969 969 0 9 595 9 595 0 946 946 0 470 470 0 210 210 1 822 131 605 246 369 396 3 326 30 125 0 12 229 12 229 0 1 067 1 067 0 3 292 3 292 0 556 556 0 6 867 6 867 0 802 802 A large majority of the forest is unchanged > 98 % A changed observed on 1 point of strata N Large Influence on the estimates and the standard error of the estimates 3 main causes of human deforestation in French Guiana Petit Saut Dam Natural evolution ≠ deforestation (Kyoto) Little Non forest to forest changes Mainly in croplands (Shifting cultivation) Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Results : Annual deforestation • Analysis annual deforestation during 1990/2006 and 2006/2008 – Without Petit Saut Dam (temporal event) and without Mangrove to sea conversions (= Natural ≠ Deforestation) Forest to other lands Forest to settlements Forest to wetlands Forest to Grassland Forest to cropland 1990-2006 period 2006-2008 period 0 0 50 1 0 00 1 0 50 2 0 00 2 0 50 3 0 00 3 0 50 hectare / year – Increase of total annual deforestation from 3500 ha/year to 5900 ha/year 24/11/2009 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana Discussion • Why this methodology has been chosen – – – – – • It was the methodology used for the NFI and this methodology has been validated by the IPCC for France => Coherence with the national territory Does not require lot of expertise Saving digitization time and bias Existing ArcGIS extension for the analysis Quality control integrated within the statistical process Application of this methodology in the REDD+ framework? – Efficiency of the method to monitor Deforestation has been demonstrated – Possibility to monitor forest degradation? Further investigations needed • Use of SPOT 5 data (2.5 to 10 m resolution) or Very High Resolution sensors (< 1m) • Combination with radar data (sensitivity to biomass) / Combination with field data – Key issues: • Availability and cost of high resolution satellite imageries • No localization of the deforestation 24/11/2009 Knowledge-based management of tropical rainforest – Cayenne, French Guiana
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